April 30, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:52 PM

WRONG AND WRONGER (David Hill, The Bronx):

Germany puts its faith in Keynesian (Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, 30/04/2005, Daily Telegraph)

Germany is backing a 1970s-style Keynesian to take over the crucial job of chief economist at the European Central Bank, marking a dramatic shift in Berlin's economic thinking and horrifying the guardians of orthodoxy in Frankfurt.

The post has been held for the last eight years by Dr Otmar Issing, a monetary hawk who has fought off political pressure for lower interest rates and sought to uphold the low-inflation traditions of the former Bundesbank.

Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder now hopes to replace him early next year with Professor Peter Bofinger, the leading advocate of a ''New Deal'' spending blitz to cut unemployment and lift the country out of protracted slump.


Given the global deflationary cycle European rates are obviously too high while the Hoover/FDR spending blitz did nothing to end the Depression. Forget spending, just cut rates.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:41 PM

RED VS RED:

Vermont Gov. Jim Douglas won't run for Jeffords’ Senate seat (Shay Totten, April 30, 2005, Vermont Guardian)

Gov. Jim Douglas ended more than a week of increasing political speculation Saturday, announcing he would not run for U.S. Senate in 2006.

But, his stalwart sidekick, Lt. Gov. Brian Dubie, quickly stepped up to fill the speculation about who in the GOP will take on U.S. Rep. Bernie Sanders, who has said he intends to run for the Senate.

“I am thinking about it,” Dubie told reporters in a crowded hallway outside Douglas' announcement.

Dubie said he would consider a run for U.S. Senate or U.S. House, but not without consulting his family first. “For me, it’s not what’s in the best interest of the White House, but what’s in the best interest of my house," he said. [...]

Republicans desperately want to retake the Senate seat they held while Jeffords was in office as a member of the GOP. In 2001, Jeffords made national headlines when he dropped out of the Republican party to become an independent. Jeffords made the switch in opposition to many of then newly-elected Pres. George W. Bush’s policies on education and the environment. The switch threw the control of the Senate into the hands of the Democrats.

Sanders, also an independent, has already stated he intends to run for Jeffords’ open seat, but has not made a formal announcement. Sanders received an early statement of support from Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid, D-NV, and from the liberal online advocacy group MoveOn.org.


The national GOP has made a real mistake by not targetting Vermont. Had they pumped a significant amount of money into the '94 congressional race they'd have knocked off Bernie over his gun votes. This race alone makes it worth bringing renewal of the assault weapons ban to a vote.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:22 PM

DISCIPLINED? THEY SHOULD GET COMMENDATIONS FOR REACTING QUICKLY:

Ex-Hostage's Italian Driver Ignored Warning, U.S. Says (RICHARD A. OPPEL Jr. and ROBERT F. WORTH, 5/01/05, NY Times)

The car carrying the Italian journalist Giuliana Sgrena that was struck with a deadly hail of gunfire as it sped toward Baghdad International Airport on March 4 ignored warnings from American soldiers who used a spotlight, a green laser pointer and warning shots to try to stop it as it approached a checkpoint, the American military said in a report released Saturday evening.

The gunfire killed Nicola Calipari, an Italian intelligence agent who was in the back seat with Ms. Sgrena. The driver and Ms. Sgrena were wounded. Lt. Gen. John R. Vines, the ground commander in Iraq, has approved a recommendation that soldiers involved in the shooting not be disciplined, the military said.

The report's exoneration of the soldiers, which was made public last week, angered Italian officials and threatened to further inflame relations between the United States and Italy, one of its staunchest allies in the war in Iraq. The findings have created a political problem for the Italian prime minister, Silvio Berlusconi, who faces a public upset by the incident at a time when his own fortunes are sagging.

Italy has kept 3,000 troops in Iraq, but Mr. Berlusconi has suggested that Italy might begin withdrawing them by September.


That would at least get a potential $3 billion worth of hostages out of the theater.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:04 PM

THE SILENT WEALTH OF NATIONS:

Rescuing environmentalism: Market forces could prove the environment's best friend—if only greens could learn to love them (The Economist, Apr 21st 2005)

The coming into force of the UN's Kyoto protocol on climate change might seem a victory for Europe's greens, but it actually masks a larger failure. The most promising aspect of the treaty—its innovative use of market-based instruments such as carbon-emissions trading—was resisted tooth and nail by Europe's greens. With courageous exceptions, American green groups also remain deeply suspicious of market forces.

If environmental groups continue to reject pragmatic solutions and instead drift toward Utopian (or dystopian) visions of the future, they will lose the battle of ideas. And that would be a pity, for the world would benefit from having a thoughtful green movement. It would also be ironic, because far-reaching advances are already under way in the management of the world's natural resources—changes that add up to a different kind of green revolution. This could yet save the greens (as well as doing the planet a world of good). [...]

Rachel Carson meets Adam Smith

If this new green revolution is to succeed, however, three things must happen. The most important is that prices must be set correctly. The best way to do this is through liquid markets, as in the case of emissions trading. Here, politics merely sets the goal. How that goal is achieved is up to the traders.

A proper price, however, requires proper information. So the second goal must be to provide it. The tendency to regard the environment as a “free good” must be tempered with an understanding of what it does for humanity and how. Thanks to the recent Millennium Ecosystem Assessment and the World Bank's annual “Little Green Data Book” (released this week), that is happening. More work is needed, but thanks to technologies such as satellite observation, computing and the internet, green accounting is getting cheaper and easier.

Which leads naturally to the third goal, the embrace of cost-benefit analysis. At this, greens roll their eyes, complaining that it reduces nature to dollars and cents. In one sense, they are right. Some things in nature are irreplaceable—literally priceless. Even so, it is essential to consider trade-offs when analysing almost all green problems. The marginal cost of removing the last 5% of a given pollutant is often far higher than removing the first 5% or even 50%: for public policy to ignore such facts would be inexcusable.

If governments invest seriously in green data acquisition and co-ordination, they will no longer be flying blind. And by advocating data-based, analytically rigorous policies rather than pious appeals to “save the planet”, the green movement could overcome the scepticism of the ordinary voter. It might even move from the fringes of politics to the middle ground where most voters reside.


It takes a nearly superhuman efforst for the environmental movement not to turn its broad public support into workable public policy. It leaves the issue wide open for the GOP to claim.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:49 PM

I ONLY JOINED FOR THE CHICKS:

A Rewrite for Hollywood's Blacklist Saga (Ronald Radosh and Allis Radosh, April 25, 2005, LA Times)

For more than 50 years, the communists and former communists of Hollywood have written the script of the past, telling the story of the blacklist in memoirs and histories, movies and documentaries in which they depict themselves as noble martyrs and champions of democracy. It is time, finally, to put an end to the glorification of this unhappy period and take a cleareyed look at the Hollywood Ten, the blacklist and the movie industry Reds who wielded such influence in the 1930s and 1940s.

According to the familiar but utterly romanticized script, the screenwriters, directors and actors who flirted with and joined the Communist Party are unadulterated heroes — just "liberals in a hurry." It is a simple black-and-white tale, as they tell it: The villains were the Hollywood moguls who blacklisted them, the liberals who abandoned the fight, and most of all, the "friendly" ex-communist witnesses who testified about their lives in the party and named names of old associates to the House Un-American Activities Committee.

It is a fable that has acquired an almost irresistible weight as a result of half a century of telling and retelling. Read Lillian Hellman. Or go see the Irwin Winkler film "Guilty by Suspicion."

But is it true? Certainly the blacklist harmed the careers of some of Hollywood's finest. Its damage extended not only to actual party members but, in some cases, to the well-meaning who joined party-controlled "popular front" organizations. But the accepted narrative obscures the important truth about communist influence in Hollywood. The Hollywood Ten were among the most committed of the party faithful, yet they've been wrapped and protected in a romantic haze, allowed to wear their appearance before HUAC as a badge of honor.


One of the few missteps Jim Carrey has made on the route to being this generation's Jimmy Stewart was the nearly good film, The Majestic, which is marred by a laughable anti-anti-communist plotline.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:20 PM

NEVER?:

If not now, when?: In a new report, six think-tanks have slashed their forecast for German economic growth in 2005, citing high oil prices and an unfavourable exchange rate. If Germany’s export-driven economy cannot recover when the world economy is racing along, how will it fare during a slowdown? (The Economist, Apr 29th 2005)

IN THEORY, Germany should be booming by now. Sizzling global economic growth in 2004, and more of the same expected for 2005, has raised demand for its exports, a boon to its large manufacturing sector. The European Central Bank (ECB) has kept interest rates in the euro area at an easy 2% for 22 months, and looks set to keep doing so well into 2005. Fiscal policy is also expansionary: the government’s budget deficit has breached the Maastricht treaty’s 3%-of-GDP limit for three years running, and by all accounts will do so again this year. Yet for all this, for the past four years Germany has struggled to produce GDP growth of even 1% a year.

The future looks little better than the past. This week a consortium of German think-tanks released its semi-annual report, slashing its forecast for German growth this year from a lacklustre 1.5% to an almost pulseless 0.7%. The German government then altered its own forecast to 1.0%, down from its previous one of 1.6%, made in January. More worryingly, the think-tanks' report argues that the German economy is not stuck in a particularly vicious cyclical slowdown. Rather, its structural problems, particularly the highly regulated labour market, have reduced trend growth (the average growth rate of the economy) to a meagre 1.1%, in contrast to roughly 2% for the rest of the euro area, and about 3% for the United States. Unless these trends reverse, Europe’s largest economy could eventually wind up as its economic backwater.

The most stagnant pool is undoubtedly the labour market. Germany’s unemployment rate fell to 11.8% in April from the record 12% it hit in March, pushing the number of jobless back below 5m for the first time in months. However, this may have more to do with changes in benefits for the unemployed, and a cold spell in March that made that month's figures unusually low, than any improvement in hiring conditions. On Tuesday April 26th Bert Rürup, head of Chancellor Gerhard Schröder’s panel of economic advisers, said that the country will not begin adding significant numbers of jobs until annual economic growth hits 1.5-2%. High unemployment has helped keep consumer spending depressed, leaving the economy dependent on exports to drive recovery. But global economic growth, which the International Monetary Fund’s World Economic Outlook puts at 5.1% in 2004, is forecast to slow a bit, to 4.3%, in 2005. If 5.1% wasn’t enough to pull Germany out of its doldrums, what will?

To be fair, Germany knows that it has a problem.


What theory is it that holds that a secular social welfare state whose people aren't having children should ever be booming?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:00 PM

DOESN'T THE PREGNANCY DEMONSTRATE HER IMMATURITY?:

Florida girl has abortion blocked (Jeremy Cooke, 4/30/05, BBC News)

A pregnant 13-year-old girl in Florida has been told she cannot have an abortion because she lacks the maturity to make such a decision.

A state court granted an injunction which prevents the girl from terminating her pregnancy.

She is three months pregnant and had planned to have an abortion on Tuesday of this week.

The American Civil Liberties Union says it will launch an urgent appeal against the ruling.


She can't buy cigarettes or alcohol, can't drive, can't go to many movies, can't legally have sex in most states, but she should be allowed to kill?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:56 PM

HIS RIVERBOAT--DEMOCRATS ARE JUST ALONG FOR THE RIDE:

President's Radio Address (George W. Bush, 4/30/05)

THE PRESIDENT: Good morning. This past week I addressed the nation to talk about the challenges facing Social Security. The Social Security system that Franklin Roosevelt created was a great moral success of the 20th century. It provided a safety net that ensured dignity and peace of mind to millions of Americans in retirement.

Yet today there is a hole in the safety net for younger workers, because Congress has made promises it cannot keep. We have a duty to save and strengthen Social Security for our children and grandchildren.

In the coming week, I will travel to Mississippi to continue to discuss ways to put Social Security on the path to permanent solvency. I will continue to assure Americans that some parts of Social Security will not change. Seniors and people with disabilities will continue to get their checks, and all Americans born before 1950 will also receive their full benefits. And I will make it clear that as we fix Social Security we have a duty to direct extra help to those most in need, and make Social Security a better deal for younger workers.

We have entered a new phase in this discussion. As members of Congress begin work on Social Security legislation, they should pursue three important goals. First, I understand that millions of Americans depend on Social Security checks as a primary source of retirement income, so we must keep this promise to future retirees, as well. As a matter of fairness, future generations should receive benefits equal to or greater than the benefits today's seniors get.

Second, I believe a reformed system should protect those who depend on Social Security the most. So in the future, benefits for low-income workers should grow faster than benefits for people who are better off. By providing more generous benefits for low-income retirees, we'll make good on this commitment: If you work hard and pay into Social Security your entire life, you will not retire into poverty.

This reform would solve most of the funding challenges facing Social Security. A variety of options are available to solve the rest of the problem. And I will work with Congress on any good-faith proposal that does not raise the payroll tax rate or harm our economy.

Third, any reform of Social Security must replace the empty promises being made to younger workers with real assets, real money. I believe the best way to achieve this goal is to give younger workers the option of putting a portion of their payroll taxes into a voluntary personal retirement account. Because this money is saved and invested, younger workers would have the opportunity to receive a higher rate of return on their money than the current Social Security system can provide.

Some Americans have reservations about investing in the markets because they want a guaranteed return on their money. So one investment option should consist entirely of Treasury bonds, which are backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government. Options like this will make voluntary personal retirement accounts a safer investment that will allow you to build a nest egg that you can pass on to your loved ones.

In the days and weeks ahead, I will work to build on the progress we have made in the Social Security discussion. Americans of all ages are beginning to look at Social Security in a new way. Instead of asking whether the system has a problem, they're asking when their leaders are going to fix it. Fixing Social Security must be a bipartisan effort, and I'm willing to listen to a good idea from either party. I'm confident that by working together, we will find a solution that will renew the promise of Social Security for the 21st century.

Thank you for listening.


President's Big Social Security Gamble (RICHARD W. STEVENSON, 4/30/05, NY Times)
In proposing on Thursday night to cut Social Security benefits for future generations of retirees, President Bush made two big bets, one political, one on the substance of his policy, and if he is to succeed in remaking the retirement system, both of them will probably have to break his way.

The political gamble is straightforward. Will putting benefit cuts on the table eventually break the legislative logjam by providing political cover to members of both parties who accept that something painful must be done to set Social Security right? Or, by imposing substantial cuts on middle-income workers relative to what the system currently promises, will the approach endorsed by Mr. Bush so permanently harden the wall of opposition from Democrats, as it seemed initially to have done, that no compromise becomes possible?


Regardless of how it all ends up, it's immensely entertaining to watch him dramatically raise the stakes every time the Democrats think they've backed him into a corner.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:49 PM

MAYBE 60 MPH IS 30 KPH?:


US satellite recorded checkpoint shooting, shows speed of Italian car: CBS
(AFP, 4/29/05)

A US satellite reportedly recorded a checkpoint shooting in
Iraq last month, enabling investigators to reconstruct how fast a car carrying a top Italian intelligence official and a freed hostage was traveling when US troops opened fire.

The report, which aired Thursday on CBS News, said US investigators concluded from the recording that the car was traveling at a speed of more than 60 miles (96 km) per hour.

Giuliana Sgrena has said the car was traveling at a normal speed of about 30 miles an hour when the soldiers opened fired, wounding her and killing Nicola Calipari, the Italian agent who had just secured her release from a month's captivity.


Darn, the communist who got the insurgents a large cash payoff seemed so credible....


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:57 PM

ARE THE PYGMIES PEPPERED? (via Bruce Cleaver):

Pygmy found near home of hobbits (Sydney Herald Sun, 30apr05)

INDONESIAN scientists have found a community of pygmy people in the eastern island of Flores.

The community is near a village where Australian scientists discovered a dwarf-sized skeleton last year and declared it a new human species.

The latest discovery will likely raise more controversy over the finding of Homo floresiensis, claimed by Australian scientists Mike Morwood and Peter Brown in September. They nick-nam


Only the most credulous Darwinists can have failed to figure out the hobbit was a hoax when the bones were conveniently destroyed. Nothing in life is more certain than that a much heralded evolutionary find will turn out to be man-made.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:00 PM

JUST RAISE THEM HIGH ENOUGH:

Oil-rich Norway is taxing on cars (Simon Romero, APRIL 30, 2005, The New York Times)

Norway, the world's third-largest oil exporter, is home to perhaps the world's most expensive gasoline.

But drivers here greet high pump prices of almost 11 kroner a liter, or $6.60 a gallon, with little more than a shrug.

Yes, there was a protest from the Norwegian Automobile Association, which said, "Enough is enough," And a rightist party in Parliament, the Progress Party, once again called for a cut in gasoline taxes, which account for about two-thirds of the price. But "those critics are but voices in the wilderness," said Torgald Sorli, a radio announcer with the Norwegian Broadcasting Corp. who often discusses transportation issues. "We Norwegians are resigned to expensive gasoline. There is no political will to change the system."

Norway, has been made wealthy by oil, trailing only Saudi Arabia and Russia in exports. Last year alone, oil exports jumped 19 percent to $38.4 billion. But no other major oil exporter has attempted to reel in its own fuel consumption with as much zeal as Norway. These policies have resulted in one of the lowest car-ownership rates in Europe and fuel-efficient Volkswagens and Peugeots far outnumber big sport utility vehicles on its roads.

Always strange to hear normally sensible conservatives who rage against the effects of taxation claim that higher gas taxes wouldn't have any effect on driving habits. But then cars, like guns, are an emotional issue, not a logical one.


MORE:
Taxing America Clean?: The gas tax is still a terrible idea. (Chris Pope, 04/28/2005, Weekly Standard)

AMERICA IS THE LAND OF THE AUTOMOBILE. Cars are the keys to adulthood, the grail of status, the lifeblood of the economy, and the passport to a vast land. They are also Public Enemy Number One.

The automobile has long been blamed for global warming, respiratory diseases, and the destruction of the countryside, but it has also recently been indicted for treason in the war on terror. Though it made possible the most extraordinary social progress, opened up a world outside cramped cities to the millions, and almost every sector of the economy would grind to a halt without it, the internal combustion engine is now almost universally condemned as A Bad Thing.

One need not believe that fear of global warming should motivate an end to car use (or that an end to car use would end global warming) to believe that the "external cost" to society of car use is a potential reason for taxing gas. Conservative economists Martin Feldstein, Gary Becker, and Greg Mankiw have all joined the chorus for a gas tax, though their arguments are admittedly based as much on the income tax being bad for the economy, as they are on the gas tax being good.

Since Thomas Friedman warns us that there is also an imminent groundswell from "an alliance of neocons, evangelicals and greens," surely it is only a matter of time before congressmen swarm to the call of the gas tax?

Like most disastrous liberal schemes, astronomic gas taxes have already been tested on the British, where taxes account for 76 percent of the pump price, and regulation has further forced prices up to £3.73 ($7.13) per gallon. Even though the whole of Britain is essentially urban, and people are never far from a variety of kind of public transportation, roads are just as full in the United Kingdom as they are in the United States. For all the promises of environmental salvation through gas taxation, car use has been limited more by the fact that roads are so jammed that people now get to places quicker by train. Yet despite the enormous popularity of cars in the face of a high gas tax, Britons still hear claims that an even higher tax is what is needed to save the environment. The fig-leaf of economic rationale has, however, fallen.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:39 PM

GIVE US A KING:

Israel Asks for a King (1 Samuel 8)

1 Samuel 8:1 And it came to pass, when Samuel was old, that he made his sons judges over Israel.

1 Samuel 8:2 Now the name of his firstborn was Joel; and the name of his second, Abiah: [they were] judges in Beersheba.

1 Samuel 8:3 And his sons walked not in his ways, but turned aside after lucre, and took bribes, and perverted judgment.

1 Samuel 8:4 Then all the elders of Israel gathered themselves together, and came to Samuel unto Ramah,

1 Samuel 8:5 And said unto him, Behold, thou art old, and thy sons walk not in thy ways: now make us a king to judge us like all the nations.

1 Samuel 8:6 But the thing displeased Samuel, when they said, Give us a king to judge us. And Samuel prayed unto the LORD.

1 Samuel 8:7 And the LORD said unto Samuel, Hearken unto the voice of the people in all that they say unto thee: for they have not rejected thee, but they have rejected me, that I should not reign over them.

1 Samuel 8:8 According to all the works which they have done since the day that I brought them up out of Egypt even unto this day, wherewith they have forsaken me, and served other gods, so do they also unto thee.

1 Samuel 8:9 Now therefore hearken unto their voice: howbeit yet protest solemnly unto them, and shew them the manner of the king that shall reign over them.

1 Samuel 8:10 And Samuel told all the words of the LORD unto the people that asked of him a king.

1 Samuel 8:11 And he said, This will be the manner of the king that shall reign over you: He will take your sons, and appoint [them] for himself, for his chariots, and [to be] his horsemen; and [some] shall run before his chariots.

1 Samuel 8:12 And he will appoint him captains over thousands, and captains over fifties; and [will set them] to ear his ground, and to reap his harvest, and to make his instruments of war, and instruments of his chariots.

1 Samuel 8:13 And he will take your daughters [to be] confectionaries, and [to be] cooks, and [to be] bakers.

1 Samuel 8:14 And he will take your fields, and your vineyards, and your oliveyards, [even] the best [of them], and give [them] to his servants.

1 Samuel 8:15 And he will take the tenth of your seed, and of your vineyards, and give to his officers, and to his servants.

1 Samuel 8:16 And he will take your menservants, and your maidservants, and your goodliest young men, and your asses, and put [them] to his work.

1 Samuel 8:17 He will take the tenth of your sheep: and ye shall be his servants.

1 Samuel 8:18 And ye shall cry out in that day because of your king which ye shall have chosen you; and the LORD will not hear you in that day.

1 Samuel 8:19 Nevertheless the people refused to obey the voice of Samuel; and they said, Nay; but we will have a king over us;

1 Samuel 8:20 That we also may be like all the nations; and that our king may judge us, and go out before us, and fight our battles.

1 Samuel 8:21 And Samuel heard all the words of the people, and he rehearsed them in the ears of the LORD.

1 Samuel 8:22 And the LORD said to Samuel, Hearken unto their voice, and make them a king.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:20 AM

CAN LIBERALISM SURVIVE DEPTH?:

CNN shifts news focus: New boss stresses a more in-depth approach, akin to archrival Fox News. (MIKE TIERNEY, 04/30/05, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution)

[I]'s not programs or on-air personnel that [Jon] Klein fixated on throughout an interview Friday. [...]

It's how CNN presents the news.

"Dramatically different, certainly in our prime-time approach," contends Klein, 47, who has done the New York-Atlanta shuttle — here one day, gone the next — most weeks since stepping into the revolving-door job in December.

"When I got here, we were doing just straight newscasts with two-minute-long pieces. The problem with that approach is by [midevening], the public already knows what happened. You've got to go beyond the headlines.

"That's what Fox [News] has been doing — discussing stories that you're already familiar with. Now we've started doing stories in our way, not just by talking about them but reporting them in greater depth."

And, with un-CNN-like techniques. One reporter, in a story on a device that shocks the body with an electrical charge, strapped on the belt and absorbed a few thousand volts.

Another, following up on the drowning of a prop plane pilot, donned a survival suit and, accompanied by the Coast Guard, flopped into the lake — where he delivered his report.

"There is a big difference between that and a clown," Klein says. "Reporters must be less stiff, less imperious, less above-it-all, less condescending. More involved and passionate in the stories they do."

Klein's gospel: Pounce on a story and explore it from every angle.


In-depth like Fox? And here we thought Fox was dumbing down the news for its Neanderthal viewers...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:48 AM

THE NEARLY SENSUOUS NUT:

Under the Spreading Chestnut Tree (SUSAN FREINKEL, 4/30/05, NY Times)

TO celebrate Arbor Day yesterday, President Bush added a new tree to the White House grounds - an American chestnut. At first glance it may seem an odd choice, since chestnuts have been largely absent from the American landscape for more than half a century. Yet if any species can help us see the importance of trees to humanity, it is the American chestnut, and its story makes it the perfect emblem for Arbor Day.

Chestnuts were once so plentiful along the East Coast that according to legend a squirrel could travel the chestnut canopy from Georgia to Maine without ever touching the ground. The trees grew tall, fast and straight. Many considered it the perfect tree: it produced nourishing food and a rot-resistant wood that was used for everything from furniture to fence posts. Chestnut ties were the sturdy foundation of the ever-expanding railroad lines; chestnut poles held up the lengthening miles of electrical and telephone wire.

Then in the early 20th century a deadly fungus imported from Japan hit American forests. Within 40 years this fast and merciless fungus spread over some 200 million acres and killed nearly four billion trees. The blight brought the chestnut to the brink of extinction. Even today new sprouts continue to shoot up from the roots of seemingly dead trees only to be attacked again by the fungus before they can flower and reproduce.

But, in memory at least, the tree endures. That's particularly true in Appalachia, where the chestnuts were vital to the local culture and economy. The sweet nuts that appeared every fall sustained people and their livestock. Families built their homes from chestnut logs, marked their property with chestnut fences and brewed home remedies for burns from chestnut leaves.


And God designed no better weapon for whipping at your brother than the chestnut.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:42 AM

SUPREMELY AWKWARD:

Bush as Robin Hood (JOHN TIERNEY, 4/30/05, NY Times)

Democrats have good reason to be aghast at President Bush's new proposal for Social Security. Someone has finally called their bluff.

They tried yesterday to portray him as just another cruel, rich Republican for suggesting any cuts in future benefits, but that's not what the prime-time audience saw on Thursday night. By proposing to shore up the system while protecting low-income workers, Mr. Bush raised a supremely awkward question for Democrats: which party really cares about the poor? [...]

As a poverty-fighting program, Social Security is woefully inefficient because most of the money goes to people who aren't poor. It would take just 20 percent of what Social Security dispenses to move every elderly American out of poverty, according to June O'Neill, the former director of the Congressional Budget Office.


C'mon, Democrats can hardly be expected to acknowledge that their very existence requires that the maximum number of people possible be dependent on government.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:23 AM

CONVERGENCE (via Kevin Whited):

Women's rights (Houston Chronicle, 4/29/05)

Who would have thought Iran, for decades synonymous with repression and religious fanaticism, could offer a beacon of sensible discourse for the United States? According to the government news service in Tehran, Iran's Parliament passed a law permitting abortions in cases of danger to the mother or severe disability in the fetus. [...]

Abortion is a serious matter, worthy of mature debate and responsibly crafted law. How ironic that Iran is moving forward toward this goal, while the United States is sliding backward.


Actually we appear to be moving towards identical goals.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:18 AM

IT WAS NEVER ABOUT WMD:

Puncturing Another Weapons Myth (NY Times, 4/30/05)

The last refuge of those who continue to insist that Saddam Hussein must have had weapons of mass destruction was virtually eliminated by the chief weapons inspector this week. Not willing to accept the unpalatable truth that the search for W.M.D. in Iraq had come up empty, die-hard supporters of the war had clung to the possibility that Mr. Hussein might have shipped his weapons off to Syria to avoid their capture. Never mind that American military leaders said that he could not have pulled that off during the war, when his regime was collapsing too fast to salvage much of anything, and that reconnaissance craft had seen no major arms shipments at the borders. Perhaps the wily dictator had spirited off the weapons before the war began.

The final report of the Iraq Survey Group, headed by Charles Duelfer, has now declared any mass transfer of illicit weapons improbable.


The World (NPR) did a very fine interview yesterday with Mr. Duelfer in which he stated truths that would be too uncomfortable for the Times to hear. He said that it was indeed true that the sanctions regime and the threat presented by the U.S. and British forces arrayed against him for twelve years had led Saddam to dispose of nearly all of his existing WMD. However, he retained the desire and intent to reconstitute the weapons programs at the first opportunity and the sanctions were so close to fallin g apart that his opportunity was going to be sooner rather than later. As Mr. Duelfer said (or, more accurately, as I recall he said): Saddam was capable of the strategic long-term planning that democracies are incapable of engaging in, so time was on his side.

It isn't anymore.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:54 AM

THE LEFT WILL HAVE A PARTY TOO (via Tom Morin):

U.S. Politics Since September 11: Perspectives for Rebuilding the Left (SHARON SMITH, March–April 2005, nternational Socialist Review)

MORE THAN three years after September 11, it is now possible—and necessary—to define the political character of U.S. politics since this turning point. This article aims to draw some general conclusions about the political period since 9/11 and to suggest some key strategies for rebuilding the Left.

Social polarization and squandered opportunities

The 2004 election took place in the context of sharp social polarization. Roughly equal proportions of the U.S. population stood on opposite sides over the Iraq War, tax cuts, and the Bush administration itself. But the Democrats squandered the opportunity to define themselves as an opposition party—even though opinion polls showed a majority of the U.S. population thought the country was headed “in the wrong direction” and Bush was shown to have lied about the justification for the Iraq War.

This sharp polarization offered an opportunity to strengthen and rebuild the Left among the millions opposed to Bush. Nevertheless, virtually the entire U.S. Left collapsed into supporting the Democratic Party candidate—leaving those against the war and Bush’s domestic policies with no organized expression to the left of the Bush Lite program of John Kerry. Indeed, the Anybody But Bush (ABB) Left assisted the Democrats by policing the movement against the only genuine electoral alternative, accusing the Nader/Camejo campaign of “helping” Bush to get reelected.

The Democrats spent months of effort and millions of dollars to keep Nader’s name off ballots in states across the country. As a result, Nader’s half-million votes had no influence on the outcome of the 2004 election. The reasons for Kerry’s defeat lay elsewhere.

In reality, Kerry’s defeat exposed the reverse logic employed by the ABB Left—when Kerry’s “electability” (that is, his similarity to Bush) failed to get him elected. That is how, in a country where a majority of the population views the Iraq War as a mistake, the man who led the country into that war on false pretenses managed to eke out a victory.

The resulting Bush victory predictably emboldened the Right, while demoralizing the Democratic Party’s most prominent left-wing supporters—who interpreted Bush’s victory as a major breakthrough for the Christian Right. Although the Christian Right has grown modestly in size, its influence in mainstream politics is magnified by the absence of a genuine Left opposition, due to the collapse of the Left into the Democratic Party.

The dynamics of the 2004 election were merely an acceleration of those already in place since 9/11. The terrorist attacks in 2001 provided the excuse for the U.S. ruling class to pursue its imperialist aims more aggressively abroad while escalating its war on the working class at home. In both cases, the U.S. Left has proven both unable and unwilling to build a viable political opposition. [...]

Bill Clinton represented a new breed of Democrat. As a founder of the Democratic Leadership Council (DLC), he aimed to shift the party away from the Democrats’ -traditional voting base (liberals, Blacks, and labor) to appeal to “swing” voters (white middle-class voters torn between Democrats and Republicans). This strategy required the party to lurch to the right, adopting positions that were unique to the Republican Party during the era of Reaganism.

Clinton’s “I feel your pain” campaign slogan soon proved to be smoke and mirrors as he stole the Republican’s thunder in dismantling welfare, and passing both the anti-gay Defense of Marriage Act (which paved the way for Bush’s more draconian federal ban on gay marriage proposal) and the Anti-Terrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act (which preceded the yet more repressive Patriot Act).

Clinton’s approach to Iraq, likewise, differed little from his Republican predecessor. He continued the murderous sanctions put in place after the 1991 Gulf War that claimed over a million Iraqi lives—half of them children under age five. In addition, the U.S. and Britain conducted a continuous bombing campaign over Iraq’s “no-fly zone” throughout Clinton’s two terms in office, interrupted only by the more vigorous “Operation Desert Fox” bombing campaign in 1998. Clinton signed the “Iraq Liberation Act” in 1998, calling for the “regime change” carried out by George W. Bush in 2003.

Had Clinton been a Republican, liberals would have protested many of these policies. Because Clinton was a Democrat, however, liberals continued to support Clinton as he embraced a range of conservative positions during his presidency.

The feminist movement never protested against Clinton, even as he allowed the erosion of legal abortion and dismantled welfare for poor women and children. Most gay rights organizations maintained their loyalty even after Clinton signed the Defense of Marriage Act. Many antiwar activists who had opposed the Gulf War in 1991 remained silent during Clinton’s subsequent “humanitarian” invasions.

The collapse of liberalism during the Clinton era allowed mainstream politics to shift rightward in the years before Bush took office.


The Democrats don't recognize yet that 9-11 worked to their political advantage, forcing them to resuume the national security mantle they'd worn uneasily during the Cold War as well and disguising many of the internal incoherencies of the party. Just imagine a John Kerry nominating convention where he couldn't present himself as the Deer Hunter or Rambo but had to talk about issues? He'd have had to say what he really wanted to do and alienate middle America, or try to fudge to the Middle and infuriate the Party base.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:46 AM

...AND CHEAPER...:

Oil Slides Below $50 Mark: Rising U.S. supplies and worries about the global economy cool the market. Many analysts expect gas prices to fall. (John O'Dell, April 30, 2005, LA Times)

Oil prices plunged below the $50-a-barrel mark Friday for the first time in more than two months, triggering hopes for cheaper gasoline and diesel prices as the summer travel season approaches.

Light crude for June delivery dropped $2.05 to $49.72 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The U.S. benchmark grade, which last settled below $50 on Feb. 18, fell $5.67 a barrel, or about 10%, during the last week amid rising U.S. supplies and fears of a softening world economy that could suppress global demand in coming months.

The $50 mark is a psychological barrier that, once broken, makes its easier for traders to think in terms of lower prices, said Tom Kloza, chief oil analyst for the Oil Price Information Service in New Jersey.

"If there's no contrary news, this thundering herd may stampede to the mid-$40s in relatively short order," he said.


Mid-$40s isn't a floor.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:33 AM

LIKE WATCHING GALE SAYERS (*):

Bush Plan Aids Poor, Squeezes the Rest (Peter G. Gosselin, April 30, 2005, LA Times)

As the full dimensions of President Bush's Social Security plan come into view, so too does a broader vision: improving benefits for the poorest Americans while reducing the reliance of everyone else on government programs that long have seen them through economic difficulties.

Although Bush devoted most of his prime-time news conference Thursday to describing how he would expand Social Security protections, virtually all of his improvements would be aimed at the bottom one-third of American wage earners. The remaining two-thirds would see their future Social Security benefits curtailed, a reduction that they'd be encouraged to make up by saving and investing of their own.

The president often portrays his effort as simply trying to accommodate reality; funds to pay full Social Security benefits are expected to run short toward the middle of the century. But his approach also corresponds to a long-held conservative goal of reducing Washington's influence in the lives of ordinary Americans and to the aim of his chief political strategist Karl Rove to realign the nation along Republican principles.

"What you're going to see is an effort to scale back middle-class entitlements that many people do not need and to become more focused on the antipoverty aspects of these programs," said Michael Tanner, an expert on Social Security at the Cato Institute, a Washington think tank that advocates small government.

"We're going to tell non-poor Americans that they are going to have to save more on their own and not depend on a transfer from government," he said.


Interesting how neither the Left nor much of the Right grasps just how ambitious the President's Third Way concept of an Ownership Society is. Both hate the idea of government mandated personal responsibility, though the former because it hates government and the latter because it hates personal responsibility.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:26 AM

YOU MEAN YOU JUST SCAN THE GROCERIES?:

Blair forced to back down over health service targets (JAMES KIRKUP, 4/30/05, The Scotsman)

AN "OUT of touch" Tony Blair was forced into a public retreat yesterday over government health and education targets, an embarrassment that came as Labour members predicted he will quit sooner rather than later.

Labour was thrown on to the defensive by Mr Blair’s appearance on BBC’s Question Time on Thursday night, when he admitted he was "absolutely astonished" by suggestions that some English NHS patients can only book a doctor’s appointment at 48 hours’ notice, so that GPs can meet central government targets.

The Prime Minister’s incredulity gave the Conservatives a perfect opportunity to produce a welter of evidence of misfiring targets and, more damagingly, proof that the government had been well aware of the problem. [...]

[B]y the afternoon, the growing row forced Mr Blair into a public apology over central targets in health and education.

"There is danger that they have been too crude," he told BBC television. "We have to have them, but [need to] make them more flexible. We need to strip the targets down."

Mr Blair’s faltering performance over health yesterday came as members of his own party publicly speculated that he will fail to see through his promise to serve a full third term if re-elected.

Bob Marshall-Andrews, a veteran Labour backbench rebel, suggested Mr Blair could even face a leadership challenge if he tries to stay on for more than a year after the election.

"I see absolutely no reason why that shouldn’t take place. Indeed, I suspect confidently that it will," he said in a Channel Four interview to be broadcast today.

Neil Kinnock, the former Labour leader, suggested that the Prime Minister will not seek to prolong his leadership "for the sake of it. "

"He’s not looking for a page in the history book; he’s got that in any case," Lord Kinnock said in a GM-TV interview to be broadcast tomorrow. "He’s not looking to extend the chapter for the sake of it."


Brown's luster rubs off on protégés (Graham Bowley, APRIL 30, 2005, International Herald Tribune)
In the vote Thursday, it seems a foregone conclusion that voters will return Tony Blair's Labour Party to government.

But since Blair's announcement, on the opening day of the campaign, that "at the election following there will be a different leader," speculation has raged about who could be his successor.

The widespread assumption is Gordon Brown.

But what should the world expect from a man who, despite establishing Britain as one of Europe's best-performing economies, has remained largely hidden by Blair's more charismatic shadow?

And what of the loyal coterie of young supporters who surround Brown - people like Ed Balls - and who are likely to rise with him?

Balls grew up in Nottingham, England, went to Oxford and Harvard, and started his career writing at The Financial Times before Brown hired him as an adviser in 1994.

When Brown took over the Treasury in 1997, Balls in effect became the deputy chancellor of the Exchequer, unelected but ruling over civil servants and British economic policy with notorious muscularity.

He drew up the memo that granted the Bank of England independence in setting interest rates. Brown and Balls set the tests that kept the British pound out of the euro. With Blair focusing on foreign policy, Brown and Balls decided how far free-market forces could invade Britain's public services.

Achieving so much, so young has made Balls "even more charming and self-deprecating" than his famously curt mentor Brown, says one former government colleague, ironically. [...]

One possible date for regime change is the referendum next spring on the European Union's constitutional treaty "because," according to Kampfner, "if Blair loses that, he is finished."

And what would Brown's policies be if he were prime minister?

"There is a moral element to Brown's approach to politics that derived from his father, who was a very hard-working minister in the Church of Scotland who devoted a lot of time to the unemployed," says Robert Peston, a British journalist and author of "Brown's Britain," a book about the chancellor.

On Iraq, most analysts believe Brown would probably have taken Britain to war, just as Blair did, but only after securing wider public backing. While instinctively pro-American, he has become increasingly skeptical about the EU, devotes scant time to visits to Brussels, and rarely mentions Germany and France without a lecture about reforming their stuttering economies.


Because the Third Way is a rejection of Labourism, Mr. Blair has only been popular in his party to the extent that he could win elections. It would be a delightful irony though if they chuck him over for Gordon Brown and get someone even more devoted to the same ideas.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:12 AM

ANGLOSPHERE IN ACTION:

Nepal's state of emergency ended (BBC, 4/30/05)

King Gyanendra of Nepal has lifted a state of emergency he imposed after taking direct control of the country three months ago. [...]

The lifting of the state of emergency has been welcomed by India which, like the US and Britain, has suspended arms supplies to Nepal.


When we three speak with one voice a lot of folks will need to listen.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:09 AM

DO AS WE SAY, NOT AS THEY DID:

Is Democracy in the Middle East a Pipedream?: Amidst the first signs of change, longing competes with mistrust of Western democracy (Fawaz Gerges, 25 April 2005, YaleGlobal)

From Baghdad to Beirut and from Cairo to Jerusalem, stirrings of freedom are unsettling deeply entrenched autocratic rulers, as Arab civil societies are beginning to challenge their ruling tormentors. In Egypt, for instance, one of the most populous and important Arab states, President Hosni Mubarak responded to critics of his autocratic style by agreeing to hold free elections Although it is too early to draw any definite conclusions about the nature and substance of recent developments, they point to a more assertive civil society and a real longing for political empowerment and emancipation. Careful support and nurturing by the West will be critical for their success.

Most Arabs and Muslims in the Middle East are fed up with their ruling autocrats, who had promised heaven but delivered dust and tyranny. These sentiments clearly show that there is nothing unique or intrinsic about Arab and Islamic culture that inhibits democratic governance. Like their counterparts elsewhere, Arabs and Muslims have struggled to free themselves from the shackles of political authoritarianism without much success, thanks partly to the support given by the West, particularly the United States, to powerful dictators. [...]

Now, however, we are witnessing the emergence of rudimentary social movements that could dramatically revolutionize Arab and Muslim politics. These movements – be they professional associations, workers organizations, students, or women's groups – are much more assertive, mobilized, and challenging of governments' autocratic methods, thanks to the power of the new media, which has broken official monopoly on the flow of information. As a result, consensus is emerging in the Muslim world regarding respect for human rights, legal transparency, and the peaceful transfer of power.

Even mainstream Islamists, such as the Muslim Brotherhood of Egypt, the most powerful transnational organization, have now come to this very same conclusion: Democracy is the most effective mechanism to guard against political authoritarianism and protect the human rights of the Muslim Ummah (the Muslim community worldwide).

Still, in the minds of many Arabs and Muslims, liberal democracy remains synonymous with Western political hegemony and domination. Democracy tends to be seen as a manipulative tool wielded by Western powers to intervene in Arab/Muslim internal affairs and to divide and conquer. Within the past 10 years, mainstream Islamic voices have worked arduously to redefine liberal democracy in Islamic terms and make it comprehensible and acceptable to Arab and Muslim masses. Simply put, Muslim and Islamic democrats have been trying to Islamize democracy and modernity and strip them of their Western clothing.


All they need do is look at Europe to see that liberal democracy is no panacea. Building on Islamic foundations and towards Islamic ends will give them a far better long term prognosis than that of the already failing secular states.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:56 AM

MUCH TO BE PESSIMISTIC ABOUT:

In Europe, economic pessimism takes hold (James Kanter, APRIL 30, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

The sick man of Europe, Germany, cut its already meager growth forecast for this year and next on Friday, while a slew of equally dire economic news from elsewhere illustrated that pain is being felt across Europe, even in the relatively dynamic services sector and in the better-performing economies, like Britain.

"Pessimism really is the order of the day," said Ken Wattret, an economist at BNP Paribas in London.

In Germany, the economy minister, Wolfgang Clement, cut 2005 growth forecasts to 1 percent from 1.6 percent, while in Italy, Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi cut his country's growth expectations nearly in half, to 1.2 percent.

Meanwhile in France, the unemployment rate rose to 10.2 percent in March - the highest since December 1999 - from 10.1 percent in February.

If they understood demographics they'd not be this sunny.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:53 AM

TAKE YOUR ALLIES WHERE YOU FIND THEM:

Bush finds ally in Hub executive (Michael Kranish and Nina J. Easton, April 30, 2005, Boston Globe)

[Robert C.] Pozen and Bush might seem at first blush to be an odd couple. In 2004, Pozen gave $40,250 to Democrats, including $2,500 to Kerry's presidential bid. His national GOP contributions were $1,000, all of it going to Representative Rob Portman of Ohio, according to campaign finance records. Pozen said he voted for Kerry because ''I'm a Democrat."

But Pozen has a history of working with Republicans, too.

He spent about a year as Governor Romney's director of economic development in 2003. In an interview yesterday, Romney said Pozen spent much of his time working to help close a budget gap, but also played key roles on health and auto insurance overhaul. ''When he came into my administration, the economy was sour, we were trying to get our economic ship right," Romney said. ''He helped lead the economic stimulus plan."

Like others, Romney said Pozen approaches issues analytically, rather than politically. [...]

Pozen, who left Romney's administration to become chairman of MFS Investment Management, first worked with Bush when Pozen served in 2001 on Bush's bipartisan Social Security commission. Blahous, then executive director of the panel, also got to know Pozen at the time.

The panel produced three proposals, including creating private accounts and cutting future benefits, none of which Bush endorsed. But an aide said the president remembered Pozen's service on the commission and was intrigued earlier this year when he heard Pozen was working on a new plan that would ensure that lower-income workers received all currently promised benefits.

For months, Bush aides had said they were studying a change in the way benefits are calculated. Under the current system, annual increases in benefits are based on calculations that show the average yearly increase in wages. Bush aides figured if that calculation, known as a wage index, could be changed to a price index -- a calculation of the average rise in consumer prices, which typically rise more slowly than wages -- then most of the solvency issue might be solved.

Bush has said the government made promises on Social Security that can't be kept under the current system. But many Republicans feared that switching from wage indexing to price indexing would be seen as a huge benefit cut, even though the White House insisted that it simply reduces how fast future benefits will grow and doesn't affect current benefits.

Pozen's plan represents a compromise: It wouldn't change benefits for people who earn an average of $25,000 or less annually, but those earning between $25,000 and $113,000 would get benefits calculated on a sliding scale that blends wage and price indexes. Those who earned more than $113,000 would receive benefits based only on the price index, meaning they would have the biggest cut in future benefits.

Pozen outlined his ideas in various newspapers, including The Globe, earlier this year. His opinion piece in The Wall Street Journal about indexing may have caught the White House's attention.

On March 15, the same day the article appeared, Pozen attended a meeting at the White House with Blahous and other advisers. He spent about an hour explaining his indexing plan in detail. The advisers liked his presentation, setting in motion the events that led to Bush's public embrace of it in the Thursday press conference.

After Pozen described his idea at the White House, other Washington policy analysts quickly took notice.

''People have been talking about wage-price indexing for a while," said Michael Tanner, director of health and welfare studies at the Cato Institute, a libertarian think tank. But Pozen's idea to make the system progressive was a new and important wrinkle. ''A lot of us said, 'Oh, now that's interesting,' " Tanner added.


Listening to Democrats argue against a more progressive retirement security system is more fun than a bag of cats.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:40 AM

IN THEIR BACKYARD:

Big boost to Darfur peace force (BBC, 4/29/05)

The African Union has agreed to more than double the number of its peace monitors in the war-torn Sudanese region of Darfur.

By September, the force should be 7,700-strong, which could be further increased to 12,000, an official said.

There are currently just 2,200 troops, with another 1,000 expected next month, to monitor an area the size of France.


Nice to see Africa growing up, finally.


April 29, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:45 PM

FADE TO RED:

Doyle vetoes voter ID, school voucher bills (Associated Press, 4/29/05)

Gov. Jim Doyle vetoed a plan to require voters to show government-issued photo identification, saying Friday the requirement would disenfranchise poor and elderly voters who lack IDs.

The governor's veto came three days after Republicans hand-delivered the bill to Doyle's office as they urged him to sign a law they said would improve the integrity of Wisconsin elections. [...]

Doyle also vetoed a bill Friday to expand a state program that pays for poor Milwaukee students to attend private schools. The bill would have allowed 1,500 more students in Milwaukee to enroll in the school voucher program.

Republicans who control both the Assembly and the Senate said they would immediately schedule votes to try to override Doyle's veto of the voter ID bill, but they did not appear to have enough votes to succeed. The bill passed 21-12 in the Senate and 64-33 in the Assembly, just short in each chamber for the two-thirds necessary.


WI is a state to keep an eye on for a GOP gubernatorial pick-up in '06.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:38 PM

UP OR DOWN AND MOVE ON:

Break the Filibuster: Democrats are looking to the Constitution to preserve the judicial filibuster; the Constitution isn't on their side. (William Kristol, 05/09/2005, Weekly Standard)

As David A. Crockett of Trinity University in San Antonio has explained, the legislative filibuster makes perfect sense. Article 1 of the Constitution gives each house of Congress the power to determine its own rules. Senate Rule XXII establishes the necessity of 60 votes to close off debate. With this rule, the Senate has chosen to allow 40-plus percent of its members to block legislative action, out of respect for the view that delaying, even preventing, hasty action, or action that has only the support of a narrow majority, can be a good thing. As Crockett puts it, "Congress is the active agent in lawmaking, and if it wants to make that process more difficult, it can." One might add that legislative filibusters can often be overcome by offering the minority compromises--revising the underlying legislation with amendments and the like.

There is no rationale for a filibuster, however, when the Senate is acting under Article 2 in advising and consenting to presidential nominations. As Crockett points out, here the president is "the originator and prime mover. If he wants to make the process more burdensome, perhaps through lengthy interviews or extraordinary background checks, he can." The Senate's role is to accept or reject the president's nominees, just as the president has a responsibility to accept or reject a bill approved by both houses of Congress. There he does not have the option of delay. Nor should Congress have the option of delay in what is fundamentally an executive function of filling the nonelected positions in the federal government. In other words--to quote Crockett once more--"it is inappropriate for the Senate to employ a delaying tactic normally used in internal business--the construction of legislation--in a nonlegislative procedure that originates in a coequal branch of government."

This is why the filibuster has historically not been used on nominations. This is the constitutional logic underlying 200-plus years of American political practice. This is why as recently as 14 years ago the possibility of filibustering Clarence Thomas, for example, was not entertained even by a hostile Democratic Senate that was able to muster 48 votes against him. The American people seem to grasp this logic. In one recent poll, 82 percent said the president's nominees deserve an up or down vote on the Senate floor.

They are right. History and the Constitution are on their side, and on majority leader Bill Frist's side.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:49 PM

ALL IN THE QUESTION:

Poll: 57% of Americans want Senate rules changed (WorldNetDaily.com, April 29, 2005)

As the battle continues in Washington over President Bush's selections for federal judges, a new poll indicates 57 percent of Americans want Senate rules to be changed so a vote must be taken on every person the president nominates to become a judge.

One nice thing about the rise of a conservative counter-media is we can cook our own polls now too.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:25 PM

FREENESS TRUMPS FAIRNESS:

Rush to Victory: Why is Harry Reid acting like David Koresh? Because conservatives are winning. (DANIEL HENNINGER, April 29, 2005, Opinion Journal)

In 1987, Rush Limbaugh sat down at a microphone at radio station KFBK-AM in Sacramento and began broadcasting something called "The Rush Limbaugh Show."

The rest is history.

The "rest"--the inexorable 15-year rise of conservative ideas and clout across what Howard Stern calls "all media"--is described in a provocative new book by Brian C. Anderson, "South Park Conservatives." What was once a mostly exclusive liberal country club--television, the press, book publishing, even the campuses--has become heavily integrated with aggressive, even crude, conservatives.

As described by Mr. Anderson, a writer with the Manhattan Institute, conservatives established their first beachhead in the early 1990s with talk radio. Then Fox conquered cable news and finally a virtual Mongol horde of conservative-to-libertarian bloggers swept across the Internet. In the 2004 election, these electric horsemen (apologies to Jane Fonda) pulled down Dan Rather and haunted John Kerry's war hero with Swift-boat ghosts. [...]

Contrary to myth, Roger Ailes didn't do this. Ronald Reagan did. Ronald Reagan may not make it to Mount Rushmore for winning the Cold War. But he secured his place in the conservative pantheon for tearing down another wall: the Fairness Doctrine.


The whole book is excellent, but this portion revelatory.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:18 PM

WHERE THE WAR WAS LOST:

Opting for Truth Over 'Triumph' (Anne Applebaum, April 27, 2005, Washington Post)

Try, if you can, to picture the scene. A vast crowd in Red Square: Lenin's tomb and Stalin's memorial in the background. Soldiers march in goose step behind rolling tanks, and the air echoes with martial music, occasionally drowned out by the whine of fighter jets. On the reviewing stand, statesmen are gathered: Kim Jong Il, the dictator of North Korea, Alexander Lukashenko, the dictator of Belarus, Gen. Wojciech Jaruzelski, the former dictator of Poland -- and President George W. Bush.

That description may sound fanciful or improbable. It is neither. On the contrary, that is more or less what will appear on your television screen May 9, when the 60th anniversary of the end of World War II is celebrated in Moscow. I have exaggerated only one detail: Although Kim Jong Il has been invited, his attendance has not yet been confirmed. But Jaruzelski is definitely coming, as are Lukashenko, Bush and several dozen other heads of state. President Vladimir Putin of Russia will preside.

Not every European country will be represented, however, because not everybody feels quite the same way about this particular date. In the Baltic states, for example, May 1945 marked the end of the war but also the beginning of nearly a half-century of Soviet occupation, during which one in 10 Balts were murdered or deported to concentration camps and exile villages. The thought of applauding the same Red Army veterans who helped "pacify" their countries after 1945 was too much for the Estonian and Lithuanian presidents, who have refused to attend. Although the Latvian president will attend the Moscow festivities, she's had to declare that she will use her trip to talk about the Soviet occupation. The president of Poland also has spent much of the past month justifying his decision to celebrate this particular anniversary in Moscow. By May 1945, after all, the leaders of what had been the Polish anti-Nazi resistance were already imprisoned in the Lubyanka, the KGB's most notorious Moscow prison.


Part of the Left's pathological hatred of the Poles derives from the prick they represent to conscience and the reminder that WWII was lost.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:12 PM

HANG-GLIDING AIN'T FOR FOR GRANNIES

Ottawa prof dies during Everest ascent (Toronto Star, April 29th, 2005)

An Ottawa university professor who studied mental and physical training for mountain climbers died today after an apparent heart attack on the slopes of Mount Everest, a member of the Canadian expedition team said.

Dr. Sean Egan, 63, was leading his third expedition to the world's highest mountain in Nepal, which would have made him the oldest Canadian to accomplish the feat had he succeeded. [...]

Egan, a professor of human kinetics at the University of Ottawa since 1977, had been preparing for his first actual summit attack. He held a doctorate in sports psychology and his research interests included mental and physical training for mountain climbers, according to the University of Ottawa website.

"Reaching the summit for me is a personal goal," Egan said in an interview with the CBC before the expedition.

"I've been into fitness, health and wellness for many years ...I believe teaching is one thing, but practice is the main thing. And I feel like I'm a model for the general population and the old folks anyway."

What a waste, and what a tragedy that so few both modern young and elderly can recognize it. Even if he had no family, did he ever pause to think of how many kids in the throes of reckless, confused youth he might have guided and mentored if only he had acted his age?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:07 PM

BUBBLICIOUS (via AWW):

Dow Ends Up 122 Points As Oil Prices Skid (Michael J. Martinez, 4/29/05, AP)

Wall Street ended a volatile week with a big advance Friday as oil prices tumbled below $50 per barrel and jittery investors took solace in a pair of economic reports that eased their inflation concerns. The Dow Jones industrial average gained 122 points for the session, but the major indexes finished the week mixed.

A late selloff in crude futures helped Wall Street solidify its gains in an otherwise uncertain session. A barrel of light crude settled at $49.72, down $2.05, on the New York Mercantile Exchange, its lowest level since Feb. 18. Oil prices began the week above $55 per barrel.

The buying was further buoyed by economic data that showed prices and labor costs remained in check. The Commerce Department reported a 0.5 percent increase in income and a 0.6 percent hike in spending for March, and the Labor Department said labor costs for businesses were falling. Both are key inflation readings which bode well for interest rates and the economy.


Well, those folks watched long enough for a woodpecker and finally found one. Keep an eye out for a few decades and you'll see inflation again.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:00 PM

THE STUBBORN PERSISTENCE OF SPECIES:

Call it zonkey or a deebra? (The Associated Press, April 29, 2005)

It's male. But what is it? A zonkey? A deebra? That's the debate in Barbados since a zebra gave birth to a foal sired by a donkey.

Alex was born April 21, a milk-chocolate brown creature with the black stripes of a zebra on his ears and legs. His face looks more like a horse, with a distinctive black "V" patch on the forehead.

"It's really funny and a little bit freaky," said Natalie Harvey, a 29-year-old waitress. "I was stunned to hear about such a weird thing happening here."

While zebra hybrids are not uncommon, most Barbadians have never seen anything like Alex.


Call it further disproof.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:22 PM

MIRACLE? IT'D TAKE THE GREAT DEPRESSION:

'Miracle' needed to win back Senate (Charles Hurt, 4/29/05, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid raised a few eyebrows yesterday on the Senate floor when he said it would take a "miracle" for Democrats to win enough races next year to take back the Senate.

"I would like to think a miracle would happen and we would pick up five seats this time," he said during a floor debate over the filibusters of President Bush's judicial nominees. "I guess miracles never cease."

Republicans were delighted by what they called an "admission" from the highest-ranking elected Democrat in the country.

If only the country were a mess they'd have a shot.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 5:17 PM

CAN ANYONE LOAN US A BIBLE FOR A COUPLE OF YEARS?

Same-sex blessings halted (Toronto Star, April 29th, 2005)

Canada's Anglican bishops have passed unanimously a resolution to put a two-year moratorium on future church blessings of same-sex relationships.

The decision, reached after three days of debate at a closed-door conference session, will halt the ritual for two years to give church leaders time to study how it relates to the official doctrine of the faith, Archbishop Andrew Hutchison said.



Posted by Peter Burnet at 3:10 PM

THE STEADY MARCH FROM IGNORANCE TO ENLIGHTENMENT


How ice cream tickles your brain
(David Adam, The Guardian, April 29th, 2005)

Eating ice cream really does make you happy. Scientists have found that a spoonful of the cold stuff lights up the same pleasure centre in the brain as winning money or listening to your favourite music.

Neuroscientists at the Institute of Psychiatry in London scanned the brains of people eating vanilla ice cream. They found an immediate effect on parts of the brain known to activate when people enjoy themselves; these include the orbitofrontal cortex, the "processing" area at the front of the brain.

The research was carried out by Unilever, using ice cream made by Walls, which it owns. Don Darling of Unilever said: "This is the first time that we've been able to show that ice cream makes you happy. Just one spoonful lights up the happy zones of the brain in clinical trials."

We assume this means liver and broccoli light up the same brain centers as an IRS audit.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:29 PM

ONLY YOGI CAN HANDLE THIS ONE...:

Study: Housing price-salary gap widens (SIOBHAN McDONOUGH, 4/29/05, Associated Press)

The American dream of having a job and owning a tidy home is becoming a fantasy for more people.

Housing prices are outstripping wage increases in many areas, meaning more people are either spending above their means or living in dilapidated conditions, according to a pair of studies being released today by the Center for Housing Policy, a coalition pushing for more affordable housing.


Minority homeownership hits new high (Andrea Coombes, April 26, 2005, MarketWatch)
A greater portion of minority Americans own homes now than ever before, but their homeownership rate still lags far behind whites, according to data released by the U.S. Census Bureau this week.

No one buys a home anymore, they're all taken.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:48 PM

GIVE US THE CHILD... (via AWW):

Lexington school calls cops on dad irate over gay book (Laura Crimaldi, April 28, 2005, Boston Herald)

Police arrested a Lexington father who refused to leave the Joseph Estabrook School yesterday after school officials rejected his demands that his 6-year-old son be shielded from any discussions about gay households.

David Parker, 42, confronted officials after his son brought home ``Who's in a Family,'' a storybook that includes characters who are gay parents.

Yesterday, Parker refused to leave a meeting after Lexington Superintendent Bill Hurley rejected his demand that he be notified when his son is exposed to any discussion about same-sex households as part of classroom instruction.

``Our parental requests for our own child were flat-out denied,'' Parker said in a statement.


It's not a culture war though.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:29 AM

FASTER & LONGER:

Rare treat: Duel of 300-game winners (Paul Sullivan, April 29, 2005, Chicago Tribune)

Of the thousands of pitchers who have appeared in a major-league game, only 22 have achieved the grand milestone of 300 victories.

Two of those immortals will go head to head Friday night in Houston when Greg Maddux is to face Houston's Roger Clemens in the first meeting of 300-game winners in the National League in 113 years.

They seem to be the yin and yang of pitchers, with Clemens (329 victories) relying on his power arm and Maddux (305) on his control and guile. But, as Maddux insists, they are cut from the same cloth.

"I think we do everything exactly the same," Maddux said. "He just does it at faster speeds. You look at me like I'm crazy, but I'm telling you the truth.

"He does it just a little bit better and a little bit longer."

There were four matchups of 300-game winners in the American League from June 28, 1986, to Aug. 4, 1987, all involving California's Don Sutton, who had two starts against Phil Niekro and one apiece against Tom Seaver and Steve Carlton.

The last time two NL pitchers with 300 or more victories faced each other was Philadelphia's Tim O'Keefe against St. Louis' Jim "Pud" Galvin on July 21, 1892.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:46 AM

NO NEW VISION REQUIRED:

Why does New Labour stand for nothing?: Blair-bashers ignore New Labour's roots in both its party, and its times. (Josie Appleton, 4/29/05, Spiked)

The features of New Labour so harped upon by critics - its arrogance, superficiality, and managerialism - can all be derived from the fact that it grew in a political vacuum. These weren't traits that the party intentionally sought; indeed, the founders of New Labour went to great lengths to find a substantial, defining concept to keep it together and command people's allegiance.

In search of the 'vision thing'

New Labour looked long and hard for a defining vision. But its problem was that it was little more than a collection of talented and motivated individuals, not a movement with deep roots in society. As such, it drifted from one idea to another, lacking an anchor or an established course.

Blair's regime came in the wake of the collapse of left and right. As a result, it was principally defined by what it was not - not old left, not Thatcherite right, not the past - rather than what it was. It could say what had failed, but found it more difficult to say what would work instead. The result was a pick-and-mix of policies: when he took over as leader, Blair talked about 'breaking through old left-right barriers', saying in 1995 that 'New Labour is neither old left nor new right. We understand and welcome the new global market. We reject go-it-alone policies on inflation and the macro-economy. We stand for a new partnership between government and industry'.

New Labour ideologue Anthony Giddens argued that the Third Way was about 'reconciling opposites', bringing together concepts such as state and market, equality and diversity, rights and responsibility, which had previously been heralded by different political camps. But the primary reason that New Labour could unite these ideas is that they no longer meant anything in society. Because there was no left proposing state socialism, and no right defending the free market, it was easy to say: okay, let's have both. When political movements aren't demanding their right to protest, there appears to be no contradiction between rights and responsibilities. But the fact is that, once these words are no longer political battle cries, they lack broader resonance.

The ties that bound 'the Project' were personal rather than political. Tony Blair, Alastair Campbell and Philip Gould went on holiday with one another, and thought up policies in each other's houses and French villas. Because they were working in a vacuum, they saw the development of new political ideas as a question of brainstorming. In his account of the period, The Unfinished Revolution, Gould is constantly moaning that 'we still lacked a defining concept'; 'we needed a central compelling argument'. He and fellow New Labourite David Miliband sat up late at night wondering: what could this defining concept be? Where could they find it?

If they clicked their fingers and got into the right mood, perhaps they could just dream up a new politics. The New Labour phrase was Gould's in 1989: 'I suggested a concept to get Labour on its feet again. I called it New Labour.' The phrase 'A new life for Britain' was invented by Campbell, sitting with Gould on a beach in Majorca - Campbell can also take the credit for the 1997 election slogan 'New Labour, New Britain'. It was Tony Blair's idea to make a show out of abolishing Clause Four, to show definitively that the party had changed.

But while the old Clause Four reflected the ambitions of mass movements in society, the new one was entirely the product of Blair's imagination. Gould describes the debates about the form of the new Clause Four: 'Matters came to a head one Sunday afternoon with Tony Blair sitting on his bed, Alastair Campbell, Jonathan Powell and David Miliband perched around the room, while Blair's daughter Kathryn's party going on downstairs.' In the end, they couldn't agree on the answer, except that they didn't like the draft that had been drawn up by the Labour policy team. In the end, Blair wrote it himself.

Brainstorming can't provide a new politics; if words don't represent movements in society, they are only words. New Labour may have made an effort to be serious and inspiring, but it could only come up with fluff. Compare the old and the new versions of Clause Four. The old was: 'To secure for the workers by hand or by brain the full fruits of their industry and the most equitable distribution thereof that may be possible upon the basis of the common ownership of the means of production, distribution and exchange, and the best obtainable system of popular administration and control of each industry or service.' While it leaves open the form and means of achieving this 'best obtainable' system, the clause is concrete and concise, and would spark disagreement among political rivals.

By contrast, the new Clause Four is vague and inoffensive, as if you had asked the manager of the local charity shop to list their beliefs. It goes: 'The Labour Party is a democratic socialist party. It believes that by the strength of our common endeavour we achieve more than we achieve alone, so as to create for each of us the means to realise our true potential and for all of us a community in which power, wealth and opportunity are in the hands of the many, not the few. Where the rights we enjoy reflect the duties we owe. And where we live together, freely, in a spirit of solidarity, tolerance and respect.' Most Labour Party members, even MPs, would struggle to remember this.

To mark the tenth anniversary of Blair's first conference speech as leader, when he called for Clause Four to be scrapped, the Fabian Society solicited suggestions for a Clause Four mark three. No doubt partly miffed because the original clause was the work of its old leader, the Fabian Society nonetheless touched a truth in its statement that: 'There is little in the Labour party's statement of values that is seriously objectionable to anyone from the mainstream of British politics. Labour Party members cannot identify enthusiastically with the new Clause because it misses out key elements of what makes politics important to them.'

New Labour's lack of roots led to its strange new language, which tends to resist direct translation. When terms are concocted by an isolated political elite, rather than drawn from common currency, it's no surprise that they are elusive and jargonised. Take the 'progressive consensus', for example, Tony Blair and chancellor Gordon Brown's current description of their project, which seems to be something to do with everybody going forward together.

A number of commentators have noted that Blair's habit of leaving verbs out of sentences makes it unclear exactly who is going to do what to whom. 'Your family better off', 'your child achieving more', 'your community safer', read Labour's 2005 election pledges, as if these things could somehow just occur of their own accord. Vague, feel-good adjectives have multiplied, as have terms for efficient-sounding procedures. In the current Labour manifesto there is a promise to 'make the contract of rights and responsibilities an enduring foundation of community life', to 'strengthen clinical governance in the NHS', and to 'build new ladders of social mobility and advancement on the firm foundations of stability, investment and growth'.

When New Labour tries to put the rhetoric into practice, it crashes against the hard rocks of reality. The Millennium Dome was supposed to be a 'spiritual beacon', an 'opportunity for renewal' - in Blair's words, 'Britain's opportunity to greet the world with a celebration so bold, so beautiful, so inspiring…'. But it's one thing to say you want to give Britain a new sense of purpose, another thing entirely to display that purpose before the nation. Mandelson trotted off around the world looking for ideas, even meeting Mickey Mouse in Disneyland. But somehow that elusive vision just couldn't be found.

Mangerialism

The only New Labour ideas with solid content weren't political at all. Instead, they were about managerialism, and the reduction of politics to the day-to-day grind of administering society. 'Modernisation', 'social inclusion', 'community' - all of these key New Labour ideas are basically about keeping society ticking over and holding alienated individuals together. New Labour thinkers defined the point of politics in prosaic terms. In his 1996 book The Blair Revolution, Peter Mandelson said that Blair was 'working through a credible strategy for successful government'. In 1997, New Labour adviser Geoff Mulgan said in Life After Politics that politics was 'a way to solve problems and…a means of providing security and a stable sense of belonging'. The pledge cards with which Labour fought the 1997 election promised small, tangible improvements to the running of things.

Anthony Giddens' The Third Way is perhaps one of the most dispiriting documents in existence: it's basically an instruction manual, a series of sociological recommendations for how it would be possible to run society. Giddens weighs up every issue not on its principles but on its contribution to social order. Meritocracy might seem like a good idea, he says, but it 'would create deep inequalities of income, which would threaten social cohesion'. In another section he ponders which type of family structure would be best: the traditional family is long gone, but you wouldn't want too many unconventional families because of the evidence suggesting that these aren't good for children. Better go for the middle ground, a 'democratised family' that is open and negotiable but where both sides have a sense of responsibility.

As Alan Finlayson argues in his perceptive study, Making Sense of New Labour, the Third Way was a 'description of the present society that could also provide an ethic'; 'political thought is subordinated to sociology'. The Third Way reflects the end of the 'politics of redemption' - rather than aiming towards a transformation in society, it merely seeks to 'update' politics to 'a changed world'.

But the point isn't that New Labour suffered from a pathological lack of imagination, or that its leaders had managerial personalities. Instead, the Third Way reflected the general state of political exhaustion at the turn of end of the twentieth century. With the cessation of the battle between left and right, there was no longer any fundamental choice about how society should be organised. Margaret Thatcher's TINA - there is no alternative - became the order of the day. But while for Thatcher TINA embodied the confidence of free-market fundamentalism, TINA quickly came to represent a shoulder-shrugging acceptance that market economy is here to stay - though nobody was very enthusiastic about it.

Political horizons were lowered to tinkering with what exists. Hence this gloomy prediction from Francis Fukuyama's 1992 End of History: 'The end of history will be a very sad time…. [T]he worldwide ideological struggle that called forth daring, courage, imagination, and idealism, will be replaced by economic calculation, the endless solving of technical problems, environmental concerns, and the satisfaction of sophisticated consumer demands. In the post-historical period there will be neither art nor philosophy, just the perpetual caretaking of the museum of human history.' This wasn't just about Blair; it was about the zeitgeist. What New Labour did was turn the temper of the time into a how-to manual for government.


What's most striking here is how similar it all is to the rise and fall of Clintonism and how the same thing could happen to the GOP were a mere technocrat--someone like Rudy Giuliani--to take over the party. What George Bush was able to do--and his successors can easily follow his lead--is to ground the conservative version of the Third Way in the Judeo-Christianity of the culture and the Founding, tapping into the vision that runs deep in the culture--the Biblical vision of a people who have liberty but are obligated to use that liberty to improve society and the lives of their neighbors and to live morally.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:20 AM

THE SENSIBLE DESIRE NOT TO BE NEXT:

Official Pariah Sudan Valuable to America's War on Terrorism: Despite once harboring Bin Laden, Khartoum regime has supplied key intelligence, officials say. (Ken Silverstein, April 29, 2005, LA Times)

The Bush administration has forged a close intelligence partnership with the Islamic regime that once welcomed Osama bin Laden here, even though Sudan continues to come under harsh U.S. and international criticism for human rights violations.

The Sudanese government, an unlikely ally in the U.S. fight against terror, remains on the most recent U.S. list of state sponsors of terrorism. At the same time, however, it has been providing access to terrorism suspects and sharing intelligence data with the United States.

Last week, the CIA sent an executive jet here to ferry the chief of Sudan's intelligence agency to Washington for secret meetings sealing Khartoum's sensitive and previously veiled partnership with the administration, U.S. government officials confirmed.

A decade ago Bin Laden and his fledgling Al Qaeda network were based in Khartoum. After they left for Afghanistan, the regime of Sudanese strongman Lt. Gen. Omar Hassan Ahmed Bashir retained ties with other groups the U.S. accuses of terrorism.

As recently as September, then-Secretary of State Colin L. Powell accused Sudan of committing genocide in putting down an armed rebellion in the western province of Darfur. And the administration warned that the African country's conduct posed "an extraordinary threat to the national security" of the United States.

Behind the scenes, however, Sudan was emerging as a surprisingly valuable ally of the CIA.

The warming relationship has produced significant results, according to interviews with American and Sudanese intelligence and government officials. They disclosed, for example, that:

• Sudan's Mukhabarat, its version of the CIA, has detained Al Qaeda suspects for interrogation by U.S. agents.

• The Sudanese intelligence agency has seized and turned over to the FBI evidence recovered in raids on suspected terrorists' homes, including fake passports.

• Sudan has expelled extremists, putting them into the hands of Arab intelligence agencies working closely with the CIA.

• The regime is credited with foiling attacks against American targets by, among other things, detaining foreign militants moving through Sudan on their way to join forces with Iraqi insurgents.

Sudan has "given us specific information that is … important, functional and current," said a senior State Department official who agreed to discuss intelligence matters on condition of anonymity. The official acknowledged that the Mukhabarat could become a "top tier" partner of the CIA.


The regime also cut the deal we demanded for the Christian/animist South. The only remaining stumbling block is protecting the black Muslims in Darfur, not a group with much of a constituency in the West.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:51 AM

ALL COMEDY IS CONSERVATIVE:

John Kerry: The first 100 days (David Martin, April 29, 2005, Boston Globe)

Jan. 20 Watch TV as Bush sworn in again. Throw J. Crew socks and Godiva chocolate wrappers at set every time he says ''freedom" or ''democracy." Phone rings, but I don't answer. Call display shows it's Al Gore probably wanting to commiserate again. No way I'm joining that loser in Loserville.

Jan. 26 Channel all energies into tracking down members of Swift Boat Veterans for Truth. Phone remaining loyal crew members to engage their services in search and destroy mission. Despite generous offer, none is ''reporting for duty." Regrettably, mission is terminated with extreme prejudice.

Jan. 31 Teresa issues ultimatum: Either I stop moping around the house in bathrobe all day or she'll cut off my weekly allowance. Her words hit me like a cold splash of water. Stop watching C-Span in hopes of finding ongoing election recounts. Briefly leave house to avoid Teresa's incessant swearing in Portuguese.

Feb. 2 Groundhog Day. If I see my own shadow, there'll be six more years of Republican rule. If I don't, there'll be eight. Back to bed. What's the point?

Feb. 9 Concerned about Bush's reform proposal, visit local Social Security office and inquire about filing early application for benefits. Informed that qualifying age is 67 and reminded that I am still employed by US Senate. Vow to attend at least one sitting in current session.


The schadenfreudic element of comedy makes it antithetical to modern PC liberalism.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:37 AM

BUSY DYING OFF:

To French workers, minutes add up (Thomas Fuller, APRIL 29, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

One minute and 52 seconds is the time it might take an employee to remove his coat and begin booting up his computer, or maybe to dart off for a trip to the water cooler. In France this year, it is the additional time that staff at the national railroad company were asked to work each day as their contribution to a "solidarity fund" for the handicapped and elderly.

The rail workers' response: not unless we get paid for it.

"One minute and 52 seconds doesn't seem like much but it still adds up to 7 or 8 hours a year that would not be paid," said Grégory Roux, secretary of the railroad workers division of the CGT, one of France's largest unions.

The rail workers are not alone. Many are protesting the government's decision to turn a national holiday into a working day, worsening the atmosphere here at a time when President Jacques Chirac is desperately seeking a way to turn around public opinion before the French referendum on the European Union constitution.

The dispute over the solidarity fund is perhaps the best illustration today of the sour mood gripping the country. There is mistrust between bosses and workers, disenchantment with the government and overwhelming hostility toward reform.

No one wants to budge from his position, and everyone, it seems, is complaining.

French jobless rate on the rise (BBC, 4/29/05)
French unemployment has risen to its highest level in five years, increasing concerns about the strength of France's economic growth.

The jobless rate in March, as measured according to the International Labour Organisation (ILO) method, rose by 0.1% from February to 10.2%.


It does all add up, huh?


Posted by David Cohen at 8:34 AM

THE GERMANS HAVE OUTLAWED MIRACLES

'Miracle' needed to win back Senate (Charles Hurt, The Washington Times, 4/29/05)

Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid raised a few eyebrows yesterday on the Senate floor when he said it would take a "miracle" for Democrats to win enough races next year to take back the Senate.

"I would like to think a miracle would happen and we would pick up five seats this time," he said during a floor debate over the filibusters of President Bush's judicial nominees. "I guess miracles never cease."

Here we have the Washington gaffe in its purest form. Senator Reid said what everyone knows to be true but no one would admit.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:56 AM

JUST ANOTHER AMERICAN FAMILY:

YABU FITS LIKE A GLOVE: A's reliever blends in with crowd in Bay Area, clubhouse (Susan Slusser, April 29, 2005, SF Chronicle)

In Japan, Keiichi Yabu cannot make a simple trip to the supermarket. He's swamped.

"People follow you to see what you're buying,'' the A's reliever said. "There's very little privacy.''

So he loves his new home in San Mateo, where, Yabu said, he can walk to the park with his wife and three children, "and we're just another Asian family. It's nice. I can relax.''

The first native of Japan to play for the A's, Yabu, 36, has done a terrific job of blending in with his teammates after 11 years of playing with Hanshin of Japan's Central League. After a difficult spring, he's performed pretty well this April, with a 0.96 ERA, and he gained immediate acceptance with his enthusiasm and his wicked sense of humor.

"Yabu's the funniest guy here, which is amazing considering he doesn't speak that much English,'' A's bullpen coach Bob Geren said. "He makes me laugh every day, he's hilarious, but I don't think it's stuff I can repeat.''

Yabu's English is coming along so well that he often bypasses translator Andy Painter when he answers questions from American reporters.

"Pretty soon, I'll be totally unnecessary,'' Painter said with a laugh.

Painter, who is from San Mateo and now lives in Burlingame, is as much a fixture in the clubhouse as Yabu, and just as popular. He has jumped into the job with so much gusto that he warms up coaches before they throw batting practice and he shags flyballs, even diving on occasion. It's quite a sight, the graying 43-year-old anthropology professor (undergraduate degree from UC Santa Cruz; Ph.D. from Michigan) grinning from ear-to-ear as he bounces around the field.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:43 AM

FLICKING THE RAIL:

Bush Cites Plan That Would Cut Social Security Benefits (RICHARD W. STEVENSON and ELISABETH BUMILLER, 4/29/05, NY Times)

President Bush called Thursday night for cutting Social Security benefits for future retirees to put the system on sound financial footing, and he proposed doing so in a way that would demand the most sacrifice from higher-income people while insulating low-income workers.

So much for no one being willing to confront the fact that cuts will be part of any deal.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:41 AM

COME, LET US REASON TOGETHER:

Bush would trim benefits of well-to-do: Stands by his Social Security plan with talk in prime time (Michael Kranish and Susan Milligan, April 29, 2005, Boston Globe)

President Bush, in a prime-time effort to reverse the perception that his Social Security plan is faltering, last night proposed cutting currently promised future Social Security benefits for higher-earning workers, modeling the idea on a plan put forward by a Boston investment company executive.

But Bush did not back away from his proposal for private accounts, saying it must be part of any deal. Trying to reassure people concerned about a stock market slide, he said he would allow investment in government bonds as well as stock mutual funds. Democrats have said requiring private accounts would kill chances of their support for a Social Security deal.

''I propose a Social Security system in the future where benefits for low-income workers will grow faster than benefits for people who are better off," Bush said in a nationally televised press conference. ''By providing more generous benefits for low-income retirees, we'll make this commitment: If you work hard and pay into Social Security your entire life, you will not retire into poverty. This reform would solve most of the funding challenges facing Social Security."

Bush did not provide details of his proposal for changing the benefit formula, but the White House released a statement last night saying the idea would be ''similar" to a plan put forward by Robert Pozen, chairman of MFS Investment Management of Massachusetts. Pozen said his plan calls for leaving now-promised benefits intact for those who earned an average of $25,000 annually during their working career, with the increase in benefits ''slowed down" on a sliding scale for those who earned more. Under the Pozen plan, the deepest cuts in future benefits would affect those who earned an average of more than $113,000.

In a telephone interview last night, Pozen said, ''it's ''very satisfying to have the president of the United States say that he is endorsing the plan." But Pozen said he was concerned that Bush's insistence on including his concept of private accounts in the plan might prevent Democrats -- and some Republicans -- from endorsing it.


The President needed to seem flexible, but he can't give in on private accounts until Democrats come to the table, at which point he accepts add-ons in exchange for means-testing and achieves his ends.


MORE:
Press Conference of the President (George W. Bush, 4/28/05, The East Room)

THE PRESIDENT: Good evening. Tonight I will discuss two vital priorities for the American people, and then I'd be glad to answer some of your questions.

Millions of American families and small businesses are hurting because of higher gasoline prices. My administration is doing everything we can to make gasoline more affordable. In the near-term, we will continue to encourage oil producing nations to maximize their production. Here at home, we'll protect consumers. There will be no price gouging at gas pumps in America.

We must address the root causes that are driving up gas prices. Over the past decade, America's energy consumption has been growing about 40 times faster than our energy production. That means we're relying more on energy produced abroad. To reduce our dependence on foreign sources of energy, we must take four key steps. First, we must better use technology to become better conservers of energy. Secondly, we must find innovative and environmentally sensitive ways to make the most of our existing energy resources, including oil, natural gas, coal and safe, clean nuclear power.

Third, we must develop promising new sources of energy, such as hydrogen, ethanol or biodiesel. Fourth, we must help growing energy consumers overseas, like China and India, apply new technologies to use energy more efficiently, and reduce global demand of fossil fuels. I applaud the House for passing a good energy bill. Now the Senate needs to act on this urgent priority. American consumers have waited long enough. To help reduce our dependence on foreign sources of energy, Congress needs to get an energy bill to my desk by this summer so I can sign it into law.

Congress also needs to address the challenges facing Social Security. I've traveled the country to talk with the American people. They understand that Social Security is headed for serious financial trouble, and they expect their leaders in Washington to address the problem.

Social Security worked fine during the last century, but the math has changed. A generation of baby boomers is getting ready to retire. I happen to be one of them. Today there are about 40 million retirees receiving benefits; by the time all the baby boomers have retired, there will be more than 72 million retirees drawing Social Security benefits. Baby boomers will be living longer and collecting benefits over long retirements than previous generations. And Congress has ensured that their benefits will rise faster than the rate of inflation.

In other words, there's a lot of us getting ready to retire who will be living longer and receiving greater benefits than the previous generation. And to compound the problem, there are fewer people paying into the system. In 1950, there were 16 workers for every beneficiary; today there are 3.3 workers for every beneficiary; soon there will be two workers for every beneficiary.

These changes have put Social Security on the path to bankruptcy. When the baby boomers start retiring in three years, Social Security will start heading toward the red. In 2017, the system will start paying out more in benefits than it collects in payroll taxes. Every year after that the shortfall will get worse, and by 2041, Social Security will be bankrupt.

Franklin Roosevelt did a wonderful thing when he created Social Security. The system has meant a lot for a lot of people. Social Security has provided a safety net that has provided dignity and peace of mind for millions of Americans in their retirement. Yet there's a hole in the safety net because Congresses have made promises it cannot keep for a younger generation.

As we fix Social Security, some things won't change: Seniors and people with disabilities will get their checks; all Americans born before 1950 will receive the full benefits.

Our duty to save Social Security begins with making the system permanently solvent, but our duty does not end there. We also have a responsibility to improve Social Security, by directing extra help to those most in need and by making it a better deal for younger workers. Now, as Congress begins work on legislation, we must be guided by three goals. First, millions of Americans depend on Social Security checks as a primary source of retirement income, so we must keep this promise to future retirees, as well. As a matter of fairness, I propose that future generations receive benefits equal to or greater than the benefits today's seniors get.

Secondly, I believe a reform system should protect those who depend on Social Security the most. So I propose a Social Security system in the future where benefits for low-income workers will grow faster than benefits for people who are better off. By providing more generous benefits for low-income retirees, we'll make this commitment: If you work hard and pay into Social Security your entire life, you will not retire into poverty. This reform would solve most of the funding challenges facing Social Security. A variety of options are available to solve the rest of the problem, and I will work with Congress on any good-faith proposal that does not raise the payroll tax rate or harm our economy. I know we can find a solution to the financial problems of Social Security that is sensible, permanent, and fair.

Third, any reform of Social Security must replace the empty promises being made to younger workers with real assets, real money. I believe the best way to achieve this goal is to give younger workers the option, the opportunity if they so choose, of putting a portion of their payroll taxes into a voluntary personal retirement account. Because this money is saved and invested, younger workers would have the opportunity to receive a higher rate of return on their money than the current Social Security system can provide.

The money from a voluntary personal retirement account would supplement the check one receives from Social Security. In a reformed Social Security system, voluntary personal retirement accounts would offer workers a number of investment options that are simple and easy to understand. I know some Americans have reservations about investing in the stock market, so I propose that one investment option consist entirely of Treasury bonds, which are backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government.

Options like this will make voluntary personal retirement accounts a safer investment that will allow an American to build a nest egg that he or she can pass on to whomever he or she chooses. Americans who would choose not to save in a personal account would still be able to count on a Social Security check equal to or higher than the benefits of today's seniors.

In the coming days and weeks, I will work with both the House and the Senate as they take the next steps in the legislative process. I'm willing to listen to any good idea from either party.

Too often, the temptation in Washington is to look at a major issue only in terms of whether it gives one political party an advantage over the other. Social Security is too important for "politics as usual." We have a shared responsibility to fix Social Security and make the system better; to keep seniors out of poverty and expand ownership for people of every background. And when we do, Republicans and Democrats will be able to stand together and take credit for doing what is right for our children and our grandchildren.

And now I'll be glad to answer some questions, starting with Terry Hunt


Bush Recasts Message on Social Security: He favors a means-based approach to benefits, though he does not offer specifics. It appears to be an effort to gain backing from Senate moderates. (Doyle McManus, April 29, 2005, LA Times)
President Bush, seeking support from Democrats and moderate Republicans for an overhaul of Social Security, said Thursday that he favored changing the pension system so that benefits for low-income workers would grow faster than those for wealthy retirees.

Bush, speaking at a nationally televised news conference, said such a change "would solve most of the funding challenges facing Social Security." He cited a proposal by a Democratic policy expert to reduce the rate of growth in benefits for wealthy workers but did not explicitly endorse the plan, saying it was up to Congress to work out the details.

With the president's ambitions for restructuring Social Security apparently stalled despite weeks of barnstorming to mobilize public support, his endorsement of what he called means-based benefits appeared designed to inject momentum into the debate. Aides said it was also a response to Senate moderates from both parties who had called on Bush to lay out specific steps to shore up the finances of the system. [...]

He repeated, with vigor, many of the lines from his campaign speeches of the last two months to persuade a skeptical public that the Social Security system was in financial trouble because of the coming wave of baby boom retirees and needed an immediate fix.

But he also threw out several signals of what kind of changes he was willing to negotiate with Congress — in phrases that may have sounded obscure to much of the public.

For example, he proposed that in restructuring the program, future retirees should receive benefits "equal to or greater than the benefits today's seniors get" — a promise that sounded generous but left room for a cutback from what workers now expect their future benefits to be. That's because Social Security benefits are constructed to rise over time, and historically have done so faster than the rate of inflation.

He proposed a pledge to increase benefits for low-income workers enough to keep them above the poverty line, a guarantee not in current law. "If you work hard and pay into Social Security your entire life, you will not retire into poverty," he said.

Aides said those proposals were intended to rebut complaints from Democrats and some Republicans that the president had called for major changes in Social Security but had not laid out specific steps that would improve the pension system's solvency. Instead, Bush has focused on adding individually directed investment accounts to Social Security, even though his aides acknowledged that such accounts would not help with solvency.

In addition, the idea of an antipoverty guarantee for low-income workers has been popular among moderate Republicans in the Senate, whose votes Bush will need to pass any overhaul plan.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:24 AM

PATIENCE, CHILDREN:

A Crucial Window for Iraq: 15 Weeks to Pull Together (JOHN F. BURNS, 4/29/05, NY Times)

It was a moment for which Iraqis had yearned for generations: parliamentary approval of a government with a mandate won at the ballot box. For Shiites, especially, Thursday's vote was a moment in history: for generations, going back to Ottoman imperial rule that ended with World War I, Shiites, accounting for 60 percent of the population, have been a political underclass. Until American troops toppled Saddam Hussein two years ago, political power rested with the Sunni minority, accounting for no more than 15 to 20 percent of the country's 25 million people.

The moment found its expression in the new prime minister, Ibrahim Jaafari, a 58-year-old doctor and a devout Shiite, who fled into exile in 1980 on the day an arrest warrant was issued that would probably have sent him to the gallows. Among many Shiites, that has made him and the party he leads, Dawa, totems of repression under Mr. Hussein, especially of religious groups, that led to scores of mass graves.

But Dr. Jaafari and his cabinet, expected to be sworn in next week, face daunting challenges. One reading of Thursday's events was that they were the start of the hardest passage yet in the American enterprise in Iraq: an eight-month period, up to fresh elections for a full, five-year government in December, in which issues basic to Iraq's future and its prospects of emerging as a stable democracy - at worst, of avoiding a civil war among Shiites, Sunnis and Kurds - can no longer be papered over. That, in effect, is what occurred during the 15 months of American occupation to last June, and under Prime Minister Ayad Allawi's interim government, appointed by the Americans, which will cede to Dr. Jaafari's.

Dr. Allawi, also a Shiite, will retreat to the sidelines and hope for a comeback for his brand of secular politics after Iraqis have had a taste of being ruled, also for the first time, by a government led by men rooted in Shiite religious politics. The new government, with 17 ministries led by Shiites, 8 by Kurds, 6 by Sunni Arabs, and 1 by a Christian, faces a deadline of Aug. 15, to win parliamentary approval for a permanent constitution. That leaves 15 weeks - not much longer than the 12 weeks it took to form the Jaafari government - to settle issues on which Arabs and Kurds, Shiites and Sunnis, religious politicians land secularists have potentially polarizing views.

Principally, these issues include the role of Islam, and whether future Shiite-led governments should be free to adopt Shariah law and other elements of conservative Islam; the division of powers and oil revenues between central and regional governments; and the geographical boundaries - especially the potentially explosive issue of the oil-rich city of Kirkuk, claimed by Sunnis and Kurds alike - to be granted to the proud and wary Kurds.

Overshadowing these issues is the insurgency, and the particular challenges it poses for the Shiites who will dominate the government. The war has been driven by die-hard Hussein loyalists, unreconciled Baathists and Islamic militants, all Sunnis, for whom a Shiite majority government is anathema. Even American officials concede that the accession of the Jaafari government may harden militants' resolve to fight on.


Our love of the dramatic makes us went to see each moment as crucial, but that's not the reality. The history of post-Saddam Iraq is being written a bit more sloppily than we might like, but remains on the track set back in '91.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:03 AM

POISED? (via Tom Morin):

Israel's tech titans are challenging Canadian entrepreneurs as a global force (Aron Heller in Tel Aviv and James Bagnall in Ottawa, April 28, 2005,
The Ottawa Citizen)

It's a common Hebrew expression: "holech al gadol," which translates directly to "going for big." In casual usage, the words describe an ambitious person but they also apply in a larger sense to 21st century Israel. Look just about anywhere in this country -- from the heart of the Negev desert in the south to the R&D heartland of Haifa towards the north -- and you'll see signs of a remarkable economic renaissance anchored by Israel's role as a high-tech proving ground.

The new cross-country super-highway, the massive state-of-the-art passenger terminal at Ben Gurion Airport and the sky-scraping Azrieli towers in downtown Tel Aviv are the most obvious manifestations. But you can see it, too, in the clusters of high-tech startups that radiate outward from Tel Aviv in ever-expanding waves.

The country's high-tech economy should be on its knees by now. It was hit by a double-whammy in 2000 when dot-com stocks crashed at almost precisely the same time as the Palestinians launched their second intifada. Israeli's entrepreneurs struggled to make do with meagre financing against the backdrop of a wave of suicide bombings.

Yet, as Israel and the Palestinians take the first tentative steps towards a possible accord, Israel's tech titans are in remarkably good shape -- so good in fact that Israel is starting to challenge Canada as a tech power, not just in relative terms but dollar for dollar.

Consider that Israeli startups last year for the first time attracted more venture capital than Canadian firms -- $1.4 billion compared with $1.36 billion (all figures U.S. dollars). Evidence of the global ambition of Israeli's entrepreneurs can be seen in the fact that more than 70 Israeli technology firms trade on America's two biggest stock exchanges.

Only Canada has more foreign listings on Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange, but many of these are energy, utilities and railway stocks.

When it comes to technology listings, Israel is the leader.



April 28, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:13 PM

STILL C.E.O.ING:

Bush muscles his agenda with tactical flexibility: From Social Security to Tom DeLay, he's projected steely consistency to beat the 'lame duck' rap. (Linda Feldmann, 4/29/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

The vast array of issues George W. Bush faces have enhanced his image for steadfastness - or stubbornness, depending on one's political prism.

President Bush is sticking by John Bolton, his embattled nominee for UN ambassador. He is actively supporting House Republican leader Tom DeLay, under fire on ethics. He is still touring the country to promote major changes to Social Security that include personal investment accounts, despite growing public skepticism and signals from Congress that personal accounts might not make it. He still supports oil exploration in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge. He hasn't backed down on judicial nominees.

But Bush's carefully crafted image of constancy belies a suppleness he has long employed to his benefit on matters of policy and personnel. He reversed course on creation of the Department of Homeland Security and the 9/11 commission, after initial opposition. He also at first resisted holding elections in Iraq last January, then came around. When his intelligence bill faced trouble in last December's lame-duck Congress, Bush made the necessary concessions to gain passage.

Now, four months into his second term, the president and his team are working hard to protect his ambitious agenda, including aggressive use of the bully pulpit - and nary a public hint of doubt or acknowledgment of error.

"So far, they're sticking to their public persona of steadfastness, because they think that's their best chance to win enough to avoid being pushed into early lame-duckism," says Bruce Buchanan, a political scientist at the University of Texas at Austin. "But behind the scenes, they're calculating carefully where to cave in."


It doesn't really have anything to do with the second term--he happily "caved in" on tax cuts, NCLB, homeland security, intelligence reform, etc. It's just good management and it's been his m.o. all along.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:07 PM

DOUBT FULL:

Crisis of Faith: HOW FUNDAMENTALISM IS SPLITTING THE GOP (Andrew Sullivan, 04.25.05, New Republic)

Rich Lowry of National Review recently argued that it is not: "The secularist view misses that freedom is grounded in truths, in the God-given dignity of man as a rational creature and in our fundamental equality. This is why the pope could say, 'God created us to be free.' If the idea of freedom is detached from these truths, it has no secure ground, because the strong will inevitably attempt to dominate the weak unless checked by moral truths (see slavery or segregation or communism)." Without Christianity, Lowry argues, the rights of the individual will be trampled. [...]

The defense of human freedom offered by conservatives of doubt, on the other hand, is founded on more accessible and less contentious arguments. Such conservatives can point to the Constitution itself as the basis of U.S. political life, and its Enlightenment concept of freedom as sturdy enough without extra-Constitutional theology. (The purpose of the Constitution was to preserve the Declaration of Independence's right to "life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness." The word "virtue" is not included in that phrase. Its omission is the single greatest innovation of the U.S. founding.) They can point to the astonishing success and durability of the U.S. experiment to buttress the notion that the Constitution is a much more stable defense of human equality than that inherent in any religion. The Constitution itself has far wider support among citizens than any theological argument. To put it another way: You don't need an actual religion when you already have a workable civil version in place.


That would be funnier if Mr. Sullivan hadn't at least made a somewhat fruitful effort for a few years to separate his proclivities from his philosophy. He was, for awhile, worth reading even if your world didn't revolve around your anus. But at the point where he has to edit the Creator out of the Declaration to support his specious argument it's sadder than it is funny.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:54 PM

DIE, YOU LITTLE S.O.B.! (David Hill, The Bronx):

Complaint Filed on Behalf of Mother Whose Born-Alive Baby Died at Abortion Clinic (Melanie Hunter, April 28, 2005, CNSNews.com)

A conservative legal group has filed two complaints against a Florida abortion clinic claiming the clinic refused to help a mother whose baby was born alive, despite a law that protects babies "accidentally" born during abortion procedures from being killed or left to die.

The mother, Angele, had gone to the EPOC clinic in Orlando, Fla., to get an abortion. After the first day of the procedure, she was required to return to the clinic the following day for an induced abortion. When her baby was born alive, the woman screamed for help, but the clinic workers refused to help her, according to the Liberty Counsel.

Angele was forced to watch her son Rowan die, and during the incident, no doctors were present at the abortion clinic, the legal group said.

The Health and Human Services recently announced it would take steps to improve compliance with the Born-Alive Infants Protection Act after receiving "testimony that some infants who had been born alive after unsuccessful abortions were left to die."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:21 PM

AND THE ECONOMY WOULDN'T SEEM TO HAVE BEEN TURNED UPSIDE DOWN:

U.S. Pollution Drops (Ryan Pearson, 28 April 2005, Associated Press)

Fewer Americans have had to breathe unhealthy levels of smog or microscopic soot in recent years, but air pollution remained a threat in counties where more than half the nation lives, the American Lung Association said in an annual report Thursday.

Using data from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, the group found that the number of counties in which unhealthy air was recorded fell significantly for the first time in six years, to 390 from 441 in last year's report. The new report covered 2001 to 2003, while the previous one analyzed pollution levels from 2000 to 2002.

The association attributed the dip to cool and wet weather in the years studied, government controls on Eastern coal-fired power plants and improved vehicle emissions standards. Areas of the Southeast accounted for much of the drop in pollution.

But Janice Nolen, the group's director of national policy, emphasized that the counties where problems persist are home to 152 million people, or 52 percent of the U.S. population.

"People's lives are shortened by months to years because of the air they're breathing,'' she said. "The trend has gotten a little bit better in the last few years ... but we're not out of the woods.''


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:04 PM

A HUNDRED HOURS LATER THE COFFEE IN THE SAUCER SHOULD BE COOL ENOUGH:

Frist Offers Deal for Vote on Judges (William Branigin, April 28, 2005, Washington Post)

Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist today offered extended debate on President Bush's top judicial nominees in return for Democratic agreement to stop using filibuster threats to block confirmation votes. But the chamber's Democratic leader immediately raised objections to the proposal, calling it a sop to the far right.

Frist, a Republican from Tennessee, said on the Senate floor that his offer was aimed at ensuring "an up-or-down vote" by the full Senate for Bush's judicial nominees "after fair, open and, some might say, exhaustive debate."

He said the Senate's majority party is prepared to allot up to 100 hours for debate on each nominee to the U.S. Supreme Court or to a federal appeals court, to be followed by a confirmation vote by the full Senate.

"Judicial nominees deserve up-or-down votes," Frist said. Calling his offer "a compromise that holds to constitutional principles," he said, "It's time for judicial obstruction to end, no matter which party controls the White House or the Senate."

Under his proposal, Frist said, the Judiciary Committee "will no longer be used to obstruct judicial nominees."

But he said he guaranteed that the ability of minority senators to block bills through filibusters "will be protected," and he vowed that filibuster rules "will remain unchanged."


That should allow for all the talk and debate that some filibuster supporters are pretending to defend here, right?

MORE:
They'd satisfy the Dean of the Washington press corps anyway, A Judicious Compromise (David S. Broder, April 24, 2005, Washington Post)

It is not too late to avoid a Senate-splitting rules fight over President Bush's embattled judicial nominees and achieve something positive for both the public and the cause of good government, if only Democrats and Republicans can free themselves for a moment from the death grip of the opposing outside interest groups.

Here is what should happen: The Democratic Senate leadership should agree voluntarily to set aside the continued threat of filibustering the seven Bush appointees to the federal appeals courts who were blocked in the last Congress and whose names have been resubmitted. In return, they should get a renewed promise from the president that he will not bypass the Senate by offering any more recess appointments to the bench and a pledge from Republican Senate leaders to consider each such nominee individually, carefully and with a guarantee of extensive debate in coming months


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:10 PM

NOT UNSELECTED AFTER ALL:

Woodpecker Thought to Be Extinct Is Sighted in Arkansas (JAMES GORMAN, 4/28/05, NY Times)

The ivory-billed woodpecker, a magnificent bird that ornithologists had long given up for extinct, has been sighted in the watery tupelo swampland of a wildlife refuge in Arkansas, scientists announced today.

The birders, ornithologists, government agencies and conservation organizations involved had kept the discovery secret for more than a year, while efforts to protect the bird and its territory went into high gear. Their announcement today provoked rejoicing and excitement among birdwatchers, for whom the ivory bill has long been a holy grail: a creature that has been called the Lord God bird, apparently because when people saw it they would be so impressed they would utter an involuntary "Lord God!"

"This great chieftain of the woodpecker tribe," as John James Audubon described the ivory bill - with its 30-inch wingspan, stunning black and white coloration with red on the male's cockade and a long, powerful bill - was once found in hardwood swamps and bottom land through the Southeast. As the forests were logged the numbers of birds decreased, until the ivory bill, the largest American woodpecker, faded from view. The last documented sighting was in Louisiana in 1944.

Though it appeared lost, the ivory bill haunted birders and ornithologists and others, and over the years there were dozens of reports of sightings. But each effort was unmasked as a hoax or wishful thinking - until Feb. 11, 2004.

On that date Gene M. Sparling III, an amateur birdwatcher from Hot Springs, Ark., sighted a large woodpecker with a red crest in the Cache River National Wildlife Refuge, about 60 miles northeast of Little Rock. Tim W. Gallagher at the Cornell Laboratory of Ornithology, author of a new book about the ivory bill, "The Grail Bird," saw Mr. Sparling's report on a Web site, and within two weeks he and Bobby R. Harrison of Oakwood College in Huntsville, Ala., were in a canoe in the refuge, with Mr. Sparling guiding them.


They just don't make extinctions like they used to.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:01 PM

THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN BEING A TEACHER AND A PRIEST:

'ET' Ponies Up for Letourneau Wedding (Zap2it.com, 4/28/05) "Entertainment Tonight" has won the rights to televise the wedding of former schoolteacher Mary Kay Letourneau and her student-turned-fiance, Vili Fualaau. [...]

Letourneau, you'll recall, was a 34-year-old teacher and mother of four when she began having an affair with the then 12-year-old Fualaau, one of her sixth-grade students, about a decade ago. She was convicted of raping the boy and served a 7 1/2-year prison sentence that ended last August.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:52 PM

THE FUTURE NEVER HAPPENS HERE:

Europe’s Present, America’s Future? (George Weigel, April 27, 2005, The Catholic Difference)

What do Konrad Adenauer, Albert the Great, Thomas Aquinas, and the two Augustines (Hippo and Canterbury) have in common? Or Bach, Bacon, Becket, Bede, Benedict, Bernini, Bonhoeffer, and Borromeo? What about Calvin, Caravaggio, Charlemagne, Columbus, Constantine, and Cromwell? Or, to stop this promiscuous alphabetizing, what’s the thread linking Dante, William Wilberforce, Galileo, Dominic, Joan of Arc, de Gasperi, Luther, Rublev, Thomas More, John Wesley, Mozart, and Hieronymus Bosch?

The envelope, please.

And the answers are:

1) They are all Christians who, acting precisely as Christians, had a profound impact for better or worse (and sometimes for both) in making "Europe" what it is today.

2) Their contributions to Europe’s evolution as a continent committed to freedom, human rights, democracy, and the rule of law were willfully omitted from the preamble to the new European constitution, which takes the strange position that Christian culture had no significant impact on the civilizational formation of today’s European Union.

Is Europe "Christophobic?" Neither the formulation nor the suggestion are mine; rather, they come from one of the world’s foremost international legal scholars, J.H.H. Weiler of New York University, a practicing Orthodox Jew. I think Professor Weiler is right, at least in terms of European high culture and European public life. I’d take his claim one step further, though, and suggest that Europe’s present incapacities – including the demographic suicide that is stripping the continent of population at a rate unseen since the Black Death in the 14th century – are related to its Christophobia. And that, in turn, is a by-product of what happened in the most influential intellectual circles in 19th century Europe, when atheistic humanism jettisoned the God of the Bible in the name of human liberation.


The problem is they're clear about what they've been liberated from, but have no idea what the liberation is to.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:15 PM

PRACTICAL IDENTICALITY:

Towards a Catholic-Orthodox Alliance (Robert Moynihan, 4/24/05, Orthodoxy Today)

Interview with Hilarion Alfeyev, Bishop of Vienna and Austria, Representative of the Russian Orthodox Church to the European Institutions, by Robert Moynihan, editor-in-chief of 'Inside the Vatican', on 24 April 2005, the day of enthronement of Pope Benedict XVI.

What are your hopes for the new pontificate?

As a Russian Orthodox bishop, I hope, first of all, that the new pontificate will be marked by a breakthrough in relations between the Roman Catholic and the Russian Orthodox Churches, and that a meeting of the Pope of Rome with the Patriarch of Moscow does take place. This meeting must be preceded by concrete steps in the direction of a better mutual understanding, and by careful elaboration of a common position on major dividing issues.

I hope, next, that there will be a general amelioration in the relations between the Catholic Church and the world Orthodoxy, and that the Joint Catholic-Orthodox Theological Commission resumes its work after a five-year pause, or that a new commission for bilateral dialogue is formed in order to discuss Uniatism, primacy and other theological and ecclesiological questions which still divide our churches.

As far as the Catholic Church as such is concerned, I hope that it will continue to preserve its traditional social and moral teaching without surrendering to pressures from the 'progressive' groups that demand the ordination of women, the approval of the so-called 'same-sex marriages,' abortion, contraception, euthanasia, etc. There is no doubt that Benedict XVI, who has already made his positions on these issues clear, will continue to oppose such groups, which exist both within the Catholic Church and outside it.

I also hope that the Catholic Church will continue to combat liberalism, secularism and relativism both in Europe and outside it. Just two days before becoming Pope Benedict XVI, the then Cardinal Ratzinger addressed his fellow cardinals with a sermon which, according to some journalists, broke like a thunderclap. 'We are moving,' he said, toward 'a dictatorship of relativism. that recognizes nothing definite and leaves only one's own ego and one's own desires as the final measure.' A sermon on the eve of the conclave was meant to be programmatic, and it is clear that the war against relativism which Cardinal Ratzinger declared did not scare the other cardinals: on the contrary, by electing him as Pope they expressed their readiness to join him in this noble, but extremely painful and difficult combat.

In order for this combat to be more inclusive, I have recently suggested that a European Catholic-Orthodox Alliance be formed. This alliance may enable European Catholics and Orthodox to fight together against secularism, liberalism and relativism prevailing in modern Europe, may help them to speak with one voice in addressing secular society, may provide for them an ample space where they will discuss modern issues and come to common positions. The social and ethical teachings of the Catholic and Orthodox Churches are extremely close, in many cases practically identical.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:09 PM

GIVE JOE THE U.N.:

Springtime for Senators: The 2006 Senate races are underway. (John J. Miller, 4/28/05, National Review)

[T]he GOP performed well in 2002, and there's reason to think the outlook for 2006 is anything but bleak. [...]

CONNECTICUT: Democratic senator Joe Lieberman's job-approval rating among Republicans (72 percent) is higher than it is among members of his own party (66 percent), according to a recent Quinnipiac poll. Will the Greens at least put up a candidate?

FLORIDA: Democratic senator Bill Nelson is a big, fat target for Republicans — neither his approval ratings nor his reelect numbers are especially healthy in this more-red-than-blue state — and the GOP's bench is deep. Looking good in very early polling is Rep. Katherine Harris, who became a household name during the 2000 election controversy. One or more of the candidates now running for governor might switch to the Senate race. The name of retired general Tommy Franks is heard as well. [...]

MICHIGAN: As a first-term senator, Democrat Debbie Stabenow should find herself vulnerable to a Republican challenge. But the GOP's top candidates are staying on the sidelines, in the belief that they're better off waiting for 2008, when they assume Democratic senator Carl Levin will head into retirement. Nationally, Republicans would love to see a potential self-funder, such as Domino's executive David Brandon, jump in — not so much because they think he'll win, but because they believe he would free up cash for more competitive contests. Another possible candidate is Jane Abraham, the wife of the senator Stabenow beat in 2000.

MINNESOTA: With former GOP senator Rod Grams announcing that he won't run for the seat of retiring Democrat Mark Dayton, the Republican primary field is now clear for congressman Mark Kennedy. Think about it: Republicans cheering on a Kennedy. This one, of course, isn't related to that one. Surprisingly, Democrats are having trouble finding a top-notch opponent. (Maybe they think there really is a relation.) This is a very good pickup opportunity for the GOP, and it keeps looking better. [...]

MONTANA: This could be a dark-horse race for Democrats. The incumbent, Republican senator Conrad Burns, is less popular than his Democrat counterpart, Sen. Max Baucus. State auditor John Morrison says he'll take on Burns.

NEBRASKA: Democratic senator Ben Nelson breathed a big sigh of relief when President Bush tapped Gov. Mike Johanns — a possible challenger, and a very strong one — to become secretary of agriculture. Republicans once had high hopes here, and they've by no means abandoned the idea of winning, but the odds are looking longer.

NEW JERSEY: The key question here involves Democratic senator Jon Corzine's bid to become governor this year. If he wins, his seat in the Senate will become available. If he loses, Republicans will consider him battered and weakened. Likely Democratic candidates include congressman Rob Andrews and Bob Menendez; on the GOP side, there's state senator Tom Kean Jr.

NEW MEXICO: Democratic senator Jeff Bingaman is a popular incumbent. Among Republicans, congresswoman Heather Wilson possibly could provide an interesting challenge — but this would require her to quit a competitive House district that the GOP might lose. Denny Hastert won't want her to do that. Moreover, she's not the type of candidate who would excite conservatives, which is probably a prerequisite for beating Bingaman in an upset. [...]

NORTH DAKOTA: Democratic senator Kent Conrad will face a tough fight if Gov. John Hoeven, a Republican, decides to challenge him. [...]

PENNSYLVANIA: Republican senator Rick Santorum is the top target for Democrats, and several polls show him trailing state treasurer Bob Casey Jr. One survey from a couple of weeks ago had Casey ahead by 14 points — seemingly too wide a margin to be credible, but certainly not welcome news for the incumbent. This may become the closest and most-watched race in America.

RHODE ISLAND: Wouldn't it be cool if John Bolton could run against Republican senator Lincoln Chafee in a primary? As it turns out, Chafee may face Cranston mayor Stephen Laffey, who hopes to become the Pat Toomey of 2006. Among Democrats, challengers include former attorney general Sheldon Whitehouse (what a name for a politico!) and secretary of state Matt Brown. [...]

VERMONT: The retirement of "independent" senator Jim Jeffords creates an open-seat opportunity for Republicans, but only if newly elected governor Jim Douglas declares. He'll probably decide this summer. Meanwhile, Democrats are rallying behind socialist congressman Bernie Sanders, another "independent" (who has not yet formally announced). Isn't it at least a little bit embarrassing for DNC chair Howard Dean that he can't get an official Democrat to run for the Senate in his home state? [...]

WASHINGTON: Democratic senator Maria Cantwell barely defeated Sen. Slade Gorton in 2000, and her reelection numbers are best described as fair to middling. This is a blue state and she's the incumbent, which makes her the favorite against just about anybody. Republicans are waiting for Dino Rossi to decide whether he wants to run — and Rossi is still waiting for his challenge to last year's gubernatorial race, which he apparently lost by a handful of votes, to make its way through the courts.

WEST VIRGINIA: If Democratic senator Robert Byrd proposed naming West Virginia after himself, it's possible that most of his constituents would say that's just fine with them. The man won't be defeated, even though a recent poll raised some GOP eyebrows: Tested against Rep. Shelly Capito in March, he led by only 10 points.


So the GOP is vulnerable in PA and RI but the Democrats, with a couple more retirements to come, are vulnerable in as many as 10 races?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:51 PM

THIS IS WHAT PASSES FOR A MODERATE DEMOCRAT THESE DAYS?:

Salazar regrets 'Antichrist' barb (M.E. Sprengelmeyer, April 28, 2005, Rocky Mountain News)

Sen. Ken Salazar said Wednesday he regrets referring to Focus on the Family and its founder James Dobson as "the Antichrist" - a term among the worst slurs in Christianity.

How are they ever going to appeal to Evangelicals?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:08 PM

TIME TO PEN ANOTHER JUST-SO STORY:

Exploding toads puzzle German scientists (Associated Press, 4/28/05)

More than 1,000 toads have puffed up and exploded in a Hamburg pond in recent weeks, and German scientists have no explanation for what's causing the combustion.

They have, of course, simply evolved a technique like the one dandelions use, to broadcast their selfish genes as widely as possible. New frogs will soon be growing far and wide.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:06 PM

WHY THE HOOD IS RUNNING SCARED:

Red state?: West Virginia shift (The Charleston Gazette, 4/27/05)

Several times, we have posed this question for political experts: Why did West Virginia — long a Roosevelt-and-Kennedy Democratic “blue state” — become a Republican “red state” in the past two presidential elections, despite 2-to-1 Democratic registration?

Why did this low-income state vote for the party of the rich — a party openly slashing help for common Americans and giving huge rewards to the wealthy?

We never received an explanation from any of the state’s political professors or other societal analysts. But an answer was offered by one of the world’s premier journals, Le Monde of Paris.

In a long report titled “What’s the matter with West Virginia?” the French newspaper said the Mountain State has been pulled to the right by exaggerated patriotism, love of guns, Bible Belt fundamentalism, resentment of liberal intellectuals, and defense of the coal industry against environmentalism.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:20 PM

HOW MUCH HARM COULD 800 MILLION DISGRUNTLED PEASANTS DO?

No well-off farmers, no well-off China (Qiu Xin, 4/;29/05, Asia Times)

"The target of a well-off China will never be achieved unless the rural population lives a well-off life; national modernization will never be completed unless rural areas attain modernization," Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao proclaimed in a press conference after the closing of National People's Congress.

These remarks, delivered March 14, are evidently a rebuttal of president Jiang Zemin's claim, made in his 2002 work report, that the underdeveloped People's Republic of China (PRC) was already "well-off" on the whole. Jiang, who also was the general secretary of Chinese Communist Party (CCP), announced in his address to the 16th plenary session of CCP National Congress three years ago that China had "generally accomplished [its] aim of [creating] a well-off society". At the same time, he conceded that "the well-off society is [at a] low level, [with] partial and unbalanced development". The alleged "achievement" did add a glorious feather to the nation's cap, and naturally, to that of president Jiang. However, the feather did not fit according to the incumbent premier, who has been showing growing concern for the 800 million disadvantaged farmers inhabiting the vast countryside.


Man, to have the pitchfork franchise there...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:16 PM

NOT LIKE A STEPPING RAZOR (David Hill, The Bronx)

Rasta Republican: Meet Los Angeles's Ted Hayes. He's black, dreadlocked--and belongs to the GOP. (JILL STEWART, April 28, 2005, Opinion Journal)

Condoleezza Rice and Ward Connerly once epitomized black Republicans in California. But their ilk now also includes Ted Hayes, a social activist and inner-city coach whose billowing robes and dreadlocks don't exactly conjure up an image of the GOP.

More blacks than ever support vouchers and faith-based initiatives, and side with President Bush on gay marriage. Mr. Hayes recently made the transition himself, ending a long journey for this former leftist who founded Dome Village, an outcropping of pod-like homeless shelters along the freeway in downtown Los Angeles.

There are other prominent black Republicans in California, of course, such as syndicated radio host Larry Elder and community relations expert Joe Hicks. But even among these unusual thinkers, Mr. Hayes stands out. He's an intense critic of L.A.'s powerful "black old guard"--Democratic politicians, charity bosses and inner-city preachers who, for a generation, have responded to poverty and illiteracy by demanding government programs and blaming white racism.

Not surprisingly, plenty of people wish pesky black Republicans like Mr. Hayes would just slink away. He has skewered L.A.'s entrenched black leaders as "Negro officials," and he has the street cred to get away with it. As L.A. endured another crisis between black leaders and cops recently, he refused to denounce police for shooting dead a 13-year-old, Devin Brown, after a car chase. Instead, Mr. Hayes's press release faulted black church leaders who, despite their great power, rarely point to the lack of parental responsibility.

A totemic figure in L.A., Mr. Hayes has long emphasized problem-solving and individual responsibility. If you want to stop kids from shooting people, Mr. Hayes has told appalled black preachers and activists, stop blaming cops and "white folks" for urban tragedy and start blaming the lackadaisical inner-city family culture you support.

Mr. Hayes spent last fall tooling around the fortified neighborhoods of South Los Angeles, knocking on security screens and urging stunned residents to vote Bush. He explained that the Democratic Party was the Klan's party in the 20th century, and the party of the slave trade before that. A lot of people he met didn't know their pre-1960s history. He's ever unflappable. In early December, he appeared on Fox News to vociferously defend the right of Condi Rice to be Republican. His segment was introduced by a bemused Brit Hume, who hardly knew what to make of the Rasta Republican.


The two parties do rather neatly divide on the question of whether one is responsible for one's own behavior or not (on all issues but corporate responsibility).


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:55 AM

THE PLACE IS, AFTER ALL, A SWAMP:

Unleash John Bolton (Maureen Dowd, APRIL 28, 2005, The New York Times)

Why are they picking on poor John Bolton? Everyone knows the man is perfect for the UN job. For one thing, his raging-bull temperament is ideally suited to an organization steeped in global pettifoggers and oil-for-food pilferers.

The uncombed, untethered Bolton is fabulously operatic - the Naomi Campbell of the Bush administration, ready at a moment's notice to beat up on underlings.

Who doesn't want to see Old Yeller chasing the Syrian ambassador down the hall, throwing a stapler at his head and biting at his ankles?

Who doesn't want to see him foaming at the mouth - yes, it will be hard to tell - at the Cuban delegate over Castro's imaginary weapons of mass destruction?

Who doesn't want to see him mau-mauing the Iranian mullahs?

Who doesn't want to see him once more misusing National Security Agency eavesdropping technology, this time to spy on Kofi and son?

Who doesn't want to see him outrage North Korea by calling Kim Jong Il a fat, maniacal munchkin?

Even if his suave statesmanship were not so perfectly suited to high-level diplomacy, Bolton should still get the job.

A ruthless ogre who tried to fire intelligence analysts who disagreed with his attempts to stretch the truth on foreign weapons programs deserves to be rewarded as other Bush officials have been.

To begin with, you'd think someone who tries to be so hip would know that we all like ogres these days, but, more importantly, the things she lists are exactly what Americans want to see at the UN (if forced to see the UN).


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:47 AM

GOOD FOR BUSINESS:

Cleaning Up With 'Socks and Knocks' (Bill Paul, April 21, 2005, Motley Fool)

One of the media's favorite themes is that the Bush administration refuses to clean up the environment because it is in bed with the energy industry.

But in fact, the Bush administration is about to require the electric power industry to spend a whopping $40 billion over 10 years to install equipment that significantly cuts the airborne pollution emitted by coal-fired power plants, perhaps 700 in all, that are a key cause of numerous medical and environmental maladies.

As much as environmentalists are unhappy with this new federal initiative because they don't think it goes far enough in reducing the sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxide, and mercury coming out of coal-fired generators, utilities argue that the rule goes too far.

Assuming that spending on equipment to reduce airborne nasties does occur, it could spell opportunities for investing in the companies receiving all those orders.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:37 AM

THE WESTERN AND EASTERN FRONTS MEET:

Japanese PM due for India talks (BBC, 4/28/05)

Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi is due to arrive in India on a three-day visit to boost trade and ties between the two countries.

Mr Koizumi will hold talks with Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and President APJ Kalam.

The two countries are expected to reiterate support for each other's pursuit for permanent seats on the UN Security Council.

Brazil, Germany, Japan and India have launched a joint bid for the Council.


Not only should Germany not get a seat but France should be booted--China and Russia too.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:35 AM

SHOCKING REVELATION!:

Jackson not model parent says ex (BBC, 4/28/05)


What was her first clue?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:32 AM

PULL THE OTHER ONE:

Crucial warnings Blair kept from MPs (FRASER NELSON AND GERRI PEEV, 4/28/05, The Scotsman)

TONY Blair suffered a devastating blow last night as it emerged that the legal advice he had been given before the Iraq war bore little resemblance to the summary he presented to parliament.

Lord Goldsmith, the attorney-general, warned Mr Blair he could not bypass the United Nations simply because France threatened to veto a move to war. A court "might well conclude" that war was illegal.

Yet there was no hint of this in the summary of the advice shown to the Cabinet and published - exposing Mr Blair to the charge that he misled both parliament and the public.

The revelation could alter the course of the election campaign - marshalling an anti-Blair vote and bolstering his opponents’ case that he lied on the eve of war.


Tories are prime suspects over bombshell revelation (JAMES KIRKUP , 4/28/05, The Scotsman)
THERE was mounting speculation in political and media circles last night that yesterday’s leak had somehow been engineered by the Conservative Party.

At first glance, such an explanation seems unlikely. The attacks on Tony Blair and his government over the legality of the Iraqi invasion have been principally driven by critics on the left of politics, many within the Labour Party itself.

And the Conservatives did, after all, support the war. Even yesterday morning, Michael Howard, the Tory leader, told journalists in Edinburgh that he still backed the conflict. "It was the right thing to do," he said.

And unlike Charles Kennedy of the Liberal Democrats, Mr Howard has taken pains not to suggest in public that he doubts the legality of the decision to go to war.

Yet for all that, Iraq has undoubtedly been central to the Conservatives’ strategy for the closing stages of the general election campaign. Simply, it acted as a sort of universal adaptor for political issues: every issue, every policy area, could be linked back to Mr Blair’s credibility over the decision to invade.

This week’s election posters linking Mr Blair’s "lies" over Iraq to his entire approach to the campaign are the final evolution of that strategy. They had been prepared weeks ago for deployment at this stage, referred to by the senior party workers who knew about them as "the nuclear option".

So what is the evidence linking the Conservatives to the leak? Perhaps the most convincing is the fact that events surrounding those 13 fateful pages show all the signs of being carefully orchestrated by someone with an acute understanding of Britain’s media and political culture, and the deliberate intention to inflict maximum harm on Mr Blair and his bid for re-election.


Boy, Labour has to be desparate over this leak if they're so far over the edge they're accusing the Tories of competence. Not that anyone could believe such a thing...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:29 AM

JUST MEAT:

Hospital 'left dead baby in the basement' (Debbie Andalo and agencies, April 28, 2005, SocietyGuardian.co.uk)

A hospital has launched an investigation and suspended two of its porters following allegations that a dead baby was left in a basement overnight instead of being taken to a mortuary.

The baby is thought to have died at the maternity unit at New Cross hospital in Wolverhampton over the weekend. It is claimed the body was stored in a box rather than sent to a morgue.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:28 AM

(THE NATION FORMERLY KNOWN AS BRITAIN):

Staff take more time off for ill pets than relatives (ANGIE BROWN, 4/28/05, The Scotsman)

BRITISH people are more likely to take time off work to care for their sick pets than their partners or relatives, new research out today claimed.

The study revealed that dog owners took 2.7 million working days off over the past two years to care for poorly animals.

Of the UK’s estimated 5.4 million dog owners, 10 per cent have missed at least five days of work and 5 per cent have taken two weeks. But the same compassion is not applied to sick partners or relatives - the same owners took only 1.08 million days off in the same period to care for them.


They have pets. They don't have families. Europe is becoming ahuman.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:25 AM

(THE NATION FORMERLY KNOWS AS SCOTLAND)

Scotland's population swelled by largest immigration in 50 years (STEPHEN MCGINTY, 4/28/05, The Scotsman)

SCOTLAND’S population increased significantly last year as a result of the largest net rise in immigrants in more than 50 years.

According to new figures published by the General Register Office (GRO) for Scotland, 27,200 more people arrived in Scotland than departed from it between July 2003 and July 2004. This swelled the nation’s population to 5,078,400.

Taking into account births and deaths, the total increase in the Scottish population was about 21,000...


You do the math.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:23 AM

ODDLY ENOUGH, THEY'RE FOUND ONLY IN MA (via Tom Morin):

Same-sex fungi can mate: C. neoformans' sexual cycle could shed light on the evolution from asexuality to sex (Charles Q Choi, 4/26/05, BioMedCentral)

Members of the same sex of a pathogenic fungal species can mate and produce offspring, scientists report in the April 21 issue of Nature. The finding suggests for the first time that the fungus has developed a novel type of sexual cycle, according to senior author Joseph Heitman at Duke University in Durham, NC.

Had God wanted us to marry within our sex He'd have given us a similar capability.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THE DIFFERENCE ISN'T ALL THAT HARD TO FIGURE:

Bush Takes Risk With Show of Support for DeLay (Jim VandeHei, April 27, 2005, Washington Post)

President Bush is doing for Tom DeLay what he refused to do for Trent Lott three years ago: taking a political risk to defend an embattled congressional leader's career, several Republican officials and strategists said.

With DeLay facing intense scrutiny of his travel, fundraising practices and relationship with controversial lobbyists, Bush yesterday offered the Texas Republican a timely show of support by inviting him to a public event and aboard Air Force One for a trip back to Washington from Texas. Scott McClellan, speaking to reporters before the flight, said the president supports DeLay "as strongly as he ever has."

While the two men have never been close personally, Bush has told friends he needs DeLay's help enacting a second-term agenda and does not consider the allegations against the House majority leader serious enough to warrant the cold shoulder he delivered to Lott (R-Miss.), then Senate majority leader, in 2002. Lott was forced to step down after making racially insensitive comments, and the president refused to voice support for Lott, which many Republicans said contributed to the Senate leader's fall.

Bush is adopting a markedly different strategy in publicly defending DeLay amid recent allegations that the Texas Republican may have violated House ethics rules by taking a trip to London and Scotland partially charged to the credit cards of two lobbyists, several Republicans said. If the DeLay controversy explodes into a bigger scandal, some said, it could taint the White House, especially with Bush going out of his way to align himself with DeLay.

"He does not think DeLay has done anything wrong," said Charlie Black, a GOP lobbyist with close ties to the White House. "It's Bush's natural instinct to stand with him. There could be a risk, but it's the kind of risk [Bush] takes all the time."


Racism is evil; breaking the ridiculous rules governing modern politics an inevitibility.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THE NATION'S RED, HE JUST BLENDS IN WELL:

Evangelical Bush? (William F. Buckley Jr., April 27, 2005, Sacramento Bee)

Wilfred McClay, who is a learned senior fellow of the Ethics and Public Policy Center in Washington, D.C., gave an arresting lecture in February called The Evangelical Conservatism of George W. Bush; Or, How the Republicans Became Red. [...]

McClay lists the energizing discontents of President Bush. "His 'compassionate conservatism,' his relatively favorable view of many federal social and educational programs, his sensitivity to issues of racial injustice and reconciliation, his softness on immigration issues, his promotion of the faith-based initiative, his concern with issues of international religious liberty, his African AIDS initiative, and above all, his enormously ambitious, even seemingly utopian, foreign-policy objectives -- (these) are positions that are best explained by the effects of his evangelical Christian convictions, and by his willingness to allow those convictions to trump more conventional conservative positions."

Mr. McClay darts off here to make different points, entirely engrossing: "It is strange that, of all the things liberals loathe about Bush, his religiousness seems to be at the top of the list. For it is precisely the seriousness of Bush's commitment to his evangelical faith that has made him more 'liberal,' in a certain sense, than many of his party brethren."

But it is high time to pause. The positions listed by McClay as most likely related to evangelicalism are not plausibly removed from a general political idealism that can be said to be rooted in Christian belief, but not exclusively so. The points listed in the Bush agenda are independently backed by many non-Christians, and indeed the most conspicuous of these, the ultra-Wilsonianism of Bush's second Inaugural Address, is most reliably traced not to Christian impulses, but to a non-Christian expression of them. It is the neo-cons, most frequently identified as Jewish in orientation, who are primarily identified with such policies -- so that we have arrived at exactly what, beyond that Jewish idealism and Christian idealism can and often do converge?

How otherwise to ingest the statement by Woodrow Wilson campaigning for the presidency in 1911? "A nation which does not remember what it was yesterday, does not know what it is today, nor what it is trying to do. We are trying to do a futile thing if we do not know where we came from or what we have been about. ... America was born a Christian nation. America was born to exemplify that devotion to the tenets of righteousness which are derived from the revelations of Holy Scripture."

Whether Bush owes his election to any explicit connection with evangelical Christianity is sheer speculation, as noted. But a derivative point, made by Wilfred McClay and of quite general interest, is: What has happened to the political idealism associated with the liberals?


Isn't the point here that America is an evangelical (separable from Evangelical) nation? So much so that it makes even Jews into evangelists? And W just happens to tap into that American spirit in a way that is unusual even among presidents, though common to the best.


April 27, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:44 PM

END IT, YOU CAN'T MEND IT:

The Latest Returns: How we botched the gubernatorial election of 2004, and why there's no end in sight. (Rick Anderson, 4/27/05, Seattle Weekly)

As you might recall, Rossi initially won the 2004 gubernatorial election by 261 votes, a margin requiring a recount. That's when the fun began. A combination machine and hand recount gave him a narrower, 42-vote win but set off an automatic full and final hand recount. Gregoire wound up ahead by 10 votes. The state Supreme Court then ordered 735 previously rejected King County absentee ballots be counted. When 556 ballots were eventually verified for inclusion in the manual recount, Gregoire wound up with a 129-vote margin statewide. She quickly took office and changed the locks, hanging out the No Realtors sign.

All the reviews of the process in King County and the statewide lawsuit by Republicans could run the year. Chelan County Superior Court Judge John Bridges will hear arguments at a hearing next Monday, May 2, in Wenatchee, where the Republicans filed their suit, leading up to perhaps a two-week trial slated to begin May 23, with the outcome almost certain to be appealed to the state Supreme Court. The GOP wants the courts to effectively evict Gregoire from the Olympia manse and make her stand for re-election in her first year. State GOP Chair Vance says a new vote is warranted on the basis of so many King County ballots lost and found, uncounted and miscounted, and illegally cast by lawbreakers and the dearly departed. Using what's called a "proportional deduction" method (or "guesswork," in the Democrats' lexicon), the party argues that a certain number of the provably illegal votes cast for governor in 2004 should be deducted from each candidate according to the proportion of votes each one carried in the given precincts. The result, theoretically, would demonstrate that it's impossible to prove a clear winner was picked by 2.8 million voters. The GOP has not outright alleged intentional election fraud. But it is convinced that error and incompetence were so prevalent, especially in King County, that a runoff is the only fair resolution.

Thing is, the 2004 King County election was run much like elections past. In fact, up until Nov. 2, the 2004 election system was in better shape than in 2002, if you accept Ron Sims' analysis. After a series of human errors and technical glitches caused mailing delays and left ballots uncounted in 2002, Sims formed a Citizens' Election Oversight Committee in 2003 and brought Logan aboard. In its impressively detailed, 158-page April 2004 report, the committee reviewed a few special elections and found they were "now much more professionally and reliably conducted" and that "absentee ballot processing and tabulating has also improved dramatically." It saw promise of perfection in Logan, whose fixes and advances included a new electronic election management and voter registration system, bilingual ballots, and staff reorganization. The department was already better at managing its absentee mailing system and voter rolls (4,305 dead voters were purged in 2004, along with 605 felons). The potential for widespread failure had been reduced.

Unfortunately, while all that might have improved ballot handling and counting, systemic weakness remained either unfixed or undiscovered. The convergence of extraordinary events in November 2004, Logan now concedes, "exposed the gaps in our systems and limits on our capacity." Besides the closest gubernatorial vote in state history and the rise in accounting fallibility as the historic recounts progressed, King County endured a record voter turnout and was swamped by a bureaucratic nightmare: a record number of county absentee (646,000) and provisional (31,000) ballots issued, all of which had to be counted manually. In the election run-up, more than 138,000 new county voter registrations had to be handled, 40 percent more than in the 2000 election.

At the polls, 540 optical-scanning county computers, which tally hand-marked ballots, got their biggest workout ever, not only by the volume of ballots processed but by thousands of voters who flunked the bubble test. Most people managed to simply fill in the selection circle next to their preferred candidate, as required. But at least 1,600 original King County poll and absentee ballots had to be scrutinized, to determine "voter intent," by two review boards because markings on them were unclear. In the assorted counts, almost 5,000 ballots that were physically distorted or damaged had to be duplicated for recounting, while 55,000 other ballots had to be enhanced so a machine could read them. Rather than coloring inside the bubble lines, quirky voters wrote in the names of candidates already on the ballot, circled the name of their candidate, circled the candidate's party, checked the circles, circled the circles, and even stabbed the circles with pens or knives—in the manner of the old punch-card voting system. Some voters crossed out opponents, leaving the likely candidate uncircled. Others wrote in personal comments, political slogans, and assigned votes to Mickey Mouse and other unannounced candidates—perhaps, understandably, because they were sometimes faced with choosing the lesser liar on the ballot. "We had some very creative voters," Logan says dryly. A number of others asked that their ballots be set aside and counted by hand because they worried the county's AccuVote scanning computers might electronically alter their choices.

To a degree, all those problems show up at every election. But with more voters lured out by a divisive presidential-year election that also produced the hairbreadth gubernatorial vote, foul-ups happened on steroids in 2004. The recounts compounded the error factor. The final tally, handing Gregoire her meager victory, was done all by hand, the least reliable method of tabulating large numbers of votes. The scrutiny brought on by the recounts exposed other failures, including lack of training for part-time (mostly one- or two-day) poll workers. In a vote this close, all it takes for a major snafu is one poll worker or county elections employee overlooking a cache of votes—which, in fact, happened more than a few times. Even without recounts, the record vote likely would have caused systemic glitches. But, like in the past, they would have been at least stage-managed and dealt with by more promised fixes.


In an election as close as this one, and even the presidential in 2000, isn't it fair to say that the voters are fine with either?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:31 PM

NEW COLOSSUS:

Taliban coming in from cold: Citing fatigue, five Taliban commanders have taken an amnesty offer this month. Will more follow? (Scott Baldauf, 4/28/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

When Taliban commander "Dr. Rasheid" handed himself over to the Afghan government three months ago, he half expected to end up in a US plane bound for Guantánamo Bay.

Instead, he was greeted with open arms and invited to help the government persuade his Taliban friends to turn themselves in as well.

His decision to accept Afghan President Hamid Karzai's amnesty offer has been followed in the past three weeks by at least five mid-level Taliban officials. It's too soon to tell if the trickle of hard-line Taliban commanders like Rasheid will become a torrent - and it's premature to declare the demise of the Taliban as a fighting force. With the warmer spring weather, in fact, the frequency and intensity of the Taliban attacks on some 16,000 US and 2,200 NATO forces is rising.

But the tide appears to be shifting. Fatigue is setting in among Taliban fighters. "We are tired of war; we don't want to continue with the destruction of our country," says Rasheid, who used a pseudonym for this interveiw because he continues to cross the border into Pakistan to persuade Taliban members to stop their fighting and support the Afghan government.


The tired, the cold, the hungry/ yearning to breathe free.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:23 PM

DANG CURIOUS IMPERIALISM:

US (mostly) lets Iraq form its cabinet: Despite some visible pressuring this week, Washington has taken a light hand in steering the process - wisely, experts say. (Howard LaFranchi, 4/28/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

[T]he government of at least 32 ministers, which could finally be presented for the national assembly's approval Thursday after weeks of haggling among religious factions and political parties, is both a work of promise and of considerable foreboding, say Iraq experts and consultants who have been working with Iraqi leaders.

That the politically ascendant Shiites and Kurds made room for six Sunni ministers, despite their absence from January's elections and association with the former regime, demonstrates the kind of hard power-sharing necessary for national unity. The Sunnis' portfolio even includes the coveted defense minister slot. [...]

For the most part, analysts agree that it's an imperfect political process the US has been right to leave basically to the Iraqis, despite some last-minute phone calls and high-profile public pressure from Washington to get a government going.


The only thing the critics were more wrong about than the President's intentions in Iraq was the maturity of the Shi'a and Kurds.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:20 PM

Herb and Garlic Skirt Steak: Adapted from The Vineyard Kitchen: Menus Inspired by the Seasons by Maria Helm Sinskey (Washington Post, 4/26/05)

6 large garlic cloves

Fresh rosemary from two 5-inch sprigs

8 fresh thyme sprigs

About 4 tablespoons extra-virgin olive oil

1 1/2 teaspoons cracked black pepper, or to taste

2 skirt steaks* (about 2 1/4 pounds total)

Salt

Smash the garlic cloves with a heavy knife. Finely chop the rosemary and remove the thyme leaves from the sprigs. In a shallow bowl, combine the garlic, herbs, oil and pepper, and set aside.

Preheat the grill, or place a large skillet over medium-high heat.

Season the steak on both sides with salt and pepper to taste. Grill or cook the steaks over medium-high heat, turning once, for about 4 minutes per side for medium rare. Transfer the steak to a cutting board and set aside to rest for about 10 minutes.

Using a sharp knife, thinly slice the steak against the grain and fan the slices on a platter. Before you spoon the herb sauce over the steak, you may want to remove the smashed garlic cloves or finely chop one of them into the sauce.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:17 PM

THE DEMOCRAT FILIBLUSTER JUMPS THE SHARK:

Gore Blasts GOP Bid to Block Filibusters (DONNA CASSATA, 4/27/05, Associated Press)

Former Vice President Al Gore on Wednesday blamed Republican "lust for one-party domination" for the GOP campaign to change Senate rules on filibustering judicial nominees, and he assailed religious zealots for driving the effort.

Wading into the political fight that has roiled the Senate, the 2000 Democratic presidential candidate and former Tennessee senator warned that altering rules that have served the nation for 230 years would result in a breakdown in the separation of powers.


You can pretty much schedule the swearing in for Ms Brown and Ms Owens now that old tin ear has entered the fray.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:14 PM

60-40 NATION:

Study: Vast Majority Says News Reporting is Biased (E&P Staff, April 27, 2005, Editor & Publisher)

A national survey conducted by the Missouri School of Journalism's Center for Advanced Social Research has found that 85% detect bias in news reporting. Of those, 48% believe it is liberal bias, 30% conservative -- and 12% both.

Almost two out of three said journalists too often invade people's privacy. About three in four feel the news is too negative. The same number said reporters tend to favor one side over the other when covering political and social issues.


Those numbers seem a pretty good approximation of the electorate's own biases--a troubling thought for the Left.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:05 PM

AND SO THE LAST REASON TO VOTE TORY BITES THE DUST:

Blair ditches the euro: Tony Blair went as close as he could to ruling out membership of the euro while he is Prime Minister (Philip Webster and Peter Ridd, 4/28/05, Times of London)

The disclosure by Channel 4 of Lord Goldsmith’s advice to Mr Blair electrified the campaign on a day when the Prime Minister also moved towards ruling out British membership of the euro in the next Parliament. [...]

An earlier Populus poll showed a continuing high level of opposition to joining the euro. Some 59 per cent would oppose joining, with just 35 per cent being in favour. Only among Labour supporters is their a narrow majority, 50 to 46 per cent, in favour.

Moreover, only a third of voters think Mr Blair has learnt his lessons from the Iraq war, from the criticisms of his informal style of government, and from people saying that he has not done enough to improve public services. Only just over a quarter say he has learnt the lessons of the criticisms that his Government is too concerned with spin. In last night’s interview on Sky News Mr Blair made plain that if elected he would not be launching another push for entry.

“At the moment it doesn’t look very likely, does it, because the economics aren’t in the right place,” he said.

His comments came after a speech this week by Gordon Brown — who has always been cooler on the euro and is expected to succeed Mr Blair — which emphasised that the five tests would be applied rigidly through the next Parliament and if necessary beyond.


Nothing was ever more certain in this election than that a politician as adept as Tony Blair would get to the Right of the brain-dead Tories on the question of Europe.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:26 PM

800 MILLION PEASANTS CAN'T BE WRONG:

Why Beijing May Be Playing With Fire: Protests against Japan could quickly find new targets closer to home (Dexter Roberts, 5/02/05, Business Week)

In China...the winds of protest have a funny way of shifting direction without warning. That's what happened in Tiananmen Square in 1989, when student demonstrators started out commemorating the death of former Party boss Hu Yaobang but ended up demanding democratic change. And on May 4, 1919, protests against concessions given to Japan after World War I exploded into broad demonstrations and spawned a national debate about modernizing China. As the spring wears on, there will be plenty of opportunities for students and workers to voice their complaints: On May 1 there's the international labor holiday. Three days later it's the anniversary of the May 4th Movement. And just a month after that, the Tiananmen Square massacre of June 4, 1989, will have its 16th anniversary. As a sign of just how jittery Beijing has become, the Foreign Ministry on Apr. 19 warned Chinese not to participate in "unapproved demonstrations."

There's no shortage of gripes among China's citizenry. Workers have suffered massive layoffs during the transition to a market economy. They're also feeling more assertive as a result of the new populist stance struck by President Hu Jintao and Premier Wen Jiabao. With Beijing pushing to educate workers about everything from overtime pay to occupational safety, laborers are becoming more demanding. According to one mainland magazine, there were 58,000 protests involving 3 million workers in 2003 -- and the true number is probably far higher. "You actually have a labor movement emerging in China today," says Robin Munro, director of research at rights organization China Labor Bulletin in Hong Kong. "That wasn't true five years ago." Even veterans of the People's Liberation Army have started demonstrating for better salaries and pensions.

There's more than just labor unrest. China's runaway economic growth has trashed the environment and left hundreds of thousands homeless. Late last year, Beijing was forced to send in troops and seal off a village in Sichuan Province when thousands demonstrated against plans to force them from their homes to make way for a dam. And in the wealthy coastal province of Zhejiang in April, thousands more overturned police cars and threw stones at officers to protest pollution from local chemical plants that had poisoned their fields and water. The problem is, cleaning up the environment or putting the brakes on projects such as the dam could slow economic growth -- which could lead to fewer jobs and more protests from angry workers.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:12 PM

REDDER REMATCH?:

Stenberg poised to announce Senate bid (DON WALTON, 4/27/05, Lincoln Journal Star)

Former Attorney General Don Stenberg appeared poised Wednesday to jump into the 2006 Republican Senate race and seek a rematch with Democratic Sen. Ben Nelson.

Stenberg, who served as attorney general for 12 years, will hold a news conference today at Republican state headquarters to make "an important announcement about his future political plans." All signs pointed to his third bid for a seat in the Senate.

Stenberg, who left the attorney general's office in 2003 to enter private practice in Omaha, lost to Nelson in 2000 by 15,000 votes.

But Stenberg supporters are quick to point out that was the closest margin since Nebraska began directly electing senators by popular vote in 1916 and that the Republican voter registration advantage over Democrats has grown by 34,000 since 2000.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:03 PM

BUBBLIN' CRUDE:

Oil: A Bubble, Not a Spike?: Analyst Tim Evans thinks the crude rally isn't justified by fundamentals and expects prices to "fall hard" soon to $26 to $30 a barrel (June Kim, 4/27/05, Business Week)

While the rest of Wall Street just can't seem to get enough of the oil market, energy analyst Tim Evans isn't afraid to go against the tide. Evans, a senior analyst at IFR Energy Services, a division of Thomson Financial, thinks that the current run-up in oil prices is much like the Internet bubble of the late '90s. [...]

Q: Where do you see oil going?

A: [Recently], we saw the highest level of commercial crude oil inventory in the U.S. since June, 2002. Then, we were trading in the range of $26 to $30 per barrel. The current physical fundamentals, not even projecting to a greater surplus down the road, are consistent with a $26 to $30 price.

We first got to $50 at the end of last September after Hurricane Ivan. We've got an all-time high price without a physical shortage.

Q: Then what's driving the uptick in prices?

A: We don't have a physical bull market, but we do have a financial bull market. The measure of the financial market is the open interest on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The futures market is 72% larger than it was 18 months ago. Over that same period, the physical market is maybe 5% larger. What you have on the financial side is a bunch of money being thrown at the energy futures market. It's just pulling in more and more cash. That's the side of the market where we have runaway demand, not on the physical side.

DOE [Energy Dept.] crude inventories have been rising since last September. If demand is outpacing supply, how can inventories rise?

Q: But there's a limited global supply and rising demand in the U.S. and China?

A: First, oil supplies are always finite, and oil reserves are always finite. That's not really headline news.

In terms of rate of growth, world oil demand grew last year by 3.4%. Yes, 3.4% was more yearly growth than we had seen in quite some time. [But] going back to the '50s and '60s, world oil demand during that era was growing an average of 9% per year. We didn't have oil-price shocks then.

Part of our fear really dates back from 1998 and 1999, when we had oil prices down at $12 per barrel. Those prices choked off investment in production capacity. That was the bust part of the cycle, and we're now in the boom part of the cycle. But it's still a cycle. The believers in the long-term steady march to $105 are basically making that it's not a boom-and-bust cycle anymore.


If, as seems the most likely explanation, the President's recent downtick in the polls is almost entirely a function of sticker shock at the gas pump, the what will those polls do when prices plummet? Even though he'll have had nothing to do with the rise or the fall, the goose to his numbers may well help get the remainder of his second term agenda through Congress.


Posted by David Cohen at 3:38 PM

QUICK, EVERYONE LISTEN TO AIR AMERICA

AIR AMERICA RADIO INVESTIGATED AFTER BUSH 'GUNSHOTS' (Drudge Report Exclusive, 4/27/05)

The red-hot rhetoric over Social Security on liberal talkradio network AIR AMERICA has caught the attention of the Secret Service, the DRUDGE REPORT has learned.

Government officials are reviewing a skit which aired on the network Monday evening -- a skit featuring an apparent gunshot warning to the president!

What if a joke fell flat, but nobody heard it?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:30 PM

COINCIDENCE?:

SAVE ERIC ROBERTS! (MICHAEL KANE, April 24, 2005, NY Post)

ERIC Roberts isn't a creep - he just plays one on TV. And in movies. And in music videos.

The actor brother of Julia, who faded into semi-obscurity after an early '80s heyday...


..just as "Julia" Roberts started appearing in films.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:16 PM

IRKLED:

Air India-Boeing deal irks EU (Hindustan Times, April 27, 2005)

EU's resentment regarding Air India's decision to purchase planes from the US Boeing instead of the European Airbus Industry, has exposed a political tussle between the EU and the US.

Air India has decided to purchase 50 planes from Boeing, investing almost Rs 300 billion in upgrading its fleet.

EU continues its protest, although Air India's final decision is in favour of Boeing. Opposing India succumbing to US pressure, EU is hoping to win over the deal by lobbying for Airbus.

With the US granting an unlimited access to many of its airports, Indian carrier will gain tremendously. The issue was discussed between Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and the US Secretary of State, Condoleezza Rice during her recent visit to India. Further, US Transportation Secretary, Norman Mineta has supported the signing of the "open sky" policy agreement during his visit to Delhi.


Note how many different themes of the past few years converge in this perfect storm of a story?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:10 PM

21ST CENTURY ALLY:

U.S., Brazil discuss trade, Chávez: U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice reached out to Brazil during a five-day trip through Latin America that will also take her to Colombia, Chile, and El Salvador. (PABLO BACHELET, 4/27/05, Miami Herald)

U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and her Brazilian counterpart Tuesday vowed they would work together to shore up democracy and promote free trade in Latin America, but showed subtle differences over how to deal with Venezuela's controversial President Hugo Chávez.

''We have agreed to continue to work together in a way that respects the sovereignty of countries, to favor democracy, especially in our own continent,'' Brazil's foreign minister Celso Amorim said in a joint press conference with Rice.

Rice's five-day trip to Brazil, Colombia, Chile and El Salvador is the latest instance of the Bush administration's efforts to reach out to Latin America, after criticism that it did little in the president's first term to help solve the region's problems. Since President Bush's reelection, Rice and Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld have twice traveled to the region.

Rice said she talked with Amorim about how ''we might reenergize our efforts to make progress on the FTAA,'' a reference to the stalled drive for an agreement on a Free Trade Area of the Americas. ''There ought to be as much free trade as possible,'' she said.

Rice met with Amorim and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva on the first leg of her swing to push Bush's agenda for more free trade, fewer barriers to business and more transparent governments as a way to ensure that the region becomes more prosperous, less corrupt and more stable.


Brazil should be welcomed into the Axis of Good and if it does prove a consistent ally we should make sure that it gets a Security Council seat to go with India's.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:00 PM

EVERYONE IS CREAM:

Who's Using HSAs (Heritage Foundation, 04/26/05)

Remember that HSA-opponents said that only the young, single, and well-off would use HSAs. That has not been the case:
• 73% of HSA purchasers are families with children;
• 35% of HSA purchasers are from households of four or more people;
• 57% of HSA purchasers are over age 40; and
• 40% of all HSA purchasers have high school or technical school training as their highest level of education.

And the argument that HSAs would just pull the "cream" out of other insurance options hasn't proven true, either. About 40 percent of those who have applied for Assurant's HSAs do not indicate any prior coverage.

Put simply, this consumer-driven option has done exactly what its proponents said it would: lower the cost of care by bringing consumers back into the loop for non-catastrophic care and, in turn, helping many who find traditional insurance too expensive find an alternative that fits them better.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:43 PM

IT EVEN GREASES THE SKIDS FOR THE CLOSINGS:

Bush wants refineries at ex-defense bases (H. JOSEF HEBERT, 4/27/05, Associated Press)

President Bush, trying to blunt growing unrest over high energy prices, is laying out proposals to speed construction of nuclear power plants and oil refineries and boost sales of energy-efficient vehicles.

Bush is outlining his new proposals in his second energy speech in a week. The increased attention reflects the growing concern in the White House over potential political damage from high energy prices that are beginning to affect economic growth as well as the president's approval rating.

In remarks to small business leaders, Bush will urge using closed military bases as sites for new oil refineries. The Energy Department is being ordered to step up discussions with communities near such bases to try to get refineries built.

"We know we have a capacity problem," White House press secretary Scott McClellan said Wednesday. "We haven't built a new refinery since the early 1970s."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:41 PM

THE BLOOM IS OFF THE ROSE:

Decline in the ranks?: EMILY's list works to train female Democrats for office (Lisa Vorderbrueggen, 4/27/05, CONTRA COSTA TIMES

EMILY's List, a national organization that advocates for the election of pro-choice Democratic women, fears declining numbers of women in the political pipeline could reverse decades of advances for the fairer sex in the California Legislature.

Nearly half of the Legislature's 37 elected women will lose their seats to term limits in 2006, and an additional 11 will see their time run out in 2008.

If women fail to run and win these open seats, the number of women in the Legislature could plummet to 10, or just 8 percent of the 120-member Assembly and Senate.

"Term limits open up seats for women, but it also means that we need to provide support and training at the local level to keep a strong flow of women in the political pipeline," said Cristina Uribe with EMILY's List.

California is not alone.

Declining or stagnant numbers of women willing to participate in political life "is a big concern nationwide," said Debbie Walsh, director of the Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers University.


Not if you favor liberty over security.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:10 PM

CULTURE WAR WALKOVER:

Bush signs bill to let parents strip offensive scenes from films (Associated Press, 4/27/05)

President Bush on Wednesday signed legislation aimed at helping parents keep their children from seeing sex scenes, violence and foul language in movie DVDs.

The bill gives legal protections to the fledgling filtering technology that helps parents automatically skip or mute sections of commercial movie DVDs. Bush signed it privately and without comment, White House press secretary Scott McClellan said.

The legislation came about because Hollywood studios and directors had sued to stop the manufacture and distribution of such electronic devices for DVD players. The movies' creators had argued that changing the content - even when it is considered offensive - would violate their copyrights.

The legislation, called the Family Entertainment and Copyright Act, creates an exemption in copyright laws to make sure companies selling filtering technology won't get sued out of existence.


Another sign of how one-sided the culture war has become as a bill opposed by Hollywood was co-sponsored by Dianne Feinstein and Pat Leahy and pasased by voice vote.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:07 PM

PENETRATED:

New Boeing jet orders taking off (MATTHEW DALY, April 27, 2005, Chicago Sun-Times)

Buoyed by an influx of new orders, Boeing appears to be turning the corner in its battle with archrival Airbus.

Boeing's commercial airplanes chief, Alan Mulally, conveyed that message in a private meeting with lawmakers Tuesday -- backed by a slew of new orders that testifies to the company's improving jet sales outlook.

The latest evidence came earlier Tuesday when Air India announced plans to order 50 new Boeing jetliners -- a deal worth $6.8 billion minus undisclosed price discounts. On Monday, Air Canada said it had made firm orders for 32 Boeing jets at a list price of $6 billion.

Earlier this month, Korean Air said it will order up to 20 of Boeing's new fuel-efficient 787 aircraft in a deal worth up to $2.6 billion at list prices. Analysts and numerous published reports also have said that Northwest Airlines is negotiating an order for a substantial number of planes.

''The momentum has definitely swung in their favor, in terms of orders,'' analyst J.B. Groh of D.A. Davidson said of Boeing.

All the airlines involved in the recent orders had been committed Airbus clients.

''It's not just sheer volume in customers' orders -- it's penetration deep in the heart of Airbus territory,'' said Richard Aboulafia, an aviation analyst for the Teal Group in Fairfax, Va.


Europe may as well sit back and enjoy.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:57 AM

MILITARY TRANSPORT:

Roads Without the State (Peter Samuel, January 1998, The Freeman: Ideas on Liberty)

Can there be roads if the government doesn’t build them? The first roads were probably not even made by humans but by animals. Herds of buffalo, deer, and other grass foragers pushed aside the shrubs and trampled down the grass to make tracks for their mass migrations—tracks that humans exploited.

Many of the first manmade improvements to those tracks were made by the military because the deployment of armies depended heavily on reliable supplies. There’s a saying among military logisticians that soldiers fight on their stomachs, so in order to keep those stomachs filled, armies needed wheeled carts to bring in the supplies of grain, meat, and other provisions to sustain the bodily energy and the morale of the soldiers. Military engineers were among the first road and bridge builders. Because the state depended on the military for its survival, it has always been interested in roads.


It's no coincidence that a General built the Interstate Highway system--good for the state, bad for society.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:43 AM

THE LEFT MUST HAVE A PARTY TOO:

Defector says more MPs set to quit Labour (GERRI PEEV, 4/27/05, The Scotsman)

A VETERAN former Labour MP who dramatically defected to the Liberal Democrats warned yesterday that more of his colleagues would jump ship after the election.

Brian Sedgemore, who is standing down after 27 years at Westminster, denounced Tony Blair as an "empty husk who should be thrown on the scrapheap of history".

Mr Sedgemore’s resignation was designed to inflict maximum embarrassment on the Prime Minister and New Labour ahead of the election. The defector warned: "I am not alone. A small group of us - all MPs who are standing down - decided we would leave the Labour party immediately after the election."

He added they had planned to unveil a joint statement directly after the 5 May poll.

But Mr Sedgemore - a long-time critic of the Blair government - said: "I believe I owe it to voters to speak out now.


If Tony Blair's is going to be the most conservative party in Britain then the Left has to go elsewhere. Alernatively, they can remove Mr. Blair and revert to their roots, but then aren't likely to dominate elections in the future.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:20 AM

COME BACK, ALL IS FORGIVEN (via Jorge Curioso):

Pope in talks with rebel Anglicans (Christopher Morgan and John Follain, 4/24/05, Times of London)

THE new Pope has established links with a faction of discontented Anglican traditionalists seeking to form their own church affiliated to the Vatican.

Benedict XVI, whose inaugural mass as Bishop of Rome today is expected to be attended by half a million people, has held meetings with representatives of the Traditional Anglican Communion (TAC), according to Archbishop John Hepworth, the group’s primate.

The TAC represents more than 400,000 Anglicans around the world who have either left their church or are protesting against its liberal policies. It is estimated that 400-500 Church of England parishes may support the group in the long term.

“We are looking at a church which would retain an Anglican liturgy, Anglican spirituality and a married clergy,” said Hepworth, a serving Anglican bishop in Adelaide, Australia. “We dream of this happening soon.” One such community exists in America but so far there are only 14 parishes.

Any hint of a pact between the TAC and Benedict — who has maintained his interest in the group over the past 10 years — would alarm Rowan Williams, the Archbishop of Canterbury, and undermine his efforts to maintain the unity of Anglicanism amid squabbles over whether to ordain female bishops or homosexual priests.


Whether it was a mistake in the first place or not, the break with Rome long since served its purpose.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 8:36 AM

SO SORRY

We mustn't go too far with our US success, says Toyota
(David Litterick, The Telegraph, April 27th, 2005)

Japanese carmakers should give their US rivals some breathing space or risk a political backlash, the chairman of Toyota said yesterday.

Hiroshi Okuda said he feared the success of Asian companies, which have grabbed nearly a third of the US car market, could prompt a trade war if politicians seek to protect the domestic industry.

General Motors last week posted its largest quarterly loss for over a decade, while rival Ford saw its profits tumble 38pc and said its carmaking business would break even at best this year.

By contrast, Toyota is expected to follow Honda and Nissan in reporting record profits for the past year.

"We need to give time for some American companies to take a breath," Mr Okuda said.

Take a breath? Been working too hard, have they?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:23 AM

ONCE THE KETOSIS SETS IN YOU'LL ENJOY IT:

Schröder aids Chirac in push for EU charter (Thomas Fuller, APRIL 27, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

The leaders of France and Germany united on Tuesday in appealing to French voters to endorse the European Union's constitution in a May 29 referendum and lamented what President Jacques Chirac described as a "cult of pessimism" stalking Europe.

Visibly frustrated in his campaign to persuade French voters to swing toward acceptance of the constitution, Chirac warned of a weakened France if voters say no.

He spoke in a gilded hall of the Élysée Palace beside the German chancellor, Gerhard Schröder, the latest European leader seeking to sell French voters on the idea of approving the constitution next month.

If France voted no, Schröder said, "Europe's voice would weaken, it would have trouble making itself heard."

Other Europeans were hoping that France "remains true to its promises" of European unity, he said.

The meeting between Chirac and Schröder, which involved a retinue of ministers, is part of a program of periodic joint cabinet meetings meant to symbolize the close links between France and Germany.

A Tory party that can't figure out how to use this to their advantage needs to be Schiavoed.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:20 AM

TSEDEQ?:

As Poles take jobs, bitterness in Germany (Carter Dougherty, APRIL 27, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

The new Europe only arrived last year, but Boris Ried is already pining for the familiar old version.

Ludwig Ried & Sohn, a Frankfurt tile-laying company in its fourth generation, needs to charge €43.65, or $56.72, an hour to make ends meet, said Ried, its general manager.

But the enlargement of the European Union, which has brought to Frankfurt hundreds of Poles who are willing to work for half that, may now do what depression and war could not, he fears: put the Rieds out of business.

"I'd be happy if we could close Germany's doors right now and wait a while," Ried said.

But don't ask the Poles to apologize.

"Why shouldn't the Poles have more work than the Germans?" said Rafal Boroweic, a Polish tile-layer who came to Frankfurt in July and now lives a 10-minute walk away from the Rieds.

"They're doing good work, and the customers are happy."

Bitter Germans. Hard-working Poles. Happy customers. The system has reached its natural equilibrium point. Everything is as God deemed.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:08 AM

NO, OFFICER, I'M JUST PERPENDING:

Word of the Day (Wordsmith.org, 4/27/05)

perpend (pur-PEND) verb tr. and intr.

To reflect upon; to consider; to ponder.

[From Latin perpendere (to weigh thoroughly), from per- (thoroughly) +
pendere (to weigh), ultimately from Indo-European root (s)pen- (to draw,
to spin) that is also the source of pendulum, spider, pound, pansy,
pendant, ponder, appendix, penthouse, depend, and spontaneous.]


Yet, sadly, the reflections one has when rendered perpendicular tend to have been forgotten when sobriety sets in.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 7:06 AM

BOYS, KEEP YOUR EYES PEELED FOR SHORTS AND DARK SOCKS

U.S. vigilante group targets Canada
(Associated Press, April 26th, 2005)

A civilian patrol group that has been monitoring the Mexican border for illegal immigrants wants to expand its mission to the Canadian border, organizers said Tuesday.

Minuteman Project leaders said their volunteers alerted U.S. authorities to more than 330 cases this month of illegal immigrants crossing into the United States across a 37-kilometre stretch of Arizona's southern border. Now they plan to extend their patrol along the rest of the border with Mexico and are helping organize similar efforts in four states that neighbour Canada.

“In the absence of the federal government doing its mandated duty to secure our borders, we will pick up the slack. Reluctantly,” said Chris Simcox, a Minuteman co-organizer who also operates Civil Homeland Defense, another Arizona group that monitors illegal immigration.

On their first day, they intercepted four doctors and sent them packing.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:03 AM

EVEN ATHEISTS DON'T HATE THEIR FATHERS THAT MUCH:

The Best Man for the U.N. (THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN , 4/27/05, NY Times)

My biggest problem with nominating John Bolton as U.N. ambassador boils down to one simple fact: he's not the best person for the job - not even close. If President George W. Bush wants a die-hard Republican at the U.N., one who has a conservative pedigree he can trust, who is close to the president, who can really build coalitions, who knows the U.N. building and bureaucracy inside out, who can work well with the State Department and who has the respect of America's friends and foes alike, the choice is obvious, and it's not John Bolton.

It's George H. W. Bush, a k a 41. No one would make a better U.N. ambassador for Bush 43 than Bush 41.


Wouldn't you rather have Oedipus for a son than one who'd ask you to take that godforsaken job?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:59 AM

WHEN THE TAIL END WAGS THE DOG:

MOVEON, MOVIN' ON UP (BYRON YORK, 4/27/05, NY Post)

Last month, [a] MoveOn rally in support of filibusters, held at a hotel near the Capitol, featured an appearance by Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid, along with Sens. Hillary Rodham Clinton, Charles Schumer, Robert Byrd, Edward Kennedy and others. The 87-year-old Byrd worked the crowd into an almost evangelical fervor, waving his copy of the Constitution and yelling, "Praise God!" and "Hallelujah!" as he denounced Republicans.

The turnout of top Democrats, the enthusiasm and the lineup of rallies today are all indicators of MoveOn's growing profile in national politics. That growth is likely to continue. For one thing MoveOn boasts nearly 3 million highly-motivated members who are generous with their contributions to its causes. For another, it has mastered the art of attention-getting political theater. Together, that equals political power.

It's no wonder that MoveOn's leaders have come to see themselves as Democratic leaders. "Now it's our party," Eli Pariser, head of MoveOn's political operations, wrote last December. "We bought it, we own it and we're going to take it back."

The prospect horrifies some centrist Democrats who have urged the party to steer clear of MoveOn. "You've got to reject [filmmaker] Michael Moore and the MoveOn crowd," Al From, head of the Democratic Leadership Council, said recently, calling MoveOn's members "elites, people who sit in their basements all the time and play on their computers."

The problem for Democrats is that both Pariser and From might be right. MoveOn has become quite powerful while at the same time representing a fairly narrow slice of the Democratic electorate.


The Left deserves and is going to have a political party. If it's not the Democrats it will be a third party. Either outcome means a permanent Republican majority.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:52 AM

QUITE THE MIX:

Osvaldo Golijov's star continues to rise: He's an Eastern European-Argentinean-American Jew who mixes Klezmer and tango with classical styles — and is taking the music world by storm (Paul Horsley, 4/27/05, JewishWorldReview.com)

An Eastern European-Argentinean-American Jew who mixed Klezmer and tango with classical styles? Come on.

But Osvaldo Golijov was "their" composer, and they waited expectantly for the piece. And waited.

Finally the composition arrived in dribs and drabs. As they played it, anxiety turned to despair. They could make no sense of it.

"It was hate at first sight," the 44-year-old Golijov said recently with a laugh. "I was late with the piece, they were totally distrustful, there was a lot of tension."

The Argentinean-born composer recalled the moment recently from his adopted home of Boston, where he teaches at Holy Cross and Boston Conservatory.

The quartet panicked.

"Suddenly you get this piece that, for us, an inexperienced group, looked like cacophony on the page," said St. Lawrence second violinist Barry Schiffman. "Plus there was more of it coming in all the time. I was a little hostile at first."


The decisive moment in the development of "Yiddishbbuk" came when Golijov arrived in Tanglewood and attended the quartet's rehearsal.

"After you speak to Osvaldo for a few minutes, you're his friend," Schiffman said. By the end of the rehearsal, he said, all was forgiven.

"One of us asked him, 'Ozzie can you sing it?'" Schiffman said. "What he's written, you have to know, is impossible to sing. But as he sang, he became transformed, he was in another world."

The musicians were in awe, he said, "not just of how beautiful the music was, but of how convinced he was of his compositional voice. We were humbled."


And his best work is a Passion.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:49 AM

BUT TOO RADICAL FOR SENATE DEMOCRATS?:

Confirm Janice Brown now (Terence Jeffrey, April 27, 2005, Townhall)

When California Supreme Court Justice Janice Rogers Brown faced a retention vote in 1998, 76 percent of Californians voted to keep her on their state's highest court. In San Francisco, perhaps America's most liberal city, she won 79.4 percent.

Brown won more votes statewide than any of the other three justices up for retention that year -- even though she had cast a (dissenting) vote in favor of upholding the state's parental-consent law.

But when President Bush nominated Brown to the U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia in 2003, her demonstrated support in places like San Francisco did not matter to Senate Democrats.

At the beginning of her confirmation hearing, Sen. Richard Durbin of Illinois lectured Brown about her worldview. "Let me talk to you for a minute about the world according to you as you see it," said Durbin. "It is a world, in my opinion, that is outside the mainstream of America."

What Durbin really meant is that Brown is the Senate Democrats' worst nightmare


This is why it's absurd to argue that breaking the filibuster might harm Senate Republicans. They should welcome the chance that opponenents could attack them for getting the likes of Judge Brown confirmed.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:45 AM

NO SOCIETY CAN TOLERATE FREE SPEECH:

Jurors Convict Muslim Leader in Terrorism Case (Jerry Markon, April 27, 2005, Washington Post)

A prominent Muslim spiritual leader from Fairfax County was convicted yesterday of inciting his followers to train overseas for violent jihad against the United States.

The jury in U.S. District Court in Alexandria decided that Ali Al-Timimi's words, coming shortly after the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, were enough to send him to prison for what prosecutors said will be a mandatory life sentence.

Timimi, 41, who was born and raised in the Washington area and has lectured on Islam around the world, was convicted of inspiring a group of his Northern Virginia followers to attend terrorist training camps abroad and prepare to battle American troops. He was found guilty of all 10 charges against him, including soliciting others to levy war against the United States and contributing services to Afghanistan's former Taliban rulers.

The heart of the government's case against Timimi was a meeting he attended in Fairfax on Sept. 16, 2001 -- five days after the attacks on the Pentagon and World Trade Center. Timimi told his followers that "the time had come for them to go abroad and join the mujahideen engaged in violent jihad in Afghanistan," according to court papers.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:40 AM

TURN OUT THE ENLIGHT; THE PARTY'S OVER:

Whose nation under God? (Robert Kuttner, April 27, 2005, Boston Globe)

WHEN John Kennedy was running for president and passions were running high about whether a Catholic could serve both the American citizenry and Rome, a joke made the rounds about a priest and a minister whose friendship nearly came to blows. Finally the priest phoned his old friend. ''What a pity," he said. ''Here we are, both men of the cloth, fighting over politics." ''It's true," said the minister. ''We're both Christians. We both worship the same God -- you in your way, and I in His."

America, which separated church and state precisely to protect the private right to worship, has long had its share of religious absolutists who have wanted to harness the power of the state to their own view of revealed truth. But never before in our history has the government deliberately and cynically intervened on the side of the zealots.

President Bush, Tom DeLay, Bill Frist, and company are playing with serious fire. As the joke suggests, there is no challenging revealed truth. That's why the state stays neutral.

What's under siege here is nothing less than the Enlightenment


Didn't he get the memo? The siege is over--we won.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:26 AM

HOW DO YOU SAY "BOO" IN KOREAN?:

No choice but to deal with Kim Jong Il (Jason T. Shaplen and James Laney, APRIL 27, 2005, The Boston Globe )

[T]he only option is meaningful engagement, a policy we have avoided by demanding that the North dismantle its entire nuclear program before it receives anything concrete in return other than heavy fuel oil. But there are few leaders foolish enough to give up the one card that guarantees their nation's survival based only on promises of future concessions by an adversary they don't trust.

Presumably all of us are old enough to remember when the "only option" was to deal with Saddam and Arafat too?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

HELLO, ABYSS:

The Not-So-Great Divorce: Multiculturalism and liberalism look toward splitting up. (John O'Sullivan, 4/25/05, National Review)

Multiculturalism is easy enough to grasp. It is the doctrine that all cultures are equal and must be given equal respect and protection by government. It was fueled by the arrival in Britain of immigrant groups with different religious cultures. And it has led to such social changes as rewriting British history and allowing strict Muslim dress in school.

Cultural liberalism is a larger and vaguer concept. Its essential meaning is that people should be helped to free themselves from irksome traditional moral customs and cultural restraints. And in the last 30 years it has affected a quiet revolution in Britain — in religion, family life, national identity, and moral values.

Religion has declined; fewer people go to church; the national (Anglican) church has less social and political influence. But its place has not been taken by any other denomination. Public life is increasingly and aggressively secular. In one revealing incident, Tony Blair was bullied by his subordinates out of ending a television address on Iraq with the words "God Bless you."

Family life has been devalued: Fewer people get married; more get divorced; more children are born out of wedlock. All in all, "alternative" lifestyles from gay couples to cohabiting ones compete with the traditional family.

Patriotism is no longer a simple virtue. It is seen as a problem for a "diverse" or multicultural society, unwelcoming to immigrants, and an obstacle to Britain's full commitment to a European identity. All too often it is treated as synonymous with xenophobia. In another minor but typical incident, magistrates refused a pub owner's request for a late license to celebrate St. George's Day — the English equivalent of the Fourth of July — because it was an unimportant occasion.

And a whole battery of long-standing moral restraints — on idleness, gambling, public drunkenness, drug-taking, pornography, illegitimacy, profane language, and sexual coarseness — have simply evaporated. [...]

Cultural liberalism also changes the terms of trade for political parties. For the Tories it makes politics more difficult. When young men felt obliged to marry their pregnant girlfriends, they paid for their children's upbringing; when they don't, the government picks up the tab, public spending rises, and higher taxes follow inevitably. When patriotism was an uncomplicated virtue, the party of One Nation benefited. And when religion shaped political attitudes, it encouraged people to be law-abiding, self-reliant, gratification-delaying, and generally conservative. (American conservatism is stronger precisely because American Christianity is stronger.)

Conversely Labour, as the party of bureaucratic compassion, tends to benefit when people are dependent on government aid and when religion stresses welfare rather than salvation. [...]

For a long time, it seemed that multiculturalism was simply one ingredient in cultural liberalism. But this was a delusion resting on three errors: First, it did not take into account that a nation, society, or community is held together by a common culture and common moral values — often values that its members are not conscious of holding until they are challenged. That common culture had already been subtly undermined by cultural liberalism; it was now directly assaulted by multiculturalism. An official report even concluded that the very concept of "Britishness" was racist. And one of the most frequent complaints of voters in this election (at least as reported by the newspapers) is that their country has been stolen from them.

Second, it did not take into account that some of these cultures and multiculturalism itself were incompatible with liberalism. Multiculturalism holds that all cultures are equal; liberalism is the doctrine that all human beings have equal rights; so if a culture holds that some human beings, (e.g., women) have fewer rights than others, then liberalism has to confront that culture and reject the multiculturalism sheltering it. On some issues liberal society can reach a modus vivendi with other cultures — for instance, by designing school uniforms that conform to Muslim views of female modesty. On really important questions such as "honor killings," however, liberal society has to impose its own values without apology, if necessary in condign ways. In practice it has been nervous of doing so, and the authorities have until recently turned a blind eye to such things.

And, third, liberals have failed to persuade these other cultures that the liberal theory of universal human rights is an entirely secular one posing no threat to their religion. Muslims in particular persist in seeing it as an expression of Christian civilization — which, historically, it is certainly is — and thus tainted at best. They also trace what they see as the moral decadence of Western society — the cultural liberalism described above — back to this Christian heritage. They accordingly seek to protect Muslims from both cultural pollution and the political results of such liberal heresies as free speech.

At the urging of mainstream Muslim leaders, for instance, the Blair government recently introduced legislation to restrict criticism of religion. Since no other religion was seeking this protection, the bill was reasonably seen as a sectarian measure to protect Islam from the robust British traditions of free speech. (The bill fell by the wayside when parliament was prorogued, but it will be reintroduced if Labour wins the election.)

The reductio ad absurdum of these developments was the scene in Bethnal Green where the Muslim fundamentalists threatened to murder George Galloway for encouraging pious Muslims to commit the "sin" of democratic voting.


Several years ago, John Gray tied himself in knots trying to reconcile the two.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

CHANGE IS BAD:

Each spring, Dad and I set sail - in Nebraska (John Leeke, 4/27/05, CS Monitor)

I inherited the awning job from my older brother when he left home to join the Navy. It became a familiar routine: Put them up in the spring, take them down in the fall. Those red-and-green awnings shaded the windows to keep the blazing heat of the Nebraska prairie summers out of my folks' old home.

My dad showed me the ropes. For some reason, chores like this always seemed like a lark when I was working with Dad.

In late spring we hauled the awnings out of the attic, dusted them off, and hung them on the windows. This was my introduction to working with ropes and pulleys.

It was a lot like rigging on a ship. The only way to untangle the lines was to understand how each line passed through the various eyelets and pulleys that would give a mechanical advantage in lifting the heavy iron framework of the awning.

I learned to handle a ladder and discovered the thrill of high places and dangerous work.

During the summer, a prairie thunderstorm could rip the awnings to shreds. With thunder booming like canons, I would dash around the house, walk on beds (not otherwise allowed), and leap in and out of windows to furl up and secure the awnings. A heroic effort could save the day, and an afternoon of canvas repairs later on.

Early in the fall I hauled down the awnings, made repairs, and stowed them away. Dad taught me how to stitch loose seams and ripped canvas. I still have the sailmaker's kit he put together for me: leather palm thimble, hook knife, awl, bone burnisher, marlin pin, needles, spool of Irish linen cord, and a ball of beeswax.

A few years ago, I was back home visiting my folks and helping my dad take down the awnings.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

INDUSTRY STANDARDS:

Ethics war feared in wake of DeLay controversy: Congressmen scramble to correct omissions, 'clerical errors.' (The Washington Post, 4/26/05)

Members of Congress are rushing to amend their travel and campaign records, fearing that the controversy over House Majority Leader Tom DeLay will trigger an ethics war that will bring greater scrutiny to their own travel and official activities.

Some offices have sharply limited staff travel, and some members are not traveling at all because of the intense review they believe they will face in coming months.

Lawmakers are paying old restaurant bills, filing missing forms and correcting erroneous ones as journalists and political opponents comb through records and DeLay, R-Texas, attempts to answer questions about travel financing and his past relationships with lobbyists.


No, no, no, we meant scrutinize him, not us.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

TOUGH ARGUING THE 30% POSITION:

A new federal move to limit teen abortions: The House considers new out-of-state restrictions. (Linda Feldmann, 4/27/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

The abortion issue has long undergirded some of the biggest political questions of the day - from how federal judges are confirmed to whether a politician can credibly compete for the presidency. Now, with little fanfare, the House of Representatives is set to take up legislation Wednesday that would impose new restrictions on access to abortion itself, specifically, in the case of minors.

The bill, called the Child Interstate Abortion Notification Act, or CIANA, would make it a federal offense to transport a minor across state lines for an abortion in order to evade a parental notification law, unless she has obtained a waiver from a judge. The bill would also require a doctor to notify a minor's parent before performing an abortion, if that girl is a resident of another state. The second part also contains provisions that allow a minor to get around parental notification.

In contrast with the ban on so-called "partial-birth abortions," which is not in effect as it faces continued court action, legal experts say that the new teen abortion restrictions have a much better chance of becoming the law of the land and would have broad impact. [...]

Abortion-rights advocates are caught in a bind: The bill goes to the heart of parental rights, an emotional issue particularly for social conservatives. Historically, the public has strongly supported parental involvement in decisions related to minors' abortions, as long as there is a judicial bypass procedure for girls in abusive families.

Furthermore, abortion-rights supporters are focused on preserving the right of the Senate to filibuster judicial nominees - a procedure they believe is crucial to keeping antiabortion judges out of federal courts, and, ultimately, preserving the existence of the constitutional right to abortion. [...]

As for CIANA, "this is tough legislation to argue against on its face," says Helena Silverstein, a political scientist at Lafayette College in Easton, Pa., and author of a forthcoming book on judicial bypasses. "The appeal of parental-involvement mandates is so strong, and this legislation appears to bolster that."


Now there's a balancing act--how do you fight to shaft parents and preserve a religious test for judges at the same time without completely repelling the citizenry?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

SEEING SAUCERS:

Founders' intentions may be casualty in fight over judges (USA Today, 4/26/05)

When the Founding Fathers were establishing the political ground rules for a new nation more than 215 years ago, they were determined not to give anyone, or any group, too much power. That sound principle is under attack in Washington in the fight over filling federal judgeships.

The Founders deliberately divided authority among Congress, the president and the courts, each to be a check on the others. They split Congress into a House and a Senate that would have to agree on all legislation, a defense against political stampedes. And the Senate, which they called "the saucer that cools the tea," was created with no limit on debate.

Any senator could, by continuing to talk, prevent any issue from being brought to a vote. That check, which later became known as the filibuster, ensured that the majority of the moment couldn't ride roughshod over a concerned minority. Over time, Senate rules were modified to permit 60 members to cut off debate and order a vote. But the principle of deferring to a significant minority has been honored — until now.


What a bunch of ahistorical twaddle. Not only was the filibuster not a part of the constitutional framework, the appointment power was quite specifically concentrated in the president's hands and the sole concerns about that delegation have nothing to do with the current controversy, Federalist No. 76: The Appointing Power of the Executive (Alexander Hamilton, April 1, 1788, New York Packet)
To the People of the State of New York:

THE President is ``to NOMINATE, and, by and with the advice and consent of the Senate, to appoint ambassadors, other public ministers and consuls, judges of the Supreme Court, and all other officers of the United States whose appointments are not otherwise provided for in the Constitution. But the Congress may by law vest the appointment of such inferior officers as they think proper, in the President alone, or in the courts of law, or in the heads of departments. The President shall have power to fill up ALL VACANCIES which may happen DURING THE RECESS OF THE SENATE, by granting commissions which shall EXPIRE at the end of their next session.''

It has been observed in a former paper, that ``the true test of a good government is its aptitude and tendency to produce a good administration.'' If the justness of this observation be admitted, the mode of appointing the officers of the United States contained in the foregoing clauses, must, when examined, be allowed to be entitled to particular commendation. It is not easy to conceive a plan better calculated than this to promote a judicious choice of men for filling the offices of the Union; and it will not need proof, that on this point must essentially depend the character of its administration.

It will be agreed on all hands, that the power of appointment, in ordinary cases, ought to be modified in one of three ways. It ought either to be vested in a single man, or in a SELECT assembly of a moderate number; or in a single man, with the concurrence of such an assembly. The exercise of it by the people at large will be readily admitted to be impracticable; as waiving every other consideration, it would leave them little time to do anything else. When, therefore, mention is made in the subsequent reasonings of an assembly or body of men, what is said must be understood to relate to a select body or assembly, of the description already given. The people collectively, from their number and from their dispersed situation, cannot be regulated in their movements by that systematic spirit of cabal and intrigue, which will be urged as the chief objections to reposing the power in question in a body of men.

Those who have themselves reflected upon the subject, or who have attended to the observations made in other parts of these papers, in relation to the appointment of the President, will, I presume, agree to the position, that there would always be great probability of having the place supplied by a man of abilities, at least respectable. Premising this, I proceed to lay it down as a rule, that one man of discernment is better fitted to analyze and estimate the peculiar qualities adapted to particular offices, than a body of men of equal or perhaps even of superior discernment.

The sole and undivided responsibility of one man will naturally beget a livelier sense of duty and a more exact regard to reputation. He will, on this account, feel himself under stronger obligations, and more interested to investigate with care the qualities requisite to the stations to be filled, and to prefer with impartiality the persons who may have the fairest pretensions to them. He will have FEWER personal attachments to gratify, than a body of men who may each be supposed to have an equal number; and will be so much the less liable to be misled by the sentiments of friendship and of affection. A single well-directed man, by a single understanding, cannot be distracted and warped by that diversity of views, feelings, and interests, which frequently distract and warp the resolutions of a collective body. There is nothing so apt to agitate the passions of mankind as personal considerations whether they relate to ourselves or to others, who are to be the objects of our choice or preference. Hence, in every exercise of the power of appointing to offices, by an assembly of men, we must expect to see a full display of all the private and party likings and dislikes, partialities and antipathies, attachments and animosities, which are felt by those who compose the assembly. The choice which may at any time happen to be made under such circumstances, will of course be the result either of a victory gained by one party over the other, or of a compromise between the parties. In either case, the intrinsic merit of the candidate will be too often out of sight. In the first, the qualifications best adapted to uniting the suffrages of the party, will be more considered than those which fit the person for the station. In the last, the coalition will commonly turn upon some interested equivalent: ``Give us the man we wish for this office, and you shall have the one you wish for that.'' This will be the usual condition of the bargain. And it will rarely happen that the advancement of the public service will be the primary object either of party victories or of party negotiations.

The truth of the principles here advanced seems to have been felt by the most intelligent of those who have found fault with the provision made, in this respect, by the convention. They contend that the President ought solely to have been authorized to make the appointments under the federal government. But it is easy to show, that every advantage to be expected from such an arrangement would, in substance, be derived from the power of NOMINATION, which is proposed to be conferred upon him; while several disadvantages which might attend the absolute power of appointment in the hands of that officer would be avoided. In the act of nomination, his judgment alone would be exercised; and as it would be his sole duty to point out the man who, with the approbation of the Senate, should fill an office, his responsibility would be as complete as if he were to make the final appointment. There can, in this view, be no difference others, who are to be the objects of our choice or preference. Hence, in every exercise of the power of appointing to offices, by an assembly of men, we must expect to see a full display of all the private and party likings and dislikes, partialities and antipathies, attachments and animosities, which are felt by those who compose the assembly. The choice which may at any time happen to be made under such circumstances, will of course be the result either of a victory gained by one party over the other, or of a compromise between the parties. In either case, the intrinsic merit of the candidate will be too often out of sight. In the first, the qualifications best adapted to uniting the suffrages of the party, will be more considered than those which fit the person for the station. In the last, the coalition will commonly turn upon some interested equivalent: ``Give us the man we wish for this office, and you shall have the one you wish for that.'' This will be the usual condition of the bargain. And it will rarely happen that the advancement of the public service will be the primary object either of party victories or of party negotiations.

The truth of the principles here advanced seems to have been felt by the most intelligent of those who have found fault with the provision made, in this respect, by the convention. They contend that the President ought solely to have been authorized to make the appointments under the federal government. But it is easy to show, that every advantage to be expected from such an arrangement would, in substance, be derived from the power of NOMINATION, which is proposed to be conferred upon him; while several disadvantages which might attend the absolute power of appointment in the hands of that officer would be avoided. In the act of nomination, his judgment alone would be exercised; and as it would be his sole duty to point out the man who, with the approbation of the Senate, should fill an office, his responsibility would be as complete as if he were to make the final appointment. There can, in this view, be no difference between nominating and appointing. The same motives which would influence a proper discharge of his duty in one case, would exist in the other. And as no man could be appointed but on his previous nomination, every man who might be appointed would be, in fact, his choice.

But might not his nomination be overruled? I grant it might, yet this could only be to make place for another nomination by himself. The person ultimately appointed must be the object of his preference, though perhaps not in the first degree. It is also not very probable that his nomination would often be overruled. The Senate could not be tempted, by the preference they might feel to another, to reject the one proposed; because they could not assure themselves, that the person they might wish would be brought forward by a second or by any subsequent nomination. They could not even be certain, that a future nomination would present a candidate in any degree more acceptable to them; and as their dissent might cast a kind of stigma upon the individual rejected, and might have the appearance of a reflection upon the judgment of the chief magistrate, it is not likely that their sanction would often be refused, where there were not special and strong reasons for the refusal.

To what purpose then require the co-operation of the Senate? I answer, that the necessity of their concurrence would have a powerful, though, in general, a silent operation. It would be an excellent check upon a spirit of favoritism in the President, and would tend greatly to prevent the appointment of unfit characters from State prejudice, from family connection, from personal attachment, or from a view to popularity. In addition to this, it would be an efficacious source of stability in the administration.

It will readily be comprehended, that a man who had himself the sole disposition of offices, would be governed much more by his private inclinations and interests, than when he was bound to submit the propriety of his choice to the discussion and determination of a different and independent body, and that body an entire branch of the legislature. The possibility of rejection would be a strong motive to care in proposing. The danger to his own reputation, and, in the case of an elective magistrate, to his political existence, from betraying a spirit of favoritism, or an unbecoming pursuit of popularity, to the observation of a body whose opinion would have great weight in forming that of the public, could not fail to operate as a barrier to the one and to the other. He would be both ashamed and afraid to bring forward, for the most distinguished or lucrative stations, candidates who had no other merit than that of coming from the same State to which he particularly belonged, or of being in some way or other personally allied to him, or of possessing the necessary insignificance and pliancy to render them the obsequious instruments of his pleasure.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

HARD TO MAKE THE WRONG CASE, BUT MAKES THE ACTUAL ONE:

Columbia Unbecoming (Jennifer Washburn, 4/25/05, The Nation)

In recent months, a growing chorus of conservative critics has decried the existence of a liberal orthodoxy on college campuses and called for new measures to safeguard students' free speech. Curiously, however, these critics are silent regarding the free speech rights of graduate student employees, including teaching assistants (TAs) and research assistants (RAs) who have been trying to hold union elections and have been censored by their university employers. In recent years, in fact, Columbia, Tufts, Penn, Brown and other prestigious private colleges have responded to student organizing drives with tactics that can only be described as profoundly illiberal and undemocratic.

At Columbia, where the students just concluded a weeklong strike in tandem with their brethren at Yale, a previously undisclosed internal memo (just obtained by The Nation) reveals that the administration has been flirting with union-busting tactics that go well beyond anything an academic institution should contemplate. The memo, dated February 16, 2005, is signed by none other than Alan Brinkley, a well-known liberal historian who is now serving as Columbia's provost. Brinkley has gone out of his way to assure outside observers, including New York State Senator David Paterson, that "students are free to join or advocate a union, and even to strike, without retribution." Yet his February 16 memo, addressed to seventeen deans, professors and university leaders, lists retaliatory actions that might be taken against students "to discourage" them from striking. Several of these measures would likely rise to the level of illegality if graduate student employees were covered under the National Labor Relations Act.

Such measures include telling graduate student teachers and researchers who contemplate striking that they could "lose their eligibility for summer stipends" (i.e., future work opportunities) and also "lose their eligibility for special awards, such as the Whitings" (a prestigious scholarship and award program). Yet another proposal cited in the memo would require students who participated in the strike "to teach an extra semester or a year" as a condition for receiving their scholarly degree.

It's unclear whether Columbia's deans and department chairs ever deployed any of these punitive measures--or threatened to deploy them--during the most recent strike, where hundreds of students, joined by other union sympathizers, participated in rowdy demonstrations along Broadway. But the fact that Brinkley proposed such illiberal tactics is itself highly revealing. It suggests that, when it comes to the universities' current administrations, the conservatives have it wrong.

True, college professors in the United States overwhelmingly vote Democratic. But it is hard to make the case that the governance of these institutions--most of whose trustees and regents have backgrounds in business, not education--can be classified as "liberal."


How does the fact that even liberal administrators have to fight their radical staffs for the good of the universities disprove the point that those staffs are damaging the institutions and doing a disservice to the students?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

BOO! RIGHT BACK:

With Syria out, Lebanon clout grows: The last Syrian troops left Lebanon Tuesday, ending 29 years of military domination. (Nicholas Blanford, 4/27/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

Elite Syrian paratroops in pressed camouflage uniforms and red berets marched alongside their Lebanese counterparts at an old airfield here Tuesday in a colorful farewell ceremony that formally ended Syria's 29-year military presence in Lebanon.

The departure of the last batch of Syrian troops was a historic moment for the Lebanese and underlined just how dramatically and quickly Syria's grip on this tiny Mediterranean country has weakened after 15 years of near-total domination.

With the pro-Syrian establishment in Beirut continuing to unravel by the day, any hope that Damascus might have harbored of retaining some level of influence in Lebanon appears to be fading fast. "The question should be what influence will Lebanon have on Syria," says Michael Young, a Lebanese political analyst.

"Syria was stronger militarily but it was never stronger politically, economically, culturally ... in all the domains Syria imposed its order through force," Mr. Young says. "At this point, to my mind, Lebanon is stronger."


From the Nazis to the various Communist regimes to the Ba'athists to the tyrants of Africa, Eastern Europe, Asia and beyond--folks are always surprised afterwards that the monster turned out to be so easily disposed of once someone decided to confront it.


April 26, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:58 PM

TIME FOR A REDEAL (via Tom Corcoran):

FDR's Card Trick: The cynical idealism behind Social Security. (WILLIAM VOEGELI, April 26, 2005, Opinion Journal)

We know at least two things about the Democratic Party. First, it is preoccupied with economic inequality. Implying that the middle class had somehow vanished, Sen. John Edwards campaigned for a year with a showcase speech about two Americas, "one for people who are set for life, [who] know their kids and their grandkids are going to be just fine; and then one for most Americans, people who live paycheck to paycheck." Second, it is unyielding in its defense of Social Security--a defense that rejects the idea of reducing by a penny the pension checks the government sends to Warren Buffett. (Twenty years ago Paul Kirk, then chairman of the Democratic National Committee, suggested publicly that the party ought to consider means-testing Social Security benefits. He was forced--before the end of the day--to issue a statement of regret for even mentioning the subject.)

To make sense of this apparent contradiction is to make some sense of the ongoing debate over Social Security and the meaning of modern liberalism. One can begin by imagining a government program to prevent poverty among the aged, one that would be both simpler than Social Security and more aligned with liberals' desire to tax the rich and help the poor. It would derive its revenue from the progressive income tax rather than Social Security's regressive payroll tax. It would pay its benefits according to individual need. And for the majority of people who--John Edwards notwithstanding--are neither rich nor poor, it would devise incentives and requirements that would encourage them to provide secure retirements for themselves from pensions and savings.

What's wrong with such an approach? Wilbur Cohen, who devoted half a century in government to designing and defending America's social insurance programs, gave his answer in a 1972 debate with Milton Friedman on Social Security: "I am convinced that, in the United States, a program that deals only with the poor will end up being a poor program. . . . Ever since the Elizabethan Poor Law of 1601, programs only for the poor have been lousy, no good, poor programs. And a program that is only for the poor--one that has nothing in it for the middle income and the upper income--is, in the long run, a program the American public won't support." In other words, people who don't need Social Security and Medicare are enrolled as beneficiaries for the sake of people who do. Cohen doubted that people could be persuaded to support programs to help the poor, but he was confident that they could be induced to support them.

There is cynical calculation in Cohen's position, and also some idealism. Chris Suellentrop, a political writer for the webzine Slate, captures the former when he says, "Liberals are willing to keep paying rich people Social Security in the hopes that the payments will keep those rich people from figuring out that Social Security is a redistributive transfer program." [...]

A further, powerful inducement to support the welfare state comes from the logic and rhetoric of social insurance. Franklin D. Roosevelt had stipulated in advance that any federal pension system had to be based on funds "raised by contributions rather than an increase in general taxation." According to "Freedom From Fear" (1999) by Stanford historian David M. Kennedy, FDR's advisers understood that his insistence on following the model of private insurance "meant that, virtually alone among modern nations, the United States would offer its workers an old-age maintenance system financed by a regressive tax on the workers themselves."

Roosevelt, as usual, was thinking farther ahead than his aides. In 1941, after the law had been passed and the first pension benefit checks had been issued, he defended the system when someone complained about its regressivity: "Those taxes were never a problem of economics. They are politics all the way through. We put those payroll taxes there so as to give the contributors a legal, moral and political right to collect their pensions and their unemployment benefits. With those taxes in there, no damn politician can ever scrap my social security program."

Nor was it simply the structure of Social Security that encouraged Americans to believe that its benefits were a return on their own money, not welfare. The government's subsequent public information efforts amounted to a vast marketing campaign for the idea that there was no contradiction between the American tradition of self-reliance and receiving Social Security.


The genius of privatizing Social Security, but keeping it universal, is that it actually would be a form of sel;f-reliance, for the most part, and would redistribute small amounts up front, for those who can't afford full contributions in given years, rather than huge amounts later.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:48 PM

WHY BE PRESIDENT? (via Glenn Dryfoos):

Opening Day in Washington, D.C. (MLB.com, 10/01/04)

Each Major League Club has its own unique celebration to mark the opening of the Major League Baseball season, but Opening Day in the nation's capital, Washington, D.C., was always a special and sometimes historic event.

Washington, D.C.'s Opening Day tradition dates back to April 14, 1910. William Howard Taft, the 27th President of the United States, attended the home opener of the Washington Senators against the Philadelphia Athletics. Numerous other government officials including Vice President James Sherman and Charley Bennett, secretary of the U.S. Senate, joined President Taft at the ballpark.

An overflow crowd of 12,000 fans - the largest baseball crowd in Washington at that time - gave President Taft an enormous standing ovation as he made his way to his seats on the first base side. Senators team president Thomas C. Noyes then took the two managers - Washington's Jimmy McAleer and Philadelphia's legendary Connie Mack - to meet the President.

Just prior to the start of the game, umpire Billy Evans walked over to President Taft's box and presented him with a new baseball. Evans instructed President Taft that he was to throw the ball from his seat in the stands to Senators pitcher Walter Johnson, who was standing at home plate, to officially commence the start of the American League championship season. After giving the ball briefly to First Lady Helen Taft, the President adjusted his gloves and made a good throw to Johnson, who immediately gave the ball to catcher Charles Street to have it secured in a safe place.

President Taft watched the entire game, a 3-0 Washington victory in which Johnson hurled a one-hit, complete game shutout. After the game, Johnson sent the historic ball to the White House accompanied by a note to President Taft asking for his autograph on the ball. President Taft returned the ball after penning the following on it:

"For Walter Johnson, with the hope that he may continue to be as formidable as in yesterday's game. William H. Taft." [...]

The only President to never throw out a ceremonial first pitch at an Opening Day game was Jimmy Carter.


Putz.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:43 PM

TURN THE OTHER:

'A slap in the face' as US clears troops who killed hostage hero (Richard Owen, 4/27/05, Times of London)

A FIERCE row erupted in Italy yesterday after a US military investigation cleared American soldiers of any wrongdoing in the killing of a top Italian intelligence agent as he escorted a hostage to safety.

The US Ambassador to Rome was summoned for urgent talks with Silvio Berlusconi, the Italian Prime Minister, while opponents of the war in Iraq condemned the draft US report as a “slap in the face” for Italy.

In a sign of how deep Italian anger was running over the exoneration by Washington of its troops, Italy was reported to be drawing up a “counter report” pinning the blame on the US.


Italian anger? That hasn't scared anyone in, what, 1500 years?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:40 PM

IN THIRTY YEARS THEY'LL BE WRITING THE SAME ABOUT OPPONENTS OF THE WoT:

Time unravels Whitlam's liberation theology: The Left got it badly wrong about Vietnam, yet few will admit it. (Gerard Henderson, April 26, 2005, The Age)

Three decades ago - after the fall of Saigon and Pol Pot's Khmer Rouge coming to power in Cambodia two weeks earlier - Gough Whitlam's Labor government welcomed what was then fashionably termed the "liberation" of Indochina.

Jim Cairns, Whitlam's deputy prime minister and the (then) guru of the Australian left, on April 8, 1975, had looked forward to communist victories in Vietnam and Cambodia, maintaining that this was "the only way to stop the carnage, the bloodshed and the suffering" in Indochina. On May 26, 1975 - two months after Saigon fell - Whitlam told the Parliament that "the changeover has been peaceful and effective". [...]

Once it was fashionable to support the communist victories in Indochina. This was the position of most leading ALP figures (Whitlam, Cairns, Tom Uren) and also of the overwhelming majority of academics, journalists and other opinion leaders involved in the public debate on our Vietnam commitment.

On January 26, 1978, Uren and some fellow Labor comrades issued a statement addressed to Pol Pot in Cambodia (then Kampuchea) and Phan Van Dong in Vietnam. The leftist signatories declared their support for the "national liberation struggles of both Vietnam and Kampuchea" and urged both leaders to resolve their "current border conflict". No mention was made about the human rights violations then taking place in both countries.

In September 1978, Whitlam addressed a conference in Canberra where he declared that he did not accept the validity of any of the reports about human rights violations in Vietnam, Cambodia or Laos. He was particularly emphatic about Cambodia, declaring: "I make bold to doubt all the stories that appear in the newspapers about the treatment of people in Cambodia." [...]

It is true that the regime that came to power in Saigon in 1975, assisted by the communist leadership in the Soviet Union and China, did not engage in wide-scale killings. But it did incarcerate about 1 million South Vietnamese in Hanoi's own gulag.


Our own Left sang from the same hymnal, as witness this priceless George McGovern quote:
The growing hysteria of the administration's posture on Cambodia seems to me to reflect a determined refusal to consider what the fall of the existing government in Phnom Penh would actually mean.... We should be able to see that the kind of government which would succeed Lon Nol's forces would most likely be a government ... run by some of the best-educated, most able intellectuals in Cambodia.

Who in their right mind would welcome government by intellectuals?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:19 PM

Play ball! (Nancy M. Kendall, 4/27/05, CS Monitor)

Each word or phrase below can be completed with a word that comes from baseball. Read the clues, and check your answers at the bottom. Batter up!

1. Plain and simple; _ _ _ _ spun


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:59 PM

HEY, LOOK WHAT WE CAN DO:

Today anti-Japan, tomorrow anti-Beijing? (Aaron Kyle Dennis , 4/27/05, Asia Times)

The flood of anti-Japan demonstrations then spread to Shanghai, Tianjin and Hangzhou. Waving banners that read "The anti-Japan war is not over yet," and chanting "We love our China, we hate your Japan," and in English "We want war," demonstrators made it undeniably clear they were not merely marching in protest of a textbook or in denunciation of Japan's bid for permanent Security Council membership. More than a dozen Japanese restaurants, shops and bars (many of them Chinese-owned) had rocks flung through their windows and were pelted with crimson-red paint bombs; a Nissan sedan (Chinese-owned) was smashed and overturned, and a police car alleged to be protecting a Japanese passenger had its windshield broken out while onlookers chanted "Kill the Japanese!" Police were standing in lines three-deep, not with the intention to block demonstrators, but to guide them; police behind a professionally printed blue-and-white sign reading; "March route continues in this direction"; police sipping lattes with demonstrators in cafes - these scenes do not even hint at an urge toward suppressing anti-Japanese hostilities.

The question that has arisen out of the big Shanghai demonstration - and those leading up to it over the past few weeks in Chengdu, Shenzhen and Beijing, among others - concerns whether it is on the Chinese government's agenda to allow anti-Japan protesters to voice their opinion publicly. But the bigger question is this: in a new era of online petitions with 22 million signatories and of public demonstrations of 20,000 organized primarily by SMS (short message service) and e-mail, in what ways will Chinese citizens be able to shape future government agendas? It is possible that equipped with an understanding of how to organize en masse and seemingly under the radar of Beijing's censors, younger Chinese may begin encouraging others to take to the streets against corruption and government land seizures, to complain about economic inequality or ideological repression. That is to say, with a slight change of focus, Beijing may see a change of course in its internal affairs towards more turbulent political waters.


Dictators can never afford to empower the people.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:02 PM

NO WONDER THE LEFT HATES MARKETS:

Air America’s Year of Decline: The liberal network scores its lowest-ever ratings. (Byron York, 4/26/05, National Review)

The latest radio ratings are in, and they show continued bad news for Air America, the liberal talk-radio network featuring Al Franken, Randi Rhodes, Janeane Garofolo, and others.

While it is difficult to pinpoint Air America's ratings nationally — it is on the air in about 50 stations across the country, and has been on some of them for just the last few months — it is possible to measure the network's performance in the nation's number-one market, New York City.

The new Arbitron ratings for Winter 2005, which covers January, February, and March, show that WLIB, the station which carries Air America in New York, won a 1.2-percent share of all listeners 12 years and older. That is down one tenth of one point from the station's 1.3 percent share in Winter 2004, the last period when it aired its old format of Caribbean music and talk. [...]

The ratings also show WABC radio, which airs Rush Limbaugh, consistently beating Air America in New York City even though Franken had at one time claimed to be beating the conservative host there. In the 10 a.m. to 3 P.M. period in the Winter of 2005, WABC (and Limbaugh) won 2.7 percent of the audience to Air America's 1.4 percent. In Spring 2004, WABC beat Air America 2.7 percent to 2.2 percent. In Summer 2004, WABC won 2.7 percent to 2.3 percent. In Fall 2004, WABC won 3.6 percent to 1.6 percent.

That last number surprised some observers because it showed Air America faltering in October and November 2004, the period when the presidential election was reaching its finish and political passions were presumably at their highest.


The surest sign that the Left can't compete in the marketplace of ideas has to be Al Gore entering the field.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:54 PM

CAN'T BE BRUTAL ENOUGH:

Fallout for Syria's Assad could be brutal (DONNA ABU-NASR, 4/25/05, ASSOCIATED PRESS)

Syrian President Bashar Assad will always be remembered as the leader who lost Lebanon, one of the strongest cards Syria ever held in its standoff with Israel.

What was a policy coup 29 years ago for his father, the late President Hafez Assad - the dispatch of troops to a country that Syria had long coveted - turned into a disaster for the son, alienating the world's most powerful nations and threatening his own political future.

On Tuesday, after the last Syrian soldiers left Lebanon, U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan dispatched a team to verify the withdrawal. Syria's compliance with the U.N. demand for withdrawal could relieve some of the pressure it has faced since the Feb. 14 assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. The Lebanese opposition blames Syria and its Lebanese allies for the slaying.

But the pullout won't end all of Syria's woes nor Assad's. It could weaken Assad at home. Or it could give him a chance to move against opponents within his regime by blaming them for a series of recent mistakes.

Either way, Syria faces trouble on all fronts.


It's always seemed unlikely that he'd survive the Bush presidency, but you'd have to say now that it would be unsurprising if he didn't make it to the end of 2005.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:38 PM

WHAT ATLANTIC?:


Air India to purchase 50 new Boeing jets
(The Associated Press, 4/25/05)

Air India announced today a $6 billion order for 50 new Boeing jetliners.

State-owned Air India said it would purchase eight 777-300 long-haul jetliners, 15 737-200 medium range aircraft and 27 787s — Boeing's newest jet, the Dreamliner.

The announcement came one day after Air Canada said it would purchase up to 96 Boeing jets.

Air India spokesman Jeetendra Bhargava said the board had reviewed purchase proposals from both Boeing and rival Airbus SAS before making a decision.

Earlier this month, Boeing's senior vice president of sales Dinesh Keskar said his company had offered "comprehensive and competitive bids" for the planes and last week, U.S. Transportation Secretary Norman Mineta visited New Delhi and said relations between the United States and India would benefit if Boeing gets the order.


It's too faint praise, but Mr. Mineta is surely the best Transportation Secretary we've ever had.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:34 PM

HAPPY ANNIVERSARY, HUBBLE:


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:27 PM

LESS AND LESS:

Japanese economy stuck in deflation (David Pilling, April 26 2005, Financial Times)

Consumer prices fell for a seventh straight year in the 12 months to end-March 2005, confirming that the economy remains stuck in deflation in spite of three years of stop-start growth.

The decline in the core consumer price index, of 0.2 per cent, was far less severe than the 0.8 per cent of the previous two years.

But a sharp fall in the price of deregulated utilities, including electricity and fixed-line telephone charges, may have added fresh impetus to deflation. The CPI for Tokyo in April, which comes out a month ahead of nationwide statistics, fell by 0.5 per cent.

The Bank of Japan is on Thursday widely expected to put back its prediction of a return to inflation from this year to next when it publishes a six-monthly report on future trends in prices and economic activity. Last October, the BoJ forecast a return to mild inflation, of 0.1 per cent, in the year to end-March 2006.


Prices aren't going to head up as their population declines.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:07 PM

Word of the Day (April 26, 2005)

matutinal \muh-TOOT-n-uhl\, adjective:

Relating to or occurring in the morning; early.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:15 PM

WHO AMONG US WOULDN'T DO THE SAME:

Actor-comedian George Lopez has kidney transplant from wife (AP, 4/25/05)

George Lopez underwent a kidney transplant with an organ donated by his wife, a publicist for the actor-comedian said Monday.

I'd like to think that if The Wife ever needed an organ transplant I'd have the courage to ask George Lopez's wife to give her one.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:08 PM

WHOSE SIDE WERE YOU ON IN THE WAR, DADDY?:

The prime minister is a war criminal: Like Chamberlain in the 30s, Blair is an appeaser of a dangerous global power. He should be in prison, not standing for election (Richard Gott, April 26, 2005, The Guardian)

Tony Blair has been the worst prime minister since Neville Chamberlain, a figure with whom he shares a number of significant characteristics. Chamberlain was a supremely confident and arrogant politician, an excellent speaker and a deeply religious man with a hotline to God. He had an unassailable majority in parliament, was popular in the country and presided over a cabinet stuffed with nonentities.

Unfamiliar with the outside world, he conducted his own disastrous foreign policy with the help of backroom advisers as ignorant as himself. By seeking to appease the German government, the principal threat to world peace at the time, he onlysucceeded in encouraging that country's appetite for aggression and expansionism. His egregious errors played a not insignificant role in the outbreak of the second world war, the principal tragedy of the 20th century.

Blair has followed in his footsteps, and is destined for the same place in history's hall of infamy. Like Chamberlain, he is an arrogant and God-fuelled appeaser, the unseemly ally of an unbridled country that presents a global threat similar to Germany in the 1930s.

Instead of seeking a grand alliance to confront this new danger - "a coalition of the unwilling" that would include the Europeans, the Russians and the Chinese - Blair has sided with the evil empire.


Then why do the Iraqi people want to try and execute Saddam Hussein, not Tony Blair?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:04 PM

MAN DATE?:


Oil Prices Slip After Saudi Assurance (Reuters, 4/26/05)

OPEC's acting Secretary General Adnan Shihab-Eldin said that oil prices much above $50 will start to hurt world economic growth.

The comments followed assurances from Saudi Arabia on Monday that it would provide buyers with all the crude they need, serving as a cue for traders to take profits after a week of gains and a price rise of nearly $5.

Adel al-Jubeir, foreign affairs adviser to Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Abdullah, said after a meeting between President Bush and Abdullah in Texas that world oil supplies were adequate, but the kingdom was willing to provide as much crude oil as buyers wanted.

The kingdom is producing slightly over 9.5 million bpd, with between 1.3 million and 1.4 million bpd in spare production capacity that could quickly be tapped, Jubeir said.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:29 AM

A GOOD CAUSE, BUT MINE IS BETTER (via Paul CellaM):

The Moral Complexity of War: A conversation with Max Hastings. (Interview by Donald A. Yerxa, March/April 2005, Books & Culture)

Can there be anything else to say about the collapse of the Third Reich—anything worth saying, that is? Sir Max Hastings, one of Great Britain's most respected military historians, convincingly shows that there is much more to the end of the Third Reich than speculations about mystery weapons and accounts of those murky final days in Hitler's Berlin bunker. Hastings' new book, Armageddon: The Battle for Germany, 1944–1945 (Knopf), is an impressive and disturbing account of the last stage of the European war. This was nothing short of a cataclysm, and Hastings recounts some of the "extraordinary things that happened to ordinary people" on both fronts. What emerges is a picture of suffering, degradation, dignity, and profound moral complexity. [...]

What about the other side of this coin? What about those writers who are also unwilling to embrace moral complexities not because of celebratory sentiments, but because they want war to yield to purist moral standards?

I don't buy such arguments at all. Of course, no war is morally perfect. One of the worst diseases of our time is the notion that we must pursue moral absolutes. Most of life is about making very difficult marginal choices about morality. It is never going to be 100 percent, and that's why we should always exhibit some sympathy for our rulers when they make decisions about peace or war. I happen to be a critic of the Iraq business. There well might be a case to be made for using force against the North Koreans, Iranians, or someone else who threatens the peace of the world with weapons of mass destruction. What caused some of us to say before the Iraq war began that we were skeptical about going in was that we were fearful that it would compromise the case for using force in a better cause. So it is madness, I think, to say that nothing is worth the use of force. When civilized societies lose the strength of purpose to be prepared to use force for relatively good causes, we might as well all give up. We must have the confidence to make these decisions, but obviously every time we use force in a cause that is not very good, it weakens our ability to muster the will of our society to use force in a better cause. In the current situation, a lot of us are very worried about what the Iranians are doing with their nuclear capability. And we do feel pretty sore toward Bush, Cheney, and Rumsfeld because we feel they have made it harder to use force on something that looks as if it may really matter.


You rarely hear someone so directly accuse himself of making the better the enemy of the good.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:46 AM

فُولاذِيّ ? (via Kevin Whited):

United States pursues more free-trade agreements in the Middle East: Washington is trying to entrench its economic and political ties in the region (Peyman Pejman, April 26, 2005, The Daily Star)

Trying to entrench its economic and political ties in the region, and blaming the Gulf Cooperation Council's slowness in devising region-wide economic measures, the United States is aggressively pursuing a number of free-trade agreements in this part of the Middle East.

The latest chapter in this effort started in March when Washington initiated free-trade agreement (FTA) negotiations with the United Arab Emirates and Oman, two politically moderate countries in the region considered to be U.S. allies in the Middle East.

So far only Jordan and Morocco have signed an FTA with Washington, although the U.S. Congress is likely to ratify soon a similar agreement the United States has signed with Bahrain. Other countries in "serious discussions'' with the United States are Kuwait and Qatar. Many in the Middle East argue - and some in the U.S. agree - that FTAs with governments here are more a matter of politics, although no one denies that in the long term they can be a powerful tool for the countries that sign them.

In 2004, total exports to the U.S. from the six Middle Eastern countries - U.A.E., Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, Oman and Jordan - amounted to $6.6 billion. Total imports from the U.S. were estimated at $7.2 billion.

Even without an FTA, bilateral trade with those six countries has increased in the past few years, jumping about 30 percent since 2002, although most of that have been U.S. exports rather than imports.

U.S. officials in the region emphasize the worthiness of FTAs from an economic perspective but quickly add that if they result in political freedom and accounting transparency in the Middle East, those are valuable end-results in themselves.


How do you say "What about the steel tariffs?" in Arabic?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:22 AM

MR. KRUGMAN IS NOT AMUSED:

The Proof's in the Pension (JOHN TIERNEY, 4/26/05, NY Times)

I made a pilgrimage to Santiago seeking to resolve the Social Security debate with a simple question: What would Pablo Serra do?

I wanted to compare our pensions to see the results of an accidental experiment that began in 1961, when he and I were friends in second grade at a school in Chile. He remained in Chile and became the test subject; I returned to America as the control group. [...]

After comparing our relative payments to our pension systems (since salaries are higher in America, I had contributed more), we extrapolated what would have happened if I'd put my money into Pablo's mutual fund instead of the Social Security trust fund. We came up with three projections for my old age, each one offering a pension that, like Social Security's, would be indexed to compensate for inflation:

(1) Retire in 10 years, at age 62, with an annual pension of $55,000. That would be more than triple the $18,000 I can expect from Social Security at that age.

(2) Retire at age 65 with an annual pension of $70,000. That would be almost triple the $25,000 pension promised by Social Security starting a year later, at age 66.

(3)Retire at age 65 with an annual pension of $53,000 and a one-time cash payment of $223,000.

You may suspect that Pablo has prospered only because he's a sophisticated investor, but he simply put his money into one of the most popular mutual funds. He has more money in it than most Chileans because his salary is above average, but lower-paid workers who contributed to that fund for the same period of time would be in relatively good shape, too, because their projected pension would amount to more than 90 percent of their salaries.

By contrast, Social Security replaces less than 60 percent of your salary - and that's only if you were a low-income worker. Typical recipients get back less than half of their salaries.


Mr. Tierney's column begins to fulfill its promise.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:19 AM

THERE IS NO RUSSIA:

Protest in Urals Seeks Ouster of a Putin Ally (STEVEN LEE MYERS, 4/26/05, NY Times)

Heartened by the political upheavals in two of Russia's neighbors, Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan, thousands here have staged a series of demonstrations since February calling for the ouster of the president of the Bashkortostan region, Murtaza G. Rakhimov.

An ally of President Putin, he has served as the leader of this largely Muslim region, formally an autonomous republic within Russia, since the collapse of the Soviet Union. He won re-election in 2003 in a contest in which his chief opponent withdrew from campaigning, reportedly at the urging of the Kremlin.

The issues are largely local, but the complaints against Mr. Rakhimov's government evoke those that were raised against the recently ousted leaders in Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan and are now increasingly heard about Mr. Putin. They include allegations of manipulated elections, increasing state control of business, and corruption. [...]

"An end will come," Ramil I. Bignov, a businessman and leader of a diverse coalition of Mr. Rakhimov's opponents, said after the latest protest, on April 16. "And it will come soon."

Although Mr. Bignov limited his comments to his hopes for Mr. Rakhimov's political demise, the implications of a successful street campaign against the regional leader would reach Mr. Putin as well, most obviously because Mr. Putin has supported Mr. Rakhimov and because Bashkortostan, like the rebellious Chechen republic, is a part of Russia.


No they aren't.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:15 AM

ISN'T THERE A JUNKET WE COULD GO ON?:

Senate Committee Takes Up Bid to Overhaul Social Security (ROBIN TONER and DAVID E. ROSENBAUM, 4/26/05, NY Times)

After months of political maneuvering, presidential campaigning, advertising and ultimatums, the 20-member Senate Finance Committee plans to start grappling this week with overhauling the Social Security system.

So far, the committee has proven to be just about as divided - and stalled - as the Senate at large. Senator Charles E. Grassley of Iowa, the chairman of the committee, says somewhat ruefully that most of his committee members simply wish the issue would go away.


Dang! You mean they have to do their jobs?

Of course, if they do them right they can make the issue go away.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:10 AM

STATUS WILL SELL THEM:

Honda collaborates on a hybrid for the home: Heating device that creates electricity as a bonus unveils today (Chris Reidy, April 26, 2005, Boston Globe)

American Honda Motor Co., which has been working on hybrid cars, is collaborating on a hybrid of sorts for the home: a roughly $8,000 natural gas system that ''co-generates" heat and electricity.

For consumers willing to invest $3,000 to $4,000 more than the cost of a conventional heating system, there's a potential for savings when it comes to paying energy bills down the road, according to Climate Energy LLC of Medfield, one of Honda's partners. With the new system, called a Micro-CHP System, natural gas that home owners buy to convert to heat creates electricity as a bonus byproduct.

At an event set for today at the Museum of Science, Climate Energy, and Honda plan to unveil a combined heat-and-power appliance that Climate Energy claims can shave about $600 off a local consumer's annual electricity bill.

According to the two companies, this is the first time such an appliance will be available at affordable prices to US home owners.


Since so much of the hybrid craze has been driven by social cache, they ought to create a little plate that you can put on your front door when you install one of these: Hybrid Home!


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:34 AM

DON'T HIDE YOUR FACE:

Some fear law would create national ID card (Charlie Savage, April 26, 2005, Boston Globe)

Congress is poised to pass a law that would make sweeping changes to the nation's system for issuing driver's licenses by imposing stringent requirements on states to verify the authenticity of birth certificates, Social Security cards, legal residency visas, and bank and utility records used to obtain a license.

House Republicans attached the bill to a must-pass supplemental spending package for troops in Iraq without first putting it through the usual legislative scrutiny of hearings and debate. Should it emerge intact from House-Senate negotiations over the spending package, it could be law next month.

Touted as an antiterrorism measure, the ''Real ID Act" would also overturn laws in nine states that allow illegal immigrants to obtain driver's licenses. If a state does not comply with any provision of the law, its residents would no longer be able to use their driver's licenses for federal identification purposes, such as for boarding a plane.

The law, some say, would effectively turn the new driver's license into a national identification card. Its chief champion, House Judiciary Chairman James Sensenbrenner, Republican of Wisconsin, says the measure would help prevent terrorists from fraudulently gaining official documents that would allow them to enter the country and move freely.


From whence arises the absurd notion that you have some reasonable expectancy that your very identity can be kept private?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:23 AM

CULTURE WARRIOR:

Faith 'War' Rages in U.S., Judge Says: A Bush nominee central to the Senate's judicial controversy criticizes secular humanists. (Peter Wallsten, April 26, 2005, LA Times)

Just days after a bitterly divided Senate committee voted along party lines to approve her nomination as a federal appellate court judge, California Supreme Court Justice Janice Rogers Brown told an audience Sunday that people of faith were embroiled in a "war" against secular humanists who threatened to divorce America from its religious roots, according to a newspaper account of the speech. [...]

"There seems to have been no time since the Civil War that this country was so bitterly divided. It's not a shooting war, but it is a war," she said, according to a report published Monday in the Stamford Advocate.

"These are perilous times for people of faith," she said, "not in the sense that we are going to lose our lives, but in the sense that it will cost you something if you are a person of faith who stands up for what you believe in and say those things out loud." [...]

The Advocate quoted Brown as lamenting that America had moved away from the religious traditions on which it was founded.

"When we move away from that, we change our whole conception of the most significant idea that America has to offer, which is this idea of human freedom and this notion of liberty," she said.

She added that atheism "handed human destiny over to the great god, autonomy, and this is quite a different idea of freedom…. Freedom then becomes willfulness."

Brown's remarks drew praise Monday from one of the nation's most prominent evangelical leaders, Gary Bauer, president of the socially conservative advocacy group American Values.

"No wonder the radical left opposes her," Bauer wrote in an e-mail to supporters. "Janice Rogers Brown understands the great culture war raging in America. That is why the abortion crowd, the homosexual rights movement and the radical secularists are all demanding that Senate liberals block her confirmation."


Radical Left? It's the Democratic caucus.


MORE:
The war on religion (Paul Greenberg, 4/26/05, Jewish World Review)

Mark Pryor, the junior senator from Arkansas, may not make the news very often, but when he does say something newsworthy, it's a doozy.

The other day, he strongly objected to those religious fanatics (fa-nat-ic — anyone who disagrees with you strongly) who have been campaigning against the never-ending filibuster that is denying the president's judicial nominees a straight up-or-down vote in the United States Senate.

Mark Pryor wasn't so much challenging these folks' political views but their daring to express them. It's unbecoming, you see, for church people to participate in the low rough-and-tumble of politics. Their tactics, he says, could "make the followers of Jesus Christ just another special interest group."

So shut up, he explained.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:31 AM

TO THE CONTRARY:

The Soul of a Lost Cause: Ernesto Cardenal is still the poet-priest of Nicaragua's Sandinistas. But he knows that the church and the times have turned against him. (Reed Johnson, April 26, 2005, LA Times)

The radical priest who once bucked the will of Pope John Paul II looks old and frail now, with his wintry beard and shuffling gait.

He's still wearing his beatnik beret, and when he speaks of the glory days of the '70s and '80s his eyes blaze with an apostle's ardor. But Father Ernesto Cardenal's fiery eloquence can't burn away this stubborn thought: that the Nicaraguan revolution, the cause that Cardenal served so devoutly, through so many years of sacrifice and spilled blood, is a ghost of its former self.

Sitting beside his living-room wall, with its eerie photo montage of fallen comrades, Cardenal offers a thudding assessment of what happened to that distant revolutionary dream.

"For now it would seem that it wasn't worthwhile, the death of anyone," says Cardenal, a Roman Catholic priest and one of the most renowned Central American poets of the last half-century. "But in that time it was felt that they had died for a better country, in order to create a better country."

The revolution that brought the leftist Sandinistas to power, and the civil war that followed, left tens of thousands dead and laid waste to this majestically beautiful land. As Cardenal, 80, chronicles in his latest volume of memoirs, "La Revolucion Perdida" (The Lost Revolution), revolutions sometimes have an odd way of turning the tables on their inventors.


Sometimes? All violent revolutions are mistakes.


April 25, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:34 PM

AMAZING GRACE:

For Suzuki, Hits Keep On Coming (BOB SHERWIN, April 26, 2005, NY Times)

Ichiro Suzuki, whose adjustments as a hitter can be as minute as subtle pressure from one finger on his bat, caused a stir among Japanese reporters before spring training when he revealed, "I have nothing to find."

The cryptic message was Suzuki's way of disclosing that he had successfully changed his batting stance in the middle of last season - a change that was nearly imperceptible but nevertheless instrumental in breaking the 84-year-old single-season hit record and reaching 262.

"I was thinking a lot about hitting and trying many, many things," said Suzuki, the Seattle Mariners right fielder. "For years, I don't think I was able to get it. It just didn't come to me."

But June 24 was the night of his breakthrough, he said. During batting practice, he experimented by moving his right foot - the front foot in his batting stance - a couple of inches away from the plate, opening his stance and spreading his legs four more inches apart. He said those minor changes allowed him to lower his bat angle slightly.

"It was nothing that I wasn't aware of," Suzuki said through the interpreter Allen Turner. "It just feels like baseball when I was really young, that type of feeling came back to me."

The difference was instantaneous, Suzuki said.

"When I took a practice swing, I already felt comfortable," he said. "Then when I hit a couple balls, I felt the same way. It was really comfortable."

Suzuki went on to collect 51 hits in July, 56 in August and 50 combined in September and October. He won his second American League batting title with a .372 average, hitting .429 after the All-Star Game break.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:25 PM

WHEN BLACKER MEANS REDDER:

Three key US election races to keep in mind: Elected African American Republicans have been nearly a non-entity since Reconstruction, but that could change (Dr. Mark Byron, April 25, 2005, Spero Forum)

Republicans have made major inroads into the Hispanic vote in the last decade, often appealing to a Catholic family values in doing so, but have yet to make their 10% percentage among African-Americans budge much. Blacks are more devout - recall that it was the black church, personified by Martin Luther King, that spearheaded and won the Civil Rights battles of the 50s and 60s - and more culturally conservative on sexual issues than whites, yet the civil rights and economic liberal planks of the Democrats have kept blacks voting Democratic until now.

The 2006 elections may well see that start to change.

Three black Republican candidates stand a good chance of being elected to statewide posts. In Maryland, Lt. Governor Michael Steele is the likely GOP senate candidate. Ohio Secretary of State Kenneth Blackwell is the early favorite to be the next governor. Mega-church pastor and former Detroit city councilman Keith Butler has broad support to get the Republican US Senate nomination in Michigan.

All three stand a good chance of being the first black Republican since Brooke to win a top-of-the-ticket state race.

Steele is currently within the margin of error in recent polls - this in a state that went 56-43 for Kerry in the last election. He's a Catholic in a state with a very large Catholic population. He's also from the multi-racial Prince Georges county in the Washington suburbs, which might given him an advantage there over a Baltimore-based candidate. Steele's been given a high-profile spot as part of the White House delegation to Pope Benedict XVI’s inaugural mass. That will both give him exposure and remind Maryland voters of his Catholic faith.

Steele's a conservative on social issues, contrasting with Governor Bob Ehrlich, who comes from the moderate wing of the GOP. [...]

Ken Blackwell has been a Great Black Hope of the GOP for over two decades, having served as mayor of Cincinnati and as Secretary of State. He distanced himself from Gov. Robert Taft and other Republican leaders by supporting an anti-same-sex-marriage amendment in 2004. The amendment passed with 62% of the vote. He's currently leading in polls for the Republican nomination for governor in 2006. Taft is term-limited.

Blackwell got fifteen minutes of fame in November, as Ohio became the pivotal state in the presidential election. The relatively large margin of victory - at least when compared to Florida in 2000 - saved Blackwell from being 2004's Katherine Harris, as Kerry took only until Wednesday afternoon to concede. There are some folks who think that Bush's 2% Ohio margin was bogus and hold Blackwell among others to blame, but they're unlikely to be swing voters next year.

Keith Butler has less of an elective track record, having only served a term as a Detroit city councilman, but has become part of the Republican establishment in Michigan. He's a pastor/bishop of World of Faith International Christian Center a 21,000 member megachurch in suburban Southfield. Butler is getting more than just theocon support in the Michigan GOP mainstream Republicans such as state Attorney General Mike Cox and former Lt. Governor Dick Postumus were introducing - but stopping short of endorsing - Butler in his candidacy announcement tour earlier this month.

If he gets the nomination, he'll create a different dynamic than Michigan's used to.


The network anchors wouldn't know what to say on Election Night if even two of the three come in.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:18 PM

ALL COMEDY....:

Interview with Brian C. Anderson, author of South Park Conservatives: The Revolt Against Liberal Media Bias (Orrin C. Judd, 4/25/05, Spero Forum)

Q: One of the things that connects various media that you cite in the revolt against liberal bias is the use of humor to skewer political correctness and the Left's dogmas, is there something about comedy in particular that makes it a better weapon for the Right than the Left?

BA: Humor is a powerful weapon for the Right these days in part because the cultural establishment in this country has been liberal for so long—and it almost never pokes fun at itself. For decades of network programming, it’s always been the priest or the businessman or the general or the adherent of traditional values who turns out to be the bad guy, the repressed maniac, the hypocrite, the butt of humor. The liberal do-gooder, the social worker, the progressive teacher, the wise, straight-talkin’ minority—they’ve all been celebrated, held up as paragons of meaningful life.

Reality isn’t like that. Liberals in entertainment and the news media have created a kind of ideological construct, a narcissistic bubble just begging to be burst. The liberal do-gooder might be driven by rage and resentment, might be a kind of micro-fascist; the minority might be a racist thug; maybe the social worker abets self- and community destroying behavior. Perhaps not all businessmen are evil! Maybe some of them legitimately practice business as a moral calling, as Michael Novak argues. Maybe the general is both moral and a hero. Maybe the priest is holy.

That’s why South Park is so satirically powerful—it pops that liberal bubble and let’s some truth in: tolerance can be carried to the point of oppressiveness; rights can be extended in ways that are morally indefensible; anti-business protesters can be mindlessly misguided; hippies are selfish narcissists. My book offers plenty of examples. Trey Parker and Matt Stone, South Park’s creators, go after conservatives too—I don’t mean to suggest they’re across-the-board right-wingers. But going after the Right is nothing new. What is new, especially in television humor, is skewering the Left so savagely.

As I mentioned earlier, a key reason the Left hasn’t done well in talk radio is its lack of humor. Jonah Goldberg, a pretty funny guy, makes the point that liberals have this "Coalition of the Oppressed" as their constituency, and if a liberal humorist targeted blacks or gays or animal rights activists, he’d be bombarded with complaints from his "base" saying: "How dare you laugh! That’s not sensitive!"

Conservatives have—or should have-a keen understanding of man’s propensity for evil, of the complexity of human motivations in a fallen world. They thus should have a proper dose of cynicism in their worldview, which makes it easier to laugh at human foibles, their own included.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:04 PM

WHAT WoT?:

Libya stepping into open market economy (SADEK TARHONI, 4/25/05, UNITED PRESS INTERNATIONAL)

Libya is moving slowly but surely into an open-market economy after decades of socialist-style policies.

Products from all over the world have become largely available as billboards for Western goods now fill the streets of the capital, Tripoli, and other large Libyan cities. Shopping outlets, previously called cooperatives, are now known as supermarkets and posters promote previously unseen brand names such as "White Westinghouse," "Nokia," and "Carrier."

The changes began two years ago after Libya said it would pursue "popular capitalism." The policy was boosted by Prime Minister Shukri Ghanem, a staunch advocate of an open economy.

Economic experts say the aim of the new policies is to ensure economic stability and create new sources of income for a country that is heavily dependent on oil. Free-trade zones are being created, foreign investment encouraged, and service and tourism boosted.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:01 PM

THREE STRIKE RULE:

Nightmare of social Europe (Martin Walker, 4/24/05, UPI)

Social affairs has become the most controversial issue of public policy all across Europe. Having defined itself for a generation by the generosity of their welfare states and an insistence of "social solidarity" rather than a robust clash of interests between labor and capital, Europe is grappling with three separate threats to its future. Any one of them could well prove fatal to the EU's social model. Combined, they are devastating.

The first has been the sharpening of competition, with its consequent pressure on wages and on employment, which helps explain why France and Germany are grappling with double-digit unemployment. The competition has been made more ferocious by Europe's enlargement. The EU was joined last year by 10 new member states, mostly from low-wage Central and Eastern Europe, where salaries are one-third to one half those of Western Europe and taxes even lower. So the new Volkswagen and Peugeot factories in the Czech Republic and Slovakia represent growth for them, but unemployment back in France and Germany.

The second threat to Europe's social model is the demographic disaster. This is far more serious than America's concern with the future of Social Security as the baby boomers retire. Europeans are about to start dying out. By the end of this decade, the populations of Italy and Germany will start to shrink because Europeans have almost stopped breeding. The Russian population is already shrinking by more than a million a year. Without some dramatic changes in the birth rate, Europeans will become in this century an endangered species.

To maintain a constant population requires an average 2.1 children from each woman of child-bearing age. In today's EU, the average woman bears 1.3 children. In Italy and Lithuania (both overwhelmingly Roman Catholic countries) the figure is down to 1.1. The only countries close to replacing themselves are France and Britain, thanks in part to the higher birthrates of immigrant mothers.

So while Americans might face some discomfort in paying for Social Security after the 2040s, disaster hits Europe in the next 10-15 years. By 2020, on current trends, there will be one German worker for every pensioner. So already German pensioners are paying the price as neither the state nor young workers can afford to keep them in the style to which they have become accustomed. For example, the health insurance payments of German pensioners now rise the older they get. The long-term unemployed no longer get state payments in generous proportion to their last working salary, but a standard $450 a month plus their rent.

The third threat to the European social model is immigration, which is ironic, because immigration was supposed to be part of the solution to the demographic disaster. Were Europe's immigrants solely young Arabs and Asians seeking work, and paying taxes while they did so, that would help Europe's problem. But many of those young workers then bring their parents, and marry a young woman from their home country, who brings her own parents and so on. The result is that in Belgium, for example, more than half the immigrants over the age of 40 are unemployed and dependent on social security payments.

But the deeper problem with immigration is political. Europe's home-grown population resents it.


Socialism, secularism, and multiculturalism--the waves of the future...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:55 PM

CHEAP, BUT FUNNY:

RNC finds Bush-Reid tit-for-tat (Alexander Bolton, 4/26/05, The Hill)

The Republican National Committee (RNC) has resurrected a bill Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) sponsored when he was in the House more than 20 years ago that would have kept members of Congress out of the Social Security program.

RNC researchers contend that the 1983 bill belies Reid’s repeated claim that Social Security is the “most successful program in the history of the world.”

The Republican salvo is in response to Democrats’ frequent use of a statement President Bush made in 1978 during his unsuccessful campaign for Congress that Social Security will “go bust in 10 years unless there are some changes.”


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:53 PM

APING THE TABLOIDS:

Fischer fails to deflect attack over visa scandal (Roger Boyes, 4/26/05, Times of London)

JOSCHKA FISCHER, the embattled German Foreign Minister, failed to quell doubts about his political future yesterday with an irritable performance before a parliamentary investigation into an immigration scandal.

Herr Fischer could yet be brought down by the controversy over a relaxation of visa rules that led to an influx of Ukrainian prostitutes and gangs into Germany and other European countries.

The controversy also threatens to undermine the country’s ruling coalition, in which the Green party, which he leads, is the junior partner.


The "Herr" is a nice touch. Even the Times grasps how much the nation disdains Europe.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:29 PM

WINNING THE WoT, HE YAWNED:

Syria Ends 29-Year Presence in Lebanon (DONNA ABU-NASR, 4/24/05, AP)

As soon as the truckloads of Syrian soldiers had left for home, Mariam Majzoub started dishing out paint to erase the last vestiges of their 29-year presence.

Her children, nephews, nieces and neighbors stuck Lebanese flags on top of the abandoned posts near her home in this tiny Bekaa Valley village, slapped whitewash on the walls and celebrated the departure date in green paint: "Independence 2005, Sunday, April 17."

"We started dancing in the street even before they turned the corner," said Majzoub, her plump face glowing with joy. "We could finally express ourselves, and there was nothing they could do about it."

Syria ended its three-decade presence in Lebanon on Sunday, leaving behind only a few score troops who will attend a farewell ceremony Tuesday.


As a succession of Iron Curtain governments fell each received diminishing attention--a region with which we'd been obsessed for five decades becoming an afterthought once it became clear we'd won the Cold War. Has the Middle East already reached that point just three plus years into the War on Terror?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:20 PM

TURN THE CRANK (via Steve Jacobson):

Frist, Reid Work on Judge-Approval Deal (DAVID ESPO and JESSE J. HOLLAND, Associated Press)

In private talks with Majority Leader Bill Frist, the Senate's top Democrat has indicated a willingness to allow confirmation of at least two of President Bush's seven controversial appeals court nominees, but only as part of a broader compromise requiring Republicans to abandon threats to ban judicial filibusters, officials said Monday.

At the same time he offers to clear two nominees to the 6th Circuit Court of Appeals for approval, officials said Sen. Harry Reid, D-Nev., wants a third appointee to be replaced by an alternative who is preferred by Michigan's two Democratic senators.

The officials spoke only on condition of anonymity, citing the confidential nature of the conversations between the two leaders.

Reid issued a statement during the day saying he has had numerous conversations with senators in both parties in hopes of avoiding a showdown. "As part of any resolution, the nuclear option must be off the table," the statement concluded, referring to the GOP threat of banning judicial filibusters. [...]

Officials said as part of an overall deal, Reid has indicated he is willing to allow the confirmation of Richard Griffin and David McKeague, both of whom Bush has twice nominated for the 6th Circuit Court of Appeals. At the same time, the Democratic leader wants the nomination of Henry Saad scuttled. Democrats succeeded in blocking all three men from coming to a vote in 2004 in a struggle that turned on issues of senatorial prerogatives as well as ideology.

Sen. Carl Levin, D-Mich., has led the opposition to all three men. [...]

Democrats drew criticism when they threatened to stop or slow the Senate's business if Republicans ban judicial filibusters. Party leaders began stressing an alternative approach during the day, attempting to force debate on their own agenda rather than the president's


The Democratic scramble to compromise suggests that Mr. Frist has the whip hand. He ought to learn from predecessors LBJ & George Mitchell and wield it.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:35 PM

SUCKING THE FUN OUT OF BEING A KID:

How the baseball card game is played (Robert Tuttle, 4/26/05, CS Monitor)

Shortly after the 1952 World Series, executives at the Topps Co. had a problem. They had boxes and boxes of baseball cards that nobody wanted to buy. So, in a decision that would echo through the baseball-card market for decades to come, they tossed the extras into the cold waters of the Atlantic Ocean.

And so, only a fortunate few ended up with that year's Mickey Mantle rookie card. Today, a near-mint condition Topps No. 311 Mickey Mantle from 1952 is worth more than $20,000.

Back then, baseball cards were for kids. They were made of cardboard. Each one-cent pack of cards included a wide stick of (usually dried-out) bubble gum. Kids would wrap their stacks of cards with rubber bands and stash them in shoe boxes. Cards got lost, worn, and thrown out. Few knew they'd be valuable. Not many of those cards survived to the present.

Today baseball cards are mostly a grownup hobby. Twenty or 30 years ago, the cards were marketed mostly to kids. Most collectors now are over 30. And in this age of PlayStations and the Internet, kids are less interested in baseball cards.

"We are competing with lot of other things that get the kids' attention these days," says Lloyd Pawlak. He's senior vice president of sales and marketing for cardmaking company Fleer.

Trading-card companies like Fleer, Topps, Upper Deck, and Donruss still make cardboard varieties (for $1 to $2 a pack), but they also make lots of expensive cards designed to appeal to older collectors. Topps removed the bubble gum from most packs of cards in 1991 after numerous complaints from collectors that the gum was staining the cards.


No gum. No scaling on the playground. No putting them in your bike spokes. What's the point?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:31 PM

IF YOU DESTROY IT THEY WILL BUILD ANEW:

Florida economy blows past hurricanes (Jacqui Goddard and Richard Luscombe, 4/26/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

A few short months ago, the outlook for Florida's job seekers looked every bit as black as the dark clouds blown in by last year's unprecedented four major hurricanes.

The storms caused billions of dollars of damage to the state's staple industries of tourism and agriculture and put more than 100,000 out of work - spiking an unemployment rate that had been steadily falling since Sept. 11.

But now, after a remarkable economic recovery that has stunned observers by its speed and intensity, the blue skies are back over the Sunshine State. Business is experiencing its biggest boom in at least a quarter century, driven by a state economy that is equipped to rebound from disaster - and that even before the hurricanes had the right combination of elements to flourish.

Consider that Florida:

• Leads the nation in jobs growth.

• Is attracting tourists in record numbers.

• Has one of the hottest real estate construction and sales markets in the country.

• Has just handed its governor a $2.2 billion windfall to spend on tax cuts and services.

"It's just unbelievable," says Frank Ryll, president of the Florida Chamber of Commerce. "Tell me where else in the country this is happening."

Indeed, Florida enjoys a unique set of economic factors. The population flow into the state has been largely undeterred by the hurricanes, as workers, baby boomers, and others bank on the region's warm climate and reasonable cost of living. And this burgeoning population has plenty of economic sectors to buoy it: Everything from tourism to agriculture to high tech is booming in the Florida, as state incentives and relatively low wages attract business to the region.

Of course, other parts of the United States have also experienced devastation from natural disasters, and then a boost from recovery efforts. But the phenomenon taking place in Florida is on a scale larger than most.


It'll be decades before economists can even come close to quantifying it, but a similar, though man-made, effect seems to have ovccurred in the late '90s as a result of the Y2K scare, which forced businesses across the country to replace and upgrade existing technology systems. The effect is oft-noted with regard to the closing of military bases, which causes brief dislocations but then leads to new opportunities and growth. It's worth considering then whether it might not be in the interest of those for whom economic growth is a central concern--typically conservatives--to embrace some of the more radical seeming projects of the environmentalists--like the Kyoto Protocol and doing away with the internal combustion engine--precisely because there is so much creative force unleashed from the ashes of such destruction.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:39 PM

THE CATS ARE NEARLY ALL IN THE HERD:

Anti-Voinovich Ads HALTED! (Move America Forward)

*UPDATE* - TERRIFIC NEWS!!!! New information into Move America Forward officials confirms that Senator Voinovich is taking a 'new' and 'fair' look at John Bolton - the man President Bush has nominated to serve as U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations. We are confident Senator Voinovich will vote 'YES' to allow Mr. Bolton's nomination to proceed from the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. MAF's principals are not at liberty to disclose who they've heard from and specifically what was said - under promise of confidentiality - but the organization is now confident that John Bolton's nomination will make it to the floor for a vote by the full U.S. Senate.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:44 PM

LET'S KISS AND MAKE UP:

Turkeys OKs U.S. Request on Air Base Use (SELCAN HACAOGLU, 4/25/05, Associated Press)

After months of delay, Turkey's Cabinet on Monday approved a long-standing U.S. request to have increased access to a strategic air base for flying into Iraq and Afghanistan.

The decision was another step toward improving relations with Washington that were strained when Turkey refused to allow U.S. troops to stage an invasion of Iraq from Turkish territory in March 2003.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:27 PM

DO HIM ON JULY 14TH:

Moussaoui's Mom Urges France to Save Son (ANNE DEVAILLY, 4/25/05, Associated Press)

The mother of the only person convicted in the United States for participating in the Sept. 11 attacks urged France on Monday to take a firmer stand in opposing the death penalty for her son.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:24 PM

SPOTS, BARS, PEPPER...:

Forests grow, owls decline under plan (JEFF BARNARD, 4/21/05, ASSOCIATED PRESS)

A decade after the Clinton administration reduced logging in national forests in the Northwest, scientists have concluded the forests are growing, but the population of the threatened northern spotted owl has declined. [...]


Scientists are not sure what is causing the declines, but possible factors include invasion of the spotted owl's habitat by the barred owl, an aggressive cousin from Canada that often drives them off...


Fortunately, it turns out they're the same species.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:23 PM

...AND REDDER:

Slow population growth threatens N.E. political clout: Census paints a graying region (Matt Apuzzo, 4/21/05, Associated Press)

New England stands to lose about 20 percent of its congressional seats over the next quarter-century as political power follows population booms in the South and West, newly released census data indicate.

Population projections released today by the US Census Bureau project much slower growth in New England. They also paint a picture of a region that is increasingly elderly, especially in Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine, where statisticians expect a dramatic spike in the number of residents 65 and older.

If the projections hold true, Massachusetts would lose two of its 10 congressional seats, Connecticut would lose one of its five, and Rhode Island would lose one of its two, according to an Associated Press analysis of the data.

That diminished political clout threatens to make it harder for New England lawmakers to push regional issues such as transportation and home heating costs onto the national agenda.

The states also will have to grapple with how to afford the costly social services required by their aging population.

Specialists say lawmakers won't be able to rely on Washington to fund those programs, as states around the country jockey for money to deal with aging baby boomers.

The Census Bureau projects that by 2030, 26.5 percent of people living in Maine will be 65 and older, a percentage that would trail only Florida's projected 27.1 percent.

''That means more concerns about budget pressures for healthcare, more concerns over rising housing costs when it's already getting difficult to add to the supply," said Jeffrey Carr, the state economic forecaster in Vermont. ''There's a million ramifications to this."

The federal government allocates seats in the House of Representatives every 10 years based on census data. Massachusetts lost a seat in 1980 and another in 1990, and Connecticut lost one in 2000.

In 2030, according to census estimates, New England will have about 15.6 million residents, up about 12 percent from 2000. That compares with 51 percent growth projected in the South Atlantic states and 65 percent growth projected in the Mountain region.

''New England is on the edge of a precipice here because of the political shifts dictated by population growth," said Darrell West, a Brown University political scientist. ''There are going to be stark political consequences. As we lose political representation in the House, it affects which laws get passed and how the federal budget gets divided up."


The realignment towards the Republicans is only in its earliest stage.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:45 PM

WRONG QUESTION:

If Senate shuts down, who's to blame?: Facing Bush judicial nominees, eager interest groups, and the 'nuclear option,' a divided Senate keeps raising the stakes. (Gail Russell Chaddock, 4/26/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

As the Senate moves toward a showdown over the so-called nuclear option, risks and rewards confront both Republicans and Democrats, whatever the outcome.

Both sides concede that the move to lower the threshold required to end a filibuster from 60 votes to a simple majority could shut down the Senate. But it's not clear for how long, with what consequences, and who would be blamed if the Senate's work grinds to a halt.


The question isn't who'll be blamed but who'll care. The answer is: only the Left


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:07 AM

IT'S THE STUPID AGENDA, STUPID (via Kevin Whited):

The Dems' integrity act will fail (David Hill, 4/20/05, The Hill)

[T]he softness of the Democrats’ political integrity initiative is not its greatest defect. More damning is that it suffers from a lack of relevance for most voters. Probably no ordinary American voter anywhere in our great nation awoke this morning thinking that his or her family needs congressional lobbying reform. Some voters woke up hoping for a better job. Or praying for peace. But no one was really thinking about political reform.

A recent release of the Harris poll’s long-running examination of public confidence in American institutions explains why so few Americans care much about what the Democrats consider such a sizzling issue. While just 16 percent of Americans say they have a great deal of confidence in the people in charge of running Congress, that’s about par for the course since Watergate.

The average percentage of Americans expressing a great deal of confidence in congressional leaders from 1974 to 1979 was 14 percent. The 1980s saw the average rise to 18 percent. Then, in the 1990s, it fell again to 12 percent. Since 2000, it has averaged 17 percent. So there is no trend in voter cynicism about Congress.

The truth of the matter — and the Harris data make this point — is that few Americans expect Congress to be especially worthy of exceptional trust and confidence. So when one party tries to tell voters that it’s so much more trustworthy than the other party, voters are naturally going to be very skeptical. Voters aren’t about to believe that any politician or political party in Congress is really very pure. The politicians may, in fact, be clean, but almost no one will believe it. Most Americans don’t want to think of themselves as being that naive.

The Democrats’ strategy has other shortcomings, too. By focusing so much on DeLay, they are not making any broader points.

Suppose DeLay just up and quit. Where would the Democrats be then?


Only inside the Democratic cloakrooms does anyone believe that the 1994 GOP Revolution happened because of Jim Wright's ethical problems. Keep in mind that this permanent GOP majority has already had two Speakers resign in disgrace, nevermind a leader no one's ever heard of, and Democrats have nothing to show for it.


Posted by David Cohen at 10:06 AM

INCISIVE HEADLINE OF THE DAY

CLARIFICATION: Sinners unhappy with new pope (Grand Forks Herald, 4/22/05)


Posted by Peter Burnet at 9:30 AM

AH YES, GERMS...IT SPREADS GERMS

Good Book too good at spreading germs, hospital feels (Canadian Press, April 22nd, 2005)

A hospital in Fredericton has removed bedside Bibles out of fears they might be spreading germs.

A spokeswoman for the River Valley Health Authority, Jane Stafford, told the CBC that the decision to remove the Bibles from the Chalmers Hospital was made strictly for health reasons.

She said it was a matter of common sense and infection control.
Some bugs viruses such as C. difficile, can live for months on telephones, toilets, stethoscopes and books, Ms. Stafford said.

Some people, however, were suspicious of the hospital's motives.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:12 AM

SPHERE VS AXIS:

Fischer faces a test in inquiry on visas (Judy Dempsey, APRIL 25, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

The political future of Germany's foreign minister, Joschka Fischer, and even the government of Chancellor Gerhard Schröder, hangs in the balance Monday, when Fischer will be questioned by a special parliamentary committee examining lax visa regulations that allowed tens of thousands of people to enter the country under dubious circumstances.

The case has generated such controversy that the opposition Christian Democrats, desperate to unseat Schröder's coalition of Social Democrats and Fischer's Greens party, succeeded in having the entire proceedings broadcast live on television. This means that Fischer, until recently Germany's most popular politician and almost beyond criticism because of his charisma and temperament, faces one of his most crucial tests since becoming a Green politician more than two decades ago.

If he is to survive and if Schröder's coalition hopes to win regional elections next month in North Rhine-Westphalia, Fischer will have to use his television appearance to salvage his reputation and rescue the government, which also faces a federal election next year.

His supporters say he will have to walk a fine line explaining how much he was responsible for ignoring the pleas for more help by the German embassies in Ukraine and the Balkans in dealing with the huge demand for visas and how such lax regulations led to a proliferation of human trafficking and an influx of illegal workers into Germany.

The opposition has gnawed away at the visa issue, convinced that if it can expose Fischer as a weak foreign minister, it will have struck at the coalition's Achilles' heel. Schröder's Social Democrats would not have won power in 1998 or 2002 without Fischer.

As Tony Blair coasts to re-election, joining fellow warmongers John Howard and George W. Bush in posting historic victories, the Axis of Weasel implodes.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:09 AM

WE'RE NOT QUITE ALL CAPITALISTS:

Internet, Polarized Politics Create an Opening for a Third Party (Ronald Brownstein, April 25, 2005, LA Times)

The Internet is a leveling force. It diffuses power and empowers new competitors to challenge old arrangements.

Elite newspapers and magazines, for instance, dominate their markets partly because it costs so much to build conventional hard-copy competitors. But the Internet has allowed thousands of new voices to find audiences at little cost for a panoramic assortment of news and opinions in Web logs and online magazines.

Some of the same effect is already evident in politics. Once it took years of heavy spending on direct mail and other recruitment methods to build a national membership organization; MoveOn.org, the online liberal advocacy group, acquired half a million names — with virtually no investment — just months after posting an Internet petition opposing President Clinton's impeachment in 1998.

MoveOn, and groups like it on the left and right, chisel at the power of the major political parties by providing an alternative source of campaign funds and volunteers. But otherwise, the two parties that have defined American political life since the 1850s have been largely immune from the centrifugal current of the Internet era.

Joe Trippi, a principal architect of Howard Dean's breakthrough Internet strategy in the 2004 Democratic presidential campaign, is one of many analysts who believe that may soon change. The Internet, he says, could ignite a serious third-party presidential bid in 2008.

"This is a very disruptive technology," says Trippi. "And it is going to be very destabilizing to the political establishment of both parties."


Other parties though will not arise because of the pronounced differences between the parties bit because of their similarities, which leave some voices unheard. And on no other issue is there greater commonality than the failure of socialism and the success of capitalism--it seems impossible that there will be no true party of the Left in this regard. To the extent that Democrats accept the End of History they would seem to court a split with their own Left. This would be catastrophic because it would weaken them in precisely those states where they're strongest--the Blues.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:03 AM

JAPAN AGAIN:

Why China Has to Steal Technology (Judith Apter Klinghoffer, 4/25/05, History News Network)

All in all, it seems that at least in principle the Europeans have decided on a Helsinki agreement type linkage policy which helped end Communist Party monopoly of power in the USSR.

But is China vulnerable to such a linkage policy? The short answer is yes because Communist China, like its Soviet predecessor, has hit the innovation roadblock. In his 1968 essay directed to his country’s leadership, the premier Soviet nuclear scientist Andrei Sakharov warned “that a society that restricts intellectual freedom and prevents the free exchange of ideas would be unable to compete with societies that unleash the creative potential of their people.” He went on to compare the race between the US and the USSR to one between two cross country skiers traversing deep snow. If the dictatorships seem to be catching up fast, it is only because they follow in the tracks already smoothed out by democracies. Lack of freedom consigns “fear societies” to the role of followers, never leaders since “a fear society must parasitically feed off the resources of others to recharge its batteries.”

If Chinese military buildup is moving faster than some expected, it is because “European nations have been selling China hundreds of millions of dollars worth of dual use military equipment each year, but as long as the embargo is in force, explicitly military gear can only be sold under the table and smuggled in.” In “China’s Secret War,” Patrick Devenny, lays out the variety of ways, China goes about acquiring the technologies it needs but cannot produce.

The degree to which the continued existence of the Chinese totalitarian system depends on continued democratic aid comes into particularly sharp focus in the following Washington Post report: Web Censors In China Find Success:

Chinese authorities perform these tasks largely using U.S. hardware and software. For example, Cisco Systems Inc. routers, machines that move Internet traffic around, are capable of recognizing individual portions of data, a technology that helps battle worms and viruses. That same technology can be used to distinguish certain content.

Companies such as Cisco and Google Inc. have been accused of aiding China's censorship by tailoring their products to suit the government's needs. The study did not confirm those allegations, which the companies have denied.

According to the Economist, the Chinese problem even extends to the economic sphere as an article entitled “China's people problem” reveals: “The particular shortages mentioned most often are of creativity, of an aptitude for risk-taking and, above all, of an ability to manage—in everything from human resources and accounting to sales, distribution, branding and project-management.” Interestingly, just as the Soviet leadership was more aware of the problem than its Western counterparts, so is the Chinese leadership. Thus, Hu Jintau, general secretary of the Communist Party of China, identified “increasing the capabilities of innovation in science development” and rural development as the two central challenges facing China.

China is desperately hoping to find a way to institutionalize innovation which is based on risk taking without giving up significant control.


As the Japanese found, merely assembling stuff invented and designed by Americans isn't a recipe for long term economic success.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:59 AM

NOW THAT'S A NUCLEAR OPTION:

Blair 'to debate nuclear power' (BBC, 4/25/05)

A re-elected Labour government would put nuclear power back on the agenda in an effort to meet targets on climate change, government sources have said.

The sources told BBC News Tony Blair wanted a national debate on the issue.

He would raise the issue when ministers responded to a climate change policy review in June or July, they said.

The Tories say there should be new nuclear stations provided they meet cost and waste concerns but the Lib Dems oppose the idea.


How delicious if Kyoto leads to the resurgence of nuclear power.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:54 AM

YIN = YANG:

His Brain, Her Brain: It turns out that male and female brains differ quite a bit in architecture and activity. Research into these variations could lead to sex-specific treatments for disorders such as depression and schizophrenia (Larry Cahill, April 2005, Scientific American)

On a gray day in mid-January, Lawrence Summers, the president of Harvard University, suggested that innate differences in the build of the male and female brain might be one factor underlying the relative scarcity of women in science. His remarks reignited a debate that has been smoldering for a century, ever since some scientists sizing up the brains of both sexes began using their main finding--that female brains tend to be smaller--to bolster the view that women are intellectually inferior to men.

To date, no one has uncovered any evidence that anatomical disparities might render women incapable of achieving academic distinction in math, physics or engineering. And the brains of men and women have been shown to be quite clearly similar in many ways. Nevertheless, over the past decade investigators have documented an astonishing array of structural, chemical and functional variations in the brains of males and females.

These inequities are not just interesting idiosyncrasies that might explain why more men than women enjoy the Three Stooges. They raise the possibility that we might need to develop sex-specific treatments for a host of conditions, including depression, addiction, schizophrenia and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD). Furthermore, the differences imply that researchers exploring the structure and function of the brain must take into account the sex of their subjects when analyzing their data--and include both women and men in future studies or risk obtaining misleading results.


The problem with the whole conversation is that it assumes that the obvious differences mean the two sexes are unequal. In reality, they are just better suited to different tasks, which is why we are only whole within a marriage.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:53 AM

THANKS, FIDEL:

The Paq-Man’s Half-Century: Saxophone virtuoso Paquito D’Rivera receives the coveted “Jazz Masters” Award 50 years after his debut as a child prodigy. (Mark Holston, March 2005, Hispanic Magazine)

Even on the most important night of his professional life, Havana-born saxophone and clarinet virtuoso Paquito D’Rivera can’t avoid the kind of lighthearted quip that has become his calling card. “We could only get Carnegie Hall on January 10, not December 31, so we decided to call the concert ‘50 Years and 10 Nights,’ ” he wisecracks of the lavish, all-star studded extravaganza that was created to observe his half-century in music. He first took to the stage, a tiny curved soprano saxophone in hand, in 1954 at the age of 6 after several months of intensive tutoring by his father Tito, a classical saxophonist. Today, he’s widely regarded as one of the top woodwind artists in the world.

The choice of the planet’s most revered concert venue for the event was more than symbolic. “My fascination with Carnegie Hall came when my father played for me the historic recording of clarinetist Benny Goodman and his orchestra, recorded there in 1938,” he recalls. “I said, ‘Wow, what is that?’ At the time, I understood ‘Carnegie Hall’ as carne frijol! I was a stupid kid! But ever since then, I dreamed about being a musician in New York.”

D’Rivera’s special night featured a once-in-a-lifetime assembly of stellar talent, ranging from classical cellist Yo-Yo Ma and Dominican pianist Michel Camilo to Cuban conga legend Cándido and Brazilian vocalist Rosa Passos, his wife Brenda Feliciano, an opera singer, and members of The Youth Orchestra of the Americas. Also on hand was a trio of octogenarian Cuban artists—Bebo Valdés, a storied pianist, and Las Hermanas Márquez, master practitioners of the Cuban guaracha. “I’ve never seen a concert event that put together so many different kinds of music,” D’Rivera proudly says. “From classical to Brazilian, Cuban and jazz, we had everything.”

As documented by the unending series of accolades and awards he has accumulated since arriving in the U.S., D’Rivera enjoys a stature virtually unparalleled in the history of Hispanic musicians in the U.S. [...]

Although he has lived in the U.S. for almost a quarter of a century, D’Rivera still finds some characteristics of his adopted homeland perplexing. “One of the amusing aspects of living in a democracy,” he observes from his home in Weehawken, New Jersey, “is that Americans like to complain about everything. But, perhaps the point of it is that they can. They have freedom. But every time I think about complaining about something, I’m reminded of the political prisoners in Cuba, especially the poets and writers. These people are in jail just for speaking their hearts. ”

Indeed, on most days, you won’t hear Paquito D’Rivera complaining. Universally admired, at the peak of his career, and scoring one success after another, his world is filled with triumphs, artistic collaborations and friendships with today’s most renowned musicians. “Almost every day,” he happily admits, “I ask myself, ‘Am I dreaming?’ ”


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:47 AM

GET 'EM WHILE THEY'RE YOUNG:

Reform Social Security:
Latinos have a big stake in the outcome of this policy fight
(Ruben Navarrette, Hispanic Magazine)

[T]his debate isn’t really so complicated. What you have is a casita with a leaky roof. On one side, there are those who want to put in the effort to fix it before the storm clouds gather. On the other side, you have those who don’t want to do anything because, they insist, doing so would be costly and painful and, besides, it may never rain.

The first group includes President Bush, who insists that, unless something is done, young people (let’s say, anyone born after 1970) won’t see a dime of the money they’re contributing to the system. At present, workers contribute about 6.2 percent of earnings into the system. Employers match that. Bush wants to let workers siphon off part of their contribution and invest it in personal accounts that would offer a higher return that the government does.

The do-nothing defenders of the status quo insist that Social Security is in fine shape and that there is no crisis. And, they charge, what the Republicans really want to do is dismantle the nation’s most beloved entitlement program, provide a windfall for Wall Street and the rest of the private sector, and push senior citizens onto the streets and into soup kitchens.

Don’t laugh. That’s pretty much the line they’re pitching. Further, they want to come off like all they really care about is giving voice to the voiceless.

That’s where Hispanics come in. Consider the bilingual press release sent out earlier this year by Democratic Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada. In it, Reid insists, “Bush’s plan to cut benefits will be particularly damaging for the Hispanic community, which relies on Social Security … more than other Americans.”

It's an interesting argument. But it’s also disingenuous. What matters in all this isn’t dependence but demographics. Hispanics are above all a young population, especially when compared to the rest of the country. The average age of a Hispanic person in the United States is 25 years old. That’s almost 15 years younger than the white population. That means anything that hurts young people can be expected to take an especially high toll on the Hispanic population. And, make no mistake: The current system hurts young people.


Democrats are playing with demographic fire in attempting to freeze the status quo in place. They can prevail in the very short term, but only at their own expense down the road, as the Greatest Generation dies off.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 8:46 AM

RAGE, RAGE AGAINST...SOMETHING OR OTHER

Hijacking Christianity . . . (Colbert I. King, Washington Post, April 23, 2005)

Emboldened by their appropriation of the flag, ideologues on the right have now set their sights on religion, and specifically Christianity, as the means to promote their political agenda. And as the promoters of tomorrow's "Justice Sunday" national telecast have demonstrated, there is no depth to which they won't sink in their campaign to seize the country.

The statement by one of the sponsors of tomorrow's event, Tony Perkins, president of the Family Research Council, is an example of the Holy War that is being launched by the right. In one of the most outrageous smears to be uttered by a so-called religious leader, Perkins said that "activist courts, aided by liberal interest groups . . . have been quietly working under the veil of the judiciary, like thieves in the night, to rob us of our Christian heritage and our religious freedoms." That is an unmitigated lie that should not be allowed to stand.

Which judges are out to rob Christians of their heritage? That is religious McCarthyism. Perkins should name them, provide evidence of their attempted theft of "our Christian heritage" or retract that statement with an apology. Don't count on that happening.

Angered by Democratic opposition to some of President Bush's judicial nominees, Perkins's group has also put out a flier charging that "the filibuster . . . is being used against people of faith." To suggest Democrats are out to get "people of faith" is despicable demagoguery that the truly faithful ought to rise up and reject.

But will that occur in American pulpits tomorrow? The Christian right counts on the religiously timid to keep their mouths shut. So why not exploit religion for their own ends? They will if we let them.

And that's just it. Americans of faith -- and those lacking one -- ought to vigorously resist attempts by power-hungry zealots to impose their religious views on the nation. That means standing up to them at every turn.

It means challenging them when they say of Americans who support a woman's right to choose; the right of two adults to enter into a loving, committed, state-sanctioned, monogamous relationship; the right to pursue science in support of life; the right of the aggrieved to launch aggressive assaults against racism, sexism and homophobia, that they are not legitimate members of the flock. Where do those on the religious right get off thinking they have the right to decide who is in and who is out? Who appointed them sole promoters and defenders of the faith? What makes them think they are more holy and righteous than the rest of us?

They are not now and never will be the final arbiters of Christian beliefs and values. They warrant as much deference as religious leaders as do members of the Ku Klux Klan, who also marched under the cross.

The left seems terribly confused these days as to whether they should be trying to co-opt religion or battling it.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:39 AM

I WANNA BE LIKE MIKE:

Terri Schiavo, political prisoner (Nicholas Stix, April 25, 2005, Enter Stage Right)

I know what you're thinking. Terri Schiavo, may she rest in peace, died on March 31. But indeed, she still "lives," and still functions in the same way she did before her passing, for partisans on the Left and Right alike: As a symbol for their respective causes.

The Right, Part I: I know, I know. You cared so much about Mrs. Schiavo that you obsessively called her "Terri," as if she were your sister or daughter or best friend. You claimed she "taught" us so much. What did she teach you? Anyone who claimed that Mrs. Schiavo taught him something was either projecting his own fantasies onto her, or insane. I don't see how either position shows any respect for the person that was Terri Schiavo.

Folks on the Right decided that morality trumped the law, so we didn't need to bother ourselves with legalistic fine points like Mr. Schiavo's legal rights, because he was a bad guy. Well, you know what? I've got morality and God on my side, so the next time one of you disagrees with me, I think I'll just blow your head off, because I too am above the law.


Libertarianism--which can be a noble and defensible, if ultimately incoherent and unsustainable, philosophy-- has an unfortunate tendency to degrade into this kind of extremism, where it means nothing more than the freedom to do whatever you want. Of course, Judeo-Christian morality, which requires consistent application of eternal standards, covers both Mr. Schiavo and Mr. Stixx and forbids them both to deprive others of the inalienable right to Life. It quite explicitly places men under the Law.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:37 AM

TREMENDOUS SOUL:

Musician's music tapestry of Miami (JORDAN LEVIN, 4/25/05, Miami Herald)

Javier García is not afraid of heights, or of taking chances, musical or physical. [...]

García, 30, has invented a musical narrative for Miami on 13, as sweet as kissing your honey on the beach to a swaying reggae beat, as danceable as a 3 a.m. Cuban jam session. And as eclectic as García himself, the son of a Cuban father and an Irish mother, born and raised in Madrid, who came to Miami at 15 and discovered himself and his musical identity. [...]

García's flavor attracted Gustavo Santaolalla, the producer of Juanes and Molotov, who produced 13 and signed García to his label. He has ''great songs, great sensibility, incredible sense of rhythm,'' says Santaolalla from his Los Angeles home. ''A lot of spirit, tremendous soul that projects in everything he does.'' Santaolalla also believes García's music is the next step from the Afro-Cuban pop sound that has dominated Latin music in Miami.

''He shows you Miami from a different angle,'' Santaolalla says. ``He does have an Afro-Cuban influence, but there's rock and soul and ska and reggae and cuarteto [Argentina's hyped-up dance music], and yet he is Miami too.''



Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:29 AM

BETTER SAFE THAN SORRY:

LYME SUFFERERS RECLAIM LIVES: Knowledge lets them fight tick-borne illness (Joan Morris, 4/25/05, CONTRA COSTA TIMES)

Although doctors in the early 20th century recognized Lyme disease -- called erythema migrans -- as a bacterial infection spread by ticks, it wasn't until the early 1980s that researchers got a firm grasp on how the disease progresses. But more than 25 years later, the disease often remains undiagnosed and misunderstood. And even though antibiotics can be effective, some cases require years of treatment.

In the United States, an average of about 23,000 new cases are diagnosed each year, but researchers estimate that the number of people who actually have the disease and don't know it is far greater. More than half of those who have been diagnosed with the disease have no recollection of having been bitten, and many did not develop what doctors consider the telltale sign of the illness, a red rash.

The symptoms of Lyme disease are many and varied, and shared by a number of other common ailments. Is it the flu or is it Lyme disease? By the time a patient sees a doctor and gets a diagnosis, precious time has been lost.

What's maddening for those involved in treatment and education, is that if caught early, Lyme disease often can be successfully treated with a strong course of antibiotics. If administered within 72 hours of exposure, chances for a full recovery are excellent.

One problem, says Sheri Miller of Walnut Creek, is that even when patients go to doctors for immediate treatment, their concerns can be dismissed. Miller, who with Selvig is part of the East Bay Lyme Disease Support Group, recommends patients seek "Lyme literate" doctors -- physicians who are especially knowledgeable about the disease and treatments.

"Some doctors," Miller says, "are still telling patients we don't have Lyme disease in California."

Although the disease is more prevalent on the East Coast, where about 25 percent of deer ticks carry the disease, California has a number of cases each year. About 5 percent of deer ticks can carry the bacteria that causes the disease. [...]

For more info

• LymeDisease.org

• LymeGroups.org/EastBay

• igenex.com

• ilads.org

• www.lyme.org


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:25 AM

THEY CHOOSE, YOU LOSE:

Syria's Ba'athists loosen the reins (Sami Moubayed, 4/26/05, Asia Times)

A new Ba'ath Party law is to be created in Syria, breaking the socialist parties' monopoly over politics in that country, in place (with the exception of the years 1961-63) since 1958. The move is a calculated gamble on the part of the government, and will also challenge a US bill against Syria calling for "Assistance to Support a Transition to Democracy in Syria." [...]

The question that many are asking: "Why now?" Why has the Syrian government decided to create a multiparty system which might challenge the power of the Ba'athists? Contrary to what many believe, the Ba'ath Party is very strong in Syria, and has a lot of active supporters. Changing the views of a society indoctrinated with Ba'athist views since 1963 will not be easy. The masses, who generally lack a proper democratic culture, will not readily join other political parties, especially ones that challenge Ba'athist ideology.

This is the exact reason. The state is confident enough that no real threat will be presented to its power if a multi-party system emerges in Syria. Let the parties operate, and let them win parliamentary seats. The ruling party of the state and society will still be the Ba'ath Party, since amending Article 8 of the constitution, which gives it that leadership status, will not be discussed at the upcoming conference. A multi-party system will threaten nobody, and yet be greatly welcomed by the Syrian masses, who are demanding such a kind of political reform in Syria.

The Syrian masses will be pleased, and the Syrian government will get good public relations credit for it. It will also challenge a US bill against Syria, presented on March 8 in the House of Representatives, calling for "Assistance to Support a Transition to Democracy in Syria". It reads: "The president is authorized to provide assistance and other support for individuals and independent non-governmental organizations to support transition to a freely elected, internationally recognized democratic government in Syria."

The message from the public and government alike in Damascus is clear: there is no need for US help, the Syrians will democratize on their own, at will.


Mikhail Gorbachev likewise understood that after 70 years of Bolshevik rule and indoctrination the party was so powerful and popular that the Russian people would choose to be governed by it if given the opportunity.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:24 AM

100% A YEAR ADDS UP FAST:

Sales of hybrid cars sizzling in California (Mercury News Wire Services, 4/25/05)

One of the few things rising faster than gas prices is -- not coincidentally -- sales of hybrid vehicles in California.

More than 25,000 new hybrids were registered in the state in 2004, a 102 percent increase over 2003. The national figure was 81 percent, according to figures released today by R.L. Polk & Co., which collects and interprets automotive data.

The combination gas-electric vehicles represent less than 1 percent of the 17 million new vehicles sold in the United States in 2004, but major automakers are planning to introduce about a dozen new such models in the next three years.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:08 AM

FISHHERD:

Pope Issues Call for Unity: Benedict XVI reaches out to 'the whole church' at a colorful inauguration but offers few hints of his agenda for the new papacy. (Tracy Wilkinson and Richard Boudreaux, April 25, 2005, LA Times)

In golden robes and crown, Pope Benedict XVI on Sunday took on the ancient trappings of a troubled Roman Catholic Church and sketched the spiritual outline of his papacy, telling followers that only by embracing God can mankind escape a wasteland that haunts this Earth.

The inauguration of Benedict in a sun-streaked ceremony in St. Peter's Square was regal and subdued. It capped an emotionally charged three-week interregnum that started with the death of Pope John Paul II and ended with the election and installation of his controversial successor.

The German-born Benedict delivered a homily in accented but clear Italian, a speech laden with grim pictures of humanity's plight but also hopeful hints of redemption. There was little indication what shape his papacy might take, however, and only brief mention of some of John Paul's initiatives, such as dialogue with other faiths.

Instead, Benedict focused on moral and spiritual directives.

"We are living in alienation, in the salt waters of suffering and death, in the sea of darkness without light," the 78-year-old pontiff said in his first public Mass since his election Tuesday. "The net of the Gospel pulls us out of the waters of death and brings us into the splendor of God's light, into true life."

He said his government plan was "not to do my own will, not to pursue my own ideas," but to "listen, together with the whole church, to the word and will of the Lord." [...]

In his homily, Benedict occasionally struck a more upbeat note than was typically associated with his role as austere enforcer of orthodoxy. Where he previously portrayed the church as a victim under siege, he used the inaugural Mass to assert the vitality of Roman Catholicism.

"The church is alive!" he repeated five times. "And the church is young. She holds within herself the future of the world and therefore shows each of us the way toward the future."

Benedict issued a call for unity among Christians, lamenting that the "fisherman's net" had been broken as it cast about for men and women to follow God. He also saluted those of other faiths in a clear attempt to dispel fears about his past assertions of Catholic primacy and condemnations of other faiths as inferior. However, he did not retract those earlier judgments.

He said Jews were Christians' brothers, "to whom we are joined by a great shared spiritual heritage, one rooted in God's irrevocable promises."

In a darker side of his homily, Benedict used the bleak imagery that often characterized the speeches he made before becoming pope. He described a world of dark, empty souls and "external deserts" of poverty, hunger, abandonment and loneliness.

"The external deserts in the world are growing, because the internal deserts have become so vast," he said.

"The human race — every one of us — is the sheep lost in the desert which no longer knows the way. The son of God will not let this happen; he cannot abandon humanity in so wretched a condition. He leaps to his feet and abandons the glory of heaven, in order to go in search of the sheep and pursue it, all the way to the cross. He takes it upon his shoulders and carries our humanity; he carries us all; he is the good shepherd who lays down his life for the sheep."



Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:52 AM

HOW MUCH ENERGY DO DYING NATIONS REQUIRE?:

Gas bubble ‘will deflate UK prices by a third’ (Carl Mortished, 4/25/05, Times of London)

BRITAIN’S natural gas market will become oversupplied within two years, transforming a worrying winter shortage of fuel into a glut. The potential gas surplus emerges from a series of massive import schemes, including the world’s longest sub-sea gas pipeline, linking Norway with Britain.

Together these plans will create a gas bubble of more than two billion cubic feet per day by 2007 and send wholesale gas prices into decline for several years. Within two to three years the infrastructure building boom will have created additional gas import capacity roughly equal to Britain’s current annual demand, the Energy Contract Company’s report Gas Market Review 2005 says.


“It’s a massive fluctuation and it will depress gas prices,” Niall Trimble, director of the global consultancy, said. He expected wholesale gas prices to fall by about a third over the three winters after this year’s


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:52 AM

PICK THE 60%, NOT THE 40%:

'NYT' Preview: New Public Broadcasting Chief Wants Conservative Viewers (E&P Staff, April 22, 2005)

In this Sunday's New York Times Magazine, Ken Ferree, the new president of the Corporation for Public Broadcasting, says he wants PBS, long considered a liberal bastion, to attract more conservative viewers. "Does public television belong to the Democrats?" he asks. [...]

Asked if he is worried that liberal PBS loyalists may exit, he says: "Well, maybe we can attract some new viewers." More conservative ones? Deborah Solomon asks. "Yeah! I would hope that in the long run we can attract new viewers, and we shouldn't limit ourselves to a particular demographic."


Here are a couple handy rules to keep in kind:

(1) If you're a business and you are going to limit yourself to one demographic make it the larger one, not the smaller one.

(2) If you're there to serve the public, limit yourself to the one that includes most of the public, not the elites.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:51 AM

TIME TO SILENCE GIDEON'S TRUMPET:

Preserving the Right to a Lawyer (NY Times, 4/25/05)

Criminal defendants who cannot afford a lawyer have the right to have one appointed to represent them. In Michigan, however, some poor defendants are denied appointed counsel at a critical stage: when they want to challenge the sentence imposed on them. The Supreme Court hears arguments today in a challenge to this rule. It should order Michigan to provide defendants in this position with appointed lawyers.

The Supreme Court ruled in the landmark 1963 case of Gideon v. Wainwright that poor defendants have a constitutional right to appointed counsel. The court has held that this right generally extends to a defendant's first appeal after a criminal conviction.

In virtually every state, poor defendants are appointed lawyers for their first appeals. But in Michigan, they do not have the right to a lawyer on appeal if they have pleaded guilty. Normally, defendants who plead guilty do not appeal, but there are times when they do, like when they want to challenge the sentence that they receive. In the case the court is hearing today, a mentally impaired defendant had to appeal without a lawyer when he was given a prison sentence of up to 30 years that he maintains was improperly calculated.

For the right to counsel to be meaningful, it must apply to the initial trial and to one appeal before a different judge.


The Constitution provides you with the right to be assisted by Counsel, not a right to one.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:45 AM

THE BLUE DOGS ARE RED:

Democrats See Rift In House (Erin P. Billings, April 25, 2005, Roll Call)

A major rift has developed within the House Democratic Caucus, as moderates and liberals wage a war over influence and questions mount over the leadership's direction for the minority party. [...]

Tensions flared at the gathering over recent defections by moderate Democrats on key votes, most particularly the recent bankruptcy bill, in which 73 Members including House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer (Md.) sided with the GOP. The meeting left Hoyer defending the moderates' votes and House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (Calif.) siding with progressives and criticizing centrists.

"People are frustrated we had a divided leadership on this bill and they were very outspoken on the opposite sides. Maybe that's what helped this meeting turn into what it turned into," said a senior Democratic staffer. "It's possible this was the final straw for many."

Numerous House Democratic sources said the meeting simply underscored broader tensions between a growing and emboldened centrist faction and the traditionally dominant liberal wing of the Caucus. [...]

"There is a feeling that there is nothing to unite this party right now," said another senior Democratic staffer of the Caucus' failure to take strong, detailed positions on issues. "There is Social Security, and we're doing a good job on that, but that's it. There are no grand ideas or principles for the party. [...]

Even before Tuesday's dust-up, a veteran Democratic House Member summed up the 109th Congress this way: "There is heavy division in the Democratic Party over virtually every policy issue." [...]

One aide said while it's unclear how things will play out, there is a recipe in place for the frustrations of conservative and moderate Democrats to explode. ... But another Democratic source countered: "We aren't going to win by being Republican lite. If we're going to be the opposition party, let's be an opposition party."


Opposing the war on terror, the Ownership Society, a law-and-order judiciary, and Judeo-Christianity doesn't seem likely to win them much either.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:42 AM

ONE SIZE FITS ALL:

Putin says Russia Remains Committed to Democratic Course (Lisa McAdams, 25 April 2005, VOA News)

Russian President Vladimir Putin says Russia has no future, if it turns its back on democracy. In his annual state-of-the-nation address Monday at the Kremlin's Marble Hall, he urged lawmakers and the public to strengthen democracy and rule of law.

President Putin says freedom, rule of law and a basic respect for human rights must be the hallmark of Russian institutions and society, as the nation works toward his promise of a better future.

In remarks broadcast live on state television, President Putin said Russia's place in the world will be defined by strength and success in both democratic and economic gains


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:35 AM

GOOD DAY IN MANHATTAN:

A Jazz Discovery Adds a New Note to the Historical Record (BEN RATLIFF, 4/25/05, NY Times)

[N]ow this: tapes bearing nearly a full hour of the Thelonious Monk quartet with John Coltrane, found at the Library of Congress in January. The library made the announcement this month.

The tapes come from a concert at Carnegie Hall on Nov. 29, 1957, a benefit for a community center. The concert was recorded by the Voice of America, the international broadcasting service, and the tapes also include sets by the Dizzy Gillespie Orchestra, Ray Charles with a backing sextet, the Zoot Sims Quartet with Chet Baker, and the Sonny Rollins Trio. (Newspaper accounts of the concert indicate that Billie Holiday appeared as well, though she is not on the Voice of America tapes.)

But it is Monk with Coltrane that constitutes the real find. That band existed for only six months in 1957, mostly through long and celebrated runs at the East Village club the Five Spot. During this period, Coltrane fully collected himself as an improviser, challenged by Monk and the discipline of his unusual harmonic sense. Thus began the 10-year sprint during which he changed jazz completely, before his death in 1967. The Monk quartet with Coltrane did record three numbers in a studio in 1957, but remarkably little material, and only with fairly low audience-tape fidelity, is known to exist from the Five Spot engagement.

The eight and a half Monk performances found at the Library of Congress, by contrast, are professionally recorded, strong and clear; you can hear the full dimensions of Shadow Wilson's drum kit and Ahmed Abdul-Malik's bass. It is certainly good enough for commercial release, though none has yet been negotiated.


How about in time for Christmas?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:19 AM

AT LEAST NO ONE SAYS WE'RE RUNNING OUT OF SUNLIGHT YET:

Bright Future for Solar Power Satellites (Leonard David, 17 October 2001, Space.com)

Two new studies looking at the feasibility of space-based solar power - orbiting satellites that would serve as high-tech space dams - suggest the concept shouldn't be readily dismissed and could generate both Earth-bound and space-based benefits.

These "powersats" would catch the flood of energy flowing from the Sun and then pump it to Earth via laser or microwave beam. On earth it would be converted to electricity and fed into power grids to be tapped by terrestrial customers.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:07 AM

TONY BLAIR KNOWS WHOSE HEIR HE IS:

Labour invoke Thatcher memories (BBC, 4/25/05)

Margaret Thatcher would have been appalled by the economic pledges being made by her Conservative successors, Labour ministers have claimed.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:02 AM

I'M AGIN 'EM:

With the recent scandals involving steroids in Major League Baseball, my company, WebSurveyor, has created a survey to find out how baseball fans are reacting to this situation. I found your website and thought you might be interested in telling your readers about it. As a bonus, to get as many responses as we can, the company is giving away a free Sony PSP to the website owner that refers the most survey respondents to the Steroids in Major League Baseball survey. If you’re interested in signing up, you can sign up for the contest at:


"Steroids in Baseball Online Survey"


Results from the survey will be posted in real time at:

http://www.websurveyor.com/baseballresults.

Thanks so much.


I don't even know what a Sony PSP is--some kind of tv?--but if you help us win I promise to share.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:07 AM

THE CANARY JUST DIED:

Republicans Say Have Votes to Ban Filibusters (Thomas Ferraro, 4/24/05, Reuters)

U.S. Senate Republicans have the votes to ban any more Democratic procedural roadblocks against President Bush's judicial nominees, a top Republican said on Sunday.

A spokesman for Senate Democratic leader Harry Reid of Nevada promptly questioned the claim, while another Democrat, Sen. Joseph Biden of Delaware, floated a possible compromise to avert a fight that could bring the Senate to a near halt. [...]

The key question is whether Republicans can muster the support needed to change Senate rules to ban procedural roadblocks known as filibusters against judicial nominees.

"There's no doubt in my mind, and I'm a pretty good counter of votes ... that we have the votes we need," Senate Majority Whip Mitch McConnell of Kentucky told CBS's "Face the Nation."


Senator Biden's sudden willingness to "compromise" suggests Mr. McConnell's vote count is right.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:03 AM

W, F.O.B.:

Bush picks brains of Clinton, father (Bill Sammon, 4/08/05, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

President Bush solicited foreign policy advice from former President Bill Clinton at CIA briefings this week and even told Mr. Clinton that he liked his approach to reforming Social Security.

'It was really a lot of fun, Mr. Bush told reporters yesterday after spending three days with Mr. Clinton and former President George Bush in Rome.

'These CIA briefings a lot of time prompt policy discussions,' he added. 'It's interesting to get their points of view about their experiences in particular countries.'

The president also praised one of Mr. Clinton's domestic policies -- trying to reform Social Security. Both men have proposed personal savings accounts as part of the solution, an idea that is vociferously opposed by congressional Democrats.

'I was telling President Clinton I remember watching one of his town hall meetings in Albuquerque, New Mexico, on this very subject,' Mr. Bush said just hours after bidding farewell to his predecessor at the Rome airport.

'And I thought it was a very impressive presentation,' he added. 'By the way, a lot of the language happens to be pretty close to some of the town hall meetings we've had.'


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

CHURCH 1, HUMANISM NIL:

The Last European Pope?: The mission of Benedict XVI. (Joseph Bottum, 05/02/2005, Weekly Standard)

A FAILING CIVILIZATION CAN'T BE argued out of its failing. It can be led, perhaps, or inspired, or converted and reformed. But argument requires the application of universal truths to the particular facts of the moment, and when a culture is tumbling downward, all its truths and facts--indeed, the whole idea of truth and fact and argument--are exactly what its people increasingly disbelieve.

Does anyone doubt that Western Europe is tumbling downward? It cannot summon the will to reproduce itself. It has aborted and contracepted its birthrate down toward demographic disaster: perhaps 1.4 children per couple across the western end of the continent, when simple replacement requires a rate around 2.1. It can discover neither how to absorb nor how to halt the waves of Islamic immigrants swamping its cities, and it has proved supine in the face of those immigrants' anti-Semitism, anti-Christianism, and even anti-Europeanism.

Meanwhile, Western Europe's economies are soft, its unemployment rates are shocking, and its emerging continent-wide government is elitist and antidemocratic. Its people are hedonists and materialists, its soccer clubs are nativist militias in waiting, its churches are empty, and--well, that's the problem Joseph Ratzinger faces, isn't it? The newly elected Pope Benedict XVI has just inherited the world's greatest pulpit, but, on his home continent at least, there's hardly anyone in the pews to listen.

He can preach to the choir, of course: After nearly three centuries of enlightened disdain for religion, Europe is about as dechristianized as it's likely to get; everyone who's going to leave the Church already has, and still there are millions of believers scattered across the continent--to say nothing of the billion or so who don't happen to live a train ride away from Rome. In all likelihood, the European Union and the national governments will soon cave in and grant their Muslim immigrants the religious exemptions those governments have consistently refused to grant Catholics. And that will prove what the Vatican claimed all the way back in its struggles with the French Revolution: The European form of Enlightenment secularism and laïcité was never some purely philosophical stand on the necessary political separation of church and state; it always began and ended with anti-Catholicism.


You'd have to think one of the main sources of the Left's anger at the choice of Pope Benedict XVI was indeed that the Church marches into the 21st Century little changed from what it was centuries ago while the secularist project in Europe (and on America's Coasts) is dying before our eyes.


MORE:
Behind the rage at Benedict XVI (Patrick J. Buchanan, April 25, 2005, Creators Syndicate)

"Except you eat the flesh of the Son of Man, and drink His blood, you have no life in you."

Hearing Jesus' words in the synagogue at Capharnum, many of his disciples said, "'This is a hard saying, who can hear it?' ... From that time many ... walked no more with him."

This episode from the Gospel of St. John is instructive. For today, scores of millions do not believe that John Paul II taught infallibly when he condemned abortion, contraception, homosexuality and the idea of women-priests. They cannot accept church teaching as settled and final, and want it changed to reflect their own beliefs. Yet, all the modern popes, and now Benedict XVI, refuse to change doctrine to accommodate them.

Thus, the rage, resentment and frustration that the conclave chose Cardinal Ratzinger as pope. They are like children who have been told by a stern but loving father that their tantrums are to no avail and they are not going to get their way, though they have been used to getting their way for most of their pampered lives.

And so the new pope is denounced as "God's rottweiler," "der PanzerKardinal," John Paul II's enforcer and the chief inquisitor who cruelly silenced the voices of dissent after Vatican II. What the hostility of the liberal media to the selection of Cardinal Ratzinger tells us is that the conclave got it right.

The secular world, too, hoped the church would alter its doctrines to conform to a moral relativism that teaches there is no law above manmade law, and that what is right and wrong is decided by each generation. The notion that there is a higher law – God's law, permanent law – to which all manmade law and human conduct must conform is anathema.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

NURSING'S LOSS...:

Mother sues NHS after twin survives abortion (David Lister, 4/25/05, Times of London)

A MOTHER who underwent an abortion after learning that she was pregnant with twins is suing the NHS for £250,000 after one of the babies survived.

Stacy Dow, who was 16 when she found out that she was pregnant, is seeking compensation and damages for the “financial burden” of raising her daughter. Miss Dow, whose father has had to take on a second job to help to pay for his granddaughter, is claiming for “loss, injury and damage” suffered at the hands of Tayside University Hospitals NHS Trust.

The teenager, who hoped to train as a nurse...


April 24, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:59 PM

JUST LIKE ANY BUSINESS:

Why Drug Dealers Live With Their Moms: If you had a job paying $3.30 an hour, you'd be bunking at home too. (Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner, April 24, 2005, LA Times)

During the crack cocaine boom of the 1990s, the image of the millionaire crack dealer implanted itself on the public consciousness. But anyone who spent time around the Crips or Bloods or any other crack-selling gang might have noticed something odd: A great many crack dealers still lived at home with their moms. Why was that?

Sudhir Venkatesh, a University of Chicago graduate student at the time, discovered the answer.

He had originally been sent by his thesis advisor into a Chicago housing project to administer a sociological survey. But after a harrowing encounter with a local crack gang, he befriended its leader and virtually embedded himself with the gang for six years. He was given a pile of notebooks containing four years' worth of the gang's financial transactions — a trove of data that, when subjected to an economic analysis, proved incredibly revealing.

At root, economics is the study of incentives — how people get what they want, or need, especially when other people want or need the same thing. The rules apply just as well to a crack gang as to a Fortune 500 business.

As it turned out, the gang worked a lot like most American businesses, though perhaps none more so than McDonald's. If you were to hold a McDonald's organizational chart and the crack gang's organizational chart side by side, you could hardly tell the difference.


This is drawn from just one fascinating chapter in their excellent book, though the truth it reveals is well known to viewers of The Wire.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:53 PM

RUNNING THE NUMBERS:

Absolutely, Power Corrupts (MICHAEL LEWIS, 4/24/05, NY Times Magazine)

In February 2004, a 24-year-old minor-league baseball player named Steve Stanley sat down and wrote a letter to President Bush. He had no talent with a pen, and he wanted badly to be understood, so he asked his wife, Brooke, to put what he had to say into words. He wanted to thank the president, whom he admired, for mentioning steroids in his State of the Union address, but he was also hoping to use his own case to advance the discussion. He was a small-boned, 5-foot-7, 155-pound center fielder who, even as he wrote, was succeeding in baseball because of his speed and his abilities to play defense and get on base. Even so, just over a year into his pro career, he was beginning to feel like a freak. He could live with being the least likely player on the field to hit the ball over the wall; what drove him nuts was the thought of bigger players using drugs to widen the power gap even further between him and them. The season before, he'd actually watched some hulking bomber taking batting practice hit a high fly ball to the warning track, turn to a teammate and, referring to a steroid, say, ''One cycle of Deca and that's out.'' And he had no doubt that the slugger would make sure that, next time, the ball left the park.

The putatively rigorous drug testing in the minor leagues, in Stanley's view, didn't reduce the use of steroids so much as it increased the energy players put into not getting caught. In 2003, players were going off into a separate room to fill a cup with urine; that was a joke. Last year, the testers followed the players into the bathroom; steroid users were said to fill false penises -- whizzinators, they called them -- with clean urine and stick them down their pants. The testing wasn't designed to catch cheaters but to create the illusion of trying to catch them. And never mind the biggest loophole of all: the off-season, when the testing of players was haphazard at best.

As the 2003 season's end approached, players could contact their dealers and arranged for shipments of Winstrol -- a kind of steroid with a half-life sufficiently short that it was undetectable a few weeks after the final dosage. A year into his professional baseball career, Steve Stanley had seen enough. In his letter to the president he -- or his wife -- made three observations: 1) the higher the level of the game, the more steroid-aided power he seemed to encounter; 2) steroids put a player like him, who refused to take them, at a competitive disadvantage; and 3) steroids were so deeply embedded in the game that the only way for baseball to be cleansed of them was for outsiders to take matters out of baseball hands.

When he mailed his letter to the president, steroids seemed to be Steve Stanley's problem more than baseball's. The people who judged baseball players, and made decisions about their careers, hardly gave steroids a second thought. Never knowing for sure who was on them, and having no good way of finding out, they were unable to calculate their importance. Anyone with eyes could see that, since the late 1980's, the shape of baseball players had changed. Anyone with a record book could see that, since the late 1980's, there had been a widespread increase in power, as measured by the number of doubles and home runs. But who was to say what caused the one, or that the one caused the other?

Of course, there's now some sketchy evidence that steroids have contributed mightily to the power surge. Clay Davenport, who studies minor-league players for the Web site Baseball Prospectus, has found that three of the four players with the most remarkable midcareer power surges in the last two decades are now famously linked to steroid use: Barry Bonds, Mark McGwire and Jason Giambi. (Giambi has gone from hitting 10 home runs in his entire college career to hitting 43 home runs off major-league pitching in a single season.) Ron Shandler, who has worked as a statistical analyst for the St. Louis Cardinals and publishes Baseball Forecaster, an annual survey of major- and minor-league players for fantasy leaguers, expresses his suspicions another way: he flags players who acquire power the same season that they've come back from vacation 20 pounds or more heavier. For instance, Shandler has noted that last season Adrian Beltre, in his final year with the Dodgers before becoming a free agent, reportedly showed up 20 pounds heavier than the year before. Beltre, whose career up to that point had been a story of unfulfilled promise, blasted 48 home runs, 25 more than he had ever hit in a single season -- for which he was rewarded, by the Seattle Mariners, with a new five-year, $64 million contract. (When a Tacoma, Wash., reporter asked if he had used steroids, Beltre laughed in denial.)

Another piece of evidence that steroids work is the reluctance of the players to part with their drugs.


Hard to say "no" to drugs when that $64 million waits.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:50 PM

THAT WHICH THE REST OF US REGRET AS INEVITABLE THEY BASE A PARTY ON:

Democratic Moral Values? (MATT BAI, 4/24/05, NY Times Magazine)

You can forgive Democrats in Washington for feeling somewhat vindicated by the way the controversy over Terri Schiavo played out. For years, after all, they waited in vain for the moment when Republicans might trip over their own arrogance while crusading for moral values, and finally, if polls are to be believed, it happened. Spurred by opportunism and more than a little genuine religious fervor, the heirs to Goldwater and Reagan seemed to forget how they came to control the values debate in America in the first place: not by interfering in the moral choices of families but by promising to stop government from doing exactly that. In truth, it had been a long time since Republican leaders paid more than superficial tribute to their libertarian creed, but it was only now, in the battle over a dying woman's wishes, that the public seemed to call them on it.

And yet, satisfying as it was for Democrats to watch Bill Frist and George W. Bush grow mute in the face of voter unease, they couldn't escape from the fact that the Schiavo episode exposed something hollow in their party too. Far from having made a compelling case for euthanasia or against morality by fiat, Democrats, with a few notable exceptions, pretty much became bystanders to the whole unseemly affair. And while Republicans managed to further define themselves as a party that would even go to unpopular lengths to defend the sanctity of ravaged and unborn souls alike, Democrats were again left to ponder their own identity in an age in which religious values and scientific insight seem increasingly to be hurtling toward collision. Even in defeat, Republicans emerged as ''the party of life.'' And as one leading Democratic operative privately warned a roomful of allies, ''We can't just be the party of death.''


Don't be silly--they've got taxes too!


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:40 PM

AS YE SOW:

Cardinal Ratzinger had websites dedicated to boosting him for Pope. Lawrence Tribe has one tracking his plagiarism mess.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:18 PM

IT SEEMS SO ATTRACTIVE 'TIL IT'S YOU:

What Living Wills Won't Do: The limits of autonomy (Eric Cohen, April 12, 2005, Weekly Standard)

For decades, we have deluded ourselves into believing that living wills would solve our caregiving problems; that healthy individuals could provide advance instructions for what to do if they became incompetent; that such a system would ensure that no one is mistreated and that everyone defines the meaning of life for himself until the very end. But it is now clear that living wills have failed, both practically and morally.

In the March-April 2004 issue of the Hastings Center Report, Angela Fagerlin and Carl E. Schneider survey the social science data, and their conclusions are damning: Most people do not have living wills, despite a very active campaign to promote them; those who do usually provide vague and conflicting instructions; people's opinions often change from experience to experience; and people's instructions are easily influenced by how a given scenario is described. These are not problems that any reform can fix. A person simply can't grasp in the present every medical and moral nuance of his own future case.

The dream of perfect autonomy--everyone speaking for himself, never deciding for another--should fade each time we change a parent's diaper, or visit a grandparent who does not recognize us, or sell an uncle's property to pay for the nursing home. After all, the only fully autonomous death--with every detail governed by individual will--is suicide. And suicide is hardly a basis for dealing more responsibly with the burdens of caregiving.

As the baby boomers age, we are entering a period when long-term dementia will often be the prelude to death, and when caregivers will regularly have to make decisions about how or whether to treat intervening illnesses like infections, heart trouble, or cancer. When should we accept that death has arrived, and when does stopping treatment entail a judgment that Alzheimer's patients are "better off dead"? What do we owe those who are cognitively disabled and totally dependent?

On these hard questions, the most vocal critics of Congress and "the religious right" in the Schiavo case have revealed the shallowness of their own thinking. Defending the "right to privacy" ignores the moral challenge of deciding how we should act in private, as both patients and caregivers. Asserting that "the state should stay out" of these decisions ignores the fact that some hard cases will always end up in court; that legislatures have a civic responsibility to pass the laws that courts apply; and that a decent society should set some minimum moral boundaries, such as laws against euthanasia and assisted suicide. And claiming that we should "defer to medical experts" ignores the potential conflict between the ideology of living wills and the ethic of medicine, since some people will leave instructions that no principled physician could execute.

In the end, the retreat to moral libertarianism and liberal proceduralism is inadequate. We need, instead, a moral philosophy, a political philosophy, and a medical philosophy that clarify our roles as caregivers, citizens, and doctors attending to those who cannot speak for themselves.

ANY MORAL PHILOSOPHY of care should begin with the premise that disability--even profound disability--is not grounds for seeking someone's death. But seeking death and accepting death when it arrives are very different matters. And while we should not seek death, neither should we see extending life at all costs as the supreme goal of care.


Just as the normalizing of abortion in the early 70's was fueled by the mistaken belief that it would be used mostly to kill black children, so too is the popularity of euthanasia driven by simple-minded bigotry towards disability.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:13 PM

ONE GLOBAL WAR AT A TIME:

US begins to be more assertive with China as terror, Iraq concerns ease (AFP, Apr 24, 2005)

The Bush administration is becoming more assertive with China on issues ranging from trade and currency to nuclear proliferation as concerns over Iraq and terrorism begin to ease. [...]

"I see new energy and interest in addressing what the United States perceives to be its top priority in US-China relationship -- namely rectifying trade imbalance and dealing with North Korea's nuclear proliferation," said Elizabeth Economy, an expert on US-China relations at the influential US Council on Foreign Relations.

The shift reflects a "return to the more traditional kind of US-China relationship rather than something very new and startling" and part of it has to do with less attention focused now on the war on terror and Iraq, she said.

Bush abandoned his aggressive China policy after the September 11, 2001 terror attacks on the United States.

He downplayed key bilateral differences as a trade off for Chinese support for Washington's war on terror and tacit backing for the US-led war on Iraq.

Nearly four years later, as Bush trumpets gains in Iraq and the war on terrorism and faces an increasingly impatient Congress over his China policy, the administration is slowly turning the screws on Beijing.


A Hundred Cellphones Bloom, and Chinese Take to the Streets (JIM YARDLEY, 4/25/05, NY Times)
The thousands of people who poured onto the streets of China this month for the anti-Japanese protests that shook Asia were bound by nationalist anger but also by a more mundane fact: they are China's cellphone and computer generation.

For several weeks as the protests grew larger and more unruly, China banned almost all coverage in the state media. It hardly mattered. An underground conversation was raging via e-mail, text message and instant online messaging that inflamed public opinion and served as an organizing tool for protesters.

The underground noise grew so loud that last Friday the Chinese government moved to silence it by banning the use of text messages or e-mail to organize protests. It was part of a broader curb on the anti-Japanese movement but it also seemed the Communist Party had self-interest in mind.

"They are afraid the Chinese people will think, O.K., today we protest Japan; tomorrow, Japan," said an Asian diplomat who has watched the protests closely. "But the day after tomorrow, how about we protest against the government?"

Nondemocratic governments elsewhere are already learning that lesson. Cellphone messaging is an important communications channel in nascent democracy movements in Lebanon and elsewhere in the Middle East. Ukraine's Orange Revolution used online forums and messaging to help topple a corrupt regime.

Few countries censor information and communications as tightly as China, which has as many as 50,000 people policing the Internet. Yet China is also now the largest cellphone market, with nearly 350 million users, while the number of Internet users is roughly 100 million and growing at 30 percent a year.

The result is a constant tension between a population hungry for freer communication and a government that regards information control as essential to its power. Anti-Japanese protesters have been able to spread information and loosely coordinate marches in a country where political organizing is illegal.

"That has to put the government on guard," said Xiao Qiang, director of the China Internet Project at the University of California at Berkeley. He said the recent organizing effort was even more notable because no one had been able to identify any of its leaders.


Given the internal unrest and the ongoing confrontations with neighbors like Taiwan and Japan, it shouldn't be hard to destabilize the PRC.


MORE:
China's hardly in a position to lecture Japan (Ross Terrill, 22apr05, The Australian)

East Asia is the axis of world power, because the US, China, Japan, and Russia intersect here as nowhere else.

Coiled Japan and theatrical China have seldom got on well. War between them in 1894-95, starting over Korea, undermined China's last dynasty and gave Taiwan to Japan. Widespread war again occurred from 1937 to 1945, as Japan's armies sought to put China under Japanese tutelage. Japan's attack doomed Chiang Kai-shek's rule and fuelled Mao Zedong's victory - and Tokyo lost control of Korea as well as Taiwan. Since 1945 only US power has prevented a resurgence of China-Japan rivalry, with all that would mean for Australia and other countries in the region.

Although the issues seem genteel, the China-Japan crisis is not really a surprise. China, buoyed by the world's gushing endorsement of its "rise"', believes it can lecture Japan with impunity. Just at this time Tokyo, thanks to North Korea's craziness, generational change in Japan, China's economic clout, and the flourishing Koizumi-Bush relationship, has forsaken bowing and scraping and become hard-nosed in its foreign policy.

Beijing's gripes with Tokyo are mostly spiritual. Younger Japanese are not willing to kowtow in unending shame for World War II. Japan has an economy three times the size of China's (with 10per cent of China's population), which rankles a Middle Kingdom used, until the 19th century, to being No.1. It judges Japan morally unfit for a permanent seat in the UN Security Council.

Japan says it is graduation time for China. No longer poor and a victim, Beijing is seen to be shamelessly milking the World War II issue for concessionary loans and self-esteem. Many Japanese also see China's anti-Japan rhetoric as calculated political mythology -- and this indeed is the heart of the matter.

China's diplomatic awkwardness in the world is inseparable from its tight political control at home. Apologies, textbooks, uninhabited islands, war memories -- all become painted faces and props in the Beijing opera of the paternalistic Chinese state's cultural and foreign policies. Marxism has mostly lost its hold over Chinese minds. But truth and power emanate from one fount: historically the emperor's court, today the Communist Party. The hold of the Chinese Communist regime over its people depends on belief in the cries and groans of the Beijing opera.

One opera act can give way to a surprising sequel. Folk in the People's Republic were taught to love the Soviet Union and then to hate it. India was esteemed in the 1950s and vilified in the '60s. Vietnam was "as close as lips and teeth" in the '60s yet invaded by Chinese armies in 1979. When Japanese prime minister Kakuei Tanaka tried to apologise directly to Mao for World War II in 1972, Mao brushed him off, saying the "help" provided by Japan's invasion of China made possible the Communist victory in 1949.

The moment's raison d'etat is supreme. Turning on rhetoric, emotion, and government-sanctioned demonstrations is an easy trick. Since political safety valves are lacking in Chinese society, no one knows the relative weight in the anti-Japan demonstrators' motivations among (a) dislike of Japan, (b) doing what supervisors prompt and (c) letting off steam by shouting slogans in the street (normally forbidden in China) that might end up annoying a Chinese government seen as condescending and corrupt.

On textbooks, a projection identification occurs. Dynastic regimes in East Asia all viewed history as the province of state orthodoxy. China and Vietnam, putting Leninist dress on the skeleton of traditional autocracy, still do. Japan and Taiwan, as democracies, do not.

No book of any kind attacking the Communist Party's monopoly of power in China has been published in China in the 56 years of the PRC. Some of the most trenchant books anywhere in the world on Japanese war atrocities have been written, published, and widely read in Japan. Beijing seems to think that because its textbooks jump to government policy, Japan's do too. But they do not. In Japan, unlike in China, there are government-sponsored textbooks as well as independent ones.

The blunt truth is that reasonable Chinese, Japanese, and other scholarly estimates vary widely for Chinese killed by Japan in the Nanjing Massacre of 1937 and in World War II. They also do for Chinese killed by their own Communist government in the Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution (no apologies, yet, for these mishaps; what's a million here, 10million there, among comrades?). No one textbook can embody final truth.

The main text for middle-school history in China devotes nine chapters to Japan's aggression against China in the 19th and 20th centuries, but does not mention China's invasion of Japan under the Yuan Dynasty. (Vietnam comes off even worse than Japan. Nothing is said of the Han Dynasty's conquest of Vietnam or of China's 1000-year colonisation of thecountry.)

China has enjoyed a good run in relations with Japan and reaped economic benefit. The very real horror of war is one reason and the skilful political theatre practised by Beijing is another. But the mood in Japan toward China has changed and Beijing may be miscalculating. China will certainly pull back from the brink of a real rupture; it has too much to lose. But it is not certain that Tokyo will lie down and take any more abuse, vandalism, and Chinese distortions of history.

Australia and other friends of China and Japan should talk earnestly to both powers about the crucial role of the Japan-China relationship for peace in East Asia.


That assumes we want peace.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:24 PM

IS THEIR SLANG THAT MUCH DIFFERENT?:

'My lesbian marriage was snatched away' (Matthew Davis, 4/22/05, BBC News)


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:34 PM

SOMEONE HAS TO CARRY THE LEGACY FORWARD...:

Bush Boosting Hillary in '08? (NewsMax, 4/24/05)

By befriending Bill Clinton so enthusiastically, ex-President George H.W. Bush is inadvertently helping Hillary Clinton to reclaim the White House in 2008, a longtime Bush family confidante said Sunday.

"They're trying to move Hillary to the center for 2008, and this helps de-demonize her and her husband," the unnamed Bush insider tells the New York Daily News.

An unidentified Clinton aide agreed that the ex-presidents' warm relationship is giving Hillary's presidential bid a big boost, proclaiming, "It gives [Mr.] Clinton back some legitimacy."

Sen. Clinton certainly left no doubt that she approves of her husband's new pal, telling the News, "They really have been having a great time together."


Inadvertently?


Posted by Peter Burnet at 7:31 PM

ARE THEY WORRIED HE MIGHT CHASE KOFI DOWN A HOTEL CORRIDOR?


Republican joins Bolton hearing monkey biz
(Mark Steyn, Chicago Sun-Times, April 24th, 2005)

I'll bet Pope Benedict XVI is glad that his conclave doesn't include either Cardinal Biden or Cardinal Voinovich, or his church would be pontiff-less indefinitely while they ''investigated'' last-minute rumors that he'd been off-hand to some guy in seminary 55 years ago. I had no strong views about the new pope one way or another, but I'd have voted for him just for the pleasure of seeing him drive the U.S. media bananas. Apparently, the New York Times was stunned that their short list of Cardinal Gloria Steinem, Cardinal Rupert Everett and Cardinal Rosie O'Donnell were defeated at the last moment by some guy who came out of left field and isn't even gay or female but instead belongs to the discredited ''Catholic'' faction of the Catholic Church.

Unlike the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, the conclave of cardinals takes its job seriously. They understand the demands of the New York Times: women priests, gay sex, condoms for all. But, as befits an ancient institution, they take the long view: They think that radical secularism is weak and that the consequences of its weakness will prove dangerous and possibly fatal for the Western world. Therefore, there's no point accommodating it -- and, after all, those churches that do (the Episcopalians, for example) are already in steep decline. You can disagree with this, particularly if you're as shrill and parochial as Pope Benedict's American critics. But the conclave at least addressed the big issues.

By contrast, at a time of great geopolitical turbulence, all the senior foreign relations figures in the upper house of the national legislature of the most powerful nation on the face of the Earth can do is retail lame smears from the early '90s and late '80s. Last week, Newt Gingrich visited New Hampshire -- strictly for the beautiful defoliated trees and meandering washed-out washboard roads of scenic late-April Mud Season, you understand; nothing to do with putative presidential campaigns or anything like that. Anyway, a surprisingly large number of hitherto quiescent Granite State Republicans demanded to know what's the deal with the inept and unreliable GOP senators. Newt gave pretty much the standard reply: Well, you must understand the party's still not used to being in charge of Congress. If they'd taken the first poll of the 2008 primary right there and then, he'd have dropped off the graph.

Newt's answer was just about plausible in 1995. But after a decade in charge? The Iraqi people are expected to get the hang of this self-government thing in 20 minutes, but the Republican Party requires another decade or three? The Democrats lost in 2004 for two reasons: their lack of credibility on national security issues, and their descent into mindless obstructionism. Remember Tom Daschle? Me neither. But if you go to the local library and dig up all the yellowing clippings, you'll find he used to be in the papers pretty much every day until the second week of November.

The weak bromides touted by the Dems in lieu of a policy -- a legalistic approach to the war on terror, greater deference to the U.N. and America's ''friends'' -- were defeated at the polls. Since then, they've been further discredited: The failure of terrorist prosecutions in Europe underlines how disastrous John Kerry's serve-'em-with-subpoenas approach would be; the sewer of the Oil-for-Food scandal and the attempts by Kofi Annan to castrate the investigation into it demonstrate yet again that there is no problem in the world today that can't be made worse by letting the U.N. have a hand in solving it; and America's ''friends'' -- by which Kerry meant not allies like Britain and Australia but the likes of France and Canada -- turn out to be some of the countries most implicated in the corruption of U.N. ''humanitarianism.''

Republican voters understand this. Why don't Republican senators? The rap against John Bolton is that he gets annoyed with do-nothing bureaucrats. If that's enough to disqualify you from government service, then 70 percent of citizens who've visited the DMV in John Kerry's Massachusetts are ineligible. Sinking Bolton means handing a huge psychological victory to a federal bureaucracy that so spectacularly failed America on 9/11 and to a U.N. bureaucracy eager for any distraction from its own mess. The Democrats' interest in derailing Bush foreign policy is crude but understandable. But why would even the wimpiest Republican ''moderate'' want to help them out? Who needs capuchin monkeys in the Senate when GOP squishes are so eager to tap-dance for Democrat organ grinders?

Do these senators think that the UN can be charmed into reform by a kind of earnest diplomatic collegiality? How positively Canadian of them.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:09 PM

WHERE THE RUBBER HITS THE ROAD KILL:

Two, four, six, eight: time to transubstantiate (Kevin Myers, 10/04/2005, Daily Telegraph)

[P]olly Toynbee's hate-flecked diatribe in The Guardian against the Pope and the Catholic Church probably spoke for a sizeable community of intolerant feminist liberals.

Even by her usual intellectual incoherence, the following sentence sets positively Olympian standards of doctrinaire witlessness: "With its ban on condoms, the Church has caused the death of millions of Catholics and others in areas dominated by Catholic missionaries in Africa and right across the globe."

So there you have it: not merely is the Catholic Church in political power in all those states in sub-Saharan Africa, but also, its ban on condoms actually causes the deaths of millions. And bizarre though it is, such toxic mumbo-jumbo is probably well-received in certain corners of Hampstead, where bigoted, sectarian secularism disdains the affections of the masses and curses simple, celibate virtue such as the Pope's.

But it is not his goodness alone that has commended itself to the people of Britain: the Catholic Church seems to have established a moral primacy within the British Christian community. Cardinal Basil Hume and now Cardinal Cormac Murphy-O'Connor have achieved an authority far greater than their equivalents in Canterbury, even though the Catholic Church has been rocked with both the evils of child-abuse and by falling vocations.

People apparently crave what it stands for - unbending moral authority in personal and public life - even if they do not comply with every instruction it issues.


Hypocrisy is perfectly healthy.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:01 PM

POSTCARDS FROM HELL:

So, marital amity required a trip to MA this weekend for Passover and served up a number of reminders of why you should never leave your house.

(1) Did you know the Post Office doesn't have a Book Rate anymore? It's called Media Rate now.

(2) A package of razor blade refills now costs $10 for like four of them? You used to be able to get a whole sack of Bic shavers for less.

(3) One of The Wife's cousins is getting married but the rabbi won't do the service, not because the spouse is also a male, which is permissible, but because he's not Jewish.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:41 PM

LOW STAKES AT THE END OF HISTORY:

Politics is no longer Britain's cup of tea: Experts say voter turnout in the May 5 general election could plunge to a century-low 53 percent. (Mark Rice-Oxley, 4/25/05, f The Christian Science Monitor)

With less than two weeks to the May 5 vote, the big question facing British politicians is not who votes for them, but who votes at all. Experts predict the lowest participation in a century.

Turnout that persisted above 70 percent for decades after World War II is expected to plunge to 53 percent this cycle, according to Professor Paul Whiteley of England's Essex University. Turnout in the 2004 US presidential vote was 61 percent.


Anatole Kaletsky nailed the surprising reason why this is a good rather than a bad sign.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:35 PM

DEAR GOD, WE NEED MORE PLAGUES:

Under siege (Melanie Phillips, 4/24/05)

Jews are currently celebrating the festival of Passover. This commemorates the exodus of the Jews from slavery in Egypt, the point at which they gained their freedom and became a nation. The two concepts are intimately connected. On Friday afternoon, when orthodox Jews preparing for both the Sabbath and Passover would have been unable to attend, the Association of University Teachers took a large step towards delegitimising the Jewish national homeland as a prelude to its destruction. It passed a motion calling for a boycott of two Israeli universities, Haifa and Bar Ilan, which it accused of being complicit in the abuse of Palestinians in the occupied territories, and agreed to circulate a Palestinian call for a total university boycott.

The targeted Israeli institutions have denied the specific charges. They were given no opportunity to put their case; indeed, a request from Bar Ilan to send someone to do so at the conference was turned down. This was not surprising to anyone who has grasped what is going on here. For it was not these universities which were on trial, but Israel itself. And for the stupid and vicious people who now pass for our intelligentsia, Israel is a pariah nation — an ‘apartheid state’ — simply because the Arabs who are trying to exterminate it say that this is so.

The vote has drawn immediate protests at the denial of academic freedom that it embodies. I have already commented in posts below on this particular aspect, along with the disgusting requirement for Israeli academics to side with those who would exterminate their nation in order to avoid this punishment. In these circumstances, it was astonishing to hear Steven Rose, the original begetter of the boycott movement three years ago, adduce on BBC Radio Four’s The World Tonight as a reason for this action the ‘appalling’ restrictions by the Israeli authorities on the academic freedom of his Palestinian colleagues who were prevented from moving freely between universities in the territories. No mention by Rose, of course, of the 50-year Arab war against Israel and the systematic mass murder of Israeli citizens by Palestinians — the only reason for those restrictions being applied.

But then, the whole premise of the motion is a truly monstrous lie about who is the aggressor and who the victim in the Middle East, with Israel being wickedly blamed for having the temerity to defend itself against annihilation and genocide. Susan Blackwell, the Birmingham university lecturer (described in David Aaronovitch’s Observer column as a former Christian turned revolutionary socialist who co-wrote the motion, said the union was ‘standing up for human rights’. What is so terrifying is that, in stamping on the human right to life of the Israelis, she probably sincerely believes this Orwellian inversion of the truth. And these people are teaching our young. [...]

The AUT motion cannot be dismissed as the ravings of a tiny minority of far-left academics in a marginal union. It may be that other academics, appalled by what has occurred, will resign from that union or protest in other ways. But this development is merely the latest in an apparently unstoppable stream of comments and incidents of an anti-Jewish nature. And the crucial thing is the absence of outrage in the wider community — indeed, on occasion, it provides its endorsement. The AUT motion came at the end of a week which saw the award of the MBE to Orla Guerin, the BBC reporter whose venomous dispatches from Israel have come to epitomise the virulent anti-Israel hatred at the BBC. For her to be given this award, presented by Baroness Symons, the junior Foreign Office minister, is a calculated kick in the teeth by the labour government towards the Jewish community in Britain, where feeling about Guerin’s reporting runs very high as the government well knows.

The Jewish community in Britain is under siege.


Academia, the media, and parties of the Left--the new home of anti-Semitism.

MORE:
Why Israel will always be vilified: It is convenient for many British liberals that Israel exists. It saves them from examining the manifest failings in their own actions (David Aaronovitch, April 24, 2005, Observer)

In itself, Israel is not anything like South Africa, where a majority was denied all political and civic rights on the grounds of race. What is analogous, however, is Israel's occupation of Palestinian territories, which bears comparison with South Africa's occupation of Namibia or, some might say, Serbia's occupation of Kosovo.

So the object of those wanting peace and justice in the Middle East is to bring about an end to that occupation, and enable the establishment of a viable, contiguous Palestinian state. It is to persuade both sides that such a settlement is practical and to persuade both sides to make the difficult sacrifices that are necessary. It is to build confidence between Jews and Palestinians, and to strengthen, always, the hand of the peacemakers.

Unless, of course, you don't believe that Israel has the right to exist as a Jewish state at all within any borders. And this, as it happens, seems to be the view of Sue Blackwell, who describes Israel as 'an illegitimate state'. Unlike the United Nations, she does not believe it should have been set up and she would rather it disappeared. As she pointed out in 2003 to a previous AUT council: 'From its very inception, the state of Israel has attracted international condemnation for violating the human rights of the Palestinian people and making war on its neighbours.' Or, to put it even more bluntly, everything is all the fault of the Israelis.

The problem is that many Jews understand very well that this is her view and, unfortunately, will believe that it is also the view of all her fellow campaigners. Consequently, there will now be a battle royal (of which this article is part) about the rights and wrongs of these particular tactics, and the bigger picture will inevitably be lost. Everyone will return to their trenches and take the tarpaulins off their heaviest and most inaccurate artillery.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:08 PM

NOTHING SO BEAUTIFUL AS A SUNSET:

Bush's Most Radical Plan Yet: With a vote of hand-picked lobbyists, the president could terminate any federal agency he dislikes (OSHA GRAY DAVIDSON, Rolling Stone)

If you've got something to hide in Washington, the best place to bury it is in the federal budget. The spending plan that President Bush submitted to Congress this year contains 2,000 pages that outline funding to safeguard the environment, protect workers from injury and death, crack down on securities fraud and ensure the safety of prescription drugs. But almost unnoticed in the budget, tucked away in a single paragraph, is a provision that could make every one of those protections a thing of the past.

The proposal, spelled out in three short sentences, would give the president the power to appoint an eight-member panel called the "Sunset Commission," which would systematically review federal programs every ten years and decide whether they should be eliminated. Any programs that are not "producing results," in the eyes of the commission, would "automatically terminate unless the Congress took action to continue them."

The administration portrays the commission as a well-intentioned effort to make sure that federal agencies are actually doing their job. "We just think it makes sense," says Clay Johnson, deputy director for management at the Office of Management and Budget, which crafted the provision. "The goal isn't to get rid of a program -- it's to make it work better."

In practice, however, the commission would enable the Bush administration to achieve what Ronald Reagan only dreamed of: the end of government regulation as we know it. With a simple vote of five commissioners -- many of them likely to be lobbyists and executives from major corporations currently subject to federal oversight -- the president could terminate any program or agency he dislikes. No more Environmental Protection Agency. No more Food and Drug Administration. No more Securities and Exchange Commission.

"Ronald Reagan once observed, 'The closest thing to immortality on this earth is a federal government program,' " says Rep. Kevin Brady, a Republican from Texas who has been working for the past nine years to establish a sunset commission. "We need it to clear out the deadwood."


The author may have misunderstood and thought the commission was aimed at him personally.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:39 PM

ET TUTU? (via Kevin Whited):

Africans hail conservative Pope (BBC, 4/20/05)

African church leaders have welcomed the election of Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger as Pope Benedict XVI.

Archbishop John Onayekon of Nigeria told the BBC that African Catholics supported his conservative views on social and sexual issues.

However, South Africa's Anglican Archbishop Desmond Tutu said he was sad that the new pope was unlikely to end the church's opposition to condoms.

He said this was more important than the fact that the Pope was not African.

"We would have hoped for someone more open to the more recent developments in the world, the whole question of the ministry of women and a more reasonable position with regards to condoms and HIV/Aids," Archbishop Tutu said.


Surprising, eh, that Catholicism is thriving and Angicanism dying?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:14 PM

YOU ARE HOW YOU THROW (via brian boys):

Wide World of Sports: Soccer mirrors globalization and its discontents.: a review of How Soccer Explains the World: An Unlikely Theory of Globalization, by Franklin Foer (Michael Young, April 2005, Reason)

In one chapter of How Soccer Explains the World: An Unlikely Theory of Globalization, Franklin Foer evokes this alleged effetism by using soccer to help explain America’s culture wars. Foer distinguishes two camps that emerged in the U.S. after 9/11. One is cosmopolitan, shares values with Europe, opposes war in Iraq, and, presumably, is amenable to soccer; the other believes in American exceptionalism, views Europeans as lax and degraded, and regards soccer as “a symbol of the U.S. junking its tradition to ‘get with the rest of the world’s program.’”

The distinction is even simpler: there are people who throw like men and people who throw like girls.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:10 PM

BILLIONS AND BILLIONS SERVED (via Tom Corcoran):

The Fever Swamp: “Don’t You Want to Be Prepared?” (Meghan Cox Gurdon, April 22, 2005, National Review)

I don’t want to sound unpatriotic, and I realize that this is not a wildly original point, but there is something creepy about how risk aversion has become a kind of unofficial American creed.

It’s creepy in the way that it has crept stealthily into our national life, and creepier still in its sinister, innumerate, fear-fanning, joy-squashing effects. There have been days lately when I have caught myself wondering aloud, “Can we really be the people who settled the Great Plains?”

Spend a few hours at the park and you’ll hear the endless gull-like cries of fretful parents and nannies: “Don’t climb so high! Watch out with that stick! No running! No pushing! Don’t get on the slide until everyone’s off it!” Of course children can get hurt, but really, they usually bounce. Go to a swimming pool and it’s all, “No running! No diving! No jumping! Stop splashing!”

When Paris went recently to his pal Emma’s 8th birthday party — “Laser tag, wow!” — he came out cheerful and sweaty but slightly crestfallen. “It was fun,” he told me, “but not as exciting as I expected. We weren’t allowed to run or jump, so everyone just walked around slowly, shooting each other with beams of light.”

The next day Molly returned from a field trip to a D.C government office and informed us that a new municipal regulation requires children to wear protective headgear when…sledding! To grasp the full craziness of this rule, you must understand that we get sled-worthy snow maybe three times a winter — at which point school is invariably cancelled due to the peril of slippage — and that Washington, D.C. is not exactly Alpine. Them thar hillocks is hazardous, m’am! Them moguls is downright deadly!

It seems a no-fun approach to life to me, but then I come from a generation that knew not the steel-reinforced child car seat, the bicycle helmet, or that antibiotic gel that conscientious mothers rub on their toddlers’ hands when they’ve been playing in a sandbox.


The Wife and I have a fairly basic theory when it comes to fretting over stuff that could happen to the kids and whether we're fulfilling our parental duties: there have been 10 to 12 billion humans born and raised so far--many, if not most, to idiots--it just can't be that hard.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:02 PM

UNIVERSAL HSA'S NOW:

States Rein In Health Costs: Legislatures are looking to cut Medicaid or add fees. Missouri is poised to end the program, which many of the poor rely upon for care. (Stephanie Simon, April 24, 2005, LA Times)

Hundreds of thousands of poor people across the nation will lose their state-subsidized health insurance in the coming months as legislators scramble to hold down the enormous — and ever-escalating — cost of Medicaid.

Here in impoverished southeast Missouri, nurses at a family health clinic stash drug samples for patients they know won't be able to afford their prescriptions after their coverage is eliminated this summer. Doctors try to comfort waitresses, sales clerks and others who will soon lose coverage for medical, dental and mental healthcare.

"I don't know what cure to offer them," Dr. Hameed Khaja said.

Lawmakers say they feel for those who will lose coverage. But they say also that they have no alternative.

Prenatal checkups, care in nursing homes and other health services for the poor and disabled account for more than 25% of total spending in many states. Medicaid is often a state's single biggest budget item, more expensive even than K-12 education. And the price of services, especially prescription drugs and skilled nursing for the elderly, continues to soar.

The federal government helps pay for Medicaid, but in the coming fiscal year, the federal contribution will drop by more than $1 billion because of changes in the cost-share formula. President Bush has warned of far deeper cuts to come; he aims to reduce federal spending on Medicaid by as much as $40 billion over the next decade.

"It's frightening a lot of governors," said Diane Rowland, executive director of the Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured.


You could put every Medicaid recipient in a lucrative Health Savings Account for a fraction of what the current program costs.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:53 PM

IF YOU BLOW STUFF UP WE WILL WATCH (via The Mother Judd):

Watching TV Makes You Smarter (STEVEN JOHNSON, 4/24/05, NY Times Magazine)

SCIENTIST A: Has he asked for anything special?

SCIENTIST B: Yes, this morning for breakfast . . . he requested something called ''wheat germ, organic honey and tiger's milk.''

SCIENTIST A: Oh, yes. Those were the charmed substances that some years ago were felt to contain life-preserving properties.

SCIENTIST B: You mean there was no deep fat? No steak or cream pies or . . . hot fudge?

SCIENTIST A: Those were thought to be unhealthy.
— From Woody Allen's ''Sleeper''

On Jan. 24, the Fox network showed an episode of its hit drama ''24,'' the real-time thriller known for its cliffhanger tension and often- gruesome violence. Over the preceding weeks, a number of public controversies had erupted around ''24,'' mostly focused on its portrait of Muslim terrorists and its penchant for torture scenes. The episode that was shown on the 24th only fanned the flames higher: in one scene, a terrorist enlists a hit man to kill his child for not fully supporting the jihadist cause; in another scene, the secretary of defense authorizes the torture of his son to uncover evidence of a terrorist plot.

But the explicit violence and the post-9/11 terrorist anxiety are not the only elements of ''24'' that would have been unthinkable on prime-time network television 20 years ago. Alongside the notable change in content lies an equally notable change in form. During its 44 minutes -- a real-time hour, minus 16 minutes for commercials -- the episode connects the lives of 21 distinct characters, each with a clearly defined ''story arc,'' as the Hollywood jargon has it: a defined personality with motivations and obstacles and specific relationships with other characters. Nine primary narrative threads wind their way through those 44 minutes, each drawing extensively upon events and information revealed in earlier episodes. Draw a map of all those intersecting plots and personalities, and you get structure that -- where formal complexity is concerned -- more closely resembles ''Middlemarch'' than a hit TV drama of years past like ''Bonanza.''

For decades, we've worked under the assumption that mass culture follows a path declining steadily toward lowest-common-denominator standards, presumably because the ''masses'' want dumb, simple pleasures and big media companies try to give the masses what they want. But as that ''24'' episode suggests, the exact opposite is happening: the culture is getting more cognitively demanding, not less. To make sense of an episode of ''24,'' you have to integrate far more information than you would have a few decades ago watching a comparable show. Beneath the violence and the ethnic stereotypes, another trend appears: to keep up with entertainment like ''24,'' you have to pay attention, make inferences, track shifting social relationships. This is what I call the Sleeper Curve: the most debased forms of mass diversion -- video games and violent television dramas and juvenile sitcoms -- turn out to be nutritional after all.

I believe that the Sleeper Curve is the single most important new force altering the mental development of young people today, and I believe it is largely a force for good: enhancing our cognitive faculties, not dumbing them down.


Except that young men watch it for the violence and the jiggly daughter. They could no more explain what's going on than tell you the plot of Middlemarch.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:46 PM

INHERITED LANDSCAPE:

Bruce Almighty (JON PARELES, 4/24/05, NY Times)

WHEN Bruce Springsteen talks about his new album, he can sound more like a preacher than a rock star. Soul and spirit, God and family; that's what's on his mind in the quiet, folky songs on Devils & Dust. He sings, reverently, about Jesus and his mother, Mary; he also sings about a man with a hooker in a hotel room.

"I like to write about people whose souls are in danger, who are at risk," Mr. Springsteen said. At rehearsals for a solo tour that starts on Monday in Detroit, he and his crew were fine-tuning technical details here at the Paramount Theater, the faded movie palace at the Asbury Park Convention Hall.

"In every song on this record," he added, "somebody's in some spiritual struggle between the worst of themselves and the best of themselves, and everybody comes out in a slightly different place. That thread runs through the record, and it's what gives the record its grounding in the spirit."

In a way, "Devils & Dust" is Mr. Springsteen's family-values album, filled with reflections on God, motherhood and the meaning of home. [...]

Thoughts of redemption, moral choices and invocations of God have been part of Springsteen songs throughout his career, but they have grown stronger and more explicitly Christian on his 21st-century albums. "It was something I pushed off for a long time," he said, "but I've been thinking about it a lot lately." He has a trinity of reasons for his connection to Christian imagery and concepts: "Catholic school, Catholic school, Catholic school," he said. "You're indoctrinated. It's a none-too subtle form of brainwashing, and of course, it works very well."

Mr. Springsteen grew up half a block away from his Catholic church, convent and rectory. "I'm not a churchgoer," he said, "but I realized, as time passed, that my music is filled with Catholic imagery. It's not a negative thing. There was a powerful world of potent imagery that became alive and vital and vibrant, and was both very frightening and held out the promise of ecstasies and paradise. There was this incredible internal landscape that they created in you."

"As I got older, I got a lot less defensive about it," he continued. "I thought, I've inherited this particular landscape and I can build it into something of my own. I've been back to the church on many occasions, and I have a lot of friendships with priests. And I've been to the convent where the nuns now give me beer, which they have in the refrigerator. I don't think they had that when I was going to school there."

The album includes "Jesus Was an Only Son," a hymnlike song about Mary's love that ends with Jesus consoling her, saying, "Remember the soul of the universe/Willed a world and it appeared." But "Devils & Dust" also includes "Reno," which has lyrics explicit enough to prompt a warning on the album package that it "contains some adult imagery." Its narrator visits a prostitute who resembles his ex-lover, only to feel more desolate afterward.

"He's in this room with this proxy because he couldn't handle the real thing," Mr. Springsteen said. "The physicality, the sexual content of the song was important, because casual sex is kind of closing the book of you. It's ecstasy, and it's release. Sex with somebody you love is opening the book of you, which is always a risky and frightening read."

The other kind of love on "Devils & Dust" is maternal and filial. Half the songs on the album, like "Jesus Was an Only Son," ponder relationships between mothers and sons. Mr. Springsteen has written often about his uneasy ties to his father, who died in 1998, but rarely about his mother, who is still, he said, "alive and kicking."

In "Black Cowboys," a ghetto teenager leaves his mother and her drug-dealer boyfriend and heads west; in "The Hitter," a broken-down boxer shows up at his mother's door and begs her to let him in. And in "Long Time Comin,' " a man feels his pregnant wife's belly and hopes, for his children, that "your mistakes would be your own/Yea your sins would be your own," once again connecting family and faith.

"Pete Townshend said that rock music was one of the big spiritual movements of the second half of the 20th century," Mr. Springsteen said. "It is medicinal and it does address your spirit, there's no two ways about it. And it came out of the church. Who were the first frontmen? The preachers!"


Given his politics, Mr. Springsteen generally makes you put up with an aw3ful lot of nonsensde, but The Rising too was a moving and deeply spiritual disc.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:32 PM

WHY WOULD YOU GO TO A TORY RALLY OTHERWISE?:

Fury at BBC sabotage of Tory speech (MURDO MACLEOD, 4/24/05, The Scotsman)

FURIOUS Tory chiefs have accused the BBC of trying to sabotage their election campaign by sending hecklers equipped with microphones to a meeting addressed by Michael Howard.

The Conservatives have made an official complaint to the corporation after the hecklers - who were ‘miked-up’ by corporation technicians - were caught at a party event last week.

The Tories accuse the BBC of a "premeditated" attempt to disrupt the meeting and say the corporation should not be involved in creating news.

The BBC last night insisted the filming formed part of a programme on the history of heckling, but the revelation threatened to plunge the organisation into its biggest crisis since the David Kelly affair in 2003.

The admission that hecklers were equipped with microphones for a programme that will be viewed before polling day on May 5 leaves the BBC open to allegations that staff showed political bias, in breach of corporation regulations.


At least PBS is subtle.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:00 PM

IT'S PRACTICALLY AN INHERITANCE:

Weld talking to GOP about New York run (MARC HUMBERT, April 24, 2005, AP)

Former Massachusetts Gov. William Weld has had discussions with New York Republican officials about a possible run for governor or the U.S. Senate next year in the state where he has lived since 2000, a top GOP official said Sunday.

The party official, speaking to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity, said there have been staff-level discussions between the two camps and direct conversations between at least one other top GOP official and Weld.

The primary interest is in Weld running for governor, the source said.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:31 AM

WHAT'S YOUR ROBOT TO RETIREE RATIO?:

Benefit Burden Puts GM in Slow Lane: The automaker has ample financial reserves for now. But CEO Rick Wagoner must find a way to cut pension obligations and retiree health costs. (John O'Dell, April 24, 2005, LA Times)

Like the Social Security system, GM has ample financial reserves — for now. The company has $19.8 billion in cash reserves, more than enough to fund this year's $5.5 billion in healthcare costs.

But Wagoner, who declined to be interviewed, must find a way to reduce the company's so-called legacy costs: $87 billion in pension obligations and $60 billion in retiree healthcare benefits. He has said that healthcare costs have reached a "crisis" stage and that GM needs to talk candidly with the United Auto Workers about finding a solution; the company also has suggested reducing other benefits.

GM says it has 2.5 retired workers for every 1 active employee — a ratio much greater than the forecast for the Social Security program when baby boomers have retired and there will be an estimated 1 beneficiary for every 2.1 active workers.

All told, Wagoner said, these costs add $1,500 to the price of each GM vehicle; that compares with about $300 for Toyota Motor Corp. in this country.

GM needs a considerable amount of outside help, especially from the UAW — which represents 120,000 hourly GM workers in the United States — to make a dent in its liabilities, analysts say. For example, the company would save more than $900 million a year if its hourly employees paid for the same share of healthcare costs as do its 40,000 salaried workers, said John Devine, the company's chief financial officer.


If you want to compete with the Third World in the parts assembley business pay the workers like they're Chinese.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:27 AM

FRONTIERSMEN:

Is There a Biblical Metaphysic? (Edmond Lab. Cherbonnier, January 1959, Theology Today)

Is there such a thing as a Biblical metaphysic? It is sometimes held that the very phrase itself is a contradiction in terms, that the words "Biblical" and "metaphysics" are mutually exclusive The present article will attempt to dispel this notion, and to show how the development of a Biblical metaphysic could contribute to current theological and philosophical discussion.

The first step is to clarify the meaning of the term "metaphysics" It belongs to a family of words which are used in two distinct senses the one general (or formal), the other specific (or material). The general sense stands for a particular kind of inquiry, as "astronomy." for example, refers to the investigation of the stars. The specific meaning, however, denotes the results of the inquiry. In this sense, there are as many different "astronomies" as there are plausible answers to the astronomer's question, such as Ptolemaic, Copernican, or Aztec. Similarly, the inquiry called "physics" has received several alternative answers, each of which is itself a "physics," whether Aristotelian, Newtonian, or quantum.

Metaphysics, likewise, in its general sense, refers to a particular inquiry. The metaphysician asks: "What is true always and every where, regardless of time or place? And how is this truth related to the particular truths of determinate times and places?" Possible answers, from the atomic theory of Democritus to the idealism of Hegel, are also "metaphysics," in the specific sense. When this sense is intended, the word is often spelled "metaphysic," without the final s. The Biblical metaphysic is simply the systematic development of one possible answer to the metaphysician's question, based upon hints and latent assumptions within the Bible. [...]

Correctly perceiving that the Bible is not Platonic, Spinoza concludes that it therefore has no philosophic import at all.

Because a majority of theologians have tacitly concurred in his verdict, Christian thought has frequently been at war with itself. This inner conflict has finally come to a head in the present day, with the sharp division of Protestant theology into two camps. On the one hand, the philosophical theologian recognizes that if Christianity is to be rational, it must contain a metaphysic. He thereupon performs a tour de force which purports to reconcile the Bible with Plato, but which in fact simply obscures what the Bible is saying. He is easily convicted by his counterpart, the orthodox theologian, of violating the elementary canons of scientific exegesis.

The orthodox, however, in order to keep Plato out of the Bible, has felt obliged to repudiate all metaphysics whatever, and even to denounce rational theology as a kind of idolatry. Having forfeited human reason to his opponent, he can scarcely hope to win an argument, except by recourse to dubious methods. The theological ferment of recent years has thus issued in a stalemate. The philosophical party, despite its defense of reason, reads into the Bible a metaphysic which has no place there. The orthodox party, despite a more respectable exegesis, replaces argument with a mixture of dogmatism and poetry.

I

Actually the present stalemate is merely the logical outcome of the basic cleavage which haunts the entire history of Christian thought. Today's philosophical camp is the lineal descendant of men like Oriogen and Erigena, whose Platonism could scarcely accommodate the Bible, while the orthodox follow the example of Tertullian and Luther, who were prepared to sacrifice reason to Scripture. Despite their differences, these men all shared one prior assumption. Or rather, their differences were due to this assumption. Agreeing with Spinoza that the Bible carries no philosophic import, they were obliged either to subordinate revelation to reason, or vice versa. [...]

[T]he hegemony of Platonic metaphysics has been due in part to the absence of adequate competition. The following pages will suggest, in barest outline, how a respectable alternative might be derived from the philosophical implications of the Bible, and will also indicate some of its advantages over Plato.

The nature of God. At no point is the contrast between Biblical and Platonic metaphysics more obvious than in their respective conceptions of "god." The Platonist, in his search for what is true always and everywhere, concludes that nothing can fill the bill save what is itself non-temporal and non-spatial. Nothing can be universally true save that which is itself "a universal." Hence the famous formula, "the most universal is the most real." Impelled by this rubric, his "quest for ultimate reality" finally ends with the most universal of all concepts, known variously, and apparently without embarrassment, as either Being, or Non-Being, or both.

A "divinity" which excludes space, time, and matter is best described in terms which negate the everyday world. Its relation to the world is that of the Absolute to the relative, the Infinite to the finite, the Timeless to the temporal. None of these designations is compatible with the God of the Bible. The Biblical God is not a universal, but a particular-a Being, not Being-Itself. The incarnation of Christ is no paradox. To describe it as such is to betray a Platonic point of departure. What the Biblical conception of incarnation is shouting at the top of its lungs is that whatever the difference between God and man may be, it has nothing to do with space, time, or matter. It reaffirms the contention of the book of Genesis that the nature of God himself is not incompatible with the nature of man. That is, the difference between God and man is not primarily a metaphysical difference. Though he exists only at the pleasure of his Creator, a living man is quite as "real" as the living God. Any attempt to combine this God with Plato's in a single system" is destined, under the logician's scrutiny, to split in half. The two "theologies" are in competition with each other. In metaphysics, as in life, there is a battle of the gods.

In plain words, the Biblical alternative to Plato's "Being-Itself" is a bold anthropomorphism. There is no a priori reason why this metaphysical hypothesis should not receive the same consideration as any other. The present writer, however, has made a careful search for a single rational refutation of it. His findings are exhausted by a catalogue of phrases like "subjective," "projection," "wishful thinking," "narrow," " crude anthropomorphism," "primitive superstition," "beneath a philosopher's dignity," " a fog of absurd notions," and other similar epithets, none of which contributes a great deal to testing the Biblical answer to the metaphysician's question.

Not only is the conception of God as Someone remarkably free from legitimate metaphysical objection; it also possesses a positive strength of its own, a strength described in the following words by the British philosopher, W. H. V. Reade:

"When fear of anthropomorphism induces men to reject the idea of a personal God, they simply delude themselves. What they propose is just as anthropomorphic as what they reject, and the only evident result will be that they have provided an inferior substitute for God. Whether it be the "unmoved Mover" of Aristotle, the id quo maius nihil of Anselm, or any similar abstraction, no hypothesis of that kind will ever prove anything but the failure of logical ingenuity to establish the existence of any Being who can be worshipped as God. The reason is that personality, however indefinable, is the highest "category" that we possess. Whenever we are promised something supra-personal, we may be certain that something infra-personal is what we shall get. Between divine and human personality the distance is doubtless immeasurable, but to attempt to improve the situation by taking refuge in the impersonal is a counsel of despair. . . . The savage makes a debased idol because his notion of human personality is debased."

While the Platonist, in his search for what is true regardless of place or time, postulates a realm of being beyond space and time, the Bible's answer to the same question is the "Living God." As the participle "living" implies, timeless categories are far less applicable to such a God than frankly temporal words. He speaks," acts, judges, forgives, loves, creates, redeems-in short, lie engages in those purposive, intelligent activities which are distinctive of a free agent. The key words by which the Bible describes God are all verbs.

When the Christian theologian objects, as even Calvin did, that a God who "does things" cannot be "the infinite" or "the absolute," he is simply saying that if Plato's metaphysic is correct, then the Bible's is false. But he sometimes forgets to add, "and vice versa."

One may readily agree with Plato that "ultimate reality," whatever its nature, must provide the philosopher with a fixed point' of reference, a lodestar around which his system may be securely oriented. But where Plato concludes that these "eternal verities" can be found only outside the flux of time, the Biblical metaphysic is focused upon the person of God. It does not look beyond time, but focuses upon his steadfastness within time.

"He is the living God, and steadfast forever" (Dan. 6: 26).

. . . with whom there is no variableness, neither shadow of turning." (James 1: 17).

"For I am the Lord, I change not" (Mal. 3:6).

"Jesus Christ the same yesterday, and today, and forever" (Heb. 13:8).

This is the Bible's answer to the metaphysician's quest for a truth. which never fails. The difference between this answer and Plato's is the difference between that which, by definition, cannot change, and him who, de facto, does not change. Until anthropomorphism is found wanting on logical grounds, there is no reason of principle why the "quest for ultimate reality" should not lead the metaphysician to look for the kind of God who could say, "I am the Truth."

To object that terms like "the absolute" and "the infinite" are" necessary principles of thought" is really to beg the question. They are simply corollaries of the Platonist's prior premise that "the most universal is the most real." The adequacy of this premise is the point at issue: does it satisfy the criteria of Metaphysical inquiry? Its record is not unimpeachable. For thoroughgoing Platonism regularly obscures or denies the distinction between "being" and its opposite, "non-being," thereby violating the most important of all logical rules, the principle of consistency. And self-contradiction remains self-contradiction, whether marketed as "the courage to embrace tension" or "the humility to accept paradox." Prima facie evidence thus suggests that the Platonic, rather than the Biblical God, obliges its followers to contravene the principles of thought.

III

Faith and reason. The whole problem of "faith and reason" is radically recast within a Biblical context. Or rather, it ceases to be a problem at all. The problem only arises within a Platonic framework, where faith acquires either of two meanings. Either it is a kind of half-way house between doubt and certainty, and definitely subordinate to the latter, or it is equated with the extra-cognitive moment of mystical illumination, which allegedly transcends the distinction between subject and object. In either case, it has been reduced to a kind of apprehension, and in neither case can it be reconciled with reason.

Within the Biblical metaphysic, however, faith is not reducible to a mixture of certainty and doubt, or to any special mode of apprehension. Rather, it is a voluntary relation of absolute trust in him who alone holds the answers to Plato's questions. As Reade describes it:

"Faith is neither what Plato and Aristotle understood by 'knowledge,' nor what they meant by 'opinion'; neither the certitude of exact science, nor the state of uncertainty which prevails when science is lacking. . . . Faith . . . is not in essence an attitude or mental condition relative to any kind of impersonal facts, but rather a vivid consciousness of absolute trust in a Person."

In the Biblical world-view, the primary words all refer to those activities which distinguish persons from the impersonal, and especially to those which characterize relations between persons. The metaphysical priority is reserved for transactions between free agents: purpose, covenant, loyalty, promise, love, trust, forgiveness, repentance, gratitude, deception, betrayal, sin, and judgment.

Once this metaphysic is established, the "problem" of faith and reason disappears. The only question is whether God is in fact trustworthy. Once a person asks this question, he is prepared to receive the Biblical proof for the existence of God. It is neither the ontological argument nor any variation of the cosmological argument, both of which presuppose an un-Biblical conception of God. The Biblical God never asks men to believe without evidence, from the burning bush to doubting Thomas, but the evidence is of a kind appropriate to a Living God: the fulfillment of his promises. Hence, the very great significance which the Biblical writer attach to the fulfillment of prophecy:

"Let all the nations be gathered together, and let the people be assembled: who among them can declare this, and show us former things? Show the things that are to come hereafter, that we may know that ye are gods. . . .

"I am God, and there is none like me, declaring the end from the beginning, and from ancient time the things that are not yet done saying, My counsel shall stand, I will do all my pleasure. . . . I have purposed it, I will also do it" (Is. 43: 9, 41: 22; 46: 9-11).

God's existence is proved, not by the philosopher's ingenuity, but by God himself. The only problem is to persuade the philosopher to ask the right question.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:54 AM

OUR POPE TOO:

He Was My Pope, Too: Now that John Paul II is gone, I am even more of an orphan than the Christians in the Roman church. (Uwe Siemon-Netto, 04/04/2005, Christianity Today)

For the last quarter of a century, this non-Catholic has had a pope. Now that John Paul II is gone, I am even more of an orphan than the Christians in the Roman church. For they will surely have another pope, but that one may not be mine, since I haven't converted.

I am sure I am reflecting the views of many Protestants. Who else but John Paul II gave voice to my faith and my values in 130 countries? Who else posited personal holiness and theological clarity against postmodern self-deception and egotism? Who else preached the gospel as tirelessly as this man?

What other clergyman played any comparable role in bringing down communism, a godless system? What other world leader—spiritual or secular—understood so profoundly how hollow and bankrupt the Soviet empire was, so much so that this tireless writer never bothered to pen an encyclical against Marxism-Leninism because he knew it was moribund?

Has there been a more powerful defender of the sanctity of life than this Pole, in whose pontificate nearly 40 million unborn babies wound up in trashcans and furnaces in the United States alone? What more fitting insight than John Paul II's definition of our culture as a culture of death—an insight that is now clearly sinking in, to wit the declining abortion rates in the United States?

In Europe some time ago, a debate occurred in Protestant churches: Should John Paul II be considered the world's spokesman for all of Christianity? This was an absurd question. Of course he spoke for all believers. Who else had such global appeal and credibility, even to non-Christians and non-believers?

Of course, there was the inveterate Billy Graham. There were many faithful Orthodox and Protestant bishops, pastors and evangelists. But there was only one truly catholic (lower-case "c," meaning universal) voice of discipleship, only one determined to pursue this discipleship to the bitter end. And that was John Paul II.


Cardinal Ratzinger would seem to have been the one most likely to continue in this vein.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:26 AM

CANON?:

How 'Hitchhiker's' got picked up: It was an ironically circuitous path to the big screen for Douglas Adams' offbeat guide. In the end, a pair of London video wizards took it under their wings. (David Gritten, April 24, 2005, LA Times)

Fans of Douglas Adams, the British writer who created the beloved science fiction comedy "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy," were stunned by his sudden death from a heart attack, at age 49, in a Santa Barbara gym four years ago.

There was an extra dimension to the sadness surrounding the author's demise. Two years earlier, he had moved from his north London home to California, having signed a deal with Disney to create a feature film of "The Hitchhiker's Guide." It had been a long time coming; the radio series was first broadcast in Britain in 1978, and the "Guide" empire included books and a TV sitcom. But at the time of his death, Adams was still struggling to create a workable script.

"Douglas always wanted there to be a movie," observes Robbie Stamp, Adams' friend and business partner. "He believed a movie should be taking its place in the canon of his works." Finally, it has happened, but only after plenty of hectic behind-the-scenes maneuvering, with new principals replacing old. Yet there has been a constant determination to keep the film true to the irreverent spirit in which Adams created the story.

"We've worked hard to make sure [the film is] true to itself," observes Stamp, who is now its executive producer. "It's a strange, unique thing. I've always loved the fact that you can't ever describe it as a cross between one movie and another."

There's a sound commercial logic in this approach. "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" has become a modern classic, translated into 25 languages. It has sold more than 2 million copies in Britain alone and, according to a spokeswoman for Adams' London-based literary agent, Ed Victor, "16 million copies worldwide thus far."

Its hero is a diffident Englishman, Arthur Dent, who becomes the last surviving man on Earth after the planet is destroyed. He finds himself traveling around space (dressed in a robe and pajamas and clutching a towel) with his best friend, Ford Prefect (who turns out to be an alien), Zaphod Beeblebrox (president of the galaxy) and Trillian, a young woman Arthur met at a fancy-dress party, his last on Earth. "The Hitchhiker's Guide" has a philosophical bent, but its wit is light and brilliant; Adams' humor is self-deprecating and distinctly British.

After his premature death threw film plans into disarray, Disney asked writer Karey Kirkpatrick (who took the screenplay credit on "Chicken Run," another film comedy with a heavily British accent) to work from Adams' last revisions to his story and turn them into a coherent narrative.


We'll keep an open mind, but these kind of cult projects are easy to biff. Remember Howard the Duck?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:19 AM

NAILED:

Fingering 'Nails': Former outfielder Dykstra is alleged to have taken steroids before 1993 season and to have helped a friend with bets on games. (Lance Pugmire, April 24, 2005, LA Times)

Lenny Dykstra had a dream season in 1993.

He led the National League in hits, walks and runs, nearly doubled his previous high in home runs, finished second to Barry Bonds for most valuable player and led the Philadelphia Phillies to the World Series. After the season, the center fielder signed a multiyear contract worth almost $25 million, making him baseball's highest-paid leadoff batter ever.

Now, in court documents and interviews, former associates allege that during that magical season, "Nails" — as he was known because of his intense style of play — indulged in two of baseball's biggest sins: steroid use and illegal gambling.

A longtime friend and business partner is suing Dykstra in Ventura County, seeking to regain an interest in their lucrative Southern California car wash business. In the suit, Lindsay Jones, 42, of Irvine, alleges that Dykstra advised him to bet thousands of dollars with a bookmaker on selected Phillie games in 1993.

Jones said in a sworn statement that his baseball wagers were a form of payment to him, made "on the basis that Lenny would cover all losses, and I would use the winnings to live on."

Dykstra's lawyer, Daniel Petrocelli, said the three-time All-Star "absolutely denies" the allegation, calling it "unsubstantiated" and "a fabricated story from a disgruntled partner."

The suit includes a sworn declaration from a Florida bodybuilder — a convicted drug dealer — who said Dykstra paid him $20,000 plus "special perks" during their eight-year association to "bulk up" the once-slight ballplayer. In an interview, Jeff Scott said he injected Dykstra with steroids "more times than I can count," and that Dykstra stepped up his steroid use in spring training of 1993 because "it was a contract year."

Petrocelli, citing Scott's criminal past, said the steroid allegation was not "reliable or credible," and called the former bodybuilder "biased and aligned with Jones." In the past, Dykstra has denied using steroids.


Are we supposed to believe he put on that much bulk that fast by exercising?


Posted by Peter Burnet at 7:14 AM

ARE THERE NO WORKHOUSES?

Trouble in geriatric Europe (Emma-Kate Symons, The Australian, April 23rd, 2005)

Despite belated attempts at reform, being in your 50s or 60s in Europe's largest economies is still a saunter in the continental pleasure park. According to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development figures, public spending on pensions in France and Germany is among the highest in the OECD, up there with Italy, Greece, Switzerland and Austria, at 11.9 per cent and 11.2 per cent of gross domestic product respectively. In Australia we spend only a modest 4.3 per cent.

After decades spent fudging structural reforms first undertaken in Australia and Britain in the 1980s, unemployment in Old Europe is at record highs. Not since the '30s has Germany endured an unemployment rate of 12 per cent or five million. The French are at 10 per cent.

Such alarming figures could have nothing to do with Germany and France's fading love affair with the 35-hour week and six weeks or more of holidays. As the population ages, who are the hardest hit by the jobs crisis? Younger people, who are battling unemployment levels in the double digits sometimes years after graduation even from elite universities.

OECD social affairs ministers recently met in Paris, including our Workplace Relations Minister Kevin Andrews and Family and Community Services Minister Kay Patterson. Andrews and Patterson laboured to focus discussion on the need for strong economic growth to support good social policy, and partnerships between government, non-government organisations and the private sector in delivering welfare. Yet all some of the Europeans could do was deride a delegate who dared raise the spectre of the ageing-population crunch. Ann Mettler, a Swedish and German citizen who heads the reform-minded Lisbon Council, warned that the European social model, despite its proud history, was an anachronism better suited to the 19th-century industrial age.

"The European social model is increasingly becoming a euphemism for protecting incumbents, people with a job, at the expense of people without a job," Mettler declared to audible snorts from OECD delegates. "And, frankly, it protects baby boomers at the expense of young people. What has this led to? Europe prides itself on being inclusive and social. But look around yourself: we have 19 million unemployed; 18 per cent of them are under the age of 25; we have ballooning and in fact unsustainable budget deficits; and we have deteriorating if not collapsing social security systems. Now add to that a demographic challenge that is awaiting us that is unprecedented.

"Europe has not experienced such a demographic change since the Black Death ravaged our continent."

A privileged generation that has always believed life was about securing its comfort and licensing its appetites can hardly be expected to give up its perks for such nebulous causes as economic growth and job opportunities for immigrants and the young.



April 23, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:18 PM

IS BALLROOM CHEATING?:

Private eyes fix relationships (MICHAEL HOFFMAN, 4/24/05, Japan Times)

"He showed me a picture of his wife," recalls Mr. M, a private detective. "Gorgeous."

M, 32, has been in business five years, spent mostly tailing unfaithful husbands or wives and reporting the sordid details back to the deserted party.

But lately, says Shukan Taishu, a new twist has crept into the profession. Investigators not only investigate, they try to bring estranged couples back together again.

Like many social trends, this one owes its spark to a TV drama. Four years ago a program showed a wronged wife instructing the detective who had identified her husband's new girlfriend, "Break them up!" Which the detective did, essentially by seducing the girlfriend, who ditched the husband, who returned to his wife, and all lived happily ever after -- except the girlfriend, ditched in turn when the detective moved on to his next case.

Clients inspired by the program began charging their private detectives with breaking up adulterous couples. From there, a logical progression turned detectives into fukuenya, experts in patching up damaged marriages.


That's also essentially the role played by the private eye in the lovely Japanese film, Shall We Dance?


Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:19 PM

GEORGE GETS NO RESPECT (VIA MELANIE PHILLIPS)


Hate mob attacks Galloway
(Paul Waugh and Flora Stubbs, Evening Standard, April 20th 2005)

The bitter election battle in the East End has spilled into violence, with extremist Muslims and anti-war protesters targeting George Galloway and Oona King.

Anti-war campaigner Mr Galloway was forced to take refuge from Islamic militants who denounced him as a "false prophet".

The former Labour MP said "the police saved my life" after supporters of radical group Hizb-Ut-Tahrir clashed with members of his Respect party last night.

Labour's Ms King had her car tyres slashed and the vehicle was pelted with eggs by a gang of youths angry at her support for the Iraq war. Both incidents triggered fears for the safety of Mr Galloway and Ms King as they prepared for a stormy hustings meeting in Bethnal Green and Bow tonight.

Labour's 10,000 majority in the seat is under serious threat from Respect and the contest has been marked by some of the most vitriolic campaigning in the general election.

Mr Galloway was electioneering on the Osier council estate in Bethnal Green last night when a gang of 30 Muslim fundamentalists, who claim voting is un-Islamic, surrounded him and his supporters.

The men said they were angry at Mr Galloway's attempt to woo Muslim voters.

They said they were "setting up the gallows" for him and warned any Muslim who voted for his anti-war Respect party that they faced a "sentence of death".

The left never understands why embracing anti-Western, anti-democratic extremists only makes them hate you more.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:38 PM

SEVEN HOURS?:

Mubarak to make 'surprise' announcement: President to reveal if he will seek fifth term (Agence France Presse, April 23, 2005)

Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak could reveal whether or not he will seek a fifth mandate in this year's elections during a landmark seven-hour interview which public television will start airing on Sunday. According to the official Al-Ahram daily's Friday issue, the 76-year-old president, who has ruled Egypt for 24 years, will answer a question on his candidacy in the presidential polls, slated for September.

The president will also "announce a big surprise," said the newspaper without further elaborating. Political observers have speculated recently that Mubarak could appoint a vice president in response to international demands.


Can't you say "vote for my son" in under seven hours?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:21 PM

MUCH AS WE'D HATE TO GIVE THEM CREDIT FOR ANYTHING...:

Poll puts French opposition to EU constitution at 60 per cent (John Lichfield, 23 April 2005, The Independent)

Signs of deep alarm have appeared in the leadership of the European Union as new polls show a hardening of French opposition to the EU constitution.

A European Commission spokeswoman said: "It is clear the Commission is worried by the statistics." Peter Mandelson, the EU trade commissioner, said of rejection: "At best [the EU], would stagnate. At worst, we would see a form of chaos. It could have damaging economic consequences."

There has been a flurry of contradictory opinion polls in France. Two found the "no" vote had strengthened to 58 per cent, or even 62 per cent, of those likely to turn out for the referendum on 29 May.

Another survey, by one of the most reliable French polling organisations, found the no vote had fallen back for the first time in a month. The CSA/Le Parisien poll suggested that likely votes were neck and neck again: 52 per cent "yes'' and 48 per cent for no.


France hasn't done anything worthwhile as a nation in centuries, but this would be praiseworthy.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:08 PM

INVADING THE BARBARIANS:

Private healthcare business booming (Tom Blackwell, April 23, 2005, National Post)

Patients fed up with long waiting lists in Canada are fuelling a fast-growing demand for brokerages that arrange speedy service in the United States as well as in Quebec's burgeoning for-profit medical industry.

Brokers and other similar companies say business has as much as tripled over the past year as Canadians apparently become more comfortable with paying for diagnostic tests, second opinions and even surgery.

They say their patients include not only the wealthy but also middle-class people willing to take out second mortgages or lines of credit to pay for faster care.

Driving the move are Canada's lengthy waiting lists for many medical procedures. A study last year found Canadians waited an average of 8.4 weeks from their general practitioner's referral to an appointment with a specialist in 12 different medical specialties, then waited another 9.5 weeks for their treatment. Those wait times are almost double what a similar study found in 1993.

An increasing number of patients looking to skirt the public system are being referred to physicians in Quebec's private health care sector, where operations such as hip replacements can be bought out of pocket -- and where the federal government has done little to intervene.

Patients approach the agencies in need of everything from joint replacements to diagnostic work and cancer treatment.

The number that OneWorld Medicare of B.C. sends to the United States for at least a consultation has jumped three-fold over the past 12 months, while the company fielded twice as many inquiries between January and March as it did in all of 2004.

"We have seen a very large growth in the last year," said Mike Starko of OneWorld.

"We shouldn't have to be sending people down to the U.S., we really shouldn't. But that's the unfortunate reality at this point."


Meanwhile, those poor Dutch immigrants think they're headed to a developed nation.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:00 PM

WHY WOULD ANYONE STAY?:

'It just doesn't feel like Holland any more': Troubled by the changes immigration has brought to their country, the van Ramhorst family is coming to Canada (DOUG SAUNDERS, April 23, 2005, Globe and Mail)

To a visitor, the village of Nijkerk looks like a model of Dutch calm and order, its neat streets filled with cyclists and lined with tiny townhouses.

But to Bert van Ramshorst and his family, the town no longer feels like home. Its citizens now come in a variety of hues and hold a wide range of beliefs, some of them deeply at odds with the pacifism and expansive liberalism that has long characterized Dutch society.

"I've lived here, in this town, almost all of my life, and it just doesn't feel like Holland any more," the 42-year-old electrical contractor said, as he took a break from packing to sit with his wife and three young children in their narrow, cozy living room. "It doesn't feel like the place where I want to raise my family."

So the van Ramshorst family, troubled by the changes brought about by immigration, have decided to become immigrants themselves.

With their move to Vancouver this summer, they are joining an unprecedented number of people from the Netherlands who have decided, in recent months, to make a new home in what they see as the more comforting and less divisive Canada.

The sudden exodus to Canada has taken the Dutch government entirely by surprise.

During the past year, and especially during the past five months, the number of Dutch citizens applying to depart for faraway countries -- notably Canada, as well as New Zealand and Australia -- has increased to levels not seen in the tiny nation's modern history.

Most of those emigrants, according to the people who help them make their moves, are leaving because of their complex and surprising feelings about the changes to Dutch society brought about by immigration.


As Europe loses its young families the demographic implosion only picks up pace.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:55 PM

FORESHADOWING:

Senior Taliban official gives up (April 24, 2005, Reuters)

A SENIOR member of the ousted Taliban movement surrendered today, the latest in a series of defections to Afghan President Hamid Karzai's government by Taliban commanders.
Mofti Habibur Rahman, chief of the criminal department at Taliban's interior ministry, also said other high-level and low-ranking Taliban officials inside and outside Afghanistan would take advantage of a government amnesty offer.

"The reason is that we now have an elected and legitimate government," Rahman told reporters after surrendering to local authorities in Khost, the south-eastern province near the border with Pakistan, which is a hotbed of Taliban activity. [...]

His defection comes days after local officials in the southern province of Helmand said two senior Taliban members had surrendered under Karzai's amnesty offer.

Another Taliban commander in Helmand also surrendered this month.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:44 PM

KERRY ON:

JEALOUS KERRY FUMES AS DEM BOOSTS HILL (DEBORAH ORIN, 4/23/05, NY Post)

A fuming John Kerry had "daggers in his eyes" after a fellow Democrat promoted Hillary Rodham Clinton for president — suggesting the 2004 loser is green with envy at a potential rival.

The flap was touched off two weeks ago when Clinton spoke at a Minneapolis Democratic dinner and Sen. Mark Dayton (D-Minn.) told the cheering crowd that he was introducing "the next great president of the United States."

Two days later, Kerry came over to Dayton on the Senate floor "with daggers in his eyes and said, 'What are you doing endorsing my 2008 presidential opponent?' . . . He was very serious," Dayton told the Minneapolis Star Tribune.

Clinton's office declined comment but a friend tut-tutted: "Boys will be boys, even when they are senators."


You know, there's a surprisingly easy solution to a number of peoples' problems available here. The Clintons and Jerrys should spouse swap. Mrs. Heinz wants nothing more than to the wife of a president. Mr. Kerry is a natural cabana boy. Bill Clinton would welcome the cash. Hillary would be rid of Bubba. Everybody wins.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:28 PM

NOW HOW DO THE DECK CHAIRS LOOK?:

Berlusconi Returns to Power with New Italian Govt (Crispian Balmer, 4/23/05, Reuters)

Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi resolved a bruising row with his coalition partners on Saturday and named a new government tasked with reviving the sluggish economy ahead of next year's general elections.

The cabinet will be sworn into office later on Saturday and will include new health, industry and communications ministers.

It will also mark a return to frontline politics for Berlusconi's long time ally, Giulio Tremonti, who was named deputy prime minister just 10 months after being ousted as economy minister during ferocious coalition feuding. [...]

Berlusconi's political woes have grown out of Italy's economic troubles. Latest data suggests the economy fell into recession in the first quarter of 2005, the trade deficit is climbing and business confidence is at a 20-month low.

However, Berlusconi's cash-strapped government will struggle to find fresh funds to finance any meaningful new projects ahead of the elections, which must take place by May 2006.


Projects? How about fundamental reform?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:23 PM

LET'S TALK ABOUT SEX...:

With Pope Benedict's Ascent, American Cultural Conservatives Scored a Big One (Richard N. Ostling, 4/23/05, The Associated Press)

Now that Americans have had a few days to absorb the election of Pope Benedict XVI, it's clear that conservative Christians - whether Roman Catholic or not - feel they've won another battle in the nation's culture wars. Liberals seem to ready to concede the point, but they aren't happy about it.

The Vatican bells had barely stopped clanging when the Rev. John Thomas, president of the left-leaning United Church of Christ, was denouncing the former Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger. Though Thomas once served as his denomination's envoy to other Christians, he abandoned all pretense of the politesse that's expected at such ecumenical moments.

"Cardinal Ratzinger's long tenure in the Vatican has been marked by a theological tone that is rigid, conservative and confrontational," said Thomas, whose denomination will consider a resolution supporting same-sex marriage at its July convention.

The pope has lacked "the warm pastoral heart" that bishops need, Thomas charged, his "harsh treatment" of liberal theologians as head of the Vatican's orthodoxy watchdog agency was "profoundly troubling" and his attitude toward non-Catholics has been "narrow," "constrained," "insensitive" and "demeaning."

In other words, this pope is no liberal Protestant.

A competing assessment: "Faithful Christians ought to be thrilled," declared Charles Colson, the prison evangelist who's among the best-known members of America's largest Protestant group, the Southern Baptist Convention.

Colson is especially pleased because, as he sees it, America's cultural elite is alarmed by the cardinals' choice.


The Aughts stand fair to make up for the 60s. Now if we can just expunge the 70s...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:58 PM

BUREAUCRATIC STAFF FIGHTS, WHO EVER HEARD OF SUCH A THING?:

Released E-Mail Exchanges Reveal More Bolton Battles (DOUGLAS JEHL, 4/23/05, NY Times)

Recently declassified e-mail messages provide new details of the bruising battle that John R. Bolton, then an under secretary of state, waged with analysts at the State Department and the Central Intelligence Agency in 2002 as he sought to deliver a speech reflecting a hard-line view of Cuba and its possible efforts to acquire biological weapons.

The messages, provided to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, are surfacing during a firestorm over Mr. Bolton's nomination as ambassador to the United Nations. Democrats and some Republicans have raised concerns about Mr. Bolton's temperament and tactics, and have called particular attention to his harsh treatment of intelligence analysts, suggesting that it may have amounted to political interference.

The declassified e-mail messages suggest animosity between Mr. Bolton and his staff on the one hand, and intelligence analysts on the other, at levels even greater than have emerged from recent public testimony by Mr. Bolton and others. A Congressional official provided some of the messages to The New York Times, saying they should be made available to the public because they had been declassified.

None of the dozens of messages reviewed by The New York Times were from Mr. Bolton...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:54 PM

WHO RULES:

Medicare Change Will Limit Access to Claim Hearing (ROBERT PEAR, 4/24/05, NY Times)

A new federal policy will make it significantly more difficult for Medicare beneficiaries to obtain hearings in person before a judge when the government denies their claims for home care, nursing home services, prescription drugs and other treatments.

For years, hearings have been held at more than 140 Social Security offices around the country. In July, the Department of Health and Human Services will take over the responsibility, and department officials said all judges would then be located at just four sites - in Cleveland; Miami; Irvine, Calif.; and Arlington, Va.

Under the new policy, Medicare officials said, most hearings will be held with videoconference equipment or by telephone. A beneficiary who wants to appear in person before a judge must show that "special or extraordinary circumstances exist," the rules say.

But a beneficiary who insists on a face-to-face hearing will lose the right to receive a decision within 90 days, the deadline set by statute.


Has any president ever been more effective at enacting his agenda via the rule-making power and executive order?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:43 PM

THEY INFLICT MORE DAMAGE ON THEMSELVES THAN WE DO:

Altered Pledge of Allegiance stuns students (Valerie Richardson, 4/23/05, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

The students in Vincent Pulciani's seventh-grade class were reciting the Pledge of Allegiance this week when they heard the voice over the intercom say something they'd never heard before, at least not during the Pledge.

Instead of "one nation, under God," the voice said, "one nation, under your belief system."

The bewildered students at Everitt Middle School in Wheat Ridge never even got to "indivisible," according to Vincent's mother, Christina Pulciani-Johnson.

Nothing fuels intolerance like the tolerant.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 11:05 AM

FORGET ERIC AND JULIA...

Uncle Dick and Papa (Maureen Dowd, New York Times, April 23rd, 2005)

Just like Mr. Cheney, once the quintessentially deferential staff man with the Secret Service code name "Back Seat," the self-effacing Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger has clambered over the back seat to seize the wheel (or Commonweal). Mr. Cheney played the tough cop to W.'s boyish, genial pol, just as Cardinal Ratzinger played the tough cop to John Paul's gentle soul.

And just like the vice president, the new pope is a Jurassic archconservative who disdains the "if it feels good do it" culture and the revolutionary trends toward diversity and cultural openness since the 60's.

The two leaders are a match - absolutists who view the world in stark terms of good and evil, eager to prolong a patriarchal society that prohibits gay marriage and slices up pro-choice U.S. Democratic candidates.

The two, from rural, conservative parts of their countries, want to turn back the clock and exorcise New Age silliness. Mr. Cheney wants to dismantle the New Deal and go back to 1937. Pope Benedict XVI wants to dismantle Vatican II and go back to 1397. As a scholar, his specialty was "patristics," the study of the key thinkers in the first eight centuries of the church.

They are both old hands at operating in secrecy and using the levers of power for ideological advantage. They want to enlist Catholics in the conservative cause, turning confession boxes into ballot boxes with the threat that a vote for a liberal Democrat could lead to eternal damnation.

...our latest theory is that Maureen Dowd and Harry Eagar are one and the same.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:06 AM

THE SELF-ABSORPTION OF THE NEW DEAL:

New View of FDR Includes Disability: TV audiences will see a different side of a polio survivor who contrived to hide his paralysis. (Lynn Smith, April 23, 2005, LA Times)

[F]DR is being reimagined for television audiences in the very way he went to extraordinary lengths to hide — as a polio survivor whose paralysis formed the core of his adult experience. The result is a much more visceral impression of Roosevelt's day-to-day life after he contracted the disease at 39, showing how, through an unprecedented four terms and four election campaigns, he had to be carried up and down stairs and required locked leg braces and bolted-down lecterns so that he could appear to be standing when he gave speeches.

In the HBO drama "Warm Springs," which airs next Saturday and depicts the little-discussed years he spent recovering at a rundown rural spa in Georgia, TV viewers will see a Roosevelt who needed help with intimate routines such as getting dressed or going to the bathroom.

Along with a new History Channel documentary, "FDR: A Presidency Revealed," which re-airs Sunday night on the basic cable channel, the HBO movie completes an image shift that brings Roosevelt squarely into the post-Lewinsky media age, in which presidents' private struggles and foibles are automatically offered up for public consumption. These shows, continuing the work of recent advocacy campaigns and biographies, paint vivid portraits of a gregarious but lonely paraplegic whose character and political successes emanated from, as much as they signaled a triumph over, his disability.

"I wanted to out him as a disabled man," said Margaret Nagle, the screenwriter of "Warm Springs," who grew up with a disabled brother. "Historians say his personality is worth endless examination…. My argument is if we understand his disability, we would understand a lot more about him." Her film is an attempt to show, she said, how a man like Roosevelt made sense of his life after being dealt a tragic blow. "It's about how a great man is made," she said.


Studying FDR from this angle is certainly long overdue, after all he governed as if everyone were as helpless as he.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:28 AM

NO SOUTH AFRICA, THEY:

India presses Nepal on democracy (BBC, 4/23/05)

India has told King Gyanendra of Nepal to lift a state of emergency and free detainees held after his February coup.

Foreign Minister Natwar Singh met the king on Friday on the sidelines of an Asian-African summit in Indonesia.

It was India's first high-level contact with the king since he seized power. Earlier on Friday a former deputy PM and 60 others were freed in Nepal.


They can be a hugely important voice and force for democratization.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:59 AM

IF IT BLEEDS THE CHURCH IT LEADS:

Pope Has Gained the Insight to Address Abuse, Aides Say (LAURIE GOODSTEIN, 4/23/05, NY Times)

For the past four years, the man who is now Pope Benedict XVI had more responsibility than any other cardinal for deciding whether and how to discipline Roman Catholic priests accused of sexual abuse.

On Friday mornings, Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger sat in the Congregation for the Doctrine of the Faith poring over dossiers detailing allegations of abuse sent in by bishops from around the world, according to two top officials in his office. He found the cases so disturbing that he called the work "our Friday penance."

The scandal changed the church in the United States, and it may have changed the new pope as well.

When the scandal was snowballing in 2002, Cardinal Ratzinger was among several Vatican officials who appeared to minimize the problem.

"In the United States, there is constant news on this topic, but less than 1 percent of priests are guilty of acts of this type," he said in November 2002 during a visit to Spain. "Therefore, one comes to the conclusion that it is intentional, manipulated - that there is a desire to discredit the church."

But as the cases began to flood into his office, he learned that the problem was both broader and deeper, according to co-workers and American church officials.

"If there's any pope who knows what he's talking about when we're talking about this, it is Cardinal Ratzinger," said Msgr. Charles J. Scicluna, promoter of justice at the Congregation. "We would have to go through the cases, and reading through the hurt this misconduct creates was obviously a great source of spiritual and moral suffering."


It'll be useful to have a Pope who realizes that, in the media age, perception is reality. The smallness of the problem just didn't matter when the media started running with it.


April 22, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:16 PM

THE BAATH SUBSIDIARY TO OUR NORTH:

Saddam invested one million dollars in Paul Martin-owned Cordex (Judi McLeod, April 22, 2005, Canadafreepress.com)

The Canadian company that Saddam Hussein invested a million dollars in belonged to the Prime Minister of Canada, canadafreepress.com has discovered.

Cordex Petroleum Inc., launched with Saddam’s million by Prime Minister Paul Martin’s mentor Maurice Strong’s son Fred Strong, is listed among Martin’s assets to the Federal Ethics committee on November 4, 2003.

Among Martin’s Public Declaration of Declarable Assets are: "The Canada Steamship Lines Group Inc. (Montreal, Canada) 100 percent owned"; "Canada Steamship Lines Inc. (Montreal, Canada) 100 percent owned"–Cordex Petroleums Inc. (Alberta, Canada) 4.6 percent owned by the CSL Group Inc."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:11 PM

LIKELY, IF NOT LIKABLE:

Bush Likely to Get Confirmation on Bolton (DONNA CASSATA, 4/22/05, AP)

Beyond the sound and fury of the Senate fight over U.N. ambassador-nominee John R. Bolton is the reality that presidents typically get their man - or woman - and President Bush boasts one of the better records on high-level appointments. [...]

Since 1789, presidents have made hundreds of Cabinet appointments, and the Senate failed to confirm just 15 - nine rejections, four withdrawals, two died in committee, according to the Congressional Research Service.

The last failed Cabinet nominee is one Bush would remember - his father's choice of former Texas Sen. John G. Tower to be defense secretary. [...]

Two of Bush's picks - Linda Chavez for Labor secretary in 2001 and Bernard Kerik for Homeland Security in 2004 - withdrew their names due to potential problems involving hired help.


Even more remarkable than his record on nominees is that no cabinet member has had to resign due to scandal.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:44 AM

WHILE THEY WATCH THE LEFT HAND:

Negroponte Sworn in as First US National Intelligence Director (Deborah Tate, 21 April 2005, VOA News)

U.S. lawmakers, concerned about intelligence lapses prior to the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks and faulty intelligence about Iraq's weapons in the run-up to the U.S.-led war in that country, created the national director position as part of a broader intelligence reform initiative.

In his new post, Mr. Negroponte will coordinate the gathering and sharing of intelligence by the nation's 15 spy agencies. [...]

Some Democrats are concerned by Ambassador Negroponte's tenure in Honduras, from 1981 to 1985, when human rights groups say he turned a blind eye to human rights abuses.

"I find it especially troubling that the Ambassador's perception of the human rights situation in Honduras differs so dramatically from that expressed by the Central Intelligence Agency, the Inter-American Court, the Honduras Human Rights Commission, and others," said Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon (D), who voted against the nominee


All that attention on a cipher like John Bolton allowed a true Cold Warrior to slip by with a free pass.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:40 AM

CAN'T SAVE THE CHURCH BY DESTROYING IT:

Strict Construction (Ross Douthat, 04.21.05, New Republic)

The problem for liberals is that their preferred path to the Catholic future has already been tried, and with less-than-encouraging results. In America, the Church's decades-long slide in mass attendance and ordinations to the priesthood is at its worst not in Catholicism's more conservative precincts but in the liberal-minded dioceses and religious orders--the places where implementing the spirit of Vatican II has meant ignoring the actual Vatican on matters of liturgy, theology, and morality. The once-rigorous, now-latitudinarian Jesuits, for instance, have seen ordinations slow to a trickle, whereas self-consciously traditional orders like the Legionaries of Christ (and, of course, the notorious albino monks of Opus Dei) are growing rapidly. When a recent survey compared 15 "progressive" dioceses to 15 "orthodox" dioceses, it found that the proportion of priests to practicing Catholics in conservative dioceses actually grew slightly between 1956 and 1996, while the proportion in the more liberal dioceses steadily dropped.

It might be argued, of course, that these numbers reflect the negative impact of John Paul's traditionalism--that the liberal dioceses and liberal orders would be bursting with vocations, for instance, if only they were allowed to ordain married men and women, or if the Church took a less hard line tack on contraception or homosexuality or abortion. But in fact, exactly this experiment has already been carried out--by the mainline Protestant denominations, which have spent the last half-century moving to ordain women, accept homosexuality, endorse birth control, remarriage, and even in some cases abortion, and to permit local congregations to manage their own affairs with little or no interference from above. And over the same progressive half-century, mainline Protestantism has endured a slow-motion collapse--in influence, prestige, and membership.

The Episcopal Church offers the most striking example of this phenomenon, since it would seem to embody everything that a Garry Wills or a Maureen Dowd would like Catholicism to be--the liturgy and tradition, that is, without the sexual prohibitions and inconvenient dogmas. Yet in an era when John Paul II supposedly alienated so many otherwise faithful Catholics, it's Episcopalianism, not Catholicism, that's been hemorrhaging members, dropping from over 3.5 million American communicants in 1965 to under 2.5 million today. Far from making itself more appealing and more relevant, the Episcopal Church's reforms seemed to have decreased its ranks in the United States.

At the very least, though, one would expect the progressive Protestant denominations, with their married clergy and female pastors, to have avoided Catholicism's vocation crisis. But even here, the picture for the liberal churches is increasingly grim. In the American Catholic Church, roughly one in four parishes is without a resident priest, which is a dire situation indeed--but in the Presbyterian Church, one in three churches lacks a pastor, and there is a similar clergy shortage across nearly all the mainline denominations.

Tellingly, only Protestantism's Evangelical churches, which tend to be as morally conservative as orthodox Catholicism, can claim a surplus of clergy. Only Evangelical Protestantism, too, can claim growth rates that outstrip the Catholic Church. Some of this growth is the fruit of conversions--from Catholicism itself, but largely from the dwindling mainline churches. Some, too, is simple demographics: It doesn't help the would-be-liberalizers' hopes of embodying the future of Christianity that they're less likely to have large families than more conservative believers.

Even in Europe, where Catholicism virtually collapsed during John Paul's pontificate, liberal Protestantism is weaker still. Perhaps if the European Church were to heed its critics and drop its ban on, say, married priests and birth control, it would be rewarded by a surge in mass attendance or vocations. But it's more likely that it would quickly come to resemble the Lutherans in Scandinavia, or the Anglicans in England, both of which have seen their congregations dwindle even as their teachings have become increasingly in tune with the continental zeitgeist.


The problem for liberal Christians is that they have to choose one or the other.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:40 AM

AN ACORN?:

Passing the Buck (PAUL KRUGMAN, 4/22/05, NY Times)

[M]uch of our health care spending is devoted to passing the buck: trying to get someone else to pay the bills.

Hey, even Paul Krugman can figure out why we need universal Health Savings Accounts.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:37 AM

AS GOOD AS CONFIRMED:

US hawks face defeat in Bolton debacle (Jim Lobe, 4/22/05, Asia Times)

Demands by a key Republican senator for a two-week delay in the vote by the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on John Bolton as Washington's next UN ambassador mark a significant and potentially strategic defeat for Vice President Dick Cheney and the administration hawks he led during George W Bush's first presidential term.

There's no surer sign that neocons are winning than that Jim Lobe thinks they're losing.

However, if Mr. Bolton doesn't get confirmed the President could really shaft Democrats by picking Joe Lieberman for the UN instead, giving the GOP another Senate seat.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:22 AM

HOLY CITY, HOLY WAR:

Four killed in Mecca gun battle (BBC, 4/22/05)

A gunfight on the edge of the Saudi city of Mecca has left two militants and two members of the security forces dead, Saudi officials say.

The group of four militants, some disguised as women, are said to have failed to stop at a checkpoint.

They were pursued by the security forces, and the gun battle ensued. One militant was shot and arrested.

The clashes took place hours after voting ended in the country's first nationwide elections.

These included polls in Mecca and Medina, the two holiest cities in Islam.


As democracy penetrates to the heart of Islam...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:19 AM

THE TWO PEOPLE YOU DON'T MEET AT THE NCAA'S (via The Mother Judd):

Stained by permanent ink: Bestselling writer and beloved Detroit sports columnist Mitch Albom finds himself in an odd position: under fire. (David Lyman, April 22, 2005, LA Times)

There's a new chapter being written in the Cult of Celebrity handbook — one with no spoiled athletes, playgirl heiresses or adulterous movie stars involved.

It's taking place in the unlikely world of newspapers, a field with so few national superstars that it is usually hard-pressed to come up with a decent scandal. True, there were the Stephen Glass and Jayson Blair affairs. But they were just promising up-and-comers, unknown to the general public until they went bad.

This one involves an honest-to-goodness luminary: Mitch Albom.

He's won every award that sports journalism has to offer. But what elevates Albom's indiscretion into the realm of celebrity scandal is that his fame goes way beyond the world of newspapers. This is the guy who wrote "Tuesdays With Morrie" and "The Five People You Meet in Heaven," both inspirational mega-sellers. He's a playwright, a syndicated radio host and a regular on ESPN's "The Sports Reporters."

And he's one of Oprah's pals.

So when parts of one of Albom's columns turned out to be fictional, people took notice.


Two thoughts about the incident: (1) It's 2005, can't the Free Press let a big-timer like Albom file electronically just before they go to press instead of two days earlier? It's not like anyone edits him anyway. (2) Sports columns have always been even more fictional than the rest of the paper--why change?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:15 AM

SO 1998 (via Tom Corcoran):

An IRS Cover-Up? Senators Dorgan and Kerry try to block a report on Clinton-era abuses. (Opinion Journal, 4/22/05)

Perhaps you remember Henry Cisneros. He's the former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development who pleaded guilty in 1999 to lying to FBI investigators during his pre-appointment background check about hush payments to a former mistress, on which it also happens he hadn't paid the requisite taxes.

Well, the special counsel report investigating all this still hasn't been made public, thanks largely to procedural roadblocks by Mr. Cisneros's attorneys. And now, all of a sudden, a rash of news stories and editorials are urging Independent Counsel David Barrett to wrap up his investigation forthwith, without releasing his findings.

Then there's the amendment that North Dakota Senator Byron Dorgan and co-sponsors John Kerry and Richard Durbin are trying to attach to the latest supplemental war appropriations bill that would de-fund Mr. Barrett immediately. This would have the practical effect of making sure that Mr. Barrett's report never sees the light of day. After 10 long years and $21 million, don't they think taxpayers deserve to see what the special counsel has learned? [...]

So what don't Democrats want everyone to know? We're told that early on the Barrett probe moved away from Mr. Cisneros and his mistress and focused on an attempted cover-up by the Clinton Administration, especially involving the IRS


Mr. Clinton wasn't removed from office after it became public that he raped and otherwise assaulted subordinates--who cares if he diddled the IRS?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:04 AM

I TYPE, THEREFORE I DON'T THINK:

It's not clever to send too many texts and e-mails (ALASTAIR JAMIESON, 4/22/05, The Scotsman)

CONSTANT text messaging and e-mailing causes a reduction in mental capability equivalent to the loss of ten IQ points, according to research.

Tapping away on a mobile phone or computer keypad or checking messages on a handheld gadget temporarily reduces the performance of the brain, according to the study into the effects of "infomania".


Tell us about it. Try answering 60,000 comments from: soccer fans; nativists; auto freaks; fatherles; Stalinists; Darwinists; and folks who think Julia and Eric Roberts are two different people. You can feel the gray matter ooze out your ears...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:50 AM

THEM'S FIGHTIN' WORDS:

With high public spending, Britain is ‘Europeanizing’ (Graham Bowley, April 22, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

Whoever Britons choose in their general election on May 5, they will get an economy that might surprise outsiders.

Never mind Margaret Thatcher's tax and spending squeezes and Prime Minister Tony Blair's pledge, at least in the short term, to emulate her fiscal orthodoxies.

Since the beginning of the decade, public spending in Britain as a share of gross domestic product has experienced one of its most rapid accelerations in recent history, outpacing Germany, France, the United States and even traditionally high-spending Canada.

The tax burden is now nearly the heaviest in two decades, and the worsening of the fiscal balance has exceeded every other major industrial country except the United States.

"In some respects Britain's economy is becoming more 'European,' and this is the wrong direction if this country is to continue to be an attractive place to do business and create jobs," said Derek Scott, a former economic adviser to Blair who since leaving government has been a severe critic of some of its policies.


The best part of the story is that "europeanizing" is derogatory.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:44 AM

TEXTBOOK:

Poll indicates gas prices force changes in lifestyles (Will Lester, 4/22/05, The Associated Press)

Half of the people in a nationwide poll say record-high gas prices are starting to cause them problems. Who's to blame? They point a finger at oil companies, foreign nations that control the oil supply, and politicians.

More than half say they're cutting back on driving, and many plan to stay closer to home on their summer vacations.


The only way the situation could be better is if the higher costs were funding the government instead of other taxes.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:31 AM

GOD'S MULE:

Light in a New Dark Age: Pope Benedict XVI -- The Man and the Mission (George Weigel, April 21, 2005, Wall Street Journal)

As with the program, so with the man: He is a Benedict in the depths of his interior life and in his intellectual accomplishment. Benedict XVI has an encyclopedic knowledge of two millennia of theology, and indeed of the cultural history of the West. He is more the shy, monastic scholar than the ebullient public personality of his predecessor; yet he has shown an impressive capacity for a different type of public "presence" in his brilliantly simple homily at John Paul II's funeral and in his first appearance as pope. He has known hardship: He knows the modern temptations of totalitarianism (paganism wedded to technology) from inside the Third Reich; he has been betrayed by former students (like the splenetic Brazilian liberation theologian Leonardo Boff) and former colleagues (like Hans Kung, a man of far less scholarly accomplishment and infinitely less charity). His critics say he is dour and pessimistic. Yet I take it as an iron law of human personality that a man is known by his musical preferences; and Benedict XVI is a Mozart man, who knows that Mozart is what the angels play when they perform for the sheer joy of it. Indeed, and notwithstanding the cartoon Joseph Ratzinger, the new pope is a man of Christian happiness who has long asked why, in the aftermath of the Second Vatican Council, summoned to be a "new Pentecost" for the Catholic Church, so much of the joy has gone out of Catholicism. Over some 17 years of conversation with him, I have come to know him as a man who likes to laugh, and who can laugh because he is convinced that the human drama is, in the final analysis, a divine comedy.

He once called himself a "donkey," a "draft animal" who had been called to a work not of his choosing. Yet when Joseph Ratzinger stepped out onto the loggia of St. Peter's to begin a work he never sought, I couldn't help think of the conclusion of Alasdair MacIntyre's penetrating study of the moral confusions of the West, "After Virtue." In a time when willfulness and relativism had led to a frigid and joyless cultural climate, MacIntyre wrote, the world was not waiting for Godot, "but for another -- doubtless very different -- St. Benedict." The world now has a new Benedict. We can be sure that he will challenge us all to the noble human adventure that has no better name than sanctity.



Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:38 AM

TURNAROUND IS NOT FAIR PLAY

Stifling Intellectual Inquiry (Richard John Neuhaus, First Things, April, 2005)

“In fact, the breadth and extent of the anti-evolutionary movement that has spread almost unnoticed across the country should force American politicians to think twice about how their public expressions of religious belief are beginning to affect education and science. The deeply religious nature of the United States should not be allowed to stand in the way of the thirst for knowledge or the pursuit of science. Once it does, it won’t be long before the American scientific community—which already has trouble finding enough young Americans to fill its graduate schools—ceases to lead the world.” That is the editorial voice of the Washington Post which, on this subject as well as most others, is temperate compared with many others in the liberal establishment.

The alarm is prompted, of course, by the efforts of school districts to teach students that evolution is a theory. That evolution is a theory is a fact, unless somebody has changed the definition of theory without notifying the makers of dictionaries. The “search for knowledge” and “the pursuit of science,” one might suggest, will suffer grievously if we no longer respect the distinction between theory and fact. To argue that skepticism about the theory of evolution is inadmissible if it is motivated by religion is simply a form of antireligious bigotry. It is a fact that many devout Christians, many of whom are engaged in the relevant sciences, subscribe to the theory of evolution. It is also a fact that some scientists who reject religion also reject evolution, or think the theory highly dubious. That is the way it is with theories.

Theories are proposed principles or narratives that are both arrived at and tested by their explanatory force relative to what are taken to be known facts. To simply equate evolutionary theory with science is a form of dogmatism that has no place in the pursuit of truth. The problems with that approach are multiplied by the fact that there are such starkly conflicting versions of what is meant by evolution. The resistance to the theory is almost inevitable when it is propounded, as it often is, in an atheistic and materialistic form. Atheism and materialism are not science but ideologies that most people of all times and places, not just “red state” Americans, deem to be false. Proponents of “intelligent design” and other approaches, who are frequently well-certified scientists, contend that their theories possess greater explanatory power.

If someone claims the theory of evolution is false because it contradicts their understanding of what the Bible says, that is not a scientific argument in the ordinary meaning of science. It is an argument from the authority of the Bible, or at least from a certain interpretation of the Bible. One may make that argument in an eminently rational way, although in a way that will not be convincing to many people. Just as the theory of evolution is not convincing to many people. That is the way it is with arguments. The proponents of intelligent design, however, are not making their argument from the authority of the Bible but from what they are persuaded is the scientific evidence. Their opponents contend that their argument is discredited because most of them are Christian believers. Turnaround being fair play, one might answer that the more aggressive proponents of evolution are discredited because they are typically ideological atheists and materialists. These are religio-philosophical disputations of a low and ad hominem sort and have no place in what is, or should be, scientific methodology.

It is easy to imagine this argument being made almost word for word by 19th century skeptics or even materialists arguing for free scientific inquiry in the face of theological opposition. The fact that it is now being made by the Catholic Church speaks volumes about both modern religious thinking and the rather desperate rearguard posturing of the orthodox scientific establishment. In recent years, the materialist argument over teaching evolution in schools has shifted slowly from arguing for the complete exclusion of creationist and ID theories from the general curriculum on the grounds that such would be an imposition of religion to arguing for the purity and isolation of the science classroom, a circling of the wagons if there ever was one. It is pathetic to see calls for censorship and indoctrination from so many who think they stand for truth emerging from the free exchange of ideas, and who never seem to ask themselves why defensive anger or patronizing dismissal is their most common response to an intellectual challenge.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:30 AM

THEY STAY HIT:

Cincy's Wily Mo flexes star power (Tom Archdeacon, 4/22/05, Dayton Daily News)

The chants began before the game was five minutes old:

"Wil ... eee ... Mo!"

"Wil ... eee ... Mo!"

The dozens of Covington Catholic students — including eight shirtless boys whose bare chests spelled out Go Reds!! on this rainy, 52-degree day — stood along the upper deck railing in left field and began the full-throated salute that soon was being picked up many in Thursday's crowd of 16,218 at Great American Ball Park.

Never mind that it was the top half of the first inning and the Pittsburgh Pirates were still at bat.

The fans — like many of the Cincinnati players themselves — couldn't wait for Wily Mo Pena, the marble-statue-come-to-life of a right fielder, to come to the plate for the Reds.

"I've never seen Barry Bonds play in person, but I've watched him plenty on TV and Wily Mo looks exactly the same," said Todd Coffey, the rookie reliever who just joined the Reds five days ago. "I love watching Wily Mo hit the ball."

Little more than a week ago, Wily Mo was the team's fourth outfielder. Now, he's its marquee player, the spotlight having gone from Ken Griffey Jr.'s smoothness to the Bunyanesque image of Adam Dunn to the sculpted Pena, who has more breath-taking power than either of them.

In the past week in Cincinnati, he's put on the same kind of long-range display — including Sunday's 498-foot blast, second-longest in GABP history — that he did with the Dayton Dragons in 2001 when he launched balls out of Fifth Third Field with such regularity that he ended the season as the team's MVP and second in the Midwest League in home runs.

Counting Thursday's 4-2 loss to Pittsburgh — when he doubled in the Reds' first run — he's now started six straight games. He's hit safely in all of them, had three home runs and nine RBIs. Coming into Thursday, his five home runs on the season were tied for best in the National League.

"By far, he's the most explosive individual I've ever been around," said Reds' third baseman Joe Randa, who's in his 15th pro season. "He's got bat speed like Carlos Beltran, but he's got more strength, more power. He hits the ball farther than anybody I've seen. He's got just about everything."

This is the same guy who — growing up some seven years ago in Laguna Salada, Dominican Republic — had nothing.


He's going to be a staple of ESPN highlight reels for a while.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THE AGONY AND THE END OF ECSTASY:

Post-9/11 security cuts into Ecstasy (Donna Leinwand, 4/22/05, USA TODAY)

Ecstasy, the illegal stimulant that has helped to define the rave party culture for teens and young adults, is fading in popularity in part because post-9/11 improvements in airport security have made it tougher to smuggle the drug into the USA from Europe.

Mohammed Atta may yet save more lives than he took.


April 21, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:13 PM

WORTH A NUCLEAR EXCHANGE:

For Republicans, 2 Women Are Exhibits A and B in Battle on Judicial Appointments (NEIL A. LEWIS, 04/21/2005, NY Times)

As the Senate moves ever closer to a partisan showdown over confirming President Bush's judicial choices, the Judiciary Committee is expected to vote along party lines on Thursday to approve at least two nominees certain to attract a Democratic filibuster in the full Senate.

That is fine with those Republicans and their conservative allies who are pressing for a change in Senate rules to prevent filibusters on judicial nominees, an action that could plunge the chamber into an angry deadlock. The reason the champions of a rule change are pleased is that they believe the two candidates will serve as sympathetic figures and rallying points for their case.

Both nominees are women and state supreme court judges, Priscilla R. Owen of the Texas Supreme Court and Janice Rogers Brown of the California Supreme Court. Democrats mounted filibusters against them in Mr. Bush's first term, blocking them from taking seats on the federal appeals courts.

Because Justice Brown is an outspoken, conservative African-American, her candidacy has evoked comparisons to the bruising confirmation battle in 1991 involving the nomination of Clarence Thomas to the Supreme Court.

When she went before the Judiciary Committee in 2003, she was, like Justice Thomas at his confirmation hearing, questioned closely over her speeches, which are often laced with vivid and attention-getting language. In April 2000, she told a meeting of the Federalist Society that "where government moves in, community retreats, civil society disintegrates and ability to control our own destiny atrophies." A result, she said, "is a debased, debauched culture which finds moral depravity entertaining and virtue contemptible."


Sing out, Sister.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:06 PM

WE NEED MORE BUREAUCRATS...:

The man with a plan: A new Jeffrey Sachs book on how to end global poverty provides fresh insights but stale solutions (Salil Tripathi, April 21, 2005, Guardian Unlimited)

Like No Logo or Globalisation and its Discontents, Sachs's The End of Poverty is ubiquitous among development practitioners and students fed up with the state of the world. And quite rightly, too.

The dire poverty in which one-sixth of humanity lives is a matter of deep shame. And Sachs eloquently presents their stories, telling us of the nearly 20,000 people who die daily because of extreme poverty; of a grandmother who is looking after nearly two dozen Aids orphans, of women who spend up to seven hours a day walking miles to collect water and cook for the family.

He issues a challenge to the Department of International Development, which wants to sell mosquito nets in malaria-prone regions of Africa as a social marketing experiment. These people can't afford to buy the nets - just give them to them, Sachs pleads.

Sachs has little time for those who talk of tough love; still less for those who are worried that someone will sell the nets on the black market, pocket the money and transfer it to a Swiss bank account. He acknowledges that corruption is a problem, but insists it is not the sole cause of poverty. Many other factors are at work, he says, including bad climate, geography, politics, international trade policies, the burden of debt and the absence of relief.

When the G8 leaders meet in Gleneagles, Scotland, in July, Sachs wants them to come with their chequebooks. Excuses won't do. States in the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) must live up to the widely-accepted standard of 0.7% of gross domestic product to be given as aid.

Few would quarrel with the problems and priorities Sachs identifies; few would question the basic assumption that greater flow of resources is desirable, other things being equal. But the solutions have been tried before.

The question is, will it work now? Sachs suggests that if the detailed suggestions he has made about micromanaging agricultural, health, technological and fiscal policies in the developing world are carried out properly, extreme poverty will vanish by 2025.


Because, after all, when has centralized micromanagement ever failed to solve a problem?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:52 PM

OUR WORST MOMENTS IN THIS WAR HAVE BROUGHT OUT OUR BEST:

Soldier Convicted for Attacking Fellow Troops (Estes Thompson, April 21, 2005, The Associated Press)

An Army sergeant was convicted Thursday by a military jury of premeditated murder and attempted murder in a grenade and rifle attack that killed two of his comrades and wounded 14 others in Kuwait during the opening days of the Iraq war.

Hasan Akbar, 34, now faces a possible death penalty, which the 15-member jury will consider at a hearing that begins Monday.

Prosecutors say Hasan Akbar, 33, told investigators he launched the attack because he was concerned U.S. troops would kill fellow Muslims in Iraq. They said he coolly carried out the attack to achieve "maximum carnage" on his comrades in the 101st Airborne Division. [...]

Killed in the middle-of-the-night attack were Army Capt. Christopher Seifert, 27, who was shot in the back, and Air Force Maj. Gregory Stone, 40, who suffered 83 shrapnel wounds. The 101st was preparing to move into Iraq in support of the U.S. invasion when the attack occurred in March 2003.

"Sgt. Akbar executed that attack with a cool mind," prosecutor Capt. Robert McGovern said during closing arguments, cocking Akbar's unloaded M-4 rifle and pulling the trigger twice for emphasis. "He sought maximum carnage."

The prosecutor said Akbar planned carefully and stole grenades that would achieve maximum destruction in the brigade command section of Camp Pennsylvania in Kuwait.


That was a really scary moment, on its surface seemingly raising the possibility that there could be a Fifth Column within the U.S. and most importantly its military. What's most notable is how calmly we reacted to it. Imagine the reprisals that would have followed in most other times and places? Heck, FDR launched reprisals against the Nisei and none of them had done anything wrong.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:42 PM

PARTY TIME:

Judicial Nominees May Force Filibuster Fight (William Branigin, April 21, 2005, Washington Post)

The Senate Judiciary Committee today approved two of President Bush's controversial nominees for seats on federal appeals courts, setting up a showdown between the Republican majority and Democrats who threaten to use filibusters to block the appointments.

In a 10-8 party-line vote, the committee approved for the third time the nomination of a Texas judge, Priscilla Owen, to join the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 5th Circuit based in New Orleans. By the same margin -- with the committee's 10 Republicans voting in favor and all eight Democrats in opposition -- the panel later approved a California judge, Janice Rogers Brown, for a seat on the U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia. [...]

Sen. Bill Frist (R-Tenn.), the Senate majority leader, has indicated he might press for a rule change that would ban filibusters of judicial nominations, a move that Democrats denounce as a "nuclear option" that would trigger a harsh backlash and paralyze the Senate.

To overcome a filibuster -- a parliamentary maneuver in which senators can prolong debate, and thus block legislation, by making marathon speeches -- 60 votes in the 100-seat Senate are required to invoke "cloture" and cut off debate. With 55 Senate seats, Republicans can easily win majority votes but are hard-pressed to defeat filibusters.

Republicans on the Judiciary Committee said Owen and Brown deserve up-or-down votes by the full Senate. But Democrats again held out the threat of filibusters to block them.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:39 PM

HE'LL BE PERFECT FOR DEALING WITH THE FRENCH, SYRIANS, ETC.:

Powell Plays Behind the Scenes Role in Bolton Debate (Jim VandeHei and Robin Wright, April 22, 2005, Washington Post)

Former secretary of state Colin L. Powell is emerging as a behind the scenes player in the battle over John Bolton's nomination to the United Nations, privately telling at least two key Republican lawmakers that Bolton is smart, but a very problematic government official, according to Republican sources.

Powell spoke in recent days with Sens. Lincoln Chafee (R-R.I) and Chuck Hagel (R-Neb.), two of three GOP members of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee who have raised concerns about Bolton's confirmation, the sources said. Powell did not advise the senators to oppose Bolton, but offered a frank assessment of the nominee as a man who was challenging to work with on personnel and policy matters, according to two people familiar with the conversation.


At any rate, whil Democrats try to protect the UN, Oil-for-food inquiry pair quit over Annan report (Francis Harris, 22/04/2005, Daily Telegraph)
Two senior investigators examining the Iraqi oil-for-food programme have resigned, complaining that their findings on the United Nations secretary general Kofi Annan were toned down.

The resignations left the UN-appointed inquiry into the conduct of the $64 billion (£35 billion) programme in disarray. Not only did it reveal serious dissent within the independent inquiry, but it will also fuel angry criticism from Washington over the conduct of the investigation, led by the former United States Federal Reserve chairman Paul Volcker.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:36 PM

THEY HAVE TO BE BETTER THAN ANYONE AT CIA:

US police force to recruit capuchin monkey for 'intelligence' work (Tom Leonard, 21/04/2005, Daily Telegraph)


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:01 PM

JUST ANOTHER MAJOR REFORM...:

Soft vs. hard energy path: the political lines harden: House was set to pass a bill Thursday that supporters say will boost supplies, but critics worry about smog and ANWR. (Brad Knickerbocker, 4/22/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

In Washington this week, President Bush and lawmakers of both parties are pushing their energy agendas. Mr. Bush, who began developing his still-languishing energy strategy shortly after he took office in 2001, prodded Congress to "get a bill to my desk before the summer recess."

The measure debated before the full House of Representatives Wednesday and Thursday - with passage expected Thursday afternoon - contains much of what Bush wants. But critics say it's also filled with unnecessary subsidies, over-reliance on nonrenewable resources like oil and coal, and an overall philosophy that even Energy Department economic analysts say won't significantly reduce dependence on foreign oil or affect the price at the pump.

The road to a new comprehensive energy program has been a long, hard slog.

"Traditionally, energy legislation has been contentious, and, in fact, major energy legislation has not been passed since 1992," Energy Secretary Samuel Bodman said this week in an online White House forum.


The President never aims low, does he?


Posted by Peter Burnet at 5:58 PM

THOSE CRAZY KREMLIN LIBERTARIANS

Can Condoleezza Rice speak Russian? (Timothy Bancroft-Hinchey, Pravda, April 21st, 2005)

For the information of Condoleezza Rice, who despite being Secretary of State of her country, continues to demonstrate an ignorance of world affairs at a shockingly consistent level, the notion that the Kremlin exerts a grip on the media is a fairy tale invented in the gardens of Washington. As correspondent of the English version of Pravda.Ru, director and chief editor of the Portuguese version and collaborator for three other Russian publications, two of these being official media organs, I have frequently asked for guidelines from the Kremlin on what line to follow.

The answer: "We are afraid we cannot give you any guidelines as you request. You will have to write the truth, after checking your sources, obviously", or words to this effect every time the question is posed.

Stalin had the same problem. Eventually he got so tired of journalists asking for guidelines he shot them.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:57 PM

THE TRIUMPH OF SUBSTANCE OVER PROCESS:

Moussaoui: a window on terror trials: Suspect is scheduled to plead guilty Friday in a bizarre case raising questions about how justice system handles terrorism. (Peter Grier and Faye Bowers, 4/22/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

If nothing else, the bizarre trial of Zacarias Moussaoui - the only person in the US charged in connection with the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001 - may have highlighted the difficulties of trying suspected terrorists in established civilian courts.


Mr. Moussaoui himself has been erratic and belligerent. He has filed rambling letters with the court railing against US policies and castigating all manner of public figures, at times inaccurately. For instance, he once referred to ex-Attorney General John Ashcroft, a Republican, as "the Democratic jerk."

The case has also raised serious legal issues, notably the degree to which an accused terrorist can have access to the testimony of other imprisoned terrorist suspects.

Now Moussaoui is scheduled to stand up Friday in open court in Arlington, Va., where he is expected to (again) plead guilty. Judge Leonie Brinkema has ruled that he is mentally competent to make such a plea, and if he does in fact do so he could be sentenced to death.

Yet the nature of his ties to the Sept. 11 hijackers may remain unresolved. It is possible that "everyone has come to the conclusion, including the judge, that there is no good way to get rid of this case," says Juliette Kayyem, a homeland security and law-enforcement specialist at Harvard University.

No one holds that Moussaoui is an innocent.


So what's the problem? A guilty man is being punished. Smells like justice.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:46 PM

IT'D RUN RINGS AROUND STAR WARS:

Opera and Film: Can This Union Be Saved? (Philip Kennicott, January 9, 2005, Washington Post)

Opera and film are invented art forms, cobbled together from disparate elements. It doesn't make much sense to talk of the invention of sculpture, or music, or dance, all of which have origins so far in the past as to be immemorial. But with both film and opera we can put a mark on the timeline and say, there, that's when the art form began.

With opera, it's at the beginning of the 17th century, when the Florentine Camerata, a group of Renaissance intellectuals who thought they were reinventing Greek tragedy, put together the first recognizably operatic music dramas of modern times. With film, it's at the turn of the last century, as various inventors and tinkerers realized that by passing light through a sequence of transparent photographic images, one could capture the illusion of motion in real time.

Perhaps because they're both invented, and because both art forms are essentially amalgams of other arts -- music, theater, dance, design, photography -- film and opera have had curiously parallel histories. Each has inspired impassioned generations of reformers, who seek to rebalance the weight given to the various constituent elements. In opera, Gluck and Wagner believed themselves advocates of the proper theatrical focus of the art form. In film, the cycles of reform and reaction have been dizzying over the past century. The visual daring of expressionist movements (in Germany, in the 1920s, for instance) yield to new forms of cool presentation and objectivity; the polish and glibness of big studio productions spawn new-wave movements, whose quirkiness and messiness appeal for a while until someone produces a sprawling, slickly made, old-style blockbuster and refreshes the form. While composers struggle over the balance among music, the flashiness of singing and the importance of drama, filmmakers seek to balance the virtues of storytelling with the sumptuousness of imagery, the clarity of theatrical dialogue with the possibilities of lingering over visual nuance.

Given their similarities, one might expect a long and fruitful relationship between opera and film. The relationship is certainly long-standing, but whether it's been fruitful is another question. A four-part festival of opera on film and video, sponsored by the Washington National Opera and the AFI Silver Theatre and running from tomorrow to Feb. 14, will nibble around the edges of the question, showing a small range of the theoretical problems and possibilities. [...]

But the larger question -- can opera and film be joined into more than a sum of their parts? -- remains relevant in part because of the DVD, which has made opera on film (or video) more available than ever, and home theater technology, which makes listening to opera on screen more satisfying than in the bad old days of VCRs. Even more important, the promise of filming opera has never been more tantalizing. Opera is an expensive art form, and when limited to those who can afford seats in the opera house, it is an elitist one. Film is expensive to make but easy to distribute, with the potential to bring a mass audience to opera.

The camera can also (potentially) "solve" some of the basic problems of opera, making its gestures more intimate, its theater more detailed and lively, and its narrative adventures more believable. An ideal experience of Wagner's "Ring" cycle, for instance, demands that the listener see the smallest nuance of facial expression, as well as experience epic floods and fires and rapid changes of place and scene. From no single seat in any opera house are those two extremes possible.

Opera also has the potential to revivify film, to force it out of the complacent rut of easy realism. The imaginative challenge Wagner puts to the audience in the "Ring" cycle, if demanded of cinema audiences, might result in a cinema of breathtaking daring. The abstraction and suggestiveness that mainstream filmmakers often avoid are the basic aesthetic starting point for the opera audience.

So where are the great films of opera? Yet to be made.


There's Peter Jackson's next project...or Baz Luhrman's...or both...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:21 PM

SHOULD HAVE WAITED A MINUTE, MAN:

Governor apologizes for border comments (Andy Furillo, April 21, 2005, Sacramento Bee)

Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger apologized Wednesday for saying the United States should "close" its border with Mexico when he meant to say the barrier should only be "secured" to prevent illegal immigration.

Schwarzenegger, a non-native English speaker, attributed his misstatement during a speech in San Francisco on Tuesday to a "language problem."


"And the bottom line is that I misspoke, and I'm sorry if that offended anyone," Schwarzenegger told reporters during a question-and-answer period at an Earth Day event in Sacramento, according to a transcript issued by the Governor's Office.

"But it was a language problem, because I meant 'securing our borders' rather than 'closing our borders.' Because, of course, we don't want to close the borders, because I think that we have a terrific relationship with Mexico."


Hasn't he heard? The Minutemen closed it.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 4:16 PM

TODAY'S EUPHEMISM IS BROUGHT TO YOU BY...

Health Canada approves morning-after pill for sale over-the-counter (National Post, April 21st, 2005)

Doctors are lauding a Health Canada decision that will make emergency contraception available to women directly from pharmacists without a prescription. The Society of Obstetricians and Gynecologists of Canada says the availability of the drug levonorgestrel, known as Plan B or the "morning-after pill," over-the-counter will improve timely access, especially over weekends, when it can be difficult for women in some communities to see a doctor. "Given the significant psychological, social and economic impact of improving access to emergency contraception for women across Canada, this is a significant step forward in women's rights and health," said Dr. Andre Lalonde, the society's executive vice-president.

Don’t know about women’s rights and health, but it sure will make a lot of men very happy.



Posted by Peter Burnet at 3:42 PM

GENOCIDE BY PERSONS UNKNOWN

UN condemns Sudan rights abuses (Globe and Mail, April 21st, 2005)

The UN Human Rights Commissioner approved on Thursday a resolution condemning abuses in Sudan, passing by consensus compromise wording on how to improve the situation in the embattled Darfur region.

The resolution had support from Sudan and other African nations, the United States, the European Union and others. It was approved after the EU withdrew a more stiffly worded document.

The final resolution was the result of weeks of heavy negotiations between the EU, the United States and African nations.

The Africans agreed to remove wording that praised the Sudanese governments steps to improve the situation in Darfur, while the Western countries dropped specific condemnation of the Sudanese government.

It's a relief that is over. Now they can start working on getting Havana's support for their resolution condemning human rights abuses in Cuba.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:38 PM

BLUE BLUES, BLAH, BLAH, BLAH.... (via Rick Turley):

Reverence Gone Up in Smoke (Tina Brown, April 21, 2005, Washington Post)

"Secular and the City" is a weird show to be in at the moment. For those of us who came to Manhattan precisely because you're guaranteed never to meet anyone who has read the "Left Behind" series, America's much-celebrated spiritual revival can have its trying moments. [...]

Oh no! Cardinal Ratzinger! His very name was ominous, a cross between Ratso Rizzo and William Zanzinger. His election was like the sharp rap of a ruler across the knuckles by a punitive nun. It was as if you expected Barack Obama and got Bob Dole. The more that cardinals and Vatican watchers lined up on "Larry King Live" to say what a friendly, conciliatory guy he really is (the most appealing detail that emerged the next day was that he looked "a little forlorn" as he entered the Room of Tears to change into his papal vestments), the more he seemed to emerge as a 19th-century throwback, stridently opposed to liberalism, doubt, internal argument within the church. And the Bavarian background doesn't help. As one of Larry's callers who identified himself as an amateur historian of the Holocaust put it, "Couldn't we have let this generation of Germans pass into history?"

"I am so bummed out," the writer Dominick Dunne, who is Catholic, told me. "I had gotten all excited about Catholicism again. I just loved all the people and ceremony of the last few weeks, all the hundreds of thousands in the square. I was out to lunch when I heard, 'It's the German.' You could just feel everyone groan."

That there has been such a sense of letdown among some New Yorkers who aren't even Catholic, as well as many who are, is a little surprising, given all the expert papal handicapping that had long made the "Panzer Cardinal" the favorite in the race. It probably reflected the airbrushing that had gone on all through the gauzy weeks of emotion-driven commentary. It was easier to focus on John Paul's reversal of the church's historic anti-Semitism, his outreach to other faiths and his defiance of communist tyranny.


The funny thing about these people is they think there were two sides of Pope John Paul II when it's all the same side.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:18 PM

DUBIE US:

Jeffords Won't Run Next Year (John P. Gregg, 4/21/05, Valley News)

Jeffords' announcement, wistful as it was, also served as the starting gun for what could be the most frenzied election cycle Vermont has seen in decades.

“I think it unleashes a lot of pent-up political ambition in Vermont. And it's going to be fascinating to watch this unfold,” said Bob Rogan, a longtime aide to former Gov. Howard Dean and now a Verizon consultant. “It's the great domino effect that everyone has been predicting for years, and I think everyone now who has an interest in moving up is taking stock, and in the next two or three days we'll see if things take shape.”

Dean, recently elected chairman of the Democratic National Committee, intends to honor his commitment to lead the party and does not plan to run for Jeffords' seat, an aide told The Associated Press.

But U.S. Rep. Bernie Sanders, a Vermont independent, acknowledged that his previous plans to run for the Senate if a seat opened still hold true.

“I have been clear about my intentions, which have not changed, but today is not the time to talk about politics or elections,” said Sanders, who praised Jeffords for his “basic decency” and “down-to-earthness.”

Sanders said he would not run as a Democrat. “I am an independent, but I work very closely with Democrats in the House,” he said.

Steve Terry, a former aide to Aiken and a senior vice president at Green Mountain Power, said Douglas could come under pressure from national Republicans to run for the seat, though Terry predicted Lt. Gov. Brian Dubie, also a Republican, might run for the Senate instead.

“Obviously, Governor Douglas is very popular in our state, and has a long record of winning, and so that tends to have the effect of getting people's attention,” said Vermont Republican Party Chairman Jim Barnett.

For Democrats, who have been stymied by other recent three-way statewide elections in Vermont, Sanders' likely candidacy raises the question of whether they would want to run their own candidate or simply back Sanders, a former Burlington mayor and one of the more liberal members of Congress.

“It's unclear what the landscape is going to be,” said Peter Mallary, a Fairlee resident and chairman of the Vermont Democratic Party. “Obviously, three-way races are problematic. … If Jim Douglas is the Republican candidate and Congressman Sanders is a candidate, that's a pretty titanic conversation for starters.”

Douglas spokesman Jason Gibbs said the second-term governor is focused on his current job and has been raising money for re-election.

“There's plenty of time for people to think about exactly what they want to do in 2006,” Gibbs said. “Right now, the governor is focused on being governor.”

Barnett said along with Dubie and Douglas, another possible Republican candidate would be Richard Tarrant, the founder of IDX Systems Corp. in Burlington, who has previously considered running for the Senate.

If either Sanders or Douglas gave up their current seats, it would create heated races lower down the political ladder.

Welch, the Hartland Democrat who previously has run both for the U.S. House and for governor, acknowledged yesterday that he is giving serious thought to running for higher office.

“Jeffords' decision to retire is relevant to my plans for the future, but I am not going to give it much thought until after the (legislative) session is over, for obvious reasons,” said Welch. “We have to land the plane on health care and the budget.”


Hard to believe the Democrats can just walk away from the race. Imagine their best case scenario in '06, picking up enough seats to tie the Senate again, but to have 51 they need Bernie. He'd be able to dictate his choice of committee chairmanships and be a de facto face of the party.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:01 AM

TIME FOR SOME HEAVY LIFTING:

McCain's hug in '04 may help him in '08 (Geoff Earle, 4/21/05, The Hill)

For those “McCainiacs” still nursing wounds from the 2000 South Carolina Republican primary, the scene was among the most searing images of the 2004 campaign.

President Bush, at the height of a tough reelection fight, hugged Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), his former primary opponent, at a campaign event in Pensacola, Fla., and then gave him a kiss on the side of the head.

The gesture of GOP solidarity was a carefully orchestrated coup for Bush, who had his hands full fending off a Vietnam veteran from the left, Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.). It signaled to Republicans — even those harboring doubts about some of Bush’s policies on the war and the economy — that they should rally around the president to advance the overall Republican agenda.

But over time, the gesture might prove to be equally important to McCain, who could once again make a run for the presidency in 2008.

If he does run a successful campaign to capture the GOP nomination, McCain will need to reach out beyond his unique base of support among Democrats, independents and Republicans (his popular appeal divides about evenly among all three groups in polls). This time, he will need to do a better job of winning over some of the GOP establishment voters who turned against him in South Carolina after a series of negative attacks by Bush campaign surrogates.

Already, some are predicting that McCain — who is one of the best-known and most-liked Republicans in the country — will fashion a campaign aimed at winning over GOP standard-bearers.


Then he needs to help get the judges through, perhaps with a compromise that only changes the filibuster rule for appointments. He'd win the presidency so easily though that it will be hard for the GOP not to go with him absent a Jeb candidacy.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:55 AM

FIRSTS:

Bahraini woman chairs parliament (Magdi Abdelhadi, 4/21/05, BBC)

For the first time in the Arab world, a woman has chaired a parliamentary session in the Gulf state of Bahrain.

Alees Samaan, who is Christian, also became the first non-Muslim to act as speaker in predominantly Muslim Bahrain, if only for a few hours.

Details of the story are published on the front page of Bahraini newspapers, which describe the event as historic.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:42 AM

THE LEFT JOINS THE CONSTITUTION IN EXILE MOVEMENT:

Districts and Teachers' Union Sue Over Bush Law (SAM DILLON, 4/21/05, NY Times)

Opening a new front in the growing rebellion against President Bush's signature education law, the nation's largest teachers' union and eight school districts in Michigan, Texas and Vermont sued the Department of Education yesterday, accusing it of violating a passage in the law that says states cannot be forced to spend their own money to meet federal requirements.

The Administration should join the suit and get the Court to rule that no Federal regulations need be followed by the states unless accompanied by sufficient federal funding to do so. That would truly end the era of big government.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:38 AM

GROWING UP NAZI:

Growing up in the Nazi era (Richard Bernstein and Mark Landler, April 21, 2005, The New York Times)

[H]istorians and Jewish groups agree that Ratzinger's wartime record, which was common to young men of his generation, has little if any significance today.

Moreover, they make a point about his time as chief adviser to Pope John Paul II in matters of doctrine.

Ratzinger was a central figure in one of the late pope's most highly publicized gestures, not just to build ties with the Jewish community but to apologize for the role that Catholics played in the Holocaust.

"Everybody was in the Hitler Youth," Olaf Blaschke, a specialist on modern church history from Trier University, said in a telephone interview. "Some very strong Catholics didn't go to the Hitler Youth, that's true. But it was sort of mandatory, difficult to evade. And those people who were in the Hitler Youth and were indoctrinated by those ideologies were the very people who later on built the Federal Republic of Germany and fought against every type of totalitarianism."

Other examples of people who in their young years were obligated to be members of the Hitler Youth were the novelist Günter Grass and the philosopher Jürgen Habermas, both intellectual pillars of German democracy, Blaschke said. [...]

[A]s the right-hand man to Pope John Paul II, he was widely assumed to have played a major role in drafting "We Remember," and he was clearly involved in other pathbreaking gestures that John Paul II made toward reconciliation with Jews, such as praying in a synagogue.

"It cannot be denied," he said last year, in a statement that mirrored the main concept of 'We Remember,' "that a certain insufficient resistance by Christians to this atrocity is explained by the anti-Judaism present in the soul of more than a few Christians."


It's indecent to compare him to Gunter Grass.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:52 AM

ANOTHER PROBLEM SOLVED:

Border-Watch Group to Stop Patrols: The Minuteman Project says it will focus on protesting businesses that employ illegal migrants and push for immigration reform. (David Kelly, April 21, 2005, LA Times)

The Minuteman Project, which attracted international attention by putting armed civilians along the Arizona-Mexico border to deter illegal immigration, announced Wednesday that it was entering a new phase and would stop its patrol activities. [...]

The project will focus on protesting businesses that employ illegal immigrants, pushing for immigration reform and organizing Minuteman branches nationwide.

[Leader Jim] Gilchrist, a retired accountant from Aliso Viejo, Calif., said his goals had been accomplished sooner than expected.

"Because of the phenomenal success of this grass-roots project in such a short time, the Minuteman Project has declared an unconditional victory in its efforts," he said in an open letter to supporters Wednesday.


I'm ashamed to think how hard I said it would be to close the border when these guys pulled it off in just a week.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:13 AM

PASS THE OXYCLEAN:

Orphaned by the church (Joan Vennochi, April 21, 2005, Boston Globe)

THIS STRANGER, our church.

With news of Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger's selection as the new pope, the phrase ''progressive Catholic" sounds more and more like an oxymoron.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:11 AM

A MODEL FOR BLUE STATES:

Conn. approves gay civil unions: Advocates and opponents criticize compromise law (Sarah Schweitzer, April 21, 2005, Boston Globe)

Connecticut became the second state in the nation yesterday to create civil unions for gays and lesbians. The move disappointed some gay-rights activists who had hoped to see the state follow Massachusetts' lead in creating same-sex marriage and angered some conservatives who said the measure was a step in the direction of gay nuptials.

The legislation was approved by a wide margin in the Senate and enacted swiftly by Governor M. Jodi Rell, a Republican, late yesterday afternoon. [...]

The Connecticut legislation is similar to Vermont's and extends all the rights and benefits of marriage to same-sex couples, except for the right to marry. An amendment to the legislation defines marriage as a union between one man and one woman. The additional language was inserted to make the bill amenable to conservative lawmakers.

Connecticut's civil unions will not be recognized by the federal government and will carry no weight in the 49 other states, including Vermont.


If we're going to tolerate homosexuality some kind of institutionalized contractual obligation will be adopted in at least the Blue states. One like this which makes clear that it's an inferior institution is probably the best that can be hoped.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:04 AM

IT WAS ALL KARL ROVE:

The surge to victory: Cardinal's deft steps (Daniel J. Wakin, April 21, 2005, The New York Times)

Joseph Ratzinger of Germany became Pope Benedict XVI in rapid fashion, rushing to election by a scant four votes over less than 24 hours in conclave. How it happened began to emerge Wednesday once the cardinals who chose him left the secret gathering and were no longer bound by a gag order imposed by Ratzinger the week before it started.

It was, several cardinals said, his brilliant performance in the weeks leading up to the conclave that helped make his election more probable than had been expected, several cardinals said Wednesday.

His deep knowledge of the Vatican bureaucracy, linguistic ability and intellectual heft also played important roles, the cardinals said in interviews and news conferences. [...]

In picking Ratzinger, they were clearly drawn to his defense of traditional Roman Catholic doctrine in the face of what he called the "dictatorship of relativism," or shifting winds of belief in a secular society, during the Mass that opened the conclave on Monday.

His choice also indicated that they believed shoring up the fundamentals of the faith was a main priority, despite extensive discussion about the needs of the church in Latin America and elsewhere outside Europe.

But it was also his dignified celebration of John Paul's funeral Mass on April 8; his guiding hand in the cardinals' daily meetings during the interregnum, or period between popes; and the preconclave Mass that helped to convince the cardinals. Ratzinger fulfilled those roles by virtue of his position as dean of the college.

"When one keeps in mind the way in which Cardinal Ratzinger led the funeral mass and also the way he led the cardinals' college when they had their meetings," said Cardinal Wilfrid Fox Napier of South Africa, "I think he showed great leadership quality, which must obviously have influenced what people thought about him."


Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:06 AM

AND OUR FOREIGN POLICY WILL LEAVE YOU 13% SAFER

Labour vows to cut crime by 15% (Hélène Mulholland, The Guardian, April, 21st, 2005)

The prime minister, Tony Blair, this morning promised to reduce crime by 15% if Labour wins a third term in office.

As the Conservatives are expected to respond by promising to increase civility by 17%, this will be a battle worth watching.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

BUILD THE EGG HIGHER:

The Debate Over Nest Egg Math: Economists who closely study retirement savings widely disagree when it comes to even the most basic assumptions (Howard Gleckman, 4/25/05, Business Week)

Are American workers saving enough for retirement? For years, the conventional wisdom has been no. But now, just as companies finally are trying to get people to save more, a provocative study is questioning just how bad the problem is. [...]

[U]niversity of Wisconsin economist John Karl Scholz figures that at least 80% of Americans are squirreling away enough to reach optimal retirement targets. And even many of the 20% who are undersaving are close to reaching their goals. "Finding gloom and doom stories about Americans heading over a cliff is like catching fish in a rainbarrel," says Scholz. "I'm a skeptic." [...]

If the test is 75% of preretirement income, just 48% of households age 47-64 would pass, Wolff figures. But 70% of families could meet a far more modest goal: annual income of at least twice the poverty level -- enough for a decent, if not lavish, retirement, when supplemented with Medicare/Medicaid health benefits and other senior subsidies. [...]

Another question: What to count when figuring out how much wealth retirees actually have? All economists include 401(k) and IRA accounts, benefits from traditional pensions, and Social Security income, as well as other financial assets. But many exclude the value of owner-occupied homes, arguing that seniors must still pay to live somewhere.

But others say many elderly will sell their homes, move into less costly residences, and cash out hefty capital gains. Or they could take out reverse mortgages -- a technique where seniors sell their ownership in a home to an investor who agrees to pay them a fixed monthly sum for as long as they live in it.


Americans save more than any other people, but we could be better.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

SIMPLIFY, ONLY SIMPLIFY:

The flat-tax revolution: Fine in theory, but it will never happen. Oh really? (The Economist, Apr 14th 2005)

THE more complicated a country's tax system becomes, the easier it is for governments to make it more complicated still, in an accelerating process of proliferating insanity—until, perhaps, a limit of madness is reached and a spasm of radical simplification is demanded. In 2005, many of the world's rich countries seem far along this curve. The United States, which last simplified its tax code in 1986, and which spent the next two decades feverishly unsimplifying it, may soon be coming to a point of renewed fiscal catharsis. Other rich countries, with a tolerance for tax-code sclerosis even greater than America's, may not be so far behind. Revenue must be raised, of course. But is there no realistic alternative to tax codes which, as they discharge that sad but necessary function, squander resources on an epic scale and grind the spirit of the helpless taxpayer as well?

The answer is yes: there is indeed an alternative, and experience is proving that it is an eminently realistic one. The experiment started in a small way in 1994, when Estonia became the first country in Europe to introduce a “flat tax” on personal and corporate income. Income is taxed at a single uniform rate of 26%: no schedule of rates, no deductions. The economy has flourished. Others followed: first, Latvia and Lithuania, Estonia's Baltic neighbours; later Russia (with a rate of 13% on personal income), then Slovakia (19% on personal and corporate income). One of Poland's centre-right opposition parties is campaigning for a similar code (with a rate of 15%). So far eight countries have followed Estonia's example (see article). An old idea that for decades elicited the response, “Fine in theory, just not practical in the real world,” seems to be working as well in practice as it does on the blackboard.

Practical types who said that flat taxes cannot work offer a further instant objection, once they are shown such taxes working—namely, that they are unfair. Enlightened countries, it is argued, have “progressive” tax systems, requiring the rich to forfeit a bigger share of their incomes in tax than the poor are called upon to pay. A flat tax seems to rule this out in principle.

Not so. A flat tax on personal incomes combines a threshold (that is, an exempt amount) with a single rate of tax on all income above it. The progressivity of such a system can be varied within wide limits using just these two variables. Under systems such as America's, or those operating in most of western Europe, the incentives for the rich to avoid tax (legally or otherwise) are enormous; and the opportunities to do so, which arise from the very complexity of the codes, are commensurately large. So it is unsurprising to discover, as experience suggests, that the rich usually pay about as much tax under a flat-tax regime as they do under an orthodox code.


You can't be falling behind Romania...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

TAP...TAP...TAP...TAP...:

China's Selective Memory (Fred Hiatt, April 18, 2005, washington Post)

[H]ere's the problem, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao explained last week: "Japan needs to face up to history squarely." After another weekend of anti-Japanese protests and riots in China, China's foreign minister yesterday amplified that "the main problem now is that the Japanese government has done a series of things that have hurt the feelings of the Chinese people . . . especially in its treatment of history."

Truth in history is an interesting standard for great-power status. One intriguing response would be for Japan to embrace it and suggest politely that, if China wants to keep its Security Council seat, it ought to do the same. [...]

There is only one acceptable version of history, at least at any given time; history often changes, but only when the Communist Party decides to change it.

For example, according to a report by Howard W. French in the New York Times last December, many textbooks don't mention that anyone died at what the outside world knows as the 1989 massacre of student demonstrators near Tiananmen Square. One 1998 text notes only that "the Central Committee took action in time and restored calm." Anyone who challenges the official fiction is subject to harsh punishment, including beatings, house arrest or imprisonment.

And if the 300,000 victims of the Nanjing Massacre are slighted in some Japanese textbooks, what of the 30 million Chinese who died in famines created by Mao Zedong's lunatic Great Leap Forward between 1958 and 1962? No mention in Chinese texts; didn't happen.

Well, you might say, how a nation treats its internal history is less relevant to its qualifications for the Security Council than whether it teaches its children honestly about its wars with other nations. A dubious proposition, but no matter; as the Times found in its review of textbooks, Chinese children do not learn of their nation's invasion of Tibet (1950) or aggression against Vietnam (1979). And they are taught that Japan was defeated in World War II by Chinese Communist guerrillas; Pearl Harbor, Iwo Jima and Midway don't figure in.


How about using that stunt of Bill Bradley's where he tapped out with his pencil the number of blows that Rodney King took? By the time you'd tapped 35 million times even the Chinese might have the decency to shut up.


April 20, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:44 PM

EDWARDS SMILES:

A Group at Princeton Where 'No' Means 'Entirely No' (IVER PETERSON, 4/18/05, NY Times)

Yet another alternate sexual lifestyle is being promoted by a group of Princeton undergraduates: one of chastity and abstinence outside of marriage.

Members of the Anscombe Society maintain that campus life has become so drenched in sexuality, from the flavored condoms handed out by a resident adviser to the social pressure of the hook-up scene, that Princeton needs a voice arguing for traditional sexual values. Traditional, at least, from the days before their parents went to college.

Their aim is not to pass moral judgment, they say, only to inform.

"Even though morality does factor into it, we want to enrich the discussion of sexual issues and family," said Cassandra Debenedetto, a sophomore from Stow, Mass., who was one of the founders of the group last fall. "So we also present sociological data and medical research. We want to bring all of those issues in."

The group is named after Elizabeth Anscombe, the Cambridge University Anglo-Catholic whose 1977 essay "Contraception and Chastity" is famous among conservative Roman Catholics for setting out a philosophical defense of the papacy's strictures on sexual behavior. She died in 2001.

For the Princeton students, the idea is simply to be heard in an atmosphere that not only condones sexual activity among young adults, but, they maintain, expects it.


Geez, there was no club for it when I was in school.

MORE:
Contraception and Chastity (Elizabeth Anscombe, 1977)

There always used to be a colossal strain in ancient times; between heathen morality and Christian morality, and one of the things pagan converts had to be told about the way they were entering on was that they must abstain from fornication. This peculiarity of the Christian life was taught in a precept issued by the Council of Jerusalem, the very first council of the Christian Church. The prohibition was issued in the same breath as the merely temporary retention of Judaic laws prohibiting the eating of blood - no black pudding! - and the prohibition on eating the flesh of animals that had been sacrificed to idols. And in one way these may have been psychologically the same sort of prohibition to a pagan convert. The Christian life simply imposed these peculiar restrictions on you. All the same the prohibition on fornication must have stood out; it must have meant a very serious change of life to many, as it would today. Christian life meant a separation from the standards of that world: you couldn't be a Baal-worshipper, you couldn't sacrifice to idols, be a sodomite, practice infanticide, compatibly with the Christian allegiance. That is not to say that Christians were good; we humans are a bad lot and our lives as Christians even if not blackly and grossly wicked are usually very mediocre. But the Catholic Christian badge now again means separation, even for such poor mediocrities, from what the unchristian world in the West approves and professes.

Christianity was at odds with the heathen world, not only about fornication, infanticide and idolatry; but also about marriage. Christians were taught that husband and wife had equal rights in one another's bodies; a wife is wronged by her husband's adultery as well as a husband by his wife's. And Christianity involved non-acceptance of the contemptible role of the female partner in fornication, calling the prostitute to repentance and repudiating respectable concubinage. And finally for Christians divorce was excluded. These differences were the measure, great enough, of the separation between Christianity and the pagan world in these matters. By now, Christian teaching is, of course, known all over the world; and it goes without saying for those in the West that what they call "accepting traditional morals" means counting fornication as wrong - it's just not a respectable thing. But we ought to be conscious that, like the objection to infanticide, this is a Jewish Christian inheritance. And we should realize that heathen humanity tends to have a different attitude towards both. In Christian teaching a value is set on every human life and on men's chastity as well as on women's and this as part of the ordinary calling of a Christian, not just in connexion with the austerity of monks. Faithfulness, by which a man turned only to his spouse, forswearing all other women, was counted as one of the great goods of marriage.

But the quarrel is far greater between Christianity and the present-day heathen, post Christian, morality that has sprung up as a result of contraception. In one word: Christianity taught that men ought to be as chaste as pagans thought honest women ought to be; the contraceptive morality teaches that women need to be as little chaste as pagans thought men need be. [...]

The trouble about the Christian standard of chastity is that it isn't and never has been generally lived by; not that it would be profitless if it were. Quite the contrary: it would be colossally productive of earthly happiness. All the same it is a virtue, not like temperance in eating and drinking, not like honesty about property, for these have a purely utilitarian justification. But it, like the respect for life, is a supra-utilitarian value, connected with the substance of life, and this is what comes out in the perception that the life of lust is one in which we dishonour our bodies. Implicitly, lasciviousness is over and over again treated as hateful, even by those who would dislike such an explicit judgment on it. Just listen, witness the scurrility when it's hinted at; disgust when it's portrayed as the stuff of life; shame when it's exposed, the leer of complicity when it's approved. You don't get these attitudes with everybody all of the time; but you do get them with everybody. (It's much too hard work to keep up the façade of the Playboy philosophy, according to which all this is just an unfortunate mistake, to be replaced by healthy-minded wholehearted praise of sexual fun.)

And here we're in the region of that constant Christian teaching, which we've noticed, that intercourse "merely for the sake of pleasure" is wrong.

This can mislead and perturb. For when is intercourse purely for the sake of pleasure? Some have thought this must mean: when it's not for the sake of getting a child. And so, I believe, I have been told, some Catholic women have actually feared the pleasure of orgasm and thought it wrong, or thought it wrong to look for it or allow oneself to respond to feelings of physical desire. But this is unreasonable and ungrateful to God. Copulation, like eating, is of itself a good kind of action: it preserves human existence. An individual act of eating or copulation, then, can be bad only because something about it or the circumstances of it make it bad. And all the pleasure specific to it will be just as good as it is.

A severe morality holds that intercourse (and may hold this of eating, too) has something wrong about it if it is ever done except explicitly as being required for that preservation of human life which is what makes intercourse a good kind of action. But this involves thoroughly faulty moral psychology. God gave us our physical appetite, and its arousal without our calculation is part of the working of our sort of life. Given moderation and right circumstances, acts prompted by inclination can be taken in a general way to accomplish what makes them good in kind and there's no need for them to be individually necessary or useful for the end that makes them good kinds of action. Intercourse is a normal part of married life through the whole life of the partners in a marriage and is normally engaged in without any distinct purpose other than to have it, just as such a part of married life.

Such acts will usually take place only when desire prompts, and desire is for intercourse as pleasurable; the pleasure, as Aristotle says, perfects the act. But that does not mean that it is done "purely for pleasure". For what that expression means is that sensuality is in command: but that one has intercourse when desire prompts and the desire is for pleasure, does not prove, does not mean, that sensuality is in command. One may rightly and reasonably be willing to respond to the promptings of desire. When that is so, the act is governed by a reasonable mind, even though no considering or reasoning is going on. The fact that one is thus having intercourse when, as one knows, there's nothing against it, makes it a good and a chaste marriage act and a rendering of the marriage debt.

There is indeed such a thing in marriage as intercourse "purely for pleasure"; this is what the Christian tradition did condemn. Marks of it could be: immoderate pursuit of, or preoccupation with sexual pleasure; succumbing to desire against wisdom; insisting against serious reluctance of one's partner. In all these cases but the last both parties may of course be consenting. For human beings often tend to be disorderly and extreme in their sensuality. A simple test of whether one is so is this: could one do without for a few weeks or months in case of need? For anyone may be faced with a situation in which he ought to do without; and he should watch that he does not get into a state in which it is impossible for him. But we ought to remember also, what isn't always remembered, that insensibility and unjustified abstention is also a sin against moderation, and is a defrauding of one's partner.

Well now, people raise the cry of "legalism" (one of the regular accusations of the present day) against this idea which I have taken from the old theologians of "rendering what is owing", the giving the other person this part of married life, which is owing. It embodies the one notion, I would say, that is honest, truthful and quite general. People would rather speak of the expression of mutual love. But what do they mean by "love"? Do they mean "being in love"? Do they mean a natural conjugal affection?

Either of these may be lacking or onesided. If a kind of love cannot be commanded, we can't build our moral theology of marriage on the presumption that it will be present. Its absence is sad, but this sadness exists, it is very common. We should avoid, I think, using the indicative mood for what is really a commandment like the Scout Law ("A Boy Scout is kind to animals" - it means a Boy Scout ought to be kind to animals). For if we hear: "a Christian couple grow in grace and love together" doesn't the question arise "supposing they don't?" It clears the air to substitute the bite of what is clearly a precept for the sweetness of a rosy picture. The command to a Christian couple is: "Grow in grace and love together." But a joint command can only be jointly obeyed. Suppose it isn't? Well, there remains the separate precept to each and in an irremediably unhappy marriage, one ought still to love the other, though not perhaps feeling the affection that cannot be commanded. Thus the notion of the "marriage debt" is a very necessary one, and it alone is realistic: because it makes no assumption as to the state of the affections.

Looking at the rightness of the marriage act like this will help in another way. It will prevent us from assuming that the pleasant affection which exists between a happy and congenial pair is the fulfilment of the precept of love. (It may after all only be a complacent hiving off together in a narrow love.) We ought absolutely not to give out a teaching which is flattering to the lucky, and irrelevant to the unhappy. Looked at carefully, too, such teaching is altogether too rigorist in a new direction. People who are not quite happily married, not lucky in their married life, but nevertheless have a loyalty to the bond, are not, therefore, bound to abstain from intercourse.

The meaning of this teaching "not purely for pleasure" should, I think, have a great appeal for the Catholic thinking of today that is greatly concerned for the laity. We want to stress nowadays, that the one vocation that is spoken of in the New Testament is the calling of a Christian. All are called with the same calling. The life of monks and nuns and of celibate priesthood is a higher kind of life than that of the married, not because there are two grades of Christian, but because their form of life is one in which one has a greater chance of living according to truth and the laws of goodness; by their profession, those who take the vows of religion have set out to please God alone. But we lay people are not less called to the Christian life, in which the critical question is: "Where does the compass-needle of your mind and will point?" This is tested above all by our reactions when it costs or threatens to cost something to be a Christian. One should be glad if it does, rather than complain! If we will not let it cost anything; if we succumb to the threat of "losing our life", then our religion is indistinguishable from pure worldliness.

This is very far-reaching. But in the matter in hand, it means that we have got not to be the servants of our sensuality but to bring it into subjection. Thus, those who marry have, as we have the right to do, chosen a life in which, as St. Paul drily says, "the husband aims to please his wife rather than the Lord, and the wife her husband, rather than the Lord" - but although we have chosen a life to please ourselves and one another, still we know we are called with that special calling, and are bound not to be conformed to the world, friendship to which is enmity to God. And so also we ought to help one another and have co-operative pools of help: help people who are stuck in family difficulties; and have practical resources in our parishes for one another's needs when we get into difficult patches.

The teaching which I have rehearsed is indeed against the grain of the world, against the current of our time. But that, after all, is what the Church as teacher is for. The truths that are acceptable to a time - as, that we owe it as a debt of justice to provide out of our superfluity for the destitute and the starving - these will be proclaimed not only by the Church: the Church teaches also those truths that are hateful to the spirit of an age.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:34 PM

WORTH MORE DEAD THAN ALIVE:

Wall Street speculates on General Motors bankruptcy (SupplierBusiness.com, 18 April 2005)

The speculation on Wall Street last week was how long it would be before General Motors declared bankruptcy. [...]

[I]t is difficult to see a long-term turnaround path for the group. The problems of General Motors have been widely known and recognised for at least a decade, but the company seems incapable of taking effective action.

Almost no one outside the company expects GM to reverse its steady long-term secular decline in market share in North America.

The company's products are widely panned as uninspiring. The discounting and incentivisation of the last three years has flooded the market with nearly new GM products.

Fully a third of GM's new vehicle sales are to employees, their relatives or fleet rental buyers, while private new-car buyers are staying away from GM's profile in droves.

The company is suffering from the liabilities and attitudes that entrenched themselves decades ago when the company dominated the North American market. GM has studied Toyota but not taken any effective action to adapt its own culture to complete.

The company carries a heavy burden of health care costs and pension liabilities that represent a structural disadvantage on every car produced that the company seems powerless to address. The company persists in a confrontational approach to negotiations with suppliers that may have made sense when the company was the leader of an oligopoly and was seeking to extract monopoly rent from suppliers that had nowhere else to go, but which is perverse as a strategy when new domestic assemblers already represent a much more attractive prospect as a customer.


Advanced nations don't belong in the parts assembly business.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:27 PM

ESSENCE VS CONTEXT:

Plato, Anyone? (Paul Starobin, April 1, 2005 , National Journal)

At times like these, the abstract concerns of those known as political philosophers -- from Plato down through the ages -- might seem quaint and irrelevant. Our senses are engaged, and our attention claimed, by a seemingly nonstop succession of big events -- in some instances grim, in some instances hopeful, but in all instances, unmistakably concrete. Whether the headlines tell of a suicide car bombing in Iraq or a pro-democracy demonstration in Lebanon, the events seem to speak for themselves.

And yet, it is precisely these sorts of occurrences that open a door to political philosophers. These events do not, in fact, speak for themselves; they cannot be coherently understood without mental reference points, gained from an understanding of history, or moral law, or other sources of wisdom. Political philosophers, and others whose thinking incorporates a measure of political philosophy, are in the orientation business -- they offer a kind of compass. And whether we realize it or not, our own attempts to make sense of things -- for how else can we live? -- are often echoes of their musings.

Consider, for example, The Concept of the Political, a 1932 treatise by Carl Schmitt, a prominent thinker in Weimar Germany. Schmitt later joined the Nazi Party and defended Hitler's policies, but put that aside for the moment. Schmitt's central argument is that all politics can be reduced to a core distinction between friend and enemy. And making this distinction, he maintains, is the principal task of people in a political community: "Therein resides the essence of its political existence." He writes:

The political enemy need not be morally evil or aesthetically ugly; he need not appear as an economic competitor, and it may even be advantageous to engage with him in business transactions. But he is, nevertheless, the other, the stranger; and it is sufficient for his nature that he is, in a specially intense way, existentially something different and alien, so that in the extreme case, conflicts with him are possible.

I encountered this passage a few days after attending a roundtable at the American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research -- a stronghold of so-called neoconservative political activists. The seminar was called "Saudi Government Propaganda in the United States: Avowed Ally or Secret Enemy?" The focus was on the Saudis' dissemination of religious "hate propaganda" in American mosques. But the deep question raised by the panelists -- who included former CIA Director James Woolsey -- came straight, if not consciously, from the writings of Schmitt: Is Saudi Arabia a friend or an enemy of America? Indeed, much of American foreign policy these days -- Is the new Iraq our friend? Is France no longer our friend? Can Iran ever be? -- resembles an exercise in Schmitt-style questioning.

We may be living in a time -- an era of deep, fundamental insecurity, of worries about things like whether a terrorist equipped with a suitcase-size "dirty" nuclear bomb is at this very moment crossing the Mexican border -- when only the political philosophers (a category, defined expansively, that can include those of a theological bent) have something relevant to say. The rest is noise.

Some folks get this; others do not. George W. Bush and his speechwriters certainly get it. Critics found his second Inaugural Address hopelessly abstract. It did stray into dogma, and maybe even into theology, but even so, Plato might have liked it. The speech was stocked with the very sorts of enticing (and debatable) assertions -- "In the long run, there is no justice without freedom" -- that are the subject of his Dialogues.

The much-maligned "neocons" -- many of them Republicans -- get it, too. One of their distinguishing characteristics is an interest in old-fashioned, values-laden political philosophy (even if they don't generally acknowledge an influence from the controversial Schmitt). The neocons greatly admire the savant Leo Strauss, a German Jew who taught political philosophy at the University of Chicago and other haunts, and who died in 1973. Despite some critics' assertions, his teachings are not particularly esoteric. Against the fashion of the times, especially the turbulent '60s, Strauss insisted that the Ancients -- the Greek philosophers of Athens and the biblical prophets of Jerusalem -- remained the West's primal source of orientation. A group of devoted students, some of whom became active in neocon political circles, took him seriously.

By contrast, the Democrats -- and liberals, in particular -- seem lost in Dante's woods. They appear to lack not only ideas but, even more than that, a philosophical well from which ideas can be drawn. Or to put this in Socratic terms, they often seem to be living the unexamined life. The challenge for Democrats is to dig deep. They need to find their philosophers.


Context is an awfully tough sell in a nation where 90% of us believe in God, but it's the core of the Democrats secularist message.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:58 PM

NOT AFRAID OF COMPETITION:

Dangerous democracy: Imperial America won't like the free Arabia that missionary America will have helped to spawn (David Hirst, April 20, 2005, Guardian)

At last month's anti-war conference in Cairo, Egyptian delegate Kamal Khalil excoriated President Mubarak's regime over "torture, poverty, unemployment, corruption, tyranny and despotism" - then added that the "liberation of Jerusalem starts here with the liberation of the people in Cairo". This linkage of domestic reform with the external foe dramatised the quandary lying in wait for President Bush's crusade for "freedom and democracy". God-given rights of all peoples are the panacea that will, among other things, end international terror and induce the Arabs to make their peace with Israel. So what, in this era of American-sponsored diplomacy and reconciliation, could this self-styled democrat possibly have meant by this reversion to the militant rhetoric of yesteryear?

The extent to which Bush is contributing to the winds of change now blowing across the world's last monolithically tyrannical region is passionately debated by the Arabs, perplexingly confronted, as they feel themselves to be, by two Americas, the new missionary one of Bush's second term and the old unrepentant superpower. The US as a promoter of democracy is a far from new idea. But the scope, fervour and lofty expectations Bush has invested in it are new. Yet, at the same time, never has imperial America, with which the missionary one is inextricably intertwined, been as rampant and detested as it is today.

For Bush didn't embark on this radically interventionist, quasi-colonial phase of America's relations with the Middle East only, or even mainly, to confer democracy on it. He did so for other reasons, too, that had far more to do with the traditional drive for strategic and economic dominance - as well as with an Israel whose influence on US policy has reached unprecedented levels.


Mr. Hirst would do well to look around him: America had little trouble establishing strategic and economic dominance over the nations it freed in its 20th Century Crusades. It has nothing to fear from a liberated Arabia.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:23 PM

NAIVE REALISM:

The Tease of Memory: Psychologists are dusting off 19th-century explanations of déjà vu. Have we been here before? (DAVID GLENN, 7/23/04, Chronicle Review)

In the summer of 1856, Nathaniel Hawthorne visited a decaying English manor house known as Stanton Harcourt, not far from Oxford. He was struck by the vast kitchen, which occupied the bottom of a 70-foot tower. "Here, no doubt, they were accustomed to roast oxen whole, with as little fuss and ado as a modern cook would roast a fowl," he wrote in an 1863 travelogue, Our Old Home.

Hawthorne wrote that as he stood in that kitchen, he was seized by an uncanny feeling: "I was haunted and perplexed by an idea that somewhere or other I had seen just this strange spectacle before. The height, the blackness, the dismal void, before my eyes, seemed as familiar as the decorous neatness of my grandmother's kitchen." He was certain that he had never actually seen this room or anything like it. And yet for a moment he was caught in what he described as "that odd state of mind wherein we fitfully and teasingly remember some previous scene or incident, of which the one now passing appears to be but the echo and reduplication."

When Hawthorne wrote that passage there was no common term for such an experience. But by the end of the 19th century, after discarding "false recognition," "paramnesia," and "promnesia," scholars had settled on a French candidate: "déjà vu," or "already seen."

The fleeting melancholy and euphoria associated with déjà vu have attracted the interest of poets, novelists, and occultists of many stripes. St. Augustine, Sir Walter Scott, Dickens, and Tolstoy all wrote detailed accounts of such experiences. (We will politely leave aside a certain woozy song by Crosby, Stills, Nash & Young.)

Most academic psychologists, however, have ignored the topic since around 1890, when there was a brief flurry of interest. The phenomenon seems at once too rare and too ephemeral to capture in a laboratory. And even if it were as common as sneezing, déjà vu would still be difficult to study because it produces no measurable external behaviors. Researchers must trust their subjects' personal descriptions of what is going on inside their minds, and few people are as eloquent as Hawthorne. Psychology has generally filed déjà vu away in a drawer marked "Interesting but Insoluble."

During the past two decades, however, a few hardy souls have reopened the scientific study of déjà vu. They hope to nail down a persuasive explanation of the phenomenon, as well as shed light on some fundamental elements of memory and cognition. In the new book The Déjà Vu Experience: Essays in Cognitive Psychology (Psychology Press), Alan S. Brown, a professor of psychology at Southern Methodist University, surveys the fledgling subfield. "What we can try to do is zero in on it from a variety of different angles," he says. "It won't be something like, 'Boom! The explanation is there.' But we can get gradual clarity through some hard work." [...]

Most of today's déjà vu scholars have chucked primal-preobject-libidinal representations in favor of brain scans and neuroimaging. Taking advantage of a recent explosion of experimental research on memory errors, Mr. Brown and a few like-minded colleagues have dusted off the theories of déjà vu proposed during the late Victorian era. At last, he hopes, such hypotheses can be subject to rigorous experimental tests. He warns, however, not to expect quick results: "A lot of science is geared at, How can I get tenure? How can I crank out a study in a year? The luxury of being able to attack difficult problems is often more risky. There's a little more investment of your personal resources, a little bit of gambling."

In Mr. Brown's account, scientific theories of déjà vu fall into four broad families. The first are theories of "dual processing." The late neuropsychiatrist Pierre Gloor conducted experiments in the 1990s strongly suggesting that memory involves distinct systems of "retrieval" and "familiarity." In a 1997 paper, he speculated that déjà vu occurs at rare moments when our familiarity system is activated but our retrieval system is not. Other scholars argue that the retrieval system is not shut off entirely but simply fires out of sync, evoking the fatigue theory of a century earlier.

In the second category are more purely neurological explanations. One such theory holds that déjà vu experiences are caused by small, brief seizures, akin to those caused by epilepsy. That idea is buttressed by the fact that people with epilepsy often report having déjà vu just before going into full-blown seizures. Researchers have also found that déjà vu can be elicited by electrically stimulating certain regions of the brain. In a 2002 paper, the Austrian physician Josef Spatt, who works with epilepsy patients, argued that déjà vu is caused by brief, inappropriate firing in the parahippocampal cortex, which is known to be associated with the ability to detect familiarity.

Mr. Brown's third category consists of memory theories. These propose that déjà vu is triggered by something we have actually seen or imagined before, either in waking life, in literature or film, or in a dream. Some of these theories hold that a single element, perhaps familiar from some other context, is enough to spark a déjà vu experience. (Suppose, for example, that the chairs in Stanton Harcourt's kitchen were identical in color and shape to Hawthorne's decorously neat grandmother's, but that he didn't recognize them in this new context.) At the other end of the scale are gestalt theories, which suggest that we sometimes falsely recognize a general visual or audio pattern. (Suppose that the Stanton Harcourt kitchen looked similar, in broad visual outline, to a long-forgotten church that Hawthorne had once attended.)

In the final box are "double perception" theories of déjà vu, which descend from Allin's 1896 suggestion that a brief interruption in our normal process of perception might make something appear falsely familiar. In 1989, in one of the first laboratory studies that tried to induce something like déjà vu, the cognitive psychologists Larry L. Jacoby and Kevin Whitehouse, of Washington University in St. Louis, showed their subjects a long list of words on a screen. The subjects then returned a day or a week later and were shown another long list of words, half of which had also been on the first list. They were asked to identify which words they had seen during the first round.

The experimenters found that if they flashed a word at extremely quick, subliminal speeds (20 milliseconds) shortly before its "official" appearance on the screen during the second round, their subjects were very likely to incorrectly say that it had appeared on the first list. Those results lent at least indirect support to the notion that if we attend to something half-consciously and then give it our full attention, it can appear falsely familiar.

The study is one of many that demonstrate the potential pitfalls of everyday memory and cognition, says Mr. Jacoby. "At our core, I think all of us are naïve realists. We believe the world is as it presents itself," he says. "All of these experiments are a little unsettling if you're a naïve realist."


But amusing if you think empiricism is bunk.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:44 PM

SOON ENOUGH:

Itching To Ditch The Slow Lane (David Welch and Chester Dawson, 4/25/05, Business Week)

[T]echnology will have to deliver more -- and for less money -- if hybrids are going to penetrate deeper into the market than just 0.5% of the 17 million U.S. car-buying consumers every year. To boost that share, carmakers must overcome daunting technological hurdles -- most of all, making hybrids' battery systems smaller, less costly, and more powerful. That would cut the nearly $4,000 price premium hybrids command and boost mileage. It could also deliver a big payoff in driver comfort. "Improving driving performance and pleasure is the next frontier for hybrids," says Takehisa Yaegashi, Toyota's senior manager for hybrid power train development.

Battery technology has already made great strides from the early days. Today's nickel metal hydride battery systems cost about $2,000 to $3,000 a car -- less than half the price of the first Prius power packs back in 1997. And they weigh half the 170 pounds of the batteries in that first generation.

Even so, better batteries may be the biggest barrier in reducing the cost of hybrids. Honda estimates that the battery accounts for about 60% of the $3,300 extra cost of its Accord Hybrid. One company insider says if the hybrid price premium could be halved, the technology could grab two-thirds of auto sales. For now, battery raw materials are expensive and, despite improvements, batteries still must be big to store a lot of energy. [...]

Battery technology has already made great strides from the early days. Today's nickel metal hydride battery systems cost about $2,000 to $3,000 a car -- less than half the price of the first Prius power packs back in 1997. And they weigh half the 170 pounds of the batteries in that first generation.

Even so, better batteries may be the biggest barrier in reducing the cost of hybrids. Honda estimates that the battery accounts for about 60% of the $3,300 extra cost of its Accord Hybrid. One company insider says if the hybrid price premium could be halved, the technology could grab two-thirds of auto sales. For now, battery raw materials are expensive and, despite improvements, batteries still must be big to store a lot of energy.

Rising car sales spread those high costs over more units, but battery manufacturing capacity is still constrained. [...]

As batteries improve, they will do more than save space. They could allow cars to drive in ghostly quiet electric mode longer. With faster computer processors, future hybrids should manage a smoother transition between electric power and gas. The goal: a switchover to gas that is barely noticeable to the driver. When hybrids are given cheaper, more powerful electrical guts, their popularity will really take off.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:21 PM

BATTLE OF THE T'S:

Students tell of tension on gay tolerance day: 'Gay shirts' outnumbered by those with 'God shirts' at Homewood-Flossmoor (Kati Phillips, April 20, 2005, Daily Southtown)

A student-led effort to oppose homophobia at Homewood-Flossmoor High School may have backfired Tuesday when hundreds of students donned shirts with Christian and anti-gay slogans.

Student activists who wore shirts emblazoned with the words "gay? fine by me" said they were outnumbered by peers wearing hateful messages and were targeted for harassment.

The T-shirt drive was intended to create a safe place for gay students and to put a human face on gays, lesbians and their allies.

But student journalists covering the event described the atmosphere as "tense."

"It was crazy. There were all these students with gay shirts and God shirts," said student newspaper reporter Joe Maloney. "In my first-period class, debate class, there were way more God shirts."

Chelsea Lavin, a broadcast student, was more pragmatic."People that you normally would say 'Hi' to in the halls were wearing shirts opposite of you, so you looked in the opposite direction," she said.

Alissa Norby, one of the T-shirt day's organizers, said she didn't know whether to define the project as a success or failure.

"If I was still in the closet and came to school (Tuesday) and saw hundreds of kids wearing anti-gay shirts, I'd probably go home crying and begging my parents to let me transfer," she said.

Students estimated more than 100 students wore anti-homophobia shirts, and more than 200 students wore shirts that listed "Crimes committed against God."


Failure.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:01 PM

THOSE SCIENTOLOGISTS ARE WHACK:

Not Sure If You're Catholic? Try Belief-o-matic (Der Spiegel)

Religion isn't always just a matter of whether or not you believe God is your co-pilot or wonder what Jesus would do. There are many shades of grey when it comes to belief -- do you know how your own deeply-held beliefs actually square up with dogma? Now you can find out.

Deciding on what to believe in amid these troubled times isn't easy. The modern world doesn't leave us a lot of time to ponder the Big Questions like "Why is there so much evil in the world?" But, never fear, Belief-o-matic is here: by asking you 20 questions on "your concept of God, the afterlife, human nature, and more," Belief-o-matic can tell you if you're a Roman Catholic, a secular humanist, or a reform Jew. Be careful, though. Belief-O-Matic, as the Web site points out, "assumes no legal liability for the ultimate fate of your soul."


Your Results:

The top score on the list below represents the faith that Belief-O-Matic, in its less than infinite wisdom, thinks most closely matches your beliefs. However, even a score of 100% does not mean that your views are all shared by this faith, or vice versa.

Belief-O-Matic then lists another 26 faiths in order of how much they have in common with your professed beliefs. The higher a faith appears on this list, the more closely it aligns with your thinking.

How did the Belief-O-Matic do? Discuss your results on our message boards.

1. Mainline to Conservative Christian/Protestant (100%)
2. Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints (Mormons) (98%)
3. Jehovah's Witness (89%)
4. Eastern Orthodox (86%)
5. Roman Catholic (86%)
6. Mainline to Liberal Christian Protestants (80%)
7. Bah�'� Faith (77%)
8. Orthodox Judaism (77%)
9. Orthodox Quaker (73%)
10. Seventh Day Adventist (70%)
11. Islam (65%)
12. Sikhism (53%)
13. Liberal Quakers (47%)
14. Hinduism (46%)
15. Jainism (46%)
16. Christian Science (Church of Christ, Scientist) (41%)
17. Reform Judaism (40%)
18. Mahayana Buddhism (39%)
19. Theravada Buddhism (37%)
20. Unitarian Universalism (37%)
21. Neo-Pagan (30%)
22. New Age (23%)
23. Nontheist (23%)
24. New Thought (22%)
25. Secular Humanism (18%)
26. Taoism (17%)
27. Scientology (17%)

Meanwhile, we're going to have to buy The Wife some incense or something:

How did the Belief-O-Matic do? Discuss your results on our message boards.



1. Bah�'� Faith (100%)
2. Reform Judaism (96%)
3. Sikhism (92%)
4. Orthodox Judaism (90%)
5. Islam (86%)
6. Liberal Quakers (75%)
7. Jainism (73%)
8. Unitarian Universalism (72%)
9. Mainline to Liberal Christian Protestants (66%)
10. Neo-Pagan (62%)
11. Mahayana Buddhism (60%)
12. Hinduism (58%)
13. Orthodox Quaker (55%)
14. New Age (54%)
15. New Thought (53%)
16. Scientology (51%)
17. Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints (Mormons) (48%)
18. Theravada Buddhism (48%)
19. Mainline to Conservative Christian/Protestant (46%)
20. Christian Science (Church of Christ, Scientist) (42%)
21. Secular Humanism (39%)
22. Eastern Orthodox (38%)
23. Roman Catholic (38%)
24. Taoism (37%)
25. Seventh Day Adventist (35%)
26. Jehovah's Witness (32%)
27. Nontheist (27%)



Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:44 PM

ANGLOSPHERE OR BUST:

The Sun backs Blair (Nicholas Watt, April 20, 2005, Guardian Unlimited)

Tony Blair will receive a major boost tomorrow when the Sun endorses Labour for the general election on May 5, citing the prime minister's bravery over the Iraq war.

Labour strategists, who regarded the Sun's endorsement in 1997 as one of the key moments of the campaign, will sigh with relief that Rupert Murdoch has not consummated his flirtation with Michael Howard. No Tory leader since Margaret Thatcher has been wooed in the same way as Mr Howard, who was invited to address the News Corporation annual jamboree in Cancun, Mexico.

The decision by the Sun editor, Rebekah Wade, after close consultation with her Australian born boss, will come as little surprise to Labour and the Conservatives. Mr Murdoch is always careful to back winners and he has regularly lavished praise on the prime minister for standing firm during the Iraq war.

But speculation that the Sun might return to the Tory fold for the first time since 1992 was fuelled when Mr Murdoch told the BBC's business editor, Jeff Randall, that he was impressed by Mr Howard's leadership of the Tory party. But in remarks which received little attention at the time, he also said he would never forget Mr Blair's steadfastness during the Iraq war.


The cold hard fact is that the Tories still don't offer a big enough difference from Tony Blair to warrant backing them.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:34 PM

RIDERS ON THE STORM:

The Autumn of the Autocrats (Fouad Ajami, May/June 2005, Foreign Affairs)

If the outrage within Lebanon broke through the old taboos of the Syrian-Lebanese relationship, the international setting has been dramatically transformed as well. France and the United States feuded over Iraq; Syria's occupation of Lebanon has provided them with an opportunity for common purpose. Assad's inexperienced heir, his son Bashar, is now caught in an international storm destined to be the test of his regime.

In 1990-91, in the context of a radically different international order, the world averted its gaze as Syria destroyed the last vestiges of Lebanon's independence. That was the price willingly paid by President George H.W. Bush for enlisting Damascus in the first campaign against Saddam. Those were good wages garnered by the Syrians. Syria did little for the coalition but was accepted as the gendarmerie of a volatile Lebanese polity. Then the outside world forgot about Lebanon. The missionaries, businesspeople, writers, and spooks who had known the country wandered away or aged. The dominant impression of Lebanon became that of a country given to tribal atavisms and bottomless feuds.

But more than a decade later, U.S. power positioned itself in Iraq, directly on Syria's eastern border. Pax Americana's tolerance for bargains with strongmen had substantially eroded since the September 11 attacks. True, Syria had not merited charter membership in President George W. Bush's "axis of evil." The Syrians warded off danger by "turning state's evidence" -- sharing what intelligence they had about the countless jihadists who hailed from Syria. But even as Syria tried to sit out the campaign in Iraq, it could not do so entirely. The lucrative Syrian trade of reexporting Iraqi oil in violation of international sanctions -- bringing in a windfall of some $1 billion a year -- was one casualty of this war. The other was most of Syria's leverage with the United States. Damascus had no real claims on Washington's loyalty and indulgence. The sort of access to the Pax Americana enjoyed by Cairo and Riyadh was not available to Syria's rulers. In the run-up to the Iraq war, Damascus had voted for a Security Council resolution authorizing Iraq's disarmament. But that could not buy Syria indefinite protection against the United States' wrath. Indeed, Bashar al-Assad and his cronies could be forgiven their worries that their regime could be the next target in U.S. cross hairs. The spectacle of the Iraqi dictator chased into his "spider hole" provided a cautionary tale. Hard as Damascus may have tried to maintain that Iraq was not its affair, the toppling of the Baathist tyranny next door was a crystal ball in which Syria's rulers could glimpse intimations of their own demise.

No one in the Arab world would shed tears for Assad and his political dynasty, and he and his men knew that. Theirs was a minority regime, the dominion of the Alawis, a heterodox Muslim community from Syria's northern mountains, over a principally Sunni Muslim society. Hafiz al-Assad, who established the regime, may have lacked Saddam's megalomania, but at the heart of his government was the cult of the ruler and his iron fist. In Syria as in Iraq, a generation of peasant soldiers and merciless ideologues took the society apart and trumpeted their pursuit of a new social order, only to create a system of political sterility and economic plunder.

Although Assad's regime had shut down its critics at home and had seemingly subdued Lebanon, the new security doctrine of the United States held dangers aplenty for it. Wars of pre-emption were now a distinct possibility. Washington had its hands full in Iraq, but no one in Damascus could be certain that the U.S. drive to finish off Arab dictators would come to a halt in Iraq. And there were Washington's "neocons" -- a veritable obsession of the Arab intellectual and political class, in Damascus and beyond. Who knew what they had in mind? There was unsettling talk of "low-hanging fruit" and "phase two" of the U.S. military effort. There was paranoia to spare in Arab political circles about a new American imperial bid to remake the Arab world.

As Syria's rulers hunkered down and waited to see the unfolding of the U.S. project in Iraq, they did their best to aid and abet the anti-U.S. insurgency there, while still maintaining the necessary fiction of their neutrality, doing what they could to avoid open confrontation with Washington. It was a game of cat and mouse: it was known that Arab jihadists from Yemen, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Jordan traveled to Mosul and the Sunni Triangle from Syria. There was irony here: an Alawite regime that was at odds with Sunni Islamists at home was feeding a Sunni insurgency next door. The jihadists dreaded the Syrian regime as a "godless tyranny" but took its favors. The 400-mile border was porous, and the Syrians had no interest in securing it. There were loyalists of the decapitated Iraqi regime with money to spare; they were looking for sanctuary, and the Syrians would provide it.

It was important for Syria that this heady U.S. bid to change the politics of the Arab states be thwarted. The more blood and treasure the United States expended in Iraq, the safer it was for Damascus. The new U.S. reach into the Arab world was a transient affair, the Syrians hoped. In time, Washington would grow weary of its burdens and pack up the military gear, along with U.S. designs for the region and its people. In the interim, Syria would punctuate its steady undermining of the U.S. operation with small favors and concessions to the U.S. military authorities. The Syrians could also plead that sealing the Syrian-Iraqi border was beyond their power and that they lacked the means and technology to monitor the age-old traffic on their frontier.

The Bush administration had announced nothing less than the obsolescence of the Arab world's old authoritarian order. [...]

The current Syrian regime is truly alone in the world. In the Arab world itself, the isolation of Damascus is easy to see. Arab public opinion has never taken to Syria's rulers. Before the destruction of his regime, Saddam was accepted as defender of the Arabs, a son of the "Arab nation," fighting its wars and sharing its atavisms. But he was a Sunni Arab; Syria's rulers are cut of a different cloth. Perhaps their esoteric Alawite faith is, in part, a factor in their estrangement. More important, they are people of stealth who have waged their own wars against the Palestinians and cut down to size Beirut's pan-Arabists in pursuit of Syrian hegemony.

Nor can the established Arab order do much for the Syrians. Cairo will not intercede on behalf of Damascus. If the Egyptians attempt it, their intervention will come without conviction. U.S. policy owes no deference to Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak. If anything, the Bush administration's new emphasis on reform and liberty only highlights the inadequacy of Mubarak's own regime.

Riyadh will not intercede either, but for different reasons. Hariri held Saudi citizenship, and his ties to the House of Saud ran to the very heart of the dynasty. Hariri had brought to Beirut not only Saudi money and investments, but also the Saudi way -- an aversion to ideology, a businessman's peace, and a belief in the power of wealth and caution. The Saudis are not given to expressions of public outrage, but one of their own was struck down in Beirut. A huge contingent of Saudi princes came to Beirut for Hariri's funeral; the de facto ruler, Crown Prince Abdullah, went to the Hariri home in Riyadh to offer condolences to his two older sons. Saudi Arabia will not trumpet Syria's culpability in his death. But the reserve that Saudi Arabia has displayed toward Syrian officialdom since the murder has conveyed the House of Saud's unease. Plainly, there is no faith in Riyadh that Assad, the young Syrian ruler, knows the intricacies of power.

Lebanon has long been ignored in the Arab circles of power, but the wind now blows its way. [...]

The entrenched systems of control in the Arab world are beginning to give way. It is a terrible storm, but the perfect antidote to a foul sky. The old Arab The entrenched systems of control in the Arab world are beginning to give way. It is a terrible storm, but the perfect antidote to a foul sky. The old Arab edifice of power, it is true, has had a way of surviving many storms. It has outwitted and outlived many predictions of its imminent demise.

But suddenly it seems like the autumn of the dictators. Something different has been injected into this fight. The United States -- a great foreign power that once upheld the Arab autocrats, fearing what mass politics would bring -- now braves the storm. It has signaled its willingness to gamble on the young, the new, and the unknown. Autocracy was once deemed tolerable, but terrorists, nurtured in the shadow of such rule, attacked the United States on September 11, 2001. Now the Arabs, grasping for a new world, and the Americans, who have helped usher in this unprecedented moment, together ride this storm wave of freedom.


It is certainly the case that neither George W. Bush nor Babnny Assad is much like his father.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:14 PM

DRIVE-BY:

FLATHEAD: The peculiar genius of Thomas L. Friedman. (Matt Taibbi, 4/20/05, NY Press)

I think it was about five months ago that Press editor Alex Zaitchik whispered to me in the office hallway that Thomas Friedman had a new book coming out. All he knew about it was the title, but that was enough; he approached me with the chilled demeanor of a British spy who has just discovered that Hitler was secretly buying up the world’s manganese supply. Who knew what it meant—but one had to assume the worst

"It's going to be called The Flattening," he whispered. Then he stood there, eyebrows raised, staring at me, waiting to see the effect of the news when it landed. I said nothing.

It turned out Alex had bad information; the book that ultimately came out would be called The World Is Flat. It didn't matter. Either version suggested the same horrifying possibility. Thomas Friedman in possession of 500 pages of ruminations on the metaphorical theme of flatness would be a very dangerous thing indeed. It would be like letting a chimpanzee loose in the NORAD control room; even the best-case scenario is an image that could keep you awake well into your 50s.

So I tried not to think about it. But when I heard the book was actually coming out, I started to worry. Among other things, I knew I would be asked to write the review. The usual ratio of Friedman criticism is 2:1, i.e., two human words to make sense of each single word of Friedmanese. Friedman is such a genius of literary incompetence that even his most innocent passages invite feature-length essays. I'll give you an example, drawn at random from The World Is Flat. On page 174, Friedman is describing a flight he took on Southwest Airlines from Baltimore to Hartford, Connecticut. (Friedman never forgets to name the company or the brand name; if he had written The Metamorphosis, Gregor Samsa would have awoken from uneasy dreams in a Sealy Posturepedic.) Here's what he says:

I stomped off, went through security, bought a Cinnabon, and glumly sat at the back of the B line, waiting to be herded on board so that I could hunt for space in the overhead bins.

Forget the Cinnabon. Name me a herd animal that hunts. Name me one.

This would be a small thing were it not for the overall pattern. Thomas Friedman does not get these things right even by accident. It's not that he occasionally screws up and fails to make his metaphors and images agree. It's that he always screws it up. He has an anti-ear, and it's absolutely infallible; he is a Joyce or a Flaubert in reverse, incapable of rendering even the smallest details without genius.


Deliciously savage.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:55 PM

NOW YOU'RE TALKIN':

Some Extra Heft May Be Helpful, New Study Says (GINA KOLATA, 4/20/05, NY Times)

People who are overweight but not obese have a lower risk of death than those of normal weight, federal researchers are reporting today.

The researchers - statisticians and epidemiologists from the National Cancer Institute and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention - also found that increased risk of death from obesity was seen for the most part in the extremely obese, a group constituting only 8 percent of Americans.

And being very thin, even though the thinness was longstanding and unlikely to stem from disease, caused a slight increase in the risk of death, the researchers said.

The new study, considered by many independent scientists to be the most rigorous yet on the effects of weight, controlled for factors like smoking, age, race and alcohol consumption in a sophisticated analysis derived from a well-known method that has been used to predict cancer risk. [...]

The study did not explain why overweight appeared best as far as mortality was concerned.


Who cares why? Just pass the bucket of KFC.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:47 PM

WHERE WOULD WE BE WITHOUT SCIENCE?:

Sex, Age And Sun Exposure Linked To Frequency Of Sunburns (Science Daily, 4/20/05)

In Danish volunteers, sunburn was typically associated with female sex, younger age, high risk behaviors like sunbathing, and long hours exposed to the sun, according to an article in the April issue of the Archives of Dermatology, one of the JAMA/Archives journals.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:39 PM

THE EXCITEMENT IS PALPABLE, EH?:

Stage set for June 27 election (BILL CURRY AND GLORIA GALLOWAY, April 20, 2005, Globe and Mail)

The Conservatives have secured May 19 as the day they will most likely defeat the minority government, paving the way for a June 27 election.

One day after the government postponed the Conservatives' opposition day scheduled for today and attempted to push back all the opposition days that had been set for the first three weeks of May, the Tories managed to use a backdoor route to salvage one of them.

On that day, May 19, the Conservatives can bring forward a no-confidence motion.

The firm date, coupled with signals from all three opposition parties that they are willing to defeat the government, suggests the minority Parliament is in its final days.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:31 PM

FDR SENT US, WE'RE HERE TO HELP:

Germans relive Soviet mass rapes (Allan Hall, April 21, 2005, The Age)

German women who endured mass rape by Soviet soldiers at the end of World War II are breaking the silence of six decades to speak of the horror of their experiences.

As the liberation of cities and concentration and POW camps are commemorated on the 60th anniversary of Germany's surrender, the raped women of Berlin say it is essential their fate is not forgotten.

In newspapers, on TV and radio, they recount the price they paid for being female and German at the hands of the Red Army soldiers who captured Berlin.

Soviet dictator Joseph Stalin authorised his army to look on women as spoils of war. Hitler's war had cost 22 million Russian civilians their lives, often in barbarous circumstances. But few could have foreseen the extent of the revenge.

At least 2 million German women are thought to have been raped.

One doctor deduced that of about 100,000 women raped in Berlin, 10,000 died as a result, mostly from suicide. An estimated 10 per cent gave birth. The death rate was thought to have been much higher among the 1.4 million victims in East Prussia, Pomerania and Silesia.
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Former Soviet war correspondent Natalya Gesse recalled: "The Russian soldiers were raping every German female from eight to 80... It was an army of rapists."


But they were our rapists.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:22 PM

CAST OFF THE SHACKLES OF YESTERDAY:

Kuwaiti women get voting rights (Reuters, 20 April 2005)

Kuwait’s parliament approved a law yesterday allowing women to vote and run for the first time in municipal elections in the country, fuelling hopes for wider female suffrage.

“The National Assembly approves women’s participation in the Municipal Council elections,” state news agency Kuna reported.

Kuwaiti women are not allowed to vote or run in parliamentary polls but the government has introduced a bill to grant full female suffrage that has yet to be approved by the 50-man house.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:16 PM

IN COMMUNITY:

Benedict XVI and Freedom (Alejandro A. Chafuen, 4/20/05, Acton Institute)

On November 6, 1992, at the ceremony where Ratzinger was inducted into the Academy of Moral and Political Sciences of the Institute of France, he explained that a free society can only subsist where people share basic moral convictions and high moral standards. He further argued that these convictions need not be “imposed or even arbitrarily defined by external coercion.”

Ratzinger found part of the answer in the work of Tocqueville. “Democracy in America has always made a strong impression on me,” the cardinal said. He added that to make possible, “an order of liberties in freedom lived in community, the great political thinker [Tocqueville] saw as an essential condition the fact that a basic moral conviction was alive in America, one which, nourished by Protestant Christianity, supplied the foundations for institutions and democratic mechanisms.”

In his work as a theologian, Benedict XVI places freedom at the core of his teachings. He has a beautiful way of explaining creation, which according to him should be understood not with the model of a craftsman, “but the creative mind, creative thinking.” The beginning of creation is a “creative freedom which creates further freedoms. To this extent one could very well describe Christianity as a philosophy of freedom.” Christianity explains a reality that “at the summit stands a freedom that thinks and, thinking, creates freedoms, thus making freedom the structural form of all being.” This freedom is embodied in the human person, the only “irreducible, infinity-related being. And here once again, it is the option for the primacy of freedom as against the primacy of some cosmic necessity or natural law.” Human freedom pushes Christianity away from idealism.

Benedict XVI argues that freedom, coupled with consciousness and love, comprise the essence of being. With freedom comes an incalculability -- and thus the world can never be reduced to mathematical logic. In his view, where the particular is more important than the universal, “the person, the unique and unrepeatable, is at the same time the ultimate and highest thing. In such view of the world, the person is not just an individual; a reproduction arising from the diffusion of the idea into matter, but rather, precisely, a “person.”

According to Benedict XVI, the Greeks saw human beings as mere individuals, subject to the polis (city-state). Christianity, however, sees man as a person more than an individual. This passage from individual to the person is what led the change from antiquity to Christianity. Or, as the cardinal put it, “from Plato to faith.”


It doesn't get any better than a Tocquevillian pope to go with a Tocquevillian President.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:01 PM

HOMO POSTECONOMICUS:

Apolitical economy: The end of boom and bust means the politics has been taken out of economics. How? (Anatole Kaletsky, May 2005, Prospect)

With the benefit of hindsight, we can see that the slogan which famously won Bill Clinton the 1992 US presidential election—"It's the economy, stupid"—marked the zenith of the political ascendancy of economics. While conventional wisdom still holds that Americans ejected the first President Bush in November 1992 because they were smarting from the after-effects of a mild recession, this kind of naive economic determinism had already been refuted in Britain. In April, John Major had been re-elected in the midst of the longest and most painful economic downturn in a generation. Back then, economic determinists could still defend their position by claiming that Major did not really win the 1992 election; it was John Smith who lost it, by threatening to increase by half the marginal tax rate on upper middle-class voters. Since the mid-1990s, however, the idea of economics as the dominant factor in British, American or European elections has become untenable, as in country after country economic and electoral performance have diverged.

The waning power of economics to decide elections since 1992 is first and foremost a function of the worldwide ideological transformation that began in 1989. This was the moment when the only alternative economic model to modern capitalism disappeared. The end of communism and the rottenness revealed in the heart of every communist regime destroyed the last remaining hopes among socialists of creating an economic system that was fundamentally different from capitalism. Of course, politicians could continue to disagree over differences in taxation or public finance, but it was almost impossible for any serious politician to question the bedrock principles of the capitalist economy: private ownership, competition and the profit motive.


At the same time as the only theoretical alternative to capitalism was self-destructing, another very practical change was happening in the nature of capitalism itself. From its earliest days, the political hegemony of capitalism had been marred by a seemingly incurable flaw—the booms and busts which seemed to get wilder and more unpredictable with each economic cycle. Today, this Achilles heel of the capitalist system, if not quite eliminated, seems to have been safely bandaged up.


The fact that Britain has been enjoying one of its longest ever periods of uninterrupted growth reflects not only the good husbandry of the Labour government and the competence of the Bank of England, but also some profound changes in the nature of market economics in the world as a whole.


The clearest reason for Britain's unaccustomed economic stability is the new approach to the management of fluctuations in demand and employment, which has been seen as the core problem of macroeconomics since Keynes wrote his General Theory in 1936. This new approach to demand management was led by the US and Britain, but has now become a worldwide trend. Only continental Europe is still moving in the opposite direction because of the institutional rigidities built into the eurozone.


Based on a long overdue synthesis between the monetarist obsession with stable prices and the Keynesian preoccupation with growth and employment, the new approach to demand management has kept the US and British economies very close to full employment and their long-term paths of growth trend. After decades of unproductive debate between Keynesians, who believed that business cycles could only be tamed with stimulative public spending, and monetarists, who insisted that using government borrowing to boost the economy would only produce inflation, it turned out that both sides were right—and wrong. A synthesis has emerged, in which active demand management plays a crucial role in stabilising the business cycle and sustaining growth, but in contrast to the old Keynesian approach, this stabilisation is performed by manipulating interest rates instead of public borrowing and spending. Moreover, the responsibility for managing demand now falls on an independent central bank.

This new neo-Keynesian or post-monetarist approach to demand management has been the proximate cause of the remarkable growth and stability enjoyed by the British economy since the mid-1990s, but the new methods could not have been attempted before several anterior conditions were satisfied.


On the one hand its the kind of theory you expect to read just before a great depression, but on the other it does describe the politics and economics of the past 25 years pretty well.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:04 PM

FIRE UP A DUBIE (via mc):

Sen. Jeffords Won't Seek Re-Election (CHRISTOPHER GRAFF, 4/20/05, Associated Press)

Vermont Sen. Jim Jeffords, an independent who triggered one of the most dramatic upheavals in Senate history when he quit the GOP four years ago, intends to retire at the end of his term next year, The Associated Press learned Wednesday.

Jeffords will make the announcement Wednesday afternoon in Burlington, multiple sources in Vermont and Washington told The Associated Press. They spoke on condition of anonymity. [...]

Jeffords' surprise decision will unleash a host of candidates to replace him. U.S. Rep. Bernie Sanders, the state's only congressman and the only independent in the House, has said he would run if Jeffords did not. Like Jeffords, he votes with the Democrats.

Republicans Richard Tarrant, a business executive, and Gov. James Douglas are also possible contenders.

Former Gov. Howard Dean, now the chair of the Democratic National Committee, had long been rumored as a possible candidate. But Karen Finney, a top aide to Dean, said the former Vermont governor and 2004 presidential hopeful will not be running for the Senate because he's committed to his new duties at the DNC.


Lt. Governor Brian Dubie would be ideal and with Bernie and a Democrat splitting the vote he'd win.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:53 PM

THE OTHER COALITION PARTNERS ARE WINNING, WHY NOT TRY:

Italy's Berlusconi hands in resignation (ALESSANDRA RIZZO, 4/20/05, Associated Press)

Premier Silvio Berlusconi handed the president his resignation Wednesday and pledged to form a new government to strengthen his coalition, which has been weakened by a sluggish economy and opposition to Italian involvement in Iraq.

The premier's resignation brings to an end to Italy's longest-serving government since World War II. Berlusconi had been under pressure to resign since a stinging defeat in regional elections earlier this month.

President Carlo Azeglio Ciampi's office said in a statement that Berlusconi had tendered the resignation of his Cabinet, and added the government would stay on as caretaker.

Earlier, Berlusconi had addressed the Senate and told the country of his plan to step down and form a new government and platform.

It is now up to Ciampi to designate a candidate to assemble a new government, or else dissolve parliament and call early elections. Ciampi, who begins formal political consultations Thursday, is expected to give Berlusconi the mandate to form a new Cabinet.

"The regional elections showed a clear sign of discomfort," Berlusconi said in his Senate address. "I want to give an adequate political response."

Government partners "have all demanded a new government, to be based on the same coalition," Berlusconi said. "I accept this challenge."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:19 PM

LEGGO MY LOGOS:

Upright But No Panzer Pope: Why he was chosen—and why he's no narrow-minded blockhead. (Uwe Siemon-Netto, 04/20/2005, UPI)

You don't have to be a soothsayer to guess why Ratzinger was chosen over Italian, Latin American, and African candidates to lead the church. As the Rev. Anthony Figueirero, an Indian-born former papal adviser, said Tuesday prior to Ratzinger's elevation, "Let the Church in the Third World continue its growth—it is the global North that has to be re-evangelized," meaning it is that part of the globe the pope must be particularly familiar with.

Hence a pope from an almost post-Christian country was needed to continue the missionary dynamism John Paul II gave top priority to during his long ministry. John Paul, even as an old man, was stellar in the eyes of young people. He had promised to travel to Cologne, Germany, in August to be with the hundreds and thousands of young people attending World Youth Day in that ancient Roman city on the Rhine.

Now Ratzinger, as Benedict XVI, will undertake his first journey abroad since his election to that very place where he was once a priest. And there he will address his fellow Germans—and others—not in the snarling tone of a Panzer officer but with the mild and melodious voice that always seems to surprise those who meet him for the first time.

He will doubtless baffle many of his former detractors by stressing the need for a return to reason, which is a central theme of his theology. For Ratzinger, the significance of reason was precisely why John the Evangelist used the word, "Logos," in referring to Christ in the opening sentence of his Gospel.

"'Logos' denotes reason and meaning, but also Word," Ratzinger wrote. "The God, who is Logos, assures us of the rationality of the world, the rationality of our being, the divine character of reason, and the reasonable character of God, even though God's rationality surpasses ours immeasurably and appears to us as darkness."

Ratzinger insists, "Rationality has been the postulate and the condition of Christianity and will remain a European legacy with which we can confront peacefully and positively Islam as well as the great Asian religions."

But where this rationality "reduces the great values of our being to subjectivity, then it will endanger and destroy man, it will amputate man."

Hence, he continued, "Europe must defend reason. To this extent we must be grateful to secular society and the Enlightenment. It must remain a thorn in our side, as secular society must accept the (Christian) thorn it its side—meaning the founding power of the Christian religion in Europe."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:31 AM

WELL, HE DOES FOLLOW THE NEO TESTAMENT:

Rome's Radical Conservative (MICHAEL NOVAK, 4/20/05, NY Times)

THE election of Cardinal Josef Ratzinger as pope was John Paul II's last gift to the Roman Catholic Church. No cardinal was closer to John Paul II, or talked at length with him more often. In his sermon at the memorial for the late pope, Cardinal Ratzinger, with perfect pitch, praised his predecessor's gifts in poetry, drama and art, and the sweep of his vision and accomplishments. The sermon was interrupted many times by hearty applause, especially from the young.

Cardinal Ratzinger's selection as pope, however, has been less heartily welcomed by many commentators in Europe and the United States, who have quickly characterized him as an "authoritarian," a "watchdog" and, most peculiarly, a "neoconservative." [...]

One of Cardinal Ratzinger's central, and most misunderstood, notions is his conception of liberty, and he is very jealous in thinking deeply about it, pointing often to Tocqueville. He is a strong foe of socialism, statism and authoritarianism, but he also worries that democracy, despite its great promise, is exceedingly vulnerable to the tyranny of the majority, to "the new soft despotism" of the all-mothering state, and to the common belief that liberty means doing whatever you please. Following Lord Acton and James Madison, Cardinal Ratzinger has written of the need of humans to practice self-government over their passions in private life.

He also fears that Europe, especially, is abandoning the search for objective truth and sliding into pure subjectivism. That is how the Nazis arose, he believes, and the Leninists. When all opinions are considered subjective, no moral ground remains for protesting against lies and injustices.


You have to be pretty far gone down the slope to find morality to be new.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:01 AM

GOTTA LOOK GOOD FOR THEIR MAN-DATES?:

Real men exfoliate: Companies leap into the growing market for male skin-care products (Naomi Aoki, Globe Staff | April 19, 2005, Boston Globe)

Eric Rollins' idea of skin care was washing his face with the same bar of soap he used to wash the rest of his body -- until five years ago when a girlfriend reacted with horror to his daily regimen.

''Hopefully, it wasn't that my skin was so bad," Rollins said.

As the women's market becomes saturated with every kind of product imaginable to eliminate wrinkles and shed dead skin cells, companies are looking to men like 23-year-old Rollins to drive sales. From Boston's Gillette Co. to Britain's King of Shaves, companies are pushing cleansers, moisturizers, antiaging lotions and body sprays made just for men. Meanwhile, retailers like CVS Corp. are quadrupling shelf space for men's skin care.

At $108 million last year, the men's market is a relatively small part of the $8 billion total skin-care market. But that's changing quickly in an age when makeover show ''Queer Eye for the Straight Guy" has turned style and smooth skin into virtues. Men's skin care is the fastest growing segment in all of personal care.


Real men would require a defoliant, not exfoliation, and Agent Orange's one genune side effect is acne, so it would be self-defeating to apply it to the pelt.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:46 AM

BATTLING FOR HEARTS AND HEADS:

An Evangelizer on the Right, With His Eye on the Future (LAURIE GOODSTEIN, 4/20/05, NY Times)

As John Paul's alter ego, the new German pope has been training for this role for decades and knows how all the levers of Vatican power work.

"This man is not just going to mind the store," said George Weigel, a conservative American scholar who knows both the former and new popes. "He is going to take re-evangelization, especially of Europe, very seriously. I think this represents a recognition on the part of the cardinals that the great battle in the world remains inside the heads of human beings - that it's a battle of ideas."

Sandro Magister, a Vatican expert at the Italian magazine L'Espresso, said he expected a thorough housecleaning not unlike the Gregorian reforms of the church begun under Pope Gregory VII, who ruled from 1073 to 1085. Those reforms led to the end of both the married clergy and the buying and selling of spiritual favors like indulgences.

Cardinal Ratzinger had spoken and written forcefully about his sense of the threats to the church, both internal and external. Whether they are dissident theologians, pedophile priests, "cafeteria Catholics" who disregard the ban on artificial birth control, or "celibate" third world clergy who keep mistresses, the new pope's solution is likely to be a more forceful reiteration of the church's creed and the necessity of either living by it, or leaving it.

"How much filth there is in the church, even among those who, in the priesthood, should belong entirely" to God, he said in Rome on Good Friday last month.

He has singled out the spread of "aggressive secularism," especially in Europe and North America. In the homily he gave Monday, just before the cardinals entered the conclave in which he was chosen, he warned about rival forms of belief, from "a vague religious mysticism" to "syncretism" to "new sects," a term that Catholics in Latin America use to refer to evangelical and Pentecostal churches.

The new pope is not likely to yield on the primacy of the Roman Catholic Church, whether dealing with other Christian denominations or Islam. In a document issued in 2000, "Dominus Jesus," the Congregation for the Doctrine of the Faith that Cardinal Ratzinger headed said the Catholic Church was the only true path to salvation and called other faiths "gravely deficient."

In choosing the name Benedict, this German theologian linked himself not only to a long line of former popes but also to St. Benedict, the founder of Christian monasticism, who was proclaimed by Pope Paul VI in 1964 to be the "patron and protector of Europe." The monasteries that St. Benedict founded - and for which he wrote the "Rule," the basic guide to monastic living - became the keepers of culture and piety in medieval Europe.

Church scholars suggested that Pope Benedict XVI may be positioning himself as the new savior of Europe, rescuing the Continent from what he called in his homily on Monday "the dictatorship of relativism."


A Theological Visionary With Roots in Wartime Germany (DANIEL J. WAKIN, 4/20/05, NY Times)
The Roman Catholic Church, Cardinal Ratzinger recalled, was his bulwark against the Nazi regime, "a citadel of truth and righteousness against the realm of atheism and deceit."

But he could not avoid the realities of the day. In an episode certain to be scrutinized anew, Joseph Ratzinger was briefly and unenthusiastically a member of the Hitler Youth in his early teens, after membership became mandatory in 1941, according to a biography by John L. Allen Jr., who covers the Vatican for The National Catholic Reporter.

In 1943, he and fellow seminarians were drafted. He deserted in 1945 and returned home, but was captured by American soldiers and held as a prisoner of war for several months, Mr. Allen wrote.

Along his way to the papacy, he built a distinguished academic career as a theologian, and then spent nearly a quarter century as Pope John Paul II's theological visionary - and enforcer of strict positions on doctrine, morality and the primacy of the faith.

In addition to his subtle and powerful intellect lies a spiritual, almost mystical side rooted in the traditional Bavarian landscape of processions, devotions to Mary and small country parishes, said John-Peter Pham, a former Vatican diplomat who has written about Cardinal Ratzinger.

"It's a Christianity of the heart, not unlike that of the late pope's Poland," he said. "It's much different than the cerebral theology traditionally associated with German theology."

His experience under the Nazis - he was 18 when the war ended - was formative in his view of the function of the church, Mr. Allen said.

"Having seen fascism in action, Ratzinger today believes that the best antidote to political totalitarianism is ecclesiastical totalitarianism," he wrote. "In other words, he believes the Catholic Church serves the cause of human freedom by restricting freedom in its internal life, thereby remaining clear about what it teaches and believes."


It's worth keeping in mind, we had to kill an awful lot of people to defeat those prior isms.


MORE:
Benedict XVI, 78, Was John Paul II's Strict Defender of the Faith (IAN FISHER, 4/20/05, NY Times)
It was not clear, however, how popular a choice he was on St. Peter's Square. The applause for the new pope, while genuine and sustained among many, tapered off decisively in large pockets, which some assembled there said reflected their reservations about his doctrinal rigidity and whether, under Benedict XVI, an already polarized church will now find less to bind it together.

"I kind of do think he will try to unite Catholics," said Linda Nguyen, 20, an American student studying in Rome who had wrapped six rosaries around her hands. "But he might scare people away."

Vincenzo Jammace, a teacher from Rome, stood up on a plastic chair below the balcony and intoned, "This is the gravest error!"

Pope Benedict's well-known stands include the assertion that Catholicism is "true" and other religions are "deficient"; that the modern, secular world, especially in Europe, is spiritually weak; and that Catholicism is in competition with Islam. He has also strongly opposed homosexuality, women as priests and stem cell research.

His many supporters said they believed that the rule of Benedict XVI - a scholar who reportedly speaks 10 languages, including excellent English - would be clear and uncompromising about what it means to be a Roman Catholic.

"It would be more popular to be more liberal, but it's not the best way for the church," said Martin Sturm, 20, a student from Germany. "The church must tell the truth, even if it is not what the people want to hear. And he will tell the truth."

While Pope Benedict's views are upsetting to many Catholics in Europe and among liberal Americans, they are likely to find a receptive audience among the young and conservative Catholics whom John Paul II energized. His conservatism on moral issues may also play well in developing countries, where the church is growing rapidly, but where issues of poverty and social justice are also important. It is unclear how much Cardinal Ratzinger, a man with limited pastoral experience, and that spent in rich Europe, will speak to those concerns.
He's only popular among the vital, not the dying? Guess how they got that way in the first place.


A papal confidant faithful to doctrine (Charles M. Sennott, April 20, 2005, Boston Globe)

The white-haired Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger, 78, traces his conservatism to his reaction to violent student protests that swept Europe in 1968.

Ah, the student movements--the gift that keeps on giving...to conservatism.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:26 AM

NO PRICING POWER:

Prices help tame inflation (ASSOCIATED PRESS and REUTERS, April 20, 2005)

In a much-anticipated report on inflation, the Labor Department said yesterday that wholesale price increases apart from volatile food and energy costs remained mild last month, helping ease inflation jitters and giving a boost to financial markets.

The Labor Department reported a 0.7 percent increase in March for its Producer Price Index, designed to track inflation pressures before they reach the consumer. It was the index's biggest gain since November and was led by a 3.3 percent increase in energy prices, reflecting soaring global oil prices.

However, apart from food and energy, inflation at the wholesale level rose by just 0.1 percent.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:23 AM

THE CHURCH DOESN'T HAVE SHEEP ON BOTH SIDES OF THIS ONE:

Last Benedict shepherded Catholic countries in World War (STEPHEN MCGINTY, 4/20/05, The Scotsman)

THE choice of papal names is often scrutinised for hints on what the new pontiff might have admired in previous popes with those same names.

As Pope, Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger has taken the name Benedict XVI.

His predecessor, Benedict XV, who was pontiff from 1914 to 1922, had the task of providing leadership for Catholic countries arrayed on opposite sides of the First World War, each claiming a just war and praying for victory.

He declared neutrality, and made repeated protests against weapons such as poison gas, a move which angered both sides. Benedict XV strove to aid the innocent victims of war and offered a seven-point peace plan. It failed, but some of his proposals were included in Woodrow Wilson’s Fourteen Points, the US president’s wartime call for peace in January 1918.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:09 AM

GOING ON 30'S:

Schröder's party pitches to left (Judy Dempsey, April 20, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

With just weeks to go before a crucial state election, Germany's governing Social Democrats are reviving the leftist talk of class struggle, hitting out strongly against unbridled capitalism and companies that move around the world, closing factories whenever they can obtain lower labor costs elsewhere.

The sharp criticism of the capitalist system and globalization is being led by Franz Müntefering, leader of Chancellor Gerhard Schröder's Social Democratic Party - even though Schröder himself has introduced reforms designed to reduce the country's generous social welfare system and make the labor market more flexible.

In speeches and interviews over the past few days, Müntefering, who represents the traditional left wing of the Social Democrats, singled out financial investors and company managers for lacking "the right company ethics" in dealing with employees and globalization. Müntefering told the mass-circulation tabloid Bild that some of them act "like swarms of locusts."

Such sharp, traditionally leftist rhetoric has been rare, and muted, in the years since 1998, when Schröder defeated the conservative Helmut Kohl, who had been in power for 16 years, and moved the Social Democrats to a more centrist position.


In the history books Bill Clinton, Tony Blair and Gerhard Schroder will be seen to have represented but an interlude of sanity for their Left wing parties. Here George Bush has claimed the Third Way turf but it doesn't seem that the conservative parties overseas are capable of the same.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:15 AM

HEALTHY COMPETITION:

Pope Benedict XVI: Enemy of Jihad (Robert Spencer, April 20, 2005, FrontPageMagazine.com)

In choosing Joseph Cardinal Ratzinger to succeed Pope John Paul II as Pope Benedict XVI, the Catholic Church has cast a vote for the survival of Europe and the West. “Europe will be Islamic by the end of the century,” historian Bernard Lewis predicted not long ago; however, judging from the writings of the new Pope, he is not likely to be sanguine about this transition. For one thing, the new Pope seems to be aware of the grave danger Europeans face: he has called upon Europe to recover its Christian roots “if it truly wants to survive.”

For while his predecessor kissed the Qur’an and pursued a consistent line of conciliation toward the Islamic world, despite numerous provocations and attacks against Catholics in Muslim countries, the new Pope Benedict XVI, while no less charitable, has been a bit more forthcoming about the reality of how Islam challenges the Catholic Church, Christianity, and even the post-Christian West. He has spoken up for the rights of converts from Islam to Christianity, who live under a death sentence in Islamic countries and increasingly live in fear even in the West. He has even spoken approvingly of Christians proselytizing Muslims — a practice that enrages Muslims and is against the law in many Islamic countries.
The new Pope has criticized Europe’s reluctance to acknowledge its Christian roots for fear of offending Islam’s rapidly growing and increasingly influential presence in European countries — a presence which, as historian Bat Ye’or demonstrates in her book Eurabia, has been actively encouraged and facilitated by European leaders for over three decades. “What offends Islam,” said Cardinal Ratzinger, “is the lack of reference to God, the arrogance of reason, which provokes fundamentalism.” He has criticized multiculturalism, “which is so constantly and passionately encouraged and supported,” because it “sometimes amounts to an abandonment and disavowal of what is our own.”

He contrasts the modern-day resurgence of Islam with the enervation of Europe. In old Europe, he has said, “we are moving toward a dictatorship of relativism which does not recognize anything as definitive and has as its highest value one’s own ego and one's own desires.” Islam, on the other hand, is anything but relativistic: “The rebirth of Islam is due in part to the new material richness acquired by Muslim countries, but mainly to the knowledge that it is able to offer a valid spiritual foundation for the life of its people, a foundation that seems to have escaped from the hands of old Europe.”


Of this much we can be certain: the future of Europe isn't secular.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:55 AM

A CLASSY DEAL FOR BOTH:

Durable Wakefield is here for duration (Dan Shaughnessy, April 20, 2005, Boston Globe)

He was a Red Sox player when Dwayne Hosey was a Red Sox player. He played under Kevin Kennedy, Jimy Williams, and Joe Kerrigan. While the torch was passed from Clemens to Martinez to Schilling, Tim Wakefield was the ever-ready wingman, always wearing his spikes, able to take the baseball and pitch a few innings.

It's almost 10 years exactly since Dan Duquette signed Wakefield to a minor league contract after he'd been released by the Pirates, and now Wakefield has pitched in more Red Sox games than anyone other than Bob Stanley. In Sox history, he has pitched more innings than anyone other than Roger Clemens and Cy Young.

Yesterday Wakefield got his "reward" in the form of a one-year contract extension that includes club options from here to eternity. It's an odd little agreement in this day and age.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:46 AM

IT'S WHAT REPUBLICANS DO:

Bush Harks Back to Lincoln's Example (Warren Vieth, April 20, 2005, LA Times)

President Bush dedicated a presidential museum Tuesday in Abraham Lincoln's adopted hometown, and said that Lincoln's ideals were a source of inspiration for policies his own administration was pursuing.

Opening the $90-million Lincoln museum, Bush sought to draw a connection between Lincoln's efforts to expand the concept of liberty by abolishing slavery and America's current initiatives to promote democracy in Iraq, Afghanistan and other countries with authoritarian pasts.

"American interests and values are both served by standing for liberty in every part of the world," Bush said. "Our interests are served when former enemies become democratic partners…. Our deepest values are also served when we take part in freedom's advance, when the chains of millions are broken and the captives are set free."

Bush, who has called Lincoln his favorite president, said the opening of the museum in downtown Springfield was a reminder that Lincoln had helped the nation confront its unresolved conflict between the Founding Fathers' promise of liberty and the continuing acceptance of slavery during Lincoln's time.

"None of us can claim his legacy as our own, but all of us can learn from the faith that guided him," Bush said.

"Whenever freedom is challenged, the proper response is to go forward with confidence in freedom's power," he said


Lincoln was kind of a more parochial version of President Bush.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THERE WHEN WE NEEDED THEM:

Bridge from Seoul to the Bosporus (Altay Atli, 4/21/05, Asia Times)

Travelers arriving here in the Turkish capital by train are greeted by an extraordinary monument. It is a tall pagoda in the middle of an Asian-style garden right in front of the train station. The monument, which is dedicated to the Turkish soldiers who fought in the Korean War in 1950-53 to support the efforts of the US-led coalition to rid the peninsula of the communist threat, had a very special visitor last weekend: Roh Moo-hyun, president of the Republic of Korea.

Roh became the first South Korean president to visit Turkey since 1957, when diplomatic relations were established between two countries. He took with him not only dozens of Korean businessmen with plans to invest in Turkey and the traditional messages of friendship and solidarity, but also memories of the Korean War, the forgotten conflict of the last century. [...]

In August 1950, a 4,500-man Turkish brigade under the command of General Tahsin Yazici sailed for Korea aboard US battleships and arrived in Busan after 22 days at sea. The Turkish brigade, code-named "North Star", joined the UN army commanded by General Douglas MacArthur. By the time the Turkish troops had arrived, MacArthur was planning a massive invasion of North Korea, the objective being the Yalu River forming the Chinese-Korean border. However, the Chinese offensive that was launched on the night of November 25-26, 1950, caused great surprise and confusion among the UN ranks. On the following morning, Chinese forces had broken through the front line and annihilated the II Corps of the South Korean army. The Chinese were flowing in through the gap near the town of Kunuri, and the Turkish brigade was the closest UN force to hold them. Fierce fighting between the Chinese and Turkish troops took place around Kunuri for three days and, although suffering heavy losses, the Turks managed to delay the Chinese advance and prevent the encirclement and possible destruction of the 8th US Army. Kunuri was the Turks' baptism by fire, with 218 dead, 455 wounded and 94 missing in action. After the battle, the Washington Tribune reported that "4,500 soldiers in the middle of the firing line have known how to create a miracle. The sacrifices of Turks will eternally remain in our minds."

After Kunuri, the Turkish brigade saw other major battles that affected the course of war, such as the battles of Kumjangjangni, Taegyewonni and Vegas. As an armistice was concluded on the peninsula on June 18, 1953, and hostilities ceased on June 27, three Turkish brigades with more than 15,000 troops had taken part in the war. The total casualty toll for the "North Star" operation was 741 dead, 2,068 wounded and 407 missing in action.


Their contribution seems to be remembered only in Turkey, Korea and among the Americans who fought with them.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

FROM THE JEWISH PERSPECTIVE:

ADL Welcomes Election of Cardinal Ratzinger as New Pope (ADL, April 19, 2005)

The Anti-Defamation League (ADL) today welcomed the election of German Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger as the new Pope, Benedict XVI. Under his leadership in Germany and Rome, the Catholic Church made important strides in improving Catholic-Jewish relations and atoning for the sin of anti-Semitism. Cardinal Ratzinger has been a leader in this effort and has made important statements in the spirit of sensitivity and reconciliation with the Jewish people.

Abraham H. Foxman, ADL National Director, issued the following statement:

We welcome the new Papacy of Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger. From the Jewish perspective, the fact that he comes from Europe is important, because he brings with him an understanding and memory of the painful history of Europe and of the 20th Century experience of European Jewry.

Having lived through World War II, Cardinal Ratzinger has great sensitivity to Jewish history and the Holocaust. He has shown this sensitivity countless times, in meetings with Jewish leadership and in important statements condemning anti-Semitism and expressing profound sorrow for the Holocaust. We remember with great appreciation his Christmas reflections on December 29, 2000, when he memorably expressed remorse for the anti-Jewish attitudes that persisted through history, leading to "deplorable acts of violence" and the Holocaust. Cardinal Ratzinger said: "Even if the most recent, loathsome experience of the Shoah (Holocaust) was perpetrated in the name of an anti-Christian ideology, which tried to strike the Christian faith at its Abrahamic roots in the people of Israel, it cannot be denied that a certain insufficient resistance to this atrocity on the part of Christians can be explained by an inherited anti-Judaism present in the hearts of not a few Christians."

Though as a teenager he was a member of the Hitler Youth, all his life Cardinal Ratzinger has atoned for the fact. In our years of working on improving Catholic-Jewish ties, ADL has had opportunities to work with Cardinal Ratzinger. We look forward to continuing that relationship.


MORE:
The Gentle Watchdog: Ratzinger is known as a steadfast enforcer, but his personality and his past belie stereotypes (Jeffrey Fleishman and Sebastian Rotella, April 20, 2005, LA Times)

Vibrant and strong in his beliefs, Ratzinger is also known as a quiet, almost shy man, with hard, blue eyes. Friends and critics alike describe him as an engaging man who can discuss topics ranging from classical music to the Gospels.

"Cardinal Ratzinger is known for his gentleness and timidity," said Mario Marazziti, a spokesman for Community of Sant' Egidio, a Catholic movement that works with the poor. "When people greeted him crossing St. Peter's [Square], he seemed almost stunned that people recognized him."

Father Caesar Atuire, who organizes pilgrimages to the Vatican, said: "Before you meet him, you hear he is … one of the watchdogs of faith. And then you meet a simple guy, with almost a simple smile on his face, as if he's scared to hurt anybody."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

A REFERENDUM TOO FAR:

Citizens and exiles: an edifying conversation (Mansour Farhang, 13 - 4 - 2005, Open Democracy)

A coalition of Iranian dissidents inside the country have issued an appeal for a nationwide referendum to choose between the constitution of the Islamic Republic of Iran and a new constitution based on the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. This invitation is a veiled method of announcing that the reform movement of the Khatami era is dead and nothing but a secular democracy can liberate the Iranian people from the grip of their tyrannical rulers.

Since many signatories of the appeal began their opposition to the reigning ayatollahs as reformers, their call for a plebiscite on the essential claims of the theocratic order is equivalent to rejecting the legitimacy of the regime and embracing the democratic path.


It would be a tragedy if in their eagerness to shuck themselves of the mullahcracy they were to deny that the rights they seek come from God, not from transnationalist pabulum.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

IT'S NOT OUR KITCHENS THAT WE'RE TALKING ABOUT:

Ohio Senator Again Clashes Over Bush Pick (MALIA RULON, April 19, 2005,
Associated Press)

The Ohio senator who surprised fellow Republicans on Tuesday with his sudden concerns about President Bush's nominee for ambassador to the United Nations is known as a maverick.

Sen. George Voinovich was the rare Republican holdout against Bush's 2003 tax cut plan, an administration priority. Despite intense lobbying from the White House, he stood firm. The president had to settle for a smaller tax cut package.

This time, inside the packed Senate Foreign Relations Committee room, Voinovich took another stand against the administration by suggesting the committee delay a vote on Bush's nomination of John Bolton as U.N. ambassador.

"I've heard enough today that I don't feel comfortable about voting for Mr. Bolton," Voinovich told fellow committee members. He previously had said he would vote for Bolton.

After Voinovich's statement, Republican Sen. Chuck Hagel of Nebraska, who also had expressed reservations about Bolton's nomination, also asked for a delay on the vote.

Republicans hold a 10-8 majority on the panel, which was expected to pass Bolton's nomination quickly. Voinovich's change of mind came after Democrats brought up fresh allegations of unbecoming conduct by Bolton toward subordinates.

"I think one's interpersonal skills and their relationship with their fellow man is a very important ingredient in anyone that works for me. I call it the kitchen test. Do we feel comfortable about the kitchen test?" Voinovich said.


The nominee does sound like quite a phallus, but the question is: mightn't he be exactly the kind of s.o.b. the U.N. needs in its kitchen right now?


April 19, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:55 PM

LEARNING FROM THE MISTAKES OF OTHERS:

India makes tracks for the train: The fast-growing country upgrades its rail services to meet travel demands, even as other infrastructure lags. (Nachammai Raman, 4/20/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

The country's strong growth rate and sheer size has many grouping it with China as this century's future superpowers. But India has so far not made the same massive infrastructure investments, especially in the area of transportation.

The one exception is the national railroad. The addition of 46 new passenger trains in this fiscal year's Indian Railways budget - including upgraded service to Bangalore - has raised eyebrows. Indian trains, however, are in business because road and air remains so underdeveloped. [...]

"Indian Railways always makes a profit. We have never gone into the red," boasts S. Gagarin, the railroad's senior division commercial manager in Bangalore. According to government estimates, the return on rail investments is nearly three times that of other transportation investments.

With 67,941 miles of tracks, 7,000 passenger trains, and 4,000 freight trains per day, as well as 6,853 stations, the 152-year-old train system is one of the largest in the world. Its workforce of 1.5 million also makes it India's single largest employer.

Uvais Ahmed is a frequent passenger on the increasingly important Madras-Bangalore route of the Shatabdi Express, to which an additional service was announced in the budget. Being a businessman, he finds the train schedule convenient. He boards the train in Madras in the morning, which gives him five working hours in Bangalore before he rides the train back. He's home the same night.

Although Mr. Ahmed owns a car, he doesn't drive to Bangalore unless he anticipates staying over for three or four days. And that's only to help him get around in Bangalore. "Trains are the cheapest and safest," he says. "Highways are not so safe."

"Indian Railways has the lowest accident rate at 0.6 per million kilometers," says Mr. Gagarin. This is a far cry from when the Indian railroad, infamous for head-on collisions and slips, served as a favorite Bollywood subterfuge to turn plots and dispense with characters. Now, it's road accidents that seem to capture Bollywood's imagination. Indian road accidents grievously injure an estimated 1.275 million per year and contribute to 10 percent of road accident fatalities worldwide, according to the Delhi-based Institute of Road Traffic Education.

Many travelers also choose the train for economy. On average, flights on the Madras-Bangalore sector cost four to 10 times as much as rail trips. "If you have less time, then you fly. Otherwise, you take the train to save money. We Indians like to save money," says Ahmed.


A sensible people.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:47 PM

ARLEN SHIVA:

Three judges are flash points in Senate clash: A vote on their nominations Thursday could lead to long-awaited showdown over the federal courts. (Gail Russell Chaddock, 4/20/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

With tomorrow's committee vote on three of President Bush's most controversial judicial nominations, the Senate - urged on by some of the most powerful interests in Washington - is poised for a long-awaited showdown over the federal courts. [...]

By the pound, Priscilla Owen, nominee for the US Court of Appeals to the Fifth Circuit, faces the toughest confirmation fight. Her bulging opposition file, provided by minority Democrats, weighs in at 4.8 lbs and includes letters from more than 40 national groups ranging from Planned Parenthood and Friends of the Earth to the United Auto Workers. The opposition file for Janice Rogers Brown, a nominee to the District of Columbia Circuit, tops 3.5 lbs. In contrast, the file for Terrence Boyle, a nominee to the 4th Circuit, weighs less than a pound. [...]

A filibuster of any one of the president's nominees could provide the context for invoking the nuclear option, but the two women nominees, Ms. Owen and Ms. Brown, are the highest-profile cases.


From a GOP perspective you can't beat going nuclear over two women, one of them black.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:38 PM

OWNERS OR OWNED?:

It Really Is Black and White . . .: Private Social Security accounts will help lift minorities out of poverty. (ALPHONSO JACKSON, April 19, 2005, Opinion Journal)

Today, the typical black household has a net worth of only $6,100, while a typical white household has $67,000. In recent years, the wealth gap between blacks and whites has been intensifying. Blacks are more likely to be unemployed, living in poverty, and in need of government assistance.

We can begin reversing these trends and erasing today's racial inequities by encouraging black participation in what President Bush calls America's "ownership society." Through ownership, more Americans will accumulate wealth, become financially independent, and take a more active role in their futures, their children's futures, and the future of our country.

Homeownership is the most powerful ownership tool, and its effects are both measurable and impressive. When a family owns a home, its children score about 9% higher in math and 7% higher in reading. Children of homeowners are 25% more likely to graduate from high school, and more than twice as likely to graduate from college. Moreover, homeownership enables families to build significant equity.

Thanks in part to our efforts, a record number of American households--nearly 70%--now own their homes. Since June 2002, more than 2.2 million minority families have purchased homes, and minority homeownership is greater than 51% for the first time.

Yet the wealth-creating power of ownership is not limited to owning homes. An individual who owns his retirement security--a concept central to the president's plan for reforming Social Security--would enjoy many of the same benefits homeownership provides. And under the plan, even the lowest-income workers would have the opportunity to build equity.

Black Americans have the most to gain from the proposals.


One nice thing about the arguments over the ownership society is that they've made more explicit what has been implicit in the left/Right divide; the GOP supports ownership, at least in part, because it will make minorities wealthier and more conservative while Democrats prefer them poor and dependent on the State.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:25 PM

THERE'S A REASON THEY ALL WEAR RED:

New pope intervened against Kerry in US 2004 election campaign (AFP, 4/19/05)

German Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger, the Vatican theologian who was elected Pope Benedict XVI, intervened in the 2004 US election campaign ordering bishops to deny communion to abortion rights supporters including presidential candidate John Kerry.

In a June 2004 letter to US bishops enunciating principles of worthiness for communion recipients, Ratzinger specified that strong and open supporters of abortion should be denied the Catholic sacrament, for being guilty of a "grave sin."

He specifically mentioned "the case of a Catholic politician consistently campaigning and voting for permissive abortion and euthanasia laws," a reference widely understood to mean Democratic candidate Kerry, a Catholic who has defended abortion rights.

The letter said a priest confronted with such a person seeking communion "must refuse to distribute it."

A footnote to the letter also condemned any Catholic who votes specifically for a candidate because the candidate holds a pro-abortion position. Such a voter "would be guilty of formal cooperation in evil, and so unworthy to present himself for holy communion," the letter read.


The Other Catholic Issues (James K. Fitzpatrick, 09/22/04, Catholic Exchange)
A letter that Ratzinger wrote in June to the US Conference of Catholic Bishops has recently been made public. The letter makes clear the difference between the way a Catholic must respond to the pope’s pronouncements on abortion and the way we must respond to his positions on issues such as capital punishment and the war in Iraq. (The existence of this letter was reported by the Italian daily La Repubblica, and subsequently confirmed by informed sources at the Vatican.)

The central theme of Ratzinger’s letter was whether Communion should be withheld from pro-abortion politicians. But in the course of dealing with that issue, Ratzinger also explained why the Church’s teaching on abortion is different from its position on capital punishment and Iraq. Said Ratzinger,Not all moral issues have the same weight as abortion and euthanasia. For example, if a Catholic were to be at odds with the Holy Father on the application of capital punishment or on the decision to go to war, he would not for that reason be considered unworthy to present himself to receive Holy Communion. While the Church exhorts civil authorities to seek peace, not war, and to exercise discretion and mercy in imposing punishment on criminals, it may still be permissible to take up arms to repel an aggressor or to have recourse to capital punishment. There may be a legitimate diversity of opinion even among Catholics about waging war and applying the death penalty, but not however with regard to abortion and euthanasia.Ratzinger saw no need to go into detail about why it is not inherently immoral to “be at odds with the Holy Father” on capital punishment and the war in Iraq. He was speaking to bishops. One can assume that they understand why room must be left for the application of prudential judgment on these matters, but not on abortion. But, judging from the letters I receive, there is a need to say more on this topic for many ordinary Catholics who cannot see the difference.

Here is the key: On the question of abortion, there is no possible way for a Catholic politician to say that he is following the teachings of the Church, while at the same time defending legal abortion. If you admit that you are committed to keeping abortion legal, you are saying that you intend to do nothing to stop the killing of millions of unborn children.

In contrast, on the question of capital punishment, it is possible for a person to maintain that he accepts the pope’s teaching that capital punishment should be applied rarely and only when absolutely necessary to protect society — while at the same time calling for it in a certain case. In other words, a Catholic who sincerely ponders the pope’s guidelines on capital punishment, but nonetheless comes to the conclusion that the death penalty is appropriate for a particular crime and a particular criminal, is not ignoring the Church’s teachings. He is applying them. There is no reason to assume otherwise. Where does one draw the line on “rare” and “absolutely necessary”? It is a question that can be debated in good faith.

The same logic holds on the war in Iraq. Catholics are obliged to accept the just war theory: that war should be a last resort, waged with proportionate means, against an identifiable evil and with great care to protect the lives of non-combatants. That is a matter of faith and morals. It is not debatable for a Catholic. But we are free to use prudential judgment to conclude that the Bush administration is doing all those things, to conclude that the United States is proceeding within these guidelines in Iraq; i.e., to conclude that Saddam Hussein was a genuine threat to world peace, that we gave him more than enough time to comply with the United Nations’ mandate, and that American forces are going to the proper lengths to minimize civilian casualties.


Worthiness to Receive Holy Communion. General Principles (Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger, July 2004)
1. Presenting oneself to receive Holy Communion should be a conscious decision, based on a reasoned judgement regarding one’s worthiness to do so, according to the Church’s objective criteria, asking such questions as: "Am I in full communion with the Catholic Church? Am I guilty of grave sin? Have I incurred a penalty (e.g. excommunication, interdict) that forbids me to receive Holy Communion? Have I prepared myself by fasting for at least an hour?" The practice of indiscriminately presenting oneself to receive Holy Communion, merely as a consequence of being present at Mass, is an abuse that must be corrected (cf. Instruction "Redemptionis Sacramentum," nos. 81, 83).

2. The Church teaches that abortion or euthanasia is a grave sin. The Encyclical Letter Evangelium vitae, with reference to judicial decisions or civil laws that authorise or promote abortion or euthanasia, states that there is a "grave and clear obligation to oppose them by conscientious objection. [...] In the case of an intrinsically unjust law, such as a law permitting abortion or euthanasia, it is therefore never licit to obey it, or to ‘take part in a propoganda campaign in favour of such a law or vote for it’" (no. 73). Christians have a "grave obligation of conscience not to cooperate formally in practices which, even if permitted by civil legislation, are contrary to God’s law. Indeed, from the moral standpoint, it is never licit to cooperate formally in evil. [...] This cooperation can never be justified either by invoking respect for the freedom of others or by appealing to the fact that civil law permits it or requires it" (no. 74).

3. Not all moral issues have the same moral weight as abortion and euthanasia. For example, if a Catholic were to be at odds with the Holy Father on the application of capital punishment or on the decision to wage war, he would not for that reason be considered unworthy to present himself to receive Holy Communion. While the Church exhorts civil authorities to seek peace, not war, and to exercise discretion and mercy in imposing punishment on criminals, it may still be permissible to take up arms to repel an aggressor or to have recourse to capital punishment. There may be a legitimate diversity of opinion even among Catholics about waging war and applying the death penalty, but not however with regard to abortion and euthanasia.

4. Apart from an individuals’s judgement about his worthiness to present himself to receive the Holy Eucharist, the minister of Holy Communion may find himself in the situation where he must refuse to distribute Holy Communion to someone, such as in cases of a declared excommunication, a declared interdict, or an obstinate persistence in manifest grave sin (cf. can. 915).

5. Regarding the grave sin of abortion or euthanasia, when a person’s formal cooperation becomes manifest (understood, in the case of a Catholic politician, as his consistently campaigning and voting for permissive abortion and euthanasia laws), his Pastor should meet with him, instructing him about the Church’s teaching, informing him that he is not to present himself for Holy Communion until he brings to an end the objective situation of sin, and warning him that he will otherwise be denied the Eucharist.

6. When "these precautionary measures have not had their effect or in which they were not possible," and the person in question, with obstinate persistence, still presents himself to receive the Holy Eucharist, "the minister of Holy Communion must refuse to distribute it" (cf. Pontifical Council for Legislative Texts Declaration "Holy Communion and Divorced, Civilly Remarried Catholics" [2002], nos. 3-4). This decision, properly speaking, is not a sanction or a penalty. Nor is the minister of Holy Communion passing judgement on the person’s subjective guilt, but rather is reacting to the person’s public unworthiness to receive Holy Communion due to an objective situation of sin.

[N.B. A Catholic would be guilty of formal cooperation in evil, and so unworthy to present himself for Holy Communion, if he were to deliberately vote for a candidate precisely because of the candidate’s permissive stand on abortion and/or euthanasia. When a Catholic does not share a candidate’s stand in favour of abortion and/or euthanasia, but votes for that candidate for other reasons, it is considered remote material cooperation, which can be permitted in the presence of proportionate reasons.]


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:13 PM

JACK KEVORKIAN WASN'T IN IT FOR THE MONEY EITHER:

Fighting for a Principle, for Free (John Thor-Dahlburg, April 17, 2005, LA Times)

For the final two weeks of Terri Schiavo's life, Jon B. Eisenberg was part of her husband's legal team. But he knew he wouldn't walk away with a fee.

Instead, the California lawyer said, he spent $2,800 of his own money to travel to Washington when it looked as if the Supreme Court might agree to hear the case.

"Flight, hotels, food, cab, Alka-Seltzer, coffee — it all came from my pocket," said Eisenberg, an appellate attorney from Oakland. "As someone who believes in the Constitution, it was an obligation — it was an honor."


That must be a great comfort to her.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:59 PM

GOD IS A PARTISAN:

Losing our religion (Jonathan Zimmerman, 4/20/05, CS Monitor)

They still don't get it. If you want to see why Democrats keep losing national elections, look no further than the most recent controversy over President Bush's judicial nominations.

GOP majority leader Bill Frist will participate this Sunday in a conservative Christian telecast that denounces Democrats for threatening to filibuster the nominations. "The filibuster was once abused to protect racial bias," declared the Family Research Council, which is sponsoring the telecast, "and it is now being used against people of faith."

And the Democrats' response? "I cannot imagine that God ... is going to take the time to debate the filibuster in heaven," Sen. Richard Durbin (D) of Illinois said Friday, denouncing Senator Frist for lending his name to the campaign. "God does not take part in partisan politics," echoed Senate minority leader Harry Reid.

That's bad history, and even worse politics. Every great movement for social justice in America has been powered by religious sentiment.


...and the great injustices for the most part by science, secularism, and pragmatism.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:50 PM

FINALLY, SOMEONE WHO TAKES "NEVER AGAIN" SERIOUSLY (David Hill, The Bronx):

Rabbi, Olathe man cited in KCI dispute (MIKE RICE, JUDY THOMAS and HELEN GRAY, 4/19/05, The Kansas City Star)

A rabbi and a man wearing Nazi insignias were cited for disorderly conduct Sunday after an alleged fight at Kansas City International Airport.

Rabbi David S. Fine, 36, of Congregation Beth Israel Abraham & Voliner in Overland Park and Steven T. Boswell, 30, of Olathe were released at the airport on a personal recognizance bond. They are scheduled to appear June 22 in Kansas City Municipal Court.

In an interview Monday, Fine said he was arrested but was released in time to catch his flight to New York.

Boswell could not be reached for comment, but a spokesman for a neo-Nazi organization confirmed that the incident occurred as members of the group were leaving the Kansas City area after attending their national convention here. Boswell was at the airport to drop off one of the convention's speakers, the spokesman said.

The incident occurred about 5:40 p.m. in Terminal C when Fine encountered Boswell, who was wearing a red shirt with a swastika logo and a necklace with a swastika on it, according to airport police reports.

“I told him that he should be ashamed himself for wearing those symbols in public,” Fine said Monday from New York.

According to the police report, Boswell responded by calling Fine “unhuman.”

The report said Fine, who was wearing a black business suit and yarmulke, then threw a cup of coffee at Boswell and punched him in the face.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:55 PM

THE PROTESTANT POPE:

John Paul II: Assessing His Legacy (Stanley Hauerwas, Commonweal)

In the last chapter of my Gifford Lecturers (With the Grain of the Universe: The Church’s Witness and Natural Theology), I suggested that the great Mennonite theologian John Howard Yoder and John Paul II represent the theological politics necessary to sustain the work of theology in our time. I am sure many thought I was being disingenuous. Anabaptist and pope are surely strange bedfellows. But I had no devious intentions. I believe that John Paul II’s reassertion of the Christological center for Roman Catholic theology has ecclesiological implications that are not unlike those represented by Yoder.

In his first encyclical, Redemptor hominis, John Paul II made Christ the center of the church’s witness in a manner that shaped all his papacy. Those external to the Catholic world may think it odd to congratulate a pope for being “Christological.” But John Paul II, schooled on the resources needed to oppose totalitarians, called Catholic theology back to its animating center with a renewed sense that Jesus matters. I think, moreover, it is no accident that John Paul II later issued Fides et ratio, for he rightly understood that any recovery of right reason requires an uncompromising recognition that the God who can be known through reason is the God who has made himself known in Christ.


A Christological Catholic Church gets it much closer to its lost Protestant sheep.


MORE:
Conservative Evangelicals Say New Pope Speaks Their Moral Language (Adelle M. Banks, 04/20/2005, Religion News Service)

The day before Roman Catholic Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger became Pope Benedict XVI, he declared in a public Mass that a "dictatorship of relativism" threatens the absolute truth claims of the church.

That statement could easily have been made by conservative evangelical leaders in the United States. Despite theological differences, they're cheering the choice of a pontiff who seems to speak the same moral language they do.

"Relativism, pluralism and naturalism are the three main foes of evangelicalism today and they're the main foes of conservative Roman Catholics," said Norman Geisler, president of Southern Evangelical Seminary in Charlotte, N.C., and co-author of Roman Catholics and Evangelicals: Agreements and Differences.

"We rejoice in the choice because he's going to hold the line and he's not going to allow the liberal element in the Catholic Church to reverse any of those things."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:52 PM

WHY FLY?:

How long can the big airlines survive?: Competition from low-cost carriers and high oil prices threaten as summer travel nears (Alexandra Marks, 4/20/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

Air travel has been undergoing a steady metamorphosis since 9/11, with carriers shrinking legroom, pulling free meals, and even eliminating complimentary pillows. And thanks to high oil prices and intense competition from upstarts like Jet Blue and Southwest, the process is only accelerating.

That's put the so-called legacy carriers in a position that some analysts say just isn't sustainable. A few, like US Airways or United, may go under in the next few months. Others could suffer a slow, steady decline, while the most successful of the former giants in the sky may simply morph into bigger versions of their low-cost nemeses.

"It's good news for the airlines that they've been able to accomplish what they have in terms of cost-cutting," says Kevin Mitchell, president of the Business Travel Coalition, which represents corporate travel executives. "But the long-term trend is still declining yields, so it's not a pretty picture." [...]

JetBlue and Southwest fly primarily point to point, in other words, direct from one destination to another. As soon as their planes land, they clean them and fill them back up again. The legacy carriers operate in what's called the hub-and-spoke system. They bring in as many planes from different locations as possible into a central hub location and give them an hour or more to unload so people can make connections. That's good for the consumer who doesn't have to wait around too long to catch a connecting flight, and it gives the airlines a much bigger network and geographic reach. But the downside is that it's inefficient: The planes sit on the tarmac unused, and crews have longer waits between flights.

The legacy carriers premised their hub-and-spoke systems on the notion that business passengers would pay a premium for the convenience of more connecting flights. Some, like Delta, are now scheduling their flights to use their aircraft and personnel more efficiently.


Especially in the Communications Age, business travel makes no sense.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:20 PM

DESPERATE HOUSE DEMOCRATS:

Rove backs up DeLay, calls critics 'desperate' (Bill Sammon, 4/18/05, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

"They're just desperate," Mr. Rove said of Democrats on CNN. "They're not offering ideas in the debate, they're not being constructive, and so some of their members are taking potshots at Tom DeLay." [...]

Mr. Rove criticized Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean for saying recently that his party would exploit Mr. DeLay's support for Terri Schiavo, the brain-damaged Florida woman who died last month after her feeding tube was removed amid a bitter family dispute.

"This is going to be an issue in 2006, and it's going to be an issue in 2008, because we're going to have an ad, with a picture of Tom Delay, saying, 'Do you want this guy to decide whether you die or not?' "Mr. Dean said.

Yesterday, Mr. Rove returned fire.

"I'm sorry that the Democratic Party has been reduced to this kind of drivel," he said. "If you don't have ideas, if you're not articulating a vision for America, if you're doing nothing but obstructing as Dean and others in his party seem to be intent upon doing, I guess you're stuck doing this kind of thing."


it's pretty funny to hear Democrats say they'
re going to stage a comeback by imitating Newt Gingrich. They're so indide-the-Beltway they think the '94 revolution was a product of attacks on their leadership--who even after they'd been removed no one had ever heard of--when in fact it was a function of the Contract with America and revulsion at the first two years of Clintonism. Ideas won, not scandal. They have no ideas and a trumped up scandal.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:12 PM

ALL THE IDEOLOGY, BUT A BETTER ADMINISTRATOR? (via Timothy Goddard):

Outline of a Ratzinger papacy (John L. Allen, Jr., 4/16/05, National Catholic Reporter)

What would a Ratzinger papacy look like?

In the main, it would likely take shape along predictable lines. Ratzinger would mount a strenuous defense of Catholic identity, resisting enticements from secular culture to water down church teaching and practice; he would stress “Culture of Life” issues, doing battle against gay marriage, euthanasia and stem cell research; he would ensure that theological speculation is contained within narrow limits. He would likely travel less, and project a more ethereal style reminiscent of Pius XII. Ratzinger’s governing metaphor for the church of the future is the mustard seed – it may have to be smaller to be faithful, what he calls a “creative minority.” [...]

Under Ratzinger, the Vatican would be less likely to expend resources to preserve institutions it perceives as already lost to secularism. In his memoirs Milestones, Ratzinger reflected on the German church’s struggle to hold onto its schools under the Nazis. “It dawned on me that, with their insistence on preserving institutions, [the bishops] in part misread the reality. Merely to guarantee institutions is useless if there are no people to support those institutions from inner conviction.” [...]

Because Ratzinger is the prime theoretician of papal authority, it is often assumed that under him the Vatican would take on even more massive proportions. In fact, like most conservatives, Ratzinger feels an instinctive aversion to big government. He believes that bureaucracies become self-perpetuating and take on their own agendas, rarely reflecting the best interests of the people they are intended to serve.

“The power typical of political rule or technical management cannot be and must not be the style of the church’s power," Ratzinger wrote in 1988’s A New Song for the Lord. “In the past two decades an excessive amount of institutionalization has come about in the church, which is alarming. … Future reforms should therefore aim not at the creation of yet more institutions, but at their reduction.”

While Ratzinger would not hesitate to make decisions in Rome that others believe should be the province of the local church – revoking imprimaturs, replacing translations, dismissing theologians – he would not erect a large new Vatican apparatus for this purpose. Ratzinger would encourage bishops’ conferences and dioceses to shed layers of bureaucracy where possible. The overall thrust would be for smaller size, less paperwork, and more focus on core concerns.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:05 PM

SUBJECTIVE VS OBJECTIVE:

Culture in Crisis: Cardinal Ratzinger has diagnosed relativism’s evils, and offers an alternative. (Michael Novak, 4/19/05, National Review)

In today’s liberal democracies, Ratzinger has observed, the move to atheism is not, as it was in the 19th century, a move toward the objective world of the scientific rationalist. That was the “modern” way, and it is now being rejected, in favor of a new “post-modern” way. The new way is not toward objectivity, but toward subjectivism; not toward truth as its criterion, but toward power. This, Ratzinger fears, is a move back toward the justification of murder in the name of “tolerance” and subjective choice.

Along with that move, he has observed (haven’t we all?), comes a dictatorial impulse, to treat anyone who has a different view as “intolerant.” For instance, those (on the “religious right”) who hold that there are truths worth dying for, and objective goods to be pursued and objective evils to be avoided, are now held to be “intolerant” fundamentalists, guilty of “discrimination.”

In other words, the new dictatorial impulse declares that the only view permissible among reasonable people is the view that all subjective choices are equally valid. It declares, further, that anyone who claims that there are objective truths and objective goods and evils is “intolerant.” Such persons are to be expelled from the community, or at a minimum re-educated. That is to say, all Catholics and others like them must be converted to relativism or else sent into cultural re-training camps.

On the basis of relativism, however, no culture can long defend itself or justify its own values. If everything is relative, even tolerance is only a subjective choice, not an objective mandatory value. Ironically, though, what post-moderns call “tolerance” is actually radically intolerant of any view contrary to its own.

Most of the commentators, however, even those who support him, are misinterpreting Ratzinger’s point. They are getting him wrong.

What Ratzinger defends is not dogmatism against relativism. What he defends is not absolutism against relativism. These are false alternatives.

What Ratzinger attacks as relativism is the regulative principle that all thought is and must remain subjective. What he defends against such relativism is the contrary regulative principle, namely, that each human subject must continue to inquire incessantly, and to bow to the evidence of fact and reason.

The fact that we each see things differently does not imply that there is no truth. It implies, rather, that each of us may have a portion of the truth, and that in this or that matter some of us may hold more (or less) truth than others. Therefore, since each of us has only part of all the truth we seek, we must work hard together to discern in all things wherein lies the truth, and wherein the error.

Ratzinger wishes to defend the imperative of seeking the truth in all things, the imperative to follow the evidence.


This is where post-modernists fail to understand the critique they borrowed from pre-modernists: hat Reason can not yield truth doesn't mean there is none.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:44 PM

ONE CHURCH:

Inside the Vatican: The pope's chief doctrinal officer has always been in dialogue with the Reformation traditions. Now he reveals his vision for Christianity in the new millennium. A review of Salt of the Earth: The Church at the End of the Millenium, by Joseph Cardinal Ratzinger (Richard John Neuhaus, Christianity Today)

He is not above addressing the issues that preoccupy the popular press. He refers, for instance, to "the canon of criticism"—women's ordination, contraception, celibacy, and the remarriage of divorced persons. On these issues, liberal reformers insist, the Catholic church must change if it is to reach the people of our time effectively. Here the cardinal becomes the skeptic. He notes an obvious factor that is often overlooked: "On these points Protestantism has taken the other path, and it is quite plain that it hasn't thereby solved the problem of being a Christian in today's world and that the problem of Christianity, the effort of being a Christian, remains just as dramatic as before." He sympathetically cites another theologian, Johannes Metz, who says that it was actually a good thing the Protestant experiment was made. Ratzinger observes, "It shows that being a Christian today does not stand or fall on these questions."

In conversations with evangelical thinkers, I am impressed by how many have been influenced by Ratzinger's much earlier book, Introduction to Christianity, published in English in 1970. For some, that encounter was the first dawning of an awareness that Catholics and evangelicals can affirm core beliefs about "the gift of salvation," to employ the title of the recent statement issuing from the project of Evangelicals and Catholics Together. As off-putting as it is to Protestants, for many Catholic theologians the Reformation is not a formative event. In the worlds of Catholic faith and life, they believe, other things of equal or greater importance were happening in the sixteenth century. That is not the case with Cardinal Ratzinger. In part, no doubt, because he was born and reared in Germany, his theology has always been in intense conversation with the Reformation traditions.

He is not, of course, a "minimalist" theologian who is inclined to tailor Catholic teaching to fit Protestant tastes. But he has intimate understanding and appreciation of the religious and theological genius of figures such as Luther. He believes that what is true in the Protestant critique can and should be embraced by what he calls "the structure of faith." At the same time, he does not seem to expect too much in the healing of the breach between Rome and the Reformation. Speaking of the prospects for Christian unity, he says at one point that perhaps the most we should hope for is that there will be no new schisms. At another point, however, he speaks of Catholic "responsibility for the unity of the Church, her faith, and her morals," and he envisions the ways in which the exercise of the office of the papacy will change "when hitherto separated communities enter into unity with the Pope."

As might be expected, Salt of the Earth pays extensive attention to the office of the papacy. It is assumed that the New Testament intends a continuing "Petrine Ministry" in the church. The question is the relationship, if any, between that ministry and the ministry of the bishop of Rome, who, it is claimed, is the successor of Peter. Some Protestants, Ratzinger notes, "are ready to acknowledge providential guidance in tying the tradition of primacy to Rome, without wanting to refer the promise to Peter directly to the Pope." Many others, he says, recognize that Christianity ought to have a spokesman who can personally and authoritatively articulate the faith both to the world and to the Christian community.

In 1995, John Paul II issued the encyclical letter Ut Unum Sint (That They May Be One). In an unprecedented way that astonished many (including many Catholics), he invited non-Catholics to join in rethinking the exercise of the papal office so that it might become an instrument of, rather than an obstacle to, Christian unity. As Ratzinger notes, the invitation is addressed first of all to the Orthodox East, but it also has large ramifications for the separated communities of the West. It is a source of considerable disappointment in Rome, a disappointment reflected in this book, that other Christians have not taken up that invitation. But, as it is said, Rome thinks in terms of centuries—and, as is evident in this book, in terms of millennia.

When the cardinal turns his attention to the next millennium, now only months away, the tone is sober, even somber. He envisions a largely post-Christian world in which the church will be on the defensive, smaller in numbers, but, he hopes, more coherent and committed in its faith. This is in contrast with John Paul II's frequently expressed vision of the third millennium as a "springtime"—a springtime of world evangelization, a springtime of Christian unity, a springtime of the renewal of human dignity.

The difference in expectations is undoubtedly related in part to personal disposition and experience. Ratzinger's world is chiefly that of a dismally secularized Western Europe. The pope's experience is that of Central and Eastern Europe, where a vibrant, if often contentious, Christianity has risen from beneath the rubble of Nazism and communism's evil empire.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:37 PM

A WARTIME POPE:

Cardinal Ratzinger's Challenge (E. J. Dionne Jr., April 19, 2005, Washington Post)

The words broke like a thunderclap inside St. Peter's Basilica. Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger, addressing the world's cardinals just hours before they sequestered themselves Monday to choose the next leader of the world's 1 billion Catholics, decided to define this conclave.

"We are moving," he declared, toward "a dictatorship of relativism . . . that recognizes nothing definite and leaves only one's own ego and one's own desires as the final measure."

The modern world, Ratzinger insisted, has jumped "from one extreme to the other: from Marxism to liberalism, up to libertinism; from collectivism to radical individualism; from atheism to a vague religious mysticism; from agnosticism to syncretism and on and on."

Those are fighting words. They guaranteed that Ratzinger, who was Pope John Paul II's enforcer of orthodoxy, will either set the church's course -- or offer his fellow cardinals the ideas they choose to react against. Decades from now many conservative Catholics will see the war against the "dictatorship of relativism" as their central mission. It's not a line you forget.

What makes this papal election so unusual is not the normal disagreement over specific issues. The odd part is that the cardinals disagree fundamentally over what the election is really about because they differ in their judgments of what are the most important issues confronting the church.

Ratzinger, who is German, spoke for the conservative side of a culture-war argument that is of primary interest to Europe and North America. When Ratzinger said on Monday that "to have a clear faith according to the church's creed is today often labeled fundamentalism," his words were undoubtedly welcomed by religious conservatives far outside the ranks of the Catholic Church. One can also imagine that liberals of various stripes shuddered.


Lord, forgive us, but we do so love those shudders.


Posted by David Cohen at 7:18 PM

IT'S GOOD FOR THE JEWS

New pope hailed for strong Jewish ties (Ap and Herb Keinon, and Sam Ser, Jerusalem Post, 4/19/05)

"We are certain that he will continue on the path of reconciliation between Christians and Jews that John Paul II began," Paul Spiegel, head of Germany's main Jewish organization, told The Associated Press in a telephone interview.

Throughout his service in the church, Ratzinger has distinguished himself in the field of Jewish-Catholic relations. As prefect of the Doctrine of the Faith, Ratzinger played an instrumental role in the Vatican's revolutionary reconciliation with the Jews under John Paul II. He personally prepared Memory and Reconciliation, the 2000 document outlining the church's historical "errors" in its treatment of Jews.

Abraham H. Foxman, Anti-Defamation League National Director, said that having lived through World War II, Ratzinger has great sensitivity to Jewish history and the Holocaust.

"He has shown this sensitivity countless times, in meetings with Jewish leadership and in important statements condemning anti-Semitism and expressing profound sorrow for the Holocaust. We remember with great appreciation his Christmas reflections on December 29, 2000, when he memorably expressed remorse for the anti-Jewish attitudes that persisted through history, leading to 'deplorable acts of violence' and the Holocaust.

"Cardinal Ratzinger said: 'Even if the most recent, loathsome experience of the Shoah (Holocaust) was perpetrated in the name of an anti-Christian ideology, which tried to strike the Christian faith at its Abrahamic roots in the people of Israel, it cannot be denied that a certain insufficient resistance to this atrocity on the part of Christians can be explained by an inherited anti-Judaism present in the hearts of not a few Christians.'"

Ratzinger's grasp of Judaism is reflected by this passage from that document.

"I think we could say that two things are essential to Israel's faith. The first is the Torah, commitment to God's will, and thus the establishment of his dominion, his kingdom, in this world. The second is the prospect of hope, the expectation of the Messiah – the expectation, indeed the certainty, that God himself will enter into this history and create justice, which we can only approximate very imperfectly. The three dimensions of time are thus connected: obedience to God's will bears on an already spoken word that now exists in history and at each new moment has to be made present again in obedience. This obedience, which makes present a bit of God's justice in time, is oriented toward a future when God will gather up the fragments of time and usher them as a whole into his justice."

Congratulations to all of our friends who now have a new Apostle to help guide them. This is an inspired choice for all those who wish the Catholic Church well.

It is also appropriate here to praise John Paul the Great, who brought us to the point where the elevation of a new Bishop of Rome is a matter of friendly interest and spiritual moment for the entirety of a well-disposed world.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:41 PM

BAD HISTORY:

New pope a conservative who divided Germans: But Ratzinger a favorite son in Alpine hills of Bavaria (The Associated Press, April 19, 2005)

Actually, FDR, Churchill and Stalin divided Germany. Pope John Paul II reunited them.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:58 PM

NO TRIUMPHAL SPIRIT AMONG THE DEFEATED (via Robert Schwartz):

Left Behind: Daniel Bell and the Class of '68 (Paul Berman, April/May 2005, Book Forum)

On cultural matters, something in our cocky self-confidence turned out to be true and justified. And in this mood of anger and utopian expectation, we swelled with disdain for our critics and opponents—and above all for our professors, except for the very few who stood loyally on our side. We looked on the professors as either uncomprehending Mr. Joneses from a Dylan lyric or sinister enemies. We were indignant at the Olympians of Claremont Avenue—at Lionel Trilling (some of my friends drew up a "Wanted" poster of him and pasted it to the walls) and the champions of irony and sophistication, not to mention at Richard Hofstadter and his theories of status anxiety. But I think that the professor who aroused the sharpest indignation may have been Daniel Bell. This was because, in the circles of the Left in the late '60s, sociology was the king of academic disciplines, which had the unfortunate effect of focusing a lot of undiscriminating student wrath on the elders of the field. Then, too, in the '50s Bell had played a role in the American Committee for Cultural Freedom, an organization of anti-Communist intellectuals, and to quite a few SDSers this seemed like the epitome of evil. But Bell's gravest sin of all was to have written The End of Ideology: On the Exhaustion of Political Ideas in the Fifties. The very title suggested that Bell was trying to tamp down the possibility of a new surge in radical intellectual thought—of any new possibility of a systematic radical challenge to the dominant views of the moment.

Now all this was fairly idiotic. Nothing is more bovine than a student movement, with the uneducated leading the anti-educated and mooing all the way. I'm glad to recall, looking back at those times, that my own radical activities pretty much avoided the student custom of persecuting the professors. I was much too fascinated by them to want to rail against them, except now and then. Besides, the anti-intellectual atmosphere began to weigh a little heavy on the bookish students. Hofstadter, in his study of American anti-intellectualism, had already put his finger on these moods and fads, as if predicting the uprising at his own university. And so I can understand, in restrospect, why Bell chose to flee Morningside Heights. To be sure, though, the student uprisings spread to Cambridge, too. There was no escape. [...]

Marxian Socialism in the United States is a work of great psychological acuity. Martin Luther said of the church that it was "in the world, but not of it," and Bell quoted this remark to evoke a quality of unworldliness in the American Left. He meant that, over the decades, the socialist movement in America had never quite been able to accept the political world as it was, preferring instead to dwell apart, in a world of dreams and moral postures. Marxian Socialism in the United States has received, over the years, mountains of criticism for this one quotation from Luther. And yet something about that phrase has always been on the mark, as I think anyone can see, with a glance at Debs's four presidential campaigns at the start of the twentieth century, and at Ralph Nader's two campaigns at the start of the twenty-first.

The phrase "in the world, but not of it" strikes me as pretty astute on the topic of the New Left, too—the New Left that commanded the allegiance of several million Americans in the '60s and '70s but was never able to break into conventional political life, with a couple of exceptions. For the New Left too preferred to dwell apart, in its own world of dreams and moral postures. This habit did the movement no harm at all, by the way, in regard to cultural issues—which is why it succeeded in capturing whole neighborhoods in a number of cities, and used those neighborhoods to conduct experiments on cultural matters, and sent those experiments orbiting outward to the rest of American society. Nor did a few unworldly habits do the New Left any harm at the universities, once the graduate-student militants had succeeded in shoving aside the populist anti-intellectuals. But the kind of movement that was capable of capturing a student neighborhood or an English department was never going to capture a state assembly.

Bell's book made two additional observations that seem to me on the mark. He noted a strange and repeated tendency on the part of the American Left to lose the thread of continuity from one generation to the next, such that each new generation feels impelled to reinvent the entire political tradition. This was true of his own generation, the young radicals of the '30s, who brought to bear very little knowledge of what their own parents had done in the 1910s. The same observation applied in spades to the '60s and '70s—which is why so many young intellectuals of the New Left dismissed Marxian Socialism in the United States as merely a dusty relic of the discredited anti-Communist past. But I am struck still more powerfully by Bell's third observation.

"Among the radical, as among the religious minded," he wrote, "there are the once born and the twice born. The former is the enthusiast, the ‘sky-blue healthy-minded moralist' to whom sin and evil—the ‘soul's mumps and measles and whooping coughs,' in Emerson's phrase—are merely transient episodes to be glanced at and ignored in the cheerful saunter of life. To the twice born, the world is ‘a double-storied mystery' which shrouds the evil and renders false the good; and in order to find truth, one must lift the veil and look Medusa in the face." [...]

In modern America, an amazing number of people have thrown themselves into the work of researching and writing the history of the American Left—many more than are justified by the relative importance of the topic. These scholars have taken up the subject in order to understand something about their own lives—to explain how and why they came to feel so alienated from the mainstream of American politics, and what their alienation was like, and what uses might be drawn from their experiences. Books on these themes—on the history of the Communist Party USA, on the old Socialists, on the New Left, and so on—make up a main current of the modern historical literature. Yet none of these books has ever managed to eclipse Marxian Socialism in the United States—the classic of classics in this particular field. In any case, as I glance back at Bell's book today, I see in it one of the inspirations for my own adult life and work.

My transition from once-born to twice-born turned me into someone who was curious and eager to write about the history of the Left—sometimes in order to promote a political agenda, but mostly for another reason: I wanted to discover truths, if I possibly could—about America and other parts of the world; about political movements; about social theory; about human nature. This is a gloomier project than merely advancing a political agenda. Agendas tend to be hopeful; truths, not so hopeful. A triumphal spirit runs through a great deal of American history, but not through the particular subset of American history that contains the political Left.


Falling Into the Generation Gap (Scott McLemee, 3/24/05, Inside Higher Ed)
A few weeks ago, sitting over a cup of coffee, a writer in his twenties told me what it had been like to attend a fairly sedate university (I think he used the word “dull") that had a few old-time New Left activists on its faculty.
Intellectual Affairs

“If they thought you were interested in anything besides just your career,” he said, “if you cared about ideas or issues, they got really excited. They sort of jumped on you.”

Now, I expected this to be the prelude to a little tribute to his professors – how they had taken him seriously, opened his mind to an earlier generation’s experience, etc. But no.

“It was like they wanted to finish their youth through you, somehow,” he said. “They needed your energy. They needed you to admire them. They were hungry for it. It felt like I had wandered into a crypt full of vampires. After a while, I just wanted to flee.”

It was disconcerting to hear. My friend is not a conservative. And in any case, this was not the usual boilerplate about tenured radicals seeking to brainwash their students. [...]

[Daniel] Bell’s book The End of Ideology was the bete noir of young radicals. (It was the kind of book that made people so furious that they refused to read it – always the sign of the true-believer mentality in full effect.) But it was Bell’s writing on the history of the left in the United States that had the deepest effect on [Paul] Berman’s own thinking.

Bell noticed, as Berman puts it, “a strange and repeated tendency on the part of the American Left to lose the thread of continuity from one generation to the next, such that each new generation feels impelled to reinvent the entire political tradition.”

There is certainly something to this. It applies to Berman himself. After all, Terror and Liberalism is pretty much a jerry-rigged version of the Whig interpretation of history, updated for duty in the War on Terror. And the memoiristic passages in his Bookforum essay are, in part, a record of his own effort to find “the thread of continuity from one generation to the next.”

But something else may be implicit in Bell’s insight about the “strange and repeated tendency” to lose that thread. It is a puzzle for which I have no solution readily at hand. Namely: Why is this tendency limited to the left?

Why is it that young conservatives tend to know who Russell Kirk was, and what Hayek thought, and how Barry Goldwater’s defeat in 1964 prepared the way for Reagan’s victory in 1980? Karl Marx once wrote that “the tradition of all the dead generations weighs like a nightmare on the brain of the living.” So how come the conservatives are so well-rested and energetic, while the left has all the bad dreams?


The answer is so obvious the question seems like it must be rhetorical, but: the Right better knows history generally and its own specifically because history confirms rather than refutes its ideas. There is continuity on the Right because its ideas are universal, timeless, and true.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 1:54 PM

WE MEAN GREENLAND AND THAT OTHER ONE WHOSE NAME ESCAPES US

Ottawa Revamps Foreign Policy
(Terry Weber, Globe and Mail, April 19th, 2005)

Ottawa delivered a broad rethink of its foreign policy Tuesday, promising a beefed up military, "targeted and effective" aid to needy countries and stronger ties with its North American neighbours.

Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:35 PM

DO THEY MAKE THEM IN XXL?:


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:33 PM

A PEARL BEFORE SWINE:

Citizen and Scholar of the World: An Interview with Dr. Theodore Dalrymple (Bernard Chapin, April 9, 2005, Men's News Daily)

Dr. Theodore Dalrymple is one of the few writers who excels in practically every endeavor attempted and never descends into mediocrity, regardless of his subject matter. Along with being an established writer, he is also a psychiatrist. Currently, he is a Contributing Editor for City Journalwhere he generally writes a couple of essays per quarterly issue, one is entitled, “Oh, to be in England ”. Dr. Dalrymple is a frequent contributor to The New Criterion as well. He writes for a variety of publications including The Spectatorand the Daily Telegraph. Dr. Dalrymple has published numerous books such as Life at the Bottom: The Worldview That Makes the Underclass and Intelligent Person's Guide to Medicine. A new work, Our Culture, What's Left of It : The Mandarins and the Masses, is set to be released in May of 2005. [...]

BC: How difficult is it to be a conservative in England today? An entirely different set of beliefs are required than those in America. As a non-European, the extent with which the continent accepts socialism reliably baffles me.

TD: The main difficulty is in finding institutions worthy of preservation, or that have not been distorted out of all preservation. We do not have socialism, we have the corporate state, in which the distinction between the private and public is eroded. I think we are actually nearer to fascism than socialism. I could give quite a few examples.

BC: Yes, is it probable that the eventual outcome of the European Union be fascism? Is it not the greatest experience with bureaucracy ever attempted?

TD:I think the outcome could have resemblance to fascism, though it will be more touchy-feely than boot in the face. You will not be allowed to say certain things allegedly to spare other people's feelings, but in reality it will preserve the corporatist power structure intact. It will be more Kafka than Nineteen Eighty-Four. I also think that it all might end in civil war, though the political classes in each European country present it as the sovereign remedy to war. Ultimately, two things are driving the union: unfulfilled megalomania, and the personal greed of politicians, for whom it represents a giant pension fund.

BC: Your father was a Marxist. How did his political preferences affect you? Was your early exposure to communism a healthy inoculation against buying into the socialist idea?

TD: I think children often react against the ideas of their parents. Perhaps if I had children, which I don’t, they’d be Marxists. However, in my father’s case, I was aided by the clear disjunction between his protestations of concern for humanity as a whole, and his inability to treat anyone as an equal.

BC: Here’s a question everybody on this side of the pond would like to know, why are you choosing France for retirement exile? It certainly cannot be due to the tax rates.

TD: France is still in many ways a very pleasant country. Besides, my wife is French. France is twenty years behind Britain in social decomposition, and there is at least still a public commitment to intelligence and culture. The people are better mannered on the whole. The weather is better. I prefer Chirac to Blair: at least he knows he is an unprincipled unscrupulous ruthless villain, whereas Blair does not. I recognise that France is not paradise, but nowhere is. Finally, with regard to tax every Frenchman regards it as his patriotic duty to cheat the taxman. I will say no more.


France? They don't deserve him.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:02 PM

CARDINAL RATZINGER BECOMES POPE!:

Cardinal Ratzinger Chosen as New Pope: German Successor to John Paul II Will Be Called Benedict XVI (Daniel Williams and Alan Cooperman, April 19, 2005, Washington Post)

Cardinals of the Roman Catholic Church elected Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger of Germany Tuesday as the new pope to succeed John Paul II, reaching an early agreement on the second day of voting.

He took the name of Benedict XVI.

A cardinal from Chile, Jorge Medina Estevez, the Senior Cardinal Deacon, made the announcement before thousands of cheering spectators.

Earlier, white smoke from the Sistine Chapel's chimney and the pealing of bells signaled the election of the new pope in a secret conclave.

There was initial confusion because of a false alarm Monday after the first ballot, when the smoke initially appeared to be white but then became black, indicating that no new pope had been elected. Although the smoke was white as it began flowing from the chimney shortly before 6 p.m. local time (noon EDT), it took several more minutes for the church bells to begin tolling -- a second and newly instituted signal to confirm a conclusive vote.

As the white smoke rose, the assembled crowd in St. Peter's Square burst into cheers and applause.


As Spengler suggested yesterday, this may come to be seen as another case of a conservative winning election in the wake of 9-11.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:57 PM

OPPOSITION? IT WAS THE BEST THING THAT EVER HAPPENED TO THEM:

Americans expressed no opposition when conquered, Columbus reported (Carl Hartman, April 19, 2005, Associated Press)

When Christopher Columbus came home, he thanked King Ferdinand and Queen Isabella of Spain in a way that should have made them happy even though he didn't bring back the treasures of the Indies — just a few gold bracelets and a group of Arawak Indians.

One of the earliest printed copies of the letter that Columbus wrote goes on display Wednesday at the Library of Congress, appearing there with other sidelights on the history of the Americas that is not found in many school textbooks.

"There I found very many islands,'' Columbus wrote, describing the Bahamas and the Caribbean, "filled with innumerable people, and I have taken possession of them all for their Highnesses, done by proclamation and with the royal standard unfurled, and no opposition was offered to me.''


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:12 PM

RELIGIOUS ROUTINE:

Compassion Capital: Bush’s faith-based initiative is bigger than you think (Lew Daly, April/May 2005, Boston Review)

Quietly but steadily, the Bush administration is pursuing a seismic change in American politics and policy through its so-called faith-based initiative.

When it was announced early in Bush’s first term, the faith-based initiative met with broad controversy. Some critics—both secular and religious—raised concerns that such a program would violate the church–state divide, while others suggested that it would amount to vote-buying among poor constituencies. The Reverend Herbert Lusk of North Philadelphia’s Greater Exodus Baptist Church, for example, endorsed Bush during the Republican National Convention of 2000; in 2002 the social-service arm of his church received a $1 million grant from the U.S. Administration for Children and Families.

Today this attention has largely subsided, and the initiative is moving forward, principally through administrative fiat. Its ultimate goal, President Bush announced in a 2001 speech at the University of Notre Dame, is to make “a determined assault on poverty”: to bring the war on poverty into a third phase, beyond the Great Society and Clinton-era welfare reform. The central idea is not to spend more or less, but to spend differently, with the government providing the resources and private agencies delivering the services. More particularly, the Bush administration proposes to “level the playing field” for religious institutions in the government’s procurement of social services. It officially asks for government “neutrality” toward churches, to “bring the days of discrimination against religious groups” to an end, as President Bush put it in 2002.

President Bush wants to “enlist, equip, enable, empower, and expand” the participation of religious organizations wherever their approaches are deemed relevant to the ends of government. Building on what the president has described as the “long tradition of accommodating and encouraging religious institutions when they pursue public goals,” the faith-based initiative is guided by a theory of the limited state that was evident in the work of Bush’s religious advisers long before 2001. A product of serious thinkers with precise theological convictions, the initiative draws on doctrines that first emerged in European Christianity’s conflict with liberalism and socialism in the late 19th century. Rooted in Calvinism and Catholicism, these doctrines assign a public purpose to religious organizations and ordain government to help those organizations fulfill their public purpose without interference. If implemented in the United States, a sustained program animated by these doctrines could mean a truly radical change in governance. [...]

If we recognize the present-day efforts to bring religious groups and government together as an outgrowth of Christian-democratic principles, we then see that the Bush administration’s “faith-based initiative” is a serious theological effort. In theory at least, this is not simply a bid to replace public welfare with religious charity, or to leave individuals alone, atomized, stranded in the market, as Barbara Ehrenreich and others have argued. Rather, it is an effort to hollow out the welfare state by relinquishing its public authority to religious groups. As Coats put it at a 1996 Heritage Foundation symposium, there is a need to “creatively surrender federal authority to civil society” and encourage a “transfer of resources and authority . . . to those private and religious institutions that shape, direct, and reclaim individual lives.” The result could be well financed or poorly financed; in either case, control over the provision of services will be transferred to religious groups.

These groups, ordained by God to foster a well-balanced social order, are self-governing entities, operating through public power but not under it, with an independent life and a social purpose essential to their mission. By transferring resources to religious groups while relinquishing powers of governance over them, the state fulfills what some religious thinkers see as its ordained role as a support system for religion—a “subsidium,” in the Catholic view, to help religion do its work.

In its emphasis on the organization of public authority in the social realm, the faith-based initiative is different from anything the religious right has previously promoted, and unlike any program an American president has ever enacted from within the executive branch. It also reflects a substantial expansion and refinement of conservative religious influence, running counter to declining grass-roots numbers on the issues (by some measures) and the obvious decline (by any measure) of the major groups that made the religious right a household name in the 1980s. The elite restructuring of conservative religious influence in the United States, including the faith-based initiative, the intelligent-design movement, the revival of natural-law theory, and the growing influence of religious associations within medicine and many other professions—these are subjects for a much broader analysis that cannot be undertaken here. But if the proliferation of the faith-based initiative across virtually all the major executive-branch agencies in the last four years tells us anything, it is that the political influence of conservative religion is not simply growing, but becoming part of the public routine.


Here too Mr. Bush can be said to be a Tocquevillian.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:58 AM

IT CAN'T BE VIOLENT ENOUGH:

Chirac Cabinet tears itself apart over EU constitution (Charles Bremner, 4/19/05, Times of London)

THE prospect of France rejecting the European constitution ignited a blazing Cabinet row yesterday after President Chirac signalled that he aims to sack Jean-Pierre Raffarin, the Prime Minister, whether the country votes “yes” or “no”.

M Raffarin, whose unpopularity is deemed to be a big factor in the troubles of the “yes” campaign for the May 29 referendum, rounded on Dominique de Villepin, the Interior Minister and close ally of the President, over damning remarks that he made against his own Government.

After a meeting with M Chirac, M de Villepin said that whatever the result in the referendum, “we will need policies that are much more determined, bolder and more socially conscious . . . in order to take into account the feelings, aspirations and frustrations which are being expressed”.

His words, on national radio, were interpreted as a message to voters from M Chirac that he had understood their grievances against his Government and would sacrifice M Raffarin after the referendum.

At a breakfast Cabinet meeting yesterday, M Raffarin tore into M de Villepin and the two had what officials called “a very violent dispute”.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:33 AM

IF ONLY THE DEMOCRATS HAD A BLAIR:

Blair refuses to rule out means testing of pensions (George Jones, 19/04/2005, Daily Telegraph)

The future of the state retirement pension was thrust to the centre of the election campaign last night, as Tony Blair refused to rule out means testing for the better off. [...]

The Conservatives, who have announced a £1.7 billion tax rebate to tackle the pensions crisis, claimed Labour was considering means testing pensions and was split over the idea of forcing people to save for a pension.

Labour's manifesto, published last week, set out broad aims for a reformed pension system, but said the key decisions would not be taken until the autumn when the Government receives the report of a pensions commission.

David Willetts, the Tory pensions spokesman, said ministers had expressed support for switching from a state pension based on NI contributions to a "citizen's pension", paid to everyone who had lived in this country. It would cost billions of pounds extra, and taxes would have to rise unless it was means-tested.

Mr Willetts said that a citizen's pension would be just another benefit, not something people had earned by their contributions. "Once the link with contributions has gone, no one will have a pension as of right."

The Tories challenged Mr Blair to rule out means testing, but he refused to do so when questioned at Labour's daily press conference.


We've already let too many countries get to our Right on economics--it'd be really embarrassing if Labour reformed pensions before we reformed SS.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:20 AM

LET TANCREDO THINK HE'S WON:

Illegal Immigration Policy Is at Crossroads in Senate: One plan could legalize half a million workers, another would tighten border controls. (Mary Curtius, April 19, 2005, LA Times)

The Senate is set to vote today on measures that could open the door to legalizing an estimated 500,000 immigrant farmworkers and their families.

It will be the first test of strength in years between senators who support legalized status for at least some of the estimated 10 million illegal immigrants in this country and senators who advocate reducing illegal immigration by tightening enforcement and border controls.

Each side said today's votes also could signal how much support there was in the Senate for the sort of comprehensive immigration reform President Bush had said he wanted Congress to enact this session.

Bush's proposals have met stiff opposition from some Republicans, particularly in the House, who say the measures would amount to amnesty for the majority of the nation's illegal workforce.

At the core of the Senate debate, which opened Monday, is a provision sponsored by Sen. Larry E. Craig (R-Idaho) dubbed AgJobs. It would provide a two-step process for illegal farmworkers to achieve permanent residency. Any permanent resident then could apply for citizenship.

Under AgJobs, those who did at least 100 hours of agricultural work in the 18 months before the legislation became law could apply for temporary residency. If that status is granted, workers who then put in 360 days in agriculture over the next three to six years could gain permanent residency. Their spouses and children also could apply for permanent residency.


Just do both; that's how Reagan got an immigration reform bill. That way you legalize the ones who are here and the enforcement provisions fall through the cracks later. No one's willing to pay for real enforcement for one thing.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:00 AM

UNILATERALISM WORKS:

Israel, on Its Own, Is Shaping the Borders of the West Bank (STEVEN ERLANGER, 4/19/05, NY Times)

They're building away here in Israel's largest settlement, with Palestinian workers laboring on new apartment houses overlooking the red-brown hills of the West Bank.

Israel's intentions to keep building next to this suburb about three miles from Jerusalem have set off a small furor with the Bush administration, which is putting pressure on Israel to keep a commitment to freeze settlement growth.

But the construction and planning at Maale Adumim and Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's plan to pull 9,000 Israeli settlers out of the Gaza Strip this summer are only parts of a far larger and more complex transformation of the Israeli-Palestinian landscape, and of Mr. Sharon's policies themselves.

In effect, Israel under Mr. Sharon is unilaterally moving to define its future borders with a Palestinian state - with the scheduled withdrawal from Gaza and from four small settlements in the northern West Bank, with the "thickening" of settlements near Jerusalem and the Israeli border, and with a new route for the Israeli separation barrier approved by the cabinet on Feb. 20.

Palestinians are furious that Israel is moving without waiting for negotiations. But the likely impact of the provisional new border on Palestinian life is, perhaps surprisingly, smaller than generally assumed, and it would leave about a quarter of Israeli settlers on the Palestinian side.


Amazing that folks still can't grasp that all the progress in the Middle East has been a function of Israel and the U.S. not negotiating anymore and imposing a settlement on a state of Palestine.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:57 AM

PRETTY SAD WHEN AL-JAZEERA GETS YOU CLOSER TO THE TRUTH:

Iran closes al-Jazeera offices (Stephen Brook, April 19, 2005, MediaGuardian.co.uk)

The Iranian authorities have shut down the Tehran offices of al-Jazeera, accusing the broadcaster of inflaming ethnic riots in the south of the country.

Al-Jazeera said today it had been told to stop broadcasting in Iran and had appealed to the government to reverse its decision.

"Al-Jazeera assures its audience that it will continue to cover Iranian affairs objectively, comprehensively and in a balanced way, and calls on the relevant Iranian authorities to reconsider the decision to suspend its bureau's activities," the broadcaster said.

The Arabic news network was first to report the unrest in Iran's south-west Khuzestan province near the Iraq border, which has led to 200 arrests over the past few days.


Not reporting unrest won't get rid of the unrest.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:51 AM

DEMOCRATIZATION DOESN'T MEAN DEMOCRACY:

If democracy worked, there'd be no king (Toni Momiroski, 4/20/05, Asia Times)

Speaking at the White House Rose Garden after the new Iraqi parliament's second session ended in chaos, US President George W Bush spoke about democracy at length. He argued that he and the United States were "confident that this new government will be inclusive, will respect human rights and will uphold fundamental freedoms for all Iraqis". He seemed to hope that in "a democratic Iraq, these differences will be resolved through debate and persuasion instead of force and intimidation". And he lectured on democratic ideals with these words: "In a democracy, the government must uphold the will of the majority while respecting the rights of minorities."

But a note of caution is prescribed for Bush and his speechwriters and all those who would put forward democracy as the ideal mode of conduct for society without reservation. The following questions stand out for attention: If democracy pure and simple works, why does it not feature in the most important and key institutions in society? Why is there no democracy in the armed services. There is no democracy in the president's office. There is no democracy in business. There is no democracy at the United Nations. There is not even democracy in elections. In each of the above, corporate and institutional Darwinism is rampant and the "cult of leadership" reigns supreme. We don't follow democracy per se in the West, yet we continue to force it on others without question, as though the rules themselves, whatever they might be, are sacred and were dictated by God himself.


Where? It's certainly the case that they, and we for that matter, would be better off with monarchical constitutional republics--we've known that since Aristotle's time--but upon whom have we forced pure democracy?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:45 AM

CRESCENDO:

The waxing of the Shi'ite crescent: The idea of a "fertile crescent" uniting Shi'ites across the Middle East dates back many decades. With the Shi'ites emerging as the power center in Iraq, the notion has gained new impetus, with notable support in Iran, Lebanon and Syria, and of course Iraq. (Sami Moubayed, 4/20/05, Asia Times)

Since the Islamic revolution took place in Iran in 1979, one of its prime objectives was to strengthen Shi'ites all over the Muslim world. Before that revolution, they were a disinherited, underprivileged and neglected community in Lebanon and Iraq.

This "Shi'ite emancipation" was first done in Lebanon, through the charismatic cleric Musa al-Sadr, who was funded and supported by the mullahs of Tehran in his "Movement of the Dispossessed" and its military branch, Amal, created in 1974 and 1975, respectively.

They later supported Hezbollah, a pure Iranian creation, that strove at first to establish a theocracy in Lebanon, similar to the one in Iran. In time, the role of Hezbollah became to defend the Shi'ite community in Lebanon, rather than bring them to power in Beirut, and safeguard their political rights in the complex confessional system of Lebanon.

In Iraq, the mullahs began to fund, train, protect and harbor Shi'ite dissidents opposed to the regime of Saddam Hussein, where they were oppressed by the Sunni minority. Ibrahim Jaafari, the new prime minister, who is the de facto ruler of the new Iraq, spent the years 1980-89 as a fugitive in Iran.

After 25 years of underground struggle, this community succeeded in toppling Saddam, ironically, with the help of the US. [...]

Two years after the fall of Saddam's regime in Iraq, it is safe to ask: Who were the real victors in this bloody war of the Middle East in 2003? At first glance, the only victors were George W Bush and the neo-conservatives at the White House. A closer look would show, however, that Iran as well, ironically, has a lot to gain from the new Middle East.

Or more specifically, the real victors are the Shi'ites of Iran and the Muslim world. They will enjoy the fruits of the post-Saddam order long after Bush's army leaves Iraq. This region, many fear, is now dominated by a "Shi'ite crescent" uniting the Shi'ites of Iran, Lebanon, Iraq and the Arab Gulf region.


There's nothing ironic about it.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:40 AM

LET HOGS FEED ON THE CORPSE:

Moussaoui Planning To Admit 9/11 Role (Jerry Markon, April 19, 2005, Washington Post)

Zacarias Moussaoui has notified the government that he intends to plead guilty to his alleged role in the Sept. 11, 2001, terror attacks and could enter the plea as early as this week if a judge finds him mentally competent, sources familiar with the case said yesterday.

Moussaoui's plan to plead guilty comes over his attorneys' objections and still has several obstacles -- including Moussaoui's own whim. The French citizen, the only person charged in the United States in the attacks on the World Trade Center and Pentagon, tried to plead guilty in 2002, claiming an intimate knowledge of the plane hijackings. But he rescinded his plea a week later. His mental state has been an issue in the case ever since, and U.S. District Judge Leonie M. Brinkema in Alexandria is scheduled to meet with Moussaoui this week to determine if he has the mental capacity to enter a plea now, the sources said.

In recent letters to the government and to Brinkema, Moussaoui said he is willing to accept the possibility of a death sentence, which sources said could resolve a key point of contention: Prosecutors are unlikely to drop their insistence on capital punishment. If Brinkema accepts a plea, she would then probably set a death penalty trial, at which jurors would decide if Moussaoui should be executed.


One of the things that seems to have confused folks is that there were several 20th hijackers, because they kept getting caught for one thing or another, but there was never any serious doubt that Moussaoui was part of the conspiracy.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:32 AM

AVON BARKSDALE WOULD KNOW WHAT TO DO:

Saddam must die, president of Iraq told (JAMIE TARABAY, April 19, 2005, Chicago Sun-Times)

The largest political bloc in Iraq's new government demanded the execution of Saddam Hussein if the ousted leader is convicted of war crimes, and said Monday that President Jalal Talabani should step down if he is not prepared to sign the death warrant.

''This is something that cannot be discussed at all,'' said Ali al-Dabagh, a spokesman for the clergy-led United Iraqi Alliance, which holds 140 seats in Iraq's 275-member National Assembly. ''We feel he is a criminal. He is the No. 1 criminal in the world. He is a murderer.''


Where's Herbert Lee Stivers when you need him?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:25 AM

FRIENDS TOO:

Rice to push democracy in Russia (BBC, 4/19/05)

US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice has arrived in Moscow for her first visit to Russia as the top US diplomat.

Ms Rice is expected to express concern about the Kremlin's consolidation of power and constraints on the media.


Remember after the Inauguration and State of the Union how the Realists and Isolationists assured us all that the President would never pressure allies, like the Sa'uds, Egypt, Russia, etc.?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:15 AM

EVEN THEIR GOOD NEWS IS BAD:

Euro zone's pick-up looks like just a blip (Paul Meller, April 19, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

Surprisingly upbeat assessments of the euro-zone economy's first-quarter performance were discounted on Monday even by those issuing them, with some of the largest countries teetering on the edge of recession and warnings that a renewed climb in oil prices and the strong euro would drag on growth again.

Both the European Commission and the central bank in Germany - Europe's largest economy - reported a spurt in first-quarter growth after the sharp slowdown at the end of 2004.

The Bundesbank said on Monday that the German economy "probably grew markedly in the first quarter." Its president, Axel Weber, told reporters in Washington on Sunday that the rate was estimated at 0.5 percent.


Half a percent is markedly and overstated?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:10 AM

MERE VIVENDI ISN'T ENOUGH:

Taking Faith Seriously: Contempt for religion costs Democrats more than votes (Mike Gecan, April/May 2005, Boston Review)

What I experienced at Yale—and never forgot—was not just the haughtiness of the rich on the right (which I expected), but the contempt and superiority of the newly emerging elite on the left. Both groups tended to treat cafeteria workers like me, the Puerto Ricans who bused trays and washed dishes in the dining halls, and the blacks who cleaned the rooms and hallways as servants or worse. I expected the wealthy to act this way. I was surprised to hear many on the left, antiwar to the bone, talk about those who went to Vietnam, particularly the white working class, with utter disdain.

On the most basic level, the contempt of the progressive elite for ordinary people—for their faiths, their speech patterns, their clothes, their hobbies, their hopes, and their aspirations—has driven scores of millions of Americans out of the Democratic Party and into either the Republican Party or a no man’s land between the two. The willingness of many Republicans to simply show respect for the habits and interests of these mixed and moderate Americans has paid growing political dividends. The Republicans have understood that communicating respect is more important than offering programs or incentives. The Democrats have failed to realize that multiplying programs or policies designed to meet people’s needs is doomed to fail unless and until those people sense a fundamental level of recognition of who they are, not just what they need. The medium may not be the message. But a medium of respect and recognition is what makes the reception of the message possible.


The question, of course, is whether it's possible for the demoralized Left to be respectful to the moralist majority. The Right, after all, pays almost no price for its contempt of secularism and moral relativism. But the Left, which has made a fetish out of "toleration," is threatened to its core by the universalism of Judeo-Christianity.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:04 AM

LONG HOT SUMMER:

Howard sparks TV storm with 'fears of new race riots' (FRASER NELSON, 4/19/05, The Scotsman)

BRITAIN faces a fresh wave of race riots unless immigration is brought under control, Michael Howard warned last night, in a dramatic escalation of the stakes in the general election.

The disturbances seen in Burnley and Bradford four years ago could set a template for what is to come, warned the Conservative leader, if immigration continues to be "out of control".

But Mr Howard was savaged on television last night by an audience which accused him of stirring up racial tensions before the general election - and seeking to scare voters into believing asylum is out of control.


Is that really a moreeffective line than coming out against the EU?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:57 AM

FARCOCRACY:

On brink, Berlusconi hangs on (Elisabetta Povoledo, April 19, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, who was believed ready to resign and present a reshuffled cabinet, said after meeting Italy's president Monday night that he had not quit.

Asked if he had handed in his resignation during the talks, Berlusconi responded "no," the ANSA news agency reported.

Berlusconi said a cabinet reshuffle or a trip to the polls would depend "on the reaction of Parliament," ANSA reported. The discussion in the Senate will be put on the agenda this week.

"The crisis is turning into an indecent farce," said Piero Fassino, leader of the Democratic Left, the largest opposition party.


Isn't that the technical name for their form of government?


Posted by Peter Burnet at 7:14 AM

SELF-INFLICTED SLAVERY

Holding on to all that humanity can mean (Thomas Hopko, International Herald Tribune, April 18th, 2005)

As the cardinals of the Roman Catholic Church cloister themselves to choose a successor to John Paul II, we may ask one more time what it was about the late pope that elicited the love and respect of millions of people, including many not sharing his convictions. And what it was about him that also produced the confusion, as well as the contempt, of many, including some identifying themselves as Christians, and Catholics.

I'm convinced that the answer to this question is found in a little book by C.S. Lewis, published in 1944, "The Abolition of Man." It is also found in Karl Stern's spiritual autobiography "The Pillar of Fire," first printed in 1951, especially in the addendum called a "Letter To My Brother." And it is found in the early writings of Alexander Solzhenitsyn.

Lewis, Stern and Solzhenitsyn were all committed Christians. But these writings are not about Christianity as such. They are about a vision and experience of human life in our modern, and now postmodern, European and North American worlds that are being enforced, and emulated, all over the earth.

The conclusions of Lewis's "reflections on education" may be clearly stated. If students absorb, however unconsciously, what they are taught in modern schools, the result will be a world of "men without chests." People will no longer be human in the traditional sense, he said. They will be deprived of the uniquely human intuitions of goodness, truth and beauty that their humanity obliges them to acknowledge, honor and serve. They will be nothing but brains and bodies, computers and consumers, calculators and copulators. They will be conquered by the very nature they strive to conquer in the name of freedom and autonomy, as they constantly reinvent humanity under the enslaving control of their elite conditioners.

Karl Stern put it a bit differently. In 1951, before the self-destruction of Communism, the mass production of computers, the construction of the Internet and the proliferation of genetic projects, Stern claimed that Western societies, and the societies that they would inevitably come to influence and control, held out only four possibilities for human beings. One is despair, moral nihilism and suicide. Another is nationalist ideology and sentiment that would bring nothing but suffering, destruction and death. Another is the Marxist materialism that would attract myriads of good-willed idealists but would prove itself corrupt to the core. The fourth possibility was what Stern called "rationalist pragmatism" and "scientism," which he predicted would be actualized in a "global experiment" that would produce a "form of nihilism unequaled in history." "Compared with it," he wrote, Nazi Germany and Communist Russia, "would look like children's playgrounds. Man's life on this earth would come about as close to the idea of hell as anything on earth may."

Solzhenitsyn described the same thing artistically. His world was not only Communist Russia; it was humanity as such. His heroes are human beings who in Lewis's terms still have "chests." His villains are ideologues, hypocrites and liars, whom he characterizes as wholly "without an upper story." He said that the Russian "Baba" identified the cause of the world's problems when, seeing evil in the village, she would shake her head and solemnly declare that we "have lost the likeness."

Whatever, Dude.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:12 AM

REFORMATION FROM WITHIN:

Controversial Opus Dei Has Stake in Papal Vote (Larry B. Stammer and Tracy Wilkinson, April 19, 2005, LA Times)

When Pope John Paul II arrived at Opus Dei headquarters one March day 11 years ago, even members of the ultraconservative lay religious movement long accustomed to Vatican favor saw the visit as a singular moment in the group's ascendancy within the Roman Catholic Church.

The pope had come to pay his respects to Bishop Alvaro del Portillo, the prelate of Opus Dei, who had died that day.

"He came over to pray before the body of Don Alvaro, which is a very unusual thing, to have a pope come over to your house to pray," said Father John Wauck, a professor at the Pontifical University of the Holy Cross, an Opus Dei institution in Rome. [...]

Others note that for the first time, two of the 115 voting cardinals — Julian Herranz of Spain and Juan Luis Cipriani Thorne of Peru — are members of Opus Dei, giving the group the ability to work inside the conclave.

"They have a chance to lobby the other cardinals from an inside position," said an official with a lay organization that has close ties to the Vatican. "Opus Dei has international connections, they know many cardinals, are appreciated by some. They are entitled to talk to cardinals, to invite them to dinner, all with authority."

Several European cardinals are sympathetic to Opus Dei, among them Cardinal Camillo Ruini, the Italian prelate who runs the Diocese of Rome on behalf of the pope, and a contender to succeed John Paul. Ruini last year opened proceedings to declare Opus Dei's Del Portillo a saint.

But recently, several Italian newspapers breathlessly reported that the two Opus Dei cardinals were throwing their support behind the candidacy of Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger, a German-born traditionalist who has served as chief enforcer of church doctrine for two decades.


Pope John Paul II understood the value of keeping the Puritans inside the Church.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:08 AM

DEMOCRAT DREAMS:

Woe Canada (DAVID FRUM, 4/19/05, NY Times)

Over the past few weeks, a judicial inquiry in Montreal has heard charges that Canada's governing Liberal Party was running a system of extortion, embezzlement, kickbacks and graft as dirty as anything Americans might expect to find in your run-of-the-mill banana republic.

Just last week, for example, Canadians learned that one of the closest friends of former Prime Minister Jean Chrétien was paid more than $5 million for work that was never done and on the authority of invoices that were forged or faked. It is charged that this same friend then arranged for up to $1 million to be kicked back in campaign contributions to Mr. Chrétien's Liberal party.

Corruption charges have dogged the Chrétien Liberals for years. Mr. Chrétien left office in 2003 under suspicion that he had pressured a government-owned bank to lend money to businesses in which he held an interest. But until recently, nobody was able to prove anything worse than carelessness and waste. Now, though, the improper flood of money from the public treasury is being connected to a reciprocal flow of money to the Liberal Party and favored insiders, including Mr. Chrétien's brother.

And because Mr. Chrétien's successor, Paul Martin, failed to win a parliamentary majority in last year's federal election, Mr. Chrétien's old survival strategy of denial and delay no longer works. Together, the opposition Conservative and Bloc Québécois parties could force an election call at any time. Opinion polls suggest that if an election were held now, the Liberals would lose decisively.

The discrediting and defeat of Canada's Liberal government would constitute a grand event in Canadian history: after all, the Liberals have ruled Canada almost without challenge for the past 12 years and for almost 80 of the past 109 years. But the kickback scandal could reverberate outside Canada's borders too.

Many Americans see Canada as a kind of utopian alternative to the United States: a North American democracy with socialized medicine, same-sex marriage, empty prisons, strict gun laws and no troops in Iraq.


Isn't that dystopian?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:03 AM

CARE ENOUGH TO PRIVATIZE:

The Railroad to Nowhere (JOHN TIERNEY, 4/19/05, NY Times)

Nearly five years ago, as Amtrak officials were hailing their new Acela train as "a giant step forward" for America and "the kind of rail system we've all been dreaming about for decades," a former Amtrak official named Joseph Vranich offered another perspective.

"I say without equivocation," he told The Hartford Courant, "that the Acela program is turning into the world's worst high-speed program."

I quote him now not merely because he was right, but because he offers a useful model for coping with the latest Acela fiasco, the shutdown of service because of faulty brakes. The passengers left stranded are still stuck in stages of anger and depression; the politicians vowing to fix the Acela are still working through the stages of denial and bargaining.

Mr. Vranich has moved beyond all that and reached acceptance. He now sees that the dream of decent Amtrak service is dead. [...]

But in the 1990's, after writing a book on foreign trains, he finally gave up hope. Japan and other countries were setting rail speed records and reviving their rail systems by turning them over to private companies, but Amtrak was still going nowhere. Mr. Vranich made the conversion from spokesman to scourge, arguing in books titled "Derailed" and "End of the Line" that train service would never improve as long as Amtrak had a monopoly on it.


Socialism doesn't work? Stop the presses!


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THAT RAREST OF ALL FRENCHMEN, A WORTHWHILE ONE:

Bush Finds Affirmation in a Frenchman's Words (ELISABETH BUMILLER, 3/14/05, NY Times)

The story begins on March 1, when a president who prides himself on his unpretentious Texas style mentioned Tocqueville in a speech to 300 leaders of charitable religious organizations at the Omni Shoreham Hotel in Washington. In off-the-cuff and slightly confusing remarks, Mr. Bush said that "de Tocqueville, the Frenchman who came to America in the early 1800's, really figured out America in a unique way" because he saw that "Americans form association in order to channel the individualistic inputs of our society to enable people to serve a cause greater than themselves."

On March 7, in unprepared remarks introducing his wife at an event to help troubled children in Pittsburgh, Mr. Bush again mentioned Tocqueville, this time saying that the Frenchman had written about Americans who were able "to associate in a voluntary way to kind of transcend individualism."

Before going further, it must be said that Mr. Bush's comments may have been rare for him, but not for the collective occupants of his office. Modern American presidents of both parties have always quoted Tocqueville, the French aristocrat who landed on these shores in 1831 at the age of 25, spent nine months traveling from New York to the Great Lakes to New Orleans and back, then produced the classic "Democracy in America." The work is still lauded, in the most recent English translation by Harvey C. Mansfield and Delba Winthrop, as "the best book ever written on democracy and the best book ever written on America."

Mr. Mansfield and Ms. Winthrop point out in their introduction that politicians of the left and of the right have long looked to Tocqueville for affirmation of contrary policies. Liberals like his warnings about the dangers of industrial aristocracy and American materialism; conservatives like his concerns about big government and, these days, his admiration for the ability of Americans to unite in what Tocqueville called "associations," which in the early 19th century meant all manner of temperance clubs, religious organizations and community groups.

It should also be noted that Mr. Mansfield - a professor of government at Harvard and a translator of Machiavelli - is a well-known conservative who has shaped the thinking of a conservative generation, including William Kristol, the editor of The Weekly Standard, and former Vice President Dan Quayle.

Which brings us back to Mr. Bush.

If his words about "association" perplexed some in his audience, authorities on Tocqueville knew where the president was headed. He was using Tocqueville, they said, to underscore the philosophy behind his religion-based initiative, the expanding $2 billion program that makes it easier for religious groups to get government money for social programs.

"Tocqueville latched right on to the idea that you can have a limited government that really works as long as you've got healthy institutions of civil society which perform character-shaping functions," said Robert P. George, a professor of jurisprudence at Princeton, the director of the James Madison Program in American Ideals and Institutions at the university, and a member of the President's Council on Bioethics.

"This is the idea behind the faith-based initiative," Mr. George said. "Bush wants to be an exponent of limited government but at the same time a compassionate conservative, because he's interested in escaping the dilemma that links limited government with radical individualism. So Bush says that government just can't retreat from the social sphere altogether; government must cooperate with the institutions of civil society in a kind of partnership that brings compassion to people in need."


But the conservatrism of compassionate conservatism lies in the recognition that only if government retreats somewhat from the social sphere will the civil society, institutions, and associations be revitalized.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

CALL US WHEN THEY TRY SEGWAY BUZKASHI:

No horses (or severed heads) in this brand of polo (JOSH SENS, 4/06/05, New York Times News Service

When Alex Ko and his companions took up polo, they made some subtle changes to the sport once enjoyed by ancient Mongol warriors, who are said to have played with the severed heads of their enemies.

Ko and his friends opted for a 6-inch-diameter Nerf ball.

And instead of horses, they chose to ride Segways, the self-balancing transportation devices first developed as a short-distance alternative to the automobile.

“It's similar to real polo,” Ko said, “but without the manure.”


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

A WANTING THEORY (via Emily Bourie):

Pre-emptive Executions?: The notion that legalizing abortion drives down crime rates is logically flawed and morally repugnant. (Steve Sailer, 5/09/05, American Conservative)

Did legalizing abortion in the early ’70s reduce crime in the late ’90s by allowing “pre-emptive capital punishment” of potential troublemakers? Or did the Supreme Court’s 1973 Roe v. Wade decision, by outmoding shotgun weddings, adoption, and respect for life, instead make more murderous the early ’90s crack wars fought by the first generation of youths to survive legalized abortion?

Since 1999, the University of Chicago economist Steven D. Levitt has been pushing his theory that legal abortion is responsible for half of the recent fall in crime. This assertion is the most prominent element in Freakonomics: A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything, the entertaining new book Levitt co-wrote with journalist Stephen J. Dubner. [...]

Levitt’s theory rests on two plausible-sounding statements. First, he claims that abortion lowers the number of “unwanted” babies, who would be more likely to commit crimes someday. Second, crime did fall. Levitt writes, “In the early 1990s, just as the first cohort of children born after Roe v. Wade was hitting its late teen years—the years during which young men enter their criminal prime—the rate of crime began to fall. What this cohort was missing, of course, were the children who stood the greatest chance of becoming criminals.”

Although Levitt’s research has been praised by normally hardheaded gentlemen such as George Will and Robert Samuelson, few have probed its statistical complexities. [...]

The most striking fact about legalized abortion, but also the least discussed, is its pointlessness. Levitt himself notes that following Roe, “Conceptions rose by nearly 30 percent, but births actually fell by 6 percent …” So for every six fetuses aborted in the 1970s, five would never have been conceived except for Roe! This ratio makes a sick joke out of Levitt’s assumption that legalization made a significant difference in how “wanted” children were. Indeed, perhaps the increase in the number of women who got pregnant figuring they would get an abortion but then were too drunk or drugged or distracted to get to the clinic has meant that the “wantedness” of surviving babies has declined.


Interesting the way Mr. Levitt's theory brings us full circle--middle class America was sold abortion on the basis that poor blacks would kill their unwanted kids instead of having all of us support them via welfare. Apparently some folks still feel the need to believe that Roe v. Wade only culled the "unwanted"--and minorities at that.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

DEMOTIC DEMONS:

Johnson's Dictionary (VERLYN KLINKENBORG, 4/17/05, NY Times)

Two hundred fifty years ago, on April 15, 1755, Samuel Johnson published the first edition of his Dictionary of the English Language, compiled and written almost wholly by himself. It appeared in London in two folio volumes. Like most dictionaries, there is a rigorous serenity in the look of its pages. The language has been laid out in alphabetical order. The etymologies and definitions bristle with italics and abbreviations. The quotations that exemplify the meanings of the words present a bottomless fund of good sense and literary beauty.

But I wonder whether anyone has ever had a more dynamic or volatile sense of the language than Johnson did. We tend to remember him as an older man, grown heavy, his face weighed down as much by indolence as industry. But in April 1755 he was not yet 46. With the publication of his dictionary, he returned from his researches into the English language the way an explorer returns from the North Pole, with a sense of having seen a terrain that others can see only through his account of what he found there. Instead of a wilderness of ice, he faced what he called, in his preface to the dictionary, "the boundless chaos of a living speech."


The Most Misused Words (Laura Knoy, 2005-04-15, NHPR)
Lay or lie? Among, amongst, or between? Affect or effect? We're talking with Steve Kleinedler, the author of "100 Words Almost Everyone Confuses and Misuses". Mr. Kleinedler is also the Senior Editor of the American Heritage Dictionary and author of the recently published book "100 Words Every Word Lover Should Know".

Ms Knoy and her show are Public Radio at its best, informative and non-partisan, sometimes a bit goo-goo but often fascinating. So it was just appalling at the beginning of this broadcast when she asked Mr. Kleinedler what his personal pet peeve was as regards language misuse and he said the substitution of literally for figuratively. She asked what he meant and he said: Well, when someone says they were so angry that their head was literally going to explode. She still didn't get it. Doesn't NPR have a style book?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THE CRESCENT AND THE PEPPERED MOTH:

The crescent and the conclave (Spengler, 4/19/05, Asia Times)

Now that everyone is talking about Europe's demographic death, it is time to point out that there exists a way out: convert European Muslims to Christianity. The reported front-runner at the Vatican conclave that began on Monday, Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger, is one of the few Church leaders unafraid to raise the subject. Hedonistic dissipation well may have condemned the existing Europeans to infecundity and extinction, but that does not prevent Europe from getting new ones. It has been done before.

Europe in the 8th century was a depopulated ruin. The loss of half the Roman Empire's population by the 7th century left vast territories open to Islam, which rapidly absorbed the formerly Christian Levant, North Africa and Spain. By converting successive waves of invading pagans - Lombards, Magyars, Vikings, Celts, Saxons, Slavs - Christianity reinvented Europe, and held Islam at bay. [...]

Christian missionaries will get nowhere in Muslim countries except into trouble. But Muslims in Europe no longer live in traditional society, much as they might attempt to re-create it on European soil. As long as they are strangers on European soil, they are vulnerable to Christian proselytizing, if there exist a Christian agency with the temerity to attempt it. [...]

As the late pope's adviser, Cardinal Ratzinger shares responsibility for past Vatican policies, but his tone has changed during the past six months. He opposed Turkey's entry into the European Union. Last week he published a tract titled Werte in Zeiten des Umbruchs ("Values in Times of Upheaval"), calling for Europe to return to its core Christian values. He denounced Europe's "incomprehensible self-hatred", adding that if Europe wants to survive, "it must consciously seek to rediscover its own soul". He wrote, "Multiculturalism cannot survive without common constants, without taking one's own culture as a point of departure."

Ratzinger deplored the exclusion of Christianity from the proposed European Constitution. Unlike the United States, where politicians of both parties agree that revelation is the source of virtue, secular Europe insists upon an entirely secular approach to ethics. In this regard I sympathize with Ratzinger, and refer readers to an extensive debate on the subject of Kant's Categorical Imperative in the Asia Times Online Forum. Kant initiated the modern attempt to derive ethics from reason. His approach (oversimplified) is to ask, "What if everybody did?" You are not supposed to do something to which you would object were someone else to do it. This approach has some obvious weaknesses. Bertrand Russell observed in his History of Western Philosophy that a depressive very well might wish for everyone to commit suicide, and thus commit suicide himself with perfect justification. Just that attitude describes the mindset of today's Europeans, who naturally prefer a Kantian approach to a religious one.


That earlier phenomenon is why the "Dark Ages" were the true period of enlightenment. Similarly, a Europe that is taken over by a Reformed Islam will be vastly preferable to the one that exists today.


MORE:
Vatican Is Rethinking Relations With Islam (Daniel Williams and Alan Cooperman, April 15, 2005, Washington Post)

After two decades of contact and dialogue with the Islamic world under Pope John Paul II, the Vatican is rethinking an outreach program that critics say is diluting Catholicism and has brought almost no benefits to beleaguered Catholic minorities in Muslim countries.

The late pontiff undertook the drive as part of a broad effort to open channels to other religions. He applied a personal stamp by stepping into a mosque in Damascus and meeting with Muslim groups more than 60 times. He also visited a synagogue in Rome and Jerusalem's Western Wall.

Archbishop Michael Fitzgerald, president of the Pontifical Council for Inter-Religious Dialogue, said the next pope might more emphatically demand rights for Christian minorities in Islamic countries and the freedom of all people to choose their faith.

"There may be a greater insistence on religious liberty," said Fitzgerald, the church's point man on Islamic relations. "But I don't think we're going to go to war. The times of the Crusades are over. . . . I don't see any fundamental change in the way the church has been dealing with these questions."

Justo Lacunza Balda, who heads the Pontifical Institute for Arab and Islamic Studies, a Vatican research group, said criticism was focused on the lack of reciprocal goodwill gestures in many Muslim countries. "Humanly speaking, it is of course important to see some payback," he said.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

TRIED AND FOUND WANTING:

The Decline of the Liberal Faith (Tom Bethell, 3/23/2005, The Spectator)

LIBERALISM, AMERICAN-STYLE, is dying on the vine. I refer to the faith of liberalism -- the belief in "the redemptive transformation of human society through political means," as William Pfaff puts it in his new book, The Bullet's Song. Programmatic liberalism -- Social Security, Medicare, government schooling, government science, and the like -- will continue, and on an expansionist path. But as a faith, liberalism is set to decline in the years ahead. It is already doing so, perhaps more swiftly than we know. What is left of it is filled with darkness and pessimism: sex, abortion, euthanasia, and death.

Like Communism, liberalism was put into practice. Better for the idealists if it had remained a dream. But as anyone who has lived within a mile of a government-housing project will know, real-life liberalism is a menacing thing -- anti-utopia. Neighborhoods menaced by young men without fathers, their mothers financed by the state, should by now have disillusioned even the most progressive minded. So should inner-city state schools, where parents play little or no role, and perhaps don't even know where the school is.

Although its adherents don't like to discuss the point, the liberal faith has much in common with Communism, including shared roots in the Enlightenment. Human nature, philosophers once believed, could be remade in the classroom. People could be improved by "legislation alone," to quote the 18th-century philosophe Claude Helvetius. Influenced by John Locke, he was in turn studied by the founder of Russian Marxism, G.V. Plekhanov, who befriended Lenin in Zurich.

Liberalism and Communism both regarded egalitarianism as an ideal and both were godless; Communism openly so, liberalism more obscurely. Democracy admittedly distinguished between them, but the liberal admiration for an ideological judiciary shows that they, too, would like nothing more than a government that is free to impose its will by fiat (provided it is run by the right people).

The liberal faith fell with Communism. Both were based on extravagant optimism -- admittedly an unwarranted optimism. Human nature was on the verge of transformation. Nineteenth-century thinkers really believed that people would soon be so good that the boundaries of property would no longer be required. [...]

LIBERALISM IS DYING OF OLD AGE. It has gone on for too long and the world is changing. At its core, it was based on the idea that religious belief would give way to Enlightenment values. Faith would succumb to reason. Shorn of superstition, the human race would make its stately progress toward a brighter future. Well, that hasn't worked out.


You can hardly blame the Left for its apparent brain death--they put all their eggs in the basket of Reason and it hatched nought but monstrosities. It'll take them awhile to recover.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

RERENAISSANCE (via Mike Daley)

Eureka! Extraordinary discovery unlocks secrets of the ancients: Decoded at last: the 'classical holy grail' that may rewrite the history of the world (David Keys and Nicholas Pyke, 17 April 2005, Independent)

For more than a century, it has caused excitement and frustration in equal measure - a collection of Greek and Roman writings so vast it could redraw the map of classical civilisation. If only it was legible.

Now, in a breakthrough described as the classical equivalent of finding the holy grail, Oxford University scientists have employed infra-red technology to open up the hoard, known as the Oxyrhynchus Papyri, and with it the prospect that hundreds of lost Greek comedies, tragedies and epic poems will soon be revealed.

In the past four days alone, Oxford's classicists have used it to make a series of astonishing discoveries, including writing by Sophocles, Euripides, Hesiod and other literary giants of the ancient world, lost for millennia. They even believe they are likely to find lost Christian gospels, the originals of which were written around the time of the earliest books of the New Testament.

The original papyrus documents, discovered in an ancient rubbish dump in central Egypt, are often meaningless to the naked eye - decayed, worm-eaten and blackened by the passage of time. But scientists using the new photographic technique, developed from satellite imaging, are bringing the original writing back into view. Academics have hailed it as a development which could lead to a 20 per cent increase in the number of great Greek and Roman works in existence. Some are even predicting a "second Renaissance".

Christopher Pelling, Regius Professor of Greek at the University of Oxford, described the new works as "central texts which scholars have been speculating about for centuries".

Professor Richard Janko, a leading British scholar, formerly of University College London, now head of classics at the University of Michigan, said: "Normally we are lucky to get one such find per decade." One discovery in particular, a 30-line passage from the poet Archilocos, of whom only 500 lines survive in total, is described as "invaluable" by Dr Peter Jones, author and co-founder of the Friends of Classics campaign.

The papyrus fragments were discovered in historic dumps outside the Graeco-Egyptian town of Oxyrhynchus ("city of the sharp-nosed fish") in central Egypt at the end of the 19th century. Running to 400,000 fragments, stored in 800 boxes at Oxford's Sackler Library, it is the biggest hoard of classical manuscripts in the world.


They just don't give towns cool names like that anymore.


April 18, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:54 PM

THEY'VE ONE BIG THING IN COMMON:

Our fight is over, say India and Pakistan (Richard Beeston, 4/19/05, Times of London)

General Pervez Musharraf, the visiting President of Pakistan, and Manmohan Singh, the Indian Prime Minister, pledged a series of confidence-building measures to improve trade and travel between the two states and in particular defuse the potentially explosive conflict in the disputed region of Kashmir.

Originally the three-day visit by General Musharraf to India was supposed to be an informal chance for the two leaders to meet at a one-day cricket international between India and Pakistan.

But, as Mr Singh explained yesterday, the game opened the way for four rounds of diplomatic talks that have improved relations between the two countries to their best level in years.

“Conscious of the historic opportunity created by the improved environment in relations . . . the two leaders had substantive talks on all issues,” the Indian leader, reading from a joint statement, said. “They determined that the peace process was now irreversible.”

The two sides agreed to increase the frequency of a cross-Kashmir bus service, encourage family reunification, open other border crossings to civilian traffic, revive joint trade ties, open consulates in Bombay and Karachi, and explore building a pipeline to carry gas from Iran via Pakistan to India.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:50 PM

CLUELESS:

Democrats search for a party path: The party has failed to convert a recent string of Republican stumbles to its own gain. (Linda Feldmann, 4/19/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

Life in the political wilderness can be tough. Some Republicans here still know what that's like - though at this point, 10-plus years after Newt Gingrich & Co. swept the Democrats out of power on Capitol Hill, a majority of House GOP members have no firsthand experience of being in the minority.

Democrats, in fact, are counting on those dwindling numbers to help them as they look for that right combination of message, candidates, infrastructure, and opposition stumbles - with a dash of opposition hubris - to win back their mojo in 2006, if not 2008. So far, the party in power has obliged on that last score: House GOP leader Tom DeLay is under siege over ethics. President Bush faces an uphill climb with his No. 1 domestic priority, remaking Social Security. A majority of Americans objected to Congress and Bush turning the Terri Schiavo tragedy into a federal case.

But Democrats aren't gaining from the other side's losses. Polls show the GOP congressional leadership is less popular than the president - but the Democratic leadership fares still worse. And even among rank-and-file Democrats, only 56 percent approve of their own congressional leadership, according to the Pew Research Center. Among Republicans, the analogous number is 76 percent.

Bottom line: It's hard to project power when you're out of power.


There's your Democratic platform:

(1) Against what's-his-face

(2) Against Social Security reform

(3) For killing the sick


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:00 PM

IF YOU MEET THE RATIONAL MAN IN THE ROAD KILL HIM:

Why Logic Often Takes A Backseat: The study of neuroeconomics may topple the notion of rational decision-making (Peter Coy, 3/28/05, Business Week)

Neuroeconomics, while still regarded skeptically by mainstream economists, could be the next big thing in the field. It promises to put economics on a firmer footing by describing people as they really are, not as some oversimplified mathematical model would have them be. Eventually it could help economists design incentives that gently guide people toward making decisions that are in their long-term best interests in everything from labor negotiations to diets to 401(k) plans. Says Harvard University economist David I. Laibson, another leading researcher: "To understand the real foundations of our behavior and our choices, we need to get inside the black box."

Neuroeconomics could also give economics an alternative theoretical framework. Since the early 1900s, economists have mainly assumed that people have a stable and consistent set of preferences that they try to satisfy. When faced with an apparently illogical outcome -- such as the cancellation of the hockey season -- they try to explain it as the result of a reasoned decision process. Such top economists as Gary S. Becker, Milton Friedman, and Robert E. Lucas Jr., all Nobel prize winners, have argued that discrimination, unemployment, and stock market gyrations can have rational origins.

In recent years, the assumption of rationality has taken some hard shots as economists have shown that people often lack self-control, are shortsighted, and overreact to the fear of losses. But to date, these attacks on rationality -- under the broad heading of "behavioral economics" -- have seemed more like a grab bag of anomalies than a consistent alternative theory. So the assumption of rationality survives.

By linking economic behavior to brain activity, however, neuroeconomics may finally supply the model that knocks mainstream economics off its throne. The new theory should fit better with reality, but it won't be as mathematically clean -- because the brain is a confusing place, with different parts handling different jobs. Says Camerer: "You are forced to think about a brain which has many somewhat modular circuits."

One of the most fruitful avenues of neuro research is "time inconsistency." When people decide about the distant future, they're roughly as rational as economic textbooks assume. But when faced with a choice of whether to consume something now or delay gratification, they can be as impulsive as chimps. Harvard's Laibson coined "quasi-hyperbolic discounting" to describe the behavior, but that was just a label, not an explanation.

So Laibson and others scanned people inside MRI machines and discovered two parts of the brain operating in radically different ways. For decisions about the far-off future, the prefrontal cortex takes a long-term perspective. But for decisions such as whether to buy another chocolate bar right now, the limbic system takes over and demands immediate gratification. Last year the journal Science published the research by Laibson, Princeton University neuroscientists Samuel M. McClure and Jonathan D. Cohen, and Carnegie-Mellon University economist George Loewenstein.

How does it help to know that you're literally "of two minds"? You could arrange your affairs to make sure that your rational brain stays in control -- for example, by committing now to saving a certain percentage of your paycheck each month in the future. Many people already do that. Trouble is, long-term commitments can be too rigid if circumstances change. Ideally, you'd like to wait to commit to a savings plan until you see whether you can afford it -- but not wait so long that your animal brain takes over and you lose the will to save. The new research could help get that balance right.

A key tenet of standard economics is that making people happy is a simple matter of giving them more of what they like. But neuroscience shows that's not true. The brain's striatum quickly gets used to new stimuli and expects them to continue. People are on a treadmill in which only unexpected pleasures can make them happier. That explains why happiness of people in rich countries hasn't increased despite higher living standards.


Odd to think you could both be a human being and believe men to be rational actors.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:49 PM

ONE OF THESE DAYS COPERNICUS WILL BE RIGHT ABOUT SOMETHING:

A GRIM
RECKONING
(J. Richard Gott III, New Scientist)

In 1969, after graduating from Harvard but before starting further study in astro-physics at Princeton University, I took a summer holiday in Europe and visited the Berlin Wall. It was the height of the Cold War, and the wall was then eight years old. Standing in it ominous shadow, I began to wonder how long it would last. Having no special knowledge of East-West relations, I hadn't much to go on. But I hit on a curious way to estimate the wall's likely lifetime knowing only its age.

I reasoned, first of all, that there was nothing special about my visit. That is, I didn't come to see the wall being erected or demolished--I just happened to have a holiday, and came to stand there at some random moment during the wall's existence. So, I thought, there was a 50 per cent chance that I was seeing the wall during the middle two quarters of its lifetime (see Diagram, below). If I was at the beginning of this interval, then one-quarter of the wall's life had passed and three-quarters remained. On the other hand, if I was at the end of of this interval, then three-quarters had passed and only one-quarter lay in the future. In this way I reckoned that there was a 50 per cent chance the wall would last from 1/3 to 3 times as long as it had already.

Before leaving the wall, I predicted to a friend, that it would with 50 per cent likelihood, last more than two and two-thirds years but less than 24. I then returned from holiday and went on to other things. But my prediction, and the peculiar line of reasoning that lay behind it, stayed with me. Twenty years later, in November 1989 the Berlin Wall cam down--unexpectedly, but in line with my prediction.

Intrigued that the approach seemed to work, I eventually set out its logic in Nature(vol 363, p315, 1993). There, instead of using the 50 percent mark, I adopted the more standards scientific criterion that the prediction should have at least a 95 per cent chance of being correct. This makes the numbers in the formula come out a bit different, but the argument remains the same. If there is nothing special about your observation of something, then there is a 95 per cent chance that you are seeing it during the middle 95 per cent of its observable lifetime, rather than during the first or last 2.5 per cent (see Diagram, p 38). At one extreme the future is only 1/39 as long as the past. At the other, it is 39 times as long. With 95 per cent certainty, this fixes the future longevity of whatever you observe as being between 1/39 and 39 times as long as its past. [...]

As another test, I used my formula on the day my Nature paper was published to predict the future longevities of the 44 Broadway and off-Broadway plays and musicals in New York; 36 have now closed--all in a agreement with the predictions. The Will Rogers Follies, which had been open for 757 days, closed after another 101 days, and the Kiss of the Spider Woman open for 24 days, closed in another 765 days. In each case the future longevity was within a factor of 39 of the past longevity, as predicted.

This is all good fun. You can predict approximately how long something will last without knowing anything that its current age. But in the past few months, in the light of the spectacular success of NASA's Mars Pathfinder mission, I've been reminded of of a far more serious implication of this way of thinking. Applying it to the human race forces mt to conclude that our extinction as a species is a very real possibility, and that we had better take steps to improve our survival prospects before it's too late. Let me explain why I have such a sense of urgency, wand why we had better begin colonising space--and very soon.

In the 16th century, Nicolaus Copernicus pointed out that the Earth revolved about the Sun, rather than vice versa, and in one swift move, displaced humanity from its privileged place at the centre of the Universe. We now see the Earth as circling an unexceptional star among thousands of millions of others in our unexceptional Galaxy. This perspective is summed up more generally in the "Copernican Principle", which is the position that one's location is unlikely to be special.

Early this century, when astronomer Edwin Hubble observed approximately the same number of galaxies receding from Earth in all directions, it looked as if our Galaxy was at the exact centre of a great explosion. But reasoning with the Copernican principle, scientists concluded instead that the Universe must look that way to observers in every galaxy--it would be presumptuous to think that out galaxy is special. As a working hypothesis, the Copernican principle has been enormously successful because, out of all the places intelligent observers could be, there are only a few special places and many nonspecial places. A person is simply more likely to be in one of the many nonspecial places. but the Copernican principle doesn't apply only to placement of galaxies in space-- it works for placement of moments of time as well. Inset 1

What does it imply for Homo sapiens? We have been around for about 200 000 years. If there is nothing special about the present moment, then it is 95 per cent certain that the future duration of our species is between 1/39 and 39 times 200 000 years. That is, we should last for at least another 5100 years but less than 7.8 million years.

Since we have no actuarial data on other intelligent species, this Copernican estimate may be the best we can find. It gives our species a likely longevity of between 0.205 million and 8 million years, which is quite in line with those for other hominids and mammals. The Earth is littered with the bones of extinct species and it doesn't take much to see that we could meet the same fate. Our ancestor H. erectus last 1.6 million years, while H. neanderthalensis lasted 0.3 million years. The mean duration of mammal species is 2 million years, and even the great Tyrannosaurus rex lasted only 2.5 million years.

For us, the end might come from a drastic climate change, nuclear war, a wandering asteroid or comet, or some other catastrophe that catches us by surprise, such as a bad epidemic. If remain a one-planet species, we are exposed to the same risk as other species, and are likely to perish on the same timescale.


Of course, we've already made it 4 million years.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:04 PM

WHAT IS THE WEB BUT A READER:

Why literature matters: Good books help make a civil society (Dana Gioia, April 10, 2005, Boston Globe)

Unlike the passive activities of watching television and DVDs or surfing the Web, reading is actually a highly active enterprise. Reading requires sustained and focused attention as well as active use of memory and imagination. Literary reading also enhances and enlarges our humility by helping us imagine and understand lives quite different from our own.

Indeed, we sometimes underestimate how large a role literature has played in the evolution of our national identity, especially in that literature often has served to introduce young people to events from the past and principles of civil society and governance. Just as more ancient Greeks learned about moral and political conduct from the epics of Homer than from the dialogues of Plato, so the most important work in the abolitionist movement was the novel ''Uncle Tom's Cabin."

Likewise our notions of American populism come more from Walt Whitman's poetic vision than from any political tracts. Today when people recall the Depression, the images that most come to mind are of the travails of John Steinbeck's Joad family from ''The Grapes of Wrath." Without a literary inheritance, the historical past is impoverished. [...]

The evidence of literature's importance to civic, personal, and economic health is too strong to ignore. The decline of literary reading foreshadows serious long-term social and economic problems, and it is time to bring literature and the other arts into discussions of public policy. Libraries, schools, and public agencies do noble work, but addressing the reading issue will require the leadership of politicians and the business community as well.

Literature now competes with an enormous array of electronic media. While no single activity is responsible for the decline in reading, the cumulative presence and availability of electronic alternatives increasingly have drawn Americans away from reading.

Reading is not a timeless, universal capability. Advanced literacy is a specific intellectual skill and social habit that depends on a great many educational, cultural, and economic factors. As more Americans lose this capability, our nation becomes less informed, active, and independent-minded. These are not the qualities that a free, innovative, or productive society can afford to lose.


I'm as prepared as anyone to find rot at the core of the culture, but it just seems impossible that we read less than our elders did. The recourse to reading was especially noticable after 9-11 and spoke quite well of our curiosity and seriousness.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:31 PM

WE BOTH FOUND WHAT WE WERE LOOKING FOR:

The GOP's Favorite Democrat (Ari Berman, 04/18/2005, The Nation)

"You're like Zell Miller without the crack," Jon Stewart once told Nebraska Senator Ben Nelson. Lately, though, it looks like Nelson may be taking hits from the pipe.

Nelson, the Senate's most conservative Democrat, is drafting legislation to give bipartisan cover to Bill Frist's plan to outlaw the filibuster of judicial nominees, known as the "nuclear option." Nelson's proposal would bar the use of the filibuster and allow any Senator to call an up-or-down floor vote on any judicial nominee, even if the Senate Judiciary Committee blocks the nomination.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:49 PM

TOO BAD THEY NEVER HAD DAVE LAROCHE:

From spitters to knucklers to screwballs (T.R. Sullivan, 4/15/05, Dallas-Fort Worth Star-Telegram)

Ryan Drese pitches tonight for the Rangers. If his sinker is working, he could be in for a good night.

The sinker, as taught by pitching coach Orel Hershiser, is the pitch du jour for the Rangers in their attempt to be more successful at Ameriquest Field in Arlington.

There have been many pitches of renown for the Rangers -- and Kenny Rogers has thrown just about all of them -- but you are indeed a devoted fan if you recall that reliever Jose Cecena was the last Rangers pitcher to throw the screwball.

The best pitches ever thrown in Arlington?

Drum roll, please:

10. Francisco Cordero

fastball...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:39 PM

UNEXPECTEDLY? CAN'T THEY READ?:

In the beginning was ... a perfect liquid?: ‘Big Bang soup’ really behaves like fluid, scientists say (Reuters, April 18, 2005)

Scientists using a giant atom smasher said on Monday they have created a new state of matter — a hot, dense liquid made out of basic atomic particles — and said it shows what the early universe looked like for a very, very brief time.

For a tiny fraction of a second after the Big Bang that scientists say gave rise to the universe, all matter was in the form of this liquid, called a quark-gluon plasma, the researchers said.

"We have a new state of matter," said Sam Aronson, associate laboratory director for high-energy and nuclear physics at the Brookhaven National Laboratory.

"We think we are looking at a phenomenon ... in the universe 13 billion years ago when free quarks and gluons ... cooled down to the particles that we know today," Aronson told a news conference carried by telephone from a meeting of the American Physical Society in Tampa, Fla.

The quark-gluon plasma was made in the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider — a powerful atom smasher at Brookhaven National Laboratory in Upton, N.Y. Unexpectedly, the quark-gluon plasma behaved like a perfect liquid of quarks, instead of a gas, the physicists said.


And the Spirit of God moved upon the face of the waters.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:01 PM

THE REST ARE BEARDS:

The Not So Dirty Dozen: They're the undercard to the fight over a high court nomination. (Jonathan Turley, April 18, 2005, LA Times)

The decision to nuke or not to nuke has obscured the real issue: Are the Republican nominees qualified or are they flat-Earth idiots? As a pro-choice social liberal, I didn't find much reason to like these nominees. However, I also found little basis for a filibuster in most cases. Indeed, for senators not eager to trigger mutually assured destruction, there is room for compromise. [...]

For nine of the Republican nominees, Democratic opposition looks as principled as a drive-by shooting. In fairness, the remaining three nominees raise legitimate concerns.

Democrats are on good ground in filibustering William J. Haynes II, who signed a memo that appeared to justify torture of POWs and suggest that the president could override federal law — an extreme view that preceded abuses at Abu Ghraib and Guantanamo.

Then there's 9th Circuit nominee William G. Myers III, a former mining lobbyist who, as an Interior Department official, advocated extreme-right positions on Native American and environmental issues, often in contravention of accepted law. Given the centrality of such issues to the 9th Circuit, there is reason to bar his confirmation.

Finally, there is the closer case of Priscilla R. Owen. She has a "well qualified" ABA rating but she is also indelibly marked by a prior public rebuke. Atty. Gen. Alberto R. Gonzales, her colleague on the Texas Supreme Court, said she engaged in "an unconscionable act of judicial activism" in restricting a minor's access to an abortion. That and other charges of activism leave Owen damaged goods for confirmation.


Democrats aren't going to leave themselves in a postion where the reason they're opposing the judges are: being mean to terrorists; being mean to Indians; and restricting abortion.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:56 PM

THE FREE MARKET GIVES THEM DEMOCRACY, THEY JUST THINK IT'S HELL:

Why the Liberals Can't Keep Air America From Spiraling In (Brian C. Anderson, April 18, 2005, LA Times)

The liberal Air America Radio, just past its first birthday, has probably enjoyed more free publicity than any enterprise in recent history. But don't believe the hype: Air America's left-wing answer to conservative talk radio is failing, just as previous efforts to find liberal Rush Limbaughs have failed. [...]

Successful talk radio is conservative for three reasons:

• Entertainment value. The top conservative hosts put on snazzy, frequently humorous shows. Kathleen Hall Jamieson, dean of the University of Pennsylvania's Annenberg School for Communication, observes: "The parody, the asides, the self-effacing humor, the bluster are all part of the packaging that makes the political message palatable." Besides, the triumph of political correctness on the left makes it hard for on-air liberals to lighten things up without offending anyone.

• Fragmentation of the potential audience. Political consultant Dick Morris explains: "Large percentages of liberals are black and Hispanic, and they now have their own specialized entertainment radio outlets, which they aren't likely to leave for liberal talk radio." The potential audience for Air America or similar ventures is thus pretty small — white liberals, basically. And they've already got NPR.

• Liberal bias in the old media. That's what birthed talk radio in the first place. People turn to it to help right the imbalance. Political scientist William Mayer, writing in the Public Interest, recently observed that liberals don't need talk radio because they've got the big three networks, most national and local daily newspapers and NPR.

Unable to prosper in the medium, liberals have taken to denouncing talk radio as a threat to democracy.


For more, check out Mr. Anderson's very fine book.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:37 PM

MEET YOU IN BAGHDAD:

Iraq key to US-Iran engagement (M K Bhadrakumar, 4/19/05, Asia Times)

President Mohammad Khatami was among the first world leaders to felicitate the newly elected political leadership in Baghdad. In a congratulatory message of undisguised happiness over the occasion, Khatami conveyed to Iraqi President-elect Jalal Talabani that it was a "magnificent electoral show" that brought the new government into office. Offering Iran's hand of cooperation, Khatami expressed optimism that "a secure, free and independent Iraq" would emerge and that with "vigilance and unity of the entire Iraqi nation" this could be realized. He expressed satisfaction that the democratic process in Iraq was running its course "without outside interference".

Khatami's message disregarded the US military presence in Iraq or any sense of Islamic brotherhood with the regime in Baghdad.

Iranian media commentaries have been equally revealing. The Tehran Times lauded the fact that first and foremost, Baghdad had liberated itself from the "chauvinistic atmosphere of pan-Arabism" and had broken loose from "false Arab nationalism" - the "idea that Arabic nationalism was the cornerstone of patriotism". (Will the US neo-conservatives - and Israel - take note?)

The commentary went on to stress that Kurds and Shi'ites alike were victims of Ba'athist ideology and had been all these years "encircled in the web of pan-Arabist tendencies".

The Iran Daily hailed Talabani as the "first non-Arab president" of Iraq and noted that Kurdish-Shi'ite solidarity in Iraq was "clearly a positive development for Iran that has more commonalities with Kurds than other regional countries". It advised Sunni Arabs to "come to terms with and accept the ground realities".

The Iranian commentaries sidestepped recent demonstrations organized by Shi'ite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr against the US military presence.

Thus, paradoxically, Washington and Tehran find themselves providing by far the staunchest outside support for the Kurdish-Shi'ite political axis that has emerged in the Iraqi leadership - that is, Israel's shadowy influence with the Iraqi Kurds apart.


What's paradoxical about the converging interests of inevitable allies?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:08 PM

TRADE YOU A CHAFFEE FOR TWO NELSON'S:

Once Moderates Built Bridges; Now They Must Burn Them (Ronald Brownstein, April 18, 2005, LA Times)

There was something poignant and powerfully revealing about the public agonizing last week of Sen. Lincoln Chafee (R-R.I.) over John R. Bolton, President Bush's nominee as ambassador to the United Nations.

Chafee, an iconoclastic moderate, is a swing vote as the Senate Foreign Relations Committee considers Bolton's nomination this week. Every committee Democrat is likely to oppose Bolton; if Chafee — or conceivably another Republican, such as Sen. Chuck Hagel of Nebraska — joins them, the nomination would die without ever reaching the full Senate.

Chafee isn't likely to bury Bolton. The senator believes presidents deserve to pick their advisors, absent some overwhelming reason to the contrary. Chafee was appointed to the Senate in 1999 after the death of his father, John Chafee, and elected in 2000. In that brief Senate career, the younger Chafee has voted to confirm every executive branch nominee he's considered for both Presidents Clinton and Bush.

During the contentious Foreign Relations hearings last week, Chafee gave every indication he intended to back Bolton. Chafee says he's waiting to hear all the evidence. But his press secretary, Stephen Hourahan, says the senator "is inclined" to give Bush his choice at the U.N. Yet Chafee also made it abundantly clear last week that Bolton would not be his choice. "I wish this wasn't the nominee to the United Nations," Chafee said plaintively.

Chafee's lament captured a dynamic much larger than the struggle over Bolton. This is a miserable moment for centrist senators. They are caught between a president pursuing an aggressive, even crusading, conservative agenda and a Democratic Party fighting ferociously to block it. That frequently leaves the centrists, like Chafee with Bolton, wishing for an alternative that isn't available.


it's a problem for individuals, but not much of one for the GOP in general, because in a 60-40 country they won't need bridges much. Meanwhile, the idea that even Rhode Islanders will be upset that Mr. Chaffee is insufficiently pro-U.N. seems implausible.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:51 AM

THE VALUE OF POSTURBANIZATION (via Tom Morin):

Environmental Heresies (Stewart Brand, May 2005, Technology Review)

Over the next ten years, I predict, the mainstream of the environmental movement will reverse its opinion and activism in four major areas: population growth, urbani­zation, genetically engineered organisms, and nuclear power. [...]

Take population growth. For 50 years, the demographers in charge of human population projections for the United Nations released hard numbers that substantiated environmentalists’ greatest fears about indefinite exponential population increase. For a while, those projections proved fairly accurate. However, in the 1990s, the U.N. started taking a closer look at fertility patterns, and in 2002, it adopted a new theory that shocked many demographers: human population is leveling off rapidly, even precipitously, in developed countries, with the rest of the world soon to follow. Most environmentalists still haven't got the word. Worldwide, birthrates are in free fall. Around one-third of countries now have birthrates below replacement level (2.1 children per woman) and sinking. Nowhere does the downward trend show signs of leveling off. Nations already in a birth dearth crisis include Japan, Italy, Spain, Germany, and Russia—whose population is now in absolute decline and is expected to be 30 percent lower by 2050. On every part of every continent and in every culture (even Mormon), birthrates are headed down. They reach replacement level and keep on dropping. It turns out that population decrease accelerates downward just as fiercely as population increase accelerated upward, for the same reason. Any variation from the 2.1 rate compounds over time.

That’s great news for environmentalists (or it will be when finally noticed), but they need to recognize what caused the turnaround. The world population growth rate actually peaked at 2 percent way back in 1968, the very year my old teacher Paul Ehrlich published The Population Bomb. The world’s women didn’t suddenly have fewer kids because of his book, though. They had fewer kids because they moved to town.

Cities are population sinks-always have been. Although more children are an asset in the countryside, they’re a liability in the city. A global tipping point in urbanization is what stopped the population explosion. As of this year, 50 percent of the world’s population lives in cities, with 61 percent expected by 2030. In 1800 it was 3 percent; in 1900 it was 14 percent.

The environmentalist aesthetic is to love villages and despise cities. My mind got changed on the subject a few years ago by an Indian acquaintance who told me that in Indian villages the women obeyed their husbands and family elders, pounded grain, and sang. But, the acquaintance explained, when Indian women immigrated to cities, they got jobs, started businesses, and demanded their children be educated. They became more independent, as they became less fundamentalist in their religious beliefs. Urbanization is the most massive and sudden shift of humanity in its history. Environmentalists will be rewarded if they welcome it and get out in front of it. In every single region in the world, including the U.S., small towns and rural areas are emptying out. The trees and wildlife are returning. Now is the time to put in place permanent protection for those rural environments. Meanwhile, the global population of illegal urban squatters—which Robert Neuwirth’s book Shadow Cities already estimates at a billion—is growing fast. Environmentalists could help ensure that the new dominant human habitat is humane and has a reduced footprint of overall environmental impact.

Along with rethinking cities, environmentalists will need to rethink biotechnology. One area of biotech with huge promise and some drawbacks is genetic engineering, so far violently rejected by the environmental movement. That rejection is, I think, a mistake. Why was water fluoridization rejected by the political right and “frankenfood” by the political left? The answer, I suspect, is that fluoridization came from government and genetically modified (GM) crops from corporations. If the origins had been reversed—as they could have been—the positions would be reversed, too.


That's an especially useful insight.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:23 AM

ONE IF BY LAND; TWO IF BY SEA; THREE FOR A PITCH-OUT:

Losing sight of Patriots Day (Theodore K. Rabb, April 18, 2005, Boston Globe)

PATRIOTS DAY, April 19, is a date that ought to have particular resonance in the history of the republic. It commemorates the beginning of our first war: the day in 1775 when the first shots were fired, in Concord, on America's path to independence. If in recent years the most widely reported event of that day has been the Boston Marathon, it is surely time to put its larger meaning front and center in the nation's consciousness.

Get serious--it's the 11am start at Fenway.


MORE:

Paul Revere's Ride (Henry Wadsworth Longfellow)

Listen my children and you shall hear
Of the midnight ride of Paul Revere,
On the eighteenth of April, in Seventy-five;
Hardly a man is now alive
Who remembers that famous day and year.

He said to his friend, "If the British march
By land or sea from the town to-night,
Hang a lantern aloft in the belfry arch
Of the North Church tower as a signal light,--
One if by land, and two if by sea;
And I on the opposite shore will be,
Ready to ride and spread the alarm
Through every Middlesex village and farm,
For the country folk to be up and to arm."

Then he said "Good-night!" and with muffled oar
Silently rowed to the Charlestown shore,
Just as the moon rose over the bay,
Where swinging wide at her moorings lay
The Somerset, British man-of-war;
A phantom ship, with each mast and spar
Across the moon like a prison bar,
And a huge black hulk, that was magnified
By its own reflection in the tide.

Meanwhile, his friend through alley and street
Wanders and watches, with eager ears,
Till in the silence around him he hears
The muster of men at the barrack door,
The sound of arms, and the tramp of feet,
And the measured tread of the grenadiers,
Marching down to their boats on the shore.

Then he climbed the tower of the Old North Church,
By the wooden stairs, with stealthy tread,
To the belfry chamber overhead,
And startled the pigeons from their perch
On the sombre rafters, that round him made
Masses and moving shapes of shade,--
By the trembling ladder, steep and tall,
To the highest window in the wall,
Where he paused to listen and look down
A moment on the roofs of the town
And the moonlight flowing over all.

Beneath, in the churchyard, lay the dead,
In their night encampment on the hill,
Wrapped in silence so deep and still
That he could hear, like a sentinel's tread,
The watchful night-wind, as it went
Creeping along from tent to tent,
And seeming to whisper, "All is well!"
A moment only he feels the spell
Of the place and the hour, and the secret dread
Of the lonely belfry and the dead;
For suddenly all his thoughts are bent
On a shadowy something far away,
Where the river widens to meet the bay,--
A line of black that bends and floats
On the rising tide like a bridge of boats.

Meanwhile, impatient to mount and ride,
Booted and spurred, with a heavy stride
On the opposite shore walked Paul Revere.
Now he patted his horse's side,
Now he gazed at the landscape far and near,
Then, impetuous, stamped the earth,
And turned and tightened his saddle girth;
But mostly he watched with eager search
The belfry tower of the Old North Church,
As it rose above the graves on the hill,
Lonely and spectral and sombre and still.
And lo! as he looks, on the belfry's height
A glimmer, and then a gleam of light!
He springs to the saddle, the bridle he turns,
But lingers and gazes, till full on his sight
A second lamp in the belfry burns.

A hurry of hoofs in a village street,
A shape in the moonlight, a bulk in the dark,
And beneath, from the pebbles, in passing, a spark
Struck out by a steed flying fearless and fleet;
That was all! And yet, through the gloom and the light,
The fate of a nation was riding that night;
And the spark struck out by that steed, in his flight,
Kindled the land into flame with its heat.
He has left the village and mounted the steep,
And beneath him, tranquil and broad and deep,
Is the Mystic, meeting the ocean tides;
And under the alders that skirt its edge,
Now soft on the sand, now loud on the ledge,
Is heard the tramp of his steed as he rides.

It was twelve by the village clock
When he crossed the bridge into Medford town.
He heard the crowing of the cock,
And the barking of the farmer's dog,
And felt the damp of the river fog,
That rises after the sun goes down.

It was one by the village clock,
When he galloped into Lexington.
He saw the gilded weathercock
Swim in the moonlight as he passed,
And the meeting-house windows, black and bare,
Gaze at him with a spectral glare,
As if they already stood aghast
At the bloody work they would look upon.

It was two by the village clock,
When he came to the bridge in Concord town.
He heard the bleating of the flock,
And the twitter of birds among the trees,
And felt the breath of the morning breeze
Blowing over the meadow brown.
And one was safe and asleep in his bed
Who at the bridge would be first to fall,
Who that day would be lying dead,
Pierced by a British musket ball.

You know the rest. In the books you have read
How the British Regulars fired and fled,---
How the farmers gave them ball for ball,
>From behind each fence and farmyard wall,
Chasing the redcoats down the lane,
Then crossing the fields to emerge again
Under the trees at the turn of the road,
And only pausing to fire and load.

So through the night rode Paul Revere;
And so through the night went his cry of alarm
To every Middlesex village and farm,---
A cry of defiance, and not of fear,
A voice in the darkness, a knock at the door,
And a word that shall echo for evermore!
For, borne on the night-wind of the Past,
Through all our history, to the last,
In the hour of darkness and peril and need,
The people will waken and listen to hear
The hurrying hoof-beats of that steed,
And the midnight message of Paul Revere.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:06 AM

DID WE GIVE CAPTURED SS BACK TO HITLER?:


Military Report on Guantanamo Highlights Danger of Al Qaeda
: As Camp Delta's legality is challenged, a chilling portrait of its detainees is offered by the U.S. (Richard A. Serrano, April 18, 2005, LA Times)

Three years after it began, the prison experiment known as Camp Delta at the U.S. naval base at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, has reached a crossroads in its incarceration of those captured in the war brought on by Sept. 11.

Military officials have completed tribunal hearings for all 558 detainees and have compiled their most comprehensive report detailing what they have learned about potential future terrorist attacks. But the Bush administration now is battling efforts by lawyers for some of the prisoners to have the cases moved to federal courts in Washington.

Should that happen, it could end the military's long-held goal of keeping those it has identified as "enemy combatants" out of the public spotlight and ensconced in the island prison.

The new report appears to buttress the military's claim that it should be allowed to run Camp Delta without outside intervention because the camp has become "the single best repository of Al Qaeda information."

The declassified summary cites more than 4,000 interrogation reports and says that some indicated Al Qaeda operatives were pursuing chemical, biological and nuclear weapons. The summary does not elaborate on what that information is or how close the terrorist organization might be to getting such weapons.

According to the report, captives have described how Al Qaeda trained them to spread deadly poisons, and at other times armed them with grenades stuffed inside soda cans, bombs hidden in pagers and cellphones and wristwatches that could trigger remote control explosions on a 24-hour countdown.

The report also showed that not all those being held were suspected of being front-line soldiers and that 1 in 10 of the captives were well-educated — often at U.S. colleges — in fields such as medicine and law.

More than 20 detainees have been positively identified as Osama bin Laden's personal bodyguards and one as his close "spiritual advisor," according to the report. Another is listed as the "probable 20th 9/11 hijacker" — a Saudi man named Mohamed al-Kahtani who made it to Orlando, Fla., before being deported just a month before the Sept. 11 attacks.

One detainee vowed to his captors that U.S. citizens in Saudi Arabia "will have their heads cut off." Another prisoner, this one with strong ties to Bin Laden, the Taliban and the Chechen mujahedin leadership, said of Americans everywhere: "Their day is coming…. One day I will enjoy sucking their blood."


Just because we've won the war on terror so easily doesn't mean these nutbags aren't genuine threats.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:00 AM

ANTI-BUSH, NOT PRO-KID:

On the Sidelines of the Most Important Civil Rights Battle Since 'Brown' (BRENT STAPLES, 4/18/05, NY Times)

The civil rights establishment was once a fiercely independent force that bedeviled politicians on both sides of the aisle and evaluated policies based on whether those policies harmed or helped the poor. This tradition of independence has disappeared. Over the last two decades, in fact, the old-line civil rights groups have evolved into wholly owned subsidiaries of the Democratic Party. The groups are disinclined to turn on their friends - or to openly embrace even beneficial policies that happen to have a Republican face.

This posture has been painfully evident in the debate surrounding the No Child Left Behind education law, a signature Bush administration reform that also happens to be the best hope for guaranteeing black and Latino children a chance at equal education. The law is not perfect and will need adjustments. But its core requirement that the states educate minority children to the same standards as white children breaks with a century-old tradition of educational unfairness. The new law could potentially surpass Brown v. Board of Education in terms of widening access to high-quality public education.

The same civil rights groups that sing hosannas to Brown have been curiously muted - and occasionally even hostile - to No Child Left Behind. But the groups have mainly been missing from the debate, according to Dr. James Comer, the educational reformer and Yale University psychiatrist. "They have been absent," Dr. Comer told me last week. "They need to pay attention to what works. They need to be in the middle of the fight because these are our kids."

Why are civil rights groups standing on the sidelines instead of fighting to ensure that this law succeeds? The reasons are numerous and complex. One of the most obvious is that civil rights officials and some black lawmakers are wary of embracing a law associated with a conservative Republican president.


Most Republicans are lukewarm because their constituents don't much want more minority kids in their schools; the Democratic Party opposes it because the Teachers Unions require them to; and the Civil Rights groups oppose it because they hate Republicans. The only supporters are minority parents and theocons--an increasingly important alliance.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:46 AM

WHY A SURPRISE?:

Basque nationalists win election (BBC, 4/18/05)

Ruling nationalists have won regional elections in Spain's Basque country.

But voters have dented their autonomy plan by denying them an absolute majority in the regional assembly.

The ruling moderate coalition, led by the Nationalist Basque Party's Juan Jose Ibarretxe, won 29 of the 75 seats, gaining just over 38% of the vote.

It lost four seats it won in 2001 elections, while candidates endorsed by a banned pro-independence party won a surprise nine seats.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:38 AM

NO BETTER TIME TO ACT:

Oil falls back below $50 a barrel (BBC, 4/18/05)

US oil prices have slipped to below $50 a barrel, an eight-week low, on sharp words from global finance chiefs about the threat to growth.

Ministers of the G7 group of industrial states over the weekend urged action over the "headwind" of energy costs.

US oil dipped as low as $49.66 a barrel, down 82 cents, while London's Brent crude fell 39 cents to $51.22.

Growing US stockpiles have eased oil price pressures, but concerns remain about strong global demand.


This is an ideal time to crank gas taxes, while folks have adjusted psychologically to higher prices.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:34 AM

LAMB TO THE SLAUGHTER:

Young Activist's Life Cut Short in Iraq Blast (Doug Smith, April 18, 2005, LA Times)

She hugged and laughed her way through war zones with an effervescence belying her seriousness of purpose.

No pass to get through a checkpoint? She leaned across her Iraqi driver to show the stern American guard the shock of blond hair beneath her flowing black robes.

"Please, please, please, please, please," she said, and then, "Where are you from?"

She waved aside tough-looking guards from all corners of the world, never looking back to see if they had raised an AK-47 in her direction. In her one-woman mission to make the United States take responsibility for the innocent victims of its wars, 28-year-old Marla Ruzicka bubbled with a passion that seemed to lift her beyond danger.

Iraq's random violence caught up with Ruzicka on Saturday. Her car pulled alongside a convoy of U.S. contractors just as a suicide bomber detonated his car. Ruzicka, her driver-translator and one guard on the convoy were killed. Five other people were wounded.

Her death stunned a wide circle of diplomats, government officials, soldiers, journalists and ordinary people from Baghdad to Kabul.

"God bless her pure soul, she was trying to help us," said Haj Natheer Bashir, the brother-in-law of an Iraqi teenager Ruzicka was trying to evacuate to the Bay Area for surgery. "She was just a kind lady."


Tough way to find out who the real enemies of the innocent are.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:27 AM

EVERYTHING WAS FINE UNTIL THE OTHER SIDE GOT A VOICE (via David Hill, The Bronx):

Fox's Sandstorm (William Raspberry, April 18, 2005, Washington Post)

The in-your-face right-wing partisanship that marks Fox News Channel's news broadcasts is having two dangerous effects.

The first is that the popularity of the approach -- Fox is clobbering its direct competition (CNN, CNBC, MSNBC, etc.) -- leads other cable broadcasters to mimic it, which in turn debases the quality of the news available to that segment of the TV audience.

The second, far more dangerous, effect is that it threatens to destroy public confidence in all news.

The latter, I admit, is more fear than prediction, but let me tell you what produces that fear. Fox News Channel -- though the people who run the operation are at great pains to insist otherwise -- is deliberately partisan.


He means openly, not deliberately. People trust Fox more precisely because it announces its biases--like thinking America should prevail in the war or that Palestinian bombers are terrorists--than they do the MSM outlets that pretend they're nonpartisan, lying either to themselves, to us, or both.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:18 AM

MAYBE SOME GOOD CAN COME OUT OF AN EVIL:

North Koreans think the unthinkable (Andrei Lankov, 4/19/05, Asia Times)

In the middle of the game, there was a heated argument between a North Korean player and a referee. Passions boiled over and Korean defender Nam Song-chol shoved Syrian referee Mohamed Kousa. The player was sent off, as is customary in such situations.

And then the violence erupted. The North Korean fans began to throw bottles, chairs and everything they could find at the Iranian players and referees. It took a few minutes before order was restored while the stadium loudspeakers demanded that fans stay calm.

The game was resumed and the North Korean team eventually lost 2-0, but the violence continued for almost two hours after the match. There were clashes between police and fans, and for a longtime Iranian players could not leave the stadium because of the unruly and outraged crowds outside. Eventually, order was restored, but the Iranian team's coach Branko Ivankovic told Reuters news agency: "We felt our lives were not safe. We tried to get on the bus after the game, but it was not possible. It was a very dangerous situation."

The official Korean Central News Agency described the match and inserted in the official report an unusual sentence: "At the end of the match, all the spectators were angered and vigorously protested the wrong refereeing by the Syrian referee and linesmen."

Meanwhile, Japanese soccer organizations have demanded that North Korean authorities improve security for a coming match with Japan's team. They also expressed concerns about the personal safety of Japanese fans, some of whom are likely to fly to Pyongyang.

As soccer riots go, the Kim Il-sung Stadium incident was definitely a moderate affair. Pyongyang "rioters" were very tame in comparison with like-minded fans in, say, Britain. There is also nothing new in the emergence of soccer hooliganism in a communist country; after all, the first soccer riots in the Soviet Union occurred in the 1970s - and initially they were relatively small-scale affairs, not unlike the violence in the Pyongyang stadium.

However, the violence in Kim Il-sung Stadium has major internal political implications that in the long term are probably far more important than all the justified worries of the Japanese fans. A soccer riot itself is hardly an exceptional event, but it is truly unusual that this time the violence erupted in Pyongyang, where residents for decades could not even think about breaking the public order and disobeying police and soldiers.


Ah, the sociology of soccer riots...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:11 AM

OVERINVESTED IN INSTABILITY:

China-Japan flames scald business (J Sean Curtin, 4/19/05, Asia Times)

The angry wave of anti-Japanese protests sweeping China for the past three weeks has generated a deep sense of unease in the business community as it threatens bilateral economic ties. Many fear that the current tensions, sparked initially by the approval of eight revisionist Japanese history textbooks, could significantly disrupt booming trade and investment flows.

Tokyo stocks plummeted across the board on Monday, with the key Nikkei index recording its biggest one-day loss in 11 months and ending at a four-month low. About 81 stocks fell for every one that gained on the Tokyo Stock Exchange's first section, its broadest decline since September 12, 2001, the day after the terror strikes in the United States. Monday's drop wiped US$115 billion off the value of stocks included in the Topix, reported Bloomberg.

Since the demonstrations begun, Japanese nationals working in China have begun to feel increasingly uneasy, and some are already planning to leave. Business confidence has taken a severe knock, especially after this weekend's violent anti-Japanese disturbances in Shanghai, a city where more than 40,000 Japanese expatriates live. Chinese threats to boycott Japanese goods as well as an escalating dispute about exploration rights in the East China Sea are edging a tense situation toward breaking point.

Until now, healthy bilateral trade volumes have been largely unaffected by poor Sino-Japanese political dialogue. However, there are very real indications that unless political leaders moderate their tough nationalist rhetoric, mutually beneficial economic bonds could start to deteriorate.


The Chinese collapse will also take pressure off oil prices.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:04 AM

ONE MORE REASON TO THANK ABNER:

Measuring the Bush Family History, and the President's Political Career, in Innings (ELISABETH BUMILLER, 4/18/05, NY Times)

President Bush's ceremonial first pitch last week at the home opener of the fledgling Washington Nationals baseball team was high and a little inside. In short, it was no match for the strike Mr. Bush threw to start Game 3 of the World Series in Yankee Stadium when the World Trade Center lay in ruins in the fall of 2001.

But the president's 60-foot throw from the top of the mound on a glorious spring evening in the capital was still a reminder that Mr. Bush, a former owner of the Texas Rangers and a self-described mediocre pitcher for a short time at Yale, owes much in his life - if not the presidency itself - to baseball.

When he was a child, the game was an obsession and a link to his father, the captain and first baseman on the Yale team. When he became an adult, the game made Mr. Bush a multimillionaire and helped start his political career, and now serves as an escape from the pressures of the White House. As Mr. Bush told sportswriters from The Washington Post, USA Today and The Washington Times last week, he spends "a fair amount of time" reading the box scores each day because it is "one way to take your mind off your job."

Mr. Bush also told them that he started paying attention to the Nationals lineup during spring training, that he kept close track of Rangers games (and the Houston Astros and others) via his White House satellite dish and that while he did not know if he would have won the presidency without his experience in baseball, it was a "good question."

It is in fact a better question than most people realize, as interviews last week attest. Anyone who knew Mr. Bush as an owner of the Rangers invariably described a man who was not just promoting a team but also building the image and political skills necessary to win the Texas governorship and the White House.


Beats the heck out of being a junior Senator.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:02 AM

IF ONLY THEY'D TRADED FOR ROYCE:

Take Me Out to the Opera: In Chicago, a Fan Is a Fan (BRUCE WEBER, 4/16/05, NY Times)

On Tuesday night, between Acts I and II of "Die Walküre" at Lyric Opera of Chicago, Plácido Domingo was backstage talking about the Chicago Cubs.

"I wish they could have more satisfaction," he said.

The great tenor was speaking from the vortex of a rare cultural confluence. Over the last week, the Cubs opened their home season at Wrigley Field, and the city's Lyric Opera was presenting Richard Wagner's four-opera "Ring des Nibelungen," which meant that two of the world's most fervid fan bases were simultaneously encamped on opposite sides of the Chicago River. (The Cubs left town on Tuesday; the "Ring" concludes on Saturday night.)

As Siegmund, Mr. Domingo was fresh from a standing ovation from the Ringheads, as the most obsessive Wagnerites somewhat sheepishly call themselves.

But as he was preparing to die heroically in the second act, what came to his mind was the night two Octobers ago when an oblivious fan at Wrigley Field interfered with a foul fly ball and cost the Cubs a shot at the World Series, the umpteenth disappointment for a franchise that has not won a championship since 1908. Not even Wagner, Mr. Domingo acknowledged, breaks your heart like the Cubs. "It makes me so sad," said Mr. Domingo, who is actually a Yankee rooter. "It's a much longer journey for them."

Perhaps it's a stretch to insist that a passion for baseball and a passion for opera are related, though the link is documented. For years, after all, Robert Merrill sang the national anthem at Yankee Stadium. But as Mr. Domingo intimated, the link seems most intense in Chicago, where the ache for a baseball victory is palpable (the White Sox are virtually as hapless as the Cubs), where theater, the symphony and the opera are virulent inspirers of local pride, and where a recent newspaper poll asking whether sports or the arts were more thrilling ended in a dead heat.


However, Siegmund, being European, threw like a girl.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:56 AM

WHAT EVOLUTION?:

Fossils Shed Light on Sea Turtle Evolution (AFP, Feb. 24, 2005)

Australian scientists Wednesday announced the discovery of a dozen fossils from some of the earliest species of sea turtle, which are believed to be 110 million years old.

Paleontologist Ben Kear said the fossils, found late last year in the northeastern state of Queensland, would help scientists understand why sea turtles have remained virtually unchanged for over 100 million years.

"For all intents and purposes, if you were to see one (it) would look basically the same as sea turtles do today," Kear said.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:28 AM

CO-OPTING THE BALD EAGLE IS BRILLIANT:

Nationals unveil their mascot (Associated Press, 4/17/05)

The Washington Nationals hatched their new mascot about 25 minutes before their victory over Arizona on Sunday: Screech, an oversized baby eagle.


The other symbol it would make sense for them to use is Uncle Sam.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

ATTACK THE ECONOMICS, NOT THE ECONOMISTS:

Brown insists IMF sums wrong after claim of budget black hole (FRASER NELSON AND GERRI PEEV, 4/18/05, The Scotsman)

GORDON Brown has launched an extraordinary attack on the International Monetary Fund, rubbishing its claim that he has a black hole in his budget and dismissing its British data as unreliable.

The Chancellor was in Washington sitting next to the IMF managing director when he said the global economic watchdog was incorrect in its prediction that he will either have to cut spending or raise taxes by £12billion.

His comments were even more remarkable as Mr Brown holds the rotating chairmanship of the IMF policy committee - and his remarks cast doubt on the accuracy of the entire range of data that it produces.


If you want to deficit spend just say so--don't blame the number crunchers.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

AND HE'S AN ADMIRER:

Rereading Saul Bellow (Philip Roth, 2000-10-09, The New Yorker)

“The Adventures of Augie March” (1953)

The transformation of the novelist who published “Dangling Man” in 1944 and “The Victim” in 1947 into the novelist who published “The Adventures of Augie March” in ’53 is revolutionary. Bellow overthrows everything: compositional choices grounded in narrative principles of harmony and order, a novelistic ethos indebted to Kafka’s “The Trial” and Dostoyevsky’s “The Double” and “The Eternal Husband,” as well as a moral perspective that can hardly be said to derive from delight in the flash, color, and plenty of existence. In “Augie March,” a very grand, assertive, freewheeling conception of both the novel and the world the novel represents breaks loose from all sorts of self-imposed strictures, the beginner’s principles of composition are subverted, and, like the character of Five Properties in “Augie March,” the writer is himself “hipped on superabundance.” The pervasive threat that organized the outlook of the hero and the action of the novel in “The Victim” and “Dangling Man” disappears, and the bottled-up aggression that was “The Victim” ’s Asa Leventhal and the obstructed will that was Joseph in “Dangling Man” emerge as voracious appetite. There is the narcissistic enthusiasm for life in all its hybrid forms propelling Augie March, and there is an inexhaustible passion for a teemingness of dazzling specifics driving Saul Bellow. [...]

Engorged sentences had existed before in American fiction—notably in Melville and Faulkner—but not quite like those in “Augie March,” which strike me as more than liberty-taking; when mere liberty-taking is driving a writer, it can easily lead to the empty flamboyance of some of “Augie March” ’s imitators. I read Bellow’s liberty-taking prose as the syntactical manifestation of Augie’s large, robust ego, that attentive ego roving and evolving, always in motion, alternately mastered by the force of others and escaping from it. There are sentences in the book whose effervescence, whose undercurrent of buoyancy leave one with the sense of so much going on, a theatrical, exhibitionistic, ardent prose tangle that lets in the dynamism of living without driving mentalness out. This voice no longer encountering resistance is permeated by mind while connected also to the mysteries of feeling. It’s a voice unbridled and intelligent both, going at full force and yet always sharp enough to sensibly size things up.


Put another way: narcissism and specificity rendered with indisciple.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

NOT QUITE THAT STUPID?:

Residents say reports of hostage-taking in Iraqi town were hoax (KHALID MOHAMMED, 4/17/05, The Associated Press)Iraqi security forces backed by U.S. troops had the town of Madain surrounded today after reports of Sunni militant kidnappings of as many as 100 Shiite residents, but there were growing indications the incident had been grossly exaggerated, perhaps an outgrowth of a tribal dispute or political maneuvering.

The town of about 1,000 families, evenly divided between Shiites and Sunnis, sits about 15 miles south of the capital in what the U.S. military has called the "Triangle of Death" because it has become a roiling stronghold of the militant insurgency.

An AP photographer and television cameraman who were in or near the town Sunday said large numbers of Iraqi forces had sealed it off, supported by U.S. forces farther away outside Madain.

The cameraman said he toured the town Sunday morning. People were going about their business normally, shops were open and tea houses were full, he said. Residents contacted by telephone also said everything was normal in Madain.

And American military officials said they were unaware of any U.S. role in what had been described as a tense sectarian standoff in which the Sunni militants were threatening to kill their Shiite captives if all other Shiites did not leave the town.
Thank goodness; an enemy that would do something that stupid is barely even worthy of killing.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THUS THE TIMEZONE RULE:

Risk-taking boys do not get the girls (Kurt Kleiner, 4/17/05, New Scientist)

WHETHER it's driving too fast, bungee-jumping or reckless skateboarding, young men will try almost anything to be noticed by the opposite sex. But a study of attitudes to risk suggests that the only people impressed by their stunts are other men.

Futile risk-taking might seem to have little going for it in Darwinian terms. So why were our rash ancestors not replaced by more cautious contemporaries?

One idea is that risk-takers are advertising their fitness to potential mates by showing off their strength and bravery. This fits with the fact that men in their prime reproductive years take more risks. To test this idea, William Farthing of the University of Maine in Orono surveyed 48 young men and 52 young women on their attitudes to risky scenarios. Men thought women would be impressed by pointless gambles, but women in fact preferred cautious men (Evolution and Human Behaviour, vol 26, p 171).


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

OUR OWN SLICE OF EUROPE:

Shrinking pains (Robert David Sullivan, April 17, 2005, Boston Globe)

MASSACHUSETTS IS a loser. According to figures released on Thursday by the US Census Bureau, the Bay State ranked 50th in population growth last year, and was the only state to suffer a population decline - losing 3,852 out of some 6.4 million people.

''Good!'' you might say, especially if you're someone who fights traffic on Route 128 every day or worries about all our open space being gobbled up by developers. Massachusetts is the third most densely populated state in the United States (behind New Jersey and Rhode Island), so it may seem a matter of fairness to shove some people elsewhere - even if the logical extension of this argument is to build more homes in the Everglades or the White Mountains.

But a stagnant population does Massachusetts little good, and may actually do harm.


How fitting it was that the Democrats chose a presidential candidate from our most European state.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

IN BETTER TIMES HE'D HAVE SWUNG:

Support for War Puts Labor MP's Seat in Jeopardy: Blair's Party Falters, Even in Stronghold (Glenn Frankel, April 18, 2005, Washington Post)

For Britain's ruling Labor Party there are few more loyal strongholds than the Bethnal Green and Bow district in London's East End, a blue-collar enclave of public housing complexes, small shops and recent immigrants. But this time around the party's candidate is in trouble here, and the reason is simple: the war in Iraq.

Two years ago, Oona King, the Labor incumbent and one of only two black women in Parliament, backed Prime Minister Tony Blair in supporting the war. King, who is Jewish, survived a subsequent attempt by her constituents in the party to depose her as their candidate, but now she faces a stiff challenge from a Labor heretic who has come to Bethnal Green for the express purpose of evicting her from office.

George Galloway, a colorful dissident who sports impeccable left-wing credentials, tailored suits and the nickname "Gorgeous George," was drummed out of the party two years ago after vituperatively denouncing Blair over the war. He helped found a splinter party called Respect, which has decided its best chance to win a House of Commons seat in the May 5 general elections is here in Labor's urban heartland, where more than 40 percent of the population is Muslim.

The result has been an increasingly nasty contest. Galloway has branded King "a new Labor stooge" and claimed at a recent debate that "100,000 people lie dead as a result of the decisions she made." King responded by citing Galloway's two trips to Baghdad to meet with Saddam Hussein, the Iraqi president, in the years before the war led to his ouster. "When I come across someone who is guilty of genocide I do not get on a plane and go to Baghdad and grovel at his feet," she said.

Analysts say the contest is too close to call...


Well, they survived Mosley...


April 17, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:55 PM

THERE'S YOUR NEXT COMMISSIONER:

First Fan Knows His Way Around the Diamond (Al Kamen, April 18, 2005, Washington Post)

And now, the In the Loop Award for political reporting goes to Washington Post sports columnist Thomas Boswell for his insightful coverage of opening day for the Washington Nationals at RFK Stadium and particularly his interview of Nationals President Tony Tavares.

Tavares, who had chatted with President Bush and Baseball Commissioner Bud Selig, said Bush was "so up on the game that it's astounding." At one point, he said by way of example, a question arose as to who was the best catcher in the National League.

"I blanked on who catches for the Phillies," Tavares said. "I asked the commissioner. He didn't know. The president said, '[Mike] Lieberthal.' "


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:53 PM

WATT'S WORLD:

Bush's 'Competitive Sourcing' Worries Disabled Workers: Initiative May Put Employees With Special Needs At a Decided Disadvantage, Their Advocates Say (Christopher Lee, April 18, 2005, Washington Post)

David Goodman, a clerk at the National Institutes of Health in Bethesda, is caught between two conflicting federal policies, one that helped him get his federal job 14 years ago and another that soon may take it away.

Goodman, 34, has autism, a developmental disability that affects the brain and impairs a person's social skills and reasoning. He landed his job in NIH's Occupational Health and Safety Division in 1991 as a "Schedule A" appointee, the beneficiary of long-standing government policies that promote the employment of people with disabilities in federal agencies.

"It's a nice job. I like the people that work there. They are nice to me," said Goodman, who works from 8 a.m. to 4:15 p.m. every weekday and lives independently in an apartment in Rockville.

Last month, his family learned that Goodman is among tens of thousands of federal employees, the vast majority of them not disabled, whose agencies are evaluating whether their jobs could be performed better and more cheaply by a private contractor. It is all part of President Bush's "competitive sourcing" initiative, which requires civil servants across the government to prove they can do their work more efficiently than private contractors, or risk seeing the work outsourced.

The initiative has thrown a scare into many federal workers, who are anxious about whether they will be forced to go to work for a private contractor or find themselves with no job at all. But the policy is especially vexing for employees with disabilities and their advocates. They fear that a strict economic comparison puts such workers at a decided disadvantage because they often require more supervision and extra help, and therefore cost more to employ.


It's typical that they focus here on what even the author acknowledges is a rather marginal effect of the reform.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:45 PM

HOW YA' GONNA KEEP 'EM DOWN ON THE KIBBUTZ ONCE THEY'VE SEEN PROGENY?:

Can We Make Boys and Girls Alike? (Stanley Kurtz, Spring 2005, City Journal)

What if a society existed whose citizens, motivated by a burning passion for perfect justice, committed themselves to a total reorganization of the traditional family system, with the express purpose of eliminating gender? Such a society has existed, of course: the early Israeli kibbutz movement. The movement wasn’t just a precursor to modern feminism, it’s important to add. The kibbutzniks were utopian socialists who wanted to construct a society where the ideal of “from each according to his ability, to each according to his needs” would govern the production and distribution of goods. It was as part of this larger socialist vision that the kibbutzniks set out to wipe away gender.

Kibbutz parents agreed to see their own children only two hours a day, and for the remaining 22 hours to surrender them to the collective, which would raise them androgynously (trying more to “masculinize” women than “feminize” men). Boys and girls would henceforth do the same kind of work and wear the same kind of clothes. Girls would learn to be soldiers, just like boys. Signs of “bourgeois” femininity—makeup, say—would now be taboo. As if they had stepped out of Plato’s Republic, the children would dress and undress together and even use the same showers.

The experiment collapsed within a generation, and a traditional family and gender system reasserted itself. Why? Those who believe in hardwired natural differences obviously would say that cultural conditioning couldn’t remove the sexes’ genetic programming. Indeed, in his now-infamous conference remarks, Lawrence Summers invoked the history of the kibbutz movement to help make his case that biology might partially explain sex roles.

Feminists, though, say that the kibbutz experiment didn’t get a fair chance. However committed to gender justice the kibbutzniks might have been, they were all traditional Europeans by upbringing. Somehow they must have transmitted the old cultural messages about gender to the children. Perhaps, too, those messages came from the larger Israeli society, from which it was impossible to shelter the boys and girls entirely. What’s more—and Chodorow would doubtless emphasize this fact—the kibbutz child-care nurses were all women. A 50/50 male-female mix might have done the trick.

Yet American androgyny proponents rarely refer to the kibbutz experiment—for understandable reasons. Its failure—even if you accept their own cultural explanation for it—puts a serious damper on the idea of androgynizing America. In the U.S., after all, there’s nothing remotely approaching the level of commitment to surmounting gender found among the early kibbutzniks. If androgyny proved unattainable in a small socialist society whose citizens self-selected for radical feminist convictions, how could one bring it about in contemporary America, where most people don’t want it? It would take a massive amount of coercion—unacceptable in any democracy—to get us even to the point where the kibbutzniks were when they failed to build a post-gender society.

The best account of the experiment’s breakdown, offered by anthropologist Melford Spiro in his books Gender and Culture and Children of the Kibbutz, points out an even bigger obstacle to androgyny. Ultimately, Spiro argues, the kibbutzniks didn’t succeed because the mothers wanted their kids back. They wanted to take care of their young children in the old-fashioned way, themselves. Two hours a day with their kids wasn’t enough. Even among the kibbutz founders, Spiro notes, women often agonized over the sacrifice of maternal pleasure that their egalitarian ideology demanded. He quotes from one mother’s autobiography: “Is it right to make the child return for the night to the children’s home, to say goodnight to it and send it back to sleep among the fifteen or twenty others? This parting from the child before sleep is so unjust!” Such feelings persisted and intensified, until collective pressure forced the kibbutz to let parents spend extra time with their kids.

Spiro holds that a pre-cultural form of maternal instinct subverted the kibbutz’s child-rearing approach. But a plausible cultural explanation is even more devastating to feminist hopes for a gender-free America. What really defeated androgyny on the kibbutz, this interpretation posits, was the profound tension built in to the very culture of modern democratic individualism that the kibbutzniks embraced—the tension between liberty and equality. As part of their insistence on their unique individuality, the kibbutzniks recognized the unabridgeable unique individuality of everyone else. Hence, their insistence on radical equality. Full equality meant that everyone had to treat everyone else the same way. Even the differences between my children and the neighbors’ kids would have to go. They pretended that their children belonged to the collective—“child of the kibbutz,” they would say, not “my child.”

But the other side of democratic individualism is the idea that each of us is uniquely individual. And inseparable from this individualism are certain aspirations—to express yourself personally, and to treat yourself, your possessions, and your family differently from how you treat everyone else. Child rearing doesn’t escape these aspirations. In fact, in modern societies people pay far greater attention to the unique characters of their children than people do in traditional, group-oriented societies. Lavishing intense, personal attention on their kids is a favorite way for modern individuals to exercise personal liberty.

Kibbutz mothers who hoped to treat everyone the same thus also wanted to express their individual characters by molding their own kids. The two goals—reflecting the two sides of modern democratic individualism—were finally incommensurable. Eventually, the desire for personal expression trumped the quest for radical equality. The parents decided to raise their own kids in their own way. No one ever got the chance to find out if further tinkering might have eliminated their children’s gender differences.

The culture of democratic individualism characterizes contemporary America, too, of course, and it still cuts two ways. Feminists insist on radical equality, and androgyny is the logical outcome of that drive for equality. Yet at the same time, especially since the baby boomers came on the scene, many American women have treated the experience of motherhood as an exercise in self-expression—indeed, they do so more fervently than the kibbutzniks.

A modern, self-expressive, committed-to-full-equality American mother might know that her child is getting quality care from a relative, a nanny, or a nursery, but she’ll often feel dissatisfied, since the care isn’t hers. Part of the point of being a parent, she’ll feel, is to express one’s unique personality through how one cares for and shapes one’s children. In practical terms, she’ll be reluctant to give up her kids long enough to break the cycle of “gender reproduction.”

True, the last 40 years have seen tremendous changes in the social roles of men and women—changes that could never have happened were there not significant flexibility in gender roles. From the standpoint of feminism’s ideal of androgyny, though, the shift is still very partial. Until the link between women and child rearing completely breaks down, neither corporate boardrooms nor Harvard professorships of mathematics will see numerical parity between men and women. In the meantime, in disproportionate numbers, at critical points in their careers, women will continue to choose mothering over professional work.

From either a biological or cultural point of view, then, the feminist project of androgyny is ultimately doomed.


In the end, every question of human affairs comes down to nothing but the tension between freedom and security (liberty and equality).


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:37 PM

PHILLIES FANS WOULD HAVE BOOED:

Musharraf cheered by Indian cricket fans (Peter Foster, 18/04/2005, Daily Telegraph)

Indians gave Gen Pervez Musharraf, Pakistan's president, a rousing reception at a New Delhi cricket match yesterday in a show of support for detente between the two nations.

Gen Musharraf, an ardent cricket fan, watched two hours of a one-day international with his Indian counterpart, Dr Manmohan Singh, before talks aimed at improving relations between the old enemies.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:35 PM

THE UNSPEAKABLE IN LOVE WITH THE UNWATCHABLE:

Why John Stewart Is All the Rage (Harry Stein, Spring 2005, City Journal)

To say Jon Stewart enjoys an adoring press is like saying Bill Gates has a few bucks. In story after glowing story, the boyish 42-year-old host of Comedy Central’s hit fake newscast, The Daily Show, and author of the best-selling fake history text America (The Book) comes off as a lighthearted, twenty-first-century Diogenes: a fearless truth teller in an age of shameless pandering.

As Newsweek had it in a typically rapturous cover story, Stewart is a man “bravely battling pomposity and misinformation,” his TV show “a fearless social satire” and a “work of genius.” “When future historians come to write the political story of our times,” intoned Bill Moyers on his recently ended PBS show, “they will first have to review hundreds of hours of a cable television program called The Daily Show. You simply can’t understand American politics in the new millennium without The Daily Show.” “Mr. Stewart has turned his parodistic TV news show into a cultural force significantly larger than any mere satire of media idiocies,” chimed in the New York Times’s Frank Rich in a column entitled jon stewart’s perfect pitch, one of—count ‘em— 16 he’s written lauding the comedian. Along with such over-the-top encomia, The Daily Show has won multiple Emmys and even several prestigious journalism prizes, including a Peabody Award and the Television Critics Association Award for Outstanding Achievement in News and Information (beating out real news shows).

While all this is certainly heady for Stewart and his fans, what does it mean? After all, the fair-minded viewer might find the half-hour show intermittently humorous, but he won’t detect anything “fearless” or even especially original in it. In truth, Stewart’s elevation to near-iconic status says more about those doing the elevating than about the comedian himself. His “bravery” and much-vaunted grasp of political nuance consists mostly of his embrace of every reflexive assumption shared by every litmus-tested liberal holding forth at every chic Manhattan dinner party.


It's not his fault that all comedy is conservative.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:30 PM

LOSING THE FIGHT THEY'RE "WINNING":

Democrats change strategy; tactic just looked stubborn (Glen Johnson, 4/17/05, ASSOCIATED PRESS)

House Democrats have decided to quit emphasizing that they will not negotiate changes to Social Security until President Bush drops his idea for private accounts.

The switch in strategy comes after Democrats learned from focus groups that people frown on the lawmakers for being obstinate.

"People feel like it doesn't show a good-faith effort," said a top House aide, who like several others spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the internal data. "It makes us seem like we're 'typical politicians."' [...]

"It may seem like a long time to you, but realistically, we've really just started," Bush told the American Society of Newspaper Editors last week.


It's almost possible to pity them. Even the issues they think they're doing well on at the moment are deadly for them in the longer term.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:39 PM

THE PAINFUL AWARENESS:

When men appeal from Tyranny to God (Edward Coleson, June 1972, The Freeman)

Our Founding Fathers quite properly had a bad conscience because of their own inconsistencies, for their claims to freedom were based on an appeal to a Higher Power, not just to some abstract principles as with the French Revolution a few years later. After all, their ancestors had resisted the tyranny of their rulers for centuries by insisting that "the King is also under God and under the Law." The Puritans had even fought a war with Charles I a little more than a century and a quarter before our Revolution to maintain their God-given right to freedom. Patrick Henry later reminded George III that Charles I had had his Cromwell just as Caesar had had his Brutus, but the figure of speech was not appropriate. It would have been more fitting to remind His Majesty that David had had his Nathan, Ahab his Elijah, Belshazzar his Daniel, and Herod his John the Baptist, to name a few kings and their prophets; like Byron's "Prisoner of Chillon," the Puritans were wont to "appeal from tyranny to God." This was more than a pious gesture or a political gimmick, more than high sounding rhetoric without any basis in reality. The Puritans were men of a Book and they found principles therein that applied to the Old Testament era and to the England of the Stuarts as well.

The typical oriental despot of the ancient Near East was a godking, head of both Church and State. When religion was a powerful force, this gave his subjects no appeal from his authority. The Hebrew prophets resisted similar pressures from their rulers and never let them forget that "the most High ruleth in the kingdom of men. . . ." (Daniel 4:25) This was the Puritan approach. In like manner a few hardy Germans more recently reminded Hitler, "Gott is mein Führer." Such thinking is so foreign to modern philosophy and legal theory that Hitler had his way with the German nation - to its ultimate destruction. But it has not always been so.

The men who founded our nation were very conscious of the concept of a Higher Law. It would not be an exaggeration to say our government was founded on this principle. Ten years before our "embattled farmers fired the shot heard round the world" at Lexington and Concord, William Blackstone began the publication of his famous Commentaries on the Laws of England, dedicated to the proposition that God is the ultimate authority. The colonists so avidly seized on his writings that a decade later Burke told Parliament, on the eve of the American Revolution, that there were more copies of Blackstone's Commentaries in the Colonies than in England.

It has been customary in the "debunking era" of the recent past to insist that our colonial leaders were not saints and that those who may have made any religious pretensions were more apt to be Deists than Christians. Certainly there was a considerable influence from the Enlightenment on this side of the Atlantic, but at least Deists believed in God's Law. Even such a notorious enemy of the "religious establishment" as Voltaire is quoted as saying that if there were no God, we should have to invent one, By contrast, contemporary philosophers say, according to Harvey Cox, "If God did exist, we should have to abolish Him." We have come a long way since the founding of this nation and it has not all been uphill. If they did not always live up to the standards set by their own consciences, as in the case of slavery, they were still painfully aware of their shortcomings, They also believed in their accountability to the Judge of all the earth "God is not dead, nor doth he sleep," as Longfellow tells us in the familiar Christmas carol.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:31 PM

MISSISSIPPI WITH FJORDS:

We're Rich, You're Not. End of Story (BRUCE BAWER, 4/17/05, NY Times)

THE received wisdom about economic life in the Nordic countries is easily summed up: people here are incomparably affluent, with all their needs met by an efficient welfare state. They believe it themselves. Yet the reality - as this Oslo-dwelling American can attest, and as some recent studies confirm - is not quite what it appears.

Even as the Scandinavian establishment peddles this dubious line, it serves up a picture of the United States as a nation divided, inequitably, among robber barons and wage slaves, not to mention armies of the homeless and unemployed. It does this to keep people believing that their social welfare system, financed by lofty income taxes, provides far more in the way of economic protections and amenities than the American system. Protections, yes -but some Norwegians might question the part about amenities. [...]

All this was illuminated last year in a study by a Swedish research organization, Timbro, which compared the gross domestic products of the 15 European Union members (before the 2004 expansion) with those of the 50 American states and the District of Columbia. (Norway, not being a member of the union, was not included.)

After adjusting the figures for the different purchasing powers of the dollar and euro, the only European country whose economic output per person was greater than the United States average was the tiny tax haven of Luxembourg, which ranked third, just behind Delaware and slightly ahead of Connecticut.

The next European country on the list was Ireland, down at 41st place out of 66; Sweden was 14th from the bottom (after Alabama), followed by Oklahoma, and then Britain, France, Finland, Germany and Italy. The bottom three spots on the list went to Spain, Portugal and Greece.

Alternatively, the study found, if the E.U. was treated as a single American state, it would rank fifth from the bottom, topping only Arkansas, Montana, West Virginia and Mississippi. In short, while Scandinavians are constantly told how much better they have it than Americans, Timbro's statistics suggest otherwise. So did a paper by a Swedish economics writer, Johan Norberg.

Contrasting "the American dream" with "the European daydream," Mr. Norberg described the difference: "Economic growth in the last 25 years has been 3 percent per annum in the U.S., compared to 2.2 percent in the E.U. That means that the American economy has almost doubled, whereas the E.U. economy has grown by slightly more than half. The purchasing power in the U.S. is $36,100 per capita, and in the E.U. $26,000 - and the gap is constantly widening."


And given their Protestant heritage and small and homogenous populations the Scandanavian nations start out with huge advantages. It takes a herculean effort to squander them.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:07 PM

NO HEROES:

Turkey Says 523,000 Were Killed by Armenians Between 1910 and 1922 (SEBNUM ARSU, 4/17/05 NY Times)

The Turkish State Archive issued today a list of more than 523,000 Turks whom it said were killed by Armenians in Turkey between 1910 and 1922.

The move appeared intended to counter longstanding Armenian contentions that Turkish Ottoman officials committed genocide during a period of mass deportations of Armenians that began in 1915.

Turkey fears that the 90th anniversary of the start of the violence, which Armenians and their supporters plan to mark on April 24, will cause widespread anti-Turkish feeling. It is also concerned that the issue could interfere with its plans to start talks with the European Union in October for possible membership. There have been growing calls from other countries for Turkey to acknowledge its role with regard to the Armenians.

Last week, Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan and the Turkish Parliament called for an international study of the events of that period, but senior Armenia officials turned down the proposal.


It's revealing that Armenians don't want events studied too closely.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:53 PM

HAPPY PATRIOT'S DAY!:

Steinbrenner Angry As Yanks Fall to 4-8 (DAVID GINSBURG, Apr 17, 2005, The Associated Press)

George Steinbrenner is tired of waiting for his New York Yankees to get going. Now he's angry. Miguel Tejada hit his eighth career grand slam, and the Baltimore Orioles roughed up Kevin Brown and completed a three-game sweep of New York with an 8-4 victory Sunday. The last-place Yankees (4-8) have dropped four straight and eight of 10 overall.

"Enough is enough. I am bitterly disappointed as I'm sure all Yankee fans are by the lack of performance by our team," Steinbrenner said in a statement issued immediately after the game.

"It is unbelievable to me that the highest-paid team in baseball would start the season in such a deep funk. They are not playing like true Yankees. They have the talent to win and they are not winning. I expect Joe Torre, his complete coaching staff and the team to turn this around."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:49 PM

APRES CRICKET:

New tone in India-Pakistan ties: The leaders of the two countries met Sunday in India to talk Kashmir, bus routes, and trade. (Scott Baldauf, 4/18/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

While both the Indians and the Pakistanis have been remarkably quiet about the content of discussions, those close to the Indian government say that India has begun to press Pakistan to accept the so-called Line of Control as a permanent division of Kashmir. Western diplomats here say this is a sensible solution. India and Pakistan have fought three wars against each other (four, if you count the Pakistani incursion of 1999 at the Kashmiri town of Kargil), and neither side is willing to give up territory that was won at significant cost in lives and money.

In the meantime, India has proposed seven "confidence-building measures," including additional bus routes between Indian and Pakistani Kashmir, increased cross-border trade, joint promotion of tourism, and cooperation on environmental issues such as forest management. Sunday the two sides agreed to increase transport links, boost business ties, and explore ways to reduce the military presence in Kashmir. [...]

Kashmiri separatist leaders welcome any move that makes life easier for the Kashmiri people. But, they add, bus services do not solve the problem.

"India and Pakistan alone cannot decide the fate of the Kashmiri people," says Yasin Malik, chairman of Jammu and Kashmir Liberation Front, a separatist party. "The bus service between Srinagar and Muzaffarabad is a creative CBM [confidence-building measure]. But it is unfortunate. Both India and Pakistan did not bother to take people of Kashmir into consultation in the process."

"If they had been part of the consultation process, this bus process, they would have celebrated," Mr. Malik adds. "It would have been the biggest celebration in Kashmir. Instead, they feel humiliated. If the Kashmiri people will not be a part of the process, then you are pushing Kashmiri youth toward the militants."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:05 PM

JUST WIN, BABY:

Iraq militias 'could beat rebels' (Jim Muir, 4/17/05, BBC News)

Iraq's new president has said the insurgency could be ended immediately if the authorities made use of Kurdish, Shia Muslim and other militias.

Jalal Talabani said this would be more effective than waiting for Iraqi forces to take over from the US-led coalition.

Mr Talabani, a Kurd, also told the BBC he would not sign a death warrant for captured former leader Saddam Hussein.

And he warned that any attempt to impose an Islamic government on Iraq would break up the country.

He said the Shia religious parties with whom the Kurds have struck a partnership to underpin the new government have agreed to a compromise whereby Islam will be one of several sources for Iraqi law. [...]

He admitted that the Americans remained opposed to the idea of a role for irregular forces.

"But we are independent now," he added.


Screw the Americans--there's a war to be won.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:28 PM

LIVING HISTORY:

History called up for Duty: Century's worth of memories come to life when former Negro leaguer Ted Radcliffe reminisces `I didn't care about anything else. Baseball was it,' says oldest living professional (WILLIAM GILDEA, 4/13/05, WASHINGTON POST

Here he comes now, hunched over his walker, all dressed up in a dark pinstriped suit and grey fedora, making his way with some difficulty out of the sunlight of a late Sunday afternoon and into the Negro League Cafe. Many of the patrons recognize him as a baseball legend. He is guided to the VIP banquette along the back wall, where he can relax and tell stories about when he played the game, and at the same time observe all the patrons in the restaurant. He is delighted by the coincidence that a women's group of maybe 65 have gathered in the room for dinner, boasting of a still-keen eye for the ladies. He is 102 years old.

Ted (Double Duty) Radcliffe gives off a rumbling laugh as he takes a seat, raising his smiling face on a tilt and ordering chicken. The writer Damon Runyon dubbed him "Double Duty" after seeing him catch a shutout by Satchel Paige and then pitch a shutout himself in the second game of a Negro leagues doubleheader at Yankee Stadium. He played baseball as a catcher and pitcher for 36 years, until 1954. He was the only man to hit a home run off Paige and strike out Josh Gibson.

Double Duty still has the squat build of a catcher, about 5-feet-10, 200 pounds. He also managed for 22 years.

Family and friends call him Duty.

"Duty, do you want the greens and the macaroni?" asks his grandniece, Debra Richards.

"No, just the chicken. Just the chicken.''

Duty is the oldest living professional baseball player of a Washington-based team, having played off and on for the Homestead Grays. He is older than the oldest living former Washington Senator, Cuban pitcher Connie Marrero, 94.

In fact, Radcliffe, the oldest living Negro leagues player, is older than any living former major leaguer, topping 100-year-old Ray Cunningham, an infielder with the St. Louis Cardinals in the early 1930s. Al Spearman, who played in the Negro leagues and is 78, has this to say: "Duty was before my time.''


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:36 PM

NO LONGER RULING THE ROOST:

The Republicans poll;
Democrats plead
(Don Surber, 4/14/05, Charleston Daily Mail)

West Virginians know why Democrats brought in Barack Obama to raise money for Bob Byrd's bid for a ninth term.

Byrd is acting scared.

He is a legend. He never won a Senate race by less than 30 points. West Virginians put him right up there with Sears and Carter's liver pills.

But times change, and whatever my disagreements with Byrd may be, he is a masterful politician.

Byrd taught Ted Kennedy how to count votes in a 1971 upset over the No. 2 post in the Senate. Kennedy miscalculated.

Byrd continues counting. He might see himself falling a few votes short this time.

The National Republican Senatorial Committee did a telephone poll of 500 likely voters on March 15-16 and found Republican Congresswoman Shelley Capito is within 10 points of Byrd.

Byrd was ahead 52 percent to 42. The margin of error is 4.3 percent, meaning that in 19 out of 20 cases, the numbers for the two would fall between 48 and 56 for Byrd and 38 and 46 for Capito.

The days of the 30-point wins may have passed.


Ms Capito should speak to Al D'amato.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:31 PM

SOUL?:

A psychosis in the French soul: a review of The American Enemy by Philippe Roger (George Walden, Sunday Telegraph)

Here is a tasty statistic: when the US went into Iraq a survey showed that America's popularity plunged everywhere - except in France. The French opposed the invasion vehemently, but the country was already so saturated in anti-Americanism that the index scarcely flickered. Which makes Philippe Roger, a professor at the Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales, a brave and lonely man. His book is that seemingly impossible thing: an attack on French Americophobia written by a Frenchman. For, as he demonstrates in this scholarly yet highly entertaining work, the French allergy to all things American is a national psychosis which today tells us more about the condition of France than it does about the United States. [...]

"Rabid animals" was Sartre's somewhat rabid phrase for Americans after the execution of the Rosenbergs (Communist spies whose treason has recently been confirmed). His solution was to "break all ties that bind us to America". This he did, refusing to go there, which proved useful, since he never had to justify his increasingly surreal claims about American Cold War atrocities to US audiences. The boycott by the intellectual Left had the effect of sealing France even more hermetically in her anti-American neuroses.


Couldn't we send them our intellectuals and seal the whole place?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:23 PM

PATRIOT DAME:

Thatcher: 'Save Scotland's regiments' (EDDIE BARNES, 2/17/05, The Scotsman)

BARONESS Thatcher has struck her first blow in the election battle by making an impassioned call to save Scotland’s historic infantry regiments from the axe.

The former Conservative Prime Minister has condemned the government’s plans to amalgamate the six Scottish infantry regiments into a single super-regiment as "irresponsible", "painful" and "damaging".

She added that, with the threat of "evil" ever present, now was a time to strengthen the nation’s defences, rather than weaken them.

The characteristically robust attack marks Thatcher’s entry into election hostilities and is sure to propel the future of Scotland’s regiments to the forefront of the agenda north of the Border.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:15 PM

ASYMMETRY:

Labor Dept. Plans Increasing Scrutiny of Union Finances (STEVEN GREENHOUSE, 4/17/05, NY Times)

The Bush administration is rapidly expanding audits of the nation's labor unions, citing a need to ferret out and deter corruption. But union leaders assert that those increased efforts are nothing more than crude political retaliation.

Pointing to embezzlement of hundreds of thousands of dollars by the presidents of the ironworkers union and Washington's teachers union, Labor Department officials say the number of audits fell too far in the 1990's and needs to be restored to previous levels.

They note that the number of national unions and locals that were audited fell to 206 in 2000, from 1,080 in 1991. By contrast, the department did more than 500 audits last year and hopes to do even more this year. To bolster its drive further, it expects to add 48 full-time workers to its union-auditing unit this year, a 14 percent increase, despite cuts in other areas.

"I think you need a minimum level of enforcement, which is something I don't think this agency was able to do for a while," said Lary F. Yud, deputy director of the Labor Department office that investigates unions. "I think we need to do a certain level of audits in order to create an effective deterrent."

Labor leaders see the new effort as retaliation for their nearly unanimous support for Senator John Kerry in the 2004 presidential election.


They go after a cipher like Tom DeLay, we go after their base--who wins?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:45 AM

FOR THEIR FREEDOM AND OURS:

Was the Pope Polish? Yes, Thank God (Lech Walesa, April 17, 2005, LA Times)

Through his life, words and writings, Pope John Paul II provided the bedrock upon which we Poles built political and historical greatness and unleashed the hope for freedom that continues to spread. Because of his well-timed testimony, we live in a different Poland — one in which I can express myself freely — and a different world.

In the '40s and '50s, we fought with weapons in our hands. In the '60s and '70s, strikes and demonstrations thundered through Poland's streets. But time after time, the authorities broke our ranks, crushed our uprisings.

Throughout the Communist bloc, totalitarian armies and agents combated each attempt to move toward freedom, defeated every struggle toward democracy and undermined all efforts to organize for change.

For years before the pope's visit in 1979, I had tried to organize a group to fight communism, seeking support from Poland's 40 million people. In two decades, I attracted 10 fellow activists. People had no hope that they could overthrow communism and no faith that world leaders would offer support. The enslaved societies were in bad shape, weakened by uncertainty and apprehension.

Then something unbelievable happened. A Pole became pope.


And the rest was just details.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:43 AM

129 'best' films: rich, risky and enduring: One critic's must-see titles won't be yours, but let's start talking. Chaplin, Sturges, Brando, and don't forget "The Man With Two Brains." (Peter Rainer, April 17, 2005, LA Times)

The movie lover's must-haves

Not every important film is available on DVD — see the accompanying list for some we're still waiting for — but here's a collection of discs that deserve room in your library. From Almodóvar to Zinnemann, there's something for everyone.

Aguirre, The Wrath of God
(Werner Herzog, 1972)

A Hard Day's Night
(Richard Lester, 1964)

Alexander Nevsky
(Sergei Eisenstein, 1938)

The Apu trilogy
(Satyajit Ray):
Pather Panchali (1955)
Aparajito (1956)
The World of Apu (1959)

A Short Film About Killing
(Krzysztof Kieslowski, 1988)

A Streetcar Named Desire
(Elia Kazan, 1951)

The Band Wagon
(Vincente Minnelli, 1953)

The Battle of Algiers
(Gillo Pontecorvo, 1965)

Beauty and the Beast
(Jean Cocteau, 1946)

The Best Years of Our Lives
(William Wyler, 1946)

The Bicycle Thief
(Vittorio De Sica, 1947)

The Big Sleep
(Howard Hawks, 1946)

The Birth of a Nation
(D.W. Griffith, 1915)

Blue Velvet
(David Lynch, 1986)

Bonnie and Clyde
(Arthur Penn, 1967)

Breathless
(Jean-Luc Godard, 1959)

Bringing Up Baby
(Howard Hawks, 1938)

Broken Blossoms
(D.W. Griffith, 1919)

Cabaret
(Bob Fosse, 1972)

Carrie
(Brian De Palma, 1976)

Children of Paradise
(Marcel Carné, 1945)

Chimes at Midnight/Falstaff
(Orson Welles, 1966)

Chinatown
(Roman Polanski, 1974)

Christ Stopped at Eboli
(Francesco Rosi, 1979)

City Lights
(Charles Chaplin, 1931)

Crumb
(Terry Zwigoff, 1994)

Day of Wrath
(Carl Dreyer, 1943)

Dead of Night
(Alberto Cavalcanti episode, 1945)

Diary of a Country Priest
(Robert Bresson, 1950)

Dog Day Afternoon
(Sidney Lumet, 1975)

Double Indemnity
(Billy Wilder, 1944)

Dr. Strangelove
(Stanley Kubrick, 1964)

Duck Soup
(Leo McCarey, 1933)

The Earrings of Madame De …
(Max Ophuls, 1953)

Earth
(Alexander Dovzhenko, 1930)

8 1/2
(Federico Fellini, 1963)

The Empire Strikes Back (Star Wars — Episode 5)
(Irvin Kerschner, 1980)

Enemies, A Love Story
(Paul Mazursky, 1989)

The Entertainer
(Tony Richardson, 1960)

E.T.
(Steven Spielberg, 1982)

Everything You Always Wanted to Know About Sex
(Woody Allen, 1972)

Freaks
(Tod Browning, 1932)

From Here to Eternity
(Fred Zinnemann, 1953)

Funny Girl
(William Wyler, 1968)

The General
(Buster Keaton, Clyde Bruckman, 1927)

Get Out Your Handkerchiefs
(Bertrand Blier, 1978)

The Godfather
(Francis Ford Coppola, 1972)

The Godfather Part II
(Francis Ford Coppola, 1974)

The Gold Rush
(Charles Chaplin, 1925)

Grand Illusion
(Jean Renoir, 1937)

The Great Escape
(John Sturges, 1963)

Great Expectations
(David Lean, 1946)

Henry V
(Laurence Olivier, 1945)

His Girl Friday
(Howard Hawks, 1940)

Ikiru
(Akira Kurosawa, 1952)

Intolerance
(D.W. Griffith, 1916)

Invaders From Mars
(William Cameron Menzies, 1953)

It's a Gift
(Norman Z. McLeod, 1934)

Jaws
(Steven Spielberg, 1975)

The Lady Eve
(Preston Sturges, 1941)

Lady With a Dog
(Josef Heifitz, 1959)

Last Laugh
(F.W. Murnau, 1924)

La Strada
(Federico Fellini, 1954)

Last Tango in Paris
(Bernardo Bertolucci, 1973)

L'Atalante
(Jean Vigo, 1934)

L'Avventura
(Michelangelo Antonioni, 1960)

The Leopard
(Luchino Visconti, 1963)

Local Hero
(Bill Forsyth, 1983)

Lolita
(Stanley Kubrick, 1962)

Long Day's Journey Into Night
(Sidney Lumet, 1962)

The Long Good Friday
(John Mackenzie, 1980)

Lost in America
(Albert Brooks, 1985)

M
(Fritz Lang, 1931)

The Magic Flute
(Ingmar Bergman, 1974)

The Maltese Falcon
(John Huston, 1941)

The Manchurian Candidate
(John Frankenheimer, 1962)

The Man Who Would Be King
(John Huston, 1975)

The Man With Two Brains
(Carl Reiner, 1983)

MASH
(Robert Altman, 1970)

McCabe & Mrs. Miller
(Robert Altman, 1971)

Mean Streets
(Martin Scorsese, 1973)

Modern Times
(Charles Chaplin, 1936)

Monsieur Verdoux
(Charles Chaplin, 1947)

My Left Foot
(Jim Sheridan, 1989)

My Uncle Antoine
(Claude Jutra, 1971)

Napoleon
(Abel Gance, 1927)

The Night of the Hunter
(Charles Laughton, 1955)

North by Northwest
(Alfred Hitchcock, 1959)

Nosferatu
(F.W. Murnau, 1922)

The Nun's Story
(Fred Zinnemann, 1959)

On the Waterfront
(Elia Kazan, 1954)

Orpheus
(Jean Cocteau, 1949)

The Palm Beach Story
(Preston Sturges, 1942)

The Passion of Joan of Arc
(Carl Dreyer, 1928)

Pennies From Heaven
(Herbert Ross, 1981)

Pinocchio
(Ben Sharpsteen, Hamilton Luske, 1940)

Psycho
(Alfred Hitchcock, 1960)

The Rules of the Game
(Jean Renoir, 1939)

The Seven Samurai
(Akira Kurosawa, 1954)

Singin' in the Rain
(Stanley Donen, Gene Kelly, 1952)

Smiles of a Summer Night
(Ingmar Bergman, 1955)

Some Like It Hot
(Billy Wilder, 1959)

The Sorrow and the Pity
(Marcel Ophuls, 1970)

Sounder
(Martin Ritt, 1972)

Spirited Away
(Hayao Miyazaki, 2001)

Steamboat Bill, Jr.
(Charles Riesner, 1928)

The Story of Adele H
(François Truffaut, 1975)

Strangers on a Train
(Alfred Hitchcock, 1951)

Sweet Smell of Success
(Alexander Mackendrick, 1957)

Taxi Driver
(Martin Scorsese, 1976)

The Third Man
(Carol Reed, 1949)

Time Out
(Laurent Cantet, 2001)

To Kill a Mockingbird
(Robert Mulligan, 1962)

Tokyo Story
(Yasujiro Ozu, 1953)

Topsy-Turvy
(Mike Leigh, 1999)

The Treasure of the Sierra Madre
(John Huston, 1948)

The Triplets of Belleville
(Sylvain Chomet, 2003)

Triumph of the Will
(Leni Riefenstahl, 1935)

Umberto D
(Vittorio De Sica, 1952)

Vanya on 42nd Street
(Louis Malle, 1994)

Vertigo
(Alfred Hitchcock, 1958)

Waiting for Guffman
(Christopher Guest, 1997)

Way Out West
(James W. Horne, 1937)

The Wild Bunch
(Sam Peckinpah, 1969)

The Wild Child
(François Truffaut, 1970)

The Wizard of Oz
(Victor Fleming, 1939)

Women on the Verge of a Nervous Breakdown
(Pedro Almodóvar, 1988)

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Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:17 AM

WHAT IS THERE TO GAIN?:

Iraq raid to free Shia hostages (BBC, 4/17/05)

Iraqi and US troops have launched an operation in the central Iraqi town of Madain, where Sunni rebels are holding a number of Shia residents hostage.

The rebels seized an unknown number of Shia on Friday and said they would kill them unless all Shias left the town.

US and Iraqi forces have taken up positions around Madain, poised to retake the town.

Iraqi officials say this is the latest in a spate of tit-for-tat kidnappings in the Sunni-Shia mixed town.

The BBC's correspondent in Baghdad Jim Muir said: "Government commandos are ringing the town and preparing to move in with the Americans in the background, holding the ring."


Even for extremist lunatics, this seems an incredibly stupid tactic: attacking civilians, embarrassing fellow Sunni, giving the government a chance to prove itself, etc.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:12 AM

ONE IS PRETTY MUCH LIKE ANOTHER:

A New Power Rises Across Mideast: Advocates for Democracy Begin to Taste Success After Years of Fruitless Effort (Scott Wilson and Daniel Williams, April 17, 2005, Washington Post)

[A] cross the region, political reformers are benefiting from the unifying forces of technology and mass media. Digital channels outside the control of states are carrying anything from a Kuwaiti woman's call for voting rights in her country to a Lebanese Christian's demands to drive Syrian troops out from his. The foot soldiers are Islamic political activists in some cases, Bob Dylan disciples, communists or Arab secular nationalists in others. Many are united only in their common desire for fair elections, free speech and political rights.

In his second inaugural address, President Bush said that "it is the policy of the United States to seek and support the growth of democratic movements and institutions in every nation and culture." But many democracy advocates in the region are skeptical of U.S. intentions here, and truly free elections in such countries as Egypt and Saudi Arabia could usher in parties sharply at odds with the United States. At the same time, Bush's message has offered a measure of comfort to street activists, who believe that crackdowns will be harder to carry out now that the United States is watching.

A powerful influence on the region has been televised imagery of Georgia's street uprising, called the Rose Revolution, which resulted in the ousting of a president after a flawed election. Then came Ukraine's potent Orange Revolution, which also followed elections seen as rigged. These mass movements have helped inspire political strategies playing out today on the streets in Beirut and Bahrain.

The Iraq experience, by contrast, has had a mixed effect. Some democracy activists in the region have been inspired by the recent elections but remain concerned by the continuing violence there. In Egypt, outrage over the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq and American policy toward the conflict between Israel and the Palestinians spurred some reformers to take to the streets to protest against President Hosni Mubarak, whom they view as a U.S. ally.

The Arab movements are, in many cases, increasingly tethered by the work of U.S.-funded democracy programs, international anti-corruption groups and Arab satellite television. Seminars funded by groups such as Transparency International and the philanthropist George Soros have brought together novice parliamentarians, activist journalists and human rights advocates from Morocco to the Persian Gulf region.

In almost every case, they have faced off against a powerful yet unpopular autocrat, making the lessons learned in one place applicable in another.

"What we have benefited from enormously is that all the leaders of the Middle East were educated from the same book," said Francis, 38, who did some of his professional training in San Francisco. "They are so predictable, and the antidote is common for all of them."


It's a favorite argument of the Realists that the situation in any given country is so unique that it isn't fertile ground for participatory government--and they're always wrong.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 8:20 AM

WE THINK THEY ALSO SANG RAUNCHY SEA SHANTIES


Archaeologist finds 'oldest porn statue'
(Krysia Diver, The Guardian, April 4th, 2005)

Stone-age figurines depicting what could be the oldest pornographic scene in the world have been unearthed in Germany.

Archaeologists have discovered what they believe to be the 7,200-year-old remnants of a man having intercourse with a woman.

The extraordinary find, at an archaeological dig in Saxony, shatters the belief that sex was a taboo subject in that era.

Until now, the oldest representations of sexual scenes were frescos from about 2,000 years ago. [...]

"This is such an interesting discovery," said Dr Sträuble, "as these figurines are not stylistic, but realistic. They open up a gateway for historians and anthropologists to discuss whether sex really was a taboo subject in the stone age."

Objective inquiry is all well and good, but when you have a shot at making an “interesting” discovery that shatters a belief and opens a gateway to discuss sex, any old nonsense will do.



Posted by Peter Burnet at 7:45 AM

UNGRATEFUL PAMPERED SERVANTS

French farmers dig in against Chirac (Harry de Quetteville, The Telegraph, April 17th, 2005)

When President Jacques Chirac made a crucial televised plea to his countrymen to approve the European Constitution this week, Fabrice Rognault, a French farmer, was too busy to watch.

"I was desperately filling in my application for this year's EU subsidy," he said. "I have to submit it in the next few days."

For Mr Rognault, 39, the form will prove far more profitable than the crop from his smallholding in the rolling arable land of Champagne, where he is the first to admit that French farmers have been "the big winners from the European Union's common agricultural policy".

He said: "We couldn't exist without it. We have a pretty good standard of living."

Yet instead of directing his undying gratitude at the EU, and heeding Mr Chirac's appeal to vote Yes in France's critical referendum on the constitution next month, these days Mr Rognault has nothing but scorn for the Europe that keeps him in business. "Frankly it is driving me up the wall," he said, in his farmyard in the village of Juvigny, nestled among some of the most valuable vineyards in the world.

"Brussels can keep its constitution. There are rules for everything - a directive for this, a directive for that," he said, voicing a determination to block the constitution which polls show is shared by almost three quarters of French farmers.

"It is all going too far. The further we go into Europe, the more unfair it seems to get. We have to follow rules that countries in the east like Poland don't. The costs are becoming enormous."

The generously subsidised French farming community, for years the bête noire of British Eurosceptics, is now at the vanguard of France's own Europhobe coalition. Together, the two groups seem set on forming one of the most uncomfortable cross-Channel alliances since Charles de Gaulle fled into the arms of Winston Churchill in 1940. Their common enemy is not Nazi Germany but what Frenchmen such as Mr Rognault have come to regard as the domineering attitude of the EU.

France's farmers represent a small, if influential, element of France's Eurosceptic alliance that spans the political spectrum.

Mark Steyn once wrote that the European Achilles heel is the “big idea”, meaning abstract, ideological goals that come to grip the intellectual and political elites and are pursued singlemindedly without any reference to the popular will, local culture, human nature or even decency. Most of these have promised the Holy Grail of European unity, and while the modern secular statism embodied in the EU is obviously to be preferred over the brutalities of a Hitler or Napoleon, they have more in common that one might think. Here is an excerpt from the diaries of a Canadian diplomat in London during the Blitz that recorded his thoughts after a meeting with a liberal, anti-Nazi Hungarian diplomat:

I can see that despite his hatred of the Nazis Tony is half-fascinated by the idea of a united European bloc by whatever means achieved. Some Europeans may be tempted to think that if the small sovereign state entities can be broken down and Europe united it is worth the price of temporary Hitler domination, because Hitler will not last forever, and after he is gone it will be as impossible to reconstruct the Europe of small states as it was to reconstruct feudal Europe after the fall of Napoleon.

The spiritual and cultural sterility of the EU project, and the realization that it can never be democratic or responsive to popular opinion, is gradually dawning on a heretofore inarticulate European public (notably on the left) and awakening both worthy local and national prides and unworthy ancient animosities. Immigration controversies and the recent spate of soccer violence may show what is bubbling just below the surface, but the defection of privileged French farmers threatens a coup de grace. If the constitution fails in France, it is very hard to see how the European political elites, who have bet the farm on an ever-expanding EU for three generations, will have any coherent leadership to offer for many years.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:41 AM

LET KASHMIR DECIDE:


India Offers Plan to Ease Kashmir Split
: As Pakistan's president visits, Premier Singh proposes additional bus service and meeting points for families along the Line of Control. (Paul Watson and Mubashir Zaidi, April 17, 2005, LA Times)

India proposed seven steps to improve ties across the heavily fortified front line dividing Kashmir on Saturday as Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf made his first visit here since a bitter summit four years ago.

Musharraf is set to hold talks on the Kashmir dispute and other issues with Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh today after attending a cricket match between the two nations' teams in the Indian capital.

India's proposals include setting up several meeting points along the divide to reunite families, increasing bus service and communication links, renewing trade and taking steps to promote tourism in the long-disputed territory, two-thirds of which is controlled by India.

Musharraf's response is expected in his meeting with Singh today, after which the leaders plan to issue a statement, Indian officials said.


It's not as if the subcontinent can realistically remain just two states anyway.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:38 AM

PESKY CONSTITUTION:

Judges Battle Transcends Numbers (David G. Savage, April 17, 2005, LA Times)

The looming battle over President Bush's nominees to the U.S. appeals courts might derail the Senate, but it probably won't make much difference in the federal courts. That's because Republican appointees already dominate them.

Ninety-four of the 162 active judges now on the U.S. Court of Appeals were chosen by Republican presidents. On 10 of the 13 circuit courts, Republican appointees have a clear majority. And, since 1976, at least seven of the nine seats on the U.S. Supreme Court have been filled by Republican appointees. [...]

The fight may have more to do with the kind of Republican who joins the courts, in particular the Supreme Court. While Democrats are determined to block judicial nominees they see as conservative ideologues, the Republican leadership pushes for right-leaning judges.

Under the Constitution, the president's judicial nominees need only a majority vote in the Senate to be confirmed. However, under the Senate's rules, it takes 60 votes in the 100-member Senate to cut off debate, breaking a filibuster.


Can't be that hard for Senate Republicans to explain that filibustering judges is anticonstitutional.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:30 AM

THERE'S NEVER A BAD TIME TO DITCH COMMODITIES:

Moody market flummoxes Wall Street (MEG RICHARDS, April 17, 2005, ASSOCIATED PRESS)

In the span of only a few days, Wall Street went from worrying about accelerating inflation and higher interest rates to fretting over deteriorating profits and the specter of a possible economic slowdown.

The resulting gyrations in stocks have puzzled even some professional investors. They also have many analysts predicting a shift in investing trends, away from commodity-driven issues toward less-loved areas of the market, such as health care and consumer staples-- the least-damaged sectors over the last week.

"The shift from a cyclical, almost inflation-driven mindset to one that is defensive with slower growth has put the commodity producers in the leadership role to the downside," said Ned Riley, chief investment officer of Riley Asset Management in Boston. "That masks the fact that the companies with more stable growth, that are less dependent on price increases, are going to eventually be the market's new leadership."


Pretty hard to maintain an inflation-driven mindset for too long when there's no inflation.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:22 AM

THERE'S NO SUCH PLACE AS SPAIN:

Basque voters consider referendum (Katya Adler, 4/17/05, BBC News)

Spaniards in the Basque country are voting in a regional election that has turned into a virtual plebiscite on independence from Spain.

The ruling moderate Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) is expected to win, and has promised to hold a referendum on the political future of the Basque country.

No other regional election attracts such widespread attention in Spain.

However, no other Spanish region has considered such a concrete proposal to break away from the nation.


Any people who thinks themself a nation is one.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:07 AM

SUCH IS SOVEREIGNTY:

Iraqi Leaders Flexing Muscles: U.S. officials may have limited influence on the direction of the new government, including its stance toward American troops. (Paul Richter and Mark Mazzetti, April 17, 2005, LA Times)

For the last two years, U.S. authorities have had firm control of the mission in Iraq. They have set rules for military operations and worked with Iraqi leaders blessed by Washington. But the arrival of an elected government this month will take the partnership in new directions that the Americans may find difficult to control.

The ambitious new Iraqi leaders have their own ideas and, with elections ahead, are sensitive to grass-roots pressure. And with the Americans increasingly reluctant to be seen running the country, the Iraqis have taken the initiative in the relationship.

No top Iraqi leader has pushed the Americans to leave the country or challenged basic terms of the relationship, including the status of U.S. forces in Iraq. But in the months ahead, as they write a constitution, Iraqis will start rethinking the fundamental ways in which they deal with the Americans, U.S. officials say.

"They're molding and shaping their government," said a Bush administration official, who spoke on condition of anonymity. "So far, we're not hearing a lot of demands for change. But we know these questions are coming."


So much for neocon dreams and isolationist nightmares of Empire.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

FINAL GASP:

Deflated Taliban may try big strike (AP, April 17, 2005)

America's senior military commander in Afghanistan warned Saturday that Taliban-linked terrorists might launch a large-scale attack in coming months in a desperate attempt to reverse their waning fortunes.

But Lt. Gen. David Barno predicted the near total collapse of the Taliban within a year.

''As these terrorist capabilities grow more and more limited, the hard-core fanatics will grow more and more desperate to try and do something to change the course of events in Afghanistan,'' Barno said. ''Terrorists here in Afghanistan want to reassert themselves, and I expect that they will be looking here, over the next six to nine months or so, to stage some type of high-visibility attack.''


Killing them's easy--it's finding them that's hard. This'd help.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

BARING THE CONTRADICTIONS:

£280 a year for workers: £40m for directors (KAREN MCVEIGH, 4/16/05, The Scotsman)

TONY Blair was plunged headlong into a mid-election political crisis yesterday after the car giant Rover collapsed amid deep acrimony and bitterness.

The Prime Minister was panicked into abandoning campaigning and the Chancellor, Gordon Brown, cancelled a trip to the IMF in Washington to rush to Birmingham in an effort to salvage some of the government’s credibility after China’s Shanghai Automotive Industry Corp (SAIC) announced there was no way it would buy any part of the company.

Armed with a £150 million compensation package, which includes the minimum statutory redundancy payments of just £280 for every year worked, the Prime Minister said he wanted to express "real sorrow" for the 6,100 workers who will lose their jobs.


If a pro-EU conservative party makes little sense, a labor party that doesn't "save" jobs makes none.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

FOUR TO GO:

The Unregulated Offensive (JEFFREY ROSEN, 4/17/05, NY Times Magazine)

[As Richard A. Epstein], sees it, all individuals have certain inherent rights and liberties, including ''economic'' liberties, like the right to property and, more crucially, the right to part with it only voluntarily. These rights are violated any time an individual is deprived of his property without compensation -- when it is stolen, for example, but also when it is subjected to governmental regulation that reduces its value or when a government fails to provide greater security in exchange for the property it seizes. In Epstein's view, these libertarian freedoms are not only defensible as a matter of political philosophy but are also protected by the United States Constitution. Any government that violates them is, by his lights, repressive. One such government, in Epstein's worldview, is our government. When Epstein gazes across America, he sees a nation in the chains of minimum-wage laws and zoning regulations. His theory calls for the country to be deregulated in a manner not seen since before Franklin D. Roosevelt's New Deal.

After Thomas joined the Supreme Court, Biden's warnings seemed prescient. In 1995, echoes of Epstein's ideas could be clearly heard in one of Thomas's opinions. By a 5-4 majority in United States v. Lopez, the court struck down a federal law banning guns in school zones, arguing that the law fell outside Congress's constitutional power to regulate interstate commerce. Lopez was a judicial landmark: it was the first time since the New Deal that the court had limited the power of the federal government on those grounds. Thomas, who sided with the majority, chose to write a separate opinion in which he suggested that even his conservative colleagues had not gone far enough. The real problem, he wrote, was not just with the law at hand but with the larger decision of the court during the New Deal to abandon the judicial doctrines of the 19th century that established severe limits on the government's power. He assailed his liberal colleagues for characterizing ''the first 150 years of this Court's case law as a 'wrong turn.''' He continued, ''If anything, the 'wrong turn' was the Court's dramatic departure in the 1930's from a century and a half of precedent.''

Thomas did not cite Epstein directly in his opinion. But to anyone familiar with Epstein's writings, the similarities were striking. Indeed, Thomas's argument closely resembled one Epstein had made eight years earlier in ''The Proper Scope of the Commerce Power'' in the Virginia Law Review -- so closely, in fact, that Sanford Levinson, a liberal law professor at the University of Texas, accused Thomas of outright intellectual theft. (''The ordinary standards governing attribution of sources -- the violation of which constitutes plagiarism -- seem not to apply in Justice Thomas's chambers,'' Levinson wrote in the Texas Law Review.) Biden's fear that Epstein's ideas might be written into law had apparently been realized. And the fear would continue to be realized in other courts throughout the 90's as a small but energetic set of lower-court judges, sympathetic to libertarian arguments, tried to strike down aspects of the Clean Water Act, the Endangered Species Act and other laws, challenging powers of the federal government that had come to be widely accepted during the second half of the 20th century.

Chief Justice William Rehnquist is expected to announce his resignation sometime this year, perhaps before the end of the court's current term in June. Rehnquist's retirement would create at least one confirmation hearing for a new justice, and two hearings if President George W. Bush chooses to nominate one of the current justices to be chief justice. At the same time, there is a political battle looming in the Senate over seven federal appellate-court candidates whose nominations were blocked by Senate Democrats during Bush's first term but who were renominated by the president after his re-election. Many liberals and centrists worry, and many conservatives hope, that the doctrine favored by these judicial candidates is originalism, the stated constitutional theory of Scalia. Originalists don't like interpreting the Constitution in light of present-day social developments and are generally skeptical of constitutional rights -- like the right to have an abortion -- that don't appear explicitly in the text of the Constitution. At least in theory, those in the originalist camp champion judicial restraint and states' rights.

But as Thomas's presence on the court suggests, it is perhaps just as likely that the next justice -- or chief justice -- will be sympathetic to the less well-known but increasingly active conservative judicial movement that Epstein represents. It is sometimes known as the Constitution in Exile movement, after a phrase introduced in 1995 by Douglas Ginsburg, a judge on the United States Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit. (Ginsburg is probably best known as the Supreme Court nominee, put forward by Ronald Reagan, who withdrew after confessing to having smoked marijuana.) By ''Constitution in Exile,'' Ginsburg meant to identify legal doctrines that established firm limitations on state and federal power before the New Deal. Unlike many originalists, most adherents of the Constitution in Exile movement are not especially concerned about states' rights or judicial deference to legislatures; instead, they encourage judges to strike down laws on behalf of rights that don't appear explicitly in the Constitution. In addition to the scholars who articulate the movement's ideals and the judges who sympathize with them, the Constitution in Exile is defended by a litigation arm, consisting of dozens of self-styled ''freedom-based'' public-interest law firms that bring cases in state and federal courts, including the Supreme Court.

Critics of the movement note, with some anxiety, that it has no shortage of targets. Cass Sunstein, a law professor at the University of Chicago (and a longtime colleague of Epstein's), will soon publish a book on the Constitution in Exile movement called ''Fundamentally Wrong.'' As Sunstein, who describes himself as a moderate, recently explained to me, success, as the movement defines it, would mean that ''many decisions of the Federal Communications Commission, the Environmental Protection Agency, the Occupational Safety and Health Administration and possibly the National Labor Relations Board would be unconstitutional. It would mean that the Social Security Act would not only be under political but also constitutional stress. Many of the Constitution in Exile people think there can't be independent regulatory commissions, so the Security and Exchange Commission and maybe even the Federal Reserve would be in trouble. Some applications of the Endangered Species Act and Clean Water Act would be struck down as beyond Congress's commerce power.'' In what Sunstein described as the ''extreme nightmare scenario,'' the right of individuals to freedom of contract would be so vigorously interpreted that minimum-wage and maximum-hour laws would also be jeopardized.

Any movement with such ambitious goals must be patient and take the long view about its prospects for success. Michael Greve, an active defender of the Constitution in Exile at Washington's conservative American Enterprise Institute, argues that to achieve its goals, the movement ultimately needs not just one or two but four more Supreme Court justices sympathetic to its cause, as well as a larger transformation in the overall political and legal culture. ''I think what is really needed here is a fundamental intellectual assault on the entire New Deal edifice,'' he says. ''We want to withdraw judicial support for the entire modern welfare state. I'd retire and play golf if I could get there.'' [...]

efending the right of small businessmen to challenge local monopolies may have been necessary and noble, but for the movement it represented a small piece of the puzzle. If Mellor and Bolick and others like them were to transform the Supreme Court's approach to the entire post-New Deal regulatory state -- to ''resurrect the Constitution in Exile,'' as Bolick puts it -- they would have to develop a sophisticated jurisprudential framework.

Early on, the movement found its intellectual guru in Richard Epstein. In the words of Michael Greve, Epstein is ''the intellectual patron saint of everybody in this movement.'' Like Bolick, Epstein is too much of a libertarian purist to be a party loyalist. (''Our president is a most inconsistent classical liberal, to be charitable,'' he says. ''He's terrible on trade and a huge spender and not completely candid about the parlous situation Social Security is in.'') But his devotion to -- and influence on -- the Constitution in Exile is unsurpassed.

''Takings: Private Property and the Power of Eminent Domain,'' still in print 20 years after its publication, purports to specify the conditions under which government can rightfully impose regulations and taxes that reduce the value of private property. Drawing on the political philosophy of John Locke, Epstein argues that before the existence of government, individuals in what political theorists call the ''state of nature'' have an inherent right of autonomy, which entitles them to acquire property by dint of their labor and to dispose of it only as they see fit through voluntary transfer of goods. Epstein also maintains that any form of government coercion -- including taxation or other forced transfers of wealth -- can be reconciled with the principles of personal freedom only if it makes individuals at least as well off as they were before the tax or regulation was imposed. Epstein's key insight, as the Constitution in Exile adherents see it, is that economic regulations are just as coercive as other involuntary wealth transfers. He insists that if the government wants to reduce the value of an individual's property -- with zoning restrictions, for example -- it has to compensate him for the lost value.

Moving from political theory to constitutional law, Epstein argues that the framers of the United States Constitution recognized these limitations on governmental power in the Takings Clause of the Constitution, which says that ''private property'' cannot be taken for public use ''without just compensation.'' According to Epstein, the Takings Clause prevents the government from redistributing wealth in any form without appropriate compensation and that a proper understanding of the clause calls into question ''many of the heralded reforms and institutions of the 20th century: zoning, rent control, workers' compensation laws, transfer payments,'' as well as ''progressive taxation.'' Liberal governmental reforms could be sustained, Epstein argues, only if the government were to compensate individuals for the lost value of their property or to make everyone better off in exchange for their taxes. ''This simple theory of governance could be expanded to cover all taxes, all regulations, all shift in liability schemes,'' Epstein wrote in an intellectual autobiography. ''It is also the recipe for striking down the New Deal.''


You needn't embrace quite so extensive a counter-revolution to find something bizarre about people arguing against rights that precede the Constitution and against the idea that the federal government is limited by the Constitution. On the other hand, these economic conservatives are, or ought to be, likewise limited by the texts.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

MORE THAN OUR CONGRESS:

Women get healthy percentage in Iraq parliament (MAGGIE MICHAEL, 4/17/05, Chicago Sun-Times)

Almost a third of the members of Iraq's new parliament are women, one of the highest proportions in the world, but that doesn't mean Western-style rights are at hand. Many of the women are conservatives who want Islamic law to enforce the veil and all that goes with it.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

POPEMAKER:

Cardinals Align as Time Nears to Select Pope (LAURIE GOODSTEIN and IAN FISHER, 4/17/05, NY Times)

There was never doubt that Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger, the Vatican's hard-line defender of the faith, would have a strong hand in selecting the next pope. But in the days of prayer and politics before the conclave, which begins on Monday, he has emerged as perhaps the surprise central figure: the man who could become the 265th pope, choose him or be the one other cardinals knock from the running.

Any talk of who will become the next pope is guesswork, echoes from cardinals and their staffs sworn to silence about one of the world's most elite and secretive gatherings.

But one bit of wisdom has emerged in the Italian press as conventional: that Cardinal Ratzinger, a German close to John Paul II, has up to 50 votes among the 115 elector cardinals, or at least that is the strength his supporters claim.

That is short of the two-thirds, or 77 votes, needed in the early stages of voting. Still, he appears to command the largest and most cohesive block, and at a minimum, it seems unlikely that the next pope will be chosen without his blessing.


It would seem sufficient that he have a veto.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THE RAPTURE:

Huge crowds greet Togolese exile (BBC, 4/16/05)

Togo's exiled opposition leader has received a rapturous reception on a visit to the country's capital, Lome, ahead of presidential elections.

Gilchrist Olympio, who has lived in exile since an assassination attempt in 1992, is ineligible for this election.

He confirmed that his deputy, Bob Akitani, would stand in the poll, due to take place next Sunday.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

ATTACK OF THE BUREAUCRATS:

Official: Blair's crime plan 'a threat to public' (Martin Bright, April 17, 2005, Observer)

A central plank of Tony Blair's plans to overhaul Britain's creaking criminal justice system was thrown into disarray last night when leaked Home Office documents passed to The Observer revealed that the moves could lead to the release of dangerous criminals with inadequate supervision.

A series of assessments prepared by the Government's own civil servants show they believe there is a 'very high' likelihood that flagship plans to merge the prison and probation service will put the public at risk from violent criminals.

With crime named by voters as one of their top concerns during the election campaign, the leak will prove extremely damaging to a Labour government anxious to prove it has the issue under control.

The highly critical assessments form part of the business plan for the National Probation Service for the year ahead. They show that civil servants believe the likelihood of 'inadequate supervision of cases leading to unmanageable policy making' is 'high' and that its impact would be 'very high'. They also say there is a high likelihood that 'loss of key skills' from frontline staff, will result in 'inadequate supervision of dangerous offenders'.

New community punishments could lead to 'overload' as the courts fail to understand sentencing guidelines, according to the assessment.

The so-called 'traffic light' system used within Whitehall categorises the risks as green, amber or red. But several of the risks concerned with the management of dangerous offenders were marked as off-the-scale by civil servants and given a 'black' designation, meaning that there is a high likelihood of them happening.


Now there's a nicely timed leak.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

AWFULLY NEW TRADITIONS:

Why Bush threatens secularism (Julia Duin, 4/14/05, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

On New Year's Day 1802, President Jefferson wrote a letter to a Connecticut association of Baptists that would change American judicial history and define the boundaries of religious freedom.

"I contemplate with sovereign reverence that act of the whole American people which declared that their legislature should 'make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof,' " Jefferson wrote, quoting the First Amendment.

"Thus," he continued, "building a wall of separation between church and state."

Although not part of the Constitution, those concluding 10 words are considered by many Americans to be authoritative on the subject. Jefferson's letter celebrated religious liberty, yet the courts have cited his "wall" to bar faith and its forms from government, including schools, public parks and buildings.

The nation's third president sought to reassure the Danbury Baptist Association of Connecticut, representatives of a minority denomination that refused to conform to the established Congregationalist and Episcopal churches. He actually intended his letter to convince the Baptists that a state-established church would not trample their beliefs.

Jefferson's phrase did not enter the lexicon of constitutional law until 1879, when Supreme Court Chief Justice Morrison R. Waite quoted it in Reynolds v. United States, in which Mormon polygamist George Reynolds argued that the First Amendment allowed him to commit bigamy. The Supreme Court used the wall metaphor to explain that the Constitution was not meant to support specific Mormon practices.

In 1947, Justice Hugo L. Black resurrected "the wall of separation between church and state" in writing for the majority in Everson v. Board of Education, a New Jersey case asking whether the state should subsidize bus service for Catholic children in parochial schools.

"That wall must be kept high and impregnable," Justice Black wrote. "We could not approve the slightest breach."

The high court nevertheless upheld the state subsidy. This infuriated many Baptists, who traditionally have been among the strongest supporters of separation of church and state. They regarded the decision as favoring Catholics.

In 1947, Joseph Dawson, executive secretary of the Baptist Joint Committee on Public Affairs, founded Protestants and Other Americans United for the Separation of Church and State.

More than 50 years later, with the named shortened to Americans United for Separation of Church and State, the organization campaigns from its Capitol Hill offices against what it views as entanglements of religion and government.

[...]

[T]he group's executive director, the Rev. Barry W. Lynn, a minister with the United Church of Christ, among the most liberal Protestant denominations, maintains genial relations with conservatives. For four years, Mr. Lynn was co-host, with conservative commentator Oliver North, of a show on the Christian radio network Salem Communications. He is on the board of the American Civil Liberties Union and a regular analyst on Fox News.

"I do have very, very traditional religious beliefs," Mr. Lynn says. "Many people are surprised by that. That is something that's very much a part of who I am, but that shouldn't be a part of what government is."

Mr. Lynn is not easily painted as an "anti-Christian soldier." Government bans on abortion first galvanized him. As a freshman at Dickinson College in Carlisle, Pa., in the late 1960s, he discovered that his roommate had taken a girlfriend out of the country to terminate her pregnancy.

"All of a sudden, I realized that religious groups had now dictated what rights a woman has to make an intimate moral decision on her own," Mr. Lynn says. "And that was what triggered me, worrying about what damage it does for our country's fabric to have religious decisions guide a country's policy."


Traditional religious beliefs but he joined the anti-religious in order to legalize abortion?


April 16, 2005

Posted by Paul Jaminet at 7:03 PM

CHARITY LEFT OUT:

Argentine cardinal accused in kidnappings (AP, 4/16/2005)

Just days before Roman Catholic cardinals select a new pope, a human rights lawyer filed a criminal complaint against an Argentine mentioned as a possible contender, accusing him of involvement in the 1976 kidnappings of two priests....

"This is old slander," the Rev. Guillermo Marco, Bergoglio's spokesman, told The Associated Press in Rome. "This is the week of slander."


Papal negative campaigning and the role of the Holy Spirit (John Allen, National Catholic Reporter, 4/15/2005)
The belief that God is involved in some human undertaking does not make it any less human, and applied to conclaves, it means that the role of the Holy Spirit does not make this any less a political exercise.

If you want proof of the point, consider the various forms of "negative campaigning" that have been floating through the Roman air in recent days:

  • Italian media have reported rumors that Cardinal Angelo Scola of Venice has been treated for depression, suggesting a sort of psychological instability that might disqualify him for the church's highest office;

  • Other reports suggest that Cardinal Ivan Dias of Mumbai has diabetes, a telltale sign of ill health that might undercut what had been a growing swell of positive talk about him, at least in the local press; in addition, an e-mail campaign allegedly initiated by members of his own flock in India is making the rounds, including complaints of an "unapproachable, stubborn and arrogant style."

  • A recent book in Argentina alleges that Cardinal Jorge Mario Bergoglio was unacceptably close to the military junta that dominated that country in the 1970s; another e-mail campaign, this one claiming to originate with fellow Jesuits who knew Bergoglio back when he was the provincial of the order in Argentina, claims that "he never smiled."

  • In the last 48 hours, reports have surfaced that both Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger and Cardinal Angelo Sodano, considered by some to be leading candidates, are in poor health, raising questions about their physical capacity to be pope.

    No one really has the time to trace down all these rumors, and in a sense that’s the point. The hope is that the mere fact that negative things are being said, whether or not they turn out to be true, will be enough to derail a particular candidacy.


  • All of the cardinals subjected to these malicious rumors are leading conservatives except Sodano, a moderate who annoyed the "progressives" when he was the Vatican's chief diplomat by arguing that Pinochet should not be tried in Europe. It's funny that all of the smears are directed at enemies of the left.


    Posted by Peter Burnet at 8:39 AM

    TIME FOR A MENTAL HEALTH MONTH

    Sick leave crisis hits social services (Katherine Demopoulos, The Guardian, April 15th, 2005)

    Some 20,000 local authority social services staff were signed off sick for two months or more last year, according to a new survey of English councils.

    The figure, which represents around 9% of the total number of staff in social services departments, highlights the crisis plaguing these departments, many of which struggle to find employees to fill posts.

    Staff complain of large workloads and high stress levels, which public sector Unison said were major causes of sickness absence. [...]

    Additionally, the figures reveal that social services staff take significantly more sick leave than other areas of both the public and private sectors.

    Government statistics published last November showed that civil servants took an average two weeks' sick leave a year, costing £368m. This is roughly double that of the private sector, according to Richard Dodd, spokesman for the Confederation of British Industry.

    Larger organisations tend to have worse absence levels, he said, which is one reason why local authorities are hit hard. He said one crucial element in reducing absenteeism seems to be "having senior management involvement in managing absence. So this is better in a small organisation."

    There are several laws at work here, all combining to make government social work the ultimate morale and spirit crusher. The first is that many unsupervised employees with generous sick and disability benefits will use them in complete (and defiant) good faith and with the general assistance of the medical profession. The second is that anyone who sets out on a career to “help people” had better be prepared for a lot of abuse and disappointment. The third is that morale problems increase proportionately as the number of employees in any organization grows beyond seven.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:27 AM

    FOLLOWERS, NOT LEADERS:

    Neoconning the Media: A Very Short History of Neoconservatism (Eric Alterman, APRIL 5, 2005, MediaTransparency.org)

    Neoconservative thinking originally grew out of Norman Podhoretz's editorships of Commentary, published by the American Jewish Committee, and, to a lesser degree, The Public Interest published by National Affairs.

    While Neocon proponents like to argue that their political transformation reflected the views of a "liberal, mugged by reality," the movement's genesis was actually far more complex, deriving in part from the psychology of its founders -- Podhoretz had written previously of how scary he had always found Black people -- and a combination of New Left rhetoric, civil rights politics, and the changing geo-politics of Israel's position in the world vis-vis American power. All together the combination sent lifelong liberals into the arms of their former adversaries.

    In any case all of these distinctions tend to miss the point. The conservative's ideological attack on 'liberal elite culture' in the early seventies arose from what they considered uncomfortable changes the country was undergoing. Like the vulgar Marxists a number of them had once been, the Right-Wingers saw an unspoken conspiracy ruling American political and cultural life in which everyone and everything was connected to everyone and everything else.

    It was a kind of bargain-basement Hegelianism: The entire of American culture was moved as if guided by a single dialectical spirit. Harvard and Yale, feminism and taxes, school prayer and Soviet power, abortion and pornography, Communist revolution and gay rights: All of these social ills and more stemmed from the same source of political/cultural malaise, namely the post-Vietnam victory of the "New Class" and the "permissive" culture it had foisted upon the nation.

    The New Class, according to Neoconservative godfather Irving Kristol, was made up of "scientists, teachers, and educational administrators, journalists and others." They had somehow manipulated Americans to believe that they were an evil people who rained death and destruction on Vietnam to feed their own sick compulsions.

    As for Watergate, where the Liberal press had carried out a successful "coup d'etat" (in Norman Podhoretz's judgment) to please its own vanity, it succeeded only in increasing its own appetite.

    In the aftermath of Vietnam and the Establishment's failure of will, the New Class radicals had swallowed the entire establishment -- the Council on Foreign Relations, the Trilateral Commission, Harvard, and the like -- and annexed the Supreme Court. Among the most dangerous aspects of the tactics of these people, moreover, was the stealth with which they went about their ideological mission. While they spoke of social justice, what the New Class was really after was the Triumph of Socialism.

    The ranks of the Neoconservatives were largely composed of former sectarian Marxists of mostly Jewish academic origin, who transferred their intellectual allegiance to capitalism and American military power but retained their obsession with theological disputation and political purity.

    The impresario at the center of this attack was Irving KristolIrving Kristol, a onetime Trotskyist who had since become a passionate defender of capitalism. The job of the Neoconservative intellectual, Kristol once remarked, was "to explain to the American people why they are right and to the intellectuals why they are wrong."

    Beginning with the early days of the Nixon administration this is just what they began to do.


    The American people were never much confused about who was right. Thus, even at its height, liberalism was appalled by popular anti-intellectualism. What the neocons really did was convince themselves that they had been and their fellow intellectuals were wrong and create a feathery counterweight within academia and the media to Left orthodoxy. But they've always been the ridden, not the riders.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:13 AM

    HOW WE'LL KNOW WHETHER MR. McCAIN WANTS TO BE PRESIDENT OR NOT:

    Showdown on judges (Robert Novak, April 16, 2005, Townhall)

    Republican leaders count only two or three GOP senators who will vote against the efforts to end, by a straight majority vote, filibusters on confirmation of judicial nominations.

    Sens. Olympia Snowe of Maine and Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island will not support this move, and they are likely to be joined by Sen. John McCain of Arizona. That would mean 52 senators would go along with the parliamentary maneuver attempting to end filibusters on judges. Only 50 are needed.

    The only Democrat who might possibly join this effort is Sen. Ben Nelson of Nebraska. But Bush will not press him to break party discipline if his help is unnecessary.


    Especially since it's an issue you can use against Mr. Nelson in his '06 re-election bid.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:10 AM

    HE SHOULD CAMPAIGN AGAINST IT IF HE WANTS IT TO PASS:

    Chirac's EU push sways few voters (Katrin Bennhold and Judy Dempsey, April 16, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

    A high-profile television appearance by President Jacques Chirac failed to turn around opposition in France to the new European constitution six weeks before the country holds a referendum on the issue, according to an opinion poll taken right after the broadcast.

    Fifty-six percent of respondents with an opinion said they planned to vote "no" on May 26, a poll conducted Friday by the Paris-based CSA institute showed, in line with 13 surveys over the past month. A third of respondents said they were still undecided.

    Among those respondents who watched the president live on Thursday night or talked about his performance with others afterward only 40 percent said they were convinced by his arguments, the poll showed.

    The findings, to be published Saturday in the newspaper Le Parisien, may reinforce doubts by senior politicians and observers in France and elsewhere in Europe that Chirac has the authority to convince enough voters to endorse the constitution.


    At the point where you're depending on a French leader's moral authority you may as well just head for the cattle car.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:02 AM

    WE'RE FROM THE DNC AND WE'RE HERE TO STARVE YOU:

    Dean Says Democrats Will Make Schiavo Case an Election Issue (Michael Finnegan, April 16, 2005, LA Times)

    Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean said Friday that his party would wield the Terri Schiavo case against Republicans in the 2006 and 2008 elections, but for now needed to stay focused battling President Bush on Social Security.

    "We're going to use Terri Schiavo later on," Dean said of the brain-damaged Floridian who died last month after her feeding tube was removed amid a swarm of political controversy.


    What more do voters need to know about Democrats than that the only issues that unite the leadership of the Party are the ones where people get killed.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:59 AM

    MAKING SCANDALS OUT OF NON-CRIMINAL BEHAVIOR:

    Inquiry Finds White House Role in Contract: An aide apparently knew of the Education Department's $240,000 deal with a journalist. (Tom Hamburger and Peter Wallsten, April 16, 2005, LA Times)

    The 20-page report by the inspector general provided no indication that Bush or his senior staff knew about the contract when it was issued in late 2003 and renewed in mid-2004.

    But the report said that shortly before the renewal, a midlevel White House aide received calls from Education officials concerned about the contract's cost, its effectiveness and Williams' dual role as journalist and government public relations man.

    Despite those discussions, the Education Department renewed the contract.

    The report did not identify the aide, but Education officials later said it was David Dunn, a former special assistant for domestic policy. An administration official said it was unrealistic to expect someone with Dunn's broad responsibilities to act on a relatively small contract.

    When Bush was asked about the Williams contract in January, he criticized it and said, "We didn't know about this in the White House, and there needs to be a nice, independent relationship between the White House and the press."

    The revelation that a White House official was aware of the contract received only glancing attention in the inspector general's report. The inquiry concentrated on problems in the Education Department's handling and review of the contract.

    It found no violations of law...


    So what's the big deal? They legally paid a communications professional to help them communicate--government should always act so sensibly. It's revealing that this Administration has been so bereft of the kind of scandals that Washington has become accustomed to that nonsense like this, the Cheney Energy plan, and the Palme affair have been turned big stories.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:51 AM

    THEIR PROBLEM:


    S. Korea Rejected U.S. Plan on North
    : Calling it an obstacle to its sovereignty, Seoul voided joint strategy in case of regime collapse. (Barbara Demick, April 16, 2005, LA Times)

    U.S. troops stationed in South Korea were forced this year to scrap a contingency plan for the collapse of Kim Jong Il's regime in North Korea because of objections by Seoul, the South Korean government said Friday.

    Seoul's rejection of the classified plan, which was supposed to be developed jointly by the U.S. and South Korean militaries, is the latest sign of tension in the alliance.

    The strategy, code-named Op-Plan 5029, mapped out military responses in the event that Kim suddenly lost power and the communist country started to come apart.

    South Korean officials apparently feared that the United States would take command in case of a power vacuum and that it would hastily send its troops toward Pyongyang, perhaps under the flag of the same U.N. command that waged the 1950-1953 Korean War.

    South Korea, which considers the entire Korean peninsula its rightful territory, wants to take the lead if the North Korean system collapses.


    If they want to be left on their own then leave them.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:48 AM

    AFRO-BRAZILIAN POPE:

    African Catholics Seek a Voice to Match Their Growing Strength (Robyn Dixon, April 16, 2005, LA Times)

    A fierce competition for souls is on in Lagos. In this sprawling capital that seems glued together out of scraps of rusted iron, plywood and torn posters, the immortal combat is being waged on faded billboards so closely planted along the highway that it's difficult to make them out as they flash by: Divine Harvest! Holy Fire! Winners Chapel! Victorious Family! Champions Chapel! Miracle Explosion!

    None of the posters is for the Roman Catholic Church, which is growing faster in Africa than anywhere else. Father George Ehusani, secretary-general of the Catholic Secretariat of Nigeria, hardly needs to advertise, when the church's biggest challenge is not attracting people but dealing with the growth.

    The number of African Catholics has increased 30% in a decade, to more than 130 million, served by 426 bishops and more than 27,000 priests. In Nigeria, with about 25 million Catholics in a population of about 137 million, congregations spill out onto benches outside most Catholic, churches, even with five or six Masses on Sundays.

    The phenomenal growth brings ambitions, and not only for an African pope when the College of Cardinals convenes next week. Catholics here are also eager to dispatch a wave of African priests, generally conservative, to an increasingly secular Europe and United States, just as white missionaries once arrived on African shores.

    Their time, these Africans believe, has come.


    Regardless of who's chosen, he shouldn't have trouble figuring out where his focus should be and what the most important problem is: more clergy.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:27 AM

    FBI? OR FBI?:

    Prison Marriage Classes Instill Stability (RICK LYMAN, 4/16/05, NY Times)

    Keen to keep traditional families together and battling high divorce rates, officials in more than 24 states have inaugurated marriage programs.

    The Bush administration has proposed to spend several hundred million dollars a year for five years on marriage, fatherhood and sexual-abstinence initiatives, a plan that has wide support among religious and conservative groups. The proposal calls for $100 million in annual grants to the states, plus an additional $100 million in grants that the states would have to match.

    Perhaps no state program is as ambitious or multifaceted as the Oklahoma Marriage Initiative, in a state where the divorce rate was the second highest in the nation in 1994 and has continued to hover near the top, according to officials.

    Begun in March 1999 by Gov. Frank Keating, a Republican, the initiative has survived the transition to the administration of a Democrat, Brad Henry, and continues to grow. This recent push into the prisons is to be followed, Mr. Hendrick said, by a program aimed at couples who are preparing for the birth of their first children.

    Since the initiative got up and running in 2001, nearly 30,000 high-school students have received training in the skills and savvy needed for dating, sustaining relationships and getting married. In addition, 1,364 people like preachers and county agricultural extension agents have had training to teach marriage-skills classes and have conducted more than 2,000 workshops attended by more than 27,000 people, a little more than 1 percent of the state's adult population. And 1,447 of the state's religious leaders have signed a covenant that commits them to encourage premarital counseling.

    The average workshop size is 12, or six couples, and the sessions have been conducted at housing projects, universities, military bases, churches, Head Start programs, drug rehabilitation centers and Indian reservations.

    State officials say there is more than compassion in their decision to take the program into cells, as well. The prison chaplain, Ron Grant, pointed to a recent study of 524 California parolees.

    "When they looked at all the factors affecting whether the inmate returned to prison," he said, "the No. 1 factor, more than drugs, more than race, more than any other demographic category, was whether they were part of a stable family relationship."

    Mary Myrick, president of Public Strategies, a company that has a contract to help manage the initiative, said the program was having unexpected effects.

    "Initially in the prisons, we were thinking about it as a reintegration tool, for those about to be released back into society," Ms. Myrick said. "But to our surprise, it has been embraced even by some who are not getting out soon, or ever, but who want to keep their relationships intact."


    And intact relationships keep people from becoming dependents of the State.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:09 AM

    DANGEROUS IGNORANCE (via Tom Corcoran):

    Red Dusk: It's time Hollywood gave up its love affair with communism. (BRIDGET JOHNSON, 3/30/05, Opinion Journal)

    Considering how steeped in elitism last month's Academy Awards were--with "lesser" winners forced to stay back in their aisles or dutifully line up on stage, thus robbing them of a once-in-a-lifetime trip down the aisle--Hollywood sure has embraced communism with open arms. [...]

    Annoying as the Che adulation is, a recent comment by a 14-year-old on an online movie message board was truly disturbing: "I just saw The Motorcycle Diaries, which further made me question: Why is communism bad? . . . Young people are told how bad communism is, but we are not told why. . . . The Motorcycle Diaries showed me how Ernesto Guevara wanted to help people. . . . But this did not explain why he was such a 'bad' person and apparently deserved to be murdered by the U.S."

    Is this a legacy of dangerous ignorance that the makers of "Che" wish to continue? Might this teen be taught that the product of Guevara and Castro's "revolution" is a nation whose inhabitants still risk their lives to escape--and an estimated one-third die trying? A nation where neighbor spies on neighbor, where dissent lands one in the clink--or worse--and persecution is punishment for everything from religion to homosexuality?

    What feature films have showed the true nature of communism?


    What's strange is that they give up a natural dramatic setting by not using the Communist backdrop--whether the Soviet Union, Cuba or China. You know you have it bad when you let your ideology trump your art.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:06 AM

    WHAT'S THE OPPOSITE OF EXUBERANCE?:

    Stocks Hit New Low for 2005 (Ben White, April 16, 2005, Washington Post)

    Stephen J. Massocca, head of equity trading at Pacific Growth Equities in San Francisco, suggested that the recent sell-off is rooted more in emotion than economic fact and that the "irrational exuberance" of the late 1990s has been replaced by "irrational pessimism."

    He said that instead of embracing reports of modest economic growth as evidence that the Federal Reserve has succeeded in reining in rapid growth and choking off inflation, investors are treating them as possible evidence of a looming global recession.

    As an example of the dour mood, Massocca cited a rapid sell-off in shares of Apple even after the maker of the popular iPod music player reported dazzling 70 percent revenue growth in the first quarter.

    "Skepticism is running amok," Massocca said. "Absolutely nothing, short of an all-cash [buyout] offer, could have gotten Apple's stock to go up this week. I think we are at an inflection point and that all this pessimism is very much overdone."

    Several traders said Friday's selling had the hallmarks of irrational panic, including a rapid sell-off in the closing moments. "It's just been a very sloppy market over the last few days," said John O'Donoghue, co-head of equity trading at Credit Suisse First Boston. "There have been a few bright spots, like utilities and food. . . . But for the most part, people are just throwing the baby out with the bath water."

    Herrmann of Waddell & Reed said, "This market is not about rational calm right now. It's about nuts." He said stocks have declined to a point where they are attractive to buy. Shares in the S&P 500, he said, now trade for about 15 times earnings, a modest figure by historic standards.


    Markets are never rational in particular, only in general.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    IF WE KILLED THEM ALL THERE'D BE NO CRIME:

    The Miracle That Wasn't (JOHN TIERNEY, 4/16/05, NY Times)

    It is an inspirational urban lesson from the 1990's: take back the streets from squeegee men and drug dealers, and violent crime will plummet. But on Thursday evening, the tipping-point theory was looking pretty wobbly itself.

    The occasion was a debate in Manhattan before an audience thrilled to be present for a historic occasion: the first showdown between two social-science wonks with books that were ranked second and third on Amazon.com (outsold only by "Harry Potter"). It pitted Malcolm Gladwell, author of "Blink" and "The Tipping Point," against Steven D. Levitt, an economist at the University of Chicago with the new second-place book, "Freakonomics."

    Professor Levitt considers the New York crime story to be an urban legend. Yes, he acknowledges, there are tipping points when people suddenly start acting differently, but why did crime drop in so many other cities that weren't using New York's policing techniques? His new book, written with Stephen J. Dubner, concludes that one big reason was simply the longer prison sentences that kept criminals off the streets of New York and other cities.

    The prison terms don't explain why crime fell sooner and more sharply in New York than elsewhere, but Professor Levitt accounts for that, too. One reason he cites is that the crack epidemic eased earlier in New York than in other cities. Another, more important, reason is that New York added lots of cops in the early 90's.

    But the single most important cause, he says, was an event two decades earlier: the legalization of abortion in New York State in 1970, three years before it was legalized nationally by the Supreme Court.

    The result, he maintains, was a huge reduction in the number of children who would have been at greater than average risk of becoming criminals during the 1990's.


    The book is terrific--as is just about everything written by his coathjor, Stephen Dubner. The two have even started a blog. Interesting though how quickly Mr. Leavitt himself descends into probably nonsensical reasoning about why abortions have such an effect when it seems likely it's just the reduction in young people in and of itself, those most likely to commit crimes.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    BOTH:

    Security vs. Rebuilding: Kurdish Town Loses Out (JAMES GLANZ, 4/16/05, NY Times)

    For years Nuradeen Ghreeb has dreamed of bringing clean drinking water to his hometown. That town happens to be Halabja, where 17 years ago he and his parents cowered in a basement as Saddam Hussein's airplanes attacked with chemical weapons, killing at least 5,000 people.

    But on Sunday, Mr. Nuradeen learned that his dream was over, because the United States had canceled the water project it had planned here as part of a vast effort to rebuild Iraq after the 2003 invasion. Ordinarily a quiet and reserved civil engineer, he sat on one of his beloved water pipes on hearing the news and wept, his tears glistening in the afternoon sun.

    "If the Americans think that training the Iraqi Army comes before clean drinking water for the people of Halabja," he said quietly, "then we can't expect anything from them."

    The Halabja project, worth around $10 million, accounted for a small fraction of the $18.4 billion that Congress approved in 2003 for the reconstruction of Iraq, including $4 billion for water and sewage projects. But with the outbreak of insurgency in central and southern Iraq last year, the United States shifted $3.4 billion from water, electricity and oil projects to pay for training and equipping the Iraqi Army and police forces.

    The implications of that shift are only now becoming clear as individual projects are canceled in scores of communities across the country. Some of the largest cuts have come in waterworks: of 81 water projects that were to be financed through the Public Works Ministry, all but 13 have been canceled, with many of the rest reduced in scale, ministry officials say.


    We've plenty of money--why not do both?


    April 15, 2005

    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:04 PM

    YOU KNOW THE DUTCH WILL EUTHANIZE IT:

    EU politics: The best laid plans (ECONOMIST INTELLIGENCE UNIT, 4/15/05)

    European leaders are staring down the barrel of a gun, contemplating with growing apprehension the possibility that their plans for an EU constitution are about to be shattered. With France’s referendum on the EU constitution only weeks away, all major opinion polls show the "No" camp in the lead. The Netherlands is due to hold its own referendum three days later, on June 1st. Polls there show a tiny majority in favour of the treaty, but more than two-thirds of voters planning to abstain. In these circumstances it is sensible to ask: what will the EU do if France or the Netherlands votes "No"?

    Until recently it was widely assumed that the most significant hurdle for the constitution was the UK. However, attention has now switched to the consequences of a possible French "No" on May 29th. Even if all other countries voted in favour, France is a founder member and the most influential in the EU's development over 50 years; it could not be marginalised as might be the case for the UK, or smaller countries such as Denmark, Ireland, the Czech Republic or Poland, all of which are planning to hold their own votes. A French "No" would effectively kill the constitution. So might a Dutch "No" unless, as seems possible, there is a very low turnout in the referendum.

    There’s no question that the failure to ratify the constitution would be a major setback for the EU—the message that Europe’s progress towards a closer political union has been brought to a grinding halt would reverberate around the world. Expect to see a flurry of headlines predicting the ultimate demise of the Union. At the very least a "No" would reinforce the feeling that the EU has lost its sense of direction...


    Wouldn't it be news that it ever had a direction?


    Posted by Peter Burnet at 9:04 PM

    “BUT, MONSIEUR, IT IS LIKE EVOLUTION---A SCIENTIFIC FACT”

    Law on teaching history stirs the ghosts of empire (Jon Henley, Sydney Morning Herald, April 16th, 2005)

    More than 1000 historians, writers and intellectuals have signed a petition demanding the repeal of a new law requiring school history teachers to stress the "positive aspects" of French colonialism.

    "In retaining only the positive aspects of colonialism this law imposes an official lie on massacres that at times went as far as genocide on the slave trade, and on the racism that France has inherited," says the petition. It has been signed by a much-loved comedian, Guy Bedos, and leading film director, Patrice Chereau.

    The law of February 23, 2005, as it is known, was intended to recognise the contribution of the "harkis", the 200,000 or so Algerians who fought alongside France's colonial troops in their country's 1954-62 war of independence. They were abandoned when the French withdrew - with about 130,000 executed as traitors.

    But an unnoticed amendment, apparently tabled by MPs with ties to former Algerian settlers, added a clause. It reads: "School courses should recognise in particular the positive role of the French presence overseas, notably in north Africa."



    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:06 PM

    BACK TO THE BELLWETHER:

    Bush Lauds Ohio Pension Plan (Edwin Chen, April 15, 2005, LA Times)

    During an hourlong discussion here, Bush repeatedly sought to highlight the ability of Ohio state employees to opt between a defined-benefits system run by the state or a defined-contribution program that employees can control.

    "See, it's an interesting concept that the people of Ohio put in place. The government said, 'Why don't we trust people — after all it's their own money,'" Bush said.

    He received a briefing on the program from five handpicked speakers arrayed around a conference table on a stage in a Lakeland Community College gymnasium here, about 30 miles east of Cleveland.

    Under Ohio's public employees retirement system, introduced in 2003, workers contribute 8.5% of their salary to their retirement plan while their employers contribute another 13.31%. An alternate plan, which began in 1998, allows eligible state university workers to contribute up to 10% of their salary while the university contributes 13%.

    In a background paper, the White House noted that 97% of Ohio's public employees, or 846,000 people, are exempt from Social Security. While the paper also noted that just "thousands" of them have chosen to participate in the state program, that number "has been growing substantially" since the program's debut in 2003.

    One participant today was Ray Sines, an early proponent of the programs. He recalled the initial skepticism he met and recalled his efforts "a tough sell."

    Another speaker, Betty Young, head of human resources at the University of Cincinnati, said she has enjoyed a 6% rate of return under the state program. She also said the program has proven attractive to peripatetic university professors because the retirement accounts can be rolled over into IRAs or 401K accounts if they enter the private sector.

    "What we're trying to do is to learn lessons from a state like Ohio, apply it at the federal level, so workers get a better deal," the president said. "And part of a better deal is a better rate of return."

    Another speaker said he was enjoying a 7.1% rate of return — compared to the 1.8% return from Social Security.

    Bush said that when he was briefed on the Ohio program, he was "amazed at the willingness of the great state of Ohio to think differently."

    He added: "And it struck me about how relevant this conversation was going to be, for others to listen to what is possible for Social Security."

    He urged Congress to "trust people with their own money" and create a system "that would work similar to the state of Ohio."


    Let's hear Democrats badmouth Ohio.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:58 PM

    WHIPPING UP NATIONALISM IS NEVER A SIGN OF STRENGTH:

    Anarchy in China: Farmers angry at corruption and poverty repel riot police, and sightseers arrive to gawk at the tiny village that rose up against authorities. (Jonathan Watts, April 15, 2005, Salon)

    There is a strange new sightseeing attraction in this normally sleepy corner of the Chinese countryside: smashed police cars, rows of trashed buses and dented riot helmets. They are the trophies of a battle in which peasants scored a rare and bloody victory against the Communist authorities, who face one of the most serious popular challenges to their rule in recent years.

    In driving off more than 1,000 riot police at the start of the week, Huankantou village in Zhejiang province is at the crest of a wave of anarchy that has seen millions of impoverished farmers block roads and launch protests against official corruption, environmental destruction and the growing gap between urban wealth and rural poverty. China's media have been forbidden to report on the government's loss of control, but word is spreading quickly to nearby towns and cities. Tens of thousands of sightseers and well-wishers are flocking every day to see the village that beat the police.

    But the consequences for Huankantou are far from clear. Having put more than 30 police in the hospital, five critically, the 10,000 residents should be bracing for a backlash. Instead, the mood is euphoric. Children have not been to school since Sunday's clash. There are roadblocks outside the chemical factory that was the origin of the dispute. Late at night the streets are full of gawking tourists, marshaled around the battleground by proud locals who bellow chaotic instructions through loudspeakers.

    "Aren't these villagers brave? They are so tough it's unbelievable," said a taxi driver from Yiwu, the nearest city. "Everybody wants to come and see this place. We really admire them.

    "We came to take a look because many people have heard of the riot," said a fashionably dressed young woman who had come from Yiwu with friends. "This is really big news."


    One has learned not to expect much from the MSM, but not only do they seem to be missing a revolution bubbling just beneath China's surface but when they do report on things like the saber-rattling at Taiwan and Japan they seldom seem to connect it to the internal problems. Instead we get endless stories about the emerging superpower that will challenge us for years to come...


    Posted by David Cohen at 7:58 PM

    AND YET WESTERN CIVILIZATION STANDS

    Brake problems stop Amtrak Acela Express service (AP, 4/15/05)

    Amtrak canceled service Friday on its Acela Express because of brake problems with the high-speed trains that carry passengers between Washington, New York and Boston. It forced an estimated 10,000 passengers to find seats on other trains.
    Before we worry about making them run on time, let's work on getting them to run at all.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:48 PM

    WHAT DO YOU THINK HELL IS?:

    The Soul of Soccer (Brad Locke, April 15, 2005, AgapePress)

    We have our keepers of morality, and we have our uninhibited anarchists. We have our cultists, and we have our universalists. We have our polarizing figures, and we have our unifying figures.

    But if you want to find the median of the world's morality, you don't really have to look any further than a soccer stadium. Even given its bloody history, international soccer's current troubles are unsettling at the least, spiritually disturbing at the worst. It seems Satan takes a particular joy in the sport's endemic tragedies.


    That's just silly--soccer couldn't bring any joy to anyone, not even Satan.


    Posted by Peter Burnet at 7:39 PM

    BUT THEY GOT A GREAT DEAL ON DUCT TAPE IN BULK

    Military report raps inefficient purchasing, lack of expertise (Canadian Press, August 15th, 2005)

    Two-thirds of the Canadian military's Hercules aircraft are effectively grounded and the expanding reserve force cannot fly aboard the rest because of soaring liability costs, a defence think-tank says.

    Yet replacing the Hercules, the backbone of the air transport fleet, and other badly needed equipment is years off because the military lacks expertise and efficient procurement practices, the Conference of Defence Associations says.

    "At present, the department has inadequate numbers and expertise ... to execute the existing capital acquisition plan," the association said in a report to the Commons defence committee.

    "Existing approaches to military acquisitions and a dearth of project expertise lead to the troubling conclusion that transformation of the Canadian Forces ... would not be possible before the year 2020."

    We would be a hyper-power too if the idiots didn’t keep missing the Christmas sales.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:41 PM

    SO CLOSE TO NORMAL:

    Iran eases its social strictures: In a political trade-off, leaders loosen harsh rules (Scott Peterson, 4/15/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

    Social freedoms have long been a barometer of politics in Iran, and pundits predicted that conservatives would crack down when they regained control of parliament in February 2004.

    Hard-liners and undercover morality police have tried to legislate a stricter dress code, and last spring stepped up efforts to crash mixed-sex parties, arrest girls showing too much ankle and wearing make-up, and scold those resting sunglasses on their heads. Mobile flogging units were even reportedly deployed in more laid-back Caspian Coast towns.

    Following stiff resistance to the measures, however, the unpopular right wing appears to have shifted tactics. With presidential elections looming in June, hard-liners will take advantage of discontent over the failure of reformist President Mohammed Khatami to deliver fully on promises of freedom, openness, and the rule of law.

    But they appear to have made another calculation as well - that social flexibility is a price they must pay for their political survival.

    Pushing too hard on social restrictions, estimates political analyst and businessman Saeed Laylaz, is one of the three things that could destabilize Iran - along with a severe drop in oil prices or missteps in the dispute over Iran's nuclear program. Several years of rising hopes for change, and the subsequent deflation of those hopes, has turned a sizable group of Iranians, more than two-thirds of whom are under 30 years old, away from politics.

    Now what many want is simply to be left alone.

    "The regime allows people to do what they want, so the army of the people has returned to its bases," says Mr. Laylaz, adding that the "triumph" of Mr. Khatami has been that many freedoms are now irreversible anyway.

    "Maybe [people] do not like the regime, but they don't hate it," he continues. "They are home, awaiting a new confrontation, over the economy or culture.... They don't accept totalitarianism anymore, and the regime accepts this."

    That equation is clear to Siavash, who asked that a pseudonym be used because he is still serving in the military.

    "The conservatives are getting clever - people are free in the street, holding hands and wearing less hijab [hair covering]," says the young man. "[They] want to show that voting for reformists is not going to solve your problems."

    Siavash adds that pressure from outside - especially Washington - helps.

    "As long as there is a foreign gun to our heads, we feel safe [from harassment] here. The government needs our support, so we will be more free," he says.

    The current relaxation could not be more evident, from a bestselling volume that defines coded slang for women used by highway date-hunters like Siavash, to young women in skin-tight, thigh-length "Islamic" manteau jackets who download erotic images from the Internet for their mobile phones.

    But there are limits, and the more political realms are as tightly controlled as ever. Internet bloggers have been a particular target of prosecution in the past year. Many of those convicted describe prison time marked by brutal treatment and torture.

    Scenes of mixed-sex frolicking in February during the Ashura religious holiday, which mourns the death of Imam Hussein, also brought religious ire against "a handful of hoodlums and promiscuous elements," in the words of the hard-line Jomhuri-e Eslami newspaper.

    "In this disgraceful event, which was like a large street party, [girls and boys] mocked Muslims' beliefs and sanctities in the most shameless manner," the newspaper wrote, according to Reuters. "Some long-haired guys would openly cuddle girls creating awful immoral scenes. Fast, provocative music ... nearby gave the street party more steam." Hard-line vigilantes broke up that gathering in affluent north Tehran.


    There may not be another nation that needs so few reforms to be a fully functional liberal democracy.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:31 PM

    TAKE TWO ASPIRIN AND LOVE ONE ANOTHER:

    Is religion good for health? Studies say amen (JIM RITTER, April 14, 2005, Chicago Sun-Times)

    Two studies released Wednesday are adding to the growing body of research that religion is good for your health.

    A study of 68 Alzheimer's disease patients found that going to church and other religious activities slowed cognitive declines, Canadian researchers reported at a meeting of the American Academy of Neurology.

    And University of Chicago researchers reported that African Americans who strongly believe in God were less likely to be depressed than nonbelievers. [...]

    Religion helps provide a sense of hope, peace and well-being, which in turn can reduce health-damaging stress hormones, said Dr. Harold G. Koenig of Duke University's Center for Spirituality, Theology and Health.

    "It's a very powerful coping behavior," he said.

    Previous research has shown that religion provides a wide range of health benefits. Here, for example, is a sampling of what Duke researchers have found:

    *Among elderly adults who were followed for six years, those who attended religious services at least once a week were less likely to die than those who attended infrequently or not at all. "This effect on survival was equivalent to that of not smoking cigarettes vs. smoking," the researchers reported.

    *Engaging in most religious activities was linked to having lower blood pressure. There were two exceptions: People who watched or listened to religious TV and radio programs tended to have higher blood pressure.

    *Among elderly patients, those who attended church at least once a week spent less time in the hospital and had healthier immune systems.

    *Among adults of all ages, people who prayed or studied the Bible at least several times a week were less likely than others to suffer alcoholism.



    Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:12 PM

    MARKET FORCE:

    A Little Bit of Corporate Soul (Pallavi Gogoi, 4/05/05, Business Week)

    The sense of loss that has marked Pope John Paul II's death reflects a heightened focus on religion -- a trend evident in U.S. workplaces
    The death of Pope John Paul II has prompted an unprecedented outpouring of worldwide grief, and the U.S. is no exception. While some may be surprised at the reaction, it's just the latest sign of how spiritually attuned the country has become. Pundits describe the most recent Presidential election as having been won on "moral values." The one nonfiction bestseller that broke all records in the last two years was Pastor Rick Warren's The Purpose-Driven Life, a book about achieving purpose through God.

    And Corporate America, large parts of which once considered it inappropriate to mix God and business, has gotten religion. Recent years have seen an unmistakable increase in the attention paid to religion and spirituality at the office. Large corporations such as Intel (INTC ), PepsiCo (PEP ), Coca-Cola (KO ), and Sears (S ) allow employee prayer groups. Many of them meet at noontime in gatherings with names such as "higher power lunches."

    Why this increased focus on spirituality? The answer is manifold. Americans are increasingly leading more stressful lives. Surveys show they work more hours than people in most other industrialized countries and take fewer vacation days. At the same time, many are dissatisfied professionally. A Mar. 1 survey from New York-based research group The Conference Board found that only 50% of Americans are happy with their jobs, down from 59% in 1995.

    "If, after spending a majority of their waking time at work, people aren't fulfilled, they have to find meaning at and purpose from a spiritual source," says Ian Mitroff, professor in the Graduate School of Business at the University of Southern California and the author of A Spiritual Audit of Corporate America.

    And in the wake of both September 11 and the wave of greed-driven corporate scandals that reached an apex with Enron and WorldCom, more companies are willing to encourage spirituality and allow its practice. "There is a greater need for executives to incorporate the spiritual aspects of their lives into their work," says Paul T.P. Wong, professor at Trinity Western University in Canada. Dennis Bakke, co-founder of energy company AES (AES ), incorporated his spiritual beliefs into his book, Joy at Work: A Revolutionary Approach to Fun on the Job.. Bakke, an evangelical Christian, included a 30-page essay, "Enter Into the Master's Joy."


    Man, the secularists are really fighting a losing battle.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:45 PM

    IF YOU BUILD IT, HMONG WILL COME:

    Hmong teenagers given a taste of the great American pastime (Curt Brown, April 14, 2005, Minneapolis Star Tribune)

    Eight months ago, Mai Lia Yang and her friend Mailee Lee were creating needlework to sell at the Wat Tham Krabok refugee camp in Thailand.

    Wednesday night, the 15-year-old girls were tentatively using plastic knives and forks to eat hot dogs in a Metrodome outfield suite as the Minnesota Twins were beating the Detroit Tigers 8-4.

    The girls looked like kids in science class dissecting frogs. "I don't like the taste," Yang said in her native Hmong. Lee shrugged and said she'd prefer the spicy papaya salad and sticky rice served at Thai sporting events.

    Not that they were complaining. After all, this was their first dose of American baseball -- in all its Teflon-ceiling, artificial-grass weirdness.

    Yang, Lee and the seven teenage boys who joined them at the game are among the newest members of the Hmong Youth Group at Neighborhood House, a nonprofit social-service agency on St. Paul's West Side. The teens all resettled in St. Paul last fall after spending their childhoods in the Wat shantytown, considered the last Thai refugee camp remaining from the Vietnam War.

    The group was taking a break from its usual Wednesday-night English tutoring sessions. Instead of working on verb tenses, it was time to play ball -- or at least watch from the left-field corner.

    The 3M Co. provided the suite seats and ballpark treats. All the newest Hmong refugees had to do was figure out the intricacies of baseball. And translating that into Hmong was a whole 'nother ballgame.


    Like Terrance Mann said:
    The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. America has rolled by like an army of steamrollers; it has been erased like a blackboard, rebuilt, and erased again. But baseball has marked the time. This field, this game, is a part of our past, Ray. It reminds us of all that once was good, and it could be again. Ohhhh, people will come, Ray. People will most definitely come.


    Posted by Paul Jaminet at 1:23 PM

    THE FRENCH HONOR W:

    Honored for Toughness (NY Times, April 14, 2005)

    Bruce Willis has been awarded France's highest cultural honor. Mr. Willis, 50, was formally inducted yesterday into the French Order of Arts and Letters. The French culture minister, Renaud Donnedieu de Vabres, said the award paid tribute to an actor whose work "epitomizes the strength of American cinema, the power of the emotions that he invites us to share on the world's screens, and the sturdy personalities of his legendary characters."... Mr. Donnedieu de Vabres said that the actor's roles could not be reduced to a simple struggle between good and evil, yet he added, "You really have killed a lot of bad guys."

    The same could be said for George Bush, with more truth.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 PM

    YOUR WEEKEND READING ASSIGNMENT:

    South Park Conservatives: Snapshot of the Culture Wars (Edward B. Driscoll, Jr., 4/15/05, Tech Central Station)

    One of the side benefits of presidential elections every four years is that it allows for fairly close readings of where America's culture as a whole currently stands. That's one reason so many books on the topic are released shortly after each presidential election's conclusion. One of the newest is Brian C. Anderson's "South Park Conservatives," the title of which will be familiar to Tech Central Station readers. The name is based in part on a piece that Stephen Stanton wrote for TCS back in 2002 called "South Park Republicans."

    Anderson, the senior editor of the Manhattan Institute's City Journal, uses fans of the popular -- and controversial -- Comedy Central animated series as a metaphor to describe the changing face of conservatism.

    What Is a South Park Conservative?

    "In my book", Anderson recently told me, "the term refers to a kind of irreverent post-liberal or anti-liberal attitude or sensibility, one very in tune with popular culture. But it's not a coherent, fully developed political philosophy. You do find this attitude among a lot of younger Americans, as I show in my concluding chapter, which is based on lots of interviews with right-of-center college kids."


    Brother Driscoll even gets a couple nice mentions in the book, which we review here, -REVIEW: of South Park Conservatives : The Revolt Against Liberal Media Bias by Brian C. Anderson (Brothers Judd, 4/13/05). We can't recommend it highly enough.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:39 AM

    EVERYONE HAS TIME FOR BOXSCORES:

    President loves, follows baseball (Hal Bodley, 4/15/05, USA Today)

    Outside, tulips were in full bloom. Workers were manicuring the lush green grass as a bright sun splashed the beautiful landscape.

    Inside the Oval Office at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave., spring was also in the air. President Bush was talking baseball. His blue eyes were bright, his mood was relaxed and he acted like he wished he could walk to the RFK Stadium mound and toss that first pitch to Nationals catcher Brian Schneider right away. That would come much later in his busy day.

    "I'm honored to be throwing out the first pitch, continuing a tradition of presidents throwing out the first pitch for a Washington baseball team," the president said, sliding down in his chair to relax more. "It's really a great moment."

    This was Thursday morning, the third time I've sat in this historic office to interview a president.
    [...]

    Q: Is throwing out the first pitch special?

    A. It's an unusual experience. I've been in front of a lot of crowds as the president and governor (of Texas). Spoke in front of, I think, 200,000 people in Romania. There's nothing like going out and throwing the ball. It's a different feeling. First of all, the crowd is very pumped up; the relationship between the man behind the plate is really different than you think until you get out there. I remember Davey Lopes caught the ball in Milwaukee, and when I got out there, I said, "Where is Lopes?" He seemed so far away.

    Q. Is the night you threw out the first pitch during the 2001 World Series at Yankees Stadium after 9/11 your most meaningful first pitch?

    A. I would never say more meaningful because history has a way of challenging mankind. But it was a very dramatic moment. Made more so by Derek Jeter. He asked me if I wanted to loosen up. And I said I'd like to, so I went under the bowels of Yankee Stadium, a decrepit-looking undercarriage of this magnificent ballpark. An old veteran equipment guy showed up and said, "You want to play catch, Mr. President?" Then, Jeter said, "Are you going to throw the ball off the mound?" He said he'd throw it off the mound "if I were you." I said, I think I will. He said, "Don't bounce it because if you do, they'll boo." The crowd was chanting USA, and it was a very emotional, very alive experience. Something I'll never forget. [...]

    Q. Have you followed the Nationals?

    A. I start paying attention to the lineups during spring training, watch the pitching staff, know that Livan Hernandez is pitching tonight. I read the comments of Brian Schneider about catching the first pitch. I spend a fair amount of time on the box scores on a daily basis. That's one way to take your mind off the job, to delve into the moment.

    Q. Do you watch a lot of games on TV?

    A. Yes. I'm going to bed a little earlier these days because I'm up early, but I do watch. I have the dish. Chan Ho Park pitched a pretty good game (Wednesday) against the Angels. I follow the Rangers closely.

    Q. What's the greatest game you've seen?

    A. The Texas heat, Nolan Ryan (Texas Rangers) vs. Roger Clemens (Boston Red Sox). Rafael Palmeiro hits a homer; Jeff Russell closes.

    (The game was April 30, 1989. The Rangers won 2-1 on Palmeiro's two-run homer in the eighth inning. Clemens pitched eight innings, allowing six hits and striking out six. Ryan, the winner, pitched eight innings, allowing three hits and striking out 11.)


    They faced each the same week at Fenway. A buddy and I went down from Law School and the ticket office had misplaced ours so gave us house seats right behind home. We were surrounded by scouts with radar guns and the two of them were routinely 95+. Ryan hit Ellis Burks with obvious intent. It was a hoot.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:36 AM

    THE MYTH OF SPECIATION:

    Hybrid gives birth to wholphin (JEANNETTE J. LEE, 4/15/05, Associated Press)

    The only whale-dolphin mix in captivity has given birth to a playful female calf, officials at Sea Life Park Hawaii said Thursday.

    The calf was born on Dec. 23 to Kekaimalu, a mix of a false killer whale and an Atlantic bottlenose dolphin. Park officials said they waited to announce the birth until now because of recent changes in ownership and operations at the park.

    The young as-yet unnamed wholphin is one-fourth false killer whale and three-fourths Atlantic bottlenose dolphin. Her slick skin is an even blend of a dolphin's light gray and the black coloring of a false killer whale.

    The calf still depends fully on her mother's milk, but sometimes snatches frozen capelin from the hands of trainers, then toys with the sardine-like fish.

    She is jumbo-sized compared to purebred dolphins, and is already the size of a one-year-old bottlenose.

    "Mother and calf are doing very well," said Dr. Renato Lenzi, general manager of Sea Life Park by Dolphin Discovery. "We are monitoring them very closely to ensure the best care for them."

    Although false killer whales and Atlantic bottlenose dolphins are different species, they are classified within the same family by scientists.

    "They are not that far apart in terms of taxonomy," said Louis Herman, a leading expert in the study of marine mammals.

    There have been reports of wholphins in the wild, he said.


    Who wants to go tell Richard Cohen?


    Posted by David Cohen at 10:33 AM

    THE PRICE OF CHEAP, PLASTIC DASHBOARDS IS GOING UP, TOO.

    G.M. and Ford Stuck in Neutral as Buyers Look Beyond Detroit (Danny Hakim, NY Times, 4/14/05)

    In just the last few weeks, the grand plans that were supposed to carry General Motors and Ford Motor into their second centuries have crumbled.

    Sales at G.M. have fallen, profits have tumbled to losses. Last week, Ford also warned of a drop in earnings. Thursday, in yet another blow, its union refused to give much ground on G.M.'s health care coverage. If that were not enough, G.M.'s stock hit a 12-year low. (Related Article)

    The Big Two automobile giants offer plenty of explanations, from soaring health care costs to rising gas prices and creeping interest rates. But consumers and industry specialists say G.M. and Ford have swerved off course for a more basic reason: not enough people like their cars.

    Last car we bought, I tried hard to find an American car I liked. There's not a small sedan made in America that comes anywhere close to Honda or Toyota in styling, quality, fit or finish -- except, of course for the Hondas and Toyotas made in the USA. You have to spend at least one-third more to get a comparable American car.

    The car before that was a minivan. How anyone can shop around for a minivan and end up with anything other than an Odyssey is one of life's enduring mysteries.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:29 AM

    BACK TO 100% WASTELAND:

    Award-winning 'Arrested' may be coming to a stop (LUCIO GUERRERO, April 15, 2005, Chicago Sun-Times)

    This Sunday's "Arrested Development" is being listed as the season finale -- but chances are it may be the series finale.

    The critically lauded but viewer-challenged show is on the verge of not being renewed for a third season.

    If you don't know much about the show (and chances are you don't), here's really all you need to know:

    *It wins awards (five Emmys, including best comedy series in 2004).

    *There are remarkable cameos (Liza Minnelli and Ben Stiller, to name two).

    *Nobody watches it (more people watch "Cops").

    It's that last piece of information that is causing lots of unhappiness among its fans -- and nervousness from Fox officials. According to the Nielsen ratings, the show ranks 118th to date -- that's behind shows like "The Swan 2" and "America's Funniest Home Videos."

    Fans say the show is too edgy for regular television.


    It's certainly the only worthwhile show on network tv.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:24 AM

    IF ONLY WE'D GIVEN SANCTIONS MORE TIME...:

    Widespread mass graves unearthed in Iraq's south (Robert F. Worth, 4/15/05, NEW YORK TIMES NEWS SERVICE)

    Investigators have discovered several mass graves in southern Iraq that are believed to contain the bodies of people killed by Saddam Hussein's government, including one estimated to hold 5,000 bodies, Iraqi officials say.

    Investigators also have found the remains of 58 Kuwaitis spread across several sites, including what appears to be a family of two adults and five children who were crushed by a tank, said Bakhtiar Amin, Iraq's interim human rights minister. At least 605 Kuwaitis disappeared at the time of the Persian Gulf War, and before the latest graves were discovered, fewer than 200 had been accounted for, he added.

    Advertisement
    The mass graves, discovered during the past three months, have not been dug up because of the risks posed by the continuing insurgency and the lack of qualified forensic workers, Amin said. But initial excavations have substantiated the accounts of witnesses to a number of massacres.

    If the estimated body counts prove correct, the graves would be among the largest in the grim tally of mass killings that have gradually come to light since the fall of Hussein's government two years ago. At least 290 grave sites containing the remains of some 300,000 people have been found since the U.S.-led invasion two years ago, Iraqi officials say.


    Odd how unfazed the human rights Left is by all these finds.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:22 AM

    LOYALTY IS A RELATIVE THING:

    For Bolton critic, GOP claim shaky (Rowan Scarborough, 4/14/05, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

    Carl W. Ford Jr., who professed to being a "loyal Republican" when he testified Tuesday against the nomination of John R. Bolton as ambassador to the United Nations , has contributed to the political campaigns of several Democrats since 1999.

    Mr. Ford, a former CIA officer and State Department intelligence official who now works for the lobbying powerhouse Cassidy and Associates, contributed $1,000 to the campaign of Rep. Charles B. Rangel, New York Democrat, and $500 to Sen. Daniel K. Inouye, Hawaii Democrat, in 2004, according to Federal Election Commission records. [...]

    Committee Democrats, including ranking Democrat Sen. Joseph R. Biden Jr. of Delaware, cited the "loyal Republican" description to bolster Mr. Ford's credentials as a Bolton foe.

    "I'm sure, as strongly as you feel about this, there are going to be some who will suggest that this is -- there was a partisan motive in you being here," Mr. Biden said.


    Can't slip anything by ole Neil....


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:21 AM

    REMIND US AGAIN WHY NO ONE RESPECTS THE PRESS?:

    Bolton's Hair: No Brush With Greatness (Robin Givhan, April 15, 2005, Washington Post)

    John Bolton, President Bush's nominee for ambassador to the United Nations, desperately needs a haircut. It does not have to be a $600 Sally Hershberger cut. Bolton simply needs the basics. Tidy the curling, unruly locks at the nape of his neck, tame the volume at the crown, reel in the wings flapping above his ears, and broker a compromise between his sand-colored mop and his snow-colored mustache.

    He needs to do this, not because he should be minding the recommendations of men's fashion magazines or grooming experts but because when he settled in before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee this week to answer questions about his record, his philosophy and his intentions at the U.N., he looked as though he did not even have enough respect for the proceedings to bother combing his hair -- or, for that matter, straightening his tie, or wearing a shirt that did not put his neck in a chokehold. Bolton was one wrinkled suit away from being an insolent mess.

    These are not flaws or imperfections of nature. This is not a cruel attempt to hold an everyday man to the standards of an airbrushed model or a nipped and tucked actor. This is a matter of personal style.


    Much the same was said of Robert Bork, who deserved to be equally contemptuous of the Democrats grilling him.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:14 AM

    "WHO'S INTOLERANT?":

    Blackout on the Liberal Airwaves: Ethnic Cleansing at Air America (NATHANIEL LIVINGSTON, Jr., 4/13/05, CounterPunch)

    When liberal Air America Radio Network yanked hip-hop legend Chuck D, a member of Public Enemy, off the air on April Fool's Day and replaced him with Jerry Springer, they made fools out of Black Democrats, especially those in the hip-hop community who believed Air America would serve as a shining example of the Democratic Party's purported commitment to tolerance, diversity, and partnership.

    When the Coalition For A Just Cincinnati -- the group leading the economic boycott of Cincinnati -- decided to protest ethnic cleansing at Air America by picketing a live Springer broadcast, Jerry showed us just how intolerant he was. Like a scab, he crossed the picket line. Then he ordered a member of his all-white "Team Springer" clan to call the cops on us. In contrast, conservative Republican Sean Hannity welcomed protesting of his appearance in Cincinnati last summer. Who's intolerant?

    After being on the air for a year, Air America finds itself struggling to attract and keep listeners, just as the Democratic Party struggles to gain and keep voters. The removal of Chuck D -- one of only two daily African American talk show hosts -- represents much more than just the "whitening" of Air America, it symbolizes just how far the Party has drifted away from the Black community, it's most loyal support base.


    The smaller the pie the fiercer the fight for a piece.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:11 AM

    ONE AMERICAN TERRORIST AND TWO AMERICAN HEROES:

    They Didn't Catch Rudolph, but They Stopped Him Cold: Two witnesses' actions forced the bomber to go into hiding and end his campaign of killing. (Ellen Barry and Jenny Jarvie, April 15, 2005, LA Times)

    Jeffrey Tickal was drinking coffee at McDonald's when he saw the bomber striding past, and so it was on a McDonald's coffee cup that he wrote down the man's license plate number: KND1117.

    Tickal had never done anything like that before, and he hasn't since. Stepping out of McDonald's and following the man that morning was an instinctive reaction, he said — "what everyone is supposed to do."

    Despite the extraordinary police effort that went into investigating the deadly bombings in 1996, 1997 and 1998, it was two bystanders — Tickal and college student Jermaine Hughes — who provided the single filament of information that led to Eric Rudolph.

    On Wednesday, moments after Rudolph pleaded guilty to the bombings, U.S. Atty. Alice Martin finally revealed the names of the men who had been known as WN-1 and WN-2. They have seen but never met each other. Tickal, 41, is now a lawyer in Opelika, and Hughes, 29, has left the South to study law at Harvard.

    Martin said Thursday that she would like to see the two men receive a $1-million reward that was offered for identifying the bomber.

    "These bombings would never have been solved without these witnesses," said retired police Lt. Donald Toole, who was commander of the police radio control room the morning of the bombing. "That's how important they were. Without these witnesses, Rudolph would never have gone into hiding. He knew he had been seen."

    On Thursday, in the graceful, columned house that holds his law practice, Tickal was trying to figure out what to do about his constantly ringing phone. He complained about not getting work done, declined to be photographed and politely asked a television reporter not to go live outside his window. Asked about the reward, Tickal shrugged with what appeared to be a real lack of concern.

    "A hero?" said Tickal. "I followed the guy's tag number. I don't know what to call it."

    Through his lawyer, Hughes declined to comment for this report, saying the publicity could put him at risk.

    In a news conference Wednesday, prosecutors gave a dramatic narration of what happened the morning of Jan. 28, 1998, when Tickal and Hughes followed Rudolph from the site of his fourth bombing.


    MORE:
    Olympic Park Bomber May Head To Colorado's Supermax (the Denver Channel, April 14, 2005)

    Confessed Olympic Park bomber Eric Rudolph could spend the rest of his life among the nation's most dangerous, violent, escape-prone criminals at the ultrasecure "Supermax" federal prison in southern Colorado.

    Rudolph, who pleaded guilty Wednesday to bombings that killed two people and injured more than 120, would spend most of each day alone in a barren white cell with a concrete bed.

    Formally named the Administrative Maximum facility, the 10-year-old Supermax is home to Theodore Kaczynski, the Unabomber; Richard Reid, who tried to ignite a shoe bomb on a trans-Atlantic flight; Ramzi Yousef, who was involved in the 1993 World Trade Center bombing; and Terry Nichols, who helped carry out the Oklahoma City bombing in 1995.



    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:08 AM

    THE NATION RAJIV MADE:

    India still fighting to ‘save the girl child’ (Amelia Gentleman, 4/15/05, International Herald Tribune)

    New government figures show that this expensive area of Delhi - one of the most elite, prosperous areas of the Indian capital - has a growing aversion to girls. The sex ratio at birth has dropped to 762 girls for every 1,000 boys, according to a study of births registered in South Delhi in 2004 that was conducted by the Center for Social Research. It is the lowest such ratio in the capital and one of the lowest in the entire country.

    Over the past 15 years, as cheap ultrasound equipment has become readily available, the number of people deciding to abort female fetuses has soared, and despite government attempts to ban the practice, the number of girls being born has plummeted.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:07 AM

    JUST ONE:

    The Question of Motivation (Patrick O'Hannigan, 4/6/2005, Spectator)

    Have you noticed how much commentary about the passing of Pope John Paul II talks about his leadership without addressing what motivated that leadership?

    Pundits of varying reputation rightly credit Karol Wojtyla with leading the spiritual side of the fight against Communism and secular humanism. They cite his charisma, his force of will, and his political acumen.

    But by the time they sandwich bits of biographical detail around applause for the late Pope's character, most pundits are flirting with their 800-word limit. Only the consummate professionals probe any deeper. [...]

    The relative silence of other pundits on this question forced Father Richard John Neuhaus to pick up the slack. Neuhaus runs his own magazine, but wrote this for the New York Post:

    "It is impossible to understand John Paul without understanding that his entire thought and being was grounded in the incarnation, the teaching, the suffering, death, resurrection and promised return of Jesus Christ," Neuhaus wrote, letting the proverbial cat out of the bag.

    Some of those Protestants who did not join Neuhaus in crossing the Tiber to Catholicism are silent about papal motivation not because they feel out of their depth, but because to credit Jesus with inspiring the pope would force a re-examination of their own prejudices. Doing that, they might find unwelcome confirmation of what an American Spectator alumnus called the editor of this publication's "cheeky assertion" that "Among Christian religions, only one is the genuine article, and it's known as Roman Catholicism."


    I don't know, it sometimes seemed that in discussing his suffering we've almost made him too Christly.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:04 AM

    CHUCKY DOES CHINA:

    Chinese nationalism: Protests carry a risk (Joseph Kahn, April 15, 2005, The New York Times)

    Enraged about tendentious textbooks and territorial disputes in the East China Sea, Sun Wei, a college junior, joined thousands of Chinese protesting Japan in a rare legal march on the streets of Beijing last weekend.

    Yet he said his enthusiasm waned when an overwhelming force of police and plainclothes security officers herded the crowd into tight groups, allowing people to take turns throwing rocks and eggs at the Japanese Embassy.

    Told that they had "vented their anger" long enough, Sun and others were later shuffled onto buses and driven back to campus.

    "It was partly a real protest and partly a political show," Sun said in an interview this week. "I felt a little like a puppet."

    In one of its boldest political and diplomatic gambles in years, China has tapped a deep strain of nationalism among its people. It is gambling, analysts say, that it can propel itself to a leadership role in Asia while cloaking its rising power in the guise of wounded pride and popular will.

    But Beijing also seems to have taken steps to control - some say manipulate - a nascent protest movement to prevent a genuine grassroots challenge to the Communist Party.


    It's all fun and supermarionation games until the puppets get minds of their own.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:01 AM

    STRANGE? (via Robert Schwartz):

    One Millionaire's Strange Cry: Tickets, Please! (VINCENT M. MALLOZZI, 4/14/05, NY Times)

    There are train buffs, and there are train buffs - and then there is Walter O'Rourke.

    On a recent evening in Pennsylvania Station, Mr. O'Rourke, a New Jersey Transit conductor, opened the doors to his train, and a river of elbows and briefcases, knapsacks and newspapers rushed in.

    His gendarme cap crooked, his glasses bobbing off his nose, Mr. O'Rourke smiled and said, "There's no place else I'd rather be."

    He wasn't kidding.

    In fact, there are plenty of other places Mr. O'Rourke, 65, could have been. He could have been at his log cabin in Townsend, Del., which sits on 140 acres. He could have been in one of his two Florida homes, or at his insurance company there.

    Heck, Mr. O'Rourke could have been off running his own railroad, the one he owns in West Virginia. But there he was, a millionaire from business, real estate and insurance investments, punching tickets on a suburban train full of tired faces, bouncing from shoulder to shoulder like a pinball.

    No place else he'd rather be.

    "I don't need the money," Mr. O'Rourke explained. "I need the job."

    Walter Joe O'Rourke, who never wed, is married to the rails. Despite earning more than what he estimated at $2 million last year from his investments, he chugs along as a conductor, earning a base salary of $52,000 a year.

    "Pocket change," Mr. O'Rourke said. "But it keeps me doing the one thing I enjoy doing most."

    Born on Dec. 14, 1939, in Fort Worth, Mr. O'Rourke comes from a family of railway workers. Five of his six uncles worked rail jobs around Texas.


    No man of quality ever loved the highways.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:58 AM

    HERE'S LINT IN YOUR EYE:

    Two Men From Galicia (Christopher Westley, April 15, 2005, Mises.org)

    With the death of Pope John Paul II last week, many have compared his intellectual contributions to those of Ludwig von Mises.

    You couldn't pry this guy's gaze out of his own navel with the jaws of life.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:55 AM

    GO-SHOUTING ON THE POTOMAC:



    At RFK, Good Times Are Here Again (Thomas Boswell, April 15, 2005, Washington Post)

    Baseball arrived in Washington at precisely 8:14 last night at RFK Stadium when Vinny Castilla sliced a triple into the right field corner in the fourth inning of a scoreless game. Two swift Nationals, Jose Vidro and Jose Guillen, raced around the bases to score the first runs in a major league game in this town in 34 years. As Castilla slid into third, the crowd behind the home dugout jumped up and down in unison, just as it had risen as one at the end of the first half-inning in a spontaneous ovation for two strikeouts by starter Livan Hernandez.

    However, it wasn't just the box seats that bounced. The entire upper deck, including the press box, began the same unmistakable swaying up and down that marked so many touchdowns in the Redskins' glory days. Then you could see the whole upper deck sway. The Washington crowd hasn't quite got the knack of it yet, not after one game. But the fans are learning fast. All that was required was one Washington run after 33 vacant seasons and the place rocked on its old hinges.

    "Holy [expletive]," said team president Tony Tavares, who watched the game in the presidential box with President Bush and Commissioner of Baseball Bud Selig.

    "It does scare you when you first feel it," said Tony Siegle, the Nationals' assistant general manager. "Does that happen often?"

    If the Nationals keep winning games like this 5-3 victory over Arizona, with Hernandez allowing only one scratch infield single over the first eight innings, then this old park will shake frequently. And if the Nats stay in first place in the National League East for a while, it'll shimmy a lot more.


    Go Nats! (Charles Krauthammer, April 15, 2005, Washington Post)
    David Brooks of The New York Times wonders whether, as a lifelong Mets fan, he is morally permitted to jump ship and pledge allegiance to the new team of his (relatively) new hometown, the Washington Nationals (nee Montreal Expos).

    It's a charming dilemma, but it raises a more fundamental question: What is with this rooting business in the first place?

    It is one thing to root for your son's Little League team. After all, he is your kid, and you paid for his glove -- and uniform, helmet, bat, and, when he turns 9, cup. You have a stake in him, and by extension his team.

    But what possible stake do grown men have in the fortunes of 25 perfect strangers, vagabond mercenaries paid obscene sums to play a game for half the year?

    The whole thing is completely irrational. For me, this is no mere abstract question. I have been a baseball fan most of my life. I could excuse the early years, the Mantle-Maris era, as mere childish hero worship. But what excuse do I have now? Why should I care about these tobacco-spitting, crotch-adjusting multimillionaires who have never heard of me and would not care if I was dispatched to my maker by an exploding scoreboard?

    Why? I have no idea.


    As the poet said: Ours not to reason why, ours to try and figure out the rule on an infield fly...


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:23 AM

    WE'RE WITH KOFI:

    Annan: US, UK Share Blame for Iraq's Illegal Oil Sales (VOA News, 15 April 2005)

    United Nations Secretary-General Kofi Annan says the United States and Britain are partly to blame for Saddam Hussein's regime in Iraq taking in billions of dollars from illegal oil sales.

    That's obviously true--we should have changed the regime in '91.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:06 AM

    "DERELICTION OF DUTY"? OUCH!:

    TELEVISION REVIEW | 'KARL ROVE - THE ARCHITECT': Tracking the Ambitions of a Political Adviser (VIRGINIA HEFFERNAN, 4/12/05, NY Times)

    "Karl Rove - The Architect," a documentary on PBS tonight, spins a story of astounding stupidity out of a career it insists is among the most influential in American politics. This is unpardonable. To hint at so much intrigue without dramatizing any of it - by hardly offering evidence - is a dereliction of duty; it suggests that even the most tendentious account of Mr. Rove, President Bush's top political adviser, as a redeemer or a rascal might have done his story greater justice.

    In harmony with dark synthesizer chords, the narrator speaks in haunted tones about Mr. Rove's "40-year plan to remake the American political landscape." (Mr. Rove is 54.) Talking heads confirm that "Karl Rove wants a permanent Republican majority," "His hand was in all of it," and - more scare chords - "He's the god inside the machine."

    He sure sounds terrifying. And indeed, we do learn (shield the kids) that Mr. Rove, from an early age, was a Republican. He liked politics. And he worked to get Republicans elected.

    Really, it's chilling.

    Pervaded by interviews with reporters from The Washington Post, which joins "Frontline" in presenting the documentary, the program takes its title from Mr. Bush's 2004 victory speech, in which he thanked various advisers, including "the architect, Karl Rove." This workaday figure of speech is treated as an all-revealing slip of the tongue, and the movie goes into overdrive trying to make architecture seem sinister.

    Here things get especially comical. Ham-handed still lifes of an architect's paraphernalia - including blueprints, compasses, graph paper - appear as a metonym for the title character. These arrangements are an embarrassment to documentary filmmaking.


    The Wife said it was just appalling, and she's always right.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:39 AM

    "TEXAN" OR "AMERICAN"?:

    Texan Is Indicted in Iraq Oil Sales by Hussein Aides (JULIA PRESTON and JUDITH MILLER, April 15, 2005, NY Times)

    An American oil trader and a Korean lobbyist with a scandalous past were charged yesterday in connection with illegal gains and kickbacks involving the United Nations oil-for-food program during Saddam Hussein's regime in Iraq.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:33 AM

    CONSERVATIVES ONLY NEED APPLY:

    What may be behind long nominee battles: In one theory, a stellar résumé actually causes delay in Senate confirmation of judicial picks. (Warren Richey, 4/15/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

    Remember when your parents told you if you are smart, study hard, and do well in school, you will be rewarded with a great career?

    That might hold true for astrophysicists, accountants, and veterinarians. But according to at least one scholar, it doesn't hold for nominees to a federal appeals court. For them, he says, dumber is better.

    This is the provocative conclusion of John Lott, an economist at the American Enterprise Institute in Washington, who studied the judicial confirmation process in the US Senate dating back to the Carter administration. He wanted to know why certain judicial nominees have been singled out for harsher treatment - including, most recently, filibusters.

    Opposition senators of both parties have long emphasized ideology as their key concern - either excessive conservatism or excessive liberalism. Individuals with extreme views generally don't make good judges. But Mr. Lott says other factors may be playing a key role.

    "It is pretty much the dumber you are, the easier it is to get on the court," he says.


    It's good to be the Stupid Party!


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:29 AM

    THE CHURCH EUGENE DESTROYED (via Robert Schwartz):

    Connecticut Episcopalians Defy Bishop Over Gay Issues (ANDY NEWMAN, 4/14/05, NY Times)

    At a morning service on Tuesday in St. Paul's Church here, a worshiper read a poem urging his pastor to stand firm against the moral decay embodied by the local bishop and the church's national leadership. Fifty miles away in Watertown, a pastor drew chuckles when he asked his flock to pray for the bishop, who has threatened to silence him for his defiance.

    All told, six Episcopal churches have rejected the authority of the bishop of the Connecticut Diocese and stopped paying their diocesan dues because of the bishop's liberal views on homosexuality and his support for a gay bishop in New Hampshire.

    The bishop, Andrew D. Smith, has responded by threatening to remove the pastors of those congregations from their pulpits if they do not rejoin the fold by Friday. The Rev. Christopher Leighton, the rector of St. Paul's, says a reconciliation will not happen without supernatural intervention. "It would be a miracle," he said. "There's no doubt about it."

    The ideological rift in Connecticut is only the latest convulsion in a wave of rebellion shaking the Episcopal church all across the country, fallout from the consecration of a gay Episcopal bishop in New Hampshire in 2003 and the church's softening stance on gay marriage.

    In the last year, about a dozen churches have broken with the Episcopal Church USA, the American arm of Anglicanism, and joined Anglican dioceses in Africa and South America whose leaders still view homosexuality as an abomination. Many other churches have split in two, or have joined networks of dissenting churches within the national church.

    At the same time, the Episcopal Church USA faces growing opposition in the international Anglican Communion for its position on sexuality.


    At some point don't they have to accept that they aren't Episcopalean but Catholic?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:22 AM

    DEVELOPED NATIONS DON'T ASSEMBLE STUFF:

    UK's MG Rover collapses, faces mass job losses (Michael Smith and Gerard Wynn, April 15, 2005, Reuters)

    Bankrupt British carmaker MG Rover finally collapsed on Friday as administrators said there was no prospect of selling the business whole, dealing a blow to the ruling Labour Party as it campaigns for re-election.

    Administrators PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), appointed last week after a rescue deal with China's Shanghai Automotive Industry Corp (SAIC) broke down, said there was no hope of saving the firm and that its 6,000 workers faced redundancy. [...]

    The final collapse of MG Rover, which has been in its death throes for weeks, is politically embarrassing for the UK government which is campaigning on the back of its economic record to win re-election on May 5.

    The government is defending a number of slim majorities in seats around MG Rover's main Longbridge plant in Birmingham, central England.


    Ford and GM to follow shortly.


    MORE:
    MG Rover's collapse jolts British election: Britain's last major carmaker filed for a type of bankruptcy last week, putting pressure on Blair. (Mark Rice-Oxley, 4/15/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

    No sooner had Prime Minister Tony Blair called Britain's election than the country was shaken by the dramatic collapse of one of its biggest industrial names.

    The victim was MG Rover, which filed for bankruptcy last week after a takeover bid from a Chinese automaker foundered. The demise of Britain's last major domestic carmaker is a blow to its once-proud automobile sector, which has suffered assembly plant closures and surrendered major marques like Jaguar and Rolls Royce to overseas giants in recent years.

    In political terms, it's as if General Motors went bust less than a month before a US presidential election. As many as 6,000 workers at the Longbridge plant in central England face imminent layoffs. And many more jobs in related industries are on the line. Locals say an entire region that would normally support Mr. Blair's Labour Party on the May 5 election is now in shock.

    "It's devastating for the community," says Toni Round, whose partner Darren Doughty has worked at MG Rover for 16 years. "I don't think you can imagine how many people it's going to affect," she said at a rally by scores of family members of Rover workers outside Downing Street on Wednesday. "People are bitter, but they don't know who to blame," she adds.

    "It's like a plane crash," says Nick Matthews, a local expert in the manufacturing sector. "It's all the people in the same place at the same time. That plant has been there since the 1890s."


    Every hundred years or so the economy changes a little.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:52 AM

    NEARLY WORTH VIOLATING THE TIMEZONE RULE:

    His Legacy Merits More Than a Nod of Approval (Bill Plaschke, April 15, 2005, LA Times)

    A little statue, a giant statement.

    Those showing up at Dodger Stadium tonight will receive the first-ever action figure of Jackie Robinson, sliding into home plate, elbows up, spikes high.

    More compelling, though, is what the statue does not do.

    Its head does not bobble.

    Rachel Robinson, alone in a world of quick-buck heirloom hawkers, will never approve her husband's image on a bobblehead doll.

    Her husband was never one to nod and smile and say yes.

    Her husband's mission was never one of compliance.

    Her husband's memory will not be trivialized.

    "I will not allow a bobblehead, ever," she said Thursday. "It's not in keeping with his manner."

    And so the most guarded, honored legacy in sports lives, unmarred by hypocrisy, untouched by greed.

    Today is the 58th anniversary of the day Jackie Robinson broke baseball's color barrier and changed America forever.

    He is still changing it — with a scholarship foundation that has helped more than 1,000 minority students attend college at a 97% graduation rate.

    He is still doing it with little appreciation — only two active major leaguers, Derek Jeter and Royce Clayton, have endowed a scholar.

    He is still doing it with little support — the baseball union isn't even a donor.

    He is still doing it with almost zero publicity — Rachel, 82, refuses most interview requests because she doesn't want to take his spotlight.

    And he is still doing it with quiet defiance.

    Before Robinson died of a heart attack at age 53, his hair had long since turned white, his eyesight had been mostly lost, and his strength had virtually disappeared.

    Science will blame it on diabetes and heart disease. Baseball folks will tell you it was stress.



    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:49 AM

    KOS CO:

    The Blogosphere: Insiders vs. Outsiders (Digby, April 13, 2005, In These Times)

    What most journalists and others who observe the new phenomenon of political blogging fail to understand is that the “blogosphere” is actually two rather sharply distinct spheres. These roughly mirror the country’s political divide and are organized in very different ways.

    The right blogosphere operates largely as part of the greater Republican message machine. Many of its bloggers are already part of that infrastructure, working as journalists for conservative publications, writing books and lecturing. Independent bloggers on the right hail from all walks of life, but the leading voices are either part of the political machine itself, like Mike Krempasky of RedState, or closely connected to the conservative media and think tank infrastructure, like Hugh Hewitt, Michelle Malkin and the PowerLine bloggers. The right blogosphere is a reflection of successful top-down Republican message control, and as such these bloggers are welcomed warmly into the fold.

    As Garance Franke-Ruta writes in the April issue of The American Prospect, the right-wing blogosphere has also recently become useful to long-established political operatives such as Morton Blackwell, mentor to iconic GOP campaign strategists Karl Rove and Lee Atwater. In the recent Eason Jordan affair, the right blogosphere was credited with forcing the former chief news executive of CNN to resign over a controversial off-the-record comment. It turned out that many conservative blogs were part of this larger concerted effort. In the wake of this success, conservatives are now running what Franke-Ruta describes as “Internet Activist Schools, designed to teach conservatives how to engage in guerilla Internet activism,” or what some people used to call “dirty tricks.”

    By contrast, the left blogosphere is populated by “citizen bloggers,” who work in non-political occupations for a living and blog for reasons of personal interest. This sphere actually operates as a unique and potentially powerful political constituency rather than a part of the Democratic Party apparatus. Unlike their counterparts on the right, the lefty blogs have had to crash the party, but because they did it with energy, votes and money, they are making themselves a power in their own right.

    In the last election cycle the “netroots” exerted their influence through prodigious fundraising, contributing greatly to the Democrats’ fundraising efforts. Howard Dean’s primary campaign also demonstrated that the Internet was a rich source of small individual donations that collectively added up to many millions. But throughout the campaign, blogs such as Daily Kos and Eschaton were able to raise the six figure sums that normally only fat cats like Bush “Pioneers” could generate. And along with that money came a large group of engaged and informed netroot activists who were able, in the weeks leading up to the election, to marshal a boycott of national advertisers virtually overnight to protest Sinclair Broadcasting’s plan to air a blatantly partisan documentary about John Kerry. That action led to a precipitous downgrading of Sinclair stock, enough to cause the company to abandon its plans.


    Weren't those Kos people actually employed by the Dean campaign?

    MORE:
    Five Ways to Combat Conservative Media (Jamison Foser, April 12, 2005, In These Times)

    1. Stop talking about “bias.”

    Inaccurate, distorted and misleading news reports that further a conservative agenda or undermine progressive ideas dominate our newspapers and airwaves. But this isn’t necessarily because reporters or media outlets are biased towards conservatives.

    For every Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity, there are dozens of reporters who don’t have an ideological axe to grind, but whose work contains conservative misinformation anyway.


    Of course, Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity are entertainers, who are paid for their bias, while the thousands of "reporters" just happen to be Democrats by margins of 10-1.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:44 AM

    SAME STORY, NEW CONTINENT:

    In Latin America, a Religious Turf War (Henry Chu, April 15, 2005, LA Times)

    Latecomers have to hunt for a seat at the First Baptist Church of Copacabana. By 10:30 a.m. on Sunday, the pews are full, the drummers and guitarists warmed up, and the faithful are ready to meet God.

    "Thanks be to your name," the pastor prays earnestly, his brow furrowed. "Be among us."

    A chorus of amens bursts from the congregation. Some members have their hands raised. Onstage, young men and women in T-shirts and jeans launch into a ballad-like hymn of devotion, kicking off an hour and a half of often joyous, sometimes contemplative worship.

    So begins one of thousands of weekly services in Protestant churches across Brazil. Although this largely tropical nation has more Roman Catholics than any other country in the world, it is witnessing a boom in evangelical Protestantism that could dramatically alter the religious landscape in the next 20 years.

    Across Latin America, home to nearly half the world's Catholics, believers are increasingly abandoning the Vatican's brand of Christianity in favor of the evangelical variety, a trend that will pose one of the biggest challenges for the next pope.

    "The Reformation finally arrived in Latin America, four centuries after starting in Europe," said Dean Brackley, a professor of theology at the Jesuit-run Central American University in San Salvador.

    For Catholicism to stay relevant, analysts say, cardinals now gathered in Rome to elect a successor to Pope John Paul II must pick someone ready to grapple with the concerns of folks like Carlos Eduardo Valente de Abreu, half a world away.

    "I didn't feel very welcome in the Catholic Church," said Valente, 31, an information technology consultant in Rio de Janeiro. "I couldn't agree with what they preached — the images of Christ suffering. Also, I didn't feel much sincerity."

    What he found at First Baptist in Copacabana was a strong sense of community in a disorienting world. Experts say that is a major draw of evangelical churches, especially among migrants.


    And in four centuries they'll be drifting back to the Church--you'd think we could cut to the chase this time though.

    MORE:
    African Catholic Church Growing Rapidly (TERRY LEONARD, 4/15/05, Associated Press)

    Mass is so crowded at St. Joseph's Roman Catholic Church that the parishioners spill out into the courtyard, where they huddle close to the doors to hear and be heard.

    Worship here is participatory and joyous, not a staid moral duty performed amid pomp and ritual beneath the stained glass of one of Europe's cavernous and magnificent cathedrals.

    The Catholic Church seems young, active and relevant, growing at a rate so explosive — with nearly 140 million Roman Catholics in Africa — that it's a vital part of today's Christian expansion.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:43 AM

    SCORE ANOTHER ONE FOR CANADIAN VALUES:

    Chinese fugitive is denied asylum (Ian Gunn, 4/15/05, BBC News)

    A man described by the Chinese government as its most wanted fugitive has failed in an attempt to secure refugee status in Canada.

    Lai Changxing had asked a federal court to overturn a lower ruling that said he was not a genuine political refugee and should be returned to China.

    Mr Lai has argued he faces execution in China if Canada deports him.



    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:41 AM

    JUST A LITTLE BIT PREGNANT:

    China warns against Japan rallies (BBC, 4/15/05)

    Police in China have warned people not to attend unauthorised anti-Japanese rallies this weekend, amid a mounting dispute over history and oil fields.

    "Express your patriotic passion in an orderly manner," police said.


    How do we get this dang toothpaste back in the tube...


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:09 AM

    DEURBAN RENEWAL:

    Metro areas see growth at edges: Census figures signal ‘decade of the exurbs' (Haya El Nasser and Paul Overberg, 4/15/05, USA TODAY)

    Americans' quest for more space at a price they can afford is fueling a population boom in counties on the farthest edges of metropolitan areas, according to Census estimates released Thursday.

    Several of the counties that grew the fastest from 2000 to 2004 are distant suburbs of major cities, from No. 1 Loudoun County in Virginia, 35 miles west of Washington, to No. 6 Henry County, Ga., about 30 miles south of Atlanta.

    “This is the decade of the exurbs,” says William Frey, demographer at the Brookings Institution. “You see the importance of way-out counties in places like Atlanta, Dallas and Denver and even in Minnesota.”

    This spreading out is happening after a decade when the USA grew faster than at any time since the 1960s, spurring demand for millions of new housing units. Despite efforts to contain suburban sprawl and encourage denser development, many Americans are willing to endure longer commutes to achieve their dream of owning a single-family home with a big yard.


    In the not too distant future cities will be nothing more than combination office parks, theme parks and transit hubs.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:33 AM

    LEAVE IT TO THE LOCUSTS:

    People leaving county in droves (Beth Barrett, 4/15/05, LA Daily News)

    The exodus of Los Angeles County residents to surrounding counties and nearby states accelerated significantly during the past year, driving the largest population shift in the nation, according to new U.S. Census Bureau figures released Thursday.

    Fueled by soaring housing prices, traffic congestion, and new jobs in outlying areas, residents left L.A. at an average net rate of 9,621 per month between July 1, 2003, and last July 1, compared with an average net of 7,373 per month over the three previous years -- a 30 percent increase on average.

    The figures show 115,434 more residents left the county last year than newcomers arrived. But the overall population still increased with 98,184 new immigrants arriving from foreign countries and 94,675 more births than deaths.

    Experts said the trend is a continuing shrinking of the middle class in Los Angeles and a worsening of the disparity in income between new arrivals and the wealthier, long-term residents whose incomes likely will grow.

    William H. Frey, a demographer and visiting fellow at The Brookings Institution in Washington, D.C., said the decades-long shift of populations to the suburbs has accelerated and expanded throughout the nation, with more families moving farther away into what's been dubbed the exurbs.

    "What's happened in Southern California is a mega-trend of what's happening elsewhere, with people moving farther and farther from the central urban area. In California, it's even beyond state lines."

    Frey said studies show that no longer is the migration a "white flight" phenomena, but that Hispanics, in particular, and other ethnic groups are joining in increasing numbers.


    Cities and Europe--experiments that failed.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    ALL FLORIDA, ALL THE TIME, EVERYWHERE:

    Fraud fear as postal voting soars 500% in marginals (Jill Sherman, Sarah Weaver and Dominic Kennedy, 4/15/05, Times of London)

    APPLICATIONS for postal votes for the general election have risen by up to 500 per cent in marginal seats, sparking concern about the risk of electoral fraud.

    A survey by The Times shows that applications have almost trebled since 2001. In some key marginals the numbers have risen even further. In Cheadle, Manchester, where the Liberal Democrats have a majority of 33, the number of applications stands at 8,226, nearly five times the 1,695 cast in 2001.

    The Times has learnt that the Government has, for the first time in a general election, invited international observers to monitor the last week of the campaign.


    If you can't be bothered showing up at the polls--and aren't active duty military--you shouldn't get to vote.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    A BEAK IS A BEAK:

    Backward Evolution (Richard Cohen, April 12, 2005, Washington Post)

    Behold the giant Galapagos tortoise! It weighs several hundred pounds, lives God-only-knows how long and on the day a couple of weeks ago when I was on the Galapagos Islands, could not be beholden at all. The tortoise we wanted to see, Lonesome George, so-called because he is apparently the last of his subspecies, was in hiding. In a sense, that's appropriate, because almost half of the United States cannot see any of the Galapagos for what they are: the home office of evolution. This is where Charles Darwin got his bright idea.

    The archipelago, 600 miles off the coast of Ecuador, is where birds and reptiles have evolved in almost total isolation; species that exist there can be found nowhere else. Darwin, visiting the Galapagos in 1835, was stunned by what he saw and evolved a theory to explain it all: natural selection. More recently, a pair of Princeton University scientists examined the finches on just one of the islands and noted how their beaks evolved to suit climatic conditions. A book by Jonathan Weiner about their findings, "The Beak of the Finch," won the Pulitzer Prize in 1995. It is now clear that in some cases evolution moves with surprising speed.

    It is odd to amble around the Galapagos and see the handiwork of evolution yet at the same time bear in mind that many Americans do not accept evolution at all.


    It's one of those topics where you thank your lucky stars a nitwit like Richard Cohen is on the other side. No one takes the finches seriously anymore. Indeed, there's a great line in Mr. Weiner's book, about one of those Princeton scientists who claims the finches differ in any significant way from one another: "At the Charles Darwin Research Station on the island of Santa Cruz, the staff has a saying: 'Only God and Peter Grant can recognize Darwin's finches.'"


    April 14, 2005

    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:51 PM

    IF YOU CAN'T BEAT 'EM, DUCK 'EM:

    Evolution backers to boycott Kansas hearings (DIANE CARROLL, 4/08/05, The Kansas City Star)

    It looks as if the coming hearings on the Kansas science standards will be a one-sided event.

    Proponents of intelligent design have lined up 23 witnesses — including one from Italy and another from Turkey — to support their point of view.

    But scientists who defend evolution apparently are boycotting the hearings, said Alexa Posny, assistant commissioner for the state Department of Education.

    As of Thursday, the state's deadline, only one scientist had agreed to testify and his appearance had not been confirmed, she said.

    “We have contacted scientists from all over the world,” Posny said. “There isn't anywhere else we can go.”


    It's an eloquent silence.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:46 PM

    WHERE WERE THE MANNERS ON THE WAY TO BATAAN?:

    The God Gap: Japan and the clash of civilizations (ROGER PULVERS, 4/10/05, The Japan Times)

    There are many differences between Japan and the West, both historical and contemporary, but there is no gap so gaping and, perhaps, unbridgeable as the "God Gap."

    When I first arrived in Japan in 1967, though I could barely speak a word of the language I felt immediately at home. I was happy to be away from the holier-than-thou rhetoric of life in the United States, a country whose instinct for religious intolerance runs deep within the body politic. That instinct is suppressed by laws which at times -- our times included -- are weakened by leaders who equate religious dogma with liberty.

    The Japanese, on the other hand, have throughout their history been admirably tolerant of other religions. The persecution of Christians in the Edo Period (1603-1867) is an undoubted stain on this record, yet it was no worse than what European Christians were doing to each other and most everyone else. In addition, the policy had the virtue of excluding Europeans from Japan. After all, their sweet oratory was merely the colonialist's ruse and their Bible's pages reeked of gunpowder. By evading the European God, Japan circumvented the Western dominator.

    Now, one topic currently being passionately discussed in Japan's government circles is bunmeikan taiwa (dialogue among civilizations). World cultures, as represented blatantly in our day by their religions, seem to be in the throes of a violent clash. Confrontation leads all too readily to violence; violence to holy destruction.

    One of the characteristic features of Japanese society is the avoidance of confrontation -- most Japanese would rather walk away from a conflict than join the fray, and there is a tendency to nod and agree with another's opinion even when it is not shared. This is done out of both an ingrained civility and a commitment to the harmony of the moment over the self-assertion of conviction.

    To non-Japanese unfamiliar with Japanese manners or the Japanese love of propriety and decorum over free expression and discord, this avoidance of confrontation can appear suspiciously like hypocrisy. But it is based on an ideal of amelioration: that people of differing beliefs can surely live together if they do not try to impose their faith on each other.


    Set aside for the nonce the unfortunate fact that like other godless nations they're dying off, how'd you like to see him read his essay on a street corner in Nanking?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:28 PM

    WHO'S MODERATING THE DEBATES?:

    Ratzinger's papal push gains steam (Barney Zwartz, April 15, 2005, The Age)

    Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger, the man known as John Paul II's enforcer, is thought to be making a serious tilt to be the next pope.

    As cardinals continue to meet before their conclave starts on Monday, Cardinal Ratzinger is thought to have as many as 50 supporters. He will need 77 to get the required two-thirds majority, but if the conclave dragged out to 30 ballots he would need only a simple majority, 58.

    Cardinal Ratzinger, who turns 78 tomorrow, was thought to be too old and too close to John Paul, and Vatican watchers also felt his German nationality might be a handicap. But he is widely respected as a theologian, and gained considerable ground with his dignified homily at John Paul's funeral.

    Although the 115 cardinals who will elect the next pope have agreed on a media ban between the funeral and the conclave, it emerged yesterday that Ratzinger supporters are planning a swift campaign. If, after a couple of ballots, he does not have the numbers, he will withdraw.

    A reaction against his candidacy began to develop yesterday as progressives martialled their energies behind Cardinal Dionigi Tettamanzi of Milan.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:32 PM

    HOW LONG DO YOU WEAR THE SACKCLOTH FOR?:

    GOP's faith-based quest for a touch of color (Salim Muwakkil, April 10, 2005, Chicago Tribune)

    The Republican Party's attempt to cultivate new black leadership through appeals to moral concerns and faith-based funding has had some success. And for good reason.

    The black church, which often has been portrayed as a monolithic hub of progressive activism, has a strong conservative tradition. Like most religious institutions, its primary emphasis is piety, family and personal morality.

    Rev. Martin Luther King Jr., for example, was bitterly opposed by much of the clergy leadership for his social activism. But King's notions of civic protest and social agitation also have a strong following in the black church, and that wing is reacting strongly against the GOP's new religious outreach.

    The GOP is trying to exploit this venerable split by aggressively courting blacks through appeals to so-called moral issues and by channeling educational resources through faith-based institutions.

    As the party of Abraham Lincoln, the GOP historically was the first electoral home of blacks. That political allegiance began to change after the New Deal presidency of Democrat Franklin D. Roosevelt. After President Lyndon B. Johnson linked the Democrats to the civil rights movement--in rhetoric and legislation--the black electorate became the party's most dependable bloc of voters, where it remains.

    The GOP has used a variety of tactics to redress this electoral imbalance. In the 1970s, President Richard Nixon sought to appeal to the surging black nationalist community with a focus on "black capitalism." In the 1980s, then-Rep. Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.) famously urged Reagan Republicans to abandon all attempt to convert the civil rights fraternity and "to invent new black leadership. ... "

    The GOP then tried to incubate a corps of right-leaning black intellectuals to challenge the liberal arguments linking African-Americans to Democrats. Scholars such as Thomas Sowell, Walter Williams, Shelby Steele and Glenn Lowry (who has since turned left), among others, were heavily recruited and dispatched to public punditry. These attempts were hampered by, among other things, a lack of connection with the cultural currents of the black community.

    Even the high-profile appointments of folks like Clarence Thomas, Colin Powell and Condoleezza Rice by GOP leaders have failed to cause a significant change in black electoral behavior.

    But Republicans now see the Bush administration's "faith-based initiatives" as a new opportunity to wedge the party into the black community. The church is the black community's dominant institution, and its religious values always have encouraged social and cultural conservatism.

    Although those values share much with those of the religious right and conservative Republicans, black voters had powerful reasons for shying away from an American right wing that often welcomed racist ideology. Republicans think that sordid history is old news to most black voters and the time is right to exploit common cultural ties.


    If not now, when? If not us, who?


    Posted by Peter Burnet at 8:03 PM

    A PROPHET IN HIS OWN COUNTRY

    Loudly, With a Big Stick (David Brooks, New York Times, April 14th, 2005)

    From the start, the U.N. has had two rival missions. Some people saw it as a place where sovereign nations could work together to solve problems. But other people saw it as the beginnings of a world government.

    This world government dream crashed on the rocks of reality, but as Jeremy Rabkin of Cornell has observed, the federalist idea has been replaced by a squishier but equally pervasive concept: the dream of "global governance."

    The people who talk about global governance begin with the same premises as the world government types: the belief that a world of separate nations, living by the law of the jungle, will inevitably be a violent world. Instead, these people believe, some supranational authority should be set up to settle international disputes by rule of law.

    They know we're not close to a global version of the European superstate. So they are content to champion creeping institutions like the International Criminal Court. They treat U.N. General Assembly resolutions as an emerging body of international law. They seek to foment a social atmosphere in which positions taken by multilateral organizations are deemed to have more "legitimacy" than positions taken by democratic nations.

    John Bolton is just the guy to explain why this vaporous global-governance notion is a dangerous illusion, and that we Americans, like most other peoples, will never accept it.

    We'll never accept it, first, because it is undemocratic. It is impossible to set up legitimate global authorities because there is no global democracy, no sense of common peoplehood and trust. So multilateral organizations can never look like legislatures, with open debate, up or down votes and the losers accepting majority decisions.

    Instead, they look like meetings of unelected elites, of technocrats who make decisions in secret and who rely upon intentionally impenetrable language, who settle differences through arcane fudges. Americans, like most peoples, will never surrender even a bit of their national democracy for the sake of multilateral technocracy.

    Second, we will never accept global governance because it inevitably devolves into corruption. The panoply of U.N. scandals flows from a single source: the lack of democratic accountability. These supranational organizations exist in their own insular, self-indulgent aerie.

    We will never accept global governance, third, because we love our Constitution and will never grant any other law supremacy over it. Like most peoples (Europeans are the exception), we will never allow transnational organizations to overrule our own laws, regulations and precedents. We think our Constitution is superior to the sloppy authority granted to, say, the International Criminal Court.

    Fourth, we understand that these mushy international organizations liberate the barbaric and handcuff the civilized. Bodies like the U.N. can toss hapless resolutions at the Milosevics, the Saddams or the butchers of Darfur, but they can do nothing to restrain them. Meanwhile, the forces of decency can be paralyzed as they wait for "the international community."

    Fifth, we know that when push comes to shove, all the grand talk about international norms is often just a cover for opposing the global elite's bêtes noires of the moment - usually the U.S. or Israel. We will never grant legitimacy to forums that are so often manipulated for partisan ends.

    Succinct, pithy and on the mark. Let’s buy this gentleman a decaffeinated coffee.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:00 PM

    TRY-OUTS:

    Healthy Former US President Takes on UN Envoy Role (Peter Heinlein, 13 April 2005, VOA News)

    Former President Bill Clinton has pledged to devote whatever time and energy it takes to do his job as special United Nations envoy to countries hit by the Indian Ocean tsunami. Mr. Clinton declared himself in good health as he came to U.N. headquarters to take up his new assignment.

    The former president showed no signs of his recent illness as he bantered with reporters about his new role as Secretary-General Kofi Annan's special envoy for tsunami-affected countries.

    Mr. Clinton said he plans to spend a significant amount of time on the job, including a trip to the region in the next few weeks. "My health is restored, my doctors specifically said … that I'm now free to engage in any activity that I feel strong enough to undertake, but that I should expect it to take two to four to five weeks before my entire stamina has returned, so I'm gonna spend whatever time it takes," he said.


    He'll be an ideal Secretary-General.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:57 PM

    WHY NOT REAL CHECKS? (via Jason Johnson):

    Tax the Rich (WCAX-TV, April 11, 2005)

    "We're saying we're willing to pay taxes if the Vermont Governor and the legislature called for it," John Berkowitz of Putney tells reporters in Montpelier.

    At least ten people at a Statehouse press conference claim to make at least $150,000 last year.

    They are demanding that Vermont's elected leaders hike their state income taxes and those of all other wealthy Vermonters.

    They used a big check to show their willingness to pay more.

    They claim the tax hikes on the rich can be used to reduce the state's projected $80 million Medicaid deficit and other social and environmental problems.

    "We're willing to solve the budget crisis and avoid painful budget cuts," says Berkowitz.

    There are 300,000 taxpayers in Vermont. 7,800 of them make $150,000 a year or more. That group earns about 20-percent of the total income in Vermont and right now pays about 35-percent of the personal income taxes -- for a total of $145-million.

    Elizabeth Skarie -- wife of Jerry, of Ben and Jerry's ice cream founder-- was one of the people saying she could pay more.

    "Jerry and I believe that people with higher incomes have a responsibility to pay more taxes when basic and essential services are threatened. Wealthy Vermonters can afford to pay higher taxes," says Skarie.


    There's no reason they couldn't just cut checks to the state if they really want to pay more.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:52 PM

    YOU GOTTA WANT IT:

    Abortions in Russia Kill 33% of Mothers Who Have Them (LifeSiteNews.com, 4/14/05)

    Conservative estimates put the Russian abortion rate at 60% of all pregnancies, approximately a tenth of which are on girls under 18. Vladimir Kulakov, the deputy director of the Russian Women's Health Center says that of some 38 million women of childbearing age, about 6 million are infertile, and medical authorities consider abortion as a major cause of infertility.

    Now a new study shows that the death rate of women seeking abortion is also uncommonly high. Abortion is a dangerous invasive procedure whether legalized or not, but with much of Russian medical facilities working with antiquated equipment, many more women are dying from abortion complications in Russia than elsewhere.

    Kulakov told Mosnews.com that of 3.5 million annual Russian pregnancies, only 1.5 million children are actually being born. Add to that the death rate of one woman in three and the number of women of child-bearing years who are capable of conceiving, Russia's demographic disaster is promising to be worse even than the most sombre predictions. Kulakov said that as many as 15% of Russian couples are infertile and suggests a government funded program of artificial insemination.


    The mortality rate can't possibly be that high (can it?), but the demographic disaster is very real.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:46 PM

    JUST ANOTHER POLITICAL PARTY...BUT AN EFFECTIVE ONE:

    How Hamas Wins Voters: The fundamentalists offer a defiant message, social services and good toilets. (Kevin Peraino, 4/10/05, Newsweek)

    [Fatah]'s meetings are plagued by bickering. Its military wing, Al Aqsa Martyrs Brigades, regularly appears reckless and out of control. Israeli intelligence officials have long warned that regional powers like Syria and Iran could buy the loyalty of poor Aqsa fighters and use them as proxies. But Al Aqsa doesn't need foreign help to embarrass itself. Recently a band of disgruntled Aqsa militants went on a rampage through Ramallah, firing at Abbas's headquarters. At a restaurant later that night, the Fatah thugs smashed wine bottles and left the walls chewed with bullet holes. "This makes us look like idiots," groaned one Aqsa boss in the West Bank.

    Hamas, on the other hand, is admired for its network of social services and its clear, uncompromising ideology. In the West Bank village of Bidya, an old man who runs a vegetable stand explains that he voted for the Hamas mayor because he "fixed the [mosque's] toilets." And so far, unlike Fatah, Hamas has managed to avoid the taint of political compromise with Israel. "It's better to be in the opposition," says Mohammad Ghazal, a Hamas leader from Nablus. "You can shout at others and let them deal with the problems."


    There are an awful lot of toilets to fix, during which time the hatred of Israel will dissipate.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:42 PM

    PRESERVING CREDIBILITY:

    Summit Talk: While Bush and Sharon spelled out their differences, White House aides were upbeat about Israel’s plans to withdraw from Gaza. (Richard Wolffe and Holly Bailey, 4/13/05, Newsweek)

    [W]hile the rest of the world focused on the tension between Bush and Sharon, behind the scenes the mood among White House aides was far more upbeat. Sharon first discussed his disengagement plan—and the annexing of parts of the West Bank—with Elliott Abrams, Bush’s hawkish White House adviser on the Middle East, in November 2003. At the time, the security situation in Iraq had worsened significantly and the Gaza pullout looked like a breakthrough in the region. Today, the White House is once again counting on the Gaza withdrawal as a critical step in its self-styled march of freedom across the Middle East. White House aides say they believe the pullout will proceed “smoother than anticipated” with little resistance from Israeli settlers who will be uprooted (some of them forcibly).

    The real focus of U.S. attention, they say, is violence and lawlessness among Palestinians in Gaza following the settlers’ departure. “The security of Gaza after the Israelis leave is of great concern to us,” said one White House aide. That’s why the most anticipated set of talks for President Bush are the ones being scheduled next month with Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas. Those concerns were heightened when disaffected Palestinian militants went on the rampage in Ramallah last month, shooting at shops and restaurants as Abbas tried to consolidate his control of security forces in the West Bank.

    As for Bush himself, the prospect of a self-governing Palestinian territory in Gaza has become the critical test for the peace process. Where he once insisted the critical test for the Palestinians was to close down terrorist groups, Bush now seems to take a far more practical and realistic approach. “I want to focus the world’s attention on getting it right in the Gaza,” Bush told reporters, “and then all of a sudden, people will start to say, gosh, well, that makes sense.”


    When the President leans on the Prime Minister publicly it gives us greater credibility with the Arabs and Mr. Sharon greater credibility with the Israeli Right. It's good for everybody.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:35 PM

    FOLLOW THE PALESTINIAN MODEL:

    Syria willing to try for peace with Israel (Daily Star, April 15, 2005)

    Syria reiterated its desire to resume peace talks with Israel, with Defense Minister Hassan Turkmani saying his government seeks a settlement that gives each side its rights.

    His comments came as Turkish President Ahmet Necdet Sezer wrapped up a two-day state trip to Damascus and stressed the need for Syria to pull all its forces out of Lebanon.

    In a speech to graduates of the Supreme Military Academy in Damascus, General Turkmani said: "Syria will extend the hand of constructive cooperation to reach a just and comprehensive peace that gives each side its rights."

    The speech was carried by the official Syrian Arab News Agency (SANA), which did not make clear whether Turkmani named Israel, a state with which Syria considers itself to be at war.

    Syrian Cabinet ministers avoid the word "Israel" in their speeches, referring instead to "the enemy."


    First democracy, then a deal.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:31 PM

    THERE IS NO FUTURE THERE (via Robert Schwartz):

    Nation That Once Drew Guest Workers Now Sends Them (RICHARD BERNSTEIN, April 14, 2005, NY Times)

    You would not tend to apply the term "guest worker" to Anna Hass, who is a 23-year-old waitress at the large mountaintop Panorama Restaurant in this Austrian ski resort, because for four decades, a guest worker - Gastarbeiter in German - meant a Turk or a Yugoslav who came to labor-short Germany in search of the sort of job Germans did not usually want to do.

    But now, in a somewhat painful twist of fate, Germans, especially young people from the former East Germany like Ms. Hass, are traveling abroad in search of work. They become ethnic German Gastarbeiter in Austria or Switzerland or Iceland, embodying the lengthy economic stagnation in the country where Gastarbeiter always meant somebody else.

    "It's very bad," Ms. Hass, who is trained to be a veterinarian's assistant, said of her home, a village in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, in northeast Germany. "There's no chance to find a job, except maybe one that's totally underpaid, like 600 euros a month," about $775.

    The result, as an Austrian tabloid had it in big headlines last month, is, "The Germans Are Coming!"


    The Hun, he always comes with pickelhauben on or hat in hand.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:27 PM

    RETROGRADE, SHELLY, RETROGRADE (via Robert Schwartz):

    Young Catholics Seek to Restore Old Values on Sex (LAURIE GOODSTEIN, April 14, 2005, NY Times)

    No matter who is chosen as the next pope, John Paul II has left behind a generation of committed young Roman Catholics who are already shaping the church in a more conservative mold than did their parents. Church leaders call them Generation John Paul II.

    At Catholic universities, these are the students studying the "theology of the body" - John Paul's theological justification for a conservative sexual ethic that includes opposition to contraception, abortion, premarital sex and some forms of assisted reproduction.

    In seminaries, they are the young priests who wear the long black cassocks cast off by an earlier generation of Vatican II priests.

    In their parishes, these are the youth group members who are reviving traditional spiritual practices like regular recitations of the rosary or "Eucharistic adorations" - praying for long stretches in front of the consecrated host.

    "One of the great shocks to me was how conservative the people younger than me are, and these are Catholics from all over the world, not just the United States," said James Keating, 40, an American theologian who is spending his sabbatical in Rome running the Lay Center at Foyer Unitas Institute, a guesthouse for Catholic students.

    "Their Catholicism is quite focused on John Paul II, especially his teachings on contraception and the family," said Mr. Keating, who teaches at Providence College in Rhode Island. "It's fairly significant. They are a force in the church."


    Contraception was a fad.

    MORE:
    John Paul a saint? U.S. Catholics in favor: Poll also finds 8 in 10 felt his conservative views helped church (The Associated Press, April 14, 2005)

    “On right-to-life questions like abortion and the death penalty, they are thoroughly traditional and right in step with John Paul,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac Polling Institute. “But on some other issues like married priests and women priests, they are more liberal.”

    Eight in 10 Catholics said the pope’s traditional stance on many issues was good for the church, and two-thirds say he should be made a saint.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:00 PM

    YA PAYS YOUR MONEY AND YA TAKE YOUR CHANCES:

    GIS CLEARED IN ITALIAN'S DEATH (NY Post, April 14, 2005)

    U.S. military officials told NBC News that a joint American-Italian investigation found the soldiers acted properly in firing on a car bearing a just-freed hostage, journalist Giuliana Sgrena, and an intelligence officer, Nicola Calipari.

    The car was about 130 yards from a checkpoint when the soldiers flashed their lights to get it to stop. They fired warning shots when the car was within 90 yards of the checkpoint, but at 65 yards, they used deadly force. Calipari was killed and Sgrena wounded.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:29 PM

    DIDN'T RICHARD REEVES ALREADY DO THIS?:

    Touring an America Tocqueville Could Fathom (EDWARD ROTHSTEIN, 4/11/05, NY Times)

    "This entire book was written in the grip of a kind of religious terror," Alexis de Tocqueville wrote in his introduction to "Democracy in America." It is difficult to believe. Religious terror? Tocqueville, an aristocratic French lawyer, wrote his classic text after a nine-month visit to the United States in 1831. And far from being saturated with terror, it is a refined, detached series of reflections on the effects of American democracy on character, commerce, culture and belief: why the arts in America are more concerned with utility than beauty, why Americans tend to be restless, why democracy encourages a passionate spirituality.

    But what occasioned the terror, Tocqueville informs us, was his conviction that American democracy grew out of an "irresistible revolution" that had been unfolding for centuries, leaving behind ruins of the old world while erecting a strange new one in which equality is the guiding principle. That revolution had touched and terrorized France; in varying degrees it was coursing through Europe. But it was in America that it had taken on its purest form. Tocqueville sensed the inevitability of its influence and the trauma of its coming transformations: in democracy much is lost even as much is gained.

    Yet despite the passage of more than 170 years, and the triumph of democratic ideals throughout the West, sentiments of religious terror in the face of democratic revolution are still in the air, though often felt with far less sympathy than Tocqueville expressed. That "irresistible revolution" has now even become an explicit aspect of American policy, inspiring accusations - not least in France - of both utopianism and imperialism. And while some of the energy behind contemporary anti-Americanism is spurred by objections to particular policies, its passion is also driven by the same terror that Tocqueville felt as he watched early democratic institutions displace older orders.

    Given that passion, it was a stroke of genius for The Atlantic Monthly to renew the Tocquevillian project by commissioning the distinguished French philosopher, journalist and gadfly Bernard-Henri Lévy to repeat Tocqueville's journey through America and chronicle his observations over the next several months in the magazine before they appear in book form early next year.

    The first installment of his account, in the May issue of The Atlantic, highlights some of the threads that will be woven through the travelogue. It seems that Mr. Lévy, like Tocqueville, is often uneasy about America but always entranced by it. And at least so far, he can claim, like Tocqueville, that his account "is not precisely tailored to anyone's point of view."

    While Tocqueville deduces American character from abstract principles, Mr. Lévy wants to discover the abstract principles through observation of the American character. So the elegant logic that Tocqueville uses to outline democracy's effects is replaced in Mr. Lévy's first installment by the accumulation of anecdote and carefully observed description.


    Too bad they charge for content now and far fewer will read it.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:17 PM

    TIP OFF:

    Gains in Iraq, but no 'tipping point': Despite recent bombings and a kidnapping, insurgent attacks are down as are numbers of US troops wounded. (Peter Grier and Faye Bowers, 4/15/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

    For US forces in Iraq, the good news is that they appear to be making progress in their battle against an entrenched insurgency. The bad news is that the insurgents are far from defeated - and it will be some time before Iraqi government forces can fight the rebels on their own.

    It's true, as President Bush noted in a speech this week, that the new Iraqi government's own security forces now outnumber in-country US troops. But experts note that the majority of these are police and lightly armed security guards, and are not really comparable to US military personnel.

    Thus the bottom line is that large numbers of US troops will remain in Iraq for the foreseeable future, though the total may be reduced somewhat over the coming months.

    When it comes to the Iraqi security situation "we still have no tipping point, and we face at least a tipping year," writes Anthony H. Cordesman, a military analyst at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, in a new assessment of the situation.


    Which begs the obvious question: how likely are you to know you're at the tipping point?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:40 AM

    YOLK OF TYRANNY:

    My Party Is Leaving the Faithful Behind (Kevin Starr, April 10, 2005, LA Times)

    Perhaps the outpouring of admiration for Pope John Paul II last week will at long last alert those at the helm of my political party — the Democratic Party — to a truth that has yet to sink in despite the whack to the head administered by last year's election: Cultural values count.

    Those of us who label ourselves Democrats have stood for economic fairness since the New Deal, but in the last three decades our once-majority party has embraced a take-no-prisoners cultural agenda that now threatens to relegate Democrats to permanent minority status. The hostile takeover driving this drift to irrelevance is especially painful to cultural moderates, who remember that social democracy was born of traditional values.

    Politics, Aristotle tells us, is the art of the possible. Politics is about the shaping and control of government toward practical ends.

    Government serves society, a much larger entity. And society, in turn, is structured and animated by a complex interaction of beliefs, values, symbols and socio-economic forces which, taken cumulatively, we describe as culture.

    The chicken-and-egg relationship between society and culture is intricate enough to have kept three millenniums of philosophers and social scientists busy. Now even economists are beginning to acknowledge that culture is a more powerful social force than politics — Harvard's Amartya Sen, for instance, won the 1998 Nobel Prize in economics because he demonstrated how social values and structures born of culture affect the ability of a society to take care of its impoverished, even in times of economic boom.

    Today's Democratic Party leaders have apparently forgotten, however, that the social programs that came of age during the New Deal had their origins in Judeo-Christian tradition, even more than in secular humanism.


    The secular rest secure in the delusion that you can strangle the chicken but still find eggs every morning.


    Posted by Peter Burnet at 7:32 AM

    BOWING TO HUMAN NATURE

    What the Catholic Church Needs: A Few Good Nuns (Margaret Carlson, Los Angeles Times, April 14th, 2005)

    It was great to feel Catholic again last week as the pope was buried with all the church's ancient splendor: the flowing robes, the stately miters, the Gregorian chants.[...]

    But I was jolted out of my nostalgia when I saw Cardinal Bernard Law among the red-robed princes of the church. How did it happen that Law landed such an exalted and cushy job as archpriest of the patriarchal Basilica of St. Mary Major in Rome? [...]

    Even as Pope John Paul II healed rifts with other religions, he ignored the splits within his own, especially the one with the American church. He ignored the people in the pews who wanted priests who hurt children to be punished in favor of a hierarchy that didn't.

    Those Catholics who spoke out against the pope's blind spot were labeled malcontents and accused of using the scandal to push a liberal agenda. Last week, the Associated Press found that 82% of U.S. Catholics want more attention paid to the problem of predatory priests. A majority also wants priests to be able to marry and women to be allowed to join the priesthood.

    Those changes would take a miracle. The next pope, elected by John Paul's ideological brothers, is going to be a lot like him, hoping the problem with the priests fades away on its own.

    But I have a way to get women involved in the church at a level that better reflects their standing in society at large and doesn't require an encyclical reinterpreting doctrine: Make nuns responsible for the whole parish, not just the school. Let the priests keep their sacramental power and their perks. The priests can be chairmen of the board, but let the nuns be the CEOs.

    Mother Marita Joseph was a second-class citizen. She ran Good Shepherd School. What she didn't run were the priests, and they would have been better off if she had.

    As Syracuse University history professor Margaret Thompson, who researched 75 religious orders, wrote: "The nuns' power stopped at the rectory door. Not even Mother Superior would dare to call a bishop."

    That's one reason so many nuns left the church and one reason errant priests got away with their crimes for so long. An all-male power structure employed the worst tactics of its secular counterparts: silencing victims, covering up crimes, shifting bad priests around like fungible account executives.

    If former priest John Geoghan had Mother Marita Joseph watching him, he would have been booted out of the first Massachusetts parish he served in — and not shuttled to as many as five others, racking up more than 130 complaints of sexual abuse along the way.


    As this is the way the happiest, most successful and safest families work, perhaps the Church might reflect on this nugget of good sense.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:23 AM

    HE WASN'T SUGGESTING WE FIND OUT:

    Founders' Quote Daily (The Federalist Patriot, 4/14/05)

    "If men are so wicked with religion, what would they be if without
    it?" --Benjamin Franklin

    European.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:52 AM

    THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT TRANSPORTATION SECRETARY:

    Mineta to sign 'open skies' deal with India (Michael Martinez, 4/13/05, San Jose Mercury News)

    When Transportation Secretary Norm Mineta signs a deal Thursday creating an "open skies'' agreement with India, business and leisure travelers hope the result will be more flights and cheaper fares from the United States to India.

    If it does what other open-skies deals have, fares are almost certain to drop.

    The Department of Transportation believes the new agreement will be a boon to travelers who are accustomed to paying $2,000 for a round-trip fare during the popular travel months.

    Mineta, who announced the deal in January, is scheduled to make it official Thursday in New Delhi with India's civil aviation minister, Praful Patel.

    Once signed, provisions in the pact that affect routes and code-sharing will begin immediately, the Transportation Department said. The agreement replaces a 1956 deal that placed restrictions on the number of airlines that could fly between the two countries, the cities served, frequency of service and pricing.


    Tightening the ties.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:44 AM

    FAMILY BUSINESS:

    Political Payrolls Include Families: Dozens of members of Congress have paid relatives for campaign work, records show. The practice, though legal, is coming under scrutiny. (Richard Simon, Chuck Neubauer and Rone Tempest, April 14, 2005, LA Times)

    At least 39 members of Congress have engaged in the controversial practice of paying their spouses, children or other relatives out of campaign funds, or have hired companies in which a family member had a financial interest, records and interviews show.

    House campaign funds have paid more than $3 million to lawmakers' relatives over the last two election cycles, records show.

    The practice is not illegal but has come under new scrutiny following reports that House Majority Leader Tom DeLay's wife and daughter had received hundreds of thousands of dollars since 2001 from his political action and congressional campaign committees.


    If they didn't hate Tom DeLay would a common legal practice be "controversial"?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:26 AM

    THERE'S A REASON WE DON'T HAVE HUMPS:

    Runners' lore doesn't hold water: High intake of fluids can be deadly during exercise, doctors warn (Gina Kolata, April 14, 2005, NEW YORK TIMES NEWS SERVICE)

    After years of telling athletes to drink as much liquid as possible to avoid dehydration, some doctors are now saying that drinking too much during intense exercise poses a far greater health risk.

    An increasing number of athletes – marathon runners, triathletes and even hikers – are severely diluting their blood by drinking too much water or too many sports drinks, with some falling gravely ill and even dying, the doctors say.

    New research on runners in the Boston Marathon confirms the problem and shows just how serious it is.

    The research, reported today in The New England Journal of Medicine, involved 488 runners who participated in the 2002 Boston Marathon. The runners gave blood samples before and after the race. While most were fine, 13 percent – or 62 of them – drank so much that they had hyponatremia, or abnormally low blood sodium levels. Three had levels so low that they were in danger of dying.

    The runners who developed the problem tended to be slower, taking more than four hours to finish the course. That gave them plenty of time to drink copious amounts of liquid. And drink they did – an average of three liters, or about 13 cups of water or a sports drink – so much that they actually gained weight during the race.


    All things in moderation--not least exercise.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:17 AM

    THE STILETTO:

    Ichiro's a lean machine: Sleek Seattle outfielder is one slick hitter (JEFF PASSAN, 4/14/05, The Kansas City Star)

    When he stretches his arms skyward, Ichiro Suzuki's ribs poke through his taut skin. He is lean and sinewy, elfin really, the antithesis of a bloated, pumped-up, needle-dangling-from-his-butt baseball player.

    In the era of performance-enhancing drugs, there are users and non-users. And then there is a separate, one-man category: Ichiro, who needs only a bat and a brain to enhance his performance.

    What he does continues to boggle those who look at his 5-foot-9, 160-pound body and see an average guy with extraordinary metabolism instead of an unmatched baseball talent. Last season, Ichiro broke George Sisler's single-season hit record that stood for 84 seasons, blowing the dust off the pages of the record books and inking his own accomplishment, 262 hits. Ichiro's 20-game hitting streak dating to last season ended Wednesday in a 2-1 victory against the Royals. Doesn't matter. He'll just start another today.

    In a mind that sees a baseball field with rare clarity, the paradox of a little man in a big man's game constantly gets Ichiro's synapses firing.

    “I think about that a lot, seeing guys getting too big and not being able to perform,” he said Wednesday through his interpreter, Allen Turner. “You have to know what's important. If you get too big, you can get hurt. And there are other problems, too. A lot of guys train hard, but they get injured and get weaker.

    “When you train, you should get stronger. But stronger at what?”

    He leaves the question open-ended, and there are a million answers. Stronger mentally? Stronger physically? Stronger spiritually?

    Ichiro has all of those fields covered.


    He'll need all that strength later in the Summer when he's chasing both Williams and DiMaggio at some point.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:02 AM

    IDEOLOGY ALWAYS TRUMPS BIOLOGY III:

    Code of Many Colors: Can researchers see race in the genome? (Christen Brownlee, 4/09/05, Science News)

    It's difficult to get most scientists even to say the word race when referring to people. That's because in traditional scientific language, races are synonymous with subspecies—organisms in the same species that can interbreed but nevertheless are distinctive genetically.

    Many species split into subspecies after being separated geographically for an extended amount of time. During generations of genetic mixing within but not between the isolated groups, some of each group's genes develop slightly different versions, or alleles. Scientists often use a rule called Wright's F statistic to judge whether separate groups are actually subspecies. If 25 percent or more of one group's alleles are different from another's, then by F-statistic standards, the two groups are considered subspecies. A difference of 100 percent would separate them into distinct species.

    Subspecies, or races, exist for many animals—for example, the alleles in some populations of grey wolves score up to 70 percent on the F-statistic scale. However, the groups of people considered to be of different races have allelic differences of at most 15 percent, too little to constitute subspecies.

    To the nonscientist, however, race clearly is a meaningful term, says Vivian Ota Wang of the Ethical, Legal, and Social Implications Research Program at the National Human Genome Research Institute (NHGRI) in Bethesda, Md. The concept seems to depend on a collection of physical features, "like a checklist," she says, "so that people can categorize each other into groups." Items on the list might include skin tone, hair texture, and the shapes of eyes, noses, or lips.

    Most people don't carry a conscious perception of the checklist. Wang says that race has a lot in common with Supreme Court Justice Potter Stewart's famous definition of pornography: We know it when we see it.

    About 100,000 years ago, defining race wasn't an issue—all early humans lived in Africa and had similar characteristics. That relatively small population of recently evolved humans carried the majority of alleles present in people today.

    But over the next 50,000 years or so, as humans separated into groups, slight differences among populations crept into the genome. First, as waves of emigrants left Africa and spread throughout the world, our ancestors took slightly different groups of alleles with them. Just as each handful of jellybeans scooped out of a jar might have a different mix of flavors, every group of migrant humans carried a slightly different array of alleles.

    Later, when roaming humans settled into permanent residences on different continents, new genetic mutations gradually built up within groups as they adapted to their distinct environments. Because people mated most frequently with others from the same region, each population developed its own set of mutational differences, some influencing survival and some being just genetic quirks. [...]

    Race and family origin aren't entirely synonymous in modern times, when people can relocate around the globe. However, many researchers have found that the distribution of certain genetic variations can lump people into ancient ancestral groups uncannily similar to what nonscientists call races.

    For example, Noah Rosenberg of the University of Southern California in Los Angeles and his colleagues published a study in 2002 that analyzed the number and type of microsatellite variations in the DNA of 1,056 people from 52 populations around the world.

    Rosenberg's team masked any information about the study volunteers' ancestral backgrounds and then plugged the microsatellite information into a computer program that clusters people by genetic similarities. Six main clusters emerged.

    After restoring individuals' ancestry data to the files, the researchers found that five of the six microsatellite clusters corresponded with geographic regions: Africa, Eurasia (Europe, the Middle East, central and south Asia), east Asia, Oceania (islands of the central and South Pacific), and the Americas (specifically native Americans). The sixth and smallest cluster linked to an isolated group of mountain-dwelling Pakistanis known as the Kalash.

    The scientists weren't surprised that people's genetic mutations usually lump them into continental groups. For much of history, people have been land bound and so have mated mostly with people from the same continent.

    However, Rosenberg says that he was surprised that he and his colleagues found it impossible to predict with certainty which combination of gene variants any specific person in each cluster had. The computer runs couldn't determine, for example, exact shades of skin color or types of hair texture for individuals.

    "In a lot of classical anthropological views of race, race is thought to be a quality predictive of a large variety of traits about a person. We found that for any given person, it's not possible to predict accurately which [variant] they have at any particular site in the genome based on their group membership," Rosenberg says.

    Neil Risch of the Stanford University School of Medicine and his colleagues recently used a similar method to come to a very different conclusion. Using microsatellite information from another study that had looked for a genetic link with hypertension in several U.S. populations, Risch's team ran data from 3,636 people through a computer program similar to Rosenberg's. However, instead of searching for clusters based on geography, Risch and colleagues compared clusters from the genetic data with self-described race/ethnicity categories.

    The genetic data sorted into four categories—white, African American, east Asian, and Hispanic—which neatly matched what each person had checked on a form at the beginning of the study. Only five people had results inconsistent with their self-described race/ethnicity, giving an error rate of 0.14 percent, the team reports in the February American Journal of Human Genetics.

    "This shows that people's self-identified race/ethnicity is a nearly perfect indicator of their genetic background," says Risch.


    Yes, when you shade science to fit politics the commonsense becomes uncanny.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:01 AM

    IDEOLOGY ALWAYS TRUMPS BIOLOGY II:

    The African heterosexual AIDS myth (Michael Fumento, April 14, 2005, Townhall)

    A determined renegade group of three scientists has fought for years – with little success – to get out the message that no more than a third of HIV transmission in Africa is from sexual intercourse and most of that is anal. By ignoring the real vectors, they say, we’re sacrificing literally millions of people.

    These men are no crackpots. John Potterat is author of 140 scholarly publications. He began working for the El Paso County, Colorado health department in 1972 and initiated the first U.S. partner-tracing program for AIDS/HIV.

    Stuart Brody, soon to become a full professor in Psychology at University of Paisley in Scotland, has published over 100 scholarly publications, including a book called “Sex at Risk.” Economist and anthropologist David Gisselquist has almost 60 scholarly publications and is currently advising the government of India on staunching its potentially explosive AIDS epidemic. [...]

    There’s no one reason for the mass deception. In part, once a paradigm has been established it becomes much easier to justify than challenge. “Only a handful [of researchers] are even looking at routes other than sex,” notes Potterat. He also observes that grant donors seem only interested in the sex angle. “Sex is sexy,” he says.

    Brody also points out that for scientists to concede they were wrong would be “to admit they’re complicit in mass death. That’s hard to admit that to yourself, much less to other people.”

    True enough. But for the sake of millions in Africa and other underdeveloped areas threatened by massive new infections, we’d better admit it now.


    Never have so many conspired to kill so many in order not to offend political sensibilities.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:01 AM

    IDEOLOGY ALWAYS TRUMPS BIOLOGY:

    Old culprit hits birds - maybe people (Mark Clayton, 4/14/05, The Christian Science Monitor

    When R. Given Harper set out to understand why North America's migratory birds were declining, he set a unique course. While other researchers zeroed in on habitat loss as a key problem, he decided, on a hunch, to look at an old culprit - the pesticide DDT - and its specific effects on songbirds.

    The results were intriguing. Traces of DDT and other related chemicals were showing up in the birds. But the real shock came when Dr. Harper, a biology professor at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, compared his results with DDT levels in nonmigrating songbirds. These year-round residents of North America - including a who's who of birds like the northern cardinal, black-capped chickadee, and dark-eyed junco - had more kinds of chemicals and dramatically higher levels of them than the migrating species.

    Those are surprising results. Heavily restricted in the United States since 1972 and a declining problem for eagles, osprey, and other predatory birds, DDT continues to show up in alarming levels in nonmigrating songbirds. Does that spell trouble ahead for these still-healthy species? Are humans at risk? No one knows. But one lesson seems clear: Beware of what you put into the environment, because it can be extraordinarily difficult to remove.


    Can they really not grasp the import of the study? The DDT doesn't, and never did, matter.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    IF YOU WERE HIM WOULD YOU COME BACK?:

    Revelation relevancy: A fascination with end-times theology manifests in apocalyptic thrillers and a TV miniseries (Colleen O'Connor, April 14, 2005, THE DENVER POST)

    "Left Behind" theology is compiled from different parts of the Bible – including Thessalonians and Daniel – which is interwoven with the Book of Revelation.

    Called dispensationalist theology, it was created by two 19th-century ministers, scholars say. By the early 20th century, it had spread rapidly across America after being published in the best-selling 1909 "Scofield Reference Bible."

    Jenkins and LaHaye call this theology Bible-based and scriptural. Critics have called it distorted, even heretical.

    Bible scholars explain that when it comes to Revelation, Christianity falls into three camps.

    Many mainstream Christians are amillennialists, who believe that Christ comes at the end of history, and that Revelation should be read as symbolism.

    Similarly, post-millennialists – like legendary American preacher John Edwards – believe that Christ comes at the end of history, when God's kingdom purposes have been realized fully and churches have changed unjust conditions in society.

    Pre-millennialists believe that Christ will return before the end of history, to inaugurate an earthly kingdom of a thousand years, and that the world will steadily worsen until the Rapture.

    "The pre-millennialist movement that is the 'Left Behind' series has been around a long time, but it's been relatively recent in claiming a large number of devotees," says Bill Leonard. He's a professor of church history at Wake Forest University Divinity School in North Carolina and a Baptist.

    In America, he says, particularly since the 19th century, the idea has been used "as an evangelical device for encouraging conversion. 'Jesus may come back at any minute, so you better hurry.' "

    And for Jenkins, this message is crucial. "I'm not stupid," he says. "I realize I believe a message that can be offensive. I believe Jesus is the way to go, and that this can be offensive to people of other faiths.But I think we need to share what we believe."

    Today, 55 percent of Americans believe that the faithful will be taken up to heaven in the Rapture, according to a Newsweek poll in 2004.

    In the poll, 36 percent believe the Book of Revelation contains "true prophecy," while 47 percent believe it's metaphorical.

    Groups like the End-Time Handmaidens and Servants offer a prayer and fasting ministry, along with tours to Israel, "the living fulfillment of biblical prophecy."

    People such as ordained minister Karen Heimbuch, who memorized the Book of Revelation, took her show on tour – then released her performance, "The Revelation," on a CD produced by Revelation Media.

    Countless end-times Web sites include RaptureReady.com, which even has a Rapture index, billed as the "Dow Jones Industrial Average of End Time Activity."

    Apocalyptic beliefs are sweeping America, experts say, in part because Catholic and mainline Protestant churches – which believe that Revelation is to be read symbolically – neither preach nor talk about it.

    Into this vacuum comes "Left Behind." People read the best sellers, then tune into end-times discussions on cable television and talk radio.

    "They're told this is what the Bible says, and they've never heard anything else," says Amy Johnson Frykholm, who teaches cultural studies and religion at Colorado Mountain College and is the author of "Rapture Culture: Left Behind in Evangelical America".

    The spread of Rapture culture alarms culture watchers such as Bill Moyers, who lambasted the trend in a recent cover story called "Welcome to Doomsday" for The New York Review of Books.

    "There's great danger in this obsession with Armageddon and the apocalypse, because it distracts us from the tasks at hand," he says. "In my judgment, it's heresy."

    He is particularly concerned about the effects of Rapture culture on public policy. "Why care about the Earth when the droughts, floods, famine and pestilence brought by ecological collapse are signs of the apocalypse foretold in the Bible?" he writes.

    "Why care about global climate change when you and yours will be rescued in the Rapture?"

    Ted Haggard, president of the National Association of Evangelicals, says that the Rapture fixation promotes "escapism in the body of Christ."

    "Some Christians are not as politically involved as they should be," he says. "They think everything's just going to get worse and worse, so they shun responsibility to help us have a good government. Or they don't get a good education and contribute to the work force as they should, because they think Christ is returning.

    "A huge problem is a lack of willingness to be involved with environmental concerns, because if Jesus returns tomorrow, it doesn't matter if we destroy the Earth."


    If you're a decent human being, never mind a Christian, it seems incumbent to strive as if the Universe were post-millennialist, even if it is pre-millennialist.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    IF THEY WANT ONE THEY'LL HAVE ONE:

    Kurdistan Rising: For the pesh in northern Iraq, it's the birth of a nation—and they don't mean Iraq (David Axe, April 11th, 2005, Village Voice)

    At stake as Kurds wield their growing political power are the unity of Iraq, more than 5 percent of the world's oil reserves located in one key Kurdish city, and a peculiar relationship that has developed over the years between the Kurds and the United States.

    In 1991, the Iraqi army, battered though it was in Operation Desert Storm, swiftly crushed the Shiite revolt. But in mountainous Kurdistan—the area around Sulaymaniyah and north of the oil-rich city of Kirkuk, where half of Iraq's estimated 4 million Kurds live—guerrillas known as peshmerga, hardened by decades of insurgency, stopped Hussein's soldiers dead in their tracks.

    Fourteen years later, the rusting remains of Iraqi tanks littering Sulaymaniyah bear grim testimony to the peshmerga forces' victory.

    But Kurdish victory came too late for K.G. and his family. K.G.'s father was a well-known "pesh" leader in an area crawling with Iraqi agents. Their village ravaged and his cover blown, they fled north into Turkey in a column of refugees. K.G. recalls stealing bread from the houses of dead families and drinking from puddles teeming with frogs. Eventually, they reached the relative safety of Turkey. But in 1997, a brief civil war between Kurdish factions in Turkey claimed the life of K.G.'s father and put the family in flight again—this time to America, which since 1991 had become a sort of big brother to young Kurdistan. Since the pesh victory, the U.S. Air Force had flown daily air patrols over northern Iraq and dropped food supplies to starving Kurdish villages.

    Now, years later, Kurdistan is all grown up—and K.G., now in his mid-20s, is too. And like his father and his grandfather before him, he's a soldier in the Kurdish army.

    Sort of.

    Actually, K.G. is a U.S. Defense Department translator working for the U.S. Army in Sulaymaniyah. But he carries a weapon, wears a uniform, speaks Kurdish most of the time, and is still an Iraqi (he says "Kurdish") national. And in order to protect himself from insurgents, he identifies himself only as "K.G."—a practice entirely consistent with that of other Kurds, who typically use only one name.

    K.G. says that he's a Kurd and an American—and that he's equally proud to be both. In a land whose fortunes are irrevocably tied to the United States, K.G. is a living, breathing symbol of an unusual and, at times, uneasy alliance. [...]

    Officially, there is no Kurdistan, except to Kurds. And while it has its own army, police, and courts—even its own national assembly— Kurdistan is not recognized by any other nation in any official capacity. All of autonomous Kurdistan is contained within the borders of Iraq, and these days, Iraq's territorial integrity is a main priority of the U.S. government. Meanwhile, Kurdish regions in neighboring Iran and Turkey are anything but autonomous—oppressed is more like it. While some Kurds dream of a pan-state Kurdistan that would unite all Kurds under one government, that's unlikely as long as both Iran and Turkey have all those tanks and helicopters, and as long as the U.S. has any say. Only in Iraq, only in the unique conditions created by U.S. intervention in the region, beginning with Operation Desert Shield in 1990, could there be any Kurdistan at all, official or otherwise.

    Kurdistan only exists because, from 1991 to 2003, the U.S. Air Force and the Royal Air Force flew round-the-clock jet fighter patrols over northern Iraq that kept Hussein's own aircraft on the ground and hamstrung his forces. It was this advantage that enabled the lightly equipped pesh fighters to best the Iraqi army.

    The pesh are the key to Kurdish autonomy and, inasmuch as Kurdistan has prospered, the key to its success—a fact not lost on the U.S. Army.


    For the moment, at least, it serves our purposes that they be part of Iraq, but they deserve our support if/when they decide on statehood.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    WANT A TV CONTRACT? CUT STRAIGHT TO THE RIOT:

    Milan's football violence 'not a first' (Angus Loughran, 4/14/05, BBC)

    Tuesday night's incident in Milan, although shocking, was by no means a first, as regular followers of football will testify.

    But the appalling incidents achieved worldwide publicity for two extra reasons.

    Firstly a player - in Tuesday night's case AC Milan's Dida - was struck by a missile whilst on the field of play which to any sportsman should remain sacrosanct.

    Secondly this was not a Serie A domestic clash, but the Uefa Champions League - Europe's premier club competition - being broadcast live around the world.

    One of the most startling facts was the surprising lack of police who, incredibly, were in the stadium but chose to take positions on the forecourt outside instead of attempting to challenge those throwing the fireworks.

    How could well over 100 fireworks be allowed in the stadium will be a question senior Italian football figures will be bringing up as a matter of urgency with the Milan club.


    If the game wasn't so bloody boring they wouldn't need to riot to amuse themselves.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    WE'RE A SOCIETY OF STANDARDS, DONTCHA KNOW:

    Man Accused of Throwing Grandfather's Body in Dumpster (Eyewitness News' Nina Pineda, April 12, 2005, WABC)

    A 31-year-old man and his mother are behind bars after police say the man threw his dead grandfather in the garbage.

    You can starve the elderly to death, but go to prison if you mishandle the remains?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    THE CORK IS ALL IN YOUR HEAD:

    Sosa's Corked Bat (Ivars Peterson, Science News)

    On June 3, 2003, in the first inning of a baseball game between the Chicago Cubs and the Tampa Bay Devil Rays, slugger Sammy Sosa hit a ground ball toward second base. The impact split Sosa's bat. The Devil Rays catcher picked up one of the fragments and tossed it over to the home plate umpire, who found a cylindrical piece of cork embedded in the wood.

    Sosa was thrown out of the game for using a corked bat and was subsequently suspended for seven games as a punishment.

    The rules of Major League Baseball specify that any player who "uses or attempts to use a bat that, in the umpire's judgment, has been altered or tampered with in such a way to improve the distance factor or cause an unusual reaction on the baseball" be called out and ejected from the game. This includes bats that are "filled, flat-surfaced, nailed, hollowed, grooved."

    How does a corked bat help a hitter? Drilling out the center of a wooden bat and replacing the wood with cork reduces the bat's weight and changes its center of mass, shifting it toward the bat's handle. Such changes suggest that the bat could become easier to swing and that it could be swung faster. Presumably, hitters could send a ball farther by using a corked bat.

    Sosa himself, now with the Baltimore Orioles, admitted that he sometimes used a corked bat in practice just to put on a show for any admiring fans who might be present. He denied ever using such a bat in a game—except by accident on this one occasion.

    In fact, tests on 76 bats that belonged to Sosa and were seized by officials after the incident, revealed no evidence of tampering.

    Is there any evidence in Sosa's hitting statistics that might reveal that he had been using a corked bat?


    The book mentioned, The Physics of Baseball by Robert K. Adair, is fabulous.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    IF ONLY HE WEREN'T A MORON...:

    Catalog and comment: After Afghanistan and Iraq, the deluge (Ross Mackenzie, April 14, 2005, Townhall)

    Doing things they say you can't is one of this life's most delicious aspects.

    "They"- the imperious "they" who would rule operative opinion everywhere - disparage the very notion of nincompoop George Bush and America leading a successful crusade on behalf of liberty and democracy across the globe. Yet it's happening.

    The too-often grim outcomes of terrorism in Iraq sometimes cloud the bigger picture of liberty on the march. Here's a post-9/11 catalogue, many of the entries quite recent:....


    April 13, 2005

    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:54 PM

    FAIT ACCOMPLI:

    US already moving toward a flat tax: Bigger tax breaks for wealth produces a system in which the middle class pays about the same as the rich. (David R. Francis, 4/14/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

    Ever since the introduction of the modern income tax in 1913, US policy has been guided by the notion that the rich should pay a larger of their income in federal taxes, since they arguably owe something extra to a government that protects their greater wealth, and to a society that has helped them prosper.

    But a debate has long waged over just where to draw the line, with populists pushing to "soak the rich" and conservatives arguing that a too-progressive tax structure creates a disincentive for the creation of jobs and wealth that benefit the whole nation.

    Chalk up President Bush as not just a tax cutter but also a tax flattener. Under Mr. Bush and a Republican Congress, big tax cuts since 2001 have given major tax reductions to those wealthy individuals presumed, up to now, to be able to afford paying a bigger chunk of their income in taxes. By one measure of the federal, state, and local tax burden, just 3.4 percentage points separate the effective tax rate paid by the top 1 percent of earners from the other 99 percent of American households.

    "That's the goal of the president and Congress - to shift the tax and debt burden to middle-income Americans," charges Bob McIntyre, director of Citizens for Tax Justice (CTJ), a liberal Washington think tank that crunched the numbers.

    The comment may be unfair to a president who has cut taxes for all income groups, and has not publicly espoused such a goal. But his policies could have the effect of shifting greater tax burdens to the middle class.


    It's hardly a secret that conservatives believe that Americans won't ask for less government unless they're the ones paying for it.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:47 PM

    WELL BEGUN IS HALF DONE:

    Conservatives near lock on US courts: Senators will consider new judicial nominees Thursday. GOP-appointed judges already control 10 of 13 appeals courts. (Warren Richey, 4/14/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

    As Democrats and Republicans in Washington prepare for an expected showdown over the use of filibusters to stall judicial nominees, President Bush is already well on his way to recasting the nation's federal appeals courts in a more conservative mold.

    Republican appointees now constitute a majority of judges on 10 of the nation's 13 federal appeals courts. As few as three more lifetime appointments on key courts would tip the balance in favor of GOP appointees on all but one appeals court - the Ninth US Circuit Court of Appeals in San Francisco.


    Which reminds us of an encounter between a Winston Churchill in his cups and Lady Astor:

    -Why, Winston, I believe you must have drunk half a boxcar full of champagne.

    -Ah, yes, so much done, so much yet to do.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:40 PM

    TIP OUR HATS TO THE NEW CONSTITUTION:

    US freshmen reveal their spiritual side (Stacy A. Teicher, 4/14/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

    College life requires just the right balance between study, work, and play. And for many, there's a fourth essential: prayer.

    Nearly two-thirds of American college freshmen pray at least weekly, according to the first comprehensive nationwide survey about their spiritual and religious views.

    On public and private campuses alike, spirituality has moved beyond the chapel. Whether students prefer meditation, sacred music, or grappling with meaning-of-life questions around the dinner table, many schools are responding by making more space for spiritual exploration.

    "We've been inclined to say, 'Well, these issues are very personal, they don't fit into the sort of scientific objectivist framework of higher education,' ... [but] there's a lot we can do to address students' spiritual concerns without ... promoting any particular sectarian religious point of view," says Jon Dalton, director of the Hardee Center for Leadership and Ethics in Higher Education at Florida State University.

    Forty-eight percent of freshmen say it's "very important" or "essential" for their college to encourage their personal expression of spirituality, reports the Higher Education Research Institute (HERI) at the University of California, Los Angeles. Yesterday it released "The Spiritual Life of College Students," a study of more than 100,000 American students, weighted to represent all first-time, full-time freshmen at four-year schools.

    It reveals many facets of students' inner lives, including:

    • Why they pray. Frequently it's for help solving problems, for forgiveness, and to express gratitude.

    • Their level of confidence in their views about religious or spiritual matters. Forty-two percent identify themselves as "secure"; 23 percent "seeking"; 15 percent "conflicted"; 10 percent "doubting"; and 15 percent "not interested" (respondents could check off more than one).

    • Correlations between spirituality and well-being. Although students who score high on scales of religious commitment or spirituality aren't immune from feeling depressed or overwhelmed, they are more likely to say they frequently feel at peace, and that they can find meaning in times of hardship. They're also more likely to have a healthy diet, abstain from alcohol and tobacco, and avoid staying up all night.


    COLLEGE STUDENTS REPORT HIGH LEVELS OF SPIRITUALITY AND RELIGIOUSNESS (Religion News Service, April 13, 2005)
    These are some of the key findings of a survey conducted last fall of 112,232 freshmen attending 236 colleges and universities. The study, carried out by UCLA’s Higher Education Research Institute (HERI), also analyzes how varying degrees of spirituality and religiousness translate into differences in students’ political and social attitudes, psychological and physical well-being, and religious preference.

    Some of the findings include:

    * 80% are interested in spirituality

    * 76% are searching for meaning/purpose in life

    * 74% have discussions about the meaning of life with friends

    * 81% attend religious services

    * 80% discuss religion or spirituality with friends

    * 79% believe in God

    * 69% pray

    According to a report on the survey, entitled “The Spiritual Life of College Students,” students “are searching for deeper meaning in their lives, looking for ways to cultivate their inner selves, seeking to be compassionate and charitable, and determining what they think and feel about the many issues confronting their society and the global community.”


    Which is why it's so amusing that folks think they can heal the breach between the U.S. and Europe--our differences are widening, not narrowing.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:45 PM

    BASSACKWARDS:

    Vermont Considers Lowering Drinking Age to 18 (PAM BELLUCK, 4/13/05, NY Times)

    Last fall, Richard C. Marron, a Republican state representative, was reading a newspaper column by the recently retired president of Middlebury College, John M. McCardell Jr.

    One of Mr. McCardell's targets was the drinking age, which in Vermont, and every other state, is 21.

    "The 21-year-old drinking age is bad social policy and terrible law," Mr. McCardell wrote, saying it had led to binge drinking by teenagers. "Our latter-day prohibitionists have driven drinking behind closed doors and underground."

    Mr. Marron, a four-term legislator who is vice chairman of the appropriations committee, decided that the law needed changing, and he has introduced a bill to lower the drinking age to 18, setting off a debate about public safety, age discrimination and the rights of young people as well as whether it is possible to teach teenagers to drink responsibly.


    The solution to the problem of kids drinking and driving was so obvious it was ignored--keep the drinking age at 18 but don't let kids drive until their 21. Behind the wheel they're menaces even sober.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:10 PM

    DIDN'T ANYBODY READ THE MEMO?:

    Karzai to ask Bush for security deal (ROBERT BURNS, April 13, 2005, AP)

    Catching U.S. officials slightly off guard, Afghan President Hamid Karzai is seeking a long-term security partnership that could keep U.S. troops there indefinitely and make permanent the military relationship that began when American forces invaded his country in 2001.

    How can it have caught us off-guard when the Left has assured us our nefarious purpose all along has been to establish permanent bases?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:24 PM

    EASIER SAID THAN NOMINATED:

    Traits of great leaders (Peter Worthington, 4/10/05, Toronto Sun)

    With British Prime Minister Tony Blair calling a general election for May 5, and an election looming in Canada whenever the opposition wants one, the question of leadership is again an issue.

    "Leadership" is what last November's U.S. election was all about -- and George Bush set an example that all might follow, regardless of whether one seeks a top job, a middle role, or just about any task that depends on persuading people.

    A case can be made that there are four "C's" that are vital for success in democratic politics -- or any occupation that requires motivation and trust: Conviction, courage, common sense and character -- hopefully interlocked, but not necessarily.

    These four are the ingredients of leadership, and when complemented with a fifth "C" -- charisma -- well, then you have Alexander the Great, Robert E. Lee or Winston Churchill -- in varying degrees.


    Does the CVanadian constitution really allow them to make George W. Bush their P.M.?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:15 PM

    CROOKED TIMBER ON THE FRUITED PLAIN:

    Reading Niebuhr Instead: A Christian realist for the reality-based community. (Scott Korb, Killing the Buddha)

    When I first moved to New York I lived on a street named for Reinhold Niebuhr, the most renowned Christian ethicist ever to teach at Union Theological Seminary. As an evangelical Christian realist, he saw politics as the place to do ethics and refused to accept economic inequality, racism, and war as inevitable human conditions. [...]

    Niebuhr was born in Missouri. Like his father, he became an evangelical minister, pastor of a Detroit parish that grew more than ten-fold during his thirteen-year tenure. That he spent the four subsequent decades living and teaching in New York City can hardly be held against him. Niebuhr was an avowed Christian who loved America. His was a nation that had, in less than a generation, arrived in ways no one could have expected; following the Second World War -- following the bomb -- America had become the most powerful nation in the world. It had an unmistakable, and uniquely ironic, place in history.

    Yet for all his love of country, Niebuhr never learned to stop worrying and love the bomb. What he did love was that Americans, as a nation, really worried about the bomb. We knew our power, and understood that we were free, and suddenly capable, to exercise it -- but never without guilt. The irony of our history was based in knowing our real culpability in becoming a world power, in recognizing that we were far less innocent than our theories of democracy, free-market capitalism, militarism, and evangelicalism assumed. “Success in world politics,” Niebuhr contended, “necessitates a disavowal of the pretentious elements in our original dream, and a recognition of the values and virtues which enter into history in unpredictable ways.”


    -ETEXT: The Irony of American History (Reinhold Niebuhr, 1952)
    We frequently speak of "tragic" aspects of contemporary history; and also call attention to a "pathetic" element in our present historical situation. My effort to distinguish "ironic" elements in our history from tragic and pathetic ones, does not imply the denial of tragic and pathetic aspects in our contemporary experience. It does rest upon the conviction that the ironic elements are more revealing. The three elements might be distinguished as follows: (a) Pathos is that element in an historic situation which elicits pity, but neither deserves admiration nor warrants contrition Pathos arises from fortuitous cross-purposes and confusions in life for which no reason can be given or guilt ascribed. Suffering caused by purely natural evil is the clearest instance of the purely pathetic. (b) The tragic element in a human situation is constituted of conscious choices of evil for the sake of good. If men or nations do evil in a good cause; if they cover themselves with guilt in order to fulfill some high responsibility; or if they sacrifice some high value for the sake of a higher or equal one they make a tragic choice. Thus the necessity of using the threat of atomic destruction as an instrument for the preservation of peace is a tragic element in our contemporary situation. Tragedy elicits admiration as well as pity because it combines nobility with guilt. (c) Irony consists of apparently fortuitous incongruities in life which are discovered, upon closer examination, to be not merely fortuitous. Incongruity as such is merely comic. It elicits laughter. This element of comedy is never completely eliminated from irony. But irony is something more than comedy. A comic situation is proved to be an ironic one if a hidden relation is discovered in the incongruity. If virtue becomes vice through some hidden defect in the virtue; if strength becomes weakness because of the vanity to which strength may prompt the mighty man or nation; if security is transmuted into insecurity because too much reliance is placed upon it; if wisdom becomes folly because it does not know its own limits — in all such cases the situation is ironic. The ironic situation is distinguished from a pathetic one by the fact that the person involved in it bears some responsibility for it. It is differentiated from tragedy by the fact that the responsibility is related to an unconscious weakness rather than to a conscious resolution. While a pathetic or a tragic situation is not dissolved when a person becomes conscious of his involvement in it, an ironic situation must dissolve, if men or nations are made aware of their complicity in it. Such awareness involves some realization of the hidden vanity or pretension by which comedy is turned into irony. This realization either must lead to an abatement of the pretension, which means contrition; or it leads to a desperate accentuation of the vanities to the point where irony turns into pure evil.

    Our modern liberal culture, of which American civilization is such an unalloyed exemplar, is involved in many ironic refutations of its original pretensions of virtue, wisdom, and power. Insofar as communism has already elaborated some of these pretensions into noxious forms of tyranny, we are involved in the double irony of confronting evils which were distilled from illusions, not generically different from our own. Insofar as communism tries to cover the ironic contrast between its original dreams of justice and virtue and its present realities by more and more desperate efforts to prove its tyranny to be "democracy" and its imperialism to be the achievement of universal peace, it has already dissolved irony into pure evil.


    Niebuhr would have been an especially useful voice today because he would have been so scathing towards those on the Left who insist on absurd notions like : "We have no right to confront Saddam now because we helped him during his war with Iran in the '80s." Only those who don't comprehend Man's essential nature could insist on the kind of purity demanded in such formulations.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:54 PM

    ANYONE THINK A BAN ON PENILE IMPLANTS WOULD STAND?:

    Just the Facts, Ma'am: Feminists Want to Ban Implants, Despite Evidence that They're Safe (Sally Satel, M.D., April 13, 2005, National Review)

    Ever since women have been enlarging their breasts with implants, feminists have been upset. So predictably, today when an FDA advisory panel begins hearings to consider approval of silicone gel-filled breast implants, feminist health activists will urge them to reject the devices, claiming they are unsafe.

    But the data emphatically do not justify their concerns. Study after study confirms silicone implants do not cause disease. Unfortunately women can't depend on groups like the National Organization for Women to give them the facts.

    It is now 13 years since FDA Commissioner David Kessler imposed a voluntary moratorium on silicone implants, motivated by case reports that they caused connective tissue diseases (e.g., lupus, scleroderma). Within a few months, the ban was partly lifted for mastectomy patients--though the women had to agree to be tracked by the FDA in case there were complications.

    Throughout the '90s, litigation against the silicon-implant industry flourished in the absence of any scientific proof that women were made ill. Dow Corning Corp., once the biggest implant makers, filed for bankruptcy in 1995 to pay a $3.2 billion to settle about 440,000 women's claims. Considering earlier successful lawsuits, the company chose to settle and thus limit its liability, lest it go out of business altogether. To date at least 20 studies show no evidence that implants--intact or broken--cause connective-tissue diseases. Many of these studies included women followed for an average of ten years after their implants, and some for up to three decades. No rigorously designed study showed any evidence of disease.


    It's the myriad issues like this that make it so much fun to hear the Left complain about the Administration politicizing Science.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:40 PM

    #5:

    What is the Legacy of Pope John Paul II? (Gregory R. Beabout, 4/13/05, Acton.org)

    The thousand-year history of Poland has produced a profound distinction between the Polish nation and the Polish state. The “nation,” its language and cultural heritage, is rich. Ever since Prince Mieszko, the medieval leader who united various Slavic tribes into a unified people, converted to Catholicism in 966, a Polish-speaking people have inhabited central Europe. That people, who spread throughout the fields of central Europe, formed their own culture.

    The “state” of Poland has had a much more rugged history. After a golden era of prosperity from the 14th to the 16th centuries, Poland was partitioned three times in the 18th century. By 1795, the state of Poland disappeared until the end of WWI in 1918.

    The Polish nation, its culture, literature, faith and heritage, survived this period, not through governmental strength, but through the people drawing on their own cultural resources. [...]

    The Polish habit of distinguishing between nation and state came easy to Karol Wojtyla. From his birth in 1920 until his sophomore year at the Jagiellonian University in Krakow, he lived in a Polish nation governed by a Polish state. On September 1, 1939, that came to an end with the Nazi invasion from the west. When the Soviets invaded from the east 17 days later, Poland endured another period of seeking to maintain itself as a nation without a state.

    Amidst totalitarian oppression, Karol Wojtyla devoted himself to the life of literature, drama and the theater – and to the life of prayer and service. As a young priest, Wojtyla studied theology and philosophy, becoming a pastor and then a university professor of ethics before his appointment as bishop.

    This habit of emphasizing the importance of the moral-cultural sphere shaped Wojtyla as he became pope. In his role as Pope, he encouraged us to take up the deepest questions of human life: ”Who am I? Where have I come from and where am I going? Why is there evil? What is there after this life?” As John Paul II put it, the human person “is understood in a more complete way when he is situated within the sphere of culture through his language, history, and the position he takes towards the fundamental events of life, such as birth, love, work and death. At the heart of every culture lies the attitude man takes to the greatest mystery: the mystery of God. Different cultures are basically different ways of facing the question of the meaning of personal existence.” [...]

    The Pope brought down the Soviet Union by emphasizing communism’s central failings: its false understanding of human life and its inability to distinguish between state and culture. The Pope was not a wholesale critic of the state; in fact, he praised the importance of the rule of law and emphasized the need for a juridical structure that provides stable guarantees: a system of property, a stable currency, efficient public services, etc. But he placed much stronger emphasis on the need for a healthy and free moral/cultural sphere, both in the life of the individual human person, and in the various groups and associations that make up society.


    As Brother Cohen put it earlier: "a strong culture and weak government is better than a weak culture and a strong government, and those are the only two choices."


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:06 PM

    A FINE TRANSITIONAL FIGURE:

    German cardinal ahead in pre-conclave politicking (Tom Heneghan, Apr 13, 2005, Reuters)

    Conservative Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger has gained strong support among Roman Catholic cardinals seeking a successor to Pope John Paul but many of them are still undecided, a Church official said on Wednesday.

    The German theologian, the Vatican's doctrinal watchdog for 23 years, is the frontrunner for now while moderates were considering a symbolic candidacy for Cardinal Carlo Maria Martini, the former archbishop of Milan, the official said.

    But this was only the line-up for the first round of voting, often a formality gauging strengths of different camps, rather than a sign of who might end up as pope. Voting conclaves can last several days and often produce surprise results.

    In an unexpected move, Ratzinger published a book in Germany on Wednesday arguing that Europe must reclaim its Christian heritage. Open campaigning for the papacy is frowned upon and it was not clear what effect the book would have.


    Europe is a lost cause--look South.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:56 PM

    QUIT BUGGING THEM (US):

    The Child Who Would Not Speak a Word (HARRIET BROWN, 4/12/05, NY Times)

    Christine Stanley will never forget the call. Two weeks after her daughter Emily started kindergarten, the teacher phoned in a panic. Emily would not color, sing or participate in any classroom activities; in fact, she would not say a word to anyone.

    It was not the first time Christine had received such a call. Emily had not talked at preschool, either. She did not make eye contact with store clerks or talk to nurses at the pediatrician's office. She ran off the playground if another child approached.

    Mrs. Stanley asked her sister, a special education teacher, what she thought. Mrs. Stanley had to explain the problem because at home and with family Emily's behavior was perfectly normal. Her sister mentioned something called selective mutism, but quickly said that couldn't apply to Emily.

    "She told me, 'Those children are emotionally disturbed and have been abused,' " Mrs. Stanley recalled. But once she started reading about the condition, she said, "I knew it really was selective mutism."

    Experts say that Emily's story is typical of children with selective mutism. At home, they behave like typical children, but in social situations, especially at school, they are silent and withdrawn. They might talk to grandparents but not to other relatives; they might whisper to one other child, or talk to no one. Some do not point, nod or communicate in any other way. [...]

    Most researchers now agree that selective mutism is more a result of temperament than of environmental influences. In the early 1990's two studies, one by Dr. Dummit and one by Dr. Black, showed that children with the disorder were not just shy; they were actively anxious. "We ended up concluding that the kids had social anxiety disorder, and the selective mutism was a manifestation of that," Dr. Black said.

    Everyone has some level of social anxiety, he noted. "I'm quite comfortable in front of a group," Dr. Black said. "But if I went into a party full of famous older psychiatrists, I might stare at my feet for five minutes before I started talking. It might look like I had selective mutism."

    Until recently, the disorder was thought to be extremely rare, affecting about 1 child in 1,000. But a 2002 study in The Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry put the incidence of selective mutism closer to 7 children in 1,000, making it almost twice as common as autism.

    Selective mutism, experts say, probably represents one end of a spectrum of social anxieties that includes everything from a fear of eating in public to stage fright and agoraphobia, a fear of open spaces.

    Despite its prevalence, selective mutism is still widely misunderstood and often ignored. Even after realizing that Emily had the disorder, Mrs. Stanley was not able to get her daughter help. Before Emily started kindergarten, she asked the principal what to do, and was told, "A lot of kids are shy; she'll grow out of it."

    Mrs. Stanley recalled, "We figured, O.K., maybe it's not as bad as we think." But two weeks into the year, Emily's kindergarten teacher phoned. "She said, 'Emily can't color or do anything; she just sits there and reads a book,' " Mrs. Stanley said. "She had no clue what to do. And neither did we."

    One of the most puzzling aspects of selective mutism is the fact that children stay silent even when the consequences of their silence include shame, social ostracism or even punishment.


    The punishment is the best part. You just want to be left alone and the threat they hold over your head is being sent to your room or staying behind to finish your work after everyone else is sent home from school?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:47 PM

    HOMO PRINCIPALIS:

    Erosion of Estate Tax Is a Lesson in Politics: A Break for the Well-to-Do Becomes an Everyman Issue (Jonathan Weisman, April 13, 2005, Washington Post)

    In 1992, when heirs to the Mars Inc. fortune joined a few other wealthy families to hire the law firm Patton Boggs LLP to lobby for estate tax repeal, the joke on K Street was that few Washington sightseers had paid so much for a fruitless tour of the Capitol.

    Today, the House is expected to vote to permanently repeal the estate tax, moving the Mars candy, Gallo wine and Campbell soup fortunes one step closer to a goal that once seemed quixotic at best: ending all taxation on inheritances.

    "I think this train has an awful lot of momentum," said Yale University law professor Michael J. Graetz, a former senior official in the Treasury Department of President George H.W. Bush.

    Last month, Graetz and Yale political scientist Ian Shapiro published "Death By A Thousand Cuts," chronicling the estate tax repeal movement as "a mystery about politics and persuasion."

    "For almost a century, the estate tax affected only the richest 1 or 2 percent of citizens, encouraged charity, and placed no burden on the vast majority of Americans," they wrote. "A law that constituted the blandest kind of common sense for most of the twentieth century was transformed, in the space of little more than a decade, into the supposed enemy of hardworking citizens all over this country."

    The secret of the repeal movement's success has been its appeal to principle over economics.


    Which is why Socialism never stood a chance--we're a Puritan Nation.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:42 PM

    A WOMAN OF INTEGRITY:

    TRYST TEACHER'S SHAME (DAVID ANDREATTA, April 13, 2005, NY Post)

    A Manhattan high-school teacher slept with her student for months and got pregnant with his child — but gave him only a barely passing 65 in social-studies class, according to a bombshell report obtained by The Post.

    The 18-year-old boy toy from the HS for Health Professions and Human Services shrugged off the grade, but couldn't forgive his teacher, Rhianna Ellis, 25, for reneging on her promise to abort the pregnancy.



    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:27 PM

    GOD MUST HAVE BEEN LONELY:

    Archbishop Iakovos, Greek Orthodox Church Leader, Dead at 93 (RNS)

    Archbishop Iakovos, who served as the spiritual leader of Greek Orthodox Christians in the Americas for 37 years, died April 10 after a brief illness. [...]

    "He started all these dialogues with Catholics, Jews," said Nikki Stephanopoulos, spokeswoman for the Greek Orthodox Archdiocese of America, in an interview. "That was his heart and soul, really."

    The archbishop, a native of Imvros, Turkey, served nine years as president of the World Council of Churches.

    "Ecumenism," he once said, "is the hope for international understanding, for humanitarian allegiance, for true peace based on justice and dignity, and for God's continued presence and involvement in modern history."

    Iakovos, who became a U.S. citizen in 1950, met nine presidents and received the Presidential Medal of Freedom -- the nation's highest civilian honor -- from President Jimmy Carter in 1980.

    Archbishop Demetrios, primate of the Greek Orthodox Church in America, said in a statement that he was privileged to know Iakovos for more than five decades.

    "He has been a superb archbishop who offered to the church an intense, continuous, multifaceted and creative pastoral activity," said Demetrios.

    Iakovos was ordained to the priesthood in 1940 and enthroned as archbishop in 1959. Shortly after his enthronement, he met with Pope John XXIII, marking the first time a Greek Orthodox archbishop had met with a Roman Catholic prelate in 350 years. He also met with Pope John Paul II more than once.

    The Greek Orthodox leader was known for reaching across racial as well as religious lines. He made the cover of Life magazine when he joined the late Rev. Martin Luther King Jr. in a civil rights march in Selma, Ala., in 1965 and cheered the passage of civil rights legislation.


    ARCHBISHOP IAKOVOS, 1911-2005 (NY Post, April 13, 2005)
    He had nowhere near the number of fol lowers of Pope John Paul II, but Archbishop Iakovos, retired primate of the Greek Orthodox Church in North and South America, who died this week at 93, was also a significant religious figure.

    Under his 37 years of leadership — which ended with his retirement in 1996 following disagreements with the church's ecumenical patriarch, Bartholomew I — Greek Orthodoxy assumed an accepted place among the nation's major mainstream spiritual movements.

    That was due primarily to Iakovos' efforts. [...]

    His life and struggle, Iakovos once said, were devoted to "maintain[ing] the faith and culture." That he most certainly did.

    And the Greek Orthodox church has much for which to thank him.


    Greek Orthodox Archbishop Iakovos, 93, transformed church (John Christoffersen, 4/12/05, The Associated Press )
    "Ecumenism," he said in 1960, "is the hope for international understanding, for humanitarian allegiance, for true peace based on justice and dignity, and for God's continued presence and involvement in modern history."
    During his long tenure as archbishop, he led the Greek Orthodox church out of immigrant isolation and into the mainstream of American religious life, playing a leading role in bringing English into the liturgy.

    "It's the end of the golden age of orthodoxy in America," said the Rev. George Poulos, who wrote a book about Archbishop Iakovos. "There's no one on the horizon who can equal his abilities and his character and his faith."

    Born Demetrios Coucouzis in Turkey in 1911, he took the name Iakovos, which means James, when he was ordained a deacon in 1934. He arrived in the United States in 1939 and became a U.S. citizen in 1950.

    Archbishop Iakovos was instrumental in setting up dialogues between Orthodox churches and Anglicans, Lutherans, Southern Baptists and other denominations. He met every U.S. president from Eisenhower through Clinton, and was one of the U.S. Christian leaders who met with Pope John Paul II in a historic gathering in South Carolina in 1987.

    He sought to maintain Orthodox traditions, such as opposing the ordination of women, while at the same time championing human rights and improved race relations.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:16 PM

    ONLY GERMANS WOULD THUG FOR THOSE WAGES:

    Thugs desert Mugabe forces (THE WASHINGTON TIMES, 4/11/05)

    Enforcers who beat and tortured opponents of Zimbabwe President Robert Mugabe in past elections said in a series of clandestine interviews that hunger, lack of jobs and broken promises have persuaded them to switch sides.

    Thugs hired to intimidate critics of the Mugabe government "never got the money or jobs" they were promised, only beer, one said.

    The defections could prove critical if the opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) decides to mount protests over recent parliamentary elections, in which the party accused the government of widespread fraud.

    One youth, who asked to be identified only as Sikhumbuzo, said his disillusionment with the ruling Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF) began in 2002 when Mr. Mugabe won a new term as president.

    "ZANU used to get us to stay outside polling stations to frighten away the opposition. If the MDC came, we would chase them away," Sikhumbuzo said. "But we never got the money or jobs that they promised us; all we got was beer."


    All it would take is one violent provocation to set Zimbabwe off, as even Mugabe seemed to recognize in this election.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:11 PM

    TRADER LULA:

    Brazilian President Promotes Closer Links to West Africa (Gabi Menezes, 12 April 2005, VOA News)

    The president of Brazil is on a trip to West Africa, aimed at expanding trade links with developing countries.

    On the second stage of his four-day tour of West African states, President da Silva, widely known as Lula, was in Nigeria to discuss closer trade links with President Olusegun Obasanjo.

    Remi Oyo, the spokeswoman for the Nigerian president, said that, any talks about Nigerian trade include discussions about oil. Nigeria is one of the world's largest oil producers. Ms. Oyo said agricultural exports to Brazil were also subjects of interest.

    In addition to trade, Ms. Oyo said that the Brazilian leader talked with Mr. Obasanjo about how Brazil can collaborate with African countries to help them produce anti-retroviral drugs for the treatment of HIV/AIDS.

    "I do know that Nigeria and Brazil have been talking, not only about increasing their trade relations, but also ways in which we can collaborate to set up here an anti-retroviral drug producing factory, to cater for our own population, and perhaps our sub-region," she said.


    He's happily turned into the anti-Chavez.


    MORE:
    Creationism's assault on science (Toronto Star, 4/13/05)

    As the religious right strengthens its hold on U.S. politics, the threat to teaching about evolution grows. The revival of creationism is a serious concern for the National Science Teachers Association. In a recent survey of 1,050 teachers, 30 per cent said they felt pressure to include creationism — sometimes disguised as "intelligent design" — in their lessons.

    Further, in a disturbing sign that the assault on science is moving from schools to public education in a wider sense, some science centres and museums in southern states have refused to show big-screen Imax films that refer to evolution. They are boycotting titles such as Volcanoes of the Deep Sea, which suggests that life might have begun more than 3 billion years ago.

    Until recently, scientific organizations had rather neglected the creationist threat. Fortunately, their attitudes are changing. The powerful American Association for the Advancement of Science has written to 410 public science and technology centres urging them to resist censorship, following the example of the Fort Worth Museum of Science and History, which reversed an earlier decision not to show Volcanoes of the Deep Sea.

    Although scientists elsewhere tend to think of creationism as an American problem, Alan Leshner, AAAS's chief executive, is right to point out that the U.S. is not alone in the struggle. Success in North Carolina or Texas encourages creationists around the world.

    For example, Brazil's fast-growing evangelical Protestant population is becoming more aggressive in its fight against evolution teaching.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:03 PM

    STONE COLD BUSTED:

    Woman won't sue over finger in chili (Linda Goldston, 4/13/05, KNIGHT RIDDER)

    The Las Vegas woman who said she found a 1 1/2-inch chunk of finger in a bowl of chili at a San Jose Wendy's has decided not to pursue legal action against the restaurant chain, and her attorney has withdrawn from the case.

    But Anna Ayala's decision does not end the police investigation into how the finger got into the chili. In a strange twist, the news came on the same day the Mercury News learned of a late February incident in Pahrump, Nev., in which a spotted leopard bit off part of a finger -- about 1 1/2-inch worth -- of a woman who had been keeping the exotic cat and other animals.

    The finger was reportedly not reattached, and San Jose police said they are investigating whether it is linked to the case.

    Jeffrey Janoff, the San Jose attorney who represented Ayala until Tuesday, said his client was dropping her claim against Wendy's because ``this has caused her great emotional distress and continues to be difficult emotionally.''


    John Edwards will take the case.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:39 AM

    YOU AIN'T SEEN NOTHIN' YET:

    Oil Hits 7-Week Low as Inventories Build (Reuters, 4/13/05)

    Oil fell to a seven-week low near $50 on Wednesday, after the U.S. government reported a ninth straight weekly rise in crude inventories, and a build in gasoline stocks ahead of summer.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:13 AM

    NINE INCHES OF LOVE:

    Basic pecan pie (San Jose Mercury News, 4/13/05)

    Makes 1 (9-inch) pie

    3 eggs
    2/3 cup sugar (any kind; your choice)
    Dash of salt
    1 cup corn syrup (dark with dark sugar, or light with light sugar)
    1/3 cup butter, melted and cooled slightly
    1 cup shelled pecan halves
    1 unbaked pie shell

    Preheat oven to 350 degrees. Beat eggs, sugar, salt and corn syrup with electric mixer. Add melted butter and beat until combined. Stir in pecans.

    Pour into pie crust. Bake about 50 minutes or until knife inserted halfway between center and edge comes out clean. (Pie may still be a little syrupy if you use softer sugars.)

    Remove from oven and cool. Chill before slicing if desired. Refrigerate leftovers.

    Adapted from the 1968 edition of the Better Homes and Gardens New Cookbook.



    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:12 AM

    POOR PLANNING:

    Say You Want a Revolution: Change needs help from its friends. (Peter Ackerman and Michael Ledeen, April 13, 2005, LA Times)

    In recent months, skepticism about the appeal of freedom has given way to a new belief: that democratic revolution is now possible, even inevitable, in places such as Lebanon, Iran, Syria and Kyrgyzstan. But "people power" is not an unstoppable tidal wave, and it would be wrong and naive to conclude that we need only step back and let it happen. The Western world has a lot at stake, and our support for democratic forces in the Middle East and beyond will be important, perhaps even decisive.

    Freedom-loving people know what we want to see in Beirut, Damascus and Tehran: the central square bursting with citizens demanding an end to tyranny, massive strikes shutting down the national economy, the disintegration of security forces charged with maintaining order, and the consequent departure of the tyrants and the beginnings of a popularly elected government.

    A successful people's revolution is the outcome of careful planning and mass discipline, but it requires political and economic support from outside the country — and maybe some from within.


    The careful planners of 9-11 and the Hariri assassination didn't have democratic revolution in mind though.


    Posted by Peter Burnet at 7:18 AM

    NEO-VICTORIANS

    'Democracies shouldn't fear free speech' (Dan Izenberg, Jerusalem Post, April 12th, 2005)

    A prominent Canadian Jewish criminal lawyer on Monday condemned criminal legislation that restricts freedom of speech and said democracies should not be afraid to allow opinions, including detestable ones, to compete with each other openly.

    The lawyer, Edward Greenspan, who gave the annual lecture sponsored by the Hebrew University's Halpert Center for Canadian Studies, maintained that notorious Canadian anti-Semites like Ernst Zundel and Jim Keegstra should not have been put on trial for their vicious attacks on Jews. All the trials did was give these minor characters with their small followings free publicity and a media platform to promulgate their views; publicity which they could never otherwise have had.

    Greenspan acknowledged that the situation in Israel was more complicated since a prime minister, Yitzhak Rabin, had already been assassinated by a political opponent and there was a possibility that Prime Minister Ariel Sharon could be killed over the disengagement plan.

    But even as far as Israel was concerned, Greenspan maintained that only when incitement leads directly and immediately to acts of violence should it be outlawed. He stressed that it was not clear whether it was incitement that had led to Rabin's death or the act of a single "lunatic." He warned that the government might try to restrict freedom of speech in the wake of the struggle over disengagement out of a sense of "hysteria" stemming from the fact that one prime minister had already been killed.

    Greenspan recalled that when Daniel Pipes was invited to speak at York University in Toronto, the venue was switched to a curtained off section of a basketball court because of threats against him and the audience from pro-Palestinian activists. Nevertheless, before his talk began, a policeman from the Hate Crimes Unit came to warn him that he would be held criminally liable if he advocated genocide or hatred of a specific group in his speech.

    In Canada, he said, "the distinction between talk and action has almost disappeared." Indeed, there seems to be no reason to stop them since speak out to protect the weak, salve hurt feelings and weed out hateful ideas. "They wanted to try to make Canada a nicer place in which to live," he said. "Somehow, they suggested the idea that liberal means nice, that the liberal, intellectual system fosters sensitivity, toleration, self-esteem, rejection of prejudice and bias."

    But Greenspan said he did not agree with this approach, adding that it sometimes requires offensive behavior and the trampling of feelings to get to the truth. He said there are five decision-making principles in contention in North America today, but the only one acceptable to him maintained that checking of every opinion by every other opinion through public criticism was the only legitimate way to decide what was right.

    Conservatives generally oppose hate speech laws because they justifiably fear they will criminalize politically incorrect speech and enforce the flavour-of-the-month prejudices of illiberal intellectuals and academics. Yet it is worth pausing to reflect that such offences are being created to fill a void created by the repeal or neutering of older laws designed to set baseline standards of public discourse, like sedition, blasphemy and criminal libel. In a sense they are an admission that the liberal/libertarian creed that righteous and reasonable opinions will always win out in the “marketplace” of the free exchange of ideas is naive and unsupported by history. Democracy and freedom must be maximized, but they do not guarantee public decency and civic order. Free societies can be objectively shown to be the most desirable ones, but the argument that absolute free speech will inevitable weed out noxious and dangerous ideas and ultimately result in general public tolerance and decency is a triumph of faith over experience. How frustrating it must be to all those who want to believe man is perfectible to see all the warts and flaws persisting.

    This same phenomenon can be seen in other areas of modern public life. Sexual harassment codes and laws are offensive because they hang on the subjective mind set of the victim rather than on measurable objective behaviour, but something had to replace the vacuum left by the collapse of very strict laws and conventions governing the relationships of the sexes in public life. On this subject, the “free speech” is often just a euphemism for male exploitation. In Britain, the leftist/liberal destruction of many public order and decency laws has resulted in the enactment of draconian administrative “Anti-Social Behaviour Orders”. They are noxious and offensive to anyone who believes in the rule of law, but when drunken mobs of yobs spill into the streets every night to terrorize and vandalize, something has to be done and will inevitably be done.

    It is strange that liberals like Mr. Greenspon (a kind of one-man Canadian ACLU) who insist that the truth will always win out in the unrestrained free exchange of ideas are often the ones most prone to see a religious upbringing that inculcates notions of decency and objective morality as warping one’s critical faculties.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:18 AM

    DEAR MOM, BEING AN INSURGENT SUCKS...:

    U.S. troops aid Afghans in firefight (Chicago Sun-Times, April 13, 2005)

    U.S. troops and warplanes reinforced Afghan forces that were ambushed on a high mountain pass in a firefight that killed about 12 militants and wounded two American soldiers, officials said Tuesday.

    U.S. forces scrambled to the aid of a convoy of government troops who came under fire Monday from 30 to 35 militants on a mountain pass near Khost, 90 miles south of Kabul, American and Afghan officials said.

    ''The insurgents were reported to be fleeing the area but the coalition forces were able to locate them,'' a U.S. military statement said. ''Approximately a dozen insurgents were killed.''


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:15 AM

    SINN FEIN ON THE MED:

    Hezbollah's Dilemma (Daniel Byman, April 13, 2005, Foreign Affairs)

    Hezbollah is many things: a terrorist group, a guerrilla movement, a proxy for Iran and Syria to use against Israel, the champion of Lebanon's Shia Muslim community, a leading Lebanese political force, and even a builder of hospitals and schools. Through all these roles it exerts remarkable influence on Lebanon, but it is not clear which aspects of the organization would come to the fore if Syrian forces leave the country. If Lebanon is freed from Syrian domination, the United States should accept that Hezbollah's political wing would participate in the new Lebanese government. Washington should exploit this participation to push the Party of God away from Syria--and ultimately away from terrorism and anti-Israel activities as well. President George W. Bush's recent statement that Hezbollah could prove that it is not a terrorist organization "by laying down arms and not threatening peace" strikes just the right tone.

    The Lebanese clamor for Syrian withdrawal has put Hezbollah in a difficult position. On the one hand, the party is naturally loath to cut ties to one of its chief patrons. On the other hand, to maintain its power in Lebanese politics following a Syrian withdrawal, Hezbollah will need the backing of the people, and siding completely with Syria could jeopardize that.

    Most of Lebanon's ethnic and religious communities want Syria to leave, and even some Lebanese Shiites joined the recent anti-Syrian protests. Hezbollah has always tried to remain above Lebanon's communal fray, portraying itself as a resistance movement that transcends petty politics. But by opposing the cross-communal alliance against Syria, the Party of God has been undercutting its claims as a national organization. If it decides to forcibly intervene in domestic politics on Syria's behalf, Hezbollah risks losing the goodwill and respect of the many Lebanese who admire its social services and its past efforts against Israel. And because Israel withdrew its forces from southern Lebanon in 2000, Hezbollah can no longer use its anti-Israel campaign to win broad popular support. [...]

    Instead of trying to ostracize Hezbollah, Washington should focus on trying to get the organization to stop pursuing its goals through violence.


    Just grit your teeth and treat them like a legitimate political party and you speed their becoming one.


    MORE:
    Democracy Without Borders (Rami G. Khouri, TomPaine.com)
    I have spent the last three days in Doha, Qatar, participating in a rich discussion among 150 Americans and citizens from Islamic countries around the world, which has clarified a few important trends in American-Islamic world relations. The center of gravity of the public debate about the Arab-Islamic world, and between Americans and Muslims, is slowly shifting. It is moving away from wars for regime change and clashes of civilizations, into a discussion of democracy and reform. Most intriguingly and significantly, a core issue in this global debate became more clear to me and many other participants here at the U.S.-Islamic World Forum, organized by the State of Qatar and the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution in Washington, D.C. It is the issue of whether, and how, to include Islamist parties and groups in the democratic process.

    As Arab and Islamic societies become more democratic, the most credible, organized and legitimate groups in society are likely to be Islamist parties like Hezbollah, Hamas and the Muslim Brotherhood. If they are denied participation in elections—or denied incumbency if they win—the democratic process will prove to be a sham. But, it is also asked, can they participate in politics and share in power if they remain armed? Significantly, the core of the debate now is not about whether these groups should participate politically, but how they can do so in a manner that is acceptable to all concerned.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:10 AM

    EVERYONE'S HOMOPHOBIC...:

    He's the mouth that roars (Michael Goodwin, April 13, 2005, NY Daily News)

    When Bill Clinton starts talking politics, it usually pays to listen. But the only point he made with an outburst Monday was to prove that somebody ought to put a sock in the former First Mouth.

    In a cheap shot that set a new low for ex-Presidents, Clinton said a gay Republican strategist who recently married his male partner "may be blinded by self-loathing."

    Clinton's target was Arthur Finkelstein, a GOP operative who helped elect candidates from George Pataki to Jesse Helms. Last week it was reported the reclusive Finkelstein had quietly married his partner several months ago in Massachusetts, which permits same-sex marriage.


    ...but some are allowed to be.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:07 AM

    BOTH HANDS NOW:

    Saudi Arabia bans forced marriage (BBC, 4/12/04)

    Saudi Arabia's top religious authority has banned the practice of forcing women to marry against their will.

    Grand mufti Sheikh Abdul Aziz al-Sheikh said forced marriage was against Islamic law and those responsible for it should be jailed.

    A high number of forced marriages in Saudi Arabia is believed to be a factor in the country's steep divorce rate.

    The ban is a significant victory for women's rights in Saudi Arabia, where females face a range of restrictions.


    If only Mohammed Atta had lived to see what he'd accomplished.

    MORE:
    Saudi ministry is to employ women: Women will be employed in Saudi Arabia's foreign ministry for the first time this year, Foreign Minister Prince Saud Al-Faisal has been reported as saying. (BBC, 2/25/05)


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:03 AM

    MAXIMIZING THE GOLDEN YEARS:

    Japan's hi-tech carers: By 2050, the over 65s in Japan are expected to make up a third of the population... and it's likely that technology will be relied upon to help look after them. (My Special Partner is part of a Golden Years mini-series broadcast on BBC Two.)

    Seventy-eight-year-old widow, Akino Okano, is lonely.

    In Japan, the average woman lives to 85, seven years beyond the average man.

    From the age of 22, Akino lived with her husband's parents and 11 other members of his family. But they have all died or moved away and she now lives in an enormous farmhouse on her own.

    "When I come back from being out for the day and the house is dark, I feel alone and sad," says Akino.

    "Conversation makes me happy. Sometimes I just feel like chatting."

    To help combat the loneliness of longevity - and in true Japanese style - the country has turned to technology for guidance.

    Special partner

    Akino has been introduced to Primo Puel, an interactive doll that talks, giggles and even asks for cuddles.

    It provides her with much of the company she longs for, especially in the evening.

    Originally designed to be a substitute boyfriend for young single girls in the workforce, the doll has become an unexpected hit with elderly people across Japan.

    Since they came on to the market five years ago, more than one million dolls have been sold.

    However, the idea for such an innovative alternative to human companionship has been bubbling away in laboratories for much longer.

    The National Institute of Advanced Science has been busy designing a robot seal, specifically for people like Akino.


    SUPERMAX PRISONS: AN OVERVIEW (Human Rights Watch)
    There is no way, of course, to measure the misery and suffering produced by prolonged supermax confinement. Inmates have described life in a supermax as akin to living in a tomb. At best, prisoners' days are marked by idleness, tedium, and tension. But for many, the absence of normal social interaction, of reasonable mental stimulus, of exposure to the natural world, of almost everything that makes life human and bearable, is emotionally, physically, and psychologically destructive. Prisoners subjected to prolonged isolation may experience depression, despair, anxiety, rage, claustrophobia, hallucinations, problems with impulse control, and/or an impaired ability to think, concentrate, or remember. As one federal judge noted, prolonged supermax confinement "may press the outer bounds of what most humans can psychologically tolerate."

    Some inmates subjected to supermax confinement develop clinical symptoms usually associated with psychosis or severe affective disorders. For mentally ill prisoners, supermax confinement can be a living horror: the social isolation and restricted activities can aggravate their illness and immeasurably increase their pain and suffering. Moreover, few supermax facilities offer mentally ill inmates the full range of mental health services and treatment that their psychiatric conditions require.


    Fortunately, supertoys last all Winter long.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:57 AM

    REVELATION:

    End Is Expected, but There's Still Time to Debate Morality (ALESSANDRA STANLEY, 4/13/05, NY Times)

    "Revelations," NBC's six-hour mini-series about a nun and a scientist's search for signs that Armageddon is at hand, may not persuade skeptics to believe in God. But the timing alone suggests that a higher being favors the show: on the heels of the Terri Schiavo debate and the death of Pope John Paul II, the premiere includes a right-to-life battle over a coma patient and nuns in schism with the Vatican.

    Well made, spooky and suspenseful, "Revelations" has been marketed by NBC as a breakthrough faith-based thriller, a latter-day "Da Vinci Code" and a spiritual "X-Files." But its real appeal is something that is actually more common on television dramas these days: politics are part of the scenery, and ethical and moral dilemmas are woven into the plot.


    Gee, you mean if you focus on religion you're forced to take morality seriously? Who'da thunk it?


    MORE:
    Revelations -- Making it Right When TV Gets it Wrong (Dr. Marc Newman, April 13, 2005, AgapePress)

    One thing can be said for the folks behind the mini-series Revelations, debuting on NBC today (Wednesday, April 13). No wishy-washy "spiritualism" is enshrined here -- these guys want to focus on Jesus. Characters actually use His name, and not as an exclamation. They're not talking about the mushy Jesus of the Jesus Seminar either -- meek and mild and mythical -- but the majestic Jesus of end-times speculators, the literal Son of God who is coming in Judgment with a capital "J." Revelations presupposes that there is going to be a historic supernatural conflict culminating in Armageddon and the Second Coming of Christ. While the framing of Revelations will be attractive to many evangelicals, it is the story that repulses.

    The studio only released the first installment of this six-hour mini-series, but I can already tell you that this Omen-inspired teleplay: contains characters that represent the standard factions in end-of-the-world spiritual thrillers, uses Gnosticism as a central plot element, makes "creative" uses of the occult for Christian aims, and rewrites one of the central themes of the Church's attitude toward biblical eschatology (study of the end times). All that said -- Christians should watch it, and I'll tell you why.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:03 AM

    WHO KNEW IT WAS THAT EASY?:

    Shipman told to hang himself by prison officer, claims inmate (DAVE HIGGENS, 4/13/05, The Scotsman)

    A PRISON officer told Harold Shipman to "go and hang himself", a fellow inmate told an inquest yesterday.

    David Smith, who is serving a life sentence told a jury at Leeds Crown Court that Shipman was his best friend in Wakefield Prison, where the serial killer was found hanged in his cell in January last year.

    Smith told the inquest he overheard a conversation between Shipman and another inmate about what a prison officer had said to him.

    He said: "I did hear him say that an officer told him to go and hang himself and if he didn’t know how to do it, he’d be shown how to do it."


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:01 AM

    BET THE TRIFECTA:

    Who the Next Pope Will Be Is Up for Speculation (Jeffrey Fleishman, April 13, 2005, LA Times)

    Cardinals will enter the Sistine Chapel next week and ask God to guide them in selecting the Roman Catholic Church's 265th pope. In less religiously devout realms, oddsmakers, numerologists and those with supernatural proclivities are following their stars, their hunches and their bookies to predict which name will be announced when white smoke curls from the chapel's chimney.

    Rome has been the crosscurrent of the spiritual and the commercial for centuries. The capital of an empire inspired by pagan mythology, the city went through blood, martyrs and fire before the liturgy of Christ was imprinted upon its architecture and soul. The selection of a new pope is a time of reverential anticipation for the world's 1 billion Roman Catholics, but for others it is an ecclesiastical parlor game in which the pages of the Bible mean less than the whisper and wink of a bookmaker.

    "The response for papal bets has been brisk, shall we say," said Graham Sharpe, a spokesman for William Hill, a British-based international gambling service. "We've done papal betting before so we've got a reputation for this and there's certainly a demand for it."

    The favorite for the new pontiff, according to William Hill, is Nigerian Cardinal Francis Arinze with 9-4 odds. The agency calculates the Archbishop of Milan, Dionigi Tettamanzi, with 7-2 odds and Honduran Oscar Rodriguez Maradiaga at 6 to 1. More distant prospects include German Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger at 9 to 1 and Brazilian Cardinal Claudio Hummes at 10 to 1. The dark horse, according to other betting firms, is Cardinal George Pell of Australia. His odds of becoming a successor to St. Peter are 139 to 1.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    DEMOCRATS, TAKE NOTE:


    Tories propose more faith schools
    (BBC, 4/13/05)

    The Conservatives say they want to see "perhaps thousands" more faith schools.

    Education spokesman Tim Collins says a commitment to a major expansion of religious schools "is absolutely at the heart of the Conservative vision".

    He says Christian, Jewish and Islamic schools have higher standards and a stronger ethos than secular schools.

    Labour is committed to allowing faith schools where residents want them; the Lib Dems have denied the "myth" that they want to halt their development.


    Interesting that all three parties are on the same side.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    NO SHELTER FROM THE STORM (via Tom Morin):

    Socialist Scholars' Split Cancels Confab (JEREMY SMERD, April 13, 2005, NY Sun)

    For 23 years, the Socialist Scholars Conference was a big tent under which leftist activists and academics took shelter in an increasingly conservative America. Last June, however, seven of the group's 16 board members resigned, "in protest of the lack of democratic and participatory governance procedures."

    As a result of the split, the group's annual conference has been canceled, at least for this year. Meanwhile, the seven who quit the board quickly formed a new organization, the 2005 Left Forum, which has scheduled its debut conference for this weekend at the CUNY Graduate Center in Midtown Manhattan.

    The new group grew in large part out of a desire by dissidents to broaden the socialist conference's scope to include more activists. Though it preceded the November presidential election, observers said the split also reflects internal tension simmering within the broadly defined but fractured "left," which has not been able to respond en masse to the rightward shift in American politics in recent years. Specifically, the resignations were a referendum, those who handed them in said, on the Socialist Scholars Conference's ability to reflect the ideals of inclusion and consensus building that they had sought to foster in the world at large.

    "We did not want to be part of an organization where we felt people were violating their own principles," a board member who resigned, Stanley Aronowitz, said.


    It took him 23 yewars to figure out Socialists aren't interested in democracy?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    WHAT HAPPENS WHEN YOUR RENT-A-MOB WANTS MORE?:

    China's fury doesn't wash, but why the froth? (Marc Erikson, 4/14/05, Asia Times)

    What struck me was the well-organized nature of the demonstration. A guy in a dark brown suit (no tie, though) diligently burned a Japanese flag; once aflame, it was quickly doused by another protester prudently equipped with a fire extinguisher. Then there was the designated hitter/screamer - a fellow wielding a broom stick (which, unbeknownst to me, may have some marshal arts significance) who - carried aloft by two stout men - delivered vicious blows with both ends of the stick to the head and body of a puppet of Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi carried by a guy wearing a protective motor cycle helmet. And then there were the "riot police", accompanying the protest march more like parade marshals at New York's St Patrick's Day parade up Fifth Avenue.

    We thought we'd ask some of the protesters - more like revelers, actually - what this was all about. "Whitewash," said one of them (in English) and repeated the word several times over, presumably referring to the alleged whitewash of Japanese war crimes against China in present-day textbooks. "They [the Japanese] are too arrogant; we can't take it any longer," said another. How did they know about the "whitewash"? They were told about it in their work unit. Where did the Japanese flags come from that were ceremoniously burnt? A guy handed them out when they boarded the bus that took them to the demonstration.

    I can't vouch for it that the Beijing demonstrations were as contrived and carefully staged. But people picking up rocks on cue as TV cameras focused on them and making quite a show of hurling them at the windows of the Japanese Embassy while "riot police" looked the other way strongly suggest it - and suggest the same organizers of the spontaneous anti-Japanese outpouring.

    Sunday noon, Asia Times Online's Chinese-language sister publication (along with most or all Chinese media outlets) received an instruction from the Communist Party's central publicity department (via provincial propaganda units) to black out completely any and all reports of the protest rallies. Publications staff were, however, permitted to join the demonstrations if they saw fit.

    The obvious question is, why was all this cooked up, for what purpose, and why now? There are no convincing answers, and it's in the nature of such contrivances that the originators won't talk. One thing, though, is quite certain: the Chinese claim (at vice foreign minister's level) that Japan is to blame for the unrest is absurd. Sure, Koizumi has insisted on visiting Yasukuni Shrine (war memorial were the remains of several convicted and executed Japanese war criminals are interred) every year. Sure, the textbooks are an issue. And, yes, the Japanese are not the most repentant of souls when it comes to their actions in World War II.

    But after seeing what I saw in Shenzhen, I know that the Chinese government and/or Communist Party got this thing going and kept it going. Students might do this sort of thing on their own. They certainly did at Tiananmen in 1989. From the looks of it (the TV pictures), students were involved in the Beijing demonstrations. But in Shenzhen there are no students. It's a special economic zone chock full of contract workers from all over China, working in factories or - per chance - in brothels. And don't tell me this is an arrogant "elitist" view and that factory workers are as capable of being indignant about the historical wrongs done to the nation as university students!

    The questions remain: why and why now?

    To be systematic about it, there seem to be three possibilities: 1) the government wants to divert attention from pressing domestic problems; 2) Communist Party factional issues are fought out in a strange arena; 3) Beijing wants leverage to stoke up nationalist fervor for international gain. Neither 1) nor 2) can be entirely ruled out.


    Has there ever been a dictatorship that didn't think it could manipulate social unrest?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    MOST OF US DON'T LIVE ON MR. SAMMLER'S PLANET (via Mike Daley):

    Spiritual Parasites: Couldn't evil be explained by choice? (Bruce Thornton, 4/04/05, VDH Private Papers)

    To Christian thinkers, for example, such acts [as the MN school shooting], while horrific, are not literally "senseless." They make perfect sense given humanity's fallen condition, our subjection to the forces of appetite and passion. Yet despite those restraints we are still created free, and aided by the grace of Christ, we are free and able to choose God or to choose ourselves. When we choose ourselves, we make of ourselves a god and worship our own lusts and pleasures, including the lust for power. And what greater power is there for a human than the power to kill?

    Nor need there always be material or rational causes for killing. As Dostoevsky understood, we need no reason to choose evil other than the mere fact that it exists as a choice, and making that choice affirms our freedom and displays our power. As Dmitri Karamazov says, there is war between God and Satan and the battleground is the human heart, where every day we must choose either to worship God or to worship ourselves and thus aspire to be god. Such choices are part of the mystery of human good and evil, as inexplicable by a material science as are unconditional love and self-sacrifice and redemption.

    Yet religion and theology are dismissed by our official wisdom as mere superstition and irrational obfuscation. Good, evil, free will—didn't Marx and Darwin and Freud, that modernist trinity, teach us that those are all illusions, that our precious selves are mere material bubbles floating on vast oceans of economics, genes, evolutionary selection, environment, or unconscious forces? The determinists have carried the day and have, as Hamlet put it, torn the heart out of our mystery, leaving us all diminished.

    The greater problem, however, is that our whole civilization is predicated on ideals created by those who assumed that spiritual reality indeed exists, that there is a God who created the world and made us to be a certain way. That is, we humans aren't just material things in the world, but transcendent souls that have value because they are created by God in His image and imprinted with a moral order not dependent on a material environment or physical force. Even the Deists among the American founders believed in a natural law created and given to us by God, a law our political structures must reflect and harmonize with. Freedom is the gift of "Nature and Nature's God," not the consequence of evolution or genes, the accidental result of random material forces. So too with human rights—they are universal goods for all humans because they are expressions of our souls, not our bodies; gifts of God, not boons bestowed by other flawed men.

    This disconnect between our political institutions and morality created by a spiritual tradition, and our belief that science can provide an alternative guide to action based on the assumptions that all causes are material, explains the muddle most of us find ourselves in when addressing difficult questions such as abortion or the Schiavo case. For if we are just material things in a material world, without freedom or responsibility, without transcendent value and rights just because we are humans created by God, then on what basis do we build morality other than a utilitarian calculation that subordinates the individual to some material good? Why not strangle a baby, then, to create utopia? Why not slaughter six million to create paradise for many millions more?

    We modern Westerners are what the Spanish poet Miguel de Unamuno called "spiritual parasites," living off that rich spiritual tradition and the values and institutions it created, even as we discount those same spiritual values and look rather to the high priests of materialist determinism to make sense of our world.

    But is anyone truly satisfied with the chatter of the determinists?


    Perhaps the differences over Saul Bellow--the way academics and intellectuals revered him and the public ignored him--just boils down to whether you still believe in the spiritual reality or are as confused a spiritual parasite as he was?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    "NO SYMPATHY FOR THEM":

    In Mosul, a Battle 'Beyond Ruthless': Onetime Gang Member Applies Rules of Street (Steve Fainaru, April 13, 2005, Washington Post)

    From inside a vacant building, Sgt. 1st Class Domingo Ruiz watched through a rifle scope as three cars stopped on the other side of the road. A man carrying a machine gun got out and began to transfer weapons into the trunk of one of the cars.

    "Take him down," Ruiz told a sniper.

    The sniper fired his powerful M-14 rifle and the man's head exploded, several American soldiers recalled. As he fell, more soldiers opened fire, killing at least one other insurgent. After the ambush, the Americans scooped up a piece of skull and took it back to their base as evidence of the successful mission.

    The March 12 attack -- swift and brutally violent -- bore the hallmarks of operations that have made Ruiz, 39, a former Brooklyn gang member, renowned among U.S. troops in Mosul and, in many ways, a symbol of the optimism that has pervaded the military since Iraq's Jan. 30 elections.

    Insurgent attacks in this northern Iraqi city, which numbered more than 100 a week in mid-November, have declined by almost half, according to the military. Indirect attacks -- generally involving mortars or rockets -- on U.S. bases fell from more than 200 a month in December to fewer than 10 in March. Although figures vary from region to region, attacks also have declined precipitously in other parts of Iraq, creating a growing belief among U.S. commanders that the insurgency is losing potency.

    "We are seeing a more stable environment," said Lt. Col. Michael Gibler, commander of the 3rd Battalion, 21st Infantry Regiment, which operates in eastern Mosul. "Have we made a turn yet? No, but we're really close to it."

    The military attributes the decline to several factors, including Iraqis' increased willingness to provide information about insurgents and the growing presence of the new Iraqi security forces throughout the country.

    But the main reason, military officials said, is a grinding counterinsurgency operation -- now in its 20th month -- executed by soldiers like Ruiz, a platoon sergeant in the 3rd Battalion's C Company. It is a campaign of endless repetition: platoons of American troops patrolling Iraqi streets on foot or in armored vehicles. Its inherent monotony is punctuated by moments of extreme violence.

    "Our battles have been beyond ruthless," said Ruiz, adding that he believes most Americans have little understanding of how the conflict is being fought.

    "An urban counterinsurgency is probably the ugliest form of warfare there is," said Capt. Rob Born, 30, the C Company commander.


    It just can't be a good idea to make these guys determined to kill you and indifferent to your death.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    BRING BACK I.D.S.:

    Tony--and Tacky: Election-bound Britain gets the "TB-GB" heebie-jeebies. (PETER STOTHARD, April 13, 2005, Opinion Journal)

    [T]he government still rides high in the polls--about three points ahead. And Britain's parliamentary election system gives Labour a massive advantage, not through the current scandal of corrupt postal voting by some of its Asian councillors, but because of its dominance of all cities, including their depopulated and not yet redistricted hearts. In order to put its new leader, Michael Howard, securely into Ten Downing Street, the Conservatives need an 11-point lead. Even their best poll result since Tony Blair took power in 1997 would put them some 100 seats behind Labour.

    Mr. Howard's predecessor, Ian Duncan-Smith, the White House's favourite Conservative, was so unpopular that he never even got to fight an election. Before him, the Tories experimented with their onetime wonderboy, William Hague. Trounced by Mr. Blair in 2001, he has since stepped back to write the life of a more successful boy-politician, William Pitt.

    All three have come from the right of the party--which is a problem for those party strategists who see the only realistic chance of a Tory return to power through some kind of coalition, even after a 2009 election, with the Liberal Democrats. Michael Howard has tried to encourage the left side of his party by disavowing deep cuts in tax and spending. For the rest he has his record of being a tough home secretary, with responsibility for domestic security, when his party was last in power. In his wilderness years, while his party experimented with inexperience, he formed a foundation to fortify the Anglo-American alliance. Despite attracting hostility from President Bush's aides last year by claiming he would have cast an antiwar vote had he known there were no Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, he is a deep-dyed ally of the U.S.


    Why should we prefer liberal "conservatives" to a conservative liberal?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    IS THIS A GREAT COUNTRY OR WHAT?:

    Ceremony had the right ring (Kevin Paul Dupont, April 12, 2005, Boston Globe)

    Fans, from Stockbridge to Boston and beyond, were treated to a James Taylor bit of patriotism. As the soft-rock legend began to sing, "O beautiful for spacious skies . . . For amber waves of grain," 19 members of the United States military, Army and Marine soldiers injured in Iraq, made their way across the field, slowly marching in from the Wall to the first base dugout. Two soldiers were in wheelchairs. Two had canes. The majority were from New England.

    "A day these guys will never forget," said Worcester-born Mike Amaral, the US Army lieutenant colonel, who escorted the veterans to and from the ballyard. "What a great day for them. Every one of 'em was saying they'd be telling their grandkids about this someday."

    Light chants of "USA . . . USA . . . USA" circulated through the crowd as the soliders made their way to the dugout, trading high-fives with the Sox players.

    "We really wanted those guys here," said Steinberg, noting that many of the soldiers had met with the Sox following the club's recent visit to the White House and then the Walter Reed Army Medical Center. "They have the capacity to penetrate the souls of our players. The part where our guys came to the top step there and high-fived 'em -- that wasn't in the script. That was just emotion taking over."

    According to one member of the Sox front office entourage, the original script for Opening Ceremonies was revised 21 times. No. 22 went off virtually without a hitch, except it ran 10 minutes longer than scheduled, until just before 3:15.

    "The applause factor," conceded Steinberg. "You can't schedule that."

    Perhaps the quirkiest moment of the proceedings came amid the rarest of all back-to-back moments of silence. The first was for the late Pope John Paul II, and the crowd stood nearly at pin-drop silence. A few seconds later, the crowd was prompted for another moment of silence in memory of great Sox reliever Dick Radatz, the Monster, who died March 16. The pope lived a totally spiritual life, and the pitcher lived a life of totally high spirits.

    Just as the moment for Radatz was about to end, someone in the crowd boomed out, "A-Rod, you suck!" Castiglione promptly followed with a terse, "Thank you." One could only imagine the monstrous Radatz filling the ballpark with his deep, baritone laughs.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    OUR CATHOLICS AREN'T LIKE THEIRS:

    Democratic Strategists Issue Memo on Loss of Catholics (Culture of Life Foundation, April 12, 2005)

    A memo authored by a prominent Democratic strategy organization calls the decline in support of white Catholics for Democrats "striking" and "a big part of the 2004 election story." One of the analysis' key findings is that Catholic voters are becoming more pro-life which the authors called "a factor in the recent losses and one of the blockages for Democrats, at least in the Midwest." The data also reveals that young Catholics are more pro-life than their parents and that bishops who speak out against pro-abortion politicians help bolster the pro-life vote.

    The abortion issue is particularly potent for a group called "Democratic defectors" who either identified themselves as Democrats or voted for Bill Clinton in 1996 but voted for President Bush in the last election. Among this group, "26 percent believe that abortion should be illegal in all cases, nearly three times the number for all Catholic Democrats."

    The memo was issued by Democracy Corps, a research and tactical advice organization founded by Democrat strategy virtuosos James Carville, Stanley Greenberg and Bob Shrum. Titled "Reclaiming the White Catholic Vote," it is based on data from a nationwide survey of more than a 1,000 white Catholic voters. The decline in the white Catholic vote has been steady over the last decade. Clinton won it by seven percentage points; Al Gore lost it by seven points; and Sen. John Kerry lost it by 14 points. The data provided in the report provides a fascinating window into the much discussed Catholic vote and makes it clear Democrats are losing ground because of their stance on a range of cultural issues.

    It turns out that one of the most contentious and visible issues in the 2004 election, the denial of the Eucharist to pro-abortion politicians, did not hurt the pro-life side as many said it would. The poll found that when white Catholics were asked whether or not they were more or less likely to vote for a Democrat that "is denied communion by the area's bishop for voting to support abortion rights" 49 percent said they were less likely while 33 percent said they were more likely.

    The memo also made it clear that the abortion issue is not going away. "Although the pro-life position is strongest among seniors, Catholics current pro-life position does not appear likely to lessen with time. While middle-age Catholics lean toward keeping abortion legal, voters under 30 are more pro-life: 53 percent believe abortion should be illegal in most cases."


    The blithe assumption that the Catholic Church in America is inevitably going to become more and more liberal appears quite false. We aren't Europe.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    FIRST, DO NO HARM:

    Doctors who backed Blair desert Labour (Sam Lister and Devika Bhat, 4/13/05, Times of London)

    MORE than two thirds of the leading doctors who publicly declared their support for Tony Blair in 1997 and urged the public to vote Labour for the sake of the NHS have turned their backs on the party.

    An exclusive survey by The Times of the consultants, GPs and academics who campaigned for Labour on the eve of the general election eight years ago reveals widespread disillusionment over the Government’s reforms.

    Many of the 59 doctors who signed the letter of support said that they felt badly let down and were exasperated at the direction in which the NHS had been pushed by Labour.

    Of the 52 signatories contacted by The Times, just 17 said that they would give the party similar backing now. Twenty- two would not sign the letter again, seven were no longer keen to comment publicly and six said they were undecided. Five were unavailable for comment and two have died.

    Just 16 of the doctors were prepared to state openly that they would vote Labour on May 5, while 15 said they would be voting for another party.

    The response was in marked contrast to the group’s very public endorsement of Labour in 1997, just two days before Tony Blair swept to power.


    By not even trying to take the steps necessary to salvage health care they've ended up doing eight more years of damage. Of course, the Tories don't propose to do anything either.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    IT'D TAKE ATTENTION OFF TOM DELAY...:

    Republicans May Hasten Showdown on Judicial-Nomination Filibusters (CARL HULSE, 4/13/05, NY Times)

    As the fight over the federal judiciary spread across Capitol Hill, Senate Republicans said Tuesday that they might quicken their push to prevent Democratic filibusters of judicial nominees.

    Senior lawmakers and party officials said that while Republican leaders had been expected to put off any confrontation over Senate rules until next month at the earliest, they might now force a confrontation within the next two weeks.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    AND THANK YOU FOR FLANK STEAK:

    SKILLET FAJITAS (Splendid Table)

    From The Quick Recipe by the Editors of Cook’s Illustrated magazine


    * 1 1/2 pounds flank steak, trimmed of excess fat and patted dry with paper towels
    * Salt and ground black pepper
    * 4 tablespoons juice from 2 to 3 limes
    * 2 tablespoons vegetable oil
    * 2 medium red bell peppers, stemmed, seeded, and sliced thin
    * 1 large red onion, halved and sliced thin
    * 1/2 teaspoon cumin seeds
    * 8-12 large flour tortillas
    * 1 cup prepared salsa
    * 1/2 cup sour cream
    * 1 medium avocado, pitted, peeled, and diced medium

    Sprinkle each side of the steak with a liberal coating of salt and pepper followed by 1 tablespoon lime juice (2 tablespoons in total). Heat the oil in a heavy-bottomed 12-inch skillet over medium-high heat until smoking. Lay the steak in the pan and cook, without moving, until well browned, 4 to 5 minutes. Using tongs, flip the steak. Reduce the heat to medium. Continue to cook until the second side is browned, 4 to 5 minutes. Transfer the steak to a plate, drizzle with the remaining 2 tablespoons lime juice, tent loosely with aluminum foil, and let rest for 10 minutes.

    Meanwhile, return the skillet to medium-high heat and add the bell peppers, onion, cumin seeds, 1/2 teaspoon salt, and 2 tablespoons water. Cook, stirring occasionally and scraping the bottom of the skillet to release any browned bits, until the onion is very soft and browned, 5 to 6 minutes. Transfer the vegetables to a serving bowl and adjust the seasonings with salt and pepper to taste.

    Heat a large nonstick skillet over medium heat for 2 minutes and lightly toast each tortilla in the pan for 10 to 15 seconds per side. Stack the toasted tortillas in a clean towel and wrap to keep warm.

    To serve: Slice the steak very thinly against the grain and place the meat in a serving bowl. Pour any released juices over the vegetables. Serve the vegetables, meat, and tortillas along with bowls of salsa, sour cream, and avocado so diners can assemble their own fajitas.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    BROTHER CAN YOU SPARE A WHEELBARROW?:

    French No could trigger euro chaos, says Deutsche (Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, 13/04/2005, Daily Telegraph)

    Deutsche Bank warned yesterday that a likely French 'No' to the European constitution could begin a wave of currency speculation across Eastern Europe, setting off a chain of economic disruption.

    Norbert Walter, the bank's chief economist, said rejection of the treaty in France's referendum on May 29 could halt the eastward expansion of the euro-zone. The Turkish lira is also vulnerable.

    "There could be a wave of currency attacks in the new member states. These countries would then have to raise interest rates. We could see enormous exchange rate swings," he told FT Deutschland.

    "The problem is that the EU has no strategy for dealing with a rejection of the treaty. People may well question whether the eurozone should have any new members at all," he said.


    On the bright side, the carrion crows that pick over the remains of Europe will be able to feather their nests with euros.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    A HAND UP:

    Show Blacks How to Fill Their Glasses (William Raspberry, April 11, 2005, Washington Post)

    The National Urban League issued its annual State of Black America report last week, and you won't be surprised to learn that, once again, the league is worried about the gap in well-being between blacks and whites.

    There is a small refinement this time -- an "equality index" designed to measure everything from health and employment to civic engagement and volunteerism puts blacks at 73 percent of parity. But both the general finding and the recommended solutions are the same as they have been for as long as I've been following these reports: The black/white gap shows no signs of closing, and in some ways may be worsening, and the general society -- the government -- needs to do more.

    I wouldn't disagree with either the analysis or the need for more help for America's poor -- black and white -- who are essentially disconnected from the economy.

    But I would propose that, whatever the value of pointing out the black/white gap, it might be a good deal more useful to take a hard look at the black/black gap.

    What am I talking about? Listen to the Urban League's chief executive, Marc Morial, in an NPR interview with newsman Ed Gordon:

    "The gains of the last 40 years," he said, "have created a new, larger, stronger black middle class. But many have been left behind. Still, one out of every four black Americans lives in poverty, and almost half of those who live in poverty live in extreme poverty. So you've got, if you will, a paradox."

    You've got, if you will, something a good deal more interesting than a paradox. If racism (and racial neglect) is the major source of the gaps the Urban League would so like to narrow, then how can it be that three-fourths of black Americans have escaped poverty and that there is a "larger, stronger black middle class"?

    Instead of spending the bulk of our attention on what white people have done (or failed to do), wouldn't it be interesting to examine what the members of that growing black middle class have done and are doing?


    At some point you have to stop blaming racism.


    April 12, 2005

    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:51 PM

    HOLMES WAS PRONE TO BAD DAYS (via Robert Schwartz):

    Orioles' run-ins with law historic: Institution: One of the stranger minglings of sports and politics is baseball's longstanding exemption from federal antitrust laws. (Andrew Ratner, April 3, 2005, Baltimore Sun)

    One of the stranger intersections of sport and politics, baseball's waiver from the Sherman Anti-Trust Act of 1890 has long baffled legal scholars. The court decision that established the exemption has been described as "Not one of Oliver Wendell Holmes Jr.'s better days."

    Like the Billy Goat Curse that bedevils the Cubs in Chicago or the ball that found its way between Bill Buckner's legs in a World Series, the exemption has practically become part of baseball lore -- an oddity taken for granted but one that no one seems able to explain.

    The ruling has nevertheless shaped professional baseball as we know it. And the parallels between the 1922 case at its origin and baseball headlines today are so eerie that the old Twilight Zone theme music should swell in the background when they are discussed.

    Peter G. Angelos, owner of the Baltimore Orioles, argued through the past year that this region can't support two pro baseball teams. He was boxed out by other owners, who decided to move the Montreal franchise to Washington. The new Washington Nationals throw their first pitch tomorrow, ending a roughly 30-year drought of pro baseball in Washington.

    Some 90 years ago, the owner of the then-Baltimore Orioles, which had relocated from Montreal, also resisted when it had to share this region with a second team. Within a few years, both Baltimore teams were gone and Baltimore wandered in the desert without major-league baseball for more than 30 years. In 1953-54, the St. Louis Browns moved to Baltimore to become the Orioles, who begin their 52nd season tomorrow.

    Before the Supreme Court's antitrust decision, baseball teams moved like gypsies. In the early 1900s, the original Baltimore Orioles relocated to New York, where they were renamed the Highlanders and later became the Yankees. Baltimore soon got a new team, again called the Orioles, in the minor International League, but it competed against major-league teams and often beat them.

    In 1913, a new league formed to rival the National and American leagues. Baltimore was pleased to get a team in the new league, according to Robert W. Creamer's rich biography of Babe Ruth. The city and its newspapers were breathless about the arrival of the new Federal League Baltimore Terrapins. The House of Delegates voted to make their arrival a state holiday.

    Orioles' owner Jack Dunn knew his team was in trouble when 1,500 fans showed up to watch the Orioles play the champion New York Giants, with local star Ruth pitching, while the Terrapins attracted 30,000 that same afternoon.

    Financially hobbled, Dunn was forced to unload his stars. Ruth went for a reported $30,000 to the Boston Red Sox, who later couldn't afford him either and had to sell him to the Yankees. Dunn would have sold Ruth eventually because that was how minor league teams like his made money, before major league baseball created its own farm system. But Ruth presumably could have played in Baltimore years longer than he did, as Dunn was known for holding onto his stars. Disillusioned by the lack of support, Dunn moved his depleted squad temporarily to Richmond, Va.

    After two years of battling with the established leagues, the Federals folded, too. All its teams except Baltimore reached a settlement with the established major leagues. Baseball owners sniffed that Baltimore was only "minor league" anyway -- not the last time the city would suffer some insult over the comings and goings of its pro sports teams.

    Ned Hanlon, owner of the Terrapins and before that the Orioles, sued. He argued that the other owners colluded to destroy his league and his team.

    Some think baseball's powers maneuvered to get the lawsuit heard in federal court in Chicago because a federal judge there, Kenesaw Mountain Landis, had a keen interest in baseball. Named for the Georgia battlefield where his surgeon father served the Confederacy, Landis would later become legendary as the first commissioner of major league baseball. The judge delayed a ruling long enough that the Federal Base Ball Club of Baltimore Inc. folded.

    But the Court of Appeals in Washington later ruled Hanlon's group deserved $80,000. That award would actually be $240,000 because antitrust damages are tripled by law.

    Baseball appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court, which heard the case on April 19, 1922. Six weeks later, the court ruled 9-0 in favor of the National League of Professional Base Ball Clubs.

    The justices concluded that baseball wasn't subject to antitrust regulation. The law forbids businesses that engage in commerce across state lines from colluding to harm competitors. The court concluded that baseball exhibitions of the day weren't commerce and the state lines teams crossed were incidental to the actual playing of the games.

    "Transport is a mere incident, not the essential thing," Holmes wrote in the justices' decision. "The exhibition, although made for money, would not be called trade or commerce in the commonly accepted use of those words."

    The billion-dollar industry that baseball would become wasn't yet evident -- nor was the significance of the ruling.

    The Sun ran the story about the decision on Page 20 on May 30, 1922.


    What's the point of being allowed to collude if you aren't going to (or aren't able to) use it to hold down the players' salaries?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:43 PM

    NEVER HAVE SO FEW FOUGHT FOR SO LITTLE:

    DeLay under fire: What's at stake (Kathy Kiely and Jim Drinkard, 4/11/05, USA TODAY)

    In his 20-year rise from back-bencher to one of the most formidable Republican leaders in Congress, no one has understood the limits of Tom DeLay's effectiveness better than the House majority leader himself.

    The outspoken Texas conservative, who displays the Ten Commandments in his office but admits he has a hard time loving his enemies, declined to run for House speaker in 1998 because he considered himself "too nuclear." He has kept his profile so low that 42% of those responding to a USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll this month said they never heard of him or knew too little to form opinions.


    That's the beauty of this tussle. Even if the Democrats win it doesn't matter to anyone outside the Beltway.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:33 PM

    RUDE WAY TO ENTER THE 20TH CENTURY:

    Battling a Virus -- and Anger -- in Angola (Charles Piller, April 13, 2005, LA Times)

    International health officials fighting a deadly outbreak of Marburg fever in Angola said Tuesday that they had called in church leaders, social anthropologists and even a popular music group to help stop attacks on health workers clad in intimidating moon suits.

    As the virus has spread, killing 194 people so far, some grieving residents have turned their anger toward relief workers, who have halted traditional burial rituals and removed bodies from villages to contain the virus.

    Family members of Marburg victims have thrown rocks at health workers, and rumors have been circulating that the foreigners are spreading the disease.

    "Imagine that a mother has lost her children, and then in come guys in white full-body suits and masks, and they don't allow the families to do their ritual washing of the bodies," said David Daigle, a spokesman for the World Health Organization in the province of Uige, northeast of the capital, Luanda.

    Monica Castellarnau, emergency coordinator for Doctors Without Borders in Uige, told Reuters that fear of health workers had led some to hide Marburg victims in their homes so as not to elicit a visit from authorities.

    "That means the virus keeps on spreading in the community," she said.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:23 PM

    NOTHING HASTENS REFORM LIKE MARKET FORCES:

    A battle for souls in Latin America: Catholic clergy try to revitalize flock (Indira A.R. Lakshmanan, April 13, 2005, Boston Globe)

    As the sole priest in a parish serving 10,000 Catholics, Father Fabio Calizaya is a very busy man. On an ordinary day, he hangs his vestments after a late service at one of two churches and dons a native woven poncho to run from one evening discussion and prayer group to another.

    In this southern Bolivian town that was once the largest and richest in all of Latin America thanks to its silver mines, Spanish colonial churches abound, but priests to serve them do not.

    ''We have 120,000 Catholics in this city, and only 23 priests," said Calizaya, 37. ''It's no wonder some people feel the Church has abandoned them and are going elsewhere" for spiritual guidance.

    In El Alto, a hardscrabble migrant settlement above La Paz, Father Jose Fuentes, 44, struggles to serve 80,000 people in Jesus the Worker parish. In the Bolivian countryside, a single priest may minister to 60 or 70 far-flung farming communities and is lucky to visit each once a year.

    A scarcity of priests is just one crisis facing the Roman Catholic Church as it seeks to remain relevant to the nearly half a billion Catholics in Latin America -- more than 40 percent of the world's flock. Across a region whose native populations were forcibly converted to Catholicism under colonial rule and where the Church still claims its strongest and most fervent foothold, disillusion and defections are on the rise. From Mexico to Argentina, a single priest is expected to serve between 5,000 and 10,000 Catholics on average, in comparison with one priest per 1,500 congregants in the United States, according to Church statistics.

    A number of clerics and lay people are trying to revitalize the Church before it is too late, citing disappointment with the often distant relationship between priest and congregant; the formal Mass structure that allows scant participation; and the perceived failure of the Church to address gaping socioeconomic disparities in Latin America. According to some estimates by Protestant missionaries, the Catholic Church is losing thousands of followers a day in Latin America, where surveys indicate that the ranks of Protestant and evangelical sects have multiplied from 2 million in 1960 to about 50 million today.


    If not a Third World pope, they at least need someone who feels a sense of urgency about meeting the needs of the faithful there.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:32 PM

    IT'S A RELIGION, NOT A RACE (via Michael Burns):

    Bush Made Inroads Among Jewish Voters, Study Shows (Ronald Brownstein, April 12, 2005, LA Times)

    Jewish voters remained overwhelmingly Democratic in the 2004 presidential election, but President Bush made inroads with those who attend religious services most often, according to a study to be released today.

    Or, actual Jews as opposed to putative.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:56 PM

    WHO'D CARE?:

    Failure Buster: The filibuster helps conservatives more than liberals. It’s time to get rid of it. (Matthew Yglesias, 04.12.05, American Prospect)

    Washington is abuzz with talk that the Senate Republicans will deploy the so-called "nuclear option" -- in essence, violating the rules of the Senate to eliminate the possibility of mounting a filibuster against a presidential nominee -- in order to obtain the confirmation of a handful of President George W. Bush's appointments to the federal judiciary. Senate Democrats, naturally enough, are plotting a second strike: Through various manipulations of the Senate rules, they will bring the entire legislative process to a grinding halt. And rightly so. There's no particular reason why filibusters should be banned just for nomination votes, and there's certainly no justification for doing so in a way that violates the Senate's rules. The politics of the fight that would ensue are uncertain but probably winnable for the Democrats. The substantive outcome -- no passage of any bills of any sort -- is the best liberals can hope for, given the current correlation of political forces inside the Beltway.

    It would, of course, be a change in the rules, not a violation of them. But Mr. Yglesias is too conservative: the best America can hope for is that the Democrats shut down the Congress.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:19 PM

    TWO ROADS DIVERGED (via Mike Daley):

    Which Enlightenment?: a review of The Roads to Modernity: The British, French, and American Enlightenments by Gertrude Himmelfarb (Keith Windschuttle, March 2005, New Criterion)

    [I]t explains the source of the fundamental division that, despite several predictions of its imminent demise, still doggedly grips Western political life: that between the left and the right. From the outset, each side had its own philosophical assumptions and its own view of the human condition. Roads to Modernity shows why one of these sides has generated a steady progeny of historical successes while its rival has consistently lurched from one disaster to the next.

    Most historians have accepted for several years now that the Enlightenment, once popularly characterized as the Age of Reason, came in two versions, the radical and the skeptical. The former is now generally identified with France, the latter with Scotland. It has also been acknowledged that the anti-clericalism that obsessed the French philosophes was not reciprocated in Britain or America. Indeed, in both these countries many Enlightenment concepts—human rights, liberty, equality, tolerance, science, progress—complemented rather than opposed church thinking. [...]

    Moreover, unlike the French who elevated reason to the primary role in human affairs, British thinkers gave reason a secondary, instrumental role. In Britain it was virtue that trumped all other qualities. This was not personal virtue but the “social virtues”—compassion, benevolence, sympathy—which the British philosophers believed naturally, instinctively, and habitually bound people to one another. In the abstract, this difference might seem merely one of degree but, as it worked itself out in the subsequent history of the Continent and the British Isles, it was profound.

    In making her case, Himmelfarb defines the British Enlightenment in terms that some might find surprising. She includes people who in the past have usually been labeled part of the Counter-Enlightenment, especially John Wesley and Edmund Burke. She assigns prominent roles to the social movements of Methodism and Evangelical philanthropy. Despite the fact that the American colonies rebelled from Britain to found a republic, Himmelfarb demonstrates how very close they were to the British Enlightenment and how distant from French republicans.

    These differences have remained to this day, and over much the same issues. On the one hand, in France, the ideology of reason challenged not only religion and the church but all the institutions dependent upon them. Reason was inherently subversive. On the other hand, British moral philosophy was reformist rather than radical, respectful of both the past and present, even while looking forward to a more enlightened future. It was optimistic and had no quarrel with religion, which was why, in both Britain and the United States, the church itself could become a principal source for the spread of enlightened ideas. [...]

    Apart from the different philosophical status they assigned to reason and virtue, the one issue where the division between the British and Continental Enlightenments was most sharply contrasted was their attitude to the lower orders. This is a distinction that has reverberated through politics ever since. The radical heirs of the Jacobin tradition have always insisted that it is they who speak for the wretched of the earth. In eighteenth-century France they claimed to speak for the people and the general will. In the nineteenth century they said they represented the working classes against their capitalist exploiters. In our own time, they have claimed to be on the side of blacks, women, gays, indigenes, refugees, and anyone else they define as the victims of discrimination and oppression. Himmelfarb’s study demonstrates what a façade these claims actually are.

    The French philosophes thought the social classes were divided by the chasm of poverty and, more crucially, of superstition and ignorance. They despised the lower orders because they were in thrall to Christianity. The editor of the Encyclopédie, Denis Diderot, declared the common people had no role in the Age of Reason. “The general mass of men are not so made that they can either promote or understand this forward march of the human spirit.” Indeed, “the common people are incredibly stupid,” he said, and were little more than beasts: “too idiotic—bestial—too miserable, and too busy” to enlighten themselves. Voltaire agreed. The lower orders lacked the intellect required to reason and so must be left to wallow in superstition. They could be controlled and pacified only by the sanctions and strictures of religion which, Voltaire proclaimed, “must be destroyed among respectable people and left to the canaille large and small, for whom it was made.”

    In Britain and America, by contrast, the chasm between rich and poor was bridged by the moral sense and common sense the Enlightenment attributed to all individuals. Everyone, including the members of the lower orders, had a common humanity and a common fund of moral and social obligations. It was this social ethos, Himmelfarb argues, that in the English-speaking world was the common denominator between Adam Smith, Edmund Burke, secular philosophers, religious enthusiasts, Church of England bishops, and Wesleyan preachers.

    “Man is by constitution a religious animal,” Edmund Burke famously wrote in his Reflections on the Revolution in France. For Burke, religion itself—religious dissent in particular—was the very basis of liberty.


    Once you appropriately disaggregate the two that way, in what sense is the British an Enlightenment rather than just the organic culmination of Christianity as it moved from purely theological matters to economics, politics, and social reform?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:51 PM

    IS IT SELF-PARODY OR JUST LACK OF SELF-AWARENESS? (via The Other Brother):

    Life's top 10 greatest inventions (NewScientist.com, 09 April 2005)

    invention, innovation

    a creation (a new device or process) resulting from study and experimentation


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:11 PM

    FOR YOUR NETFLIX QUEUE:

    The Sandbaggers a short-lived spy series from British television in the early 80s with Roy Marsden (who plays Adam Dalgleish in the PD James adaptations). It's overly melodramatic and deeply cynical, so quite fun.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:52 PM

    THE LESS WE PRODUCE THE MORE JOBS WE HAVE:

    The Beast That Feeds on Boxes: Bureaucracy (SCOTT SHANE, 4/10/05, NY Times)

    "I've been studying bureaucracy for 40 years," said James Q. Wilson, a professor of public policy at Pepperdine University, "and I can't remember a single commission that proposed cutting back."

    Little surprise, then, that after two independent commissions and multiple Congressional committees studied the shortcomings of the 15 intelligence agencies, they proposed more bureaucracy.

    Much, much more bureaucracy.

    This paradoxical result worries Richard A. Posner, a federal appeals court judge and the author of a coming book on intelligence reform. "Every time you add a layer of bureaucracy, you delay the movement of information up the chain to the policy maker," Judge Posner said. "And you dilute the information, because at each step some details are taken out."

    Yet adding layers appears to be in the DNA of bureaucracy; it is what bureaucracy does, according to Paul C. Light, who has spent years studying the phenomenon he calls the "thickening" of government.

    Through Republican and Democratic administrations, in response to any kind of crisis or failure, in every field from education to national security, and often in the face of stark evidence that it will be counterproductive, the federal government has grown layers, said Dr. Light, a professor of public service at New York University and senior fellow at the Brookings Institution.

    The layering can scramble communication and accountability, he said, and it lies at the heart of many government failures. In the Columbia disaster, NASA engineers' worries never reached top officials. Commanders in Iraq have said that word of abuses at Abu Ghraib did not reach them.

    One of the first great students of bureaucracy, the early-20th-century German sociologist Max Weber, saw a lot to like in this form of organization, particularly as a replacement for clan-based or patronage systems. Bureaucracies were made up of people with expertise, operating under consistent rules and keeping precise records. But Weber may not have imagined the scale of bureaucracy at the top of a 21st-century superpower, or its relentless growth.

    In 1960, according to Dr. Light's study of federal phone directories, there were 17 different executive titles in the 15 cabinet departments he tracks. By 2004, that had ballooned to 64 titles, as new positions were wedged between existing jobs, creating such choice appellations as "chief of staff to the associate deputy assistant secretary" and "principal deputy deputy assistant secretary" (the repetition is not a typo).

    High-level career posts have proliferated as fast as political appointments. "It's a stalactite-stalagmite problem," Dr. Light said. "The politicals drip down, and the career people drip up."


    Each of us goes about our work secure in the certainty that our job is worthwhile but that of whoever supervises us is superfluous and so on up the organizational chart...


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:51 PM

    JUST ANOTHER POLITICAL PARTY:

    Hizbullah will emerge a political winner (Nadim Hasbani, April 11, 2005, Daily Star)

    Why would Hizbullah disarm peacefully?

    The process of Hizbullah's transformation into a political party, to be peaceful, should be based on the idea that Hizbullah's final goal is influence, power and recognition. Its target is to have the largest political influence possible. Noteworthy that this will allow Iran as well to have the largest influence possible in Lebanon and hence spread its ideology outside its borders. Hizbullah's weapons are a means to reach this goal but are not a goal themselves. As we know, weapons allowed Hizbullah to gain legitimacy as a Lebanese national resistance movement. Moreover the pragmatic evolution and transformation of Hizbullah during the past 10 years allowed recognition by the Lebanese system and gave it a level of relative national respect even among other religious sects. It successfully avoided the risk of being considered as a marginalized, fanatical party labeled as a terrorist movement with only extremist ideals.

    Therefore, Hizbullah will want to remain influential and powerful on the Lebanese political scene and among its Shiite supporters. It will not take the risk of being openly considered by the rest of the Lebanese as a bad influence on Lebanon. Hizbullah needs to keep its legitimacy and respect (thus its influence). Now that South Lebanon is liberated (Shebaa is another matter), keeping its weapons might lead it to lose popularity, legitimacy and respect, thus influence. The weapons in its possession and its acts of resistance will no longer be a source of respect but will become a source of trouble in the eyes of the majority. Sfeir's request for Hizbullah's disarmament is part of this dynamic where weapons will transform from a source of respect into a source of deligitimization. So in order for the Party of God to remain influential and to preserve its legitimacy it should prove pragmatic once again. This will lead Hizbullah to disarm peacefully and remain very influential as a full part of the Lebanese political equation. Iran in its turn will agree on such a disarmament as long as its influence in Lebanon - through Hizbullah's - is safe.

    Finally, it is important the U.S. understands that Hizbullah is not only a so-called terrorist organization but also a major Lebanese political actor. The Hizbullah demonstration in support of Syria caused the party to discredit itself somehow in the eyes of other confessions in Lebanon. Disarmament will allow Hizbullah to regain legitimacy and acceptance in the Lebanese political scene, but only if it is done through a negotiation with domestic actors. If forced by the U.S. to disarm, its legitimacy will increase, thanks to the renewed fight against the U.S. The opposition in turn will be misperceived as pro-U.S. and lose its ability to negotiate a possible disarmament with Hizbullah. Unfortunately the recent explosions in Beirut, Junieh and Dekwaneh neighborhoods, whether ordered by Syria or its Lebanese allies or not, the UN report saying the Lebanese inquiry into the killing of former Premier Rafik Hariri suffered from "serious flaws"... will encourage foreign involvement in Lebanon's current political crisis. If the May elections are postponed, it will represent the perfect justification for such international involvement whether desired and needed by some or not.


    Until the power structure is rearranged to their liking there's no reason they should give up theur guns.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:22 PM

    THE FIRST CATHOLIC PRESIDENT:

    THE CATHOLIC TEACHINGS OF GEORGE W. (Franklin Foer, 06.05.00, New Republic)

    Is George W. Bush an unwitting papist? You wouldn't think so, given his infamous flirtation with anti-Catholic bigot Bob Jones--not to mention his very public born-again evangelicalism and his coterie of evangelical advisers. But Bush's big idea, compassionate conservatism, owes a great deal to Catholicism. Intellectual genealogies of the Bush campaign usually trace back to Marvin Olasky, the evangelical University of Texas academic who wrote the 1992 book The Tragedy of American Compassion. But Olasky's big idea--junking the welfare state in favor of moralistic charities--didn't come out of nowhere. It has strong roots in Catholic neoconservative doctrine, most importantly in the work of two intellectuals, Richard John Neuhaus and Michael Novak, who hatched the idea as a way to reconcile their two historically hostile loves: Catholic faith and faith in the free market.

    Their primary tool has been the Catholic concept of "subsidiarity"--the idea that social problems are best understood and solved by the organizations and people closest to them. (When Bush met Catholic leaders last September, he acknowledged compassionate conservatism's debt to subsidiarity, though he mispronounced it "supsidiary.") Subsidiarity became an important part of Catholic doctrine with Pope Pius XI's 1931 encyclical Quadragesimo Anno. Pius hadn't intended to presage Barry Goldwater. He'd meant to triangulate, to split the difference between the twin evils of soulless laissez-faire capitalism and soulless socialism. Like all calls for a third way, the church was vague about how much state intervention it would tolerate. But it probably wanted a fair amount. At least, that was the interpretation of both liberal welfare staters like Franklin Roosevelt and corporatists like Benito Mussolini. In fact, in a 1932 speech, FDR pointed to the encyclical to justify intervention in the market, which he described in clearly Catholic language as "social justice through social action."


    his statist strain is still potent in Catholic politics. You can see it in Europe's Christian Democratic parties, which have traditionally eschewed Republican-style libertarianism. You can see it in America's Catholic bishops (with their thundering invocations of government responsibility to the poor), in America's Catholic liberals (the Kennedys, House Minority Whip David Bonior, or Tip O'Neill), and even in some Catholic conservatives (Pat Buchanan). But, in the last 25 years, Catholic neocons have tried to nudge the statists aside and reconcile papal social teachings with the unfettered market. They have lobbied the Vatican through an international coterie of like-minded cardinals and intellectuals. (Although, truth be told, the pope remains the world's most prominent critic of corporate capitalism.) And they have churned out reams of essays and books to prove the harmony of Catholicism and capitalism. Novak, a scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, has written a theological justification of the corporation and a shelf of books championing classical liberalism. As Neuhaus, editor of the influential journal First Things, puts it, "Capitalism is the economic corollary of the Christian understanding of man's nature and destiny."

    Like all authentic neocons, Neuhaus and Novak started on the left. As a Lutheran priest (who later converted), Neuhaus headlined anti-war rallies and toiled in ghetto parishes. Novak, a sociologist who studied white ethnics, shelled for Eugene McCarthy's presidential campaign. But both were ticked off by liberalism's dalliance with liberation theology and the nuclear freeze. Fuming at the left, they went down the Bristol path, becoming fierce opponents of the welfare state and brash proponents of the private sector.

    But, unlike the mostly secular Jews who traveled the same ideological road, Neuhaus and Novak saw their project as theological as well as political. To reconcile their capitalist faith in self-interest with Catholicism's abnegation of self-interest, Neuhaus and Novak have not only highlighted subsidiarity, they have redefined Pius's concept of it--removing any statist inflection and making it a devolutionary doctrine. Rhetorically, subsidiarity latches them to the Catholic tradition of social justice and gives them cover when their left-wing Catholic brethren accuse them of callously betraying the catechism with their hostility to government expenditures. There's no need for the sclerotic welfare state, Novak has argued, when "the creative impulse is located in the people at the grass roots who no longer trust big government." In neocon hands, subsidiarity is a moral argument that state and local government (instead of the feds) and local community groups (instead of government at all) best serve the poor.

    For Republicans, frequently accused of callousness themselves, the rhetoric serves the same purpose: It helps them deflect charges that they're indifferent to the plight of the poor.


    As five years have shown, there's nothing unwitting about.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:12 PM

    THE DECENT LEFT IS NOW BASICALLY RIGHT:

    Passion plea (Drake Bennett, April 10, 2005, Boston Globe)

    MICHAEL WALZER is a liberal who has spent much of his career unsettling the opinions of other liberals. The political philosopher's enormously influential 1977 book ''Just and Unjust Wars,'' an effort to outline the demands and limits of morality in war, was read by many as a challenge to an American left that, in the wake of the Vietnam War, had become increasingly pacifist. Twenty-five years later, in a widely read essay for Dissent magazine (of which he is co-editor) pointedly titled ''Can There Be a Decent Left?,'' he took liberal thinkers to task for refusing to acknowledge and appropriately denounce the threat posed by Islamic fundamentalist terrorism in the wake of the 9/11 attacks. [...]

    IDEAS: What's wrong with what you call ''liberal reasonableness''?

    WALZER: One example is the love of the courtroom, and a general antipathy to old-fashioned political struggle.... In the literature of liberalism today, there's a great dislike of bargaining. When political scientists talk about ''deliberative democracy,'' they mean to describe a process in which people talk through very complex issues and eventually reach a consensus. But, in fact, in politics that's very rare. People have very strong positions and interests, and what usually happens in democratic politics is a bargaining process, a negotiation process that ends in a compromise, not a verdict. It's not a deliberative outcome, it's a negotiated outcome.

    IDEAS: You also argue that the liberal idea of the autonomous individual is a bit of a myth. Why is this a problem?

    WALZER: The most intractable forms of inequality in the United States are connected to the collective disqualification of the members of pariah groups, and that requires a different kind of remedy, which addresses the problem of the group, rather than just the problem of this or that unlucky individual.

    One way of doing that is to strengthen the organizations of the group, the mutual aid organizations, the philanthropic and welfare societies. We have a lot of those mutual aid organizations in the United States and some of them are very, very successful, particularly [those created by] groups like the Catholics and Lutherans and the Jews. I think it would make a big difference in American life if black churches, for example, or Hispanic churches, were providing services of this sort for their members.

    IDEAS: Wouldn't this just create a more fragmented public sphere?

    WALZER: That certainly has not been the experience of groups like the Catholics, the Lutherans, and the Jews, whose members don't seem to be isolated or withdrawn from public life. In fact it's the weaker groups, which are not able to provide these sorts of services to their members, that tend to be isolated and withdrawn in our society.

    I'm not proposing that the state help in any way to defend the boundaries of these groups, I think that there would be a lot of coming and going. One of the motivating factors in my argument is the discovery by political scientists that people who are active in the kinds of [mutual aid organizations] I'm describing are also active participants in the larger polity.

    IDEAS: What you're describing looks a bit like President Bush's faith-based initiatives. Is that something you'd support?

    WALZER: ''Faith-based'' is their term. I was thinking more of community-based.


    Fine, we can change the name.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:44 AM

    WHICH WILL AT LEAST GET FEMINISTS ON THEIR SIDE (via Matthew Cohen):

    Iran liberalises laws on abortion (Frances Harrison, 4/12/05, BBC News)

    The Iranian parliament has voted to liberalise the country's abortion laws.

    Under the law approved on Tuesday, a pregnancy can be terminated in the first four months if the foetus is mentally or physically handicapped.

    Both parents must give their consent and three doctors to confirm that the foetus is damaged.

    The law was approved by just over half of the conservative-dominated parliament, and still has to be approved by the Guardian Council. [...]

    None of the 13 women in the Iranian parliament took part in the debate. The conditions for allowing abortion still remain very stringent.

    Both parents must agree and they need three doctors, as well as the coroner's office, to confirm the foetus is damaged or the mother's life at risk.


    It's the kind of tightly controlled abortion regime that could have worked here had the Court not intervened.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:15 AM

    WELL, OF COURSE I LIKE MY ACCOUNT...:

    The Social Security Crisis Gets Personal (Stuart Butler, April 12, 2005, LA Times)

    The debate over Social Security reform so far has centered on the concern that, as the number of retirees balloons, the program won't be able to pay its promised benefits. That certainly is a crisis that must be addressed. [...]

    But the personal crisis in Social Security is even more worrisome — and it's deeply unfair.

    As the Social Security system itself has aged, payroll taxes have grown relentlessly and the return on those taxes has fallen dramatically. When Social Security began, the payroll tax was just 2% of income. Now it's 12.4%. Today, the average male worker about to retire will typically get just a 1.27% return on his lifetime of taxes — less than he'd get from a savings account. That's bad enough, but the younger you are, the worse it will get. A 25-year-old worker can expect a return of minus-0.64% — he loses money.

    Some retirement "security" program.


    Everyone on the Left says private accounts won't work, but none of them propose turning their 401k's over to the feds to get a higher rate of return.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:09 AM

    AT LEAST THIS SPECIAL PROSECUTOR WILL HAVE AN EASIER TIME COLLECTING EVIDENCE:

    Senators May Have Named CIA Operative (Washington Post, April 12, 2005)

    Senators may have blown the cover of a covert CIA officer yesterday.

    During a hearing on John R. Bolton's nomination to be ambassador to the United Nations, Bolton and members of the Senate Foreign Affairs Committee referred to the analyst as "Mr. Smith." They were discussing one of the officials involved in a dispute over what Democrats said was Bolton's inappropriate treatment of an intelligence analyst who disagreed with him.

    "We referred to this other analyst at the CIA, whom I'll try and call Mr. Smith here," Bolton said at one point.

    But the committee chairman, Richard G. Lugar (R-Ind.), and Sen. John F. Kerry (D-Mass.) mentioned a name that had not previously come up in public accounts of the intelligence flap.



    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:58 AM

    WHAT POINDEXTER KNEW:

    The Smart Money (JOHN TIERNEY, 4/12/05, NY Times)

    Do not be fooled by the talking heads in Rome. The journalists handicapping the papal election may sound as confident as ever, authoritatively quoting anonymous cardinals and exclusive sources deep in Opus Dei. But our profession is in trouble. A specter is haunting the punditocracy - the specter of Intrade.

    That's an online futures market, based in Dublin and used by more than 50,000 speculators worldwide who put their money where our mouths are. They're expected to spend at least $1 million on futures contracts tied to the election of the pope. And if recent history is any guide, their collective wisdom could be a lot more valuable than ours.

    If you listened to journalists during last year's presidential campaign, you heard about a tight race with oscillating polls and shifting momentum. The weekend before the election, we painstakingly analyzed the battleground states and bravely proclaimed them too close to call.

    But if you watched the Intrade market throughout the campaign, you saw the traders serenely betting on a Bush victory. Most remarkably, the weekend before the election, the traders correctly called the winner in every one of the 50 states.


    It is a crime that we aren't using such markets in place of, or at least to supplement, the CIA.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:36 AM

    TEXTBOOK:

    Commuters Railroaded by Gas Prices: As fuel costs soar, more drivers are taking Metrolink trains. In addition to saving money, many find the ride enjoyable. (Nicholas Shields, April 12, 2005, LA Times)

    With her doll in hand, 3-year-old Mara O'Neal experienced her first Metrolink train ride Monday, with her aunt Andrea Hernandez. The "girls day out," as Hernandez called the trip, was to the Los Angeles Zoo.

    The 19-year-old said she opted to take her niece on Metrolink to Union Station for one leg of their trip because Hernandez's 1997 Oldsmobile Cutlass was on loan to her boyfriend until gas prices fall dramatically.

    Hernandez estimated that she used to spend about $20 to fill her tank. Now, she said, rising gas prices have increased the cost to about $50.

    "I don't drive as far as I used to" because of the rising prices, she said. "It's ridiculous."

    As prices at the pump creep toward $3 a gallon for regular unleaded, more people are opting for public transportation, local officials say. For example, Metrolink ridership increased by 7% for the first quarter of 2005 over the same period last year, spokeswoman Denise Tyrrell said.

    Numbers tell one story, but commuters tell their own. Here are some of the stories coming out of Union Station on Monday morning.


    Demonstrating the wisdom of cranking gas taxes.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:28 AM

    EXACTLY HOW DEMOCRACY IS SUPPOSED TO WORK:

    Absent Allawi May Be Biding His Time: Critics say Iraq's former premier is bitter over not being offered a top post. Supporters say he is rebuilding his party for the next election. (Edmund Sanders, April 12, 2005, LA Times)

    When Iraq's new government finally emerged last week and the nation's political heavyweights stood before the National Assembly, shaking hands and accepting congratulations, one man was noticeably absent from the stage: Iyad Allawi, who had served as prime minister since last summer. [...]

    His supporters say he is busy working on the hand-over and weighing his next political move, which could be transforming his Iraqi National Accord into an opposition party and preparing to run in the next election, which is expected by year's end.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:24 AM

    YIELDING THE HIGH GROUND:

    Bush, Sharon Clash Openly: The leaders, meeting in Texas, disagree on the future of West Bank settlements under the Mideast peace plan. Both are under pressure. (Peter Wallsten and Tyler Marshall, April 12, 2005, LA Times)

    President Bush and Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon differed strongly and publicly Monday over the future of West Bank settlements under the U.S.-backed peace plan, underscoring the fragile nature of negotiations to end the decades-long conflict between Israel and the Palestinians.

    Bush condemned the expansion of Jewish settlements as a violation of the so-called road map plan for a two-state solution. But Sharon, who has proposed expanding a major settlement east of Jerusalem, said the development and others would be protected under any final agreement and remain part of Israel. The two leaders spoke after meeting for an hour and a half at Bush's ranch outside Crawford.

    "I told the prime minister of my concern that Israel not undertake any activity that contravenes road map obligations, or prejudice final status negotiations," Bush said after the meeting. "Therefore, Israel should remove unauthorized outposts and meet its road map obligations regarding settlements in the West Bank."

    The impasse demonstrated that Bush and Sharon, despite a close alliance over the past four years, offer widely different interpretations of what the U.S.-supported peace plan means for settlements.

    Backed by the United States, the European Union, Russia and the United Nations, the blueprint envisions a series of reciprocal steps by the two sides that would culminate in Palestinian statehood. The plan requires that Israel dismantle offshoots of Jewish settlements in the West Bank and that the Palestinian Authority crack down on militant groups.

    Bush views the two-state plan as key to his broader agenda of promoting political reforms in the Middle East. But many analysts say he must challenge Sharon on the settlement expansion to keep the road map on track and to build credibility with Palestinians as an even-handed broker.


    Mr. Bush has all the cards here. The next government won't be less anxious for permanent separation.


    Posted by Peter Burnet at 7:05 AM

    FACE EAST OR FACE WEST?

    In picking new pope, a key issue is Islam (Ian Fisher, International Herald Tribune, April 12th, 2005)

    John Paul reached out to Muslims like no other pope: He was the first on record to step inside a mosque, in Damascus in 2001, and issued an apology for past misdeeds of the church that many have read to include the Crusades. In scores of speeches to Muslims, he emphasized not arcane theological differences but similar beliefs.

    In Morocco in 1986 he said, "We believe in the same God, the only God, the living God, the God that creates worlds and brings its creatures to perfection."

    But his reaching out worried some church officials as veering toward "relativism," that no religion is intrinsically truer than another. And on Islam specifically, some critics in or close to the church often suggested that Islam was essentially a warlike and evangelizing religion, which no amount of dialogue would change.

    Renzo Guolo, an Italian author and expert on Islam in Europe, said that John Paul's moral authority blocked a fuller discussion on Islam inside the church.

    "The successor of the pope will have to confront this issue," he said.

    To some degree, the central figure in the debate - as with many other questions facing the church - is the influential Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger.

    Ratzinger, 77, head of church doctrine under Pope John Paul II, is one of the most conservative voices in the church - a possible pope, but certainly someone whose views will be heard in the conclave that selects the new pope starting on April 18.

    And inside the church, he represents a skeptical faction, one that sees the relationship between Christianity and Islam more in competition. [...]

    Cardinal Francis Arinze, 72, from Nigeria, was for 18 years the head of the Pontifical Council for Interreligious Dialogue, which directed John Paul's broad efforts to reach out to other religions. As such, his views hew closely to John Paul's, though of the possible candidates for pope, he has by far the most direct experience living with Muslims. Nigeria is roughly half Christian, half Muslim.

    Like John Paul, he has often spoken of one specific rationale for reaching out to other faiths, Islam included: that believers, of whatever faith, have a duty to fight against a secularism that he says has sapped Christians of their spiritual strength.

    "God can speak to us through other believers," he told an interviewer several years ago.

    "From sincere Muslims, Christians can learn, for example, the courage of sincere prayer. They pray five times a day, and no matter where they are - be it the railway station or the airport - they will do it.

    "Whereas many Christians are ashamed of making the sign of the cross in a restaurant or pulling out a rosary on a train."

    It would be fascinating to see the results of a worldwide poll of Christians as to whether they thought secularism or Islam was the greater threat.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:24 AM

    MEGAWATTSAGE:

    Watts says he hasn't ruled out run for Oklahoma governor (AP, 4/10/05)

    Former U.S. Rep. J.C. Watts hasn't ruled out running for governor next year but he said he wasn't ready to make a decision.

    ''I have been encouraged to do it, and I pay attention to the people who are encouraging me to do it because they've been great friends of mine,'' Watts told The Oklahoman's Washington bureau during a telephone interview on Friday.

    Watts, a Republican, served as 4th Congressional District representative from 1995 to 2003 in the U.S. House. He now runs the J.C. Watts Cos., which do government affairs and business consulting work in Washington.


    He's still only 48.


    April 11, 2005

    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:44 PM

    NONE BUT THE RIGHTEOUS:

    Acts of Quiet Courage (Bob Herbert, 4/11/05, The New York Times)

    Felix Rohatyn knew that he and a handful of relatives had been lucky to get out of Nazi-occupied France in the early-1940's, when he was 12 years old. But there were details about the harrowing escape that have only recently come to light.

    Mr. Rohatyn, now 76, is the financier who helped save New York City from bankruptcy in the 1970's and later served as ambassador to France during the Clinton administration. His family was Jewish, and originally from Poland. In the fall of 1940 the dark night of the Holocaust was spreading across France with terrifying speed. Foreign-born Jews were in the most immediate peril. Scores of thousands would be turned over to the Germans, with most being sent to Auschwitz.

    About a month ago, in his Park Avenue office, Mr. Rohatyn took a call from a stranger with information that would bring the saga of his family's escape into much sharper focus. The man said he had photocopies of the visas that were used to get the family out of France. He wondered if Mr. Rohatyn would be interested in seeing them.

    "Of course I was interested," said Mr. Rohatyn. "So this fellow showed up, a very nice man, and he had a photostat of these papers, these documents, with my picture, my mother's picture, my stepfather's picture ...

    "I had never known how we obtained the visas. They got us out of France about six months before the Germans started sending all the foreign Jews off to Auschwitz. I was never able to figure it out. And everyone - my mother, my stepfather - everyone who was involved in this process is dead."

    The "very nice man" who seemed to have appeared out of the blue was Joao Crisostomo, a vice president of the International Raoul Wallenberg Foundation. He was putting together a program to honor the heroic efforts of two diplomats - Luiz Martins de Souza Dantas, the wartime Brazilian ambassador to France, and Aristides de Sousa Mendes, the Portuguese consul general in Bordeaux.


    We'd all like to think we'd have done the right thing, but in reality so few did.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:35 PM

    MOSCOW, WE HAVE A PROBLEM:

    Agnes Smedley: On Proving What Her Worst Enemies Had Claimed (Much to My Regret) (Ruth Price, 4/11/05, History News Network)

    Smedley sparked intense, divergent responses in a tremendous range of people during her lifetime. Political conservatives saw her either as a dizzy camp follower of the Chinese Communists or a dangerous revolutionary to be suppressed at all costs. Most of her radical contemporaries thought her intellectually and temperamentally unfit to be a serious revolutionary at all. Fellow journalists dismissed Smedley's fervent reportage as wildly slanted; others were offended by the personal conduct of someone who publicly boasted of sleeping "with all colors and shapes." Those who actually knew her tended to see either a troubled, unstable eccentric or an impossibly soft hearted dreamer, although she earned the lifelong affection and staunch loyalty of such friends as Edgar Snow and Katherine Anne Porter.

    The debate surrounding Agnes Smedley's character and actions is still taking place. To this day, those conservatives who remember her continue to view Smedley as another 1930s style American radical deluded by her love for Moscow, who worked for the Comintern in China, spied for the Soviet Union, and was an evil hussy to boot. Progressives see an unblemished heroine -- a selfless activist devoted to the Chinese people, the tragic victim of a McCarthyite smear.

    As someone who shares the latter's sympathies, I, too, initially dismissed the accusations against Smedley. My Smedley was an uncompromising rebel whose actions were always an attempt to serve life, not deny it. Certain that the charges against her had been triggered by people as frightened by her unbroken, independent spirit as her supposed "communism," I hoped to exonerate Agnes once and for all of the cold war accusations against her.

    There were some problems.


    Were the anti-Communists wrong about anybody?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:32 PM

    WHAT CACHE?:

    'No thanks, Harvard. I found a better fit.': Is the pull of an Ivy school lessening - or is it just that much harder to get into one? (Teresa Méndez, 4/12/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

    When she opened the e-mail that would tell whether she had been accepted to Harvard, Lin Gyi was pretty certain (99.9 percent sure) that whatever it said didn't matter. Her mind was made up: She'd found a school that was a better fit.

    Come next fall, Lin will be attending Swarthmore College, a top-tier liberal arts school in Pennsylvania. It wasn't her first choice. As fine as the 1,500-student college is reputed to be, to Lin it didn't quite have the luster of an Ivy League school.

    But when she visited the Swarthmore campus not far from her home in Meadowbrook, Pa., she discovered a place where she could "fit right in" - something she has decided matters more than the prestige of a Harvard degree.

    College counselors have long extolled the virtue of finding the school that fits, rather than opting for the one with the best-known name. Now, there may finally be early signs that students have been listening.

    That's not to say Harvard and other elite universities should begin fretting about a dearth of applicants, or that the U.S. News & World Report college rankings will go unread.

    But some educators see mounting evidence that high school seniors are themselves becoming more selective about college - with fewer adopting the "apply everywhere" strategy, and a majority professing to rank a school's "overall fit" above a prestigious reputation.

    They are "ever so slightly paying more attention to the quality of the college experience and how it fits with a student's learning style," says Robert Massa, vice president for enrollment at Dickinson College in Carlisle, Pa.


    You mean everyone doesn't use the same criteria I did: only go to a school where at least three of the facilities share your name?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:20 PM

    NO, YOU FOOLS, WE SAID TO RIOT AGAINST THE JAPANESE...:

    Chinese farmers riot over crop poisoning: Factories built during the country’s new economic boom have sparked a violent backlash (Clifford Coonan, 4/12/05, Times of London)

    THOUSANDS of Chinese farmers overturned buses, smashed cars and attacked policemen during a riot in a village in eastern China against chemical plants that they say are destroying their crops.

    Villagers said that 3,000 police officers armed with electric batons and teargas descended on the village of Huaxi before dawn on Sunday to clear roadblocks that villagers had set up to stop deliveries to and from chemical plants built on land where rice and vegetable farms once stood.

    The scene yesterday was one of complete devastation and anarchy: 40 buses lay smashed in the grounds of a local school and 14 cars were piled upside down in an alley, some draped with police uniforms. There were unconfirmed reports that two of the elderly protesters died during efforts to disperse them, and more than a hundred people were treated for minor injuries in hospital.

    In a country where dissent normally brings swift retribution, the weekend riots were just the latest clashes between local authorities and farmworkers, who feel marginalised by the extraordinary growth of China’s economy and the expansion of its industrial base deeper into rural areas.


    Emerging superpower, huh?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:39 PM

    60-40 COUNTRY MEANS A 60-40 CONGRESS, EVENTUALLY... (via Rick Turley):

    The Hardest Numbers (Michael Barone, 4/11/05, Real Clear Politics)

    [T]he 2004 presidential election results tell us that Republicans are in even stronger shape than their 55-45 and 232-203 Senate and House margins suggest.

    Start with the Senate. George W. Bush carried 31 states that elect 62 senators. There are nine Republican senators from Kerry states and 16 Democratic senators from Bush states. Many of these are from states that were close in the presidential election. But there are 11 Democrats and only three Republicans from states where their presidential nominee got less than 47 percent of the vote. There are more Democrats with political incentives to vote with Bush than there are Republicans with incentives to vote against him.

    As for the House, we now know which presidential candidate carried each of the 435 congressional districts, thanks to Polidata, which crunched the numbers for National Journal and the Almanac of American Politics (of which I am co-author). These numbers surprised even some political pros. Bush carried 255 districts and John Kerry only 180. In all, 41 Democrats represent Bush districts and 18 Republicans represent Kerry districts. Eliminating the districts where the House member's presidential candidate won 47 percent or more, we find only five Republicans in strong Kerry districts but 30 Democrats in strong Bush districts.

    Why did Bush carry 59 percent of the districts while winning 51 percent of the popular vote? One reason is that winners usually carry a disproportionate share of districts. Another is gerrymandering, which favored Republicans this cycle. One more is the Voting Rights Act, which encourages concentrations of blacks and Hispanics in a few districts that Democrats usually carry heavily, while losing adjacent seats.

    The implications? In the long run, Republicans are well positioned to increase their numbers in both the Senate and the House.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:35 PM

    DREAMS REALLY DO COME TRUE:

    Thatcher steps out at lap-dance club (news.com.au, 12apr05)

    MARGARET Thatcher, the former British prime minister, has made a rare public appearance for her beloved Conservative Party - at a glitzy London lap-dancing club.

    Mrs Thatcher, 79, turned up at Stringfellow's for a Tory fund-raising event ahead of the May 5 general election toting her trademark handbag, the Daily Telegraph and The Sun newspapers reported.

    "Margaret Thatcher has always been a heroine of mine, so I was genuinely humbled to welcome her to the club," said mulleted clubowner Peter Stringfellow, 64, who is usually surrounded by buxom blonde twentysomethings.

    "I was just in awe of the woman."


    Can any straight male say he hasn't imagined a scenario much like this at least once?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:24 PM

    100,000 BOONDOGGLES:

    10 years and $10B later, COPS drawing scrutiny (Peter Eisler and Kevin Johnson, 4/10/05, USA TODAY)

    It was a signature plan of Bill Clinton's presidency: Attack the rising crime rates of the early 1990s by putting 100,000 more cops on America's streets.

    Ten years later, the grant program known as COPS (for Community Oriented Policing Services) has given $10 billion to help more than 12,000 police agencies hire and reassign officers. Politicians and police chiefs across the nation have said that COPS is a big reason for the sharp decline in crime rates that began in the late 1990s.

    But now, with the largest buildup of local law enforcement in U.S. history winding down, a less flattering view of the COPS program is emerging: Federal audits of just 3% of all COPS grants have alleged that $277 million was misspent. Tens of thousands of jobs funded by the grants were never filled, or weren't filled for long, auditors found. And there's little evidence that COPS was a big factor in reducing crime.


    At least Dunkin' Donuts made money.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:08 PM

    If only this were unbelievable.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:54 PM

    NO SPORTS? NOT STRAIGHT:

    The Man Date (JENNIFER 8. LEE, 4/10/05, NY Times)

    THE delicate posturing began with the phone call.

    The proposal was that two buddies back in New York City for a holiday break in December meet to visit the Museum of Modern Art after its major renovation.

    "He explicitly said, 'I know this is kind of weird, but we should probably go,' " said Matthew Speiser, 25, recalling his conversation with John Putman, 28, a former classmate from Williams College.

    The weirdness was apparent once they reached the museum, where they semi-avoided each other as they made their way through the galleries and eschewed any public displays of connoisseurship. "We definitely went out of our way to look at things separately," recalled Mr. Speiser, who has had art-history classes in his time.

    "We shuffled. We probably both pretended to know less about the art than we did."

    Eager to cut the tension following what they perceived to be a slightly unmanly excursion - two guys looking at art together - they headed directly to a bar. "We couldn't stop talking about the fact that it was ridiculous we had spent the whole day together one on one," said Mr. Speiser, who is straight, as is Mr. Putman. "We were purging ourselves of insecurity."

    Anyone who finds a date with a potential romantic partner to be a minefield of unspoken rules should consider the man date, a rendezvous between two straight men that is even more socially perilous.

    Simply defined a man date is two heterosexual men socializing without the crutch of business or sports. It is two guys meeting for the kind of outing a straight man might reasonably arrange with a woman. Dining together across a table without the aid of a television is a man date; eating at a bar is not. Taking a walk in the park together is a man date; going for a jog is not. Attending the movie "Friday Night Lights" is a man date, but going to see the Jets play is definitely not.


    They've gotta stop kidding themselves and just head for a bathhouse.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:36 PM

    HOW CAN THEY BE AFRAID?:

    Kickback scandal plagues Canada liberals (BETH DUFF-BROWN, 4/11/05, Associated Press)

    Prime Minister Paul Martin scrambled Monday to prevent the fall of his government amid a kickback scandal in his Liberal Party, as a new poll showed the opposition Conservatives would easily win fresh elections if held today.

    In what some say is Canada's version of Watergate, in terms of magnitude and potential damage, Martin reiterated that he had nothing to do with the ethics fiasco, in which party members are accused of having taken kickbacks from advertising agencies hired to promote federalism in the rebellious French-speaking province of Quebec.

    "Not only do I have the moral authority, I have the moral responsibility," to keep the government afloat until the full inquiry into the scandal concludes in the fall, Martin said. "Canadians are entitled to ask someone to step forward and I'm the prime minister of this country. I can assure you that anyone who has been implicated is going to be punished."

    How long Martin can remain prime minister is anyone's guess, and the halls of Parliament were rife with speculation about whether new elections were around the corner.

    The separatist Bloc Quebecois could introduce a confidence motion by Thursday, though the more powerful Conservative Party was hedging, knowing most Canadians are not keen for new elections.

    "There is a depth of anger there. The Liberal Party is in deep, deep trouble," said Richard Simeon, professor of political science at the University of Toronto.

    A poll published by the Toronto Star on Monday indicates that only 25 percent of those questioned last week would vote for the Liberals if elections were held today. The Conservatives were backed by 36 percent, up 10 points from a survey taken in February.


    If it's not worth going to the polls over it's no Watergate.


    MORE:
    Canada's kickback scandal grows: Prime Minister Martin comes under fire amid new revelations of his party's misuse of public funds. (Susan Bourette, 4/12/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

    Canada's opposition parties are threatening to topple Prime Minister Paul Martin's reigning Liberal minority government, following allegations of kickbacks and money laundering.

    For the past year, Canadians have been incensed by a scandal concerning the misuse of public funds by the Liberal Party to promote national unity with Quebec.

    But late last week, anger exploded after the publication of statements by Jean Brault, an advertising executive at the center of the furor, who testified that his firm laundered millions in taxpayer revenues to help bolster Liberal Party coffers between 1997 and 2002.

    The furor could present political rivals with their second chance to oust the Liberal Party, which lost its majority in Parliament in June 2004.

    For Canadian citizens, however, the scandal cuts much deeper: It's a scar on the collective psyche of a nation that has entrusted its hopes and aspirations to one political party for the greater part of the last century.


    It's not as if anyone else believed their delusions about Canadian values--they were only fooling themselves.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:11 PM

    WHEN YOU'VE WON THAT MANY YOU CAN AFFORD TO BE GENEROUS, HUH?:

    Banner Day in Beantown (ESPN, 4/11/05)

    It was 2:05 p.m. -- an hour before the scheduled first pitch -- when the words "World Series champion Boston Red Sox" were first spoken over the loudspeaker, drawing a huge cheer from the 33,702 in the crowd.

    They cheered the arrival of the World Series trophy (though it's hard to believe anyone hadn't seen it yet, as it makes its victory tour to all 351 cities and towns in Massachusetts). They cheered for the soldiers and sailors who carried some of the rings onto the field.

    They cheered -- sarcastically -- for Yankees closer Mariano Rivera, who blew a save in the fourth game of the AL Championship Series when New York was on the verge of a sweep. The Red Sox won four straight games to advance to the Series and swept the St. Louis Cardinals for their first world championship since 1918.

    They cheered for a Green Monster-sized World Series champion banner hung over the famous left field wall and the regular-sized one that will fly on the center field flagpole for this season. Former shortstop Johnny Pesky, who first joined the team 64 years ago and never saw it win a title, helped raise it to half-staff along with ex-Red Sox outfielder Carl Yastrzemski.

    And they cheered for the Boston sports greats -- Bruin Bobby Orr, Celtic Bill Russell and Patriots Tedy Bruschi and Richard Seymour -- who tied together the city's championship history by throwing out ceremonial first pitches.

    Bruschi, who is recovering from a stroke, threw his pitch to Francona, who returned to the dugout after missing four games with a viral infection that was feared to be a heart problem.


    It was a very well thought-out ceremony and the Yankees were exceptionally classy today--observing the presentation, instead of sitting in the clubhouse, and Mariano taking the tremendous ovation quite good-naturdely.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:19 PM

    COMPLETING THE REVOLUTION:

    Iran’s road to democracy: The Islamic Republic of Iran’s presidential election of June 2005 will be a vital moment for the country. But, says Mohsen Sazegara – a former regime loyalist turned vocal critic – even more important is that Iranians campaign to make their constitution democratic and secular. (Mohsen Sazegara, 11 - 4 - 2005, Open Democracy)

    Iranians today belong to three generations. The first, my own, I call the “generation of the revolution”: people now in their 50s and 60s who were actively involved in the revolution. We belong ideologically to the mid-1960s and were heavily influenced by revolutionary discourses. Now, we have occupied every position of power in the country, and we don’t want to step aside or open the way for others. Not only in the government, but in the opposition too!

    The second generation is the “generation of war”: people who were under 20 years old at the time of the revolution, and are now in their 30s or 40s. They came to maturity during the Iran-Iraq war, when 265,000 Iranians died, mostly young men (around 700 people were killed during the revolution). This generation, who got involved in social and political affairs after the war ended, believed in what we said even more than we did. They had ideals, and were prepared to sacrifice everything. I have to say that they were really pure. Now, they are disillusioned and have become passive. I like the second generation very much and have many friends amongst them. They are really good people.

    The third generation are people in their 20s and younger – the majority of the country’s population. This generation, our children, knows little and cares less about the revolution or the Shah. You had your revolution, they say, but we have a different agenda. We want jobs. We want comfort. We want life. We want happiness.

    During this post-revolution historical cycle, Iran has undergone a profound social transformation. This has five key, and interrelated, dimensions: demography, education, technology, travel and ideas.

    First, there has been a vast increase in population, from 35 million in 1979 to 69 million in 2004. Moreover, Iranians are increasingly city-dwellers: the urban population is approaching 70% – at least half of them in the capital, Tehran. This is a striking change in a country where the vast majority of people have historically worked on the land.

    Second, for the first time in Iran’s history the majority of the population can read and write. Around 92% of the young are literate. There has also been an expansion of university education, and it is significant that more than 61% of all university students are girls. During their school years, they must be at home, and they do not have opportunities to be involved in society as boys do. One result is that they study more and better, and almost every index of public behaviour – voting, social affairs, employment – reflects this.

    Third, Iranians are communicating with each other more than ever before. There are 3-5 million internet users in Iran – perhaps the highest number in the middle east. The young generation in particular is online and blogging; there are 60-70,000 weblogs, making Persian the fourth most-used weblog language. Internet cafés abound.

    Over 3 million homes have satellite television – and the average Iranian family has 4.6 members. These people can watch Voice of America, CNN, BBC World, and over 700 other stations. BBC radio has more than 7.5 million listeners in Iran; the BBC’s website has more than 250,000 Iranian visitors every day. The most popular newspaper in Iran has a circulation of around 450,000.

    All this is a window on the outside world for Iranians. The regime tried to interfere with satellite waves in Tehran two years ago, but the effort was difficult, expensive and controversial. It’s simpler to prevent shortwave radio, and some websites have been blocked. But if the regime tries to close channels of communication, they’ll have to close everyone’s minds and isolate Iranians from the world. The changes of the last twenty years have made that impossible.

    The fourth of these changes is that Iranians are travelling back and forth more than ever. Around 2 million Iranians live outside Iran – mostly in western Europe, Canada, and the United States, but there are large numbers too in Japan. Every summer about 200,000 Iranians travel abroad, and approximately 400,000 Iranians return for a visit. So there is an active conversation going on: people talk about the world, about the future of Iran, everything.

    This is bad news for the regime in another respect. After the revolution, foreign travel without permission was banned and the country closed. Now, many people face problems in acquiring foreign visas, which leads them to ask themselves: why do we have a government like this, such that no one wants to issue visas to us?

    This interaction is only the latest phase in a long historical reality. Iranian people, throughout our history, have always been active in the international realm, encountering other societies and their ideas. Ordinary people as well as intellectuals follow what is happening in the outside world, in the west especially.

    Fifth, there has been an explosion of new ideas in Islamic intellectual life. This started during what I have called the “second republic” with a circle of intellectuals around journals of reformist theology, and quickly spread among university students.

    This trend arrived in the context of an exhaustion of ideas among what I call the four political tribes in Iran: Marxists, monarchists, nationalists, and Islamists. Now, at this juncture in Iranian history, all four approaches have reached a dead end. A new paradigm is emerging. [...]

    Those in power in Iran have created a fascist version of Islam – an absolutist and authoritarian system. Everything has to be unified, singular, one, a total state. They even use the methods of fascism, like that militia of thugs, the Revolutionary Guards. They are called “white shirts”, a variant of Nazi Germany’s “brown shirts”. They are at every demonstration in Iran, violently attacking all opposition groups.

    But now things are really changing. That’s what I told my interrogators: “it” has happened and is happening in Iran. By “it” I mean one thing: the promise of democracy.

    This promise is being led by what I call the “reformation movement”, based on a fourfold set of principles: democracy, human rights, civil society and involvement in the international community. This is something much wider and deeper than the “reform process” of President Khatami, which is now dead.

    It is vital to grasp that the reformation movement precedes Khatami’s election in 1997 and will outlast him.


    What made the Shi'ites so frightening to Americans was the fear that totalitarian Khomeinism was its natural culmination. Recognizing that it is instead a heresy and incombatible with Shi'ism has gone a long way to reconciling us to them, such that Shi'ites--from Lebanon to Pakistan--stand to be the main beneficiaries of our current intervention in the Middle East.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:14 PM

    SEND HIM TO THE HAGUE:

    Saddam may escape noose in deal to halt insurgency (Adrian Blomfield, 11/04/2005, Daily Telegraph)

    Saddam Hussein could avoid the gallows under a secret proposal by insurgent leaders that Iraq's new administration is "seriously considering", a senior government source said yesterday.

    A reprieve is understood to be among the central demands of Sunni nationalists and former members of Saddam's Ba'ath party who have reportedly begun negotiations with the government amid the backdrop of a bloody insurgency which claimed 30 lives during the weekend.

    Saddam Hussein
    Saddam Hussein: life in prison

    Officials say they are looking for a way of joining the political process after January's election, which was boycotted by most of the once-powerful Sunni minority.

    "We are trying to reach out to the insurgents," the source said. "We don't expect them to stop fighting unconditionally. Sending Saddam to prison for the rest of his life is not a huge price for us to pay, but it will save them a lot of face."

    The official said those involved in the negotiations included senior members of Saddam's Fedayeen militia and the Jaish Mohammed, a grouping of former army officers that operates under the guise of an Islamist organisation.

    But it is unclear if those at the talks genuinely represent a majority of the deeply fragmented insurgency.


    It'd be great fun watching all the Europeans who oppose the death penalty scramble to make sure they don't get stuck with him in their prison system.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:51 PM

    CURSED FOR US:

    Bonhoeffer and pope - parallels (Uwe Siemon-Netto, 4/06/05, UPI)

    Sixty years ago this Saturday, Pastor Dietrich Bonhoeffer was hanged at Flossenbuerg concentration camp in Bavaria, just days before U.S. forces liberated the camp. The Allies arrived too late to save him and fellow members of the German resistance against Hitler.

    Only days before his execution, Bonhoeffer had told the other condemned prisoners, "Let us calmly go to the gallows as Christians."

    When the great Protestant theologian was led to the scaffold in the early morning of April 9, 1945, Flossenbuerg's camp physician recalls the following:

    "I saw Pastor Bonhoeffer, before taking off his prison garb, kneeling on the floor praying fervently to his God. I was most deeply moved by the way this lovable man prayed, so devout and so certain that God heard his prayer.

    "At the place of execution, he again said a short prayer and then climbed the steps to the gallows, brave and composed. His death ensued after a few seconds. In the almost 50 years that I worked as a doctor, I have hardly ever seen a man die so entirely submissive to the will of God."

    This last sentence sounds almost identical to the reports of witnesses who were present when Pope John Paul II died last Saturday -- a week after Easter, just like Bonhoeffer.

    But there are more parallels between the Roman pontiff and the Lutheran theologian, who both stressed that discipleship was costly and involved suffering.

    "Christ suffered as a free man alone, apart and in ignominy, in body and spirit," Bonhoeffer wrote in his prison letters, "and since then many Christians have suffered with him."

    "Christ did not come down from the cross, and neither will I," insisted John Paul, explaining why he would not resign, despite his multiple illnesses and intense pain.

    "Both men lived what Lutherans call the Theology of the Cross," says Charles Ford, a St. Louis mathematics professor who ranks among the world's leading Bonhoeffer scholars. "They just used a different terminology."


    Sadly they couldn't redeem their age.


    MORE:
    Bonhoeffer: a martyr for our collective soul (Richard Chartres, April 2, 2005, The Guardian)

    Of the many events planned to mark the 60th anniversary of the end of the second world war, one of the most haunting yet hopeful is the gathering in Poland next Friday to remember the hanging of Dietrich Bonhoeffer in Flossenburg annihilation camp.

    Bonhoeffer was an intellectual who joined thought and action. He began as a systematic theologian and became a leader in the German resistance to Nazism. He had leanings to pacifism, but became a fighter against evil and an associate of the would-be assassins who planned the July plot against Hitler.

    In April 1945, Hitler, already confined to his bunker in Berlin, ordered that Bonhoeffer should not be allowed to survive the collapse of the Nazi regime. Today, his statue stands among the 20th-century martyrs above the entrance to Westminster Abbey.

    Bonhoeffer wrote: "The thing that keeps coming back to me is, what is Christianity, and, indeed, who is Christ for us today?" He asked this question in the context of what he called "a world come of age". He was acutely conscious of the displacement of God from the culture of Europe: "One may ask whether ever before in human history there have been people with so little ground under their feet."


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:50 PM

    DO THESE GUYS NOT NOTICE THE CANADIANS AT LOCAL HOSPITALS?:

    Committee passes single-payer universal health insurance plan (John Zicconi, April 9, 2005, Times Argus)

    A House committee comprised largely of Democrats on Friday adopted a health-care reform plan that restructures key parts of state government to lay the groundwork for a publicly financed, universal-care system paid for with taxes.

    The plan calls for primary and preventative care coverage for all Vermonters by July 2007, publicly funded hospital coverage by October 2007, and universal coverage for other medical needs no later than July 2009.

    The proposal was immediately criticized by physicians, hospital officials and insurance executives because the proposal calls for sweeping changes to Vermont's health-care delivery system without saying how much it would cost or what medical procedures would be covered. [...]

    Governor James Douglas, a Republican, did not wait to blast the proposal.

    "When Vermonters take a good hard look at what the House Democrats are proposing they're going to want a second opinion," said Douglas, who believes the plan will increase income taxes 134 percent and lead to health-care rationing.

    "This plan would dramatically raise taxes and put health care decisions in the hands of politicians and government bureaucrats," said Douglas, "a prospect I fundamentally and unequivocally oppose."

    Asked if he would veto the bill if it reached his desk unchanged, Douglas dodged the question but said: "I think I am sending a pretty clear message."


    If the national GOP would just pump some money into Vermont they could score some big successes because the political class is so alienated from the citizenry. But they also need Karl Rove to force decent candidates on the state party.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:40 PM

    I NEVER PROMISED YOU A HANGING GARDEN:

    Iraq seeing rift among insurgents (HAMZA HENDAWI, 4/11/05, The Associated Press)

    There are growing signs of hostility between secular Iraqi insurgents and Muslim extremists — some of them foreigners — fighting under the banner of al-Qaida.

    The factions have exchanged threats and are increasingly divided over the strategy of violence, much of it targeting civilians, that aims to undermine the fragile new government.

    The increased tension arises at a critical time: The mainstream component of the Sunni Arab-led insurgency — which remains active, vibrant and deadly nearly two years since it began — has opened a campaign designed to reap political gain out of its violent roots.

    Post-election realities appear to have forced that tactical change. Majority Shiites and Kurds are consolidating power, and the population is growing increasingly angry over the largely Sunni-driven insurgency that is killing vast numbers of ordinary people and members of the country's fledgling army and police force.

    "You see a withering of the insurgents that had a short-term agenda, like preventing the January election. But the insurgency is not unraveling yet," said Peter Khalil, former director of national-security policy for the now-defunct U.S.-led occupation authority in Iraq.

    The divide among militants, however, is becoming more noticeable.


    That insurgency stuff just isn't as much fun as it was supposed to be.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:32 PM

    THE UNIFIED CULTURE OF DEATH:

    Bishop V. Gene Robinson Talks to Planned Parenthood (Laura Lambert, 04.06.05, Planned Parenthood)

    Little has been written about your stance on reproductive rights. Are you pro-choice?

    Absolutely. The reason I love the Episcopal Church is that it actually trusts us to be adults. In a world where everyone tries to paint things as black or white, Episcopalians feel pretty comfortable in the gray areas.


    Because trust on moral issues is inevitably repaid by things like sodomy and abortion it isn't warranted.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:56 PM

    WADDA YA' EXCPECT FROM A GROWN MAN NAMED BILLY:

    BILLY BALL (CHRIS DE LUCA , 4/10/05, Chicago Sun-Times)

    New Toronto Blue Jays reliever Scott Schoeneweis was sitting in the bullpen during a recent game against the Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Tropicana Field when a fan seated behind him started with the catcalls.

    ''I heard someone shout, 'Schoeneweis, you're a bum,''' the left-hander recalled. ''I thought, 'I can't believe they're calling me a bum here.'''

    Schoeneweis turned around to find the fan was actually former White Sox teammate Billy Koch.

    Koch, who had a bitter parting with the Blue Jays during spring training, was making good on a promise to return to the ballpark and root for the Devil Rays. Wearing a Devil Rays cap and a jersey with right fielder Aubrey Huff's name on the back, Koch, who lives nearby in Clearwater Beach, Fla., took a group of 240 schoolchildren to the game.

    ''Maybe [Rays GM Chuck LaMar] is up in the box and he'll see me and offer me a contract,'' said Koch, who saved 110 games for the Jays from 1999-2001 but insists he won't sign with another team because ''I'm going to make the Toronto Blue Jays pay every cent of my [$950,000] salary.''


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:50 PM

    W, AS IN WINNING:

    End of regional role of Syria (Middle East Online, 4/11/05)

    Thirty years after Syria's tiny neighbour Lebanon plunged into civil war, the region's dominant powerbrokers in Damascus have witnessed a dramatic political reversal caused in part by the very troops sent in to separate the warring sides.

    With Washington heaping pressure on Syria, and the United Nations demanding it pull its soldiers from Lebanon, the Syrian leadership has found itself on the defensive not only in Lebanon but also in the wider region.

    It's "the end of the regional role of Syria", says Syrian political analyst and writer Michel Kilo, stressing that the withdrawal of the estimated 14,000 troops who were still in Lebanon last year would also have an impact on Syria's power structure, economy and society in general.

    Other analysts suggest that with the international spotlight emboldening the Syrian opposition, Damascus will need to revise its domestic policy quickly or risk the country being destabilised.


    They're playing our song...


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:42 PM

    STRANGE STANDARDS:

    Shays: DeLay Should Quit As House Leader (LOU KESTEN, 4/10/05, Associated Press)

    "Tom's conduct is hurting the Republican Party, is hurting this Republican majority and it is hurting any Republican who is up for re-election," Rep. Chris Shays, R-Conn., told The Associated Press in an interview, calling for DeLay to step down as majority leader.

    Shays Shocker: Clinton Raped Broaddrick Twice. (NATIONAL REVIEW, 8/02/00)
    Connecticut Rep. Chris Shays said on a talk radio show Wednesday that, based on secret evidence he reviewed during the impeachment controversy, he believes President Clinton raped Juanita Broaddrick, not once, but twice.

    Talk-show host Tom Scott of Clear Channel Broadcasting, New Haven (WELI 960) asked Shays about the mysterious impeachment "evidence room," prompting the GOP moderate to say that Broaddrick "disclosed that she had been raped, not once, but twice" to Judiciary Committee investigators.

    Shays, who is often hailed by the New York Times for his independent judgment and good sense, found the evidence compelling:

    "I believed that he had done it. I believed her that she had been raped 20 years ago. And it was vicious rapes, it was twice at the same event." Asked point blank if the president is a rapist, Shays said, "I would like not to say that it way. But the bottom line is that I believe that he did rape Broaddrick."

    And Shays voted against impeachment!


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:33 PM

    BE SURE TO DRINK YOUR C-R-E-A-T-I-N-E:

    Brogna on Phils & steroids, own andro use (PAUL HAGEN, 4/11/05, Philadelphia Daily News)

    Rico Brogna told this story at a symposium on baseball and steroids last week at the University of New Haven:

    "I remember when I was with the Phillies, we were on the road, at our hotel, when a pitcher asked me to inject him with steroids. I don't know, I guess he couldn't stick a needle in himself. I told him no, that I didn't think that I could stick a needle in someone either, but also, I said no because I didn't believe it was right," the Waterbury (Conn.) Republican-American reported.

    Reached at his home by the Daily News, the squeaky-clean Brogna not only confirmed the tale but talked at length about the pressure players are under to enhance their performance, his own use of creatine and androstenediene and the devil-on-one-shoulder-angel-on-the-other struggle he faced when confronted with the choice of whether to use even stronger substances.

    Brogna, now a part-time scout for the Colorado Rockies, turns 35 next week. He played for the Phillies from 1997 through 2000 and retired after playing with the Braves in 2001.

    "Andro, for me, was amazing," he said. "It gave me better results than anything I'd taken in my career. The gains I got were incredible. I did it during the offseason and it was like my body kept telling me to work out more. I had more energy. I could do more sets, more reps. I wanted to get down and work out the next day. It was like I had to feed my body by working out.

    "Baseball was going through a creatine phase then. It was in every locker and everybody was putting it in their juice and their drinks. It was something you could buy over the counter, so you could feel good about it. And you felt like, 'Wow, I'm really powerful.' "

    Brogna said he didn't believe steroids were common in the Phillies' clubhouse while he was there.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:28 PM

    WHY CAN'T GERHARD READ?:

    New EU members offer huge labour cost advantage (Andrew Taylor, April 10 2005, Financial Times)

    Labour costs in the new members of the European Union are on average less than a quarter of the level of the older member states, according to a study by Mercer Human Resources Consulting, the world's largest employee benefits consultancy.

    Employment costs in the EU as a whole were about 15 per cent less than in the US, but after taking taking eastern EU countries out of the equation western european countries were 23 per cent more expensive than in the US and among the highest in the world said Mercer.

    Mark Sullivan worldwide partner at the consultancy said eastern europe had a strong competitive advantage over the west: "With the strength of the pound and euro against the dollar, there are concerns about whether US companies will continue to invest in the EU. Organisations that do invest are likely to favour Eastern European countries."

    The highest annual employment costs according to the European study were in Belgium, Sweden and Germany where the total financial burden of employing a worker, including benefit costs, was more than €50,000 ($58,500) a year.


    Schröder ready to launch U-turn on minimum wage (Bertrand Benoit, April 10 2005, Financial Times)
    The German government will this week consider a series of measures to fight a downward spiral in wages, including setting a minimum wage for the most vulnerable sectors of the economy.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:23 PM

    THE COMING GLUT:

    Opec set to boost supplies in May (Reuters, April 11, 2005 )

    OPEC is on track to boost supplies to world markets by 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) next month to help build stockpiles ahead of an anticipated demand surge later this year, the cartel’s president said on Monday.

    Six straight days of oil price declines have dropped U.S. oil below $53 a barrel, but Gulf oil producers appear committed to turning up the taps and piling up global inventories. [...]

    Some in OPEC, particularly Saudi Arabia and fellow Gulf producers, are keen to boost output now to encourage stockbuilding in the coming months to avoid a potential supply crunch and price spike late this year.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:19 PM

    ADD "NO TO EUROPE" AND WIN:


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:12 PM

    THESE GUYS ARE HOPELESS:

    Democrats Grill U.N. Nominee John Bolton (BARRY SCHWEID, 4/11/05, AP)

    Republicans control the Foreign Relations Committee by 10-8, but most if not all panel Democrats are expected to oppose the nomination. One of them, Sen. Bill Nelson, D-Fla., said Bolton has not been an effective arms negotiator and speaks to people in a condescending, inflammatory way.

    "That's not the kind of representative of America that we want in the United Nations," Nelson said.


    Americans don't feel condescension towards the UN? Does Mr. Nelson know any Americans outside his caucus?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:02 AM

    ARE THESE GUYS PAINTING TARGETS ON THEIR OWN BACKS?:

    Raid captures dozens of Iraqi insurgents (EDWARD HARRIS, April 11, 2005, ASSOCIATED PRESS)

    Hundreds of U.S. and Iraqi forces launched their biggest Baghdad raid in recent weeks, moving on foot Monday through a central neighborhood and rounding up dozens of suspected insurgents, the military said.

    About 500 members of Iraq's police and army and a "couple hundred" American soldiers swept through buildings in the Rashid neighborhood, detaining 65 suspected militants, said Lt. Col. Clifford Kent of the U.S. Army's 3rd Infantry Division.

    One Iraqi soldier was wounded but no American casualties were reported in the largest U.S.-Iraqi joint raid in the capital since the Fort Stewart, Ga.-based division assumed responsibility for the city in February, Kent said. One suspected insurgent also was being treated for wounds, the military said in a statement.



    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:01 AM

    WHICH EXPLAINS LULA:

    Word is Third World pope need not apply, but why not? (ANDREW GREELEY, April 11, 2005, Chicago Sun-Times)

    No Third World cardinal need apply for the job, so says the buzz here in these grim, rainy days after the burial of the pope. It is not yet the time for a South American or African pope -- kind of like the days when it was said it was not yet the time for a black baseball player or a black quarterback or a black head coach in the NFL. The buzz comes from certain Italian and especially curial cardinals (not all of either) and their allies in the "new" movements like the Legionnaires of Christ. It is designed to counter the media buzz of a few days ago about the possibility of such a choice -- an idea not totally lacking in intelligence.

    Almost half of the Catholics in the world live in Latin America. Almost a fifth of them live in Brazil, a little less than 200 million Catholics in the largest Catholic country on the planet.

    North Americans know very little about Brazil. It is a country, we fantasize, of string bikinis on Copacabana and Ipanema beaches, of carnival, of rings of slums in the hills not very far from the beaches, and an eroding Amazon rain forest.

    In fact Brazil is the eighth industrial nation in the world, with its own internal Third World of 50 million people. Four-fifths of its population live in cities. It has over a hundred universities, a large and thriving middle class, five television networks and a thriving literary and artistic culture.

    It is also one of the most religious countries in the world. According to research I have done with my Brazilian colleague Celi Scalon, 89 percent of Brazilians believe that there, certainly, is a God, the highest rate in any of the countries in which the question has been asked. Seventy percent believe that God is, personally, concerned about them -- also the highest proportion in the world. Finally, 55 percent of Brazilians claim to be "very happy," again the highest in the world. (The next closest country is Ireland, with 45 percent, The United States is at 32 percent).


    Fortunately, he's wrong about so much you'd assume this means a Third World Pope is a near lock.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:57 AM

    WHEN THEY NEED A BEARD:

    Quest to get a Republican to fight DeLay may have crossed a line (ROBERT NOVAK, 4/11/05, Chicago SUN-TIMES)

    On March 24, former Congressman Bob Livingston was sent an e-mail by a New York Times editorial page staffer suggesting he write an op-ed essay. Would Livingston, who in 1998 gave up certain elevation to be House speaker because of a sexual affair, write about how Majority Leader Tom DeLay should now act under fire? In a subsequent conversation, it was made clear the Times wanted the prominent Republican to say DeLay should step aside for the good of the party.

    Livingston in effect declined by responding that if he wrote anything for the Times, it would be pro-DeLay. But this remarkable case of that august newspaper fishing for an op-ed piece makes it appear part of a calculated campaign to bring down the single most powerful Republican in Congress. The Democratic establishment and left-wing activists have targeted DeLay as the way to end a decade of Republican control of the House.


    So are they running his pro-Delay one?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:14 AM

    GO BUCKEYES!:

    Kerry Says Trickery Foiled Many Voters (THE ASSOCIATED PRESS, 4/11/05)

    Many voters in last year's election were denied access to the polls through trickery and intimidation, Senator John Kerry of Massachusetts told a voters' group on Sunday.

    The big question we all want answered is how Karl Rove got them to go to that Ohio State game that Cabana Boy is always whining about on a Tuesday?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:47 AM

    AT LAST, A COMMODITY WITH A FUTURE:

    Extra zinc in diet 'helps pupils do better at school' (PETER RANSCOMBE, 4/11/05, The Scotsman)

    A DAILY supplement of zinc can boost pupils’ performance in the classroom, a study has found.

    Researchers monitored 200 schoolchildren and found that those taking more than double the current recommended daily intake of zinc had faster and more accurate memories. Their attention spans also increased.

    Zinc is a naturally occurring mineral found in many everyday foods, including red meat, shellfish, nuts, seeds and wholegrains. The traditional Scottish breakfast of porridge oats is also rich in zinc, as are raspberries.

    In the new study, children aged between 12 and 13 were given a specially prepared fruit juice to drink each morning before school. Some of the fruit juices had a 20mg zinc supplement added, while others had zinc added at the current recommended level of 10mg. A third set of fruit juices were left without a supplement. The children, their parents and their teachers were unaware of which juice they were being given.

    The American research team, from the Grand Forks Human Nutrition Research Centre in North Dakota, saw an improvement in some children’s performance after ten to 12 weeks. But no significant improvement was noticed in the children who took the 10mg supplement or no supplement at all.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:43 AM

    IF EUROPE JUMPED OFF A BRIDGE WOULD YOU FOLLOW ITS EXAMPLE?:

    Africa, Islam and the next pope (Spengler, 4/12/05, Asia Times)

    Christianity calls out individuals from the mortal nations and offers them immortality in a new people. To be Christian means to abandon one's gentile, that is, tribal, character and become part of another nation, a new Israel.

    The Catholic Church cannot readily call individuals out of African tribes into a new Israel; an alternative is to recreate the tribal myth by making Jesus a common ancestor of all tribes. Father Donald Goergen of the Catholic University of East Africa observes:

    The traditions venerating ancestors in Africa are strong and widespread, even if not universal. More attention has been given to ancestor as a way of "Africanizing" Jesus than to almost any other metaphor. The concept as applied to Jesus, however, needs to be qualified. Jesus is not just one of our ancestors, but ancestor par excellence, a unique ancestor ... An ancestor, who was once living a natural life among the people, now enjoys a quasi-supernatural or supersensible mediatorial status. He is an intermediary between God and the ancestor's people ... Among the strengths of the image is that Christ as a common ancestor can help us to overcome a destructive ethnocentrism. We are one family in Christ, one tribe, one community.

    Alternative representations of Jesus are as "healer", that is, "witch doctor", reports Father Goergen, adding, "Among Christians, and in the West, some may find 'witch doctor' too strong given negative associations with the word 'witch'."

    What distinguishes this form of evangelism from the historic mission of the Church in Europe and the New World is the different concept of peoplehood. Rather than call the convert out from his ethnicity, Jesus as a proto-ancestor accommodates himself to the tribal character of the individual. In this case, Catholicism becomes a facade for the dominant tribal identity. In Rwanda, where half the population was Catholic, the Catholic Church offered no resistance to the murderous Hutu hordes during the 1994 genocide, and that individual Catholic clergy participated in the massacres.

    Christianity absorbed a thousand years of pagan invaders on this premise. Europeans never could get this quite right; nothing less drastic than immigration to America could persuade Christians to turn away from their inner pagan. That explains why American Christianity flourishes and European Christianity lies at death's door, and also why Americans continue to reproduce while Europeans refuse to breed.


    Which is, of course, why it would be a terrible mistake to retain African tribalism, lest it go the way of Europe. 1500 years of Christianity followed by a descent into the post-Christian abyss may have been good enough for some, but by organizing their politics around Christian principles, as America has, Third World nations could craft something enduring and lovely.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:35 AM

    NOW ONE FOR THE THUMB:

    An emotional victory for Woods at Masters (JOE LOGAN, 4/10/05, Philadelphia Inquirer)

    With the kind of dramatic flourish that he alone provides, Tiger Woods captured his fourth Masters on Sunday night and once again became No. 1 in the world.

    Victory came after a long day and a titanic 27-hole showdown with a surprisingly resilient Chris DiMarco - and it all came down to Woods' 15-foot birdie putt on the first hole of a sudden-death playoff.

    "This one's for my dad," said Woods, choking back tears, knowing that his very ill father, Earl, was watching on TV at their rented house in Augusta.

    "He's struggling. That's why it meant so much for me to be able to win this tournament - maybe give him a little hope, a little more fire to keep fighting."

    For Woods, who finished 72 holes tied with DiMarco at 12-under-par 276, the hard-fought victory - for his ninth major title - was as satisfying as they come.

    The man who once won seven of 11 majors and dominated golf like no one since Jack Nicklaus had gone 0 for 10 in majors since winning the 2002 U.S. Open. Even his once seeemingly untouchable No. 1 world ranking had been taken away by Vijay Singh.

    But on Sunday, at Augusta National, the place where he first wowed the world of sports with his 12-shot win in the 1997 Masters, Woods reasserted his claim to the title of greatest golfer of his generation.

    He did it by returning to the course early Sunday morning and polishing off the final nine holes of his third-round 65, then enduring a toe-to-toe golfing slugfest with DiMarco, shooting 71 to DiMarco's final-round 68. [...]

    "I went out and shot 68 around here on Sunday, which is a very good round, and 12 under is usually good enough to win," DiMarco said. "I just was playing against Tiger Woods."


    Which was sillier: complaints about Tiger showing too much of a temper on the course that Bobby Jones built; or the questions about whether his late struggle would allow him to claim he was truly back in form?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:27 AM

    NOT QUITE, BUT CLOSER:

    New Pope can help to unite churches, Archbishop says (Richard Owen, 4/11/05, Times of London)

    AS CARDINALS prepare to elect a new pope in a week’s time, the Archbishop of Canterbury said that although the breach with Rome was “not yet at an end”, there had been an irreversible reconciliation between Anglicans and Catholics during the reign of John Paul II for his successor to build on.

    Rowan Williams, the first Archbishop of Canterbury to attend a pope’s funeral, said “the roots we have put down in recent years are far too deep to uproot”. Dr Williams, who sat in the front row opposite the papal coffin at last Friday’s funeral, said: “It seemed to me absolutely natural that the Archbishop of Canterbury should come to share the prayers, hopes, grief and thanksgiving of our Roman Catholic brothers and sisters.”

    Bishop John Flack, the Archbishop of Canterbury’s representative in Rome, said that “when John Paul II became Pope 27 years ago, many Anglicans would not have accepted that he was the leader of all Christians”. Many theological issues remained to be ironed out, and differences over gay bishops or the role of women in the Church remained. “This is not quite the end of the Reformation,” Bishop Flack said. But few doubted that the late Pope had been “a figurehead for all Christians, a parish priest to the whole world”.


    It was fun while it lasted, but most of us outgrow adolescent rebellion.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:04 AM

    SO IT'S UNANIMOUS:

    Christianity's Debt to the Vatican (Daniel C. Peterson and William J. Hamblin, 4/11/05, Meridian)

    So what should Latter-day Saints make of such a man, and of the institution that he led? As worldwide attention now shifts to the selection of his successor, what should be our attitude toward the Church of Rome? Belonging, as we do, to a movement that we believe to be “the only true and living church upon the face of the whole earth, with which ... the Lord [is] well pleased” (Doctrine and Covenants 1:30), what are we to think?

    We clearly disagree with important elements in the theology and practice of the Roman Catholic Church. But it should not be forgotten that we also agree, profoundly, with very much in what Rome teaches.

    We can agree with our Catholic brothers and sisters that, as St. Augustine wrote, our hearts are restless until they rest in God, that salvation is in Christ, that chastity and fidelity are divine commandments and essential to healthy families and societies, that the destiny of humankind is eternal. We can even agree with them on the importance of divine authority — although, manifestly, we have a different view of where that authority resides.

    Amidst all the magnificence of St. Peter’s, it is impossible to miss the omnipresent representations of Peter’s apostolic keys or to overlook the Latin version of Matthew 16:18-19 that runs in giant letters around the interior of Michelangelo’s dome. Like the Catholics, but unlike most Protestants, we understand how significant those keys are.

    But, of course, from our perspective, the Catholic bishops of Rome lack those all-important keys. Instead, the authority those keys represent resides far away from the ancient city of Rome, in a relatively young, obscure, and insignificant city in the American Great Basin. This is an unexpected fact when it is considered against the background of Vatican splendor. But it will seem much less odd when we recall that the Vatican is what it is today because, nearly two thousand years ago, a humble Galilean fisherman, called to discipleship in a tiny provincial village backwater and then transformed by experiences with his resurrected Master, was martyred and buried near the Circus of Nero on ancient Rome’s Vatican Hill. (It is virtually certain that the tomb of Peter lies, as tradition has always claimed, beneath the dome of St. Peter’s Basilica.)

    Our Debt to the Vatican

    For Latter-day Saints, this is what it may come down to: The popes may well be, in a very real sense, the successors to the first Christian bishops in Rome. Authentic priesthood authority was lost many centuries ago, doctrines and practices have been deformed over time, and, since bishops do not carry apostolic authority, we cannot recognize the Roman pontiff as the heir to the full authority of the apostle Peter.

    But we can respect many of the popes as men who — with certain spectacular but relatively rare exceptions — struggled sincerely and faithfully to keep Christianity alive, as they understood it, under often trying conditions. When the ancient apostles were removed, local bishops and other leaders were left to do the best they could. When the eastern Roman Empire abandoned Italy and the West to the barbarians, the bishop of Rome represented a link to the lost order and civilization of the ancient world, a rallying point for those who yearned for better days. When the prominent bishoprics of Alexandria, Antioch, Jerusalem, and the other ancient sees fell under the rule of Islam, the bishop of Rome remained as the preeminent symbol of Christendom.

    It was the Roman Catholic Church that preserved much of the art and literature of the ancient world, that fostered great art and music and philosophy and education through centuries often wrongly called “dark.” Many terrible things were done in the name of Christianity, but so was untold goodness.

    For all this and much more, everyone who values Western civilization, and all, including the Latter-day Saints, who treasure the Bible, Christian faith, and societies that are, at least partially, built upon Christian principles, are indebted to the Church of Rome and to its popes. And, among these, John Paul II was clearly one of the greatest.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:41 AM

    ONE LAST FRAUD...:

    Labour to halt postal vote fraud but only after election (Jill Sherman and Dominic Kennedy, 4/11/05, Times of London)

    LABOUR is planning to legislate to stop cheating in postal voting immediately after the general election in spite of repeated assurances from ministers that the present system is safe, The Times has learnt.

    The disclosure will embarrass the Government, with critics pointing out that it is happy for the system to be used in the general election, even though it is clearly flawed enough to require speedy legislation.

    It will prompt charges that the Government failed to act sooner because it was worried that a shake-up of the laws might affect its own vote.


    What do they think England is, Florida?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:37 AM

    A SPAT, NOT A SPLIT:

    Don't Write Off the Turks: Ankara isn't anti-American; it's independent. (Graham E. Fuller, April 11, 2005, LA Times)

    Who lost Turkey? That's the theme of a rash of articles in the U.S. press over the last two months. Apparently, there's a growing consensus in Washington that our old ally has been gradually becoming more anti-American.

    In 2003, Turkey denied Washington the use of Turkish bases only months before the war on Iraq began. Just recently, Vice President Dick Cheney blamed Turkey's noncooperation for many of the problems today with Iraqi insurgents.

    A number of critics have pointed to the rise of anti-American public sentiment in Turkey over the last two years: The Marshall Fund found that 82% of the Turkish public was hostile to the U.S., one of the highest figures anywhere, especially for a NATO ally. A recent bestselling Turkish fictional thriller, "Metal Storm," portrays a U.S. war against Turkey. The Islam-oriented government in Ankara has harshly criticized close U.S. ally Israel for its occupation policies in the West Bank. And Turkey does not concur with Washington's efforts to pressure Iran and Syria.

    Although these events indeed represent a new Turkish reality, it would be erroneous — indeed dangerous — to assume that Turkey's widespread opposition to many of the Bush administration's policies are symptomatic of a broader strategic hostility. And it would be exceptionally shortsighted for U.S. policymakers to argue that the democratically elected moderate Islamist government in Turkey is not sufficiently pro-American or that it should be pressured to change its leadership.

    In reality, U.S. interests — in the broader scheme of things — have been exceptionally well-served by this Turkish government, which has brought broad democratic reforms to the country as part of its explicit commitment to gain European Union membership.


    Our creation of an eventually independent Kurdistan right on their border was obviously not in their best short term interest, but then neither is joining the EU in their own long term interest. There are adjustments to be made in the relationship but nothing remarkable has changed.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:29 AM

    PAST TENSE:

    U.S. aims to spend money in Iran (Barbara Slavin, 4/10/05, USA TODAY)

    For the first time in a quarter-century of estrangement from Iran, the Bush administration is openly preparing to spend government funds in that country to promote democracy.

    Congress has appropriated $3 million, and the State Department is inviting proposals from "educational institutions, humanitarian groups, non-governmental organizations and individuals inside Iran to support the advancement of democracy and human rights," according to an announcement posted Friday on the Web site of the State Department's Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights and Labor.

    Although the amount is small — and Iran's government may try to bar Iranians from accepting funds — the move is a significant departure for the United States, which by policy and treaty has not publicly sought to funnel money into Iran for such a purpose in 25 years.

    "It's a sea change," says Les Campbell, who is in charge of Middle East programs at the National Democratic Institute, which receives U.S. funds to promote democracy and human rights abroad. "We're very interested."


    Such practices, like the creation of the National Endowment for Democracy, worked well in toppling the Soviets, but were coupled with very public and frequent pronouncements from the president that Communism had failed, the regime was rotten, and the future was democratic. Iran requires the same.


    Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:31 AM

    JUST SO

    Imagine there's no heaven (Michael Schulman, National Post, April 7th, 2005)

    Unlike religious believers, convinced that theirs is the exclusive version of truth, we humanists do not base our concept of good conduct on divine authority or scriptural passages, selectively applied or ignored. Rather, we recognize that rules of human behaviour are the result of millions of years of evolutionary hard-wiring in the brains of animals and ourselves -- instincts for co-operation and affection, as well as selfishness and aggression. Zoologists have documented evidence of kindness, honesty and compassion in other mammals, along with acts of violence and hostility. Our impulses to be both "good" and "bad" are the result of natural selection, passed on from generation to generation, from species to species.

    Acts of violence and destruction may have short-term benefits to a given individual or group, but violence is often reciprocated and therefore a threat to long-term survival. "Good" behaviours have proven much more likely to guarantee one's own survival, the survival of one's family, friends and community and the human species as a whole. It is not surprising, then, that every human culture has a similar basic rule for goodness -- what is referred to as reciprocal altruism or, more commonly, "the golden rule." (There are two versions: "Treat others as you wish to be treated" and "Don't treat others in ways you don't wish to be treated.") We humanists heartily endorse this principle, but see no need to invoke a higher power to prove its truth.

    In rejecting religious dogmas, humanists reject easy answers to ethical dilemmas. We are, however, deeply concerned with the welfare of individuals and the human condition as a whole. The Declaration of Principles of the Humanist Association of Toronto states that "ethical decisions should be made in the context of real people, real situations, real human needs and aspirations and the consideration of real consequences. Humanism affirms the dignity of every person and the right of the individual to the greatest possible freedom compatible with the rights of others."

    David Cohen’s frequent reminders of how popular darwinism bears little resemblance to the modern synthesis advanced by professional biologists is nicely illustrated in this bit of pabulum, which hangs on the popular perception that evolution is driven entirely by survival imperatives. No ambiguous random mutation here. But this statement of faith does serve to illustrate how much modern secular thinking in the West is guided by a new evolutionary myth that religious folks, especially those keen on history, tend to miss or understate. The reason why contemporary secularists indignantly (and usually quite sincerely) reject any responsibility for the horrors of the secular “isms” that slaughtered millions is that they have reversed the mirror and “discovered” that evolution is guided by the exact opposite impulses to what Darwin originally thought.

    Until World War 11, darwinism implied competition for survival in an unforgiving nature red in tooth and claw. Eugenics, Nazism and communism were all inspired by the need to marginalize and destroy lower orders, races and classes that threatened the survival of the good guys. But so horrific were the results that those who nailed their colours to the darwinian mast had to overcome a visceral popular revulsion at the now proven implications of the theory. Under the guise of “self-correcting”, factually-based science, they simply invented a new darwinian hero.

    The old version was the strong, wary and competitive type who could out hunt and out fight his weaker competitors and who always got the girl, who exercised her sexual selection prerogatives shrewdly. Today, millions of everyday Western secularists are convinced that nature selects for big-hearted mediators who eschew the rough stuff, seek compromise and work empathetically to build mutually supportive relationships with even the most intractable enemy. They dispense new legal rights willy-nilly, chant the golden rule like Hare Krishna devotees at an airport and only slaughter those incapable of objecting. They find creative ways to let folks do pretty much anything they want and prescribe counseling rather than justice for those stepped on along the way. Even the most glaring and obvious threats to their families and communities are viewed as subtle intellectual challenges befitting dialogue and workshops rather than action and resistance. In short, the perfect heroes for a decadent society in decline.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:09 AM

    WHY AMERICA IS RIGHT TO DESPISE INTELLECTUALS:

    Adieu to a Philosopher: Remembering Sartre, whose ideas and style shaped a generation of radicals. (Ariel Dorfman, April 11, 2005, LA Times)

    I was living in exile in Amsterdam 25 years ago — the night of April 15, 1980, to be precise — when I heard the news that Jean-Paul Sartre, one of the towering intellectual figures of our time, had died. I did not hesitate. Two days later, my wife Angelica and I were on a train bound for Paris and his funeral.

    During my late adolescence in Chile and all through the subsequent years of my young adulthood, Sartre had been my guiding light. More than anyone else, he had popularized the existentialism that was all the rage back then, giving it, however, an ethical twist that appealed to so many of my generation worldwide.

    Emerging from the bleak, moral landscape that had shown man at his worst during World War II, Sartre demanded that we live in incessant anguish and doubt, while simultaneously proclaiming our equally unrelenting need to be responsible for what we do to ourselves and one another. This stark message was accompanied by an alluring streak of hedonism, a bohemian lifestyle — endless discussions in cafes, rejection of bourgeois values, the giddy embrace of free love — that so many of us tried to imitate.


    Unlike Camus, Sartre proved unequal to the task of taking responsibility and besides his personal immorality descended into Marxism. For all the nattering about his independence, having rejected the Father he required a faux father and chose the determism of Marx.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    WHERE THE EVIDENCE LEADS:

    Thinking Straighter: Why the world's most famous atheist now believes in God. (James A. Beverley, 04/08/2005, Christianity Today)

    Antony Flew, one of the world's leading philosophers, has changed his mind about God. And he has agnostics worried. [...]

    Flew's U-turn on God lies in a far more significant reality. It is about evidence. "Since the beginning of my philosophical life I have followed the policy of Plato's Socrates: We must follow the argument wherever it leads." I asked him if it was tough to change his mind. "No. It was not hard. I've always engaged in inquiry. If I am shown to have been wrong, well, okay, so I was wrong."

    The Impact of Evangelical Scholars

    Actually, Flew has been rethinking the arguments for a Designer for several years. When I saw him in London in the spring of 2003, he told me he was still an atheist but was impressed by Intelligent Design theorists. By early 2004 he had made the move to deism. Surprisingly, he gives first place to Aristotle in having the most significant impact on him. "I was not a specialist on Aristotle, so I was reading parts of his philosophy for the first time." He was aided in this by The Rediscovery of Wisdom, a work on Aristotle by David Conway, one of Flew's former students.

    Flew also cites the influence of Gerald Schroeder, an Israeli physicist, and Roy Abraham Varghese, author of The Wonder of the World and an Eastern Rite Catholic. Flew appeared with both scientists at a New York symposium last May where he acknowledged his changed conviction about the necessity for a Creator. In the broader picture, both Varghese and Schroeder, author of The Hidden Face of God, argue from the fine-tuning of the universe that it is impossible to explain the origin of life without God. This forms the substance of what led Flew to move away from Darwinian naturalism. [...]

    What Holds Him Back from Christianity?

    Flew's preference for deism and continued dislike of alleged revelation emerge from two deep impulses in his philosophy. First, Flew has an almost unshakable view against the supernatural, a view that he learned chiefly from David Hume, the 18th-century Scottish philosopher. Flew, a leading authority on Hume, wrote the classic essay on miracles in The Encyclopedia of Philosophy.

    What is rather surprising in Flew's dogmatism is that he believes Hume did not and could not prove that miracles are, strictly speaking, impossible. "If this is the case, why not be open to God's possible intervention?" I asked. He replied by saying that the laws of nature are so well established that testimonies about miracles are easy for him to ignore. He is not impressed by people who hear regularly from God. He did concede, reluctantly and after considerable discussion, that God could, in principle, puncture his bias against the supernatural.

    Of more significance, Flew detests any notion that a loving God would send any of his creatures to eternal flames. He cannot fathom how intelligent Christians can believe this doctrine.


    At the end of the Age of Reason the rationalists have discovered, to the dismay of many, that belief in Design is more reasonable than the belief in Nature. Everything after that initial leap to one or the other is gradations of faith.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    A GREAT INSIGHT:

    The Pope’s Failures (Slavoj Zizek, 4/08/05, In These Times)

    [W]ithin our post-political, liberal-permissive society, human rights have, ultimately, become the rights to disobey the Ten Commandments. “The right to privacy”—the right to adultery, done in secrecy, where no one has the right to probe. “The right to pursue happiness and private property”—the right to steal and exploit others. “Freedom of expression and freedom of the press”—the right to lie. “The right of free citizens to bear weapons”—the right to kill. And ultimately, “freedom of religious belief”—the right to worship false gods.

    The greatness of John Paul II was that he personified the disavowal of the liberal, easy way out. Even those who respected the Pope’s moral stance usually accompanied their praise with the caveat that he nonetheless remained hopelessly old-fashioned, medieval even, by sticking to dogmas out of touch with the demands of modernity. How could someone today ignore contraception, divorce or abortion? How could the Pope deny the right to abortion even to a nun who got pregnant through rape (as he effectively did in the case of the raped nuns in Bosnia)? Isn’t it clear that, even when one is in principle against abortion, one should consent to a compromise in such an extreme case?

    One can see why the Dalai Lama is a much more appropriate leader for our postmodern, permissive times. He presents us with a feel-good spiritualism without any specific obligations. Anyone, even the most decadent Hollywood star, can follow him while continuing their money-grabbing, promiscuous lifestyle. In stark contrast, the Pope reminded us that there is a price to pay for a proper ethical attitude. It was his very stubborn clinging to “old values,” his ignoring the “realistic” demands of our time, even when the arguments against him seemed “obvious” (as in the case of the raped nun), that made him an authentic ethical figure.


    That much is brilliant.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    WHY IS THERE A TORY PARTY?:

    Campaign in Britain stays clear of ‘Europe’: 3 principal parties, despite differences, prefer other issues (Alan Cowell, April 11, 2005, The New York Times

    At the start of Britain's election campaign, for all the daily sound and fury, there is one word that has barely been heard. Call it the E-word.

    Europe, that great landmass just offshore of this isle, has barely drawn a mention since Prime Minister Tony Blair finally announced last week after months of pre-campaign campaigning that Britain would go to the polls, as long expected, on May 5.

    True, this will be an election with many imponderables. Blair himself, for instance, has already said that he will not run for a fourth if he wins a third straight term for the first time in the Labour Party's 80-year history. That, in turn, means that a vote for Blair in this election will almost inevitably mean a vote for someone else - most likely his finance chief and main rival, Gordon Brown - at some stage in the future.

    It is an election, too, in which many analysts depict the outcome as dependent on an odd blend of nitty-gritty issues such as health care, crime and jobs coupled with a far more elusive sense of trust: Blair lost it among many voters during the Iraq war and Michael Howard, the insurgent opposition leader, has yet to recover it after his earlier days as a hard-line and often unpopular minister in the days before the Conservatives lost power in 1997.

    Indeed, unveiling a series of posters last week, the Labour Party specifically highlighted the question of who they would trust more: Blair and Brown or Howard and his finance chief, Oliver Letwin.

    But in marked contrast to the previous campaign in 2001, no one has so far ventured too close to the political quagmire represented by Britain's relationship with the European Union - potentially the counterbalance to Blair's close relationship with successive U.S. administrations but one that more resembles a tripwire.


    A conservative party that can't figure out to oppose the transfer of national sovereignty to the Franco-Germans isn't worthy of the title, much less people's votes.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    ROCK THE CHIEF:

    Tunes for the Freewheelin' George Bush (ELISABETH BUMILLER, 4/11/05, NY Times)

    Between his return on Friday from Pope John Paul II's funeral in Rome and his meeting today with Prime Minister Ariel Sharon of Israel, President Bush spent an hour and a half on Saturday on an 18-mile mountain bike ride at his Texas ranch. With him, as usual, was his indispensable new exercise toy: an iPod music player loaded with country and popular rock tunes aimed at getting the presidential heart rate up to a chest-pounding 170 beats per minute.

    Which brings up the inevitable question. What, exactly, is on the First iPod? In an era of celebrity playlists - Tom Brady, the New England Patriots quarterback, recently posted his on the iTunes online music store - what does the presidential selection of downloaded songs tell us about Mr. Bush?

    First, Mr. Bush's iPod is heavy on traditional country singers like George Jones, Alan Jackson and Kenny Chesney. He has selections by Van Morrison, whose "Brown Eyed Girl" is a Bush favorite, and by John Fogerty, most predictably "Centerfield," which was played at Texas Rangers games when Mr. Bush was an owner and is still played at ballparks all over America. ("Oh, put me in coach, I'm ready to play today.")

    The president also has an eclectic mix of songs downloaded into his iPod from Mark McKinnon, a biking buddy and his chief media strategist during the 2004 campaign. Among them are "Circle Back" by John Hiatt, "(You're So Square) Baby, I Don't Care" by Joni Mitchell and "My Sharona," the 1979 song by the Knack that Joe Levy, a deputy managing editor at Rolling Stone in charge of music coverage, cheerfully branded "suggestive if not outright filthy" in an interview last week.

    Mr. Bush has had his Apple iPod since July, when he received it from his twin daughters as a birthday gift. He has some 250 songs on it, a paltry number compared to the 10,000 selections it can hold. Mr. Bush, as leader of the free world, does not take the time to download the music himself; that task falls to his personal aide, Blake Gottesman, who buys individual songs and albums, including Mr. Jones's and Mr. Jackson's greatest hits, from the iTunes music store.


    Surely we can come up with a better playlist for him than that. Here are a few:

    We Care Alot (Faith No More)

    Theme from Shaft (Isaac Hayes)

    Can't Hardly Wait and Alex Chilton (The Replacements)

    Seven Nation Army (White Stripes)

    Amadeus (Falco)

    Kick Out the Jams (MC5)

    Wang Dang Doodle (Howlin' Wolf)

    Homeless Child (Holmes Brothers)


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    WHY DIDN'T WE GET AN IRON CURTAIN?:

    Part of the Flock Felt Abandoned by the Pope (Chris Kraul and Henry Chu, April 10, 2005, LA Times)

    Half a world away, millions of people came together last week to mourn Pope John Paul II, but you'll hear no tearful elegies from believers such as Nery Amaya, a Catholic for all of her 28 years.

    As she made the rounds as a CARE volunteer in this impoverished town, she remembered the time she offered to start a parish program to help gang members. Her priest suggested that she devote her energies to Easter week decorations instead.

    Amaya charges that under the late pope, the church was too timid in its ministry to the needy, and maintains that John Paul's efforts to put the brakes on social activism cost the Latin American Catholic Church membership as well as momentum in the fight against poverty and injustice.

    "The church has to come down from heaven to the reality on Earth," Amaya said. "It's not filling my spiritual needs, and I am looking for an alternative."

    Former priest Miguel Ventura doesn't much mourn the pope's passing, either. The diocesan cleric left the church during El Salvador's 12-year civil war, in which he was captured and tortured by military forces because he had organized peasants to demand social justice.

    "The arrival of Pope John Paul II was a step backward for El Salvador," said Ventura, who has married and now practices his own, unsanctioned brand of Catholicism as a pastor in poor eastern El Salvador. "He imposed the authoritarian model on the Latin American church and didn't have an open vision."

    In this rare interregnum before the College of Cardinals meets to select John Paul's successor, Amaya and Ventura spoke of a disenchantment felt by many Catholic lay people and clergy in Latin America.

    Although the late pope promoted freedoms and denounced war and globalization, he clamped down on a movement called "liberation theology" — and in so doing alienated Catholics who wanted the church to take a more active role in "liberating" the poor from misery and oppression.


    The Pope had seen the results of liberation theology in Poland from 1939-89.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    COMMONALITIES:

    Signs of the Reformation's Success?: Reformation scholar Timothy George discusses Pope John Paul II's historical significance and this 'momentous' era of Catholic-evangelical dialogue. (Interview by Collin Hansen, 04/08/2005, Christian History)

    For much of Protestant history, Catholics have been derided as "papists." The office of pope symbolized what was wrong with Catholicism. Now, with Pope John Paul II's death, you don't often hear that rhetoric in sermons. When did this begin to change?

    I think it's a fairly recent phenomenon. If you go back to the election of John F. Kennedy in 1960, you have a watershed moment. You would find on the Protestant side a lot of anti-Catholic rhetoric and deep reservation. Just look at the newspapers and some of the sermons and read about the dangers that would happen if you elect a Catholic President who answers to Rome.

    Certainly Vatican II is another watershed. In the sense that Vatican II falls far short of what evangelical Protestants would like to see, it does move significantly beyond where the Roman Catholic church was. Most notably for evangelicals is the role of the Bible, the fact that Roman Catholics now study the Scriptures with a new intensity and devotion that would not have always been the case prior to Vatican II. The stand on religious liberty that Vatican II takes is another example. Those are significant changes that, in some ways, we're just beginning to feel the impact of 40 or 50 years later.

    But I would not underestimate the role of John Paul II's world historical significance. If there's one thing that evangelical Protestants were against in the '40s, '50s, and '60s, it was communism. Here comes along a Roman Catholic pope who, admittedly with the help of President Reagan and a few other people, was able to radically alter the geo-political landscape. Put Billy Graham in this realm too, in his preaching in the Soviet Union and so forth. So I think that softens some of these attitudes that we used to hear.

    Other than Billy Graham, have there been other major evangelical figures who tried to bridge the historic divide with Catholicism?

    Chuck Colson has to be put into that category. At another level I would say Francis Schaeffer, though he was a straight-laced Presbyterian. He recognized the importance of an alliance with Catholics on the issue of sanctity of life.

    To some extent Carl Henry also fits. He was a member of the editorial board of First Things, for example, which is not strictly a Catholic magazine but has a lot of Catholic influence. [...]

    It's really hard to evaluate where we are or how historians will look at our times. But there is a sea change that has happened, particularly among evangelicals and Catholics. I think the Evangelicals and Catholics Together movement is evidence of that. Clearly something momentous is afoot. Evangelicals are not Roman Catholics. But we are Catholics in that we affirm the historic orthodox faith. And we want to call the Roman Catholic Church, as we call ourselves, to a further reformation on the basis of the Word of God. That's what we ought to be about.

    Mark Noll and Carolyn Nystrom have just written a book called Is The Reformation Over? In my endorsement I said, "The Reformation is over only in the sense that to some extent it has succeeded." Which is to say that Roman Catholicism has taken on many, but not all, of the main emphases that come out of Luther. There's a clear movement in that direction, and I think evangelicals can celebrate that and see our commonalities.


    It would have been better for the Reformation to occur wholly within the Church, but the split may yet prove temporary.


    April 10, 2005

    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:10 PM

    LAFAYETTE, WE ARE DONE:

    U.S. Commanders See a Reduction of G.I.'s in Iraq (ERIC SCHMITT, 4/11/05, NY Times)

    Two years after the fall of Saddam Hussein, the American-led military campaign in Iraq is making enough progress in fighting insurgents and training Iraqi security forces to allow the Pentagon to plan for significant troop reductions by early next year, senior commanders and Pentagon officials say.

    Senior American officers are wary of declaring success too soon against an insurgency they say still has perhaps 12,000 to 20,000 hard-core fighters, plentiful financing and the ability to change tactics quickly to carry out deadly attacks. But there is a consensus emerging among these top officers and other senior defense officials about several positive developing trends, although each carries a cautionary note. [...]

    The American military's priority has shifted from waging offensive operations to training Iraqi troops and police officers. Iraqi forces now oversee sections of Baghdad and Mosul, with American forces on call nearby to help in a crisis.

    More Iraqi civilians are defying the insurgents' intimidation to give Iraqi forces tips on the locations of hidden roadside bombs, weapons caches and rebel safe houses. The Pentagon says that more than 152,000 Iraqis have been trained and equipped for the military or the police, but the quality and experience of those forces varies widely. Also, the Government Accountability Office said in March that those figures were inflated, including perhaps tens of thousands of police officers who are absent from duty.

    Interviews with more than a dozen senior American and Iraqi officers, top Pentagon officials and lawmakers who have visited Iraq yield an assessment that the combination of routing insurgents from their sanctuary in Falluja last November and the Iraqi elections on Jan. 30 has given the military operation sustained momentum, and put the Bush administration's goal of turning Iraq over to a permanent, elected Iraqi government within striking distance.

    "We're on track," Gen. Richard B. Myers, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said in an interview. But the insurgency "kills virtually every day," he warned. "It's still a very potent threat."

    That is a view shared by virtually all senior American commanders and Pentagon officials, who base their judgments on some 50 to 70 specific measurements from casualty figures to assassination attempts against Iraqi government officials as well as subjective analyses by American commanders and diplomats. They recall how plans a year ago to reduce American forces were dashed by resurgent rebel attacks in much of the Sunni-dominated areas north and west of Baghdad, and in Shiite hot spots like Najaf. "I worry about being excessively optimistic," Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld told reporters on March 29.

    Precisely when and how many American forces withdraw from Iraq hinges on several factors, including the security situation, the size and competence of newly trained Iraqi forces, and the wishes of the new Iraqi government. Gen. George W. Casey Jr., the top commander in Iraq, told CNN two weeks ago that if all went well, "we should be able to take some fairly substantial reductions in the size of our forces" by this time next year.

    General Casey has declined to describe the size of any possible troop reductions, but other senior military officials said American force levels in Iraq could drop to around 105,000, or about 13 brigades, by early next year, from the 142,000 now, just over 17 brigades. Much of the force is now combat-hardened, with some soldiers and marines starting their third tours in Iraq.

    Even some of the administration's toughest critics now express cautious optimism about an Iraq operation that costs more than $4 billion a month, as the nascent political process and slowly improving economy appear to drain away tacit support for the insurgency from the tens of thousands of Iraqi civilians the military calls "fence-sitters."


    President Kerry would be sending more in, no?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:45 PM

    UNITY:

    Allawi bloc to join Iraq's new government (Daily Star, April 11, 2005)

    Iraq's outgoing prime minister has agreed that his parliamentary bloc will join the country's new government, and he is in negotiations on what Cabinet posts it will receive, spokesman said on Sunday. "Iyad Allawi decided that his bloc will take part in the new government because he believes in making the political and democratic process in Iraqi successful," spokesman Thaer al-Naqib told Reuters.

    Allawi's supporters had previously said they would not join the government, preferring to act as opposition in Parliament.

    Allawi's bloc has 40 seats in the 275-member Parliament, behind the Shiite Islamist-led alliance that secured a slim parliamentary majority and a Kurdish coalition that won 75 seats.

    Including the bloc in the new Cabinet will mean Iraq's government has more claim to being a national unity administration, with no major parliamentary groups not represented in the Cabinet.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:27 PM

    AND REDDER:

    Officials climb on GOP 'wave' (CINDY HORSWELL, 4/09/05, Houston Chronicle)

    Chambers County has joined other fast-growing suburban counties where Republicans are no longer swimming against the tide to win a county office.

    In fact, Republican contenders for Chambers County offices, which officials said started as a small "wave" in the late '90s, turned into a tidal wave within the past month as four more longtime Democratic officeholders defected to the other side.

    The four are among the county's more powerful elected officials: the county judge, district clerk, county attorney and county treasurer.

    They are responding to an influx of conservative families from the Houston area to new subdivisions in the county, a trend that has also been experienced in Montgomery, Fort Bend and Waller counties.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:30 PM

    THE ALLIANCE THAT MATTERS:

    Boeing set to grab $6-bn A-I pie (BYAS ANAND, APRIL 11, 2005, India TIMES NEWS NETWORK)

    This would, probably, be the biggest corporate victory for the US in India. State-owned behemoth Air-India is planning to award its over $6 billion mega order for purchasing 50 aircraft to the US-based aircraft-maker Boeing.

    Together with its low-cost start-up A-I Express — which has already selected Boeing for its comparatively smaller $1-billion order for 18 planes, this would make the biggest order bagged by any single aircraft manufacturer in recent times.

    If the Cabinet clears the order, it will be the strongest message yet to the US that India is willing to play hard for great power stakes. Washington’s recent avowals to enable India become a great power in the 21st century have strong economic underpinnings, and for the first time, India is in a position to leverage its economic clout for strategic ends.

    Just as the F-16 deal would enhance India’s larger strategic goals with the US, the civilian aircraft order would be a strong political statement.


    MORE:
    The right stuff: F-16s to Pakistan is wise decision (William B. Milam and Sarmila Bose, 4/11/05, CS Monitor)

    The negative chorus that has greeted the American decision to sell F-16s to Pakistan is off-key. From the criticism, it is clear that the importance of Pakistan to the long-term interests of the US, the West, and - perhaps less obviously - India, is still poorly understood.

    Most observers assume that the decision was motivated by the US need for Pakistani cooperation in the war on terror. Critics emphasize that Pakistan remains a military government with a democratic facade, and that it hasn't been fully cooperative on other issues (notably A.Q. Khan and his nuclear proliferation network). We think America's longer-term interests in the region argue strongly for supporting the decision. Those interests start with Pakistan's geo-strategic and political importance. The second most populous Islamic country, situated next to democratic India, it is also a neighbor of Afghanistan and a gateway to Central Asia.

    While we remain disappointed at the halting progress Pakistan has made toward democracy, we do know that it has been there before (albeit unsuccessfully), and probably has a better chance of getting there again in the next decade than many of the Islamic countries of the Middle East that have yet to make a first try.

    As a stable Islamic democracy of 150 million people, Pakistan would be a political model in the Muslim world. However, a real democracy requires evolution toward a more "modern" society and the "enlightened moderation" that President Pervez Musharraf continues to advocate. On this, the president needs US help, too - on social development such as improving education and health, and on the political front to head off the religious parties seeking his removal because of his moderation and his cooperation on the war on terror.

    A democratic, moderate, and modern Pakistan would be a better neighbor for India, one able to transform - if India were willing - the age-old hostile relationship into something mutually constructive.

    Critics may well ask, "Can't we bring this about without selling F-16s to Pakistan?" The answer probably is no, given the history of the US-Pakistani relationship, and the doubts that many Pakistanis harbor about American willingness and ability to sustain a relationship.

    This is precisely why the sale of the F-16s is the sort of measure that serves US interests.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:59 PM

    NIGHT OF THE LONG CLAWS (via Tom Morin):

    Times' Iraq bureau grief (Lloyd Grove, 4/07/05, NY Daily News)

    The perils of Iraq have nothing on the nasty fracas erupting between former New York Times Baghdad Bureau Chief Susan Sachs and her ex-colleagues, Times Baghdad correspondents Dexter Filkins and John Burns.

    The Gray Lady's management has just fired Sachs, a widely respected and experienced journalist who has tangled bitterly with Burns and Filkins, over allegations that she sent anonymous letters and an E-mail to their wives alleging bad behavior with women in the war zone.

    Sachs - who didn't respond to a message left for her in France yesterday - has stoutly denied the charges, and the Newspaper Guild is defending her in arbitration proceedings against The Times.


    Hopefully the charges are untrue, they're the two best correspondents the Times has.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:55 PM

    MESOPOTAMIA AND YOU, PERFECT TOGETHER (via Tom Morin):

    A slow rebirth for Baghdad the beautiful (Rory Carroll, April 9, 2005, The Guardian)

    It boasts alliteration but the concept seems fanciful: beautiful Baghdad. Iraq's capital is famous for violence, degradation, occupation and blackouts, not aesthetic appeal.

    Everywhere there are concrete blast barriers, sandbags and razor wire. Rubbish lines streets which are sometimes ankle-deep in sewage. Bombed buildings remain in ruins. Giant mosques commissioned by Saddam Hussein lie unfinished on idle building sites.

    April 9 2003 was the day American troops took the city and toppled the dictator's statue in Firdos square.

    Two years later debate over the war still rages, but one point Baghdadis agree on is that today marks the anniversary of when their city became an eyesore.

    "The place looks awful," said Hussein Abd Emir, 52, a cafe owner in Karrada, a district for the well-heeled. "It's like a military base. A dirty military base. My God, it's ugly."

    But in big and small ways things are changing.

    City authorities and residents themselves are injecting colour and vitality through initiatives designed to beautify Baghdad.


    In ten years it will be a popular tourist destination.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:53 PM

    NO BASE LEFT:

    Al Qaeda Under Siege at Home (James Dunnigan, April 7, 2005, Strategy Page)

    After a three day siege, and lots of gunfire, Saudi Arabian police killed 14 Al Qaeda terrorists, including international fugitive, Moroccan Abdulkarim al Mejjati, and captured six alive. Another al Qaeda leader was killed as well. The battle took place 320 kilometers north of the capital. The police suffered 14 wounded. Al Mejjati planned and carried out a major 2003 attack in Morocco, and was involved in the 2004 Madrid bombing as well. He was one of the 26 most wanted terrorists in Saudi Arabia, and security officials believed he had fled the country. But there are few places for known al Qaeda members to hide, and travel is difficult as well.

    Saudi Arabia has one of the largest concentrations of Islamic radicals on the planet, and for decades it was a place where al Qaeda members could hide, if they kept quiet. But al Qaeda began a series of terrorist attacks in Saudi Arabia after the United States invaded Iraq two years ago, and brought themselves into direct conflict with the Saudi Arabian government. This war has not gone well for al Qaeda.


    Al Qaeda's high point was 9-10--it's been downhill ever since.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:47 PM

    MARRIED MEN, YES; WOMEN, NO:

    Let Fathers Be Fathers (NICHOLAS D. KRISTOF, 4/10/05, NY Times)

    Here's my prophecy about the next pope: He will allow married men to become priests.

    This is simply a matter of survival: all over the world, the Catholic Church is running out of priests. In the United States, there was one priest for every 800 Catholics in 1965, while now there is one for every 1,400 Catholics - and the average age is nearly 60. In all the United States, with 65 million Catholics, only 479 priests were ordained in 2002.

    The upshot is that the Catholic Church is losing ground around the world to evangelical and especially Pentecostal churches. In Brazil, which has more Catholics than any other country, Pentecostals are gaining so quickly that they could overtake Catholics over the next decades.

    No one understands the desperate need for clergy more than the cardinals themselves. In fact, John Paul II himself laid the groundwork for an end to the celibacy requirement.

    Few people realize it, but there are now about 200 married priests under a special dispensation given by the Vatican to pastors of other denominations - Episcopalians, Lutherans and so on - who are already married and wish to convert to Roman Catholicism (typically because they feel their churches are going squishy by ordaining women or gays).

    "It's really kind of a nonissue," the Rev. John Gremmels, one of those married Catholic priests, in Fort Worth, told me of his status as a father of the usual sort.

    The Vatican also permits Eastern Rite Catholics in places like Ukraine and Romania to have married priests. That was part of an ancient deal: they would be Catholics and accept the pope's authority, staying out of the Orthodox Church, and in exchange they would be allowed married clergy and liturgies in local languages.

    Polls show that 70 percent of American Catholics believe priests should be able to marry. David Gibson, author of "The Coming Catholic Church," quotes Cardinal Roger Mahony as telling him that it's reasonable to raise the issue and adding: "We've had a married clergy since Day 1, since St. Peter."

    It's true that St. Peter, the first pope, was married, and so were many of the apostles and early popes.


    Chastity is a worthy choice, but not a necessary one.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:45 PM

    SO FRANK RICH WOULD HAVE HAMMERED IT:

    'Spamalot' Discovers the Straight White Way (JESSE McKINLEY, 4/10/05, NY Times)

    THE other night at the Shubert Theater, home of the freshly minted hit "Spamalot," there were lines everywhere. There were lines at the box office and lines at the cancellation window. There were lines at the souvenir stand and lines at the bar. There were lines upstairs, lines downstairs and lines on the stairs in between.

    But there was one spot with no line whatsoever: the ladies' room.

    That's because "Spamalot," Broadway's hottest show, drawn from the 1975 cult film "Monty Python and the Holy Grail," has managed to tap into a rare, highly prized Broadway demographic: men; specifically, the kinds of teenagers and 20-somethings who find jokes about fish, flatulence and the French absolutely sidesplitting and who normally wouldn't be headed to the theater unless dragged by a girlfriend, school trip or court order.

    "They are what the movie preview experts call young males under 35," said Mike Nichols, who directed "Spamalot." "And we have them."

    Indeed, "Spamalot" may have created an entirely new breed of raving musical theater fan, one who has probably never heard of Rodgers and Hammerstein or Kander and Ebb or even - gasp - Stephen Sondheim, but who can quote full stretches of dialogue from 30-year-old films by British sketch-comedy troupes.

    "I see guys in standing room yakking it up, hounding their girlfriends, elbowing them," Mr. Nichols said. "The guys actually lead it."


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:31 PM

    RENDER UNTO CAESAR:

    How well are hard-liners running Tehran?: Once touted as a model for what Iran's conservatives can do, the city council loses its luster of efficiency. (Scott Peterson, 4/11/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

    The city engineer leans over the map of Tehran, pointing to a segment of freeway to the northeast - the strip of concrete where he says he experienced an unlikely political epiphany.

    Two years ago, Iranian hard-liners had just taken control of the city council, promising to turn Tehran into a "model Islamic city." [...]

    "Immediately after [hard-liners] came, there was progress, suddenly there were no dead-ends," the engineer recalls. "But this new group overemphasized ideological credentials in projects. When there is a push to finish a project for a big revolutionary anniversary, it gets done," he adds, folding the Tehran map. "Otherwise, there are problems."

    The result, say critics and supporters, is more traffic and pollution in a city of some eight million people. "The city council is a model of working without tension, but people expect more than no tension - the council needs brilliant works, a brilliant plan," says Amir Mohebian, political editor of the conservative newspaper, Resalat. He adds that more important than revolutionary ideals "are good education, good money to solve problems, and good programs."

    Dismissed by critics as fundamentalists incapable of running a modern city, the council was elected in a February 2003 vote that saw only a 12 percent turnout. Iran's reformist majority, disillusioned with the failure of their champion President Mohamad Khatami, did not turn out to vote.

    Conservatives say that the next step in regaining popular control of government came in February 2004, when conservatives - after more than 2,500 reform-minded candidates were barred from running - won parliamentary elections. They hope to complete the triple crown by winning the presidential election coming up in June.

    But that trajectory has not been trouble free. Already hard-line efforts by parliament to separate men and women on university campuses, and impose an even stricter dress code, have been rebuffed by the public.

    "There is a faction in Iran - call them the Taliban - whose cultural view is closed, who do not believe in freedom of expression or participation," says Mostafa Tajzadeh, a Khatami adviser. "If they thought this [city council] was doing well, their first presidential candidate would be [mayor] Ahmadinejad, but he is fourth."

    Mr. Tajzadeh notes that the hard- liners promised to repair all the streets in 45 days, "but never in Tehran's history has it been this bad." He adds, "Our society and our people do not believe they can solve the big issues of the country."


    There's no reason clerics would be any better than comrades at imposing an idealized vision on an imperfect political society.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:15 PM

    AXIS OF BOS-WASH:

    'NY Times' Unveils Expanded Opinion Section (E&P Staff, April 10, 2005)

    As promised, The New York Times unveiled its expanded Sunday op-ed section, a move set in motion at least partly by the decision to move the lengthy Frank Rich contributions here from Arts & Leisure. But there are several added angles, as well.

    For one thing, since the new two-page group of columns runs as a spread, not merely opposite the editorials, the name has been changed from op-ed to “opinion.”

    The paper has also shuffled columnists with longtime Sunday favorites Maureen Dowd and Thomas L. Friedman exiting this space to other days. The regulars on Sunday, as announced today by Gail Collins, the editorial page editor, will be Rich, Nicholas Kristof, and David Brooks. [...]

    She said that the Times has been doing a better job in promoting political diversity lately “than with a range of genders, ethnicities or even hometowns.” The entire stable of Times columnists resides in the Northeast corridor.


    They offer the full range of opinion from Boston to Washington and from liberal Republican to liberal Democrat.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:05 PM

    HOSTILE TERRITORY:

    Former Tory attacks party's immigration plans (Tom Happold, April 10, 2005, Guardian Unlimited)

    Michael Howard's attempt to refocus the election campaign on the issues of asylum and immigration was undermined today by one of his former ministerial colleagues, Charles Wardle, who described the Tory leader's policies as unworkable and uncosted. [...]

    Mr Wardle's comments came as the latest Observer/MORI opinion poll put Labour seven points ahead of the Conservatives, on a comfortable 40%, with the Tories on 33% and the Liberal Democrats on 19%.

    With immigration one of the few issues the Tories lead Labour on, Mr Howard has repeatedly sought to make it the centre of his campaigning, accusing Tony Blair today of "pussyfooting" around the problem.

    The Tory leader told GMTV's Sunday programme: "Immigration today is out of control and that is a matter of great concern for the future of good community relations in Britain."

    Hew added: "We think it is something a government needs to get hold on that's why we would set an annual limit on the number of people who could come in to the country."


    The anti-Semitic tenor of the Labour campaign suggests they think they can make hay among Muslim voters, but if immigration becomes the leading issue in the election it can't help them.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:57 PM

    BLOODY CROSSROADS:

    At the crossroads again: A religious people face a secular elite (Jack Kelly, 4/10/05, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette)

    R.C. Sproul, the prominent Protestant pastor and theologian, thinks the Terri Schiavo case marks a huge, perhaps irreversible, moral decline:

    "Many years ago, Harold Lindsell described America's culture after the revolution of the 1960s as 'neo-pagan culture.' I think now what Terri Schiavo's death marks is the transition to a neo-barbarian culture," Sproul said. [...]

    [W]e've been at this crossroads often before. Most of the great events in our history have followed religious revivals.

    The Great Awakening, triggered by preachers Jonathan Edwards, Gilbert Tennent and (especially) George Whitefield, likely provided the spark that ignited the American Revolution. Many historians "argue that the First Great Awakening was a sort of 'dress rehearsal' for the American Revolution -- that participating in a religious upheaval primed an entire generation of colonials to support a political revolution," University of Delaware history professor Christine Heyrman has written.

    A second Awakening led to the antislavery movement, the formation of the Republican Party and the Civil War. A third religious revival spawned the Progressive movement.

    Noting the explosive growth of the mega-churches in the suburbs, University of Chicago economic historian Robert William Fogel thinks we're in the midst of a fourth Great Awakening. As a liberal, he's concerned about it. He'd like the energy being poured into spiritual renewal to be applied to more secular concerns.

    Judicial imperialism has long been the last refuge of a political establishment that is on its way out.


    The crossroads metaphor is especially useful because it's where you go to cut a deal with the Devil too, which is the other option.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:39 PM

    ALLIES IN WAITING:

    Ordinary Iranians Soften Toward U.S.: But Prosperity, Government Menace May Have Tamped Down Reform Movement (ABC News, 4/10/05)

    Twenty-five years ago, Mohsen Mirdamadi and Ebrahim Asgharzadeh were young Iranian engineering students among the revolutionaries who took and held American hostages for 444 days in Tehran.

    In fact, Asgharzadeh claims taking over the U.S. embassy where the hostages were seized was his idea. But these days, he and Mirdamadi are members of Iran's political reform movement, and look back at the hostage situation with some regret.

    "As I have said repeatedly, burning the American flag was wrong," Asgharzadeh said through a translator. "And even back then, there were many students just like me who thought we should not burn the American flag. We had no right to insult the sacred symbol of another nation."

    Nearly half of Iran's population was born after the hostage crisis. In a country growing richer with rising oil prices, and enjoying satellite television and American fast food, most young Iranians have little interest in politics. And with the Islamic revolution 25 years in the past, the grainy images mean little to Iran's youth. [...]

    In Iran today, there are still occasional anti-American rallies, but the protestors' faces usually are older.

    America is hardly the great Satan to a group of young English-speaking Iranians who gathered for ABC News' "Nightline." In fact, the students said they love to listen to music by American rappers like Tupac Shakur and Snoop Dogg, and to watch Larry King on CNN.

    "There's a very positive image of American people in this society," said Siamak Namazi, a pollster. "Some almost argue that Iran is the last pro-American society in the Middle East."

    In Tehran, where memories of the revolution are still fresh, even former revolutionaries like Mirdamadi and Asgharzadeh slowly have been moderating their views on America. Both are members of the nation's reform movement. And despite their revolutionary pasts, both have been banned from political office.

    Asgharzadeh said they have no regrets about Iran's 1979 Islamic revolution because, "A humane and popular revolution, at that time, was an historic necessity for Iran. Why should we be sorry?"

    Nowadays, though, Mirdamadi stresses that the embassy takeover was not personal.

    "That event was not a hostility between these persons who were on two sides of this conflict," he said. "This was a problem between two countries, and a result of a historical events that happened at the time."


    The President needs to just go over the heads of the Regime and speak directly to the Iranian people about the bright future we share with them.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:38 PM

    K-FEST:

    Only April 10th and this may be the best game that'll be played this year. It'll be on ESPN Classic by May.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:36 PM

    ANOTHER:


    Saddam's nephew captured
    (Agence France-Presse, April 11, 2005)

    IRAQI authorities have said they have arrested a nephew of toppled Iraqi president Saddam Hussein suspected of playing a major part in financing the insurgency.

    A government statement said Ibrahim Sabawi - son of Sabawi Ibrahim al-Tikriti, a half brother of Saddam also being held in custody for allegedly bankrolling rebels - was arrested “recently” close to Baghdad.

    “Ibrahim Sabawi was part of the circle of those close to the deposed regime. Up until his arrest he was financing the terrorists as was the case for his father Sabawi,” the statement said.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:21 PM

    LIFE ISN'T WELFARE?:

    Think Again: Reform Judaism pushes deformed 'rights' (Jonathan Rosenblum, 4/07/05, THE JERUSALEM POST)

    American labor organizer Saul Alinsky used to say "immoral enemies make stupid mistakes" - usually by revealing their true nature.

    A recent High Court of Justice petition by the Israel Religious Action Center, the legal and public arm of the Movement of Progressive Judaism in Israel, proves Alinsky's dictum. The petition singles out Efrat, an organization devoted to reducing abortion in the Jewish sector, as unfit to receive national service volunteers.

    Last year Efrat provided assistance to over 1,400 women, the vast majority of them married, who had been contemplating abortion for socioeconomic reasons. Referrals to Efrat come almost entirely from social workers and friends of the women in question. Initial discussions with those women are handled by one of Efrat's 3,000 volunteers (many of whom are past beneficiaries of its services) and a professional social worker.

    IRAC declares that "involvement in preventing abortions in the Jewish sector cannot be recognized as an appropriate welfare issue." (One of the IRAC attorneys told Shofar News that IRAC would not have objected if the group also provided assistance to Arab women.) Yet, as Professor Amnon Rubinstein wrote recently, "without a Jewish majority, there is no Israel." If Israel can encourage that majority through the Law of Return, surely it can also provide indirect aid to an organization devoted to combating the demographic threat to Israel by reducing Jewish abortions.

    Providing pregnant women with information about financial assistance and emotional support available to them, according to IRAC, violates their basic rights to human dignity, privacy, and freedom of conscience.


    Lord, save us from the Progressive.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:17 PM

    THE NEW FACE OF THE PARTY:

    Southfield reverend to run for Senate against Stabenow (SVEN GUSTAFSON, 4/09/05, The Daily Oakland Press

    A local Republican is expected to announce his candidacy Tuesday for U.S. Senate against Debbie Stabenow in 2006.

    The Rev. Keith Butler, senior pastor of the Word of Faith International Christian Church Center in Southfield, will formally announce his candidacy Tuesday, a source who would not speak on the record confirmed. Butler will speak in Southfield and later at news conferences in Lansing and Grand Rapids. He will travel Wednesday to Flint, Traverse City and Marquette.

    Butler is founding pastor of the evangelical, nondenominational Word of Faith church, which boasts 21,000 members in Southfield and has branches in nine states, two countries and in the Virgin Islands. He could not be reached Friday.

    Butler's political experience includes serving on the Detroit City Council from 1989-1993 - a rare distinction for a Republican in the heavily Democratic city - and in March, he was appointed by Republican National Committee Chair Ken Mehlman to an advisory committee charged with helping the party make inroads among black voters.

    In addition, Butler worked on the campaigns for Republican gubernatorial candidates Richard Headlee in 1982 and Bill Lucas in 1986.


    He's what a contemporary Republican looks like.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:07 PM

    THE THREE PARTIES OF THE RIGHT:

    'Labour. Always. Maybe Ukip': Enthusiasm is hard to find, even in two places that hold the key to the government's majority (Euan Ferguson, Sunday April 10, 2005, The Observer)

    Hyndburn is a Labour-held constituency in Accrington. It features pleasant people and rain. Broxtowe is a Labour-held constituency on the outskirts of Nottingham. It features a shopping precinct and warmer rain. According to research for The Observer by Mori, the fall of either to the Tories would signify the national Labour downfall. My task is to find enthusiasm in either Hyndburn or Broxtowe for bringing it about.

    In Nottingham I get my first mild surprise when I intercept Michael Biddulph, 67, who has just lost his right leg. 'Gangrene. I'm diabetic. It started on my little toe. So they started slicing me away, bit at a time, and just sort of ... kept going.' He is now driving one of those red batteried urban wheelchair-scooter affairs that putter asthmatically in front of Co-ops in every high street. Losing his leg was free, but Michael's Galaxy-hopper or Nimbula-Loper cost him £2,200. 'Labour. Definitely Labour. Always have, always will. Though can't stand Blair. Actually, you know, maybe Ukip.'

    I hope you see my confusion. Once, and not really that long ago, there was a time when Labour meant Labour and the mindset that entailed. You were left-wing. You were, generally, biddable on immigration, and tough on intolerance. Now, if Michael votes - he's not sure whether he'll bother - he would see it as no 'betrayal' to vault across to Ukip. 'I'm not sure if anyone thinks of Labour as the Left now. It's not like it's a movement.'

    Time and again in Broxtowe, from old and the few young who had an opinion, this message came back. There just seems precious little to choose from and between: no left-right battles, no gutsy polemic or hearty belief, just nuances of massage and spin. Everyone is wise to it.


    Michael Howard needs to drag the Tories further Right to win.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:56 PM

    GIVE IT A GREEN SPIN AND WIN:

    Bush's Energy Plan—Start Talking (Newsweek, April 18, 2004)

    Two numbers have dominated White House discussions about the president's domestic agenda in recent days: rising gas prices and the president's falling approval ratings. While much of Washington has been trying to forecast the political impact of the Terri Schiavo case and the struggle to overhaul Social Security, Bush's aides maintain there is a pocketbook explanation for the downward slide in the president's polls. "Schiavo didn't drop the numbers," says RNC senior adviser Matthew Dowd, who was Bush's top strategist in last year's campaign. "It's gas prices primarily." Two polls last week gave Bush just 41 percent approval on his handling of the economy and an overall approval rating of 48 percent. Whether their concern is political or economic, Bush's advisers are looking for a way out. "They are very concerned," says one administration official.

    While his aides concede there is little they can do to shift prices quickly, Bush has been grappling with the issue in recent internal discussions, including his cabinet meeting last week. Now White House officials tell NEWSWEEK that Bush will become increasingly vocal in public about fuel costs, seizing on the public concern to push ahead with his long-stalled energy bill, as well as delivering speeches on energy issues, including new technologies such as hydrogen fuel cells and cleaner coal. "If the Congress had acted three years ago, some of the policies we put forward could have had an impact today," says one senior Bush aide. The Department of Energy predicted last week that gas prices will reach a peak monthly average of $2.35 per gallon in May, around the time the legislative battles should be in full swing. "With the price of gasoline where it is, that ought to be enough this time to cause people to get moving on the bill," Bush told reporters on Air Force One as he returned from Rome last week.


    Prices help to create a fake atmosphere of crisis, but the program should be sold as an environmental/moral imperative.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:52 PM

    UNFORGIVABLE:

    History: A Roosevelt Mystery (Jon Meacham, 4/18/05, Newsweek)

    Since FDR's medical chart has disappeared—his doctor, Adm. Ross T. McIntire, apparently destroyed it—Ferrell noted that historians knew of only one document that could shed light on whether FDR had such a cancer: an unpublished memo dictated by Dr. Frank Lahey, the head of the Lahey Clinic in Boston and a consultant to McIntire. Lahey, who died in 1953, left the memo to his assistant. It became the subject of litigation, with the clinic unsuccessfully arguing that releasing it would compromise doctor-patient privilege. For the past 15 years, the document has been held by Dr. Harry Goldsmith, a surgeon with a longtime interest in FDR's health.

    NEWSWEEK has obtained a copy of the Lahey memorandum, a typewritten page signed by Lahey and dated Monday, July 10, 1944. (The lawyer who removed the document from safekeeping after the litigation confirms that the memo news-week saw is the same one he retrieved.) Dictated, Lahey says, "in the event there comes any criticism of me at a later date," it contains no mention of cancer, but the conclusion is grim and explicit: "I am recording these opinions in the light of having informed Admiral McIntire Saturday afternoon July 8, 1944 that I did not believe that, if Mr. Roosevelt were elected President again, he had the physical capacity to complete a term." In the next sentence, Lahey errs, saying that since FDR's "trip to Russia he had been in a state which was, if not in heart failure, at least on the verge of it, that this was the result of high blood pressure... plus a question of coronary damage." The mistake: in July 1944 FDR had never been to Russia; Lahey was referring to the president's visit to Soviet-occupied Tehran in 1943. It was either an honest slip or, possibly, Lahey wrote his memo after FDR's death, which came in the wake of Yalta, and backdated the document. But with McIntire alive, it seems unlikely Lahey would invent an exchange that could be easily challenged.

    Lahey goes on: "It was my opinion that over the four years of another term with its burdens, he would again have heart failure and be unable to complete it. Admiral McIntire was in agreement with this."


    If FDR's decision to run again in '44 wasn't the most selfish and irresponsible act of any American leader his leaving the choice of a running mate to the convention delegates was.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:16 PM

    ANOTHER BADLY KEPT SECRET:

    Blair's deal to stitch up leadership for Brown (BRIAN BRADY, 4/10/05, The Scotsman)

    TONY Blair has secretly promised Gordon Brown that he will change Labour’s rules for electing a new leader to smooth the Chancellor’s path to Number 10.

    Blair’s move is certain to infuriate his most loyal supporters. He has pledged to "actively endorse" Brown’s bid to succeed him, making it virtually impossible for anyone else to challenge the Chancellor.

    The agreement - which amounts to capitulation on Blair’s part aimed at gaining Brown’s full support during the general election - has been confirmed by senior government sources and will ‘raise the bar’ for would-be challengers hoping to take on Brown.

    Even to stand against him rivals will have to amass the backing of a fifth of backbench Labour MPs - the figure is currently one-eighth.

    Brown would easily garner such a level of support, but the rule change will make it all but impossible for ‘Stop Brown’ candidates such as John Reid, Jack Straw and Charles Clarke to stand in the Chancellor’s way. The deal, struck to guarantee Brown’s badly-needed support in returning Labour to power on May 5, comes amid further evidence of the party’s need to turn its fortunes around.


    The change seems likely to come sooner rather than later.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:00 PM

    "HERO FOR THE AGES":

    President's Radio Address (George W. Bush, 4/09/05)

    Good morning. This week I have been in Rome to attend the funeral mass of Pope John Paul II. The ceremonies were a powerful and moving reminder of the profound impact this Pope had on our world. And on behalf of America, Laura and I were honored to pay tribute to this good and holy man.

    During nearly three decades on the Chair of St. Peter, this Pope brought the gospel's message of hope and love and freedom to the far corners of the Earth. And over this past week, millions of people across the world returned the Pope's gift with a tremendous outpouring of affection that transcended differences of nationality, language and religion.

    White House Radio Archives
    Radio Address

    * 2004
    * 2003
    * 2002
    * 2001

    Radio Interviews

    * 2004

    The call to freedom that defined his papacy was forged in the experiences of Pope John Paul's own life. He came to manhood during the Nazi occupation of his beloved Poland, when he eluded the Gestapo to attend an underground seminary. Later, when he was named Poland's youngest bishop, he came face to face with the other great totalitarianism of the 20th century: Communism. And soon he taught the communist rulers in Warsaw and Moscow that moral truth had legions of its own and a force greater than their armies and secret police.

    That moral conviction gave the man from Krakow a confidence that inspired millions. In 1978, when he looked out at the crowd in front of St. Peter's as their new Pope, the square rang with his words "Be Not Afraid."

    Everywhere he went, the Pope preached that the call of freedom is for every member of the human family because the Author of Life wrote it into our common human nature.

    Many in the West underestimated the Pope's influence. But those behind the Iron Curtain knew better, and ultimately even the Berlin Wall could not withstand the gale force of this Polish Pope.

    The Pope held a special affection for America. During his many visits to our country, he spoke of our providential Constitution, the self-evident truths about human dignity enshrined in our Declaration, and the blessings of liberty that followed from them. It is these timeless truths about man, enshrined in our founding, the Pope said, that have led freedom-loving people around the world to look to America with hope and respect. And he challenged America always to live up to its lofty calling. The Pope taught us that the foundation for human freedom is a universal respect for human dignity. On all his travels, John Paul preached that even the least among us bears the image of our Creator, so we must work for a society where the most vulnerable among us have the greatest claim on our protection.

    And by his own courageous example in the face of illness and suffering, he showed us the path to a culture of life where the dignity of every human person is respected, and human life at all its stages is revered and treasured.

    As the Pope grew physically weaker, his spiritual bond with young people grew stronger. They flocked to him in his final moments, gathering outside his window to pray and sing hymns and light candles. With them, we honor this son of Poland who became the Bishop of Rome, and a hero for the ages.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:10 PM

    NO, NOT BAD:

    Tiger erases DiMarco's lead, goes up three (AP, 4/10/05)

    Tiger Woods tied a Masters record with seven straight birdies and surged past Chris DiMarco to take a three-stroke lead into Sunday's final round at Augusta National.

    The golfers were back on the course at 8 a.m. to complete the weather-delayed third round, with DiMarco holding a four-shot lead over Woods.

    Within an hour, Woods was on top -- and in position for his fourth green jacket. That would tie Arnold Palmer for second-most victories in Masters history; only Jack Nicklaus, with six, has won more.

    Woods shot 65 in the third round, one stroke better than the second-round 66 that got him back in contention. He opened the tournament with a 74.

    "Not bad, huh?" Woods said, smiling.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:06 AM

    MARKET CONFUSION:

    Market forces have met their match in oil prices (Charles Stein, April 10, 2005, Boston Globe)

    In the late 1970s, oil prices soared to unprecedented heights, which set in motion a series of events that ultimately brought prices back down to earth.

    By buying smaller cars and insulating their homes, Americans learned to be more energy efficient. Inspired by those same high prices, energy producers looked for new sources of oil and found it in far-flung parts of the world.

    The result: Supply rose, demand fell, and prices dropped -- an outcome straight out of Economics 101.

    With gasoline prices averaging $2.22 a gallon nationwide, the question to ask is: Could the same thing happen again? Alan Greenspan apparently thinks so. In an upbeat speech last week, the Federal Reserve chairman said, ''History shows that market forces play the key role in conserving scarce energy resources." Greenspan's faith in markets is justified. They do work, especially when it comes to energy.

    But Greenspan should have added a caveat. Something like: Energy markets work, but they work pretty slowly, and this time around, there are reasons to think they may work more slowly than in the past.

    In other words, don't hold your breath waiting for prices to fall dramatically. [...]

    Energy prices are not high enough. In 1981 gasoline prices reached $1.40 a gallon. Adjusted for inflation, the equivalent price today would be $3.20. ''We are not hurting enough yet to provoke a big reaction," said Nariman Behravesh, chief economist with Global Insight in Waltham.


    If prices are too low then the market forces that are pushing them up would be working, no? However, given that supplies are adequate there's no reason to believe these prices aren't too high instead and driven by speculation rather than reality.


    MORE:
    Message to investors: Lose the oil obsession (DAVID ROEDER, 4/10/05, Chicago Sun-Times)

    To many people, it's not much of a leap from commodities to inflation, a bane of market performance. But will higher energy prices force families to cut trips to Wal-Mart and their favorite restaurants?

    For an answer, I sought out two of the more level-headed thinkers I know: Carl Tannenbaum, chief economist at LaSalle Bank, and Phil Flynn, equities analyst at Alaron Trading. Starting from different perspectives, they come to a similar conclusion: that inflation is tame outside commodities and that the economy isn't as energy-sensitive as it used to be.

    Tannenbaum said labor remains the biggest cost driver. The international labor market is plentiful and companies continue to find ways to boost productivity, he noted.

    Flynn said commodities merely are reverting to historical growth names after a decade of deflation. People adjust and they save money elsewhere, he said, such as on long-term interest rates that remain low. The energy situation could actually keep the economy out of inflationary overdrive, Flynn said.

    "We're in an era where $2-a-gallon gas will be more the norm. People will get used to it, just like they adjusted to paying for bottled water,'' Flynn said.

    That reasoning won't alleviate buyers' regret for owners of monster SUVs. But it suggests how Wall Street will work itself out of a funk based more on psychology than business outlooks.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:01 AM

    NO FALSE HOPE:

    The evangelical pope?: No one would mistake John Paul II for an evangelical Protestant. But he contributed to a dramatic warming of relations between evangelicals and Catholics that may mark a turning point not only in American politics but in the history of Christianity. (Mark Noll, April 10, 2005, Boston Globe)

    DURING THE 1960 presidential campaign, leaders of the National Association of Evangelicals - including Harold John Ockenga of Boston's historic Park Street Church - joined other Protestants in warning the nation about the danger of electing a Catholic, John F. Kennedy. Last year, the conservative evangelical spokesman Gary L. Bauer saw the matter very differently.

    ''When John F. Kennedy made his famous speech that the Vatican would not tell him what to do,'' Bauer told USA Today, ''evangelicals and Southern Baptists breathed a sigh of relief. But today evangelicals and Southern Baptists are hoping that the Vatican will tell Catholic politicians what to do.'' [...]

    ver the past few decades the once isolated worlds of Catholic and evangelical Christianity have experienced unprecedented interchange, overlap, and cross-fertilization.

    . . .

    To see evidence of the kind of change that is taking place, one need only look to recent developments like the following:

    * At several of the World Youth Days convened in recent years by Pope John Paul II the ''Jesus Film'' - a dramatization of the Gospel of Matthew produced and distributed by Campus Crusade for Christ, one of the strongest evangelical youth ministries - was shown to all in attendance.

    * In the year 2000 a group of 15 officially sanctioned Catholic delegates attended a major conference in Amsterdam sponsored by Rev. Billy Graham for the purpose of promoting the proclamation of the Christian gospel worldwide. Afterwards, Bishop Michael Warfel, Chairman of the United States' Bishops Committee on Evangelization said, ''I wish I could get more Catholics to have such enthusiasm for their faith in Christ.''

    * In 2003 John Paul II hosted an official reception at the Vatican for leaders of the Alpha Course, the video series created by Anglican evangelicals in Britain that is today the most widely distributed introduction to basic Christianity in the world. The purpose of the Vatican meeting was for the pope to commend the Alpha leaders and for Vatican personnel to coordinate their own use of Alpha materials for Catholics.

    * Hymns, songs, and Christian music of all sorts have built a bridge for spiritual traffic between the two groups. Evangelicals buy the CDs and attend the performances of Catholic troubadours like John Michael Talbot. In turn, evangelical praise songs and hymns are being sung in all manner of Catholic churches and campus groups.

    Multiple forces lie behind these developments, the most important being the ongoing effect of the Second Vatican Council, the great conclave of all Catholic bishops convened by Pope John XXIII shortly before his death in 1963. After the Council was over, the evangelical theologian David Wells, who now teaches at Gordon-Conwell Theological Seminary in Massachusetts, concluded that the Council's actions had ''rendered the vast majority of Protestant analysis of Catholic doctrine obsolete.'' Wells correctly predicted that the Council would push change among Catholics in many different directions, with some moving toward social radicalism and theological liberalism and some moving closer to evangelical theology and practices.

    As a result of the Second Vatican Council, Catholics sought ecumenical dialogue with many other Christian bodies, including evangelicals. The Council's stress on encouraging the laity and on opening the Scriptures to the whole church also led to new points of contact with evangelicals. These developments are not leading to a formal union of churches. But they have led to much better communication and a general relaxation of mutual suspicion.


    The reunion will come.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:56 AM

    NO MAN IS AN AUTONOMY:

    Knowing our minds: For many, the Schiavo case hinged on the right of individuals to control their own fates. But when it comes to extraordinary medical decisions and the ordinary business of living — the ideal of individual autonomy is not so simple. (Michael Bérubé and Janet Lyon, April 3, 2005, Boston Globe)

    On one hand, the ideal of autonomy is fundamental to any idea of democratic society. When we recognize and respect the sovereign and considered wishes of others, even when we do not agree with them, we accord other people a measure of human dignity; and when we express our own similarly considered wishes, we hope that we will be understood in turn, even if our desires aren't always fulfilled. Without autonomy, there is no human freedom, no human dignity to speak of. And everyone, it seems, champions greater autonomy for people with disabilities: liberals, because social justice demands as accessible a world as possible, a world that makes reasonable accommodation for everyone; conservatives, because greater autonomy for individuals with disabilities means less reliance on the mechanisms of the state; and libertarians, most obviously, because they insist on individual autonomy as the greatest good.

    But on the other hand, autonomy is vastly overrated. As philosopher Eva Kittay has argued, our culture's overemphasis on the ideal of autonomy makes it difficult for us to think clearly about dependency. More precisely, we tend to think of dependency as a sign of incompleteness, immaturity, and even moral failing; it is frequently associated with people who sponge off their relatives (or the state), people with nasty drug habits, people without the desire or the capacity to fend for themselves. When autonomy is the unquestioned ideal, dependency can only be an aberration or a scandal.

    The challenge for disability scholars and disability rights advocates, then, has been to try to convince their fellow humans that dependency is one of the incontrovertible facts of human lifenot only at the beginning and the end of life, when our dependencies are manifest, but every time we participate in large-scale forms of organization. Few among us, surely, pave their own roads, inspect their own meat, or build their own sewage systems. We are social and interdependent beings, which is to say that no one is truly autonomous, and in a culture that idealizes the ''self-made man,'' we have to keep reminding ourselves of that.

    For all of us, in other words, autonomy is at once indispensable and insufficient, and this is especially so for people with disabilities. Without autonomy, the disability rights movement makes no sense: From its beginnings in the Bay Area in the late 1960s, disability activism in the United States has centered on the importance of individual autonomyand the moral imperative to alter physical and social environments so that people with disabilities can exercise that autonomy and participate more fully in the life of the nation. Ramps, kneeling buses, curb cuts, inclusive schooling, job coachesthese are not just social Band-Aids, but the stuff of democracy's utopian dreams: Another world is possible, a world in which all are valued.

    At the same time, however, there are any number of people with significant intellectual or physical disabilities who will never be fully autonomous; for such people, autonomy merely holds the scales in which they will be weighed and found wanting. And for such people, surely, some more supple measure of human dignity is required. [...]

    It's possible, as some disability advocates would argue, that before his injury Robert Wendlandlike many nondisabled peoplehad an inordinate fear of disability, and perhaps for him there was a strong link between disability and shattered masculinity. This is hardly surprising, given the pervasive stigma associated with disability. Furthermore, it's possible that even a person as severely incapacitated as Robert Wendland may come to change his way of thinking about life, or his life prospects.

    This is part of the problem with advance directives: People might, in fact, change their minds, and to entertain this possibility is only to respect their autonomy. But when their ''mindedness'' is precisely what's in question due to significant brain injury, then the problem of autonomy becomes impossibly complex.


    It's not really that complex--in morality, human dignity always trumps autonomy even where decisions affecting only the self are concerned. Our autonomy has been limited by God.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:48 AM

    YOU CAN'T CORRECT THE BABE OFF OF THE PINNACLE:

    Ladies and gentlemen, the greatest sluggers of all time *: (*Adjusting for home-field advantage, changing conditions of the game over time, and improvements in the talent poolbut not steroid use, which appears to have had little or no effect.) (Christopher Shea, April 10, 2005, Boston Globe)

    [A] statistician at the University of North Carolina, Michael J. Schell, has produced what may be the most rigorous effort yet to compare baseball players from various eras. And in the process, he has offered a tantalizing suggestion that steroids may not have affected the game as much as many people assume. His data suggest that either virtually everybody is using steroids (unlikely but possible), or that the performance enhancers aren't doing much to enhance performance. A steroid-driven change in the game, Schell said in a recent interview, ''doesn't show up in an obvious way.''

    Schell, a research professor at Chapel Hill, doesn't make that argument directly in his new book, ''Baseball's All-Time Best Sluggers: Adjusted Batting Performance from Strikeouts to Home Runs'' (Princeton). His only goal is the ''Holy Grail,'' as he puts it, of divining the greatest hitters everleveling the playing field across the decades so that Barry Bonds can be stacked up against Babe Ruth, Nap Lajoie, and Shoeless Joe Jackson.

    In the so-called ''dead ball'' era of 1901 to 1919, the average ballplayer hit 2.3 home runs and had a batting average of .254. In the ''lively ball'' era, Ruth's prime, the numbers jumped to 7 home runs and .276. (Many people think the ball itself changed in the latter period, but most baseball historians say that the more frequent introduction of new balls during the course of a game, plus the abolition of the spitball, made most of the difference.) In today's new ''power era,'' which Schell dates back to 1993, the average player hits more than 15 home runs, with a batting average of .267.

    Schell's method of leveling the historical playing field is enormously complex. (The book is not an obvious Father's Day gift - unless Dad is an engineer or truly major-league stats hound.) In devising his rankings, Schell makes three main corrections: for changes in the general conditions of the game (the jump in overall batting average during the 1920s, for example), for home-field advantage, and for improvements in the talent pool. It's only the last of these that may speak to the effect (or non-effect) of steroids.

    First, to correct for shifting conditions in the game, Schell gives players credit for the degree to which they beat the average in their era. Ruth is off the charts in this respect: In 1920, the year he hit 54 home runs for the Yankees, he clouted more of them than did any other team in the league. Bonds would have to hit more than 200 home runs in a year to outpace his rivals by a similar margin.

    The second correction, one of the book's major contributions, takes into account each player's home ballpark. Schell includes data, charts, and graphs on virtually every park since the dawn of the pro game. From 1912 to 1934, for example, Fenway Park was among the worst parks for power hitters in the league. With the addition of the Green Monster in left field, the park saw an explosion in doubles and triples, though it became only mildly favorable for home runs (until the mid-1980s, when further modifications evidently made it very slightly unfavorable for the long ball).

    Ruth takes a hit when you consider home-field advantage: Not only was Yankee Stadium home-run friendly in the late '20s and '30s - it is no longer - but, with its short right-field fence, it also favored lefties like him. On the other hand, Fenway famously held back Ted Williams, who batted left-handed. The New York Giants slugger Mel Ott, who played in the Polo Grounds, and the Phillies' Chuck Klein, who performed in the Baker Bowl, are two high-profile players who benefited from huge home field advantages. Among active players, Schell thinks that Rockies outfielder Larry Walker owes his 1997 MVP award to Coors Field. ''It should have been [Mike] Piazza's,'' he says flatly.

    Finally, taking a cue from Harvard paleontologist and baseball fan Stephen Jay Gould, Schell partly corrects for the quality of the talent pool of major-league players. Gould argued, in his 1996 book ''Full House: The Spread of Excellence from Plato to Darwin,'' that in a given arena of competition - biological or athletic - the variation in performance should decrease as the competence of organisms improves. Therefore, the fact that Ruth could blow away the competition, whereas Bonds faces many able rivals, suggests that baseball players are on average much better at power hitting today. So Schell's system gives Bonds, along with other modern sluggers, some extra credit here.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:45 AM

    TOO LOW A MINIMUM:

    The 65 percent solution (George Will, April 10, 2005, Townhall)

    Patrick Byrne, a 42-year-old bear of a man who bristles with ideas that have made him rich and restless, has an idea that can provide a new desktop computer for every student in America without costing taxpayers a new nickel. Or it could provide 300,000 new $40,000-a-year teachers without any increase in taxes. His idea -- call it The 65 Percent Solution -- is politically delicious because it unites parents, taxpayers and teachers while, he hopes, sowing dissension in the ranks of the teachers unions, which he considers the principal institutional impediment to improving primary and secondary education.

    The idea, which will face its first referendum in Arizona, is to require that 65 percent of every school district's education operational budget be spent on classroom instruction. On, that is, teachers and pupils, not bureaucracy.

    Nationally, 61.5 percent of education operational budgets reach the classrooms. Why make a fuss about 3.5 percent? Because it amounts to $13 billion. Only four states (Utah, Tennessee, New York, Maine) spend at least 65 percent of their budgets in classrooms. Fifteen states spend less than 60 percent. The worst jurisdiction -- Washington, D.C., of course -- spends less than 50 percent.

    Under the 65 percent rule, Arizona, which spends 56.8 percent in classrooms, could use its $451 million transfer to classrooms to buy 1.5 million computers or to hire 11,275 teachers. California (61.7 percent) could use its $1.5 billion transfer to buy 5 million computers or to hire 37,500 teachers. Illinois (59.5 percent) would transfer $906 million to classrooms (3 million computers or 22,650 new teachers). To see how much money would flow into your state's classrooms, go to firstclasseducation.org.


    Voucherize it all and you can get an even higher %.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:37 AM

    THEY SHOULD ONLY BE FREELY AVAILABLE IF THEY CAUSE DEATH:

    Once 'too slow,' FDA approvals called 'too fast' (Diedtra Henderson and Christopher Rowland, April 10, 2005, Boston Globe)

    Over 15 years, the Food and Drug Administration has swung from taking too long to get medicine to dying AIDS patients to drawing fire for rushing drugs to market that wound up killing people.

    The agency's troubles were highlighted last week, when it asked Pfizer Inc. to suspend sales of Bextra because the painkiller can cause fatal heart and skin problems. Bextra was the latest casualty in a drug safety controversy that began last fall with Vioxx, an arthritis drug quickly approved by the FDA and then taken off the market. The multiple sclerosis drug Tysabri followed the same script: speedy approval followed by withdrawal, because it may cause a rare brain disease.

    The profound change within the agency came from several directions. AIDS activists in the late 1980s besieged the agency to demand it make more drugs available to combat what, at the time, looked like an unstoppable epidemic. Threats by major drug companies to move overseas spurred Congress to pass laws that created a speedier approval process funded by drug makers themselves. The speed movement took hold with people at the top ranks of the FDA, who pressured staffers charged with studying the effectiveness and safety of drugs to hurry up.

    ''There is no doubt that there has been a cultural change," said John Jenkins, director of the FDA's Office of New Drugs. ''I don't think it needs correction."


    The Left's hatreds of business and morality has driven them to the delicious position where several million people shouldn't be able to buy an effective remedy if a handful can't take it but everyone should be administered lethal medications if they merely ask for them.


    April 9, 2005

    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:46 PM

    PEERS?:

    Greece rethinks Eurofighter (News 24, 09/04/2005)

    Greece is reconsidering a project by the former Socialist government to buy 60 Eurofighter jets for its air force, the defence ministry said here on Saturday.

    As both the Greek prime minister and defence minister are due to visit the United States in the coming weeks the press here is speculating the government may choose the US F-16 instead.


    Unemployment at 6.5m, not 5.2m: jobs chief (Expatica, 8 April 2005)
    The German government on Friday struggled to contain fallout after a damaging admission by the Federal Labour Office chief that the country's real jobless rate is far higher than official figures show.

    "I didn't have the courage to change the well-rehearsed ritual and name the 6.5 million figure," said Frank-Juergen Weise, head of the Federal Labour Office, according to media reports.

    Germany's official jobless rate is 5.2 million, or 12.5 percent. The 'ritual', which Weise mentioned, is his monthly press conference at the Office's headquarters in Nuremberg to present official jobs data.

    Weise's higher figure of 6.5 million unemployed takes into account those
    on state make-work projects and people who have simply stopped looking for work and are not counted in government statistics.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:34 PM

    JEEZUM:

    Jeffords' Theory (John P. Gregg, 4/07/05, Valley News)

    U.S. Sen. Jim Jeffords, the Vermont Independent, may face a clear field right now in a 2006 re-election bid, but his March 22 performance on Vermont Public Radio's Switchboard program raised a few eyebrows.

    For starters, Jeffords, who opposes the war in Iraq, predicted the Bush administration would start a war in Iran to help elect a third member of the Bush clan to the White House.

    “I think it was all done to get oil,” Jeffords said of invading Iraq. “And the loss of life that we had, and the cost of it, was to me just a re-election move, and they're going to try to live off it. Probably start another war, wouldn't be surprised, next year. Probably in Iran.”

    “Do you think that's likely?” VPR host Bob Kinzel asked.

    “I probably shouldn't even talk on it, I just feel so bitter about the thinking that's gone on behind them, and the reasons they go to war and went to war,” Jeffords replied. “But I feel very strongly that they are looking ahead, and that there will be an opportunity to go into Iran and try to get their son elected president. I don't know, but you do it each time they (are) going to have a new president. I’m very, very (Jeffords chuckles). Oh, well, I better be quiet.”

    In an interview this week, Jeffords spokesman Erik Smulson didn't back away from his boss's comments (which can be heard at vpr.net) and noted that Florida Gov. Jeb Bush -- the brother of the sitting president and son of former President George H.W. Bush -- is considered a possible 2008 GOP candidate for president.

    “Certainly, this is a theory that has been pretty well discussed in numerous circles, that Iran potentially will be the next battleground, and that Jeb Bush is certainly considered a possibility in '08,” Smulson said.


    Given that Vermont is represented in Congress by Mr. Jeffords, Pat Leahy and Bernie Sanders it seems worth looking into the process for revoking statehood.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:54 PM

    VULNERABLE INKUMBENT:

    Hiram Lewis to run for Senate nomination (AP, 4/09/05)

    State Republican Party Treasurer Hiram Lewis IV announced Saturday he planned to seek his party's nomination to challenge U.S. Sen. Robert C. Byrd in 2006.

    Lewis, an Army National Guard captain who served in Iraq, picked the second anniversary of the fall of Baghdad to announce his plans. The Morgantown lawyer made his announcement near the base of a statue of West Virginia's senior Democratic senator at the state Capitol in Charleston.

    "My candidacy is not a personal vendetta against the senior senator; rather it is simply time for a change,'' said Lewis, who lost the GOP nomination to challenge Democrat Sen. Jay Rockefeller in 2002. Lewis came close to upsetting Democrat Attorney General Darrell McGraw in November.


    Posted by Paul Jaminet at 12:04 PM

    UNDERSTANDING COMES WITH TIME:

    Time for a New Ad Campaign (Powerline, 4/9/2005)



    I would like to applaud Time magazine for journalistic excellence that is all too rare in America today.

    Here, an American soldier is praying. He has his hands clasped and head bowed as Christians are taught to pray.

    Now, this is surely mystifying behavior to secular liberals, who need help to "Know why" he is behaving in this way. So Time takes up this educational mission, and explains that he is praying because he is religious, and religious people pray, as Jesus taught -- "Pray always."

    This is the kind of insight into a foreign culture that keeps secular liberals shelling out the money for a Time subscription. Time is doing well by doing good -- increasing its liberal readership, while helping liberals to understand their fellow Americans. A worthy endeavor, and Time is right to trumpet its success through this ad.


    Posted by David Cohen at 11:32 AM

    THE AMERICAN RIGHT'S TRIBUTE TO JOHN PAUL THE GREAT

    Santorum rethinks death penalty stance (Ann Rodgers, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, 3/22/05)

    A new poll showing that Catholics are backing off support for the death penalty was no surprise to U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum, an outspoken conservative Catholic, who says he has been re-examining his own view.

    He has not become an abolitionist, and he believes church teaching against the death penalty carries less weight than its longer-standing opposition to abortion. But he questions what he once unquestioningly supported.

    "I felt very troubled about cases where someone may have been convicted wrongly. DNA evidence definitely should be used when possible," he said.

    "I agree with the pope that in the civilized world ... the application of the death penalty should be limited. I would definitely agree with that. I would certainly suggest there probably should be some further limits on what we use it for."

    The argument that it is inconsistent to ban the private killing of unborn children while permitting the just killing of especially heinous murderers is, as a matter of logic, idiotic. It is, however, emotionally compelling. As emotion always trumps reason in American politics, we know where this is heading.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:17 AM

    PLANNED OBSOLESCENCE:

    Fall in EU population forecast by 2050 (David Rennie, 09/04/2005, Daily Telegraph)

    The population of the European Union will fall dramatically by 2050, even allowing for the arrival of millions of immigrants, an official survey reported yesterday.

    Deaths would begin to outnumber births across the EU in the next five years, it predicted. [...]

    Overall, the total population of the EU is expected to rise by more than 13 million between now and 2025, although after 2010 that increase will be entirely the result of immigration.

    By 2025, even net migration will not be able to counteract the falling fertility of the continent and by 2050 the population of the EU will be 450 million, a decrease of more than 20 million people from the peak.

    There are rare exceptions: the populations of Ireland, Cyprus, Luxembourg, Malta and Sweden will continue to grow even after 2050, the survey says.

    The research was commissioned to try to estimate the scale of the pensions crisis that Europe will face as its population ages dramatically.

    Most governments fund retirement benefits from the taxes paid by those in employment and that system will come under intolerable strain as Europe becomes greyer.

    Some countries, such as Spain and Italy, face having one in three citizens over retirement age.


    Lord Darwin, spare us in our hour of need...


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:43 AM

    NOT NOTICING THE SELF-EVIDENT (via bboys):

    All God's Children Got Values (Michael Walzer, Spring 20905, Dissent)

    Liberals and leftists are engaged on many fronts, but we are not coherently engaged. No one on the left has succeeded in telling a story that brings together the different values to which we are committed and connects them to some general picture of what the modern world is like and what our country should be like. The right, by contrast, has a general picture. I don't think that its parts actually fit together in a coherent way, but they appear to do so. And in politics, despite the common view that all politicians pander to their constituencies, saying one thing here and its opposite there, the appearance of coherence is the name of the game.

    Scattershot doesn't work, not in arguments and not in campaigns; you need a coordinated barrage. And somehow, right-wing intellectuals and activists have managed to convince themselves and a lot of other people that the free market, individual self-reliance, the crusade for democracy, the war against terrorism, heterosexual marriage, conventional sex and gender roles, religious faith, and patriotic sentimentality all hang together. They are a coherent set, and together they constitute the American Way. And then the defense of "values," even if it's narrowly and weirdly focused-say, on sexual license in Hollywood movies-calls to mind everything else. Well, I guess it's not entirely weird; there is a recognizable picture of America here, even if it's a nostalgic picture, and even if a lot of Americans (maybe, today, most Americans) are left out of it.


    Much of this essay is quite sensible, typical of Mr. Walzer, but his confusion here is strange. The entire set of values that conservatism defends--the American Way--derives from the recognition that men are Created beings endowed with human dignity. All else follows.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:26 AM

    WAGES OF LIBERATION:

    Study: Risky Sex Can Lead to Early Death: Government report on health impact of risky behavior should raise eyebrows. (Stuart Shepard, 4/07/05, CitizenLink)

    The public health impact of risky sexual behavior in the United States is three times higher than in other developed nations, according to research by the federal government's Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

    The CDC says risky sex habits resulted in nearly 30,000 deaths and about 20 million adverse health consequences in a single year. The majority of deaths involved men with HIV, while the majority of adverse health consequences were among women.

    Dr. Hal Wallis, an OB-GYN and executive board member of the Physicians Consortium, said a common—and false—impression is that diseases other than HIV are somewhat minor and have no impact.

    "Women are much more susceptible to these diseases," Wallis said, "and they suffer a great deal of the consequences—more serious consequences than men do; particularly the consequences of gonorrhea and Chlamydia, which can produce severe infections and, in some instances, death."


    And people wonder why the straight white male monolith tolerated women's liberation and gay liberation?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:21 AM

    OWNERS AREN'T WEAK:

    The Vultures of Life (Brian Cook, April 8, 2005, In These Times)

    It’s apparently not enough for George W. Bush to have taken the words “freedom,” “liberty,” and “democracy,” and perverted their meanings beyond any recognizable definition. His latest lexical transformation targets nothing less than “life” itself.

    The president has been on the stump touting the “culture of life” and we can cheerily look forward to being saturated by the term for the indefinite future. The death of Pope John Paul II provided Bush both an occasion to hail the phrase’s progenitor and a political opportunity to “stay on message.”

    What is that message? According to Bush, it is a culture “in which the strong protect the weak.” It’s tempting to suggest that “protect” here means something akin to “feast on the vanquished flesh of.” But perhaps it’s wiser to take Bush’s meaning at face value, and note that his usage precludes the possibility of empowering the weak. The unspoken assumption is that the strong must continue to be strong and, more significant, that the weak must continue to be kept weak.

    The administration’s proposed budget spelled the logic out clearly. Strengthen the strong—tax cuts for the rich and budget increases for their military “protectors.” Weaken the weak—budget cuts to education, housing subsidies and other social services.


    Education and housing vouchers, HSAs and privatized SS, and the Faith-based Initiative are all about empowering the poor. The Left may oppose such market-oriented solutions to poverty but they are very much a part of the Culture of Life. Meanwhile, we know this much: their statist approach has been an abject failure.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:14 AM

    SOME MEN THERE ARE WHO DO NOT CONCEDE THE WALL:

    John Paul the Great: Statesman and prophet, he overcame the poverty of the possible. (Joseph Bottum, 04/18/2005, Weekly Standard)

    HISTORY LABORS--A WORN machine, sick with torsion, ill-meshed--and every repair of an old fault ruptures something new. Or so it seems, much of the time. Our historical choices are limited, constrained by the poverty of what appears possible at any given moment. To be a good leader is, for most figures who walk the world's stage, merely to pick the best among the available options--to push back where one can, to hold on to the good that remains, to resist a little the stream of history as it seems to flow toward its cataract.

    For the past decade and a half, John Paul II was a good leader. He had his failures: losing the fight for recognition of Christianity in the European constitution, watching the democratic energy he generated during his 1998 visit to Cuba dissipate without much apparent damage to Castro's dictatorship, seeing his efforts to influence China's anti-religious regime peter out. But he had his successes as well: convincing even his bitterest opponents in the Church to join in at least the verbal rejection of abortion, regularizing Vatican relations with Israel to allow his millennial visit to the Holy Land, inspiring the defeat of the Mafia in Sicily.

    With the drama of his final illness and death, he offered a lesson about the fullness, the arc, of human life. With the prophetic voice he used in his later writings, he pointed to spiritual possibilities that were being closed by what he once called the "disease of superficiality." Always he was present,
    one of the world's conspicuous figures, pushing on history where he could, guiding the Church as much as it would be guided, choosing the best among the available options--doing all that a good leader should.

    But before that--for over a decade at the beginning of his pontificate, from his installation as pope in 1978 through the final collapse of Soviet communism in 1991--John Paul II was something more, something different, something beyond mere possibility. He wasn't simply a good leader. He was inspired, and he seemed to walk through walls.


    Funny how often all that greatness requires is the recognition that Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn, the Pope and Ronald Reagan shared: "Yes, yes, of course, we all know you cannot poke a stick through the walls of a concrete tower, but here's something to think about: what if the walls are only a painted backdrop?"

    The walking part is easy. It's knowing how feeble the walls are that sets you apart.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:02 AM

    NO PERSECUTION, BUT A DECENT SENSE OF SHAME, PLEASE:

    Gay Marriage and the Deliberate Sense (Paul J. Cella III, April 8, 2005, Claremont Writings)

    What the urban elite tends to overlook is that on an issue like gay marriage the most prominent feature is not disagreement or division but rather settled agreement. Though we are told incessantly that gay marriage is a "polarizing" or "wedge" issue, easily taken up by cynical demagogues, in fact it is not. It is only the lack of perspective among the urban elite that produces this confusion. Gay marriage is only a "wedge" issue between a faction (albeit a loud and ubiquitous faction) and the people themselves—between the urban elites and what The Federalist meaningfully terms "the deliberate sense of the community." The "division," such as it is, on gay marriage emphatically does not mirror the division designated by the red and blue states. Let it be noted that blue states by the plenty, while voting reliably for Democrats, even sending near-socialists to Congress year after year, have nonetheless passed prohibitions on gay marriage. Noting this, we are pressed with a pregnant question: Would any state, in the entire Union, act deliberately through its duly-elected representatives sitting in legislative bodies (which do not, mind you, include courts) to legalize gay marriage? We can push the matter farther: How many polities of any kind—federal, state, local—would legislate through their representatives to legalize gay marriage? Atlanta, Georgia votes 9-1 Democratic, yet it would be a close-run thing indeed whether the city would legalize gay marriage.

    These are interesting facts, and they point to something larger, for we have yet to really consider the decisive factor in this; the factor which elevates this discussion from the nitty-gritty of politics (where, I say again, all political discourse must begin: not for nothing did Socrates simply walk about the city and interrogate various Athenians) to the supreme heights of political philosophy. Certainly a large number of Americans, probably amounting to a majority, oppose gay marriage on moral and religious grounds (which means, for the Left, that they oppose it because they are bigots), quite aside from constitutional objections. But something has carried this from an issue of majority opinion to an issue of supermajority opinion. Something, in short, has given opposition to gay marriage the status, not merely of a narrow majority but of "the people themselves" (Publius's phrasing again). Is it possible that the decisive objection of gay marriage lies not in its substance but in the method of its enthusiasts? If so, other questions demand attention. Could it be that what so many Americans—Democrats and Republicans, red-staters and blue-staters, men and women, Pacific Northwesterners and Southerners—are so jealous to protect, against the truculence of the innovators and despite all the stigma that attaches to it in polite society, is the nature and form of their government, which the innovators are threatening to subvert? Could it be that what the innovators in their enthusiasm have inadvertently put at issue is the very thing that makes all other issues fade into the background? Could it be that they have threatened, by opening it up to existential examination, the very thing which was so precious that Lincoln mournfully led the nation into a bloody war of brother against brother to preserve, that it "shall not perish from this earth"?

    I would answer: yes.


    I'd answer: no. It wasn't how the issue was being handled. It isn't even the mere fact that folks find homosexuality repellant. It is the attempt to make homosexuality seem morally parallel to or equivalent to heterosexuality. The normal supermajority will likely allow gays their deviance so long as they don't make such extravagant claims for it. We don't want to barge into their closets to stop them, but do prefer they stay more or less inside them.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:00 AM

    AS THE SUN GOES...:

    Nothing less than victory (Richard Littlejohn, 4/09/05, The Spectator)

    ‘It’s the Sun wot won it,’ crowed Kelvin MacKenzie with characteristic chutzpah on the front page of Britain’s best-selling newspaper after Neil Kinnock had crashed to defeat in the 1992 general election. As the nation went to the polls, the Currant Bun featured the Welsh Windbag’s head inside a 40-watt bulb, under the headline, ‘If Kinnock wins, will the last person to leave Britain please turn out the lights.’ When the Tories were returned to office, Kelvin was quick to claim the credit.

    Well, up to a point, Lord Wapping. The Sun has a voice, but it doesn’t have a vote. In truth, it was the Sun’s readers wot won it, just as they had in every other election in modern times. During the 1980s they backed the Thatcher revolution, which transformed their lives, respected them as individuals, freed them from trade union tyranny and put money in their pockets.

    By 1992 the Tories had run out of steam and had replaced the Iron Lady with a leader for whom the term lacklustre might have been minted. The good times of the Eighties were a distant memory as interest rates soared and the property bubble burst. All those who had bought their council houses suddenly found their homes worth less than their mortgages. Black Wednesday was just a few short months away.

    And yet, and yet.... As a columnist on the Sun, my postbag provides a pretty accurate insight into the mood of the readers. In 1992 they were sick of the sight of the Conservatives but couldn’t bring themselves to make the great leap forward to Labour, especially under the buffoonish leadership of Kinnocchio.

    Some commentators see the defining moment of that campaign as Labour’s Sheffield rally. It was meant to be Kinnock’s Martin Luther King ‘I have a dream’ moment. Instead, it was more like the assassination of MLK — except that Kinnock turned the gun on himself. He stood on the podium and screamed, ‘Well, AWWLLL-RIIIGHTTT!!’ He sounded less like a potential prime minister and more like Bob Seger and the Silver Bullet Band live at the Detroit Silverdome. Sun readers saw the future of rock’n’roll and trooped to the polls to return the Tories for a fourth successive term.

    So where are we up to this time around? Again I look to my postbag, as well as my viscera. As the phoney war splutters to an end and the campaign proper begins, everything tells me this is 1992 all over again. [....]

    [I] sense that the Conservatives are still too cautious, worried about the backlash from the BBC and the ‘liberal’ media. Too much of what’s on offer seems managerial, not revolutionary. There’s no promise of a sea change as there was in 1979 and 1997. Where’s the silver bullet? ‘There is no silver bullet.’


    The Tories need to attack Europe if they want those votes.


    April 8, 2005

    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:57 PM

    BADLY KEPT SECRET:

    Revealed: Tony Blair's Catholic secret (Damian Thompson, 09/04/2005, Daily Telegraph)

    The scene: the nave of Westminster Cathedral, its Byzantine mosaics glistening below bare brick walls that are still unfinished after a century. The occasion: Solemn Vespers for His late Holiness Pope John Paul II.

    Enter Tony Blair, the (Protestant) Prime Minister of the (Protestant) United Kingdom, who makes a little bob of genuflection before the Catholic Blessed Sacrament.

    Tony and Cherie Blair
    Cherie Blair wearing her mantilla

    Enter the Prime Minister's wife, a feminist Catholic who did not even wear a hat to the funeral of the Princess of Wales.

    She is not wearing a hat this time, either: dangling from her head is a black lace veil known as a mantilla. She looks like a Sicilian widow about to fling herself on her husband's coffin.

    In the pews, the editor of one Catholic newspaper turns to the chairman of another.

    Editor: "Is Cherie wearing what I think she's wearing?" Chairman: "Good God. I haven't seen a mantilla for 20 years."

    As last Monday's congregation assembled, the Cardinal, bishops and priests of the cathedral blinked in disbelief.

    In the front row sat the heir to the throne, who had just postponed his own wedding so that he could fly to Rome for the Pope's funeral yesterday.

    The Prince of Wales and Camilla Parker Bowles said that they took this decision "immediately" on learning that the Windsor ceremony would clash with the papal obsequies - though, as we shall see, there are reasons for taking this claim with a pinch of salt.

    On entering the pew, the Prince leaned forward awkwardly in the time-honoured manner of Anglicans who cannot quite bring themselves to kneel in a Catholic church.

    Next to him was his fiancée; then the Prime Minister and Mrs Blair - who, unless the cameras lied, gave Mrs Parker Bowles a distinctly old-fashioned look from underneath her veil.

    Behind them sat the leaders of the Conservative and Liberal Democrat parties, and representatives of the Jewish, Muslim, Sikh, Buddhist and Baha'i faiths. As for the Archbishop of Canterbury, Dr Rowan Williams, he was not in the pews at all, but robed in a place of honour in the sanctuary.

    "Last time I looked, Britain wasn't a Roman Catholic country," wrote Vicki Woods in The Telegraph the next morning. And, of course, it isn't. But last Monday, it wasn't doing a very good impression of a Protestant one.

    "It was like a miracle," says Fr Michael Seed, ecumenical adviser to Cardinal Cormac Murphy-O'Connor. "Tony Blair, Prince Charles, Lady Thatcher, John Major, Michael Howard, Charles Kennedy, the Lord Chancellor, half the Cabinet and the entire diplomatic corps, plus the Union flag at half mast and prayers in mosques... This is a time of God's blessing on the earth."

    After the service, however, many worshippers were still fixated on the mystery of Cherie's headgear. Wearing a mantilla in London is the equivalent of a modern City banker sporting a bowler hat - a head-turning anachronism.

    "I know she's proud of her faith, but she didn't have to rub our noses in it," grumbled one Catholic grandee.

    In fact, there was an innocent and rather sweet reason why Cherie was wearing a mantilla: she wanted to remind herself of the time she wore it - as convention demanded - when Pope John Paul celebrated Mass for the Blair family at the Vatican in February 2003.

    That story has never been properly told; bits of it emerged at the time, only to be swiftly - and untruthfully - denied by Vatican sources.

    Next week, however, an authoritative account of it will appear in Garry O'Connor's new papal biography Universal Father, based on a 90-minute interview with Cherie Blair. Only one key detail is missing.


    If Europeans could only process the obvious they'd not have so much trouble understanding Tony Blair.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:57 PM

    A CULTURE OF LIFE DOESN'T LEAVE MUCH WIGGLE ROOM:

    Greatness Is By Nature Enigmatic (Paul J. Cella, 04/08/2005, Tech Central Station)

    It is understandable that there would be serious confusion in properly evaluating a man such a Karol Wojtyla. For one thing greatness is by nature enigmatic -- and there can be no doubt that John Paul II was a great man. But more importantly, this confusion derives from the decay and dissolution of our politics, which accompanies the decay and dissolution of the modern age. Thus we discover (or at least, the media has discovered) that while John Paul was fairly orthodox in his theology, and while he firmly opposed Communism, he also tended toward a certain religious or sentimental Liberalism. Theologically John Paul II was indeed orthodox, which in the dominant terminology of Liberalism can only mean that he was a "traditionalist." In fact theological orthodoxy is not traditionalism but simply Christianity.

    But outside of core Catholic doctrine -- doctrine, it should be noted, that a pope has no authority to change -- it is difficult to call him anything but a Liberal: While no pacifist, and loyal to the Just War tradition, his pronouncements on war placed him squarely in opposition to most conflicts. His apologies for past Christian sins, though in many ways magnificent and wholly just, were extravagant gestures indeed, leaving one with the impression that the Church had condemned events that needed no condemnation. When visiting the United States he argued that mass immigration was a duty for wealthy countries like America, and that the Culture of Life required solidarity with not only "the elderly, the infirm, the unborn," but also, discordantly, the immigrant. He was a tireless ecumenist, both within Christianity and outside it, which caused many to wonder whether he was minimizing theological and philosophical differences of the utmost gravity, and attenuating, ever so slightly, the imperative distinction between truth and falsehood. His particular solicitude for Islam, at a time when Christians everywhere need to be reminded of the great struggle their fathers waged against this most relentless rival and foe, from Manzikert to Jerusalem, from Tours to Vienna, in retrospect seems unfortunate and demoralizing.

    In short, John Paul seemed to embody the kind of disorder that the end of the modern age augurs for our politics. Conservatives adored him despite his Liberalism, even cited his Liberalism as justifying their admiration; while Liberals, ignoring his agreement with them on so much, despised him for his unwillingness to open the Church to the full "spirit of Vatican II."


    Nothing better demonstrates the adulthood of conservatives and the childishness of the Left than that the Right could deal with their occassional disagreements with the Pope while liberals couldn't.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:52 PM

    THE VALUE OF GOOD MANNERS:

    Bush keeps low profile at John Paul II's funeral (Bill Sammon, 4/07/05, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

    President Bush, determined not to upstage the funeral of Pope John Paul II, kept an unusually low profile in Rome yesterday, although former President Bill Clinton gave a television interview watched by millions.

    "He recognizes the significance of the moment," White House spokesman Scott McClellan said of Mr. Bush. "And the focus rightly should be on the Holy Father."

    Mr. Bush became the first president in years to conduct a full day's schedule on foreign soil without allowing a single press question, photograph or even fleeting image on videotape. His father, the first President Bush, also refrained from interviews. [...]

    Normally, reporters are allowed to witness a portion of a president's meetings with foreign leaders.

    But yesterday, the White House refused to allow reporters or photographers to glimpse any portion of President Bush's meetings with Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, Italian President Carlo Ciampi and 20 American cardinals, archbishops and bishops.

    "This is a time of mourning and it's also a time to celebrate the life of a great moral leader, and that's the reason we are here in Rome," Mr. McClellan said. "The purpose of the trip is to be here for the funeral of John Paul II."

    He added that Mr. Bush "recognizes that this is a time to pay tribute to and honor the Holy Father and all that he stood for."

    Photographers and TV news crews accompanying Mr. Bush said they could not remember another foreign trip during which they were unable to capture an image of a president at least walking through a doorway.


    This is just how the Bush family is raised.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:48 PM

    DO DEMOCRATS EVEN KNOW THERE IS A MAP?:

    Advanced weapons for India: US Embassy sources (Rediff, April 08, 2005)

    United States has offered India advanced weapons like Patriot PaC II anti-missile systems and network-centric early warning and battlefield control and command systems.

    The offer follows US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's announcement of plans to engage New Delhi in closer strategic partnership.

    "We intend to re-draw the strategic map of Indo-US relations," a senior US Embassy official said.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:47 PM

    STILL NO WORD FROM THE ACLU:

    Rudolph to Plead Guilty to Bombings (Fox News, April 08, 2005)

    Eric Rudolph has agreed to plead guilty to carrying out the deadly bombing at the 1996 Atlanta Olympics and setting off three other blasts in a deal that allows the anti-government extremist to escape the death penalty, Justice Department officials said Friday.

    "The many victims of Eric Rudolph's terrorist attacks ... can rest assured that Rudolph will spend the rest of his life behind bars," Attorney General Alberto Gonzales said.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:30 PM

    WHAT'S LEFT OF EUROPE FOR THEM TO ASSIMILATE TO?:

    Raymond Aron and the End of Europe (Christopher Caldwell, April 7, 2005, Bradley Lecture Series)

    I’d like to spend our time this afternoon trying to figure out what European identity is, and how much of it can reasonably be preserved. There are many ways to do this. My plan, a somewhat arbitrary one, is to use the work of Raymond Aron, the French political scientist, philosopher, sociologist, and historian who died in 1983 and would have turned 100 last month. For the benefit of those in the audience who are under, say, 30, Aron was a brilliant young student at the Ecole Normal Supérieure, studied in Germany during the first Hitler years, established himself as a top-flight academic philosopher, fled to England with De Gaulle, where he was editor in chief of the main resistance publication, La France libre. After the war, at age 40, despite never having written a real news article in his life, he went to work at Le Figaro. He never left journalism, but he did become professor of sociology at the Sorbonne in 1955. He closed out his career at the School of Advanced Studies in the Social Sciences, and founded the truly great French quarterly Commentaire.

    Aron was, for the French right, what Jean-Paul Sartre was to the French left—a standard-bearer matters of both day-to-day political position-taking … and deep theoretical reflection. Sartre, incidentally, was Aron’s youthful friend, and will also have his centenary this year, a couple months from now. Their friendship did not survive Aron’s conversion to anti-Communism. He saw in Stalin’s Russia the same kind of imperialistic insatiability that he had seen in Hitler’s Germany in the 1930s. Aron, I would say, was a rightist only in a French sense. He was probably the pre-eminent Atlanticist in post-war France, keen to correct what he saw as a generalized French ignorance of the United States--although he was not an unthinking supporter of the U.S., either, particularly during Vietnam. That said, he applied the same generally anti-colonialist attitude to France, particularly during the Algerian war. We would consider him either on the far right of the left or the far left of the right.

    Aron wrote about 40 books of sociology, history, philosophy, and journalism, and there are another dozen posthumous collections of articles and essays. He has been extremely well anthologized--I highly recommend the 800-page behemoth edited a decade ago by Christian Bachelier called A History of the 20th Century. But the works of Aron are a very large country--and I am a stranger in most of it. I hope you’ll forgive me if my reading of him is selective. And the last thing I want to do is to assume what position Aron would have taken on issues affecting Europe today. As the Harvard professor Harvey C. Mansfield said recently about Aron, we do not “have his advice; we only have his wisdom offered for previous emergencies.”

    Aron’s wisdom was, if you’ll pardon the expression, phenomenological. He cared about things and actions more than he did about ideological labels. I’ll give you an example. A key theme in much of his work--and one that I’ll return to before the end of this talk--is that until very late in the 20th century, people were judging events according to 19th-century conceptions. Particularly intellectuals, who had an understanding of socialism that time had already shown to be largely mythological. “In theory,” Aron wrote, “a revolution is defined as a liberation. Yet the revolutions of the 20th century seem, if not revolutions of enslavement, at the very least revolutions of authority.” [...]

    There is one thing that separates Aron from the run of political journalists in France and the United States. He actually knew something about how a modern economy worked. Although he was prescient about the global economy, he did not live to see globalization in full flower. What would he have made of it? We can get an approximation by way of an analogy. The change in economic organization that results as we move from a state-based to a global economy is structurally similar to the change in diplomacy as one moves from a state-based to an Empire-based foreign policy (“Empire,” by the way, is a word that Aron was quite comfortable using to describe both of the nuclear-armed blocs in the Cold War--he called the United States an imperial republic--but he did not use the term, by any means, the way today’s hard left uses it). For Aron, the Eastern European nations in the aftermath of the war were only “fictively restored.” There was no real Poland in 1945--there was a space run by the Soviet army in which Poles lived. “Political units, such as they exist according to international law, are national,” he wrote. “Military units, such as they exist in reality, are imperial.”

    The national economies of Western Europe have today become similarly “fictive”. Nowhere is this clearer than in the parts of Europe that present themselves as most typical. You go to an Italian wine town and think, “Wow! Now I’m in the real Italy!” But then you realize the winery is owned by Germans, the town is inhabited by English vacationers, and the people who clean the dishes in the French-owned restaurant are all Romanians. The Italians who used to live there have had to move to poorer towns, maybe along some highway near fast-food restaurants.

    This is just life in the global economy, but it matters more to Europeans than it does to Americans. The ability to control a national economic space is central to creating a welfare state, and the welfare state, as I have said, is central to European identity. You see the paradox. There is a very interesting book by the Harvard economists Alberto Alesina and Edward Glaeser, called Fighting Poverty in the U.S. and Europe. It compares American and European welfare policies, and finds that one of the very important reasons that American benefits are relatively low is that America is both a diverse and an immigrant-based country. The taxpaying natives suspect that their money is going to people who are not like them, and may be ripping them off. Whether American voters are right or wrong, they will not vote for European-level welfare benefits. The question is whether, as Europe becomes demographically more like America--both through immigration, and through internal migration within the EU--it will lower its benefits. The answer is, yes, it will.

    Demographic change as a policy issue did not really enter public discussion until after Aron died--in fact, in some places, it is creeping into the debate only now--but it is so central to Europeans’ idea of what is de-Europeanizing them that we need to make a brief excursion into it.

    An excellent guide to the scope of European demographic change is an AEI paper published by Nicholas Eberstadt last November. It notes that Europe’s population is the world’s oldest, and in little more than a decade its median age will begin creeping towards 50. The continent’s birthrate is well below replacement. In fact, it is the lowest birthrate ever recorded for a major geographical area. Other studies show that Europe’s population is going to start shrinking extremely rapidly by 2015. And as social science statistics go, demographic projections, at least over the short and medium term, tend to be quite accurate. So Europe faces a choice: either allowing massive immigration--and some estimates are that the necessary levels will be around 50 to 100 million over the coming decades. Or … permitting the economy to go massively out of whack, through both unfunded welfare mandates and skyrocketing labor costs. A lot of people up until about 5 years ago held out hope that Europe’s immigration needs could be met through the new member states of Eastern Europe. But in 2002, a book by the German economist Meinhardt Miegel called The Deformed Society showed that the former East Bloc’s birthrates were in most cases even lower than Western Europe’s. Any significant migration from the Eastern European countries would cause a brain drain that would badly damage even the healthiest Eastern economies.

    Now, Europeans are not, for the most part, panicking over this. A Eurobarometer poll showed recently that 56 percent of Europeans recognize the need for immigrant labor, while 80 percent favor more stringent border controls. That sounds self-contradictory, but maybe it’s not. Europeans, it seems, are neither so naïve as to think they can maintain the ethnic and cultural make-up of their countries, nor so politically correct as to admit any reprobate who shows up at the gates of Europe. Their problem is they’re having trouble figuring out where the gates of Europe are.

    Islam

    What worries them is Islam. Americans often snicker at Europeans for having allowed so many Muslims to immigrate over the last three decades. But such snickering is misplaced. I’m reminded of an article Midge Decter wrote a few years ago about the young crowds of Catholic youths who would gather in public squares whenever the late Pope showed up, shouting, We want God! We want God! This was true of immigrants, too, and she said, “Who even knew--or what is more to the point, who even cared--whether they were Catholic or not?”

    That is more to the point. I have never heard any American comment in a negative way on the overwhelming Catholicism of our Latin American immigrants. This is somewhat surprising. After all, there are organized forces in this society--such as feminists--whose interests clash with those of believing Catholics, if they stop to think about it. But no one ever did stop to think about it. And Europe behaved as we did.


    Fortunately, in America the Left hasn't yet figured out just how antithetical to its values is the immigrant population. When the President got over 40% of the Latino vote in the last election you began to hear them question immigration. If Jeb Bush were to run in '08 and get over 50% the Minutemen would be joined by NARAL and the Human Rights Campaign and the rest. Ultimately though, our immigrants are simply making us more American, while Europe's stand to change it radically--quite possibly for the better.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:37 PM

    GOTTA DRAW THE LINE SOMEWHERE:

    After incident, man asked to leave Minuteman Project (BILL HESS, April 8, 2005, S V Herald)

    A Minuteman Project volunteer who was investigated for potentially detaining an illegal immigrant by force has been asked to leave the volunteer group.

    Bryan Barton, who reportedly is a possible Republican candidate for one of the California congressional seats, reportedly came upon an illegal immigrant and forced the man to hold a T-shirt that read: "Bryan Barton caught an illegal and all I got was this lousy T-shirt."


    You're just supposed to deny them the opportunities your own forebears came here seeking, not humiliate them.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:33 PM

    PRO PHIL AXIS:

    THE FUTURE OF CATHOLICISM (Maggie Gallagher, 4/06/05, UExpress)

    Sexual liberalism has a lot going for it, but it does have this one little drawback: Religions or societies that adopt it appear to die out.

    In the age of Britney Spears, not every Catholic is going to accept all of the sexual teachings of this pope, or the next. And those of us who do are not always going to consistently practice what he preaches. That's human nature.

    But human nature, as John Paul the Great reminded us, also includes an intense desire to find meaning in sexual love, to experience ourselves as male and female, to participate in creation, to connect love, sex, babies, to give all of ourselves (including our capacity to create new life) to another human being who loves us unreservedly in return.

    To me, the shock is not how few American Catholics accept the church's sexual teachings, but how many of us are out there in a society where such teachings are ridiculed in every way.

    I have never heard a sermon on sex in a Catholic church. Few Catholic schools devote energy to forming young Catholics' views on these matters. Yet in the largest recent poll on Catholic opinion I could find (a Zogby poll of 1,500 Catholics in 2001), 36 percent of all Catholics support the church's teachings on contraception. (No doubt if one surveyed only churchgoing Catholics, the proportion would be higher.) Think of it! Right now there are 25 million American Catholics who accept the church's teaching on sexuality. That's more people than live in the states of Georgia, Alabama, Arizona, West Virginia and Minnesota combined.

    If each one of these faithful Catholics had, on average, three children and could find Catholic schools and communities that help them transmit the Catholic faith to their children, it wouldn't take long for a second sexual revolution to get under way.

    Who knows? Maybe it already has.


    As the culture swings back to being more conservative generally the Church will have a much easier time getting even more folks to accept its pretty basic teachings on sexuality.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:47 AM

    THE GREAT EXPERIMENT:

    John Paul II on the American Experiment (First Things, April 1998)

    In receiving the credentials of the Honorable Lindy Boggs as Ambassador to the Holy See on December 16, 1997, Pope John Paul II offered some pointed comments on the "credibility" of the United States and its world leadership. Herewith the complete text of a statement that bears close reading.
    — The Editors
    [...]

    The Founding Fathers of the United States asserted their claim to freedom and independence on the basis of certain "self-evident" truths about the human person: truths which could be discerned in human nature, built into it by "nature’s God." Thus they meant to bring into being, not just an independent territory, but a great experiment in what George Washington called "ordered liberty": an experiment in which men and women would enjoy equality of rights and opportunities in the pursuit of happiness and in service to the common good. Reading the founding documents of the United States, one has to be impressed by the concept of freedom they enshrine: a freedom designed to enable people to fulfill their duties and responsibilities toward the family and toward the common good of the community. Their authors clearly understood that there could be no true freedom without moral responsibility and accountability, and no happiness without respect and support for the natural units or groupings through which people exist, develop, and seek the higher purposes of life in concert with others.

    The American democratic experiment has been successful in many ways. Millions of people around the world look to the United States as a model in their search for freedom, dignity, and prosperity. But the continuing success of American democracy depends on the degree to which each new generation, native-born and immigrant, makes its own the moral truths on which the Founding Fathers staked the future of your Republic. Their commitment to build a free society with liberty and justice for all must be constantly renewed if the United States is to fulfill the destiny to which the Founders pledged their "lives . . . fortunes . . . and sacred honor."

    I am happy to take note of your words confirming the importance that your government attaches, in its relations with countries around the world, to the promotion of human rights and particularly to the fundamental human right of religious freedom, which is the guarantee of every other human right. Respect for religious conviction played no small part in the birth and early development of the United States. Thus John Dickinson, Chairman of the Committee for the Declaration of Independence, said in 1776: "Our liberties do not come from charters; for these are only the declaration of preexisting rights. They do not depend on parchments or seals; but come from the King of Kings and the Lord of all the earth." Indeed it may be asked whether the American democratic experiment would have been possible, or how well it will succeed in the future, without a deeply rooted vision of divine providence over the individual and over the fate of nations.

    As the year 2000 draws near and Christians prepare to celebrate the bi-millennium of the birth of Christ, I have appealed for a serious examination of conscience regarding the shadows that darken our times. Nations and states too can make this a time of reflection on the spiritual and moral conditions of their success in promoting the integral good of their people. It would truly be a sad thing if the religious and moral convictions upon which the American experiment was founded could now somehow be considered a danger to free society, such that those who would bring these convictions to bear upon your nation’s public life would be denied a voice in debating and resolving issues of public policy. The original separation of church and state in the United States was certainly not an effort to ban all religious conviction from the public sphere, a kind of banishment of God from civil society. Indeed, the vast majority of Americans, regardless of their religious persuasion, are convinced that religious conviction and religiously informed moral argument have a vital role in public life.

    No expression of today’s commitment to liberty and justice for all can be more basic than the protection afforded to those in society who are most vulnerable. The United States of America was founded on the conviction that an inalienable right to life was a self-evident moral truth, fidelity to which was a primary criterion of social justice. The moral history of your country is the story of your people’s efforts to widen the circle of inclusion in society, so that all Americans might enjoy the protection of law, participate in the responsibilities of citizenship, and have the opportunity to make a contribution to the common good. Whenever a certain category of people—the unborn or the sick and old—are excluded from that protection, a deadly anarchy subverts the original understanding of justice. The credibility of the United States will depend more and more on its promotion of a genuine culture of life, and on a renewed commitment to building a world in which the weakest and most vulnerable are welcomed and protected.


    MORE:
    It's interesting to note that even a European who is purported to grasp the importance of religion completely fails to understand that a healthy state requires precisely such a foundation, Man and God in France: a review of La République, les religions, l’espérance by Nicolas Sarkozy (Timothy Lehmann, Policy Review)

    France’s religious demons were supposed to have been exorcized with the enactment in 1905 of a law forbidding state funding of religion. This was the culmination of a hundred-year religious war of sorts that began when — after the often strange and violent events following the beginning of the French Revolution in 1789 — laïcité triumphed, and religion was banished from the public square, hopefully to die a slow and quiet death in the hearts of the last few believers.

    But with the influx of Muslim immigrants from the Maghreb, of whom there are now at least 5 million and counting — including a burgeoning number of youth — the challenge and political necessity of integrating them into France’s increasingly secular society has fallen to its political leaders. Sarkozy has thus far been the most visible and articulate interpreter of the question of religion and politics and his views have come into daylight with the publication of this book. La Republic vigorously challenges France’s existing laws and status quo, reinvigorates questions about the soul, and throws into doubt widely accepted and encrusted beliefs about the temporal and the eternal. While Sarkozy’s practical concern is how to improve French society and promote tolerance among Muslims, Jews, Christians, and nonbelievers in France, his overall approach to the question of religion and society has much in common with the views of many American conservatives.

    Although it is unwise to try to make windows into men’s souls to know their true beliefs, what is incontrovertibly true is that Nicolas Sarkozy is the son of a Hungarian emigrant father and a French Jewish mother, and he is also a member of the Roman Catholic Church. As he puts it, “I am of Catholic culture, Catholic tradition, Catholic faith. Even if my religious practice is episodic, I acknowledge myself as a member of the Catholic Church.” Furthermore, he believes that “spiritual need and hope are not satisfied by the republican ideal. . . . [The republic] is the best way to live together, but it is not the finality of man.” Sarkozy acknowledges the importance of religion in France and of the religious sphere in life generally. He follows America’s friendly critic, Alexis de Tocqueville, who advised Americans to avoid the tragedies of Europe’s past by not integrating politics and religion too closely, but also cautioned us not to remove either from human life altogether. His views stand in stark contrast to those of most contemporary secular French politicians, who see no place for this outmoded, superstitious, dangerous, and apparently superfluous aspect of human life. Sarkozy’s book appeared on the heels of a summer in which Christianity’s meaning and impact on Europe’s traditions and contemporary life had been hotly debated, with scant success achieved by religious leaders.

    It is important to make a distinction regarding political secularism that is often forgotten. Sarkozy recoils from any “sectarian” understanding of laïcité and is unequivocally committed to secular democracy. Good secular government also ensures that religious leaders do not manage the untidy business of political power, in spite of all temptation. Spiritual and temporal powers must remain separate, and Sarkozy opposes writing God into the European constitution. But he is an opponent of the absolute secularization of society that attempts to remove any and all religious influence from human life. [...]

    In Sarkozy’s mind, religion answers an important need in any healthy society. A stable balance between religion and good politics can be achieved without sanctioning a state religion and forced proselytism, and without favoring one religion over another. Sarkozy doesn’t fail to point out that the religion which he has worked hardest to incorporate into French society, Islam, is not his own. He has labored for it not in the name of his own faith but in the name of the republic. While he is a proud defender of the established French Republic (and its intransigent division between the autonomy of the political, governed by free human beings, and religious authority), he realizes equally the need and importance of religion in any society, Muslim, Christian, Jewish, or otherwise. “The spiritual question,” he says, “is one of hope, of hope to have, after death, a perspective of accomplishment in eternity.”


    One of the ultimate questions is whether a rational and enlightened (or irrationally enlightened) Europe has really figured things out, once and for all. Can people live contentedly in a post-historical paradise of material pursuit? Or is there something not completely satisfying about those circumstances? The debate over religion in Europe is whether it was a noxious (and now discredited) fairy tale that caused needless bloodshed and suffering in the Middle Ages, or an important part of society, the absence of which caused needless bloodshed and suffering in the century just past. Clearly, both alternatives in their extremes sought to establish unnatural utopias on earth. The attempt to satisfy religious longings was horrifyingly damaging to decent political and social life in the Middle Ages. But the attempted extirpation by force of the unsatisfied religious longing from Nazi Germany and Communist Russia was equally, if not more horrifyingly, damaging to Europe. Its unforced extirpation in some of the liberal democracies of the West is damaging in its own way. In Sarkozy’s eyes, “religions must exist elsewhere besides in the museums, and the churches must not become nostalgic conservatories of a glorious past. . . .We’re not in the ussr where the churches became markets and gymnasiums.” He sees in religious structures “a factor of integration, of meetings, of exchanges, whichever religion is concerned.”


    -St. Peter's in Chains (George Neumayr, 4/7/2005, American Spectator)
    As secularization picked up speed in the 18th and 19th century and went into overdrive in the 20th, modern liberals militated to secularize and control everything, including the Catholic Church, which they regarded as the only cultural obstacle left to surmount. Enlightenment dilettante Denis Diderot spoke of strangling the last priest with "the guts of the last king."

    The Church had smelled a rat before the French Revolution. Pope Pius VI warned that the misnamed "Enlightenment" would destroy Europe's God-centered culture, decimate its moral foundations, and turn government into a pitiless impostor god. For daring to see that the "Rights of Man" would mean eradicating real rights in the name of fake ones, and warning his clergy of the coming culture of death -- "Beware of lending your ears to the treacherous speech of the philosophy of this age which leads to death" -- Pope Pius VI was stripped of his liberty by Europe's new forces of "liberty, equality, and fraternity." He ended up dying in Valence under French arrest. The French later arrested Pope Pius VII. Napoleon, the Enlightenment's favorite strongman, seized papal territories in 1809 and had Pius VII imprisoned in Fontainebleau until 1814.

    What's the point? What does any of this have to do with the death of Pope John Paul II and the liberal elite's reaction to it? A lot, actually. The Church remains the single most potent obstacle to the enlightened pretensions of modern liberalism, and the revolutionary children of Diderot still seek to control the papacy, evident in their envy masquerading as admiration and their angling disguised as advice to a "troubled Church."


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:59 AM

    NOT SYRIA'S KURDS, BUT THE KURD'S SYRIA:

    US designs on Syria's Kurds (Sami Moubayed, 4/09/05, Asia Times)

    One of the overriding fears in the Middle East is how Kurds might be manipulated by outside forces to create havoc in the region, as has happened before. [...]

    In March this year, President Bashar Assad released 312 Kurds, all arrested during the disturbances of 2004, promising to grant Syrian citizenship to 300,000 Kurds who were stripped of it in 1962.

    Currently, 25,000 Kurds are unregistered in Syria, and another 225,000 are registered as "foreigners" with no Syrian passports but red IDs, granted by the Ministry of Interior. They have restrictions on travel, marriage and owning property. Exaggeration in the Western media says that they are discriminated against at schools, in hospitals and in government employment and wages. In July 1996, the Syrian government told Human Rights Watch that the number of Kurds with such status was only 67,465.

    Assad today wants to be nice to the Syrian Kurds, fearing that inspired by the autonomy and grand concessions, they are gaining in Iraq, they will make similar demands for autonomy in Syria. The truth is that the Kurds of Syria are very different from those of Iraq. They want citizenship, not autonomy.

    Ahmad Barakat, of the Syrian Kurdish Democratic Progressive Party, confirmed this to the Christian Science Monitor, saying, "Our problem is very different from that of the Kurds in Iraq. Their aim in Iraq is to get a state of their own. But in Syria, we just want our culture and freedom as Syrian nationals."

    The US media, however, and some US-backed Kurdish activists, in Syria and abroad, insist on marketing a story of Kurdish plight, unrest and separatism in Syria, claiming that the Syrian Kurds are oppressed and deserve autonomy, just like their Iraqi counterparts. Many see this as part of a grand US smear campaign against Damascus.


    Marshal Petain spoke for most Frenchmen too, but they weren't sorry to see the Germans go.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:57 AM

    CAN W BUCK HISTORY ONE MORE TIME?:

    Senate 2006: From Venerable to Vulnerable: The 14 seats most likely to change hands in 2006 (Larry J. Sabato, March 31, 2005, Crystal Ball)

    All Crystal Ball junkies know the drill. Every election year, most Senators skate by, especially the venerable elders who well fit their states. Meanwhile, a handful of Senators are vulnerable, and those are the contests we watch like hawks. In last week's Crystal Ball email, we examined seniority and the 109th Senate, as well as the seats that are currently open and those that might open between now and 2006. This week, we've brought you the 14 seats out of the 33 up for election that appear to be moderately to very vulnerable. In alphabetical order by state, they are:

    * FL-Bill Nelson (D)
    * MD-Open (D)
    * MI-Debbie Stabenow (D)
    * MN-Open (D)
    * MT-Conrad Burns (R)
    * ND-Kent Conrad (D)--only if GOP Governor John Hoeven runs
    * NE-Ben Nelson (D)
    * NJ-Open (D)--only if Senator Jon Corzine is elected governor in 2005
    * PA-Rick Santorum (R)
    * RI-Lincoln Chafee (R)
    * TN-Open (R)
    * TX-Open (R)--only if Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison runs for governor in 2006
    * VA-George Allen (R)--only if Governor Mark Warner (D) decides to run
    * WA-Maria Cantwell (D)

    On the surface, this appears to be an impressive total: 14 of 33, with another three potential retirees (mentioned in last week's email: Dianne Feinstein, Trent Lott, and Craig Thomas), which could bring the competitive total to 17 of 33--more than half! But let's look again. All three possible, additional retirees come from states that strongly favor the current party to retain control of the seat (CA, MS, WY). New Jersey would likely elect another Democrat to replace Corzine, and Texas would probably choose another Republican to succeed Hutchison. The incumbent senators, endangered though they are in FL, MI, MT, NE, PA, and RI, are all still favored to win. (We'd bet that a couple of them will be defeated in the end, but it is too soon to know which ones.) Tennessee may well elect another Republican to succeed Bill Frist, and Maryland will likely pick another Democrat to replace Sarbanes. Governor Mark Warner is actually unlikely to challenge Senator George Allen in Virginia. And Governor John Hoeven, the only real GOP hope, has not committed to challenging Senator Kent Conrad in North Dakota.

    So what is left?


    The GOP would also have a good shot at the NM seat if Jeff Bingaman retires, as rumored.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:51 AM

    "MADE FROM THE FINEST UNDERSEA GROWTH" (via embourie):

    Granddaughter yanks grandma's feeding tube: 81-year-old neither terminally ill, comatose, nor in vegetative state (Sarah Foster, 4/07/05, WorldNetDaily.com)

    In a situation recalling the recent death of Terri Schiavo in Florida, an 81-year-old widow, denied nourishment and fluids for nearly two weeks, is clinging to life in a hospice in LaGrange, Ga., while her immediate family fights desperately to save her life before she dies of starvation and dehydration.

    Mae Magouirk was neither terminally ill, comatose nor in a "vegetative state," when Hospice-LaGrange accepted her as a patient about two weeks ago upon the request of her granddaughter, Beth Gaddy, 36, an elementary school teacher. [...]

    In her living will, Magouirk stated that fluids and nourishment were to be withheld only if she were either comatose or "vegetative," and she is neither. Nor is she terminally ill, which is generally a requirement for admission to a hospice.

    Magouirk lives alone in LaGrange, though because of glaucoma she relied on her granddaughter, Beth Gaddy, to bring her food and do errands.

    Two weeks ago, Magouirk's aorta had a dissection, and she was hospitalized in the local LaGrange Hospital. Her aortic problem was determined to be severe, and she was admitted to the intensive care unit. At the time of her admission she was lucid and had never been diagnosed with dementia.

    Claiming that she held Magouirk's power of attorney, Gaddy had her transferred to Hospice-LaGrange, a 16-bed unit owned by the same family that owns the hospital. Once at the hospice, Gaddy stated that she did not want her grandmother fed or given water.

    "Grandmama is old and I think it is time she went home to Jesus," Gaddy told Magouirk's brother and nephew, McLeod and Ken Mullinax. "She has glaucoma and now this heart problem, and who would want to live with disabilities like these?"


    At least when we used to imagine this dystopian future we thought the folks we killed would be turned into Soylent Green.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:27 AM

    "THE PLEASURE IS MOMENTARY, THE POSITION RIDICULOUS, AND THE EXPENSE DAMNABLE" (via Governor Breck)

    This stupid sex myth (India Knight, 4/03/05, Times of London)

    One of the more curious effects of living in this peculiar, sex-saturated age is the belief, widely held, that everybody else is having sex all the time. More, that everybody else is having particularly amazing sex all the time with a varied and interesting number of partners, in a fabulous number of ways, and in a series of photogenic settings.

    If you read nothing but red-tops and gossip magazines, you’d be forgiven for thinking that Britain was — cor! — one seething orgiastic mass, at it hammer and tongs 24 hours a day. If you read magazines for teenage girls, you’d form much the same opinion and conclude, in a panicky teenage way, that you were the odd one out, the freak, the country’s lone virgin, and that this must be remedied.

    Which is how it becomes possible, presumably, for one quarter of 14-year-old girls to claim, as they did in a survey by Bliss magazine last month, that they’ve had an average of three lovers in their lives. Sixty per cent of them said they were drunk at the time. Nice.

    They’ve been had, those 14-year-olds, in more ways than one, because when it comes to grown-up sex, the reality is so far removed from the feverish fantasy that it bears only the merest relation to it.

    Far from being at it all the time with a broad selection of dishy strangers, it turns out that we are sweetly, soberly monogamous and rather touchingly old-fashioned instead. According to a survey of 11,000 adults aged between 16 and 44 published last week in The Lancet, white men average six sexual partners in their lifetimes, black Caribbean men nine, black African men nine, Indian men two, and Pakistani men one.

    White women have, on average, five sexual partners, black Caribbean women have four, black African women have three and Indian and Pakistani women have one.


    One of the more revealing conversations I ever took part in was several years after college with a group of fraternity brothers as one after another "confessed" to leaving school with his virginity intact or nearly so.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:24 AM

    ALL WAVES ARE COLLAPSED:

    One Hundred Years of Uncertainty (BRIAN GREENE, 4/08/05, NY Times)

    Before the discovery of quantum mechanics, the framework of physics was this: If you tell me how things are now, I can then use the laws of physics to calculate, and hence predict, how things will be later. You tell me the velocity of a baseball as it leaves Derek Jeter's bat, and I can use the laws of physics to calculate where it will land a handful of seconds later. You tell me the height of a building from which a flowerpot has fallen, and I can use the laws of physics to calculate the speed of impact when it hits the ground. You tell me the positions of the Earth and the Moon, and I can use the laws of physics to calculate the date of the first solar eclipse in the 25th century. What's important is that in these and all other examples, the accuracy of my predictions depends solely on the accuracy of the information you give me. Even laws that differ substantially in detail - from the classical laws of Newton to the relativistic laws of Einstein - fit squarely within this framework.

    Quantum mechanics does not merely challenge the previous laws of physics. Quantum mechanics challenges this centuries-old framework of physics itself. According to quantum mechanics, physics cannot make definite predictions. Instead, even if you give me the most precise description possible of how things are now, we learn from quantum mechanics that the most physics can do is predict the probability that things will turn out one way, or another, or another way still.

    The reason we have for so long been unaware that the universe evolves probabilistically is that for the relatively large, everyday objects we typically encounter - baseballs, flowerpots, the Moon - quantum mechanics shows that the probabilities become highly skewed, hugely favoring one outcome and effectively suppressing all others. A typical quantum calculation reveals that if you tell me the velocity of something as large as a baseball, there is more than a 99.99999999999999 (or so) percent likelihood that it will land at the location I can figure out using the laws of Newton or, for even better accuracy, the laws of Einstein. With such a skewed probability, the quantum reasoning goes, we have long overlooked the tiny chance that the baseball can (and, on extraordinarily rare occasions, will) land somewhere completely different.

    When it comes to small objects like molecules, atoms and subatomic particles, though, the quantum probabilities are typically not skewed. For the motion of an electron zipping around the nucleus of an atom, for example, a quantum calculation lays out odds that are all roughly comparable that the electron will be in a variety of different locations - a 13 percent chance, say, that the electron will be here, a 19 percent chance that it will be there, an 11 percent chance that it will be in a third place, and so on. Crucially, these predictions can be tested. Take an enormous sample of identically prepared atoms, measure the electron's position in each, and tally up the number of times you find the electron at one location or another. According to the pre-quantum framework, identical starting conditions should yield identical outcomes; we should find the electron to be at the same place in each measurement. But if quantum mechanics is right, in 13 percent of our measurements we should find the electron here, in 19 percent we should find it there, in 11 percent we should find it in that third place. And, to fantastic precision, we do.

    Faced with a mountain of supporting data, Einstein couldn't argue with the success of quantum mechanics. But to him, even though his own Nobel Prize-winning work was a catalyst for the quantum revolution, the theory was anathema. Commentators over the decades have focused on Einstein's refusal to accept the probabilistic framework of quantum mechanics, a position summarized in his frequent comment that "God does not play dice with the universe." Einstein, radical thinker that he was, still believed in the sanctity of a universe that evolved in a fully definite, fully predictable manner. If, as quantum mechanics asserted, the best you can ever do is predict probabilities, Einstein countered that he'd "rather be a cobbler, or even an employee in a gaming house, than a physicist."

    This emphasis, however, partly obscures a larger point. It wasn't the mere reliance on probabilistic predictions that so troubled Einstein. Unlike many of his colleagues, Einstein believed that a fundamental physical theory was much more than the sum total of its predictions - it was a mathematical reflection of an underlying reality. And the reality entailed by quantum mechanics was a reality Einstein couldn't accept.

    An example: Imagine you shoot an electron from here and a few seconds later it's detected by your equipment over there. What path did the electron follow during the passage from you to the detector? The answer according to quantum mechanics? There is no answer. The very idea that an electron, or a photon, or any other particle, travels along a single, definite trajectory from here to there is a quaint version of reality that quantum mechanics declares outmoded.

    Instead, the proponents of quantum theory claimed, reality consists of a haze of all possibilities - all trajectories - mutually commingling and simultaneously unfolding. And why don't we see this? According to the quantum doctrine, when we make a measurement or perform an observation, we force the myriad possibilities to ante up, snap out of the haze and settle on a single outcome. But between observations - when we are not looking - reality consists entirely of jostling possibilities.

    Quantum reality, in other words, remains ambiguous until measured. The reality of common perception is thus merely a definitive-looking veneer obscuring the internal workings of a highly uncertain cosmos. Which is where Einstein drew a line in the sand. A universe of this sort offended him; he could not accept, as he put it, that "the Old One" would so profoundly incorporate a hidden element of happenstance in the nature of reality. Einstein quipped to his quantum colleagues, "Do you really think the Moon is not there when you're not looking?" and set himself the Herculean task of reworking the laws of physics to resurrect conventional reality.

    Einstein waged a two-front assault on the problem. He sought an internal chink in the quantum framework that would establish it as a mere steppingstone on the path to a deeper and more complete description of the universe. At the same time, he sought a grander synthesis of nature's laws - what he called a "unified theory" - that he believed would reveal the probabilities of quantum mechanics to be no more profound than the probabilities offered in weather forecasts, probabilities that simply reflect an incomplete knowledge of an underlying, definite reality.

    In 1935, through a disarmingly simple mathematical analysis, Einstein (with two colleagues) established a beachhead on the first front. He proved that quantum mechanics is either an incomplete theory or, if it is complete, the universe is - in Einstein's words - "spooky." Why "spooky?" Because the theory would allow certain widely separated particles to correlate their behaviors perfectly (somewhat as if a pair of widely separated dice would always come up the same number when tossed at distant casinos). Since such "spooky" behavior would border on nuttiness, Einstein thought he'd made clear that quantum theory couldn't yet be considered a complete description of reality.

    The nimble quantum proponents, however, would have nothing of it. They insisted that quantum theory made predictions - albeit statistical predictions - that were consistently born out by experiment. By the precepts of the scientific method, they argued, the theory was established. They maintained that searching beyond the theory's predictions for a glimpse of a reality behind the quantum equations betrayed a foolhardy intellectual greediness. [...]

    Was Einstein misguided? Must we accept that there is a fuzzy, probabilistic quantum arena lying just beneath the definitive experiences of everyday reality? As of today, we still don't have a final answer. Fifty years after Einstein's death, however, the scales have certainly tipped farther in this direction.

    Decades of painstaking experimentation have confirmed quantum theory's predictions beyond the slightest doubt. Moreover, in a shocking scientific twist, some of the more recent of these experiments have shown that Einstein's "spooky" processes do in fact take place (particles many miles apart have been shown capable of correlating their behavior). It's a stunning finding, and one that reaffirms Einstein's uncanny ability to unearth features of nature so mind-boggling that even he couldn't accept what he'd found. Finally, there has been tremendous progress over the last 20 years toward a unified theory with the discovery and development of superstring theory. So far, though, superstring theory embraces quantum theory without change, and has thus not revealed the definitive reality Einstein so passionately sought.

    With the passage of time and quantum mechanics' unassailable successes, debate about the theory's meaning has quieted. The majority of physicists have simply stopped worrying about quantum mechanics' meaning, even as they employ its mathematics to make the most precise predictions in the history of science. Others prefer reformulations of quantum mechanics that claim to restore some features of conventional reality at the expense of additional - and, some have argued, more troubling - deviations (like the notion that there are parallel universes). Yet others investigate hypothesized modifications to the theory's equations that don't spoil its successful predictions but try to bring it closer to common experience.


    The answer to Einstein's quandy is so simple it's hard to understand how he didn't arrive at it: all is observed and measured.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:14 AM

    WEEKEND RENTALS:

    'Star Trek' Bit Players Cling On: Even those with fleeting roles can live long and prosper in the world of Trekkie conventions, hawking autographs at $20 a pop. (Valerie Reitman, April 8, 2005, LA Times)

    For three days, the actor sat at a table in a windowless wing of the Pasadena Center while hundreds of devotees milled nearby.

    He posed for snapshots. He answered the same questions over and over. He doled out trading cards bearing his mug. For $20, he brought out a gold-ink pen and autographed glossy photos of himself.

    Michael Dante may not be on any Hollywood A-list, but on this weekend in Pasadena, he was intergalactic. Dante was capitalizing on his appearance in a single episode of the original Star Trek series. It aired Dec. 1, 1967.

    "But it was a very popular episode," Dante insisted, speaking in the same wooden tone he used as Maab, lead villain on the planet Capella IV. "It had action. It had comedy. It had drama."

    More than three decades after the original "Star Trek" series ended in 1969, after 79 episodes over three seasons, Dante and other actors have discovered that they can milk even the most ephemeral appearances on the show by appearing at extreme fan conventions that can draw thousands of enthusiasts.


    Two very good films on topic: the documentary Trekkies; and the comedy Galaxy Quest


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:09 AM

    THE ONE WHO GETS IT:

    Clinton Joins Democrats' Values Push (LUIZA Ch. SAVAGE, April 8, 2005, NY Sun)

    Congress should pass legislation protecting religious liberties in the workplace, and America should help Iraqis write a constitution that will respect freedom of conscience even if it is "against their traditions," Senator Clinton said yesterday.

    "Religious liberty is one of the most important issues on the world's agenda today," Mrs. Clinton told the Religious Liberty Annual Dinner of the Seventh day Adventist Church.

    Freedom of conscience is often "a bellwether for human rights," she said.

    The senator's religiously themed speech comes as Democrats seek to identify anew with the "moral values" that were said to play a role in the Republican victories in November's election.

    The senator's strong endorsement of legislation that is opposed by some abortion-rights and gay-rights groups is likely to add to speculation that she is moving to the political center ahead of a potential 2008 presidential candidacy. But the issue of religious liberty is one she has championed consistently since arriving in the Senate.

    Elected in 2000, Mrs. Clinton has been one of only a handful of bipartisan co-sponsors of the Workplace Religious Freedom Act, which would require employers to accommodate their employees' religious observances when reasonably possible. Critics say the law could enable religious zealots to discriminate against or harass gay workers or interfere with women's access to birth control or abortion.

    The bill was introduced again last month by Senator Kerry of Massachusetts and Senator Santorum, a Republican of Pennsylvania, and Mrs. Clinton is again a co-sponsor. Senator Schumer, too, has come to back the bill.

    "I hope that this year will be the year that we will be successful in passing this," Mrs. Clinton said in a speech that garnered a standing ovation from the approximately 200 people who were dining in a marble-walled Senate room. [...]

    The executive director of the North American Religious Liberty Association, James Standish, praised Mrs. Clinton as a "true friend" to people who are punished on account of their faith.

    He introduced her as "truly a historic figure" who may "not be finished making history," in an allusion to a possible presidential run. [...]

    Mrs. Clinton is the first Democrat to address the gathering in its three-year history. Republicans headlined the two prior annual dinners: Rep. Christopher Smith of New Jersey and Senator Brownback of Kansas. [...]

    While the legislation is backed by a variety of religious groups, critics continue to hope Mrs. Clinton would be willing to narrow it.

    "We think the bill that Clinton is a co-sponsor of is too broadly drafted and could have consequences that could make it difficult for employers to stop people from proselytizing on the job or hanging up anti-gay Biblical quotes on their cubicles," the legislative director of the gay-rights advocacy group, Human Rights Campaign, Christopher Labonte, said.


    Now she just needs to vote the way she's talking.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:07 AM

    A TOPIC OF INTEREST ONLY TO HIMSELF:

    A subtle merger of fiction, autobiography: From his first novel to his final one, 50 years later, Saul Bellow was a keen observer of the world around him. (James Atlas, April 8, 2005, LA Times)

    The work is done. The oeuvre is complete. The energetic production of nearly six decades has come to its inevitable end.

    Great novelists have their signature styles and themes. The elaborate, suspensefully ramifying sentences of Henry James; the brooding cadences of Hawthorne: You can open a book of theirs to any page and identify their instantly distinctive voices.

    Saul Bellow also possessed a distinctive voice, but what is so remarkable about his work is its tremendous versatility. From his two earliest novels, "Dangling Man" and "The Victim," to his last, "Ravelstein," written more than half a century later, Bellow's subject was himself.


    He says that as if it were a good thing. Great literature is universal, not individualistic.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:03 AM

    YOU ARE WHAT YOU HONOR:

    '60 Minutes II' Wins a Peabody Award, Raising Eyebrows (DAVID CARR, 4/08/05, NY Times)

    When the George Foster Peabody Awards for excellence in electronic media were announced yesterday, they cited a program that was later accused of basing a report on fake documents, "60 Minutes II" - and a program that gleefully engages in the production of fake news, "The Daily Show with Jon Stewart."

    The Peabody given to the Wednesday edition of "60 Minutes" honored an exclusive story, produced by Mary Mapes and reported by Dan Rather, about the abuses at Abu Ghraib prison in Iraq. Several months after that journalistic coup, Ms. Mapes was fired and Mr. Rather retired as anchor of the "CBS Evening News" earlier than planned in the wake of another broadcast, on President George W. Bush's National Guard service. After initially backing its reporters and their report, CBS said they may have based it on falsified documents.


    April 7, 2005

    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:10 PM

    WILSON'S PARTY:

    Democrats Try to Build a Case Against Bolton (Barry Schweid, 4/07/05, The Associated Press)

    Senate Democrats are sounding out former State Department officials and at least one current one as they try building a case against the confirmation of John R. Bolton as U.N. ambassador, congressional aides said Thursday.

    So it's Democrats siding with Kofi Anan and the U.N. against the Adminstration? Heads up politics, huh?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:42 PM

    TROPHY HUNTING:

    Minuteman Volunteers May Have Played Prank (ARTHUR H. ROTSTEIN, 4/07/05, Associated Press)

    Authorities determined Thursday three volunteers involved in a civilian project to watch the border and report illegal crossers had an illegal immigrant pose for a flippant photograph but did not hold him against his will.

    The Mexican man had told sheriff's deputies he was detained and forced to pose for a picture holding a T-shirt with a mocking slogan. A review of a 15-minute videotape provided by Bryan Barton, one of the three volunteers, showed the T-shirt the man was holding read: "Bryan Barton caught an illegal alien and all I got was this lousy T-shirt." Barton was wearing an identical shirt.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:20 PM

    EVOLUTION IN ACTION:

    Fateh and Hamas: a coalition in the making? (Mahdi Abdul Hadi, April 08, 2005, Daily Star)

    We are currently witnessing the historic transformation of Hamas from a popular movement based on armed struggle and opposition to the established Palestinian order. Hamas has managed to firmly place itself within that order in a bid to confirm its position, power and legitimacy both inside Palestinian society and outside.

    It is doing so at, for it, a politically advantageous time and after much thought. Indeed, what we are witnessing now is the unfolding of a four-point doctrine laid down by assassinated Hamas leader Sheikh Ahmed Yassin some two years ago: First, the implementation of a ceasefire, whether formal or not. Second, a bid, through the ballot box, to take a share of political power on the internal Palestinian scene, while distancing itself explicitly from the Oslo Accords. So far, this has expressed itself in the movement's successful municipal elections campaigns and the decision to stand for the legislative elections currently scheduled to take place in July. The third point of Yassin's "agenda" was to challenge other Palestinian factions' - read Fateh's - dominance over Palestinian political legitimacy, realizing that only through elections can the movement punch its proper weight in society, and, what is more and often ignored, determine the extent of its popular power base.

    The final and probably most significant item on Yassin's strategic list was the implicit acknowledgement of the PLO's 1988 decision to endorse the two-state solution, i.e., a Palestinian state on all territory occupied in 1967, with East Jerusalem as its capital, and a solution to the issue of refugees to be found according to international law based on UN General Assembly Resolution 194. Regardless of whether or not this is explicitly acknowledged by Hamas as a permanent or temporary solution, it will become the movement's operational political guideline.

    Hamas has changed with the times.


    They're just adapting to the environment in fairly predictable fashion.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:58 PM

    WELL, HIS PARENTS WERE LIKE THE 9-11 HIJACKERS... (via David Hill, The Bronx):

    Rosenbergs' son warns free speech threatened (Philip Newman, 04/07/2005 , Times Ledger)

    Robert Meeropol says aspects of Bush administration policies are unpleasantly reminiscent of the McCarthy era, the period of anti-Communist fervor that profoundly changed his life at the age of 6 when his parents, Ethel and Julius Rosenberg, were executed as spies for the Soviet Union.

    Of course it is--there are people trying to destroy our society and a government trying to stop them.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:49 PM

    THIS IS THE DUTCH GETTING SERIOUS?:

    Dutch court acquits teen of terrorism (Sydney Morning Herald, April 6, 2005)

    A Dutch court has acquitted teenager Samir Azzouz of plotting terrorist attacks against Dutch landmarks and ordered his release.

    The 18-year-old was sentenced to three months for illegal possession of firearms, but will be released because he has already been in detention for 10 months.

    Upon hearing the decision, Azzouz, who was dressed in white Islamic garb, looked over his shoulder and smiled at his defence lawyer and at his wife sitting in the public gallery.

    Azzouz had been in custody since June 2004, when police found detailed maps of Parliament, the Intelligence Service, Amsterdam's Schiphol Airport and a nuclear reactor at his home.

    At his trial last month, prosecutors called on the three-judge bench to sentence him to seven years' imprisonment and revoke his voting rights for 12 years.

    Prosecutors alleged that Azzouz was a Muslim extremist prepared to die for the cause of fundamentalist Islam.


    Nevermind that he beat the rap, look at how little prosecutors were asking.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:36 PM

    SO WHAT?:

    Backlash yields tense times for Syrian workers in Lebanon (Nicholas Blanford, 4/08/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

    These days Hassan Alumeddine only leaves his small rundown hotel to go to work. As a Syrian living in a Christian neighborhood of Beirut, he says rampant anti-Syrian sentiment has made him fearful for his life.

    "I can't afford to go back home as I need to make money for my family. But we are all concerned at the situation. It's frightening," he says.

    The plight of the estimated 1 million Syrian workers in Lebanon has gone largely unnoticed since the assassination of Rafik Hariri, a former prime minister, which sparked a surge in anti-Syrian sentiment. Most Lebanese blame Syria and its Lebanese allies for Mr. Hariri's murder. But it has been the Syrian workers in Lebanon who have born the brunt of the backlash, with enraged mobs beating and even killing some Syrians and tens of thousands of laborers fleeing the country. [...]

    "Many people have gone back to Syria," says Mazen Hajjar, who for 25 years has sold Syrian-made clothing in Beirut. "Some of them left out of fear, others were upset at what they were hearing from the Lebanese and left."


    If we had today's Press during WWII, we'd be reading touching stories about the lives Germans had to leave behind in Paris as they retreated.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:15 PM

    CHAMPION OF A BAD IDEA:

    Big ideas and wandering fools: Saul Bellow (1915-2005): The great Chicago novelist created a unique imaginative universe that made sense of modern human experience of crisis and change, says Tom McBride. (Tom McBride, 7 - 4 - 2005, Open Democracy)

    As Hamlet said we defy augury, so does Saul Bellow defy category. Bellow once said that all of us are obliged to make difficult judgments about what it all means. It was, he said, both the price and the privilege of freedom. As Ian McEwan recently suggested in a radio interview, in the first world we are both terribly rich and terribly worried.

    Bellow would have agreed. He was fascinated with our not-knowing. We cannot “know” a world that is overmediated – wildly overcooked with images and mottos and self-help and a million other steamy ideas – as we “know” physics or chemistry. He believed in the individual’s quest for integrity and love, guided by the great writers but not overwhelmed by them, learning from the swindlers but not driven to despair by them. The melody of his words, the lavish messiness of his characters and their settings, the obsession with ideas and their consequences or lack thereof – these are the features of Bellow’s World. There is none other quite like it. Many yet unborn will enter it, laugh, and be harrowed.


    The great tragedy of 20th century man was the desire for life to be more complicated than our religious forebears knew it to be. It took a couple hundred million dead to work that nonsense out of our system.


    MORE:
    -Rereading Saul Bellow (Philip Roth, 2000-10-09, The New Yorker)
    He Thrived on Chaos: Remembering Saul Bellow. (JEFFREY MEYERS, April 7, 2005, Opinion Journal)

    The two greatest postwar American novelists--Vladimir Nabokov, a Russian exile, and Saul Bellow, a Montreal-born Jew--were intellectual outsiders. Both mainlined the European novel of ideas into the veins of American literature and infused it with a coruscating, high-octane style. Mr. Bellow's prose is energetic and torrential; his voice learned and allusive. He thrived on chaos and loved contention, courted conflict and was inspired by personal cataclysm. It's fascinating to see how Mr. Bellow, married five times, sublimated his misery and portrayed his wives, from goddess to bitch, before and after they divorced him.

    -Finding Augie March: Saul Bellow’s first novels. (Joan Acocella, 2003-10-06, The New Yorker)


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:57 PM

    WHERE'D THE QUAGMIRE GO?:

    Shiite Arab named as Iraq's new prime minister (ANTONIO CASTANEDA, April 7, 2005, AP)

    Iraq's presidential council was sworn in Thursday and named Shiite Arab Ibrahim al-Jaafari as interim prime minister, the country's most powerful position, further consolidating the power shift in postwar Iraq.


    Posted by David Cohen at 4:56 PM

    MAN-MADE GLOBAL WARMING PROVED

    Congress may extend daylight-saving time (AP, 4/7/05)

    If Congress passes an energy bill, Americans may see more daylight-saving time.

    Lawmakers crafting energy legislation approved an amendment Wednesday to extend daylight-saving time by two months, having it start on the first Sunday in March and end on the last Sunday in November.

    I have, in the past, been somewhat skeptical of the strong scientific consensus among all competent scientists, no matter their discipline, that the planet was warming precipitously and that man alone was the only cause. It has now become clear even to me that I was woefully mistaken. Global warming is real, and it is man-made. In fact, it is caused by Congress.

    Last Sunday morning, at 1:00 a.m., clocks in the United States were set back one hour, resulting in one more hour of daylight. As a result, average temperatures have started to rise at an explosive rate. Looking at the historical temperatures for this area, I find that day-light savings time correlates strongly with a dramatic increase in temperatures. The high, mean and low temperatures for the 30 days preceding day-light savings time were 43.3, 34.13333333 and 24.9 degrees respectively. After day-light savings time began, those numbers jumped to 61.2, 49 and 38.2 degrees. In other words, day-light savings time causes a warming of approximately 15 degrees.

    All other sources of global warming have been thought to have added, if anything, only a few fractions of a degree to average temperatures. Obviously, day-light savings time is by far the biggest threat to the global environment yet found. Moreover, if this one act of the legislature can have such a profoundly dangerous effect, then doesn't it stand to reason that other acts of legislation must also have temperature enhancing effects? Indeed, a search of primary sources from history results in numerous references to Congress as a source of hot air. Though it is, of course, possible that future research will refine our understanding of this problem so that it can be dealt with more easily, I submit that waiting is too dangerous. We must shut down Congress now, lest our whole way of life -- indeed, our entire planet -- be destroyed.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:16 PM

    SMART GUY, THAT PRINCE OF DARKNESS:

    Four Broad Lessons from Iraq (Richard Perle, April 7, 2005, House Committee on Armed Forces)

    First, it is essential that we are clear about, and carefully align, our political and military objectives. [...]

    In Iraq we succeeded in driving Saddam Hussein from office in three weeks. And while we were received in Iraq as liberators in the days following the collapse of Saddam's army and regime, we did not enjoy the benefit of a close collaboration with the indigenous opposition to his brutal, sadistic dictatorship.

    This brings me to my second lesson: In aligning our political and military strategy, we should make sure we have the support of a significant segment of the local population. Even more, we should work with those whose interests parallel our own, taking them into our confidence and planning to operate in close collaboration with them. We did this in Afghanistan. But we did not do it in Iraq, despite the fact that we had a year to organize and prepare for hostilities that brought a hundred and thirty thousand Americans to a place they didn't know or understand. Even during the three weeks of fighting leading to the fall of the regime, we would have benefited from knowledge we did not have: the location of weapons caches, the importance and implications of looting, the nature and extent of the retreat--and potential reorganization--of elements of Saddam's regime, and the like.

    More significantly, we were slow to recognize how central the Iraqis were to the post war stabilization of the situation on the ground. I believe we would have been wise to go into Iraq with several thousand Iraqis at our side. After all, the Congress, with the support of most and possibly all the members of this committee, approved the Iraq Liberation Act which authorized political, material and moral support for the Iraqi National Congress and other Iraqi opponents of Saddam's regime.

    With thousands of Iraqis at our side, we might well have dealt more effectively with the turmoil and looting that followed the collapse of the regime and we might have jump started the transition to an emerging Iraqi democracy. But there was little support within the executive branch for implementing the Iraq Liberation Act, for taking the Iraqi opposition into our confidence, or for training Iraqis to fight alongside us. Central Command opposed serious, intelligent plans that could have provided thousands of Iraqi troops to help us evaluate the situation on the ground, interpret information about who was trustworthy, where hostile forces and weapons were hidden, otherwise to supply much needed intelligence. The State Department and the CIA actively opposed working with the Iraqi opposition with the result that very little of the material support voted by Congress before the war was actually spent. By the time those favoring a much closer collaboration between U.S. and Iraqi opposition forces got agreement to begin training some Iraqis, for example, we were on the verge of war. Sadly, as we went to war only a handful of Iraqis had graduated from a much delayed training program that had vastly more potential than we were able to realize.

    The third lesson is, by now, generally accepted: our intelligence is sometimes, dangerously inadequate. [...]

    Finally, Mr. Chairman, a fourth lesson: we must do everything possible to avoid becoming an occupying power. The occupation of Iraq did much to vitiate the good will we earned--and deserved--as brave Americans risked, and in all too many cases sacrificed, their lives to liberate Iraq. We should have turned Iraq over to the Iraqis on the day Baghdad fell--or as soon thereafter as possible. I believe it could have been done in a few weeks, not the many months, stretching to years, that led inexorably to the insurgency that has caused so much death and destruction. A quick hand over would have given Iraqis an immediate stake in the establishment of order and a civil society.


    It took far to long for the Administration to realize the Shi'a shared our objectives.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:30 AM

    OUR BAD:

    The Friend We Betrayed (Max Boot, April 7, 2005, LA Times)

    In 1987, after he was exonerated of corruption charges, former Secretary of Labor Raymond Donovan issued the classic plea of the wronged man: "Which office do I go to to get my reputation back?" Whichever office it is, Ahmad Chalabi may want to apply there as well.

    The most legitimate complaint about how the Administration handled post-Saddam Iraq is that there should have been a replacement regime ready to install. A Chalabi-led and Sistani-supported transitional government would have put an Iraqi face on the regime change right away and minimized the opportunities for those advocating insurgency.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:02 AM

    THIS YEAR WE'RE GOING, PROMISE...:

    For small cities, hope is a diamond: Manchester, N.H. looks for renewal (Jenn Abelson, April 7, 2005, Boston Globe)

    Small cities across the country are turning to minor-league baseball stadiums to revive their aging downtowns. Nowhere are the dreams more ambitious than here in Manchester, where a ballpark opens tonight on a swath of land deserted by manufacturers decades ago.

    Large mounds of dirt and gravel now surround the $27.5 million home to the New Hampshire Fisher Cats. But soon enough, swanky townhouses and a Hilton hotel with ballpark views will rise from the 26-acre complex on the banks of the Merrimack River, the largest urban renewal project the city has ever undertaken.

    Over the past 15 years, more than 100 new minor-league ballparks have been constructed across America as communities from Albuquerque to Zebulon, N.C., have moved to capitalize on the resurgence of interest in minor-league baseball to spark new downtown development.

    Manchester, New Hampshire's largest city with a population of 108,871, is hoping to duplicate the successes of Memphis and Louisville, Ky., with their minor-league baseball teams. Since the city's Louisville Slugger Stadium opened in 2000, more than $110 million in new development has started to replace old rail depots and scrap yards, according to Chad Carlton, a city spokesman.

    ''It's created a huge hub of activity and has spurred a huge renaissance," Carlton said.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:57 AM

    SOMEONE TAKES PAUL KRUGMAN A TAD TOO SERIOUSLY (via Governor Breck):

    Murder, Incorporated?: The Targets Were Capitalism, and Officer Mobilio. The Accused Is Dead Serious About His Quirky Defense. (William Booth, April 4, 2005, Washington Post)

    The coming revolution against the United States government was announced on the Internet via a manifesto by a self-described "proud and insolent youth," a college sophomore who sought to be our leader. This was to be the spark:

    At 1:27 a.m. on Nov. 19, 2002, Officer David Mobilio of the Red Bluff Police Department was working the graveyard shift when he pulled his cruiser into a gas station in his quiet little farm town. As he stood beside the car, the 31-year-old husband and father of a toddler was shot three times, twice in the back and once in the head, at very close range.

    Beside Mobilio's dead body, someone left a handmade flag with a picture of a snake's head and the words "Don't Tread on Us."

    A well-chosen spot for an ambush. That is what investigators later concluded, especially when they learned the suspected assailant had Army Ranger training. A lonely crossroads. Poorly lit. No station attendant on duty. No witnesses. It was a killing that might have never been solved.

    That is, until a confession appeared on the Internet. Six days after the shooting, a manifesto appeared on more than a dozen Web sites operated by the left-leaning Independent Media Center.

    It began: "Hello Everyone, my name's Andy. I killed a Police Officer in Red Bluff, California in a motion to bring attention to, and halt, the police-state tactics that have come to be used throughout our country. Now I'm coming forward, to explain that this killing was also an action against corporate irresponsibility."

    The tract -- which managed to mingle an almost chirpy tone with leftist cant -- was signed by "Andrew McCrae," later found to be an alias for Andrew Mickel, a student at a liberal arts college who before enrolling had served three years stateside with the U.S. Army's 101st Airborne Division.

    Mickel explained that "prior to my action in Red Bluff, I formed a corporation under the name 'Proud and Insolent Youth Incorporated,' so that I could use the destructive immunity of corporations and turn it on something that actually should be destroyed." The name is a reference to the novel "Peter Pan." "Just before their final duel and Capt. Hook's demise, Hook said to Peter, 'Proud and Insolent Youth, prepare to meet thy doom,' " Mickel wrote.

    "Now, Peter Pan hates pirates, and I hate pirates, and corporations are nothing but a bunch of pirates," he wrote. "It's time to send them to a watery grave, and rip them completely out of our lives."

    Mickel wrote that he was incorporating to shield himself from prosecution. He urged everyone to join his board of directors. His stock would be free. He called for insurrection. A national strike. Mass resistance. "But don't do anything you're uncomfortable with," Mickel added, "and don't pressure anyone else into anything they're uncomfortable with."


    He's more honest than the rest of the Left about never having grown up, anyway.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:53 AM

    WHAT JETS?:

    India talks up axis against China (Siddharth Srivastava, 4/08/05, Asia Times)

    It is the kind of statement unexpected just prior to the arrival of Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao in India on Saturday. Addressing India's top army brass, Defense Minister Pranab Mukherjee said on Wednesday that India must keep an eye on China's modernization of its armed forces.

    Mukherjee's assertions are a clear reflection of the kind of geopolitical turns that politics of the Asian region may take in the near future, with the US egging on India to rein in the growing influence of China.

    "A watch has to be kept on Chinese infrastructure in Tibet and its technological and military modernization program and the growth of its navy," the defense minister said. He observed that India had been keeping an eye on the rapid growth of the Chinese navy, and its expected entry into the Indian Ocean region within a decade will introduce a new military factor into the Indian neighborhood. "The Chinese growth is being watched by various powers ... We must be alive to these changes and their implications on our strategy," Mukherjee said.

    It has not been lost to observers that Mukherjee, in his same speech, was happy about India's relations with the US. "With the US, we have made progress in expanding the space for understanding of our security concerns and for defense cooperation. US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's recent visit has opened new perspectives," he said.


    The Anaconda is nearly full-grown, we can start tightening the coils whenever we feel the need.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:48 AM

    THE BIG WINNERS:

    A landmark for the Kurds (Kathleen Ridolfo, 4/08/05, Asia Times)

    The Iraqi National Assembly elected Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) head Jalal Talabani to be the country's new president on Wednesday. Talabani's rise is a milestone in the history of Iraq's long-oppressed Kurds. He is the first Kurd ever to fill the seat and has worked hard to maintain Kurdish autonomy within a federal Iraq.

    A Kurdish patriot, Talabani had a history of organization and - at times - confrontation to oppose the regime of former Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein. But he has worked alongside fellow Kurd Masud Barzani to maintain autonomy within a postwar federal Iraq.

    "It is a right of the Kurdish people to demand that the region of Kurdistan, as it is known in terms of geography and history, become the region over which the Kurdish people would exert their federal rule," Talabani told RFE/RL's Radio Free Iraq on February 24. "We believe that these [currently] existing problems can also be solved by consensus and dialogue, in a brotherly political way. There is no problem in Iraq that would be unsolvable, in our opinion." [...]

    A constant proponent of reconciliation between Iraq's divergent groups, Talabani told fellow parliamentarians at the National Assembly's first session on March 16, "A serious patriotic task stands before all of us: It is re-establishing the previous Iraqi national unity on the principles of free choice, consensus, and national reconciliation between Iraqis of good will who are against dictatorship and terror."


    Peeling off the Kurdish region of Syria would be an appropriate goal too.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:42 AM

    TOUGH TIMES FOR TERRORISTS:

    The war is over, Adams tells IRA (FRASER NELSON, 4/07/05, The Scotsman)

    GERRY Adams last night called for the IRA to end its "armed struggle" - in a historic gamble which will either restore the Northern Ireland peace process or finish his political career.

    In a battle to stop Sinn Fein’s slide into the political wilderness, Mr Adams has said that the IRA should use "purely political and democratic activity" to argue the case for a united Ireland.

    The move was seen in London as an instruction for the IRA to disarm unilaterally - itself a watershed in the peace process. But if the IRA now refuses, Mr Adams’ credibility - and that of Sinn Fein - would be destroyed.


    Credibility?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:11 AM

    TIME STOPPED:

    Frank Conroy Dies at 69; Led Noted Writers' Workshop (CHARLES McGRATH, 4/07/05, NY Times)

    Frank Conroy, the author of the classic memoir "Stop-Time" and an influence on generations of young writers, died yesterday at his home in Iowa City. He was 69.

    The cause was colon cancer, said his wife, Margaret.

    Mr. Conroy, who headed the Writers' Workshop at the University of Iowa for 18 years, published just five books, a relatively small number for a writer of his reputation. But one of them was the lucid and evocative 1967 memoir that has been a model for countless young writers - the sort of book that is passed along like a trade secret.

    But Mr. Conroy was a personal model as well, a sympathetic but exacting teacher who at Iowa helped shape the early careers of writers including Curtis Sittenfeld, Elizabeth McCracken, Z. Z. Packer, Nathan Englander and Abraham Verghese. Several of Mr. Conroy's former students have themselves become teachers in the Conroy mode. "It's a ripple effect," said one of them, the novelist Jayne Anne Phillips.


    Not only a better writer than Saul Bellow but, unfortunately, a more influential one. The memoir, which he was one of the first to popularize, has nearly ruined current literature. He and Frank McCourt have a lot to answer for.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:08 AM

    PUSHER PARTY:

    Buyers flock to lax online pharmacies: Net stores that don't require prescriptions draw the most visitors (Christopher Rowland, April 7, 2005, Boston Globe)

    Bought any discount drugs on an Internet site without a prescription from your doctor? Join the crowd.

    Of an estimated 17.4 million visits to all online drugstores in the fourth quarter of 2004, 63 percent, or 10.9 million, were visits to sites that either require no prescription or offer a doctor's ''remote consultation" before a prescription is written, according to an analysis of browsing patterns by comScore Networks Inc., a Reston, Va., firm that tracks consumer patterns on the Web.


    It's been amusing to watch Democrats, who used to think the FDA and its regulatory scheme one of the crowning achievements of liberalism, destroy it.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:06 AM

    159 TO GO:

    Opening series almost too much for us to take (Dan Shaughnessy, April 7, 2005, Boston Globe)

    Three games into the season, some Red Sox fans no doubt are already emotionally spent. The opening series in New York was baseball in a blender and left everyone on both sides a little dizzy.

    In addition to the hits, runs, errors, chants, fights in the stands, nonstop hype, and statistical oddities (Mark Bellhorn had five hits and seven strikeouts in 12 at-bats), there were some serious, real-life issues in yesterday afternoon's furious finale.

    Sox manager Terry Francona and Yankees captain Derek Jeter were under observation in New York hospitals by the time the Sox walked off the field with a 7-3 win. Francona had been taken out of the stadium in midmorning because of chest pains and was en route to Boston for more tests last night. Jeter went to the hospital after getting hit in the shoulder and left ear flap of the helmet by a 92-mile-per-hour Mike Timlin fastball when the Yankees took a 3-2 lead in the eighth. Jeter underwent a CAT scan, which rendered normal readings.

    The Sox rallied for five runs in the ninth (four unearned thanks to an error by none other than Alex Rodriguez) off the once-indomitable Mariano Rivera after losing the first two games of their title defense. Oh, and Rivera was booed when he was pulled by Joe Torre with two outs in the ninth. This would be like Larry Bird getting booed at Boston Garden.

    Minutes after the emotional win, Sox bench coach Brad Mills, who filled in for Francona, sighed and said, "I might see if Terry's got a bed next to him."


    Not to minimize chest pains, but the most serious medical condition looks like Mariano Rivera's elbow. If he can't throw his cutter they're in deep trouble.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:12 AM

    USABLES:

    Time for a Prayer Circle: Clinton and Kerry launch an unlikely crusade for religious freedom at work (Kristen Lombardi, April 1st, 2005, Village Voice)

    A new bill co-sponsored by senators Hillary Clinton and John Kerry would seem, on the surface, the perfect chance to carry out the Democratic Party's fresh-minted strategy of getting religion. Supporters of the Workplace Religious Freedom Act say it would guarantee the right to religious expression on the job—whether that means a Sikh wearing a turban or an Orthodox Jew honoring the Sabbath. Its backers include a 40-strong coalition of leading clerics representing nearly every denomination—from Jewish to Catholic, Hindu, Muslim, and Seventh-Day Adventist.

    Sounds straightforward, right?

    The problem for Clinton and Kerry—two of the Democratic Party's biggest names and its most likely presidential candidates—is that a broad swath of their left-wing base thinks the bill is a backdoor means to curb individual rights, and has come out hard against it. Heavyweights like the American Civil Liberties Union, Planned Parenthood, and the Human Rights Campaign contend that, in practice, "workplace religious freedom" could allow a nurse to refuse to give the morning-after pill to a rape victim. Or it could allow a school counselor to proselytize on "sins of the homosexual lifestyle" to a gay teen.

    "None of us say we don't want religious freedom," says Rachel Laser, of the National Women's Law Center, which opposes the bill.


    Of course you don't say it.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:01 AM

    NOT THE ANSWER THEY WERE HOPING FOR:

    Accounts Could Replace Soc. Sec. Checks (GLEN JOHNSON, 4/06/05, Associated Press)

    Someone born next year who goes on to earn what the government considers a high-wage income could see his Social Security check replaced by the personal investment account President Bush has proposed, a congressional study says.

    Democrats said Wednesday that the study, which they commissioned from the nonpartisan Congressional Research Service, was troublesome because it illustrated how the accounts — invested in the stock market — might eventually eliminate Social Security's guaranteed checks.


    Yes, that the reform would work has to be troubling for those who oppose it.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:01 AM

    MISSION ACCOMPLISHED:

    Handoff to Local Forces Being Tested in Mosul: U.S. Military Is Accelerating Transition (Steve Fainaru, April 7, 2005, Washington Post)

    The two dozen Iraqi soldiers marched in formation into downtown Mosul, streets emptying in their path. The men trained their rifles on potential bomb threats: a donkey-drawn vegetable cart, a blue Opel sedan, a man with a bulge beneath his tattered gray coat.

    Less than a month ago, U.S. forces patrolled these dangerous streets. But on this humid morning there were only the Iraqis and a lone U.S. adviser, Marine Staff Sgt. Lafayette Waters, 32, of Kinston, N.C., who blended unobtrusively into the patrol.

    This is Area of Operations Iraq, slightly more than two square miles in the heart of Iraq's third-largest city. It is also at the center of the U.S. military's strategy to hand off counterinsurgency operations to Iraqi security forces and ultimately draw down the number of American troops.

    Since Iraq's Jan. 30 parliamentary elections, that process has accelerated much more rapidly than U.S. commanders have previously acknowledged. Although AO Iraq is one of just two sectors currently under Iraqi control (the other is the area around Baghdad's Haifa Street), two senior U.S. officers said the Iraqis' zone of responsibility would soon expand and eventually include all of Nineveh province, including Mosul and Tall Afar, another volatile city, possibly within a year.

    The officers cautioned that the rough timetable for the northern province's handover could be affected by several factors, including the potency of the insurgency and the preparedness of specific units, and U.S. commanders have declined to provide a schedule for shifting responsibility to Iraqi forces throughout the country. But the process in Mosul, where in November insurgents overpowered an 8,000-man Iraqi police force and several National Guard units, demonstrates how fast the transition is happening.



    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    QUARTERED:

    A Blog Written From Minneapolis Rattles Canada's Liberal Party (CLIFFORD KRAUSS, 4/07/05, NY Times)

    An American blogger has suddenly emerged as a force in Canadian politics.

    Edward Morrissey, a 42-year-old Minneapolis area call-center manager who runs a Web log, or blog, called Captain's Quarters as a hobby, last Saturday began posting allegations of corruption that reached the highest levels of the Canadian Liberal Party. The postings violate a publication ban instituted a few days earlier by a federal judge, Justice John Gomery, who is leading an investigation into accusations of money laundering and kickbacks in a government program from the 1990's that was aimed at undermining Quebec separatists.

    The scandal, which involves government payments of up to $85 million to a handful of Montreal advertising firms for little or no work, has dominated national politics for a year and led to the Liberals losing their majority in the House of Commons last June.

    But Justice Gomery moved to limit dissemination of information from the otherwise public hearing in Montreal so as not to influence potential jurors for coming trials in which a government bureaucrat and two advertising executives face criminal charges.

    According to Mr. Morrissey's blog, recent testimony for the first time links people who have been close to Prime Minister Paul Martin to the scandal.

    Mr. Martin has long insisted that he knew nothing of the workings of the program, which was intended to promote the federal government's presence at cultural and sporting events, even though he was finance minister at the time. The prime minister then was Jean Chrétien, who left office in December 2003.

    Journalists and anyone else can attend the so-called Gomery commission hearings, and Mr. Morrissey said one of them, whom he would not identify, had approached him and had been passing him information for his blog.


    Shouldn't the scandal itself be the bigger story?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    THE LUNATIC FRINGE TAKES THE HELM:

    Survey Paints Portrait of Dean Supporters (Dan Balz, April 7, 2005, Washington Post)

    Dean attracted an activist corps that is whiter, wealthier, better educated and far more liberal and secular than Democrats generally or the population at large, according to the Pew Research Center. But the study found that Dean's followers were not, as some reports had suggested, dominated by young people and that he had strong appeal among voters ages 40 to 59. [...]

    More than four in five (82 percent) of Dean activists in the study identified themselves as liberals, compared with 27 percent of all Democrats nationally. Asked what drew them to Dean, 66 percent cited the war in Iraq, and 99 percent of the Dean followers said Bush's decision to go to war in Iraq was wrong. On the issue of gay rights, 91 percent of Dean activists said they favor same-sex marriages, compared with 38 percent of Democrats nationally.

    In a party that includes substantial numbers of blacks and Hispanics, the Dean Democrats are overwhelmingly white -- 92 percent, according to the survey -- and constitute what could be described as part of the American elite. More than half (54 percent) hold post-graduate degrees and a quarter have graduated from college. Almost one in three (29 percent) have household incomes of more than $100,000 annually.

    One in three of the Dean activists said they never attend church, and 27 percent said they seldom do so. Those rates of religious participation are far lower than that of Democrats generally. More than half of all Democrats say they attend church at least once a month.

    Dean's followers, according to the poll, want the party to challenge Bush more vigorously and embrace "progressive" policies, not the centrist positions that were critical to former president Bill Clinton's two victories. Just 18 percent of those who responded to the surveys said the party had effectively advocated liberal or progressive positions, and two-thirds said they want to see the party reflect those liberal positions in the future.

    The Dean activists remain anti-Bush (96 percent strongly disapprove of his performance) and critical of Democratic leaders, with 86 percent saying those leaders have not done enough to challenge the president.


    Why would you trust a party, nevermind a nation, to folks who came of age in the 60s and 70s?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    NO CRIME UNTIL THE INVESTIGATION, A WASHINGTON CLASSIC:

    Papers Say Leak Probe Is Over (Carol D. Leonnig, April 7, 2005, Washington Post)

    The special prosecutor investigating whether Bush administration officials illegally revealed the identity of a covert CIA operative says he finished his investigation months ago, except for questioning two reporters who have refused to testify.

    The information in a March 22 court filing by special counsel Patrick J. Fitzgerald suggests that syndicated columnist Robert D. Novak, who first published the name of undercover CIA officer Valerie Plame, has already spoken to investigators about his sources for that report, according to legal experts. Novak, whose July 2003 column sparked the investigation, and his attorney have refused to comment on whether he was questioned.

    Legal experts and sources close to the case also speculated yesterday that Fitzgerald is not likely to seek an indictment for the crime he originally set out to investigate: whether a government official knowingly exposed a covert officer. The sources, who asked not to be named because the matter is the subject of a grand jury investigation, said Fitzgerald may instead seek to charge a government official with committing perjury by giving conflicting information to prosecutors.


    Will these Washingtonians never learn they need to just be straight with investigators and they'll be okay?

    MORE:
    Plame Game Over?: The special prosecutor says his investigation was “for all practical purposes complete” six months ago. (Murray Waas, 04.06.05, American Prospect)

    The special prosecutor investigating whether any Bush administration official may have violated federal law by leaking the identity of CIA officer Valerie Plame to columnist Robert Novak recently informed a federal court that his investigation has been “for all practical purposes complete” since October 2004.

    The disclosure by special counsel Patrick J. Fitzgerald that he completed virtually all aspects of his federal grand jury investigation as long as six months ago was made in court papers the prosecutor filed on March 22. Despite the fact that the filing has been on the public record since then, it has previously been unreported.

    Fitzgerald made the disclosure in explaining why he considered the testimony of reporters for The New York Times and Time magazine so essential to his inquiry. Reporters Judith Miller of the Times and Matthew Cooper of Time have already been found to be in contempt of court for refusing to testify before the special prosecutor’s grand jury. Attorneys for both news organizations have appealed the contempt citations.

    Fitzgerald implied in the court papers that if he were able to obtain the testimony of both reporters, he would most likely be able to close out his investigation once and for all. Most outside legal observers, and government officials with knowledge of the probe, as well as private attorneys representing individuals who are appearing before Fitzgerald’s grand jury interviewed for this article, say the fact that the prosecutor has considered his investigation virtually complete for several months indicates that he most likely will not bring any criminal charges.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    "SO MANY OF US, AND SO FEW OF THEM":

    How the Pope 'Defeated Communism' (Anne Applebaum, April 6, 2005, Washington Post)

    In essence, the pope made two contributions to the defeat of totalitarian communism, a system in which the state claimed ownership of all or most physical property -- factories, farms, houses -- and also held a monopoly on intellectual life. No one was allowed to own a private business, in other words, and no one was allowed to express belief in any philosophy besides Marxism. The church, first in Poland and then elsewhere, broke these two monopolies, offering people a safe place to meet and intellectually offering them an alternative way of thinking about the world.

    Here's how it worked: When I lived in Poland in the late 1980s, I was told that if I wanted to know what was going on, I'd have to go every week to a particular Warsaw church and pick up a copy of the city's weekly underground newspaper. Equally, if I wanted to see an exhibition of paintings that were not the work of the regime's artists, or a play that was not approved by the regime's censors, I could go to an exhibition or a performance in a church basement. The priests didn't write the newspapers, or paint the paintings, or act in the plays -- none of which were necessarily religious -- but they made their space and resources available for the people who did. And in helping to create what we now call "civil society," these priests were following the example of the pope who, as a young man in Nazi-occupied Poland, secretly studied for the priesthood and also founded an underground theater.

    Odd though it sounds, the Polish church's "alternative thinking" wasn't an entirely religious phenomenon either. Marxism, as it was practiced in Eastern Europe, was a cult of progress. We are destroying the past in order to build the future, the communist leaders explained: We are razing the buildings, eradicating the traditions and collectivizing the land to make a new kind of society and to shape a new kind of citizen. But when the pope came to Poland, he talked not just of God but also of history. During his trips, he commemorated the 1,000th anniversary of the death of Saint Adalbert, the 600th anniversary of Poland's oldest university or the 40th anniversary of the Warsaw ghetto uprising. I once heard him speak at length on the life of Sister Kinga, a 13th-century nun. This was deliberate. "Fidelity to roots does not mean a mechanical copying of the patterns of the past," he said in one of his Polish speeches: "Fidelity to roots is always creative, ready to descend into the depths, open to new challenges."

    I don't mean here to play down the pope's spirituality. But it so happens that John Paul's particular way of expressing his faith -- publicly, openly, and with many cultural and historical references -- was explosive in countries whose regimes tried to control both culture and history, along with everything else.

    Finally, this pope also made an impact thanks to his unusual ability -- derived from charisma and celebrity as well as faith -- to get people out on the streets. As Natan Sharansky and others have written, communist regimes achieved their greatest successes when they were able to atomize people, to keep them apart and keep them afraid. But when the pope first visited Poland in 1979, he was greeted not by a handful of little old ladies, as the country's leaders predicted, but by millions of people of all ages. My husband, 16 years old at the time, remembers climbing a tree on the outskirts of an airfield near Gniezno where the pope was saying Mass and seeing an endless crowd, "three kilometers in every direction." The regime -- its leaders, its police -- were nowhere visible: "There were so many of us, and so few of them." That was also the trip in which the pope kept repeating, "Don't be afraid."

    It wasn't a coincidence that Poles found the courage, a year later, to organize Solidarity, the first mass anticommunist political movement.


    That one realization, that you so overwhelmingly outnumber the regime, is the key too to the revolutions rolling across the Middle East, Africa, and Eastern Europe these days.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    MEANS TEST:

    2 visions of Europe clash in its budget (Graham Bowley, April 7, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

    What sort of union will the European Union be?

    The European Commission, the keeper of the Continent's unifying flame, made its pitch here on Wednesday for a well-funded union, one that has enough money to dole out development aid to its poorer backwaters, to fight crime and illegal immigration, stimulate a high-tech future and run its federal institutions well.

    In this vision, Europe is without borders, run more and more from Brussels - one, according to José Manuel Barroso, the commission president, that has "the means to match its ambitions."

    The referendums on Europe's new constitutional treaty that are planned to roll across countries over the next year or so are a big test at the polling booth of Europeans' stomach for further integration, analysts say. According to opinion polls, a rejection is looking more likely at least in Britain next spring, and perhaps in France on May 29, thus dooming the EU to a lengthy period of introspection and argument.

    But the Union will also be tested by national responses to the commission's opening gambit on the EU's budget, equivalent to 1.14 percent of EU gross national income. Already at least six countries want to limit it to 1 percent.


    If the question is how much will the French give others the whole thing's overwith, no?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    THE BRITS PICK THE POPE TOO?:

    UK cardinal may hold key to papal election (Stephen Bates, April 7, 2005, The Guardian)

    Cormac Murphy-O'Connor, the cardinal who leads the Roman Catholic church in England and Wales, was emerging last night as a potential king-maker in the forthcoming conclave in the Vatican which will choose the next pope.

    The 72-year-old English cardinal has been spotted as someone with close links to European and American church leaders and those in Latin America, who are expected to press hard for one of their number to be chosen. Affable, a fluent Italian speaker and widely respected, Cardinal Murphy-O'Connor is thought likely to play a central role as candidates emerge.

    He told a news conference yesterday at the English College seminary, which he used to head: "I meet a lot of colleagues when I come out to meetings in Rome. You cannot sit around a table with them for three or four days without knowing what they are like. Cardinals know each other much better than they did in the past. There would not be very many that I did not know."

    His remarks came after the cardinals announced that the conclave - the meeting in the Sistine Chapel at which they will elect a new pope - will start on April 18.


    Isn't picking the head of one church enough?


    April 6, 2005

    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:46 PM

    THERE'S NO SUCH THING AS A LITTLE BIT OF GLASNOST:

    Egyptian judges threaten to disrupt elections unless reforms are implemented (Agence France Presse, April 07, 2005)

    Egypt's judges have rallied mounting calls for political reforms, asking for a long-due separation of powers between the judicial and executive branches and threatening to disturb upcoming presidential polls. The Egyptian Judges' Club - Egypt's equivalent of a judges' union - presented a draft law to Parliament via left-wing opposition MP Abu al-Ezz al-Hariri late last month that seeks to amend the current judiciary law and guarantee their independence from the executive branch.

    "A new judiciary law must be passed during the current parliamentary session [ending in June] before we consider supervising any future elections," said a statement released by the Judges' Club general assembly in Alexandria.

    The judges are due to meet on April 14 and examine whether "to abstain from supervising the elections if a new law is not passed," one union member said.

    Some are "even calling for a sit-in or a strike but we're trying to dissuade them because we want to resort to dialogue rather than a confrontation," added Hisham Bastawissi, who also sits on Egypt's court of cassation.



    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:39 PM

    FAMILIARITY BREEDS CONTEMPT (via Paul Cella):

    Mugged by la Réalité: The unreported race riot in France. (Olivier Guitta, 04/11/2005, Weekly Standard)

    FREDERIC ENCEL, PROFESSOR OF international relations at the prestigious Ecole Nationale d'Administration in Paris and a man not known for crying wolf, recently stated that France is becoming a new Lebanon. The implication, far-fetched though it may seem, was that civil upheaval might be no more than a few years off, sparked by growing ethnic and religious polarization. In recent weeks, a series of events has underlined this ominous trend.

    On March 8, tens of thousands of high school students marched through central Paris to protest education reforms announced by the government. Repeatedly, peaceful demonstrators were attacked by bands of black and Arab youths--about 1,000 in all, according to police estimates. The eyewitness accounts of victims, teachers, and most interestingly the attackers themselves gathered by the left-wing daily Le Monde confirm the motivation: racism.

    Some of the attackers openly expressed their hatred of "little French people." One 18-year-old named Heikel, a dual citizen of France and Tunisia, was proud of his actions. He explained that he had joined in just to "beat people up," especially "little Frenchmen who look like victims." He added with a satisfied smile that he had "a pleasant memory" of repeatedly kicking a student, already defenseless on the ground.

    Another attacker explained the violence by saying that "little whites" don't know how to fight and "are afraid because they are cowards." Rachid, an Arab attacker, added that even an Arab can be considered a "little white" if he "has a French mindset." The general sentiment was a desire
    to "take revenge on whites."


    So France's Arabs have been assimilated rather well--they're indistinguishable from Germans.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:36 PM

    NOT IN AN AD HOC PARTY:

    A governor critiques Kerry's bid (Scot Lehigh, April 6, 2005, Boston Globe)

    SAY THIS about Ed Rendell: He's no blow-dried pol offering up pleasing platitudes. Stocky, balding, gravel-voiced, yet still oddly charismatic, the governor of Pennsylvania is using a Monday appearance at Harvard Law School to critique what went wrong for the Democrats in the presidential election -- and sounding very much like a man who wants to run nationally himself in 2008.

    Which, despite having recently said he would ''absolutely" complete his term if reelected in 2006, Rendell tells the Globe he just may do.

    But first, his judgment on the Kerry campaign: It oversimplified the Democratic message, offering easy-to-blur assertions rather than more-detailed explanations that could have made differences vivid.

    How many of the students know the difference between the Kerry and Bush economic programs, he asks? Or the contrasting approaches on healthcare? A couple of hands go up in a crowd of 35 or 40.

    ''Can you imagine what the average American thinks?" he asks. ''Even though the issues that people care about are hugely on our side, we've insisted on dumbing them down."

    Down to the point where Kerry's ads essentially limited themselves to asserting that Kerry had a healthcare plan that would increase access and cut middle-class costs, Rendell says. The problem: Voters soon saw Bush ads making the same basic claim, he says.

    ''Do we think that voters are so dumb that we have to feed them pabulum, that we can't try to explain why we are better on the issues than they are?" Rendell asks. If so, the Democrats are in trouble, because the Republicans have a better bumper sticker message, he says.

    In a later interview, Rendell adds: ''They used to make fun of Bill Clinton for giving too much detail, but people knew what Bill Clinton was trying to achieve."


    Nothing seems more likely to shift the black vote to the GOP than a Jewish nominee at the top of the Democratic ticket. Recall how studiedly the party ignored Joe Lieberman? It's a chance they can't take.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:56 PM

    A WORD TO THE WISE:

    Let Her Entertain You: Tricia Murphy's striptease aerobics are a healthy bump and grind. (Heather Logue, 4/06/05, Seattle Weekly)

    "Swivel those hips!" may be the new anthem for fitness-minded women, or at least the rhythmically advanced ones frequenting Urban Fitness in West Seattle (4700 California Ave. S.W., 206-938-4119). Co-owned by the founder of Urban Striptease Aerobics, Tricia Murphy, Urban Fitness has become a mecca for women looking for aerobics with some extra benefits.

    Intrigued by any workout that encourages the removal of clothes, I decide to try this stripping phenomenon for myself. Clad in baggy sweats and towing a close friend to share the possible humiliation, I step inside the classroom and am immediately sucked into a crowd of milling women. (Oh, sweet Jesus—I'm supposed to gyrate in front of these strangers?) My friend and I try to comfort each other with tidbits remembered from preadolescent ballet/jazz classes, then grab spots in the back corner of the room. Looking around, we notice a variety of body types, but the majority seem to be athletic, in their mid-20s, and, frankly, reminiscent of sorority sisters. I'm relieved when an older woman sidles in beside me, my terror mirrored in her similar expression.

    Instructor Murphy then takes front and center. After welcoming everyone back to their sixth and final class, she begins the routine they've been working on for weeks. My friend and I are screwed: Joining the others in pelvic thrusts and chest gyrations as best we can, it's soon evident that one should not start a class in the sixth week of a six-week program. I attempt to emulate the movements, horrified that my rhythmically challenged body must stick out like a sore thumb.

    There's some sexy strutting, bending, kicking, thrusting—you name it. Then, somewhere amidst my friend and I bumping into each other, tripping on shoelaces, and laughing uncontrollably (much to the dismay of the other students, who had apparently evolved beyond such immaturity), I realize: I'm having a damn good time. When was the last time I actually enjoyed working out?


    WARNING: If The Wife says she wants to lose five pounds for Spring and you think it would be a thoughtful gesture to bring home the strippaerobic tape for her, you're wrong.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:52 PM

    90% OF MEDICINE IS HALF MENTAL:

    If placebos work, should doctors use them? (Gregory M. Lamb, 4/07/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

    Most people think of placebos as harmless "sugar pills" given in clinic trials to some participants so that medical researchers can gauge the effects of the real drug on others. But in some trials, the "placebo effect" proves to be as strong as that of the drug. Consistently 30 percent or more of the subjects given placebos will show some improvement by taking the dummy pills.

    So over the decades a small band of researchers has taken a hard look at those pills. Are they really effective? Should they play a role in medical therapy?

    A landmark study in 2001 concluded that they weren't useful. It "found little evidence in general that placebos had powerful clinical effects," the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) reported.

    But that hardly put the matter to rest as new studies emerged. A March article in The New Scientist summed up the problem: It listed the placebo effect as one of "13 things that do not make sense" to science. [...]

    Among the placebo studies that have been reported since the NEJM article:

    • A report in the journal Psychosomatic Medicine earlier this year showed that patients with problem coughs who were given a placebo (a dose of Vitamin E) significantly reduced their coughing compared with a group of similar coughing patients who received no treatment.

    • Heart patients who faithfully took either a heart medication or a placebo fared equally well, according to an article in the journal Nature last November. The authors theorized that the faithful taker of a drug or placebo might also be faithful in following other recommended routines, such as dieting or exercising, which were creating the real benefit. Or, more controversially, they said, the study might also suggest that a patient could be as well off taking a less-expensive placebo as taking a drug.

    • In an April 2004 study reported in the Archives of General Psychiatry, 20 Parkinson's patients received surgery in which human dopamine neurons were transplanted into their brains. Twenty other patients received "sham" surgery, in which nothing was transplanted. Neither the patients nor the medical staff knew what each patient received (the "double blind" standard). After a year, those who declared themselves better, and those whom the staff concluded were improved, came from both the treated and nontreated groups.

    • In an experiment published in the journal Science last year volunteers were subjected to a harmless but painful electrical shock. When they were told that they had had an antipain cream applied to the site (really an inert placebo), they rated the pain as less intense. What's more, brain scans showed that areas of the brain associated with pain indeed were less active.

    The study suggested a practical use of the placebo effect by doctors, said one of the researchers. If you share your expectation that a drug will work with your patient, "you enhance the effect," he concluded. But if a doctor said, or even hinted, that his treatment might not be effective, "it would be much less likely to be effective," the researcher said.


    It would certainly seem a good idea to pretend a placebo was medicine for things like teachers and parents who want to dope up active kids. Just by changing their perception of the kid you'd likely get a positive effect.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:39 PM

    DELUSIONS OF SIGNIFICANCE:

    The KFYI Investigators go on the front lines to bring you - first hand - the story of the Minuteman Project. Check out the daily Minuteman Blog, with pictures, along the border and from the frontlines. Coming soon... exclusive Minuteman photos! (Steven Gregory, KFYI)

    I meet up with the Minutemen from Colorado..they have a couple guys with them from California...one of them hands me a micro-cassette player to listen to...on it, a personal account of spotting a 150 pound brown bear in the Coconino National Forest earlier that day..then, an interview with woman who was walking her dogs along a stretch of road near the border....the tape is hard to hear because of the high wind noise...but, I'm able to hear the woman explain how hard it is for her to live in the area...she's been there for years and in the last 6 years it's gotten worse...her dogs bark every night because of all of the activity...she wears a bandana to prevent her identity being exposed to the drug cartel...if they see her talking with anyone, especially the law or media, they will retaliate by killing or torturing her dogs, or worse, burn her house down. There's a code of silence that surrounds the area...landowners are intimidated into submission buy the violent drug cartel. I dub the audio to my recorder for use in news stories.
    By now, it's time for another live interview...this time, KFBK in Sacramento, CA.....and WRVA in West Virginia......It's funny that most everyone starts each interview with phrases like, "So Steve...you're embedded with a group of vigilantes along the border?" Or, "Hello Steve, tell us what it's like being with the Minutemen Militia" It's no wonder people never trust the media....I assure you, there's no evidence (at least from what I can tell) that there's a militia here...sure, there's a few people with guns..but, they're mostly retired law enforcement, military and in some cases....active law enforcement / military.
    Time for dinner....this time, I venture off campus to a steak and ribs joint down the way on highway 92....it's called the Bright Spot, and let me tell you...some of the best baby back ribs I've ever had!!! I stop off to fuel the KFYI News truck, pick up some snacks and head back to Camp Minuteman.....I'm in my room only 10 minutes when I hear a woman walking down the hall, knocking on every door announcing loudly that there's an emergency meeting in the lobby in 15 minutes.....curious, I head to the lobby where people are already gathering.....Jim Gilchrist walks in with a very stern look on his face, pacing back and forth silent for a few moments when he says...."Listen...earlier today we received a credible threat hand delivered to Chris Simcox...it says to expect 24 Mexican activists to 'rush' the border near Naco....this is to taunt, tease and engage the Minutemen...the intent is to prompt one of the volunteers to start violence, or shoot....under no circumstances are you to do either...do I make myself clear?" "Yes, sir!!!" The crowd shouts.......Jim goes on to explain that their intel says this is most likely a diversion tactic to force the Minutemen to the section of the border where the 'rush' will take place...and while that's happening...A Mexican gang will launch an assault on the Minuteman Compound and Headquarters. Well, that certainly got the attention of every person in the room....there was a brief silence then, everyone started to speak at once...Jim finally got everyone to quiet down, then, introduced one of the heads of security for the MMP...this man begins a quick lesson on how to defend yourself against a frontal charge/assault....a lesson on drawing your weapon with a 21 foot distance threshold....and a lesson on how to thwart a knife attack. This man then introduced another man who filled us in on the plan to secure the compund...how they will fortify the area with additional armed security, and place makeshift sensors around the area to detect when someone, or something, enters our perimeter.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:20 PM

    WHERE'S THE ACLU?:

    Supremacist Hale sentenced to 40 years (MIKE ROBINSON, 4/06/05, Associated Press)

    Avowed white supremacist Matthew Hale was sentenced to 40 years in prison Wednesday for trying to have a federal judge killed - the same judge whose husband and mother were murdered five weeks ago by a deranged man with no connection to Hale.

    Hale, the 33-year-old leader of a group that preaches racial holy war, was sentenced after a rambling, two-hour speech in which he claimed he was the victim and even recited part of "The Star Spangled Banner." He showed no emotion and sat staring at the defense table as the sentence was handed down.

    Prosecutors argued for the maximum sentence, saying Hale's crime amounted to an act of terrorism, and the judge agreed.


    Where are all the cries about the unjust jihad against terrorism?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:06 PM

    JEFFERSON/JACKSON/REAGAN, NOT WILSON...:

    Bush's classic conservatism (Henry R. Nau, March 29, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

    Conservative internationalists exist in the American diplomatic tradition, and Europeans - as well as liberal Americans - should recognize this school of diplomacy even if they disagree with it.

    Bush draws on four features of conservative internationalism.

    First he believes, like Thomas Jefferson, that freedom, not stability, is the essence of democracy. Jefferson wanted the tree of liberty to be watered periodically by the blood of patriots. Bush is not quite so sanguinary, but he mentioned freedom 27 times in his Inaugural Address and 21 times in his State of the Union address and stability not once. By contrast, Chancellor Gerhard Schröder of Germany mentioned stability eight times in his NATO address and freedom not once. Bush, like Jefferson, wants freedom to spread by commerce, not force. Both lowered defense expectations when they came into office. But then war came for both.

    Second, Bush, like Andrew Jackson, reacts to war fiercely and unilaterally. As a general, Jackson invaded the Florida Territory in 1818 to squelch Indian attacks without authorization from President James Monroe or Congress. That's about as unilateral as it gets. After 9/11, Bush called the enemy evil and attacked him unilaterally without authorization from the United Nations. Unilateralism is not premeditated or mean-spirited; it's instinctive and self-protective.

    Third, Bush, although an internationalist, is not Woodrow Wilson. He is not a strong believer in national administrations (of which Wilson was a student) or international institutions. He is very skeptical of the United Nations, where nondemocracies have veto power. His appointment of John Bolton as U.S. ambassador to the United Nations signals continued tough love for that institution. Even among democracies Bush is more comfortable with "coalitions of the willing" than decision-making by NATO committees. He prefers NATO à la carte. For Europeans, of course, that's NATO as a "tool kit" and unacceptable.

    Fourth, Bush, like Ronald Reagan, is a selective internationalist, not an institutional one. He sees negotiations as episodic not continuous. He often shuns or delays negotiations, as Reagan did, in order to alter the balance of forces on the ground and improve his bargaining position.


    ..that's a quitessentially American formula.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:47 PM

    CAN'T HURT TO OPPOSE THE FRANCO-GERMANS:


    Changing sides on foreign policy
    (Paul Reynolds, 4/05/05, BBC News)

    It is one of the ironic features of modern British politics that the two major parties have switched roles on foreign policy over recent years.

    And so it is that Labour goes into the election as a pro-European party and the Conservatives, who took Britain into Europe in the first place, are now critical and suspicious.

    And it is Labour which has picked up the pro-American baton left by Mrs Thatcher and has run with it to outdistance even the American enthusiasms of the Tories.

    Tony Blair and his foreign secretary Jack Straw say nice things about the American president George Bush that might make even Mrs Thatcher blush.

    Half a century and more after Winston Churchill and Franklin Delano Roosevelt formed the "special relationship," it is a Labour government that has kept it alive.


    There's not much percentage in being pro-American, but whichever party goes totally anti-Europe first stands to reap big gains. Indeed, the Tories never would have lost power had they heeded Margaret Thatcher's Euroskepticism.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:30 PM

    EVEN MAKES PEAS TOLERABLE:

    Baked risotto with bacon and peas (Adapted from The Instant Cook by Donna Hay)

    1 tablespoon olive oil
    2 strips bacon, chopped
    1/2 cup thinly sliced shallots (2-3 bulbs)
    1 teaspoon dried thyme
    2 cups arborio rice
    5 cups reduced-sodium chicken broth, warmed
    1 cup frozen green peas
    3/4 cup grated Parmesan
    Salt and pepper to taste
    3 tablespoons chopped parsley

    Preheat oven to 375 degrees. Heat oil in oven-safe Dutch oven over medium heat. Add bacon and cook for 2 minutes, then add shallots and thyme and cook until bacon is crisp and shallots begin to brown, 3-5 minutes. Reduce heat to low and add rice. Cook, stirring, for a minute or two until rice grains are coated with oil. Add warm stock. Stir well, cover and bake 30 minutes. Add peas, stir, and return to oven to cook uncovered 10 minutes more.

    Remove risotto from oven, add Parmesan, add salt and pepper to taste, and stir 2-3 minutes, until mixture has thickened. Stir in parsley and serve.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 PM

    REAL DANGER, EASY SOLUTION:

    Feed the Beast (BRUCE BARTLETT, 4/06/05, NY Times)

    GROWING numbers of policy analysts and politicians are saying that it may finally be time to consider a value-added tax as part of our federal revenue system. In years past, I would have been in the forefront of those denouncing the idea. But now, reluctantly, I have joined the pro-V.A.T. side. Here's why.

    There are many arguments against a value-added tax, which is essentially a sales tax that applies at each stage of production. It is costly to put into effect, and it hits the poor and the elderly hardest because they spend a higher percentage of their income.

    When the idea of a value-added tax for the United States first arose during the Nixon administration, there was no question that it would have fueled the growth of government, just as it did in Europe. As a recent Wall Street Journal editorial pointed out, in the countries that established a V.A.T. in the 1960's and early 1970's, taxes as a share of the gross domestic product have risen significantly.

    But the main reason for this is that it was too easy to raise V.A.T. rates amid the double-digit price increases of the inflationary 1970's. In those days, there were many economists who still believed that budget deficits caused inflation, making it easier to delude people into thinking that higher taxes were necessary to get inflation under control.

    Those countries that adopted the value-added tax since the end of the great inflation, however, have been very restrained in raising rates. Of those countries that had a V.A.T. before 1974, all have raised their rates by an average of seven percentage points. But of those countries that established a V.A.T. since 1974, the average increase is just one percentage point, and a majority have not increased their rates at all.


    A consumption tax should be authorized via a new constitutional amendment that repeals the 16th.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:51 AM

    GREAT, NOW THEY'LL DISMISS MY SUIT TOO:

    Librarian loses 'pretty girl' lawsuit against Harvard (AP, 4/04/05)

    Harvard University did not discriminate against a library assistant who claimed she was repeatedly turned down for promotions because school officials saw her as "a pretty girl" whose attire was too "sexy," a federal jury found Monday.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:50 AM

    WELL-LAID TRAP:

    A stealthy, spreading tax hike (Robert Kuttner, April 6, 2005, Boston Globe)

    [I]f you are a home-owning family with children in a state like Massachusetts with high housing costs, you may well get hit this year with a covert tax increase -- via the AMT. For many upper-middle-class families, the AMT tax increase more than wipes out all of Bush's tax cuts.

    But Bush has not addressed the AMT tax increase. Why not?


    Because it forces Democrats to come to the tax reform table.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:39 AM

    VINDICATING MCCARTHY:

    The Dentist McCarthy Saw as a Threat to Security (SAM ROBERTS, 4/04/05, NY Times)

    Fifty years ago last month, a Senate investigations subcommittee finally closed the book on the case, identifying three dozen Army officers who investigators said "participated actively" in promoting Dr. [Irving ] Peress from captain to major or in approving his honorable discharge. [...]

    Dr. Peress now leaves little doubt what his sympathies were but is still wary about being explicit.

    Was he a Communist?

    "Not when I was in the Army, not for one minute," he said.

    And before that?

    "I'm not going to tell you," he replied. "Nothing can accrue to it."

    "I never advocated the violent overthrow of the government," he offered.

    But was he ever an enrolled member of the Communist Party?

    "That's as far as I'll go right now," he said.

    "The answer would be," he said with the aplomb he demonstrated before the McCarthy subcommittee, "that's the fourth time you asked me."

    Well, did he agree with Communism?

    "I'm far from a Marxist scholar," he said, "but from my skimming of Marx, it was always reasonable, appropriate: democratic control by people of their own destinies and in control of the means of production. It's so utopian and mythological it's hard to conceive. Who would be against it? And what the Soviet Union was on its way to was enough to convince me." [...]

    "Were we Communists?" Elaine Peress chimed in. "I don't see why I would need to answer that question. It's nobody's business. You don't say you pray every morning; you don't have to answer, 'Do you believe in God?' " [...]

    When he applied for a commission as an officer in 1952, he signed an oath that he had never belonged to an organization that sought to alter the government by unconstitutional means ("I didn't consider the American Labor Party or the Communist Party subversive organizations," he said). But on subsequent loyalty forms he wrote "federal constitutional privilege" when asked about membership in groups deemed to be subversive.

    "A Communist who's trying to infiltrate isn't going to call attention to himself," Dr. Peress mused the other day.

    McCarthy, a Wisconsin Republican who was chairman of the Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations of the Committee on Government Operations in 1954, accused the Army of coddling Communists by promoting Dr. Peress from captain to major in spite of questions about his loyalty, by acceding to Dr. Peress's request not to be assigned to Japan, and for allowing him to be honorably discharged after McCarthy demanded that he be court-martialed. In fact, the promotion, along with hundreds of others, was considered automatic under legislation passed by Congress, and the assignment request was granted because his wife and young daughter were ill and the Red Cross passed along his request for a compassionate reassignment. As for the honorable discharge, the Army argued that invoking the Fifth Amendment was not sufficient grounds for military prosecution.

    McCarthy said Dr. Peress represented "the key to the deliberate Communist infiltration of our Armed Forces" and called him a "Fifth Amendment Communist."

    Dr. Peress invoked the Fifth Amendment dozens of times at a subcommittee hearing after a New York City policewoman testified that he and his wife were Communists and had attended a leadership class run by the party. (He did say, however, that he would oppose any group that sought a violent or unconstitutional overthrow of the government.) Prompted by his lawyer, he quoted the Book of Psalms: "His mischief shall return upon his own head and his violence shall come down upon his own pate." He also said that anyone, even a senator, who equated the invoking of constitutional privileges against incrimination with automatic guilt was himself guilty of subversion. [...]

    Has he changed his views about Communism? "I am more and more confused," he replied. "I was a true believer until the not-too-distant past. I have no doubts about the crimes of capitalism, even though it's such an efficient system on paper."

    After all these years, does he have any regrets? "Regrets? That I acted appropriately?" he said. "No. None at all. True believers don't have regrets."


    McCarthy was unfortunately an incompetent boob, but his foes, as shown here, were guilty.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:12 AM

    REINFANTILIZED EUROPE:

    Bloody Necessary: Europeans won't admit it but America's violent messianism isn't all bad. (Michael Hirsh, April 2005, Washington Monthly)

    Listening to European intellectuals debate American power these days, I'm often reminded of one of my favorite scenes in Anna Karenina. It comes toward the end of the novel, when Tolstoy's other protagonist, the self-doubting Constantine Levin, has his climactic epiphany about faith and God. Levin recalls a moment when his nieces and nephews had been playing games with their milk and raspberries as their mother admonishes them for wastefulness: If they turn their food into a toy, she says, then they will not have anything to eat. Reflecting on her children's bewilderment, Levin realizes that they “could not conceive that what they were destroying was the very thing they lived by.” To the children, food had always just been there: “There is no need for us to think about that, it's all ready for us. We want to think out something of our own invention.”

    When it comes to grappling with the giant across the Atlantic, European thinkers of this generation tend to behave like Tolstoy's children. They toy intellectually with American power, lamenting its excesses, warning of its evils, advising endlessly on its better uses—usually without acknowledging that it is the very thing that has kept them free to have these discussions in the first place, and that today it continues to be the backbone of the international system that sustains them. Tolstoy, of course, was giving us a parable about how human beings take their faith in God and his works for granted. No one, not even the most fervid neoconservative in George W. Bush's Washington, would mistake America for the Almighty (at least one hopes not). But too often America's works, and their profound influence on the modern world, do go underappreciated (not least by Americans themselves, which is one reason the current international system still seems alien to them rather than what it is: their own creation).

    Consider the French, our most persistent critics. Seeking to curb the excesses of the self-righteous, God-obsessed Bush, French officials regularly invoke U.N. resolutions and international law like holy writ. Rarely do they acknowledge that it was another self-righteous, God-obsessed American president, Woodrow Wilson, who forced the proto-United Nations, the League of Nations, on them nearly a century ago; and two other equally self-assured presidents, Franklin Roosevelt and Harry Truman, who made the next-generation iteration of the failed League work. There are some exceptions in Europe today, like the small band of “anti-anti-Americans” who tentatively defend Bush. But on the whole the Europeans, having known three generations now without war—and earnestly desiring to become “postmodern states” that never again wage war—tend to forget that it is principally the U.S. defense umbrella that has made this dream possible.

    Set aside for the moment the precipitous invasion of Iraq. America spends more on defense than the rest of the industrialized world combined not because it is inherently belligerent or militaristic but mainly because America is today more than just the “lone superpower.” It is the stabilizer of the international system. American power overlays every region of the planet, and it supplies the control rods that restrain belligerents and arms races from East Asia to Latin America, enabling globalization to proceed apace. With the exception of Iraq, this hidden infrastructure of U.S. power emerges into public view only occasionally, in tsunami relief or in America's unique ability to supply airlift and logistical support to hotspots from East Timor to Sudan. Since 9/11, U.S. special forces have been increasingly operating as global SWAT teams, slipping silently across borders to take out terror cells—systematically, if sometimes savagely, clearing the mean back alleys of the global village (controversial, yes, but most governments don't seem to mind.) Even in Afghanistan, despite considerable European help on the ground, it is “B-52 peacekeeping” in the skies—as a warlord once described it to me—that keeps Hamid Karzai in power, civil war from breaking out, and the Taliban lying low.

    Yet, for too many post-Cold War Europeans, this stabilizing structure of American power has been so hidden as not to be worthy of note. Why exactly do they think their governments can afford to spend so little on defense (thereby subsidizing the European welfare state)? As with the children in Anna Karenina, “there is no need for us to think about that, it's all ready for us.”


    Bad enough the Right says they're from Venus, having the Left say they're childish?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:34 AM

    GREAT MOMENTS ON NPR, VOLUME 4,562:

    The Pope's Relationship with Young Catholics (Barbara Bradley Hagerty, April 6, 2005, Morning Edition)

    Young Americans who have seen Pope John Paul II discuss memories of the pontiff. A look at the pope's affection for the younger generation and theirs for him.

    As Dan Schorr is my witness, during thios report Ms Hagerty was discussing a 22-year old who was raised Catholic but "had an epiphany," and realized that the Pope was wrong about abortion, homosexuality and condoms. And the press wonders why we hold them in contempt?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:17 AM

    WE'RE THINKIN' MONICA'S PHONE NUMBER:

    SANDY ROLLS OVER FOR BILL & HILL (DICK MORRIS, 4/06/05, NY Post)

    FORMER National Security Adviser Sandy Berger has now joined the pantheon of those who, in the im mortal words of Webb Hubbell, have chosen to "roll over one more time" to protect Bill and Hillary Clinton. [...]

    Berger has admitted that he stuffed top-secret documents into his pockets, shirt and pants, and why he sliced some up with scissors, destroyed them and then lied about it. Until he gives a credible explanation for this behavior, we are all entitled to make the logical inference — that he was hiding something to protect himself and his old bosses. [...]

    The most obvious reason would be to stop the 9/11 commission from including embarrassing revelations in its report.

    Yes, the documents Berger purloined were not the only copies, but it's not clear that Berger knew that. Or there may have been handwritten notes in the margins of the copies Berger destroyed — written by the president, Berger or others.



    Posted by David Cohen at 10:05 AM

    THE PATH TO HELL ...

    Charges may be dismissed against Williams (Tracy Kennedy, Register Citizen.com, 4/5/05)

    Huntington Williams, the 74-year-old West Cornwall man who stayed with his friend John Welles when he chose to end his life, appears to be eligible for a program that could dismiss the manslaughter charge filed against him. . . .

    Williams was arrested in January by state police in North Canaan for allegedly aiding in Welles’ suicide on June 11 at his West Cornwall home. Police allege Williams assisted his 67-year-old friend suffering from prostate cancer to end his life by cleaning Welles’ gun, carrying the weapon for him while Welles struggled to go outside his house with his walker and smoke his pipe, and advising him of the most effective angle to point the gun. When Williams sat down on his lawn the two shook hands and Williams walked down Welles’ driveway, according to an arrest affidavit. He heard Welles ask if he was still there, and Williams was just about to say "God Bless" when he heard the gun discharge one time, he told police. . . .

    Before granting the accelerated rehabilitation program, according to the statute, Brunetti must find the crime was not of a serious nature and that he expects Welles will not offend in the future.

    NPR did a story on this case this morning. The NPR correspondent reported that Welles had only recently been diagnosed, that the cancer had spread to his spine and he had been told that it was terminal, that he was in pain and that he prided himself on his self-reliance. All of the media coverage I've seen has been sympathetic to Williams, a veteran, a volunteer EMT and Welles' friend for 20 years. Obviously, Williams should be convicted and punished.

    All of the facts added by the NPR story underscore why Williams deserves to be convicted. He failed his friend in the most profound way. Immediately after a terminal diagnosis, people are naturally depressed. When in pain -- which patients are too often, due to some oddities of American medical regulation and practice -- people are naturally depressed. When forced suddenly and involuntarily to change their way of life, people are naturally depressed. What Mr. Welles needed was not someone to enable his self-murder, but someone to take action for his preservation. Here, there was no counseling; as far as we know, there was no effort to get his friend relief from his physical or mental pain, other than through cleaning, loading and carrying his gun.

    Finally, there is the tricky issue of self-reliance. Self-reliance is good. But allowing the community to come to our aid is also good. In Jewish terms, giving others the chance to do good, to do a mitzvah, is in itself a mitzvah. Relieving us of a burden sounds like a noble act, but the hard truth is that suicide, in the midst of plenty, is the ultimate act of solipsistic selfishness.

    MORE: Barry Meislin, in the comments to another post, points to this article about Jewish law and assisted suicide:

    Mordechai Halperin: Jewish law tells us that three conditions have to obtain for us to be able to withhold care from a patient. First, the patient must be terminally ill, which is defined as meaning that he or she is expected to die within six months - beyond which it is impossible to make reliable predictions. Second, the individual must be undergoing terrible suffering. And third, we know, because the patient has said so, or we are in a position to assume, that the patient does not wish to have his or her life extended. If any one of these conditions is lacking, then we are not permitted to withhold medical care.

    When you say "medical care," what does that include?

    I will tell you what cannot be withheld, under any circumstances, by Jewish law. The patient cannot be cut off from oxygen - that would constitute suffocation; the patient cannot be disconnected from an infusion - that would be tantamount to being deprived of water; and we cannot withhold nutrition from the patient - for that is equivalent to starvation. . . .

    But doesn't Jewish law have an absolute prohibition on suicide?

    In principle, suicide is forbidden, except in very specific cases. For example, a soldier who fears that he will give up secrets that could risk the lives of fellow soldiers is permitted to commit suicide. In the case of a sick person, however, the halakhah does not permit him to kill himself, but it excuses him if he does so. That is to say, it is an act that can be understood, even if it's not acceptable. This makes a very big difference. It means that the individual can undergo a normal burial in a regular cemetery. But I want to stress that nowadays, there is no reason why a person need undergo terrible pain. It may be that one reason the Dutch have the situation they do is that they don't have the same understanding of pain control that we have here, and they lack the kind of hospices that we have here for the terminally ill. It is generally clear what safe and necessary quantities of morphine are available. And giving an overdose is just murder.

    We are talking in this situation about a non-Jewish woman and non-Jewish families. Would the rules of halakhah as you've described them be applied in the same way if a non-Jew were hospitalized in Israel?

    Of course. There is no difference between a Jew and a non-Jew in medical situations. It is forbidden to kill either. Heaven help us if we began to make distinctions like that.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:01 AM

    WHERE'S THE OUTRAGE?:

    Report: 1 in 4 military, overseas ballots uncounted (Associated Press, April 06, 2005)
    The votes of at least one in four U.S. soldiers and overseas voters in last fall's election never were counted.

    That's the conclusion of a recent report by the National Defense Committee, a private, pro- military organization that surveyed local election offices across the country about the number of absentee votes cast and counted in the Nov. 2 election.

    In all, more than 30,000 of the 131,000 absentee ballots sent by troops and expatriates to 760 local elections offices around the country were not counted, the report found. Those offices represent about 10 percent of the 7,800 offices nationwide.

    This disenfranchisement rate was a bit better than that of the 2000 presidential election, where widespread voting and mail glitches left about 29 percent of the ballots uncounted.

    Even so, the organization said its study may have suffered from an undercount of its own that could make the number of troops left voteless last year even larger.
    Won't hear much about this from Democrats.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:59 AM

    BIG TIPPERS:

    U.S., Iraqi Forces Break Up Rebel Camp: Three soldiers and 17 insurgents are killed south of Baghdad in a battle that began after troops followed a tip about a weapons cache. (Doug Smith, April 6, 2005, LA Times)

    U.S. and Iraqi forces overran an insurgent encampment in a fierce overnight battle east of the capital, military officials said Tuesday.

    Two American troops and an Iraqi soldier were killed in the fighting that left 17 insurgents dead. Two U.S. servicemen and at least eight insurgents died in other clashes across Iraq. A television cameraman also was injured by U.S. forces.

    The battle, which began Monday, was the third major clash in two weeks.


    Posted by Peter Burnet at 7:00 AM

    OH WELL, IT WASN’T A LIFE WORTH LIVING ANYWAY

    Forgotten man lay dead in flat for six years (Vikram Dodd and Ali Hussain, The Guardian, April 6th, 2005)

    A man lay dead in his council flat for almost six years before being discovered, an inquest heard yesterday.

    The fully clothed skeletal remains of Kenneth Mann, 63, were found last June on his bed in Walsall, West Midlands. He had last been seen in 1998 after being admitted to hospital.

    Richard Balmain, the coroner, said the former soldier seemed to have fallen through the net: "Society needs to ask how such a situation could arise in the 21st century."

    A succession of official agencies had gone to the door of the first-floor flat as Mann lay already dead. The inquest heard that a police officer had called, and so had bailiffs for the water company after bills went unpaid. Likewise there were attempted visits by his doctor, the Benefits Agency, and housing officials chasing unpaid rent.

    His brother had tried to visit. His neighbour across the hallway had not noticed anything wrong, the inquest heard. [...]

    Mr Mann said that after his brother's release from hospital he had called round at 9pm one evening but had found him "out". He assumed he was in the pub. He added that he had heard rumours that his brother had gone to a home, but says he was limited in what he could do because he cared for a child with disabilities and worked full-time.

    Officials who called at the flat, one of four in the block, were told by neighbours that he either must have moved or was dead. No one decided to find out for sure. [...]

    Annie Shepperd, the chief executive of Walsall council, said in a statement that lessons had been learned: "Kenneth Mann died alone - friendless and isolated from his family. This is the sad and shocking story of the lonely death of a man whose life was disintegrating."

    She said without family, friends, church, neighbours or landlords keeping in touch, Mann had been failed by society.

    Society should be sent to bed early without supper


    Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:49 AM

    CHILD TRAFFICKERS HAVE ALWAYS BEEN STICKLERS FOR HUMAN RIGHTS

    UNICEF: Child trafficking on the rise (AP, Jerusalem Post, April 4th, 2005)

    UNICEF warned Monday that millions of children around the globe are being trafficked annually in an illegal industry worth US$10 billion ( 7.7 billion) a year, rivaling the trade in illicit drugs and arms.

    U.N. Children's Fund Executive Director Carol Bellamy urged lawmakers worldwide to ensure the protection of children by instituting laws that stop their exploitation and abuse.

    "Parliamentarians have a choice," Bellamy said at the launch of a handbook to help lawmakers combat child trafficking that coincides with the Inter-Parliamentary Association's annual meeting in Manila, attended by hundreds of legislators from all over the world.

    "They can make decisions that ensure the protection of children, or they can make decisions that leave children vulnerable to being exploited and abused," Bellamy said.

    She said lawmakers can enact legislation to protect children, allocate funds from national budgets and use the power of parliamentary inquiry to hold governments, industries and civil society accountable.

    Those who would like to believe the contents of all those Halloween UNICEF boxes actually go to children in need should browse through this 170 page bureaucratic oeuvre d’art, which only deals with child trafficking tangentially. It is basically an international version of It Takes a Village and, to the extent that it’s mind-numbingly abstract bafflegab means anything, seems to be a general call for state control over child-rearing with all the usual politically-correct trappings. Alarming statistics on the plight of millions of children quickly give way to such stirring calls to arms as “For example, a parliamentarian might insist that the capacity of a national statistical office or
    bureau be enhanced such that it is equipped to properly monitor, record and analyse child protection issues.
    ” Thus, the esteemed Ms. Bellamy continues her record of leaving the dirty work of providing for hungry, sick and enslaved children to others while she pursues her rights agenda in the tranzi jet-set world.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    SOMETHING TO LAUGH ABOUT ON AIR FORCE ONE:

    Jimmy Carter Who? (The Prowler, 4/6/2005, American Spectator)

    More details are emerging about the White House's decision -- really President Bush's personal decision -- not to include former President Jimmy Carter in the official U.S. delegation to the funeral of Pope John Paul II.

    According to White House sources, Carter's representatives, apparently from the former president's Carter Center, reached out to the White House over the weekend and offered to lead the U.S. delegation should the President or other senior Bush administration officials not be able to attend.

    "There was no misunderstanding. It wasn't Carter who made the actual call, but the message was pure Carter gumption," says a White House source.


    Jimmy Carter fired his father--the Bush family doesn't forget things like that.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    MOVING RIGHT ALONG:

    Desert Democrats of Mesopotamia (Tony Blankley, April 6, 2005, Townhall)

    There will be a Sunni Speaker of the National Assembly, a Kurdish president, a Shia prime minister, and Sunni and Shia vice presidents. The Foreign Affairs ministry will go to a Kurd, the Defense Ministry to a Sunni, and Oil, Interior and Finance Ministries to the Shia. "They are still juggling with the names (of the ministers)," said the Dawa Party spokesman. "In the coming week, we will hear more about the names of the strong candidates."

    Various other tricky controversies have been resolved or partially resolved. The Kurdish peshmerga militias, which have been the more or less independent military arm of the Kurdish faction, will be considered part of the Iraqi armed forces, "but will be commanded and deployed by the Kurdish regional government," according to the report in the Times.

    On the all important matter of who gets what oil revenues, the different factions agreed "in principle" that oil revenues will be distributed evenly among all Iraqis "with special attention going to communities that were deprived under Saddam, such as the Kurds, Marsh Arabs and Shiites of southern Iraq." They have not yet agreed on the exact numbers, and one can see rich ground for vigorous debate.

    For instance, while the Kurds have unambiguously been severely discriminated against and had oil resources taken from them (and murdered in vast numbers) by the Hussein regime, economically, they were able to build a thriving economy in the last years of that regime under the protection of the Anglo-American no-fly zone. Doubtlessly the Kurds will base their claims on what has been wrongly taken from them. Others may argue for revenue distribution based on current economic conditions.

    One of the other great disputes seems to have been largely resolved, at least to the extent that they have agreed on the mechanism for resolving it. The Hussein regime had expelled thousands of Kurds from their historic, oil-rich city of Kirkuk. The current tentative agreement calls for the repatriation of Kurds expelled from the city and "redrawing the administrative boundaries of the governate to its 1968 borders." That was the year that Saddam annexed pieces of Kirkuk to other, Sunni, governing units.

    After all these human movements are completed, there will be regional referenda to determine whether they wish to be administered by Baghdad or the regional Kurdish authorities.

    These would be very impressive negotiations for a mature democracy.


    Funny how the better things go in Iraq the less of a story it is, eh?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    HIS CHILDREN:

    A personal glimpse of the pope's belief in life (Roger Cohen, April 6, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

    Here is a family story of Pope John Paul II, an intimate tale of his humanity.

    During the summer of 1942, two women in Krakow, Poland, were denounced as Jews, taken to the city's prison, held there for a few months and then sent to the Belzec extermination camp, where, in October, they were killed in primitive Nazi gas chambers by carbon monoxide from diesel engines.

    Their names were Frimeta Gelband and Salomea Zierer; they were sisters. As it happens, Frimeta was my wife's grandmother. Salomea, known as "Salla," had two daughters, one of whom survived the war and one of whom did not.

    The elder of these daughters was Edith Zierer. In January 1945, at 13, she emerged from a Nazi labor camp in Czestochowa, Poland, a waif on the verge of death. Separated from her family, unaware that her mother had been killed by the Germans, she could scarcely walk.

    But walk she did, to a train station, where she climbed onto a coal wagon. The train moved slowly, the wind cut through her. When the cold became too much to bear, she got off the train at a village called Jendzejuw. In a corner of the station, she sat. Nobody looked at her, a girl in the striped and numbered uniform of a prisoner, late in a terrible war. Unable to move, Edith waited.

    Death was approaching, but a young man approached first, "very good looking," as she recalled, and vigorous. He wore a long robe and appeared to the girl to be a priest. "Why are you here?" he asked. "What are you doing?"

    Edith said she was trying to get to Krakow to find her parents.

    The man disappeared. He came back with a cup of tea. Edith drank. He said he could help her get to Krakow. Again, the mysterious benefactor went away, returning with bread and cheese.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    THE FIRST CATHOLIC PRESIDENT AND THE FIRST EVANGELICAL POPE:

    A closer embrace: Washington and the Vatican: A first trip by a president to a papal funeral signals a shift in how the US views Rome. (Linda Feldmann, 4/06/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

    When George W. Bush boards Air Force One Wednesday for Rome to attend the pope's funeral, it will be a historic moment. [...]

    [T]he confluence of interests between a born-again Protestant US president and the Roman Catholic Church over central social issues - abortion, gay marriage, stem-cell research, euthanasia, and judicial nominations - has left a mark on American politics that is likely to continue under the next pope, analysts say. As seen in the recent turmoil over the life and death of a brain-damaged Florida woman, Terri Schiavo, collaboration between evangelicals and Catholics in promoting common causes has become a potent element of US politics.

    So, too, has the involvement of Catholic bishops in US elections, witnessed by the assertion by some last year that Democratic nominee John Kerry, a Catholic, should be denied communion over his support for abortion rights. The fact that Bush won the Catholic vote last November - albeit by a small margin, but still a first for a Republican since the advent of exit polls - is likely to encourage more involvement by clergy in coming elections, political analysts say.

    "If the next pope is like John Paul II, I think we'll see the present situation continue," says John Green, an expert on religion and politics at the University of Akron. "For starters, the issues on the right are unlikely to disappear soon."


    From a purely political perspective, a European successor (except for Cardinal Ratzinger) would be the least helpful to us, a conservative black Pope a coup.


    MORE:
    Pope 'Broadened the Way' for Evangelicals and Catholics: Theologian Tom Oden sees continued cooperation ahead. (Interview by Stan Guthrie | posted 04/05/2005, Christianity Today)

    Christianity Today executive editor Thomas C. Oden, a Methodist theologian at Drew University, met Pope John Paul II last December as general editor of InterVarsity Press's Ancient Christian Commentary on Scripture. Oden, formerly chairman of the board for the Institute on Religion and Democracy, looks back at the pope's impact on evangelicals in an interview with senior associate news editor Stan Guthrie.

    What were the pope's most significant contributions concerning relations with evangelicals? He was certainly known as a very ecumenical pope.

    John Paul II opened the door in ways that had not been opened before for Protestants, especially for evangelicals, to see that their doctrines, although they differ [from Catholic doctrines] in many ways, have important levels of similarity between them. I regard this as a work of the Holy Spirit in our time to bring the Christian community and all of its different manifestations worldwide into a greater proximate unity as the body of Christ.

    The pope gave firm, moral leadership not only on culture-of-life questions, but on questions such as the firm commitment of the church to care for the poor without the overlay of secularist and socialist ideology. John Paul II was a strong, moral voice at a time when evangelicals were beginning to wake up to the fact that while we do, indeed, have many differences with Roman Catholics—on Scripture, sacrament, penitential practice, and many other things—we have many common and shared values, and, in some profound ways, shared doctrine. We share the same New Testament, the same canonical Scripture. We share the same confession, the same Nicene Creed, the same Apostle's Creed, and so forth.

    What John Paul did is bring that into much greater palpability and accessibility to evangelicals than had been the case before. I really don't think that the project we call Evangelicals and Catholics Together could have occurred without Pope John Paul II. There were before Pope John Paul many great Catholic ecumenists who were part of making that way, but he broadened the way so that many of us could go in it.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    NOTHING TO OFFER BUT HATE ITSELF:

    Look Back at Anger: Why the "vast left-wing conspiracy" failed to unseat President Bush. (JACOB LAKSIN, April 5, 2005, Opinion Journal)

    It was several months before Election Day. George W. Bush and John Kerry had pulled to a statistical dead heat, and the pundits were poring over the polls in an effort to divine the reasons for the latest shift in public opinion. But MoveOn.org had more pressing concerns. It was moved to ask its network of true believers: "Why aren't we talking about a landslide in November?"

    Such groundless conviction "was not at all unusual in the world of MoveOn," writes Byron York in "The Vast Left Wing Conspiracy." The triumphalism flowed, he notes, from a deceptively simple rationale. Feeling a passionate contempt for the president and his policies, the MoveOn rank-and-file labored under the illusion that they represented the majority of the American people.

    They weren't the only ones. In the months following the 9/11 attacks, there emerged an activist movement of left-wing loyalists, Democratic operatives and deep-pocketed financiers all united under one aim--to defeat President Bush--and all confident that history was turning in their direction. Mr. York, the White House correspondent for National Review, gives us an engaging account of the partisan passions that made this "the biggest, richest, and best organized movement in American political history" and that ultimately proved its undoing.

    All the usual suspects are here: Bush-bashing billionaire George Soros; politicos like Hillary Clinton and Howard Dean; squadrons of Democratic strategists and spin-men; left-wing luminaries like Michael Moore and Al Franken. There are new players, too, like the so-called 527s, ostensibly nonpartisan lobbying groups that massaged campaign-finance laws in the service of the Democratic cause. (The Republicans had their versions, too, of course.) Mr. York even takes us inside the brain trust of the anti-Bush network, the new Center for American Progress. "Our goal is to win," announces John Podesta, the center's founder and head. He means it.

    Beneath the patina of confidence, however, the left-wing conspiracy often seems pitiable, as desperate as it is determined. Above all, its members are angry--at the perceived injustice of the 2000 presidential election, at the prospect of long-term Republican governance, at John Kerry's inept campaigning. Even, it appears, at being called angry.

    It is the anger that does them in.


    The politics of anger and hatred has an abysmal track record in American presidential politics.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    BRITAIN BECOMES OHIO:

    The hidden election: Parties spend millions on new techniques to target just 800,000 key voters (Tom Baldwin, 4/06/05, Times of London)

    Michael Howard has told friends in recent weeks that the “people who matter” may number just 838,000 — less than 2 per cent of voters. If they can be persuaded to switch from Labour in 165 marginals, he says, the Tories would win an overall majority.

    Labour is spending roughly two thirds of its £15 million campaign budget on this “ground war”, rather than on billboard and newspaper advertisements. Its national communications centre in Gosforth, Newcastle upon Tyne, has made 2.2 million canvassing calls in the past year. It has also posted seven million items of mail to households since the autumn, at a rate of 1.5 million a month.

    The Conservatives’ call centre in Coleshill, near Coventry, has been bombarding the same voters. Although the Tories are sensitive about releasing details, they disclosed last night that they will send out three million mailshots in the next three days, as well as calling 300,000 homes with a recorded message from Mr Howard saying “how important your vote is to the future of this country”.

    It ends with the Tory leader saying: “During this campaign, I intend to show there is a better way. I’m Michael Howard. Thank you for listening.”

    Telephone canvassing and mailshots are usually tailored towards the concerns of recipients. If a canvasser discovers that a voter is worried about immigration, letters explaining the policy or, more likely, attacking those of rival parties, are sent out. Both Labour and the Conservatives are using expensive “data-capture” computer programs to collate information ranging from postcodes to reading and shopping habits. The Tories say that their “Voter Vault” system can predict correctly an individual’s propensity to vote and support them 70 per cent of the time.

    Mr Howard’s decision to concentrate on a few thousand voters in each target seat reflects the success of US Republicans last year in using similar software to win over key voters in swing states such as Florida and Ohio.


    One of the keys to GOP success was that it had friends and neighbors calling, not just canned messages.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    ANOTHER EUROPEAN TIME OF CHOOSING:

    U.S. raises stakes for Europe on China ban (Graham Bowley, April 6, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

    In one of the strongest warnings to date, the United States signaled Tuesday that the European Union risked seriously undermining the trans-Atlantic relationship if it lifted its embargo on selling arms to China and cautioned that Washington was likely to retaliate.

    If ever "European equipment helped kill American men and women in conflict, that would not be good for the relationship," Robert Zoellick, the U.S. deputy secretary of state, told a small group of journalists in the U.S. Embassy.

    Forces within the U.S. Congress are already demanding limitations on overseas defense procurement and joint defense projects, he said.

    "Does it increase the chance that Congress will cut off these activities? Yes. Do I think it is a good thing? No, but it is a reality. We don't want people to be surprised."

    Zoellick, who delivered his warning to Brussels on the final stage of a 13-stop tour of European capitals, said that the EU should remember its responsibilities as an increasingly important world power and that any retaliation from the United States would come in the area of trans-Atlantic defense cooperation.


    They can either be on the side of democracy or China, not both.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    HE'LL ALWAYS BE WELCOME HERE:

    Blair-U.K.-- is it over? (Martin Walker, 4/5/2005, UPI)

    British Prime Minister Tony Blair's bid to become the first Labor Party leader to win a third successive general election suddenly appears almost risky, as British opinion polls agreed he could face a very tight three-way race with the Conservative and Liberal-Democrat parties in the general election that has been called for May 5.

    A poll of 1,000 voters who said they were "certain" to vote, conducted by the respected Mori group for Tuesday's Financial Times, found Blair's party had been narrowly overtaken by the Conservatives, who have been out of power since 1997. Those "certain to vote" preferred the conservatives by a 39-34 margin. The Conservatives also had a one-point lead over Labor, 34-33, in the NOP poll published in Tuesday's Independent newspaper.

    But most polls of all registered voters suggested that on a high turnout, Blair could expect to win, though with a total of seats in parliament much reduced from the landslide majority of 161 seats (out of 659) he won four years ago. The turnout will therefore be all-important, as Blair's party strains to persuade its apathetic supporters to go to the polling booths.

    This will also affect Blair's political future. If he is re-elected with a majority of 50 seats or less, he may well face an internal challenge from Gordon Brown, his powerful chancellor of the exchequer (the quaint medieval name for the finance minister).


    Easy to see him winning narrowly and then being discarded by a party he's always disliked anyway.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    WELL, THE WIFE SAYS WE NEED TO EAT LESS BEEF:

    PASTA WITH LEMON, GARLIC AND SUN-DRIED TOMATOES (Lynne Rossetto Kasper, Splendid Table)


    * 3 tablespoons extra-virgin olive oil
    * 1/4 to 1/3 cup water
    * 10 large cloves garlic, cut into 1/2 inch dice
    * Pinch hot red pepper flakes
    * Shredded zest of one large lemon
    * Salt and freshly ground black pepper to taste
    * 4 to 5 medium to large sun-dried tomatoes packed in olive oil, drained and chopped
    * 1/3 cup pasta water
    * 1 pound spaghetti, linguine or trenette, cooked to firm al dente
    * 10 leaves fresh basil, cut into a chiffonade from top to bottom

    1. In a large skillet, combine the olive oil, water, garlic, red pepper, lemon zest, salt and pepper. Cover and cook over medium-low to medium heat for 5 minutes.

    2. Add the tomatoes to the skillet and cover. Cook another 5 minutes, or until the garlic is soft. Uncover and cook off a little bit of the liquid. Remove from the heat and keep covered while you cook the pasta.

    3. Cook the pasta in 6 quarts of boiling salted water until it reaches a firm al dente. Reserve 1/3 cup of the cooking water before draining the pasta in a large colander. Add the reserved pasta water to the skillet, cooking it down a bit. Taste for seasoning. Add the pasta to the skillet and toss for about 3 minutes, or until the sauce is absorbed into the strands. Toss in the basil and serve the pasta hot.


    April 5, 2005

    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:59 PM

    CONGRATULATIONS!:

    Zachary Barnett (proud new father of Bohdan Barnett) won our NCAA pool and gets special bonus points for having done so despite putting 'Cuse through to the Final Four.

    Register for the regular contest and then sign in to our pool:

    The pool is: brothersjudd

    Password: ericjulia


    The Wife is insistent that the book herd be culled, so please win this thing and put her out of her misery, in non-Oregonian fashion.

    We'll award prizes to the overall winners and for totally random reasons: whover has a #12 advancing furthest, anyone other than me picking 'Cuse to win, etc.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:21 PM

    RELATIVATING NOT ABSOLUTATING:

    Hellish Holland: A first-hand account from a priest in Holland where the ravaging results of ecumenism are deadly - literally. (Fr. Eric Jacqmin, Feb/March 2004, The Angelus)

    Holland is known to be the most liberal [nation] in Europe. This means that its morals are the most corrupt in the whole world. Liberalism, the freedom to do whatever you want without regard to morality, is considered as a god, unrestrained by Catholicism or even natural law. If one tries to teach morality, he is labelled a fascist, because he is "imposing his own will upon all other free wills in the country." When you respond that objective morality comes from God, they answer that this God is only "between your ears," that "your god" is your choice and you "cannot impose Him on anyone else."

    The idol of "free will" is only limited by another's free will, because there is equality between persons. It is like a traffic light. The road with more traffic has a longer green light than the crossing road that has less traffic. They call it democracy. Fifty-one idols are more than 49 idols. Therefore, 51% (or more) decides for the country if abortion is a crime or not. This democracy, combined with manipulation of public opinion by the liberal mass media, leads to "democracy." "Demo" comes from the Greek demos which means people, and "-cracy" comes from the Greek kratei which means to reign; thus, democracy means the "people reign." But in this situation, the people are under the influence and pressure of evil forces; therefore, "demoNcracy" means that demons finally reign. The liberals are so strong in Holland that the most efficient way to get in prison is to be politically incorrect about Jews or homosexuals (and I am not joking).

    Holland's Minister of Public Health, Mrs. Borst, recently spoke about a handicapped child who was killed after being born. (By the way, "borstis a Dutch word for "breast," but in the minister's case, she seems to have no heart beating in hers.) She said that, according to penal law, it is murder, but the Officer of Justice will not prosecute in this case because the mortal injection was given by the doctor after consultation with the parents. In any case, she declared this child had little chance of "achieving an acceptable level of value of human life."

    An ill woman in Rotterdam told me of a TV interview of a Dutch surgeon telling how proud he was of the success of a new operation. He had received 35,000 euros [approximately $45,000 -Ed.] from the State Services for Public Health to perform a sex change operation on two married people (with children)-the father became "mother" and the mother became "father." This is a triumph for liberalism-to choose what sex one is!

    You see, Hollanders are Germanic. Characteristic of the German peoples, they have a very strong practical intelligence. What they are convinced of in their minds, they do with their wills. In these modern times, they have received and become convinced of the principles of liberalism. More efficiently than any, they execute the practical consequences of liberalism as far as possible. When convinced of Catholic principles, they are amazing saints, but when full of the false principles as today, the consequences are absurd and diabolical. This is one of the reasons why I prefer my apostolate in Eastern Europe. In the West I saw and lived in a kind of hell on earth. Now, these poor Eastern peoples are being deceived by the mass media and are wishing to join liberal Western Europe. O my God, have mercy on us, poor sinners! My American readers will find very interesting the comment written me by one of their own:

    This is exactly why America (morally speaking) is not as degenerated as Europe. As a people, we are not logical: we are sentimental. We cling to Christian morality not out of conviction, but out of very vague notions, some of which are good and some just feel-good sentimental. This is good in that it slows our fall into immorality, but it also makes it difficult for us to think correctly when given correct principles; we cling to our errors just as illogically as we cling to truth.

    In the opinion of a Dutch liberal, God doesn't exist really. The concepts of God and religion are only human, cultural phenomena. Everybody has the constitutional freedom to choose religion-any religion-or not. Religion is considered an element of human culture. It's on the same level as theater, the movies, science, sports, etc. You're a fan of your religion like you're a fan of your favorite sports team. You can say, "My God is the best" like you're able to say, "My team is the best," or "I like geometry and Chinese culture." But don't be too fanatical. You have to know there are other religions, other sports, and other cultural manifestations that you have to respect, too, even if you don't like them yourself. Real humility is redefined to mean respect for other's opinions (despite God's laws). True love is redefined as the requirement to cooperate with all other religions to make the world better-a new age!-instead of warring against each other in the name of religion and God. If you are contrary, you are branded as proud, fundamentalist, integrist, fascist, extremist, and dangerous. You are a "terrorist" because you want to impose God on others and even die for Him. You are absolute; you are not "relativating," but "absolutating" your choice.


    The flowers these bulbs are bearing are predictahbly ugly, no?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:08 PM

    SOME LIKE IT CALIENTE!:

    Last stand against Mexican wave(Daily Telegraph, 06/04/2005)

    With their straw hats, deck-chairs and ample supplies of soft drinks, Jack Montrose and his three-man team of fellow pensioners would have struggled to make the ranks of the famed Minutemen of George Washington's day.

    As their walkie-talkies crackled into life on the barren US-Mexican frontier, they were not quite sure whether they were Team Six or Team Ten of Arizona's new volunteer border-monitoring "Minutemen" - or even which way they should train their binoculars.


    If only Billy Wilder, Jack Lemonn and Walter Mathau were around to do this justice.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:58 PM

    WHAT A TONGUE-LASHING:

    Zimbabwe police on high alert as UN calls for dialogue (AFP, 4/05/05)

    Police in Zimbabwe went on high alert after youths took to the streets in Harare to urge Zimbabweans to reject the outcome of elections overwhelmingly won by President Robert Mubage's party.

    As the opposition pressed calls for new elections and reform, UN Secretary General Kofi Annan stepped in and called on Mugabe's government "to build a climate of confidence" to take the southern African country forward.

    "He calls on all sides to engage in constructive dialogue in the period ahead," Annan's spokesman Fred Eckhard said in a statement released at UN headquarters in New York on Monday.


    Glimmers of Defiance In a Wary Zimbabwe: Discontent Evident Even in Mugabe Strongholds (Craig Timberg, April 5, 2005, Washington Post)
    [D]espite the opposition's poor showing in official results, the final days of last week's election campaign revealed a spirit of defiance rarely seen in the five previous years of increasingly authoritarian rule by Mugabe.

    The main opposition group, Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) is viewed here as the party of urban youth, a long-term advantage in a country that increasingly is urban and young. Most Zimbabweans are not old enough to have experienced white minority rule or Mugabe's leadership of the 1970s insurrection that helped end it.

    Even in the countryside -- where support for Mugabe is supposedly strongest and where official vote totals showed his party, the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front, with huge margins of victory -- voters on election day flashed the opposition's signature open-palm gesture. A group of peasant women walking down a dirt road with sugar cane in their hands did not want to talk to a stranger, but when pressed gently about the election, they silently showed their open palms.

    Elsewhere, former Mugabe loyalists said that his party's dominance of the nation must end if Zimbabwe hopes to escape its international isolation and halt a precipitous economic decline.

    Four men, ranging in age from their twenties to their fifties, stood on the side of the main road in a rural village west of here on voting day. Each had voted for Mugabe in all previous elections, yet on this day they spoke openly of their dissatisfaction and their longing to see the opposition take power.

    Even more strikingly in a nation where to support the opposition is to risk beating and torture, two of the four men willingly gave their names and ages to a foreign journalist, despite knowing they might appear in a newspaper that Mugabe's party officials would read. "Most people are suffering, no food, no jobs. . . . Maybe the MDC will win," said Smart Madhola, 56, a security guard.

    The willingness to speak out dimmed a bit after the voting, as it became clear that the overwhelming victory of Mugabe's party had given the president an even freer hand to rewrite the constitution -- or do almost anything else he pleased.

    But on Saturday, opposition activist Aiden Turai Mpani, 28, said he was prepared to demonstrate in the streets, risking almost certain arrest and beating by police, to protest election results he was certain were the result of rigging. Asked if he really wanted to be quoted by name under such conditions, he said confidently, "With pleasure."


    They need to provoke an incident that can't be ignored.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:47 PM

    WHAT STINGO KNEW:

    Author Saul Bellow Dies at 89 (MEL GUSSOW and CHARLES McGRATH, 4/05/05, NY Times)

    Saul Bellow, the Nobel laureate and self-proclaimed historian of society whose fictional heroes - and whose scathing, unrelenting and darkly comic examination of their struggle for meaning - gave new immediacy to the American novel in the second half of the 20th century, died today at his home in Brookline, Mass. He was 89.

    His death was announced by Walter Pozen, Mr. Bellow's lawyer and a longtime friend.

    "I cannot exceed what I see," Mr. Bellow once said. "I am bound, in other words, as the historian is bound by the period he writes about, by the situation I live in." But his was a history of a particular and idiosyncratic sort. The center of his fictional universe was Chicago, where he grew up and spent most of his life, and which he made into the first city of American letters. Many of his works are set there, and almost all of them have a Midwestern earthiness and brashness. Like their creator, Mr. Bellow's heroes were all head and all body both. They tended to be dreamers, questers or bookish intellectuals, but they lived in a lovingly depicted world of cranks, con men, fast-talking salesmen and wheeler-dealers.

    In works like "The Adventures of Augie March," his breakthrough novel in 1953, "Henderson the Rain King" and "Herzog," Mr. Bellow laid a path for old-fashioned, supersized characters and equally big themes and ideas. As the English novelist Malcolm Bradbury said, "His fame, literary, intellectual, moral, lay with his big books," which were "filled with their big, clever, flowing prose, and their big, more-than-life-size heroes - Augie Marches, Hendersons, Herzogs, Humboldts - who fought the battle for courage, intelligence, selfhood and a sense of human." [...]

    Saul Bellow was a kind of intellectual boulevardier, wearing a jaunty hat and a smile as he marched into literary battle. In spite of - or, perhaps, because of - his lofty position, he was criticized more than many of his peers. In reviews, his books were habitually weighed against one another.

    Was this one as full-bodied as "Augie March"? Where was the Bellow of old? Norman Mailer said that "Augie March," Mr. Bellow's grand Bildungsroman, was unconvincing and overcooked; Elizabeth Hardwick thought that in "Henderson," he was trying too hard to be an important novelist. He was prickly about his reputation but also philosophical: "Every time you're praised, there's a boot waiting for you. If you've been publishing books for 50 years or so, you're inured to misunderstanding and even abuse."


    He was an author whose books no one liked or read but everyone felt they should own and confer awards upon. Go to any book sale and pick up one of his books--the binding will be firm as a rock and not a page dog-eared.


    MORE:
    -FEATURED AUTHOR: Saul Bellow (NY Times)
    -OBIT: Author Depicted Men's Spiritual Crises (Jon Thurber and Mary Rourke, April 6, 2005, LA Times)

    [A]s Morris Dickstein, an English professor at City University of New York, said: "Bellow was important for the way he broke with the hard-boiled Hemingway-style tradition in American literature for one that was more interior, reflective and psychological."

    Speaking of Bellow's characters, Ozick said Tuesday: They "were true presences, each one utterly idiosyncratic. His physical descriptions were so original. He once described somebody's head 'coated with flour.' It was a metaphor for white hair."

    In novels like "The Adventures of Augie March," which many consider his masterpiece, and other works, Bellow explored monumental themes, from identity and fulfillment to morality.

    In "Augie March," the title character drifts from job to job, dreaming up ever more grandiose schemes for making it big in the world without compromising his optimistic vision.

    In "Herzog," Moses Elkanah Herzog, a cuckolded English professor, frantically tries to shore up his disintegrating life.

    Charles Citraine, the Pulitzer Prize-winning author and narrator of "Humboldt's Gift," faces his career in a free fall but finds some measure of peace through meditating on the life and death of his friend Von Humboldt Fleischer.

    In "Henderson the Rain King," Eugene Henderson is a millionaire's son, violent in both love and hate who is squandering his life with drink while trying desperately to understand the voice in his head that proclaims, "I want, I want, I want."

    "One of the key themes of his fiction," critic Alfred Kazin wrote early in Bellow's career, " … is the attempt of his protagonists to get a grip on existence, to understand not themselves (they know that this is impossible) but the infinitely elusive universe in which, as human creatures, they find themselves."

    But for all the difficulties his characters face, much of Bellow's fiction is doggedly optimistic, a reproach to the prophets of the wasteland who proclaim life's absurdity.

    In his Nobel acceptance speech, Bellow criticized modern writers for their limited view of mankind, commenting that the essence of our condition was revealed in what Marcel Proust and Joseph Conrad termed "true impressions." Although they may be fleeting, Bellow said, the impressions connect us to the fact that "the good we hang onto so tenaciously — in the face of evil, so obstinately — is not illusion."

    In his view, modern writers should aim for a "broader, more flexible, fuller, more coherent, more comprehensive account of what we human beings are and what this life is for."


    -OBIT: Author Saul Bellow dies at 89 (HENRY KISOR, April 6, 2005, Chicago Sun-Times)
    Mr. Bellow was the undisputed leader of what often has been called the "Jewish literary mafia.'' Others included Bernard Malamud, Philip Roth, Norman Mailer and Joseph Heller. In the 1950s and '60s, they shouldered aside Ernest Hemingway and other white Anglo-Saxon Protestants as leaders of the American literary establishment -- just when American culture was beginning to take over the world.

    Like his compatriots, Mr. Bellow could find a common humanity in the deprived Jews of the '40s and the wealthy urbanites of the '90s. Yet he wrote each novel in a different key. The only real similarities among his novels were his broad themes: the individual against indifferent urban society, the individual against oneself, the individual against the insanities of modern life -- all well-worked notions in American literature, but recast with freshness in Mr. Bellow's crucible of genius.


    -OBIT: Saul Bellow, novelist who charted ironies of modern soul, dies at 89 (Gail Caldwell, April 6, 2005, Boston Globe)
    He may still be most widely known and beloved for the two novels that displayed the full range of that commanding intelligence ''Herzog," in 1964, and ''Humboldt's Gift," in 1975, though he began his ascent in the world of letters with the 1944 publication of his first novel, ''Dangling Man." Mr. Bellow's next book, ''The Victim" (1947), confirmed the emergence of a new protagonist in American literature: modern, Jewish, as alienated from his surroundings as Kafka's Gregor Samsa in ''The Metamorphosis." Along with Bernard Malamud and Norman Mailer, Saul Bellow was soon to form the triumvirate of Jewish-American postwar fiction. Writing in the aftermath of Fitzgerald's and Hemingway's mythic self-inventions, Mr. Bellow and his contemporaries replaced that gentility with a far more equivocal, even precarious world view: If the new Augie Marches were worried to the point of anguish, they were also profoundly, sometimes profanely, alive. And they stood at the entrance to literature's shadowy post-atomic age, in a decade shared by Ralph Ellison's ''Invisible Man" and David Riesman's ''The Lonely Crowd."

    -OBIT: Saul Bellow chastised America for its own good: He was a prose master who could bring to life any environment with a realism not limited to the surfaces of life. (Roderick Nordell, 4/07/05, CS Monitor)


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:34 PM

    UNITED BY HATE:

    MoveOn.org Raises Money to Support Senator: The online liberal advocacy group has shown both its potential as a Democratic asset and a Republican target. (Ronald Brownstein, April 5, 2005, LA Times)

    With an early fund-raising blitz, the online liberal advocacy group MoveOn.org has shown both its potential as a Democratic asset and a Republican target in the 2006 elections.

    In less than three days last week, the group's political action committee raised from its members nearly $833,000 for Sen. Robert C. Byrd (D-W.Va.), who next year could face his first competitive race in decades.

    The amount represented more than three-fourths of the total Byrd collected between Jan. 1 and March 31, and was the most money MoveOn has raised for one candidate at one time, according to the group's officials.

    "Sen. Byrd would be the prize for Republicans in 2006 that Tom Daschle was in 2004," said Tom Matzzie, MoveOn's Washington director, referring to the former Senate minority leader from South Dakota who lost his reelection bid in November.

    Byrd, Matzzie said, "is just such a gigantic figure for progressives that we felt like we had to be supportive."

    But the torrent of MoveOn money drew quick fire from Republicans, who signaled that they intend to make the group's support an issue not only in West Virginia but also in other states.


    More evidence that Democrats think Senator Byrd is in trouble. It's almost as beautiful as a tropical sunset, watching the far Left scramble to save him.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:26 PM

    IF A GOVERNMENT FALLS IN THE FOREST AN NO ONE'S LISTENING...:

    Canada's Press Crackdown (Howard Kurtz, Apr 05, 2005, Washington Post)

    You often hear about dictatorships cracking down on Internet news to maintain censorship as tightly as possible. These are generally the kind of regimes that not only try to choke off free expression but are fighting a losing battle against technology in the process.

    And the latest offender is . . . Canada?

    Yes, our democratic neighbor to the north, which lacks a First Amendment and has a somewhat narrower view of press freedom, is cracking down on an American blogger for reporting on a corruption investigation that apparently has to do with advertising contracts being steered to politically connected firms. The blogger is Ed Morrissey of Captains Quarters, and this London Free Press story brings us up to date:

    "A U.S. website has breached the publication ban protecting a Montreal ad executive's explosive and damning testimony at the federal sponsorship inquiry. The U.S. blogger riled the Gomery commission during the weekend by posting extracts of testimony given in secret Thursday by Jean Brault.

    "The American blog, being promoted by an all-news Canadian website, boasts 'Canada's Corruption Scandal Breaks Wide Open' and promises more to come. The owner of the Canadian website refused to comment.

    "Inquiry official Francois Perreault voiced shock at the publication ban breach, and said the commission co-counsel Bernard Roy and Justice John Gomery will decide today whether to charge the Canadian website owner with contempt of court."


    Tories to decide on election after sponsorship publication ban lifted: MacKay (ALEXANDER PANETTA AND DAN DUGAS, 4/05/05, CP)
    The Conservatives will decide whether to trigger an election after a publication ban is lifted on shocking testimony at the sponsorship inquiry, deputy Conservative leader Peter MacKay says.

    The sensational details delivered by Liberal-friendly ad executive Jean Brault could become public this week.

    And the Tories will judge whether the wave of public anger over the sponsorship scandal becomes enough of a deluge to carry them into office, MacKay suggested.

    "If they lift the publication ban, then and only then will we be able to assess how the public reacts to it - but the directions it's going right now, it's extremely serious," MacKay said.

    "The more serious the allegation, the more serious the evidence that comes forward (will be) impacting on the fortunes of the government and our opinion on whether we would support any kind of motions that would trigger an election."

    A suddenly emboldened opposition prepared for the lifting of the publication ban by dancing around devastating details that can't yet be revealed.

    But their questions in Parliament Tuesday gave a hint of the electric political atmosphere that awaits release of the Gomery testimony.


    Too bad their Tories seem almost as brain dead as Britain's.


    Posted by David Cohen at 8:26 PM

    THE WORLD THAT REAGAN MADE

    Remarks at the Annual Convention of the National Association of Evangelicals (Ronald Reagan, 3/8/83)

    Reverend Clergy all, Senator Hawkins, distinguished members of the Florida congressional delegation, and all of you:

    I can't tell you how you have warmed my heart with your welcome. I'm delighted to be here today.

    Those of you in the National Association of Evangelicals are known for you spiritual and humanitarian work. And I would be especially remiss if I didn't discharge right now one personal debt of gratitude. Thank you for your prayers. Nancy and I have felt their presence many times in many years. And believe me, for us they've made all the difference.

    The other day in the East Room of the White House at a meeting there, someone asked me whether I was aware of all the people out there who were praying for the President. And I had to say, "Yes, I am. I've felt it. I believe in intercessionary prayer." But I couldn't help but say to that questioner after he'd asked the question that - or at least say to them that if sometimes when he was praying he got a busy signal, it was just me in there ahead of him. [Laughter] I think I understand how Abraham Lincoln felt when he said, "I have been driven many times to my knees by the overwhelming conviction that I had nowhere else to go." From the joy and the good feeling of this conference, I go to a political reception. [Laughter] Now, I don't know why, but that bit of scheduling reminds me of a story - [Laughter] - which I'll share with you.

    An evangelical minister and a politician arrived at Heaven's gate one day together. And St. Peter, after doing all the necessary formalities, took them in hand to show them where their quarters would be. And he took them to a small, single room with a bed, a chair, and a table and said this was for the clergyman. And the politician was a little worried about what might be in store for him. And he couldn't believe it then when St. Peter stopped in front of a beautiful mansion with lovely grounds, many servants, and told him that these would be his quarters.

    And he couldn't help but ask, he said, "But wait, how-there's something wrong - how do I get this mansion while that good and holy man only gets a single room?" And St. Peter said, "You have to understand how things are up here. We've got thousands and thousands of clergy. You're the first politician who ever made it." [Laughter]

    But I don't want to contribute to a stereotype. [Laughter] So I tell you there are a great many God-fearing, dedicated, noble men and women in public life, present company included. And yes, we need your help to keep us ever mindful of the ideas and the principles that brought us into the public arena in the first place. The basis of those ideals and principles is a commitment to freedom and personal liberty that, itself, is grounded in the much deeper realization that freedom prospers only where the blessings of God are avidly sought and humbly accepted.

    The American experiment in democracy rests on this insight. Its discovery was the great triumph of our Founding Fathers, voiced by William Penn when he said: "If we will not be governed by God, we must be governed by tyrants." Explaining the inalienable rights of men, Jefferson said, "The God who gave us life, gave us liberty at the same time." And it was George Washington who said that "of all the disposition and habits which lead to political prosperity, religion and morality are indispensable supporters."

    And finally, that shrewdest of all observers of American democracy, Alexis de Tocqueville, put it eloquently after he had gone on a search for the secret of America's greatness and genius - and he said: "Not until I went into the churches of America and heard her pulpits aflame with righteousness did I understand the greatness and the genius of America . . . America is good. And if America ever ceases to be good, America will cease to be great."

    Well, I'm pleased to be here today with you who are keeping America great by keeping her good. Only through your work and prayers and those of millions of others cans we hope to survive this perilous century and keep alive this experiment in liberty, this last, best hope of man.

    I want you to know that this administration is motivated by a political philosophy that sees the greatness of America in you, here people, and in your families, churches, neighborhoods, communities - the institutions that foster and nourish values like concern for others and respect for the rule of law under God.

    Now, I don't have to tell you that this puts us in opposition to, or at least out of step with, a prevailing attitude of many who have turned to a modern-day secularism, discarding the tried and time-tested values upon which our very civilization is based. No matter how well intentioned, their value system is radically different from that of most Americans. And while they proclaim that they're freeing us from superstitions of the past, they've taken upon themselves the job of superintending us by government rule and regulation. Sometimes their voices are louder than ours, but they are not yet a majority.

    An example of that vocal superiority is evident in a controversy now going on in Washington. And since I'm involved I've been waiting to hear from the parents of young America. How far are they willing to go in giving to government their prerogatives as parents?

    Let me state the case as briefly and simply as I can. An organization of citizens, sincerely motivated and deeply concerned about the increase in illegitimate births and abortions involving girls well below the age of consent, some time ago established a nationwide network of clinics to offer help to these girls and, hopefully, alleviate this situation. Now, again, let me say, I do not fault their intent. However, in their well-intentioned effort, these clinics have decided to provide advice and birth control drugs and devices to underage girls without the knowledge of their parents.

    For some years now, the federal government has helped with funds to subsidize these clinics. In providing for this, the Congress decreed that every effort would be made to maximize parental participation. Nevertheless, the drugs and devices are prescribed without getting parental consent or giving notification after they've done so. Girls termed "sexually active" - and that has replaced the word "promiscuous" - are given this help in order to prevent illegitimate birth or abortion.

    Well, we have ordered clinics receiving federal funds to notify the parents such help has been given. One of the nation's leading newspapers has created the term "squeal rule" in editorializing against us for doing this, and we're being criticized for violating the privacy of young people. A judge has recently granted an injunction against an enforcement of our rule. I've watched TV panel shows discuss the issue, seen columnists pontificating on our error, but no one seems to mention morality as playing a part in the subject of sex.

    Is all of Judeo-Christian tradition wrong? Are we to believe that something so sacred can be looked upon as a purely physical thing with no potential for emotional and psychological harm? And isn't it the parents' right to give counsel and advice to keep their children from making mistakes that may affect their entire lives?

    Many of us in government would like to know what parents think about this intrusion in their family by government. We're going to fight in the courts. The right of parents and the rights of family take precedence over those of Washington-based bureaucrats and social engineers.

    But the fight against parental notification is really only one example of many attempts to water down traditional values and even abrogate the original terms of American democracy. Freedom prospers when religion is vibrant and the rule of law under God is acknowledged. When our Founding Fathers passed the First Amendment, they sought to protect churches from government interference. They never intended to construct a wall of hostility between government and the concept of religious belief itself.

    The evidence of this permeates our history and our government. The Declaration of Independence mentions the Supreme Being no less than four times. "In God We Trust" is engraved on our coinage. The Supreme Court opens its proceedings with a religious invocation. And the members of Congress open their sessions with a prayer. I just happen to believe the schoolchildren of the United States are entitled to the same privileges as Supreme Court justices and congressmen.

    Last year, I sent the Congress a constitutional amendment to restore prayer to public schools. Already this session, there's growing bipartisan support for the amendment, and I am calling on the Congress to act speedily to pass it and to let our children pray.

    Perhaps some of you read recently about the Lubbock school case, where a judge actually ruled that it was unconstitutional for a school district to give equal treatment to religious and nonreligious student groups, even when the group meetings were being held during the students' own time. The First Amendment never intended to require government to discriminate against religious speech.

    Senators Denton and Hatfield have proposed legislation in the Congress on the whole question of prohibiting discrimination against religious forms of student speech. Such legislation could go far to restore freedom of religious speech for public school students. And I hope the Congress considers these bills quickly. And with you help, I think it's possible we could also get the constitutional amendment through the Congress this year.

    More than a decade ago, a Supreme Court decision literally wiped off the books of fifty states statutes protecting the rights of unborn children. Abortion on demand now takes the lives of up to one and a half million unborn children a year. Human life legislation ending this tragedy will someday pass the Congress, and you and I must never rest until it does. Unless and until it can be proven that the unborn child is not a living entity, then its right to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness must be protected.

    You may remember that when abortion on demand began, many, and indeed, I'm sure many of you, warned that the practice would lead to a decline in respect for human life, that the philosophical premises used to justify abortion on demand would ultimately be used to justify other attacks on the sacredness of human life - infanticide or mercy killing. Tragically enough, those warnings proved all too true. Only last year a court permitted the death by starvation of a handicapped infant.

    I have directed the Health and Human Services Department to make clear to every health care facility in the United States that the Rehabilitation Act of 1973 protects all handicapped persons against discrimination based on handicaps, including infants. And we have taken the further step of requiring that each and every recipient of federal funds who provides health care services to infants must post and keep posted in a conspicuous place a notice stating that "discriminatory failure to feed and care for handicapped infants in this facility is prohibited by federal law." It also lists a twenty-four-hour, toll-free number so that nurses and others may report violations in time to save the infant's life.

    In addition, recent legislation introduced in the Congress by Representative Henry Hyde of Illinois not only increases restrictions on publicly financed abortions, it also addresses this whole problem of infanticide. I urge the Congress to begin hearings and to adopt legislation that will protect the right of life to all children, including the disabled or handicapped.

    Now, I'm sure that you must get discouraged at times, but you've done better than you know, perhaps. There's a great spiritual awakening in America, a renewal of the traditional values that have been the bedrock of America's goodness and greatness.

    One recent survey by a Washington-based research council concluded that Americans were far more religious than the people of other nations; 95 percent of those surveyed expressed a belief in God and a huge majority believed the Ten Commandments had real meaning in their lives. And another study has found that an overwhelming majority of Americans disapprove of adultery, teenage sex, pornography, abortion, and hard drugs. And this same study showed a deep reverence for the importance of family ties and religious belief.

    I think the items that we've discussed here today must be a key part of the nation's political agenda. For the first time the Congress is openly and seriously debating and dealing with the prayer and abortion issues - and that's enormous progress right there. I repeat: America is in the midst of a spiritual awakening and a moral renewal. And with your biblical keynote, I say today, "Yes, let justice roll on like a river, righteousness like a never-failing stream."

    Now, obviously, much of this new political and social consensus I've talked about is based on a positive view of American history, one that takes pride in our country's accomplishments and record. But we must never forget that no government schemes are going to perfect man. We know that living in this world means dealing with what philosophers would call the phenomenology of evil or, as theologians would put it, the doctrine of sin.

    There is sin and evil in the world, and we're enjoined by Scripture and the Lord Jesus to oppose it with all our might. Our nation, too, has a legacy of evil with which it must deal. The glory of this land has been its capacity for transcending the moral evils of our past. For example, the long struggle of minority citizens for equal rights, once a source of disunity and civil war, is now a point of pride for all Americans. We must never go back. There is no room for racism, anti-Semitism, or other forms of ethnic and racial hatred in this country.

    I know that you've been horrified, as have I, by the resurgence of some hate groups preaching bigotry and prejudice. Use the mighty voice of your pulpits and the powerful standing of your churches to denounce and isolate these hate groups in our midst. The commandment given us is clear and simple: "Thou shalt love thy neighbor as thyself."

    But whatever sad episodes exist in our past, any objective observer must hold a positive view of American history, a history that has been the story of hopes fulfilled and dreams made into reality. Especially in this century, America has kept alight the torch of freedom, but not just for ourselves but for millions of others around the world.

    And this brings me to my final point today. During my first press conference as president, in answer to a direct question, I point out that, as good Marxist-Leninists, the Soviet leaders have openly and publicly declared that the only morality they recognize is that which will further their cause, which is world revolution. I think I should point out I was only quoting Lenin, their guiding spirit, who said in 1920 that they repudiate all morality that proceeds from supernatural ideas - that's their name for religion - or ideas that are outside class conceptions. Morality is entirely subordinate to the interests of class war. And everything is moral that is necessary for the annihilation of the old, exploiting social order and for uniting the proletariat.

    Well, I think the refusal of many influential people to accept this elementary fact of Soviet doctrine illustrates a historical reluctance to see totalitarian powers for what they are. We saw this phenomenon in the 1930s. We see it too often today.

    This doesn't mean we should isolate ourselves and refuse to seek an understanding with them. I intend to do everything I can to persuade them of our peaceful intent, to remind them that it was the West that refused to use its nuclear monopoly in the forties and fifties for territorial gain and which now proposes a 50-percent cut in strategic ballistic missiles and the elimination of an entire class of land-based, intermediate-range nuclear missiles.

    At the same time, however, they must be made to understand we will never compromise our principles and standards. We will never give away our freedom. We will never abandon our belief in God. And we will never stop searching for a genuine peace. But we can assure none of these things America stands for through the so-called nuclear freeze solutions proposed by some.

    The truth is that a freeze now would be a very dangerous fraud, for that is merely the illusion of peace. The reality is that we must find peace through strength.

    I would agree to freeze if only we could freeze the Soviets' global desires. A freeze at current levels of weapons would remove any incentive for the Soviets to negotiate seriously in Geneva and virtually end our chances to achieve the major arms reductions which we have proposed. Instead, they would achieve their objectives through the freeze.

    A freeze would reward the Soviet Union for its enormous and unparalleled military buildup. It would prevent the essential and long overdue modernization of United States and allied defenses and would leave our aging forces increasingly vulnerable. And an honest freeze would require extensive prior negotiations on the systems and numbers to be limited and on the measures to ensure effective verification and compliance. And the kind of a freeze that has been suggested would be virtually impossible to verify. Such a major effort would divert us completely from our current negotiations on achieving substantial reductions.

    A number of years ago, I heard a young father, a very prominent young man in the entertainment world, addressing a tremendous gathering in California. It was during the time of the cold war, and communism and our own way of life were very much on people's minds. And he was speaking to that subject. And suddenly, though, I heard him saying, "I love my little girls more than anything -" And I said to myself, "Oh, no, don't. You can't - don't say that." But I had underestimated him. He went on: "I would rather see my little girls die now, still believing in God, than have them grow up under communism and one day die no longer believing in God."

    There were thousands of young people in that audience. They came to their feet with shouts of joy. They had instantly recognized the profound truth in what he had said, with regard to the physical and the soul and what was truly important.

    Yes, let us pray for the salvation of all of those who live in that totalitarian darkness - pray they will discover the joy of knowing God. But until they do, let us be aware that while they preach the supremacy of the state, declare its omnipotence over individual man, and predict its eventual domination of all peoples on the earth, they are the focus of evil in the modern world.

    It was C.S. Lewis who, in his unforgettable Screwtape Letters, wrote: "The greatest evil is not done now in those sordid 'dens of rime' that Dickens loved to paint. It is not even done in concentration camps and labor camps. In those we see its final result. But it is conceived and ordered (moved, seconded, carried and minuted) in clean, carpeted, warmed, and well-lighted offices, by quiet men with white collars and cut fingernails and smooth-shaven cheeks who do no need to raise their voice."

    Well, because these "quiet men" do no "raise their voices," because they sometimes speak in soothing tones of brotherhood and peace, because, like other dictators before them, they're always making "their final territorial demand," some would have us accept them as their word and accommodate ourselves to their aggressive impulses. But if history teaches anything, it teaches that simpleminded appeasement or wishful thinking about our adversaries is folly. It means the betrayal of our past, the squandering of our freedom.

    So, I urge you to speak our against those who would place the United States in a position of military and moral inferiority. You know, I've always believed that old Screwtape reserved his best efforts for those of you in the church. So, in your discussions of the nuclear freeze proposals, I urge you to beware the temptation of pride - the temptation of blithely declaring yourselves above it all and label both sides equally at fault, to ignore the facts of history and the aggressive impulses of an evil empire, to simply call the arms race a giant misunderstanding and thereby remove yourself from the struggle between right and wrong and good and evil.

    I ask you to resist the attempts of those who would have you withhold your support for our efforts, this administration's efforts, to keep America strong and free, while we negotiate real and verifiable reductions in the world's nuclear arsenals and one day, with God's help, their total elimination.

    While America's military strength is important, let me add here that I've always maintained that the struggle now going on for the world will never be decided by bombs or rockets, by armies or military might. The real crisis we face today is a spiritual one; at root, it is a test of moral will and faith.

    Whittaker Chambers, the man whose own religious conversation made him a witness to one of the terrible traumas of our time, the Hiss-Chambers case, wrote that the crisis of the Western world exists to the degree in which the West is indifferent to God, the degree to which it collaborates in communism's attempt to make man stand alone without God. And then he said, for Marxism-Leninism is actually the second-oldest faith, first proclaimed in the Garden of Eden with the words of temptation, "Ye shall be as gods."

    The Western world can answer this challenge, he wrote, "but only provided that its faith in God and the freedom He enjoins is as great as communism's faith in Man."

    I believe we shall rise to the challenge. I believe that communism is another sad, bizarre chapter in human history whose last pages even now are being written. I believe this because the source of our strength in the quest for human freedom is not material, but spiritual. And because it knows no limitation, it must terrify and ultimately triumph over those who would enslave their fellow man. For in the words of Isaiah: "He giveth power to the faint; and to them that have no might He increased strength . . . But they that wait upon the Lord shall renew their strength; they shall mount up with wings as eagles; they shall run, and not be weary . . . "

    Yes, change your world. One of our Founding Fathers, Thomas Paine, said, "We have it within our power to begin the world over again." We can do it, doing together what no one church could do by itself.

    God bless you, and thank you very much.


    Posted by Paul Jaminet at 4:43 PM

    AN AGENDA FOR THE CHURCH:

    The Next Pope...and Why He Matters to All of Us (George Weigel, EPPC, 1/12/2005)
    Orrin commented on this piece below, but I want to add my two cents.

    Three large-scale issues are already under discussion within the College of Cardinals and among other senior churchmen, and will certainly weigh heavily in the conclaves's deliberations, in the next pontificate, and in the Catholic Church's interface with the 21st century world. The first of these is the virtual collapse of Christianity in its historic heartland - western Europe.

    How to deal with militant secularism in the advanced countries may well be the most important issue facing the Church. It is no coincidence that the rise of social welfare states has created a selfish and passive population that finds no inspiration in the Christian message of love and active suffering. The Church must re-examine its own tendency to advocate the social welfare state, and must generate a stronger response to secularism that can be the basis for a re-evangelization of Europe and secular America.
    The second great issue is the Church's response to the multi-faceted challenge posed by the rise of militant Islam.

    The challenge of militant Islam is of geopolitical importance; the survival of Christianity in the Holy Land is of symbolic importance; and the Vatican feels a great responsibility to ease the oppression of Christians in Muslim lands. But the main issue is the rise of freedom in the Muslim world. Ideally the Church would become an evangelist for the liberation of captives in all the world, and a partner with America in the effort to spread democracy and freedom, as JPII was a partner with the U.S. in defeating Communism in Europe. There was a missed opportunity at the time of the Iraq War to speak up for the liberation of captives, defense of the oppressed being a responsibility the Church inherits from Moses.

    However, the fight against militant Islam is already half-won, and may be won by the United States even without the Church's help. Equally if not more important for the Church is the need for evangelization in Africa, where a commitment to Christian morality can help rescue hundreds of millions from lives of brutality and despair. Also important is evangelization in East Asia, where modernization and the loss of respect for Confucian and Buddhist morality is creating an epidemic of adultery, promiscuity, abortion, divorce and the refusal to have children. Millions there are looking to Christianity to fill the moral vacuum, even while despotic states such as China seek to suppress Christianity as an ideological competitor.

    And the third involves the questions posed by the biotech revolution.

    This is merely a subset of the life issues, which loom large as they get to the heart of the division between Christianity -- which treats all persons equally -- and atheism -- which usually values people for their utility. Abortion, euthanasia, cloning (and its concomitant discarding of embryos), and other life issues all need a vigorous treatment as well as refinement of the Church's message, which has been diluted by the opposition to the death penalty (which is a softening of the Church's historic hostility to murder).
    Questions of the Church's intellectual discipline will also be discussed in the next conclave ... Then there is a question that may or may not come up in the prattiche, the general congregations, and the conclave deliberations of the cardinal-electors, but which, in my judgment, should be addressed: and that is the question of the Church's diplomacy, or, to be more precise, the set of ideas that have guided the "foreign policy" of the Holy See for more than two generations now.

    The Church's diplomacy has been derailed through the strong influence of European secular ideologies; it has been too "realist," and too little informed by Biblical principles. Weigel is right to link this to the question of the Church's intellectual discipline. It is all about courage: do Church leaders have the faith and guts to be genuinely countercultural, to preach the gospel without fear and without fine calculations of the consequences?
    The Holy See will continue to insist, as it must, that the nation-state is not necessarily the final or ultimate form of political organization. But unless that insistence is coupled with a serious moral critique of the current corruptions of the U.N. system - a critique that must hold open the question of whether some other form of international organization is not desirable - then the Holy See will, unfortunately, sound ever more like a somewhat more restrained World Council of Churches.... The Holy See could help facilitate the development of [a better moral] grammar and vocabulary - if it is prepared to re-examine certain aspects of its position that seem, to some minds, more reflective of conventional European political sentiment than of what was once referred to as "Catholic international relations theory."

    Indeed. Quite possibly, as Weigel hints, the Vatican diplomatic corps has been seeking a power to balance the power of national states, knowing that checks and balances are essential to the achievement of a good world order. However, they have looked in the wrong direction: they should look toward the people of the world to provide that check, by empowering ordinary citizens, rather than toward a supranational body that is even further removed from the people than their own governments. Here, the Vatican would greatly benefit from a more American and less European sensibility.

    This is a time pregnant with opportunity for the Church's new leadership. Let us pray that the Holy Spirit will guide the cardinals to the best choice.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:01 PM

    OIL'S IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE PHASE:

    Market May Cool Oil Frenzy-Greenspan (Tim Ahmann, 4/05/05, Reuters)

    Market forces could eventually lead to a big enough increase in crude oil inventories to cool the recent oil price "frenzy," Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said on Tuesday.

    Speaking via satellite from Washington to an oil refiners' conference in San Antonio, Greenspan said recent record high oil prices had slowed oil demand growth, although "only modestly."

    Slower rising demand and increasing output had already led to faster oil inventory building, he said, adding that stockpiling could pickup further as producers seek to cash in on higher futures prices.

    "If sustained, these market technicals could encourage enough of an inventory buffer to damp the current price frenzy," Greenspan told the conference.


    Gold bugs don't believe in markets, just eternal scarcity.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:47 PM

    THERE'S NO THERE THERE:

    Bush: Social Security has bleak future (DEB RIECHMANN, April 5, 2005, Associated Press)

    President Bush sought to dramatize Social Security's solvency problems Tuesday by pointing to government IOUs - stored in a file cabinet - that are supposed to finance America's future retirement needs.

    "A lot of people in America think there is a trust - that we take your money in payroll taxes and then we hold it for you and then when you retire, we give it back to you," Bush said in a speech at the University of West Virginia at Parkersburg.

    "But that's not the way it works," Bush said. "There is no trust 'fund' - just IOUs that I saw firsthand," Bush said.

    Earlier, Susan Chapman of the Office of Public Debt Accounting had shown Bush an ivory four-drawer filing cabinet with numeric locks. "This is it," she said.

    "This is what exists," Bush said, illustrating his point that the promise of future Social Security benefits are simply stashed in a file.

    Chapman opened the second drawer and pulled out a white notebook filled with pseudo Treasury securities - pieces of paper that offer physical evidence of $1.7 trillion in treasury bonds that make up the trust fund.

    The pieces of paper he saw are not real Treasury securities. In today's computer age, investors no longer get honest-to-goodness Treasury bonds they can hold in their hands. But, by law, the bureau creates paper bonds to put in the file cabinet just in case anybody, like Bush, wants to see the trust fund.

    "Imagine," Bush said in his speech. "The retirement security for future generations is sitting in a filing cabinet. It's time to strengthen and modernize Social Security for future generations with growing assets that you can control that you call your own - assets that the government can't take away."


    President Participates in Social Security Conversation in West Virginia (George W. Bush, 4/05/05, West Virginia University at Parkersburg, Parkersburg, West Virginia)
    I have just come from the Bureau of Public Debt. I want to thank Van Zeck, Keith Rake, and Susan Chapman. Susan was the tour guide there at the Bureau of Public Debt. I went there because I'm trying to make a point about the Social Security trust. You see, a lot of people in America think there's a trust, in this sense -- that we take your money through payroll taxes and then we hold it for you, and then when you retire, we give it back to you. But that's not the way it works.

    There is no "trust fund," just IOUs that I saw firsthand, that future generations will pay -- will pay for either in higher taxes, or reduced benefits, or cuts to other critical government programs.

    The office here in Parkersburg stores those IOUs. They're stacked in a filing cabinet. Imagine -- the retirement security for future generations is sitting in a filing cabinet. It's time to strengthen and modernize Social Security for future generations with growing assets that you can control, that you call your own -- assets that the government cannot take away.


    This is how he should have begun the debate and on national television with the file cabinet.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:38 PM

    HIS INVITATION MUST HAVE BEEN LOST IN THE MAIL...:

    Ex-presidents, Bush to go to pope funeral (JENNIFER LOVEN, April 5, 2005, Associated Press)

    Former Presidents Bush and Clinton will accompany President Bush to the funeral of Pope John Paul II, the White House announced Tuesday. The delegation will also include Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice.

    President Bush and his wife, Laura, will lead the five-member group representing the United States at the funeral on Friday, White House press secretary Scott McClellan said.

    It wasn't immediately clear why former President Carter was not going along as well.


    Because they all loathe him?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:15 PM

    SPREAD THEM OUT:

    U.S. Drones Crowd Iraq's Skies to Fight Insurgents (ERIC SCHMITT, 4/05/05, NY Times)

    In the skies over Iraq, the number of remotely piloted aircraft - increasingly crucial tools in tracking insurgents, foiling roadside bombings, protecting convoys and launching missile attacks - has shot up to more than 700 now from just a handful four years ago, military officials say.

    As the American military continues to shift its emphasis to counterinsurgency and antiterrorism missions, the aircraft are in such demand that the Pentagon is poised to spend more than $13 billion on them through the end of the decade.

    The aircraft are being put into service so quickly that the various military and intelligence branches are struggling to keep pace with the increased number of operators required and with the lack of common policy and strategy on how to use them.

    There are nearly a dozen varieties in service now, from the 4.5-pound Ravens that patrol 100 feet off the ground to the giant Global Hawks that can soar at 60,000 feet and take on sophisticated reconnaissance missions. And while much of the appeal of the aircraft is that they keep aircrews out of the line of fire, there are now so many of them buzzing around combat zones that, in fact, the airspace can get dangerously crowded.


    Cuban airspace is pretty empty...


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:08 PM

    IT'S POLITICS, JAKE:

    Pelosi helped donor to PAC (Stephen Dinan, 4/05/05, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

    House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi helped secure $3 million last year for a nonprofit transportation-research organization whose president gave money to her political action committee as the group was paying for a European trip for one of her policy advisers.

    Transportation adviser Lara Levison's nine-day, $4,475 trip to Spain and Germany last April to learn about hydrogen-fuel cells for buses was primarily paid for by WestStart-CALSTART.

    But just days before the trip, WestStart-CALSTART announced that Mrs. Pelosi had helped the nonprofit group secure $1 million from the Federal Transit Administration for a bus rapid-transit program. A month after the Levison trip, the group sent out a press release thanking her for a $2 million grant for a fuel-cell program.

    According to campaign records, WestStart-CALSTART Chief Executive Officer John R. Boesel also gave $1,000 to one of Mrs. Pelosi's political action committees in 2003 and $1,000 to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.

    Both Mr. Boesel and Mrs. Pelosi's spokeswoman, Jennifer Crider, said there is no link between the staffer's trip and the grants.

    "This trip was completely within the House rules. The two projects were long-standing projects we've worked on," Ms. Crider said.


    As with her own attacks on Tom DeLay, it's silly to make too much of things like Ms Pelosi accepting help from groups she supports.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:39 PM

    ALL ABOUT ME (via Rick Turley):

    Jesus might have been homosexual, says the first openly gay bishop (Elizabeth Day, 03/04/2005, Daily Telegraph)

    The first openly gay Anglican bishop has sparked outrage for suggesting that Jesus might have been homosexual.

    The Rt Rev Gene Robinson, the Bishop of New Hampshire in the Episcopal Church of the United States, said that Jesus was an unmarried, "non-traditional man" who did not uphold family values, "travelled with a bunch of men" and enjoyed an especially close relationship with one of his disciples.


    Mr. Robinson, characteristically, insists that just because he couldn't restrain himself around men neither could God.


    Posted by Robert Schwartz at 1:26 PM

    BUT IT'S SCIENTIFIC!:

    The Art of Intelligence (DAVID BROOKS, 4/02/05, NY Times)

    The years between 1950 and 1965 were the golden age of American nonfiction. Writers like Jane Jacobs, Louis Hartz, Daniel Bell and David Riesman produced sweeping books on American society and global affairs. They relied on their knowledge of history, literature, philosophy and theology to recognize social patterns and grasp emerging trends.

    But even as their books hit the stores, their method was being undermined. A different group rejected this generalist/humanist approach and sought to turn social analysis into a science. For example, the father of the U.S. intelligence community, Sherman Kent, argued that social science and intelligence analysis needed a systematic method, "much like the method of the physical sciences."

    Social research - in urban planning, sociology and intelligence analysis - began to mimic the hard sciences.

    A new paper by a Yale undergraduate, Sulmaan Wasif Khan, contrasts these two ways of looking at the world. Khan compares the C.I.A.'s 1960's-era National Intelligence Estimates on China, which have been recently declassified, with the work of generalist scholars like Donald Zagoria.

    The C.I.A.'s intelligence estimates are what you'd expect: bloodless compilations of data by anonymous technicians. They do not draw patterns based on an understanding of Chinese history or make generalizations about the ethos of the Chinese elite.

    Zagoria's approach was quite different. Relying on a deep understanding of Chinese history and society, he made novelistic judgments about the Chinese leadership's hopes and fears. He imagined how we must appear to the Chinese, and how different American moves would be interpreted.

    The C.I.A. analysts concluded on Nov. 12, 1970, that there was little prospect of improvement in Sino-American relations. Zagoria said China would be open to a rapprochement.

    Zagoria was right. Henry Kissinger was in China within months of the C.I.A. report.

    But the scientific method used by the C.I.A., and its technical jargon, can seem to have more authority (used to justify bigger budgets). Academic analyses of society and world affairs are now often quantitative, jargon-laden and hyperspecialized. Historical works have gigantic titles and minuscule subjects - think "Power and Passion: Walloon Shovel Making, 1723-1724."

    So we get decades of calamitous intelligence failures.


    The CIA has old horse race bettor’s problem. The odds-on favorite to win is most likley to win and least likely to make you money. The way to make money is to bet against the crowd, but only when you are actually smarter than they are. The same is true in the stock market.

    Politicians (now there is a group of outside-the-box-thinkers) are blaming the CIA for overestimating Saddam Hussein and for underestimating Osama. The CIA is like the crowd at the track. They pick the favorites. AND NO CONCEIVABLE GOVERNMENTAL BUREAUCRACY WILL EVER BE ANY DIFFERENT.

    Neither bureacracy in the form of cabinet level officers, nor gimicks prediction markets, will solve the CIA problem, They can broaden the consensus, but it will still be a consensus. Case in point. The CIA consistently overestimated the economic and military strength of the Soviet Union. The only experts who saw a chink in the Soviet armor were demographers Murray Feshbach and Nicholas Eberstadt.

    Cassandra was always right and no one ever believed her. If Cassandra had access to the NYSE, she could have retired rich, but she will never alter the consensus, which she will always oppose. Furthermore, the CIA or any similar bureaucracy will always spit her out because she opposes the consensus ("She is just not a team player”).

    There you have it, a problem, not a solution. A contradiction in terms, a logical impossibility.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:00 PM

    ONE OF THESE THINGS IS NOT LIKE THE OTHER:

    Rate hikes may create 'perfect storm': How oil, housing, and China could all crash (Joe Duarte, April 5, 2005 , CBS MarketWatch)

    As Europe flounders in its self-inflicted bowl of economic soup, and Japan muddles along, China continues to outpace them all, fed by still relatively low interest rates, and international capital searching for growth.

    But, even that, will come to an end, at some point, especially if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates further. It's difficult to predict when that magic rate will be hit. But, for those who believe that China's economy addicted to cheap money, the withdrawal syndrome will be painful when it happens.

    According to Intelligence service Stratfor.com: Chinese "debt is extremely vulnerable to interest rate hikes. As rates rise, that debt will become impossible to maintain, and China will face the beginnings of a financial crisis. Given the makeup of the Chinese financial system, such a development is unavoidable. The only questions regarding the crisis to come are time frame and severity."

    After 9/11 the Fed flooded the world with dollars. Much of that money went to China, driven by the growth rates of the Chinese economy, and escaping what some thought would be a major Depression scenario in the United States.

    That dramatic change in the flow of capital is responsible for China's seemingly endless expansion.

    The net effect is that the world economy is now used to cheap credit, and is booming, especially in emerging markets like India, and China.

    In the United States, million dollar homes are being financed with adjustable rates and low interest only mortgage payments.

    But the Federal Reserve, and more recently, the European Central Bank are concerned about possible inflation.

    Furthermore, with global levels of debt at dangerous levels, maintained only by liquidity, the market is likely to be more sensitive to smaller rate hikes, and that the whole system could come apart faster, if the Fed reaches a critical point in its interest rate hikes.

    According to BankRate.com, 5-year adjustable rate mortgages in the U.S. have risen from 4.2 to 4.8%, over the last six months, while the Fed Funds (www.federalreserve.gov) rate climbed from 1.6% to 2.5%.

    If, the Fed raises the fed funds rate at one-quarter point from now until September, at each of its upcoming four meetings, rates would be at 3.5%. If there is one surprise half-point rate hike, the Fed Funds could be at 4%.

    Five-year adjustable rates could theoretically rise to 6% or above, creating a significant increase in the monthly payments for those who can't or won't lock in lower rates.


    So China implodes and takes oil with it. America still has to house 500 million people by 2050. The housing market dips, it doesn't go down.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:46 PM

    CAN'T SQUARE LIBERTARIANISM AND THE POPE:

    “Theocrats” for Freedom: What’s faith got to do with it? Plenty. (Rich Lowry, 4/05/05, National Review)

    Pope John Paul believed in the connection between truth and freedom. One school of thought — generally, liberal secularist — has held that truth is a threat to freedom: If there is only one true way, it will inevitably squash freedom. Another school of thought — associated with religious reactionaries — believes that freedom represents a threat to truth because it will lead to moral relativism. The pope rejected both arguments.

    The secularist view misses that freedom is grounded in truths, in the God-given dignity of man as a rational creature and in our fundamental equality. This is why the pope could say, "God created us to be free." If the idea of freedom is detached from these truths, it has no secure ground, because the strong will inevitably attempt to dominate the weak unless checked by moral truths (see slavery or segregation or communism).

    The reactionary view is mistaken too, because freedom, properly ordered, is not a threat to truth. Freedom shouldn't be understood as moral anarchy, which makes freedom impossible. Truth narrows our choices. In Pope John Paul's thought, truth makes dictatorship impermissible, but also abortion and exploitation of the poor — they all offend against human dignity.


    What's the difference between the reactionary view and the belief in proper order?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:23 PM

    BASELESS:

    Saudi police kill nine militants (ABDULLAH AL-SHIHRI, 4/05/05, Associated Press)

    Saudi police have killed nine militants, two of whom are believed to be on a list of most wanted terrorists, officials said Tuesday, as security forces continued a tense standoff in a central Saudi town with heavily armed extremists.

    Interior Ministry spokesman Brig. Mansour al-Turki said initial reports indicated nine militants were killed in one of the security force's largest battles with militants, a fight that began Sunday in ar-Rass, 220 miles northwest of the capital, Riyadh.

    Two militants were killed early Tuesday, raising the toll to nine. Another was critically wounded and a fourth surrendered, said al-Turki. Officials say 35 police have been injured during the fighting in ar-Rass, which is near Buraydah, a known stronghold of Islamic fundamentalists in the kingdom.

    A senior military official in ar-Rass, speaking on condition of anonymity, said that among those killed by police were Moroccan Kareem Altohami al-Mojati and Saudi Saud Homood Obaid al-Otaibi, who were ranked four and seven respectively on Saudi Arabia's list of 26 most wanted al-Qaida-linked terror suspects.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:19 PM

    PLOTTING:

    Blair calls election for May 5 (Matthew Tempest, April 5, 2005, Guardian Unlimited)

    Tony Blair today called the general election for May 5 after visiting the Queen in Buckingham Palace to ask for the dissolution of parliament.

    Returning to Downing Street before hitting the campaign trail, the prime minister said the election would be "a big choice, a big decision". "The British people are the boss and they will make it," he added.

    All three party leaders started campaigning across the country immediately. [...]

    Labour goes into the fight for votes on the back of a quartet of unexpectedly close polls today. All four showed Labour's lead slipping, although it is still ahead by between two and five per cent.

    The Guardian/ICM poll shows Labour's lead down by three points, with the party backed by 37% of the electorate, the Tories on 34% and the Liberal Democrats on 21%. Downing Street confirmed parliament would be dissolved on Monday next week.

    The new parliament will meet on Wednesday May 11, when the first business will be the election of the Speaker and the swearing-in of members. The state opening will be on Tuesday May 17.

    In his early launch speech, seemingly timed in an attempt to steal the PM's thunder, Mr Howard told the country: "Mr Blair's government has lost the plot."


    But are the Tories ready to resume the plot, which they lost when they sacked Margaret Thatcher?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:15 PM

    OUTLASTED ANOTHER ONE:

    ABC News: Peter Jennings has lung cancer (Associated Press, 4/05/05)

    Peter Jennings, the chief ABC News anchorman for more than 20 years, has been diagnosed with lung cancer and will begin outpatient treatment next week, the network said Tuesday.

    Jennings, 66, has been feeling ill for the past several months and was replaced Saturday on coverage of the pope's death by anchor Charles Woodruff. He last anchored "World News Tonight" on Friday.

    Jennings informed ABC News staff of the diagnosis Tuesday morning and said he will anchor the broadcast when he feels up to it over the next few months as he begins chemotherapy.

    "There will be good days and bad, which means some days I may be cranky and some days really cranky," he told ABC News employees in an e-mail.


    May he recover fully but not return to the broadcast.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:53 AM

    HE MADE CHRISTIANITY CATHOLIC AGAIN (via Ed Bush):

    The Next Pope...and Why He Matters to All of Us (George Weigel, January 12, 2005, EPPC's Fourth Annual William E. Simon Lecture)

    The fact that we are even having this discussion – here in Washington, under the sponsorship of a major foundation and an ecumenical and interreligious research institute – is itself a testimony to the accomplishment of John Paul II. Some years ago, a prominent national political commentator who is not a Christian said to me, "You know, in 1978 I could have cared less who the next pope would be. Now it means something to me personally." I suspect my friend’s sentiments are replicated in hundreds of millions of hearts and minds throughout the world. The papacy has traditionally claimed a global role; the pontificate of John Paul II has given specific meaning and empirical texture to that claim. The cardinals who will elect the next pope know this. And as they ponder the implications of that remarkable fact, they will know something else: they will know that, in an important sense, they will be electing a pope for the world as well as for the Church.

    The papacy now matters to virtually everyone. It matters to those for whom it represents the center of the divinely-mandated ordering of Christ’s Church. It matters to those for whom the papacy represents a global focal point of Christian unity and witness. It matters to those for whom the pope is a defender of universal human rights with a global platform. It matters, if in a rather different way, to those Chinese, Cuban, Vietnamese, and North Korean totalitarians who fear the capacity of the Catholic Church to inspire liberation movements, as it has done during this pontificate in east central Europe, Latin America, and East Asia. And it matters to those who deplore the Catholic Church and its moral teaching as perhaps the last great institutional barrier to the triumph of a utilitarian ethic and the advance of what some genetics researchers unblushingly call the "immortality project."1 Voltaire would be spinning in his grave at the thought of the papacy as a defender of the "rights of man;" and I rather doubt that Huxley imagined the papacy as a counterweight to the evolution of the brave new world. Yet precisely such hopes – and fears – may be found throughout the world today, in this twenty-seventh year of the pontificate of John Paul II. All conclaves are, by definition, "unprecedented." But those hopes and fears will help make the conclave that elects John Paul’s successor an unprecedented one in a distinctive way. [...]

    [T]he next conclave will...operate within a different structure of expectations than its predecessors. John Paul II’s retrieval and renewal of the evangelical and pastoral papacy – a papacy of preaching, teaching, witness, and encouragement – has changed the Church’s expectations of popes, and the world’s, too. These expectations are already creating a refined set of criteria for assessing possible candidates for the papacy. There is, for example, an emerging consensus among a significant number of cardinal-electors that one of the next pontificate’s principal tasks will be to concretize in the life of the Church the profound and challenging vision articulated by the pontificate of John Paul II: which is another way of saying that the next pope, in the minds of many electors, might well exercise a stronger administrative hand than his predecessor. At the same time, it is virtually inconceivable that the cardinal-electors, given this changed structure of expectations, will elect a man whose only, or even primary, qualification for the job is a reputation for making the trains run on time. The cardinals are well aware that personal holiness, intellectual depth, pastoral imagination, and communications skills are crucial in a 21st century pope – and will be measured quickly, by the world and the Church, in those first crucial moments when the new pope speaks urbi et orbi, "to the city and the world," on the day of his election and at his inaugural Mass. It would perhaps be too much to expect that the next pope will announce himself in so riveting a way as John Paul II, the self-described man "from a far country" who boldly challenged the world to "be not afraid," and to "open the doors to Christ." But neither does anyone expect, or really want, the new pope to announce himself by laying out a detailed plan for the bureaucratic reform of the Church – important as certain such reforms may be. [...]

    What, then, are the great issues facing the Catholic Church in the early 21st century? And how will the Church’s grappling with those issues affect "all of us?"

    At the outset, it may help to clarify what the issues are not. Neither the next conclave nor the next pope is going to change the Catholic Church’s teaching on the morally appropriate way to regulate births, although the cardinals may well discuss how to present that teaching with greater pastoral effectiveness. Neither the next conclave nor the next pope is going to endorse abortion-on-demand or euthanasia; the inviolability of innocent life is a bedrock principle of both natural and revealed law, and the Church has no authority to declare the use of lethal violence against innocents morally justifiable. Similarly, while the pre-conclave prattiche and the conclave itself may involve some discussion of the effects of the revolution in women’s lives (and the concurrent revolution in men’s lives) on the Church and the world, the Church’s practice of calling only men to the ministerial priesthood is not going to change, because, as John Paul II stated eleven years ago, the Church is not authorized to change that practice. There will likely be some discussion of the advisability of ordaining viri probati, proven and tested older married men, to the ministerial priesthood in situations where the shortage of priests is drastically impeding the Church’s sacramental life – but the cardinals well know that this solution, if in fact it be that, will create some problems as well as address others, and we need not expect (nor, from my point of view, should we want) a full-scale retreat from the ancient linkage of celibacy and ordained ministry in the Catholic Church.

    Which is to say that virtually all of what the New York Times imagines are "the issues" for the Catholic Church aren’t, in fact, the issues, and aren’t going to play a significant role in shaping the next conclave and the next pontificate

    So what are the issues?

    Three large-scale issues are already under discussion within the College of Cardinals and among other senior churchmen, and will certainly weigh heavily in the conclaves’s deliberations, in the next pontificate, and in the Catholic Church’s interface with the 21st century world. The first of these is the virtual collapse of Christianity in its historic heartland – western Europe. The second great issue is the Church’s response to the multi-faceted challenge posed by the rise of militant Islam. And the third involves the questions posed by the biotech revolution. Questions of the Church’s intellectual discipline will also be discussed in the next conclave, and I hope to show in a moment why those questions, properly understood, are of considerable consequence for "all of us". Then there is a question that may or may not come up in the prattiche, the general congregations, and the conclave deliberations of the cardinal-electors, but which, in my judgment, should be addressed: and that is the question of the Church’s diplomacy, or, to be more precise, the set of ideas that have guided the "foreign policy" of the Holy See for more than two generations now.


    The awesome reality is that Pope John Paul II was the first pope to be the moral leader of all of Christianity in about 5 centuries.


    MORE:
    A Great Christian: John Paul II was beloved by Protestants, too, because he was the world's greatest defender of orthodox, Bible-based Christianity. (Fred Barnes, 04/02/2005, Weekly Standard)

    EVANGELICAL PROTESTANTS loved Pope John Paul II. Many felt more in harmony with him than with the leaders of their own denomination. I attend an Episcopal church and I certainly preferred the Pope. He was the world's greatest defender of orthodox, Bible-based Christianity. The presiding bishop of the Episcopal Church and possibly a majority of its bishops are among the great diluters of classical Christianity.

    The truth is evangelicals could admire the Pope without wanting to convert to Catholicism. Sure, important differences remained between Protestants and Catholics, but John Paul II made them seem small. He was pro-life, pro-family, anti-totalitarian, and quite a lot more that conservative evangelicals identified with. Richard Land, a prominent Southern Baptist leader, once told a Catholic friend that Pope John Paul II was a "Pope who really knows how to pope." I suspect what Land meant in using "pope" as a verb was that John Paul was bold and unswerving in proclaiming salvation through belief in Jesus Christ. He did this all over the world, despite declining health and personal risk.

    During John Paul's 27 years as Pope, evangelical Protestants and conservative Catholics grew closer together in America's culture wars. There was a kind of "ecumenism of the trenches," said scholar Timothy George. They agreed on the need to protect--or in some cases, to revive--traditional values and to insist on a place for people of faith, particularly Christians, in public life.

    After the Roe v. Wade decision legalized abortion in 1973, Catholics provided most of the energy and the
    troops for the pro-life movement. But by the late 1970s and early 1980s, conservative Protestants were joining in large numbers. They not only were welcomed, but they felt comfortable being allied with Catholics in the era of Pope John Paul II.

    Three more things about the Holy Father were especially appealing to Protestant evangelicals: his courage, his anti-communism, and his appeal to young people.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:36 AM

    DON'T WORRY, THE MINUTEMEN WILL MAKE UP THE DIFFERENCE:

    Illegal Immigrants Are Bolstering Social Security With Billions (EDUARDO PORTER, 4/05/05, NY Times)

    Since illegally crossing the Mexican border into the United States six years ago, Ángel Martínez has done backbreaking work, harvesting asparagus, pruning grapevines and picking the ripe fruit. More recently, he has also washed trucks, often working as much as 70 hours a week, earning $8.50 to $12.75 an hour.

    Not surprisingly, Mr. Martínez, 28, has not given much thought to Social Security's long-term financial problems. But Mr. Martínez - who comes from the state of Oaxaca in southern Mexico and hiked for two days through the desert to enter the United States near Tecate, some 20 miles east of Tijuana - contributes more than most Americans to the solvency of the nation's public retirement system.

    Last year, Mr. Martínez paid about $2,000 toward Social Security and $450 for Medicare through payroll taxes withheld from his wages. Yet unlike most Americans, who will receive some form of a public pension in retirement and will be eligible for Medicare as soon as they turn 65, Mr. Martínez is not entitled to benefits.

    He belongs to a big club. As the debate over Social Security heats up, the estimated seven million or so illegal immigrant workers in the United States are now providing the system with a subsidy of as much as $7 billion a year.

    While it has been evident for years that illegal immigrants pay a variety of taxes, the extent of their contributions to Social Security is striking: the money added up to about 10 percent of last year's surplus - the difference between what the system currently receives in payroll taxes and what it doles out in pension benefits. Moreover, the money paid by illegal workers and their employers is factored into all the Social Security Administration's projections.

    Illegal immigration, Marcelo Suárez-Orozco, co-director of immigration studies at New York University, noted sardonically, could provide "the fastest way to shore up the long-term finances of Social Security."


    Will we never tire of them exploiting our kindness....


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:59 AM

    VIVIR CON MIEDO ES COMO VIVIR EN MEDIAS:

    Be not afraid (Larry Kudlow, April 5, 2005, Townhall)

    It was sometime in 1993 when I first read the great papal encyclical “Splendor of Truth,” written by Pope John Paul II. The slender book was recommended by Fr. C. John McClosky while he was counseling me during the worst personal crisis of my life: Alcohol and drug abuse were dragging me down. The problem got much worse before I finally surrendered to God, literally on my knees, and began a new life of faith -- and sobriety.

    John Paul’s book had no direct advice on drugs or alcohol. But, then again, as I came to realize later, it had everything to do with these things. The book is about the need for spiritual and moral courage in choosing good over evil in our daily lives. It is about being personally accountable for our actions. It is about abiding by our conscience so that we may hear the voice of God and follow His direction.

    As a full-fledged member of a twelve-step fellowship, I later learned that the biggest problem facing all those who suffer from chronic addiction is “sickness of the soul.” That’s exactly what John Paul II talks about in “Splendor of Truth.” He tells us to “be not afraid” in pursuit of the life of faith. Be not afraid to trust God. Be not afraid to stand for the right values. Be not afraid to be faithful to your spouse, or unselfish to friends, or diligent in work and the many duties of everyday life.

    On a much grander scale the pope tells us to pursue right values concerning the sanctity of human life, human rights, freedom, democracy, and the redemptive value of suffering in life. He preaches a moral theology that applies to everything: Be not afraid in the pursuit of God’s will and the teachings of Jesus Christ. To live such a life requires courage, but it is precisely this moral courage that gives our lives meaning and purpose.



    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:49 AM

    WHO KNEW?:

    The difference between Jews and Judaism: The Schiavo tragedy highlighted an unfortunately little known and often misunderstood aspect about Jewry (Rabbi Avi Shafran, 4/05/05, JewishWorldReview.com)

    The phone began ringing here at Agudath Israel of America mere hours after we released a statement asking Michael Schiavo to spare his wife's life.

    The phone began ringing here at Agudath Israel of America mere hours after we released a statement asking Michael Schiavo to spare his wife's life.

    We asked the late Terri Schiavo's husband to "recognize that what a court may consider legal can still constitute a grave violation of a higher law," and pointed out that "none of us can claim to know what constitutes a meaningful existence," and that "all of us have a responsibility to preserve even severely compromised life."

    Our statement appeared in some media, primarily newspapers servicing the Orthodox Jewish community, like the weekly Yated Ne'eman and the daily Hamodia. But it also found its way onto the popular website JewishWorldReview.com as well as one maintained by supporters of Mrs. Schiavo's parents' struggle to save their daughter's life. Thence ensued the flood of calls.

    Some were from observant Jews, gratified that we had articulated a straightforward Jewish take on the matter. But many — in fact, many more — came from non-Jewish Americans, clear across the country.

    The callers' accents testified to their geographical diversity; the voices comprised a musical medley of northeastern enunciation, western drawl, mid-west mannerisms and southern comfort. And all were Christians, calling a Jewish organization just to say thank you.

    More striking still, though, was something else, the single sentiment voiced, in different words, by a good number of the callers. As one succinctly put it: "You know, I never realized there were Jewish people who cared about 'life' issues."


    Based on election returns there aren't many, which is shameful.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:40 AM

    YOU KNOW WHAT THEY SAY... (via Judd Heartsill):

    Dissing Darwin: As Texas grapples with the future of biotech, our long-standing hostility toward one of modern science’s founding fathers is about to cost us plenty. (Michael Ennis, April 2005, Texas Monthly)

    [A]s Texas enters the twenty-first century, dissing Darwin is
    about to get very expensive.

    That's because the scientific revolution Darwin started in the nineteenth
    century-transforming biology from the domain of amateur naturalists like
    himself into a disciplined science probing ever deeper into the mysteries of
    life-has finally come to fruition. We are leaving behind the digital age and
    entering the biotechnology era, with the promise and peril of regenerated
    limbs, cloned replacement organs, and genetic cures. Indeed, George W.
    Bush's first major televised address as president concerned "stem cells," a
    term that has now entered the everyday lexicon. (Found in days-old human
    embryos, stem cells are capable of developing into any kind of body tissue
    and could potentially yield treatments for everything from paralysis to
    Parkinson's disease.) Although the president dismayed researchers with his
    split decision to limit federally funded embryonic stem cell research to
    several dozen "lines" previously obtained from embryos unused in in vitro
    fertilization, his cautious approach created an opening for enterprising
    states. Last November, California voters committed $3 billion to fund
    largely unrestricted stem cell research over the next decade; not wanting to
    miss out on what is being called the biotech "gold rush," a host of
    governors from Wisconsin to New Jersey have proposed spending hundreds of
    millions each to compete for biotech businesses and researchers.


    ...no Darwin? No Mengele.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:32 AM

    WESTERN UKRAINE:

    Yushchenko thanks Ukrainians here (ABDON M. PALLASCH, April 5, 2005, Chicago Sun-Times)

    The cheering crowd was dressed in orange Monday night, but it wasn't for the Illini basketball team seeking a national championship.

    It was for newly elected Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko, who came here to thank local Ukrainians for their support in helping him win office.

    "I am happy to have the Chicago community giving most of their votes to me," he told a crowd that packed the grand ballroom of the Palmer House Hilton during a speech sponsored by the Chicago Council on Foreign Relations.

    "I think the count was 99.6 percent of the votes," he said of the Chicago area Ukrainians who voted for him. "The turnout was like it used to be when we had the communists, although with the communists sometimes the turnout was 102 percent," he joked.

    The crowd shouted "Yushchenko, Yushchenko," and in Ukrainian chanted the slogan of the Ukraine's Orange Revolution: "Together we are many and will not be defeated."

    "I am particularly happy to have seen the Ukrainian nation having arisen from its knees," Yushchenko told the crowd. "We are off our knees because you were by us."

    Earlier Monday Yushchenko met with President Bush in Washington, saying, "Our ideals are simple and eternal. We want democracy and freedom."


    MORE:
    Democracy's hero in Ukraine (John Shattuck, April 5, 2005, Boston Globe)

    FROM HIS prison cell on Robben Island, Nelson Mandela fired the hopes of millions of South Africans that the chains of apartheid could be broken. Three years after his release, Mandela was elected his country's first postapartheid president. For more than a decade Vaclav Havel led a dissident movement that challenged the moral authority of Czechoslovakia's Stalinist regime. Then, in 1989, he emerged as the leader of the Velvet Revolution and a year later became the Czechs' first democratically elected president after more than half a century of fascist and Communist domination.

    Modern heroes like Mandela and Havel are in short supply. So it is a cause for celebration when another bursts onto the world stage. Last fall, Viktor Yushchenko galvanized a democratic revolution in Ukraine, a country at the heart of the former Soviet Union. Battling against enormous odds and at great personal risk, Yushchenko confronted a corrupt and oppressive oligarchy rooted deeply in the old Soviet system. Inspired by his courage, millions of Ukrainians flocked to his cause and propelled him to victory in an ''Orange Revolution" that recalled the Czechs' Velvet uprising 15 years earlier.

    What made Yushchenko a hero of democracy? A Soviet-trained economist, he began his career as an accountant in provincial obscurity, emerging after the collapse of the Soviet Union as an economic reformer and head of the Ukrainian National Bank. He became prime minister in 1999. When his reform policies began to threaten the power of the oligarchs, he was fired by the president. Out of office, Yushchenko built Ukraine's first popular democratic opposition movement, winning the largest bloc of seats in parliamentary elections in 2002 and, a year later, beginning his drive for the presidency.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:02 AM

    UNIQUE:

    Power Shift: Narrow Victories Aside, Bush Has Accomplished What His Predecessors Did Not (Charlie Cook, April 5, 2005, National Journal)

    In a fascinating and provocative analysis of the 2004 elections, Michael Nelson, a political scientist at Rhodes College in Memphis, makes a strong case that last year's election was a clear departure from recent elections.

    In a just released book with chapters from eight other distinguished political scientists -- including the inimitable Gary C. Jacobson of the University of California, San Diego -- Nelson notes that while President Bush's victory margin was narrower than those of presidents Dwight Eisenhower in 1956, Richard Nixon in 1972, Ronald Reagan in 1984 and Bill Clinton in 1996, theirs were "lonely landslides," as they were unable to gain House and Senate seats for their parties.

    Bush, however, enters his second term with full control of the government, holding the White House, House and Senate. According to a June 2003 Washington Post article, Bush was "explicit that he doesn't want to win with 55 percent and have a 51-49 Senate," said an aide who referred to the president's desire to "expand the governing coalition."

    Put aside questions of Bush's expansion of a small winning margin in 2000 and the fact that an extraordinary mid-decade congressional redistricting in Texas and several Democratic Senate retirements seats in the South were key to the GOP's Capitol Hill gains. The fact is that Bush did accomplish what Eisenhower, Nixon, Reagan and Clinton were unable to do.


    Plus, he has an excellent opportunity to extend those gains in '06 and to put in a successor when Cheney "retires."


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:47 AM

    BACKFIRE:

    Lawlessness Has Abbas Going After the Law: Since gunmen attacked three restaurants last week, the Palestinian leader has cracked down on the territories' disparate security forces. (Ken Ellingwood, April 5, 2005, LA Times)

    The gunmen who shot up Osama Khalaf's restaurant appear also to have jarred the new Palestinian leadership into more forceful actions to bring order to the streets.

    Since Wednesday night's shooting attack, during which up to a dozen men opened fire in the fashionable Darna restaurant and sent customers diving for cover, Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas has sacked a top security commander and signed a law to push officers 60 and older into retirement to clear the way for an overhaul of Palestinian forces.

    Abbas also assigned Palestinian officials to figure out how to disarm hundreds of fugitive militants sought by Israel and get them jobs in Palestinian security. At least some of the gunmen behind last week's attack on Darna and two other Ramallah restaurants belonged to the Al Aqsa Martyrs Brigade, a fighting force tied to Abbas' dominant Fatah movement. [...]

    Though well short of the sweeping security reforms sought by Israel, the United States and others, Abbas' recent measures signal a newly aggressive stance against what many Palestinians see as a climate of growing lawlessness.

    Much of the disorder has come at the hands of gunmen nurtured by Abbas' predecessor, Yasser Arafat, who died in November. Last week's shootings took place after gunmen wanted by Israel were ordered out of the Palestinian presidential compound here in Ramallah, where they had taken shelter while Arafat was alive. They first opened fire on the compound, known as the Muqata, then rampaged through Ramallah's streets.

    Since taking office in January, Abbas has sought to avoid confronting the militants. He has instead opted to persuade them to quiet their weapons, as when the major factions agreed last month to an open-ended, conditional cease-fire against Israel.

    The shooting incidents in Ramallah, Abbas' home and the seat of the Palestinian government, stunned residents.


    Like al Qaeda in Saudi Arabia, they only give reluctant governments a reason to crack down.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:00 AM

    TELLIN' OLE PHARAOH:

    Egypt students rally for reform (BBC, 4/05/05)

    Thousands of Egyptian university students have demonstrated angrily against the government, in the largest such protest yet to be staged.

    The students - mostly from the Muslim Brotherhood movement - marched at five campuses in Cairo and the Nile Delta.

    Hundreds of police prevented them from taking their protests outside university gates onto the streets.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:56 AM

    LIKE A.C.T. UP IN CAMO:

    Border Watchers Capture Their Prey -- the Media (David Kelly, April 5, 2005, LA Times)

    Jim Gilchrist bounced into the Trading Post diner here Monday, ordered coffee and toast and began smoking vigorously.

    His cellphone occasionally rang, his two-way radio squawked and a coterie of followers hung on his every word.

    Things were going better than he could imagine. The founder of the Minuteman Project, designed to put volunteers on the southeastern Arizona border to deter illegal immigrants, had attracted more than 200 journalists from around the world.

    Mexico responded with more troops and extra police at the border to deter migrants. The U.S. Border Patrol boosted its ranks by 500 agents and Gilchrist had become a minor, if international, celebrity.

    "None of this would have happened if it wasn't for the Minuteman action," he said. "This thing was a dog and pony show designed to bring in the media and get the message out and it worked."

    Indeed it did. For weeks, the 56-year-old retired accountant from Aliso Viejo had promised 1,000 volunteers would be arriving in Arizona come April. But when the activists showed up Friday, they numbered about 200, a roughly 1-to-1 ratio with members of the news media.


    And every one of them was in the A.V. Club in high school.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:52 AM

    THE POPE WOULD HAVE APPROVED:

    '81 Shooter Requests Prison Leave to Attend Funeral: The assailant, whom the pope had forgiven, says he is mourning the loss of his 'spiritual brother.' (Amberin Zaman, April 5, 2005, LA Times)

    Mehmet Ali Agca, the Turk who shot and seriously wounded Pope John Paul II in 1981, has requested a leave from prison to attend the pontiff's funeral, saying he is mourning the loss of his "spiritual brother."

    "I must be there," Agca said Monday through his attorney. "I must attend the funeral."

    The lawyer, Mustafa Demirag, met with Agca in Istanbul's Kartal prison and said he would seek permission from a prosecutor for his client to travel to Rome.

    Demirag acknowledged that it was unlikely the maximum-security inmate would be allowed to attend.

    The pope met with Agca in an Italian prison in 1983 and forgave the gunman for the shooting.

    "Agca absolutely adores the pope; his death would be an enormous blow," said Agca's brother, Adnan, in a recent interview before John Paul died Saturday.


    It's a measure of the two as men that neither the Pope nor Ronald Reagan bore their assassins any personal animus.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:48 AM

    VERY SENSIBLE:

    IRAs can't be seized in cases of bankruptcy (U.S. Supreme Court's decision is unanimous (NEW YORK TIMES NEWS SERVICE and ASSOCIATED PRESS, April 5, 2005)

    The Supreme Court gave bankrupt Americans another layer of financial protection yesterday, ruling that creditors cannot seize their Individual Retirement Accounts.

    The unanimous decision shields a nest egg relied upon by millions of people.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:13 AM

    ACTING LIKE GROWNUPS:

    GOP senators back Bowles to head UNC system (ROB CHRISTENSEN, 4/05/05, News & Observer)

    Republicans in the state Senate, of all people, are lobbying to make Bill Clinton's former chief of staff, Erskine Bowles, the next president of the University of North Carolina system.

    The Senate GOP caucus has written to state leaders saying the next time there is a change in the UNC presidency, "we would strongly support Mr. Erskine Bowles for the position."

    Apparently the GOP is floating the name of Bowles, a two-time Democratic Senate candidate and Charlotte investment banker, as a way to send a message to President Molly Broad.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:58 AM

    PLAIN ENVY:

    ECB itches to raise rates, but why? (Carter Dougherty, April 5, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

    Sluggish economies with low inflation seldom justify higher interest rates, but the European Central Bank will probably deliver precisely that to the 12-nation euro zone this year, and explaining why is already proving tricky.

    At the bank's monthly meeting Thursday, it could begin to lay the rhetorical groundwork for raising rates, most likely in the fall. But it will not be able to justify this move as central banks normally do, economists and ECB analysts said.


    The euro is all they have left, even if it is artificially propped up.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    RATTLE AND HMMMM?:

    Tory poll surge rattles Labour as battle begins (Peter Riddell, Philip Webster and Gary Duncan, 4/05/05, Times of London)

    THE Conservatives have dramatically closed the gap on Labour as Tony Blair launches his attempt to win a third term.

    A Populus poll for The Times today and three other polls boost Michael Howard as the Prime Minister goes to Buckingham Palace this morning to seek a dissolution of Parliament. All four point to solidifying Tory support.

    The Times poll puts the Conservatives up three points to 35 per cent, with Labour slipping two to 37, and the Liberal Democrats down one at 19. The others show similar trends, suggesting that any gain from Gordon Brown’s Budget has been short-lived. An ICM survey in The Guardian puts Labour on 37 and the Conservatives on 34. NOP for The Independent puts Labour on 36, the Tories on 33 and the Lib Dems on 21 and a MORI poll in The Financial Times shows Labour’s lead down by 1 point.

    Although the polls still point to a comfortable Labour victory, the narrowing gap may unnerve Labour politicians, particularly as they coincide with unfavourable economic data.


    Mr. Blair has gotten so far Right of his party they only tolerate because he can win, why are they keeping him if he's become a liability?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    WE'LL TAKE THE ANGLOSPHERIC NATIONS AND EASTERN EUROPE:

    EU's growth triggers identity crisis (William Pfaff, April 5, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

    In all of the countries planning referendums, rather than ratification by Parliament, all sorts of anxieties about Europe, as well as about domestic matters, have been loaded onto the vote.

    Does the constitution further "Americanize" Europe? Does it subordinate Europe's security to NATO? Is European Union just an extension of the American alliance, as U.S. officials and many American academics and policy experts would like it to become? Some in Eastern Europe think EU membership is a defense against a possible Russian threat. Some in Western Europe think of it as defense against an eventual American threat.

    Another currently influential idea about the EU is that Europe's international mission is to quell disorder and impose democracy through example, and by offering countries the possibility of EU membership if they accept European political standards. This somewhat smug view says that the United States invades countries and says: "Be democrats or we'll kill you," while the EU peacefully converts others to democracy.

    Europeans are deeply divided on whether their union should practice American free-market economics or defend their established social market systems. Do they want a "technical" Europe (as Britain would prefer) or an integrated one? They are divided on further expansion. They are anxious about immigration.

    These divisions, including the ancient one between American/Thatcherite economic "liberalism" and the European social market model, all have their origins in history. The old EU expanded to 25 because it believed itself obliged to admit the former Communist states, whatever the consequences. It has been unwilling to admit that expansion has made it impossible to forge a highly integrated Europe with ambitious common foreign and security policies.

    A single market, single currency and free passage of individuals and goods, have all worked for limited parts of the EU. But they were largely uncontroversial and of obvious mutual benefit. Further integration is not.

    It is obvious that the alternative to an integrated Europe is several "Europes" with different degrees of integration and differing relationships with the outside world. If the constitution is turned down, sending the Europeans back to their unsatisfactory Nice Treaty, this is the solution the Europeans will have to develop.

    The notion that the alternative to a constitutionally integrated Europe is no Europe is absurd, and by now, impossible.


    Isn't the New Europe better off in NAFTA an d the Axis of Good than in the EU?


    April 4, 2005

    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:14 PM

    FAIRYTALE:

    Here's Why the Centrist Democrat Is Feeling Unloved (NICHOLAS CONFESSORE, 4/03/05, NY Times)

    ONCE upon a time, not so very long ago, the centrist Democrat was among Washington's hardiest and richly plumaged species. He was a privileged guest on Sunday-morning chat shows, the go-to guy for blue-ribbon commissions, the arbiter of Beltway conventional wisdom. He - this being Washington it was usually a he - was the pragmatist, the middle-splitter, the politician who came to Get Things Done.

    Often, centrist Democrats thrived as in-house critics of their own party. Henry (Scoop) Jackson jabbed at his colleagues' dovishness; Daniel Patrick Moynihan at their unwillingness to rein in entitlement spending; Joe Lieberman at their reluctance to talk about values.

    But like many species that have departed the world, centrist Democrats today struggle with an unfriendly environment.


    It was always more about image than substance. When push came to shove: Scoop Jackson voted with Ted Kennedy to kneecap South Vietnam in '75; Pat Moynihan fought welfare reform; he and Joe Lieberan both voted against impeachment; and Senator Lieberman even supports partial birth abortion. They were mostly centrist in rhetoric, not reality.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:53 PM

    DEFUSED:

    Senate to hold mock Social Security debate (GLEN JOHNSON, 4/04/05, The Associated Press)

    Two Democrats and two Republicans will square off Tuesday night in a mock debate on the Senate floor, arguing whether — and how, if necessary — the government retirement insurance program should be altered.

    The leaders of the parties' respective policy committees, Sens. Byron Dorgan, D-N.D., and Jon Kyl, R-Ariz., decided to engage in the exercise as a likely precursor to the real thing later this year. The committees previously sponsored a debate on the subject in 2003.

    "These debates are an opportunity for us to rise above 30-second sound bites for a true give-and-take on important issues in a way that the Founding Fathers might have envisioned," Kyl said in a statement. "Rather than watching scripted speeches read to a mostly empty chamber, the American people will have a chance to hear strong, but civil, disagreements, and maybe, on occasion, find areas where our parties agree."

    Dorgan said separately: "There is no more important domestic issue than ensuring the future of Social Security."

    Democrats have tapped Sens. Dick Durbin of Illinois and Debbie Stabenow of Michigan to prosecute their case. The Republicans, meanwhile, have selected Sens. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania and Jim DeMint of South Carolina.

    The debate, scheduled to begin at 6 p.m. EDT Tuesday, will be broadcast nationally by C-SPAN. It is expected to last about an hour.


    It's gone from being the Third Rail of American politics to a topic vulnerables of both parties feel free to discuss.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:48 PM

    FAILING THEIR OWN TEST:

    Life of the Party (Fred Barnes, 04/11/2005, Weekly Standard)

    THE WORDS OF HUBERT HUMPHREY became the motto of American liberalism almost from the moment he uttered them on the Senate floor in 1977. "The moral test of a government is how that government treats those who are in the dawn of life--the children; the twilight of life--the elderly; and the shadows of life--the sick, the needy, and the handicapped." Liberal Democrats embraced the Humphrey dictum as a measure of what they'd done and what they planned to do. This was the high moral ground they thought of as the Democratic party's exclusive heritage.

    It no longer is. The indifference of liberalism to the fate of Terri Schiavo, by itself, demonstrates that. Those in the dawn of life and those in the shadows do not have advocates in liberalism and the Democratic party, at least not many. More often the weak and the innocent are targets. Democrats and liberals have fled the moral high ground, and they've done so voluntarily.

    What was liberalism's response to the plight of Schiavo, the Florida woman forced to die last week? Some Democrats--Senator Tom Harkin of Iowa stands out--aided Republicans in putting the Schiavo case in federal court and giving her a chance to live. But for most, the issue was not that a woman who was brain-damaged, and whose parents wanted to care for her, was being put to death. No, the issue was procedural. The rule of law and the requirements of federalism supposedly barred intervention by Congress or federal courts in the case. States' rights suddenly became a tenet of modern liberalism. In effect, liberalism washed its hands of Schiavo, the epitome of someone in the "shadows of life." Sick, needy, and handicapped? She was all three.

    At the "dawn of life," no one is more vulnerable than an unborn child. Yet liberals' lack of sympathy for the unborn has become so deep-seated that late-term abortions, which amount to infanticide, fail to provoke their moral outrage. The evidence is clear now that the vast majority of partial-birth abortions are performed for convenience, not because of any threat to the health of the mother. Thus the health exception for partial-birth abortions has become solely a loophole exploited to justify the killing of unborn children on the brink of life. This fact is not a secret. Still, the dominant liberal elements of the Democratic party (along with some Republicans) cling to the idea that a health exception must be preserved.

    Though Humphrey's maxim didn't touch on foreign policy, liberalism has jettisoned its moral heritage there, too. FDR, Truman, and JFK all hailed the spread of liberty as the hallmark of a liberal foreign policy. Today, however, liberals and Democrats find no joy in the success of President Bush's drive for democracy in the Middle East, success they had deemed impossible or perhaps undesirable. Instead, they have adopted, in the words of New Republic editor-in-chief Martin Peretz, "the politics of churlishness" toward the advance of democracy. Again, not all Democrats have, just most of them.


    What a grotesque reversal of their heritage that the more vulnerable you are the more Democrats want you dead.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:59 PM

    THAT'S NOT THE FERTILE FIELD:

    Ratzinger's mustard seed (Spengler, 4/05/05, Asia Times)

    That an earthly agency might hold the key to the kingdom of heaven is a fond hope of mankind, such that the passing of the Vicar of Christ touches even those who long since rejected that hope. Into whose hand will the key pass? News reports suggest that the succession may fall to Joseph Cardinal Ratzinger, the Vatican's chief theologian. With no way to game the odds that this might happen, I think it worth noting that Ratzinger is one of the few men alive capable of surprising the world. Ten years ago, he shocked the Catholic world with this warning:

    We might have to part with the notion of a popular Church. It is possible that we are on the verge of a new era in the history of the Church, under circumstances very different from those we have faced in the past, when Christianity will resemble the mustard seed [Matthew 13:31-32], that is, will continue only in the form of small and seemingly insignificant groups, which yet will oppose evil with all their strength and bring Good into this world. [1]

    He added, "Christianity might diminish into a barely discernable presence," because modern Europeans "do not want to bear the yoke of Christ". The Catholic Church, he added, might survive only in cysts resembling the kibbutzim of Israel. He compared these cysts to Jesus' mustard seed, faith of whose dimensions could move mountains. Ratzinger's grim forecast provoked a minor scandal, complete with coverage in Der Spiegel, Germany's leading newsmagazine. The offending sentences did not appear in the English translation, "Salt of the Earth", and were not discussed further in polite Catholic company.

    Cardinal Ratzinger is a Prince of the Church who threatened, as it were, to abandon the capital and conduct guerrilla war from the mountains. Years before Europe's demographic death-spiral was apparent, Ratzinger had the vision to see and the courage to say that the Catholic Church stood on the brink of a catastrophic decline. [...]

    From an institutional vantage point the Church appears weakened beyond repair. Not only the faith but also the faithful are at risk. I hold out no hope for today's Europeans. But Ratzinger places his hopes on the purely spiritual weapons that made Christianity a force to begin with. He has said, in effect, "I have a mustard seed, and I'm not afraid to use it." I do not know, of course, whether he will have the opportunity, but were he to ascend to the throne of St Peter, the next papacy might be more interesting than the last one.


    Surprising to see someone as smart as Spengler be so parochial as to confuse the rising Church with dying Europe. The Church survived the fall of Rome quite nicely, it'll barely notice the end of Europe.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:43 PM

    THE A TEAM:

    Freedom’s Men: The Cold War team of Pope John Paul II and Ronald Reagan. (Mark Riebling, 4/03/05, National Review)

    Though Pope John Paul II and Ronald Reagan will be remembered as the pope and the president who defeated Communism, the exact nature of their relationship has remained elusive. Some journalists have posited a “holy alliance” between the two, with the CIA briefing the pope each Friday. Others, like George Weigel writing in National Review, have argued that “there was neither alliance nor conspiracy [but] a common purpose born of a set of shared convictions.”

    Which view is more correct? The documentary record is incomplete, but clues to the answer may be found in formerly top-secret National Security Council files, now available at the Ronald Reagan Library in Simi Valley, California. These materials reveal, often in granular detail, how the U.S. Vatican relationship evolved during Reagan’s first term. The documents describe the first contacts between the pope and the president; nuclear brinksmanship and disarmament; the Solidarity crisis in Poland; and Vice President George Bush's private 1984 meeting with the pope.

    These papers yield tantalizing snapshots of buoyant goodwill and tireless diplomacy on both sides. There was, sometimes, a de facto alliance between this president and pope. But relations were not so close that they could be taken for granted by the president's men. In fact, the documents reveal a continuous scurrying to shore up Vatican support for U.S. policies. They also reveal a Vatican which acts politically, but always in a highly spiritual way.

    Perhaps most surprisingly, the papers show that that, as late as 1984, the pope did not believe the Communist Polish government could be changed.


    At the time there were rumors that Reagan asked for John O'Connor to be elevated to Cardinal in exchange for establishing formal diplomatic relations with The Vatican.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:26 PM

    EAT YOUR HEART OUT, JOY ADAMSON:


    Woman breastfeeds tiger cubs
    (Agence France-Presse, April 04, 2005)

    A LACTATING woman in Myanmar has volunteered to breastfeed a pair of endangered Bengal tiger cubs recently born at a Yangon zoo and separated from their aggressive mother, the Myanmar Times reported.

    The two week-old cubs, a male and a female, were taken from their mother Noah Noah after she killed the third cub in her litter, prompting veterinarians to engage in alternative childcare, the semi-official weekly reported.

    Hla Htay, 40, a relative of a Yangon Zoological Gardens staffer and a mother of three including a seven-month-old baby, stepped in when she learned the cubs needed breast milk to survive.

    "I felt sorry for them so I decided to feed them before their teeth grow," she told the newspaper.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:17 PM

    NOT EXACTLY RECENT:

    GOP and Democrats trade ideologies? (Godfrey Sperling, 4/05/05, CS Monitor)

    Back in the early part of the Iraq war I was intrigued that Anthony Lake, who had been a national security adviser to President Clinton, held this perspective on the foreign policy debate between President Bush and his Democratic critics: That this policy conflict was really between conservatives and radicals and it was the Democrats who had emerged as the conservatives and the Republicans who had become the liberals, or "radicals."

    Washington Post columnist E. J. Dionne Jr. elicited that from Mr. Lake in a November 2003 interview. It was part of Lake's assessment of his own Democratic Party's ideological position in resisting the president's forced injection of democracy into Iraq.

    Mr. Dionne wrote in that column that the Democrats had been in a box ever since the Iraq debate began because, for many years, they had been identified with the policy of spreading democracy abroad that Mr. Bush had underscored in a speech at that time in which he said: "The establishment of a free Iraq at the heart of the Middle East will be a watershed event in the global democratic revolution."


    This has been true since at least 1968, when Democrats gave up on the rest of the world because Vietnam was harder than they thought it would be and maybe since the '50s, when even their best became anti-anti-communists..


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:13 PM

    STEAL THEIR FACE:

    China in race to save talks, and face (Hamish McDonald, April 5, 2005, The Age)

    China's President Hu Jintao could visit North Korea soon in a last-ditch effort to avoid the collapse of nuclear disarmament talks that Beijing has hosted.

    Since the nuclear crisis erupted in October 2002 when the United States accused North Korea of cheating on a previous nuclear freeze, China has hosted three rounds of six-nation talks to resolve the issue, the most recent last June.

    Last month US officials indicated that if the North's abstention from the talks stretched for a year, it would move at the end of June to take the issue to the United Nations Security Council and seek sanctions.

    This would be a humiliating development for the Chinese Government, which has invested considerable prestige in sponsoring a diplomatic solution to the stand-off between its prickly communist ally and the US.


    Making it an opportune moment to point out that if China can't deal with a client it's not much use.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:58 PM

    EXPANDING THE AXIS OF GOOD:

    PM hails pact with Indonesia (Mark Forbes, April 5, 2005, The Age)

    A new era of closer ties between Australia and Indonesia has been hailed by Prime Minister John Howard and President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono after they signed a groundbreaking agreement in Canberra yesterday.

    The declaration for a "comprehensive partnership" aims to increase economic, political and security ties, and includes shared opposition to secessionist movements in Indonesia, and building military relations.

    Dr Yudhoyono underlined the stronger ties by putting pressure on Malaysia over its effort to exclude Australia from this year's East Asian Summit in Kuala Lumpur, saying greater co-operation in East Asia "must involve Australia".

    Lauding yesterday's declaration as a landmark for a closer relationship, Dr Yudhoyono said it assumed "that the security, prosperity and stability of Indonesia and Australia are interconnected".

    Events since the Bali bombing, including the tsunami relief effort, had prompted both nations to begin to relate to each other differently, Dr Yudhoyono said. "And that is the very purpose of my visit to your great country: to affirm our special relations, and to make it even stronger."


    Notable that the Madrid bombing was the only one that worked in the Islamicists favor.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:50 PM

    "ONE OF THOSE GUYS":

    The story of Sgt. Smith's last hours: President Bush has awarded the first Medal of Honor to a soldier in the Iraq war. (Mark Sappenfield, 4/05/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

    The last time Sgt. 1st Class Paul Smith had slept for any length of time was two days before, and for the men of his platoon, the hours in between had passed only with teeth-grinding tension.

    Just the previous night, there had been the long, slow haul to Baghdad through hours so dark that even night-vision goggles were useless. Nose-to-tail, their convoy had crept across the Iraqi marshes amid fizzing bullets and the pop of indiscriminate gunfire, hemmed in their one-lane road by the landscape, the enemy, and the unyielding blackness.

    Yet when morning broke and B Company of the 11th Engineers arrived unscathed at Saddam Airport - some even snapping photos along the way - Sergeant Smith was still uneasy. Things were too quiet, and the airport's high walls obscured the battlefield around him.

    Like almost every choice he made, Smith's next decision was straight from the military textbook - punching through a wall with a bulldozer to look around. Yet it set in motion events that would eventually claim his life as he stood in the turret of a crippled vehicle, holding at bay almost single-handedly an advancing force of as many as 100 Iraqis.

    When President Bush presented Smith's family with the Medal of Honor at the White House Monday, exactly two years after Smith's death, he honored the 33-year-old sergeant for what he and others in the military have deemed one of the most valorous acts ever performed by an American soldier.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:47 PM

    EUROPE IS THROUGH, MOVE ON:

    Global South as growing force in Catholic Church (Sophie Arie, 4/05/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

    As part of a broader trend of surging Christianity in the developing world, the rising tide - and rising clout - of Southern Catholics has already brought profound change to their faith. Morally and theologically conservative, respectful of authority, poor but full of zeal, they are everything that European Catholics are not.

    Now that John Paul II has died, some Catholics are asking: Shouldn't the next pope represent this class of Catholics, which makes up two thirds of the Vatican's 1.1 billion strong flock?

    "The South is increasingly the center of energy of Christianity," says Vatican expert John Allen. "There is a strong current that would regard a pope from the developing world as the most suitable leader now."

    Among the names of cardinals listed as likely successors, three or four are from the developing world. A pope from the South, analysts say, would probably uphold the church's teachings opposing abortion, contraception, married clerics, and same-sex unions.

    "Christians are facing a shrinking population in the liberal West and a growing majority of the traditional rest," says Philip Jenkins, author of "The Next Christendom: The coming of global Christianity."

    Christianity, and Catholicism in particular, are booming in the global South. The rise is so great, in fact, that Christendom's so-called center of gravity - the point on the globe where roughly the same number of believers live to the north, south, east, and west - is shifting ever further from Rome, not to mention Jerusalem, where Christianity started.

    Today, according to a trajectory mapped by the Center for the Study of Global Christianity, based in South Hamilton, Mass., the demographic heart of the Christian world has shifted to Timbuktu, in the mostly Muslim African nation of Mali.

    It won't be there for long. As the numbers of African Christians multiplies, and as Europe's churches continue to empty, by 2100, the center of gravity will have pushed deeper south, to Sokoto, Nigeria. By then, experts estimate, there will be three times more Christians in the global South than in the North.

    "It's a shock to see how fast this center of gravity is moving," says Todd Johnson, director of the Center for the Study of Global Christianity. "The growth of Christianity in Africa today is faster than it has been at any time in Christian history."


    Yet the Democrats remain Atlanticists.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:43 PM

    LEAD, DON'T BEG:

    It will be a hard night for Blair on May 5: In years of polling voters, I have never found the public mood in Britain so disgruntled and disillusioned (Frank Luntz, 4/04/05, Times of London)

    THE DAYS of Labour’s three-figure majority may be coming to an end — at least if the voters of Milton Keynes North East are any indication.

    Last week BBC Two’s Newsnight brought me over from America to examine the mood of the voters. I studied at Oxford during the 1987 election and was a political commentator during the 1997 and 2001 elections, and never have I seen voters so disgruntled as now. In the past, only a small segment of the population has complained about having to choose the lesser of three evils. This time they all seem to be, and they are not happy about it.

    Newsnight gave me a camera crew and a mission: find the voters in a marginal constituency that best represents what might happen on May 5. I chose Milton Keynes North East because it returned a Conservative during the Thatcher years, but embraced Tony Blair in 1997 and 2001. It is also one of the few seats where the Liberal Democrats control the local council and can seriously contest the constituency.

    The 30 people who gathered to talk politics for three hours were undecided voters who represented a fair cross-section of the electorate. In the 2001 election, nine had voted Labour, eight had backed the Conservatives, eight the Liberal Democrats, and one voted for the United Kingdom Independence Party. Four did not vote — three of them said they would have voted Labour in 2001.

    Although they came from diverse political backgrounds, our 30 undecideds agreed on much more than you would expect. All the party leaders spin. All say what they think voters want to hear. No one is addressing the issues that concern them.

    The big loser of the evening, was Mr Blair. He was called “liar”, “dishonest”, “promise breaker”, and “patronising” — and that was by his 2001 Labour supporters. The feeling of everyone was the same: incredibly high hopes when he came to office in 1997 and shattered expectations today.

    The problem for Mr Blair, and why Labour could have its majority sliced in half, is that the more he struggles to lower public expectations, the more he sinks in people’s estimation. The swing voters overwhelmingly picked him as both the most likely party leader to cheat at golf (“he’ll do anything to win”), and also the leader that they would most trust to watch their daughter for a weekend — “his soft, gentle talk is patronising to us, but a nine-year-old would like it”.

    The more Mr Blair tells voters he is listening, the more convinced they are that he is not. The more he claims he is not courting popularity, the more they assume he is just spinning. Mr Blair, if you read these words . . . stop.


    He's lucky in that his opponents are completelt unprincipled, but he ought to have learned from watching George W. Bush that folks don't much mind disagreeing with you so long as they trust you.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:31 PM

    CHOOSING KINNOCK OVER BLAIR:

    Principled Realism: Good for Both Parties (Paul Johnson, 04.18.05, Forbes)

    I watch with interest the efforts of American liberals to absorb and learn from the reelection of George W. Bush and from the strength of the GOP's grip on Congress. To me this recalls vividly the revolution that occurred in Britain's Labour Party when Margaret Thatcher swept the board in 1979 and won three elections in a row.

    Labour's response was to abandon socialism completely, accept Thatcher's privatization of nationalized industries and reform of the trade unions and celebrate these changes by renaming itself "New Labour." As a result of its humility and willingness to learn, Labour has now won two elections handsomely and, in the opinion of most observers (though not in mine), is set to win a third. That is how democracy works--a major shift in policies that wins the support of the voters persuades the opposition that it must change its program fundamentally if it is to garner votes and remain in the game.

    Is the Democratic party going to react in the same way?


    Considering they made Howard Dean the head of the DNC, the DLC practically folded up shop, and they've staked their party on stopping SS reform, it would appear that they're headed in exactly the opposite direction.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:27 PM

    FORTUYNATE SONS:

    Alarm over radicalisation of Dutch youth (Expatica, 4 April 2005)

    Police have sparked alarm about the speed with which youths are becoming radicalised in the Netherlands, with the Utrecht intelligence service RID claiming it potentially poses a threat more dangerous than Islamic terrorism.

    Police and municipal councils have started investigating 'Lonsdale youths', typified by native Dutch teeangers who wear the Lonsdale clothing brand.

    These hardcore youths are responsible for more racist incidents, street disturbances and violence than previously estimated, newspaper NRC reported on Saturday.


    Who'd have dreamt a political movement begun by a gay secular xenophobic pedophile would lead to this?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:21 PM

    AMAZIN':

    How do you spend that much money and have no bullpen?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:21 PM

    KIFIYA:

    Enough is enough: The Mugabe regime is not going to be removed by votes or violence. It's time for a peaceful uprising, says the pro-democracy group Sokwanele (Sokwanele, April 4, 2005, Guardian Unlimited)

    [Z]anu-PF will never be defeated through the ballot box as long as they run the elections. Quite simply, Zanu-PF will not permit any party, however popular, to beat them in an election. And that fact has the most serious consequences for the opposition MDC, which plainly won the majority vote in this election, as they did in the 2000 and 2002 elections. The question now is whether the MDC has any other strategy apart from mobilising voters and winning elections.

    We expected the MDC to have learnt this lesson after suffering two previous stolen elections. And having committed to this contest while knowing the lengths to which Zanu-PF would go to rig the result, we expected them to have worked out a "Plan B" to put into effect immediately upon the announcement of the fraudulent vote. This did not happen immediately, raising speculation as to whether the MDC leadership has what it takes to follow through. However difficult and dangerous it may be to act, the consequences of failing to act are far worse. Sooner or later the people must confront insolent tyranny, and this is surely the moment.

    Zanu-PF is a party of violence, Mugabe has boasted of his "degrees in violence", and as such it cannot be defeated by this method. It would be irresponsible to consider that option. But there are other non-violent options, such as calling people onto the streets in protest, sit-ins, stay-aways, boycotts and many other civil disobedience options. None of these options are without risk, but again the risk resulting from doing nothing is far greater.

    We believe the people of Zimbabwe are ready to heed the call of Archbishop Pius Ncube, who twice in the past week has called for a non-violent and peaceful uprising to throw out this corrupt regime. Furthermore, excluding the supine leadership of South Africa's African National Congress (which must now be regarded as wholly complicit in Mugabe's evil tyranny), we believe the international community also stands ready to act. They are ready to demonstrate their solidarity with those who suffer in Zimbabwe today, but we cannot expect the international community to take the first step. Ours must be that first painful step of open and courageous defiance against an arrogant and insolent tyranny.


    About time the Democratic Spring came to Africa.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:19 PM

    BEAT TO QUARTERS:

    REVIEW: of The Wine-Dark Sea (Elliott Abrams, National Review)

    The O'Brian craze started in 1991. The last bad old review came in the New York Times in 1990, when its mystery/thriller reviewer, Newgate Callendar, referred to Mr. O'Brian's "long-winded, even turgid prose." It has been smooth sailing since then, however, and a front-page piece in the Times Book Review in January 1991 called Mr. O'Brian's books "the best historical novels ever written." It would perhaps be unkind to suggest that the Times reviewer was unfamiliar with War and Peace, but that is the league into which some reviewers are throwing Mr. O'Brian. How anyone can think these stories to be fiction of the very first rank remains inexplicable.

    Taken on their own terms, however, they are marvelous novels. Their most singular quality is the extraordinary, meticulous detail about life on a ship. Mr. O'Brian reports on the diseases and accidents by which men were plagued. Limbs are amputated liberally. Evenings with the ladies in port are duly followed by venereal disease. Lack of fresh water means that clothes must be cleaned in sea water, and undergarments chafe like sandpaper. The lack of privacy is oppressive. Then there are the ships themselves. The setting of sails for various weather patterns is described with absolute accuracy, and to a degree of detail that some readers may find tedious. For the uninitiated, each volume includes a diagram of a ship of the line showing everything from main topgallant to mizzen staysail.

    All the stories are about the same two characters. Aubrey is a bluff seaman, while Maturin is an intellectual--a physician and naturalist. (Indeed, the books also show a brilliant eye for the flora and fauna of captivating locales.) Mr. O'Brian portrays something of the inner life of each man, and this is an achievement in the case of the less introspective Aubrey. They reflect on life and love, loneliness and courage, religion and politics. In this 16th novel in the series, both have begun to age. While being led through the Andes, Maturin reflects that whenever his guide "found that he had drawn more than a few yards ahead he paused to cough or blow his nose; and this was the first time Stephen had ever known consideration for his age to cause a young man to check his pace." (It is worth noting that to clear his mind and help his body, Maturin emulates the natives in chewing a ball of coca leaves.) And of Aubrey, steering his ship through frigid waters from the crow's nest, we learn that "several times the high-perched Jack Aubrey trembled . . . --literally trembled with extreme cold, weariness, and the grave tension of guiding his ship through this potentially mortal maze: he was no longer a young man."

    There are few other key figures, though some very deft portraits appear in each volume: usually, crew members drawn briefly but with enormous skill. Like most sea stories, these are tales of men's lives, and women appear only very occasionally. In The Wine-Dark Sea, they are nearly absent. Aubrey and Maturin share the stage, but in these stories the focus is on what they do, not what they think.

    These are not psychological studies, and it is not the examination of character that makes them popular. Nor is it some trendy reading of today's politics into the early nineteenth century. Indeed, such politics as is put into Aubrey's and Maturin's mouths is deeply conservative. When we encounter a French revolutionary called Monsieur Dutourd, Aubrey comments: "I disliked him from the start--disliked everything I heard of him. Enthusiasm, democracy, universal benevolence--a pretty state of affairs."

    Lest this be thought Mr. O'Brian's caricature of conservative sentiments, Maturin later reflects on Rousseau and the French Revolution: "The confident system of his youth--universal reform, universal changes, universal happiness and freedom--had ended in something very like universal tyranny and oppression. The ancient generations were not to be despised; and the seaman's firm belief that Friday was unlucky was perhaps less foolish than the philosophe's conviction that all the days of the week could be rendered happy by the application of an enlightened system of laws." Not only the characters' views but Mr. O'Brian's own reject the enthusiasms of the day. Mr. O'brian has said of himself and his writing, "Obviously I have lived very much out of the world: I know little of present-day Dublin or London or Paris, even less of post-modernity, post-structuralism, hard rock or rap, and I cannot write with much conviction about the contemporary scene."

    What Mr. O'Brian can write is adventure stories. Consider the plot line of The Wine-Dark Sea. No mystery here, for the very first page of the novel tells us that the ship Surprise, commanded by Jack Aubrey, "had set out on her voyage with the purpose of carrying her surgeon, Stephen Maturin, to South America, there to enter into contact with those leading inhabitants who wished to make Chile and Peru independent of Spain; for Maturin, as well as being a doctor of medicine, was an intelligence agent." From this plot line follow dangerous schemes and narrow escapes, sea chases and battles, a trek across the Andes, a ship hit by lightning and nearly destroyed.

    It is all reminiscent of C. S. Forester's Horatio Hornblower series, which similarly is set during the Napoleonic wars and presents a series of adventure tales tracing the career of a British sea captain. There are important differences, though: while we first meet Aubrey and Maturin as fully formed adults, we meet Hornblower as a sea-sick young midshipman aged 17 and follow him through a Nelson-like career. We find Aubrey and Maturin engaging, but we come to love Hornblower. The heart of O'brian's books is plot; the heart of Forester's is Hornblower.


    That the Aubrey/Maturin is obviously inferior to the Hornblower books does not diminish them in the least.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:42 PM

    IF THE DEMOCRATS WERE A PERSON THEY'D REMOVE THEIR OWN FEEDING TUBE:

    Democrats Are Lost in the Shuffle While GOP Holds All the Cards (Ronald Brownstein, April 4, 2005, LA Times)

    On almost every major question in Washington today, the choice isn't whether to move in a Republican or Democratic direction, but how far in a Republican direction to move.

    This is the grim reality of political life for Democrats at a time when the GOP controls the White House and both chambers of Congress. [...]

    From Social Security, to intervention in the sad case of Terri Schiavo, to the appointment of conservative federal judges, every major debate positions the parties in the same way: Republicans are on offense, Democrats on defense.

    The debate on the federal budget isn't about whether to raise taxes to reduce the deficit, it's over how much more to cut taxes. Washington isn't examining how to expand coverage for those without health insurance, but whether to cut the Medicaid program that provides the central strand in our society's safety net.

    Democrats are furiously laboring to prevent Bush from carving out private investment accounts from Social Security, but even if they succeed — which increasingly appears likely — they only will have preserved the status quo. Because Republicans embraced the cause of Schiavo's parents, her case commanded public attention for weeks, while hardly anyone suggested the mass school shooting in Red Lake, Minn., deserved a policy response.

    It's like watching a baseball game where one team is always at bat, or a basketball game where one team always has the ball. The best Democrats can do is hold down the Republican score; the Democrats have found virtually no opportunities to advance their own ideas or to steer the discussion onto their strongest terrain.

    Former Democratic presidential candidate and former Sen. Bill Bradley last week suggested that the party faced this problem because it had not developed enough compelling ideas.


    Make that any ideas. Even Bill Clinton's legacy--the positive portion anyway--is a string of ideas foisted upon him by Republicans: the peace dividend, free trade, and welfare reform.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:29 PM

    TRADING EPISCOPALEANS FOR HISPANICS:

    Bush Democrats: A detailed look at last year's voting suggests big Republican opportunities. (John Fund, April 4, 2005, Opinion Journal)

    Another worrisome sign for Democrats is the Hispanic vote. Michael Barone, a co-author of the definitive Almanac of American Politics, reports that Polidata's findings tend to confirm the exit polls that showed George W. Bush gaining nine percentage points among Hispanic voters, ending up with some 44%. Several liberal-oriented groups disputed those numbers, but a look at the breakdown of the two dozen districts with Hispanic House members shows that Mr. Bush indeed made strong gains in their districts.

    Take Texas, where six of the state's 32 House districts have Hispanic representatives (five Democrats and one Republican) and another 69%-Hispanic district is represented by Anglo Democrat Lloyd Doggett. In the areas that now make up those seven districts, Mr. Bush dramatically increased his vote totals over 2000, winning four of the seven districts and breaking even in their total popular vote. In two of the Democratic Hispanic districts, Mr. Bush won 55% of the vote, setting up the possibility that a Republican could win those seats when they become vacant.

    In Florida, Mr. Bush's Hispanic percentages were artificially inflated in 2000 by Cuban-American anger over the Clinton administration's deportation of Elian Gonzalez. But Mr. Bush still did well in the three Miami-area districts represented by Cuban-American Republicans, winning them by an average of 12 percentage points.

    But it is in California where Mr. Bush made the most surprising gains among Hispanic voters. Ten of the Golden State's 53 districts are held by Hispanic Democrats, and two others, in the Central Valley, by Portuguese-American Republicans. In the 10 Democratic districts, Al Gore won 65% of the vote in 2000. But in last year's election, Mr. Bush made gains in every district and ended up with about 40% of the overall vote in those 10 districts.

    In 2000 Mr. Bush lost what is now the Orange County district held by Democrat Loretta Sanchez by 15% of the vote. In 2004, Mr. Bush outpolled Mr. Kerry in Ms. Sanchez's district. Similarly, Mr. Bush captured the Modesto-based district of Democrat Dennis Cardoza, an area that Al Gore had easily carried. "I fully appreciate the fact that George W. Bush won 49% of my district," says Jim Costa, a Fresno-area freshman Democrat who won only 54% last November against an Anglo Republican.

    True, Hispanic voters were attracted to Mr. Bush for reasons that may not easily transfer to other Republicans. "He is seen as simpatico in terms of his strong religious faith, his willingness to speak some Spanish, school choice and a desire to help small business owners prosper," says Martha Montelongo, a talk show host in California.


    Those transfer rather easily to his brother.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:21 PM

    WHY EVERYONE WON'T ENJOY THE END OF HISTORY:

    Mourning and Remembrance: The pope believed that "history" is His-story--the story of God's quest for man. (GEORGE WEIGEL, April 4, 2005, Opinion Journal)

    Pope John Paul II should...be remembered...as a man with a penetrating insight into the currents that flow beneath the surface of history, currents that in fact create history, often in surprising ways.

    In a 1968 letter to the French Jesuit theologian, Henri de Lubac, then-Cardinal Karol Wojtyla suggested that "a degradation, indeed a pulverization, of the fundamental uniqueness of each human person" was at the root of the 20th century's grim record: two World Wars, Auschwitz and the Gulag, a Cold War threatening global disaster, oceans of blood and mountains of corpses. How had a century begun with such high hopes for the human future produced mankind's greatest catastrophes? Because, Karol Wojtyla proposed, Western humanism had gone off the rails, collapsing into forms of self-absorption, and then self-doubt, so severe that men and women had begun to wonder whether there was any truth at all to be found in the world, or in themselves.

    This profound crisis of culture, this crisis in the very idea of the human, had manifested itself in the serial crises that had marched across the surface of contemporary history, leaving carnage in their wake. But unlike some truly "conservative" critics of late modernity, Wojtyla's counter-proposal was not rollback: rather, it was a truer, nobler humanism, built on the foundation of the biblical conviction that God had made the human creature in His image and likeness, with intelligence and free will, a creature capable of knowing the good and freely choosing it. That, John Paul II insisted in a vast number of variations on one great theme, was the true measure of man--the human capacity, in cooperation with God's grace, for heroic virtue.

    Here was an idea with consequences, and the Pope applied it to effect across a broad spectrum of issues.

    One variant form of debased humanism was the notion that "history" is driven by the politics of willfulness (the Jacobin heresy) or by economics (the Marxist heresy). During his epic pilgrimage to Poland in June 1979, at a moment when "history" seemed frozen and Europe permanently divided into hostile camps, John Paul II demonstrated that "history" worked differently, because human beings aren't just the by-products of politics or economics. He gave back to his people their authentic history and culture--their identity; and in doing so, he gave them tools of resistance that communist truncheons could not reach. Fourteen months after teaching that great lesson in dignity, the Pope watched and guided the emergence of Solidarity. And then the entire world began to see the communist tide recede, like the slow retreat of a plague.

    After the Cold War, when more than a few analysts and politicians were in a state of barely restrained euphoria, imagining a golden age of inevitable progress for the cause of political and economic freedom, John Paul II saw more deeply and clearly. He quickly decoded new threats to what he had called, in that 1968 letter to Father de Lubac, the "inviolable mystery of the human person," and so he spent much of the 1990s explaining that freedom untethered from moral truth risks self-destruction.

    For if there is only your truth and my truth and neither one of us recognizes a transcendent moral standard (call it "the truth") by which to settle our differences, then either you will impose your power on me or I will impose my power on you; Nietszche, great, mad prophet of the 20th century, got at least that right. Freedom uncoupled from truth, John Paul taught, leads to chaos and thence to new forms of tyranny. For, in the face of chaos (or fear), raw power will inexorably replace persuasion, compromise, and agreement as the coin of the political realm. The false humanism of freedom misconstrued as "I did it my way" inevitably leads to freedom's decay, and then to freedom's self-cannibalization. This was not the soured warning of an antimodern scold; this was the sage counsel of a man who had given his life to freedom's cause from 1939 on.

    Thus the key to the freedom project in the 21st century, John Paul urged, lay in the realm of culture: in vibrant public moral cultures capable of disciplining and directing the tremendous energies--economic, political, aesthetic, and, yes, sexual--set loose in free societies. A vibrant public moral culture is essential for democracy and the market, for only such a culture can inculcate and affirm the virtues necessary to make freedom work. Democracy and the free economy, he taught in his 1991 encyclical Centesimus Annus, are goods; but they are not machines that can cheerfully run by themselves. Building the free society certainly involves getting the institutions right; beyond that, however, freedom's future depends on men and women of virtue, capable of knowing, and choosing, the genuinely good.


    That is the truth to which the secular Francis Fukuyama and his fellow necons lacked access and why the Bush Administration is properly understood to be theocon, not neocon..


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:35 PM

    WHERE THE ENLIGHTENMENT IS STILL ON:

    European Commission cuts back eurozone growth predictions (Honor Mahony, 04.04.2005, EUOBSERVER)

    The European Commission on Monday (4 April) slashed 2005 economic growth forecasts for the eurozone to 1.6% - down from the 2% predicted six months ago.

    "The second half of 2004 was very bad, very low growth rate, so the carryover for 2005 was not strong", said Economic Affairs Commissioner Joaquin Almunia presenting the Spring Economic Forecasts.

    "We are estimating recovery along the year and at the end of 2005 we are expecting a growth rate according to the potential growth around two percent", said the Commissioner.

    The Commission also revised down its predictions for the entire EU from 2.4 to 2 percent.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:31 PM

    WAS ANYONE AT THE MEETING WHERE WE CALLED FOR THIS?:

    Culture of Life is a Culture of Fear (Ira Chernus, Common Dreams)

    The tragic case of Terri Schiavo writes a new chapter in the ongoing American saga that is often titled “the culture war.” It’s no longer just about a so-called “right to life.” The Christian right insists that it’s about a “culture of life.” They’ve been waving that slogan around for years. Now mainstream America is getting used to it. Those of us who actively oppose the Christian right had better get used it, too. We’re going to be hearing a lot about this “culture of life” from now on.

    “Culture of LIFE?” we ask, with justified outrage. These same people who claim to be the guardians of life are the first to demand the death penalty for murderers, indiscriminate bombing for Afghanis, Iraqis, and anyone else they don't like, etc., etc.


    Indiscriminate bombing of anyone we don't like?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:14 PM

    OPEN SEASON ON EVERYTHING (via Tom Morin):

    It’s the End of the World as We Know It...: ...and, yes, I feel fine. As does the U.S. (Jonah Goldberg, National Review)

    [F]orests are breaking out all over America. New England has more forests since the Civil War. In 1880, New York State was only 25 percent forested. Today it is more than 66 percent. In 1850, Vermont was only 35 percent forested. Now it's 76 percent forested and rising. In the south, more land is covered by forest than at any time in the last century. In 1936 a study found that 80 percent of piedmont Georgia was without trees. Today nearly 70 percent of the state is forested. In the last decade alone, America has added more than 10 million acres of forestland.

    There are many reasons for America's arboreal comeback. We no longer use wood as fuel, and we no longer use as much land for farming. Indeed, the amount of land dedicated to farming in the United States has been steadily declining even as the agricultural productivity has increased astronomically. There are also fewer farmers. Only 2.4 percent of America's labor force is dedicated to agriculture, which means that fewer people live near where the food grows.

    The literal greening of America has added vast new habitats for animals, many of which were once on the brink of extinction. Across the country, the coyote has rebounded (obviously, this is a mixed blessing, especially for roadrunners). The bald eagle is thriving. In Maine there are more moose than any time in memory. Indeed, throughout New England the populations of critters of all kinds are exploding. In New Jersey, Connecticut, and elsewhere, the black bear population is rising sharply. The Great Plains host more buffalo than at any time in more than a century.

    And, of course, there's the mountain lion.


    With the exception of the raptors, we really need to start shooting piles of everything else.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:56 AM

    THE MODEL FOR UNIVERSAL HEALTH CARE:

    HSAs offer option for those without insurance (TERRY SAVAGE, April 4, 2005, Chicago Sun-Times)

    Health Savings Accounts are the most promising way to deal with the issue of rising health care costs and the growing number of uninsured Americans. But too many people don't understand what they are or where to sign up for them. Now there are some easy answers.

    Health Savings Accounts are a concept that combines a high-deductible health insurance policy and a tax-favored savings account. Together they cover you against catastrophic medical expenses, while allowing you to choose your physician, and save the money you don't spend paying for health care.

    Here are the two parts of the program:

    High deductible insurance: Instead of buying a health insurance policy with a $250 deductible, you'd buy a policy with a $2,500 deductible for a lot smaller monthly premium. But you must pay for the first $2,500 in medical expenses each year. Don't panic about the high deductible. You're growing money in a separate account to pay those first health care bills.

    The health savings account: The money you save on insurance premiums each year goes into a tax-deductible savings/investment account. An individual can contribute and deduct up to $2,650 in HSA contributions per year, although you don't need to put that maximum amount of money into the account to set it up. For families, the maximum tax-free contribution level is $5,250. And if you don't spend it this year, the money rolls over to future years for medical expenses, and keeps growing tax free.


    Make health coverage mandatory and cover these costs for the poor.


    MORE:
    At what cost?: To keep health coverage, more workers are cutting back on food, heat and other necessities. Still, many of them eventually will lose the battle. (Daniel Costello, April 4, 2005, LA Times)

    Terri MATTHEWS, a teacher's aide in East Palo Alto, spends $613 a month for her family's health insurance — 24% of her take-home pay. Rather than go without coverage, she skimps on other needs; her heat has been turned off twice in the last year and she recently had to drop her car insurance.

    Peggy McPhee, a 52-year-old bridal dressmaker in Santa Rosa, spends more than a quarter of her salary on health insurance. She's recently given up her cellphone, buys clothing only at garage sales and no longer turns on her heat in the winter.

    Ron Dybas, of Los Banos, chose to close his lumber company two months ago after 17 years in business. He says he took a job with a company that offers benefits after he no longer could afford to spend nearly a third of his income insuring his family.

    Such sacrifices for health insurance are far from rare. As employees continue to absorb more of their healthcare costs, an increasing number of people — even healthy ones — are drastically altering their lives simply to hold on to their insurance. They are delaying homeownership, putting off saving for their children's education, or otherwise sacrificing their financial security to guard against a catastrophic medical bill.

    Many people, especially lower- and middle-class workers and the chronically ill, are beginning to spend a once-unimaginable share of their income on health coverage. In some cases, health costs have become the single biggest expense in family budgets.

    Between 2000 and 2004, the number of people spending more than 25% of their earnings on healthcare — a figure normally associated with homeownership — rose by nearly a fourth to 14.3 million people, according to Washington, D.C.-based Families USA, a healthcare advocacy group. Over the same period, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation, health premiums rose an average of 59%; federal data show the average employee's earnings rose 12.4%.

    "Healthcare has always been expensive. But it's become more than that now," says Glenn Melnick, a Rand Corp. economist and a USC professor of healthcare finance. "How much of someone's income is too much to spend on healthcare? 10%? 30%?"


    What a waste.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:38 AM

    MUST SEE TV:

    More Iraqis tipping off security forces on insurgent actions (Mariam Fam,
    April 3, 2005, ASSOCIATED PRESS)

    Fatma peeked out the window of her Mosul home and saw masked men lobbing mortars at a nearby Iraqi army base for the third time. She decided it would be the last.

    As she telephoned to report the men, Fatma became one of an increasing number of Iraqis tipping off the authorities. Officials say it's a sign the country's fledgling security forces are winning the trust of citizens, turning them against the insurgency.

    U.S. and Iraqi officials say they have seen an increase in calls in recent weeks, especially after Iraq's Jan. 30 elections, although there were no overall figures available on how many people have offered information. In a sign the phenomenon is gathering momentum, some Iraqis told The Associated Press that when they called in information, they were told others already had reported the same incident.

    The growing willingness of Iraqis to cooperate with officials is perhaps also a testimony to the insurgency's own mistakes, which have cost it the sympathy of some. Many say they simply are tired of violence that has overshadowed their lives or claimed people they love.

    "How can an Iraqi kill another Iraqi, can a brother kill his brother? I cannot let that be," said Fatma, a 26-year-old housewife who asked that only her first name be used for fear of attacks against informants. "At first, I used to think of them as holy fighters. But after what we've been seeing on television, it became clear they were terrorists."

    Like many others, Fatma said she was influenced in part by television broadcasts featuring the confessions of alleged insurgents.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:26 AM

    THE EVIL HE WAS SENT HERE TO FIGHT (via Matt Murphy):

    A Portrait of the Pope as a Dying Man (Jack Miles, LA Times)

    What have his fellow PD sufferers thought of his way of coping with their common condition? No poll has been taken, but a relative of mine who suffers from the disease wrote me just days ago in dismay that what was done to Terri Schiavo — by which my relative meant a prolongation of death — might be forced upon her. [...]

    "And then there is the pope!" her letter added. "He is obviously in the end stage of PD with difficulties in breathing and swallowing, which is all a part of PD. He is either in denial — or he is a control freak — when he could have been a spokesperson for PD. Of all people, he could have brought this ugly disease into the public view! But I guess he believes in suffering and not in science."

    The language was candid and harsh. Most of us, seeing the pope, have felt pity and perhaps questioned whether he has been fully in charge of his own person. But my relative understandably felt a grieving and angry sense of an opportunity for leadership lost. [...] [B]ecause there is no Christian whose dying is so closely watched as the pope's, there is no Christian better placed to teach again the ancient lesson that earthly life is not to be clung to. [...]

    For true Christians, the culture of life that matters is the culture of eternal life. My mother recalls the death of a beloved nun, far gone with Alzheimer's disease, who refused to eat or drink during the last two or three days of her life, saying only, "I want to go home." For those gathered at her bedside, this was the testimony of the Spirit. [...]

    The question that lingers about the pope's passing is whether for him, too, this could have been the testimony of the Spirit — this rather than a relentless emphasis on physical life.


    When we finally get a pope who believes in Science it will mark the End.


    MORE:
    Pontiff's Choice Was to Die Simply: His openness to the end of life calls attention to profound issues faced by the severely ill. (Sebastian Rotella and Jeffrey Fleishman, April 4, 2005, LA Times)

    Pope John Paul II died the way he wanted.

    He spent his final hours in his Vatican apartment, surrounded by nine members of his mainly Polish inner circle. Three doctors were present, but no elaborate hospital technology to help prolong his life.

    Just before the end, the pope's longtime secretary celebrated Mass and began to anoint the pope's hands with oil, according to one account. John Paul gripped his secretary's hand, an apparent farewell gesture to a faithful aide who helped the pontiff fulfill his wish to die unencumbered by tubes and machines. It was 9:37 p.m. Saturday.

    The cause of death was septic shock and irreversible heart failure, according to the death certificate made public Sunday by the Vatican. John Paul's decision last week not to return to the Gemelli Polyclinic hospital where he had spent so much time in recent years mirrored decisions made every day by severely ill patients and their families.

    His very public choice also highlighted profound moral questions within Catholicism about the balance of preserving life and accepting death.

    The debate has intensified with advances in medical technology. Church teachings simultaneously emphasize the sanctity of life as well as the acceptance of the final embrace of God. The pope's ordeal has raised comparisons with the recent ethical and theological battles over the Terri Schiavo case, though churchmen and theologians said Sunday that his struggle was different because he was in a position to help dictate the terms of his final medical care and she was not.

    John Paul's final hours, as described by doctors, churchmen and sources close to his inner circle, did not include aggressive efforts to revive him as his organs failed. No kidney dialysis machine was used in his apartment, and the insertion of a sophisticated feeding device in his stomach would have required a return to the hospital, sources said. Instead, doctors said, they relied mainly on antibiotics and a respirator.

    "There were no therapeutic extremes," said Rodolfo Proietti, a longtime anesthesiologist on the pope's medical team, quoted Sunday in the Corriere della Sera newspaper.

    Proietti and the pope's personal physician, Renato Buzzonetti, supervised John Paul's care in the final days, according to a doctor who recently treated the pope and asked not to be named.

    The pope, assisted closely by Archbishop Stanislaw Dziwisz, his longtime secretary, played the central role in the decision-making, the doctor said. It was Dziwisz who held the pope's hand when he died, according to Father Konrad Hejmo, a Polish monk who later spoke to those present at the pope's bedside.

    When the pontiff left the hospital March 13 after doctors performed an operation to ease his breathing, he made it clear to his aides that he did not intend to return.

    Like many gravely ill people, the pope preferred to face death at home, not in the fluorescent glare of a hospital. His choice, according to a source close to papal aides, also reflected his keen awareness of church history and ritual: Popes die in the Vatican.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:07 AM

    HERE'S YOUR SLEEPER TEAM FOR '05:

    Plan in place to win now and in future (GENE GUIDI, April 4, 2005, Detroit Free Press)

    When president and general manager Dave Dombrowski took the wheel of the Tigers' bus, he spent more time tapping the brakes than a commuter in rush hour. Now it's pedal to the metal.

    The not-so-subtle change in philosophy that started last off-season is easy to read: Win now.

    You don't give contracts potentially worth $105 million to someone like Magglio Ordonez if the idea is to tread water and await reinforcements. They're here.

    The Tigers have passed the point of being able to sell another rebuilding phase to their fans or themselves. The pieces are in place -- not all of them, but many more than we've been accustomed to -- for a postseason run. And not just for 2005. The window of opportunity extends beyond this season, and owner Mike Ilitch seems fully committed to giving Dombrowski the go-ahead to keep adding talent until the Tigers can't be ignored as contenders.

    That doesn't mean the Tigers will pay lip service to their farm system and invest only in free agents. But the system isn't at the point where it can provide immediate help, so for now the Tigers must import talent to succeed.

    "You have both long-term philosophies and short-term philosophies," Dombrowski said. "My beliefs are the same as they've been through most of my career. But where you are in the process changes what you're going to emphasize."

    The Tigers now are as close to being called a contender as they have been in a long time. They entered the free-agent market before the 2004 season for the first time in years and were rewarded with a jump in victories from 43 to 72 in one year.

    Even the additions of a slugger like Ordonez and a top closer like Troy Percival won't translate into another 29-victory gain.

    But the improvement doesn't have to be as dramatic to put the Tigers in the playoff hunt.


    They'll need to go get a real centerfielder, a lefty reliever and a #2/#3 starter but their offense is terrific, Bonderman and Ledezma are nice building blocks for a rotation, and Percival, Urbina, Farnsworth, German and Rodney make for a dominant bullpen.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:51 AM

    NATIONS AREN'T REBUILT IN A DAY:

    Iraqis Elect a Sunni as Speaker of the Assembly (Alissa J. Rubin, April 4, 2005, LA Times)

    Iraqi lawmakers broke a logjam that for weeks had blocked the formation of the new government, voting overwhelmingly Sunday to elect a Sunni Muslim as speaker of the National Assembly. A Shiite Muslim and an ethnic Kurd were elected as his deputies.

    The step was only the first of three required to set up the government but appeared to signal that the intense behind-the-scenes wrangling since Jan. 30 elections finally had begun to yield fruit.

    The next steps — the election of a council made up of a president and two vice presidents, and that group's selection of a prime minister, who must be approved by the assembly — probably will be completed by the weekend, the second anniversary of the fall of Baghdad. The prime minister will select a Cabinet a week or two after that, lawmakers said.

    "Basically we passed an important hurdle today, we almost have an agreement on the presidency council. Now we're engaged in a real way," said Barham Salih, a Kurd and deputy prime minister in the current interim government. "Today we have proven that we are capable of making our country march forward, without looking into our narrow interests of the different entities."


    When Ben Franklin proposed a prayer at the Constitutional Convention his motion was defeated not on separation grounds but because delegates feared they'd appear desparate, as if they required a miracle to reach an accord.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:26 AM

    STILL SOME REALIGNING LEFT TO DO:

    Bush Hasn't Won All of Pope's Flock (Maura Reynolds, April 4, 2005, LA Times)

    In the fall, President Bush accomplished a feat that eluded him in 2000 by winning the majority of votes cast by Roman Catholics. This week, he is expected to become the first U.S. president in history to attend the funeral of a pope.

    Some might read Bush's inclination to fly to Rome as a transparent attempt to court Catholics, a constituency in the cross hairs of strategists seeking to expand the Republican electoral base.

    But for all the praise the president has lavished on Pope John Paul II in recent days, the relationship between the two men and their politics was tense and complex. And for all the attention paid to the role of social conservatives in Republican politics, the "Catholic vote" is still up for grabs.

    "Both the pope and the president have indeed had an impact on socially conservative Catholics becoming more Republican," said Mark J. Rozell, an expert on religion and politics at George Mason University outside Washington. "But the non-churchgoing or occasionally churchgoing still don't identify with the Republican Party."

    In his comments after the pope's death, Bush emphasized the pontiff's support for the "culture of life" — a phrase the president borrowed from the pope and uses to refer broadly to specific positions on abortion, euthanasia and marriage. [...]

    [A]lthough John Paul espoused views that both Democrats and Republicans could claim, his promotion of conservative bishops and cardinals had the effect in the U.S. of emphasizing one side of his teachings over the other.

    "The indirect result was to give strength to the social-issue conservatives within the church hierarchy, and that led more-traditionalist Catholics to vote for President Bush and Republican candidates on the social conservative issues," said John C. Green, an expert on religion and voting patterns at the University of Akron in Ohio. [...]

    Perhaps equally important in enlarging Catholics' role in Republican politics has been the decline in anti-Catholic views among many Protestants.

    Until President Reagan sent an ambassador to the Holy See in 1984, the United States did not have formal relations with the Vatican. Though Protestants were once suspicious of Catholics and emphasized doctrinal differences, activists on social issues now embrace Catholics as allies.

    "Universally, there's a feeling this pope was a man who shared our values…. He was a bulwark against communism … he was a bulwark for life, he was a bulwark for the sanctity of marriage," the Rev. Pat Robertson, the Southern Baptist televangelist, said Sunday on CNN's "Late Edition."

    "Protestants don't give the same deference to Mary that the Catholics do, but that's something that we sort of put aside," he added. "We don't dwell on that point of difference."


    The inroads still to be made are why a Catholic like Jeb is the ideal 2008 nominee--he'd pick up PA & the rest of the industrial Midwest that eluded his brother after John McCain played up Bob Jones.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:19 AM

    I MISSED THAT PART OF SCARFACE:

    Mariel: New leaders were forged in heat of Mariel crisis: Mariel raised the profile of Cubans in local public office, who were forced to deal with a massive crisis demanding quick but sound decisions and sensitivity to the community's needs. (ELAINE DE VALLE, 4/04/05, Miami Herald)

    As the first wave of more than 125,000 Cuban refugees suddenly headed for South Florida, Miami Assistant City Manager Cesar Odio found himself thrust into a new role as he tried to keep the city together and Cuban exiles calm.

    He had been on the job barely four months, but because then-City Manager Joseph Grassie was away on business, Odio found himself front and center in one of the biggest crises ever to hit the region, as a human shepherd for the refugees, setting up their tent city homes, getting them fed.

    Almost six years later, he became Miami city manager, catapulted into that post thanks in part to his steely nerves during the Mariel exodus.

    ''I felt that I had an obligation to help my people out. I knew my people. This was a Cuban thing,'' said Odio, whose parents spent 10 and seven years, respectively, in Cuban prisons. ``Every turn that I took was with one thing in mind: Let's get this problem solved.''

    The exodus came with plenty of problems: The Mariel boatlift brought about 2,000 or 2,500 criminals and, perhaps, 500 mentally ill people. There were language barriers and a housing shortage. But there was plenty of good: a wave of talented artists -- painters, sculptors, poets and playwrights often celebrated at art shows and literary fairs.

    The events also ushered in some new Cuban American political, civic and community leaders: Odio and former assistant county manager Sergio Pereira are joined by former Miami Mayor Maurice Ferre; Hialeah Mayor Raul Martinez; educator Eduardo Padrón, who at the time was president of just one Miami Dade College campus, where he started a program to retrain the refugees. [...]

    Padrón, today the president of Miami Dade College, also shrugs it off as just part of the job.

    ''This institution did what it is supposed to do, which is to open doors of education to people,'' Padrón said. ``We knew that education was going to be very, very important in order for them to be able to successfully redirect their lives in the United States.''

    He established a program to not only teach the refugees English, but also train them in with fast-track job skills so the refugees could get jobs.

    "We saw this as an opportunity to provide the people who were coming in as new immigrants to Miami with an opportunity to become what you would call productive citizens, as opposed to becoming liabilities.''

    On the first day refugees started arriving at camps at Tamiami Park and the Orange Bowl, they got fliers that let them know about the courses.

    ''To our satisfaction, a lot of these people immediately reacted very positively, and we were able to develop special programs for them as well as get some of them into regular programs,'' Padrón told The Herald.

    He said thousands of refugees, probably tens of thousands, took courses at Miami Dade College.

    ''Many of whom today are leaders,'' Padron noted.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:02 AM

    YOU MEAN IT WASN'T GORBACHEV?

    The legacy of a pope who changed history (The Economist, 4/03/05)

    John Paul II, spiritual leader to the world's one billion or so Catholics, has died. He will be remembered as a pope who resisted pressures to “modernise” the church's values—and a man who changed history by precipitating the fall of Soviet communism

    WHATEVER future generations may say about Pope John Paul II, who died on Saturday April 2nd, aged 84, they will look back with amazement on the moment when, for the first time in 500 years, a Christian bishop was in the vanguard of world history. That was in June 1979, barely nine months after the Polish prelate's surprise call to the Vatican, following the untimely death of Pope John Paul I. On a return visit to his homeland, the new pope was bathed in an outpouring of popular devotion that amazed almost everybody, from Warsaw's dissidents to an appalled Soviet Politburo. Millions of Poles turned out to sing, weep and pray with the man they knew as Karol Wojtyla, archbishop of the university town of Krakow. From then on, the Soviet communists began losing their grip on their East European vassals, and the end of the Iron Curtain was in sight. Stalin's mocking question—“How many [military] divisions has the pope?”—had received its answer.

    What John Paul managed then was to neutralise, at a stroke, the tyrant's most important weapon, fear. For the remaining quarter-century of his papacy, he reaffirmed his message: “Be not afraid”.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:43 AM

    PROVING THAT IF YOU DON'T STOP IT YOU'LL GO BLIND::

    Small Number of Viagra Users Report Vision Loss (Miranda Hitti, 04 April 2005, Fox News)

    Fourteen men reportedly have had vision loss while taking the erectile dysfunction drug Viagra, say ophthalmologists at the University of Minnesota. [...]

    “The number of cases is extremely small,” says Howard Pomeranz, MD, PhD, who details seven of those cases in a new report. The condition is called nonarteritic anterior ischemic optic neuropathy (NAION).

    “The likelihood of this happening in an individual is pretty small. It’s a question of weighing the relative risks,” Pomeranz tells WebMD.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:30 AM

    NOT AN INDUSTRY FOR DEVELOPED NATIONS:

    Confidential report raises fresh doubts over MG Rover solvency (Ingrid Mansell, 4/04/05, Times of London)

    THE Shangai Automotive Industry Corporation (SAIC) has received a confidential report by Ernst & Young which suggested that MG Rover’s parent company would be insolvent by March 31.

    The accounting firm’s conclusion has raised fresh doubts over the Chinese giant’s plans to rescue Britain’s last remaining major carmaker.

    It is understood that the continued solvency of Phoenix Venture Holdings, MG Rover’s ultimate owner, is a key condition of SAIC’s £200 million bail-out proposal.

    SAIC commissioned Ernst & Young to run a due-diligence analysis of Phoenix. The report, which was handed to SAIC last month, found that Phoenix was rapidly running out of cash and would no longer be solvent as of March 31.

    A source said: “The report also found that Phoenix had no ability to remain solvent for a sustainable period thereafter.”


    April 3, 2005

    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:40 PM

    WHAT'S THE GERMAN FOR KNEEPADS?:

    Getting Cozy with the Dragon (Claus Christian Malzahn, Spiegel)

    German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder has never been one of those politicians who put the issue of human rights at the center of their political ethics. Back in the 1980s, when the former opposition leader of the state of Lower Saxony peered over the East German border, he didn't perceive it as being a regime that used guns, spies and barbed wire to deprive its subjects of the kind of political freedom that was taken for granted by people in the West. For many in the left-wing of the Social Democrats at the time, East Germany was considered an irreversible result of World War II, something you just had to accept.

    But a look at Schroeder's historical comments and letters suggests he straddled the fence between just accepting and embarrassingly buttering up the communists. Just look at the way he addressed the German Democratic Republic's communist leaders: In 1985, Schroeder described Honecker, the then East German dictator, as a "deeply honest man." Then, one year later, Schroeder sent a letter to Honecker's deputy, informally writing: "Dear Egon Krenz: I will certainly need the endurance you have wished me in this busy election year. But you will certainly also need great strength and good health for your People's Chamber election." Of course, there were no democratic elections in East Germany.

    In view of these sentiments, one can only imagine the kind of resoluteness and determination with which the chancellor reminds Beijing about human rights and democracy during his visits there today as Germany's leader.

    Even as late as June 1989, as the GDR was coming unglued and the "honest" dictator and "Dear Egon" were losing their subjects, who were fleeing en masse over the Hungarian and Czechoslovakian borders, Schroeder still didn't get it. Just five days before the Wall fell, he offered this gem: "After 40 years of West Germany, we shouldn't lie to a new generation about the prospects for re-unification. There aren't any."


    Once you've coddled one communist dictatorship they're all pretty much alike.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:26 PM

    HOPE ALIVE:

    The Case The Saudis Can't Make (Faiza Saleh Ambah, March 27, 2005, Washington Post)

    It's hard not to be intoxicated by the breeze of democracy wafting across the Middle East. An Arabian Spring, analysts call it, heralded by round-the-clock demonstrations in Lebanon, suffragists out on the streets in Kuwait, rare protests in Egypt, voting in Iraq and reform even here in the kingdom of Saudi Arabia, where limited municipal elections are being held this year. But just as I'm about to get carried away by the spirit of hope, my mind stops, does a U-turn and returns to three men -- two academics and a poet -- who've been behind bars in Saudi Arabia for a year. Their case, and not the ballot box, has become my barometer for real change in the kingdom.

    Along with their lawyer, these men have forced a groundbreaking case onto the Saudi legal system, the power of which lies in its simplicity. They want the implementation of the rule of law in practice and not just in theory. Their tenacity could cost them their lives. But they take the risk because they know that without the rule of law this so-called Arabian Spring will prove to be as illusory as a desert mirage.

    With their insistence on an open trial and legal counsel -- rights granted but not exercised in this kingdom -- these veteran activists have laid bare the Saudi legal system. Last August, the three made history after insisting on and receiving an open arraignment in Riyadh on charges that included holding a public gathering and claiming that the judiciary was not independent. But since then the hearings have been closed, and the defendants have refused to cooperate. Their case now stands as a symbol of how far Saudi Arabia still has to go.

    Signs of change came earlier to Saudi Arabia than to the rest of the Arab world. Following the Americanoverthrow of Saddam Hussein's government in neighboring Iraq, the United States was pushing democracy on the region in general and Saudi Arabia in particular. The Bush administration was putting pressure on the kingdom to combat extremism with political reforms. To top it off, there had been a spate of attacks by al Qaeda-linked militants trying to topple the pro-Western Saudi royal family. When I returned to my homeland last year after three years in the United States, I found no trace of the stagnant political atmosphere that had driven me to leave. Instead I found my native country in a state of flux, the atmosphere effervescent with hope.


    Once you allow folks their hopes they realize them.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:21 PM

    WHAT DUTCH?:

    The new Dutch model?: Increasingly, the Netherlands wonders whether diversity is always desirable (The Economist, Mar 31st 2005)

    FOR people who see themselves as the front line in an uncertain struggle to defend western civilisation—a struggle, moreover, which has already cost some lives—the cultural warriors of the Netherlands have a surprising spring in their step. “I see developments in the Arab world as very promising,” says Paul Scheffer, a journalist who is one of the leaders of an ideological movement that wants to counter Islamist extremism by putting more emphasis on the rule of law and less on accommodating differences.

    Taking his cue from America's political right, he hails the fact that in some Middle Eastern countries ordinary people have challenged old elites and theocracies. In Europe, he reckons, traditional leaders who presume to speak for Muslim immigrants have it too easy, because governments pander to them out of a misplaced respect for cultural diversity.

    “The very idea of a multi-cultural society is too conservative, because it denies the fact that the migration changes people,” says Mr Scheffer, a veteran of Amsterdam's bohemian, canalside intelligentsia, a world where the right to be eccentric, and to change, is held dear. He and his friends have been arguing that all would-be citizens of the Netherlands must be presented with a clear message. As the price of living in an open, law-governed society, they should acknowledge the right of others to individual choice, dissent and “apostasy” from the beliefs of their own community.

    In some European countries, such language might sound intolerant. But in the Netherlands of 2005, it has entered the political mainstream. Nor are all its advocates of European background. Indeed, its strongest advocate of all, Ayaan Hirsi Ali has a personal history which, in many people's eyes, gives her a unique authority to speak about the dark side of religious fundamentalism. What she, Mr Scheffer and, in a different way, the maverick politician Geert Wilders—who recently left the centre-right Liberals to form a new, Eurosceptical party—all have in common is a sense, bordering on arrogance, that history is on their side.


    Nice to have History on your side, better to have demographics. The future of Holland is as a tolerant Islamic society.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:16 PM

    NOT EXACTLY LEXINGTON:

    Migrant stumbles into U.S. militia "hornet's nest" (Reuters, 4/03/05)

    A civilian militia in Arizona seeking to stop illegal aliens coming in from Mexico claimed its first immigrant when a hapless Guatemalan wandered into the group's base camp seeking help. [...]

    Apparently lost and desperate for food and water, the man headed for a Bible college on Friday in Palominas, just north of the Mexican border, unaware it was being used for a militia base camp.

    "He inadvertently wandered into the hornets' nest," Minuteman spokesman Fred Elbel told Reuters.

    "But it turned out to be his lucky day," he added. "He was tired and dehydrated and we gave him medical attention, food and drink before handing him over to the Border Patrol."



    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:34 PM

    LIMITS TO UNHEALTH?:

    AIDS Fighters Face a Resistant Form of Apathy (ANDREW JACOBS, 4/03/05, NY Times)

    Where have all the condoms gone?

    Don't try looking at the Monster, the Hangar, Starlight or Barracuda. On a recent evening, these and more than a dozen other Manhattan gay bars were well stocked with free going-out guides, but not a scrap of literature about H.I.V. prevention or the perils of crystal meth. As for condoms, the frontline defense against sexually transmitted diseases, only one establishment stocked them - behind the bar.

    As part of his graduate course work at New York University, Michael Marino set out last winter to compare the AIDS prevention efforts of New York and London. He was troubled by what he found. At most New York bars, and even at some bedrock gay and AIDS service institutions, educational pamphlets and free condoms were hard to find, if not impossible. In London, Mr. Marino found them easily.

    "No wonder things are getting so out of control here," he said. [...]

    "Just because folks are well informed doesn't mean they'll necessarily make the wisest choices in terms of their health," said Dr. Ronald O. Valdiserri, who oversees AIDS prevention at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. "This is true of all humanity, not just gay men."


    You can't tell them it's okay to engage in sexual activity that is instrinsically unhealthy and then be surprised when they aren't concerned about health.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:33 PM

    ALWAYS THOUGHT CHRIS SPEIER WAS JUICING:

    Tampa Bay's Sanchez suspended for violating baseball's steroids policy (Fred Goodall, 4/03/05, The Associated Press)

    Tampa Bay outfielder Alex Sanchez was suspended 10 days for violating baseball's new steroids policy, the first player publicly identified under the major leagues' tougher rules. [...]

    Sanchez said he was surprised by the suspension, adding that he uses milkshakes and multivitamins to build his energy — and blaming the positive test on something he bought over the counter.

    "I'm going to fight it, because I've never taken steroids or anything like that," said Sanchez, who was released by Detroit in mid-March and signed by the Devil Rays.


    You have to love that the first player suspended has 4 HRs in 365 career games.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:24 PM

    TIDE? MORE LIKE A RIPPLE:

    The endgame - has Iraq's insurgency run out of steam? (IAN MATHER, 4/03/05, Scotland on Sunday)

    TWO years after the huge statue of Saddam Hussein was toppled in the centre of Baghdad, the tide could finally be turning against the country’s insurgents.

    Although the euphoria that accompanied the demolition of the statue has long since evaporated, some observers are beginning to wonder whether the insurgency in Iraq is at last running out of steam.

    The US military has experienced its least deadly month for more than a year. Operations along with the newly formed Iraqi police have snared a number of leading terrorists with links to al-Qaeda and Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. The casualty data for March shows that 39 American and coalition troops were killed during the month - the lowest toll since February 2004.

    US deaths have now dropped for three months in a row, from 106 in January to 56 in February and 35 in March. Attacks on US troops are also down from over 100 before the January 30 election to around 60 today. Among the March figures were one British death and three from other coalition countries.

    Pentagon spokesman Larry Di Rita says: "The intelligence is getting better. We have apprehended or killed an enormous number of insurgents, so we may well be seeing people who are less skilled at what they’re doing. Their ability to anticipate and target is becoming cruder because the coalition’s intelligence is getting better."


    How can you write "two years" and "finally" in the same sentence?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:15 PM

    TORQUEMADA SAYS, "COME ON DOWN!":

    Indians Accepted as Ancient Jews (United Press International, Apr 01, 2005)

    A chief rabbi in Israel has determined members of India's Bnei Menashe community are descendants of the ancient Israelites.

    Sephardi Chief Rabbi Shlomo Amar has dispatched a team of rabbinical judges to formally convert them to Orthodox Jewry so they can immigrate to Israel under the Law of Return, Israel's Haaretz newspaper reported Friday.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:51 PM

    WHY SHOULD I CARE WHAT THEIR LIVES ARE LIKE?:

    Muscular Utopianism: I used to be a liberal interventionist. Now I'm a realist. (DAVID RIEFF, April 3, 2005, Opinion Journal)

    In his 2005 State of the Union address, President Bush spoke of America's "generational commitment to the advance of freedom," and predicted that "the victory of freedom in Iraq [would] inspire democratic reformers from Damascus to Tehran." These were sweeping claims, but in the wake of the Iraqi elections and the massive anti-Syrian mobilization in Lebanon even many erstwhile opponents of the war and skeptics about American motives in the Middle East, from Sen. Ted Kennedy to Piero Fassino, the head of one of Italy's main left-wing parties, have conceded that the Bush administration has been proven correct in its fundamental approach. Only within two constituencies, the extreme left and the so-called realists (many of whom served in President Bush's father's administration), has skepticism about both the wisdom of U.S. involvement in Iraq and the prospects for American success continued to predominate.

    As someone who in the 1990s would probably have called himself a liberal interventionist, and who has come increasingly aligned with the realist position, I am well aware that this is not a moment when critiques of the triumphalist account of what American power has wrought in the world is likely to win many converts. [...]

    [My] doubts have two sources: the actual degree of success the U.S. has attained in Iraq and in the Middle East, and, far more importantly, the wisdom of such engagements, whether or not they succeed.

    First, a little proportion about Iraq. Even those who view the country's progress from the most optimistic perspective tend to unite in crediting Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, the spiritual leader of Iraq's majority Shiites, with having held the country together and used his commanding authority to legitimize January's democratic elections. Ayatollah Sistani's own medieval views on subjects ranging from Sharia law to the status of women are presented as being of little concern. "You can't get to Thomas Jefferson without first having Martin Luther," is the way the conservative Middle Eastern specialist, Reuel Marc Gerecht, once put it to me.

    Historical analogies (and their 300-year lag times) aside, there is at least as compelling an alternate scenario: That what Ayatollah Sistani has done is used the democratic process to secure power for the Shiite community. In other words, that it is less that he and his fellow ayatollahs in Najaf share Washington's project of democratizing the Middle East so much as the Bush administration's commitment to initiate the vast project of a social transformation of a whole region by force of arms happened to dovetail with Shiite political ambitions and that the moment these interests no longer dovetail, it will become clear what kind of Iraqi society American blood and treasure has really brought into being. And that is assuming the war against the insurgency really is being won: The fact that two years after Saddam Hussein's fall the road to the Baghdad airport is still not fully controlled by U.S. forces and Iraq is still importing oil suggests that the outcome is still very much in doubt.

    Beyond Iraq, on the broader Middle East, there are also real questions about whether Lebanon is headed for democracy or civil war, and whether the Israeli withdrawal from Gaza will lead to peace or a carve-up of the West Bank that will make a third intifada a virtual certainty in the not too distant future.

    But even if all these outcomes are more positive than I expect them to be, after prolonged stays both in Israel-Palestine and postwar Iraq, there is the more fundamental question of whether this "generational commitment to the advance of freedom," to which the Bush administration has committed the country, is a wise or a feasible course. Does the lack of democracy in the world really pose the kind of existential threat to the U.S. that most Americans believed the Soviet empire did during the Cold War?


    No. But the Soviets and Nazis and Imperialists didn't pose an existential threat either. We reform the world because we are a Crusader State, not because we fear it.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:31 PM

    LACK OF VISION:

    Diplomatic illusions: a review of Engaging India: Diplomacy, Democracy, and the Bomb: A Memoir By Strobe Talbott (Appu K. Soman, March/April 2005, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists)

    Days after India conducted atomic tests in May 1998, provoking the United States to impose sanctions and virtually freeze relations with India, New Delhi signaled its desire for a dialogue with Washington. The Clinton administration responded quickly, and a series of 14 meetings between Jaswant Singh, Indian Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee's emissary and later foreign minister, and U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Strobe Talbott followed. Talbott undertook a parallel series of talks with Pakistani officials; Engaging India is his account of this dialogue.

    India and the United States started the talks with widely divergent goals. India sought nothing less than a total transformation of Indo-U.S. relations from a state of "cold peace" to a strategic alliance. U.S. aims were far narrower--a compromise between U.S. nonproliferation goals and India's aspiration to be accepted as a nuclear power on par with the officially recognized nuclear weapon states. The Indian tests had blown away the main plank of the Clinton administration's earlier South Asia policy, the goal of which was to "cap, eliminate, and roll back" the Indian and Pakistani nuclear capabilities. With rollback and elimination no longer feasible, the policy centered on "cap." The United States "would limit the extent to which the Indian bomb was an obstacle to better relations if India would, by explicit agreement, limit the development and deployment of its nuclear arsenal," Talbott writes.

    Early in the talks, Talbott put forward U.S. "benchmarks" aimed at achieving a cap on India's nuclear capabilities. The United States wanted India to sign the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (CTBT); to cooperate in capping India's production of fissile material; to create a "strategic restraint regime" under which India would limit its ballistic missiles to the existing Prithvi and Agni, refrain from arming them with nuclear warheads, and not deploy them close to Pakistan; to adopt strict export controls on nuclear and missile technologies and materials; and to resume the India-Pakistan dialogue on Kashmir.

    Not much came of the U.S. goals. India appeared willing to sign the CTBT, but failed to muster enough domestic support to actually do so. The refusal of the U.S. Senate to ratify the treaty eventually ended any prospect of India signing it. On fissile material, some progress was made when India acceded to U.S. demands. Vajpayee made a landmark visit to Pakistan early in 1999 in an effort to peacefully resolve Indo-Pakistani disputes. But within weeks, Pakistani incursions in the Kargil sector of the Line of Control in Kashmir set off a major crisis and killed the dialogue between New Delhi and Islamabad for the rest of the Clinton administration. U.S. efforts to restrain India's nuclear and missile programs made no progress beyond technical talks. Less than six months after the tests, the U.S. Congress authorized waiving the sanctions, thus undercutting the administration's only bargaining chip. By late 1999, Clinton, with only one year left in office, decided to go ahead with his long-postponed South Asia visit, brushing aside Talbott's objections about "having let himself [Clinton] be stared down [by India] and thus having devalued American power." The Talbott-Singh talks petered out in 2000.

    The importance the Clinton administration gave this dialogue can be gauged from Talbott's assertion that, "From the American perspective, what was at stake was the stability of the global nuclear order." If so, the efforts of those in charge of the U.S. South Asia policy were amazingly lopsided.


    Mr. Talbott is one of these Realists for whom arms talks are fetishes, more important than the nature of the regimes involved in the talks. Had it been up to him the USSR would still be around but there'd be a splendid edifice of arms agreements he could point to in "triumph." That he was so focussed on weapons that he missed out on forging what will be the most important relationship of the 21st century--the alliance of America and India--should be something he's too embarrassed to bring up.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:23 PM

    MAGIC MAN:

    The African cardinal tipped to succeed the Pope (AFP, 4/03/05)

    The fourth-ranking cardinal in the Vatican and the African with the best chance of succeeding Pope John Paul II began his stellar church career as a child of poor pagan parents in a mud-brick bungalow in the forests of southern Nigeria.

    Cardinal Francis Arinze, the 72-year-old Prefect of Divine Worship and the Discipline of the Sacraments, is seen by many as a credible candidate to become the first African to rule the Holy See since the death of Gelasius I in 496 AD.

    And if the college of cardinals sitting in the Sistine Chapel does decide that the Holy Spirit has chosen Arinze to lead the Church, the tiny Nigerian farming village of Eziowelle might well become a place of pilgrimage for the world's hundreds of millions of Catholics. [...]

    "His name will work magic for us. We cannot say when this will be, but we are hopeful that Arinze's name will soon begin to bring the good things of life to the village," declared 68-year-old Celestina Emecheta, who was born four years after Eziowelle's most famous son.

    The house where he was born is still standing; a somewhat ramshackle bungalow of mud-brick and rusting corrugated iron, painted in faded chocolate brown and framed on one side by a mango and a pawpaw tree.

    A newer, concrete family home stands close by, but Arinze's fame has not brought riches to his relatives. The grave of the cardinal's mother is marked by a simple heap of dark red laterite soil.

    "He does not want an elaborate grave for his parents and this grave as it is is an ample demonstration of his simplicity and humility, qualities for which he is known," said Father Philip as he showed a reporter around the village.

    Once a year, in August, Cardinal Arinze leaves the marble halls of the Vatican and returns to Eziowelle to stay in the parsonage and celebrate mass in the humble surroundings of Saint Edward's church.

    It was here, as an eight-year-old child of parents who worshipped the traditional deities of the Igbo people, that Arinze first heard the teaching of the church from the Reverend Cyprian Micahel Iwene Tansi, a missionary who became his mentor and was in 1998 beatified by Pope John Paul II.

    Since those days the village has become a devout and energetic Catholic community, proud to have sent a cardinal, nine priests, 14 reverend sisters and one reverend brother to do the work of the church.

    Now, perhaps, Eziowelle could become the first village in sub-Saharan Africa to send a Pope to the Vatican. Many feel Arinze would be the perfect candidate.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:19 PM

    THEIR FIGHT NOW:

    3 Dead As Saudi Forces, Militants Clash (ASSOCIATED PRESS, 4/03/05)

    Saudi security forces clashed with militants Sunday in a daylong gunbattle near a northern town known as a stronghold of Islamic fundamentalists, killing three terror suspects.

    Fifteen members of the security forces also were wounded in the shootout in the town of ar-Rass, 220 miles northwest of the capital Riyadh, Al-Ekhbariya television quoted the governor of al-Qassim province, Prince Faisal bin Bandar bin Abdul Aziz, as saying.

    Ar-Rass is near Buraydah, a known stronghold of Islamic fundamentalists in the kingdom.

    Al-Ekhbariya reported late Sunday that the gunbattle was still going on.

    Security forces had killed "three wanted terrorists" and forced the other militants to flee their hideout to a building that is under construction, the governor said, according to the all-news satellite TV channel.


    Islamic extremism is a mere annoyance to us but represents an existential threat to the Sa'uds, which is why they'll Refom Wahhabism from within.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:27 PM

    THE LAST PLACE SATAN LIVES:

    Naming the Horror: We must resurrect the language of evil. (David Neff, 03/30/2005, Christianity Today)

    Every day I pray, "Deliver us from evil." Yet I long for the vocabulary of evil to make a comeback and be restored to our common language.

    My wife and I recently saw the movie Hotel Rwanda, a moving account of one man's moral growth, and how tragic events stretched him from narrow devotion to his immediate family to a principled love for all Rwandans—both Hutu and Tutsi.

    The film recounted how both United States and United Nations spokespersons refused to call the 1994 Rwandan genocide by its right name, preferring instead to increase the distance between language and reality by saying "acts of genocide" had been committed. Such language shenanigans would be funny if they hadn't actually cost people their lives.

    The language of diplomats and politicians is curious. It is often designed to insulate us from reality. In the December 2004 issue of International Relations, political scientist Farid Abdel-Nour pointed to the same phenomenon in discussions of international law and human rights. Too often, the vocabulary of international law is framed in terms of "inter-societal norms." San Diego State University's Abdel-Nour demonstrates the "obfuscation" of such talk by describing the September 11 attack on the World Trade Center as a violation of "the international norm prohibiting the targeting of civilians." It is an accurate description, but it hides the horror and the multiple dimensions of what happened.

    What we need to recover, says Abdel-Nour, is the vocabulary of evil.


    Perhaps the reason that horror tales are so quintessentially American is that we are the one Western nation that still recognizes Evil.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:59 AM

    LUCKY LADY:

    Author of Holocaust Memoir: Counts Herself Among the Lucky (Dan Mackie, 4/03/05, Valley News)

    Betty Lauer says hers has been a lucky life.

    Luck brought her to America, introduced her to her husband, bestowed such good health that at 79 it seems that time has been a benefactor, not a thief.

    Lucky in life, lucky in love?

    It's not all as simple as whistling a happy tune. Lauer, who lives in Wilder now, grew up in Germany in the 1930s, a Jewish girl in a nation that was about to criminalize her very existence.

    She lost 96 relatives in the Holocaust; her only sibling, a sister, Eva, vanished. After they were deported to Poland, Lauer survived by assuming a false identity -- a Polish Catholic girl with peroxide blond hair and a fake birth certificate. Bertel Weissberger became Krystyna Zolkos.

    During the war years, Lauer depended on the kindness of friends and sidestepped the hatred of strangers, narrowly escaping detection several times. Fear was a fog that never lifted. Anxiety squeezed her stomach.

    But she survived, when so many did not.

    When asked how that could be, what strength she had that made it possible, how she accounts for it, she hesitates, and offers an answer and a nonanswer both: “One word,'' she says, “Luck. I was lucky.’’

    Lauer has told her story in Hiding in Plain Sight, a book that came out in May of last year and is about to go into a third printing with Smith & Kraus of Lyme. She will discuss it next Saturday, April 9, at 4 p.m. at the Congregation Shir Shalom in Woodstock. Organizers hope people of all faiths, and teenagers, especially, will attend.

    In a recent interview, Lauer said the event will be more of a dialogue with the audience than a talk. She hesitates to try to capture her story in a formal speech -- this is a topic for which words can seem too small. It took 550 pages to tell it all in her book, which she declined to trim despite the advice of her publisher. “I insisted, nicely, that the book be published the way I wrote it,'' she said.

    In Hiding, Lauer chronicles the anxious hours and daily struggle she faced during her years in Germany and Poland. She rewrote it four times over 40 years, improving it as her English grew more proficient.

    Lauer is pleased with the reviews and the personal responses she's received, which include a stack of letters and invitations to speak.

    She'd love to have the book translated into German and Polish. “A new generation is growing up. They want to know'’ about the Nazi era, when an advanced industrial country devolved into a murder machine. “If you ask me why, I can't answer that,’’ said Lauer. “I spend a lot of time thinking about it and reading about it. Such a civilized country, that they could descend to these lower depths. … Is that a danger for every society?'’

    She expresses little bitterness toward the country that took so much from her. “You can't blame people two generations later,'’ she said, although she said she never accepted the claim of many older Germans that they weren't aware of what was happening. “That was a great lie. How can you not know what is going on in your backyard?’’ she asked. On the other hand, she remains in contact with German friends. “They are beautiful people,'’ she said.

    Despite the sort of history that has broken many people, Lauer said she went on to live a fortunate, happy life. After the war, she and her mother, Ilona, came to New York, which seemed “a paradise'' to Lauer.

    Her father, Oskar, had gone there before the war, and was anxiously trying to arrange their immigration when the Nazi rampage began. In Germany, he'd have had little chance of survival. “So it was the only way,'’ she said.

    Lauer earned a master's degree in America and taught German in high school and German literature at Queens College in New York. Some might be surprised that that she would study the culture of a nation whose leaders literally wanted her dead. “The literature is great,'’ she says in reply. “Knowing German literature, that wasn't how Germany was supposed to end.’’

    She married a lawyer, Lawrence Lauer, whom she met at an upstate resort. They raised two sons, and dreamed of someday moving to Vermont, which they did in recent years after he retired. She said wistfully they waited too long to come here; he died less than five years after they moved. “He loved it so,” she said.


    Despite having been one of the editors whose advice she ignored, I couldn't be happier for her success. She's an amazing lady and her husband was extraordinarily kind and decent.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:27 AM

    NOT A BUSINESS FOR DEVELOPED NATIONS:

    Daimler's Dumb Decisions (Dan Lienert, 04.01.05, Forbes)

    The news coming out of DaimlerChrysler the past two days has been extremely bad, even if it might not sound that way at first.

    Yesterday, Daimler announced a worldwide recall at its Mercedes-Benz subsidiary. The recall will affect 1.3 million cars. Today, the carmaker said it's planning a $1.6 billion overhaul of its unprofitable Smart line of compact cars.

    Based on today's share price movement, the ADRs are down 72 cents, or 1.61%, to $44, in midafternoon trading, the shareholders aren't happy about the announcements. And they shouldn't be since they demonstrate the problems plaguing Daimler from top to bottom--from its premium brand to its most humble vehicles.


    Chrysler was only the first of the Big Three to die--the other Two will follow shortly.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:08 AM

    IGNORING THE COUNSEL OF TRENT:

    President Outmaneuvers Senator on Base Closings (Mike Allen, April 3, 2005, Washington Post)

    Just before Congress returned from a two-week recess, President Bush on Friday night used his recess-appointment power to thwart an effort by Sen. Trent Lott (R-Miss.) to stall the work of a military base-closing commission.

    When Congress is out of session, a president can use that power to sidestep the need for Senate confirmation by appointing officials who can perform their duties until the end of that Congress. The White House made the announcement at 7:27 p.m. Friday, ahead of the Senate's return at midday Monday.

    Senate officials said Lott, who has had bitter relations with the White House since being unseated as majority leader in 2002, was using a procedure known as a "hold" to prevent the Senate from voting on the nomination of Anthony J. Principi, Bush's designee as chairman of the Defense Base Closure and Realignment Commission, also known as BRAC.


    Beaten by a lame duck.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:05 AM

    BRINGING THE SUNNI ALONG:

    Iraqi Lawmakers Elect Sunni Arab as New Parliament Speaker, Ending Days of Deadlock (ANTONIO CASTANEDA, April 3, 2005, Associated Press)

    Iraqi lawmakers elected a Sunni Arab as parliament speaker and Shiite and Kurdish leaders as his deputies on Sunday, ending days of deadlock as they sought to balance the country's predominant religious and ethnic groups in a new government.

    The decision was a step toward repairing the tattered image of the newly elected National Assembly, which had bickered for days over the post.

    Industry Minister Hajim al-Hassani was elected parliament speaker; elected as his deputies were Hussain al-Shahristani — a Shiite and former nuclear scientist — and the Kurdish leader Aref Taifour. [...]

    Lawmakers also hoped to name a new president later Sunday — likely Kurdish leader Jalal Talabani.

    Once in his post, Talabani and his two vice presidents have two weeks to name the new interim prime minister, expected to be Shiite politician Ibrahim al-Jaafari. After that, the legislative body has until mid-August to write a new constitution that will pave the way for new elections and a permanent government.


    Posted by Peter Burnet at 8:33 AM

    SOLEMN AND RESPECTFUL

    Pope John Paul II, Keeper of the Flock for a Quarter of a Century
    (New York Times, April 3rd, 2005)

    The death of Pope John Paul II came at a time when Americans have been engaged in an unusual moment of national reflection about mortality. The long, bitter fight over the unknowing Terri Schiavo was a stark contrast to the passing of this pontiff, whose own mind was keenly aware of the gradual failure of his body. The pope would certainly never have wanted his own end to be a lesson in the transcendent importance of allowing humans to choose their own manner of death. But to some of us, that was the exact message of his dignified departure.

    Just as the message The Times got from his fight for freedom in Eastern Europe was that women should have the right to control their bodies.


    Posted by Peter Burnet at 7:53 AM

    REFORM? WHAT REFORM?

    Children 'starving' in new Iraq (BBC, March 30th, 2005)

    Increasing numbers of children in Iraq do not have enough food to eat and more than a quarter are chronically undernourished, a UN report says.

    Malnutrition rates in children under five have almost doubled since the US-led invasion - to nearly 8% by the end of last year, it says.

    The report was prepared for the annual meeting of the UN Human Rights Commission in Geneva.

    It also expressed concern over North Korea and Sudan's Darfur province.

    Jean Ziegler, a UN specialist on hunger who prepared the report, blamed the worsening situation in Iraq on the war led by coalition forces.

    Thank goodness the BBC and impartial, disinterested UN officials are there to keep an eye on those awful neocons.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:42 AM

    IF THEY WERE EUROPEANS WE'D HAVE PUSHED HARDER:

    New Arab rallying cry: 'Enough': Wednesday's protest in Egypt shows how the growing push for democracy in the Middle East also has an anti-US streak. (Dan Murphy, 3/31/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

    At a demonstration here Wednesday, kifaya was the mantra. About 500 secular and democracy activists returned again and again to the one-word slogan - the Arabic word that translates to "enough" - at the heart of their invigorated campaign to bring democracy to Egypt.

    Kifaya has become the name of a movement and the buzzword of what some Western commentators are calling the "Arab Spring" - the rise of democratic expression around the region. In rallies from tiny Bahrain to Egypt, demonstrators are shouting kifaya to dictators, kifaya to corruptions, and kifaya to the silence of Arabs eager for change.

    There's no question that the freedom rhetoric of the US and President Bush has helped crack the door for political activism in the Middle East. A look behind the slogan, however, reveals a complex web of secular and Islamist activists who say they share Bush's zeal for democracy, but expect real political change will lead to a repudiation of the US.

    In Lebanon, largely pro-Western demonstrators saying enough to the Syrian occupation of their country have been met by demonstrators led by Hizbullah, saying enough to what they view as US meddling in Lebanese politics.

    In Bahrain last week, the largest protests in memory saw the country's politically disenfranchised Shiite majority saying enough to pro-American King Hamad bin Isa al-Khalifa's policies. And in Cairo Wednesday the chants included "Enough to Mubarak, Enough to Bush, Enough to Blair,'' along with "We will not be ruled by the CIA" and "Down with the White House."

    It was a reminder that while the US has contributed to the shift in climate in the Middle East, a real democratic opening, in the short term at least, may not serve US interests. Most in the region appear angry at America's close relationship with Israel and its invasion of Iraq, and say that statements prodding allies to reform haven't overcome decades of support for Arab dictators.


    Nor should it. One good president hardly makes up for the decades we ignored their plight.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:59 AM

    WITNESS:

    John Paul the Great: he turned the world away from communism and made the papacy a public institution (Father Richard John Neuhaus, April 3, 2005, San Diego Union Tribune)

    I believe it is more than likely that the 264th successor of St. Peter will be known to history as John Paul the Great. If so, there will still be continuing dispute over the reasons for his greatness. Only two other popes are known by that title: Leo the Great and Gregory the Great, in the fifth and sixth centuries respectively. They were pivotal figures in the transition from the Roman Empire to western Christendom.

    Western Christendom, often dismissively called the Middle Ages, is the source of most of the institutions, laws and culture-forming ideas that shape our life today. The suceeding period is loosely called modernity, and John Paul II may be seen as the pivotal figure from secular modernity to whatever comes next. Some call it postmodernity, while others claim it is really hyper-modernity, and yet others see something like a new Christendom. John Paul repeatedly spoke of the 21st century as the beginning of a new springtime – of evangelization, of Christian unity, of human solidarity and of a victory of the culture of life over the culture of death.

    Political historians will emphasize his indispensable role in the fall of Soviet communism. He never believed in the desirability or possibility of coexistence between freedom and tyranny. In this he was in a small minority among intellectuals and political leaders. In the political world, his view of the unsustainability of communism was shared by Ronald Reagan, Margaret Thatcher and a relatively few others. Political, military and economic factors played their part, but the fate of the "evil empire" was sealed when the Polish pope called upon oppressed peoples to stand up and live in the truth. In private conversation, the Holy Father would say that the two great surprises of his life were, first, that he was elected pope and, second, that the end of the Soviet empire was relatively unbloody.

    "Be not afraid!" was the theme of his first homily as pope on Oct. 22, 1978, and it was the continuing theme of his pontificate of more than 26 years. That was his word to all of humanity. The best phrase to describe the person and message of John Paul is "prophetic humanism." The human project, the humanum, will not fail, not finally; and that is because, in Jesus Christ, God has irrevocably allied Himself with the cause of humanity. John Paul's worldview was emphatically Christo-centric. This means that the story of the birth, life, death, resurrection and promised coming again of Jesus Christ is nothing less than the story of the world.

    Some said John Paul was an optimist. This is gravely misleading. Optimism is merely a matter of optics, of seeing only what you want to see and not seeing what you don't want to see. Optimism is not a Christian virtue. He was not an optimist but a "witness to hope," which is the title of George Weigel's authoritative biography of the man and his pontificate. Living under the life-denying terror of Nazism and communism, the bitter fruit of radically secular humanism, Karol Wojtyla had looked long and deeply into the heart of darkness. At the heart of darkness he discovered the crucified Christ and the hope of resurrection.

    From that experience emerged the world's premier champion of "the culture of life." The culture of life is all-embracing. It entails the protection of the vulnerable at the beginning and end of life, the defense of the integrity of the human against biotechnical manipulation, and the inclusion of the poor in freedom's ways of productivity and exchange. Over the years of his pontificate, much attention was focused on abortion, but the defense of the unborn child is of a piece with an inclusive worldview in continuity with the exhortation in the Book of Deuteronomy: "Behold, I have set before you today life and death; choose life that you and your children may live."

    At the center of the church's witness, John Paul said again and again, is the dignity of the human person.


    MORE:
    -Interactive Feature: The Life of Pope John Paul II
    Frank Bruni looks back on the extraordinary papacy of John Paul II. (NY Times)
    AUDIO: The Religious Legacy of Pope John Paul II (Speaking of Faith, April 2, 2005, NPR)

    John Paul II's papacy was dramatic and historic on many fronts. Speaking of Faith explores some of the critical religious issues of his 26 years as pontiff and discusses the great and contradictory impact he made on the Catholic Church in America and abroad. Host Krista Tippett speaks with NPR's senior European correspondent Sylvia Poggioli, priest and author Donald Cozzens, and Yale theologian Margaret Farley.

    -John Paul II: The Miillennial Pope (Frontline, Sept. 1999, PBS)

    -The Papacy: TIME.com presents a look at Pope John Paul II


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    NATURAL:

    Every Game Is an Away Game (CHOI HOON and B.R. MYERS, 4/03/05, NY Times)

    THIS city might seem an unlikely place to find American baseball's Hogarth. But Choi Hoon considers his choice of subject a natural one.

    Mr. Choi, 32, was already one of South Korea's most popular cartoonists when he started a series of comic strips about the "M.L.B.," as the fast-growing local fan base refers to it. "People here used to root only for Chan Ho Park and other Korean players," Mr. Choi explained, referring to one of the first Korean-born American baseball stars. "But now a lot of men in their 20's and 30's follow the league as a whole."

    Many of these new fans look to Mr. Choi's work for its humor, surreal visuals and detailed knowledge of the league. His cartoons are carried in both a sports daily and on Naver.com, one of the Internet portals that are the main source of news for millions of young Koreans. Last season's strips, from which the panels below are drawn, focused on one team at a time, often highlighting a half-dozen or so players whom Mr. Choi found particularly amusing or interesting.


    April 2, 2005

    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:42 PM

    MADE FOR HIS MOMENT:

    POPE JOHN PAUL II: DAYS OF GRACE (Joseph Farrell, 4/03/05, Sunday Herald)

    POPE John Paul II was one of the few figures in this age whose fame and legacy are guaranteed to outlive it. Historians centuries hence will be debating his influence on Church doctrine, his role in reshaping the modern Papacy and extending its prestige worldwide, his part in the liberation of Europe from communism and the remaking of the continent, as well as the enigmas of the private man and the public leader.

    His impact on his age could not have been foreseen when on October 16, 1978, the announcement was made that Cardinal Wojtyla had been chosen as the 264th successor of St Peter. Nobody had predicted a Polish Pope, but it quickly became a matter of received wisdom that both the man Karol Jozef Wojtyla and the Pope John Paul II could be understood only by reference to his Polish roots.

    Poland has a vision of itself as a nation offended by history. Many complex political and historical factors contribute to the Polish sense of self, but allegiance to Catholicism is one of its core elements. While visiting Castro’s Cuba, Pope John Paul II stated that a universal church can legitimately break down into a series of national communities, each true to the culture of the nation which produced it. The statement is as true of Poland as of Cuba. The Polish church has always seen itself as guardian of culture and identity, but also as embattled and at odds with a political authority which at many points of history was in the hands of adversaries.


    Whether by quirks of fate or Providence or both, Jews and Christians have been positioned by history so that they understand the danger of a totalitarian state, the value of a secular political system, and the absolute necessity of a vibrant church and society. No one was ever better, or more painfully, tutored in these truths than the 20th century Poles.

    MORE:
    Pope John Paul II (Charles Krauthammer,April 3, 2005, Townhall)

    It was Stalin who gave us the most famous formulation of that cynical (and today quite fashionable) philosophy known as ``realism'' -- the idea that all that ultimately matters in the relations among nations is power: ``The pope? How many divisions does he have?''

    Stalin could only have said that because he never met John Paul II. We have just lost the man whose life was the ultimate refutation of ``realism.'' Within 10 years of his elevation to the papacy, John Paul II had given his answer to Stalin and to the ages: More than you have. More than you can imagine.

    History will remember many of the achievements of John Paul II, particularly his zealous guarding of the church's traditional belief in the sanctity of life, not permitting it to be unmoored by the fashionable currents of thought about abortion, euthanasia and ``quality of life.'' But above all, he will be remembered for having sparked, tended and fanned the flames of freedom in Poland and the rest of Eastern Europe, leading ultimately and astonishingly to the total collapse of the Soviet empire.

    I am not much of a believer, but I find it hard not to suspect some providential hand at play when the white smoke went up at the Vatican 27 years ago and the Polish cardinal was chosen to lead the Catholic Church. Precisely at the moment the West most desperately needed it, we were sent a champion. It is hard to remember now how dark those days were. The 15 months following the pope's elevation marked the high tide of Soviet communism and the nadir of the free world's post-Vietnam collapse.


    -A great man has passed (George Will, April 3, 2005, Townhall)
    In Eastern Europe, where both world wars began, the end of the Cold War began on Oct. 16, 1978, with a puff of white smoke, in Western Europe. It wafted over one of Europe's grandest public spaces, over Michelangelo's dome of St. Peter's, over statues of the saints atop Bernini's curving colonnade that embraces visitors to Vatican City. Ten years later, when the fuse that Polish workers had lit in a Gdansk shipyard had ignited the explosion that leveled the Berlin Wall, it was clear that one of the most consequential people of the 20th century's second half was a Pole who lived in Rome, governing a city-state of 109 acres.

    Science teaches that reality is strange -- solid objects are mostly space; the experience of time is a function of speed; gravity bends light. History, too, teaches strange truths: John Paul II occupied the world's oldest office, which traces its authority to history's most potent figure, a Palestinian who never traveled a hundred miles from his birthplace, who never wrote a book and who died at 33. And religion, once a legitimizer of political regimes, became in John Paul II's deft hands a delegitimizer of communism's ersatz religion.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:28 PM

    WHERE'S WAUGH WHEN WE NEED HIM?:

    Comedy of errors: Zimbabwe is destroying itself, other African leaders stand accused of complicity, and the West moralises over aid and debt. Time, says Fred Bridgland in Johannesburg, for some painful decisions (Fred Bridgland, 4/03/05, Sunday Herald)

    Africa passed through a threshold this weekend, replete with huge dangers for the continent after Robert Mugabe rigged massively, with devilish cunning and ruthlessness, a Zimbabwean parliamentary election that has given him a huge majority and carte blanche to continue the destruction of his country that he began more than five years ago.

    Mugabe won a two-thirds majority, which permits him to change the constitution however he wants, in spite of having engineered an economy that is the fastest collapsing in the world with the world’s top inflation rate – in excess of 600%. He won despite having given his people 80% unemployment, famine, and a collapsed health service which has seen life expectancy fall to 33 from 63 at independence, and which is unable to help a population so widely infected with HIV that 500 Zimbabweans die each day from Aids.

    The fraudulent poll spells disaster for ordinary Zimbabweans and enhances the riches of the avaricious military men, corrupt civil servants and bent judges he has gathered into his inner coterie.

    If the poison unleashed by Mugabe were only to destroy his own beautiful country, it could perhaps be dismissed with an unfortunate, helpless shrug. But the poison has flowed beyond Zimbabwe. It has infected such men as South African President Thabo Mbeki and Tanzanian President Ben Mkapa, who both validated the Zimbabwe poll as free and fair before it had taken place. It is Mkapa’s view that Mugabe is a “champion of democracy”.


    Their deafening silence in this instance makes it even harder to believe in the possibility of a Decent Left.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:02 PM

    DEEP IN THE HEART OF CHINA?:

    Pope has never revealed name of mystery cardinal (KESQ, 4/02/05)

    For the moment, 117 cardinals are eligible to vote in a conclave to elect Pope John Paul's successor, but the number could actually be 118.
    When John Paul created new cardinals in 2003, he said he was keeping one name secret, or "in pectore" -- meaning "in the heart." The name remains secret until the pope announces it or leaves instructions for that to be done.

    The formula has been used when a pope wants to name a cardinal in a country where the church is oppressed. That's leading to speculation it could be a prelate from China, where only a state-sanctioned church is recognized.


    Make him pope and give the PRC a real shove.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:59 PM

    I THINK I'M TURNING ALBIONESE:

    La France, do you want to turn British? (Matthew Campbell, 4/03/05, Sunday Times of London)

    AS debate intensified in France’s referendum campaign on the European Union constitution last week, the voters were invited to consider an unusual question: should they try to be more like the British? Strange as it may seem, the complex exercise of trying to imagine Europe’s future has led to Britain becoming the focus of the May 29 referendum.

    Back in 1957, when French and German politicians created the old European Community, France’s European dream consisted essentially of constructing a bigger version of itself. Now many seem to think it is turning into a bigger version of Britain and want to stop the process at all costs.

    The change is rooted in French perceptions that they have lost influence to the British in an enlarged EU, and the belief, encouraged by the French left, that the proposed EU constitution will result in France being swamped by what one commentator described as the “free-market mania of the Anglo-Saxon world”.


    Why would they want to try what works?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:43 PM

    LIFE OF ITS OWN:

    Mubarak may be scheming but the taboos are falling (Issandr El Amrani, April 02, 2005, Daily Star)

    Mubarak's announcement has allowed his regime to seize the initiative on reform, albeit temporarily. As Galal Duweidar, editor of state-owned leading daily Al-Akhbar wrote on the day after the announcement: "[T]he ball is now in the Egyptian people's court."

    Egyptians appear to be rising to the challenge eagerly. There are already calls for constitutional amendments and other changes well beyond allowing direct election of the president. For instance, while Mubarak's proposal requires any candidate to have the support of a certain (still undecided) number of members of Parliament and local councils, the Wafd has proposed that a candidate should only need to garner signatures from 70,000 citizens, or about 1 percent of the country's population. There are also increasing calls to restore the two-term limit for presidents (removed by Sadat in 1980) as well as to redistribute certain powers from the executive to the legislative and judicial branches. Above all, the lifting of the state of emergency in place since 1981 - which significantly limits civil and political liberties - still tops the demands of liberals, leftists and Islamists alike.

    Despite attempts by the pro-regime media to spin Mubarak's proposal as a revolutionary step for which Egyptians should be grateful, political groups of all shades are seizing the moment to push for more meaningful reforms. The limited constitutional amendment envisioned so far - already under discussion in parliamentary committees and scheduled for legislative action in May - would not change the result of September's presidential election. Assuming that the 76-year old president's health holds out, he will be returned to office. But Mubarak's move is putting wind behind the sails of a wide-ranging public debate on constitutional reform and the role of the presidency, subjects considered taboo only a short time ago.


    They always think they can control events even after they embrace the rhetoric.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:38 PM

    IS IT SAUSAGE YET?:

    King County discovers 87 more untallied ballots (Keith Ervin and David Postman, 4/02/05, THE SEATTLE TIMES)

    King County elections worker Mikki Asmundson double-checks absentee-ballot envelopes for possible uncounted ballots yesterday.

    Long after it seemed there couldn't be any more surprises in the November governor's election, King County officials acknowledged yesterday they have found more uncounted ballots.

    Over the past week, election workers have found 87 valid absentee ballots that had been left in their envelopes and not counted through three tallies of the closest statewide race in Washington history. The ballots were in archival boxes and were found when election workers were looking for something else.

    The first of the ballots were found March 24, but officials did not publicly acknowledge the problem until a reporter asked them about it yesterday. After the initial discovery, Election Director Dean Logan ordered a search through more than a half-million absentee envelopes to look for other ballots that might not have been counted.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:35 PM

    ON DECK CIRCLE:

    White House chooses Bernanke for CEA (Andrew Balls and James Harding, April 2 2005, Financial Times)

    The White House has nominated Ben Bernanke to serve as chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, wrapping up the lead appointments to President George W. Bush's second- term economic team.

    Mr Bernanke's nomination will stoke speculation about his prospects of succeeding Alan Greenspan as chairman of the Federal Reserve at the start of next year.

    Mr Bernanke, an influential Fed governor, is expected to step aside from the meetings of the Fed's policymaking Open Market Committee while he awaits Senate confirmation.

    “I am honoured by the president's intent to nominate me and subject to Senate confirmation I look forward to this new opportunity,” Mr Bernanke said.

    The appointment will be seen as an attempt by the White House to draw on the credibility and expertise of the Federal Reserve as it makes the case for Social Security and tax reform. Mr Bush has chosen Allan Hubbard, a campaign fundraiser and a businessman from Indianapolis, to serve as his chief economic adviser. The choice of Mr Bernanke, therefore, is intended to bring in the skills of a highly regarded economist.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:31 PM

    CHALK UP ANOTHER WIN FOR INTELLIGENT DESIGN:

    Free trade may have finished off Neanderthals (Celeste Biever, 4/01/05, New Scientist)

    Modern humans may have driven Neanderthals to extinction 30,000 years ago because Homo sapiens unlocked the secrets of free trade, say a group of US and Dutch economists. The theory could shed new light on the mysterious and sudden demise of the Neanderthals after over 260,000 years of healthy survival.

    Anthropologists have considered a wide range of factors which may explain Neanderthal extinction, including biological, environmental and cultural causes. For example, one major study concluded that Neanderthals were less able to deal with plunging temperatures during the last glacial period.

    Another possibility is that they were less able hunters as a result of poorer mental abilities, says Eric Delson, an anthropologist at Lehman College, City University of New York, US. But he adds that most theories are reliant on guesswork. Exactly how humans ousted Neanderthals remains a puzzle. “They were successful for such a long time,” he points out.

    Jason Shogren, an economist at the University of Wyoming in Laramie, US, says part of the answer may lie in humans’ superior trading habits. Trading would have allowed the division of labour, freeing up skilled individuals, such as hunters, to focus on the tasks they are best at. Others, perhaps making tools or clothes or gathering food, would give the hunters resources in return for meat.

    The idea that specialisation leads to greater success was first used in the 18th century to explain why some nations were wealthier than others. But this is the first time it has been applied to the Neanderthal extinction puzzle, says Shogren.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:21 PM

    TOO FAR TO TURN BACK:

    Jungle rescue hinges on a mutt (TAMARA AUDI, 4/02/05, Detroit FREE PRESS)

    Later, the commander would remember the stars.

    They were brilliant that February night, adorning the black mountain sky like a diamond tiara on one of Venezuela's dark-haired beauty queens.

    It was strange to think of his country's many charms at a time like this. The hour was after 2 a.m., and Joel Rengifo and his men from an anti-kidnapping unit were in six Jeeps, splashing through rugged country on their way to free Maura Villarreal, the kidnapped mother of Tigers pitcher Ugueth Urbina.

    The unit had lost an hour pushing the Jeeps out of a muddy riverbed where a bridge had washed away. But they were back on track. By Rengifo's calculations, in three hours they should arrive at the mountain camp where they thought Urbina's mother was held. His calculations were flawed.

    By 6 a.m., the commander realized his mistake. They should have reached the camp by now -- in time to ambush the kidnappers in their sleep. But it was almost daylight and they weren't near the camp. They had started the mission much too late.

    By the time they closed in on the camp, the sun was full and bright. What local farmers said would be a four-hour trip had taken nearly 10.

    The kidnappers would be awake, for sure. But Rengifo's unit had come too far to turn back.

    Just a week earlier, their investigation led to two men -- prisoners thought to be former associates of the suspected kidnappers. Rengifo and his men said they compelled the prisoners to speak during an interrogation. That led them to friends of one kidnapping suspect. The friends, in turn, were compelled to tell investigators that Maura -- who was kidnapped last Sept. 1 -- was probably at Las Nieves, or The Snows, an abandoned tourist camp 340 miles south of Caracas, a place so removed from civilization that no roads led there.

    The task force immediately started planning the rescue.


    Precisely the kind of situation in which torture is not only justified but morally imperative.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:46 PM

    WHY NOT US?:

    What Set Loose the Voice of the People (DEXTER FILKINS, 3/27/05, NY Times)

    In memory, the two scenes are linked by their silence. Last week in downtown Beirut, Lebanese by the hundreds filed past the tomb of Rafik Hariri, the fallen national leader, each pausing to offer some unspoken tribute. The only audible sound was a murmured prayer for the dead.

    In Baghdad two months before, Iraqis in similar numbers had waited in line outside a high school to cast their ballots. Mortar shells were exploding in the distance, yet hardly anyone uttered a sound.

    Amid such overwhelming displays of popular will, it seemed that words were hardly necessary.

    Only weeks apart and a few hundred miles away, the popular demonstrations in Lebanon and Iraq offer themselves up for such comparisons. Their proximity suggests a connection, possibly one of cause and effect, like the revolutions that swept Eastern Europe in 1989. As went Berlin, Prague and Bucharest; so goes Baghdad, Beirut and Cairo.

    President Bush has asserted as much, arguing that the toppling of Saddam Hussein and the holding of elections in Iraq set loose the democratic idea and sent the tyrannies reeling. From a distance, Lebanon looks like a domino.

    Up close, though, it seems like something far more complex. For a correspondent who has spent much of the past two years inside Iraq, arriving in the seaside capital of Beirut is a bracing and abrupt experience. For all the glories of election day, Iraq is still a grim and deadly place, where the traumas of the past 30 years are imprinted in the permanent frowns of ordinary Iraqis. Lebanon, by contrast, seems Iraq's sunny, breezy cousin, where young men arrive at demonstrations wearing blazers and hair gel, and the women high heels and navel rings. When the protest is finished, they drive off together in their BMW's.

    How could Iraq have inspired this?


    Shame?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:40 PM

    THE CHURCH HE MADE:

    Catholics in America: A Restive People (LAURIE GOODSTEIN, 4/03/05, NY Times)

    IT is hard to remember now that when Pope John Paul II was elected 27 years ago, the church he inherited was destabilized and dispirited.

    His immediate predecessor, John Paul I, had been found dead in bed one morning after only 34 days in office. The pope before that, Paul VI, spent his last years melancholy and withdrawn, his accomplishments overshadowed by the uproar over Humanae Vitae, his encyclical affirming the church's ban on contraception.

    To many Roman Catholics in the United States, in particular, the church seemed to have lost its moorings. Some felt the church had betrayed the promise of Vatican II, the watershed church council of the early 1960's, to be more responsive to the laity and to modern life. Others felt the opposite, that Vatican II had betrayed the church's heritage by discarding too many traditions and teachings, like replacing the Latin Mass with guitar-strumming priests.

    Then John Paul II strode onto the scene. He reasserted order and discipline, spoke out forcefully on vital issues and gave the church a clear direction again. But many American Catholics are deeply unhappy with that direction, which has proved to be more conservative and inflexible than they had hoped. As his papacy ends, he leaves behind an American church that he energized but that remains restive and divided.

    The nation has more Catholics now than ever before, some 65 million and growing, fed by a steady flow of immigrants. Many who attend Mass regularly are passionately engaged in their parishes. But many others have drifted away, and Mass attendance has fallen steadily throughout John Paul II's papacy. Fewer families are sending their children to Catholic schools every year.

    The pope has inspired men to join the priesthood, but a nationwide shortage of priests has nonetheless grown so acute that many parishes have none of their own. At the same time, many priests and bishops quietly complain that the Vatican has centralized authority more than ever, leaving less able to respond flexibly to the concerns of American parishioners. And the church continues to reel from the effects of the clergy sex-abuse scandal, with more priests accused of molestation nearly every week and with the mounting cost of compensating victims driving several dioceses to seek bankruptcy protection.

    Despite the troubles within his church, Pope John Paul II has had a profound impact outside it, in American politics and culture. His articulation of an ideal society based on a "culture of life" has been embraced not only by American Catholics, but by non-Catholics who have invoked it in their opposition to abortion, euthanasia, stem cell research, cloning and the death penalty.


    His successors will allow priests to marry--not least because it will aid in bringing Protestants back to the fold--but the rest of his legacy seems likely to endure.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:06 PM

    SMOOT POINT:

    Europe’s spats with US bode ill for free trade (Irwin Stelzer, 4/03/05, Sunday Times of London)

    WHEN Peter Mandelson slammed the telephone down on Bob Zoellick during a conversation over subsidies received by Airbus, he was applying to the former US trade representative and current State Department No 2 the intimidating tactics honed in dealing with Britain’s editors and reporters. If, indeed, that is what happened. Staff at the European trade commissioner’s office say it didn’t, and that the conversation ended with the simultaneous slamming down of receivers.

    Both sides say negotiations will continue. But success is far from assured. America is determined to end the EU’s subsidised financing of Boeing’s leading competitor, by bringing suit at the World Trade Organisation if need be. The Europeans know that, without state aid, Airbus cannot finance the development of new aircraft. Burdened with more than double-digit unemployment, they are determined to preserve uneconomic jobs by continuing the subsidies.


    Airbus, like the high euro, is a vanity project, unconnected to economic reality.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:17 PM

    COME AND GET IT:

    At Least 20 U.S. Troops Wounded in Attack on Iraqi Prison (EDWARD WONG, 4/03/05, NY TIMES)

    Using suicide car bombs and an array of weapons, scores of insurgents made the biggest assault yet on the American-controlled Abu Ghraib prison on Saturday evening, American military officials said. At least 20 American soldiers and marines were wounded.

    Forty to 60 insurgents attacked the prison from opposite directions, but were repelled by the Americans in a pitched battle that lasted for 30 to 40 minutes, the officials said. They added that they knew of only one insurgent who had been killed, but said it was almost certain the guerrillas suffered additional casualties.

    The assault appeared to be an attempt to break prisoners out of a part of the center that is controlled by Iraqi security forces, said Lt. Col. Guy Rudisill, a spokesman for the American detainee system in Iraq.

    The assault was so intense that the American troops at the prison called in three Apache attack helicopters and a Marine infantry company, the colonel said. The marines quickly secured the area around the prison. Of the 20 Americans hurt, 18 had only minor wounds, Colonel Rudisill said.


    Notice they share the same obsession as the MSM?


    Posted by David Cohen at 3:40 PM

    THE D*** "X" MARKS THE D*** SPOT, D*** IT.

    The Limbaugh Code: The New York Times best seller no one is talking about (Dahlia Lithwick, Slate, 4/1/05)

    Enough already. The book is silly. But the maddening question here is why Levin, Limbaugh, and—as of yesterday, Tom DeLay—have stopped threatening just "liberal activist" judges and have started threatening the judiciary as a whole. Levin, recall, is excoriating a court composed of seven Republican appointees. He's trashing the body that's done more to restore the primacy of states' rights, re-inject religion into public life, and limit the rights of criminal defendants than any court in decades. He seems not to have noticed that the Rehnquist court is a pretty reliably conservative entity. Reading his hysterical attacks on Justices O'Connor and Kennedy, you'd forget they are largely on his side and substantially different creatures from the court's true liberals. But Levin seems as incapable of distinguishing between jurists as he is incapable of differentiating between cases or doctrine. He's happy to decimate the court as a whole.

    Consider Tom DeLay's similarly broad comments from yesterday, following the death of Terri Schiavo: "This loss happened because our legal system did not protect the people who need protection most, and that will change," DeLay warned. "The time will come for the men responsible for this to answer for their behavior," he said. In addition to sharing Levin's unfortunate tendency to label all federal judges as "men," DeLay is now attacking all the judges involved in Schiavo—Republicans, devout Christians, and strict constructionists among them—for failing to interpret the law to suit him. This is not just an attack on some renegade liberal jurists. Levin, Limbaugh, and DeLay have subtly shifted their attack to encompass the entire judiciary.

    Perhaps my colleague Dan Gross is right and the wing-nuts are simply starved for new subjects. But maybe the far-right really thinks that attacking the independence of the judiciary as a whole is a smart move. Levin pays some lip service to the idea that the federal bench needs to be stacked with right-wing ideologues in his penultimate chapter. But he betrays early on his fear that even the staunchest conservative jurist is all-too-often "seduced by the liberal establishment once they move inside the Beltway." Thus, his real fixes for the problem of judicial overreaching go further than manipulating the appointments process. He wants to cut all judges off at the knees: He'd like to give force to the impeachment rules, put legislative limits on the kinds of constitutional questions courts may review, and institute judicial term limits. He'd also amend the Constitution to give congress a veto over the court's decisions. Each of which imperils the notion of an independent judiciary and of three separate, co-equal branches of government. But the Levins of the world are not interested in a co-equal judiciary. They seem to want to see it burn.

    The Left talks only to itself, and that's a pity. Conservatives have been saying, for 40 or 50 years now, that the current judicial supremacy, in which the political branches and settled social arrangements supported by a majority of the citizenry are ignored or set aside by the judiciary, was insupportable, unsustainable and would have to change. "Hey," says Dahlia Lithwick, "they might mean this."

    Judicial supremacy is an American innovation that has now been around long enough for conservatives to treat it as a customary piety. But it has only one notable achievement to its name: the beginning of the end of seperate but equal treatment of the races, probably about a decade earlier than it would otherwise have ended. It was announced in Marbury in order to avoid a parochial political showdown between the judiciary and President Jefferson that the judiciary would have lost. It was not used again until Dred Scott, in which it either postponed the Civil War, preserved the Union or unworked a political solution that would have kept slavery in place pending a peaceful but long-delayed resolution. It was used in the late 18th and early 20th centuries to protect a liberal (read, libertarianish) economic policy from Progressivism and then was quiescent until the 1950s. At that time, it did, as noted above, achieve Brown v. Board of Education, a singular achievement, but it also started the trend of the left using the courts to achieve those ends (e.g., driving religion out of public life, establishing abortion, emphasizing the civil rights of criminals) that it could not achieve politically. Ironically, this helped usher in the era of right political dominance, increasing in turn the left's need to resort to the courts, and established our current political dynamic.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:23 PM

    BE NOT AFRAID:

    Pope John Paul II dies (VICTOR L. SIMPSON, April 2, 2005, ASSOCIATED PRESS)

    Pope John Paul II, the Polish pontiff who led the Roman Catholic Church for more than a quarter century and became history's most-traveled pope, died Saturday night in his Vatican apartment. He was 84.

    The announcement came from papal spokesman Joaquin Navarro-Valls and was distributed to journalists via e-mail.

    "The Holy Father died this evening at 9:37 p.m. (2:37 p.m. EST) in his private apartment. All the procedures outlined in the apostolic Constitution 'Universi Dominici Gregis' that was written by John Paul II on Feb. 22, 1996, have been put in motion."

    A Mass was scheduled for St. Peter's Square for Sunday morning.


    Pope's health deteriorates further (Philip Pullella and Crispian Balmer, 4/01/05, Reuters)

    Pope John Paul's health has worsened further, with his breathing becoming shallow and his blood pressure deteriorating, says the Vatican, and one Italian news agency has reported he has lost consciousness.

    Church officials tried to prepare the world and its 1.1 billion Roman Catholics for the end of one of the longest papal reigns in history after the Vatican said the long-ailing Pope had declined further hospital treatment.

    "The general conditions and cardio-respiratory conditions of the Holy Father have further worsened," said Vatican spokesman Joaquin Navarro-Valls.

    "A gradual worsening of arterial hypotension has been noted, and breathing has become shallow. The clinical picture indicates cardio-circulatory and renal insufficiency. The biological parameters are notably compromised."

    Sky Italia TV, quoting a report from Italy's Apcom news agency, said on Friday the Pope had lost consciousness but there was no independent confirmation. "There's no hope any more," the ANSA news agency quoted an unidentified medical source as saying.


    As of 1:50pm, The Vatican says his brain and heart are still functioning.


    -The Pontificate of Pope John Paul II (EWTN.com)

    -The Vatican

    -How Are Popes Elected? Two Complimentary Lectures (The Teaching Company)

    -Pope John Pal II's Theology of the Body


    -Tireless thinker who offered world's masses love and hope (STEPHEN MCGINTY, 4/02/05, The Scotsman)

    EACH morning, when his health allowed him, Pope John Paul II would wake to watch the dawn. "I like to watch the sun rise," he told friends. This week, as night prepared to envelop him and his 26-year pontificate, it was worth recalling that he saw his role, like that of the sun, as "a witness to hope".

    On 16 October 1979 when, at the age of 58, he stepped on to the balcony of St Peter’s Square dressed in the white papal robes and wearing the fisherman’s ring, the first words he uttered were: "Be not afraid". The message he has preached across 100 countries and to billions of people has been one of love and hope - even if, on occasion, it felt like the hectoring of an impatient father.

    In the years to come his legacy will be dissected. Yet today, say Catholic observers, it is important to remember that he believes his mission is for the good of all mankind, not just the world’s 1.1 billion Roman Catholics.

    When previous cardinals were elected as Pope, some were deeply shaken while others wept tears of fright. When Cardinal Karol Wojtyla was elected on the second day of voting, his confidence was unshakeable.

    For the first 13 years of his papacy, he trained his voice and position against communism. In an earlier era, Stalin said mockingly: "How many battalions has the Pope?" Pope John Paul II revealed that he needed none - just faith, a public platform and the assistance of America. Together, they helped bring the Berlin wall tumbling down.


    -A counterbalance to Communists (Judy Dempsey, April 2, 2005, International Herald Tribune)
    In Poland, two things happened the day the Archbishop of Krakow, Cardinal Karol Wojtyla was elected pope on Oct. 16, 1978.

    The population broke open bottles to celebrate and the then-ruling Communist Party went into emergency session.

    In fact, it was some months before the impact of Wojtyla's election as Pope John Paul II was felt - not only in Poland, but throughout Eastern Europe. For believers and even the less devout, he provided a moral and spiritual counterweight to the Communist regimes.

    Once heavily Catholic Poland learned that a Pole would lead the Catholic Church, many hung the red and white Polish flag from their windows. They sat and watched state-run television, weeping over how this extraordinary event was being reported.

    And then, as so often, they turned to poetry to ventilate their anger, hopes and fears. This time, they quoted Juliusz Slowacki, the early 19th century romantic writer forced into exile after a Polish insurrection in 1830 had failed to drive out foreign powers.

    Prophetically, he had written that "Among the quarreling, the Lord Struck On a mighty bell; Lo, for a Slav Pope He provided the throne... He shall spread love, as today the Powers Spread weapons."

    -A giant of faith and freedom on the world stage (The Australian, 2nd April 2005)

    POPE John Paul II has been a great figure of the 20th century, an authentic giant of history who will be remembered as long as human beings value liberty or care about religion. John Paul II has been the supreme pontiff of the Catholic Church. But he has been much more than that. By the force of his extraordinary personality, the clarity of his message and his immense courage he has been a figure of vast consequence who shook the foundations of the world. While very few have agreed with every single thing he said or did, his influence on the world has been overwhelmingly positive.

    John Paul II has loved God, but he has also loved human beings and regarded each human being as sacred and imbued with innate dignity, and above all deserving of freedom. His remarkable personality was forged in the crucible of the two monstrous ideologies of 20th-century Europe - Nazism and communism. He detested both, he resisted both, he understood both.

    What an optimistic and resilient spirit it must have taken to begin studying for the Catholic priesthood in Poland in 1942. But no sooner was the Nazi nightmare over for Poland than the communist nightmare began. It is probably for his role in the downfall of communism that John Paul II will be most obviously remembered. Poland became at one moment the pivot of Europe, and for a time the pivot of history. It was John Paul II's instinctive and sustained support for the Polish trade union movement, Solidarity, and its exuberant and brave leader, Lech Walesa, that was critical in leading to the downfall of communism in Poland. And this in turn had a mesmerising effect on the rest of Eastern Europe. The iron curtain of Stalin's tyranny and despair, which had hung across expanding swaths of Europe since 1917, was torn back as much by the Pope as by any other individual. Indeed, with Ronald Reagan and Lech Walesa, the Pope formed an astonishing triumvirate, allied in the common cause of human freedom and human dignity.

    In many ways John Paul II has been the first wholly modern Pope. Nazism and communism were quintessentially expressions of a deformed modernism and this the Pope understood profoundly. His adroit leadership during the fall of the Polish communist government answered forever Stalin's sneering question: "How many battalions has the Pope?" The Cold War seems a long way away now, but it is right to pause to remember the radical evil that communism, the true ideological twin of Nazism, represented and the immense historical project involved in its consignment to the dustbin of history.

    This is not the only political challenge the Pope has had to manage in his long reign. He has always been the friend of freedom, denouncing apartheid, opposing dictatorships and yet doing so in a way which would not increase the persecution of innocent people. But of course the Pope has not seen himself primarily as a political figure. Nor would it be fair to evaluate him as such. He has been, in his own words, a sign of contradiction, a great paradox of a leader. For his kingdom was not of this world. He has always believed in the importance of this world because of its relationship to the higher order of the spiritual world. In that sense, the Pope has been two separate leaders, an astute political figure central to the power equations of his time, and a deeply contemplative and intellectual spiritual leader, whose criterion of judgment was eternity.

    Much of Western opinion, while it has admired the Pope's valiant stand for political freedom, found his spirituality baffling and his moral teaching incomprehensible or downright offensive. It is fair to say that in the majority of theological and moral utterances he has made, the Pope has been condemned by majority Western opinion. But from the Pope's point of view, it has not been necessary to have the numbers. It has been much more important to be speaking the truth. No one doubts the huge physical courage of the Pope, who survived a would-be assassin's bullet in May 1981, an attempt widely believed to be the work of the Soviet KGB. It surely was another aspect of that courage to stand so trenchantly against every tenet of received opinion in the Western world.

    The Pope has preached discipline, restraint and submission to legitimate authority in spiritual matters. This was never a contradiction of his insistence of human freedom in the political order. For even his view of the spiritual life has been based on the centrality of human freedom, the freedom of the human conscience to choose what is right. It is not the place of a church leader to give in to social fashion. The Western world is awash with self-indulgence and the pursuit of instant gratification. It hardly needed a church leader to tell it that this was all OK. Instead John Paul II has taken the much harder road of trying to remind the West of God, and the obligations of morality. Even those who have no religious belief can recognise that there is a benefit to society to have such a message delivered uncompromisingly by an authoritative leader.


    -The Tikkun Olam Pope (Lisa Palmieri-Billig, Apr. 3, 2005, THE JERUSALEM POST)
    Like other outstanding spiritual and political leaders, Karol Wojtyla began his career as an actor.

    Born with a talent for communication, an overpowering sensitivity and empathy for the human condition, steeped in a deeply religious Polish Catholic environment but surrounded by Jewish friends and classmates, he consequently embraced the moral imperative of transforming consciences according to his faith.

    Indelibly branded spiritually by the Holocaust, by World War II and communist tyranny, he embraced his mission fervently as an opportunity to help heal the world. He might well go down in Jewish history as the Tikkun Olam Pope.

    Run-of-the-mill priests can be identified by the quality of their voices. They have a holier-than-thou, desexed quality of resignation, devoid of of passions. Not so with Karol Wojtyla.


    Posted by David Cohen at 9:43 AM

    A FARM THE SIZE OF IRAQ

    FBI Finds Explosives in Nichols' Old Home (John Solomon, AP, 4/2/05)

    The FBI is facing the possibility it made an embarrassing oversight in the Oklahoma City bombing case a decade ago after new information led agents to explosive materials hidden in Terry Nichols' former home, which they had searched several times before.

    FBI officials said the material was found Thursday night and Friday in a crawl space of the house in Herington, Kan. They believe agents failed to check that space during the numerous searches of the property during the original investigation of Nichols and Timothy McVeigh.

    Agents are also investigating some tapered cylinders with Arabic markings found with the cache, but sources suggest that they are merely old farm implements. "From a skull and crossbones painted on the cylinders, we surmise that this is some sort of rodenticide."


    Posted by Peter Burnet at 9:17 AM

    MMM...SQUID.

    Dolphins flourish in North Sea (Martin Wainwright, The Guardian, April 2nd, 2005)

    Warmer water is washing unprecedented numbers of "southern" fish and other marine life into the previously inhospitable North Sea, according to a survey by university biologists.

    More than 600 sightings of dolphins and whales - some in schools of more than 200 - have been recorded in a year-long audit of waters between Britain, Scandinavia and Germany.

    Large shoals of sea bass, usually found off Cornwall, have added to the new ecology, astonishing fishermen, who described the number of squid in particular as "unreal". A volunteer fleet of fishing craft and pleasure yachts working for Newcastle University also charted an invasion of red mullet, pilchard and velvet crabs, all indicators of warmer seas.

    Notable sightings include a white-beaked dolphin and calf, and Risso's dolphins, which are thought to have followed migrating squid from the English Channel. The increase in prey has meanwhile tempted colder water species such as the killer whale to increase in numbers, harrying growing populations of seal.

    "The sea is changing," said a trawler skipper, Stephen Moss, whose ship, Green Pastures, of Blyth, Northumberland, has increasingly been trailed by dolphins in the last year. "We've been catching commercial quantities of red mullet and occasionally pilchard, and this year we were hauling in mackerel right up to Christmas. We're definitely seeing changes in the water temperature. The number of squid now is just unreal."

    Wouldn’t you just love to crash a UN meeting on climate change and tell them all that you’ve got great news?


    Posted by Peter Burnet at 8:52 AM

    STAYING ALIVE IS NO WAY TO TREAT LOVED ONES.


    (Letters, New York Times, April 1st, 2005)

    To the Editor:

    Re "Theresa Marie Schiavo" (editorial, April 1):

    I wonder how many of the politicians and citizens who called for Terri Schiavo to be kept alive have written directives to their families to keep themselves alive under similar conditions.

    I also wonder if they have made the necessary financial arrangements to pay for years or decades of long-term care, so they won't burden their loved ones or the taxpayer.

    Debra Jay
    Grosse Pointe Farm, Mich.
    April 1, 2005



    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:41 AM

    IN THE ABSENCE OF DIVINE JUSTICE:

    REVIEW: of Blood from a Stone by Donna Leon (LUCY ATKINS, Times of London)

    In Blood from a Stone, Donna Leon’s 14th Commissario Brunetti novel, the thoughtful and charming detective is on top form. Once again he strolls lovingly through Venice, while villains (including those in charge of the criminal justice system) crumble around him. And once again he remains dignified in the face of systemic corruption and the power-mongering of his seniors. [...]

    Although never truly compelling, the plot is solid enough. The novel’s real appeal, however, lies in the small print of Brunetti’s life: his utterly normal family, his liking for pastries, the exquisite lunches cooked by his wife Paola, his dislike of Christmas shopping. As he moves through the city, “keeping his voice moderate”, stopping for the occasional espresso, admiring a piece of architecture or greeting a friend, his nicely balanced world — against an unsavoury backdrop of greed and power — is cumulatively engrossing. In this domestic detail, Leon roots the power of the ordinary, moral individual. Consequently, as Brunetti quietly undermines his seniors, there is a comforting sense that truth will triumph, even if the victory can only ever be a moral one.


    No neocon portrays Europe in any worse light than does Ms Leon in her fiction.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:30 AM

    TRICKY DEVILS:

    Patrick Kennedy's decision (Robert Novak, April 2, 2005, Townhall)

    Close supporters of Democratic Rep. Patrick Kennedy tipped off his Wednesday announcement that he would not run for the U.S. Senate from Rhode Island. They said the race would be "risky" and might be a "trap" to eliminate Kennedy from politics.

    The trap, of course, consists of having to speak in public without making a fool of himself. A debate between him and the junior Chaffee would have lowered the average IQ of the United States by as much as 3 points.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:22 AM

    WHY'D THEY HAVE THE TAPE?:

    Error puts strippers on public access TV (AP, 4/02/05)

    Viewers expecting to see the latest local meeting on their public access channel got an eyeful recently when Cablevision played a tape of nude dancers accidentally.

    The mistake affected customers in parts of Dutchess, Ulster, Putnam and Orange counties.

    Hopewell Junction resident George Morton returned home from Palm Sunday Mass and turned on his television to see a striptease contest.

    "I thought, this is terrible," Morton said. "I don't get HBO or anything like that."

    Cablevision said Thursday it was not a public access program and that a "program switching error" occurred.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:18 AM

    THEOCONS CLAMATIS IN DESERTO:

    Zimbabwe Regime Claims Win Amid Charges: Parliamentary vote favors Mugabe's party, but the opposition alleges pervasive fraud. Rice adds U.S. voice to the chorus of criticism. (Robyn Dixon, April 2, 2005, LA Times)

    Ruling party officials claimed a crushing victory Friday in parliamentary elections, but opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai condemned what he called massive fraud and called on Zimbabweans to defend their rights.

    The opposition Movement for Democratic Change appeared to have lost seats from the 57 it won in 2000. But criticism of the election here and in the West underscored the view that its losses were due to fraud by the regime of President Robert Mugabe.

    Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, who earlier this year included Zimbabwe on a list of "outposts of tyranny," said Friday that the vote was neither free nor fair.

    "The independent press was muzzled, freedom of assembly was constrained, food was used as a weapon to sway hungry voters, and millions of Zimbabweans who have been forced by the nation's economic collapse to emigrate were disenfranchised," Rice said in a statement.


    Where are the Democrats, black leaders, and all the rest who should be denouncing Mugabe?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:14 AM

    IF YOU COULD REVERSE JUST ONE MOMENT IN AMERICAN HISTORY, THIS SEEMS THE BEST BET:

    President Calls for War Declaration, Stronger Navy, New Army of 500,000 Men, Full Co-operation With Germany's Foes (NY Times, April 2, 1917)


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:01 AM

    HE'S LUCKY WE WON THE WAR SO EASILY:

    Fred Korematsu, 86, Dies; Lost Key Suit on Internment (RICHARD GOLDSTEIN, 4/01/05, NY Times)

    Fred T. Korematsu, who lost a Supreme Court challenge in 1944 to the wartime internment of Japanese-Americans but gained vindication decades later when he was given the Medal of Freedom, died on Wednesday in Larkspur, Calif. Mr. Korematsu, who lived in San Leandro, Calif., was 86.

    The cause was a respiratory ailment, said Don Tamaki, a lawyer for Mr. Korematsu.

    When he was arrested in 1942 for failing to report to an internment center, Mr. Korematsu was working as a welder and simply hoping to be left alone so he could pursue his marriage plans. He became a central figure in the controversy over the wartime removal of more than 100,000 Japanese-Americans and Japanese immigrants from the West Coast to inland detention centers. He emerged as a symbol of resistance to government authority.

    When President Bill Clinton presented Mr. Korematsu with the Medal of Freedom, the nation's highest civilian award, in January 1998, the president likened him to Linda Brown and Rosa Parks in the civil rights struggles of the 1950's. [...]

    In December 1944 in Korematsu v. the United States, the Supreme Court upheld internment by a vote of 6 to 3. Justice Hugo L. Black, remembered today as a stout civil liberties advocate, wrote in the opinion that Mr. Korematsu was not excluded "because of hostility to him or his race" but because the United States was at war with Japan, and the military "feared an invasion of our West Coast."

    In dissenting, Justice Frank Murphy wrote that the exclusion order "goes over the very brink of constitutional power and falls into the ugly abyss of racism."

    The case was revisited long afterward when Peter Irons, a professor of political science at the University of California, San Diego, discovered documents that indicated that when it went to the Supreme Court, the government had suppressed its own findings that Japanese-Americans on the West Coast were not, in fact, security threats.


    One of the mosdt amusing things about successive generations of nativists is that they hold up the groups their fathers and grandfathers fought against as models of how immigrants should assimilate.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:51 AM

    THE ANALOGY TO ANNOYING INSECTS SEEMS ALL TOO APT:

    'Blog Swarm' Stings the FEC (K. Daniel Glover, April 2, 2005, National Journal)

    The Federal Election Commission's announcement that it intends to extend campaign finance restrictions to Internet communications is generating plenty of hostility online, particularly among the Web diarists known as bloggers.

    After one FEC commissioner hinted that the agency might slap regulations on the Web activists sometimes credited with rallying the masses during the 2004 presidential election campaign, bloggers protested online. "This is something bloggers of all political stripes should unite against," syndicated newspaper columnist Michelle Malkin declared on her blog.

    Most of the FEC commissioners insist that they have no interest in regulating the political speech of individual Web users. In draft regulations approved on March 24, the agency says that the proposed rules are designed to "have an extremely limited impact, if any, on the use of the Internet by individuals."

    But many bloggers remain skeptical. In reaction to the FEC's plan to harness part of the Internet, individual online activists set off a "blog swarm."



    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:40 AM

    500 MPG JUST AROUND THE CORNER...:

    HYBRID-CAR TINKERERS SCOFF AT NO-PLUG-IN RULE (DANNY HAKIM, April 2, 2005, NY Times)

    Ron Gremban and Felix Kramer have modified a Toyota Prius so it can be plugged into a wall outlet.

    This does not make Toyota happy. The company has spent millions of dollars persuading people that hybrid electric cars like the Prius never need to be plugged in and work just like normal cars. So has Honda, which even ran a commercial that showed a guy wandering around his Civic hybrid fruitlessly searching for a plug.

    But the idea of making hybrid cars that have the option of being plugged in is supported by a diverse group of interests, from neoconservatives who support greater fuel efficiency to utilities salivating at the chance to supplant oil with electricity. If you were able to plug a hybrid in overnight, you could potentially use a lot less gas by cruising for long stretches on battery power only. But unlike purely electric cars, which take hours to charge and need frequent recharging, you would not have to plug in if you did not want to.

    "I've gotten anywhere from 65 to over 100 miles per gallon," said Mr. Gremban, an engineer at CalCars, a small nonprofit group based in Palo Alto, Calif. He gets 40 to 45 miles per gallon driving his normal Prius. And EnergyCS, a small company that has collaborated with CalCars, has modified another Prius with more sophisticated batteries; they claim their Prius gets up to 180 m.p.g. and can travel more than 30 miles on battery power.

    "If you cover people's daily commute, maybe they'll go to the gas station once a month," said Mr. Kramer, the founder of CalCars. "That's the whole idea."



    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:06 AM

    I DON'T CARE THAT MUCH...:

    Slow start for Minutemen (MICHAEL CORONADO, 4/01/05, The Orange County Register

    Hundreds of Minuteman Project volunteers expected to converge on southern Arizona today have yet to materialize.

    All that bitching from the nativists and no one shows up to reclaim our borders?


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    HOPEFULLY HE TOOK THEM OUT OF HIS PANTS FIRST?:

    Berger: Taking Documents Was Not 'Honest Mistake' (Indy Channel, April 1, 2005)

    Sandy Berger now admits that it was no "honest mistake" when he took classified documents from the National Archives.

    The former Clinton national security adviser pleaded guilty Friday to taking the documents and cutting them up with scissors. Berger told a federal judge in Washington that he intentionally took three copies of a document about terror threats, and destroyed them.

    The documents deal with the government's anti-terror efforts during the 2000 millennium celebration.


    April 1, 2005

    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:24 PM

    WOULD IT KILL YA' TO HAVE A SALAD ONCE IN AWHILE? (via Pat H):

    Lawmaker Wants Teachers Weighed For Obesity (Hawaii Channel, March 22, 2005)

    A state lawmaker has suggested Hawaii's public schoolteachers be forced to weigh in as part of the fight against obesity in students.

    A resolution in the state house would create an obesity database among teachers. The idea isn't being well received by the teachers union.

    Promoting a healthy lifestyle through physical education and health classes are part of the curriculum being taught in Hawaii's schools today.


    Attacking obesity is a good idea for society generally and is certainly a legitimate concern of an employer both for medical and moral reasons.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:20 PM

    So everyone is on death watch in Rome and on a quick glance at Fox News I thought they were referring to the view they had on-screen as "Vaticam."


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:16 PM

    THE UNDERLYING MYSTERY:

    The Soul of a Controversy: After Terri Schiavo's death, questions remain. (DAVID B. HART, April 1, 2005, Opinion Journal)

    [I] heard three people on the radio last week speculating on the whereabouts of her "soul." [...]

    What caught my attention was the unreflective dualism to which all three clearly subscribed: The soul, they assumed, is a kind of magical essence haunting the body, a ghost in a machine.

    This is in fact a peculiarly modern view of the matter, not much older than the 17th-century philosophy of Descartes. While it is now the model to which most of us habitually revert when talking about the soul--whether we believe in such things or not--it has scant basis in either Christian or Jewish tradition.

    The "living soul" of Scripture is the whole corporeal and spiritual totality of a person whom the breath of God has wakened to life. Thomas Aquinas, interpreting centuries of Christian and pagan metaphysics, defined the immortal soul as the "form of the body," the vital power animating, pervading, shaping an individual from the moment of conception, drawing all the energies of life into a unity.

    This is not to deny that, for Christian tradition, the soul transcends and survives the earthly life of the body. It is only to say that the soul, rather than being a kind of "guest" within the self, is instead the underlying mystery of a life in its fullness. In it the multiplicity of experience is knit into a single continuous and developing identity. It encompasses all the dimensions of human existence: animal functions and abstract intellect, sensation and reason, emotion and reflection, flesh and spirit, natural aptitude and supernatural longing. As such, it grants us an openness to the world of which no other creature is capable, allowing us to take in reality through feeling and thought, recognition and surprise, will and desire, memory and anticipation, imagination and curiosity, delight and sorrow, invention and art.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:50 PM

    NEEDS A SHOT OF REDEMPTION:

    Sin City (ROGER EBERT, March 30, 2005, Chicago Sun-Times)

    This isn't an adaptation of a comic book, it's like a comic book brought to life and pumped with steroids. It contains characters who occupy stories, but to describe the characters and summarize the stories would be like replacing the weather with a weather map.

    The movie is not about narrative but about style. It internalizes the harsh world of the Frank Miller "Sin City" comic books and processes it through computer effects, grotesque makeup, lurid costumes and dialogue that chops at the language of noir. The actors are mined for the archetypes they contain; Bruce Willis, Mickey Rourke, Jessica Alba, Rosario Dawson, Benicio Del Toro, Clive Owen and the others are rotated into a hyperdimension. We get not so much their presence as their essence; the movie is not about what the characters say or what they do, but about who they are in our wildest dreams.

    On the movie's Web site, there's a slide show juxtaposing the original drawings of Frank Miller with the actors playing the characters, and then with the actors transported by effects into the visual world of graphic novels. Some of the stills from the film look so much like frames of the comic book as to make no difference. And there's a narration that plays like the captions at the top of the frame, setting the stage and expressing a stark existential world view.

    Rodriguez has been aiming toward "Sin City" for years. I remember him leaping out of his chair and bouncing around a hotel room, pantomiming himself filming "Spy Kids 2" with a digital camera and editing it on a computer. The future! he told me. This is the future! You don't wait six hours for a scene to be lighted. You want a light over here, you grab a light and put it over here. You want a nuclear submarine, you make one out of thin air and put your characters into it.

    I held back, wondering if perhaps the Spy Kids would have been better served if the films had not been such a manic demonstration of his method. But never mind; the first two "Spy Kids" were exuberant fun ("Spy Kids 3-D" sucked, in great part because of the 3-D). Then came his "Once Upon a Time in Mexico" (2003), and I wrote it was "more interested in the moment, in great shots, in surprises and ironic reversals and closeups of sweaty faces, than in a coherent story." Yes, but it worked.

    And now Rodriguez has found narrative discipline in the last place you might expect, by choosing to follow the Miller comic books almost literally.


    Bloodsport: The genius of Sin City (David Edelstein, March 31, 2005, Slate)
    As a film critic, I have often bemoaned the amorality and opportunism of the vigilante genre, as well as the sadism and righteous torture on display in movies and television in the wake of Sept. 11. From time to time, I have also lamented the explosion of the comic-book superhero genre. With the recent exceptions of Spider-Man 2 and The Incredibles, these cookie-cutter action thrillers have been crafted for a generation weaned on Game Boys. Meanwhile, computerized effects have taken cinema farther and farther from the world that human beings actually inhabit. And now comes cinema's latest devolutionary milestone, Sin City (Miramax), a graphic novel come to life, its sets copied from the page and regenerated in three dimensions inside a computer, and boasting the most relentless display of torture and sadism I've encountered in a mainstream movie.

    My reaction to Sin City is easily stated. I loved it. Or, to put it another way, I loved it, I loved it, I loved it. I loved every gorgeous sick disgusting ravishing overbaked blood-spurting artificial frame of it. A tad hypocritical? Yes. But sometimes you think, "Well, I'll just go to hell."


    Sin City (Peter T. Chattaway, 04/01/05, Christianity Today)
    Between the Spy Kids and El Mariachi franchises—to say nothing of his work on the original From Dusk Till Dawn—Robert Rodriguez has been making live-action cartoons for so long, it was probably only a matter of time before he made a live-action comic book.

    Sin City is based on a series of graphic novels (from Dark Horse Comics) written and drawn by Frank Miller, and it is difficult to imagine a director better suited to Miller's pulpy, anarchistic style than Rodriguez. Miller may work on more mainstream titles from time to time—recent comic-book movies like Elektra (based on a character created by Miller) and the upcoming Batman Begins (inspired, in part, by Miller's classic Batman: Year One storyline) definitely bear his imprint—but the independently produced Sin City arguably captures Miller's sleazy, sadomasochistic cynicism in its purest form. There is a wildness, a craziness, to Miller's stories that bleeds—no, sprays—off the page, and whatever else we might say about this film, Rodriguez does capture that element very well. [...]

    [T]he world Miller and Rodriguez have created is so bleak and nasty it's difficult to see what lasting value any sort of redemption could have here.


    The failure to include a redemptive message completely misapprehends the very noir conventions that they've tried so hard to pay homage to.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:50 PM

    PVS NATION:

    Business confidence crumbled last quarter (HIROKO NAKATA, 4/02/05, Japan Times)

    Business confidence at Japan's large manufacturers deteriorated sharply in the January-March quarter.

    According to the Bank of Japan's "tankan" survey released Friday, the outlook for the next quarter remains cautious.

    A slower-than-expected recovery in the information technology sector and high oil prices dented corporate sentiment, despite hopes that the country's economy would soon shake itself out of its lull, economists said.

    "Today's tankan became the final blow to expectations that the economy would recover rapidly," said Yasunari Ueno, chief market economist at Mizuho Securities Co.


    If Japan were married to Michael Schiavo he'd pull the tube.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:40 PM

    EVEN THE FACULTY LOUNGE ISN'T SAFE:

    Academic Extinction: More and More, Evolutionary Theory is Becoming Nothing More than Darwinian Mantra (David Berlinski, April 1, 2005, Daily Californian)

    >After alluding to Intelligent Design at a faculty cocktail party—Je m'imagine cela—the dean of undergraduate education at the University of Calfornia at Berkeley was amazed and remarked “that colleagues indicated a great deal of sympathy for this alternative to ‘Darwinism.’”

    His amazement notwithstanding, the dean's defense was a model of evasive circumspection.

    “Although I told them that few, if any, reputable biologists in the country subscribe to intelligent design, I could tell that they were not persuaded. Somewhat dismayed, I turned to other, more congenial issues.”

    Now these are remarkable words, if only because they reveal that a prominent academic regards it as quite natural to be dismayed on those occasions when his views are disputed. They are remarkable as well because they indicate that the dean is persuaded that dissent might in the case of Darwin's theory be ended by an appeal to what “reputable biologists believe.”

    My dear dean. Allow me to set you straight. It is precisely the reputable biologists who are under attack. For the first time, they are being asked to defend the thesis that biological design is more apparent rather than real. The effort has left them breathless. They are, of course, not about to surrender their ideological allegiances. Their rhetoric fills the op-ed columns of every liberal newspaper and is conveyed additionally by academic allies whose welfare is contingent on theirs —analytic philosophers, pop psychologists, and even newspaper columnists eager beyond measure to do anything but attentively study the evidence.

    But what is at issue, of course, is not what reputable biologists believe, but whether it is true.


    At least it used to be only wahoos telling them they were wrong--now it's their peers.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:27 PM

    WHILE DEMOGRAPHICS DICTATE...:

    Francis Arinze: First black pope? (UWE SIEMON-NETTO, 4/01/05, UPI)

    If Cardinal Francis Arinze were to be elected the first black pope, this would simply reflect a Christian reality, Roman Catholic or otherwise. Africa has become Christianity's powerhouse. It is on that continent that the body of Christ grows most robustly, while it ails in the secularized Northern Hemisphere. [...]

    In dealing with non-Christians, Arinze displays great intellectual clarity that is helpful for Christians struggling with the daunting question of whether others, too, can be saved. Arinze stays well clear of syncretism. "The other religions are expressions of the human soul seeking God, with some beautiful spiritual insights, but also not without error. Christianity is rather God seeking humanity," he once said, adding that those who do not know Christ are still included in God's plan for salvation.

    But he went on, "There are ... conditions. They (the non-Christians) must be sincere in their seeking of God. They must be open to the secret but real action of the Holy Spirit in them. They should follow their conscience in all matters of right and wrong."

    He is an easy-going, humorous man who loves a good laugh -- and sports, especially soccer and tennis. But when it comes to doctrine, he is as hardnosed as John Paul II. Arinze does not shy away from reading self-indulgent Westerners the riot act.

    Earlier in 2003, he shocked students and professors at Washington's Georgetown University when he told them in a commencement speech: "In many parts of the world, the family is under siege, opposed by an anti-life mentality as seen in contraception, abortion, infanticide and euthanasia. It is scorned and banalized by pornography, desecrated by fornication and adultery, mocked by homosexuality, sabotaged by irregular unions, and cut in two by divorce."

    At 71, Arinze is the perfect age for a pope.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:19 PM

    A JEW WAS GOOD ENOUGH FOR CHRIST, AFTER ALL:

    Jean-Marie Lustiger: Second Jewish Pope? (UWE SIEMON-NETTO, UPI)

    France was stunned when Pope John Paul II named Jewish-born Jean-Marie Lustiger as archbishop of Paris. "You are the fruit of the Holy Father's prayer," the pontiff's secretary told him. Could it be that the cardinal-electors will now stun the world by choosing Lustiger as next pope, the first Jew to occupy St. Peter's See since Peter himself?

    Lustiger, both whose parents died in Auschwitz, has always insisted that, though he had converted to Christianity at age 14, he was and remained a Jew: "I was born a Jew and so I am. For me, the vocation of Israel is to bring light to the goyim. That's my hope, and I believe Christianity is the means for achieving it."

    There is a remarkable conversion dialectic in Lustiger's life. He had himself baptized because he was so impressed with the Catholic faith of his foster parents, who brought him up after his real parents had been deported from Paris in 1940. In return, Lustiger has made it his mission to convert -- or, rather, re-evangelize -- France and by extension Europe in an unorthodox way.

    While a parish priest, Lustiger wrote a memorandum to archbishop of Paris, Cardinal François Marty. In it he proposed a revolutionary strategy for bringing Christianity back to France, once called the First Daughter of the Church. He insisted the church must abandon any pretense of power and convert culture instead.

    As George Weigel, the pope's biographer, commented on this plan: "This meant taking the gospel straight to the molders and shapers of French high culture, the thoroughly secularized French intelligentsia. The hardest cases should be put first and France should be reconverted from the head down."

    According to Weigel, Lustiger believes this memorandum must have found its way to the Vatican and contributed to his promotions to bishop of Orleans in 1979, archbishop of Paris in 1981 and cardinal in 1983.

    If so, Lustiger's strategy is bearing fruit.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:55 PM

    IMPORTING REPUBLICANS:

    Results of Hispanic poll stir voucher debate (Jenny LaCoste-Caputo, 4/01/05, San Antonio Express-News)

    The poll targeted about 1,000 Hispanics in Bexar, Dallas, Harris, Tarrant and Travis counties and asked about everything from teacher quality and segregation in schools to educators' expectations of Latino children.

    It found that more than 70 percent statewide either strongly or somewhat favored a statewide school choice program and nearly 76 percent favored a limited pilot school choice program. Less than 29 percent of respondents described the overall quality of education that low-income, inner-city Latino children receive as excellent or good.

    "In my opinion, it is a call for action," said Rebeca Nieves Huffman, president of the Washington, D.C.-based Hispanic Council for Reform and Educational Options, the group that sponsored the poll.


    Democrats servitude to Teachers unions should eventually cost them black and Hispanic votes.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:22 PM

    IS ALISTAIR COOKE DOING THE INTERVIEW?:

    BBC in Marley gaffe (Agence France-Presse, April 02, 2005)

    A RED-faced BBC has apologised for requesting an interview with Bob Marley, the Jamaican reggae legend who died 24 years ago.

    BBC Three, one of the public broadcaster's digital TV channels, sent an e-mail to the Bob Marley Foundation saying it wanted to do a documentary about his hit song No Woman No Cry.

    It said the project would involve Marley - who died of cancer in May 1981 at the age of 36 - "spending one or two days with us", and that "it would only work with some participation from Bob Marley himself".


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:49 PM

    DOES ANYONE OUTSIDE THE DEMOCRATIC CLOAKROOM STILL THINK THEY'RE WINNING?:

    Clerics Urge Iraqis to Join Security Force (SINAN SALAHEDDIN, 4/01/05, Associated Press)

    Influential Sunni Muslim clerics who once condemned Iraqi security force members as traitors made a surprise turnaround Friday and encouraged citizens to join the nascent police and army.

    If heeded, the announcement could strengthen the image of the officers and soldiers trying to take over the fight against the Sunni-led insurgency. [...]

    Ahmed Abdul Ghafour al-Samarrai, a cleric in the Association of Muslim Scholars, read the edict during a sermon at a major Sunni mosque in Baghdad. He said it was necessary for Sunnis to join the security forces to prevent Iraqi police and army from falling into "the hands of those who have caused chaos, destruction and violated the sanctities."

    It seemed to be a recognition by the Sunni minority, which dominated under former dictator Saddam Hussein, that Iraq's interim government is slowly retaking control of the nation and paving the way for a U.S. withdrawal.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:56 PM

    INSUFFICIENT NEGRITUDE:

    Self-Hatred at Harvard (Margaret Kimberly, The Black Commentator)

    Nothing can ruin a Sunday morning like a New York Times magazine article with a dubious title such as, Toward a Unified Theory of Black America. The alarm bells are immediate because the Times loves to give attention to black people who are either in jail or on welfare or who have impeccable credentials but who are horribly confused.

    Roland Fryer is in the latter category. He is a 27-year old assistant professor of economics at Harvard. His ideas explain why economics is called the dismal science. The word dismal doesn’t begin to describe the damage to black people that Fryer and his ilk can cause.


    Dissent from Mau-Mauism must not be tolerated.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:06 PM

    LISTEN TO YOUR UNCLE MILTY:

    Friedman: Consumption tax best, but unlikely (William L. Watts, 3/31/05, MarketWatch)

    A relatively pure consumption tax would be the most efficient revenue system for the government, but is unlikely to occur because it would offer politicians little ability to dole out special favors, Nobel prize-winning economist Milton Friedman told President Bush's advisory tax panel Thursday.

    "I think most economists today would come close to agreeing that the major tax ought to be a flat-rate tax on consumption. Whether that tax is collected by a retail sales tax or whether it's collected by the way the income tax is by individual reporting would be open" for debate, Friedman told the panel, as it held a public hearing in San Francisco.

    Such a tax would be ideal in part because it would encourage savings, Friedman said.



    Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:33 PM

    SWEEP?:

    Mugabe's party sweeps to victory (BBC, 4/01/05)

    President Robert Mugabe's Zanu-PF party has swept to victory in Zimbabwe's parliamentary elections.

    So far the party has taken 40 seats, official results show - enough to guarantee Mr Mugabe's party will control the legislature. [...]

    The Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) has won 32 seats so far, mostly in urban areas, where it is strongest.

    A total of 120 seats are being contested, with another 30 MPs appointed by the president.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:03 AM

    THE WAY TO DUSTY DEATH:

    Skin Cells, Pollen Contribute to Air Pollution (Scientific American, 4/01/05)

    When modeling climate, scientists must account for a large number of variables. One of the most challenging is the effect of small particulates suspended in the atmosphere, which can either reflect or absorb incoming radiation from the sun and thus alter its influence. The most common types of aerosols are soot, ash and other man-made particles as well as naturally derived dust and salt. Until now, plants and animals have been considered a small source of particulate pollution. But a new study suggests that up to 25 percent of aerosols worldwide could be coming from biological sources, including fur, skin, pollen and bacteria.

    Ruprecht Jaenicke of the Institute of Atmospheric Physics in Mainz, Germany, gathered air samples from around the globe at different times of the year and analyzed their content. He found evidence of a variety of cellular and protein particles--from dandruff to algae, bacteria to viruses--injected directly into the air.


    Well, the Europeans are doing their best to reduce the human problem.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:51 AM

    WHAT THE SPECTER LEFT BEHIND:

    Joblessness casts a cloud on politics of Europe: Schröder and Chirac face hurdles after dismal numbers (Mark Landler, April 1, 2005, The New York Times)

    As Germany and France released a fresh batch of dismal employment numbers on Thursday, the specter of seemingly ineradicable joblessness is hanging over both Europe's economic recovery and the fortunes of its political leaders.

    Unemployment in Germany rose to 12 percent in March, a record in the post-World War II period, while in France, the rate remained at 10.1 percent in February, its highest level in five years.

    Economists and public officials struggled to find a silver lining in the statistical clouds, but political analysts said the trends were negative for the German chancellor, Gerhard Schröder, and the French president, Jacques Chirac, who face difficult ballots in May.


    It's all silver.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:28 AM

    NO SENSE OF WHERE YOU ARE:

    Bill Bradley to challenge Corzine for Governor (STEVE KORNACKI, 4/01/05, PoliticsNJ.com)

    And just like that New Jersey Democrats have a ferocious gubernatorial primary on their hands.

    Bill Bradley, who represented New Jersey in the U.S. Senate for eight years and unsuccessfully sought the Democratic presidential nomination in 2000, confirmed late Thursday night that he will enter the race for governor, delivering a stunning jolt to a state Democratic Party that thought it had warded off a primary when Acting Governor Richard J. Codey declined to seek a full term in February.

    Bradley, who declared politics "broken" when he exited the Senate a decade ago, confirmed that he will emerge from a five-year absence from the public stage on Monday and formally announce his candidacy outside the State House.


    I hate this day.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:13 AM

    PROOF OF LIFE:

    Abductors demand millions, then break off all contact (TAMARA AUDI, April 1, 2005, Detroit Free Press)

    "We have your package."

    An unfamiliar male voice crackled over the cell phone of Tigers pitcher Ugueth Urbina.

    "What package?" Urbina said.

    "Oh, yeah, we got your mother," the voice said.

    Maura Villarreal had been missing for more than a week, and this was the first contact from the kidnappers. They would not let Urbina talk to her.

    He remembered what the police told him: Remain calm. Do not yell or threaten. The conversation lasted two minutes; the captors made no demands. The early September phone call was the start of the slow, nerve-racking waltz that is kidnap negotiation.

    Urbina knew from police and private security experts that the process usually began this way. First contact was merely to establish a relationship. Demands would come eventually, and they did. The kidnappers wanted $6 million.

    The kidnappers allowed Maura's sons -- Ugueth, Ulmer, Ulises and Juan Manuel -- to ask questions only their mother could answer; they relayed the questions to Maura, then gave her sons the answers. It was their proof of life.

    Urbina later said the kidnappers never threatened to kill his mother if he didn't pay. If they had, he said, he would have relented.

    "For your mother, you do anything," he said. "You give your life if you have to."

    But no one asked him to give his life. No one asked him to do anything but wait and keep talking to the kidnappers. Keep the lines open, but never agree to pay.

    Then, in late December, the kidnappers stopped calling.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:44 AM

    SAY HELLO TO TOM CARVEL:

    Frank Perdue Dies at 84 After Illness (AP, 4/01/05)

    Frank Perdue, who built a backyard egg business into one of the nation's largest poultry processors using the folksy slogan, "It takes a tough man to make a tender chicken," has died, the company said Friday.

    He died after a brief illness at the age of 84. [...]

    In 1971, Perdue became his company's television pitchman, and the first to advertise chickens by brand. His tough, folksy TV persona helped boost sales from $56 million in 1970 to more than $1.2 billion by 1991.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:19 AM

    LAND OF THE DELTA BLUES:

    The backwater that rocked the world: As a preview to this month’s Barbican celebration of the Mississippi city, we devote time to the historic home of the blues and rock’n’roll. Here, our correspondent makes his own pilgrimage to Tennessee and finds how racial tensions triggered the revolution (John Clarke, 4/01/05, Times of London))

    THERE are plenty of musical cities around the world but none of them has come close to having the same worldwide impact on popular music as Memphis, Tennessee.

    “They’ve got catfish on the table, they’ve got gospel in the air,” sang Marc Cohn in Walking in Memphis. There’s also the tradition of blues, jazz and country music that stretches back decades. It’s a city where black met white and set off a seismic musical shift that still reverberates today. That such a revolution took place in a racially-segregated city which many saw as backward and reactionary is just one of the paradoxes of Memphis.

    It was in the years immediately after the Secord World War that Memphis music changed irrevocably. The city became a stopping-off point for thousands of black people who left the Mississippi Delta in search of prosperity in the big cities. Many of those passing through stopped and put down roots. And it wasn’t just a black migration. Vernon and Gladys Presley, with their young son Elvis, moved to Memphis from rural Tupelo in 1948 in search of a better life.

    Sam C. Phillips, a recording engineer, had moved to Memphis from Alabama and ended up supervising big-band broadcasts from the Peabody Hotel. But as the Presley biographer Peter Guralnick has pointed out, Phillips had a nobler idea in mind. “I thought to myself: suppose that I would have been born black . . . I think I felt from the beginning the total iniquity of man’s inhumanity to his brother.”

    Phillips opened his own recording studio in 1950 with the aim of of “providing an opportunity for some of the great negro artists”. And great they were, ranging from the gut-bucket blues of the larger than life Howlin’ Wolf, the artist he called his greatest discovery, to the one-man-band Dr Ross.

    That didn’t stop Presley...


    Mr. Cohn's tune also contains one of the better lines in all of rock...:
    [T]here's a pretty little thing
    Waiting for the King
    Down in the Jungle Room

    ...though we, of course, deplore the implications.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:01 AM

    WHERE'S MBEKI?:

    Zimbabwe Opposition Expecting Fraud: Evidence of Voting Irregularities Mounts (Craig Timberg, April 1, 2005, Washington Post)

    Opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai called on Zimbabweans to "defend their vote," as evidence mounted that widespread irregularities would deprive the party of its bid to gain a majority of parliamentary seats in Thursday's election.

    He stopped short of calling for demonstrations, and the streets of Zimbabwe's major cities remained calm, but Tsvangirai left open the possibility of calling for protests. "Just wait," he told reporters.

    Early results concentrated in the traditional urban strongholds of the opposition showed the Movement for Democratic Change getting 31 seats compared to eight for President Robert G. Mugabe's Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF), in power since the country became independent in 1980.

    But opposition leaders said there is little chance their lead will hold as votes in rural areas are announced. Those areas, where Mugabe's aggressive program of land redistribution has earned him support, are traditionally held by ZANU-PF. According to human rights groups and other observers, the opportunity for rigging results is greatest in these same areas.

    A bellwether district including southern Harare, the capital, went to the ruling party after its boundaries were extensively redrawn to include a rural area where many residents had been given land formerly owned by a white commercial farmer.

    In previous elections, the opposition had won that seat and all others in Harare.


    Voting Pattern Emerging Following Zimbabwe Poll (VOA News, 01 April 2005)
    With about a third of the results of the Zimbabwean parliamentary result announced, the opposition Movement for Democratic Change is reaffirming its popularity in urban areas.

    The results of 39 of the 120 seats at stake in the Zimbabwean parliamentary election held Thursday are now known.

    The opposition Movement for Democratic Change has won 31 of those seats mostly in its urban strongholds of Harare and Bulawayo.

    Zanu-PF which lost all Harare seats in 2000 to the MDC has won one back in Harare South, a constituency that had its boundaries re-drawn to include an army barracks.

    A nephew of President Robert Mugabe, Patrick Zhuwawo, won the new constituency of Manyame for Zanu-PF, which also includes an army barracks.


    Funny how the Times says it's the farmers who made a difference while the VOA suggests it was soldiers, eh?

    MORE:
    Mostly peaceful, but hardly fair (The Economist Global Agenda, Apr 1st 2005)

    FIRST the good news: the parliamentary elections held in Zimbabwe on Thursday March 31st were mostly peaceful. However, they were neither free nor fair and are unlikely to bring much change to the troubled southern African country. President Robert Mugabe’s ruling party, ZANU-PF, did well in the rural areas, especially in the north. Surprisingly, it also picked up a seat in the capital, Harare. The opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) again collected most seats in urban areas. With results for 120 contested single-member constituencies likely to be declared by the weekend, there was no doubt who will control parliament. Mr Mugabe gets to nominate an extra 30 (unelected) parliamentarians for his ruling party, so ZANU will run the show even if the MDC picks up more elected seats. But Mr Mugabe’s ambition to control two-thirds of the seats—which would allow him to alter the constitution to his advantage—may have been foiled.

    If the opposition is more popular in the cities then take to the streets.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:55 AM

    MOVING ON RUMOR, NOT REALITY:

    Oil Surges After 'Spike' Prediction: A Goldman analyst says crude could reach $105 a barrel in 2007. Other experts are skeptical. (Jerry Hirsch, April 1, 2005, LA Times)

    Oil and gasoline prices surged Thursday after a Wall Street analyst warned of a coming "super spike" that could send crude to $105 a barrel.

    Light sweet crude for May delivery jumped $1.41 to $55.40 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, $1.32 shy of the record close on March 18. Gasoline for April delivery closed at a record $1.655 a gallon, up 5.88 cents.

    In a report to investors, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analyst Arjun Murti said surprisingly high demand in the U.S. and China combined with a lack of infrastructure to get oil out of the ground had created a supply imbalance that could be corrected only by dramatically higher prices — which in turn would depress demand.

    In Murti's super-spike scenario, he estimates that the cost of a barrel of oil will rise to $75 next year and $105 in 2007 before gradually sliding back to just $30 by 2010 as high prices spur investment in oil and cause demand to shrink. But Murti also issued a more conservative forecast in which he raised the investment bank's 2005 and 2006 crude price forecasts to $50 and $55, respectively, from $41 and $40.


    he could have saved time by saying: "prices will be coming down in the longer term regardless of the short term."


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:45 AM

    WHAT KIND OF QUALIFICATIONS ARE THOSE?:

    Loyalists Picked for Pentagon Posts: Bush names technocrat and veteran Foreign Service officer to replace Wolfowitz and Feith, cited as lightning rods for roles in Iraq war. (John Hendren, April 1, 2005, LA Times)

    President Bush chose longtime administration loyalists for the second- and third-ranking Pentagon posts Thursday, nominating Navy Secretary Gordon R. England as deputy Defense secretary and Eric S. Edelman, the departing U.S. ambassador to Turkey, as undersecretary of Defense for policy.

    If England is confirmed by the Senate, Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld would have one of his most trusted aides in charge of the U.S. military's day-to-day operations. The current deputy secretary, Paul D. Wolfowitz, was approved Thursday as the head of the World Bank.

    Edelman would replace Douglas J. Feith as undersecretary of Defense for policy, a position that was largely responsible for the planning of postwar Iraq. In January, Feith announced his intention to leave this summer.

    Bush is seeking to replace two of the most controversial figures in the administration, both known as lightning rods for political opponents who describe them as neoconservative architects of the Iraq war, with lower-profile figures who draw less partisan fire.


    So much for Democratic hopes that he'd appoint disloyal ignoramuses.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:39 AM

    ONE LOSS FROM DESPAIR:

    Sox have clear psychological edge (Dan Shaughnessy, April 1, 2005, Boston Globe)

    The Red Sox are better than the Yankees.

    You don't have to really believe it. Just keep saying it. It's the power of positive thinking. If you say it enough times and put all negativity out of your mind, it will become the truth.

    The Red Sox are better than the Yankees because the Sox players think they are better than the Yankees. They are better because they put a hurt on the Bronx Bombers that will never go away. No matter how many millions George Steinbrenner spends, no matter how much they talk about those 26 World Series titles or seven straight first-place finishes . . . the 2005 Yankees start the season knowing they choked like no team in the history of baseball.

    Back in October, just seconds before Mayor Thomas M. Menino instructed the newly minted champions to "mount your ducks," Red Sox captain/catcher Jason Varitek reminded Sox Nation that Boston fans forever will be able to walk into Yankee Stadium with their heads held high.

    And so it is for the Sox ballplayers. It may look like the Yankees are better than the Red Sox because they picked up Randy Johnson, Carl Pavano, and Jaret Wright while the Sox lost Pedro Martinez and Derek Lowe, but do not be fooled. Even if the Red Sox finish second to the Yanks for an eighth straight season, it will mean nothing because Boston will have the advantage come playoff time. The Sox have the Yankees' number. We all know that now.


    If the Sox lose on Sunday night the whole Nation will turn on them in a heartbeat.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:39 AM

    WHO CHOOSES THE CHOSEN?:

    Israel's High Court Loosens Strictures on Conversions: Foreigners gain the right to become Jews under the tutelage of rabbis in the country who aren't Orthodox. A special Knesset session is set. (Laura King, April 1, 2005, LA Times)

    In a potentially precedent-setting decision, Israel's Supreme Court on Thursday ruled that under certain circumstances the state must recognize resident foreigners' conversions to Judaism by non-Orthodox rabbis.

    Although limited in scope, the ruling was seen as eroding the near-absolute control over religious affairs in Israel by the Orthodox establishment.

    Within hours of the decision, the ultra-Orthodox political party Shas had gathered the 25 lawmakers' signatures needed to bring the Knesset, or parliament, out of recess. The legislative body will convene a special session next week to debate the ruling and possibly weigh legislation to dilute its effect.

    The Orthodox monopoly over religious conversions in Israel has long been closely watched by American Jews, most of whom belong to the Reform or Conservative streams of Judaism. The case also holds significant implications for claims of Israeli citizenship, to which all Jews are entitled under Israel's Law of Return.

    Currently, those who undergo Conservative or Reform conversion while living outside Israel are eligible to seek citizenship under the Law of Return. But inside Israel, the only conversions recognized by the state are those performed by Orthodox rabbis.


    Strange to see a controversy over an issue folks assure us doesn't exist.


    Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

    THE GLORIOSA REVOLUTION (*):

    First win to Zimbabwe opposition (BBC, 4/01/05)

    Zimbabwe's opposition Movement for Democratic Change has won nine out of the 10 seats in early results after Thursday's parliamentary election.

    Superba!

    (*) Revolution name courtesy of Timothy Goddard.