September 30, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:49 PM

IRRECONCILABLE DIFFERENCES:

Morocco's march to democracy rests on king's whim (Neil Macfarquhar, 10/01/05, The New York Times)

[M]orocco has moved further along the reform road than any of its Arab neighbors. Its press is vibrant and outspoken. An 18-month-old family law no longer treats women as male chattel. Voluntary organizations can be formed with relative ease, and scores of them work on everything from improving prison conditions to raising the country's abysmal illiteracy rate.

Yet that entire system of law rests not on a framework of checks and balances but on the whim of the king. Morocco's constitution declares the king both sacred and the "prince of the faithful." Other Arab constitutions do not declare the ruler holy, but an official reverence cocoons virtually every president or monarch in the region. Anyone who challenges the ruler does so at his own peril.

It is a fact that raises a central question here and across the Middle East: What is needed to turn states of despotic whim into genuine nations of law? In Morocco, an essential first step, many reformers believe, is an open reckoning with the abuses that this system spawned in the past. That effort shows the profound limits that real reform faces in even the most forward looking Arab nations.

A few months ago, Marzouki took the extraordinary step of testifying at a public forum about the misery he endured in Tazmamart, whose name has become a catchphrase for the abuses Moroccans suffered under the 38-year rule of the late King Hassan II.

But Marzouki chose not to testify before the official Equity and Reconciliation Commission, established last year by the young king, Mohammed VI, to lay bare what Moroccans often call the terror of his father's rule and to establish reparations for about 13,000 victims.

The commission's public hearings, which started in December, are without precedent in the Middle East. Royal advisers point to them as evidence of how far along Morocco is on the road to democratic transformation.

Yet to many abused prisoners like Marzouki, the commission hearings have proved inadequate.

You needn't satisfy the victims, just the rest of the country.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:10 PM

BACON ON THE HOOF (via Robert Schwartz):

It's Always Fair Game for Wild Pigs (PATRICIA LEIGH BROWN, September 30, 2005, NY Times)

MICHELLE STRAUB knows what it is like to feel deeply and profoundly nervous. Just hearing the grunts of wild pigs behind shrubs, the rustle of grasses signaling they were near, made her knees shake and her French-manicured nails quiver on the trigger. Only she knows the true terror of the heart that comes from holding a 7-millimeter rifle while bushwacking down steep trails made by potentially ferocious marauding wild pigs and having your husband turn to you to say, "I think I hear something."

Her quarry in these golden Mendocino hills was Sus scrofa, a squat, muscular wild boar with coarse dark hair, hairy ears, a thick armor-like hide and skewers for tusks, which is now overrunning the countryside to become the latest plague of California.

Along with states like Texas, Florida and Hawaii, California has become a prime habitat for pigs, so much so that the state Department of Fish and Game has begun offering advanced wild boar hunting clinics to encourage people like Mrs. Straub, a 29-year-old executive secretary from Santa Rosa, to hunt pigs.

The pigs are a nonnative hybrid species that can run up to 25 miles an hour and whose meat is prized by cooks - Mrs. Straub and her husband, Randy, among them. They flourish in all but two counties of the state, and their moonlit sashaying in search of grubs and acorns along Highway 1 near Carmel has become so treacherous to motorists that the state Department of Transportation put up "Pig Xing" signs last year.

This is California in the cross hairs: a maddening pig Interstate where zigzaggy pig trails lead into dense, burr-ridden canyons, and trampled grasses indicate where pigs have been and gone.

"You think of little domestic pigs at the county fair as pink and cute with a curly tail," Mrs. Straub said. She hired Tim Lockwood, a hunting guide from Santa Rosa, to help her unleash her inner Annie Oakley at 5 a.m. one recent Sunday on a 1,252-acre private ranch. "These pigs are not cute."


We used to come upon javelina skulls in the field in West Texas, some with the tusks looped around and grown through the jaw--even dead they were scary.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:45 PM

WHERE'D MY PARTY GO?

After New Labour, what's left?: Whatever else the left might have lost, it retains its unsurpassed capacity for self-delusion. (Mick Hume, 9/30/05, Spiked)

What can it mean to be on the left today? Nobody seemed to be asking that question at the annual Labour Party conference, but it screamed out of every staged-managed debate.

Many have commented on the lifeless state of the Labour conference, compared to the heated and controversial affairs of past years. Yet few seem to have understood what has changed. It is not simply about the control now exercised by Tony Blair's party managers and PR people. The rise of these petty bureaucrats has been facilitated by a far more important political process - the death of the left. [...]

The role of chancellor Gordon Brown at the conference, and the reaction to it, perhaps best illustrated the left's demise. Over the years, as its influence and authority has waned, the Labour left has scaled down its aspirations time and again, from the demand to nationalise the commanding heights of the economy to a request to keep the lowest-paid workers above the poverty line. During the New Labour years, the left has increasingly attached its hopes to Brown, as the supposedly 'Real Labour' alternative to Blair, despite the absence of any real evidence to support this claim.

The scale of the left's self-delusion over Brown should have become unavoidably evident to all at this week's conference, when the chancellor gave a defining speech that not only pledged to carry on the New Labour project, but also dipped into Margaret Thatcher's old handbag to offer the dream of a share-owning, property-owning democracy. Brown stands revealed as what he always was, the political equivalent of a bank manager - and a dour Scottish Presbyterian bank manager at that. Some left-wing observers seemed genuinely shocked to be confronted with the Real Brown rather than their fantasy about Real Labour. Yet still they will cling to the dream that he didn't really mean all that, and things will be different once 'our Gordon' takes over. Whatever else the left might have lost over the years, it retains its unsurpassed capacity for self-delusion.

Nobody with eyes to see could now seriously contend that the tension between Blair and Brown is any sort of left v right conflict over political principles. This is more like the feuding, feudal politics of an ancient old royal court, where personal cliques and factions manoeuvre for power and squabble over the succession to the throne. The left's keenness to hitch its three-wheeled wagon to one of these courtly cliques only confirms its own loss of direction and independence.

Nor, we might note in passing, does the left that formally exists outside the Labour Party appear to offer much better prospects for progressive politics.


It's notable that you could write exactly the same piece about the Right in America--indeed, many economic conservatives, libertarians, and paleocons are writing them--even though Labour is in power in Britain and Republicans in America and though both have opponents who are dead in the electoral water. The simple fact is that when Tony Blair, George W. Bush, and John Howard adopted Third Way politics they left behind some considerable portion of the ideology that had defined their own parties for seventy years and more and filched some considerable portion of their opponents' ideology. Each bestrides his nation's politics and has carried his party along with him, but only grudgingly. The rank and file still face a period of adjustment to the new realities and it is not unlikely that the party structures in all three nations will undergo some extensive realignment over the next few years. Thus, those who are remain wedded to notions of the First Way and the Second Way will find themselves aliens in the parties they once controlled.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:29 PM

JOE V. HAJI:

The IED Tussle: The "improvised explosive device" may seem a humble opponent for the US military, but it is the focus of a battle of innovations pitting high-tech against low cunning (Bartle Bull, October 2005, Prospect)

During lulls in the night fighting in Baghdad’s Sadr City last year, as Muqtada al Sadr’s militia turned Baghdad’s biggest ghetto into the most booby-trapped war zone on earth, it used to look to me like someone was staging Macbeth in hell. With the dark air full of dust and smoke, human figures moved over the pavement like black ghosts while car lights swerved crazily through the smog.

The spectres around me were mostly involved in planting the homemade bombs known as improvised explosive devices, or IEDs—the insurgency’s main weapons in Iraq. The swerving cars were avoiding the Coke cans that indicated the buried bombs. And the youths hunched over the road pouring liquid into the dark bitumen would explain to me that it was kerosene they were dishing out: relatively viscous, it seeps into a road surface, and then, when lit, melts it, making digging easier. Thus the orange flames that flared all night along the boulevards. The ordinance most likely to be buried in the small pits then were 105mm howitzer shells that the guerillas called “Austrians,” after the country where the shells had been made. Wires led from detonation charges into the doorways of small, shabby mosques where other groups of teenagers in black stood around car batteries attached to the wires.

I never had contact with the other side of this battle—coalition forces—back then, but an NBC cameraman I knew told me that from the inside of a 7th Cav Bradley, these young men on the streets looked like video game targets through the thermal night vision screens inside the American armoured vehicles. One night the Bradley my friend was travelling in was hit by twelve IEDs.

The IED might seem like a relatively low-tech piece of weaponry in a military epoch of lasers, unmanned drones and smart bombs. And it might appear a humble opponent for a US military establishment 3m strong that consumes $400bn a year. But it is the defining weapon of America’s war in Iraq, and it has been the focus of a battle of innovations and counter-innovations marshalling high-tech gadgetry and low-tech cunning on both sides.

When military historians write the annals of this struggle, they will remember it as the "IED war." The IED is responsible for 80 per cent of American casualties in Iraq, and it is unprecedented in modern warfare to find a conflict so dominated by a single weapon.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:20 PM

WHY?:

Turkey's future lies in EU, says Blair (Mark Oliver, September 30, 2005, Guardian Unlimited)

Tony Blair today insisted Turkey's future was in the EU as British officials in Brussels worked to dispel a looming crisis over next week's talks on its membership.

In an interview with Turkey's Hurriyet newspaper, the prime minister said he would work hard to help Turkey realise its EU ambitions. [...]

Turkish officials reacted angrily after Austria yesterday blocked an EU agreement on the ground rules for formal talks on the country's entry.

Last December, EU leaders agreed that Turkey - which first applied for membership more than 40 years ago - had taken the necessary steps towards qualifying for the talks to begin.

The negotiations had been due to begin on Monday after EU states said Ankara had worked on its human rights record as well as economic and social reforms.

But while the other 24 other member states were happy with the terms, Austria said it wanted a downgraded and associate EU membership for Turkey to be an option.


Mr. Blair's insistence is understandable, but ultimately represents the triumph of inertia over thought. Why not lock Turkey into a trade and defense pact with Britain, America, Poland, Israel, India, Japan, Taiwan, etc., instead?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:16 PM

LET'S SEE HOW MUCH HIL LEARNED FROM BILL:

Incoming FDNY chaplain questions 9/11 story (CAROL EISENBERG, September 30, 2005, Newsday)

An imam slated to be sworn in Friday as the second Muslim chaplain in Fire Department history said he questioned whether 19 hijackers were responsible for the Sept. 11 terror attacks, and suggested a broader conspiracy may have brought down the Twin Towers and killed more than 2,700 people.

In a telephone interview Thursday, Imam Intikab Habib, 30, a native of Guyana who studied Islam in Saudi Arabia, said he doubted the United States government's official story blaming 19 hijackers associated with al-Quaida and Osama bin Laden.

"I as an individual don't know who did the attacks," said Habib, 30, a soft-spoken man who immigrated to New York in July 2000 after spending six years in Saudi Arabia getting a degree in Islamic theology and law. "There are so many conflicting reports about it. I don't believe it was 19 ... hijackers who did those attacks."

Asked to elaborate on his reasons for doubting that story, he talked about video and news reports widely disseminated in the Muslim community.


This one's a no-brainer--Ms Clinton can make some serious hay out of calling for this nitwit's scalp.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:39 PM

STRIKE THAT, REVERSE IT:

Time For a Saudi "New Deal": The kingdom is the global center of both oil production and the Islamic faith; its politics could endanger worldwide stability (Fahad Nazer, 27 September 2005, YaleGlobal)

Shortly after the death and burial of King Fahd, Saudi tribal leaders, senior religious scholars, and other notables pledged allegiance to the new king Abdullah in a traditional ceremony known as Bayaa – essentially the Saudi version of the social contract. However, in this model, the citizens are expected to defer all political matters to the rulers and religious authorities. For his part, the king is supposed to lead the community in accordance with the laws of God. This "deal," as Bayaa is loosely translated from Arabic, needs some renegotiating.

Just as Franklin Delano Roosevelt felt it necessary to initiate a New Deal with the American people in response to the dramatic changes since the country's founding, Abdullah must now consider similar steps. FDR's New Deal changed the basic assumptions about the obligations of the state, and Abdullah's new deal must be just as drastic.

Since the founding of the Kingdom, Saudi political discourse has revolved around mostly religious concepts, applied in a political setting. The rulers eliminated the prospects for pluralism by claiming that they alone have legitimacy, since they have the support and consent of religious scholars, the ultimate authorities on Islam. Add to that arrangement the claim that the Quran is the constitution of Saudi Arabia, and one is effectively discouraged from ever questioning the political system. The implication is always there: One who supports reforming the system is trying to improve on the Quran, the word of God.

But the ramifications of the Bayaa's rigid hold on Saudi Arabia reach far beyond the country's borders. What happens domestically in the kingdom has implications for the rest of the world. As the birthplace of Islam and the world's largest oil exporter, Saudi Arabia plays a crucial global role. Should Saudi oil production be disrupted as a result of domestic turmoil, the effects on the global economy could be devastating. And as guardian of two of Islam's holiest sites, the Saudi religious establishment – along with its fatwas, or edicts – is extremely influential among Islamic scholars worldwide.

But why is a New Deal necessary? And why should the government willingly reform itself, when it controls virtually every aspect of Saudi society? The simple answer is that a more inclusive, democratic system will not only ensure the stability and prosperity of the country as a whole, but will also likely improve the chances of the royal family surviving what are bound to be turbulent times in the future.


In other words, Saudi Arabia has the New Deal--with the state controlling every facet of life it can get its hands on--but needs to get rid of it--devolving power back to society.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:25 PM

PROGRESSIVE EUROPE (via b):

First Trio "Married" in The Netherlands (Paul Belien, 2005-09-27, Brussels Journal)

The Netherlands and Belgium were the first countries to give full marriage rights to homosexuals. In the United States some politicians propose “civil unions” that give homosexual couples the full benefits and responsibilities of marriage. These civil unions differ from marriage only in name.

Meanwhile in the Netherlands polygamy has been legalised in all but name. Last Friday the first civil union of three partners was registered. Victor de Bruijn (46) from Roosendaal “married” both Bianca (31) and Mirjam (35) in a ceremony before a notary who duly registered their civil union.

“I love both Bianca and Mirjam, so I am marrying them both,” Victor said. He had previously been married to Bianca. Two and a half years ago they met Mirjam Geven through an internet chatbox. Eight weeks later Mirjam deserted her husband and came to live with Victor and Bianca. After Mirjam’s divorce the threesome decided to marry.

Victor: “A marriage between three persons is not possible in the Netherlands, but a civil union is. We went to the notary in our marriage costume and exchanged rings. We consider this to be just an ordinary marriage.”


"Costume" is just the right word.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:05 PM

RICH FOLK DON'T GET THEIR HANDS DIRTY:

The great jobs switch: The fall in manufacturing employment in developed economies is a sign of economic progress, not decline (The Economist, Sep 29th 2005)

THAT employment in manufacturing, once the engine of growth, is in a long, slow decline in the rich world is a familiar notion. That it is on its way to being virtually wiped out is not. Yet calculations by The Economist suggest that manufacturing now accounts for less than 10% of total jobs in America. Other rich countries are moving in that direction, too, with Britain close behind America, followed by France and Japan, with Germany and Italy lagging behind (see article).

Shrinking employment in any sector sounds like bad news. It isn't. Manufacturing jobs disappear because economies are healthy, not sick.

The decline of manufacturing in rich countries is a more complex story than the piles of Chinese-made goods in shops suggest. Manufacturing output continues to expand in most developed countries—in America, by almost 4% a year on average since 1991. Despite the rise in Chinese exports, America is still the world's biggest manufacturer, producing about twice as much, measured by value, as China.

The continued growth in manufacturing output shows that the fall in jobs has not been caused by mass substitution of Chinese goods for locally made ones. It has happened because rich-world companies have replaced workers with new technology to boost productivity and shifted production from labour-intensive products such as textiles to higher-tech, higher value-added, sectors such as pharmaceuticals. Within firms, low-skilled jobs have moved offshore. Higher-value R&D, design and marketing have stayed at home.

All that is good. Faster productivity growth means higher average incomes. Low rates of unemployment in the countries which have shifted furthest away from manufacturing suggest that most laid-off workers have found new jobs. And consumers have benefited from cheap Chinese imports.


No one who's nostalgic for hard labor actually does any.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:59 PM

WHO'S OFF CENTER?:

HALF OF U.S. SEES ‘JUDICIAL ACTIVISM CRISIS’ (MARTHA NEIL, 9/30/05, ABA Net)

More than half of Americans are angry and disappointed with the nation’s judiciary, a new survey done for the ABA Journal eReport shows.

A majority of the survey respondents agreed with statements that "judicial activism" has reached the crisis stage, and that judges who ignore voters’ values should be impeached. Nearly half agreed with a congressman who said judges are "arrogant, out-of-control and unaccountable."

The survey results surprised some legal experts with the extent of dissatisfaction shown toward the judiciary. "These are surprisingly large numbers," says Mark V. Tushnet, a constitutional law professor at Georgetown University Law Center in Washington, D.C.

"These results are simply scary," adds Charles G. Geyh, a constitutional law professor at Indiana University School of Law in Bloomington.


Meanwhile, Judiciary Committee Democrats just spent the entire Roberts hearings demanding that he find it in his heart to be a judicial activist and 22 Senators, all Democrats, voted against him after not receiving assurances he would be an activist. And they can't figure out why they're out of power?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:47 PM

OBLIGATORY MONARCHIST REFERENCE:

Salazar: Bush 'acts like a king' (M.E. Sprengelmeyer, September 30, 2005, Rocky Mountain News)

Saying President Bush sometimes acts "like a king," Sen. Ken Salazar warned Friday that he would vehemently oppose Bush's next Supreme Court pick if it turns out to be one of two controversial U.S. Circuit Court judges or someone else he considers an unqualified ideologue.

Here in 2005, you can tell a moderate Democrat because he calls George Bush a king instead of a fuhrer.

MORE:
RANGEL ALL TANGLED IN RACE RAGE (DEBORAH ORIN, September 30, 2005, NY Post)

REP. Charles Rangel has scored plenty of headlines in his 35 years in Congress, but lately, he's outdone himself by comparing President Bush to the revolting Southern racist "Bull" Connor, who sicced attack dogs on black protesters in 1963.

"George Bush is our 'Bull' Connor," claimed the Harlem Democrat — New York's most senior member of Congress — as he charged that the Hurricane Katrina response was slow because many victims were black.

But that's not all.

Rangel raised eyebrows by saying the Iraq war to topple Saddam Hussein was as bad as the Holocaust — "This is just as bad as the 6 million Jews being killed" by the Nazis, he said in June.

In July, Rangel got into a flap after the official Congressional Record ran a statement under his name blaming a fictitious 1712 slave-owner, "Willie Lynch," for tactics that destroyed the black family.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:49 PM

MORE MURDER = LESS CRIME? (via Governor Breck):

Bennett Under Fire for Remark on Crime and Black Abortions (Brian Faler, September 30, 2005, The Washington Post)

Democratic lawmakers and civil rights leaders denounced conservative commentator William J. Bennett yesterday for suggesting on his syndicated radio show that aborting black children would reduce the U.S. crime rate.

The former U.S. education secretary-turned-talk show host said Wednesday that "if you wanted to reduce crime, you could -- if that were your sole purpose -- you could abort every black baby in this country, and your crime rate would go down." Bennett quickly added that such an idea would be "an impossible, ridiculous and morally reprehensible thing to do." But, he said, "your crime rate would go down."


Steve Levitt, in Freakonomics, makes the point that abortion generally will reduce crime and most of the early support for abortion was based on the quite openly discussed idea that it would help control "undesirable" ethnic populations. But one is reminded of the opposite ends of the Laffer Curve: if you took every cent that folks made in taxes you'd get no taxes because no one would bother earning any money; but, if you took no money in taxes you'd up with no money too. Similarly, if you aborted every child you'd reduce crime to near zero because crime is a phenomena closely associated with young people, for obvious reasons. Of course, you'd also do so much damage to your own society that the drop in crime would hardly be worth it. There was a much reported study this week about how societies that don't believe in God are safer than those that do--all it left out is that the former are dying because they've made themselves safer by getting older and not replenishing their societies with young people. Some may consider suicide a "victimless" crime, but it does end with a senseless death. Crime seems a rather small price to pay for not sanctioning abortion and keeping our society vibrant and growing.


MORE (via Michael Herdegen):
All in the family (John Leo, 10.03/05, US News)

In a policy brief released last week, the Washington-based Institute for Marriage and Public Policy, http://www.marriagedebate.com/pdf/imapp.crimefamstructure.pdf looked at 23 recent studies dealing with family structure and youth crime. In 19 of the 20 studies that found family structure to have an effect, children from nonintact or single-parent families had a higher rate of crime or delinquency. Neighborhoods with lots of out-of-wedlock births have lots of crime. Ominously, one study said that the more single-parent families there were in a neighborhood, the more crime there was among two-parent kids living around them. Again, these studies are controlled for race.

Among the other findings:

- Adolescents in single-parent families were almost twice as likely to have pulled a knife or a gun on someone in the past year. This was after controlling for many demographic variables, including race, gender, age, household income, and educational level of parents.

- In a large sample of students in 315 classrooms in 11 cities, the "single most important variable" in gang involvement was found to be family structure. In other words, the greater the number of parents at home, the lower the level of gang involvement. A study of American Indian families found that living in a two-parent family reduced gang involvement by more than 50 percent.

- Another study concluded that out-of-wedlock childbearing had a large effect on the rate of arrests for murder, an effect that "seems to have gotten stronger over time."

- "Adolescents in married, two-biological-parent families generally fare better than children in any of the family types examined here," one study reported. The other family types studied were single mother, cohabiting stepfather, and married stepfather families.

- One study, judged most important by the institute, found that divorce rates had no relationship to violent crime rates but that out-of-wedlock births had a strong relationship to youth crime--nearly 90 percent of the increase in violent crime between 1973 and 1995 was accounted for by the rise in out-of-wedlock births.

Browse through an archive of columns by John Leo.

The upshot of these studies is that America is confronted by a form of poverty that money alone can't cure. Many of us think social breakdown is a result of racism and poverty. Yes, they are factors, but study after study shows that alterations in norms and values are at the heart of economic and behavioral troubles. That's why so much research boils down to the old rule: If you want to avoid poverty, finish high school, don't have kids in your teens, and get married.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:46 PM

EMBARRASSMENT OF GOP RICHES:

Think Locally On Relief (Jeb Bush, September 30, 2005, Washington Post)

In the wake of Hurricane Katrina, Americans are looking to their leaders for answers to the tragedy and reassurances that the mistakes made in the response will not be repeated in their own communities. Congressional hearings on the successes and failures of the relief effort are underway.

As the governor of a state that has been hit by seven hurricanes and two tropical storms in the past 13 months, I can say with certainty that federalizing emergency response to catastrophic events would be a disaster as bad as Hurricane Katrina.

Just as all politics are local, so are all disasters. The most effective response is one that starts at the local level and grows with the support of surrounding communities, the state and then the federal government. The bottom-up approach yields the best and quickest results -- saving lives, protecting property and getting life back to normal as soon as possible. Furthermore, when local and state governments understand and follow emergency plans appropriately, less taxpayer money is needed from the federal government for relief.


He's going to be the best president of the three.


Posted by Glenn Dryfoos at 12:08 PM

DREAM TICKET FOR 2008:

Here's your Winning Team.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:14 AM

WHAT'S THE MATTER WITH...THE CONSTITUTION?:

Dangers of a Drunk Dubya (DOUG THOMPSON, Sep 24, 2005, Capitol Hill Blue)

In normal times, such a story in a tabloid like the Enquirer would be dismissed as just another fantasy for the newspaper that normally devotes its front page to gossip about celebrity divorces. But an America with Bush as President is anything but normal and too many warning signs point to the sad fact that Dubya the drunk is back on the bottle. Plus we reported the same thing in a story about Bush’s temper tirades on August 25.

Like the President, I’m a recovering alcoholic. Unlike him, I’ve been sober for 11 years, three months and 16 days. Bush says he quit drinking without help from any organized program. I had a lot of help – from family, friends and Alcoholics Anonymous. As an alcoholic, I can say without hesitation that available evidence tells me that Bush is drinking and drinking heavily.


One underanalyzed aspect of such hysteria is its egocentricity. Bush Derangement Syndrome stems in large part from the sufferer's conviction that he lives in extraordinary times--i.e. the moment that fascism finally descends on the United States.

This brings us to Off Center : The Republican Revolution and the Erosion of American Democracy by Jacob S. Hacker and Paul Pierson, which is sure to be a hit with the Looney Left. It's kind of the inevitable sequel to What's the Matter with Kansas--starting from the assumption that the election of Republicans to run Washington is an obvious error it goes on to the logical next step and argues that the exercise of power by those "elected" officials is per se illegitimate and ways must be found to stop them. That's funny enough, but the authors try to scare up support by demonstrating that the modern GOP, including George W. Bush, is not just conservative but so radically to the Right as to be a unique occurrence in the history of our politics. All this requires them to ignore is that the overall set of policies that makes up compassionate conservatism is also being implemented by John Howard and Tony Blair and that if you picked up any newspaper or magazine in the West over the last month or so you'd find that everyone realizes that the same reforms must be undertaken in such places as Japan and Germany. The simple truth is that if George W. Bush didn't exist our political system would have raised up someone rather similar to him, as it is doing throughout the developed world.

The personal hatred that folks harbor towards President Bush blinds them to the entirely orthodox nature of his politics. This is not healthy for them for reasons that are readily apparent. However, if we continue with the logic of such folk the third volume in their trilogy is likely to hold that since the elections of Republicans are illegitimate and governance by Republicans is illegitimate then the laws they pass and the republic itself are illegitimate. The authors of Off Center give us a preview of this line when they get to a hilarious discussion of the "Four Great Obstacles" to reforming the American system so that Republicans won't have power:

(1) "The You Can't Get There From Here" Obstacle--here they acknowledge with no little chagrin that the Constitution of the United States sets up the very procedures of governance that produced the results they despise.

(2) The "Fox Guarding the Henhouse" Obstacle--here they acknowledge that Republicans, having won so many popular elections and control of so much of government, are hardly likely to figure out ways to put their opponents in control instead.

(3) The "Nobody Cares" Obstacle--here they acknowledge that rather little of the American public shares their hysteria so there's no meaningful constituency for reform.

(4) The "Half a Loaf is Worse than None" Obstacle--here they acknowledge that what reforms might be enacted in such a political climate could well benefit Republicans instead of Democrats and so should not be advocated by the Left. Rather convincingly, if unintentionally showing that they aren't pro-reform, just anti-GOP.

In short, what they see as obstacles to the kind of America they want to live in are: the American political system; the American people; and the elected government of America. Dangerous territory this, for it reveals such an estrangement from the realities of the nation -- and, as suggested above, of the sort of Third Way policies that are de riguer throughout the West -- that they may not be capable of reconciling themselves to the End of History. The other group of people that suffers such an extreme derangement is the Islamicists, with whom we are currently at war. Political bitching is one of our birthrights, but when it begins to cross over into such open antagonism for the democratic majority and the choices they make the end results are seldom pretty. Rather than attack the Republic root and main, the Left ought to be developing the next generation of ideas and leaders that may appeal to a majority of the American people and thereby win elections. One suspects that if they did actually manage this feat they'd rather quickly adjust to the notion that those who win elections get to wield power.

MORE:

    -Jacob S. Hacker (Peter Strauss Family Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Yale University)

    -BOOK SITE: Off Center: The Republican Revolution & the Erosion of American Democracy.
By Jacob S. Hacker and Paul Pierson


    -New America Foundation : Bio - Jacob Hacker

    -ESSAY:The Dispensable Man (Jacob S. Hacker and Paul Pierson, September 30, 2005, Washington Post)

    -ESSAY: ‘Economic risk has shifted from the government and corporations to workers and their families’ (Jacob S. Hacker, September/October 2005, Boston Review)

    -ESSAY: Bigger and Better: When it comes to providing broad-based social-insurance programs, it’s the government that’s rational and the market that’s dumb. (Jacob S. Hacker, 05.06.05, American Prospect)

    -ESSAY: Popular Fiction (Jacob S. Hacker & Paul Pierson, 11.08.04, New Republic)

    -ESSAY: Good Medicine: Medicare does need changes. But its expansion is the key to eventual universal coverage. (Jacob S. Hacker and Mark Schlesinger, 10.01.04, American Prospect)

    -ESSAY: Bradley Does Healthcare (Jacob S. Hacker, October 7, 1999, The Nation)

    -ARCHIVES: Jacob S. Hacker (New Republic)

    -ARCHIVES: Jacob S. Hacker (American Prospect)


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:24 AM

NOT THE APPARAT BUT THE PLAN ITSELF:

When Goodness Won (Robert Conquest, Sep 22, 2005, New Republic)

We are inclined to forget that the Bolsheviks were a small section of a small, and often ill-educated, segment of Russian society. Rosa Luxemburg, from the far left, warned that the Leninist program of suppressing the freedom of ideas would lead to both brutalization and stultification. She was right. The result can be seen in a volume such as this one, in the meanness and the petty-mindedness of the ruling apparat.

After the imposition of this repressive order--largely by what we might now call Cheka death squads--came a more formalized terror state, inflicting on Russia a whole slew of human, intellectual, economic, and ecological disasters. But it is above all the effect of the dictatorship upon the Russian mind that has still not been fully understood in the West. As Anne Applebaum argued recently, it is important that we get this huge section of world history properly into the thinking of the West (and indeed of Russia). This book provides yet another extraordinary insight into the awful post-Stalinist heritage. Not only was genuine thought, as far as possible, destroyed, but something in the nature of Orwell's "newthink" was successfully put in its place.

From the late 1920s on, the country's politics and economy were run on the basis of what is now called "negative selection."

Amidst all the nattering about how Khrushchev's anti-Stalin speech was the key to ending the USSR, it's well to remember that it was, in fact, the dissidents pointing out that Lenin was just as evil that actually brought the whole edifice tumbling down.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:18 AM

JUST ANOTHER POLITICAL PARTY:

West Bank Elects Councils: Preliminary results show Fatah in control of most local bodies, but Hamas wins a third of the vote. Participation is strong at 81%. (Laura King, September 30, 2005, LA Times)

The militant group Hamas captured up to one-third of the votes in Palestinian municipal elections held Thursday, according to preliminary unofficial results, a solid showing that could presage its performance in parliamentary balloting early next year.

The Palestinian commissioner for local elections, Jamal Shobaki, said it appeared that the governing Fatah movement had won a majority on councils in 45 towns or villages and Hamas had captured 22. The initial results in 15 locales were inconclusive.

The turnout was about 81%, Shobaki said.

Throughout the day, Palestinians gathered at schools and municipal centers throughout the West Bank to cast their votes.

Old men leaned on canes as they shuffled toward ballot boxes; little boys chased after one another wearing headbands of satiny green for Hamas or the checkered black-and-white cloth representing Fatah, which is led by Mahmoud Abbas, president of the Palestinian Authority.

Democratic elections are still something of a novelty for Palestinians, who went to the polls in January, electing Abbas successor to the late Palestinian Authority President Yasser Arafat. Municipal votes were also held in January and May, and a fourth round is planned before year's end.

"My vote is important," said Haniyeh Qurt, 54, a veiled woman who emerged beaming from the polling station at the Boys' Secondary School in the West Bank city of Beitunia, outside Ramallah. "You see, I'm a citizen, and this is my right."


And the exercise of their rights imposes responsibilities on those they elect.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:15 AM

THEY MAKE NICE STARTERS:

Million dollar homes dime a dozen(Jen Haberkorn, September 30, 2005, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

A $1 million home used to be a rare, grand mansion in the hills or on the water.

Today, a $1 million price tag dangles from a three-bedroom Bethesda home close to the Metro and in a good school district. But the bathrooms still sport early 1990s decor.

Or a 1950s home in Arlington that's close to the Metro and has a detached, one-car garage. But it has only two bedrooms.

For the first time, there are more than 1 million owner-occupied homes in the United States worth $1 million or more, according to Census Bureau figures released late last month.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:28 AM

AND MCCAIN SHALL LEAD THEM:

McCain economy bloc (Robert Novak, Sep 29, 2005, Townhall)

The Senate was up to its old tricks Monday evening. It prepared to pass, without debate and under a procedure requiring unanimous consent, a federal infusion of $9 billion into state Medicaid programs under the pretext of Katrina relief. The bill, drafted in secret under bipartisan auspices, was stopped cold when Republican Sen. John Ensign voiced his objection.

The bill's Democratic sponsors railed in outrage against Ensign, a 47-year-old first-termer from Las Vegas, Nev., who usually keeps a low profile. But he was not acting alone. Ensign belongs to, and, indeed, originated, a small group of Republicans who intend to stand guard on the Senate floor against such raids on the Treasury as Monday night's failure. The group includes Sen. John McCain, who long has tried to wean Republicans from ever greater federal spending but attracted little support from GOP colleagues until recently.

Fear has enveloped Republicans who see themselves handing the banner of fiscal integrity to the Democrats. The GOP is losing the rhetoric war, even though Democrats mostly push for higher domestic spending, because Republicans, while standing firm against tax hikes, have also declined to cut spending. Fearing the worst in the 2006 and 2008 elections, Republican senators who would not be expected to do so are looking to McCain to lead the party back to fiscal responsibility.


Of course, the candidates of fiscal responsibility in recent years have been Carter, Mondale, Dukakis, Bush I, Perot, Dole, Gore and Kerry. It's a dog of an issue.


September 29, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:45 PM

IF YOU INTRODUCE A GUN IN THE FIRST ACT, IT HAS TO BE FIRED BY THE END OF THE PLAY:

Coming Soon: The Ronnie Earle Movie (Byron York, 9/29/05, National Review)

For the last two years, as he pursued the investigation that led to Wednesday's indictment of House Majority Leader Tom DeLay, Travis County, Texas prosecutor Ronnie Earle has given a film crew "extraordinary access" to make a motion picture about his work on the case.

The resulting film is called The Big Buy, made by Texas filmmakers Mark Birnbaum and Jim Schermbeck. "Raymond Chandler meets Willie Nelson on the corner of Wall Street and Pennsylvania Avenue in The Big Buy, a Texas noir political detective story that chronicles what some are calling a 'bloodless coup with corporate cash,'" reads a description of the picture on Birnbaum's website, markbirnbaum.com. The film, according to the description, "follows maverick Austin DA Ronnie Earle's investigation into what really happened when corporate money joined forces with relentless political ambitions to help swing the pivotal 2002 Texas elections, cementing Republican control from Austin to Washington DC."

"We approached him [Earle], and he offered us extraordinary access to him and, to an extent, to his staff," Birnbaum told National Review Online Thursday. "We've been shooting for about two years."


One hates to be too cynical, but it's pretty basic: no indictment, no movie.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:25 PM

RESTOCKING THE GHETTO:

Purging the Poor from New Orleans (Naomi Klein, September 27, 2005, The Nation)

New Orleans is already displaying signs of a demographic shift so dramatic that some evacuees describe it as "ethnic cleansing." Before Mayor Ray Nagin called for a second evacuation, the people streaming back into dry areas were mostly white, while those with no homes to return to are overwhelmingly black. This, we are assured, is not a conspiracy; it's simple geography -- a reflection of the fact that wealth in New Orleans buys altitude. That means that the driest areas are the whitest (the French Quarter is 90 percent white; the Garden District, 89 percent; Audubon, 86 percent; neighboring Jefferson Parish, where people were also allowed to return, 65 percent). Some dry areas, like Algiers, did have large low-income African-American populations before the storm, but in all the billions for reconstruction, there is no budget for transportation back from the far-flung shelters where those residents ended up. So even when resettlement is permitted, many may not be able to return.

As for the hundreds of thousands of residents whose low-lying homes and housing projects were destroyed by the flood, Drennen points out that many of those neighborhoods were dysfunctional to begin with. He says the city now has an opportunity for "twenty-first-century thinking": Rather than rebuild ghettos, New Orleans should be resettled with "mixed income" housing, with rich and poor, black and white living side by side.

What Drennen doesn't say is that this kind of urban integration could happen tomorrow, on a massive scale. Roughly 70,000 of New Orleans' poorest homeless evacuees could move back to the city alongside returning white homeowners, without a single new structure being built. Take the Lower Garden District, where Drennen himself lives. It has a surprisingly high vacancy rate -- 17.4 percent, according to the 2000 Census. At that time 702 housing units stood vacant, and since the market hasn't improved and the district was barely flooded, they are presumably still there and still vacant. It's much the same in the other dry areas: With landlords preferring to board up apartments rather than lower rents, the French Quarter has been half-empty for years, with a vacancy rate of 37 percent.

The citywide numbers are staggering: In the areas that sustained only minor damage and are on the mayor's repopulation list, there are at least 11,600 empty apartments and houses. If Jefferson Parish is included, that number soars to 23,270. With three people in each unit, that means homes could be found for roughly 70,000 evacuees. With the number of permanently homeless city residents estimated at 200,000, that's a significant dent in the housing crisis. And it's doable. Democratic Representative Sheila Jackson Lee, whose Houston district includes some 150,000 Katrina evacuees, says there are ways to convert vacant apartments into affordable or free housing. After passing an ordinance, cities could issue Section 8 certificates, covering rent until evacuees find jobs. Jackson Lee says she plans to introduce legislation that will call for federal funds to be spent on precisely such rental vouchers. "If opportunity exists to create viable housing options," she says, "they should be explored."

Malcolm Suber, a longtime New Orleans community activist, was shocked to learn that thousands of livable homes were sitting empty. "If there are empty houses in the city," he says, "then working-class and poor people should be able to live in them." According to Suber, taking over vacant units would do more than provide much-needed immediate shelter: It would move the poor back into the city, preventing the key decisions about its future -- like whether to turn the Ninth Ward into marshland or how to rebuild Charity Hospital -- from being made exclusively by those who can afford land on high ground.


HUD chief foresees a 'whiter' Big Easy (Brian DeBose, September 30, 2005, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)
A Bush Cabinet officer predicted this week that New Orleans likely will never again be a majority black city, and several black officials are outraged.

Alphonso R. Jackson, secretary of housing and urban development, during a visit with hurricane victims in Houston, said New Orleans would not reach its pre-Katrina population of "500,000 people for a long time," and "it's not going to be as black as it was for a long time, if ever again."

Rep. Danny K. Davis, Illinois Democrat and a member of the Congressional Black Caucus, quickly took issue. [...]

Other members of the caucus said the comments by Mr. Jackson, who is black, could be misconstrued as a goal, particularly considering his position of responsibility in the administration.

Why is it desirable for the poor to be re-warehoused in a failed and now drowned city rather than start new lives all over the country in places that are thriving?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:41 PM

SLIPPAGE:

Governor says national Dems are too liberal (Associated Press, 9/26/05)

State Democrats should distance themselves from liberal national party leaders whose agenda frequently differs from Wyoming, Democratic Gov. Dave Freudenthal told state party members at a meeting attended by a Democratic National Committee vice chairman.

Wyoming Democrats should instead focus on local issues that relate to Wyoming residents, Freudenthal told about 75 state Democrats Saturday night.

"This is a party that's not afraid of firearms," Freudenthal said. "It's a party where people are interested in whether the governor managed to shoot an antelope with one shot."

"I don't care about Howard Dean," he said, referring to the chairman of the Democratic National Committee.

DNC Vice Chairman Rep. Mike Honda, D-Calif., who attended meeting, acknowledged that the national organizations had slipped.


Does Mr. Honda show up at these things in a hair shirt?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:36 PM

PROPOSITIONS ARE AN AWFUL IDEA, BUT IF YOU'RE GOING TO HAVE THEM, FOLLOW THEM:

Schwarzenegger vetoes gay marriage bill (MSNBC, 9/29/05)

Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger followed through Thursday on his promise to veto a bill to legalize same-sex marriage, leaving the issue up to voters or judges who will likely face the volatile issue in the next year. [...]

Schwarzenegger said the bill by Democratic Assemblyman Mark Leno contradicted Proposition 22, which was approved by voters in 2000 and said only a marriage between a man and woman is valid.

The governor said the state constitution bars the Legislature from enacting a law allowing gay marriage without another vote by the public and that Leno's bill wouldn't provide for that vote.


Let's see the Democratic nominee for Governor run on gay marriage.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:30 PM

A KELO OF DOPES:

Endangered Species Act rewrite passed by House (Erica Werner, 9/29/05, ASSOCIATED PRESS)

The House on Thursday passed legislation that could greatly expand private property rights under the environmental law that is credited with helping keep the bald eagle from extinction but also has provoked bitter fighting.

By a vote of 229-193, lawmakers approved a top-to-bottom overhaul of the 1973 Endangered Species Act, perhaps the nation's most powerful environmental law. The law has led to contentious battles over species such as the spotted owl, the snail darter and the red-legged frog.


Amazing even for the Democrats not to have figured out from the eminent domain kerfuffle that Americans are partial to property rights.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:25 PM

WHAT'S THE SECRET PASSWORD?:

Miller Agrees to Testify in CIA Leak Probe (JOHN SOLOMON, September 29, 2005, The Associated Press)

After nearly three months behind bars, New York Times reporter Judith Miller was released Thursday after agreeing to testify about the Bush administration's disclosure of a covert CIA officer's identity.

Miller left the federal detention center in Alexandria, Va., after reaching an agreement with Special Counsel Patrick Fitzgerald. She will appear Friday morning before a grand jury investigating the case.

"My source has now voluntarily and personally released me from my promise of confidentiality regarding our conversations," Miller said in a statement.

Her source was Vice President Dick Cheney's chief of staff, I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby, reported the Times, which supported her contention that her source should be protected.


Mr. Libby had, of course, granted her permission to discuss their conversations quite some time ago. Odd that the Post simply assumes Ms Palme was a covert agent, since the facts don't suggest that to be true.


MORE:
A CIA-Did-It Defense for Scooter in the Plame Leak Case? (David Corn, 9/30/05, The Nation)

The end of this sub-plot has caused Libby's team to leak his defense to the media. The Post quotes "a source familiar with Libby's account of his conversations with Miller." The odds are that source is Libby or his attorney. This super-secret source says that on July 8, 2003, Miller and Libby talked. This was six days before columnist Bob Novak disclosed the CIA identity of Valerie Wilson and two days after former Ambassador Joseph Wilson wrote an explosive Times op-ed disclosing that his trip to Niger in February 2002 had led him to conclude that President Bush had falsely claimed that Iraq had sought weapons-grade uranium in Africa. In this conversation, Miller asked Libby why Wilson had been sent on this mission by the CIA. (Miller, whose prewar reporting had promoted the administration's case that Iraq was loaded with WMDs, had a personal, as well as professional, interest in Wilson's tale.) Libby, according to this source, told Miller that the White House was, as the Post puts it, "working with the CIA to find out more about Wilson's trip and how he was selected." Libby noted he had heard that Wilson's wife had something to do with it but he did not know where she worked.

Four or five days later, according to the Libby-friendly source, Libby and Miller spoke again. Now Libby knew more. He told Miller that Wilson's wife worked at the CIA and had a role in sending Wilson to Niger. This source tells the Post that Libby did not know her name or that she was an undercover officer at the CIA. That latter point is crucial, for, under the Intelligence Identities Protection Act, Fitzgerald can only prosecute Libby if Libby disclosed information about a CIA officer whom he knew was a covert employee.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:00 PM

HE'S EVEN GOT THE CHRONICLE DUBIOUS:

Legal experts say Earle better have 'smoking gun' (MARY FLOOD, 9/292005 Houston Chronicle)

Most legal experts looking at the conspiracy indictment of U.S. Rep. Tom DeLay said Wednesday that either an insider has turned against DeLay or the prosecutor may have gone too far.

"I can't imagine indicting a majority leader of the U.S. House of Representatives without having a smoking gun, and that means someone who flipped on DeLay," said Buck Wood, an Austin lawyer who filed a related civil lawsuit on behalf of Democratic congressional candidates. "He's got to have corroborating evidence, too, bills and things proving where DeLay was at key times."

Several lawyers and law professors said Travis County District Attorney Ronnie Earle could have talked the grand jury into a questionable indictment if he hasn't secured key witnesses who were "in the room" with DeLay. Otherwise, this conspiracy case could be too hard to prove with just circumstantial evidence, they said.


For those not keeping score, the Democrats got a partisan prosecutor to make Tom DeLay step down from his leadership post, where he was replaced by a more genial but equally conservative Republican. Meanwhile, a conservative Chief Justice was approved overwhelmingly and the Endangered Species Act was gutted. This counts as a great day for the current pitiable iteration of the Democratic Party.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:25 PM

SOMETIMES THE TRANNIES MAKE IT TOO EASY:

U.S. insists on keeping control of Web (BRADLEY S. KLAPPER, September 29, 2005, Associated Press)

A senior U.S. official rejected calls on Thursday for a U.N. body to take over control of the main computers that direct traffic on the Internet, reiterating U.S. intentions to keep its historical role as the medium's principal overseer.

"We will not agree to the U.N. taking over the management of the Internet," said Ambassador David Gross, the U.S. coordinator for international communications and information policy at the State Department. "Some countries want that. We think that's unacceptable."

Many countries, particularly developing ones, have become increasingly concerned about the U.S. control, which stems from the country's role in creating the Internet as a Pentagon project and funding much of its early development.


Nothing is more certain to turn even those Americans who aren't entirely hostile to transnationalism into full-throated unilateralists than the idea of the UN controlling the Internet.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:15 PM

LET THEM CHOOSE:

Lessons Not Learned: Jonathan Kozol's analysis of American schools is worthy of a third-grader. (ABIGAIL THERNSTROM , September 29, 2005, Opinion Journal)

Jonathan Kozol has a devoted following, and "The Shame of the Nation" will not disappoint his fans. It's vintage Kozol--a jeremiad. His core complaints are familiar: American public schools are segregated, and those that have few whites in them are financially starved. He adds only one new element: The standards, testing and accountability "juggernaut" has crushed the "humane and happy" education we once had. [...]

One hates to argue with religious conviction, but Mr. Kozol's faith-based writing has little grounding in actual evidence. The words "segregation" and "apartheid" run like a mantra through the book, as if repetition will somehow make them true. In fact, American schools are not segregated; their racial composition reflects the nation's changing demographics.

Typically about 30% of the classmates of both blacks and Hispanics are white, but in big-city school districts whites are in short supply. The Los Angeles Unified School District, for instance, is 71% Latino, while a mere 10% of its students are white. Whites constitute only 15% of students in New York City, 10% in Chicago and Houston, and so forth. Mr. Kozol may be the last moral man standing, but his nonstop sermonizing will not change the racial composition of the big-city schools that most black and Hispanic students attend.

Instead of undertaking an analysis that looks at the facts and grapples with the hard reality of dysfunctional families, disruptive kids, undereducated teachers, stifling union contracts and a host of other ills, Mr. Kozol talks dreamily of a new protest movement led by parents and teachers who have nothing to lose but their chains. As Lincoln once famously said about a book: "People who like this sort of thing will find this the sort of thing they like."


That said, Mr. Kozol is, of course, right about the new segregation and the obvious solution is to voucherize all of public education. We might well still end up with segregated schools but it would be by the pupils' and parents' choice.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 4:18 PM

WILL THIS BE AN OPEN BOOK EXAM?

UN asks employees to take quiz on ethics (Steven Edwards, National Post, September, 29th 2005)

In the wake of management scandals, the United Nations is trying to increase its employees' integrity by asking them to take a multiple-choice ethics quiz and offering certificates featuring images of African Masai tribesmen to those who do well.

The initiative comes as a Congressional committee launches hearings into the UN's plans for overhauling its management after the General Assembly rejected the sweeping reforms proposed by Secretary-General Kofi Annan.

Being big UN boosters, we’d like to help:

1. You are a commander of UN peacekeeping forces in Africa who are accused of preying sexually on local children. Do you:

a) lament the precociousness of African kids and ask UNESCO to study the problem;
b) assure everyone they used condoms, so what’s the big deal;
c) leer knowingly and boast how your troops are “bad-ass Masai tribesmen”; or
d) blame Israel?

2. You are a UN Special Envoy for AIDS who promised to halve AIDS worldwide when you took the position, but it has quintupled and your position is up for renewal. When a U.S. congressman from Kansas calls for your resignation as a consequence, do you:

a) express your sincere hope he will soon come out of the closet;
b) mumble how more people have been killed by religion than anything else;
c) tell him to take it up with George Bush; or
d) release the results of your new study on how AIDS retards global warming?

3. Fox News reports they have discovered you have a multi-million franc Swiss bank account. Do you:

a) claim you just wanted to avoid exchange hassles on ski-trips;
b) accuse the Zionists of planting it;
c) insist it is a rapid response emergency fund for Swiss tsunami relief; or
d) whine about how everyone will give to a dying child but nobody wants to pay for administration?

4. You are the director of a UN division that has racked up $434,629.00 in unpaid New York City parking fines. Do you:

a) smugly invite them to “take it to the ICC”;
b) declare it would never have happened if New York had decent mass transit in accordance with UN Millenium goals;
c) offer to pay it off over two hundred years at zero per cent; or
d) promise to set it off against U.S. subscription arrears from 1982?

5. Genocidal slaughter erupts in Africa again while UN troops stand by under rules of engagement that prohibit bullets. When denying all responsibility, do you attribute the real blame to:

a) not enough U.S. troops;
b) too many U.S. troops;
c) the wrong kind of U.S. troops; or
d) all of the above.

6. For the three hundred and sixty-fifth time, the U.S. refuses to be bound by Kyoto. In briefing notes you prepare for the Secretary-General, do you urge him to:

a) offer a permanent Security Council seat to North Korea;
b) declare all of California a World Heritage Site;
c) nominate Jesse Jackson as his successor; or
d) ask the Masai tribesmen to face the Gulf of Mexico and do their traditional hurricane dance.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:23 PM

AND REDDER:

Cut-Rate Homes For Middle Class Are Catching On (DEAN E. MURPHY, 9/29/05, NY Times)

Some middle-class families are buying homes at budget prices made possible by government agencies, private developers, not-for-profit groups and employers.

Affordable housing, once shorthand for low rents for the poor, is being stretched like never before to include homeownership for people who are more likely to have Starbucks cash cards than food stamps in their wallets. These middle-income earners, priced out of homes from Burlington, Vt., to Santa Fe, N.M., are being offered financial breaks to live in hot real-estate markets and near their jobs.

"Our thinking is that a healthy middle class is important to the city," said Geoffrey Lewis, assistant director of policy at the Boston Redevelopment Authority, which has overseen the building of hundreds of units reserved for middle-income earners. "We want to keep these people in Boston; they are the glue in the neighborhoods and the glue in the economy as well."

Sometimes called low-cost, work force or inclusionary housing, the cut-price units are most popular in places "suffering from success," as one study described the cities where real estate costs outpaced incomes and where government officials, businesses and housing advocates were struggling to increase homeownership for all but the rich.

Unlike traditional government programs intended for the most disadvantaged, the emphasis is on people with full-time jobs who earn too much to qualify for federal assistance but too little to obtain a conventional mortgage, at least not in the cities or neighborhoods where they want to live.

Typically, those household incomes are 80 percent to 120 percent of the median income, which, in expensive metropolitan areas like San Francisco, Boston and New York, can extend into six figures for a family of four.

Nicolas P. Retsinas, director of the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard, said, "In many places where housing costs have escalated, that historical social contract appears to have been voided, the contract that if you work you can find a decent place to live."

The price breaks are usually not achieved through direct subsidies but a range of cost-cutting programs, including cities making zoning changes for developers, providing land at reduced cost, expediting approvals of building plans and allowing the construction of bigger and more expensive homes elsewhere. [...]

"By creating ownership, you are giving moderate income residents a financial stake in their neighborhoods, so they benefit from the improvement rather than be hurt by it," said Shaun Donovan, the housing commissioner in New York.

The spread of the phenomenon is too new and dispersed to be quantified, government officials and housing advocates say, and so far it occupies only a small piece of the nation's affordable housing pie. Still, it is catching the attention of home builders, city planners, educators and business people across the nation, leading to workshops and seminars on the subject as well as a spate of local laws that make it simpler for developers to offer the units.


This is the kind of cycle of virtue that warms the cockles of a conservative heart.

MORE:
Norwich Selectboard Backs Affordable Homes (Mark Davis, 9/29/05, Valley News)

The selectboard formally urged the town's planning commission last night to move more quickly to pave the way for an affordable housing development.

After a lengthy discussion, selectmen decided that despite some concern about the propriety of meddling with another committee, they needed to nudge commissioners to approve a boundary line change needed to make it possible for developers to bring an affordable housing project to a gentrified community that has long discussed the need for such homes.

“For many any years, we've said, ‘Oh, we must have affordable housing in the town',” Selectboard Chairwoman Alison May said. “A selectboard has never taken a real lead on this. Here is an opportunity. I think this is a chance for us to take some real leadership.

The selectboard's decision comes at a crucial time for affordable housing in Norwich.

Twin Pines Housing Trust of White River Junction and the Burlington-based Housing Vermont want to build 28 single-family homes and apartments on the old Agway property off Route 5, about a half mile from downtown. But before the project can move forward, the planning commission must vote to extend the boundary line of the town's designated residential area to include the Agway property.

Twin Pines' board recently told the commission that the approval must come soon, because the property will surely attract other bidders.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:53 PM

IF JIMMY CARTER HAD READ IT HE'D STILL BE PRESIDENT TODAY:

OBIT: M. Scott Peck, Self-Help Author, Dies at 69 (EDWARD WYATT, September 28, 2005, NY Times)

Dr. Peck is among the founding fathers of the self-help genre of books, which retain their popularity from year to year. "The Road Less Traveled," published in 1978, and its later companion volumes, "Further Along the Road Less Traveled" (1993) and "The Road Less Traveled and Beyond" (1997), have sold more than 5 million copies in North America, according to Dr. Peck's publisher, Simon & Schuster, and have been translated into more than 20 languages.

" 'The Road Less Traveled' really marked the beginning of contemporary self-help," said Jan Miller, a literary agent whose firm, Dupree Miller & Associates, represents other stars in the field, including Dr. Phil McGraw and Joel Osteen. "It was a significant work because he was able to blend the psychology and the spiritual so magnificently."

Unlike the huge best sellers of today, however, which arrive in bookstores accompanied by blaring trumpets of publicity, "The Road Less Traveled" went all but unnoticed when it was released in 1978.

Simon & Schuster initially printed only about 5,000 copies, one of which was sent to Phyllis Theroux at The Washington Post. Ms. Theroux was later quoted as saying that she spent two weeks writing a review "that would force people to buy the book."

That eventually happened, but only after Dr. Peck labored to stimulate sales by copying the review and sending it to several hundred newspapers around the country. The hardcover book sold a respectable 12,000 copies, and the paperback edition sold 30,000 in its first year.

That number doubled in each of the next two years, and in mid-1983, five years after publication, "The Road Less Traveled" reached the New York Times best-seller list for the first time. It has since spent 694 weeks on the list, the equivalent of more than 13 years. [...]

The book focused on Dr. Peck's core belief that, as stated in its opening sentence, "Life is difficult," and that its problems can be addressed only through self-discipline. Humans, however, tend to try to avoid problems, a habit that only creates more difficulties, Dr. Peck said.

To that dose of self-discipline, Dr. Peck added an inseparable spiritual element. "I make no distinction between the mind and the spirit, and therefore no distinction between the process of achieving spiritual growth and achieving mental growth," Dr. Peck wrote in the preface to the original book. "They are one and the same."

Dr. Peck's approach to self-discipline was infused not only with his general belief in the help of higher power, which made his books particularly popular with 12-step programs like Alcoholics Anonymous, but also with his specifically Christian personal beliefs, which crystallized relatively late in life.

MORE:
The religion of science (M. Scott Peck, The Road Less Traveled)

Science is a religion because it is a world view of considerable complexity with a number of major tenets. Most of these major tenets are as follows: the universe is real, and therefore a valid object for examination; it is of value for human beings to examine the universe; the universe makes sense--that is, it follows certain laws and is predictable; but human beings are poor examiners, subject to superstition, bias, prejudice, and a profound tendency to see what they want rather than what is really there; consequently, to examine and hence understand accurately, it is necessary for human beings to subject themselves to the discipline of the scientific method. The essence of this discipline is experience, so that we cannot consider ourselves to know something unless we have actually experienced it; while the discipline of scientific method begins with experience, simple experience itself is not to be trusted; to be trusted, experience must be repeatable, usually in the form of an experiment; moreover, the experiment must be verifiable, in that some other people must have the same experience under the same circumstances.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:49 PM

WHATEVER HAPPENED TO MONEY BEING DETERMINATIVE?:

As Corzine lead wilts,
Clinton gets call
(Kenneth R. Bazinet, 9/29/05, NY Daily News)

Former President Bill Clinton is being called in to help rescue the slumping New Jersey gubernatorial campaign of Jon Corzine, who has given up a double-digit lead and is just 4 points ahead of Republican Doug Forrester in a new poll.

"It's 911 time in the Corzine campaign. Obviously, he's in trouble," said a senior Democratic strategist.

Clinton will campaign with the Democratic U.S. senator today at Kean University in Union, hoping to turn around Corzine's stalled run for the New Jersey statehouse.

A Quinnipiac poll gives Corzine a 48%-to-44% lead over Forrester - a 6-point drop from a month ago


Sort of sad that the only party leader you can bring in is the pumpheaded ex-president.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:26 PM

LATE BUZZ:

Graham: Williams ‘seriously considered' (WENDY JEFFCOAT, 9/29/05, The Times and Democrat)

Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals Judge Karen Williams of Orangeburg is being "seriously considered" for a slot on the Supreme Court, U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham says.

Graham, who sits on the Senate Judiciary Committee, said Wednesday he fully supports Williams as a candidate for the bench.

"I know she (Williams) is seriously being considered for the Supreme Court," Graham said. "(She) brings the experience and knowledge base required to be on the Supreme Court."


Her opinions upholding the Pledge and calling Miranda into question would have conservatives doing handsprings.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:21 PM

EVEN-HANDED ANALYSIS:

Ban on Corporate Funds Is a Fixture in Texas Election Law (Richard B. Schmitt, September 29, 2005, LA Times)

The Texas law that Tom DeLay is accused of violating dates to the era of the robber barons and has been widely emulated in other states concerned about corporate influence in politics. It bans the use of corporate funds on behalf of state political candidates.

Such laws — including bans at the federal level — have withstood legal challenges that they violate the free-speech rights of corporations.

Nonetheless, it is far from clear whether Rep. DeLay (R-Texas), who is charged with conspiracy to break the law, committed a crime. He has asserted that he played no active role in the affairs of the political committee that raised corporate funds and allegedly funneled them to Texas candidates.

His lawyers are likely to argue that the funds were legally spent. The prosecutor has disclosed little of his evidence.

Such a prosecution, although rare, shows the downside of banning corporate contributions. It leads corporations to find other ways to get money to candidates — or at least that is the argument of some campaign finance reformers.


Corporations aren't citizens, so there's no constitutional problem with banning them from giving directly to candidates or limiting what they can give. But they also have deep pockets so it would seem to make sense to allow them to help fund the parties, which are vital to our system. After that it gets dodgy....


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:48 PM

22 FOR ROE:

Roberts Confirmed by Senate (Fred Barbash, September 29, 2005, Washington Post)

The Senate confirmed John Glover Roberts Jr. as chief justice of the United States, replacing the late William H. Rehnquist, the mentor for whom he clerked. The vote was 78-22. [...]

Sen. Arlen Specter (R-Pa.), chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, told reporters after the confirmation, "I believe that there's a very decisive bipartisan flavor to this vote. Judge Roberts -- soon to be Chief Justice Roberts -- got half of the Democrats and Senator Jeffords," an independent. "And to come away with 78 votes, considering where the Senate was in such contentious straits earlier this year, I think is really remarkable."


Could Democrats make themselves seem any more marginal to American life?


Posted by David Cohen at 12:47 PM

WHAT A DEAL

Bush Reported Near to Nominating Judge (Elisabeth Bumiller, NY Times, 9/28/05)

Republicans said there appeared to be less possibility that Mr. Bush would select Priscilla R. Owen or Janice Rogers Brown, federal appellate judges appointed by the president. Judges Owen and Brown, strong conservatives, set off bitter confirmation fights in the Senate, and Democrats blocked them for years by filibusters until a compromise on their confirmations was reached this year.

On Wednesday, Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, the Democratic leader, and Senator Patrick J. Leahy of Vermont, the top Democrat on the Judiciary Committee, sent Mr. Bush a letter urging him not to name to the court any of the three judges who were part of the compromise - Judge William J. Pryor Jr. and Judges Owen and Brown.

"The nomination of any of these individuals to the Supreme Court would represent an unnecessary provocation and would be met by substantial opposition in the Senate," the letter said.

One of the truly shocking things about the "Gang of 14" sellout was the naivete displayed by its defenders, who claimed that it tied the Democrats up in various ways. How can they say that Brown's nomination would be extraordinary? By saying it. The only person who's choices were limited by this deal is the President, who was put on notice that enough Republicans would defect from the nuclear option that there was no point in the future of nominating an "outspoken" conservative.

It is tempting, on the day of Chief Justice Roberts confirmation, to assume that this is not too harmful. After all, if we can still get Justices like John Roberts, what's the harm. That is still the best possible outcome -- that the deal does no harm. That gets less and less likely, however. Senator McCain has tied us to a deal in which the only group that can't be nominated to the federal bench is outspoken conservatives. That being the case, people ambitious to get onto the bench will learn their lesson -- don't be outspoken.

President Bush will not nominate Janice Brown because he cannot. He will not nominate Priscilla Owen because he cannot. He won't even nominate Michael McConnell, because he cannot. He won't nominate Viet Dinh, because he cannot. Quite the deal Senator McCain brought home for conservatives.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 9:41 AM

CLOSE YOUR EYES AND THINK OF THE OUTBACK

Australians do ‘patriotic duty’: Birthrate up (Reuters, September, 29th, 2005)

Treasurer Peter Costello urged Australians to “do their patriotic duty” and have more children but it seems they were doing it anyway, just for fun. A new study shows the birthrate hitting its highest level in seven years.

A study by Australian National University demographer Peter McDonald showed the country’s birthrate at 1.77 per woman in 2004, its highest level since 1997. McDonald believes the rate will stay around 1.8 for the next 5-10 years.[...]

“That kind of public discussion has been pretty prominent and I think that has had its effect,” he said. During a budget speech in May last year, Costello urged Australians to have more children, telling couples to “have one for your husband, one for your wife and one for your country.”

Super idea, but perhaps best not to tell the kids which was which.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:57 AM

BLAIRY-EYED (via Robert Schwartz):

Brown marching towards the sound of guns: Labour’s Left will not like it but the Chancellor made it plain yesterday that his eyes are fixed on the big picture (David Aaronovitch, September 27, 2005, Times of London)

The question of how Britain deals with the new world economy is the big question of modern politics. Other things count, of course, but nothing like so much. So at this point enters the leader-in-waiting of the Labour Party, Gordon Brown. The attitude he takes towards these issues defines where he really stands on the political spectrum. Forward? Back? Stuck in the middle, mouthing platitudes?

It had occurred to some on the Left, even before yesterday’s speech, that the answer was “forward”. The Statesman feared as much. Labour people might be longing, wrote the Editor, for “a true Labour politician, a man with socialism in his bones”, but he worried that “some of his priorities suggest that he would have to work hard to fulfil the hopes that many on the Left, with mounting desperation, are vesting in him”.

Characteristically the magazine then went on to give the Chancellor no clue at all as to what he should do, other than to run a long piece on the paradise that is Sweden. Which is always, in my experience, a bad sign. Lord, but it is difficult these days to find a publication that acknowledges the existence of a Left whose desperation is not mounting.

Back to The Guardian where some were trying hard to keep desperation under control. Yesterday one of its most astute columnists sought to reassure readers about the unexaminable leftness of Brown. He had to sound a bit Blairy, she explained, because, “he has many audiences to address when he speaks to conference this week — party, business, media. He cannot break free to articulate a vision that is truly distinctive without producing stories of a split with Blair and endangering the handover.”

Well, doesn’t a leader always have these pressures to contend with? Besides, it was instructive to see what Mr Brown had elected to put in his speech. Not the populist bits (which were good), nor the codas, but the stuff he wanted to have there. Like his assault on protectionism, his promise to abolish or reform the CAP, his refusal to countenance a return to protectionism in trade, his desire for a flexible Europe. There was China, “now producing almost half the world’s electronic goods and soon half the world’s clothes”, and together with India producing four million graduates.

Then this: “We must meet and master what is now the biggest global industrial restructuring in our economic history . . . Everywhere the pace of innovation is faster than ever before, everyday global competition more threatening . . . We will not make the mistake of the 1930s — there will be no retreat into protectionism . . .”

This is what the Chancellor sees, and he sees it as clearly as the man he is likely to succeed. The debates we engage in with such obsessive repetitiveness and attention to detail, are minor considerations set against the strategic questions of Britain’s stance in the world. Do we face the global competition by retreating into our shells and hoping it will go away, or do we march towards the sound of the guns?

The choice is not about principle versus political positioning, so as to garner short-term centrist votes. It’s about whether Britain is a progressive, successful country, full of plumbers, or becomes a backward-looking, defensive one. Gordon Brown has, I think, made his choice.


Meanwhile, just a whiff of grape and the Tories are on the run.


Posted by pjaminet at 8:55 AM

SO MUCH FOR COMMUNION WITH THE EPISCOPALIANS:

Russian admiral named patron saint of nuclear bomber force

MOSCOW (AFP) - Historic Russian admiral Fyodor Ushakov -- a hero of Russia's wars against Turkey and Napoleon Bonaparte -- was designated the patron saint of nuclear-armed, long-distance Russian bombers by the Orthodox Church.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:29 AM

IF EVIL EXISTS, THEN...:

New 'Night Stalker' looks to follow in past's creepy footsteps (Suzanne C. Ryan, September 29, 2005, Boston Globe)

Frank Spotnitz will never forget Jan. 11, 1972.

That was the day ABC broadcast ''The Night Stalker," a thriller about a headstrong newspaper reporter, Carl Kolchak, who is convinced a vampire is on the loose in Las Vegas. The film, which starred Darren McGavin, quickly became a cult classic and spawned a short-lived TV series that later inspired ''The X-Files."

''It scared the pants off of me," recalls Spotnitz, a television producer who was 11 years old at the time. ''It seemed so real."

Tonight at 9, Spotnitz, who worked for eight years as a producer and writer on ''The X-Files," is hoping to spook a new generation with the premiere of his ''Night Stalker" remake series on ABC. [...]

''The mythology of the show is good versus evil," Spotnitz says. ''I believe there is evil in the world . . . and evil seems more powerful than good because evil is not handicapped by a conscience or morality or mercy. So how do you win?"


If he has sense enough to answer that question as most Americans would, he could have a hit.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:20 AM

KADEER IN THE SPOTLIGHTS:

China warns of Xinjiang 'danger' (BBC, 9/29/05)

China's top security official has warned of a new crackdown on "separatism" in the remote north-western region of Xinjiang.

The warning came ahead of ceremonies planned for 1 October to mark half-a-century of Chinese control.

Luo Gan said officers should remain "prepared for danger".

Xinjiang is home to a large population of Muslim Uighurs, some of whom want an independent homeland in the region they call East Turkestan. [...]

The authorities last month accused a prominent Uighur businesswoman-turned-activist, Rebiya Kadeer, who was recently freed from jail under intense international pressure, of planning to sabotage the forthcoming ceremonies.

Ms Kadeer has since gone into exile in the United States.


There is no China.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:16 AM

WHO HAS THE MOVIE RIGHTS? MACK SENNETT?:

Venice 'will get protection dam' (BBC, 9/29/05)

Controversial plans to build an underwater dam to protect Venice from flooding will go ahead, Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi has said.

The 4.5bn euro (£2.9bn) project, dubbed Mose - the Italian name for Moses - is due to be completed by 2011.

"All doubts have vanished - there is no way back," Mr Berlusconi stressed.

Environmentalists have criticised the project, and the mayor of Venice protested against the decision saying the city council had been bypassed.

The plans envisage building 78 hinged flood barriers on the seabed which would be raised when high tides threaten the city.

But some environmentalists say the 28m (92ft) high, 20m (65ft) wide structures will turn Venice into a pond and will cause more damage than the floods which periodically submerge its streets.


Think of it as just the Big Dig done by Italy and you may not stop laughing'til lunch...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:26 AM

ONLY ONE GULLIVER IN LILLIPUT:

EU's biggest economies becoming less competitive (Honor Mahony, 9/29/05, EU Observer)

Nordic countries have once again been ranked as among the world's most competitive economies, according to a >World Economic Forum (WEF) report published Wednesday (28 September).

Finland comes out on top with Sweden and Denmark falling into third and fourth place behind the US. [...]

Estonia, which the WEF says is "by a significant margin the most competitive economy among the 10 countries that joined the EU last year" is ranked 20 while other important movers are Poland which moved up nine places to 51st place and Ireland ranked 26 - up four places from last year.

For other European countries however, the news is bleaker. Many of the big European countries have slipped down the rankings.

Neither of Britain or Germany, the EU's two biggest economies feature in the top ten, with the UK ranked at number 13 and Germany moving down two places to 15.

France, meanwhile, moved from 27th place down to 30th place, while Spain and Belgium moved down six places to 29th and 31st ranking respectively.

Among the worst performing EU countries are Italy and Greece, the lowest ranking EU countries bar Poland.


On all of these lists, one thing always stands out, how odd a fit the United States is in the top ranks. We're so much larger and more diverse than any of our peers -- and not an island -- as to be a complete anomaly.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:51 AM

WHERE HAVE ALL THE GOOD JOBS GONE? BEGGING:

Big Hands on the Little Hands (GLENN COLLINS, 9/29/05, NY Times)

The little-old-watchmaker-guy stereotype is wrong on three counts.

A lot of them aren't little, or old, or guys. In fact, because of a luxury boom, a new generation of young horologists is receiving training in an antiquated art. For despite the sleek, solid-state domination of the quartz watch and the digital display, expensive and intricate mechanical watches are back.

But very few people are qualified to repair them.

Thus, on a recent morning, Harry Papathomas, a 20-year-old mechanical adept from Madison, N.J., was using a jeweler's saw to fashion a brass file-cleaner. As the first step in his education as a watchmaker, it was a personal statement of craftsmanship, to create his own tools.

"This is an art form within the confines of a watch," he said. He is one of six students who have enlisted in a free, but highly selective, two-year, 3,000-hour training program that began this month at a new school established by the Watchmakers of Switzerland Training and Education Program, a group set up by the Swiss watch industry to standardize training worldwide.

It is now the fifth such American watchmaking school, joining others in Oklahoma, Seattle, Pennsylvania and Minnesota. The course-completion certificate is the most prestigious worldwide credential for Swiss watchmakers.

"The repairs are there, waiting, as soon as they graduate," said Paul Madden, the course instructor. Potentially 100,000 high-end watchmaking jobs are open in the United States, but only 5,000 experts are available to fill them, according to the Federation of the Swiss Watch Industry, a trade group in Bienne, Switzerland, that represents 90 percent of the country's watchmakers.

When students graduate they can command a starting salary of $55,000 a year, or make six figures in their own businesses, according to the watch federation.


NPR did a story a couple years ago on how much trouble they were having filling these positions, despite the high pay. People weren't willing to do the training.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:28 AM

A CLOSED CHURCH

Agreeing Only to Disagree on God's Place in Science (George Johnson, New York Times, September 27th, 2005)

Modern science is sometimes said to have grown from the Christian belief in a single supreme being who created and sustains an orderly cosmos. Since he could have written the laws any way he wanted, it follows that they can only be discovered empirically, not deduced from first principles as Aristotle tried to do. The Book of Nature must be studied as assiduously as the Book of God.

Historians go on to describe how science shed its theological chrysalis and went its separate way. The result is what the Templeton people call "flat science." Early in the seminars, Denis Alexander, a Cambridge immunologist and Christian, made the radical suggestion that science reclaim its theistic roots, taking as its deepest premise the existence of God.

Another speaker, John Polkinghorne, a Cambridge physicist turned Anglican priest, saw profound significance in the fact that humans - rational, conscious creatures endowed with intentionality and free will - find themselves in a universe with laws they can understand. In "The Faith of a Physicist," he gives his take on the big bang theory with God stepping in to ensure a chemistry "fine tuned" to generate life.

Listening to the reconcilers and reading their books, even an agnostic could appreciate how the beauty of the cosmos might compel one to believe in something transcendent. But what writers like Dr. Alexander and Dr. Polkinghorne are talking about is not just the awe one feels hiking above the timberline or inhaling the ocean air. They are looking to science for something far more specific - the constant, hovering presence of the kind of God described in Sunday school, who watches over us and responds to our prayers.

This is not the God of deism, who cranked up the universe and let it run. In drafting the principles of physics he left trapdoors - what Dr. Polkinghorne calls "causal joints" - through which to intervene, placing the earth in a hospitable orbit or unleashing the cascade of mutations needed for a microbe to evolve into a man. The trick is to do this without appearing to violate his own laws.

Some theologians speculate that this happens on the subatomic level, when a particle appears to dart probabilistically, with a roll of the quantum dice. Maybe it is God doing the shuffling, and what appears to mortals as quantum indeterminacy is divine intervention in disguise.

Others propose that God acts through nonlinear dynamics, in which microscopic fluctuations give rise to potentially earthshaking results - chaos theory's "butterfly effect." Here too the influence would be undetectable. With or without the guiding hand of the creator, reality would appear the same.

Dr. Dawkins has written that "a universe with a supernatural presence would be a fundamentally and qualitatively different kind of universe from one without." If the God hypothesis is meaningful, it should be subject to a test. But the theistic gloss Dr. Polkinghorne and others give to science is immune to this kind of scrutiny. It has, by design, no observable consequences.

The reconcilers insist that the same is true for the belief that there is nothing but matter and energy, that you can be either a materialist or a theist and still do good research. But for many scientists, entertaining supernatural explanations is a violation of the craft. A study reported in Nature in 1998 found that only 7 percent of the members of the elite National Academy of Sciences believed in God. For biologists the figure was just 5.5 percent.

"You clearly can be a scientist and have religious beliefs," Peter Atkins, an Oxford University chemist, has said. "But I don't think you can be a real scientist in the deepest sense of the word because they are such alien categories of knowledge."

The campaign to keep theories of intelligent design or creationism out of science classes is really an effort to silence or even exclude religious teachers.



Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:24 AM

WORTH FRAMING


Melting Arctic sounds alarm bells
(Katherine Harding, Globe and Mail, September 29th, 2005)

Andy Carpenter has only to walk out his front door to see that the Arctic's thick blanket of snow and ice is melting, drip by drip.

"It's impossible not to notice this," said the mayor of Sachs Harbour, a remote hamlet of 120 on the shore of Banks Island in Canada's Western Arctic. "What worries me is that people are starting to get used to it."



Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:17 AM

YOUR MOST EXCELLENT EXCELLENCY

Jean's siren song of freedom (Andrew Coyne, National Post, September 29th, 2005)

After the oath of allegiance, after the musical numbers, after the Prime Minister's introduction, I settled in to hear the new Governor-General deliver her first address to the nation, expecting to hear the usual banal bureaucratese, or worse, the coded appeals to regional and racial chauvinism -- sorry, diversity -- that have become the official language of Ottawa. Indeed, given her own past, I half expected some sly reference to the independence of small peoples or the like.

I had not expected to hear the full-throated song of love to this country that in fact followed, a speech of heartbreaking sincerity and jaw-dropping boldness -- the most ringing endorsement of undifferentiated pan-Canadianism, I'm willing to guess, that the capital has heard in years. Nor could anyone have anticipated precisely how she would choose to convey her message, the points she emphasized, the words she preferred. The gesture of renouncing her French citizenship had been welcome enough. But the speech was note-perfect in tone, and transformative in content.

It was uplifting without being Pollyannaish, tender yet tough-minded, vigorous, audacious, even bellicose in spots.

In place of the usual gooey cliches of Canadian nationalism, the obsession with minor differences, the nursing of ancient grievances, the exaltation of some supposed national predisposition to statism, we heard an invocation of a different Canada, and a different Canadianism -- an older, meatier variety, before the Liberals and their bureaucratic accomplices went to work bleaching the life out of it. It was a speech, perhaps paradoxically, that only an immigrant could have given, or could get away with, for it spoke from and to the reality of the immigrant experience, of what immigrants really see in this country, and cherish about it. It is why they come here, and it is worlds away from what the mythmakers would have us believe about it.

The headline-making passage was, of course, her firm declaration that "the time of 'two solitudes' ... is past." This wasn't a fond hope. It was a brisk directive -- not only to the traditional divisions of French and English, but to "all the solitudes." We must learn, she said, "to see beyond our wounds, beyond our differences, for the good of all." Beyond our wounds? Beyond our differences? But, but ... what about the mosaic? What about the community of communities? What about the Canada "whose strength is its diversity," the Canada that issues weekly apologies for centuries-old slights, that spent 40 years turning itself inside out trying to meet the latest revision of Quebec's "historic demands"? Balls to that, said this descendant of slaves. Get over yourselves. "We must eliminate the spectre of all the solitudes and promote solidarity among all the citizens who make up the Canada of today."

It was quite the show-stopper, as one might expect from a speech that began: "My own story begins as a young child in another country, one 'draped in barbed wire from head to toe’...” In one week, this supposedly feckless and trendy journalist with putative separatist leanings has slammed multiculturalism, renounced her French citizenship and told the whole country to grow up. It reminds one of what completely escapes the anti-immigrant lobby–that without the energy, patriotism and clarity of vision born of near-spiritual gratitude of our immigrants, the Anglosphere would be atrophying like Europe.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

HUH?:

Crunching Baseball's Numbers (Carl Bialik, September 29, 2005, Wall Street Journal)

The Oakland A's are a very good baseball team that nonetheless will miss the playoffs, thanks in large part to a stretch of bad play at home late this season.

Just how much of a fluke was that stretch from August 12 to September 7, in which the A's lost five straight three-game series at home? A's manager Ken Macha hazarded a guess last week in a chat with Sacramento Bee sports columnist Mark Kreidler: a 512-to-1 shot. "It sounds high, but since Macha studied civil engineering in college and I studied journalism ethics (or did I only audit that course?), we'll go with his version," Mr. Kreidler wrote.

It seems Mr. Kreidler should have trusted his instincts, because Mr. Macha's calculations appear to misstate the odds against his team's poor play. But examining the numbers more deeply provides an interesting illustration of probability theory, and demonstrates why many statistics and math professors like to use baseball in their lesson plans.

Let's start by assuming the A's have a 50% chance of losing each home game. The games in question were played as a best-of-three series. Each game of that series had two possible outcomes, so for the three-game set, there are eight (2*2*2) possible outcomes. One such outcome is that the A's sweep; another is that their opponent wins the first and third games but loses the middle game, for instance.

In four of the eight possible outcomes, the A's lose the series, because they lost at least two of the three games. Each outcome has an equal probability in this scenario. So the A's have a 4 in 8 (or 1 in 2) chance of losing any particular series.

There were five series, and we've already seen that the A's had a 1 in 2 chance of losing any individual series. To come up with their odds of losing all five series, you multiply the probabilities together (1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2) to get 1/32. In other words, using this method, the odds of the A's losing all five series is 1 in 32 -- far more likely than the 1 in 512 that Mr. Macha estimated.

But...


Whahappen?


September 28, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:38 PM

BRING BACK I.D.S.:

Tories must not swerve to the right, says Davis (Rosemary Bennett, 9/29/05, Times of London)

DAVID DAVIS will not repeat the mistakes of previous Tory leaders by “swerving to the right” to cling on to core Conservative voters, he vowed last night. [...]

[M]r Davis, in an interview with The Times today, says that he is the unifying candidate and will not repeat the mistakes of previous leaders who have made promises to steer a centre course, but then retreated to the right.


So even the conservative Conservative candidate vows to stay to Labour's Left? Mill was certainly right at least as regards Britain's conservatives.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:05 PM

BLOW, WIND, BLOW:

Demoralized Dems: Why the party has so little faith in its political prospects. (Howard Fineman, Sept. 28, 2005, Newsweek)

With George W. Bush’s presidency mired in the muck of hurricanes and doubts about the war, you’d think Democrats would be bursting with energy, eagerly expecting to regain power. But, in a roomful of well-connected Democrats the other night, I was struck by how gloomy they were. They can’t stand Bush, but didn’t have much faith in their own party’s prospects. [...]

The president’s nomination of John Roberts was a ten strike, knocking apart whatever united front the Dems might have been able to muster on judicial issues. However genial and cerebral he may be, Roberts also is a board-certified conservative, blessed by the James Dobsons of the world.

No one doubted that at least a few Red State Democrats would vote for him, but the defection of Sen. Pat Leahy of Vermont (no less), the ranking Democrat on the Judiciary Committee, was a stunner—and a demoralizing one for the party faithful.

Democrats are vowing to remain unified over Bush’s next pick—which almost certainly will be a woman, a Hispanic or both. So the party could find itself in a tough political position once again. [...]

The GOP has Rudy, Colin, Arnold, McCain and Condi—just to name a few: big, bold, controversial characters. Good copy if nothing else. The more or less official roster of titular Democratic leaders includes Harry Reid, Nancy Pelosi, Howard Dean and 2004 nominee John Kerry. ‘Nuff said. [...]

What Big Idea would a Democratic presidency be about? No one seems to know, which is perhaps the main reason why the party faithful in that room seemed so lost.


In the end what's the effect of Katrina other than to drown out the Democrats while allowing the president to advance his agenda under the guise of rebuilding? And when all the Democrats have to offer in the wake of the storm is the kind of Great Society programs that made New Orleans a cesspit in the first place, how can it possibly help them?

If your message is a winner, all events, even those beyond your control, will fit within it. If your message is a loser there's no likelihood that events will salvage you. It's instructive that the only exception to this rule was the most significant event of last century, the Great Depression. Would you want to be the Democrats, stuck waiting and hoping for the next one?


MORE:
House GOP Uses Storms to Ease Energy Laws (H. JOSEF HEBERT, September 28, 2005, AP)

Legislation that would end the longtime ban on energy development along most of the country's coasts and open an Alaskan wildlife refuge to oil drilling advanced Wednesday in the House.

Opponents said Republican leaders were exploiting the aftermath of hurricanes Katrina and Rita to pass pro-industry measures that they failed to get included in an energy bill signed into law only two months ago. [...]

The bill will be combined with proposals intended to spur expansion or construction of refineries — an idea being worked on Wednesday by a different House committee.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:51 PM

LOCKDOWN THE LEGACY:

Parents offered school choice (Samantha Maiden, 29-09-2005, The Australian)

PARENTS will be offered greater choice of public schools under landmark reforms that could include taxpayer-funded vouchers for struggling students to spend in private schools.

Warning that parents were lying about where they lived to secure places at prestigious public schools, Education Minister Brendan Nelson called for an end to the geographical "zones" that forced families to move house or miss out on enrolment in high-performing public schools.

"We know that there are parents lying about where they live in order to get their children enrolled in certain government state schools around Australia," Dr Nelson said.

"There are also teachers queued up who want to teach in them. What we have discovered from parents is that what they are looking for is a school with a high level of communication between the school and parents, particularly about the progress of children."

His call for action will be backed today by Labor leader Kim Beazley.

In a speech to an education conference in Sydney, he will unveil reforms to ensure parents have greater choice between public schools in their region and specialist schools targeting trades, maths and science.

Choice will be the centrepiece of the radical rethink of the ALP's education policies, with Mr Beazley warning the premiers they must embrace reform or risk funding cuts.


Each would provoke the ire of his own party -- but that's sort of the point -- if George Bush, Tony Blair, John Howard, and Junichiro Koizumi, at least, were to convene a grand summit on reforming the 20th century welfare state to meet the realities of the 21st century. Responsible leaders in the opposition could be invited and because there'd be a range of parties participating from across the Anglosphere it might help to defuse some of the suspicion and partisan rancor that each of these Third Way leaders currently faces as a result of poaching in his opposition party's territory.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:12 PM

CONFUSING POLITICS WITH PROSECUTION (via Kevin Whited):

DeLay blames 'fanatic' DA for indictment (R.G. RATCLIFFE and JANET ELLIOTT, 9/28/05, Houston Chronicle)

"I have done nothing wrong ... I am innocent," DeLay told a Capitol Hill news conference in which he repeatedly criticized the prosecutor, Travis County District Attorney Ronnie Earle. DeLay called Earle a "unabashed partisan zealot," and "fanatic," and described the charges as "one of the weakest and most baseless indictments in American history."

In Austin, Earle told reporters, "Our job is to prosecute abuses of power and to bring those abuses to the public."


As Brother Whited points out, Mr. Earle's statement seems to concede Mr. DeLay's point. Mr. Earle is supposed to prosecute actual violations of the laws.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:38 PM

I JUST KNOW THERE'S A PEAK IN THERE SOMEWHERE... (via Kevin Whited):

Oil reserves are double previous estimates, says Saudi (Saeed Shah, 28 September 2005, Independent uk)

Saudi Arabia, the biggest oil producer, and Exxon Mobil, the largest oil company, yesterday declared that the world had decades' worth of oil to come, in an attempt to calm fears about the record prices experienced in recent weeks. [...]

Mr Naimi also said that there were "no takers" for more oil right now, as a result of constrained refining capacity. Roughly a quarter of US refining capacity is still shut after Hurricanes Katrina and Rita struck the country's southern coast, but global refining capacity - to turn crude oil into petrol and other products - was struggling to keep up with demand even before that.

"Give us the customers and we will pump more oil," the Saudi oil minister told reporters at the 18th World Petroleum Congress, adding that more refineries needed to be built. He said that enough global output would be added in the next three to four years to restore "some margin of safety" to oil markets.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:17 PM

DOES A CONSENSUS REALLY HAVE TO BE 100%? (via Kevin Whited):

Just Vote No: Iraqis should reject the constitution. (Fred Kaplan, Sept. 27, 2005, Slate)

When Iraqis go to the polls Oct. 15 to vote on the constitution, it would probably be best if they rejected it. Elections for a new parliament are scheduled to take place this December in any case. Let them be for a new constitutional assembly (as current law provides in the event of a rejection), and let the process start over again. Further delay may prolong the chaos, but passage of this parchment will almost certainly make things worse—and for much longer still.

I say this with nothing but dismay. The Bush administration wants to withdraw most U.S. ground troops from Iraq by the end of next year, as do I. The official rationale will be: We've done our job; Iraq has a new government and a new constitution; we'll keep a cadre of troops behind for training and essential security, but otherwise the defense of Iraq is up to the Iraqis. But if there is no new constitution, no new government, a major pullout will be harder to justify.

And yet, the whole point of a constitution is to establish a foundation of consensus, to put forth a rule book that's accepted (even if reluctantly) by all the key factions; in short, to lay the groundwork on which politics can legitimately be played out.


Somebody on NPR was saying the same thing yesterday and how the Iraqi constitution was a mistake because only the Kurds and Shi'ites support it so it's illegitimate. Even if we accept the notion that the 20% of Iraq that is Sunni uniformly opposes the constitution as written, it's striking that the 20% of Americans who were slaves likely opposed ours as well. The biggest difference, of course, is that the Sunni oppose theirs because they don't want just an autonomous region of their own in the central portion of Iraq, while most black Americans were actually deprived of all freedoms.

At any rate, no one has yet made a case for why anyone other than the Sunni should want a constitution that they'd be satisfied with and it seems obvious that such a constitution, rather than being opposed by 20% of Iraqis, would be opposed by 80%.

MORE:
Heart of Darkness: From Zarqawi to the man on the street, Sunni Arabs fear Shiite emancipation. (FOUAD AJAMI, September 28, 2005, Opinion Journal)

It was the luck of the imperial draw that the American project in Iraq came to the rescue of the Shiites--and of the Kurds. We may not fully appreciate the historical change we unleashed on the Arab world, but we have given liberty to the stepchildren of the Arab world. We have overturned an edifice of material and moral power that dates back centuries. The Arabs railing against U.S. imperialism and arrogance in Iraq will never let us in on the real sources of their resentments. In the way of "modern" men and women with some familiarity with the doctrines of political correctness, they can't tell us that they are aggrieved that we have given a measure of self-worth to the seminarians of Najaf and the highlanders of Kurdistan. But that is precisely what gnaws at them.

An edifice of Arab nationalism built by strange bedfellows--the Sunni political and bureaucratic elites, and the Christian Arab pundits who abetted them in the idle hope that they would be spared the wrath of the street and of the mob--was overturned in Iraq. And America, at times ambivalent about its mission, brought along with its military gear a suspicion of the Shiites, a belief that the Iraqi Shiites were an extension of Iran, a community destined to build a sister-republic of the Iranian theocracy. Washington has its cadre of Arabists reared on Arab nationalist historiography. This camp had a seat at the table, but the very scale of what was at play in Iraq, and the redemptionism at the heart of George Bush's ideology, dwarfed them.

For the Arab enemies of this project of rescue, this new war in Iraq was a replay of an old drama: the fall of Baghdad to the Mongols in 1258. In the received history, the great city of learning, the capital of the Abbasid Caliphate, had fallen to savages, and an age of greatness had drawn to a close. In the legend of that tale, the Mongols sacked the metropolis, put its people to the sword, dumped the books of its libraries in the Tigris. That river, chroniclers insist, flowed, alternately, with the blood of the victims and the ink of the books. It is a tale of betrayal, the selective history maintains. A minister of the caliph, a Shiite by the name of Ibn Alqami, opened the gates of Baghdad to the Mongols. History never rests here, and telescopes easily: In his call for a new holy war against the Shiites, Zarqawi dredges up that history, dismisses the Shiite-led government as "the government of Ibn Alqami's descendants." Zarqawi knows the power of this symbolism, and its dark appeal to Sunni Arabs within Iraq.

Zarqawi's jihadists have sown ruin in Iraq, but they are strangers to that country, and they have needed the harbor given them in the Sunni triangle and the indulgence of the old Baathists. For the diehards, Iraq is now a "stolen country" delivered into the hands of subject communities unfit to rule. Though a decided minority, the Sunni Arabs have a majoritarian mindset and a conviction that political dominion is their birthright. Instead of encouraging a break with the old Manichaean ideologies, the Arab world beyond Iraq feeds this deep-seated sense of historical entitlement. No one is under any illusions as to what the Sunni Arabs would have done had oil been located in their provinces. They would have disowned both north and south and opted for a smaller world of their own and defended it with the sword. But this was not to be, and their war is the panic of a community that fears that it could be left with a realm of "gravel and sand." [...]

We have not always been brilliant in the war we have waged, for these are lands we did not fully know. But our work has been noble and necessary, and we can't call a halt to it in midstream. We bought time for reform to take root in several Arab and Muslim realms. Leave aside the rescue of Afghanistan, Kuwait and Qatar have done well by our protection, and Lebanon has retrieved much of its freedom. The three larger realms of Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Syria are more difficult settings, but there, too, the established orders of power will have to accommodate the yearnings for change. A Kuwaiti businessman with an unerring feel for the ways of the Arab world put it thus to me: "Iraq, the Internet, and American power are undermining the old order in the Arab world. There are gains by the day." The rage against our work in Iraq, all the way from the "chat rooms" of Arabia to the bigots of Finsbury Park in London, is located within this broader struggle.

In that Iraqi battleground, we can't yet say that the insurgency is in its death throes. But that call to war by Zarqawi, we must know, came after the stunning military operation in Tal Afar dealt the jihadists a terrible blow. An Iraqi-led force, supported by American tanks, armored vehicles and air cover, had stormed that stronghold. This had been a transit point for jihadists coming in from Syria. This time, at Tal Afar, Iraq security forces were there to stay, and a Sunni Arab defense minister with the most impeccable tribal credentials, Saadoun Dulaimi, issued a challenge to Iraq's enemy, a message that his soldiers would fight for their country.

The claim that our war in Iraq, after the sacrifices, will have hatched a Shiite theocracy is a smear on the war, a misreading of the Shiite world of Iraq. In the holy city of Najaf, at its apex, there is a dread of political furies and an attachment to sobriety. I went to Najaf in July; no one of consequence there spoke of a theocratic state. Najaf's jurists lived through a time of terror, when informers and assassins had the run of the place. They have been delivered from that time. The new order shall give them what they want: a place in Iraq's cultural and moral order, and a decent separation between religion and the compromises of political life.


It's easy enough to understand why the Sunni hate the Shi'a and the neocons hate them for Iran's role in terror against Israel, while much of the Right will just never get past the Embassy seizure in '79. What's really strange is how pathologically the Left hates them. You'd think a historically supressed minority might catch a break, but it seems as if the Left has sunk to the point where it just hates anyone who takes their religious faith seriously.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:17 PM

THE WISDOM OF GITMO:

Spain press slams al Qaeda verdict (AP, 9/27/05)

Spanish newspapers on Tuesday criticized the verdict of Europe's first major trial of suspected al Qaeda members, including three linked to the September 11 attacks, labeling it a failure and a blow to police and prosecutors.

"They (the accused) recruited fanatics but their role in September 11 was pure fantasy," the daily El Mundo headlined its editorial.

"The first major trial against Islamic terrorism in our country has finished with certain a sense of failure in not being able to prove a direct link between the accused and the September 11 attacks," the daily La Razon wrote.

In the verdict Monday, Syrian-born businessman Imad Yarkas was convicted and sentenced to 27 years for leading an Islamic terror cell in Spain and conspiring to commit murder in connection with the September 11 attacks, in 2001. But the sentence was a tiny fraction of the nearly 75,000 years sought for him by prosecutors. (Full story)

Two other suspects charged as accessories to murder in the suicide airliner attacks were acquitted, although one was convicted of collaborating with a terrorist group.

At the trial, the chief state prosecutor had asked for "exemplary sentences" to show terror should be fought in court, not with Guantanamo-style detention camps.


Which goes to show, national security is too important to observe legal niceties.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:11 PM

THE CRIMINALIZATION OF POLITICAL SPEECH:

DeLay Indicted in Campaign Finance Probe (LARRY MARGASAK, September 28, 2005, The Associated Press)

A Texas grand jury on Wednesday charged Rep. Tom DeLay and two political associates with conspiracy in a campaign finance scheme, forcing the House majority leader to temporarily relinquish his post.

DeLay attorney Steve Brittain said DeLay was accused of a criminal conspiracy along with two associates, John Colyandro, former executive director of a Texas political action committee formed by DeLay, and Jim Ellis, who heads DeLay's national political committee.

"I have notified the speaker that I will temporarily step aside from my position as majority leader pursuant to rules of the House Republican Conference and the actions of the Travis County district attorney today," DeLay said.

GOP congressional officials said Speaker Dennis Hastert, R-Ill., will recommend that Rep. David Dreier of California step into those duties. Some of the duties may go to the GOP whip, Rep. Roy Blunt of Missouri. The Republican rank and file may meet as early as Wednesday night to act on Hastert's recommendation.


It would be especially sweet if the Court tossed Buckley on an appeal by Tom DeLay. Democrats' heads might never stop spinning.


MORE:
“Dollars for Dismissals”: The prosecutor in the DeLay case dropped charges in exchange for cash to pet cause. (Byron York, 9/28/05, National Review)

Ronnie Earle, the Texas prosecutor who has indicted associates of House Majority Leader Tom DeLay in an ongoing campaign-finance investigation, dropped felony charges against several corporations indicted in the probe in return for the corporations' agreement to make five- and six-figure contributions to one of Earle's pet causes.

A grand jury in Travis County, Texas, last September indicted eight corporations in connection with the DeLay investigation. All were charged with making illegal contributions (Texas law forbids corporate giving to political campaigns). Since then, however, Earle has agreed to dismiss charges against four of the companies — retail giant Sears, the restaurant chain Cracker Barrel, the Internet company Questerra, and the collection company Diversified Collection Services — after the companies pledged to contribute to a program designed to publicize Earle's belief that corporate involvement in politics is harmful to American democracy.


Blunt picked to replace DeLay as US House leader (Reuters, 9/28/05)
Republicans in the U.S. House of Representatives on Wednesday unanimously elected Roy Blunt of Missouri as their majority leader, replacing Tom DeLay, who was forced to give up the job after being indicted by a Texas grand jury, lawmakers said.

After a closed-door meeting of House Republicans, lawmakers said Blunt's position was an interim arrangement for the rest of the year and that he would share leadership responsibilities with Rep. David Dreier of California.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:46 PM

CHURCHILL VS THATCHER:

Kenneth Clarke is all smoke and no fire (Mark Steyn, 27/09/2005, Daily Telegraph)

The cynical argument in favour of a Clarke leadership victory is that he'd be the final nail in the Tory coffin and open up space for a new party on the Right and a long-overdue realignment in British politics. But it never works out like that, does it? More likely, Ken's men would lose just slightly not too badly enough to linger on ineffectually and diminish British conservatism for another half-decade.

I'd say this is a time for strategy, not tactics, and it's in that department that Mr Clarke fails to meet the minimum qualifications for even the squishiest "conservative" leader.

On Europe, the Conservatives ought to be committed not just to bland assurances not to worry, no need to frighten the horses, old chap, everything's on the back boiler now, but to an explicit reassertion of national sovereignty: over-Europeanisation as represented by, for example, the Convention on Human Rights is an obstacle to the effective defence of the realm, and if Tories won't stand up for national security, what are they for?

Likewise, Mr Clarke is one of the Tory heavyweights most explicitly opposed to the war in Iraq. In some ways, that's admirable: one can be opposed to the Iraq war or in favour of it, but to be - as my colleague Boris Johnson and so many other Tories are - allegedly in favour of it while opposed to Mr Blair's grounds for it puts you in the John Kerry circle of hell reserved for eternally self-twisting pretzels.

So, given that we're in it and thus we have to win it, is an anti-war leader really what a conservative party needs to regain its credibility in this area? I don't subscribe to the view that Blair is Churchill, but Clarke's misplaced faith in the stability and reasonableness of dictatorships qualifies him as a passable Lord Halifax.

"Social conservatism"? Include him out. Liam Fox may be het up about abortion, but on this issue, as on many others, Mr Clarke's attitude remains one of benign neglect. Yet Dr Fox surely has a point when he draws attention to Britain's 180,000 annual abortions.

It would be statistically improbable to have an American presidential election fought, as the German election just was, between two childless candidates. You can't breed at the lethargic rate of most Europeans and then bitch and whine about letting the Turks in: demographically, they're the kids you couldn't be bothered having.

A conservative party ought to be natalist, and ought to support policies - like a flat tax - that help restore the societal architecture vandalised by careless governmental social engineering. As much as Europe and Islamism, social and fiscal policy are now a matter of national survival.

Most Tories don't want to hear this kind of talk.


Tony Blair isn't Churchill in this equation--Mr. Clarke is as wedded to the Second Way as Winston was. Mr. Blair is a Thatcherite.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:31 PM

NUEVO ORLEANS:

Speaking Spanish in a new New Orleans (GREGORY RODRIGUEZ, Sep. 28, 2005, Los Angeles Times)

No matter what all the politicians and activists want, African-Americans and impoverished white Cajuns will not be first in line to rebuild the Katrina-ravaged Gulf Coast and New Orleans. Latino immigrants, many of them undocumented, will. And when they're done, they're going to stay, making New Orleans look like Los Angeles.

It's the federal government that will have made the transformation possible, further exposing the hollowness of the immigration debate.

President Bush has promised that Washington will pick up the greater part of the cost for "one of the largest reconstruction efforts the world has ever seen." To that end, he suspended provisions of the Davis-Bacon Act that would have required government contractors to pay prevailing wages in Louisiana and devastated parts of Mississippi, Alabama and Florida. And the Department of Homeland Security has temporarily suspended sanctioning employers who hire workers who cannot document their citizenship. The idea is to benefit Americans who may have lost everything in the hurricane, but the main effect will be to let contractors hire illegal immigrants.

Mexican and Central American laborers are already arriving in southeastern Louisiana. One construction firm based in Metairie, La., sent a foreman to Houston to round up 150 workers willing to do cleanup work for $15 an hour, more than twice their wages in Texas. The men -- most of whom are undocumented, according to news accounts -- live outside New Orleans in mobile homes without running water and electricity. The foreman expects them to stay "until there's no more work," but "there's going to be a lot of construction jobs for a really long time."

Because they are young and lack roots in the United States, many recent migrants are ideal for the explosion of construction jobs to come. Those living in the United States will relocate to the Gulf Coast, while others will come from south of the border. Most will not intend to stay where their new jobs are, but the longer the jobs last, the more likely it is that they will settle permanently.

One recent poll of New Orleans evacuees living in Houston emergency shelters found that fewer than half intend to return home. In part, their places will be taken by the migrant workers.


Latino New Orleans will be a vast improvement.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:27 PM

THINK OF IT AS SELF-DOGGING:

Did you say dooging or blogging (Jeffrey Goldfarb, 9/28/05, reuters)

Blogs and podcasts may seem to be all the rage, but most of the world has no idea what those words even mean.

A survey of British taxi drivers, pub landlords and hairdressers--often seen as barometers of popular trends in the United Kingdom--found that nearly 90 percent had no idea what a podcast is and more than 70 percent had never heard of blogging.

"When I asked the panel whether people were talking about blogging, they thought I meant dogging," Sarah Carter, the planning director at ad firm DDB London, said Tuesday.

Dogging is the phenomenon of watching couples have sex in semi-secluded places such as out-of-town car parks. News of such events are often spread on Web sites or by using mobile phone text messages.

More people (56 percent) understood the phrase "happy slapping"--a teenage craze that involves assaulting people while capturing it on video with their mobile phones--than podcasting (12 percent) or blogging (28 percent).

"Our research not only shows that there is no buzz about blogging and podcasting outside of our media industry bubble, but also that people have no understanding of what the words mean," Carter said. "It's a real wake-up call."


The blogosphere though is unwakeable.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:04 PM

DESTINATIONS, NOT TECHNOLOGIES:

Shuttle and space station were mistakes, space agency chief tells US daily (AFP, 9/28/05)

The US space agency NASA lost its way in the 1970s when it focused on the space shuttle and International Space Station, NASA chief Michael Griffin reportedly said.

"It is now commonly accepted that was not the right path," Griffin said. "We are now trying to change the path while doing as little damage as we can."

Asked whether the shuttle had been a mistake, Griffin told USA Today: "My opinion is that it was. It was a design which was extremely aggressive and just barely possible."

Asked whether the space station had been a mistake, he said: "Had the decision been mine, we would not have built the space station we're building in the orbit we're building it in."


Let the mission drive the technology, not vice versa.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:47 AM

HOWARD DEAN VS THE DEMOCRATS:

Filibuster Showdown Looms In Senate: Democrats Prepare For Next Court Pick (Dan Balz and Amy Goldstein, 9/28/05, Washington Post)

Democrats have splintered almost evenly over Roberts's nomination as chief justice, leading to frustration among party activists who think their elected leaders did not put up a serious fight against him. Pollsters have told party leaders that a show of opposition against Bush's next nominee could be crucial to restoring enthusiasm among the rank and file on the left.

In an interview, Dean said Democratic unity is essential in the upcoming battle and that the party "absolutely" should be prepared to filibuster -- holding unlimited debate and preventing an up-or-down vote -- Bush's next high court nominee, if he taps someone they find unacceptably ideological. He cited appellate court judges Priscilla R. Owen and Janice Rogers Brown as two who would be likely to trigger such opposition.

"Those people are clearly not qualified to sit on the Supreme Court, and we're going to do everything we can to make sure they don't," he said. "If we lose, better to go down fighting and standing for what we believe in, because we will not win an election if the public doesn't think we'll stand up for what we believe in."

The possibility of a filibuster comes only a few months after an agreement that supposedly eliminated such threats. The Gang of 14 agreement barred filibusters against judicial nominees except under "extraordinary circumstances." The compromise also blocked Republican threats to change Senate rules to bar the use of filibusters to block judicial nominations, a step considered so drastic it became known as the "nuclear option."

Owen and Brown were cleared for confirmation to the appellate courts as part of that agreement, and Republicans said then that Democratic acquiescence in their confirmation meant the opposition party could not use ideology to bar future Bush nominees.


The Administration must be mighty tempted to use this nomination to further tear apart the Democrats.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:43 AM

MILKING TRAGEDY:

Laura Bush Joins Hit Makeover Show as It Focuses on Storm Victims (ANNE E. KORNBLUT, 9/28/05, NY Times)

BILOXI, Miss. [...] Mrs. Bush flew here on Tuesday for a cameo on "Extreme Makeover: Home Edition," the blockbuster ABC show that usually does impromptu remodeling for disadvantaged homeowners but is now taking supplies to hurricane victims for segments to be shown later this year. [...]

Part of the appeal, an aide to Mrs. Bush said, is that the segments will not run until at least November, when public interest in the hurricane relief effort may have diminished but the need for donations and volunteers will remain high.

"The coverage will start to die off a little bit, as people are getting into the hardest time," said the aide, Susan Whitson, Mrs. Bush's press secretary. Her intent, she said, is "keeping this message out there as long as possible." [...]

Mrs. Bush later addressed the inherent challenge for the show: selecting just one home to rebuild.

"They haven't chosen one yet," she said. "I'm trying to encourage them to maybe choose a school or a library to do, which would help everybody in the community."

And Tom Forman, the show's creator and executive producer, said he had given no thought to any political reasons the White House might have had for wanting to participate.

"The thing about making this show is I packed up and put away my cynicism a long time ago," he said.

"I think given the scope of the disaster, you throw the rules out the window," he said. "And while we're certainly a nonpartisan show, I don't think she was there as a politician or a politician's wife or even as the first lady. I think she was there as someone who cares."


Man, this hurricane deal is paying off in spades.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:42 AM

JUST ANOTHER SPECIAL INTEREST:

Powerful Teachers Union Is in the Thick of Ballot Battles (Jordan Rau, September 28, 2005, LA Times)

Employing a political war chest on a par with those of major parties, the California Teachers Assn. is used to being in the thick of campaigns. But on a muggy Monday morning at the end of July, when most of their peers were on vacation, hundreds of teachers gathered at UCLA were reminded that they were now targets as much as participants.

"There are people in this state who are trying to portray us as something that has nothing to do with children, nothing to do with students and everything to do with greed," the union's president, Barbara Kerr, told organizers and negotiators attending an annual summer training institute. "And they are wrong."

California's largest teachers union is, depending on where one stands, either the epitome of labor's stranglehold on the state Capitol or one of the few lobbies strong enough to champion education against Sacramento's more moneyed interests.

In the Nov. 8 election, the 335,000-member union has more at stake than perhaps any other group.


Why do they have more at stake than the taxpayers who employ them and the students they serve badly?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:35 AM

OUR GANG:

'Gang of 14' backing Roberts (Charles Hurt, September 28, 2005, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

The "Gang of 14" senators who brokered the end to judicial filibusters has so far stuck together in unanimously supporting the nomination of federal Judge John G. Roberts Jr. to be the next Supreme Court chief justice.

That stamp of approval, Republican leaders say, paves the way for a smoother confirmation of the next Supreme Court nominee.

"The process has been handled very well," Majority Whip Mitch McConnell told reporters yesterday. "The outcome will be largely bipartisan. I think that's very good for the Senate, because in many ways the Senate itself was on trial here."

Specifically, Republican leaders say, the comfortable approval of Judge Roberts means the next nominee should be confirmed without answering specific questions on personal opinions about abortion and other hot-button political issues.

One is obligated to note that even for the Stupid Party it's hard to believe how wrong the critics of the Gang turned out to be--the deal has done nothing but help the President and his nominees.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:27 AM

THERE'S HIS FIRST CAMPAIGN AD FOR SC:

McCain is 'a warmonger,' Sheehan says after meeting (THE ASSOCIATED PRESS, 9/25/05)

Peace mom Cindy Sheehan didn't change her opposition to the war in Iraq after meeting Tuesday with one of its supporters, Sen. John McCain, a Vietnam veteran whom she called "a warmonger." [...]

"He tried to tell us what George Bush would have said," Sheehan, who protested at the president's Texas home over the summer, told reporters. [...]

McCain, R-Ariz., also seemed disappointed in the meeting, which he said had been misrepresented as including some of his constituents. Only one person in her small delegation has ties to the state, and that person no longer lives there. [...]

"He is a warmonger, and I'm not," Sheehan said after meeting with McCain.


Let's see Rudy match that. Not just the name-calling from the looney Left but a Bush comparison? You can't buy that stuff.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:21 AM

CAR CULTURE KILLS:

The Little Engine That Could (OTIS WHITE, 9/28/05, NY Times)

WE'VE learned a lot about evacuating cities in recent days, much of it deeply troubling. But if the failures of New Orleans and the gridlock of Houston show anything, it's that we urgently need a third way out of cities, something other than flying or driving. Fortunately, there is such a way: passenger rail.

If local and federal authorities had worked with Amtrak to make better use of its trains in New Orleans, thousands could have been evacuated before the worst of Katrina hit. And if Houston had gone ahead with earlier proposals to develop high-speed rail links, the same might have been true there.

For decades, two myths have stymied efforts to develop intercity rail systems outside the Northeast: that rail can't compete with cars and airplanes and that the only region where passenger rail has been successful, the Northeast, has unique characteristics. Both are wrong.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:16 AM

WELL, WE TOOK AWAY THEIR CAMP FOLLOWERS:

Army Investigates Photos of Iraqi War Dead on Web (THOM SHANKER, 9/28/05, Washington Post)

The Army has opened an investigation into whether American troops have sent gruesome photographs of Iraqi war dead to an Internet site where the soldiers were given free access to online pornography, Army officials said Tuesday.

Some photographs on the Internet site show people in American military uniforms standing around what appear to be dead bodies. Other photos include graphic images of severed body parts and what appear to be internal organs spilling from bodies onto the ground.


Exactly how effete are we going to require our military to be?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:09 AM

DEATH TO BUCKLEY:

High Court to Decide Campaign Finance Cases (Charles Lane, 9/28/05, Washington Post)

Campaign finance reform emerged as a major theme of the coming Supreme Court term yesterday, as the justices announced that they will rule on federal and state efforts to regulate campaign-season advertising by advocacy groups and to limit spending by candidates. [...]

A three-judge panel of the U.S. District Court in Washington ruled last year that the Supreme Court's 2003 ruling upholding McCain-Feingold precluded such a case-by-case effort to avoid the law's provisions. The Bush administration urged the Supreme Court to uphold that decision without a hearing, which the high court could have done if five justices had agreed.

McCain-Feingold was upheld 5 to 4 in 2003. Justice Sandra Day O'Connor was a member of that majority but will leave the court as soon as a successor is confirmed by the Senate.

"O'Connor was the swing vote" in that case, said Rick Hasen, a specialist in election law at Loyola Law School in Los Angeles. "This could provide the vehicle for a more conservative court . . . to reverse that aspect" of the 2003 decision. [...]

The second case accepted yesterday involves three consolidated challenges to a 1997 Vermont law that puts a ceiling on how much a candidate for state office can spend. Under the law, candidates for governor may spend no more than $300,000 per two-year election cycle. Candidates for lieutenant governor may spend no more than $100,000, and smaller limits apply to other offices.

The U.S. Court of Appeals for the 2nd Circuit, based in New York, upheld the Vermont law last year, ruling that the law was carefully designed to meet compelling needs to avoid political corruption, or the appearance of corruption, and to prevent fundraising from taking too much of politicians' time and attention.

But Vermont's Republican Party and other political activists say the law violates their constitutional right to free speech. They note that the Supreme Court struck down expenditure limits on First Amendment grounds in its landmark 1976 decision Buckley v. Valeo , and they argue that the 2nd Circuit was wrong to find that Buckley left some room for laws like Vermont's.

Supporters of campaign spending limits, including 13 states, a bipartisan group of eight U.S. senators, the NAACP and 17 current and former state judges, urged the court to hear the case.

But Hasen said this strategy may backfire, because it is likely the court took the case to reverse the 2nd Circuit's ruling.

Two other appeals courts had previously struck down expenditure limits, he noted, but the Supreme Court did not decide to review those rulings.


Hopefully Bush appointee's will lead the way in gutting CFR, the one big mistake of his presidency.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:20 AM

THE GREATEST OPPORTUNITY SINCE ARGENTINA:

The Great Chinese Bank Sale (Jonathan Anderson, September 2005, Far Eastern Economic Review)

The hedge-fund manager sitting across the table shuts his eyes in frustration and slaps his palm to his forehead. “What on earth are they thinking? This is Latin America all over again. Everybody jumps in on a whim, and then they spend a decade digging themselves out. Plus they lose a truckload of our money in the process. This time is no different.”

The place is New York, in one of the countless hedge-fund offices populating east midtown. The time is mid-June 2005, and the reference is to Bank of America’s announcement that it would purchase a 9% stake in the P.R.C.’s China Construction Bank for the princely sum of $3 billion—making it the most expensive banking acquisition (or, for that matter, any acquisition) in China’s history. [...]

According to the press announcements of the overseas banks themselves, this is one of the greatest investment opportunities of the new century: a chance to enter a financial market with $4 trillion in assets, and what’s more, a market that is growing at double-digit rates with no slowdown in sight. Chinese per-capita income is only $1,500, and consumers are just beginning their love affair with mortgage and credit card debt; imagine what riches lie ahead over the next decades as incomes double and double again.

For more cynical observers, of course, this is just the latest in a long string of disastrous banking follies. Perhaps the most engaging read of the past year was Tim Clissold’s Mr. China, a story of two private equity entrepreneurs who collected hundreds of millions of dollars from global investors in order to buy into the “greatest growth story of the century” and transform the Chinese corporate landscape in the process, but ended up pissing away most of the funds down the black hole of mainland economic reality.

So it will be with the banks. According to detractors, Chinese banking problems have simply been glossed over through state bailouts and creative accounting. Nothing has changed in the economy, as civil servants still dutifully shovel money into moribund state enterprises with no regard for repayment prospects. Once the next downturn hits, banks will face a tidal wave of new bad loans, and the foreign giants will be forced to write down tens of billions of dollars in worthless investments in the process.

So which is it? A once-in-a-lifetime opportunity, or a pending disaster? In fact, neither. The truth of the matter is that China’s financial system is neither an explosive minefield nor a beckoning gold mine, but rather a profoundly middle-of-the-road investment option.


But there are a billion customers....


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:10 AM

LIKE HAITI, BUT WITH OIL:

It's Azerbaijan's turn (Farhad Husseinov, 9/28/05, International Herald Tribune )

A country of 8.5 million people - roughly half of whom live in poverty - on the Western shores of the energy-rich Caspian Sea, [Azerbaijan] is preparing for parliamentary elections in early November. Baku, the capital, is the next obvious candidate for a democratic revolution of the kind witnessed in Georgia and Ukraine. At stake are the multibillion-dollar investments of oil giants like BP and Chevron.

The incumbent president, Ilham Aliyev, is a Soviet-educated autocrat who inherited power from his late father, Geidar Aliyev, in late 2003 as a result of rigged elections followed by a ruthless police crackdown. [...]

The greatest hope is invested in the newly forged Freedom Bloc, with the pro-Western Musavat Party as its driving force, which succeeded in holding a series of rallies across the country that the government was compelled to allow because of domestic and international pressure. The last such demonstration was organized in Baku on Sept. 10 and drew about 50,000 people, many of them wearing orange shirts and waving orange flags in an echo of the pro-democracy rallies in Ukraine last year.

In today's globalized world, democracy requires support from without. The Bush administration's "freedom agenda" is a praiseworthy step in this regard. It should, however, also be extended to illiberal countries that possess oil or host a NATO military base. Democratic turnover in the post-Soviet states is not Western imperialism by another name, as some would like us to believe. What they represent, rather, is a shift toward the rule of law, democracy and national reconciliation.

Azerbaijan presents the next opportunity for Western leaders to prove their commitment to the founding principles of their own nation-states. With time, this moral choice will prove to be a smart strategic choice as well.


In Freedom's Century no regime is legitimate unless consensual.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:16 AM

LEGALIZE THEM:

Illegal aliens outpace legals (Stephen Dinan, September 28, 2005, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

Illegal immigration into the United States regularly outstrips legal permanent immigration and showed a dramatic increase from 2003 to 2004, according to a new report by the Pew Hispanic Center.

The annual number of legal and illegal immigrants and legal temporary visitors peaked at about 1.5 million in 2000, dropped to 1.1 million in 2003 and has rebounded slightly since, said the authors of the report, which studied immigration trends in the past 13 years.

Illegal immigration topped legal immigration in four of the past 10 years. And much of the 2004 rebound in immigration can be attributed to the number of new illegal aliens -- 110,000 more than in 2003, the report said.

Sen. John Cornyn, Texas Republican, said the high percentage of illegal aliens shows that the immigration system is broken.

"To reverse that trend, immigration reform must be comprehensive and address both enforcement and improved avenues for legal immigration," he said.

Two great immigration stoiries on NPR yesterday, the first about how hard it is to get migrant farm workers in CA because they can make so much more in construction jobs, here they're desperately needed and the other about how French bistros are now being run by Chinese immigrants because the French don't want to work as hard as proprietorship requires:
-California Farm Workers Look to Other Jobs (Richard Gonzales, September 27, 2005, Morning Edition)
California is facing what some are calling a dire shortage of farm workers to harvest the region's fruit and vegetables. Many farm workers have left the fields to take less-grueling, better-paying jobs in construction and other business sectors.

-The Changing Face of France's Bistros (Eleanor Beardsley, September 27, 2005, All Things Considered)
France's multiculturalism is manifesting itself in one of Paris's quintessential establishments, the neighborhood bistro. Ethnic Chinese, hailing from China, Cambodia or Vietnam, are fast replacing French as bistro proprietors.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:12 AM

DONDE ESTA LOS MINUTO HOMBRES?:

Immigrants storm Spanish enclave (BBC, 9/27/05)

Hundreds of immigrants have tried to break through the border fences around the Spanish enclave of Melilla in North Africa, police sources say.

At least 18 people - both police and immigrants - were injured.

About 100 people managed to break through into Spanish territory, where they are being questioned.

Melilla and nearby Ceuta are seen as stepping stones to Europe by African immigrants. Spain is doubling the height of the fences around Melilla.


September 27, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:35 PM

W IS MS, THE DEMOCRATS ARE N.O.:

Democrats In Disarray (E. J. Dionne Jr., September 27, 2005, Washington Post)

The party splintered over the nomination of John Roberts as chief justice. The newspaper Roll Call reported yesterday that some House Democrats were opposing the decision by their leader, Nancy Pelosi, to boycott a Republican-led investigation of the Katrina disaster. Pelosi favors an independent commission. You know the party has a problem when even the politics of Katrina divides its members. [...]

[C]onsider the lay of the land for the 2006 congressional elections. It takes 218 seats to form a majority in the House of Representatives. Kerry carried only 180 congressional districts, according to the Almanac of American Politics. Put another way, Democrats, according to the Almanac, now hold and have to defend 41 House districts that Bush carried. Republicans are defending only 18 districts that Kerry carried.

The core difficulty for Democrats is that they must solve two problems simultaneously -- and solving one problem can get in the way of solving the other. Over time Democrats need to reduce the conservative advantage over liberals in the electorate, which means the party needs to take clear stands that could detach voters from their allegiance to conservatism. For some in the party this means becoming more moderate on cultural issues such as abortion. For others it means full-throated populism to attract lower-income social conservatives. Some favor a combination of the two, while still others worry that too much populism would drive away moderate voters in the upper middle class. The debate often leads to intellectual gridlock.

But even indeterminate talk of a "national" message makes many Democrats holding those 41 pro-Bush House seats (and Democratic senators from red states) nervous. Such Democrats figure they know their own districts better than any national party leader or consultant, and they often prefer to operate on their own.


Ever notice how every "devastating blow to the Bush presidency" ends up hurting Democrats?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:03 PM

MAYBE HE IS W'S POODLE...:

Four more bold years, vows Blair (Philip Webster, 9/28/05, Times of London)

TONY BLAIR gave notice of a four-year programme of relentless change yesterday as he told Labour that it would have to be even bolder in its reforms if it was to win a fourth term in power.

As the Conservative Party’s leadership race was thrown wide open in London, the Prime Minister told his party’s Brighton conference that his conclusion from three election victories was that it could win another if it adapted to the shifting aspirations of the people.

In a clear message to his successor, whom he expects to be Gordon Brown, Mr Blair said that every time he had introduced reforms he wished in retrospect that he had gone farther than he had. Now his prescription was an even tougher dose of change. [...]

Mr Blair said that Labour would win by helping Britain to respond to the urgent pace of globalisation, tackle growing worries over social disorder and by introducing private and other provision into the education and health services. He promised a reappraisal of the criminal justice system, starting from the premise that its primary duty must be to allow law-abiding people to live in safety. [...]

Mr Blair promised that over the next year Labour would:

Publish plans to reform pensions, including incentives to help people to save for a second pension;

Produce proposals for the future of Britain’s energy policy, including civil nuclear power;

Publish plans for changes to transport funding, including road pricing;

Prepare for a shake-up of local government, with new freedoms for good councils, more city mayors and more power to local communities;

Carry out a radical reform of incapacity benefit;

Introduce a radical extension of summary powers to police and local authorities, focusing on binge drinking, drug dealing and organised crime, and development of existing antisocial behaviour law.

But his most controversial pledges again related to health and education. He said that Labour must break down the “old monolith” of the NHS, bring in new providers and give patients more choice.


Here's Tony Blair in a nutshell: he could win the GOP primaries in '08 but not the Democratic.


MORE:
Meanwhile, the Tories do indeed prepare to attack Blair from the Left, Tory faithful keep their say as Howard's changes rejected by referendum (Rosemary Bennett, 9/28/05, Times of London)

KENNETH CLARKE’S hopes of becoming the next Conservative leader received a significant boost last night when rank-and-file members held on to their voting rights in a party referendum. [...]

[T]he prospect of Mr Clarke becoming the next party leader could spark a frenzy of tactical voting among right-wing MPs who could rally behind another candidate to try to block the pro-European former Chancellor reaching the last two.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:01 PM

SO MUCH FOR JAPANESE RETICENCE:

How a lowly samurai inspired Koizumi to put rebels to sword: Japan's reforming Prime Minister tells of his great political gamble (Richard Lloyd Parry and Robert Thomson, 9/28/05, Times of London)

WHEN Junichiro Koizumi, the man behind Japan’s political revolution, has time to himself, he seeks refuge in the past, reading about a bloody era of Japanese history known as the Momoyama Period.

Late in the 16th century, after a century of continual civil war, Japan was adrift and in despair. Out of nowhere came a lowly samurai named Oda Nobunaga, who won a series of brilliant victories, overcame the corrupt aristocracy and dominated Japan.

He was an aesthete, art patron and merciless killer. His most notorious act of brutality was to burn down 3,000 Buddhist temples outside Kyoto and butcher their inhabitants. And 400 years later, Oda Nobunaga is a source of inspiration, if not a role model.

“I am learning greatly about the harsh life of a samurai warlord,” Mr Koizumi told The Times in his first interview since winning an election that has turned Japan’s political order on its head. “Every day they faced death. There are a lot of lessons to be learnt.” Like his samurai exemplar, Mr Koizumi has risen from relative obscurity to set in motion a transformation of Japanese politics.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 7:09 PM

MAN, THE SOCIAL ANIMAL

Survey finds Canadians increasingly out of touch (Misty Harris, National Post, September, 2005)

Canadians are suffering from "touch deficit," with a third of the population regularly going an entire day without any human contact, according to a study released yesterday.

Experts say an increased focus on social boundaries, changes in gender roles and greater reliance on electronic communication are making it harder than ever to reach out and touch someone.

"There has been a radical decrease in the amount of touch and obviously an increase in the touch deficit," says Patti Wood, an authority on nonverbal communication and spokeswoman for Vaseline Intensive Care Lotion. "There's fear or concern about what's an appropriate touch."

Conservatives are often accused of simply pandering to nostalgic impulses, but now, thanks to science, we have proof life really was better in the good old days when everyone pawed one another all day long.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:57 PM

THE GREAT MENTIONER STRIKES:

High Court Selection Process Winds Down (DEB RIECHMANN, September 27, 2005, AP)

President Bush, close to nominating a successor to retiring Justice Sandra Day O'Connor, has narrowed his list to a handful of candidates that outside advisers say includes federal judges and two people who have never banged a gavel — corporate attorney Larry Thompson and White House counsel Harriet Miers.

White House press secretary Scott McClellan said Tuesday that Bush had pledged to consult with senators about his selection and said, "I think we were essentially wrapping that process up as early as today." [...]

Bush on Monday hinted he might choose a woman or minority member. But some outside advisers were intrigued by another part of Bush's reply. The president said he had interviewed and considered people from "all walks of life."

That raised speculation that Bush was actively considering people who were not on the bench — such as Miers, a Texas lawyer and the president's former personal attorney, and Thompson, a counsel at PepsiCo, who was the federal government's highest ranking black law enforcement official when he was deputy attorney general during Bush's first term.

"It could be someone outside of the legal judicial field like a Larry Thompson, or it could be a senator," said Jay Sekulow, chief counsel for the American Center for Law and Justice, a public interest legal group founded by religious broadcaster Pat Robertson.

Sekulow said he's heard Miers' name mentioned "fairly significantly" during the past two days. She doesn't have judicial experience, but she's a "well-respected lawyer — someone the president trusts."

"I think Harriet could certainly be in the mix," he said.

Two other judicial activists, including one with contacts at the White House, said they too had heard Miers' name mentioned, but agreed with Sekulow, who cautioned: "I don't think anybody has that crystal ball but the president."

Miers is leading the White House effort to help Bush choose nominees to the Supreme Court so naming her would follow a move Bush made in 2000 when he tapped the man leading his search committee for a running mate — Dick Cheney.

"Given the Cheney precedent and the president's well-known loyalty to his aides, it's certainly possible the president could turn to Harriet," said Brad Berenson, a lawyer who formerly worked in the counsel's office of the Bush White House.


As fortune would have it, Bantam Dell just sent us two brand-spanking new trade paperback editions of Steven Pressfield novels--Gates of Fire and Virtues of War--so we're well-stocked with prizes....


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:48 PM

FOREIGN BODIES:

Iraq's foreign fighters: few but deadly: A new report says foreigners make up 4 to 10 percent of Iraq's 30,000 insurgents. (Dan Murphy, 9/27/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

Much of the US effort in Iraq in recent months has been aimed at stopping the inflow of foreign jihadis. US warplanes have blown up bridges to deny insurgent infiltration routes, troops have occupied small towns thought to be crossing points for foreigners into bigger cities, and spy drones continuously buzz the Syrian border.

Even if the US can seal Iraq's borders, stopping the flow of foreign fighters would do little to eliminate most of the country's insurgents. Only 4 to 10 percent of the country's combatants are foreign fighters, according to a report from the Center for Strategic and International Studies released last week. But while they are a minority, says the report, they are a potent segment largely from Algeria and Syria.

"The fact that there are 3,000 foreign fighters in Iraq is cause for alarm, particularly because they play so large a role in the most violent bombings and in the efforts to provoke a major and intense civil war,'' write coauthors Anthony Cordesman, a former director of defense intelligence assessment for the secretary of Defense, and Nawaf Obaid, a Saudi national and security analyst. Based mostly on Saudi intelligence, they estimate that active members of the insurgency number about 30,000.


The obvious solution is to topple Assad so the foreign fighters can go home to wage jihad.

MORE:
US is logging gains against Al Qaeda in Iraq: The US military says improved intelligence led to the killing of two key leaders of the group. (Jill Carroll and Dan Murphy, 9/28/05, CS Monitor)

In a succession of intelligence breaks, the US says it has killed two key members of Al Qaeda in Iraq in recent days, including the organization's No. 2 man who is suspected of orchestrating a series of suicide bombings in Baghdad since April.

According to American military officials, the US has either made key arrests or developed informants who have led to a cascade of actionable intelligence over the past month. Since the middle of August, the US has reported killing or capturing at least 16 members of Al Qaeda in Iraq, led by the Jordanian militant Abu Musab al-Zarqawi.

How big a blow this is to the insurgency in Iraq remains unclear. While US human intelligence has clearly improved, no one has a clear understanding of the internal workings of Mr. Zarqawi's network, which is thought to be only a small portion of Iraq's decentralized and highly complex insurgency.

"By itself these events don't do much to destroy Al Qaeda as much as undermine and undercut it. But this comes after some very successful operations in Tal Afar that wrapped up the Al Qaeda network there,'' says Anthony Cordesman, a former senior intelligence analyst for the US and now an expert on the Iraq insurgency at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:41 PM

THE 51ST STATE (via oswald booth czolgosz):

Feds cloud real plan: Toxic change targets Alberta and lets Ontario go free (Ezra Levant, 9/26/05, Calgary Sun)

Carbon dioxide is a colourless, odourless, harmless gas.

Actually it's not just harmless -- it's necessary for life on Earth, as all green plants require it for photosynthesis.

But on July 16, the federal government announced its intention to classify carbon dioxide as a "toxic chemical" under the Canadian Environmental Protection Act.

According to the Act, a toxic chemical is defined as "an immediate or long-term harmful effect on the environment," or "a danger to the environment on which life depends" or "a danger in Canada to human life or health". To call carbon dioxide any of these things is to lie. Carbon dioxide is essential not only to plant life, but it's the gas that humans -- and animals -- exhale when we breathe.

Carbon dioxide is not a toxic chemical in science or in common sense, so what's going on? In the same official notice, the explanation was provided: It's the way Ottawa plans to get jurisdiction over the oil patch to implement their Kyoto taxes.


Oil is too important to be left to the wogs in Ottawa.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:37 PM

WHERE'S O.W. HOLMES WHEN SHE NEEDS HIM?:

Playmate appeals to Supreme Court (AP, 9/27/05)

Former Playboy model Anna Nicole Smith is going to the United States' highest court in her fight over the fortune of her 90-year-old late husband.

U.S. Supreme Court justices said Tuesday they would consider Smith's appeal, in which the stripper-turned-reality television star stands to win as much as $474 million that a bankruptcy judge initially said she was entitled to.

Smith has not gotten any money from the estate of J. Howard Marshall II, an oil tycoon who married her in 1994 when he was 89 and she was 26. Marshall, one of Texas' wealthiest men, died in 1995.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:28 PM

A PRICEY GLUT:

Oil turns lower on healthy supply (Reuters, 9/27/05)

Oil edged lower Tuesday on signs that crude supplies remain plentiful, even with all U.S. Gulf of Mexico oil output locked in after Hurricane Rita.

Saudi Arabia said there were no takers for OPEC's spare supplies, while the kingdom may pump less crude in October.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:19 PM

OF MEESE AND MEN IN BLACK:

Assessing a Wishlist for the Justice System: Changes on Supreme Court Could Advance Goals Of Reagan-Era Document on Constitution (JESS BRAVIN, 9/27/05, THE WALL STREET JOURNAL)

John Roberts is poised to become the first alumnus of Ronald Reagan's Justice Department to sit on the Supreme Court, with the Senate likely to confirm him as chief justice this week. But will he use his new post to advance that era's blueprint for a conservative judiciary?

In 1988, under Attorney General Edwin Meese III, the department's Office of Legal Policy issued a 199-page report titled "The Constitution in the Year 2000." The document, capping years of administration efforts to reverse liberal legal precedents, envisioned a justice system that upheld "traditional family values," set rigid definitions of private property, and enforced "laws that reflect conceptions of public morality."

The report concluded that the future would depend on "the values and philosophies of the men and women who populate the third co-equal branch of the national government-the federal judiciary."

Nearly a generation later, much of the Constitution 2000 blueprint has been realized, thanks to the people placed on the bench by President Reagan and his Republican successors.

"The criminal-defendants' rights revolution has clearly stalled, there has been a fair amount of laissez-faire in antitrust issues and regulatory issues in general and considerable deference to the executive in administrative law," says Washington lawyer David Rivkin, who helped draft Constitution 2000.

In the 1960s, liberals "were arguing there was a constitutional basis to allow a judicially imposed redistribution of wealth: 'Why should one person live in a hovel and another live in a palace?'," Mr. Rivkin says. "None of it got off the ground."

Still, there are areas where the vision remains incomplete. Constitution 2000 and related Reagan administration documents dismissed the "so-called 'right to privacy' " -- which the court still reads to encompass abortion and homosexual activity -- as "not reasonably found in the Constitution."

Those are among the issues where Judge Roberts's former colleagues hope that he can make a difference. A second Bush Supreme Court nominee, who may be announced as soon as this week, could accentuate that shift, by succeeding retiring Justice Sandra Day O'Connor -- a Reagan appointee who nonetheless has ruled against some Constitution 2000 ideals.


It's the Stevens resignation that will really clear the decks for an assault on the "right to privacy."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:01 PM

USEFUL NONSENSE:

Forget SARS, West Nile, Ebola and avian flu. The real epidemic is fear.: We keep bracing ourselves for one cataclysmic threat after another. Our perceived lack of safety has become an obsession, (LIANNE GEORGE, 9/29/05, MacLean's)

For almost a decade, North Americans have been bracing for one cataclysmic threat after another -- superbugs, bioterrorist attacks, apocalyptic plagues. There have been real threats (Y2K, West Nile, mad cow, SARS, anthrax), but in each case, the amount of paranoia surrounding the threat has been exponentially larger than the threat itself.

So fear has become the epidemic -- and safety, or our perceived lack of it, an obsession. Perhaps what's most unsettling is that the definition of what it means to be safe keeps changing. Six years ago, being safe meant building a subterranean bunker and stocking up on bottled water and duct tape in the event the Y2K bug should destroy the world's computers and bring about global anarchy. More recently, safety has meant slathering oneself with DEET to ward off West Nile-infected mosquitoes; swearing off burgers, those purveyors of mad cow disease; donning paper masks on subways to avoid contracting SARS; and stocking up on Cipro, on the off chance some maniac should unleash anthrax in our midst.

This minute, it means having an ample supply of Tamiflu. Experts are saying that when -- not if -- an outbreak occurs, there will be a critical global shortage of the drug. Governments and multinational corporations are frantically stockpiling it. Ordinary North Americans and Europeans, fearing there won't be enough left for them and theirs at the crucial moment -- and lacking faith in public institutions to protect them -- have taken to creating survivalist flu blogs and building their own anticipatory stashes.

For Fields, who sells Tamiflu prescription-free, it's meant filling orders, 10 per cent of which are coming from Canadians, at a rate of 13,000 boxes (or US$877,500 worth) per week. "It's unbelievable," he says. "Most people buy it for their whole family. Consumers, doctors, professionals -- anyone, you name it." In his office, he's set aside about 80 boxes for personal use since, rumour has it, one course might not be enough. "Better safe than sorry."

There's no denying that avian flu is genuinely scary. As the latest end-of-days hypothetical, the virus has all the makings of a media blockbuster. It's strange and new and it can mutate quickly into unpredictable, ever-more-threatening forms. Thanks to migratory birds and global travellers, it has the potential to blanket the world quickly. Worst of all, there is no known vaccine for the virus, which accompanies a horrifying list of symptoms including a high fever, serious respiratory complications, extreme body aches, multiple organ failure and often death in 72 hours or less.

Eight years ago, the H5N1 strain infected its first 18 people in Hong Kong, six of whom died. This was the first time the virus was found to have been transmitted directly from bird to human. Later, it resurfaced in Cambodia, Thailand, Vietnam and Indonesia, resulting in more human deaths and the destruction of millions of chickens. Scientists have been debating ever since the likelihood that it will mutate into a form that is readily transmittable between humans -- a scenario that would produce one of the most deadly viruses humanity has ever seen. Flu epidemics operate in cycles, experts say, and we're well overdue for the next one. In the U.S., scientists are working on developing a preventative vaccine, but since no one can predict what a mutated virus would look like, no surefire vaccine can be developed until an outbreak actually occurs. London-based virologist John Oxford, one of the world's leading flu experts, has likened it to "a tsunami rushing toward us."

For now, though, it all remains hypothetical. In his new book, The Politics of Fear, U.K. sociologist Frank Furedi suggests that the more secure a society is -- in terms of health, wealth and political stability -- the more likely it is to fixate on theoretical menaces. In turn, the more obsessed we become with keeping safe, "the more insecure we become," he says, "because safety becomes this elusive quest you never achieve. Even if you never leave the house, you can always slip in the bathtub."

In life, there is much to fear (even fear itself!), and a certain amount of paranoia is necessary for survival since it compels us to implement reasonable precautions, like condoms and bicycle helmets. But what Furedi is describing is a culture plagued by free-floating anxiety, exacerbated by the dramatic and devastating news events of our time: tsunamis, hurricanes, 9/11. It's not that we're more afraid now than we used to be; it's that the things we fear are less tangible, and the fear itself more diffuse and promiscuous. It will affix itself to global terrorism or earthquakes one day, killer bees the next. And when people feel a sense of general insecurity, says York University sociology professor Donald Carveth, their natural response is to try to identify the source, to give the enemy a face and a name, and exert whatever measures of control they can over it. "To feel threatened by vague, abstract forces -- that's terrifying," he says. "When you've got an enemy, no matter how powerful he is, once he's been identified, you can get him in the sights of your guns." [...]

Whether people realize it or not, fear also serves a real, practical function -- it mobilizes us and informs our political and consumer decisions in all sorts of ways. (Y2K, for instance, generated $100 billion for the global economy -- a boon for computer nerds everywhere.)


Which is why it should be easy and would be fruitful to whip up global warming and oil shortage scares and then use them to modernize the American energy infrastructure.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:48 PM

THE NH DIFFERENCE:

N.H. Politician Facing Calls to Resign (DAVID TIRRELL-WYSOCKI, 9/27/05, Associated Press)

A member of the powerful state Executive Council is facing calls to resign for hiring a campaign aide he knew was a convicted child sex offender, but he said Tuesday he has no intention of stepping down.

"I don't plan to resign. There's too much work yet to be done," Raymond Burton told The Associated Press in a phone interview.

The aide, Mark Seidensticker, 45, was arrested last month and accused of inappropriate contact with teenage boys. Based on that arrest, Burton said he no longer will employ Seidensticker, who is being held on $50,000 bail at the Merrimack County jail. [...]

U.S. Sens. John Sununu and Judd Gregg and both of the state's congressmen have urged Burton, to resign. All four are Republicans, as is Burton. Gov. John Lynch, a Democrat, also called Monday for Burton to step down.


The reaction nicely illustrates why government works better here, with the bi-partisan call from all the congressmen and all three officials who are elected statewide for Mr. Burton to do the right thing and resign.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:11 PM

DAN RATHER LANDS ON HIS FEET:

Purported al Qaeda Newscast Debuts on Internet (Daniel Williams, September 27, 2005, Washington Post)

An Internet video newscast called the Voice of the Caliphate was broadcast for the first time on Monday, purporting to be a production of al Qaeda and featuring an anchorman who wore a black ski mask and an ammunition belt.

He gave the game away when he closed with the admonition: تشجع, إستجمع شجاعته


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:09 PM

I FIXED THE POST OFFICE...YOU FIX THE REST:

Koizumi on the home straight (J Sean Curtin, 9/28/05, Asia Times)

[A]fter parliament reelected him prime minister last week, Koizumi reaffirmed his commitment to step down from office in September 2006 when his term as LDP party president expires.

Ryoji Yamauchi, President of Asahikawa University and a political commentator said: "I believe he will step down next September, just as he has said. While such an action appears to fly in the face of political logic, it perfectly fits in with Koizumi's personal style."

Most political analysts struggle to explain why Koizumi is so keen to abdicate after winning such a stunning victory that greatly enhanced his authority. Yamauchi has a theory: "Koizumi wants to go out when he is at his peak and basking in glory - that way he can avoid dealing with the chronic problems plaguing Japan like the pensions crisis, the social welfare nightmare and our battered relations with China and Korea, a problem directly caused by Koizumi's insensitive brand of nationalism."


But the deck chairs will be nicely arranged.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:55 AM

LESS REFORM, PLEASE, WE'RE CONTINENTAL:

In Polish coalition, an uneasy partnership (Graham Bowley, 9/26/05, International Herald Tribune)

The unexpected ascendancy of Law and Justice - after the liberal Civic Platform was well ahead in opinion polls until last week - means the pace of economic change in Poland will be slower than Civic Platform promised.

Law and Justice drew support from the demise of the Democratic Left Alliance after its candidate for president withdrew amid corruption allegations, and Kaczynski won over left-leaning voters with bitter attacks on his would-be partners' program for a flat 15 percent rate for personal, corporate and consumption taxes.

On Monday, Kaczynski promised "lower taxes and pro-investment policies to stimulate the economy." But he ruled out the flat tax, and the divergence in approach to the economy appeared already to be causing friction between the prospective partners.

Law and Justice, which favors a far more interventionist approach to the economy than Civic Platform, says it will seek to scale back the independence of the central bank because it believes interest rates are too high, and wants to slow the privatization of state assets.

Hanna Gronkiewicz-Waltz, a former central bank governor and one of Civic Platform's candidates for finance minister, said Law and Justice's victory "is worrying news for investors," according to Bloomberg.

The news agency quoted her as telling Polish public radio: "This will mean a slower decline in unemployment and less foreign investment. This will make our fight for the flat tax and fast euro-adoption pretty hopeless."

Mateusz Szczurek, an economist at ING Bank in Warsaw, said he thought the two parties were still capable together of pushing through significant economic change despite their differences.

"I can still see very positive developments being done by the new government," he said, adding that Polish zloty had initially weakened on financial markets Monday after Civic Platform's weaker-than-expected showing but had later recovered. "I believe that change is going to happen," he said.

Krzysztof Bobinski of the Unia and Polska Foundation said there could be tensions on European policy because Law and Justice was more skeptical about Poland's role in the European Union.

"This will make Poland's Europe policy more difficult," he said.

There could be further divergences on attitudes toward Germany and Russia, with Kaczynski, and his brother Lech Kaczynski, who is standing for president, urging a more muscular, confrontational approach to Poland's neighbors.

The most interesting dynamic that this series of Western elections brings into play is the possibility that the Tory path back to power lies in running openly to the Left of Blair/Brown Labour.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:51 AM

NEVER FLY A THIRD WORLD PLANE:

A Skeptic Under Pressure: A U.S. engineer faces bankruptcy and arrest in Austria as he questions the safety of a component in the huge Airbus A380 jetliner. (Peter Pae, September 27, 2005, LA Times)

Joseph Mangan, 41, is a whistle-blower. As a result he and his family find themselves in a foreign country with unfamiliar laws, fighting a legal battle that has left them almost penniless.

A year ago, Mangan told European aviation authorities that he believed there were problems with a computer chip on the Airbus A380, the biggest and costliest commercial airliner ever built. The A380 is a double-decked engineering marvel that will carry as many as 800 passengers — double the capacity of Boeing Co.'s 747. It is expected to enter airline service next year.

Mangan alleges that flaws in a microprocessor could cause the valves that maintain cabin pressure on the A380 to accidentally open during flight, allowing air to leak out so rapidly that everyone aboard could lose consciousness within seconds.

It's a lethal scenario similar to the 1999 crash that killed professional golfer Payne Stewart and five others when their Learjet lost cabin pressure and they blacked out. The plane flew on autopilot for hours before crashing in South Dakota.

Mangan was chief engineer for TTTech Computertechnik, a Viennese company that supplies the computer chips and software to control the cabin-pressurization system for the A380, which is being assembled at the Airbus plant in France.

In October, TTTech fired Mangan and filed civil and criminal charges against him for revealing company documents. The company said the information was proprietary and he had no right to disclose it to anyone.

Mangan countersued, saying he had been wrongly terminated for raising legitimate safety concerns.

Unlike U.S. laws that shield whistle-blowers from corporate retaliation, Austrian laws offer no such protection. Last year an Austrian judge imposed an unusual gag order on Mangan, seeking to stop him from talking about the case.

Mangan posted details about the case anyway in his own Internet blog. The Austrian court fined him $185,000 for violating the injunction.

And the Vienna police, who are conducting a criminal investigation into the matter, searched the family's apartment for four hours, downloading files from Mangan's computer as his children watched.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:18 AM

GO PBS:

CPB Taps Two GOP Conservatives for Top Posts (Paul Farhi, September 27, 2005, Washington Post)

A leading Republican donor and fundraiser was elected chairman of the Corporation for Public Broadcasting yesterday, tightening conservative control over the agency that oversees National Public Radio and the Public Broadcasting Service.

Cheryl F. Halpern, a New Jersey lawyer and real estate developer, won approval from the CPB's board. She succeeds a close board ally, Kenneth Y. Tomlinson, who stirred controversy earlier this year by contending that public broadcasting favors liberal views. Tomlinson's term as chairman had expired, but he will remain a member of the board.

The board also elected another conservative, Gay Hart Gaines, as its vice chairman. Gaines, an interior decorator by training, was a charter member and a chairman of GOPAC, a Republican fundraising group that then-Rep. Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.) used to engineer the GOP takeover of the House in 1994.

With the changes, conservatives with close ties to the Bush administration have assumed control of every important position at the agency, which distributes about $400 million in federal funds to noncommercial radio and TV stations and is supposed to act as a buffer against outside political influence.


Now can they get rid of the Folk revivals and Motown reunions?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:15 AM

86ED:

Don Adams, Television's Maxwell Smart, Dies at 82 (DOUGLAS MARTIN, 9/27/05, NY Times)

[S]mart's charm lay in his utter humanness, the opposite of Bond's preposterous competence. In an interview with The Saturday Evening Post in 1966, Mr. Adams analyzed Smart: "He's not superhuman. But he believes in what he does and he wants to do his best."

His best was rarely good enough. Smart called into work with a dial phone on the sole of his shoe, and often got a wrong number. He wore jet shoes that shot him up, often into the roof. He was so security-minded that he would often swallow secret messages before reading them.

Donald James Yarmy was born on April 13, 1923, in Manhattan. He said changed his last name to that of his first wife, Adelaide Adams, because acting auditions were often done in alphabetical order.

His father ran a few small restaurants in the Bronx. Mr. Adams grew up hating school and playing hooky at the movies. During World War II, he joined the Marines at 16 by lying about his age. On Guadalcanal, he was shot and contracted blackwater fever, fatal 90 percent of the time.

After the war, he drifted into stand-up comedy, always refraining from dirty jokes, presaging the almost ludicrous uprightness of Maxwell Smart. He cut back on nightclub work to support his family with jobs as a restaurant cashier and as a commercial artist.

His first real success as a comic came when he won an Arthur Godfrey "Talent Scouts" competition in 1954, which led to television variety show appearances on "The Steve Allen Show" and elsewhere.

Mr. Adams created the comedy character Byron Glick, an incompetent house detective, who was a precursor to Max. Mr. Adams tried comedy writing, producing material for Garry Moore and Mr. Allen. When Mr. Adams's friend Bill Dana got a comedy series, he hired Mr. Adams to regularly play Byron Glick.

"Get Smart" was originally the brainchild of the producers Dan Melnick and David Susskind, and was then refined by the writers Mel Brooks and Buck Henry. ABC passed on the show, but NBC loved it. The writers first thought of Tom Poston for the Smart role, but Mr. Adams was under contract to NBC.

The program was immediately a success with viewers, though Jack Gould, reviewing the new show in The New York Times, fretted that Mr. Adams was trying too hard to be funny. Mr. Gould, however, heartily approved of Ms. Feldon, fondly recalling her appearances in Revlon's "Tiger Girl" commercials.

In an interview on NBC's "Today Show" in 2002, Ms. Feldon gave Mr. Adams credit for much of the show's success. "When you got in a scene with Don, it was like stepping onto a surfboard, and you just flew over those waves," she said. "And it was exhilarating."


Don Adams and the Sole of Wit (Washington Post, September 27, 2005)
Once upon a time (in the '60s) there was a television show called "Get Smart." It was a sendup of James Bond spy dramas and featured the bumbling secret agent 86, Maxwell Smart, played by Don Adams, who died Sunday at age 82.

Many of its gags entered the culture permanently, used by people who had never seen the show. For example:

Sorry about that!

The response to a colossal blunder. In 1965 one of the Gemini astronauts used it. It became a favorite of grunts in Vietnam.

Others:

And loving it!

Response to a warning of grave danger.

Would you believe . . . ?


Get Smart was pretty dreadful, but he was terrific as Tennessee Tuxedo.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:33 AM

MEANWHILE, IN THE ANGLOSPHERE...:

Blair promising to step up reform (BBC, 9/27/05)

Tony Blair will tell the Labour Party it must continue to modernise Britain as he seeks to show he has not run out of steam as prime minister.

He will outline to the party's conference in Brighton a host of reform plans for the public services.

The solution to challenges facing the UK is "not less New Labour but more New Labour", Mr Blair will say.

He speaks after Gordon Brown delivered a speech seen as confirming his status as leader-in-waiting.


Big -time Reform continues to sell...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:30 AM

STILL A SHORTAGE:

State posts strong house, condo sales: Median prices climb, but some local agents see market softening (Kimberly Blanton, September 27, 2005, Boston Globe)

Massachusetts single-family home sales posted the second strongest August on record and condominium sales continued their relentless rise last month, the Massachusetts Association of Realtors reported yesterday.

In August, 5,482 single-family homes sold statewide, second only to the August 2001 record of 5,526. The median house price of $375,000 was nearly 5 percent higher than a year ago. [...]

Real estate brokers and analyst say Massachusetts has experienced less speculation than lower-priced housing markets such as Florida or Arizona. Yet, rising inventories of suburban Boston homes are concerning homeowners, amid growing evidence it has become more difficult to sell. The single-family market data also is creating confusion, because no clear trend has emerged: sales have been down three of the past five months and up two, while prices rise steadily.

Maggie Tomkiewicz, president of Massachusetts Association of Realtors, said the single-family market is holding up. She said there is currently 6 3/4 months of supply of single-family houses on the market, while 7 1/2 months to 8 1/2months is a balanced market.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:07 AM

LET'S AT LEAST GO POSTAL:

Koizumi resumes reform drive in Diet policy speech (REIJI YOSHIDA, 9/27/05, Japan Times)

Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi relaunched his reform offensive Monday, vowing to "boldly scale down" government by privatizing the postal services, cutting personnel costs and reforming state-backed financial institutions.

However, in his policy speech to the special Diet session, he offered neither numerical targets nor a timetable to guide his renewed pledge for small government. Instead, he focused on his plan to privatize the giant state-run mail, postal savings and insurance institution. He began by repeating his vow to slash the number of government workers.

"I will review their salary structures and set a net-reduction target for the number of state government workers," Koizumi said during his address to the Diet. "I will boldly scale down the size of the government by implementing structural reforms like these."

Koizumi's ruling Liberal Democratic Party won big in the Sept. 11 general election by campaigning on the theme of reform. In the wake of their stinging defeat, the opposition parties are also now attacking "inefficient" government workers and services and calling for restructuring.

Koizumi also touched on diplomacy, merely repeating earlier stated polices and offering no new strategies toward Iraq and North Korea.

Due to the limited agenda, the 11-minute speech turned out to be Koizumi's shortest since taking office in April 2001 and the second-shortest in postwar Japan, according to one of his deputies.


Not that reform of the postal system isn't a good thing, but if it's the only reform that comes out of all this it will hardly be enough to change Japan's prospects much.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:30 AM

THE FACTS WEREN'T USEFUL WEAPONS:

Katrina Takes a Toll on Truth, News Accuracy: Rumors supplanted accurate information and media magnified the problem. Rapes, violence and estimates of the dead were wrong. (Susannah Rosenblatt and James Rainey, September 27, 2005, LA Times)

Maj. Ed Bush recalled how he stood in the bed of a pickup truck in the days after Hurricane Katrina, struggling to help the crowd outside the Louisiana Superdome separate fact from fiction. Armed only with a megaphone and scant information, he might have been shouting into, well, a hurricane.

The National Guard spokesman's accounts about rescue efforts, water supplies and first aid all but disappeared amid the roar of a 24-hour rumor mill at New Orleans' main evacuation shelter. Then a frenzied media recycled and amplified many of the unverified reports.

"It just morphed into this mythical place where the most unthinkable deeds were being done," Bush said Monday of the Superdome.

His assessment is one of several in recent days to conclude that newspapers and television exaggerated criminal behavior in the wake of Hurricane Katrina, particularly at the overcrowded Superdome and Convention Center.


September 26, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:14 PM

PRETTY BIG NET:

US Household Net Worth Up 1.9% To $49.83 Trillion In 2Q (Campion Walsh, 9/21/05, Dow Jones)

U.S. households saw their total net worth rise 1.9% to a record $49.83 trillion in the second quarter of 2005, the Federal Reserve said Wednesday.

Or, over four times the $11.7 Trillion GDP last year.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:59 PM

GOLDILOCKS FOR PRESIDENT:

Return of the right (The Economist, Sep 26th 2005)

More surprising than who lost was who came out on top. Until a few days before the election, the free-market Civic Platform had led the polls. But it was overtaken at the last moment by another right-wing party, Law and Justice. Jaroslaw Kaczynski, Law and Justice’s straight-talking candidate for prime minister, managed to appeal to both those who want to grasp the opportunities that capitalism and democracy have created, and those who fear change.

Once again an election outside the Anglosphere is won by the party that promises less reform.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:39 PM

AMEN, BROTHER:

Man Takes Citizenship Oath, Wins Lottery (AP, 9/26/05)

A man who immigrated from Kenya to the United States found prosperity beyond his expectations on the day he became a U.S. citizen.

Shortly after Moses Bittok, of West Des Moines, took the oath of citizenship on Friday, he discovered he had a $1.89 million winning ticket from the Iowa Lottery's Hot Lotto game.

"It's almost like you adopted a country and then they netted you $1.8 million," Bittok said Monday as he cashed in his ticket. "It doesn't happen anywhere — I guess only in America."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:21 PM

STILL TIME TO CHANGE YOUR PICKS....:

Bush Drops 'Diversity' Hint About Nominee (JESSE J. HOLLAND, Sep 26, 2005, AP)

President Bush hinted on Monday that his next nominee for the Supreme Court would be a woman or a minority, saying that "diversity is one of the strengths of the country." [...]

Two-thirds of the 100 senators Republican and Democrats alike had already announced their support of Roberts, the conservative federal appeals court judge, as the successor to the late William H. Rehnquist before the Senate even started its final debate Monday afternoon. [...]

A floor vote is planned for no later than Thursday.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:14 PM

I WANNA SELF-DESTRUCT, JUST LIKE DEAR OLD DAD:

Bayh says he won't support Roberts nomination (Maureen Groppe, 9/26/05, Indianapolis Star)

Indiana Sen. Evan Bayh said Friday he will vote against the nomination of Judge John G. Roberts Jr. to be the next chief justice of the United States because not enough is known about how Roberts will act. [...]

Bayh was the last Senate Democrat considering a 2008 presidential run to announce how he will vote.

Delaware Sen. Joseph R. Biden Jr. voted against Roberts and Wisconsin Sen. Russell D. Feingold voted for him when the Senate Judiciary Committee endorsed his nomination Thursday. New York Sen. Hillary Clinton announced her opposition after the committee vote and Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry has also said he’ll vote against Roberts when the full Senate takes up the nomination next week.
Women’s groups, which are influential in the Democratic primary process, are opposed to Roberts.


Mr. Bayh's father did so much damage to himself in his presidential bid that he ended up losing his Senate seat to that notorious moron Dan Quayle.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:55 PM

HE CAN'T RETIRE FAST ENOUGH:

Greenspan: Homeowners could weather price drop (Jeannine Aversa, 9/26/05, AP)

Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, softening his concern about a possibly overheated housing market, said Monday that many homeowners have enough equity to cushion the shock if prices drop. [...]

"The vast majority of homeowners have a sizable equity cushion with which to absorb a potential decline in house prices," he said. Less than 5% of home borrowers were highly leveraged, according to one measure, he cited.

An end to the housing boom, meanwhile, could have a silver lining, the Fed chairman added.

Greenspan hypothesized that it probably would be accompanied by a moderation in the growth of consumer spending. That could lead to a boost in Americans' personal savings rate, which has been dismally low, and could curb Americans' insatiable appetites for foreign-made goods, helping to narrow the United States' bloated trade deficit, he said.


Sure, we could be like the Japanese and instead of having equity in homes we could have passbook savings accounts.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:47 PM

WHY NOT JUST USE HIGHWAY MONEY TO BUILD THE TANCREDO WALL?:

Rebuilding Republican credibility (Charles Bloomer, September 26, 2005, Enter Stage Right)

In a recent column, I criticized the Republican leadership for ignoring two topics that have become important to their conservative base – illegal immigration and massive spending. In this column, I want to follow up with some ideas for actions that the party can take to help regain credibility.

The conservative base is not opposed to immigration, so long as it is legal and in the best interest of this country. [...]

The solution is simple, but will cost money. The Republicans in office, including the president and congress, must authorize and fund significant increases in our Border Patrol. [...]

Among fiscal conservatives, the Republicans in office have lost all credibility as the party of smaller government. [...]

At least some Republicans are paying heed to the grumblings of conservatives. The Republican Study Committee in the House of Representatives has responded to the challenge laid down by Tom DeLay. The RSC has come up with a list of recommendations for cuts to offset the funds to be spent on Katrina rebuilding.

The RSC ideas are a good start, but need to go further. Rather than spend billions of tax money to rebuild New Orleans, the administration should encourage private investment in the rebuilding process. Tax incentives on investments in post-Katrina and post-Rita, recovery such as an elimination of capital gains tax on those investments would draw considerable private money. Make the tax holiday on capital gains effective for ten years.

Beyond hurricane relief, the RSC should study ways to seriously cut the fat and pork from the federal budget. A great start would be to eliminate the 6000-plus pork barrel items in the Transportation Bill.


So you can buy off these folks with a vast increase in the federal bureaucracy and small cuts in discrete infrastructure programs but we're supposed to take their griping seriously?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:34 PM

HER IMPERIALIST HIGHNESS:

Rice will visit Haiti on Tuesday (The Associated Press, September 26, 2005)

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice will travel to Haiti on Tuesday to show support for presidential elections set for Nov. 20.

During her daylong visit, she will meet with members of the interim government that has been in place since shortly after the departure of former President Jean-Bertrand Aristide in February 2004.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:32 PM

JUSTICE SHOPPING:

Supreme Court may hear abortion case (The Associated Press, September 26, 2005)

The Bush administration has asked the Supreme Court to reinstate a ban on a procedure that critics call "partial birth" abortions, setting up a showdown that could be decided by the president's new choice for the court.

That'll give Justice Gonzales a chance to rule in favor of the pro-life movement before the mid-term election.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:27 PM

WHAT'S THE LIFE EXPECTANCY ON THAT JOB?:

Pentagon: Top Zarqawi Aide Killed (CBS News, Sept. 26, 2005)

The No. 2 al Qaeda leader in Iraq was killed Sunday night, U.S. officials say. Abu Azzam, reportedly the deputy to Abu Musab al Zarqawi, was shot during a house rain in Baghdad, according to Pentagon officials.

As the aide to Zarqawi, Azzam was reportedly in control of financing foreign fighters coming into Iraq, CBS News national security correspondent David Martin reports.

According to Pentagon officials coalition troops raided the house in response to a tip. When Azzam opened fire, these officials say, he was killed with troops' return fire.

What effect this will have on the insurgency remains to be seen. In the past, key Zarqawi lieutenants have been killed or captured without any decrease in the number of suicide bombings.


We only have to get lucky once, they have to be lucky every minute of every day.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:51 PM

AND NOW WE'VE DISPOSED OF NEW ORLEANS...:

Crime Rate Remains at 2003 Level, Study Says: Justice Department Statistics at Lowest Mark Since 1973 (Mark Sherman, September 26, 2005, Associated Press)

The nation's crime rate was unchanged last year, holding at the lowest levels since the government began surveying crime victims in 1973, the Justice Department reported yesterday.

Since 1993, violent crime as measured by victim surveys has fallen by 57 percent and property crime by 50 percent. That has included a 9 percent drop in violent crime from 2001-2002 to 2003-2004.

The 2004 violent crime rate -- assault, sexual assault and robbery -- was 21.4 victims for every 1,000 people age 12 and older. That amounts to about one violent crime victim for every 47 U.S. residents.

By comparison, there were 22.6 violent crime victims per 1,000 people in 2003. The Bureau of Justice Statistics said the difference between the rates in 2003 and 2004 was statistically insignificant.

Homicide is not counted because the bureau's study is based on statements by crime victims. In a separate report based on preliminary police data, the FBI found a 3.6 percent drop between 2003 and 2004 -- from 16,500 to 15,910. Chicago was largely responsible for the decrease.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:35 PM

MUST BE NICE NOT TO HAVE FILIBUSTERS:

Schools voucher plan to end rift (Samantha Maiden, 27sep05, The Australian)

AUSTRALIA'S schools are on the verge of a revolution that will end "the Berlin Wall" between the public and private systems and deliver greater choice to parents, former competition watchdog chief Allan Fels has predicted.

Speaking on the eve of the Schooling for the 21st Century conference, Professor Fels said it was time to debate a voucher scheme that would allow parents to spend a taxpayer-grant at public or private schools.

Parents and students should also be offered greater choice between public schools, including being able to select from a cluster of schools in their region, rather than the current "take it or leave it" option based on residence.

As Education Minister Brendan Nelson steps up his campaign to apply benchmarks to key curriculums in the nation's schools, Professor Fels warned transparent and easily accessible information for parents and students on school performance was the key to driving competition and quality.

"We are going to find that the Berlin Wall between public and private schooling will start to come down," Professor Fels told The Australian.


...and John Howard pulls ahead...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:27 PM

SHUT UP, THEY DEFENDED:

'Intelligent Design' Trial Begins Today: A court case brought by parents in Pennsylvania could have a profound impact on America's debate over religion and its role in public life. (Josh Getlin, September 26, 2005, LA Times)

In the beginning, members of the Dover Area School District board wrangled over what should be required in their high school biology curriculum.

Some were adamant that science teachers should stick with the widely taught theory of evolution and random selection. Others said the teaching of "intelligent design" should also be required, arguing that certain elements of life, like cell structure, are best explained by an intelligent cause.

The debate had strong religious overtones.

"Nearly 2,000 years ago, someone died on a cross for us," said board member William Buckingham, who urged his colleagues to include intelligent design in ninth-grade science classes. "Shouldn't we have the courage to stand up for him?"

Today, a trial begins over the board's decision last year ordering that students be taught about intelligent design and flaws in Charles Darwin's theories.

Several parents, fearing the intrusion of religion into public schooling, filed a lawsuit to block the policy, backed by American Civil Liberties Union attorneys.


Which liberty is it that requires the majority to be silenced?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:18 PM

IF YOU CAN'T FAKE SINCERITY....:

An ideal husband (Joshua Glenn, September 25, 2005, Boston Globe)

THE ONLY WAY for a married man to ''win the battle of the sexes," insists former Somerville resident and manliness expert Craig Boreth (he wrote ''The Hemingway Cookbook"), is to ''convince your wife that, in reality, she has won." Easier said than done, no doubt, but Boreth's new book, ''How to Iron Your Own Damn Shirt: The Perfect Husband Handbook" , features 50-plus seemingly airtight stratagems for pulling this off.

Husbands, if you haven't figured out how to act like you're listening closely at the breakfast table or apologize convincingly, or pretend not to look at other women, Boreth has solutions. These are, respectively: Practice what therapists call ''active listening" (pay attention to body language, ask questions, summarize); first de-escalate, then semi-apologize, then find out exactly what upset her, then be honest, then negotiate a compromise; and only glance--as though looking at the sun.

Rather than becoming perfect, ''a husband's only goal should be to create the perception in his wife's mind that he's perfect," Boreth said in an e-mail interview. ''If that requires a little subterfuge in order for him to maintain some degree of sanity and manhood, then so be it."


Every study ever done on healthy marriages reveals the same core fact--they depend on the wife winning and the husband having enough sense to realize it's not worth fighting about.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:03 PM

YOU DON'T OCCUPY AN ALLY:

A Shift on Iraq: The Generals Plan a Slow Exit (David Ignatius, September 26, 2005, Washington Post)

Posted on a bulletin board at Centcom headquarters here is a 1918 admonition from T.E. Lawrence explaining what he learned in training Arab soldiers: "It is better to let them do it themselves imperfectly than to do it yourself perfectly. It is their country, their way, and our time is short."

That quote sums up an important shift in U.S. military strategy on Iraq that has been emerging over the past year. The commanders who are running the war don't talk about transforming Iraq into an American-style democracy or of imposing U.S. values. They understand that Iraqis dislike American occupation, and for that reason they want fewer American troops in Iraq, not more. Most of all, they don't want the current struggle against Iraqi insurgents, who are nasty but militarily insignificant, to undermine U.S. efforts against the larger threat posed by al Qaeda terrorists, who would kill hundreds of thousands of Americans if they could.

I had a rare opportunity to hear a detailed explanation of U.S. military strategy this weekend when the Centcom chief, Gen. John Abizaid, gathered his top generals here for what he called a "commanders' huddle." They described a military approach that's different, at least in tone, from what the public perceives. For the commanders, Iraq isn't an endless tunnel. They are planning to reduce U.S. troop levels over the next year to a force that will focus on training and advising the Iraqi military. They don't want permanent U.S. bases in Iraq. Indeed, they believe such a high-visibility American presence will only make it harder to stabilize the country.


No one but neocons and the Left ever thought there were going to be permanent bases.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:59 PM

JUST WHEN WE SOLD THE HOUSE AND BOUGHT OIL FUTURES ON PAUL KRUGMAN'S ADVICE:

Oil bubble set to burst?: Some analysts say prices could now retreat after industry dodges severe damage from Rita.

Could the recent spike in oil prices have created a bubble that's about to burst?

With Hurricane Rita causing less damage that originally feared to the oil industry and oil prices treading water Monday, some industry analysts said we may be about to watch a steady, and significant, drop in energy prices.

"Price declines could be slow this week, maybe with a bubble burst at some point in the future," said analyst Peter Beutel, president of Cameron Hanover. "It does appear we've turned the corner here in this market. I don't think we'll see prices at these levels again anytime in the next five years." [...]

But before you start cheering Beutel's prediction, understand that part of his forecast is based on the belief that oil is high enough now to spark a global recession, which will significantly cut demand. He also believes that recent oil price records have spurred plans to increase global oil production, which he sees feeding the decline in oil prices.

Beutel sees oil prices falling all the way to the $25 to $35 a barrel range in late 2006 or 2007. Most other analysts aren't willing to follow that forecast, although some agree there could be a pullback in prices, even without a recession, if consumers start to have some breaks go their way.

"I think if the rest of the hurricane season doesn't cause disruptions, and global supplies stay as they are, we should see prices pulling back into in the low to mid-$50's, without a recession," said Sheraz Mian, oil analyst for Zacks Investment Research. "We could be in the high $40's if it's a warm winter."


The Saudis say they want a $20 a barrel drop.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:51 PM

CABANARAMA:

Kerry's not- so-amazing race, on film (Lloyd Grove, 9/26/05, NY Daily News)

I hear that John Kerry loyalists are kicking themselves for cooperating last year with filmmaker Steve Rosenbaum on "Inside the Bubble," a potentially devastating behind-the-scenes look at the Massachusetts senator's failed presidential campaign.

I'm also told that Hillary Clinton partisans are licking their chops to see the film, which "could end up being the silver bullet that kills Kerry's presidential chances for 2008," says a Lowdown spy.


Shouldn't they be kicking themselves for participating in the campaign, not the movie?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:07 AM

SKIMMING (via Jefferson Park):

Korean War pals to attend 45th Division event (Brandy McDonnell, 9/26/05, The Oklahoman)

Ted D.D. Foster Jr. and Johnny H.T. No have been arguing for more than three decades over who saved whose life.

Their friendship was forged in the Korean War. Foster, 80, a retired colonel with the Army National Guard, credits No with guiding their platoon safely through a minefield and helping him communicate with Korean troops and refugees.

"In my mind, his contribution is by far greater," Foster said. "He and I have been together since 1952, so we've been together a hell of a long time."

No, 84, who was a South Korean interpreter in the platoon Foster commanded, counters that Foster sponsored him, and later his family, when he immigrated to Oklahoma more than 30 years ago.

"He claims I saved his life, but once I was in America, he helped me so much," No said. "Everything I have (is) owed to him."


As Mr. Park points out, in fifty years it'll be an American G.I. and his Iraqi interpreter.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:58 AM

THE MAN'S DEATH ON TRANSNATIONALISM:

Why Kyoto will never succeed, by Blair (Patrick Hennessy and James Langton, 25/09/2005, Daily Telegraph)

Tony Blair has admitted that the fight to prevent global warming by ordering countries to cut greenhouse gases will never be won.

The Prime Minister said "no country is going to cut its growth or consumption" despite environmental fears.

Mr Blair's comments, which he said were "brutally honest", mark a big environmental U-turn and will dismay Labour activists. [...]

His remarks, unreported at the time but now published in a transcript of the conference, are certain to spark wide-ranging criticism that he is again signing up to the agenda of President George W Bush. Under Mr Bush, the US has consistently refused to sign the Kyoto Treaty.


Wonder if he used the same shiv with which he dispatched the EU?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:50 AM

SEND IN THE KRAUTS:

Schröder's Putsch against Reality: The results of the German elections eight days ago are clear: German Chancellor Gerhard Schröder's party got 450,000 fewer votes than the political camp supporting his opponent Angela Merkel. But he's still claiming the chancellery for himself. It's a political circus that threatens to make Chancellor Schröder into the lead clown. (Dirk Kurbjuweit , 9/26/05, Der Spiegel)

Schröder has presented himself since the elections as a man with a future, as someone who has scored a last-second goal thus giving himself a shot at overtime. But this is roughly where the sports analogy ends. In soccer, for example, the referee calls overtime when there is a tie. But there was no tie here. Schröder and his Social Democrats lost the election to the Christian Democrats (CDU) and their Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social Union (CSU), by almost 450,000 votes. In politics, like in sports, Schröder should have been out of the game, because it's normal procedure in Germany that the chancellor comes from the strongest party -- that the strongest party leads the ensuing governing coalition.

All that, it seems, is irrelevant to Schröder. He has staged the first putsch in German post-war history, a putsch against reality. On the evening of the election, he announced that he had no intention of allowing Angela Merkel to take the helm of a possible grand coalition between his own party and the CDU.

Berlin has been in an uproar ever since. Since the vote, there is reality and there is Schröder's version of reality. And there is also a major effort on the part of the SPD to ensure that reality conforms to Schröder's concept of reality, to restyle Schröder's revolt as an act of statesmanship.

Suddenly the German political stage has turned into a Las Vegas casino, where everyone furiously plays poker by day and watches Siegfried and Roy, the illusionists, put on their act by night. But in Berlin the illusionists' names are Gerhard Schröder and Franz Müntefering, who, it turns out, have shown themselves adept at transforming mice into elephants, poodles into tigers.


It's no small achievement for American foreign policy to have turned Germany from a stage for Wagnerian tragedy into one for opera bouffe.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:22 AM

CURIOUS SORT OF STAGNATION (via Robert Schwartz):

Don't Blink. You'll Miss the 258th-Richest American (NINA MUNK, September 25, 2005, NY Times)

THE latest Forbes 400 list of the richest people in America has just hit the newsstands. The idea for the Forbes 400 - rather than, say, 300 or 500 - was inspired by Mrs. Astor's 400, the definitive list of New York high society in the 1890's. It's rumored that Mrs. William Backhouse Astor Jr. limited her social list to 400 because only 400 people could fit into her ballroom, but that may not be true. In any case, they had to be the right 400 people. As her escort, Ward McAlister, explained to reporters in 1888: "If you go outside that number, you strike people who are either not at ease in a ballroom or else make others not at ease."

The first edition of the Forbes 400, dated Sept. 13, 1982, included mainline families like the Rockefellers, the Mellons and the du Ponts. But they found themselves together with self-made men, some of whom were not terribly at ease in a ballroom: William R. Hewlett, who had started Hewlett-Packard in a one-car garage with his classmate David Packard and was then worth $1.3 billion; Robert C. Guccione, the founder of Penthouse magazine, then worth $400 million; Saul P. Steinberg, a corporate raider who had accumulated a $260 million fortune; An Wang, originally of Shanghai, who had started Wang Labs with $15,000 in 1951 and was worth around $400 million in 1982; Meyer Lansky, a mobster whose estimated net worth that year was $200 million; and Laurence A. Tisch, who built a fortune then valued at $600 million by assembling a huge conglomerate, the Loews Corporation. (Note: all net worth figures are in 2005 dollars.) All you needed to join the Forbes 400 list was money.

Right from the start, the Forbes 400 reflected an American ideal: we were a nation of smart, hardworking, resourceful, determined, innovative, daring self-starters. Above all, the Forbes 400 suggested mobility and unlimited opportunity. Every year, more of the old names fell off the list, only to be replaced by names you'd never heard of - names of people who had been inspired to build something from nothing. Inherited wealth, which once dominated the Forbes 400, has over the years come to account for less than 40 percent of the list. The number of Ivy League graduates has dropped, too. And New York City is no longer the epicenter of American wealth.

A few days ago, I read through the newest Forbes 400 list of the richest people in America, hoping to find many names I'd never heard of. They're not there. Through no fault of its own, the list no longer reflects a dynamic and elastic economy; instead, it reflects a growing concentration of wealth and economic power. Warren E. Buffett, Paul G. Allen, Kirk Kerkorian, John W. Kluge, Carl C. Icahn, Michael R. Bloomberg, Ronald O. Perelman, Leona Helmsley, Henry R. Kravis, the Waltons, the Pritzkers, the Newhouses, the Lauders - the same old names, one after another.

It's hard to say when the Forbes 400 list started to stagnate, but 1999 may have been a turning point.


As Mr. Schwartz points out, the chart that accompanies the story put paid to its argument:


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:53 AM

BUT...BUT...BUT...HE LIKES JAZZ MUSIC AND SCOTCH....:

Former rival helps Hu solidify grip on China (Joseph Kahn, SEPTEMBER 25, 2005, The New York Times)

Three years after becoming China's top leader, Hu Jintao has solidified his grip on power and intimidated critics inside and outside the Communist Party with the help of the man once seen as his most potent rival.

Hu, China's president and Communist Party chief, and Zeng Qinghong, vice president and the man in charge of the party's organizational affairs, have tackled the most delicate domestic and foreign policy issues as a team, governing as hard-liners with a deft political touch, former Chinese officials and scholars with leadership connections said.

Their bond is a surprise because Zeng was the longtime right-hand man of the previous No. 1 leader, Jiang Zemin. A skillful back-room political operator considered to have strong military ties, Zeng was long viewed as the only person capable of challenging Hu for power.

Instead, Zeng and Hu joined forces last year to push Jiang to retire and to give up his position as leader of China's military, party insiders said. That cleared the way for Hu to become military chief and weakened the formidable political network Jiang had constructed in his 13 years at the helm.

Their alliance has shored up the Communist Party as it faces enormous stresses, including simmering social unrest and an uphill struggle to curtail corruption. They have quieted talk of serious factional splits and paved the way for Hu to impose his orthodox, repressive stamp on Chinese politics.

Realists and econocons always think the next communist is going to be the reformist one....


MORE:
China's leaders launch smokeless war against internet and media dissent (Benjamin Joffe-Walt, September 26, 2005, Guardian

China announced a fresh crackdown yesterday on the internet amid further revelations of a plan by Hu Jintao, the president, to suppress dissent.

"The state bans the spreading of any news with content that is against national security and public interest," said a statement from Xinhua, the official news agency. The announcement called for blogs and personal web pages to "be directed towards serving the people and socialism and insist on correct guidance of public opinion for maintaining national and public interests".

The statement was just one of a series of initiatives by the government to root out politically sensitive news from domestic and foreign media. [...]

Providing further evidence of an organised national crackdown, the New York Times reported yesterday that Mr Hu called for a "smokeless war" against "liberal elements" in China during a secret leadership meeting in May


Where there's smokeless there's fear.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:42 AM

ALIEN TECHNOLOGY IS EVEN BETTER THAN STEROIDS (via Robert Schwartz):

Joe Bauman, 83, Who Hit 72 Homers as Minor Leaguer, Dies (RICHARD GOLDSTEIN, 9/22/05, NY Times)

Joe Bauman, who hit 72 home runs in 1954 playing for a minor league team in Roswell, N.M., setting a single-season record for professional baseball that stood for nearly half a century, died Tuesday at a hospital in Roswell. He was 83.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:39 AM

TRY TAKING THIS ISSUE TO THE VOTERS:

Legal railroading disguised as efficiency (Ira Reiner, September 26, 2005, LA Times)

THE SENATE Judiciary Committee is scheduled to take up the Streamlined Procedures Act of 2005 this week. This legislation, ostensibly designed to make the justice system more efficient, is a Trojan horse whose transparent purpose is to strip the federal courts of virtually all of their jurisdiction to review state criminal court proceedings.

Essentially, the legislation would eviscerate the role of the federal courts in ensuring that innocent people are not mistakenly convicted of crimes and that state courts do not send people to prison in violation of their constitutional rights. It would restrict habeas corpus rights, which are enshrined in the Constitution, date back to the Magna Carta and guarantee that you can go to a court and tell a judge that you are being held illegally.

Why is this the role of the federal courts?


It isn't.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:36 AM

OF COURSE CAPITALISM IS A PARTISAN ISSUE:

Free trade isn't free of partisan politics (Daniel P. Erikson and Eric Jacobstein, September 26, 2005, LA Times)

BITTER PARTISANSHIP is putting the United States' trade agenda in the Americas in serious jeopardy. Faced with dim prospects for a hemisphere-wide free trade area, the Bush administration has focused on strengthening trade ties with Latin America through the creation of smaller, regional pacts such as the Central American Free Trade Agreement, which was ratified by Congress earlier this year.

The next phase of this strategy encompasses the Andean countries of Colombia, Ecuador and Peru (with Bolivia participating as an observer). But to succeed, the White House must address the way the CAFTA vote crystallized deep divisions between Republicans and Democrats that threaten to undermine economic integration in the hemisphere.

The White House deservedly claims CAFTA as an important triumph, but the nature of the victory confirmed the near-total collapse of a bipartisan trade consensus in Washington. CAFTA was passed by Congress on July 27, but only after House Majority Leader Tom DeLay stayed up past midnight twisting arms to produce a 217-215 vote. More than 90% of Democrats united in opposition to CAFTA; only 15 broke ranks to support the agreement.


And the unions and Left ideologues who run the Party are going to work to defeat those 15.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:31 AM

THE TEMPTATION OF ROBERTS REDUX:

Bush Again Faces Tough High Court Choice (David G. Savage and Richard B. Schmitt, September 26, 2005, LA Times)

The diversity issue "is being overplayed by the media. I think you should take the president at his word: He wants a judicial conservative, someone who is extremely smart, has a good temperament and a reverence for the Constitution," said Leonard A. Leo, executive vice president of the conservative Federalist Society, who has been advising the White House through Roberts' nomination process.

Washington lawyer Bradford Berenson, who served in the White House counsel's office during Bush's first term, also thinks the nominee will be a true conservative.

"I would predict he will keep his promise and appoint a justice in the mold of Scalia and Thomas, a strong judicial conservative," Berenson said. "I don't buy the argument the president will pull his punches. That's not his style."

U.S. appeals court Judges J. Michael Luttig in Virginia, Michael W. McConnell in Denver and Samuel A. Alito Jr. in Philadelphia remain on the list of possible nominees.

If Bush looks for "another John Roberts," some believe, McConnell could emerge as the nominee.

He is a former University of Chicago law professor known for his scholarly interest in religion and the 1st Amendment. He was also a regular advocate before the Supreme Court before Bush named him to the U.S. Court of Appeals in Denver.

"He is a person of proven legal brilliance and judicial temperament, and he is respected by scholars on the left as well as on the right," said UCLA law professor Eugene Volokh. "He was broadly endorsed by academics when he was nominated before." Still, he added, "there's not much political upside for Bush in nominating him."


Other than a repeat of the hearings where Democrats just humiliated themselves and infuriated their activists.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:24 AM

TEXTBOOK:

Hamas Halts Its Attacks on Israel From Gaza Strip (Laura King, September 26, 2005, LA Times)

In an abrupt reversal after a two-day Israeli campaign of arrests and assassinations, the Palestinian militant group Hamas announced Sunday it would no longer use the Gaza Strip as a staging ground for attacks against Israel.

The declaration, delivered at a late-night news conference in Gaza City by Hamas' top political leader, Mahmoud Zahar, came hours after Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon promised a no-holds-barred crackdown on Hamas, Islamic Jihad and other militant organizations.

"The movement is announcing a halt to all its military operations from the Gaza Strip against the Israeli occupation," Zahar told reporters. He said Hamas was acting to protect the interests of the Palestinian people.


Democratic accountability is a marvelous thing to behold.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:09 AM

THE LEFT GETS WHAT IT ASKED FOR...:

Bush offers Pentagon as 'lead agency' in disasters (Bill Sammon, September 26, 2005, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

President Bush yesterday said he wants Congress to consider putting the Pentagon, not state and local agencies, in charge of responding to large natural disasters in the future. [...]

"It is now clear that a challenge on this scale requires greater federal authority and a broader role for the armed forces -- the institution of our government most capable of massive logistical operations on a moment's notice," he said.

That would require a change of law, since the Posse Comitatus Act of 1878 forbids the military from performing civilian law enforcement duties. Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld is investigating possible reforms to the act, which Pentagon officials consider archaic. [...]

Mr. Bush's push for greater consolidation of federal power in the wake of hurricanes Katrina and Rita mirrors his successful implementation of the Patriot Act in the wake of September 11. The act, which gives law enforcement officials greater authority to pursue terrorists, has been called overly intrusive by critics.

Similarly, critics are already warning against repeal of Posse Comitatus.

"Washington seems poised to embrace further centralization and militarization at home," cautioned Gene Healy, senior editor at the Cato Institute, a libertarian think tank. "That has the makings of a policy disaster that would dwarf Hurricane Katrina."


Many Contracts for Storm Work Raise Questions (ERIC LIPTON and RON NIXON, 9/26/05, NY Times)
More than 80 percent of the $1.5 billion in contracts signed by the Federal Emergency Management Agency alone were awarded without bidding or with limited competition, government records show, provoking concerns among auditors and government officials about the potential for favoritism or abuse.

Already, questions have been raised about the political connections of two major contractors - the Shaw Group and Kellogg, Brown & Root, a subsidiary of Halliburton - that have been represented by the lobbyist Joe M. Allbaugh, President Bush's former campaign manager and a former leader of FEMA.


...let the hysteria begin.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:03 AM

TWIN 51% MANDATES:

Polish centre-right nears victory (BBC, 9/26/05)

Centre-right parties with links to the former Solidarity movement in Poland have ousted the left in the country's general election.

With 60% of votes counted, the Law and Justice Party (PiS) polled 27%, ahead of the Civic Platform (PO) on 24%.

The vote is being seen as a major snub to the ruling left, who have been hit by scandal and seen unemployment rocket to 18%, highest in the European Union.

The polls are Poland's first since joining the EU in May 2004.

The elections chose the 460-member lower house of parliament while the country will go back to the polls in two weeks to elect a new president.

Law and Justice leader Jaroslaw Kaczynski is expected to become Poland's next prime minister.

His identical twin brother, Lech Kaczynski, is running for president.


Poles Take a Sharp Right in Election, Exit Polls Say (Ela Kasprzycka, September 26, 2005, LA Times)
Polish voters appeared to take a sharp turn to the right Sunday, with exit polls showing that they had swept out of power former Communist leaders tainted by corruption accusations and had handed an election victory to conservative parties that promised more jobs, lower taxes and clean government.

Exit polls for Polish public television showed the anti-corruption Law and Justice Party leading with 27% support and the pro-market Civic Platform a close second with 24%. The two groups, which have their roots in the Solidarity labor movement, together appeared set to win at least 295 seats in the 460-member Sejm, the powerful lower house of parliament.

They also were expected to control the 100-seat upper house, with the exit polls showing that together they would win more than 80 seats. [...]

The ruling Democratic Left Alliance, which had struggled in preelection surveys just to get more than the 5% of the vote required to win any seats in parliament, performed better than expected, capturing 11%, according to exit polls.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:58 AM

NO GORE, HE:

Brown to lead 'as a New Labour PM' (JAMES KIRKUP, 9/25/05, The Scotsman)

GORDON Brown will today declare that he will lead Britain as a New Labour Prime Minister, setting himself on a collision course with trade unions and the old left with a personal manifesto continuing Tony Blair's programme of reform.

In what the Chancellor describes as his vision for Britain for the next decade, Mr Brown will symbolically embrace the Blairite agenda he has often appeared to resist, telling the Labour conference the party "must and will be New Labour."

Mr Brown's deliberate vow to uphold Mr Blair's policies is a calculated attempt to appeal to former Tory voters in the centre-ground who worry that the Chancellor will try to take Labour back to the left when he assumes power in the next two years.

That transfer of power is now all but inevitable, with even the most Blairite ministers at the Labour conference in Brighton yesterday openly discussing an amicable, phased handover which would see Mr Brown appointed unopposed.


Bill Clinton's greatest failure was his inability to recast his party in such a fashion, as witness the near inexplicable fact that his own VP ran as a New Deal/Great Society liberal rather than as a New Democrat, ceding the Third Way to George W. Bush and the GOP.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:25 AM

GOOD RESUME BUILDER:

Fusion Center takes aim at terror: But secrecy alarms civil libertarians (Stephanie Ebbert, September 26, 2005, Boston Globe)

Three miles down the road from Shoppers World, in a nondescript office inside State Police headquarters, a team of young intelligence analysts is launching a new front against terrorism.

Called the Commonwealth Fusion Center, the operation was funded by the state last fall and officially opened in May with a mission: to provide statewide information sharing among local, state, and federal public-safety agencies and the private sector in coordinating intelligence against terrorism.

In a secretive operation that is alarming civil-liberties advocates, 18 civilian analysts examine criminal data and 23 intelligence officers -- State Police troopers who have the power to arrest -- work in the field. Raytheon Co. won a $2.2 million contract to develop intelligence-sharing software for the state that aims to integrate databases and help analysts root out criminal trends. [...]

Fusion centers are an emerging trend nationwide, and at least a half-dozen states have established such centers in recent years. Last year Governor Mitt Romney, who chairs an intelligence-sharing group for the Homeland Security advisory council, called for a national network of state-based fusion centers.


Most governors this side of Bill Richardson have blank spots where you're supposed to list foreign policy/national security experience. This and the Olympics fill that hole a bit for Mr. Romney.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:10 AM

WHY NOT JUST CALL FOR A VOICE VOTE?:

The Wrong Battle: John Roberts is the best Supreme Court nominee a left-wing partisan could hope to get out of this White House. (Eleanor Clift, Sept. 23, 2005, Newsweek)

Here’s a mind game: if the vote to confirm John Roberts were a secret ballot, would most Democrats vote for or against him? My guess is that Roberts would rack up numbers like Ruth Bader Ginsburg (96-3) and Stephen Breyer (87-9)—both appointed by President Clinton—if Democrats didn’t have to placate party activists so angry at President Bush they believe he should be opposed at every turn.

When even Ms Clift notices you're in the grip of Derangement Syndrome it's time to worry.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:41 AM

HALOS AND BLACK GOWNS

Let's draw a line through a bill of rights (James Allen, Sydney Morning Herald, September 26th, 2005)

So adopt a bill of rights, as Canada, the US, Britain and New Zealand have done, and you transfer a chunk of power to unelected judges to draw some of these contentious lines, under the cover provided by the amorphous, appealing language of rights.

Without a bill of rights in place, these difficult, debatable social policy lines are drawn on the basis of elections, voting and letting the numbers count. With a bill of rights in place the unelected judges decide - though ironically they, too, decide by voting; four justices' votes beat three. Victory does not go to the judge writing the most moving judgement or the one with the most references to moral philosophy.

What makes a bill of rights, and its transfer of power to judges, appear attractive is the unspoken assumption that the moral lines drawn by judges are somehow always the right lines, that a committee of ex-lawyers somehow has a pipeline to godly wisdom and greater moral perspicacity than secretaries, plumbers and regular voters. A good many judges, human rights lawyers and legal academics may happen to think this. I do not. Most Australians so far do not.

It’s the greatest political con job since the Divine Right of Kings.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:35 AM

A BIT OFF TODAY:

China must wait for democracy (Spengler, 9/27/05, Asia Times)

[C]hina must learn to rule cities that are mushrooming into the largest urban concentrations the world has ever known, populated by poor migrants speaking various dialects. By far the largest popular migration in history is in flow tide between the Chinese countryside and coastal cities. In the mere span of five years between 1996 and 2000, China's urban-rural population ratio rose to 36%-64% from 29%-71%, and the UN Population Division projects that by 2050, the ratio will shift to 67%-33% urban. Chinese cities, the UN forecasts, will contain 800 million people by mid-century. By 2015, the population of cities will reach 220 million, compared to the 1995 level of 134 million.

Well over half a billion souls will migrate from farm to city over the space of half a century. All of them will be quite poor. China claims 80% literacy, but as countryside reads less than the city, it is a fair guess that a third of the migrants will be illiterate, and many of them, again perhaps a third, will not be able to understand a political speech in Mandarin, the largest dialect. No historical precedent exists for a population transfer on this scale, and to conduct it peacefully would be a virtuoso act of statecraft. To require China to adopt a Western parliamentary regime in the process is utopian. [...]

The contrast between China and Iran is instructive. As I observed elsewhere (Demographics and Iran's imperial design, September 13) Iran's demographic trainwreck pushes its government toward monstrous measures at home and adventures abroad. Its new president Ahmadinejad recently proposed to forcibly relocate 30 million rural Iranians, reducing the number of villages to only 10,000 from the present 66,000. China requires no such plan, for its high economic growth rate encourages underemployed peasants to find more productive work in cities. China's problem is to constrain migrants from the countryside, where up to 200 million farmers have little effective employment. Iran already suffers from an 11% unemployment rate. Ahmadinejad will dump the footloose young men of Iran into the army, taking a page from Hitler's book.

As long as China's economic growth continues to produce jobs, guiding the country through this great migration will command the undivided attention of the Chinese government. Except for securing supplies of energy and raw materials, nothing that China might undertake in the sphere of strategic policy will mar or bless this, its principal endeavor. It has no incentive to undertake foreign adventures. With no hope of achieving the required economic growth, by contrast, Iran's leaders hope to seize a regional empire, tempted by the oil riches of neighbors who also have a large Shi'ite Muslim population. [...]

The faith that underlies constitutional politics as it originated in the Anglo-Saxon world stemmed from a religious faith. America did not assign democratic rights to its citizens because it aspired for a more efficient market for public goods, but rather because Americans believed in a God who championed the poor and downtrodden, who could not help but hear the cry of the widowed and fatherless. It is possible that an enlightened but non-religious view of the rights of man, on the French model, might produce the same political result, but no sane person would want to repeat the political experience of France.

I do not propose that the Chinese must become Congregationalists before they can practice democracy. But political faith presumes a deeper sort of faith in the inherent worth of the humblest of one's fellow-citizens.


Odd of Spengler to both recognize the importance of demographics and underestimate it in the same breath. not only is the population transfer he refers to destabilizing but the enormous number of excess males makes it more likely that China will need to go to war than that Iran--which has a normal gender ratio--will. Likewise odd is that he underestimates the similarity of Shi'ism to messianic Judeo-Christianity and therefore the degree to which it can serve as a solid foundation for American-style democracy. The comparison of Iran to China would appear to favor the former quite strongly.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

SCREW 'EM, I GOT MINE:

My Speech at the Antiwar Rally (Llewellyn H. Rockwell, Jr., September 26, 2005, Mises.org)

I was invited to speak at a peace march and rally in Birmingham, Alabama, sponsored by the Alabama Peace and Justice Coalition, and gladly accepted the offer to speak against the war in Iraq.

Yes, as you might guess, the program was dominated by leftists who rightly oppose the war but want big government to run the economy. I accepted for the same reason I would accept an engagement to speak against taxes even if sponsored by a right-wing group that also favored the war and militarism.

The opportunity to make a difference in favor of freedom should not be passed up, even if one's associates have a mixed-up ideology. After all, most ideologies these days are mixed up, and have been for the better part of a century.

Those who want free markets domestically typically want central planning and socialism when it comes to war and peace, while those who see the merit of diplomacy and minding one's own business in foreign policy can't reconcile themselves to capitalism as the only economic system that lets people alone to live happy, prosperous lives.


What unites the Left and the far Right is their complete indifference to peoples who don't get to enjoy the way of life Mr. Rockwell advocates.


September 25, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:45 PM

SOME THINGS EVEN A EURO WON'T SIT STILL FOR (via Matt Scofield):

ran defiant in face of IAEA criticism over nuclear stance (Daniel Dombey in Brussels and Gareth Smyth in Tehran, September 26 2005, Financial Times)

On Friday, European ambassadors walked out from a military parade in Tehran where missiles bore anti-US slogans.

That's the best you can hope for until National Health starts paying for spine transplants.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:39 PM

THEY ARE WHO THEY THINK WE ARE:

Scotland tops list of world's most violent countries (Katrina Tweedie, 9/19/05, Times of London)

A UNITED Nations report has labelled Scotland the most violent country in the developed world, with people three times more likely to be assaulted than in America.

England and Wales recorded the second highest number of violent assaults while Northern Ireland recorded the fewest. [...]

Violent crime has doubled in Scotland over the past 20 years and levels, per head of population, are now comparable with cities such as Rio de Janeiro, Johannesburg and Tbilisi.

The attacks have been fuelled by a “booze and blades” culture in the west of Scotland which has claimed more than 160 lives over the past five years.


The response? Keeping the pubs open 24/7.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:01 PM

HOW CAN THERE BE A PERFECT GOD IN A POSTLAPSARIAN WORLD?:

Is God Omnipotent?: Surprising answers from the world's religions. (Deborah Caldwell, BeliefNet)

If God is all-powerful, why did he allow Hurricanes Katrina and Rita? Or the Asian tsunami? Or September 11? Or the Holocaust? Or bubonic plague?

Whenever incomprehensible, seemingly random tragedy affects us, we humans try to make sense of it--which is why, as we deal with the wreckage of Katrina and Rita, we ask about God's role. We wonder: If God is all-powerful, couldn't he have prevented the hurricanes? But since he didn’t prevent them, what kind of vindictive God is that? (And who wants such a God?

Then the next thought swirls to the surface: If God isn’t inherently cruel, is it possible He isn’t actually omnipotent?


Given how badly He biffed Creation, one wonders where the notion that He is all-powerful ever arose?
3:1 Now the serpent was more subtle than any beast of the field which the LORD God had made. And he said unto the woman, Yea, hath God said, Ye shall not eat of every tree of the garden?

3:2 And the woman said unto the serpent, We may eat of the fruit of the trees of the garden:

3:3 But of the fruit of the tree which is in the midst of the garden, God hath said, Ye shall not eat of it, neither shall ye touch it, lest ye die.

3:4 And the serpent said unto the woman, Ye shall not surely die:

3:5 For God doth know that in the day ye eat thereof, then your eyes shall be opened, and ye shall be as gods, knowing good and evil.

3:6 And when the woman saw that the tree was good for food, and that it was pleasant to the eyes, and a tree to be desired to make one wise, she took of the fruit thereof, and did eat, and gave also unto her husband with her; and he did eat.

3:7 And the eyes of them both were opened, and they knew that they were naked; and they sewed fig leaves together, and made themselves aprons.

3:8 And they heard the voice of the LORD God walking in the garden in the cool of the day: and Adam and his wife hid themselves from the presence of the LORD God amongst the trees of the garden.

3:9 And the LORD God called unto Adam, and said unto him, Where art thou?

3:10 And he said, I heard thy voice in the garden, and I was afraid, because I was naked; and I hid myself.

3:11 And he said, Who told thee that thou wast naked? Hast thou eaten of the tree, whereof I commanded thee that thou shouldest not eat?

3:12 And the man said, The woman whom thou gavest to be with me, she gave me of the tree, and I did eat.

3:13 And the LORD God said unto the woman, What is this that thou hast done? And the woman said, The serpent beguiled me, and I did eat.

3:14 And the LORD God said unto the serpent, Because thou hast done this, thou art cursed above all cattle, and above every beast of the field; upon thy belly shalt thou go, and dust shalt thou eat all the days of thy life:

3:15 And I will put enmity between thee and the woman, and between thy seed and her seed; it shall bruise thy head, and thou shalt bruise his heel.

3:16 Unto the woman he said, I will greatly multiply thy sorrow and thy conception; in sorrow thou shalt bring forth children; and thy desire shall be to thy husband, and he shall rule over thee.

3:17 And unto Adam he said, Because thou hast hearkened unto the voice of thy wife, and hast eaten of the tree, of which I commanded thee, saying, Thou shalt not eat of it: cursed is the ground for thy sake; in sorrow shalt thou eat of it all the days of thy life;

3:18 Thorns also and thistles shall it bring forth to thee; and thou shalt eat the herb of the field;

3:19 In the sweat of thy face shalt thou eat bread, till thou return unto the ground; for out of it wast thou taken: for dust thou art, and unto dust shalt thou return.

3:20 And Adam called his wife's name Eve; because she was the mother of all living.

3:21 Unto Adam also and to his wife did the LORD God make coats of skins, and clothed them.

3:22 And the LORD God said, Behold, the man is become as one of us, to know good and evil: and now, lest he put forth his hand, and take also of the tree of life, and eat, and live for ever:

3:23 Therefore the LORD God sent him forth from the garden of Eden, to till the ground from whence he was taken.

3:24 So he drove out the man; and he placed at the east of the garden of Eden Cherubims, and a flaming sword which turned every way, to keep the way of the tree of life.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:58 PM

COUNTRY WITHOUT A CLUE:

Spain: A country falling apart (Carlos Alberto Montaner, Firmas Press)

While Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero tries to unify the planet with a fanciful dialogue of civilizations, Spain crumbles dangerously before his frozen indifference.

The two most evident, most immediate fragments are Catalonia and the Basque provinces, the nation's most developed regions. But the centrifugal spasms won't end there, of course. Eventually, once regionalism strengthens, separatist tendencies will increase noticeably in Galicia and the Canary Islands. [...]

Spain, after all, is an abstraction. The country even lacks myths, historical heroes and shared symbols. That was a rightist vision that vanished after Franco's death. There isn't even a clear consensus on the national flag and coat of arms.

That explains the general prevalence among pro-Spain advocates -- the españolistas -- to be as indifferent and hold the same values (small and sweetly homespun) as people in the regions.

What's really important is one's salary, one's car, or the party with friends to watch a game of soccer. The militant españolistas who can quote Miguel de Unamuno's statement that ''Spain hurts me'' don't exceed 20 to 30 percent of the census.

Can this growing process of rupture be halted, or at least be substantially slowed down? Realistically speaking, it is unlikely. It might, if the two major parties, Socialist and Popular, forge a pact to defend the Spanish state. But Zapatero's Socialists prefer to govern with the support of regional separatists, even if they have to surrender increasing chunks of authority. They are even willing to reach secret accords with ETA (Basque) terrorists, rather than move closer to their right-of-center adversaries to buttress the central government.

It seems, therefore, that the political landscape in Spain has entered a critical period that could lead to a truly dangerous alternative: (1) Some regions invoke the right to self-determination, break away from the state and set up their own tents. Or, (2) the government is redesigned into a model where the central power barely retains a symbolic value, with no duties other than printing postage stamps and entertaining foreign ambassadores assigned to Madrid.


Take away a nation's vision, myths, heroes, etc. and why would it cohere?

MORE:
Zapatero's Spain: Spain's problem with terrorism is Europe's: It does not want to defend itself ( Christopher Caldwell, 05/10/2004, Weekly Standard)

LESS THAN THREE DECADES after the end of Francisco Franco's dictatorship, Spaniards are cautious about saying anything against the democratic process--or even against the results of a particular election. Most in the intellectual and political classes are reluctant to say that al Qaeda terrorism wrested a near-certain electoral victory from the party that al Qaeda hoped would lose, and handed power to the antiwar party that al Qaeda (at least according to its "strategy" document, which was intercepted on the Internet by Norwegian authorities) hoped would win. But this Spanish circumspection, admirable in many ways, has produced a chain reaction of self-interested self-deception: And from there it is only a short step to saying that Spain has no continuing problem with terrorism at all.

The Popular party would have won. It did better in absentee ballots this year--those sent by mail before the March 11 explosions--than in the 2000 landslide that gave it an absolute majority. In the days before this year's election, two prominent Socialists, the charismatic Castilian governor José Bono (whom Zapatero would name defense minister) and European Union foreign-policy chief Javier Solana, were jockeying for support as candidates for the PSOE leadership after Zapatero's inevitable loss. A balanced view was given by the longtime president of Catalonia, Jordi Pujol, whose Convergencia i Unió party backs neither the governing coalition nor the Popular party opposition. "Let us be clear about this," Pujol said in his office in Barcelona in mid-April. "The victory is legitimate. That cannot be discussed. But without the bombing, the other party probably would have won. March 14 was a legitimate victory but it was also a victory for terrorists."

The best indication of the PSOE's slim prospects going into the election was Zapatero himself. He was the kind of candidate a party runs when it has slim hopes of victory. (Similarly the Popular party's candidate, Mariano Rajoy, was a complaisant, bipartisan fellow, meant to bring the country together after eight years of polarizing rule by Aznar.) Zapatero's investiture speech on April 17 proposed a range of boilerplate center-left reforms that Spain somehow got through the 1990s without (handicapped access, gay marriage) and then proposed giving Spain a few things that it already had (secular education and a law on violence against women). Zapatero nominated a record eight female ministers, called for the advancement of women through an equal rights commission, and promised a "new politics of water." This was a bric-a-brac agenda, the kind of governing proposal a European president would call for if he hadn't expected to have to propose one at all.

With one exception. Zapatero had wooed the nearly 90 percent of Spaniards who opposed their country's participation in the Iraq war. He had promised to bring Spain's troops back from their bases near Najaf unless the U.N. took over operations in Iraq. Now he decided not to run the risk that the U.N. might actually do so. In his first act after taking office, he ordered the troops home. When the opposition asked for a parliamentary debate, he scheduled one for after the troops' return. While the act enraged the United States and the Popular party opposition, Zapatero had already paid that price and would have been crazy (in domestic political terms) to do anything else. When, during the investiture debate, a Progressive party deputy asked him, "Can you explain, once and for all, what you want?" he replied simply: "To take Spain out of the Azores photo, take Spain out of the illegal and unjust war that took place."

THE PHOTO IN QUESTION shows Aznar with George Bush and Tony Blair at the meeting Aznar hosted in the Azores on the eve of the Iraq war. The Spanish often talk of it as Americans do of the photo taken of Michael Dukakis in a tank during the 1988 presidential campaign: as a moment when a man with big pretensions steps into a situation in which his surroundings reveal him as too small for the job. But that was wrong. One didn't have to like the Spanish role in Iraq. But there was nothing preposterous about it.

Aznar is said to distinguish privately between politicians who are serious and those who are simpático, simpático being a synonym for unserious. In eight years in office, he had turned Spain from an unserious country into a serious one, in a way that was most obvious in his handling of the economy. Aznar broke the power of unions, froze the salaries of functionaries, privatized dozens of state enterprises, and won the intellectual argument that lowering taxes was sometimes more responsible than raising them. He entered office in 1996 with unemployment at 22 percent and cut it in half. Half the jobs created in Europe since 1996 have been created in Spain. After the dot-com bust, Spain never dipped into negative growth as other European countries did--and Spain is still growing at twice the European rate. Aznar's hopes of joining the G-8 group of major economies sounded absurd when he took office; now it seems absurd that Canada should have that honor and Spain not. It is true that Aznar received the free gift of monetary stability from the establishment of the Euro; but fiscal stability came from his living up to the E.U. stability-and-growth pact (unlike France and Germany) and balancing his country's budget every year. Zapatero has promised not to change economic course, and chose as his economics minister the highly respected Pedro Solbes, for five years the E.U. economics minister in Brussels, who is unlikely to favor such a change.

In this economic climate, Spaniards began to tell pollsters they were more comfortable with a larger role for Spain on the world stage. In Aznar's view, this meant shifting Spain's allegiances from France and Germany to the United States. Aznar drew benefits for Spain from this partnership. U.S. assistance helped the government deal a serious blow to the Basque terrorist group ETA (presumably through communications intercepts). And it was the United States that mediated an end to the Moroccan army's seizure of the Spanish island of Perejil in July 2002, when Spain's E.U. partners, particularly France and Greece, then just starting its six-month term in the E.U. presidency, proved reluctant to alienate the new Moroccan king.

The idea that Aznar's foreign policy was an aberrant personal enthusiasm that could somehow be excised from the rest of his achievements was never true. But that foreign policy cut against other countries' obsession with building the E.U.--and against the grain of what Spain's intellectual elite considers the country's national identity. Spain's experience of right-wing dictatorship has made it a reflexively center-left country--and it is almost certainly the most anti-American country in Western Europe. Spain has reactionaries who resent Theodore Roosevelt for robbing it of its empire in 1898. It has anti-anti-Communists who fault President Eisenhower for propping up Franco in exchange for military bases in the 1953 Pact of Madrid. It has democracy activists who fault the month-old Reagan administration for sitting idly by on February 23, 1981, when army officers sought to topple Spain's new democracy in a coup d'état. (It is to "23-F," as the day is called, that all Spaniards repair when an argument turns to democracy in Iraq.) The Socialist Felipe González won the presidency the following year on an anti-American platform and ruled for a decade and a half. As one former PSOE cabinet member said in an interview, "Our experience of America is like Italy's experience of America turned inside out."

So as Aznar drew closer to the United States, he was vulnerable to the accusation that he was reverting to an "older idea of Spain"--a franquista one.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:49 PM

WOMEN IN BLACK:

Chick List: A look at the women who may replace Justice O'Connor. (MELANIE KIRKPATRICK, September 25, 2005, Opinion Journal)

[T]he feminine Big Four are Edith Jones, Priscilla Owen, Janice Rogers Brown and Alice Batchelder, all appeals-court judges. Each is a judicial conservative of intellectual heft and with more experience on the bench than Judge Roberts. None, however, is as bulletproof as Judge Roberts, who managed to pursue a 25-year career in law without leaving much of a public record of his views on hot-button issues. [...]

[Judge Jones] has said and written numerous things that could be used to attack her on ideological grounds. She's particularly vulnerable on Roe v. Wade, which she has called an "exercise in raw judicial power." In a concurring opinion in McCorvey v. Hill last year, a case involving the original defendant in Roe, she wrote of the court's "willful blindness to evolving knowledge" and suggested that Roe be reconsidered in light of modern scientific evidence on the viability of fetuses and the effects of abortion on the health of women.

If anything, Judge Brown is even more outspoken. She once referred to colleagues on the California Supreme Court as "philosopher kings" when it overturned a law requiring parental consent for minors who wanted abortions. She's an advocate for property rights, and she's called big government "the opiate of the masses" and the "drug of choice" for many segments of society. In 2000, she wrote the opinion affirming Proposition 209, which banned racial and sex preferences in state hiring and contracting.

Her credentials aren't as impressive as Judge Jones's, and she might be too libertarian for Mr. Bush. But if nominated, her personal story would complicate matters for liberal interest groups. The NAACP would have to decide whether to oppose the confirmation of a daughter of a sharecropper from Alabama. She was confirmed to the D.C. Circuit earlier this year as part of the filibuster-ending deal in the Senate.

Judge Owen was part of the same pact and now sits on the Fifth Circuit. Before that, she was a judge on the Supreme Court of Texas, where she upheld a parental-notification law and was supposedly accused of judicial activism by Alberto Gonzales. He says his comment was misinterpreted, but that won't stop the left from using it against her. Those who say the mild-mannered Sunday school teacher might not be up for a fight forget she just endured a four-year battle for her appeals-court job.

Finally, there's Judge Batchelder, who's been called a Midwestern Edith Jones. Reagan appointed her to the federal bench in Ohio, and the first President Bush named her to the Sixth Circuit in 1991. She has voted to uphold Ohio's ban on partial-birth abortion, strike down the University of Michigan's affirmative-action program and allow the Ten Commandments to be displayed in a courtroom. Her husband served 30 years in the Ohio statehouse, which means she understands politics. A downside is that, at 61, she's somewhat older than the competition.


If the President really is as Machiavellian as his enemies think, it makes sense to offer up Janice Rogers Brown because Democrats will attack and may be able to defeat her, making it nearly impossible for them to stop whoever he'd name next.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:41 PM

THERE'S MORE ROOM AT THE TABLE:

Rouson takes the Republican plunge (St. Petersburg Times, September 25, 2005)

He's been courted by the likes of Jeb Bush, Charlie Crist and legions of Tampa Bay Republican activists. Last week, Darryl Rouson, the never dull former president of the St. Petersburg NAACP, took the plunge and became a Republican.

"It's our heritage, and it can be our legacy," said Rouson, invoking past Republicans including Booker T. Washington, George Washington Carver and Frederick Douglass. "I know it's not a very popular thing among a lot of African-Americans, but I just believe we should be at every table and speak the truth."

The St. Petersburg lawyer and vocal antidrug crusader had already widely been seen as a closet Republican, but he was registered with no party affiliation.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:31 PM

THANK YOU, INDIANS:

It's All Tied Up Approaching the Wire (JOE LAPOINTE, 9/25/05, NY Times)

At the beginning of yesterday's game against the Toronto Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium, Jaret Wright gave up a single to right field, a single to left field, a single to center field and a single in the infield to fall behind by a run.

What else could go wrong? Oh, plenty of things, and they added up to a 7-4 Toronto victory that ended the Yankees' winning streak at five games and left them tied with the Boston Red Sox in the American League East. [...]

The Yankees, who have won 11 of their last 13 games, will finish their home schedule today against Toronto before ending their season with a four-game trip to Baltimore and a three-game visit to Boston.


Have two teams ever played each other so often in so short a time in games that mean so much to both?


MORE:
Down the stretch they come (KEVIN BAXTER, 9/25/05, Miami Herald)

[T]he three division races and the wild-card competition in the American League are almost certain to go down to the final weekend, perhaps to the final pitch. And thanks to either a stroke of genius or a stroke of good luck -- or maybe a little of both -- all four playoff teams will have to beat their nearest rivals face-to-face before they can advance.

The Chicago White Sox, who went into the weekend leading the Indians in the Central by 1 ½ games, will finish the season with three games in Cleveland. And the Yankees, who were leading the Red Sox by a game in the East on Friday, will be in Boston next weekend.

The race in the West could be over by then because Los Angeles, which started Friday three games up on the reeling Athletics, start a make-or-break four-game series in Oakland on Monday.

This is the way the final week should be -- but rarely is, even with the additional suspense of the wild card. In fact, this could mark the first time since the advent of three-division play that the American League has entered the final weekend with more than one championship truly undecided. So after six months, it has come down to this:

RED SOX-YANKEES

These two teams have finished 1-2 in the East every year since 1997, and they're certain to do so again this fall. But whichever one finishes second this year -- and in each of the past seven seasons, that has been the Red Sox -- is almost certain to get an early start on winter....


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:11 PM

DECLINIST, NOT TRIUMPHALIST:

Capitalism vs. Democracy: We often assume they go hand in hand, but recent elections in Japan and Germany provide a sobering reminder that there are deep conflicts. (Robert J. Samuelson, 9/25/05, Newsweek)

The recent German and Japanese elections deserve more attention than they've got because they illustrate the uneasy relationship between capitalism and democracy. Capitalism thrives on change—it inspires new technologies, products and profit opportunities. Democracy resists change—it creates powerful constituencies with a stake in the status quo.

Capitalism (by which I mean an economic system that relies heavily on markets and private ownership) and democracy need each other. The one generates rising living standards; the other cushions capitalism's injustices and, thereby, anchors public support. But this mutual dependence is tricky because if democratic prerogatives are overused, they may strangle capitalism.


Folk often misunderstand the idea of the End of History as a bit of triumphalism, but, in fact, it will doom most nations because their societies do not have the foundations required to sustain a healthy liberal democracy.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:39 AM

KNOW YOUR ENEMY:

Antiwar Rallies in Washington and Other Cities (MICHAEL JANOFSKY, 9/25/05, NY Times)

Vast numbers of protesters from around the country poured onto the lawns behind the White House on Saturday to demonstrate their opposition to the war in Iraq, pointedly directing their anger at President Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney.

Pretty much sums things up--if you hate George Bush and Dick Cheney you oppose the war. If you hate Islamicism you support the war.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:33 AM

WHEN THE TEACHER BRINGS THE APPLES:

Hong Kong Democracy Advocates Visit China (KEITH BRADSHER, 9/25/05, NY Times)

Hong Kong’s chief executive led all but one member of the city’s legislature across the border to mainland China today, starting a two-day trip that marks the first time Beijing authorities have let in prominent Hong Kong advocates of democracy since the Tiananmen Square killings on July 4, 1989.

The trip marks the latest in a series of steps by the Chinese government to tamp down calls for greater democracy here. Democracy advocates have long criticized Beijing, but agreed to the trip today and Monday without conditions. [...]

Leung Kwok-hung, a lawmaker and longtime leftist radical better known in English and Chinese as Long Hair because his hair hangs down to the middle of his back, brought along a large, bright purple gift basket lined with aluminum foil inside and holding five red apples. The apples were to symbolize the exclusion from the trip of journalists from Apple Daily, a pro-democracy newspaper here whose journalists have been banned from the mainland for years.

In an interview here just before boarding the bus, Mr. Leung said that he also planned to hand Zhang Dejiang, the powerful Communist Party secretary of Guangdong province, a letter addressed to Vice President Zeng Qinghong of China. The letter would call for China to come clean about what happened in Tiananmen Square and would ask that China stop interfering in Hong Kong politics, Mr. Leung said.

[The Associated Press reported Sunday evening from Guangzhou that security officers led Mr. Leung away from a meeting room just before the lawmakers were to meet Mr. Zhang. Mr. Leung looked stern, and neither he nor the security officers said why he was being led away, The A.P. said.]

Nervous about possible pro-democracy protests by some lawmakers during the trip, Chinese authorities tightly limited news media coverage. Hong Kong officials disclosed on Friday that only a handful of television camera operators and photographers would be to enter most of the sightseeing locations visited by the lawmakers, and no reporters, who would have listen to soundtracks recorded by the camera operators.


First Li Ao; now Long Hair; it's time for George Bush to go there and Reagan them.

MORE:
Taiwan author gets a bit too free with his speeches (Robert Marquand, 9/26/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

A leading writer and political maverick from Taipei who ardently supports the unification of China and Taiwan - is confounding authorities in a rampaging lecture tour that ends Monday, by doing something no one here ever does: criticize the Communist Party in public.

In truth, Li Ao, a TV personality, leftist, and prolific author who was born in northern China, attacked the US, Japan, and nearly everything but the moon in rambling speeches that have embarrassed official China.

Mr. Li's broadsides chided the Party for a lack of intellectual freedom in China, told how the early Party allowed feisty debates, and included quotes from Mao about the Party one day ending - all broadcast live on Hong Kong's Phoenix TV, which reaches millions on the mainland.

Such events here are rare.

More broadly, experts say, the improbable Li event underscores how frigid the political climate in China has become.

As the government of Hu Jintao continues to consolidate its power in preparation for a key Party plenum next month, there is little room for the type of debate Li advocates.

If the negative official response is an indicator, Li's speeches were also a surprise.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:28 AM

GRANTS, NOT LOANS:

IMF committee backs debt erasure (BBC, 9/25/05)

A deal by the world's richest states to erase debt of up to $55bn (£31bn) owed by the poorest has been backed by one of the main international lenders.

The International Monetary Fund's panel said in Washington it had approved all elements of the deal, which now goes to its twin institution, the World Bank.

Leaders of the G8 industrialised states proposed the move at the UK-chaired summit in Gleneagles, Scotland in July. [...]

The World Bank and IMF meetings are the first Paul Wolfowitz is attending as head of the World Bank since taking up the post in June.

The former deputy US defence secretary has called for increased development aid to lift millions of people out of poverty.

COUNTRIES TO BENEFIT

Benin, Bolivia, Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, Ghana, Guyana, Honduras, Madagascar, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Nicaragua, Niger, Rwanda, Senegal, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia


How does this help Paul Wolfowitz corner the world oil market?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:06 AM

YET THEY NEVER LOSE A VOTE:

Next Court Nominee May Face Challenges From G.O.P. (DAVID D. KIRKPATRICK, 9/25/05, NY Times)

[B]oth socially conservative and more liberal Republican senators say they may vote against confirmation of the next nominee if the pick leans too far to the left or the right on prominent issues like abortion rights.

Bill Keller wouldn't be running the NY Times if he weren't a reliably left-wing ideoilogue, but there was reason to harbor hope for his tenure because he'd written so insightfully about not just George W. Bush but about the central place of religion in George Bush's presidency. After all, journalists needn't approve of conservatism in order to understand it and write intelligently about it. So when the Times announced that they were detailing someone specifically to cover the Right and try to explain what was going on within conservatism there wasn't necessarily a need to greet the idea with skepticism--it could have been a serious effort. Instead, Mr. Kirkpatrick, their designated Marlowe, is a laughingstock, whose every story finds fissures that are about to tear the Right apart, although it mysteriously keeps managing to hold together.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:47 AM

GROAN AND BEAR IT (via Ali Choudhury):

Intelligent design theory + postmodernism = pure science fiction: When the religious Right adopts the epistemology of the multicultural Left -- that truth is relative -- there goes the Enlightenment (Noam Scheiber, 29aug05, The Australian)

IN 1993, journalist Jonathan Rauch published a book called Kindly Inquisitors, in which he catalogued contemporary threats to the Enlightenment tradition of seeking truth through logical or empirical discourse.

One of Rauch's points was that, while this (classical) liberal system for amassing knowledge appeared to be under attack from both the religious Right and the multicultural Left, in fact the two groups were making a version of the same argument: mainstream science didn't accord their beliefs the respect they deserved, whether it was creation science on the one hand or feminist or Afro-centric science on the other.

Rauch's book has held up remarkably well in the 12 years since it was published.

This is particularly so in light of the debate in the US over intelligent design (ID) -- the idea, popular on the Right, that life is too complex to have resulted from random variation. Even US President George W. Bush has suggested, as the creation scientists (and multiculturalists) of the 1980s and 1990s did before him, that both sides of the supposed debate be treated as legitimate in public school curricula.

But there was one thing Rauch didn't anticipate. At the time, he suggested that even though creationists had adopted the tactics of the academic Left -- the demand for equal time -- they still believed in objective truths. They just didn't think all of these truths were discoverable by science.

By contrast, today's IDers have gone further and adopted the epistemology of the Left -- the idea that ostensibly scientific truths may be relative.


Intelligent Design is, of course, just as much nonsense as Darwinism. The central insight of Western philosophy is that Reason is completely dependent on Faith. But, rather than being fatal to either, this insight allows us to base our lives in faith and use reason as a tool. Of course, in the modern era this has really only been accepted in the Anglosphere. The Rationalist French and the continental Europeans could never grasp the implications. This was obvious early on in their rejection of Judeo-Christian faith and later on in their post-modernism, as they rejected reason when they finally figured out that it is anti-rational in and of itself.

Just because science is necessarily relativistic and merely metaphorical does not mean that there is no objective Truth about Creation, nor that it is unknown to us. It's just Revealed, rather than Rational.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:42 AM

NO WONDER THE LEFT THINKS HE'S A GOD:

Katrina's harsh lessons make Bush all the wiser (Bill Sammon, 9/25/05, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

Last night, the president issued a statement declaring major disasters in Louisiana and Texas.

The declaration makes both states, local governments and some private nonprofit groups eligible for federal assistance, including grants for temporary housing and home repairs, low-cost loans to cover uninsured property losses, and other disaster relief.

In Washington, officials said Rita, which made landfall near the Texas-Louisiana state line around 3 a.m. yesterday, was not nearly as devastating as Katrina, which struck Louisiana and Mississippi on Aug. 29.

"The damage is not as serious as we had expected it to be," R. David Paulison, acting director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, told reporters. "The evacuations worked."

So it seems the lesson learned here is that: had he engaged in these cheap theatrics last time, the President could have reduced the intensity of Katrina and changed its course.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:32 AM

WILL BEING LESS SETTLED REALLY MAKE YOU MORE FORWARD LOOKING?:

Is It Better to Buy or Rent? (DAVID LEONHARDT, September 25, 2005, NY Times)

THE thought has occurred to just about everybody who owns a home in a hot housing market: maybe it's time to cash out.

The hard part is figuring out how to do so. Only a few families can actually pick up their life in, say, California and move it to Nebraska. The other option - renting - has long been derided as the equivalent of throwing money away.

But renting might deserve another look right now. After five years in which rents have barely budged while house prices in New York, Washington, Los Angeles and elsewhere have doubled, renting has become a surprisingly smart option for many people who never would have considered it before.

Owning a home often ties up hundreds of thousands of dollars that might be invested more safely and more lucratively elsewhere over the next decade. And while real estate brokers may hate to acknowledge it, home ownership involves its own versions of throwing money away, like property taxes and the costs of borrowing.

Add it all up - which The New York Times did, in an analysis of the major costs and benefits of owning and renting, including tax breaks - and owning a home today is more expensive than renting in much of the Northeast, Florida and California. Only if prices rise well above their already lofty levels will home ownership turn out to be the good deal that it is widely assumed to be.

In the Bay Area of California, a typical family that buys a $1 million house - which is average in some towns - will spend about $5,000 a month to live there, according to the Times analysis. The family could rent a similar house for about $2,500, real estate records show, and could pay part of that bill with the interest earned by the money that was not used for a down payment.


Now, if only human nature were to change so drastically that people would stop desiring a home of their own and develop such discipline that they'd actually invest the money they saved by renting the Times might be on to something.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 9:03 AM

IT ALL DEPENDS ON WHAT YOU MEAN BY EQUUS CABALLUS

Record haul of 20,000 new species expected (Robin McKie and Zoe Corbyn, The Observer, September 25, 2005)

Wildlife on Earth has never looked so bountiful. Scientists believe that 2005 could be a record year for the discovery of new creatures.

A total of 20,000 new species, from beetles to dolphins, and from monkeys to birds, are expected to be uncovered by zoologists.

'The world may seem to get smaller, but we are finding more and more new animals on it every year,' said Andrew Polaszek, executive secretary of the International Commission on Zoological Nomenclature. 'We could see a record haul in 2005.'

This year's discoveries include a new species of macaque monkey, Macaca munzala, in India and a new species of mangabey monkey in Tanzania. Other recent discoveries have included the Vietnamese striped rabbit, pinpointed from samples being sold in a local fair, and the discovery of a complete new species of extinct human being, Homo floresiensis - the so-called Hobbit people - in Indonesia.

spe-cies n. pl. species

Biology: A fundamental category of taxonomic classification, ranking below a genus or subgenus and consisting of related organisms capable of interbreeding.

An organism belonging to such a category, represented in binomial nomenclature by an uncapitalized Latin adjective or noun following a capitalized genus name, as in Ananas comosus, the pineapple, and Equus caballus, the horse.

When evolutionary biologists remind us how science is self-correcting, few of us suspect they mean they correct the language to substantiate their theories.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:29 AM

RUBE GOLDBERG RECONSTRUCTION:

Rebuilding plan paving way for conservative goals (Rick Klein, September 25, 2005, Boston Globe)

Republican lawmakers in Congress have tried repeatedly in recent years to allow children to use federally funded vouchers to attend private schools. They have been defeated seven times since 1998.

At least nine times in the past decade, Republicans sought to repeal or undermine a Depression-era law that requires federal contractors to pay the ''prevailing wage" in the region they are working in. None of the efforts succeeded.

But now the GOP is poised to realize both of those goals. President Bush's reconstruction package for the Gulf Coast region devastated by Hurricane Katrina includes nearly $500 million for vouchers that children can use at private schools anywhere in the nation. And Bush declared a ''national emergency" to waive the prevailing wage law during the cleanup, freeing contractors to pay construction workers as little as the minimum wage, rather than the $8 to $10 prevailing wages in Louisiana, Alabama, and Mississippi.

As the federal government's response to Katrina takes shape, the White House and Congress are enacting or seeking to pass a wide range of policies that have been consistently rejected by Congress, despite Republican majorities in the House and Senate.


Far from marking the end of uberconservatism (with umlouts and a lightning bolt), Katrina is letting conservatism triumph under cover of compassion.


BTW: If Andrew Moore and ted welter could e-mail me I'll send your books.

MORE:
Liberals and Conservatives Hitch Wagons to Recovery (Ronald Brownstein, September 25, 2005, LA Times)

Both Democrats and Republicans increasingly view the battered landscape of New Orleans and the Gulf Coast as a giant laboratory for testing their competing domestic policy agendas.

Politicians and policy advocates across the ideological spectrum — John Edwards and Newt Gingrich, the Sierra Club and the Wall Street Journal editorial page — are trying to jump-start new ideas, and revive old ones, by linking them to the massive post-Katrina reconstruction.

For Republicans, the proposals include initiatives such as tax cuts for business, education aid that would follow students to private schools and the relaxation of federal environmental regulations.

For Democrats, the priorities include expanded housing assistance for the needy, more generous income support for the working poor and new efforts to promote renewable energy and mass transit.

What both sides share is that they see the massive reconstruction as a way to demonstrate the value of programs they hope will be adopted nationwide.

"It is once in a generation that an opportunity like this comes along, where the status quo is called into question and where the policy community and Congress can look at it, change it and improve it," said Michael Franc, vice president for government relations at the conservative Heritage Foundation. "Given how hard it is to change that status quo … every policy organization, every think-tanker, every ex-Cabinet officer is going to have a vision, and even a plan, of what we should be doing."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

"YOU'RE KILLING US":

Party of choice?: How pro-choice groups are hurting the Democrats- -- and their own cause (Amy Sullivan, September 25, 2005, Boston Globe)

[M]omentum may be shifting back to the pro-choice side. Their unlikely hero is the pro-life Senate Democratic leader Harry Reid of Nevada, who has won support for a strategy to lower abortion rates by reducing the number of unwanted pregnancies. But abortion rights groups are blowing this opportunity, using inflammatory rhetoric that alienates moderates and imposing a litmus test on the political party that is, for the foreseeable future, the one most closely aligned with their interests.

According to a recent analysis by the centrist organization Third Way, a consistent 62 percent of voters are what Third Way calls ''Abortion Grays"--people who don't want abortion to be illegal, but who would like fewer abortions to take place. These voters have cast their lot with Republicans in the last three presidential elections, but could be recaptured by an effort that promised to make abortions rare, as Bill Clinton famously put it.

Reid has introduced legislation he calls ''Prevention First," which aims to reduce unwanted pregnancies by improving access to birth control and making it more affordable. The approach is far from new--choice groups have promoted it themselves for years. It provides a lifeline to Democrats, who finally have a win-win issue. If Republicans oppose it, they risk being labeled extremists; if they support it, and it passes, Democrats can rightly claim to have done more to cut abortion rates than their political opponents.

And yet, as the ad against Roberts showed, abortion rights groups have the impressive ability to marginalize themselves in the public debate even when they represent a majority position.


One can almost pity Ms Sullivan, who thinks both that her pro-abortion allies really wish there were fewer pregnancies, rather than more abortions, and that a prevention bill passed by a Republican Congress and President Bush will be credited to Democrats.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

WHY NOT JUST BUY A PACK OF SEA MONKEYS?:

Women bypass sex in favour of 'instant pregnancies' (Charlotte Edwardes and Andrew Alderson, 25/09/2005, Daily Telegraph)

Women are increasingly seeking inappropriate IVF treatment because they do not have the time or inclination for a sex life and want to "diarise" their busy lives.

Wealthy career women in their 30s and early 40s, some of whom have given up regular sex altogether, are turning to "medicalised conception" - despite being fertile and long before they have exhausted the possibility of a natural conception.

They are prepared to pay thousands of pounds for private IVF treatments - even though they have unpleasant and potentially harmful side effects - because they believe it offers them the best chance of "instant" pregnancy.


Funny the way the secular are so scandalized by the idea of celibacy in the Catholic clergy, which the Church believes allows them to serve God better, but then end up with a celibacy that serves only the self.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

STILL THE SAME OLD STORY:

Reading From Left to Right (A. O. SCOTT, 9/25/05, NY Times)

Hunting for ideological subtexts in Hollywood movies is a critical parlor game. Many a term paper has been written decoding the varieties of cold war paranoia latent in the westerns and science-fiction movies of the 1950's. Now, thanks to the culture wars and the Internet, the game of ideological unmasking is one that more and more people are playing. With increasing frequency, the ideology they are uncovering is conservative, and it seems to spring less from the cultural unconscious than from careful premeditation.

Last fall, "The Incredibles" celebrated Ayn Randian libertarian individualism and the suburban nuclear family, while the naughty puppets of "Team America" satirized left-wing celebrity activism and defended American global power even as they mocked its excesses. More recently we have learned that flightless Antarctic birds, according to some fans of "March of the Penguins," can be seen as big-screen embodiments of the kind of traditional domestic values that back-sliding humans have all but abandoned, as well as proof that divine intention, rather than blind chance, is the engine of creation. I may be the only person who thought "The Island," this summer's Michael Bay flop about human clones bred for commercial use, indirectly argues the Bush administration's position on stem cell research, but I have not been alone in discerning lessons on intelligent design and other faith-based matters amid the spooky effects of "The Exorcism of Emily Rose." That movie, by the way, came in a close second behind "Just Like Heaven" at the box office last week, following an initial weekend in which it earned more than $30 million, one of the strongest September openings ever.

The objection to such message-hunting, whether it seeks hidden agendas of the left or the right, and whether it applauds or scorns those agendas, is always the same: it's only a movie. And what is so fascinating about "Just Like Heaven" is that it is, very emphatically, only a movie, the kind of fluffy diversion that viewers seek out on first dates or after a stressful work week. Its central couple - Ms. Witherspoon and Mark Ruffalo - meet cute in a gorgeous apartment to which both lay claim. Their blossoming romance faces the usual obstacles, as well as some that are not so usual. For one thing, they can't stand each other; for another, one of them is a disembodied spirit visible only to her unwilling roommate.

So far, no obvious Republican Party talking points. This is not a movie that, at least at first, wears its politics on its sleeve. It takes place in San Francisco, perhaps the bluest city in one of the bluer states in the union, in a milieu of entitled urban professionals. Mr. Ruffalo, sad, scruffy and sweet as ever, brings a decided alt-culture vibe with him wherever he goes. With his dark, baggy sweaters and his slow, tentative line readings, he represents a new movie type decidedly at odds with the norms of movie masculinity: the shy, passive urban hipster as romantic ideal.

But a movie that looks at first like a soft, supernatural variation on the urban singleton themes of "Sex and the City," by the end comes to seem like a belated brief in the Terri Schiavo case. (If you insist on being surprised by the plot of "Just Like Heaven," it might be best to stop reading now). Elizabeth, as it happens, is not dead, but rather in a coma from which she is given little chance of awakening. To make matters worse - and to set up a madcap climax in which Donal Logue rescues the film's faltering sense of humor - she has signed a living will, which her loving sister, urged on by an unprincipled doctor, is determined to enforce. But Elizabeth's spirit, along with Mr. Ruffalo's character, David, has second thoughts because she is so obviously alive, and the two must race to prevent the plug from being pulled, which means running through hospital corridors pushing a comatose patient on a gurney.

Would I have been happier if Elizabeth died? The very absurdity of the question - what kind of romantic comedy would that be? - is evidence of the film's ingenuity. Who could possibly take the side of medical judgment when love, family, supernatural forces and the very laws of genre are on the other side? And who would bother to notice that the villainous, materialistic doctor, despite having the religiously neutral last name Rushton, is played by Ben Shenkman, a bit of casting that suggests a faint, deniable whiff of anti-Semitism? Similarly, it can't mean much that Elizabeth, the ambitious career woman, is sad and unfulfilled in contrast to her married, stay-at-home-mom sister. Or that the last word you hear (uttered by Jon Heder, first seen in "Napoleon Dynamite") is "righteous."


It's hardly surprising that whenever Hollywood wrong foots itself and has to go back out in search of audiences it is forced to return to the one true myth, nor that every great movie derives from it in some way, shape, or form.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

SOLIDARITY:

Shiite Leader Urges 'Yes' In Vote on Iraq Charter (Associated Press, September 25, 2005)

The leader of Iraq's largest Shiite Muslim political organization joined the country's most revered and powerful Shiite cleric Saturday in a strong public push for voter support of a new constitution, three weeks ahead of a national referendum.

"It is our religious duty to say 'yes' to the constitution and to go to the ballot boxes," Abdul Aziz Hakim, head of the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq, told more than 2,000 supporters gathered in Baghdad to mark a 1991 Shiite uprising that was crushed brutally by President Saddam Hussein.

The appeal added a key voice of support two days after Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani also directed followers to back the charter. Shiite solidarity is essential if the constitution is to pass in the Oct. 15 vote. If two-thirds of voters in any three of Iraq's 18 provinces reject the document, a new government must be formed and the process of writing the constitution started over.

Minority Sunni Arabs are dominant in four provinces and could defeat the new charter. On Saturday, Sunni clerics and tribal leaders expressed optimism they could do just that.


There's our side and the other side.


September 24, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:00 PM

CAN MARY KATE AND ASHLEY BE FAR BEHIND?:

In Poland, Twins Shoot for Moon: Siblings Run in Pair of National Elections (Craig Whitlock, 9/25/05, Washington Post)

When they were kids, the Kaczynski twins were a pair of tricksters. Friends could barely tell them apart, let alone teachers. Jaroslaw, the older by 45 minutes, would take science tests for his brother, Lech, who would return the favor on language exams.

Today, the Kaczynski brothers are teaming up again, this time in a bid to take over the Polish government. Lech is running for president on Oct. 9. Jaroslaw is mounting a separate campaign to become prime minister in parliamentary elections Sunday.

The brothers' Law and Justice party, of which Jaroslaw Kaczynski is chairman, is locked in a dead heat with its chief rival, the Civic Platform, for control of Parliament, opinion surveys show. Lech Kaczynski, the mayor of Warsaw, is trailing in the presidential contest by a margin of several points, according to recent polls. But analysts say both contests remain highly volatile and that there is a real chance the twins could gain joint control of the country.

The Kaczynskis' chubby faces have been a familiar sight in Poland since 1962, when as 12-year-old actors they hit it big in the movies, playing identical twins in the classic Polish children's movie "Those Two Who Would Steal the Moon."

They returned to prominence in the 1980s, playing key roles in the Solidarity trade union movement that helped end communism in Poland, and have remained active in national politics since then.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:38 PM

LEADING US BACK HOME:

What Yale women want (Karen Stabiner, September 23, 2005, LA Times)

IF THE LAST generation of women obsessed about cracking the glass ceiling, a new crop of college undergrads seems less interested in the professional stratosphere than in a soft — a cushy — landing.

The New York Times recently got its hands on a Yale University questionnaire in which 60% of the 138 female respondents said that they intend to stop working when they have children, and then to work part time, if at all, once the kids are in school. A reporter talked to students at other elite East Coast colleges who echoed the same back-to-the-future sentiment: Work is but a way-station; a woman's place is in the home.

The young women think they're doing the right thing for their eventual children, having watched too many of their moms' generation try to juggle career and family. And at least one male student at Harvard finds the whole lord-and-master idea "sexy." This, from excellent students who have clambered over the backs of other, merely good students to gain entry into schools that traditionally have incubated tomorrow's leaders.


Leading the culture out of its atomized dead-end is leadership.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:33 PM

FINE, VERIFY:

U.S. Hails IAEA Decision on Iran Referral (GEORGE JAHN, 9/24/05, Associated Press)

The U.N. atomic watchdog agency Saturday put Iran just one step away from referral to the Security Council unless Tehran eases suspicions about its nuclear activities in coming months - a move the United States has been pushing for years.

The chief U.S. delegate to the International Atomic Energy Agency hailed the decision, describing it as a wake-up call for Tehran ``to come clean'' or face the consequences.

But his Iranian counterpart blasted the approval of the resolution and warned of retaliation. Tehran maintains its nuclear program is for generating electricity.


Then a thorough inspection regime shouldn't be a proble,


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:28 PM

OUR LINE:

India toes US line, dumps Iran (CHIDANAND RAJGHATTA, SEPTEMBER 25, 2005, Times of India)

They are five sentences that signal a fundamental change in Indian foreign policy of over
five decades.

In an overt and transparent shift in alignment and emphasis, the Congress-led UPA government of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh on Friday signed up with the United States on a touchstone issue, asking Iran to be flexible and make concessions to avoid a confrontation with Washington on the nuclear issue.

India’s blunt message, which is also aimed at allaying U.S concerns over New Delhi’s long-standing ties with
Teheran, was conveyed by Prime Minister Singh to Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmedinijad when the latter telephoned him on Friday.

In fact, the UPA government went to unusual lengths to disclose the gist of the conversation between the two leaders in a brief press release sent to select media.


Not that it's a tough standard to meet, but India is already a better ally than Europe.


MORE:
Biggest Indo-US naval exercise (RAJAT PANDIT, SEPTEMBER 24, 2005, Times of India)

India might still be shy of openly jumping onto the controversial US-led Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI) bandwagon but it's certainly steaming ahead to practice mammoth operations with American forces on the high seas.

India's largest-ever naval exercise with any country will kick off on Sunday when Indian and American aircraft carriers, destroyers, guided-missile frigates, fighter and surveillance aircraft undertake combat manoeuvres in the north-west Arabian Sea.

The sheer scale of this 10-day Indo-US exercise, "Malabar-05", can be gauged from the fact that it will involve almost 10,000 officers and sailors from the two nations.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:23 PM

BRITS ACTING LIKE THE DUTCH WITH FRENCH IMPLEMENTS?:

Doc's outrage on disabled
Outburst
(JOHN COLES, 9/24/05, Daily Sun)

A RETIRED GP sparked fury yesterday by saying disabled kids should be guillotined to save cash.

The outburst by Owen Lister, 79, a Tory councillor and deputy mayor, came in a council meeting over funding to care for such youngsters.

Mr Lister said it was too expensive to look after severely disabled children — and the money should be used elsewhere.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:41 AM

TIME FOR BREATH LATER:

New Tests for Egypt's Opposition: Embattled Nour Puts Hope in Vote For Parliament (Daniel Williams, 9/24/05, Washington Post)

Egypt had barely caught its breath from the presidential vote -- the first time Egyptians could mark ballots listing more than one candidate -- when parties and politicians started gearing up for the November parliamentary elections. The campaign promises to be wide open. With nearly 450 seats at stake, there could be thousands of candidates.

Although [Ayman] Nour won only about 7 percent of the presidential vote, he says he believes he can claim a place as top opposition leader by running his party's candidates in every parliamentary district and winning a significant share of seats. Nour accuses government agents of mounting the challenge to his party leadership and other judicial maneuvers to divert him from organizing and campaigning. [...]

Political observers contend that even with Nour's low vote total, his performance signaled at least one change in Egyptian politics: He pushed aside traditional, docile opposition parties and their geriatric leadership. He won more than twice as many votes as Noman Gomaa, the 71-year-old leader of the Wafd Party, an organization with an 80-year history. "At 40 years old, Nour has emerged as the country's de facto leader of the opposition," said Cairo magazine. Other opposition parties are grappling with leadership changes.

A parallel generational change is underway at the National Democratic Party (NDP), Mubarak's political organization and electoral juggernaut. Mubarak's 41-year-old son, Gamal, and a group of businessmen, technocrats and academicians ran the presidential campaign. Old-line NDP politicians were nowhere to be seen or heard.

The NDP is preparing to run a slate of fresh faces in the parliamentary elections, said Mohammed Kamal, a member of the presidential campaign team. The NDP is trying to change its reputation from a party that mainly provided stuffed ballot boxes at past elections to one that has a genuine mandate to rule Egypt, party officials say. Currently, the NDP holds more than 80 percent of the legislative seats.

Gamal Mubarak's inner circle is playing a key role in picking parliamentary candidates, his associates say. He also heads the ruling party's policies committee, a group that has designed recent free-market initiatives in Egypt. He has steadfastly denied having presidential ambitions, yet his very presence overshadows any other NDP voice.


Quickly developing two main political parties would be a huge boon to the democratization process.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:37 AM

UPPITY YOUNGSTER:

GOING AFTER BYRD (Robert Novak, 9/24/05, Townhall)

Republican leaders have a strong backup candidate to challenge Sen. Robert Byrd's election in West Virginia to a ninth term: former West Virginia University basketball coach Gale Catlett.

The GOP's first choice is still Rep. Shelley Moore Capito, but she has shown reluctance to run. Catlett remains a popular figure with instant recognition in West Virginia.

The 87-year-old Byrd, the Senate's senior member in both age and service, is a living legend in the Mountaineer state. But Republicans believe he is incapable of waging a vigorous campaign and would be vulnerable to a strong challenger. Catlett is 64 years old.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:58 AM

NEW LODGE BROTHER:

A Million Little Pieces NADER MOUSAVIZADEH, 9/24/05, NY Times)

THE United Nations summit meeting last week should be the last of its kind. It allowed world leaders, once again, to over-promise and under-deliver on behalf of an organization that few of them genuinely wish to equip for success. With the failure of its member states to agree on meaningful reform - even after Rwanda, Bosnia, Iraq and the oil-for-food scandal - it is time for a new approach.

The central, governing structures of the United Nations - the Security Council, the General Assembly and the Secretariat - have each in their own dismal way been allowed to decay to the point where they arguably do more harm than good to the very causes they were founded to serve. They should be dissolved, and their legislative responsibilities transferred to the governing bodies of the United Nations agencies that have demonstrated a capacity to deliver, decade after decade, on the world body's founding ideals - agencies like the High Commissioner for Refugees, the United Nations Development Program and the World Food Program. From coordinating the global relief effort in the aftermath of the tsunami to providing shelter for refugees from southern Sudan and shepherding East Timor to independence, the staff of these frontline organizations have brought meaningful, measurable progress to millions around the world.

On their own, most, if not all, of the major United Nations agencies would stand a fair chance of earning the legitimacy, support and resources necessary to succeed. The United Nations Development Program is already financed by voluntary contributions. Its board is made up of donors and recipient countries - all with a powerful common incentive to sustain an organization that can fight poverty efficiently. Taking one step further toward the model of, say, the World Health Organization (which operates independent of United Nations governing structures, though it is part of the United Nations family) need not disrupt its operations nor damage its finances. To the contrary: freed from the management rules and practices still imposed by the General Assembly, the Development Program would be even more able to attract the right people and improve the lives of the poor.

Each of the United Nations funds and programs could be reconstituted on this stand-alone model: financed by voluntary contributions; governed by a board composed of shareholders with an interest in results, and not just process; and staffed by men and women, hired on the basis of merit, who are given the resources to make a difference. Accountability, transparency - and, ultimately, success - would have a far greater chance of flowing from such a model than from the present one.


The central problem of the UN/League of Nations has always been the delusion that some such central institution can/will eventually form the basis of world governance.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:48 AM

PSSSST, CIVIC PLATFORM ARE UBERCONS, PASS IT ON:

Polish election battle (Jan Repa, 9/24/05, BBC)

Since the break-up of the Soviet bloc 16 years ago political power in Poland has alternated between parties which emerged from the Solidarity movement and the ex-communist Democratic Left Alliance.

Despite this, the general strategy pursued by Poland has been remarkably consistent:

• integration with Western institutions like Nato and the EU
• the creation of a market economy with a strong element of social welfare
• an eastern policy aimed at establishing a belt of friendly countries between Poland and Russia

It was a Democratic Left Alliance leadership which last year brought Poland successfully into the EU and which backed the Orange Revolution in neighbouring Ukraine.

Nonetheless, the ex-communists now face electoral meltdown.

A succession of corruption scandals, the failure to bring down unemployment and suggestions of continuing dubious links with Moscow have appeared to validate opposition claims that, in the end, you cannot trust an old "commie".

That leaves the centre-right parties making all the running.

Civic Platform and Law and Justice have been running neck-and-neck in opinion polls - with a combined opinion poll score of between 60 and 70%.

They have already announced their intention to form a coalition government - with the party that wins more seats getting the post of prime minister.

But in the absence of a strong challenge from the Left, the two parties have, in recent days, taken to attacking each other.

Law and Justice, in particular, has worked hard to capture part of the ex-Democratic Left Alliance vote - stressing its commitment to social welfare and accusing Civic Platform of trying to conduct a "liberal experiment" on the nation.


It's an accusation that's paid political gold outside the Anglosphere.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:40 AM

AND HE DIDN'T EVEN HAVE A HURRICANE:

Labour conference security tight (BBC, 9/24/05)

[M]r Blair - who arrives in Brighton on Saturday - appears determined to use the conference to call for reforms in industry, health, education and welfare.

He said helping Britain meet the challenges of the new global economy would be the central message of the conference, whose theme is "Securing Britain's Future".

He wants to highlight the changing global economy and the increasing power of China and India.

He has also stressed the need to push on with reforming the public sector.

Unions are not only unhappy about greater use of private firms in the NHS, they are also concerned about public sector pension reforms, including a possible raising of the retirement age.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:12 AM

THEY LIKE THE STATUS QUO:

Stillstand in Deutschland: German voters choose stalemate. (Christopher Caldwell, 10/03/2005, Weekly Standard)

WHAT MADE THE ELECTION look like a safe win for the CDU opposition was the steadily worsening quality of life for median Germans. The main problem was that 11 percent of them (19 percent in Berlin) had no jobs. In February, unemployment rose to over 5 million people. That was a record high, but the jobless rate has been in or near double digits since the mid-1990s. Starting with Thatcher's Britain, almost all European countries have fought unemployment through deep and sometimes painful reforms. A quarter-century later, Germany--along with France and Italy--is still holding out.

But Germany has also spent 1.4 trillion euros to rebuild the former East Germany. As the state goes broke, its reputation for high-quality social services wanes. The country had its Sputnik moment in 2003, when the Program for International Student Assessment (PISA) ranked the German education system near rock-bottom of 32 developed countries surveyed. To add to the problem, Germans are having children at half the rate they were when the socialist state was built up in the 1950s and 1960s. Since pensions and health care, the most expensive parts of the social system, are pay-as-you-go, battles over the role of the state increasingly pit the old against the young.


You had to be pretty deep inside the conventional wisdom to think the fact that Germany has so far resisted reform would help make it reformist now and that a system where young are pitted against old and there are ever fewer young was going to vote to inconvenience the old.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:31 AM

A FAMILY HISTORY OF GOOD LIES:

The Bush Golf Dynasty (Dan Jenkins, October 2005, Golf Digest)

Ike aside, you have to say the Bushes have done their part for the game. As for these Bushes, by the way, they didn't even introduce golf to themselves. They had ancestors who took care of that. One of them was George Herbert Walker, Old 41's maternal grandfather--his mama's daddy.

G.H. Walker, a single-digit handicapper, was president of the U. S. Golf Association in 1920, and that year he decided to donate a cup to an international competition for amateurs. Legend has it that G.H. didn't want the matches or the trophy named after him, but the blue coats and striped ties managed to twist his arm. Two years later, the first Walker Cup between the United States and Great Britain & Ireland was played at the National Golf Links of America on Long Island.

Things were a little different then. The U.S. side invited any country that wanted to compete, but only Great Britain made it. And then there was this: Bernard Darwin, the golf writer for The Times of London, was invited to play when British captain Robert Harris "fell ill." Darwin took out U.S. captain William C. Fownes Jr., but a U.S. team that included Chick Evans, Francis Ouimet and Bobby Jones had more than enough talent to make up for it.

The 41st president and father of the 43rd recalls a story about his grandfather and Jones that once made the family rounds. Supposedly, G.H. bawled out the young Jones one day for losing his temper and throwing a club in a tournament. But after the scolding, G.H. put his arm around Jones' shoulder and told him that if he could control his temper, he could become the greatest player the game had known.

This seems like a convenient place to mention that Prez 41 is an old pal of several years, and he's my chief source for much that's in here. Not to guest-room drop, but at one time or another I've been overnighted at Camp David in Maryland, at the Kennebunkport compound in Maine and in the Houston homestead by Old 41 and the incredible Barbara, the Valerie Hogan and Barbara Nicklaus of first ladies.

It was 15 years ago that the president invited me to join him, former Chicago Bears running back Walter Payton and then-U.S. Congressman Marty Russo, the Congressional golf champion for 10 of the previous 14 years, for a game. After a helicopter ride aboard Marine One and a 15-vehicle motorcade, we ended up at Holly Hills Country Club in Ijamsville, Md., a little under an hour by car from D.C. As I said at the time, the president seemed to take himself far less seriously than any CEO of any plastics company I've ever encountered. He was the friendliest and most relaxed person in every room and on every fairway.

By my scoring that day, the president, who once played to an 11, overcame his objection to the use of mulligans to shoot a three-mulligan 86 or a two-mulligan 88. Payton shot a three-mulligan 85, I shot a three-mulligan 78 or a two-mulligan 80. And Marty Russo shot a one-mulligan 68, which put him at a shocking four under par as well as under arrest.

Fast-forward 15 years. Interestingly, Old 41 remembers hearing that his grandfather had also been a good friend of Dwight F. Davis, the man who donated a cup for tennis back in 1900. However, the 41st president doesn't remember whether G.H. Walker and Dwight F. Davis were friends of Joe Bob America, the gentleman who donated a cup to the sport of yacht racing.

Another ancestor who contributed to the Bush golf dynasty was Prescott Bush, Old 41's father. Prescott Bush was himself a president of the U. S. Golf Association at one time--1935--before he became a U.S. senator from the state of Connecticut.

Prescott Bush was by far the best golfer in the family. He was beyond scratch, an eight-time club champion at Cape Arundel Golf Club in Kennebunkport, where for many years he held the course record of 66. Cape Arundel is also where Old 41 once went 18 holes in about two hours. I know this. I was playing along with him. We had to hurry so we could go for a speedboat ride and take a walk before lunch.

Your Bushes don't throw a lot of grass up in the air when they play. My own assessment of 41's game is that he has a good swing, and there's evidence of a lot of athleticism in the guy. But like most golfers, the short game is his weakness, especially putting.

"I could be great, but I'm allergic to practice and I break out in hives," he says. With such a family pedigree--two presidents of the United States, two governorships (Texas and Florida), a senator (Connecticut) and two presidents of the USGA--you'd think it would help his game.

But as we say in Texas, "A pedigree don't cure a pull hook."

Could be one reason why he jumps out of airplanes.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 5:20 AM

THANKS, BUT NO THANKS

Jean lamented multiculturalism's 'absurdities' (Kate Jaimet The Ottawa Citizen, September 23rd, 2005)

The government's policy of multiculturalism encourages people to stay in ethnic ghettos and leads to "all sorts of absurdities," governor general-designate Michaelle Jean has said

Ms. Jean made the comments in French at a colloquium in Montreal last April, before she was named the country's next governor general. They were reported in the Canadian Jewish News.

"Citizenship means living together. ... But does 'multiculturalism' really propose us living together?

"We are even given money so that we will each stay in our own separate enclosure. There's a kind of proposition of ghettoization that is there, and that is financed. Yet 'multiculturalism' is proposed as a founding model of Canada," she said at the colloquium held by the Institut de Judaisme Quebecois.

Ms. Jean went on to criticize the leaders of organizations who make their living from multiculturalism.

"It's terrible, when you think about it. My dream is that we reflect much more deeply on citizenship, on belonging, which is not a negation of where we come from or our heritage, whether we are from Abitibi or Haiti or somewhere else.[...]

Ms. Jean, who immigrated from Haiti as a child, will become Canada's first black governor general when she assumes her post next week.

More evidence of how immigrants save us from ourselves.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

PEOPLE LIKE TRAINS...:

Seattle's 1-Track Mind Goes Off the Rail: City Council members all but kill a repeatedly voter-backed monorail plan. Trying to keep it alive, supporters wedge it onto the Nov. 8 ballot. (Sam Howe Verhovek, September 24, 2005, LA Times)

Four times in the last eight years, Seattle's voters have been asked whether they want the city to build a monorail line, and four times they have said yes.

Now it looks like they will be asked whether they really, really mean it.

Citing spiraling costs, the City Council voted Friday to all but kill the planned 14-mile monorail project by denying street-use permits for it. Then, with just minutes to go before the deadline for submitting initiatives for the Nov. 8 ballot, the city's monorail authority approved a new measure asking voters to approve a scaled-back, 10-mile plan.

"It's time for the people to decide whether they want to save the people's train," said Kristina Hill, a defiant board chair of the quasi-public Seattle Popular Monorail Authority.

The authority acted after the nine-member City Council, following the wishes of Seattle Mayor Greg Nickels, voted unanimously to deny needed permits.


...only pols and bureaucrats keep the automobile culture going.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

WHO BUT THE GRAY LADY WOULD BE NOSTALGIC FOR SOVIET LANDSCAPES?:

A new Moscow erases the old (and history) (Seth Mydans, SEPTEMBER 24, 2005, The New York Times)

With stunning speed in the past few years, the developers have torn down scores of buildings in the city center, ripping the soul out of much of this stolid, quirky city.

They have left those who love Moscow in stunned despair, raising small voices against the forces of money and politics, mostly ignored by a public that has become increasingly cowed and passive at the feet of those with power.

"I'm sad about this, but after five years I'm going to stop being sad because there's going to be nothing left to lose," said Aleksei Komech, director of the Ministry of Culture's State Institute of Arts Research, as wreckers hacked away at a classic building just outside his window.

Last year the city's central district announced plans to knock down or renovate as many as 1,200 buildings in the city center. Preservationists say "renovation" is often a cover for destruction.

In August, Moscow's first deputy mayor, Vladimir Resin, said the city planned to build 60 skyscrapers in the next 10 years, some of them 50 stories high.

"This tiger always needs meat," Komech said. "So we know that from now on we can expect new projects, new ring roads, new tunnels. There's more money than you can imagine in Moscow now." [...]

"Russia is in the midst of a collapse of culture and there is nothing we can do about it," said David Sarkisyan, director of the State Museum of Architecture. "It is a horrible crime. The old generation of cultivated people is dying off. No one is coming to replace them."

The voice of the future, and apparently the voice of the majority, comes from people like Katrina Semikhatova, 27, a public relations representative for a major Moscow developer.

"I don't think Moscow is a beautiful city," she said as she surveyed a vast construction site where a new commercial and residential center was being built on the banks of the Moscow River.

"I think Moscow must be better," she said. "For me, Moscow has very few beautiful landscapes on the average. There is always something ugly. Today we have a chance to build a whole new city."

Skyscrapers are always a mistake, but the notion that losing the city the Bolsheviks built is a bad thing is disturbing.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THE EU IS AIRBUS'S PROBLEM, NOT ITS PROP:

Mandelson extends olive branch on subsidies (James Kanter, 9/24/05, International Herald Tribune)

Europe will have to be prepared to curb subsidies to Airbus if a settlement is reached with the United States in the dispute over government aid to the aircraft maker and its chief rival, Boeing, the top European trade negotiator said Friday.

The candid warning from the European Union's trade commissioner, Peter Mandelson, to his own side signaled a desire to restart talks with Washington, even as a dueling lawsuits at the World Trade Organization inched forward Friday. [...]

If talks do restart, "then European government funding will have to adapt to the outcome of those negotiations," he added, referring to the millions in development loans provided to Airbus - aid that Washington insists be cut off.


Any settlement is preferable to ceding power to the WTO.


September 23, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:59 PM

WHERE'S SHAKESPEARE WHEN YOU NEED HIM?:

Orioles Tell Palmeiro Not to Bother Returning (Tim Brown, September 24, 2005, LA Times)

Rafael Palmeiro, his possible Hall of Fame career tainted by a steroid suspension and an ongoing congressional investigation, will not be in uniform again this season, the Baltimore Orioles announced Friday — an action amounting to a paid suspension.

Palmeiro, who turns 41 today and is considering retirement, was expected to return to the club Friday after rehabilitating a sore knee and ankle for three weeks at his Texas home.

Instead, he was told he was not welcome back.

Oriole officials met Friday after published reports that Palmeiro allegedly had told an arbitration panel that teammate Miguel Tejada provided him with a vitamin that might have led to his testing positive for the steroid Stanozolol. At the end, they decided Palmeiro's presence over the final 10 days of the season would be too great a distraction.

At the same time, the Health Policy Advisory Committee, which hears appeals from players who have tested positive for banned substances, issued a statement Friday calling "incorrect" the reports that Tejada provided steroids to Palmeiro, or that Palmeiro claimed it to be so.

"There is no evidence whatsoever supporting any claim that Miguel Tejada has ever provided any illegal substance of any kind to any player," the statement said.


It's like a classic tragedy watching this poor guy destroy himself.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:57 PM

MOVE OVER MIKHAIL, WE NEED ROOM ON THE ASH HEAP:

U.S. Says China Must Address Its Intentions: How Its Power Will Be Used Is of Concern (Glenn Kessler, 9/22/05, Washington Post)

Deputy Secretary of State Robert B. Zoellick bluntly warned China last night that it must begin to take concrete steps to address what he called a "a cauldron of anxiety" in the United States and other parts of the world about Chinese intentions. [...]

Among other points, Zoellick said:

· China should openly explain its defense spending, intentions, doctrine and military exercises to ease concerns about its rapid military buildup.

· China shows "increasing signs of mercantilism," seeking to direct markets rather than open them, and such actions must cease before its policies undercut U.S. domestic support for open markets. Zoellick said China's efforts to "lock up" energy supplies are "not a sensible path to achieving energy security."

· China should end its tolerance of "rampant theft of intellectual property and counterfeiting" if it is to be considered a "responsible major global player." China must also do "much more" to allow its currency to adjust to market rates.

· China should adjust its foreign policy to focus less on national interest and more on sustaining peaceful prosperity, including ensuring North Korea's compliance with an agreement to end its nuclear programs, supporting efforts to end Iran's nuclear programs, and pledging more money to Afghanistan and Iraq. China's dealings with Sudan, Burma and other "troublesome states indicates at best a blindness to consequences and at worst something more ominous," Zoellick said.

· China should not attempt to "maneuver toward a predominance of power" in Asia by building separate alliances in Southeast Asia and other areas.

Zoellick also addressed democracy in China, saying it is "risky and mistaken" to believe the Communist Party's monopoly can be secured "through emphasizing economic growth and heightened nationalism." He said closed politics are "simply not sustainable" and that pressure is building for political reform.

"China has one umbrella labor union, but waves of strikes," Zoellick noted. "A party that came to power as a movement of peasants now confronts violent rural protests, especially against corruption. A government with massive police powers cannot control spreading crime."

Zoellick said China should consider elections at the county and provincial level, reform its judiciary and "stop harassing journalists who point out problems."


The Reagan model for toppling the Soviets was quite easy: point out that communism had failed on its own terms and that it would never be legitimate unless it won elections and popular support for its tyranny.

MORE:
Whither China: From Membership to Responsibility? (Robert B. Zoellick, Deputy Secretary of State, Remarks to National Committee on U.S.-China Relations, New York City, September 21, 2005)

Earlier this year, I had the pleasure of making the acquaintance of Mr. Zheng Bijian, Chair of the China Reform Forum, who over some decades has been a counselor to China’s leaders. We have spent many hours in Beijing and Washington discussing China’s course of development and Sino-American relations. It has been my good fortune to get to know such a thoughtful man who has helped influence, through the Central Party School, the outlook of many officials during a time of tremendous change for China.

This month, in anticipation of President Hu’s visit to the United States, Mr. Zheng published the lead article in Foreign Affairs, "China’s ‘Peaceful Rise’ to Great Power Status." This evening, I would like to give you a sense of the current dialogue between the United States and China by sharing my perspective.

Some 27 years ago, Chinese leaders took a hard look at their country and didn’t like what they saw. China was just emerging from the Cultural Revolution. It was desperately poor, deliberately isolated from the world economy, and opposed to nearly every international institution. Under Deng Xiaoping, as Mr. Zheng explains, China’s leaders reversed course and decided "to embrace globalization rather than detach themselves from it."

Seven U.S. presidents of both parties recognized this strategic shift and worked to integrate China as a full member of the international system. Since 1978, the United States has also encouraged China’s economic development through market reforms.

Our policy has succeeded remarkably well: the dragon emerged and joined the world. Today, from the United Nations to the World Trade Organization, from agreements on ozone depletion to pacts on nuclear weapons, China is a player at the table.

And China has experienced exceptional economic growth. Whether in commodities, clothing, computers, or capital markets, China’s presence is felt every day.

China is big, it is growing, and it will influence the world in the years ahead.

For the United States and the world, the essential question is – how will China use its influence?

To answer that question, it is time to take our policy beyond opening doors to China’s membership into the international system: We need to urge China to become a responsible stakeholder in that system.

China has a responsibility to strengthen the international system that has enabled its success. In doing so, China could achieve the objective identified by Mr. Zheng: "to transcend the traditional ways for great powers to emerge."

As Secretary Rice has stated, the United States welcomes a confident, peaceful, and prosperous China, one that appreciates that its growth and development depends on constructive connections with the rest of the world. Indeed, we hope to intensify work with a China that not only adjusts to the international rules developed over the last century, but also joins us and others to address the challenges of the new century.

From China’s perspective, it would seem that its national interest would be much better served by working with us to shape the future international system.

If it isn’t clear why the United States should suggest a cooperative relationship with China, consider the alternatives. Picture the wide range of global challenges we face in the years ahead – terrorism and extremists exploiting Islam, the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, poverty, disease – and ask whether it would be easier or harder to handle those problems if the United States and China were cooperating or at odds.

For fifty years, our policy was to fence in the Soviet Union while its own internal contradictions undermined it. For thirty years, our policy has been to draw out the People’s Republic of China. As a result, the China of today is simply not the Soviet Union of the late 1940s:

It does not seek to spread radical, anti-American ideologies.

While not yet democratic, it does not see itself in a twilight conflict against democracy around the globe.

While at times mercantilist, it does not see itself in a death struggle with capitalism.

And most importantly, China does not believe that its future depends on overturning the fundamental order of the international system. In fact, quite the reverse: Chinese leaders have decided that their success depends on being networked with the modern world.

If the Cold War analogy does not apply, neither does the distant balance-of-power politics of 19th Century Europe. The global economy of the 21st Century is a tightly woven fabric. We are too interconnected to try to hold China at arm’s length, hoping to promote other powers in Asia at its expense. Nor would the other powers hold China at bay, initiating and terminating ties based on an old model of drawing-room diplomacy. The United States seeks constructive relations with all countries that do not threaten peace and security.

So if the templates of the past do not fit, how should we view China at the dawn of the 21st Century?

On both sides, there is a gulf in perceptions. The overwhelming priority of China’s senior officials is to develop and modernize a China that still faces enormous internal challenges. While proud of their accomplishments, China’s leaders recognize their country’s perceived weaknesses, its rural poverty, and the challenges of political and social change. Two-thirds of China’s population – nearly 900 million people – are in poor rural areas, living mostly as subsistence farmers, and 200 million Chinese live on less than a dollar a day. In China, economic growth is seen as an internal imperative, not as a challenge to the United States.

Therefore, China clearly needs a benign international environment for its work at home. Of course, the Chinese expect to be treated with respect and will want to have their views and interests recognized. But China does not want a conflict with the United States.

Nevertheless, many Americans worry that the Chinese dragon will prove to be a fire-breather. There is a cauldron of anxiety about China.

The U.S. business community, which in the 1990s saw China as a land of opportunity, now has a more mixed assessment. Smaller companies worry about Chinese competition, rampant piracy, counterfeiting, and currency manipulation. Even larger U.S. businesses – once the backbone of support for economic engagement – are concerned that mercantilist Chinese policies will try to direct controlled markets instead of opening competitive markets. American workers wonder if they can compete.

China needs to recognize how its actions are perceived by others. China’s involvement with troublesome states indicates at best a blindness to consequences and at worst something more ominous. China’s actions – combined with a lack of transparency – can create risks. Uncertainties about how China will use its power will lead the United States – and others as well – to hedge relations with China. Many countries hope China will pursue a "Peaceful Rise," but none will bet their future on it.

For example, China’s rapid military modernization and increases in capabilities raise questions about the purposes of this buildup and China’s lack of transparency. The recent report by the U.S. Department of Defense on China’s military posture was not confrontational, although China’s reaction to it was. The U.S. report described facts, including what we know about China’s military, and discussed alternative scenarios. If China wants to lessen anxieties, it should openly explain its defense spending, intentions, doctrine, and military exercises.

Views about China are also shaped by its growing economic footprint. China has gained much from its membership in an open, rules-based international economic system, and the U.S. market is particularly important for China’s development strategy. Many gain from this trade, including millions of U.S. farmers and workers who produce the commodities, components, and capital goods that China is so voraciously consuming.

But no other country – certainly not those of the European Union or Japan – would accept a $162 billion bilateral trade deficit, contributing to a $665 billion global current account deficit. China – and others that sell to China – cannot take its access to the U.S. market for granted. Protectionist pressures are growing.

China has been more open than many developing countries, but there are increasing signs of mercantilism, with policies that seek to direct markets rather than opening them. The United States will not be able to sustain an open international economic system – or domestic U.S. support for such a system – without greater cooperation from China, as a stakeholder that shares responsibility on international economic issues.

For example, a responsible major global player shouldn’t tolerate rampant theft of intellectual property and counterfeiting, both of which strike at the heart of America’s knowledge economy. China’s pledges – including a statement just last week by President Hu in New York – to crack down on the criminals who ply this trade are welcome, but the results are not yet evident. China needs to fully live up to its commitments to markets where America has a strong competitive advantage, such as in services, agriculture, and certain manufactured goods. And while China’s exchange rate policy offered stability in the past, times have changed. China may have a global current account surplus this year of nearly $150 billion, among the highest in the world. This suggests that China’s recent policy adjustments are an initial step, but much more remains to be done to permit markets to adjust to imbalances. China also shares a strong interest with the United States in negotiating a successful WTO Doha agreement that opens markets and expands global growth.

China’s economic growth is driving its thirst for energy. In response, China is acting as if it can somehow "lock up" energy supplies around the world. This is not a sensible path to achieving energy security. Moreover, a mercantilist strategy leads to partnerships with regimes that hurt China’s reputation and lead others to question its intentions. In contrast, market strategies can lessen volatility, instability, and hoarding. China should work with the United States and others to develop diverse sources of energy, including through clean coal technology, nuclear, renewables, hydrogen, and biofuels. Our new Asia Pacific Partnership on Clean Development and Climate – as well as the bilateral dialogue conducted by the U.S. Department of Energy and China’s National Development and Reform Commission – offer practical mechanisms for this cooperation. We should also encourage the opening of oil and gas production in more places around the world. We can work on energy conservation and efficiency, including through standards for the many appliances made in China. Through the IEA we can strengthen the building and management of strategic reserves. We also have a common interest in secure transport routes and security in producing countries.

All nations conduct diplomacy to promote their national interests. Responsible stakeholders go further: They recognize that the international system sustains their peaceful prosperity, so they work to sustain that system. In its foreign policy, China has many opportunities to be a responsible stakeholder.

The most pressing opportunity is North Korea. Since hosting the Six-Party Talks at their inception in 2003, China has played a constructive role. This week we achieved a Joint Statement of Principles, with an agreement on the goal of "verifiable denuclearization of the Korean peninsula in a peaceful manner." But the hard work of implementation lies ahead, and China should share our interest in effective and comprehensive compliance.

Moreover, the North Korea problem is about more than just the spread of dangerous weapons. Without broad economic and political reform, North Korea poses a threat to itself and others. It is time to move beyond the half century-old armistice on the Korean peninsula to a true peace, with regional security and development. A Korean peninsula without nuclear weapons opens the door to this future. Some 30 years ago America ended its war in Viet Nam. Today Viet Nam looks to the United States to help integrate it into the world market economic system so Viet Nam can improve the lives of its people. By contrast, North Korea, with a 50 year-old cold armistice, just falls further behind.

Beijing also has a strong interest in working with us to halt the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and missiles that can deliver them. The proliferation of danger will undermine the benign security environment and healthy international economy that China needs for its development.

China’s actions on Iran’s nuclear program will reveal the seriousness of China’s commitment to non-proliferation. And while we welcome China’s efforts to police its own behavior through new export controls on sensitive technology, we still need to see tough legal punishments for violators.

China and the United States can do more together in the global fight against terrorism. Chinese citizens have been victims of terror attacks in Pakistan and Afghanistan. China can help destroy the supply lines of global terrorism. We have made a good start by working together at the UN and searching for terrorist money in Chinese banks, but can expand our cooperation further.

China pledged $150 million in assistance to Afghanistan, and $25 million to Iraq. These pledges were welcome, and we look forward to their full implementation. China would build stronger ties with both through follow-on pledges. Other countries are assisting the new Iraqi government with major debt forgiveness, focusing attention on the $7 billion in Iraqi debt still held by Chinese state companies.

On my early morning runs in Khartoum, I saw Chinese doing tai chi exercises. I suspect they were in Sudan for the oil business. But China should take more than oil from Sudan – it should take some responsibility for resolving Sudan’s human crisis. It could work with the United States, the UN, and others to support the African Union’s peacekeeping mission, to provide humanitarian relief to Darfur, and to promote a solution to Sudan’s conflicts.

In Asia, China is already playing a larger role. The United States respects China’s interests in the region, and recognizes the useful role of multilateral diplomacy in Asia. But concerns will grow if China seeks to maneuver toward a predominance of power. Instead, we should work together with ASEAN, Japan, Australia, and others for regional security and prosperity through the ASEAN Regional Forum and the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation forum.

China’s choices about Taiwan will send an important message, too. We have made clear that our "one China" policy remains based on the three communiqués and the Taiwan Relations Act. It is important for China to resolve its differences with Taiwan peacefully.

The United States, Japan, and China will need to cooperate effectively together on both regional and global challenges. Given China’s terrible losses in World War II, I appreciate the sensitivity of historical issues with Japan. But as I have told my Chinese colleagues, I have observed some sizeable gaps in China’s telling of history, too. When I visited the "918" museum at the site of the 1931 "Manchurian Incident," I noted that the chronological account jumped from 1941 to the Soviet offensive against Japan in August 1945, overlooking the United States involvement in the Pacific from 1941 to 1945! Perhaps we could start to ease some misapprehensions by opening a three-way dialogue among historians.

Clearly, there are many common interests and opportunities for cooperation. But some say America’s commitment to democracy will preclude long-term cooperation with China. Let me suggest why this need not be so.

Freedom lies at the heart of what America is… as a nation, we stand for what President Bush calls the non-negotiable demands of human dignity. As I have seen over the 25 years since I lived in Hong Kong, Asians have also pressed for more freedom and built many more democracies. Indeed, President Hu and Premier Wen are talking about the importance of China strengthening the rule of law and developing democratic institutions.

We do not urge the cause of freedom to weaken China. To the contrary, President Bush has stressed that the terrible experience of 9/11 has driven home that in the absence of freedom, unhealthy societies will breed deadly cancers. In his Second Inaugural, President Bush recognized that democratic institutions must reflect the values and culture of diverse societies. As he said, "Our goal… is to help others find their own voice, attain their own freedom, and make their own way."

Being born ethnically Chinese does not predispose people against democracy – just look at Taiwan’s vibrant politics. Japan and South Korea have successfully blended a Confucian heritage with modern democratic principles.

Closed politics cannot be a permanent feature of Chinese society. It is simply not sustainable – as economic growth continues, better-off Chinese will want a greater say in their future, and pressure builds for political reform:

China has one umbrella labor union, but waves of strikes.

A party that came to power as a movement of peasants now confronts violent rural protests, especially against corruption.

A government with massive police powers cannot control spreading crime.

Some in China believe they can secure the Communist Party’s monopoly on power through emphasizing economic growth and heightened nationalism. This is risky and mistaken.

China needs a peaceful political transition to make its government responsible and accountable to its people. Village and grassroots elections are a start. They might be expanded – perhaps to counties and provinces – as a next step. China needs to reform its judiciary. It should open government processes to the involvement of civil society and stop harassing journalists who point out problems. China should also expand religious freedom and make real the guarantees of rights that exist on paper – but not in practice.

Ladies and Gentlemen: How we deal with China’s rising power is a central question in American foreign policy.

In China and the United States, Mr. Zheng’s idea of a "peaceful rise" will spur vibrant debate. The world will look to the evidence of actions.

Tonight I have suggested that the U.S. response should be to help foster constructive action by transforming our thirty-year policy of integration: We now need to encourage China to become a responsible stakeholder in the international system. As a responsible stakeholder, China would be more than just a member – it would work with us to sustain the international system that has enabled its success.

Cooperation as stakeholders will not mean the absence of differences – we will have disputes that we need to manage. But that management can take place within a larger framework where the parties recognize a shared interest in sustaining political, economic, and security systems that provide common benefits.

To achieve this transformation of the Sino-American relationship, this Administration – and those that follow it – will need to build the foundation of support at home. That’s particularly why I wanted to join you tonight. You hear the voices that perceive China solely through the lens of fear. But America succeeds when we look to the future as an opportunity, not when we fear what the future might bring. To succeed now, we will need all of you to press both the Chinese and your fellow citizens.

When President Nixon visited Beijing in 1972, our relationship with China was defined by what we were both against. Now we have the opportunity to define our relationship by what are both for.

We have many common interests with China. But relationships built only on a coincidence of interests have shallow roots. Relationships built on shared interests and shared values are deep and lasting. We can cooperate with the emerging China of today, even as we work for the democratic China of tomorrow.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:34 PM

ATOMS DON'T TAKE UP MUCH ROOM:

Supersize Strollers Ignite Sidewalk Drama (STEPHANIE ROSENBLOOM, 9/22/05, NY Times)

ONE recent evening during rush hour on a Washington subway, Jose Rivas found himself cornered by a giant stroller, with no clear path of escape. "She saw us," Mr. Rivas, 33, said of the woman pushing the buggy. "She looked at us. She was basically like: 'You better find a way to get out. It's not my responsibility.' "

When he tried to step around her to reach the door, her look became a glare. The confrontation was like a battle, he said, and the weapon, a long, army-green-colored stroller.

Christopher Peruzzi, 39, of Freehold, N.J., has also had to dodge baby strollers - especially those that are "double wide or triple long" - usually in stores, and he doesn't like it either. "They're blocking off products you want to get to," he said. "I find this particularly annoying in Barnes & Noble and Walden Books. I'm here to read. I'm not here for your kid to slam into me."

Pricey, supersize baby strollers like the Bugaboo and the Silver Cross - nicknamed Hummers - have been derided as symbols of yuppie extravagance. (They cost upward of about $700.) But some critics now say that size is not the only problem. What's worse, they say, is the way some parents use them to bulldoze their way through public places.

"I liken it to the SUV experience," said Elizabeth Khalil, 28, a lawyer in Washington. "It's just your mission to mow down everything in your sight because you can."

Critics - many of them people without children....


An often missed subtext of Blue State and European hatred of SUVs is that there are families in them.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:40 PM

WHERE YOU HITTIN', WILLIS?:

Willis gains stature as hitter -- batting 7th (Juan C. Rodriguez, September 23, 2005, Orlando Sun-Sentinel)

Nine years before Dontrelle Willis was born, Expos starter Steve Renko batted seventh in an Aug. 26, 1973 game against the San Diego Padres.

A pitcher hadn't hit higher than eighth since then -- until Thursday.

Manager Jack McKeon slotted Dontrelle Willis in the seven hole against Pedro Martinez and the Mets. Last Saturday, Willis became the second pitcher since 1998 to hit eighth.

"The guy's a pretty good hitter," McKeon said. "You throw a left-handed hitter in the middle of that lineup. One good thing is he puts the ball in play all the time."

Willis, who in his first at-bat worked the count full before David Wright reached into the camera well to catch a foul pop, entered the game batting .250 (21 for 84). He already had the season franchise marks for runs (14), hits and RBI (11) by a pitcher. He added a single in the fourth and finished the night 1 for 4.


Mr. McKeon has also moved superstar outfielder Miguel Cabrera back to 3b, where he played in the minors, and played regular 3b, Mike Lowell, at second. It's nice to be old enough you don't have to worry about second-guessers.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:33 PM

ANOTHER DAY, ANOTHER WHITE SUPREMACIST REFERENCE:

President Bush Is 'Our Bull Connor,' Harlem's Rep. Charles Rangel Claims (MEGHAN CLYNE, September 23, 2005, NY Sun)

Comparing President Bush to the Birmingham, Ala., police commissioner whose resistance to the civil rights movement became synonymous with Southern racism, Rep. Charles Rangel said yesterday of the president: "George Bush is our Bull Connor."

Mr. Rangel's metaphoric linkage of Mr. Bush to the late Theophilus "Bull" Connor - who in 1963 turned fire hoses and attack dogs on blacks, including Martin Luther King Jr., demonstrating in favor of equal rights - met with wild applause and cheering at a Congressional Black Caucus town hall meeting, part of the organization's 35th Annual Legislative Conference.


How long before one of our apologists for such hate speech tells us the congressman was just referring to how much the President likes dogs?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:12 PM

TOUCHING BASE:

2nd Banana Whose Taste Is Irresistible (JACQUES STEINBERG, 9/23/05, NY Times)

LOS ANGELES, Sept. 21 - Just as there has never been another lead character on television quite like Larry David - it would be hard to imagine Ralph Kramden or Ray Barone picking up a prostitute to qualify for the carpool lane to Dodger Stadium - there has never been a sidekick quite like Jeff Greene, the fictional Mr. David's fictional manager. [...]

Mr. Garlin's Jeff is more than Larry's bumbling enabler. Given how hard it can be, at times, for even loyal fans to watch Larry - in the second episode of the new season, he squares off with a man in a wheelchair over a handicap-accessible toilet - Jeff dilutes Larry's acidity with much-needed base.

"You're dealing with a show where the lead character is making the irritating and uncomfortable choice," said Jon Stewart, a friend of Mr. Garlin since both were stand-up comedians in New York in the late 1980's. "They both do a lot of shameful things. But Jeff is a cushion to Larry's harder floor."

"He is what I consider to be a human Cinnabon," Mr. Stewart added. "You probably shouldn't partake, but you just can't resist."

Mr. Garlin, 43, also plays an important role off camera on "Curb," as one of five executive producers. That title serves, at least in part, as an acknowledgment from Mr. David that the series might not have materialized had Mr. Garlin not broached the rough idea for it over lunch at a Koo-Koo-Roo chicken restaurant in Beverly Hills in the late 1990's.

While that conversation was impromptu, it was consistent with the backstage role that Mr. Garlin has played throughout a two-decade career as a comedian and actor: that of a trusted sounding board for fellow practitioners. In the mid-1990's, Mr. Stewart and Denis Leary extended separate invitations to Mr. Garlin, who trained at Second City in Chicago, to travel with them for several months to winnow stand-up material for HBO specials. (Mr. Stewart's was called "Unleavened"; Mr. Leary's, "Lock 'n' Load.") Mr. Garlin was charged with telling each comic where the laughs were.

"I literally go out with a set of bullet points," Mr. Leary said of his sets. "I start talking. I find spots the audience finds interesting.

"When we'd get done, Jeff would tell me: 'This bit is good. This other bit has nothing to do with what we're talking about.' "

"I'd object," Mr. Leary added. "And like a baseball manager, he'd come right back at me."

By 1999, Mr. Garlin and Mr. David, who knew each other casually, were working in nearby offices at Castle Rock Entertainment. Mr. Garlin had just finished a run on "Mad About You" - he played Marvin, who worked in a sporting goods store - and was working on a pilot. Mr. David had finished "Seinfield" (he was a co-creator and executive producer) and was trying to figure out what was next.

When Mr. David mentioned to Mr. Garlin over lunch that he was mulling a return to the stand-up stage, Mr. Garlin had a ready reply: Mr. David should have it filmed as an HBO special. Implicit in Mr. Garlin's suggestion, both men agree, is that the backstage run-up to that special be a component of the special itself.

"I was very specific as to what the special would be because I had just directed Jon and Dennis," Mr. Garlin said, in an interview at one of his favorite haunts, the sprawling Farmers Market here. "The difference was that mine included a lot more stand-up and Larry's included more behind-the-scenes."

"He was right," Mr. Garlin added. "I could have brought the idea to a million other people, and we wouldn't be talking about a great show."

Mr. David refined that lunchtime conversation into a special in which the real Mr. David prepared a real comedy special while assisted by a fictional wife and manager. Cheryl Hines, a sketch comedy veteran, was cast as his wife. For the manager, Mr. David recalled thinking, "Why not Jeff?"

"Jeff never gives you anything that's off in a scene," Mr. David said. "He also has a great eye for what's wrong in a scene, when he's off camera."

"He is always honest," Mr. David added. "We've gotten in fights about that from time to time."

Having studied improv at Second City and mounted three one-man shows there, Mr. Garlin embraced the structure of "Curb." In lieu of dialogue, the actors are given outlines, sometimes just moments before the cameras roll.

Some actors appearing as guests have vomited with anxiety, Mr. Garlin said. "For me," he said, "being able to act out scenes with Larry David, you can't get more freeing or lucky than that."< /blockquote>


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:52 PM

"WHO'S YO' DADDY?" CONSERVATISM? (via Robert Duquette):

Goodbye to All That: Is this the end of “compassionate conservatism”? (Jonah Goldberg, 9/23/05, National Review)

Here's my silver-lining hope this hurricane season: George W. Bush's compassionate conservatism gets wiped out like a taco hut in the path of a Cat. 5 storm.

Outside of people inside the administration, I've never met anyone who really likes the president's "compassionate conservatism." To the extent conservatives praise it at all, they celebrate the fact that compassionate conservatism got Bush elected. This is no small or insignificant feat, note the realists. Without victory, nothing else is possible. "It's the lady that brought us to the dance," they explain.

Now, don't get me wrong. I actually respect much of the substance of compassionate conservatism.


Which nicely captures why National Review has become so trivial. The libertarian Right--being, by definition, made up predominantly of young single white men-- likes to think its as tough as an Ayn Rand hero and imagines itself always on the verge of turning the clock back to just before the Crash of '29. But the reality is that people want a social safety net so the best that the Right can achieve is to bring free market forces to bear on the provision of those services: work requirements in welfare; school vouchers; personal savings accounts for Health, Retirement, Unemployment, etc; Faith Based charity rather than government bureaucracy, and so on and so forth. Folks like Mr. Goldberg buy the whole package but think "compassion" makes them sound like sissies. So why not just have Frank Luntz come up with a name that doesn't frighten them where they're insecure? Or, we'll send a book to whoever can come up with a vapidly macho name for compassionate conservatism that'll comfort them.


MORE:
Let's Deploy the 'Little Platoons': A conservative vision of social justice. (IAIN DUNCAN SMITH AND RICK SANTORUM, September 23, 2005, Opinion Journal)

For all the differences between the United States and Europe, we share a common challenge: how to improve the social well-being of our citizens without a massive growth in the size and intrusiveness of government. We're convinced that conservatism--properly understood--offers the surest road to social justice. [...]

Conservatives on both sides of the Atlantic and beyond are charting a new vision of social justice. It recognizes that the problems caused or aggravated by the growth in government cannot be corrected by a crude reduction in its size. Policy must also deliberately foster the growth of what Edmund Burke called "the little platoons" of civil society: families, neighborhood associations, private enterprises, charities and churches. These are the real source of economic growth and social vitality.

The social justice agenda we endorse is grounded in social conservatism. That means helping the poor discover the dignity of work, rather than making them wards of the state. It means locking up violent criminals, but offering nonviolent offenders lots of help to become responsible citizens. It endorses a policy of "zero tolerance" toward drug use and sexual trafficking, yet insists that those struggling with all manner of addictions can start their lives afresh.

In America, this vision emerged a decade ago with bold conservative initiatives aimed at empowering individuals and grassroots groups helping the nation's neediest, such as the Community Renewal Act and other antipoverty initiatives. Today's CARE Act is part of the same tradition. Likewise, the Bush administration's plan to create a Gulf Opportunity Zone after Hurricane Katrina would offer tax relief and small-business loans to support a culture of entrepreneurship. [...]

"The most important of all revolutions," Burke wrote, is "a revolution in sentiments, manners and moral opinions." Yet we believe that social-justice conservatism can produce societies that are more humane than anything liberalism could accomplish. As we build a conservative alternative--a vision informed both by idealism and realism--we have evidence, experience and common sense on our side.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:49 PM

OTHER THAN THAT HOW'D YOU ENJOY THE LECTURE, MR. HU?:

Friendship visit by ally of China turns into blistering lecture (Joseph Kahn, SEPTEMBER 23, 2005, The New York Times)

China's leaders may have felt they had no better friend in Taiwan than Li Ao, a defiant and outspoken politician and author who says that Taiwan should unify with Communist China. But when the Chinese government invited Li to tour the mainland this past week, the Communist Party got a taste of its rival's pungent democracy.

During an address at Beijing University on Wednesday, broadcast live on a cable television network, Li chided China's leaders for suppressing free speech, ridiculed the university administration's fear of academic debate and advised students on how to fight for freedom against official repression. [...]

[W]hen he arrived in mainland China, he surprised his hosts with caustic comments aimed not at Taiwanese separatism, but at mainland authoritarianism. Though Li did not criticize Hu directly, he made pointed references to the lack of freedoms in mainland China and suggested that "poker-faced" Communist Party bureaucrats do not have enough faith in their legitimacy to allow normal intellectual discussion.

With several top university officials sitting by his side, he called the administrators "cowardly" for ferreting out professors at the school who are suspected of opposing communism.

Though his arrival in mainland China was covered prominently by the state-run media and his speech was viewed on television by millions around China, the authorities imposed a blackout on reporting about his visit after the speech.

Thereby proving his point.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:49 AM

THE SUCCESSOR:

John McCain (Michael Barone, 9/22/05, US News)

I attended an American Spectator dinner last night featuring John McCain. McCain spent much of the evening casting votes in the Senate, but returned and spoke with impressive energy and at considerable length. He said it was fine if everything was on the record. Those who think that McCain is still smoldering with anger at George W. Bush over the 2000 campaign should think again: McCain spoke fervently and with obvious sincerity about how much he admires Bush and the job he has been doing as president.

McCain addressed two issues that have the potential to divide the Republican base: spending and immigration.

On spending, he said that to offset the spending of Hurricane Katrina and to prevent what "may be the largest deficit in history," Congress should revisit the highway bill—the big transportation bill passed earlier this year—and should consider delaying or repealing the Medicare prescription drug bill. On both of these issues his positions are to the right of the Bush administration's: After all, Bush signed both bills.


Every candidate runs on cutting wasteful spending and the Right laps it up.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:44 AM

NO, LOOK AT THE OTHER BIG PICTURE:

Limiting Government's Role: Bush favors one-time fixes over boosting existing programs to help Katrina victims. (Peter G. Gosselin and Ricardo Alonso-Zaldivar, September 23, 2005, LA Times)

Two days after Hurricane Katrina slammed into the Gulf Coast, the Department of Housing and Urban Development announced plans to issue emergency vouchers aimed at helping poor storm victims find new housing quickly by covering as much as $10,000 of their rent.

But the department suddenly backed away from the idea after White House aides met with senior HUD officials. Although emergency vouchers had been successfully used after the 1994 Northridge earthquake, the administration focused instead on a plan for government-built trailer parks, an approach that even many Republicans say would concentrate poverty in the very fashion the government has long sought to avoid. [...]

As President Bush tackles the monumental task of easing the social problems wrought by Katrina, he is proving deeply reluctant to use some of the big-government tools at his disposal, apparently out of fear of permanently enlarging programs that he opposes or has sought to cut.

Instead of depending on long-running programs for such services as housing and healthcare, the president has generally tried to create new, one-shot efforts that the administration apparently hopes will more easily disappear after the crisis passes. That has meant relying on the Federal Emergency Management Agency, which has run virtually all of the recovery effort. [...]

At least in the case of housing, critics say that the president's unwillingness to rely on existing programs could raise costs. Instead of offering $10,000 vouchers, FEMA is paying an average of $16,000 for each trailer in the new parks it is contemplating. Even many Republicans wonder why the government would want to build trailer parks when many evacuees are now living in communities with plenty of vacant, privately owned apartments.


Any time the GOP can voucherize any government service it ought to.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:02 AM

IF THEY WERE LESS CREDULOUS THEY MIGHT HAVE NOTICED THE MEDICALERT BRACELET:

New 'Hobbit' disease link claim (BBC, 9/23/05)

Scientists are to present new evidence that the tiny human species dubbed "The Hobbit" may not be what it seems.

The researchers say their findings strongly support an idea that the 1m- (3ft-) tall female skeleton from Indonesia is a diseased modern human.


No wonder they had to destroy the bones.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:59 AM

BY "FASCIST" HE PRESUMABLY MEANS ANTI-BOLSHEVIK?

Warren Beatty: Schwarzenegger 'Fascist' (NewsMax, 9/23/05)

Actor Warren Beatty leveled a blistering political assault on Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger on Thursday night, accusing him of governing "by show, by spin, by cosmetics and photos ops."

Beatty made his remarks at a convention of the California Nurses Association, an organization that has emerged in the last year as one of Schwarzenegger's most vociferous critics. [...]

But Beatty used most of his address to rail against the Republican governor's "year of reform" ballot initiatives in the Nov. 8 special election. Schwarzenegger is pushing several measures that would curb the power of the Democrat-controlled Legislature and the state's powerful public employee unions.

Beatty, who has criticized the governor several times this year, called the initiatives "union busting" and "fascist."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:48 AM

DON'T LIKE US, BE MORE LIKE US:

They're Not Going To Like Us (David Ignatius, September 23, 2005, Washington Post)

I've had a lesson in our unpopularity in Egypt, where I've been hearing anti-American broadsides from activists who should be thanking the Bush administration for its pro-democracy stance. These are people who, but for the administration's pressure over the past few years on Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, might well be in prison. But do they appreciate President Bush's help? Not on your life.

Take the pro-democracy speech in June by Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice. She told an audience at the American University in Cairo that the administration was breaking with a 60-year-old policy that "pursued stability at the expense of democracy" and choosing instead to support democratic activists even when they challenged pro-U.S. rulers such as Mubarak. But the Egyptians remained dubious, to put it mildly. [...]

Another leading democracy activist, Hisham Kassem, said he warned the secretary of state when she was in Egypt not to expect any bouquets. "I told Rice your administration is the most unpopular ever in the Arab world and will remain so until Bush leaves office." He thinks that this anti-Americanism is unfair and that Arab historians will eventually realize the importance of Bush's pro-democracy policies. But not anytime soon.

The Bush administration might do better in this part of the world if it accepted its unpopularity, rather than trying to wish it otherwise. That's especially true in Iraq. Most Iraqis were profoundly grateful that the United States toppled Saddam Hussein in April 2003, but that doesn't mean they like being occupied. The antibodies against the American presence are just too strong. The average Iraqi experiences U.S. occupation as a daily humiliation.

The potency of this anti-Americanism means, among other things, that we can't solve our problems in Iraq by sending in more troops. A bigger U.S. footprint would only increase Iraqi anger and fuel the insurgency. In contrast, fewer American troops may actually make it easier to stabilize the country, if the United States can help the Iraqis create a strong military and government of their own. America may be having trouble defeating Abu Musab Zarqawi, but the Iraqis won't.


The most important lesson of Iraq is that it's inappropriate to occupy a nation whose people were oppressed by the regime we got rid of.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:24 AM

PEPPERED MOUTHS:

Evolutionary Tools Help Unlock Origins of Ancient Languages (Scientific American, 9/23/05)

The key to understanding how languages evolved may lie in their structure, not their vocabularies, a new report suggests. Findings published today in the journal Science indicate that a linguistic technique that borrows some features from evolutionary biology tools can unlock secrets of languages more than 10,000 years old.

Because vocabularies change so quickly, using them to trace how languages evolve over time can only reach back about 8,000 to 10,000 years. To study tongues from the Pleistocene, the period between 1.8 million and 10,000 years ago, Michael Dunn and his colleagues at the Max Planck Institute for Psycholinguistics developed a computer program that analyzes language based on how words relate to one another. They developed a database containing 125 "structural language features," which include traits such as verb placement within clauses, for two sets of languages.


Once again, evolution is shown to be the product of intelligent design.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:20 AM

IT'S ONLY BAD WHEN THE JEWS DO IT:

Spain builds own Berlin Wall to stop immigrants (Expatica, 22 September 2005)

Spain announces it is to make its frontier fence with Morocco as high as the Berlin Wall after 12 men are badly injured trying to get across existing fences into Melilla.

In all 70 tried to break through the three metre-high fences which are topped with row upon row of barbed wire.

Twelve suffered broken bones, cuts and other injuries and were being treated in hospital.

One man was captured by TV cameras hanging from the barbed wire in apparent pain.

The latest assault came as Spain announced it is to make the frontier fences higher.

They will be the same height as the Berlin Wall.


Remember all the Euro chirping when Ariel Sharon started building the security wall?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:02 AM

THE DISCIPLINE OF AN ELECTORATE:

How some senators plan to vote on Roberts (Associated Press, 9/23/05)

All 55 Senate Republicans are expected to vote for John Roberts' confirmation as Supreme Court chief justice next week. The 44 Democrats are less unified.

Democrats who have announced their support for Roberts (8):

Bill Nelson of Florida, Ben Nelson of Nebraska, Mark Pryor of Arkansas, Tim Johnson of South Dakota, Max Baucus of Montana, Robert Byrd of West Virginia, Jeff Bingaman of New Mexico, Kent Conrad of North Dakota.

Democrats who voted for Roberts on the Judiciary Committee (3):

Patrick Leahy of Vermont, Russ Feingold of Wisconsin, Herb Kohl of Wisconsin.


Democrats can't figure out why they keep losing national elections even though they oppose Roberts as a party but all these guys are forced to support him for purposes of their own re-elections.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:26 AM

THERE'S A REASON GOD DIVIDED THE PLUMBING:

Ass Backwards: The media's silence about rampant anal sex. (William Saletan, Sept. 20, 2005, Slate)

There's no delicate way to put this, so I'll just quote the survey report: "For males, the proportion who have had anal sex with a female increases from 4.6 percent at age 15 to 34 percent at ages 22–24; for females, the proportion who have had anal sex with a male increases from 2.4 percent at age 15 to 32 percent at age 22–24." One in three women admits to having had anal sex by age 24. By ages 25 to 44, the percentages rise to 40 for men and 35 for women. And that's not counting the 3.7 percent of men aged 15 to 44 who've had anal sex with other men.

The last time major national surveys asked about this practice, in the early 1990s, only 20 percent of men aged 20 to 39 said they'd had anal sex with a woman in the preceding 10 years. Only 26 percent of men aged 18 to 59 said they'd ever done so. In the first survey, the 10-year limit excluded half the sexual career of half the sample, but that isn't enough to explain a doubling in the percentage saying yes. In the second survey, according to the current report, the inclusion of men aged 46 to 59 might have diluted the sample with "cohorts that were less likely to have had anal sex." But that's the point: Newer cohorts are more likely to have tried it.

Why does this matter? Because anal sex is far more dangerous than oral sex. According to data released earlier this year by the Centers for Disease Control, the probability of HIV acquisition by the receptive partner in unprotected oral sex with an HIV carrier is one per 10,000 acts. In vaginal sex, it's 10 per 10,000 acts. In anal sex, it's 50 per 10,000 acts. Do the math. Oral sex is 10 times safer than vaginal sex. Anal sex is five times more dangerous than vaginal sex and 50 times more dangerous than oral sex. Presumably, oral sex is far more frequent than anal sex. But are you confident it's 50 times more frequent?

A CDC fact sheet explains the risks of anal sex. First, "the lining of the rectum is thin and may allow the [HIV] virus to enter the body." Second, "condoms are more likely to break during anal sex than during vaginal sex." These risks don't just apply to HIV. According to the new survey report, the risk of transmission of other sexually transmitted diseases is likewise "higher for anal than for oral sex," and the risk "from oral sex is also believed to be lower than for vaginal intercourse."


Many respondents likely just confuse doggy-style with actual anal sex, but if only the MSM would be this forthright about why male homosexuality is pathological...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:46 AM

JUST ANOTHER MAJOR REWRITE:

Rewrite of Endangered Species Law Approved: House to Vote Soon; Senate Could in 2006 (Juliet Eilperin, September 23, 2005, Washington Post)

Setting the stage for the most sweeping restructuring of endangered species protections in three decades, the House Resources Committee yesterday approved legislation that would strengthen the hand of private property owners and make it harder for federal officials to set aside large swaths of habitat for imperiled plants and animals.

Committee Chairman Richard W. Pombo (R-Calif.), who has sought to revamp the Endangered Species Act for more than a decade, said the bill would make the landmark 32-year-old law more effective.

"The whole underlying premise of what we're trying to do is recover species," Pombo said, adding that his measure would ensure "individual property owners are not forced to shoulder the financial burden of conserving endangered species for all Americans."

GOP leaders are eager to move the bill and it is expected to pass by a comfortable margin next week. The question remains whether Senate Republicans, who have begun hearings on the issue but have yet to introduce legislation, can pass a bill that would allow the two chambers to reach a compromise next year.

Many Democrats, as well as some Republicans and an array of environmental groups, have voiced concern about Pombo's measure and suggested it would not pass as it now stands.


What areas of legislative concern won't the President and Congress have sweepingly restructured by 2009?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:33 AM

TYPHOID ABDUL:

From Patriot to Proliferator: The myth of a Pakistani scientist as his nation's savior long protected him. It took his peddling of atomic know-how to shred it. (Douglas Frantz, September 23, 2005, LA Times)

In spring 2000, Lt. Gen. Syed Mohammad Amjad was in his office at Pakistan's National Accountability Bureau when one of his senior investigators delivered the report he was dreading.

The bureau had been created six months earlier to root out corruption among bureaucrats, politicians and the business elite. Amjad, a career army officer known for his integrity, was given authority to arrest anyone.

The investigator had been quietly verifying the contents of a 700-page dossier on Abdul Qadeer Khan, the scientist whose reputation as the father of Pakistan's atomic bomb made him the country's most revered figure.

It was clear that Khan was living far beyond his modest government salary, the investigator reported. He had stashed $8 million in banks in Pakistan; Dubai, United Arab Emirates; and Switzerland, acquired seven expensive houses, paid monthly stipends to 20 journalists to burnish his image and collected kickbacks on purchases by the government lab he ran.

Corruption was easy to prove, the investigator said, but pursuing Khan would entangle the young bureau in a political struggle it was likely to lose. The scientist was shielded by a largely self-constructed myth that he had almost single-handedly ensured Pakistan's national security by building a nuclear arsenal to counter India's.

"My humble suggestion is not to open a case at this stage," the investigator told Amjad, according to a person who attended the meeting. Amjad reluctantly agreed.

Khan's protective wall did not collapse for nearly four more years.

In February 2004, facing rising international pressure, the government forced Khan to confess that he had run a highly profitable black-market operation that sold nuclear secrets and technology to Iran, North Korea and Libya. His activities made him the single most important figure in the spread of atomic weapons beyond a small clutch of nuclear states.

Much about Khan's network has been discovered since then. Still, mystery surrounds what turned a proud and ambitious man from patriot to proliferator. [...]

In early 2000, Khan summoned Hamid Mir, a prominent Pakistani journalist, to the lab at Kahuta to rage about Gen. Pervez Musharraf, who had taken control of the country in a coup the previous October.

Musharraf had had the gall to cut funding for the lab's program to develop missiles based on the North Korean designs, Khan told him. "Young man, he is trying to appease the Americans by stopping my missile program," Khan said.

Two former senior military officers close to Musharraf said the new Pakistani leader was actually trying to assert control over Pakistan's sprawling nuclear establishment, particularly Khan's operation. But Musharraf had to proceed cautiously because of Khan's enormous popularity and his own tenuous grasp on power.

Amjad's inquiry at the National Accountability Bureau did not lead to Khan's prosecution, and an investigation of two trips Khan made to Dubai later in 2000 also was inconclusive. But Musharraf thought he had enough evidence to take some action.

In March 2001, Musharraf removed Khan as head of the lab and forbade him to set foot inside Kahuta again. He softened the blow by appointing Khan as a presidential advisor.

"Musharraf didn't want a domestic backlash, and he didn't want to belittle him," said the former military officer, who was involved in the decision.

Khan remained defiant. He continued to expand his black-market dealings while denying that he had peddled nuclear technology.

In an interview in fall 2001 for "Stealing the Fire," a documentary about the spread of nuclear technology, Khan denied ever helping anyone other than Pakistan obtain nuclear equipment or weapons.

"We have not indulged in any proliferation," he said, according to a transcript of the session provided to the Los Angeles Times by the film's producers, John Friedman and Eric Nadler. "You cannot buy nuclear weapons. You cannot get a nuclear weapon on a platter."

That, however, was precisely what Khan was offering Libyan strongman Moammar Kadafi. In an agreement reached in 1997, Khan had promised to provide Libya with a complete bomb factory, from uranium enrichment to nuclear warhead. The price tag was $100 million.

But even after he was demoted, Khan was powerful enough to continue using Pakistani government aircraft to fly nuclear goods to Libya.

In the end, Khan and his network were put out of business by one of their own customers, a man long regarded as a terrorist who now wanted to be accepted by the international community.

On Dec. 19, 2003, after months of secret negotiations with British and U.S. officials, Kadafi agreed to abandon his chemical, biological and nuclear programs. As part of the deal, Libya turned over records that directly tied Khan to the sale of nuclear technology and a warhead design.

Musharraf negotiated Khan's final surrender: The scientist would confess on television to unspecified proliferation in exchange for keeping his wealth and strict confinement to his home.

Mir, the journalist, met the defeated scientist at his government office a few days before he began his house arrest in February 2004. Khan railed that U.S. and Pakistani intelligence had caused his troubles, and he lashed out at Musharraf, predicting that he would do the Americans' bidding again by turning over Osama bin Laden just before the U.S. elections in November of that year.

"He thought that nobody could touch him because he is a hero," Mir said. "It was beyond his expectations that Musharraf could arrest him. That shock destroyed his mental health."


Amazing how many otherwise sensible people hate General Musharraf. He's like the new Pinochet or Franco.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:26 AM

THE STRANGLER SHIFTS HIS GRIP:

Barroso's red-tape-cut not enough, says business (Lucia Kubosova, 9/22/05, EU Observer)

The business community has expressed disappointment over the unofficial list of around 70 laws Brussels wants to scrap due to their negative impact on Europe's economy.

They argue most of the bills are overdue and would have to be shelved anyway.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:22 AM

ONE STEP FORWARD, TWO STEPS BACK:

Free school for one-girl families (Jyotsna Singh, 9/23/05, BBC News)

The Indian government says it will reward girls from single child families with free education and other benefits.

The move is intended to bolster India's dwindling female population and help promote population control.


More girls is good. Rewarding single child families insane.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:20 AM

AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS MINE LIES A BIG, BIG PARTY:

Mine safety drive fails in China (Daniel Griffiths, 9/23/05, BBC News)

China has admitted that a campaign to get officials to give up illegal stakes in the country's highly profitable but dangerous coal mines has failed.

The country has the world's deadliest mining industry, and thousands die each year in mining accidents.

This campaign was supposed to be part of a major drive to improve safety in its coal mines.

Local officials often have shares in the mines, which have risen in value as coal fuels the booming economy.

But poor safety standards and many illegal operations have led to the deaths of nearly 3,000 miners in the first half of this year alone.

Beijing ordered all local officials to give up their stakes after growing public anger about the problem.

Now, though, it has admitted that those orders have been ignored by many Communist Party cadres.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:55 AM

UP TO US TO RAVEL IT:

Our devolving society (Waterbury Republican-American, September 23, 2005)

Seven years ago, Ohio passed a law requiring girls under 18 to get their parents' written consent before having an abortion. Tied up in court since then by American Civil Liberties Union lawyers on behalf of a Cincinnati abortion clinic, the law also requires women seeking abortions to meet face-to-face with a doctor to learn more about the procedure and its risks and alternatives.

U.S. District Court Judge Sandra S. Beckwith now says the law is "legal" because the "evidence does not demonstrate that (the statute) imposes undue burdens on the abortion right." Pro-lifers were too busy hailing the ruling and the ACLU too busy mulling an appeal to realize how well this decision illustrates the devolution of civil society.

In bygone days, many of society's most important laws were unwritten. Paramount among them was that parents were responsible for giving their children a proper upbringing. Among other things, they were to feed, clothe and nurture them, teach them proper manners and discipline them when they got out of line. Parents understood that teenagers are incapable of making reasoned decisions because young brains are not yet wired to consider the full consequences of their actions. The goal of parents was to guide their children and mold them into productive, responsible adults, and the vast majority didn't need a judge to prod them to take their jobs seriously.

So had a 15-year-old showed up at a doctor's office looking for an abortion, any physician worth his diploma would have contacted her parents because it was the right thing to do. And a doctor true to his oath would have counseled a woman seeking an abortion about the many potential physical and psychological traumas; again, it was the right thing to do. But all that changed after abortion became a "constitutional right," and legal and illegal supplanted right and wrong as the barometer of behavior in America.

With virtue and standards taken out of play, the fabric of society unraveled.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:43 AM

YOU'RE ALL GOING DOWN WITH ME:

Columnist Correction Policy Isn't Being Applied to Krugman (Byron Calame, 9/16/05, NY Times Public Editor's Web Journal)

An Op-Ed columnist for The New York Times who makes an error "is expected to promptly correct it in the column." That's the established policy of Gail Collins, editor of the editorial page. Her written policy encourages "a uniform approach, with the correction made at the bottom of the piece."

Two weeks have passed since my previous post spelled out the errors made by columnist Paul Krugman in writing about news media recounts of the 2000 Florida vote for president. Mr. Krugman still hasn't been required to comply with the policy by publishing a formal correction. Ms. Collins hasn't offered any explanation. [...]

A bottom-line question: Does a corrections policy not enforced damage The Times's credibility more than having no policy at all?


Credibility?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

BAD POLITICS, GOOD POLICY:

Rove Is Paving Way for Guest Worker Program (Mary Curtius, September 22, 2005, LA Times)

White House political strategist Karl Rove is offering lawmakers new details of an administration-backed guest worker program that would temporarily legalize the status of millions of illegal workers, according to Republicans who have attended the meetings.

The White House effort is seen as its latest step toward reasserting President Bush's leadership on one of the most divisive issues confronting Republicans.

Concerned that increasingly strident anti-immigrant voices within the party were undermining the administration's efforts to reach out to Hispanic voters, the administration formed a coalition of business groups and immigration advocates during the summer to lobby for the sort of comprehensive reform plan Bush has advocated since early in his presidency.

And some lawmakers see the recent White House sessions as evidence that Bush intends to pursue his plan as soon as this fall -- despite the strains Hurricane Katrina has put on the legislative agenda and despite ongoing opposition within his party.


if Democrats were united behind this the President could roll the GOP, but they're likely too beholden to labor.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

GOOD POLITICS, GOOD POLICY:

House OKs Faith As Head Start Hiring Issue (BEN FELLER, 9/23/05, AP)

The House voted Thursday to let Head Start centers consider religion when hiring workers, overshadowing its moves to strengthen the preschool program's academics and finances.

The Republican-led House approved a bill that lets churches and other faith-based preschool centers hire only people who share their religion, yet still receive federal tax dollars.

Democrats blasted that idea as discriminatory.


Democrats just can't allow themselves out from under their anti-religious millstone.


September 22, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:59 PM

DANCE, PAINT BOY:

Scalia Defends Government's Right to Deny Art Funds (DANIEL J. WAKIN, 9/23/05, NY Times)

Justice Antonin Scalia of the United States Supreme Court made an unusual appearance at the Juilliard School yesterday and defended the government's right to deny funds for art it disapproves of, elaborating in person on what he has written on the bench.

He told reporters that choosing what art to subsidize is no different than the stances the government takes all the time in other areas.

"The First Amendment has not repealed the basic rule of life, that he who pays the piper calls the tune," Justice Scalia said. "When you place the government in charge of funding art, just as when you place the government in charge of providing education, somebody has to pick the content of what art is going to be funded, what subjects are going to be taught.

"The only way to eliminate any government choice on what art is worthwhile, what art isn't worthwhile, is to get the government totally out of the business of funding," he said.


The point being that we fund education and the arts to serve our ends as a society, not those of teachers unions and artists.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:59 PM

FRIDAY THE RABBI STAYED EQUANIMOUS:

Rabbi Eliyahu changes mind on refusal (yaakov katz and matthew wagner, Sep. 23, 2005, THE JERUSALEM POST)

In a surprise break from his fierce opposition to disengagement and his support of calls for the refusal of IDF evacuation orders, former Sephardi chief rabbi Mordechai Eliahu, in an exclusive interview with The Jerusalem Post, urged members of the national religious camp on Thursday to remain loyal to the state and the army.

This view stands in stark contrast to that espoused by a group of settlement rabbis – such as Zalman Melamed of Beit El, Dov Lior of Kiryat Arba, Elyakim Levanon of Elon Moreh and David Dudkevitch of Yitzhar – who see as their leader former Ashkenazi chief rabbi Avraham Shapira.

In the name of Shapira, these rabbis are calling for a radical revamping of the relationship between religious and secular Zionists.

Eliahu's equanimity, in his first interview with the press since disengagement, was a striking departure from his own previous adamant opposition to the pullout, which he had called a "curse from heaven."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:58 PM

WHERE THE WAR ENDS:

The Danger Next Door (SETH G. JONES, 9/23/05, NY Times)

Unlike the violence in Iraq, the fighting in Afghanistan is not the result of a local population deeply hostile to American forces. A 2004 opinion poll by the Asia Foundation showed that 65 percent of Afghans had a favorable view of the United States government, and 67 percent had a favorable view of the American military - findings supported by my own observations and data from trips to the region during the last three years.

Nor is the fighting in Afghanistan the result of a failing American political and military strategy. American conventional and Special Forces have conducted effective strike operations and civic action programs that have undermined Taliban, Qaeda and Hezb-i-Islami insurgents and their local support network in Afghanistan.

Instead, a complex support network in Pakistan is the key to the Afghan insurgency's survival. Taliban insurgents in southern Afghanistan get supplies and help in Pakistani provinces like North-West Frontier and Baluchistan. Numerous captured Taliban prisoners have said they received training in Pakistani areas like the Mansehra district. Even more troubling, evidence suggests that Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence directorate has helped Taliban insurgents.


It's wise to save Western Pakistan until everything else is taken care of because even Democrats have to support operations against al Qaeda.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:24 PM

WHERE'D HE PLAY FOOTBALL?:

Poll: Istook trails Gov. Henry by 8 points (Jim Snyder, 9/22/05, The Hill)

A poll paid for by the Oklahoma state GOP shows Rep. Ernest Istook, now in his seventh term, as the strongest contender against Gov. Brad Henry, a Democrat.

Istook is considering running for the chance to take on Henry, who was elected in 2002 with just more than 43 percent of the vote and is among the GOP’s biggest 2006 targets.

The poll measured five potential Republican nominees against Henry.

Istook finished the strongest but would not win, according to the poll. In that race, Henry would beat Istook 44 to 36 percent.


Mr. Istook is probably polling higher than his name recognition. This is the seat Steve Largent biffed in '02 and the GOP should own it.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:51 PM

SOONER OR LATER YOUR CHICKS LEAVE THE NEST:

Iraqi Forces Show Signs Of Progress In Offensive (Jonathan Finer, September 22, 2005, Washington Post)

TALL AFAR, Iraq -- The Iraqi soldiers had already searched the house, according to a sticker plastered across its front gate.

But when their commanding general and a U.S. colonel arrived one afternoon last week to praise their performance and observe them in action, the troops wanted to give a demonstration. With theatrical intensity, they charged the two-story structure on the nearly deserted block, rifles at the ready, while other soldiers and two reporters watched from the street.

A fiery explosion -- some soldiers said they saw a man throw a grenade, others said the door was rigged to blow -- erupted from inside, followed by bursts of gunfire. The shouting soldiers stumbled out through a cloud of smoke, covered in blood. The rest of the platoon, which had lost a lieutenant in a grenade attack the day before, appeared dejected, some huddling around the wounded, others sitting with their heads in their hands.

What happened next, commanders here said, suggested significant progress toward the goal of shifting security functions to Iraqi forces so that the United States can begin withdrawing troops from Iraq. When the clashes grew intense, the Iraqi soldiers did not shrink, American officers said.


MORE:
President Discusses War on Terror and Hurricane Preparation (George W. Bush, The Pentagon, 9/22/05)

Today General Abizaid delivered a detailed brief on the global war on terror, with particular attention on the major battlefronts in Afghanistan and Iraq.

In Afghanistan, we have nearly 18,000 American troops who continue to serve as part of a coalition that has made extraordinary progress in delivering freedom and security to the people of that proud nation. This past Sunday, the Afghan people took another vital step toward democracy by electing representatives to their provincial councils and the National Assembly. President Karzai described the moment this way: "After 30 years of wars and interventions and occupation and misery, today Afghanistan is moving forward." And that's positive news for the world.

I mention Afghanistan is not yet complete. The international community is helping Afghanistan become a lasting democracy. There's still terrorists who seek to overthrow the young government. See, they want to return Afghanistan to what it was under the Taliban, a miserable place, a place where citizens have no rights, women are oppressed, and the terrorists have a safe haven to plan and plot attacks. And that's why coalition forces and our special forces and Afghan forces are conducting precision raids against high-value targets in southeastern Afghanistan. Our country will stand with the Afghan people as they secure their freedom and become an ally in the war on terror.

President George W. Bush delivers a statement Thursday, Sept. 22, 2005, on the War on Terror during a visit to the Pentagon. Said the President, " The only way the terrorists can win is if we lose our nerve and abandon the mission. For the security of the American people, that's not going to happen on my watch." White House photo by Shealah Craighead As we work to help defeat the enemies of a democratic Afghanistan we're also working to defeat the enemies of a democratic Iraq. General Casey briefed us about a comprehensive strategy to achieve victory in Iraq. We're going to deny the terrorists a safe haven to plot their attacks. We'll continue to train more Iraqi forces to assume increasing responsibility for basic security operations. Our forces will focus on hunting down high-value targets like the terrorist, Zarqawi. We'll continue working with Iraqis to bring all communities into the political process. Together we'll help Iraq become a strong democracy that protects the rights of its people and is a key ally in the war on terror.

General Abizaid and General Casey extensively talked about how we're going to achieve this victory. The terrorists are concentrated in four of Iraq's 18 provinces. Over the last several months, terrorists have continued to launch suicide attacks and assassinate Iraqis who are working to improve their country. The number of attacks has increased, particularly in the last week, as the terrorists have begun their campaign to stop a referendum on the constitution.

See, they don't care who they kill; they just kill. They kill innocent people. They kill women. They kill children. They kill election workers. And they've had a history of this before. They've had a history of escalating their attacks before Iraq's major political milestones, like the handover of sovereignty in 2004, the free elections this past January, and the drafting of the constitution over the summer.

Recently, Zarqawi, the terrorist, the killer, has called for a total war on Shia Iraqis. His hope is to set off a civil war that will divide the country and derail its march to democracy. Today our commanders made it clear, as Iraqis prepare to vote on their constitution in October and elect a permanent government in December, we must be prepared for more violence.

Standing with President Bush as he delivers a statement Thursday, Sept. 22, 2005, at the Pentagon on the War on Terror are: Vice President Dick Cheney; Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld; Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and General Richard Myers, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. White House photo by Shealah Craighead To defeat the terrorists, we're constantly adapting to their changing tactics and conducting aggressive counterterrorism operations in the areas where they're concentrated. As more and more Iraqi security forces complete their training, they're taking on greater responsibilities in these efforts. Iraqi troops are increasingly taking the lead in joint operations. They're conducting independent operations and expanding the reach and effectiveness of American forces. The growing size and increasing capabilities of the Iraqi security forces are helping our coalition deal with a challenge we have faced since the beginning of the war. It used to be that after we cleared out a city, there were not enough qualified Iraqi troops to maintain control. And so what would happen is, is that the terrorists would wait for us to leave, and then they'd try to move back in. And sometimes, with success. Now the increasing number of more capable Iraqi troops has allowed us to hold on to the cities we have taken from the terrorists. The Iraqi troops know their people, they know their language, and they know who the terrorists are. By leaving Iraqi units in the cities we've cleaned out, we can keep the cities safe, while we move on to hunt down the terrorists in other parts of the country.

We saw the value of large and more capable Iraqi security forces in Najaf and Fallujah last year, when America and Iraqi forces conducted joint operations to clean out terrorist strongholds. We followed up these successful efforts by working with the Iraqi government to ensure that Iraqi forces were able to maintain law and order. We worked with local leaders to improve infrastructure and create jobs and provide hope. As a result, the people of Najaf and Fallujah are safer, and their cities are moving ahead with vital reconstruction. And that's part of our strategy to help develop a secure, safe democracy in Iraq.

We're seeking to repeat this success elsewhere in Iraq, most recently in the country's northwest region. This area was the main route of foreign terrorists entering Iraq from Syria and a major concern of coalition forces. During operations in the key town of Tal Afar, Iraqi security forces outnumbered U.S. forces for the first time in a major offensive operation. Our joint efforts killed, captured or flushed out hundreds of terrorists. As a part of General Casey's strategy, Iraqi forces remain in Tal Afar to ensure that the terrorists are not allowed to return, regroup and hold hostage the innocent residents of that city.

President George W. Bush gestures as he delivers a statement Thursday, Sept. 22, 2005, on the War on Terror during a visit to the Pentagon. President Bush also thanked the leadership of the Pentagon for their help in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina. White House photo by Eric Draper Thanks to these operations we're making it more difficult for foreign terrorists to enter through the northwest part of Iraq. Coalition and Iraqi troops are now focusing their efforts in western Iraq where we're trying to stop foreign terrorists from entering through Syria and prevent al Qaeda from establishing a safe haven in the Anbar province.

General Casey is working with his Iraqi counterparts to restore Iraqi control of this region. And when we have completed this task, elements of the Iraqi military will remain to protect Iraq's border and ensure that the enemy does not return to dominate this region and intimidate its citizens.

To ensure that we can maintain this aggressive pace the military operations through the election period, we have temporarily increased our troop levels, just as we have before other major political events. As the Iraqi security forces establish control over more and more of their country, American troops will support these forces and continue to hunt down the terrorists in the remaining problem areas.

Iraqi forces are showing the vital difference they can make. They are now in control of more parts of Iraq than at any time in the past two years. Significant areas of Baghdad and Mosul, once violent and volatile, are now more stable because Iraqi forces are helping to keep the peace.

Iraqis are providing security in Najaf and parts of Diyala province. In all these areas, the Iraqis are gathering useful intelligence. They're forging alliances with civic and religious leaders. As the Iraqi security forces show they're capable of keeping the terrorists out, they're earning the confidence of the Iraqi people and ensuring the success of a free and democratic Iraq.

Listen, there are differences of opinion about the way forward; I understand that. Some Americans want us to withdraw our troops so that we can escape the violence. I recognize their good intentions, but their position is wrong. Withdrawing our troops would make the world more dangerous, and make America less safe. To leave Iraq now would be to repeat the costly mistakes of the past that led to the attacks of September the 11th, 2001. The terrorists saw our response to the hostage crisis in Iran, the bombings in the Marine barracks in Lebanon, the first World Trade Center attack, the killing of American soldiers in Somalia, the destruction of two U.S. embassies in Africa, and the attack on the USS Cole. The terrorists concluded that we lacked the courage and character to defend ourselves, and so they attacked us.

President George W. Bush delivers a statement Thursday, Sept. 22, 2005, on the War on Terror during a visit to the Pentagon. President Bush also thanked the leadership of the Pentagon for their help in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina. White House photo by Eric Draper Now the terrorists are testing our will and resolve in Iraq. If we fail that test, the consequences for the safety and security of the American people would be enormous. Our withdrawal from Iraq would allow the terrorists to claim an historic victory over the United States. It would leave our enemies emboldened and allow men like Zarqawi and bin Laden to dominate the Middle East and launch more attacks on America and other free nations. The battle lines are drawn, and there is no middle ground: either we defeat the terrorists and help the Iraqis build a working democracy, or the terrorists will impose their dark ideology on the Iraqi people and make that country a source of terror and instability to come for decades.

The only way the terrorists can win is if we lose our nerve and abandon the mission. For the security of the American people, that's not going to happen on my watch. We'll do our duty. We'll defeat our enemies in Iraq and other fronts in the war on terror. We'll lay the foundation of peace for our children and grandchildren.

Since our country was attacked on the morning of September the 11th, 2001, we have known that the war on terror would require tremendous sacrifice and commitment. Across the world, the brave men and women of our Armed Forces are taking on dangerous and difficult work. Some have given their lives in battle; they did so in a cause that is just and necessary for the security of this country. We're grateful for their service. We pray for their families they left behind. We'll honor their sacrifice by completing their mission and winning the war on terror.



Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:42 PM

AND JUST WHEN WE HAD YOU CONVINCED THE DANES ARE DEPRAVED (Via Brit)

Live sex and drug-taking bring Dutch reality TV to a new level (Jon Henley, The Guardian, September 22nd, 2005)

The country that unleashed Big Brother on an unsuspecting world has taken reality television a step further: a late-night talkshow whose presenters will consume drugs and engage in sex acts on air, then discuss their experiences afterwards.

The live Spuiten & Slikken show - which can be translated either as Inject & Swallow or Ejaculate & Swallow - starts on October 10 on the Dutch youth channel BNN, which last upset viewer sensibilities with a programme entitled This is How You Screw.

"We're not setting out to shock, but to inform," said a show producer, Sjoerd van den Broek. "The idea is to treat these subjects like a piece of theatre, to review them if you like. There's been endless idle chat about these matters, but never an adult critique."

Main presenter Filemon Wesselink, 26, is billed to go on a pub crawl, take heroin in the form of a pill, and try LSD at home on the sofa under the watchful eye of his mother. He will also retire into a locked room and try to establish whether oral sex is better from a man or a woman.

Meanwhile, his co-presenter, Ties van Westing, will interview both Wesselink and guests about their sexual and/or narcotic practices. "We just want to explain really clearly what all this stuff actually does to you," Mr Van den Broek said.

We are standing by eagerly awaiting the comments of our resident libertarians.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:26 PM

IT'S GOOD TO HAVE A KING:

Morocco moves gradually to address past repression: The king is boosting political transparency. Critics are cautious about calling it democratization. (Geoff Pingree and Lisa Abend, 9/23/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

When Mohammed VI assumed the throne in 1999, he moved to bring transparency to the political system, curb corruption, and elevate the status of women.

Yet in a country where portraits of the king hang in every business and political opponents are still arrested, democracy is not always easy to recognize. [...]

But supporters of gradual reform in Morocco, perhaps the most promising ally in the Arab world for both the US and Europe, assert that change occurs in increments, and that the process is the best way to avoid political upheaval and assure stability in North Africa and around the Mediterranean.

The changing status of women underscores the contradictory nature of the country's endeavor to become more democratic. Shortly after ascending the throne, Mohammed VI appointed the first-ever female Royal Counselor, and in 2002 he reserved seats for 30 female candidates in parliamentary elections.

The government is most proud of its recent Family Code. Approved in 2003, the law makes wives equal to their husbands, granting them shared ownership of assets and allowing them to divorce. For longtime women's rights activist Nezha Chekrouni, it was a fundamental shift. "It means we're moving from a logic of dominator and dominated, to a logic based on dignity," she says.

But before the law was ratified, Islamist groups vigorously protested its erosion of key Muslim principles governing relations between the sexes. Only after the Casablanca bombings, when such groups felt it necessary to demonstrate their loyalty, did their opposition evaporate, and parliament unanimously approved the code.


Spain's remains the only bombing that served evil rather than good.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:22 PM

SPEAKING OF READING THE WRITING ON THE WALL:

In Syria, democrats chomp at bit: Anticipating a new law that will allow the creation of political opposition parties, some Syrians aren't waiting. (Rhonda Roumani, 9/23/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

[I]n June, the Baath Party Congress recommended the establishment of a new political party law that would allow the creation of new nonethnic and nonreligious political parties.

Since then, Samir Nashar, a wealthy businessman from Aleppo, has spent weeks on the road, personally recruiting prominent intellectuals, economists, and businessmen to join the National Free Coalition, a new party that hopes to represent Syria's bourgeoisie.

But in a country where new political parties still remain illegal and gatherings of four or more people may be punishable by jail, Nashar's recruitment drive is proving difficult.

"Because of the security services, people don't know how the government will respond to announcements of political parties," said Nashar. "So even though people like our project, they remain fearful of joining."

While analysts say a new party law could take as long as two years to pass, the mere anticipation of such a law has ignited discussions among activists about what new political parties could look like.

And some of the country's boldest activists are looking to jump start the whole process.


Unlike Hosni Mubarak, there's no way Baby Assad wins a popular election.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:13 PM

THERE AREN'T THAT MANY FRENCH CANADIANS, ARE THERE?:

German failure (David Warren, 9/21/05, Ottawa Citizen)

The SPD is to Germany as the Liberals to Canada: the party to manage national decline. The long-term success of each has depended on turning "voters" gradually into "clients". >From the humblest welfare recipients, up to big businessmen whose fortunes depend on sweetheart regulatory arrangements, each party pitches itself, as crassly as necessary, to the beneficiaries of state largesse. Their supporters therefore become quite inured to massive corruption, and revelations of ineptitude -- and remain so, as long as they are guaranteed preferred access to the government trough.

The intention of such governments is not to run the economy into the ground, nor even to destroy the moral order through experiments in social engineering. That is simply the natural consequence of their way of doing business. A Social Democrat or Liberal government will do whatever appears immediately necessary to defend its tax base; and since full socialism has been repeatedly shown to lead directly to economic collapse, a kind of "guided capitalism" is favoured. The long-term economic decline becomes a by-product of a political outlook that mechanically ranks national interests below party interests.

Almost every west European country, Canada, and Japan, are in the same rut, from the same basic cause.


Someone needs to explain why Canada stopped being part of the Anglosphere and became part of continental Europe.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:09 PM

HOW QUICKLY THE UNIMAGINABLE BECOMES THE INEVITABLE ON ITS WAY TO THE DESIRABLE

After Gaza, some other settlers ready to move: A group in the West Bank wants Israel to start compensation now. (Ilene R. Prusher, 9/23/05, CS Monitor)

In the beginning, it was a small checkpoint. Then it became a well-guarded multilane opening. Soon, it became so jammed that Benny Raz had to wait at least a half-hour to enter Israel proper.

And then, he says, he saw the writing on the wall - and realized he was on the wrong side of it. This settlement, although not far from where internationally recognized Israel ends and the disputed West Bank begins, lies east of Israel's separation barrier, finished here in the past year.

Chances are, Mr. Raz says, such settlements will eventually meet the same fate as the 21 evacuated from Gaza.

The aftermath of the Gaza pullout has changed the Israeli political landscape in more ways than one. By demonstrating the feasible, if difficult, option of dismantling settlements, it has brought the likelihood of further withdrawals out of the realm of the theoretical.

That being the case, Raz wants out - and is spearheading a movement to encourage others to do the same. Their proposal: The government should start offering compensation now to folks like Raz, who came to live here mostly because housing was cheaper - thanks to state incentives - and who are ready to leave of their own accord.

That option could allow people to leave civilly, gradually, privately - in sharp contrast to the national heave-ho that Israel is still smarting from after last month's forced withdrawals.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:39 PM

HONORED:

Bush asks Abdullah to see Sharon, Abbas (NEDRA PICKLER, September 22, 2005, Associated Press)

Sitting next to Bush in the Oval Office, Abdullah thanked Bush for his support for trying to end the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

"I know that you want to find a solution that Israelis and Palestinians can live in peace and harmony," Abdullah said. "I hope, if we can help in that respect, that is a great honor for us."

Abdullah met with Sharon last week at the United Nations, their first talks in months and a further sign of warming relations between the Jewish state and the Arab world after Israel's Gaza withdrawal.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:14 PM

WHAT EVER HAPPENED TO DIANNE FEINSTEIN?:

Judiciary Committee Votes to Recommend Roberts's Confirmation (Fred Barbash, September 22, 2005, Washington Post)

John G. Roberts Jr. moved a step closer to becoming chief justice of the United States today as members of the Senate Judiciary Committee voted to send his nomination to the full Senate with a recommendation for confirmation.

The committee vote was 13 in favor of confirmation and five opposed. All the opponents were Democrats, including Sen. Edward M. Kennedy (Mass.), Joseph Biden (Del.), Dianne Feinstein (Calif.) , Charles Schumer (N.Y.) and Dick Durbin (Ill.)

Democrats who voted in the affirmative were Sens. Patrick Leahy (Vt.) , Herb Kohl (Wis.) and Russ Feingold (Wis.)


What stands out most here is the recognition that WI is becoming a Red State.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:41 AM

WHAT A SISSY:

Cindy Sheehan Takes on the Democrats, Hillary Clinton (Kristen Lombardi, September 20th, 2005, Village Voice)

[S]heehan isn’t stopping her critique with Bush. On the contrary, she has begun to set her sights on Congress and the Democratic Party as well. When she spoke in Brooklyn on the night before, she took note of the fact that Senator Hillary Clinton voted to authorize Bush to use force in Iraq and– like most Senate Democrats–has done little to bring the troops home. Clinton, in fact, has filed legislation calling for more troops.

In an interview after her speech, Sheehan told the Voice she was “so frustrated” by leading Democrats like Clinton “who should be leaders on this issue, but are not.” Already, she has set up a future meeting with New York’s junior senator this weekend.


Why does Ms Clinton always wear pants if she's going to cave this fast?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:29 AM

IF ONLY ROE HAD A STROM THURMOND THE WAY JIM CROW DID:

Among Democratic Activists, Little Indecision on Roberts (ROBIN TONER, 9/22/05, NY Times)

While many Democratic senators are still wrestling with their vote on Judge John G. Roberts Jr.'s nomination as chief justice of the United States, Democratic activists - in advocacy groups, policy organizations, the party apparatus - do not seem nearly as torn.

The opposition to the Roberts nomination in Democratic circles is vocal, widespread and not confined to the party's left; Bruce Reed, the president of the centrist Democratic Leadership Council, urged a no vote this week, even as Howard Dean, the Democratic chairman, declared Judge Roberts "the wrong man for the job." [...]

Ellen Malcolm, a leading fund-raiser who heads Emily's List, a group that backs Democratic women who support abortion rights, said Democrats at the grass roots wanted to see their senators fighting back, even if they lacked the numbers to prevail.

"I'm a realist here. They've got their 55 votes," Ms. Malcolm said of the Republicans. "But people want to see a show of strength and leadership from Democratic senators."


Leadership means going down in flames fighting for abortion?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:54 AM

A CHEAPER REAGAN:

'Whatever It Takes': Is Bush's big spending a bridge to nowhere? (Peggy Noonan, September 22, 2005, Opinion Journal)

George W. Bush is a big spender. He has never vetoed a spending bill. When Congress serves up a big slab of fat, crackling pork, Mr. Bush responds with one big question: Got any barbecue sauce? The great Bush spending spree is about an arguably shrewd but ultimately unhelpful reading of history, domestic politics, Iraq and, I believe, vanity.

Ms Noonan understandably reveres her former boss, Ronald Reagan, but it's worth noting that if you added $200 billion a year to the budget W would be spending a significantly smaller % of GDP than the Gipper did.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:49 AM

AVOIDING AWKWARD FACTS:

Focus for Supreme Court Pick Is Said to Be on Diversity (ELISABETH BUMILLER, 9/22/05, NY Times)

Miguel A. Estrada, a partner at the law firm of Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher in Washington who has also been mentioned by Republicans as a potential nominee, was said by the strategists not to be interested in the position. Mr. Estrada, an assistant solicitor general in the administration of the first President Bush and the beginning of the Clinton administration, was nominated by the current President Bush to the United States

What a quaint way of describing these events:
Estrada withdrew his name twenty-eight months after being nominated. During the confirmation struggle, Estrada’s wife miscarried; in November, 2004, she died, of an overdose of alcohol and sleeping pills. The death was ruled accidental by the medical examiner. Rove said that Mrs. Estrada had been traumatized by the nastiness of the process.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:45 AM

MASTERS OF THE OBVIOUS:

Next Nominee to Court Could Face More Heat (Jim VandeHei and Charles Babington, September 22, 2005, Washington Post)

Republicans and Democrats warned President Bush yesterday that his next pick for the Supreme Court will face much tougher scrutiny in the Senate, as Judiciary Chairman Arlen Specter lobbied the White House to delay the nomination until next year to defuse tension.

But the White House pushed ahead with plans to nominate Justice Sandra Day O'Connor's successor as early as the middle of next week from a shortlist that has been expanded beyond the field of candidates examined before the nomination of John G. Roberts Jr. to be chief justice and that includes several women and minorities, according to White House and Republican officials. First lady Laura Bush and a number of Republican senators are among those lobbying the president to nominate a woman or a minority, GOP officials said.

Whatever the nominee's sex or ethnicity, a Republican in close contact with the White House said the choice would be as conservative as Roberts.


Democrats are threatening, Arlen's wobbling, people want a woman, W is giving them a conservative ASAP. Couldn't they have just run another ad in this spot?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:33 AM

WHEN THE RIGHTS GO OUT ALL OVER THE WORLD:

The Death of German Conservatism: Amid the post-election noise in Germany, one salient fact has been getting little play. German voters don't trust political parties to the right of the center. It's been a long time coming, but its time to write the obituary of German conservatism. (Charles Hawley, 9/22/05, Der Spiegel)

[I]t's much easier to blame Merkel for the party's election debacle than it is to face the truth exposed on Sunday: The right side of the German political spectrum is in an unfocused freefall. And conservative Germany is a shambles.

For years now, German politicians have been telling voters that a bloated social welfare state is simply no longer feasible -- and surveys indicate that many Germans are prepared to tighten their belts. Yet last Sunday, 51.1 percent of the electorate cast their votes for left-of-center parties. Only 9.8 percent voted for classic conservatism in the form of the business-friendly Free Democratic Party (FDP) and a further 35.2 percent voted for the CDU/CSU, while it talked a tough economic game during the campaign, is hardly comparable with, say, the Republicans in the US. Conservatism, it seems, can't win in today's Germany.


The salient fact abnout European politics is that the sole viable conservative party is Blair and Brown's British Labour.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:25 AM

MAKE THE DEFAULT HELPFUL, NOT HARMFUL:

Fidelity calls for automatic enrollment in 401(k)s (Andrew Caffrey, September 22, 2005, Boston Globe)

Fidelity Investments wants corporate America and its workers to do a better job saving for retirement, and it's starting with its own house.

Beginning Jan. 1, all Fidelity employees will automatically be enrolled in the company's 401(k) retirement plan, a move designed to prod the small percentage of the company's 32,500 employees who haven't yet started a nest egg at work.

''If you force that on people, make it part of what they do every pay period, it will become part of a very successful" retirement system, Fidelity chief operating officer Robert Reynolds said in a speech yesterday morning before the Greater Boston Chamber of Commerce.

Reynolds was making a pitch for new measures to increase retirement planning and savings -- ones that would benefit workers in the form of larger nest eggs, and Fidelity itself in the form of more money to manage, and the fees that come with that.

Also, Reynolds said 401(k) or other workplace retirement plans should be able to automatically increase employees' contributions as raises and bonuses increase their paychecks -- a feature Fidelity intends to offer its employees -- or raise their contributions each year until they're at least giving the maximum amount that the company would match with its own contribution.

Moreover, workers should be steered more aggressively into so-called life-cycle mutual funds, which automatically allocate retirement investments among stocks and bonds based on age and expected years to retirement, said Reynolds.

''We need a new generation" of workplace retirement plans, he said, to replace the pension plans that are vanishing from corporate America.


SS reform will need to do similar things to be most effective and should mandate such measures in the private sphere.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:15 AM

DID GILLIGAN EVER HAVE IT BETTER?:

Island gives up secret of real Robinson Crusoe (STEPHEN MCGINTY, 22 Sep 2005, The Scotsman)

A GLINT of metal in the soil marked the end of a 13-year quest by a Japanese explorer to locate the base camp of Alexander Selkirk, the marooned 18th-century mariner, whose ordeal inspired the book Robinson Crusoe.

As a teenager, Daisuke Takahashi read the classic novel by Daniel Defoe and when he discovered it was based on the life of a Scottish sailor, an obsession was ignited which has carried him across the globe to the island of Mas-a-Tierra, 416 miles off the coast of Chile, where Selkirk was abandoned in 1704.

An expedition led by Mr Takahashi has now uncovered clinching evidence of the location of Selkirk's base camp, where he spent four years and four months scanning the horizon in hope of rescue.

Excavation of a site, high in the hills along an abandoned trail, has led to the discovery of a bronze tip from a pair of navigational dividers, which have since been dated to the early 18th century and are almost certain to have belonged to Selkirk, a ship's master.

"I have finally reached him," said Mr Takahashi, who previously wrote the Japanese best-seller, In Search of Robinson Crusoe.

"It's a peaceful site, with the sound of a nearby river and birds singing. You can see how Selkirk could have conquered his loneliness here."


The question is why folks are always in such a frenzy to get off of deserted islands.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:06 AM

THE WAGES OF WITHDRAWAL:

Jordan's king reaches out to Jews, hits radical Islam (Julia Duin, September 22, 2005, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

Jordan's King Abdullah II told a gathering of American rabbis yesterday that Jews and Muslims are irrevocably "tied together by culture and history" and that he is willing to take radical measures to combat Muslim extremists.

"We face a common threat: extremist distortions of religion and the wanton acts of violence that derive therefrom," the king said. "Such abominations have already divided us from without for far too long."

Criticizing al Qaeda terrorists Osama bin Laden and Abu Musab Zarqawi for "abuses of our faith," the king, speaking at a heavily guarded lunch meeting at the Ritz-Carlton in Northwest, made clear he wishes to establish himself as the voice of moderate Islam.

The point being that he has competition for the title.

MORE:
Hamas chief hints at compromise (BEN LYNFIELD, 9/22/05, The Scotsman)

THE militant Islamic group Hamas could one day accept the existence of the state of Israel and negotiate, one of its political leaders said yesterday in an unprecedented sign of compromise.

For years, Hamas has criticised the ruling Fatah movement of the Palestinian Authority president, Mahmoud Abbas, for allegedly selling out claims to all of historic Palestine by recognising Israel and confining the Palestinian struggle to the West Bank and Gaza Strip areas occupied in the 1967 Middle East war.

But Mohammed Ghazal, a respected figure within the movement from the West Bank city of Nablus, said yesterday: "The [Hamas] charter is not the Koran.

"Historically, we believe all of Palestine belongs to the Palestinians, but we're talking now about reality, about political solutions. The realities are different."


The reality is what Ariel Sharon and George Bush made it.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:00 AM

DON'T CALL THEM COFFIN NAILS FOR NOTHIN':

A few cigarettes a day 'deadly' (BBC, 9/22/05)

Smoking just one to four cigarettes a day almost triples a person's risk of dying of heart disease, according to Norwegian researchers.

Their work suggests the health impact is stronger for women and that even "light" smokers face similar diseases to heavier smokers, including cancer.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:45 AM

CAN’T DO

The failed mission to capture Iraqi oil (Michael T Klare, Asia Times, September 22nd, 2005)

It has long been an article of faith among America's senior policymakers - Democrats and Republicans alike - that military force is an effective tool for ensuring control over foreign sources of oil. Franklin D Roosevelt was the first president to embrace this view, in February 1945, when he promised King Abdul Aziz of Saudi Arabia that the United States would establish a military protectorate over his country in return for privileged access to Saudi oil - a promise that continues to govern US policy today. Every president since Roosevelt has endorsed this basic proposition, and has contributed in one way or another to the buildup of American military power in the greater Persian Gulf region.

American presidents have never hesitated to use this power when deemed necessary to protect US oil interests in the Gulf. When, following the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, President Bush Senior sent hundreds of thousands of US troops to Saudi Arabia in August 1990, he did so with absolute confidence that the application of American military power would eventually result in the safe delivery of ever-increasing quantities of Middle Eastern oil to the US. This presumption was clearly a critical factor in the younger Bush's decision to invade Iraq in March 2003.

Now, more than two years after that invasion, the growing Iraqi quagmire has demonstrated that the application of military force can have the very opposite effect: It can diminish - rather than enhance - America's access to foreign oil.

One of the more corrosive rhetorical tools of the modern left is to argue as if life were just one big enactment of Murphy’s Law and that the values revered by most Americans, while perhaps inoffensive or even admirable in themselves, result in the opposite of what their pursuit intends. By linking sweeping and declarative propositions, none of which withstand critical analysis but which flow together with a certain poetic elan, these guys present a world where wealth creates poverty, family breeds abuse and dysfunction, progress destroys the planet, military strength translates into impotence and every accretion of American prosperity and influence sows the seeds of a tragic decline. It all plays on the innate decency of Americans and adds up to an effort to undermine the pragmatic optimism and moral simplicity that undergirds their spirit, a spirit that can indeed lead to naive folly, but which is the source of a success and strength that seems to grow steadily, to the consternation of sages from more philosophical and nuanced lands.

Note how the good professor shows none of the traditional leftist disdain for the idea that oil security is a major foreign policy goal. His argument seems to be that “the younger Bush” is such an ignorant booby he doesn’t know how to attain it. Obviously if he had asked Professor Klare, he would have just lifted the sanctions.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:28 AM

SILLY QUESTION:

Warnings of decline in growth within EU (Graham Bowley, 9/22/05, International Herald Tribune)

José Manuel Barroso, president of the European Commission, warned European countries on Wednesday that they risked economic decline in the face of globalization unless they modernized their economies, and pledged that Brussels would take steps to cut and streamline regulations that crimp business and economic growth in Europe.

"Does Europe want to be a victim or does Europe want to be a player?" he said at a press briefing.

It wants to be a patient in a retirement home, taken care of and left in peace to live out its final days.


September 21, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:38 PM

FILIBUSTERS WERE MADE TO BE BROKEN:

Democrats revive filibuster threat (Tom Curry, Sept. 21, 2005, MSNBC)

President Bush’s nominee to the Supreme Court to replace Sandra Day O’Connor appeared to be skating on thin ice Wednesday, even though the president hasn’t yet revealed who the nominee is.

In the war of nerves leading up to Bush's announcement of his next high court nominee, Senate Democratic leader Harry Reid and other Democrats were signaling Wednesday that the filibuster — extended debate in order to kill a nomination — is an option they might use.


Here's where Mr. Reid's decision to move further left than even Pat Leahy on the Roberts vote damages his credibility. When 70 Senators say by their votes that Mr. Roberts is mainstream enough to be Chief, but Mr. Reid demurs it is he who is placed outside the mainstream.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:20 PM

BREAK OUT THE GREEN EYE SHADES:

GOP to unveil $500 billion savings plan (Carl Hulse, 9/21/05, The New York Times)

Conservative House Republicans plan to recommend today more than $500 billion in savings over 10 years to compensate for the costs of Hurricane Katrina as lawmakers continue to struggle to develop a consensus on the fiscal approach to the disaster.

At the top of a partial list of the potential cuts being circulated Tuesday were previously suggested ideas like delaying the start of the new Medicare prescription drug coverage for one year to save $31 billion and eliminating $25 billion in home-state projects from the newly enacted transportation measure.

The list also proposed eliminating the moon-Mars initiative that NASA announced Monday, for $44 billion in savings; ending support for the Corporation for Public Broadcasting, $4 billion; cutting taxpayer payments for the national political conventions and the presidential election campaign fund, $600 million; and charging federal employees for parking, $1.54 billion.


The most important thing Ronald Reagan did for the GOP was to get it to stop being the party of doom and gloom, but there are always back-sliders.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:02 PM

THE CHICOMS DESERVE HIM:

North Korea's capitalist manifesto (The Monitor's View, 9/22/05, CS Monitor)

Kim, who titles himself Dear Leader, appears to know his own political survival is on the line. In 2001, he was invited to China and saw how that communist regime has been able to stay in power while allowing a market economy to thrive. The next year he freed up prices and wages, and loosened many government controls over businesses and individuals.

Local farmers markets have since sprung up, and small service shops are appearing in cities. Last year, a new dictionary was issued, and for the first time it contained the phrase "market economy" (which is a communist way of saying capitalism).

But the reforms were done badly. The nation now has spiraling inflation. Its economy has contracted for the past three years. Great gaps in wealth are appearing, even as North Korea's economy remains a fraction of the size of South Korea's. The 70 percent of the population that still relies on government food has seen their rations greatly reduced.

Last spring, the reform-minded prime minister, Pak Pong-ju, visited China and was spirited to Shanghai, where he saw the missing element for North Korea's economy: foreign investment and an influx of hard currency. He went back and told bureaucracy to learn about foreign markets and trade. The universities began to teach market basics, such as supply and demand.

But to improve its shaky experiment in capitalism, North Korea needs to stop scaring away potential foreign investors with its nuclear belligerence and abandon its long-held ideology of juche, or self-reliance. Both steps are risky for a dictator who has blinded his people to the world around them.


Contrary to the fondest hopes of the Realists and business Right, the lesson China teaches is that economic reform does not suffice to make a communist dictatorship into a decent society. The Party will not allow a complete enough transformation to deprive itself of power. Let the Chinese and South Koreans saddle themselves with North Korea's problems, but keep us out of the mess and keep up the pressure for regime change.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:25 PM

MORE THAN MEETS THE EYE:

Does increasing democracy undercut terrorists? (Joseph S. Nye Jr., 9/22/05, CS Monitor)

Does increasing democracy diminish terrorism? Some analysts are skeptical. Violent extremists exist in nearly all societies. After all, the terrorist attacks in London were carried out by British citizens in one of the world's oldest democracies. And Timothy McVeigh, an American citizen, carried out the Oklahoma City bombing. Moreover, skeptics argue that even if democracy might reduce terrorist recruitment, the Iraq war was the wrong means to promote democracy, and may have increased the recruitment of new terrorists.

To be fair, it is still too early to give a definitive answer to these questions. A historical assessment of the Iraq war and its effects on the Middle East will take a decade or more. The January Iraq election was a positive step for the region.

As Walid Jumblatt, the Lebanese Druze leader said, "It's strange for me to say it, but this process of change has started because of the American invasion of Iraq." Columnist David Brooks observed, "If there is one soft power gift that America does possess, it is the tendency to imagine new worlds."

With the invasion of Iraq and his increased rhetoric of democracy, Mr. Bush transformed the status quo. [...]

Democracy will not convert the current crop of extremist jihadis to peaceful change, and too rapid a transition may destabilize governments and enhance the extremists' opportunities to wreak havoc. But over time, the slow, steady progress of democratization and freedom provides a sense of hope for the moderates.


Let's put it this way, if it all were to end up going to heck in a handcart, no one would be able to say W didn't give it our best shot. And if, instead, it continues to work? Well, then he's a world historical figure.


MORE:
No 'Turning Back' in Egypt (David Ignatius, September 21, 2005, Washington Post)

It's hard to imagine Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak as a change agent. During the 24 years he has ruled this country, he has displayed a military man's passion for stability and a corresponding wariness of democracy. His Egypt has often symbolized the political stasis of the Arab world.

But unlikely as it sounds, the 77-year-old Mubarak won reelection this month on a platform of political and economic reform. The fact that even the pharaonic Mubarak is running as a democrat illustrates the power of the reform movement in the Arab world today. The movement is potent because it's coming from the Arab societies themselves and not just from democracy enthusiasts in Washington.

I can't predict whether Mubarak will deliver on the promises he made during his campaign. I can see all the reasons why he should and all the reasons why he won't. But what's unmistakably clear in the aftermath of Egypt's first semblance of a multi-candidate presidential election is that the country's old authoritarian system has broken apart. I doubt Mubarak could put it back together even if he tried. [...]

During several days of conversations here, I found people remarkably frank in their comments. Just as interesting, political activists across the spectrum described the situation in Egypt in similar terms. Though many see the one-sided election as a joke (Mubarak won with 88 percent of the vote), they all see Egypt as changing, and they all agree it will be hard to stop the momentum of change.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:19 PM

CHASING H:

Clean car, but will its fuel be? (Mark Clayton, 9/22/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

It's one of the great conundrums of the hoped-for hydrogen economy. Most of the fuel today is extracted from natural gas, which would still leave America dependent on overseas energy. Domestic coal could be turned into hydrogen, but not without losing the environmental benefits of the technology.

So what's a nation to do?

Enter Francis Lau and his plan to turn agricultural waste like cornstalks, wood chips, or switch grass into hydrogen. Right now, that's expensive. But if he succeeds, it could mean a giant leap toward replacing oil with cheap, clean hydrogen.

All Mr. Lau needs is a breakthrough.

He and a team of scientists from the Gas Technology Institute in Des Plaines, Ill., are trying to invent a very tough, yet permeable, membrane with which to extract hydrogen from gasified wood chips and cornstalks. The system would do this midway through the gasification process, instead of at the end of the pipe, saving considerable time and energy. The expected result: hydrogen that costs 20 to 40 percent less to produce than today's product and roughly in line with Department of Energy goals for 2010.

Best of all, the fuel would come from biomass, making it clean, renewable, and 100 percent American.

"There are challenges, but we do see a path forward," Lau says. The project is funded by the Department of Energy and a private company.

The effects could be huge. In Minnesota alone, where Lau's team is at work outside Duluth, hydrogen made from forest and mill residue, agricultural waste, and energy crops like switch grass could replace 89 percent of the state's gasoline needs, according to a February study by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory in Golden, Colo.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:12 PM

THE SANDALISTAS LOSE AGAIN:

Opposition to CAFTA wanes in Nicaragua: Despite the country's leftist past, backers of the trade pact have gained ground. (Danna Harman, 9/22/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

Marching down Universidad Avenue toward congress came thousands of protesters, throwing their fists into the heavy, humid air, waving anti-American placards. The demonstration against the proposed Central American Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA) earlier this month was expected to be about 20,000 people strong.

In fact, more like 4,000 people showed up.

In a country that spent a good number of the last 25 years battling US interests here, the predictable opposition to CAFTA has, in fact, been a little weaker - and the support for the trade pact broader and deeper - than expected. [...]

People like Juan Carlos Pereira, a Harvard Business School-educated Nicaraguan, says CAFTA can bring much-needed jobs to the country, which is way behind other Central American nations when it comes to investment. Honduras and El Salvador each export some $2 billion worth of apparel a year for example. Nicaragua is closer to $600 million. "We lost a decade in the '80s because of the war," says Mr. Pereira. "We are only now starting to catch up and we need CAFTA more than anyone else."

Pereira, who runs Pro-Nicaragua, a government-backed organization that seeks to attract investment says about $400 million worth of projects have come through his office. "That represents about 7,500 jobs that are coming to Central America. I don't know how many will come to Nicaragua, but I will tell you - if we don't have CAFTA, not a single one will come here," he says.

CAFTA's cheerleaders here also point out that Asian countries - which are increasingly inking trade deals in the region - will be more inclined to invest in a country with easy access to the US market and a binding commitment to intra-regional trade.


Those poor Democrats like Chris Dodd, John Kerry, Tom Harkin and Ted Kennedy who backed the Sandanistas and oppose free trade just can't catch a break, huh? Ah, well, they've still got Fidel....


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:07 PM

YOU WANNA BE LIKED OR TRANSFORM YOUR SOCIETY?:

Japan's 'Thatcher' moment? (DAVID HOWELL, 9/22/05, Japan Times)

Prime Minister Junichiro Koziumi's smashing election victory could give him the same kind of political power as that which fell into the hands of British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher in the 1980s. Should he therefore follow the Thatcher recipes and methods for structural economic reform, which had such an electric effect on the British economy and from which the British are still benefiting enormously today 20 years later?

Thatcher used her swelling political majority to best advantage, and showed great courage and conviction in overcoming resistance to change, some of which was quite violent.

But it is as well to remember the weaknesses and ultimate failures in the Thatcher approach as well as the successes, since in the end these caused unnecessary bitterness and devalued her achievements in many people's eyes. These problems could have been avoided.

The biggest weakness was the failure to convince the broad public that her reforms would bring benefits to all, not just a lucky few, and that those who had their lives disrupted by change would be properly cushioned and cared for, and not just flung on the scrapheap by the harsh workings of market forces.

In reality, and in the end, years after Thatcher departed from office, these early reforms have indeed probably benefited the vast majority of British people. But at the time that prospect was not at all clear, nor did the language and policies of the Thatcher reform era give much comfort to a lot of very frightened workers.


Interesting that while she was somewhat overshadowed by Ronald Reagan when she was in power, it is Thatcherism that George Bush, John Howard, and Tony Blair successfully pursue and that the Germans, Japanese and the rest must decide whether or not to adopt.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:04 PM

THIS'LL BE A HARDY PERENNIAL:

Outlays for welfare set new record at 84 trillion yen (Japan Times, 9/22/05)

Social security spending rose to a record high 84.27 trillion yen in fiscal 2003, up 700.2 billion, yen or 0.8 percent, from the previous year due mainly to snowballing outlays for the aging population, a government research institute said Wednesday.

Expenses for pension, nursing and medical costs for the elderly accounted for 59.32 trillion yen -- 70.4 percent of the total and topping the 70 percent line of overall social security spending for the first time, according to the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, part of the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare.

Spending on children and family support, including child-rearing and childbirth benefits, stood at 3.1626 trillion, yen or 3.8 percent of the overall social security spending, the institute said.

The 0.8-percent year-on-year rise itself is a record low, but the ministry said the curb is temporary and social security expenses will continue rising.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:49 PM

STILL TED'S PARTY:

Roberts Picks Up Democratic Support (JESSE J. HOLLAND, 9/21/05, Associated Press)

[S]enate Democratic leader Harry Reid, liberal stalwart Edward Kennedy, former presidential candidate John Kerry and New Jersey gubernatorial candidate Jon Corzine all are opposing Roberts. Their stand is evidence of the split among the Senate's 44 Democrats about whether they can or should mount even symbolic opposition to the successor of the late Chief Justice William H. Rehnquist.

Remember how they picked Mr. Reid to be leader so they could moderate the image of the party that was badly tattered after John Kerry's defeat?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:57 PM

WITH GREAT MONEY COMES GREAT RESPONSIBILITY:

Law School To Cooperate With Military Recruiters (DANIEL J. HEMEL and JAVIER C. HERNANDEZ, 9/20/05, Harvard Crimson)

Harvard Law School will actively cooperate with military recruiters this fall, despite the Pentagon’s refusal to sign the school’s nondiscrimination pledge, Dean Elena Kagan announced this evening.

Kagan’s announcement marks a reversal of her November 2004 decision to bar Pentagon recruiters from using the law school’s Office of Career Services. For most of the last 26 years, the office has only provided its resources to recruiters who promise not to discriminate against gay and lesbian employees and job applicants. The Pentagon’s “don’t ask, don’t tell” policy prohibits gays and lesbians from serving openly in the military.

In an e-mail to students and faculty this evening, Kagan wrote that the Pentagon had notified the University this summer that it would withhold most federal grants to Harvard unless the Law School altered its policy to allow military recruiters access to the resources of the career services office. Harvard receives more than $400 million per year in federal grants.


Don Rumsfeld takes out another enemy.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:18 PM

WHEN MEN IN BLACK SHIFT FROM BLUE TO RED:

Roberts battle highlights vast gulf between parties (Robert Bork and David Rivkin Jr., 9/21/05, USA Today)

[F]ar from being about Roberts or any future nominee, the pyrotechnics of the Senate hearings are attributable to the fact that the philosophic gulf between our two political parties has grown vast — and nowhere more so than with respect to the federal judiciary. Most Republicans want courts that are legal institutions, not political bodies. Democrats, on the other hand, insist on courts devoted to specific policy outcomes (invariably items on the liberal agenda).

Not content with helping transform the judiciary into the most important player in domestic affairs, and most certainly in cultural trends, Democrats push for courts that are activist in foreign and defense policy, micromanaging, for example, the treatment of captured enemy combatants.

The hysteria of the Democratic Left is understandable. It has lost confidence in its ability to compete in the political arena and sees a politicized judiciary as its only hope to advance its agenda. The policies it desires, and the Supreme Court has so far advanced, are ones that encourage radical personal autonomy in moral and cultural matters. Activist judges announce principles and reach results that have no plausible connection to the Constitution. Thus, it is increasingly obvious that activist judges are issuing decisions that have no basis other than the judges' personal preferences. There is more than a grain of truth in the statement that the court represents the blue states in their contest with the red states.


You think they're deranged now? Wait'll they lose their last hope.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:11 PM

JOHN CARTER MUST DRIVE AN SUV:

Mars getting warmer, orbiter data suggests (MARK CARREAU, 9/20/05, Houston Chronicle)

Long-running observations by a NASA spacecraft orbiting Mars are revealing subtle signs of seismic activity on the Red Planet and possibly a slow warming trend, scientists said Tuesday.

MORE:
Sun's Output Increasing in Possible Trend Fueling Global Warming (Robert Roy Britt, 20 March 2003, Space.com)

In what could be the simplest explanation for one component of global warming, a new study shows the Sun's radiation has increased by .05 percent per decade since the late 1970s.

The increase would only be significant to Earth's climate if it has been going on for a century or more, said study leader Richard Willson, a Columbia University researcher also affiliated with NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies.

The Sun's increasing output has only been monitored with precision since satellite technology allowed necessary observations. Willson is not sure if the trend extends further back in time, but other studies suggest it does.

"This trend is important because, if sustained over many decades, it could cause significant climate change," Willson said.

In a NASA-funded study recently published in Geophysical Research Letters, Willson and his colleagues speculate on the possible history of the trend based on data collected in the pre-satellite era.

"Solar activity has apparently been going upward for a century or more," Willson told SPACE.com today.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 12:38 PM

WHERE MICHAEL MOORE MEETS DAVID IRVING

Holding editors to account (Andrew Coyne, National Post, September 21st, 2005)

More to the point, what is to distinguish Mr. Hellyer's belief in a massive, decades-long conspiracy by the American government to conceal the existence of alien visitors to planet Earth from, say, Paul William Roberts' belief in a massive, decades-long conspiracy by the American government to create the very Islamist terror network it is now fighting -- not as an accidental "blowback," but as a deliberate strategy to justify more military spending? The first makes you the butt of an oddly-enough piece on the CP wire. The second is worth a three-page, 5,000-word essay in The Globe and Mail. Yet the one has precisely as little plausibility or supporting evidence as the other.

Mind you, give it time. Experience teaches that any theory, no matter how crackpot, can gain a respectful hearing in this country, so long as it asks us to believe the worst about the Americans or their government: Anti-Americanism inoculates even the worst cranks from serious scrutiny. Paul Hellyer may not have much of a following now, but depend upon it, he will be packing them in at the universities before long.

My colleague Jonathan Kay has already detailed the many factual howlers in the Roberts piece, which somehow "got by" the Globe's fact-checkers. But I rather think something else is at work. The piece would have been planned long in advance. Having written several previous pieces for the Globe, Mr. Roberts would be well-known to the editors, as would his views. For example, readers of his latest book, A War Against Truth, will learn, inter alia, that Saddam Hussein killed many fewer Iraqis than the United States, and with more justification: After all, the hundreds of thousands of Saddam's victims were people "who opposed him in some way." And they will learn the real reason for the failure of Saddam's vaunted Special Republican Guard to show up for battle: They were all vaporized, 40,000 of them at one go, by "some kind of hi-tech bomb" detonated in the warren of tunnels under Baghdad.

"Fact-checking," in the circumstances, would seem beside the point. It isn't that Mr. Roberts' piece was, in that fine old journalistic phrase, "too good to check," or that the Globe editors think fact-checking is a tool of imperialism. It's more that it would be, well, gauche -- like the fellow who objects to modern art because it isn't realistic. It may not be true, but it's "true enough." Likewise, when Linda McQuaig explains that the Katrina disaster is a consequence of FEMA having been "privatized," or when Jeremy Clarkson writes feelingly in London's Sun of seeing New Orleans looters blown to bits by helicopter gunships, it isn't true in a conventional, real-world sense. It is rather true in a transcendent, ecstatic sense.

We are dealing not so much with a factual matter, in other words, as a psychological one. There is an undeniable pleasure in tweaking the conventional wisdom: I confess to indulging in it at times myself. But what begins as a harmless contrarianism can progress by stages into full-blown conspiracy-theorizing, of which anti-Americanism is a particularly malignant example. The sufferer experiences the thrill of having "pierced the veil." He has seen through the official lies that have everyone else in their thrall, and every piece of evidence to the contrary merely confirms him in his belief. At the furthest extreme, it emerges as Holocaust denial.

By all rights, anti-Americanism should be officially recognized as a mental disorder, but the disability claims would bankrupt us.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:14 AM

THEY BOUGHT IT, THEY OWN IT:

Roberts Poses Calculus Test for Democrats: Senators Weigh Whether Vote Should Send a Message to Bush, Liberal Base or to Centrists (JEANNE CUMMINGS, 9/21/05, THE WALL STREET JOURNAL)

New York Sen. Charles Schumer has told colleagues that Judge Roberts overall acquitted himself well before the committee. But a yes vote could undermine Mr. Schumer's ability to raise money from anti-Roberts donors for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, which he now heads. When asked Tuesday if he had made up his mind, Mr. Schumer answered, "Nope."

Similar battles are bedeviling Democrats not on the committee. Some moderates, such as Florida's Sen. Bill Nelson and Nebraska's Ben Nelson, face re-election next year in Republican-leaning states and are eager to pocket some centrist credentials by voting for Judge Roberts. Mr. Nelson of Nebraska said Tuesday he has "not seen anything that would cause me to vote against" the nominee. Another red-state Democrat, Max Baucus of Montana, said, "I'm inclined to vote for him."

By backing Judge Roberts, some Democrats argue, the party will have more credibility if it takes on the president's nominee for Justice O'Connor's seat, one that arguably is more important because she has played a critical role in rulings on issues such as affirmative action and abortion rights.

"It makes the case that they are mindless obstructionists much weaker," says Ross K. Baker, a professor of political science at Rutgers University in New Jersey.

But liberal activists are near unanimous in opposing Judge Roberts, who they say echoed the pre-appointment positioning of conservative Justices Antonin Scalia and Clarence Thomas. They are pressing Democrats to vote against Judge Roberts to send a message about the party's priorities. Those arguments likely will weigh heavily on Indiana Sen. Evan Bayh and New York Sen. Hillary Clinton, who both have presidential ambitions and are trying to juggle the left-leaning voters in the party's primaries with general-election voters, who might favor a more centrist approach. "I have not" decided, Sen. Clinton said Tuesday.


Which came first: losing the support of the electorate or becoming beholden to the special interests and big donors?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:07 AM

WE MAY HAVE A WINNER (via Mike Daley):

Floating Batchelder (Capital Briefs, September 16, 2005, Human Events)

The buzz around the Senate Judiciary Committee confirmation hearings for John Roberts last week was that one of the people President Bush may be considering to replace Justice Sandra Day O’Connor is Alice M. Batchelder.

Batchelder is a Cleveland, Ohio-based judge on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 6th Circuit. She was appointed to that bench by President George H.W. Bush in 1991. Before that she was a federal district judge, appointed by President Ronald Reagan. Her husband, Bill Batchelder, a state judge, formerly served as a conservative state House member and was the Ohio chairman of Reagan’s 1980 campaign. Judge Alice Batchelder was one of two appellate court judges who upheld Ohio’s partial-birth abortion ban in 2003, and last year she issued a powerful dissent from a ruling that ordered a local judge to remove a framed Ten Commandments from his courtroom. Politically, a Batchelder nomination would be a plus because of her conservative credentials and because she is from Ohio"a key swing state, where her views are popular. On the other hand, she is 61 years old.


Mr. Daley developed a Court crush on the judge, who the NY Sun reports is going to meet with President Bush, after listening to this speech, The Judiciary: having "neither Force nor Will, but merely judgement"? (Alice M. Batchelder, Judge, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit, Seventh Annual Robert E. Henderson Constitution Day Lecture, September 16, 2005, Ashbrook Center)
Alice M. Batchelder was appointed by President Ronald Reagan to the United States District Court for the Northern District of Ohio in April 1985, after serving for two years as a United States Bankruptcy Judge for the Northern District of Ohio. In December 1991, she was appointed by President George H.W. Bush to the United States Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit.

Judge Batchelder earned her B.A. from Ohio Wesleyan University and taught English in junior high and high school for several years before entering law school. She earned her J.D. from the University of Akron School of Law and practiced for eleven years with the family firm of Williams and Batchelder in Medina, Ohio, before being appointed to the bankruptcy court. After her appointment to the district court, she earned her LL.M. from the University of Virginia School of Law.

Judge Batchelder and her husband, Bill, now a judge on the Ohio Ninth District Court of Appeals but for 30 years a member of the Ohio House of Representatives, live in Medina, Ohio. They have two grown children.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:55 AM

BIRTHDAY OF THE NEW PROTOCOLS:

Coalition down but not out (Jim Lobe, 9/22/05, Asia Times)

It was four years ago this week that a little-known group called the "Project for the New American Century" (PNAC) published an open letter to President George W Bush advising him on how precisely he should carry out his brand-new "war on terrorism". [...]

[I]t would be a mistake to believe that because the PNAC and the coalition it represents are down, they must be out, particularly with respect to the other policy initiatives which they recommended four years ago.

Confrontation with Iran, particularly under the leadership of hard-line President Mahmud Ahmadinejad, is something that the coalition remains unified about, particularly with respect to the prospect of Tehran's acquisition of nuclear weapons.

While the PNAC has not explicitly addressed what to do about Iran, there is little question that the coalition - like the hawks within the administration - remains fundamentally united on its own hardline policy and, in any event, an absolute refusal to directly engage the new government.

What to do about Syria is more uncertain, although more hawkish sectors within the coalition clearly favor "regime change", possibly with the help of cross-border attacks in the name of preempting the infiltration of insurgents into Iraq, as has been called for by Kristol, among others.

While realists within the administration argue in favor of engaging Syrian President Bashar Assad, if only because the alternative could be so much worse, the hawks, particularly the neo-conservatives who often refer to Damascus as "low-lying fruit", appear determined to prevent any weakening of their policy of isolation and economic pressure on the assumption that the regime will soon collapse.

As in Iraq, however, the question of what will take its place has not yet been fully thought through.


While no one can hold a candle to Mr. Lobe for being hysterical about the neocons, Diane Rehm does her best. The other day her topic was using the spread of democracy in order to fight terrorism and she asked Reuel Marc Gerecht where such ideas came from. He credited Bernard Lewis and Fouad Adjami in the main--both of whom have been writing and teaching about the Middle East for some decades. She rounded on him and asked if they didn't get their ideas from PNAC, displaying a misapprehension of history and a paranoia worthy of the very best conspiracists.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:17 AM

FLIPPED AXIS:

KGB records show how spies penetrated the heart of India (Michael Binyon, 9/17/05, Times of London)

A HUGE cache of KGB records smuggled out of Moscow after the fall of communism reveal that in the 1970s India was one of the countries most successfully penetrated by Soviet intelligence.

A number of senior KGB officers have testified that, under Indira Gandhi, India was one of their priority targets.

“We had scores of sources through the Indian Government — in intelligence, counter-intelligence, the defence and foreign ministries and the police,” said Oleg Kalugin, once the youngest general in Soviet foreign intelligence and responsible for monitoring KGB penetration abroad. India became “a model of KGB infiltration of a Third World government”, he added.

Such claims have previously been ignored or brushed aside by Delhi. But the revelations from the KGB documents that form one of the biggest Western intelligence coups in recent years provide firm evidence for these claims. The records have been analysed in a new book about the KBG’s global operations, and the first extracts appear today in Times Books.

According to these top-secret records, brought to the West by Vasili Mitrokhin, a former senior archivist of the KGB, Soviet intelligence set out to exploit the corruption that became endemic under Indira Gandhi’s regime.


You can't really overstate the magniude of the change that's been effected as regards India, an objective enemy during the Cold War become an open ally in the WoT.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:14 AM

THE ANTI-BLANCO:

Barbour steers Mississippi toward recovery (Guy Taylor, September 21, 2005, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

Flood-ravaged New Orleans has dominated press coverage and political debate in the wake of Hurricane Katrina, though neighboring Mississippi took the full brunt of the storm's fury, leaving more than 10,000 residents homeless.

"We're not into whining or moping around or victimhood," said Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour, who has avoided the blame game that started in Louisiana as soon as Katrina made landfall.

The Republican governor remains optimistic, insisting that somewhere in the hurricane's devastation is "an opportunity to build the Gulf Coast back bigger and better than ever before."

Even if it's just the one-eyed man effect, he towers over the pols next door.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:07 AM

IMAGINE HOW SAFE A HUGE PUBLIC WORKS PROJECT WOULD MAKE NEW ORLEANS?:

Error puts a hole in Big Dig budgeting (Raphael Lewis, September 21, 2005, Boston Globe)

Big Dig officials significantly overestimated the amount of money that could be raised by selling off the project's Kneeland Street headquarters, creating a hole in their financing plan for the megaproject's final stages, officials disclosed yesterday.

The error has forced project officials to withdraw $67 million from a state transportation fund, money that would otherwise pay for smaller highway and transit projects around Massachusetts.

For years, municipal leaders have complained that the $14.6 billion Big Dig has been eating up too much of state construction money, and news that the project is tapping $67 million more intensified their concern.


Experts Say Faulty Levees Caused Much of Flooding (Michael Grunwald and Susan B. Glasser, September 21, 2005, Washington Post)
Louisiana's top hurricane experts have rejected the official explanations for the floodwall collapses that inundated much of New Orleans, concluding that Hurricane Katrina's storm surges were much smaller than authorities have suggested and that the city's flood- protection system should have kept most of the city dry.

The Army Corps of Engineers has said that Katrina was just too massive for a system that was not intended to protect the city from a storm greater than a Category 3 hurricane, and that the floodwall failures near Lake Pontchartrain were caused by extraordinary surges that overtopped the walls.

But with the help of complex computer models and stark visual evidence, scientists and engineers at Louisiana State University's Hurricane Center have concluded that Katrina's surges did not come close to overtopping those barriers. That would make faulty design, inadequate construction or some combination of the two the likely cause of the breaching of the floodwalls along the 17th Street and London Avenue canals -- and the flooding of most of New Orleans.


Imagine what crappy work $50 billion would have bought?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:56 AM

MOVE 'EM EAST, MOVE 'EM WEST, OR BRING 'EM HOME:

Karzai renews terror rethink plea (BBC, 9/21/05)

Mr Karzai was responding to questions about an interview he gave last week to the BBC in which he said the US needed a new approach to fighting terror in the country.

"The use of air power is something that may not be very effective now."

House searches by US-led troops have been deeply unpopular with many Afghans.

"No coalition forces should go to Afghan homes without the authorization of the Afghan government," he said.

President Karzai's renewed call for a change in approach comes after the country's landmark parliamentary elections on Sunday.

These were the last step towards the restoration of peace and democracy agreed in the Bonn agreement in 2001.

"Afghanistan now has a constitution, a president, a parliament and a nation fully participating in its destiny," President Karzai said.

"We do not think there is a serious terrorism challenge emanating in Afghanistan."

The US has about 18,000 troops fighting remnants of the Taleban and Al Qaeda in Afghanistan.


It's a Western Pakistan problem now.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:45 AM

WHAT'S GOOD FOR THE GANDY:

Top Democrat Says He'll Vote No on Roberts (SHERYL GAY STOLBERG and DAVID D. KIRKPATRICK, 9/21/05, NY Times)

In announcing his decision in a lengthy speech on the Senate floor, Mr. Reid questioned Judge Roberts's commitment to civil rights and said he was "very swayed" by the civil rights and women's rights leaders who testified Thursday in opposition to the nomination - and with whom Mr. Reid met privately that same day. Liberal advocacy groups, who raise millions of dollars to support Democratic candidates and who have been putting intense pressure on Democrats to oppose the nomination, were elated. [...]

Last Thursday, as Mr. Reid was weighing his decision, representatives of about 40 advocacy groups met with him in the Capitol; the reason, they said, was to underscore the threat they believe Judge Roberts poses to Democrats' core causes, racial and gender equality. Hovering in the background was a political argument, that if Democrats vote in favor of Judge Roberts, they will be held liable by voters for the decisions he makes on the court.

"He got the message loud and clear, didn't he?" Kim Gandy, president of the National Organization for Women, said of Mr. Reid on Tuesday.


Recall that Mr. Reid claims to be pro-life.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:33 AM

SOME ARE LESS EQUAL THAN OTHERS:

Blacks in France fight equality bind (John Tagliabue, 9/21/05, The New York Times)

For decades many African countries have sent their young to work or study in France, a nation that boasts of itself as the cradle of human rights and a bulwark against racism, and where the road from Harlem to Paris was wide, welcoming artists like the singer Josephine Baker, the musician Sidney Bechet and the writer James Baldwin.

But French insistence on the equality of man, a fundamental legacy of the Revolution, leaves the African immigrants in a bind, by perpetuating the fiction of a society without minorities, according to black critics of the French system.

In France, it is not permitted for a census to list people by race. Nor is it permitted to ask about race on a job application. Hence while blacks are thought to number about 1.5 million, of a total population of 59 million, no one knows the exact number, which some experts estimate to be far higher.

What the French government sees as a color-blind neutrality, many blacks see as an obstacle to their social progress. Their alienation was only heightened this summer when fires in several crowded apartment buildings in Paris left 48 blacks, mainly children, dead. In neighborhoods like Chateau Rouge that anger spills out.

"It could be a coincidence," said Cheickh, bitterly, "but one question the French have to answer is, of 48 people who died, why were 48 black?"

Corporate offices are virtually bare of blacks, and blacks are in a political vacuum. No black person sits in the National Assembly or in a regional Parliament and only a smattering are found in city councils. While the European Union finances programs for minorities, none of them are in France, for its refusal to recognize minorities. "Such programs are not wanted for ideological reasons," said Dogad Dogoui, 41, a native of Ivory Coast and a business and political consultant. Adding with a note of sarcasm, "France is the only European country without minorities." So today, blacks are not much on the French agenda.

After the recent fires, the interior minister, Nicolas Sarkozy, proposed enacting a program of positive discrimination in hiring and requiring anonymous résumés for job applications. But the remainder of the cabinet, including the minister for equal opportunity, Azouz Begag, rejected the idea, saying it offended the principle of equality.

"The French like to say, blacks are a social problem, not racial," said Gaston Kelman, 52, a native of Cameroon who has written widely on France's blacks. "So our institutions have no means to overcome it." Until recently, virtually all blacks were on the lowest rung of the social ladder. Gradually, however, a younger generation of blacks is starting businesses and giving birth to a black middle class. They feel the discrimination in French society and are beginning to resist.

Memo to Europe's ethnic populations: now is not the best time to register your ethnicity with the state and make the round-ups easier.


MORE:
Having a third baby really pays off for French women (Colin Randall, September 21, 2005, LONDON DAILY TELEGRAPH)

Middle-class French women will be offered cash incentives to have a third child amid growing concerns that professional couples are having too few children. [...]

Given France's egalitarian ideals, the notion of creating perks to attract professional mothers did not go down well with the socialist opposition.

Although class or racial issues have been sidestepped, there is a suspicion on the left that the ruling center-right regards the existing system as favoring those with little work ethic who live on handouts.

"The poor current level of compensation appeals only to those on lower incomes," said UNAF President Hubert Brin.

"This is not just a French problem but affects Europe in general. In Germany, as many as 40 percent of professional women turn their backs on maternity.

"Ask a professional woman these days to make a definitive choice between having a career and having babies, and she'll choose the former."

Demographic trends in Muslim and non-Muslim communities are rarely mentioned in public debate. France has the largest Muslim community in Europe, estimated at up to 10 percent of its 60 million population.

"France is facing the problem that dare not speak its name," columnist Barbara Amiel wrote in 2004 for the London Telegraph.

"Though French law prohibits the census from any reference to ethnic background or religion, many demographers estimate that as much as 20 [to] 30 percent of the population under 25 is now Muslim. ...

"Given current birthrates, it is not impossible that in 25 years France will have a Muslim majority. The consequences are dynamic: Is it possible that secular France might become an Islamic state?" Ms. Amiel wrote.

A 2004 study on European population trends sponsored by the Pew Research Center said the demographic shift affects all of Europe, which receives 1 million legal immigrants, most from Muslim nations, each year.

"At the same time, Muslims already living on the continent are having three times as many children as their white, European neighbors," the Pew report said.

Meanwhile, America becomes ever less like Europe, Many Women at Elite Colleges Set Career Path to Motherhood (LOUISE STORY, 9/20/05, NY Times)

Cynthia Liu is precisely the kind of high achiever Yale wants: smart (1510 SAT), disciplined (4.0 grade point average), competitive (finalist in Texas oratory competition), musical (pianist), athletic (runner) and altruistic (hospital volunteer). And at the start of her sophomore year at Yale, Ms. Liu is full of ambition, planning to go to law school.

So will she join the long tradition of famous Ivy League graduates? Not likely. By the time she is 30, this accomplished 19-year-old expects to be a stay-at-home mom.

"My mother's always told me you can't be the best career woman and the best mother at the same time," Ms. Liu said matter-of-factly. "You always have to choose one over the other."

At Yale and other top colleges, women are being groomed to take their place in an ever more diverse professional elite. It is almost taken for granted that, just as they make up half the students at these institutions, they will move into leadership roles on an equal basis with their male classmates.

There is just one problem with this scenario: many of these women say that is not what they want.

Many women at the nation's most elite colleges say they have already decided that they will put aside their careers in favor of raising children. Though some of these students are not planning to have children and some hope to have a family and work full time, many others, like Ms. Liu, say they will happily play a traditional female role, with motherhood their main commitment.


A bit of advice: if you want to stay home and play a traditional female role, marry a doctor.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:09 AM

WHO KNEW YOU COULD MAKE NATIONAL HEALTH WORSE:

EU limits may lead to big cuts in MRI scans (James Meikle, September 21, 2005, The Guardian)

Scientists claimed yesterday that the use of MRI scans that have revolutionised diagnosis over the last 25 years will be throttled by EU rules that must be adopted in Britain by 2008.

They predicted that the 1 million scans performed each year would soon be dramatically reduced, especially for children, because of new limits on the exposure of medical staff to electromagnetic fields generated by the imaging equipment.

The consequences were "potentially disastrous" and would lead to a brain drain of scientists to the US, possibly followed by patients eager to take advantage of new treatments being developed using MRI techniques.


What children?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:04 AM

STRANGE SORT OF NAZI:

U.S. Ambassador Reveals Holocaust Book Brought About 1985 Airlift of Ethiopian Jews (David S. Wyman Institute for Holocaust Studies, 9-20-05)

A book about America's failure to rescue Jews from the Holocaust helped convince then-Vice President George H. W. Bush to order the U.S. airlift of 900 Ethiopian Jewish refugees to Israel in 1985, a U.S. ambassador has revealed.

John R. Miller, a former Congressman (R-WA), who is now the U.S. ambassador for combating human trafficking, revealed the episode for the first time in public, in a statement presented to more than 200 participants in a September 18 conference at the Fordham University Law School organized by the David S. Wyman Institute for Holocaust Studies.

Ambassador Miller said that when the Ethiopian Jews became stranded in Sudan in early 1985, he brought a copy of Prof. Wyman's book about America and the Holocaust, "The Abandonment of the Jews," to Vice President Bush. "This is a chance to write a very different history than the history of America's response to the Holocaust," Miller told the vice president. Miller said that in a later conversation with Bush, the vice president confirmed that Wyman's book "was a major influence in his decision to order to the airlift."


He probably just felt guilty that the entire family fortune comes from collaborating with the Third Reich....


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:00 AM

STRICT ACCOUNTABILITY:

What the Regicides Did For Us: Far from being the bogeymen of history, Geoffrey Robertson QC says that the English regicides were men of principle who established our modern freedoms. (Geoffrey Robertson, History Today)

The proceeding against Charles i in 1649 secured the constitutional gains of the Civil War – the supremacy of Parliament, the independence of judges, individual freedom guaranteed by Magna Carta and the common law. But they brought little fame to those who presided over the trial and signed the King’s death warrant. Apart from Cromwell (who later became king in all but name) the regicides are not portrayed on statues or stamps, and their fate is seldom mourned: in 1660, after a rigged trial at the Old Bailey, their heads were stuck on poles and their body parts fed to the stray dogs of Aldgate. British liberty is usually dated from the ‘glorious revolution’ of 1688-89, but forty years earlier the House of Commons had declared 1649 to be ‘The first year of freedom, by God’s blessing restored’.

The King’s trial was, from a modern perspective, the first war crimes trial of a head of state. The arguments in Westminster Hall resonate today in the courtrooms of the Hague and even in the Iraqi Special Tribunal – Saddam Hussein’s opening words to his judge were, in translation, a paraphrase of those of Charles: ‘By what power am I called hither… I would know by what authority, lawful I mean…’. Three centuries before the rulings against Pinochet and Milosevic, this was a compelling argument. Charles had the purest form of sovereign immunity: he was a sovereign, both by hereditary and (as many believed) by divine right. Judges had always said that the king, as the source of the law, could do no wrong: rex is lex is how they had put it in the ship-money case when they found against John Hampden.

As for international law, the ink was hardly dry on its modern foundation, the Treaty of Westphalia (October 1648), which guaranteed immunity to every prince, however Machiavellian. The best thing about the Treaty of Westphalia, however – from parliament’s point of view – was that England was not a party to it. On January 6th, 1649 the purged House of Commons, without waiting for the equivocating House of Lords, passed an ‘Act’ to establish a High Court of Justice ‘to the end that no chief officer or magistrate may hereafter presume traitorously or maliciously to imagine or continue the enslaving or destroying of the English nation, and expect impunity for so doing.’

This was the origin of ‘impunity’ in the sense that Kofi Annan and Amnesty International now use the word, to refer to the freedom that tyrants should never have to live happily ever after their tyranny. Parliament’s brief to end impunity was sent to a barrister at Gray’s Inn, John Cooke, who prosecuted Charles Stuart as ‘the occasioner, author and continuer’ of the civil wars, ‘a tyrant, traitor, murderer and a public and implacable enemy to the commonwealth of England’. ‘Tyranny’ was an apt description of what today would include crimes against humanity and war crimes: Cooke used it to describe the conduct of leaders who destroy law and liberty or who bear command responsibility for the killing of their own people or the plunder of innocent civilians or the torture of prisoners of war.

What was truly astonishing about the trial of Charles I was that it took place at all. In January 1649, a third civil war seemed imminent: the king’s navy, commanded by Prince Rupert and the Prince of Wales, would link up with the waxing royalist army under the duke of Ormonde, whose Irish ‘confederacy’ had just signed a treaty with the perfidious Dutch. ‘Pride’s Purge’ of Parliament in 1648 had been the army’s way of declaring a state of national emergency, and in this atmosphere Charles could, with perfect legality, have been court-martialled as the enemy commander and immediately executed by firing squad. The summary justice of the provost martial had been a feature of ‘turbulent times’ in England since Edward I, and it was visited upon captured leaders on the principle that ‘a man who is dead renews no war’.

By opting, instead, for a public trial, the King’s judges were taking an enormous risk – they were providing the King with a political platform as well as an opportunity to contest his guilt (for this very reason, Churchill strenuously opposed the trial of Nazi leaders at Nuremberg). But these Puritan lawyers and MPs were determined that the King should have justice – whether he wanted it or not. More justice, indeed, than given to ordinary prisoners, who were automatically deemed guilty if, like Charles, they refused to plead. Before the King was convicted, however, the court required the prosecution to prove his guilt.

The ideal mixed regime requires a king, but one of limited powers who is not above the constitution.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

JUST A LIFESTYLE CHOICE AFTER ALL:

Silo Rains on Penguin Pride Parade (Dr. Warren Throckmorton, 9/20/05, Crosswalk)

One of America's A-list gay couples has broken up.

No, it's not Rosie and Kelli. It's Roy and Silo. Roy and Silo are male penguins. Chinstrap penguins to be exact.

About six years ago, Roy and Silo set up housekeeping together in New York's Central Park Zoo. They courted and attempted to mate and by all accounts were fairly inseparable. They even adopted a child together. Roy and Silo hatched little Tango a couple of years ago and raised her as their own.

However, recently Silo has become perhaps the world's first documented ex-gay penguin. He has moved out of his nest with Roy and taken up with Scrappy, a hot little bird who recently moved in from Sea World Zoo in San Diego. I guess he was wishing for a California girl.


Bitch.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THE GENIUS OF NCLB:

10 Schools Run Out of Time to Catch Up: Nine campuses in L.A. and 1 in Visalia top the No Child Left Behind law's seven-year limit. Their fate is uncertain. (Duke Helfand and Joel Rubin, September 21, 2005, LA Times)

The federal No Child Left Behind education law gave schools seven years to meet achievement goals, laying out increasingly dire consequences — including the removal of school staff — for those that fell short.

But now, 10 schools have exceeded that seven-year timetable, leaving them in undefined territory and spawning renewed criticism by education officials about the fairness of the law. [...]

In an effort to boost achievement at schools serving low-income children, No Child Left Behind established a system of prods and punishments.

These so-called Title I schools are required to meet annual testing targets in English and math for their campuses overall as well as for subgroups that include races, special education students and children from poor families.

The schools also have to test at least 95% of their students each year.

Campuses that fall short of the goals are placed on a watch list for two years.

Those that continue to miss their targets enter a five-year period during which they face "corrective actions" and increasingly severe sanctions.

Initially, the schools have to offer their students transfers to higher-performing campuses and free tutoring.

In cases where schools still falter, their districts are required to develop "restructuring" plans that can include state takeovers or the removal of staff.

The plans are implemented in the seventh and final year of the No Child Left Behind timetable.


Give the kids their vouchers.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THERE'S A REASON ONE SIDE FORGETS AND THE OTHER REMEMBERS:

Forgetting Reinhold Niebuhr (ARTHUR SCHLESINGER Jr., 9/18/05, NY Times)

Why, in an age of religiosity, has Niebuhr, the supreme American theologian of the 20th century, dropped out of 21st-century religious discourse? Maybe issues have taken more urgent forms since Niebuhr's death - terrorism, torture, abortion, same-sex marriage, Genesis versus Darwin, embryonic stem-cell research. But maybe Niebuhr has fallen out of fashion because 9/11 has revived the myth of our national innocence. Lamentations about "the end of innocence" became favorite clichés at the time.

Niebuhr was a critic of national innocence, which he regarded as a delusion. After all, whites coming to these shores were reared in the Calvinist doctrine of sinful humanity, and they killed red men, enslaved black men and later on imported yellow men for peon labor - not much of a background for national innocence. "Nations, as individuals, who are completely innocent in their own esteem," Niebuhr wrote, "are insufferable in their human contacts." The self-righteous delusion of innocence encouraged a kind of Manichaeism dividing the world between good (us) and evil (our critics).

Niebuhr brilliantly applied the tragic insights of Augustine and Calvin to moral and political issues. He poured out his thoughts in a stream of powerful books, articles and sermons. His major theological work was his two-volume "Nature and Destiny of Man" (1941, 1943). The evolution of his political thought can be traced in three influential books: "Moral Man and Immoral Society" (1932); "The Children of Light and the Children of Darkness: A Vindication of Democracy and a Critique of Its Traditional Defense" (1944); "The Irony of American History" (1952).

In these and other works, Niebuhr emphasized the mixed and ambivalent character of human nature - creative impulses matched by destructive impulses, regard for others overruled by excessive self-regard, the will to power, the individual under constant temptation to play God to history. This is what was known in the ancient vocabulary of Christianity as the doctrine of original sin. Niebuhr summed up his political argument in a single powerful sentence: "Man's capacity for justice makes democracy possible; but man's inclination to injustice makes democracy necessary." (Niebuhr, in the fashion of the day, used "man" not to exculpate women but as shorthand for "human being.")

The notion of sinful man was uncomfortable for my generation. We had been brought up to believe in human innocence and even in human perfectibility. This was less a liberal delusion than an expression of an all-American DNA. Andrew Carnegie had articulated the national faith when, after acclaiming the rise of man from lower to higher forms, he declared: "Nor is there any conceivable end to his march to perfection." In 1939, Charles E. Merriam of the University of Chicago, the dean of American political scientists, wrote in "The New Democracy and the New Despotism": "There is a constant trend in human affairs toward the perfectibility of mankind. This was plainly stated at the time of the French Revolution and has been reasserted ever since that time, and with increasing plausibility." Human ignorance and unjust institutions remained the only obstacles to a more perfect world. If proper education of individuals and proper reform of institutions did their job, such obstacles would be removed. For the heart of man was O.K. The idea of original sin was a historical, indeed a hysterical, curiosity that should have evaporated with Jonathan Edwards's Calvinism.

Still, Niebuhr's concept of original sin solved certain problems for my generation. The 20th century was, as Isaiah Berlin said, "the most terrible century in Western history." The belief in human perfectibility had not prepared us for Hitler and Stalin. The death camps and the gulags proved that men were capable of infinite depravity. The heart of man is obviously not O.K. Niebuhr's analysis of human nature and history came as a vast illumination. His argument had the double merit of accounting for Hitler and Stalin and for the necessity of standing up to them. Niebuhr himself had been a pacifist, but he was a realist and resigned from the antiwar Socialist Party in 1940. [...]

"The combination of moral resoluteness about the immediate issues," Niebuhr commented on Lincoln's second inaugural, "with a religious awareness of another dimension of meaning and judgment must be regarded as almost a perfect model of the difficult but not impossible task of remaining loyal and responsible toward the moral treasures of a free society on the one hand while yet having some religious vantage point over the struggle."

Like all God-fearing men, Americans are never safe "against the temptation of claiming God too simply as the sanctifier of whatever we most fervently desire." This is vanity. To be effective in the world, we need "a sense of modesty about the virtue, wisdom and power available to us" and "a sense of contrition about the common human frailties and foibles which lie at the foundation of both the enemy's demonry and our vanities." None of the insights of religious faith contradict "our purpose and duty of preserving our civilization. They are, in fact, prerequisites for saving it."

The last lines of "The Irony of American History," written in 1952, resound more than a half-century later. "If we should perish, the ruthlessness of the foe would be only the secondary cause of the disaster. The primary cause would be that the strength of a giant nation was directed by eyes too blind to see all the hazards of the struggle; and the blindness would be induced not by some accident of nature or history but by hatred and vainglory."


While Mr. Schlesinger is right that the Left no longer much invokes Niebuhr, or willfully misremembers him, the Right continues to do so rather regularly. Of course, the Left turned against hoim when it tiurned against the Cold War in the late 60s and is hardly likely to pick him up again given that he'd have supported the WoT while they don't.


September 20, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:51 PM

LACKING PUNCTUATION:

'Whale riders' reveal evolution (Alison Ross, 9/21/05, BBC News)

Scientists have examined the genes of "whale lice" to track whale evolution.

The small parasitic crustaceans were taken off right whales, which have been driven to the brink of extinction in some waters by commercial hunting.

The genetics of the lice reveal their hosts split into three species 5-6 million years ago, and these were all equally abundant before whaling began.


6 million years and they're still just whale lice and right whales--impressive demonstration of stasis.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:55 PM

AS THE OBLIGATORY NAZI REFERENCE GOES WORLDWIDE:

System's flaws help keep Koizumi on top (GREGORY CLARK, 9/21/05, Japan Times)

From the start of the recent Lower House election campaign it was predictable that Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi's theatrics -- his constant references to magic "kaikaku" (reform) and the alleged benefits from postal-service privatization -- would have its inevitable mesmerizing effect on Japan's emotional electorate. But why did the opposition parties fail to stage a de-mesmerizing counterattack? [...]

True, part of Koizumi's electoral support was logical and deserved. He has done much to create a new and better image for his Liberal Democratic Party. Women have been promoted. Decision-making has been centralized somewhat. Factions have been undermined, and with them the former reliance on dubious funds and old boy connections.

The downside though is that we now have a Thatcherite top-down regime where anyone who disagrees is instantly purged or demoted. Indeed, some are even beginning of use the word "Hitleresque" to describe the Koizumi approach. [...]

Especially worrying is the collapse of Japan's main opposition party, the Democratic Party of Japan. It was offering programs more reformist than much of what Koizumi was proposing. But somehow the Teflon-coated Koizumi couldn't be painted into a corner as antireformist.


Talk about not getting your own analysis--the opposition lost precisely because it ran as more reformist than Mr. Koizumi instead of anti-reform. Ms Merkel taught the same lesson.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:41 PM

CALLAHAN SHOOTING UP THE CHARTS:

Latinas for Bush's short list (Linda P. Campbell, 9/20/05, Dallas Fort Worth Star-Telegram)

A Latina on the U.S. Supreme Court.

What a novel concept -- a Latina holding one of the highest ranking federal jobs that has nothing to do with autographing dollar bills.

(Five Latinas have held the post of U.S. Treasurer, all under Republican presidents.) [...]

Bush must decide what he most wants to accomplish with his next appointment.

If, as has been suggested, he's keen on naming the first Latino justice -- and not just to appoint Attorney General Alberto Gonzales, his longtime friend -- why not add more Latinas to the mix?

Judge Sonia Sotomayor, who's sat on the 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in New York for seven years, often is mentioned, though far down the list. A Princeton University and Yale Law School graduate, she worked as a prosecutor in New York and was put on the federal bench by President George H.W. Bush. Maybe it works against her that President Bill Clinton promoted her to the appellate court.

If Bush wants his own appeals court judge, he might consider Consuelo Maria Callahan, who has as much time on the 9th Circuit as Supreme Court nominee John G. Roberts Jr. had on the D.C. Circuit. Callahan graduated from Stanford University and Pacific McGeorge School of Law in Sacramento (where Justice Anthony Kennedy once taught), then worked as a prosecutor and judge in California.

If he prefers Ivy Leaguers, Bush could try U.S. District Judge Cecilia Altonaga, whom he appointed in 2003. After graduating from Yale Law School, she worked as a Miami-Dade County prosecutor and was appointed to a state circuit court seat by Gov. Jeb Bush before moving to the federal bench.

Altonaga has dealt with a case involving a nativity scene on public property and a lawsuit over same-sex marriage laws. She even sentenced a child pornographer to 100 years in prison.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:28 PM

ONE HECK OF A STORM:

A push to build new US refineries: Hurricane damage highlights fall in capacity and boosts gas prices. (Mark Clayton, 9/21/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

It took one of the nation's worst natural disasters to do it. But momentum is growing to build new refineries in the United States after a 29-year hiatus.

By shutting down 20 percent of the country's oil- refining capacity in a single day - and boosting prices nationwide by more than 45 cents a gallon on average in a week - hurricane Katrina has exposed just how stretched the nation's refineries are. Now industry and Congress are looking at how to boost capacity.

"The call to establish more refineries is likely to be sounded again," writes Jason Schenker, an economist with Wachovia Securities in a recent analysis of Katrina's impact.

"We need to specifically address our nation's lack of refining capacity and finally do something about it," said Rep. John Sullivan (R) of Oklahoma in a statement last week. "Hurricane Katrina has further underscored the fact that our refining capacity is inadequate."


'Tis well that Katrina was so terrible, else conservatives would learn to love her.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:53 PM

ALTERNATIVES, AT LAST:

More students are drawn to conservative colleges: Enrollment is up at smaller colleges with Christian values. Some think students hope it will launch political careers. (Adam Karlin, 9/21/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

In these politically polarized times, a rising number of top conservative students are politicizing their school choices. Instead of going to a Princeton or Stanford, they're opting for less costly home-state universities or smaller schools that see themselves as standardbearers of Christian values and laissez-faire governance. Such choices are perhaps a boon to those who intend to pursue careers in politics, since conservative think tanks increasingly are recruiting from these colleges.

"Schools like Grove City, Brigham Young, and Hillsdale are some of our more popular schools," says Elizabeth Williams, intern coordinator for the conservative Heritage Foundation, in an e-mail. "Their students are usually of very high caliber."

That doesn't mean there has been an exodus from established East Coast schools, which consistently draw outstanding students of every stripe.

"We have far more students on the right than I used to know when I was vice president of Boston University," says Stephen Joel Trachtenberg, president of George Washington University in Washington.

But enrollment at several conservative Christian schools is on the upswing. For example: Patrick Henry College in Virginia, whose mission is to "prepare Christian men and women who will lead our nation and shape our culture with timeless biblical values," first opened its doors in 2000 to 87 students. This year, enrollment stands at 330, and the median SAT score for its freshmen has also jumped, from 1170 to 1340 in the same period.

At Franciscan, Ms. Shultis's new school, where a fledgling group of Democrats disbanded because of lack of interest, enrollment has topped 2,000, up 220 in the past four years. Average grade-point scores of incoming freshmen have also risen.


If I were applying to college today -- and had grades that didn't require me to go to a school that my family had donated hundreds of thousands of dollars to -- I'd certainly be interested in such places.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:48 PM

THE LONELY GUY:

US uses 'Libya model' to boost pressure on Syria: UN report on killing of former Lebanese leader may further isolate Damascus. (Nicholas Blanford, 9/21/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

Once considered key to Middle East stability, Syria is facing growing marginalization as the United States maintains a policy of unrelenting pressure against the Baathist regime.

American and Iraqi officials have stepped up their criticism of Syria in recent days in what some analysts believe is the beginning of an attempt by Washington to repeat the "Libya model" - total political and economic isolation to compel a U-turn in regime behavior.

"They are going to grab Syria by the throat and squeeze and shake, and see what kind of change falls out of the Syrian pockets.... It's going to be the harshest isolation they can manufacture," says Joshua Landis, a professor of Middle Eastern studies at the University of Oklahoma, presently based in Damascus and author of Syriacomment.com.

These are lonely times for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.


When Colonel Qaddafi was lonely Ronald Reagan sent him a visitor.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:43 PM

SUCKIN' DOWN CRAZY PILLS LIKE PEZ:

Reid will oppose Roberts' nomination: source (Reuters, September 20, 2005)

Senate Democratic Leader Harry Reid has decided to vote against the nomination of John Roberts as chief justice of the United States, a party aide said on Tuesday.

Voting against such a clearly qualified nominee, supported by two-thirds of voters in polls and even MSM editorial boards, clears up the question of whether the "moderate" from NV runs the caucus or MoveOn.org does.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:39 PM

GIT WHILE THE GITTIN' IS GOOD:

Europe ships war refugees back home: Germany gets tougher on Afghans, Iraqis, and Kosovars. (Isabelle de Pommereau, 9/21/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

Aferdite Hasanaj looks like any of her high school friends. But there's a difference: Every three months for the past 13 years, since her family fled Kosovo on the eve of the Yugoslavia war, she's had to ask permission to remain in Germany.

As a refugee whose asylum claim was rejected, she was subject to expulsion any time. In April, the government told her to go back "home" to Kosovo, squashing her dreams of going to college in Frankfurt.

"I've never been to Kosovo, I can't speak the language, don't know the culture," the 17- year-old said at a recent rally held to protest her expulsion. "The feeling of not having the right to belong fills me with despair."

Across Germany, 220,000 war refugees denied asylum have shared Aferdite's plight. But in a backdrop of public wariness about their perceived drain on the social system and an improved political situation in their countries, the government is speeding their return.

"How can a country expel a child who's been here for 13 years, who is good in school?" says Volker Ludwig of the GRISP Theater in Berlin, which staged a play about the deportation of a family. "Such a practice is unique in Europe, and it's outrageous."


In a few years we may well consider the ones who got out alive to have been lucky.


MORE:
Facing up to Germany's fears: (The Monitor's View, 9/21/05)

Observers worry whether Germany - stuck in an economic funk and struggling with a jobless rate of 11.4 percent - can carry out the difficult economic, labor, and social welfare reforms necessary to get its engine purring again.

This won't be possible unless Germany's political leaders - whichever ones prevail - address the population's fear of significant reform. More than anything, this election registered anxiety about losing the perks of the "social market economy." The new, radical Left Party, made up of ex-communists and disaffected Social Democrats, ran against Mr. Schröder's modest reforms and polled a surprising 8.7 percent. It was his reforms - and the Social Democrats' slew of regional election losses - that prompted this early election in the first place. Meanwhile, Schröder's criticism of Ms. Merkel's party as "radically unsocial" turned many voters away from her more market-oriented platform.

How does one calm fears of shrinking pensions, reduced union bargaining power, or more joblessness?


By creating even greater fear of immigrants.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:17 PM

WHO WAS EVER MORE "IN THE MOMENT" THAN MOHAMMED ATTA? (via Kevin Whited):

Velvet Revolutions and the Logic of Terrorism (Frederick Turner, 9/20/05, Tech Central Station)

Though one can at a stretch describe the Taliban as traditionalists opposing the corruptions of global market capitalism, al Qaeda is a quintessentially cosmopolitan, big-business financed, historicist, international intellectual movement, as globalist in its own way as Microsoft. [...]

Why did suicide terror metastasize from Israel to the world? What is the basic political enemy of the global terrorist movement? What is it designed to attack? Though it would be tempting to say that the target is the democratic state, the evidence does not quite support it. Many existing democratic states were left alone, and coexisted with, for years before suicide terror emerged, and are so still.

I believe that the evidence points clearly to one target. Thirty years ago it looked as if the totalitarian state was solidly established, successful and immortal. Democratic capitalism had been stopped in its tracks. The nuclear-armed socialist dictatorship could not be attacked or defeated; it could at best be contained, and none of its incremental marginal conquests could be rolled back. Marvelously, however, a new strategy emerged, invented by the world's middle-class populations, that could bring down the totalitarian state: the velvet revolution. Totalitarian governments rely on elites to govern and control the people and defend themselves against outside ideas. Those elites must reproduce themselves, creating a property-owning educated class with great power but without the revolutionary ideology of their parents; and to remain economically viable the state must produce a skilled artisan class, like the shipbuilders of Gdansk, with the capacity to unionize. Out of these materials, generated by totalitarianism itself, comes the velvet revolution.

The velvet revolution (also named the orange revolution, the purple finger, the rose revolution, the cedar revolution) has swept the world. In different ways, nonviolent, non-ideological middle-class and skilled-worker mass movements have unseated tyrants and established democracies in an amazing range of countries: Spain, Portugal, Chile, Argentina, Poland, East Germany, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, Russia, Bangladesh, South Korea, Indonesia, the Baltic states, Mexico, Serbia, Albania, Georgia, the Ukraine, the Philippines, Lebanon, even Palestine, all fell to the regimes of popular sovereignty. China nearly fell in 1989, with the Tiananmen protest, and will become a democracy some time in the next twenty years. If there is one defining event that characterizes the end of twentieth century political modernism, it is this one.

The suicide bomb, with the mass terrorism it epitomizes, is the weapon of choice against the velvet revolution. The target is not, as well-meaning critics of terrorism say, indiscriminate: it is exact and precise. The target is any population that might organize a velvet revolution, the potential sovereigns of a democratic state. It is people who are not ideological, who are willing to let others believe what they want, who want to make a living and be independent, and who want a say in their government.


Seen from this perspective, the Islamicists are the last of the True Believer movements. This angle also allows us to see why the Left and far Right, still wedded to the previously defeated movements, would hate George Bush and Tony Blair more than they do Osama and company.


MORE:
No kids please, we're selfish (Lionel Shriver, September 17, 2005, The Guardian)

To be almost ridiculously sweeping: baby boomers and their offspring have shifted emphasis from the communal to the individual, from the future to the present, from virtue to personal satisfaction. Increasingly secular, we pledge allegiance to lower-case gods of our private devising. We are less concerned with leading a good life than the good life. We are less likely than our predecessors to ask ourselves whether we serve a greater social purpose; we are more likely to ask if we are happy. We shun values such as self-sacrifice and duty as the pitfalls of suckers. We give little thought to the perpetuation of lineage, culture or nation; we take our heritage for granted. We are ahistorical. We measure the value of our lives within the brackets of our own births and deaths, and don't especially care what happens once we're dead. As we age - oh, so reluctantly! - we are apt to look back on our pasts and ask not 'Did I serve family, God and country?' but 'Did I ever get to Cuba, or run a marathon? Did I take up landscape painting? Was I fat?' We will assess the success of our lives in accordance not with whether they were righteous, but with whether they were interesting and fun.

If that package sounds like one big moral step backwards, the Be Here Now mentality that has converted from 60s catchphrase to entrenched gestalt has its upside. There has to be some value to living for today, since at any given time today is all you've got. We justly cherish characters capable of fully inhabiting "the moment", of living, as a drummer might say, "in the pocket". We admire go-getters determined to pack their lives with as much various experience as time and money provide, who never stop learning, engaging, and savouring what every day offers - in contrast to dour killjoys who are resentful and begrudging as they bitterly do their duty. For the role of humble server, helpmate and facilitator no longer to constitute the sole model of womanhood surely represents progress for which I am personally grateful. Furthermore, prosperity may naturally lead any well-off citizenry to the final frontier: the self, whose borders are as narrow or infinite as we make them.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:50 AM

CAN'T TELL KOFI ANNAN FROM GEORGE BUSH AND TONY BLAIR [AND BILL CLINTON] WITHOUT A PROGRAM:

Annan has paid his dues: The UN declaration of a right to protect people from their governments is a millennial change (Ian Williams, September 20, 2005, The Guardian)

By the time John Bolton had hacked large parts out of the UN's 60th anniversary draft declaration, and then had to agree to much of it going back in after Condoleezza Rice told him to be nice to US allies, it was no surprise that some observers saw the result as a smack in the face for Kofi Annan.

In fact, Annan scored a major triumph, a positive answer to the question he posed at the millennium summit five years ago: "If humanitarian intervention is indeed an unacceptable assault on sovereignty, how should we respond to a Rwanda, to a Srebrenica - to gross and systematic violations of human rights that affect every precept of our common humanity?"

In the final declaration last week 191 countries, including Sudan and North Korea, went along with a restatement of international law: that the world community has the right to take military action in the case of "national authorities manifestly failing to protect their populations from genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity". It comes too late to help Darfur, not to mention Rwanda and Cambodia, but it is a millennial change.

Tony Blair, whose speech did not mention the crucial millennium development goals in case it upset his friend President Bush, welcomed the new development: "For the first time at this summit we are agreed that states do not have the right to do what they will within their own borders." [...]

[T]he egg of "national sovereignty", beloved of American conservatives and Korean communists alike, is now thoroughly shattered and cannot be put together again.


And good riddance. Folks have expressed some curiosity at the fact that an essay by Mr. Annan is included in our forthcoming book, but he's an excellent representative of the idea of humanitarian intervention as a legitimate trump of national sovereignty.

Mr. Williams is quite right that traditional sovereignty will never be put back together again--the question now is what will replace it. The two main contenders are the notion of transnationalism--whereby central laws, institutions and bureaucracies would have powers transcending sovereignty such that they would be entitled to govern many nations irrespective of the consent of the peoples affected--or a standard of liberal democratic legitimacy--which would judge each nation's entitlement to its own sovereignty by its conformity to the values we've determined mark the End of History: a society premised on human dignity and organized roughly around democracy, protestantism and capitalism. Though American sovereignty is threatened by the former--in everything from the WTO to Kyoto to the Supreme Court's invocation of foreign precedent--we are the main proponents of the latter and have been throughout our history, though we've pursued the end only intermittently. The only real change in recent years is that Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton and George W. Bush have been more open about America's historic role as democracy's evangelist.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:48 AM

A GODSEND:

Storm Strains Bush's Ties to Black Clergy: Recovery efforts now give the GOP a chance to rebound from initial political missteps. (Peter Wallsten and Tom Hamburger, September 20, 2005, LA Times)

For many of the black ministers who have allied themselves with President Bush and a Republican strategy to boost the party's African American support, the government's slow response to Hurricane Katrina put a severe strain on new and still-fragile bonds of trust.

But just as some ministers had denounced a government recovery effort that seemed to leave many blacks in the gulf region behind, a number of those African American clergy say an aggressive outreach campaign by Bush and senior White House aides in recent days has begun reversing what might have been lasting political damage.

Moreover, the ministers — as well as a cadre of conservative policy analysts who consult with the White House — contend that the Katrina relief response, though tarnishing the GOP image in the short term, could foster a Republican-led battle against poverty that would give the party a list of new selling points for African American voters who have long viewed Democrats as the best advocates for the downtrodden.

With the federal government spending tens of billions of dollars on the recovery, Republicans have a chance not only to appeal to minorities by creating jobs and other economic opportunities but also to use the rebuilding effort as a real-world test of such long-discussed conservative ideas as school vouchers, enterprise zones and the use of faith-based groups to provide social services.

"The strategic question is whether or not the White House senior staff are smart enough to seize this historic and strategic opportunity," said the Rev. Eugene Rivers, pastor of Boston's Azusa Christian Community and one of about two dozen African American ministers Bush has courted heavily. "If they fail to practice the compassionate conservatism that they have preached, history may not be kind to them.


Plenty smart enough.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:50 AM

NO ONE HAS JUDGE CALLAHAN YET:

White House Said to Shift List for 2nd Court Seat (DAVID D. KIRKPATRICK and SHERYL STOLBERG, 9/20/05, NY Times)

The White House is reshuffling its short list of potential Supreme Court nominees with a new emphasis on finding someone who will hold up under the pressure of what is expected to be fierce confirmation battle, several Republican allies close to the process said on Monday. [...]

The shift ... indicates that the administration expects some Democrats' pent-up frustration with what they labeled as Judge Roberts's evasiveness to spill over into the hearings for a new nominee. Republican aides briefed on the search said the White House was looking mainly at female jurists for Justice O'Connor's seat, but it has expanded its short list and it is examining the contenders anew in the expectation of a trial by fire.

Conservative allies of the White House said the new criteria could hurt the chances of Judge Janice Rogers Brown, a 2005 Bush appointee to the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit and a favorite of the president's conservative base.

Republican strategists close to the White House worry that Judge Brown, an African-American known for her fiery speeches to conservative crowds, might try to fight back against vigorous questioning. Other conservative strategists say that she also lacks experience on the federal bench and that supporting her highly ideological oratory might strain the solidarity of the Senate Republican caucus.

Another judge said to be on the list is Judge Priscilla R. Owen, a friend of the president also recently confirmed to a federal appeals court after a vigorous Senate battle. In her case, strategists say the White House is evaluating whether her reticence and mild manner would be a strength or a weakness under interrogation in the Senate.

Others said to remain under consideration include the contenders for the last vacancy, Judge Edith H. Jones and Judge Edith Brown Clement of the Fifth Circuit, as well as Judge Alice M Batchelder of the Sixth Circuit, Judge Karen Williams of the Fourth Circuit and Judge Consuelo M. Callahan of the Ninth Circuit. Judge Callahan, a Republican appointee, is Hispanic, and President Bush has made clear that he would like to name a Hispanic to the court.


So the champions of feminism on the other side of the aisle have created a climate where only retiring women need apply?


Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:29 AM

SNAKES AND SNAILS AND PUPPY DOG TAILS

Shut up and take your pills (Libby Purves, Timesonline, September 18th, 2005)

We look back in patronising horror at the way previous generations treated children. We shake our heads at the misguided ways of our ancestors: babies swaddled and hung on hooks, children of all ages whipped to drive out original sin. We are horrified by tales of chimney-boys and skivvies, but equally by the abuses of richer children: beatings, the backboard, Tom Brown roasted over a fire by Flashman. Looking back, we grow smug. Look at us with our caning ban and our Children Act and our anti-bullying helplines! Aren’t we wonderful?

Yet sometimes I wonder whether future generations may not look back at our habits and shudder in their turn. One of them in particular grates on me: it is reported that prescriptions of the drug Methylphenidate — commonly sold as Ritalin — have risen sharply in a decade. Last year in England there were 359,000, the vast majority to children under 16. This is a mind-altering drug, described by its most bitter opponents as “ prescription crack”; in the United States 6 per cent of all children take it. Here it is less than 1 per cent, but rising fast: for this is the cure-all for the fairly newly defined condition of “ADHD” — attention deficit hyperactivity disorder.

The amphetamine-based drug is claimed by its many adherents to improve concentration and calm children’s behaviour. Parents who use it are violently defensive of their decision. The ADHD lobby has claimed, controversially, that one in twenty children today suffers such a behavioural “disorder”. Yet it is routinely prescribed to children whose age or circumstances might just as easily explain their erratic behaviour.

In the US babies have been given the drug: here, it is more likely to be administered to a nursery or school-age child who is not interested in what his teacher says and disrupts both class and home with destructive boisterousness.

I say “his” for good reason. Most children diagnosed with ADHD are boys.

Every civilization has to confront the challenge of natural male aggression. Those on the rise sublimate it through faith, marriage, discipline and no-nonsense male supervision. Those in decline feed the beast sex and drugs..


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:19 AM

A BRIARPATCH TOO FAR:

Bush Opposes Delay in Medicare Drug Benefit (Joel Havemann and Janet Hook, September 20, 2005, LA Times)

The White House on Monday ruled out a one-year delay in the Medicare prescription drug benefit as a way of offsetting some of the costs of repairing Hurricane Katrina's devastation of the Gulf Coast.

The administration's rejection of one of the chief ideas from fiscal conservatives for covering the tab for Katrina marked another example of how difficult it will be to spend billions of dollars for hurricane relief without increasing the federal deficit.

Postponing the drug benefit, which is to take effect Jan. 1, was one of the most widely discussed options on Capitol Hill to cover Katrina's costs. Two years ago, the House passed the expensive program by only 5 votes after the Republican leadership kept voting open almost three extra hours to twist the arms of the reluctant rank and file.

A senior aide to Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), a leader of the faction that wants to offset the costs of hurricane relief with cuts in other spending, said that McCain would support postponing the drug benefit, which he voted against in the first place.

"That drug benefit barely passed," the aide said. "No fiscal conservative could say with a straight face that was a good thing to do."


It's wise of the White House to oppose delay or repeal, in the hopes that would trick Democrats into helping repeal it just to get at the President, but even they can't be that deranged. They'd leave the GOP with the HSAs it's fought decades to win and themselves without an entitlement program.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:12 AM

THE OMELETTE MAKER

Che Guevara: the killing machine (Alvaro Vargas Llosa, The New Republic, September 20th, 2005)

Che Guevara, who did so much (or was it so little?) to destroy capitalism, is now a quintessential capitalist brand. His likeness adorns mugs, hoodies, lighters, key chains, wallets, baseball caps, toques, bandanas, tank tops, club shirts, couture bags, denim jeans, herbal tea and of course those omnipresent T-shirts with the photograph, taken by Alberto Korda, of the socialist heartthrob in his beret during the early years of the revolution, as Che happened to walk into the photographer's viewfinder -- and into the image that, 38 years after his death, is still the logo of revolutionary (or is it capitalist?) chic.

Che products are marketed by big corporations and small businesses -- such as the Burlington Coat Factory, which put out a television commercial depicting a youth in fatigue pants wearing a Che T-shirt, or Flamingo's Boutique in Union City, New Jersey, whose owner responded to the fury of local Cuban exiles with this devastating argument: "I sell whatever people want to buy."

The metamorphosis of Che Guevara into a capitalist brand is not new, but the brand has been enjoying a revival of late. This windfall is owed substantially to The Motorcycle Diaries. Beautifully shot against landscapes that have clearly eluded the eroding effects of polluting capitalism, the recent film shows the young man on a voyage of self-discovery as his budding social conscience encounters social and economic exploitation. At this year's Academy Awards ceremony, Carlos Santana and Antonio Banderas performed the theme song from The Motorcycle Diaries, Santana showing up wearing a Che T-shirt and a crucifix.[...]

Che's lust for power had other ways of expressing itself besides murder. In 1958, after taking the city of Sancti Spiritus, Guevara unsuccessfully tried to impose a kind of sharia, regulating relations between men and women, the use of alcohol, and informal gambling -- a puritanism that did not exactly characterize his own way of life. He also ordered his men to rob banks, a decision that he justified in a letter to Enrique Oltuski, a subordinate, in November of that year: "The struggling masses agree to robbing banks because none of them has a penny in them." This idea of revolution as a license to re-allocate property as he saw fit led the Marxist puritan to take over the mansion of an emigrant after the triumph of the revolution.

The urge to dispossess others of their property and to claim ownership of others' territory was central to Guevara's politics of raw power. In his memoirs, the Egyptian leader Gamal Abdel Nasser recalls that Guevara asked him how many people had left his country because of land reform. When Nasser replied that no one had left, Che countered in anger that the way to measure the depth of change is by the number of people "who feel there is no place for them in the new society."

Che's obsession with collectivist control led him to collaborate on the formation of the security apparatus that was set up to subjugate 6.5 million Cubans. In early 1959, a series of secret meetings took place in Tarara, near Havana, at the mansion to which Che temporarily withdrew to recover from an illness. That is where the top leaders, including Castro, designed the Cuban police state. Guevara himself took charge of G-6, the body tasked with the ideological indoctrination of the armed forces. The U.S.-backed Bay of Pigs invasion in April 1961 became the perfect occasion to consolidate the new police state, with the rounding up of tens of thousands of Cubans and a new series of executions.

In the beginning, the revolution mobilized volunteers to build schools and to work in ports, plantations, and factories. But it was not long before volunteer work became less voluntary: The first forced labour camp, Guanahacabibes, was set up in western Cuba at the end of 1960. This is how Che explained the function performed by this method of confinement: "[We] only send to Guanahacabibes those doubtful cases where we are not sure people should go to jail ... people who have committed crimes against revolutionary morals, to a lesser or greater degree."

The herbal tea is a nice postmodern touch.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

YOU CAN'T DRILL A HOLE ANYWHERE WITHOUT FINDING THE STUFF:

Oil hopes swell for Cairn Energy (BBC, 9/20/05)

Oil firm Cairn Energy has raised its estimates of oil at its three key Indian fields, as it unveiled a modest rise in half-year profits.

Cairn said total potential production at the Rajasthan fields was now over 150,000 barrels per day. [...]

The fields at Mangala, Bhagyam and Aishwariya have proved and probable reserves of between 514 million and 685 million barrels, the company said.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THE FDA HAS BECOME A CREATURE OF POLITICS, NOT THE DRUG COMPANIES:

Bush and the mad scientists: The administration strikes again in its infuriating war against science. (Chris Mooney, September 20, 2005, LA Times)

THE LAMENTATION in the forthcoming New England Journal of Medicine is typical of a growing genre: complaints about the misuse of science by the Bush administration. It is merely the latest jeremiad, from a group of distinguished experts, about the loss of reason by our leaders. This particular editorial, titled "A Sad Day for Science at the FDA," concerned so-called Plan B emergency contraception (the "morning after" pill), but it just as well could have been about the science of global warming or mercury pollution. [...]

[L]et's try to muster whatever's left of our outrage, because the Plan B episode truly demands it. It may represent a historic low for science-based professionalism at the FDA. And it presents an instructive case study in how the political abuse of science plays out in practice. [...]

The scientists writing in the New England Journal of Medicine agree. Although the FDA may previously have been accused of having too much bureaucracy or too close a rapport with the drug industry, they argue, it had at least "resisted political pressure to reflect a particular social policy or ideology."

But not any more — and that's the really nasty thing about the current war on science. If you can get past the complicated details, you'll see that it is undermining our government's most central mission: to serve and protect us.


When someone starts arguing for the primacy of science and reason in public policy you hardly expect to find a fine-tuned moral sense, but it's particularly monstrous to argue that a delay in making an abortifacient freely available represents a failure to "protect us." Plan B is about us, but getting rid of them.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THE MOST IMPORTANT THING:

Worldview: History, Theology, Implications (Dr. David K. Naugle, Leadership U)

In the introductory remarks to his book Heretics, G. K. Chesterton writes these crucial words about the importance of worldview:

But there are some people, nevertheless — and I am one of them — who think that the most practical and important thing about a man is still his view of the universe. We think that for a landlady considering a lodger, it is important to know his income, but still more important to know his philosophy. We think that for a general about to fight an enemy, it is important to know the enemy’s numbers, but still more important to know the enemy’s philosophy. We think the question is not whether the theory of the cosmos affects matters, but whether, in the long run, anything else affects them.”

I was struck by this quote when I first read it, and I am still struck by it today. After all, what could be more important or powerful than the way individuals conceptualize reality? Is any thing more fundamental than a person’s set of presuppositions and assumptions about the basic make up of the universe? What is more significant than a human being’s foundational system of beliefs? Is there anything more profound or influential than the answers to the deeper questions that the very presence of the universe poses to us all? In agreement, then, with Gilbert Keith Chesterton, I submit that the most practical and important thing about a human being is his or her view of the universe and theory of the cosmos — that is, the content and implications of one’s worldview.

Which is why it was just to persecute Galileo--as science his ideas were rather puny things, but as worldview they are a cancer.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

END RUN:

Silence isn't golden for Silver: Embracing conservative politics hasn't furthered Ron Silver's acting career, but it's provided different opportunities. (Maggie Farley, September 20, 2005, LA Times)

Actor Ron Silver says he has had fewer movie offers and dinner invitations since he parted political company with his Hollywood colleagues and spoke at the Republican National Convention last year.

But he is sinking his teeth into his new role: conservative activist. Today, Silver will release a documentary on DVD called "Broken Promises," a scathing criticism of what Silver considers the failures of the United Nations on its 60th anniversary. It follows on the heels of a DVD retort last year by Silver to Michael Moore called "Fahren-hype 911," carefully named so it would be placed on video store shelves right next to Moore's anti-Bush documentary, "Fahrenheit 9/11."

"Broken Promises" has at its root the betrayed vision of an idealistic youth from the Lower East Side.

MORE:
-U.N. Naysayers Greet 60th Anniversary With Biting Documentary (MEGHAN CLYNE, September 7, 2005, NY Sun)


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

"THE CONSCIENCE OF THE HOLOCAUST":

Nazi-hunter Wiesenthal dies at 96 (BBC, 9/20/05)

Holocaust survivor and Nazi-hunter Simon Wiesenthal has died in the Austrian capital, Vienna, aged 96.

His death was announced by officials at the US-based Simon Wiesenthal Center.

He was credited with helping to bring more than 1,100 Nazi war criminals to justice in the decades following World War II.

They included Adolf Eichmann, an architect of the Holocaust, and Franz Stangl, commandant of the Treblinka and Sobibor death camps in Poland.

Mr Wiesenthal died in his sleep at his home, according to Rabbi Marvin Hier, dean and founder of the Simon Wiesenthal Center, which campaigns against anti-Semitism and other forms of intolerance.

"Simon Wiesenthal was the conscience of the Holocaust," Mr Hier said.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

WHO TRUSTS A PROCURER?:

Bush Appointee Is Arrested in Obstruction Case: He is accused of lying about his assistance to indicted lobbyist Jack Abramoff while with the General Services Administration. (Walter F. Roche Jr. and Chuck Neubauer, September 20, 2005, LA Times)

A top federal procurement appointee of President Bush was arrested Monday on charges that he made false statements and obstructed a federal probe when he was questioned about a Scotland golfing junket arranged by lobbyist Jack Abramoff.

In a three-count criminal complaint made public Monday, David H. Safavian was accused of lying to an ethics officer in the General Services Administration regarding his dealings with the lobbyist, who flew him to Scotland in August 2002.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

SCIENTIFIC PROGRESS:

Back to Moon via 'Apollo on Steroids': NASA's $104-billion plan to revive manned lunar missions is seen as a step toward Mars trip. (Peter Pae, September 20, 2005, LA Times)

NASA unveiled a 13-year, $104-billion blueprint Monday for sending humans back to the moon as early as 2018, using a modified space shuttle rocket to propel an Apollo-like capsule into space.

Analysts said the design was decidedly retro, harking back more than three decades to the Cold War's moon race.

But they said the new design was safer and more realistic than the current space shuttle, which is scheduled to be retired in 2010 after nearly 25 years of service and two disastrous shuttle losses.

"Think Apollo on steroids," NASA Administrator Michael D. Griffin said during a news conference at the agency headquarters in Washington.

The blueprint unveiled Monday is part of a broader initiative launched by President Bush 18 months ago, in which he called for returning humans to the moon as a steppingstone to a manned mission to Mars, perhaps as early as 2020.

The new capsule, known as the crew exploration vehicle, would be significantly larger than the cramped Apollo capsule, with seating for up to six astronauts instead of three.

Due to launch in 2012, it would initially be used to resupply and transfer International Space Station crews after the shuttle is retired, NASA officials said.


We were none too quick to realize the shuttle was a dead end, huh?


September 19, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:13 PM

STEPPING DOWN A WEIGHT CLASS, HUH?:

Protester Sheehan Presses Clinton To Withdraw Support for War (JACOB GERSHMAN, September 19, 2005, NY Sun)

War protester Cindy Sheehan came to New York last night with a blunt warning for Senator Clinton: End your support for the war in Iraq or else.

Visiting New York City for the first time since leaving her campsite outside President Bush's vacation ranch in Crawford, Texas, Ms. Sheehan told a packed audience in a Brooklyn church that Mrs. Clinton "knows the war is a lie" but because of her political ambitions refuses to voice any opposition.

Mrs. Clinton is "waiting for the best political moment to say" she opposes the war, Ms. Sheehan said during a 15-minute speech. "You say it or you're losing your job," she said, provoking a roar of approval from the audience. Mrs. Clinton, believed to be a possible presidential contender in 2008, has said she supports the war in Iraq and has pushed for a greater troop presence in the country.

In an interview after her speech, Ms. Sheehan said she has requested a meeting with Mrs. Clinton but has not gotten a reply.


How much press coverage would she get if she set up camp in Chappaqua?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:03 PM

NECESSARY OVEREACTION:

Pope bans homosexuals
from ordination as priests
: Applicants with 'gay' tendencies won't be admitted to seminaries (WorldNetDaily.com, September 19, 2005)

Pope Benedict XVI has given his approval to a new Vatican policy document indicating that men with homosexual tendencies should not be ordained as Catholic priests, reports Catholic World News.

The policy statement is a direct result of the pope's concern about the pedophilia scandal in the church – especially in the U.S. [...]

The text, approved by Benedict at the end of August, says that homosexual men should not be admitted to seminaries even if they are celibate, because their condition suggests a serious personality disorder that detracts from their ability to serve as ministers, says the CWN report.


Actually, if they are celibate it would seem to demonstrate a great personal victory over their impulse to sin. But given the hysteria the media has whipped up around the very real problem it's understandable to err on the side of zero tolerance for awhile.


Posted by David Cohen at 7:23 PM

IN HELL THE COOKS ARE BRITISH

EXCLUSIVE: UP IN FLAMES: Tons of British aid donated to help Hurricane Katrina victims to be BURNED by Americans (Ryan Parry, Mirror, 9/19/05)

HUNDREDS of tons of British food aid shipped to America for starving Hurricane Katrina survivors is to be burned.

US red tape is stopping it from reaching hungry evacuees.

Instead tons of the badly needed Nato ration packs, the same as those eaten by British troops in Iraq, has been condemned as unfit for human consumption.

The government is a blunt instrument.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:11 PM

YOU GET USED TO THE STENCH:

By the time Germans decide, it'll be too late (Mark Steyn, 20/09/2005, Daily Telegraph)

If you want the state of Europe in a nutshell, skip the German election coverage and consider this news item from the south of France: a fellow in Marseilles is being charged with fraud because he lived with the dead body of his mother for five years in order to continue receiving her pension of 700 euros a month.

She was 94 when she croaked, so she'd presumably been enjoying the old government cheque for a good three decades or so, but her son figured he might as well keep the money rolling in until her second century and, with her corpse tucked away under a pile of rubbish in the living room, the female telephone voice he put on for the benefit of the social services office was apparently convincing enough. As the Reuters headline put it: "Frenchman lived with dead mother to keep pension."

That's the perfect summation of Europe: welfare addiction over demographic reality.

Think of Germany as that flat in Marseilles, and Mr Schröder's government as the stiff, and the country's many state benefits as that French bloke's dead mum's benefits.


Of course, being German, they're likely to pry out the corpse's gold fillings and sell the hair on the way to Gotterdammerung.


MORE:
No kids please, we're selfish: The population is shrinking, but why should I care, says Lionel Shriver. My life is far too interesting to spoil it with children (Lionel Shriver, September 17, 2005, The Guardian)

Allusion to Europe's "ageing population" in the news is now commonplace. We have more and more old people, and a dwindling number of young people to support them. Not only healthcare and pension systems but the working young will soon be overtaxed, just to keep doddering crusties like me alive. Politicians sensibly cite age structure when justifying higher rates of immigration, and not only because Europeans so fancy themselves that they refuse to clean toilets. Even if the job appealed, there are already too few of the native-born of working age to clean all those toilets.

Yet curiously little heed is paid to why the west is "ageing". Our gathering senescence is routinely discussed as an inexorable force of nature, a process beyond our control, like the shifting of tectonic plates or the ravages of a hurricane. To the contrary, age structure is profoundly within human control. Remarkably resistant to governmental manipulation, it is the sum total of millions of single, deeply private decisions by people like me and a surprisingly large number of people I know.

We're not having kids.

Western fertility started to dive in the 70s - the same era when, ironically, the likes of alarmist population guru Paul Ehrlich were predicting that we would all soon be balancing on our one square foot of earth per person, like angels on the head of a pin. Numerous factors have contributed to the Incredible Shrinking Family: the introduction of reliable contraception, the wholesale entry of women into the workforce, delayed parenthood and thus higher infertility, the fact that children no longer till your fields but expect your help in putting a downpayment on a massive mortgage.

Yet all of these contributing elements may be subsidiary to a larger transformation in western culture no less profound than our collective consensus on what life is for.

Statistics are never boring if you can see through the numbers to what they mean, so bear with me. The Total Fertility Rate (TFR) is the number of children the average woman will bear over her reproductive lifetime. The TFR required to maintain a population at its current size is 2.1. ( It takes two children to replace the mother herself and her partner; the .1 allows for the fact that, in a fraction of births, the baby will not survive.) Higher than the European average, the UK's TFR is 1.7. Yet that's well below replacement-rate, so the seven million extra Britons predicted by 2050 will almost entirely comprise immigrants and their children.

The figures on the continent are even more striking. Italy, Greece and Spain, countries once renowned for their family orientation, all have a meagre TFR of 1.3, as does Germany, where a staggering 39% of educated women are having no children whatsoever. The cumulative TFR for all of Europe is only 1.4, expected to translate into a net loss of 10% of the population by 2050, by which time eastern Europe is likely to experience a population decrease of 22%. By 2000, 17 European countries were recording more deaths than births, and without immigration their populations would already be contracting.

Elsewhere, couples still heed the Biblical admonition to be fruitful and multiply. Niger, currently suffering from famine, has the highest TFR in the world at 8.0. By 2050, Yemen - a little smaller than France - is projected to have increased its 1950 population by 24 times, exceeding the population of Russia. At 3.0 (3.5 without China), the poor nations' TFR is twice that in the wealthy west, and these countries will provide virtually all of the extra three billion people expected to visit our planet by mid-century.

As for what explains the drastic disparity between family size in the west and the rest, sure, we have readier access to contraception. But medical technology is only one piece of the puzzle. During the industrial revolution of the 19th century, fertility rates in the west plunged in a similar fashion. This so-called "demographic transition" is usually attributed to the conversion from a rural agrarian economy to an urban industrialised one, and thus to children's shift from financial asset to burden. But what is fascinating about the abrupt decrease in family size at the turn of the last century is that it was accomplished without the pill. Without caps, IUDs, spermicides, vaginal sponges, oestrogen patches or commercial condoms. Whether through abstinence, backstreet abortion, infanticide or rhythm, people who couldn't afford more children didn't have them. Therefore the increased availability of reliable contraception around 1960 no more than partially explains plummeting birth rates thereafter. The difference between Germany and Niger isn't pharmaceutical; it's cultural.

I propose that we have now experienced a second demographic transition. Rather than economics, the engine driving Europe's "birth dearth" is existential.

To be almost ridiculously sweeping: baby boomers and their offspring have shifted emphasis from the communal to the individual, from the future to the present, from virtue to personal satisfaction. Increasingly secular, we pledge allegiance to lower-case gods of our private devising. We are less concerned with leading a good life than the good life. We are less likely than our predecessors to ask ourselves whether we serve a greater social purpose; we are more likely to ask if we are happy. We shun values such as self-sacrifice and duty as the pitfalls of suckers. We give little thought to the perpetuation of lineage, culture or nation; we take our heritage for granted. We are ahistorical. We measure the value of our lives within the brackets of our own births and deaths, and don't especially care what happens once we're dead. As we age - oh, so reluctantly! - we are apt to look back on our pasts and ask not 'Did I serve family, God and country?' but 'Did I ever get to Cuba, or run a marathon? Did I take up landscape painting? Was I fat?' We will assess the success of our lives in accordance not with whether they were righteous, but with whether they were interesting and fun.

If that package sounds like one big moral step backwards, the Be Here Now mentality that has converted from 60s catchphrase to entrenched gestalt has its upside. There has to be some value to living for today, since at any given time today is all you've got. We justly cherish characters capable of fully inhabiting "the moment", of living, as a drummer might say, "in the pocket". We admire go-getters determined to pack their lives with as much various experience as time and money provide, who never stop learning, engaging, and savouring what every day offers - in contrast to dour killjoys who are resentful and begrudging as they bitterly do their duty. For the role of humble server, helpmate and facilitator no longer to constitute the sole model of womanhood surely represents progress for which I am personally grateful. Furthermore, prosperity may naturally lead any well-off citizenry to the final frontier: the self, whose borders are as narrow or infinite as we make them.

Yet the biggest social casualty of Be Here Now is children, who have converted from obligation to option, like heated seats in the car. In deciding what in times past was never a choice, we don't consider the importance of raising another generation of our own people, however we might choose to define them. The question is whether kids will make us happy.

However rewarding at times, raising children can be also hard, trying and dull, inevitably ensnaring us in those sucker-values of self-sacrifice and duty. The odds of children making you happier are surely no better than 50-50. A few years ago the New York Times published the results of a study that found the self-reported "happiness" index was lower among parents than the childless. Little wonder that so many women have taken a hard look at all those nappies, play groups, nasty plastic toys and said no thanks. [...]

Meanwhile, as the west's childless have grown more prevalent, the stigma that once attached to being "barren" falls away. Women - and men, too - are free to choose from a host of fascinating lives that may or may not involve children, and across Europe couples are opting for the latter in droves. My friends and I are decent people - or at least we treat each other well. We're interesting. We're fun. But writ large, we're an economic, cultural and moral disaster.

There has to be something wrong when spurning reproduction doesn't make Gabriella and me the "mavericks" that we'd both have fancied ourselves in our younger days, but standard issue for our age. Surely the contemporary absorption with our own lives as the be-all and end-all ultimately hails from an insidious misanthropy - a lack of faith in the whole human enterprise. In its darkest form, the growing cohort of childless couples determined to throw all their money at Being Here Now - to take that step-aerobics class, visit Tanzania, put an addition on the house while making no effort to ensure there's someone around to inherit the place when the party is over - has the quality of the mad, slightly hysterical scenes of gleeful abandon that fiction writers craft when imagining the end of the world.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:33 PM

THANK GOODNESS WE KILLED THAT DREAM:

Kurt Vonnegut's new collection offers essays that can make you laugh--and cry: a review of A Man Without a Country By Kurt Vonnegut (Ron Silverman, September 11, 2005, Chicago Tribune)

Much of what's here first appeared in various formats (essays, dialogue, even a short note to readers about his thoughts at Christmas 2004) in the left-leaning Chicago magazine In These Times, and Vonnegut sometimes seems to be preaching to the liberal choir.

He's direct in saying what he thinks about the president and his pals ("George W. Bush has gathered around him upper-crust C-students who know no history or geography, plus not-so-closeted white supremacists, . . . plus, most frighteningly, psychopathic personalities, . . . the medical term for smart, personable people who have no consciences"), Americans' dependence on oil ("We are all addicts of fossil fuels in a state of denial"), the war in Iraq, ("our leaders are now committing violent crimes to get what little is left of what we're hooked on"), the damage we've done to the environment ("we . . . have now all but destroyed this once salubrious planet as a life-support system"), and the future of our country ("there is not a chance in hell" it can become "the humane and reasonable America so many members of my generation used to dream of").


Mr. Vonnegut is an elderly man and has suffered from PTSD for sixty years now, so he can perhaps be excused such inanities, but it's kind of sad that references to Republicans as "white supremacists" is indeed straight from the Left's hymnal these days.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:26 PM

THERE'S THEM THAT GOTS SPOTS AND THEM THAT GOTS BARS AND LOTS BETWEEN (via Robert Tremblay):

Survival of the Species? (Fox News, 9/16/05)

The federal government has given a California group permission to kill one species of owl in an attempt to save the Northern Spotted Owl from extinction, but the process has left some people in the timber industry shaking their heads.

The government recently gave the California Academy of Sciences permission to kill 20 Barred Owls in an effort to learn why they are thriving in the same forests where Spotted Owls continue to decline. [...]

But critics call favoring one species over another "playing God" instead of letting nature run its course, and argue that scientists should have factored in the so-called "enemy owl" before leaving the timber industry nearly extinct.


Fortunately it's not a matter of choosing one species over another.


Posted by David Cohen at 4:42 PM

WWIV

Iraq 'recruiters' held in France (Hugh Schofield, BBC, 9/19/05)

French police have detained six men in a Paris suburb suspected of recruiting volunteers to fight against US and British forces in Iraq.

The men, who are believed to be all in their twenties, were picked up in the Seine-St Denis area of the city.

Intelligence services believe there has been a steady but limited movement of Islamic militants from France to Iraq over the last year and a half.


Posted by David Cohen at 4:20 PM

JUST LIKE WASHINGTON AND NATHAN HALE

Iraq Suicide Bombers Say Al-Qaida Forced Them: Medical Evidence Indicates Man Telling Truth (AP, 9/19/05)

A suicide bomber captured before he could blow himself up in a Shiite mosque claimed he was kidnapped, beaten and drugged by insurgents who forced him to take on the mission. The U.S. military said its medical tests indicated the man was telling the truth.

Mohammed Ali, who claimed to be Saudi-born and appeared to be in his 20s, said he managed to flee after another suicide attacker set off his bomb, killing at least 12 worshippers Friday as they left a mosque in the northern city of Tuz Khormato.

In confession broadcast on state television later that day, Ali told Iraqi interrogators he did not want to bomb the mosque and hoped to go home. . . .

Ali said insurgents kidnapped him from a field near his home earlier this month, then drugged and beat him.

His story was similar to those recounted by other captured militants. The captives routinely claim they were either coerced or fooled by insurgent leaders who promised them a role in the holy war against the U.S. military, only to find themselves as would-be suicide bombers sent to attack civilians.

No modern example better illustrates the power of the Big Lie than the left's shameful pretense that we are losing an ignoble war.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:04 PM

HOW ABOUT UNANIMITY?:

Specter seeks another Roberts-like nominee (HOPE YEN, September 19, 2005, AP)

With Roberts' rise from appeal courts to the high court all but assured, Bush has begun early consultations on filling the vacancy created by retiring Justice Sandra Day O'Connor.

Bush plans to meet on Wednesday with Specter, Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist, R-Tenn., Minority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., and Sen. Patrick Leahy of Vermont, the top Democrat on the Judiciary Committee.

Leahy, appearing with Specter on CBS' "Face the Nation," said he expects to hear specific names from the president at the White House breakfast meeting.

Possible replacements include federal appellate judges Edith Clement, Edith Hollan Jones and Emilio Garza. Also mentioned have been judges J. Michael Luttig, Samuel A. Alito Jr., James Harvie Wilkinson III and Michael McConnell, lawyer Miguel Estrada, former deputy attorney general Larry Thompson and Attorney General Alberto Gonzales.

"I would hope that we could see the court have less 5-4 decisions and speak with more clarity," Leahy said.


If Justices Stevens and Ginsburg were to leave we'd get a lot of 7-2s.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 3:59 PM

YOUR TAX DOLLARS AT WORK

Danes take care of disabled to new level (National Post, September 18th, 2005)

Danish activists for the disabled are staunchly defending a government campaign that pays sex workers to provide sex once a month for disabled people.

Opposition parties call the program, officially known as ''Sex, irrespective of disability,'' immoral.

''We spend a large proportion of our taxes rescuing women from prostitution. But at the same time we officially encourage carers to help contact with prostitutes,'' said Social-Democrat spokesperson Kristen Brosboel.

Responded Stig Langvad of the country's Disabled Association: ''The disabled must have the same possibilities as other people. Politicians can debate whether prostitution should be allowed in general, instead of preventing only the disabled from having access to it.''

As this flows perfectly logically from the principles that sex is a necessity and the state must ensure equal access to necessities, the decision was no doubt an easy one, but it would have been fun to sit in when they were arguing about frequency.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:42 PM

WOULDA THUNK NAXOS COULD GET CHEAPER?:

IPod people, this culture isn't alien (Chris Pasles, September 18, 2005, LA Times)

THE Naxos record label has joined politicians, talk radio hosts and broadcast evangelists in reaching out to people through podcasts — audio programs that can be pulled off the Internet and downloaded onto an iPod for listening to at one's leisure. The label has five free mini-documentaries on classical music already available, and more are on the way.

"They're not really sales pieces," says Naxos spokesman Raymond Bisha, who writes, narrates and produces the 'casts. "We designed them to help people get involved, learn about and appreciate classical music. It gets kids thinking about classical music too, using a medium that younger people are tuned in to."

Topics include composers William Boyce, Benjamin Britten, Peter Boyer and Thomas Tallis, plus a talk on some little-known timpani concertos. Each podcast lasts about 20 minutes and includes history and music. [...]

Streaming versions can be accessed by going to www.naxos.com and clicking on "podcasts." For downloadable versions, go through the iTunes Music Store.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:38 PM

GONNA GO WITH THE MSM OR MOVE ON?:

Roberts's qualities (Boston Globe, September 19, 2005)

BARRING THE revelation of an outrageous scandal, Judge John Roberts is about to become the next chief justice of the United States, and based on his testimony last week, he deserves to be confirmed. In the Senate Judiciary Committee hearings, Roberts called himself a ''modest judge" and appeared smart and even-tempered.

Editorial: Confirm Roberts/'I am not an ideologue' (Minneapolis Star-Tribune, September 16, 2005)
This week's Senate Judiciary Committee hearings have been fascinating on several fronts, not the least for their jab-and-parry-exchanges between senators and Supreme Court nominee John Roberts. Whether you liken the proceedings to a fencing match or a "subtle minuet," as did Chairman Arlen Specter, they ultimately -- if messily, and sometimes testily -- accomplished their purpose. They showed that Roberts is both qualified and fit to serve as chief justice of the United States. Barring any last-minute bombshells, the Senate should confirm his nomination.

The merely liberal media isn't leaving the Democrats much wiggle room on the Roberts bote.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:02 PM

ISN'T KOREA HIS PARTICULAR FIELD OF EXPERTISE? (via Kevin Whited):

Guerrilla Negotiating: The North Korea talks are in trouble—and this time we can't blame George Bush. (Fred Kaplan, Sept. 16, 2005, Slate)

The North Korean nuclear talks may be headed toward a collapse, and this time anyway, it isn't George W. Bush's fault.

What's the problem? And can anything be done to solve it? [...]

Clinton's emissaries had to sit through 50 negotiating sessions to hammer out the Agreed Framework. Bush's will have to endure the same, if not more. As the North Koreans realize, Bush has no good alternatives to talking. His advisers have long deemed a military attack as too risky. The U.N. Security Council is unlikely to approve sanctions, as certainly China and probably Russia would veto such a move.

The danger—not just for us but for the North Koreans as well—is that Kim and his emissaries will hold out for too long. "They're terrible judges of timing," Pritchard said.


Nearly as bas as Mr. Kaplan, though, in fairness, predicting the behavior of a psychotic isn't always easy.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:33 PM

JUST BAN ALL THINGS FRENCH (via Robert Schwartz):

A Chicago Alderman's Proposal to Ban Foie Gras Stirs Up a Debate (GRETCHEN RUETHLING, 9/14/05, NY Times)

This city is considering a proposal to trim fatty goose and duck livers from the menus of Chicago restaurants, stirring debate over whether it has a right to tell people what they can put on their plates.

"Our laws are a reflection of our culture," said Joe Moore, an alderman who has proposed banning the sale of foie gras in the city, as he addressed the council's health committee on Tuesday. "Our culture does not condone the torture of innocent and defenseless creatures. And we as a society believe all God's creatures should be treated humanely."

Foie gras, which means "fatty liver" in French and is most commonly served in upscale restaurants, is produced by force-feeding grain to ducks and geese several times a day through a pipe that is inserted in their throats, causing their livers to expand up to 10 times their normal size within weeks.


Mr. Moore's sentiments are noble and on the day after Chicago bans abortion and euthanasia within the city limits it should take up the treatment of geese.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:17 PM

YOU ARE NOW A THING OF THE PAST:

Democrats stray: Vulture who resembles a sparrow leads party to the extreme fringe (Paul Jackson, 9/18/05, Calgary Sun)

It would be hard to find a nastier piece of political work than Nancy Pelosi, the shrieking Democratic leader in the U.S. House of Representatives.

Which is saying something considering failed Chappaquiddick lifeguard Teddy Kennedy is still haunting the halls of Washington preaching high morality to one and all. [...]

Surely a lot of Democrats are bitter because they have lost seven of the past 10 presidential elections.

Yet, for that, they do not blame their own policies or off-the-wall personalities. No, they just think the mass of rank-and-file voters who cast ballots for the Republicans are dumb. They need to be educated. How's that for arrogance?

Pelosi claims Bush is "in denial" about what his policies are doing to the United States.

That, economically the U.S. under Bush has created a staggering two-million new jobs over the past 12 months alone escapes the likes of Pelosi, Dean, Kennedy and others of their raucous ilk who see nothing but despair and depression coming out of the Bush White House.


Real Estate Moms: Are they the new swing voters? (MICHAEL BARONE, September 18, 2005, Opinion Journal)
Last weekend I, like so many of my neighbors, went into the house two doors down from me and looked around. It was the first weekend the property was on the market, and we were curious about how much the sellers were asking--and whether they'd get it. I won't tell you the number, but it was higher than what similar houses had gone for in the neighborhood just last year, and much higher than any of us would have imagined five years ago. Many readers will have had similar experiences. I started thinking . . . what might this mean politically?

In the 1990s, we in the political commentariat talked a lot about Soccer Moms, the group targeted so successfully by Bill Clinton in 1996--women who wanted their children protected and nurtured, who favored Mr. Clinton's education and V-chip and family-leave programs. And in the past few years we've talked a lot about Security Moms, who seem to have voted for George W. Bush in 2004--women who want their families protected against terrorists. I now have another group we should talk about, and probably should have been talking about all along--Real Estate Moms, women who have seen their families' net worth climb thanks to rising home prices.


We were forced to violate all kinds of rules this weekend take the youngest to A Day Out With Thomas at Edaville Railroad--speaking purely anecdotally; if this is what the Depression looked like it's no wonder they were all singing "Happy Days are Here Again."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:06 AM

NOWHERE NEAR AS PROFLIGATE AS REAGAN:

Reconstruction tab poses risks: Spending likely to spur economy but swell deficit (William Neikirk, September 18, 2005, Chicago Tribune)

In fiscal 2006, the deficit could reach $400 billion once again as a result of Katrina spending, said Robert Reischauer, head of the Urban Institute and a former director of the Congressional Budget Office. After that, he said, federal money going to New Orleans will begin to taper off and reduce pressure on the deficit.

But Riedl said he expects the deficit to take a leap in the next few years, rising to a record $500billion in 2008. He cited the cost of repealing the alternative minimum tax, a levy that will increasingly hit middle-class Americans, along with paying for new spending already built into the budget, such as the Medicare prescription drug program and the Iraq war. The continuing conflict and rebuilding costs in Iraq eventually will total $300 billion to $600 billion, he predicted.

Relatively speaking, Bush isn't the biggest-spending president since World War II. The deficit totaled 7.2 percent of gross domestic product in 1946 under Harry Truman and 6 percent in 1983 under Ronald Reagan.

The red ink is 2.7 percent of GDP this year and could rise to 3.5 percent next year, Riedl said. Bush's budget this year totals about 20 percent of GDP, compared with Reagan's 23.5 percent in 1983, the highest percentage since World War II.


And what did the free-spending Ronald Reagan give us other than the end of the Cold War and twenty plus years of economic growth?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:18 AM

QUEUE TIPS:

The real line dividing cultures (Henry Fountain, 9/18/05, The New York Times)

There are...cultural differences in how people behave while in line, according to social scientists and park designers. Those differences have even led to physical changes in so-called queuing areas at some parks.

Rongrong Zhou, an assistant professor of marketing at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, who has studied the psychology of queuing in Hong Kong, although not at theme parks, said the differences went beyond a Hong Kong-mainland split.

Zhou said there was a tendency among Asians and others in more collective cultures to compare their situation with those around them.

This may make it more likely that they will remain in a line even if it is excessively long.

Zhou said this finding was rooted in a somewhat paradoxical observation: that it is the people behind a person in line, rather than in front, that determine the person's behavior.

"The likelihood of people giving up and leaving the queue is lower when they see more people behind them," Zhou said. "You feel like you are in a better position than the others behind you."

By contrast, she said, Americans and others in more individualistic societies make fewer "social comparisons" of this sort. They do not necessarily feel better that more people are behind them, and dislike having too many people in front of them. Lines in these cultures tend to be self-limiting.

In a place like Hong Kong, however, the lines may just grow and grow. "The longer the line, people think the service is more worthwhile to get," Zhou said.

The most insidious attack Ronald Reagan made on the Soviet Union was to make it a regular butt of his jokes--jokes borrowed from the people of the USSR themselves. One that's apropos:

Slava resignedly gets in a bread line that stretches around the block, but, two hours later, just as he gets to the front, they run out of bed.

He walks down the street and gets on an equally long toilet paper line, but once again they run out after he's waited two hours and it's about to be his turn.

So he goes down the street and stands in fron of the next door he comes to. Soon there's a line stretching around the block behind him. When the door remains closed the guy in back of him asks what's being sold there. Slava says, "Nothing. I just wanted to be first in line for once."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:49 AM

ALL ABOUT THE OIL:

Little Violence as Afghans Cast Votes: Turnout in the parliamentary poll appears strong, but less than October's balloting for president. A huge security force is in place. (Paul Watson, September 19, 2005, LA Times)

Afghan voters defied insurgent threats and elected their parliament for the first time in more than three decades Sunday as a massive security operation foiled Taliban attempts to disrupt the poll.

There were 19 attacks across the country, but they were "very minor," said Peter Erben, chief electoral officer. Three voters were injured in different incidents in the eastern province of Kunar, he said. [...]

In Sunday's vote, Afghans elected 249 members of the National Assembly's lower house, called the Wolesi Jirga, or House of the People. They also cast ballots for 34 provincial councils. Election workers are set to start counting ballots Tuesday, and final results are not expected for at least two weeks.

It was the first time Afghans had elected the lower house of their National Assembly in 36 years, and only the third parliamentary election since 1964, when the Afghan king introduced democratic reforms.

"We are making history," Karzai said as he cast his ballot. "It's the day of self-determination for the Afghan people. After 30 years of wars, interventions, occupations and misery, today Afghanistan is moving forward, making an economy, making political institutions."


Despite the Left's apparent hopes that they'll fail, just so W gets his comeuppance.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:41 AM

LEAVE OUR STATE ALONE:

German vote deadlock hits markets: Investors have expressed dismay at the inconclusive outcome to Germany's general election, sending the euro and share prices lower on Monday. (BBC, 9/19/05)

Economists believe sweeping reforms are needed to tackle Germany's economic problems and that Sunday's result - in which the opposition Christian Democrats (CDU) secured three more seats than the Social Democrats - has not provided a clear mandate for change.

"The hopes were not high for a clear winner based on polls last week but the poor showing of the CDU suggests the German people were against further pro-business reforms," said Greg Gibbs, an analyst at Royal Bank of Canada.


Combined with the "no" votes on the EU constitution it demonstrates how little interest continental Western Europe has in the reforms everyone recognizes it needs if it is to have much of a future.


MORE:
Electorate puts off hard decisions (Judy Dempsey, 9/18/05, International Herald Tribune )

As an east German who spent 36 years living in a Communist-run centralized economy, Merkel had felt the deep urge to redefine the role of the state in a united Germany. For some Germans, even inside her own Christian Democratic Union party, it was too much and too soon.

Gero Neugebauer, a political scientist at the Otto-Suhr-Institute in Berlin, said, in discussing Merkel's pro-market stance, that she "is more suited for a really liberal party which does not exist in Germany. She is too liberal for the Christian Democrats. There is a deep social element, indeed almost social democratic in character, which is inside the Christian Democrats and its sister party in Bavaria, the Christian Social Union."

"The Christian Democrats are not ready for reforms," Neugebauer said. "Perhaps the Germans are not ready for them either."

During the election campaign, Chancellor Gerhard Schröder and Joschka Fischer, a Greens leader and foreign minister in Schröder's coalition, had played on the public's fears of reforms.

"The voters rejected the cold, asocial policies of Merkel," Fischer said Sunday night. "They did not want a government that would introduce such policies that were unsocial and would not protect the environment."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:34 AM

FROM WIN TO WIN:

N Korea to 'give up nuclear aims' (BBC, 9/18/05)

North Korea has agreed to give up all nuclear activities and rejoin the nuclear non-proliferation treaty, in a move diplomats called a breakthrough.

In return, the US said it had no intention of attacking the North, which was also promised aid and electricity. [...]

Mohammad El-Baradei, the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency [IAEA] also welcomed the development, saying that UN inspectors should return to North Korea as soon as possible.

"The earlier we go back the better," he said.

The chief US negotiator at the talks, Christopher Hill, praised the development as a "win-win situation", adding: "We have to seize the momentum of this."

But he promptly urged Pyongyang to end operations at its main nuclear facility at Yongbyon.

"The time to turn it off would be about now," Mr Hill said.


Even the NorKs have served to isolate Iran.

MORE:
West steps up pressure over Iran (BBC, 9/19/05)

Western nations are expected to press for a tough line on Iran at a meeting of the UN's nuclear watchdog in Vienna.

The US and the EU want Iran to be referred to the UN Security Council, following its decision to resume the conversion of uranium for nuclear fuel.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:28 AM

THE ROBERTS STANDARD:

Schumer is no match for Roberts (ROBERT NOVAK, September 19, 2005, Chicago Sun-Times)

Democratic Senators Charles Schumer of New York and Dianne Feinstein of California had tried to hide their frustration while questioning Judge John G. Roberts Jr. for the second time last week. But once the confirmation hearing ended, they betrayed their emotions in the confines of a Russell Senate Office Building elevator, oblivious to who was overhearing them. The two senators bitterly complained that Roberts simply was not answering their questions.

Feinstein sounded like a sympathetic sidekick, but this was more serious for Schumer -- a crushing defeat in his campaign to establish a new standard for confirmation of Supreme Court nominees. Ever since President Bush's election, Schumer has been planning how to force nominees to take broad policy positions. In his elevator conversation with Feinstein, Schumer grumbled that Roberts was getting away with incorrectly claiming he was following precedent set by liberal Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg in her confirmation hearing (though in private conversation last week, Ginsburg disagreed with Schumer).

Schumer may be the Senate Judiciary Committee's best lawyer, but Roberts is an even better one. "If this were a fight, the referee would have stopped it," Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham told me in assessing the Schumer vs. Roberts confrontation. Beyond their legal duel, the outcome should set a new standard for Supreme Court confirmations. It is unlikely any future nominee can be drawn into an inquest of their policy positions.


If Mr. Schumer, [regarded as one of the biggest blowhards in the Senate], is really the sharpest knife in their drawer it's no wonder they ended up with it stuck in their own backs.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:59 AM

NO CARD, NO VOTE (via Robert Schwartz):

Election Overhaul Is Urged: Politicians should give up voting oversight to nonpartisan pros, a bipartisan panel says. (James Gerstenzang, September 19, 2005, LA Times)

In a report to be presented today to President Bush and congressional leaders, former President Carter and former Secretary of State James A. Baker III are recommending a widespread overhaul of election practices to make it easier for Americans to vote and to guarantee that their votes are counted.

Seeking to overcome the flaws that brought election turmoil to Florida in 2000 and to Ohio last year — and that cast doubt on the outcome nationally — they are calling for election oversight to be removed from politicians and given to nonpartisan election professionals. [...]

After Carter and Baker present the 91-page report to Bush and then to Congress, it will be posted at http://www.american.edu/Carter-Baker . The two men hope that some of their goals can be achieved before the 2008 presidential election.

"The American people are losing confidence in the system, and they want electoral reform," Carter said in a statement accompanying the report. He said the changes the commission had proposed "represent the best path toward modernizing our electoral system."

Baker said he hoped the report would "help transform the sterile debate between Democrats and Republicans on election reform issues and provide the impetus for our federal and state leaders to take action now, when we still have plenty of time before our next presidential election."

Baker played a central role for Bush during the Florida vote recount in 2000, building the Supreme Court case that stopped the tally with Bush leading by 537 votes.

If the states adopt the recommendation that nonpartisan officials run elections, the process would be removed from offices such as that led in 2000 by then-Florida Secretary of State Katherine Harris, who was at the same time a co-chair of Bush's Florida campaign. [...]

Among the commission's other recommendations:

• Establishment of a "universal voting registration system." States, rather than local jurisdictions, would be responsible for the accuracy of voter lists. State lists should be interchangeable so that "people would need to register only once in their lifetime, and it would be easy to update their registration information when they move."

• A greater role for states in registering potential voters. In addition, states should make it easier for ex-felons who have met their sentencing and parole requirements to register to vote, with the exception of registered sex offenders.

• Implementation of a uniformly accepted photo identification system to ensure that a would-be voter is the person on a voting list. States should establish more offices, including mobile facilities, to make it easier for non-drivers to register and receive photo IDs.

The report reflects the tensions among Democrats, Republicans, civil liberties groups and others interested in the election system. For instance, civil libertarians have expressed concern that a voter registration card could lead to establishment of a national ID card. But the panel contends that discrimination against minorities could be reduced if poll workers were not permitted to apply a variety of standards and were instead required to recognize one card.


Creating a new election bureaucracy would be a mistake, but requiring the presentation of a national identity photo card in order to vote makes good sense.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:49 AM

DEAF DEATH LOBBY:

Prochoice, out of touch (Joan Vennochi, September 18, 2005, Boston Globe)

HELLO, NARAL? It is getting easier to ignore you. The same is true of Planned Parenthood.

These abortion rights advocates have not adjusted their tone or message to 21st century political realities.

First obvious reality: George W. Bush, not John Kerry, won the last presidential election.

With Bush in the White House, the best-case scenario for abortion rights supporters is a Supreme Court justice who agrees, at minimum, that there is a constitutionally protected right to privacy. That is the underpinning of Roe v. Wade, the 1973 Supreme Court decision, which extended the privacy right to abortion.

During last week's confirmation hearings, John Roberts said there is such a privacy right. It is also true that Roberts refused to state whether he believes that privacy right specifically includes a woman's right to abortion. But did NARAL Pro-Choice America or Planned Parenthood Federation of America really expect a Bush nominee to do that? Again, they got the best they could expect. Regarding Roe, Roberts said, ''It's settled as a precedent of the court, entitled to respect under principles of stare decisis" (Latin for ''to stand by that which is decided").

Next political reality: Respect for precedent is not an absolute commitment to it. With conservatives controlling all three branches of government, expect greater restrictions on abortion at the national level. That makes every state an important battleground. Electing prochoice legislators and governors becomes vitally important to protecting a woman's right to an abortion. Access to abortion can end up being an accident of geography.

But the biggest political reality is how much the abortion conversation is changing on the pro-choice side -- and how little prochoice groups like NARAL and Planned Parenthood seem to understand the change and the challenge.

The right-to-lifers contend they have God on their side. Minus a deity, the left needs something. How about reason and logic, the opposite of hysteria?


She's quite right that reason and logic are the opposite of God's side.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:44 AM

WE ARE ALL REAGANAUTS NOW:

Tax cuts key to sustained economic growth (CHRISTOPHER LINGLE, 9/19/05, The Japan Times)

Political officials around the world, even in European welfare states, have discovered that offering tax cuts are not just a vote winner that can swing the outcome of an election. They are also a good way to spark sustained economic growth. So it is not surprising that President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono has pledged to reduce both corporate and personal taxes to encourage increased investment in Indonesia.

Clearly he is looking beyond the bogus claim that cutting taxes benefits only the rich. Perhaps he and his advisers were impressed by the experience of other countries. For example, several economies that had veered far off their long-term growth paths during the early 1980s were revived by reductions in the marginal tax rate (amount of tax imposed on an additional unit of income).

For example, Turkey reduced its minimum marginal tax rates from 40 to 25 percent and the maximum from 75 to 50 percent in 1983 to 1984. Real economic growth was about 7 percent over the following four years and rose to 9 percent in 1990.

South Korea cut tax rates and expanded deductions three times, sparking a surge in economic growth that averaged 9.3 percent a year from 1981 to 1989. More recently, Ireland became known as the "Celtic Tiger" after a round of tax cuts.

And then there is the U.S. experience with cutting marginal income-tax rates in 1981 and in 1986. These sparked nearly two decades of relatively high growth into the late 1990s, interrupted only by a mild recession in 1990-91.


And the 90-91 slowdown -- despite coming at the historically difficult point when an economy transitions off of a war footing -- turns out to have been so mild it won't even qualify as a recession.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:42 AM

IS THERE ANY EVIDENCE THEY'RE CAPABLE OF EMBARRASSMENT?:

Flawless Roberts holding Dems scoreless (Mark Steyn, 9/19/05, Jewish World Review)

Ever since prolonged attendance at "the world's greatest deliberative body" during the Clinton impeachment trial, my general line on the U.S. Senate has been to commend the example of New Zealand: They had a Senate, and they abolished it.

But, until that blessed day, I'd have been quite content for the John Roberts confirmation hearings to go on for another six months, couple of years, half a decade, until the last registered Democrat on the planet expired in embarrassment at the sheer maudlin drivel of it all. It was obvious on the first day about 20 minutes in — i.e., about halfway through Joe Biden's first question — that the Democrats had nothing on Roberts. But they're game guys and, like the fellow in a tight spot in a caper movie, they stuck their right hands in their pockets, pointed them through the material and pretended they had a real gun in there. By the second day, their pants had fallen down, but they bravely stood there waggling their fingers at the nominee and insisting they had enough firepower to blow his head off.


One wishes only that the GOP had enough sense to just stop asking questions of their own while Mr. Roberts was administering that ritual drubbing to the Committee's Democrats.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:21 AM

WHAT DOES MOVE ON WANT US TO DO?:

Roberts vote holds risks for Democrats: Strategists weigh political message, fallout for '08 race (Nina J. Easton and Rick Klein, September 19, 2005, Boston Globe)

The decision on whether to support Judge John G. Roberts Jr.'s nomination to the Supreme Court could be a defining moment for the Democratic Party, as strategists have begun weighing the political risks either of alienating the party's liberal base by supporting a conservative nominee, or of leaving the party open to attack for opposing a nominee solely on ideological grounds.

As Democratic senators began weighing their decisions this weekend, many party strategists looking to the potential fallout for the 2006 midterm elections and the 2008 presidential election are counseling lawmakers to cast a ''no" vote.

''If you're running for president and you vote for this guy, you're going to come to regret it," said Paul Begala, the party strategist and commentator.


Sadly for the Democrats, keeping their base happy only estranges them from the bulk of the country.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:09 AM

SILENT, BUT DEADLY? (via Robert Schwartz):

Tremors may mean 'Big One' on its way (MARK HUME, September 14, 2005, Globe and Mail)

A silent tectonic event, so powerful it has shifted southern Vancouver Island out to sea, but so subtle nobody has felt a thing, is slowly unfolding on the West Coast.Scientists who are tracking the event with sensitive seismographs and earth orbiting satellites warn it could be a trigger for a massive earthquake -- some time, maybe soon. But they are quick to add that the imperceptible tremors emanating from deep beneath the surface are sending signals scientists are not yet able to comprehend fully and "the Big One" might yet be 200 years off. What they do know is that the earth is moving this week on the West Coast as two massive tectonic plates slip past each other.

"Southern Vancouver Island is sort of sliding towards the west right now. We're moving towards Japan," said John Cassidy, a seismologist with Natural Resource Canada at the Pacific Geoscience Centre near Sidney, B.C. "It's a very small amount. We've moved about three millimetres to the west over the past couple of days."

The event, known as an episodic tremor and slip, is a predictable, cyclical phenomenon that is adding pressure to a zone where the Juan de Fuca Plate and the North American Plate are locked, just off Vancouver Island. While the two plates are slipping in some areas, in another they remained locked. That locked zone is where the next megathrust earthquake is expected to come from when it suddenly releases. Mr. Cassidy said a slip event occurs every 14 months, and when it does, scientists believe the chance of an earthquake the size that triggered the Asia tsunamis increases. One researcher has likened the event to going up a step on a staircase, at the top of which sits a megathrust earthquake. But nobody knows where the top is or where we are on the staircase.

The geological record on the West Coast has shown that megathrust earthquakes occur roughly once every 500 years. The last one struck on Jan. 26, 1700, which leaves a window of possibility 200 years wide.

"We know there will be another megathrust earthquake, but we don't know when," Mr. Cassidy said.


But everyone's prepared, right?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

TEMPORARILY-OCCUPIED WESTERN KURDISTAN:

Kurds dream of real power (Sami Moubayed, 9/20/05, Asia Times)

Kurds living in countries such as Syria,Turkey and Iran now dare to dream as they observe the new-found privileges their brothers in Iraq now enjoy. But theirs is a much harder battle.

It took an American invasion of Iraq to open the door to the freedoms now enjoyed by Kurds in that country. Their fellow Kurds face other unique obstacles and circumstances in the countries they live in. And though they see Iraqi Kurds as their benchmark to greater freedom, they all have different views of how their futures might look. Whatever autonomy they envision in the short term, most see such freedoms as a stepping stone to a real Kurdistan.

The Kurds of Syria have long complained that many of them were deprived of their citizenship in a controversial census conducted by the pre-Ba'ath regime of president Nazim al-Qudsi in 1962. Since then, Syrian Kurds have been demanding citizenship, rather than autonomy like their brothers in Iraq. In March 2004, wanting to make their voice heard, they rioted throughout Syria, vandalizing private and public property.


Support for Kurdish self-determination in Syria is an easy way to turn the screws on the regime.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

IF EVER A CITY NEEDED TO BE EVACUATED:

Mayor rekindles tensions between Detroit and suburbs (AP, 9/19/05)

Facing a tough re-election fight, Detroit Mayor Kwame Kilpatrick last week fed the long-standing rivalry between the city and its suburbs.

The mayor singled out two school districts in neighboring Oakland County as having higher rates of drug use than Detroit's.

"In Birmingham and Bloomfield Hills and all these places, they do more meth, they do more Ecstasy and they do more acid than all the schools in the city of Detroit put together," Kilpatrick said Thursday during the first of three planned debates with challenger Freman Hendrix.

County and school district officials lashed out at the mayor Friday, saying the statement was irresponsible, and requested a public apology.

"Those comments insulted the residents of Birmingham, Bloomfield Hills, insulted the students and impugned the reputation of two of our finest, exemplary school districts," said Oakland County Executive L. Brooks Patterson.

Patterson said Kilpatrick's comments were reminiscent of longtime Detroit Mayor Coleman Young, whom Patterson said refused to develop any kind of relationship with the surrounding communities.

In his January 1974 inaugural speech, Young enraged suburban officials when he encouraged the city's criminals to "hit Eight Mile Road" and leave the city by way of the suburbs. Eight Mile Road is the dividing line between predominantly black and low-income Detroit and its largely white and affluent northern suburbs.


Unfortunately it takes a disaster for us to disperse an inner city underclass.


MORE (via Robert Schwartz):
GULF COAST CRISIS: A FRESH START: Evacuees see a new land of opportunity in Houston (Deborah Horan, September 18, 2005, Chicago Tribune)

Robert Washington, a hefty construction worker with a do-rag covering his hair, earned a decent wage in New Orleans, often as much as $10 an hour. Problem was, there wasn't always work, sometimes not for weeks.

So when the flood unleashed by Hurricane Katrina washed away almost everything he owned, Washington, 29, decided to view the destruction as an opportunity in disguise, a chance to escape the grinding poverty that lurked beyond the jazz bars of Bourbon Street.

It may not have been the ideal way to make a fresh start--on a borrowed boat with few belongings as the floodwaters rose--but Washington figures Houston, where he was later bused with thousands of other evacuees, just might turn out to be a better place to be.

"Hopefully I can get ahead here," Washington said in a tent outside Houston's Astrodome last week, where he was filling out an employment application. "They got better jobs, better pay rates, more opportunity. I figure I'll find more work out here."

Around him, other hurricane survivors talked about finding hope in Houston and getting a chance to break free from the poverty that trapped them in New Orleans.

They had been truck drivers, restaurant workers and hotel managers before the storm forced them out of their homes.

"I think God used this [storm] as a setup for many of us to turn things around," said Eddie Walker, 25, a bespectacled hotel parking manager who was laid off from his job two weeks before the hurricane hit. Exhausted and traumatized, he hoped to find work at a hotel in Houston.

And Walker was far from alone.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

IT'S NOT A SUPPLY PROBLEM...:

OPEC May Lift Quotas (Stephen Voss and James Cordahi, September 19, 2005, Bloomberg News)

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries may agree to offer customers every barrel of oil that members can produce, effectively suspending the group's quota system.

OPEC has 2 million barrels of production capacity idle, Sheikh Ahmad Fahd Sabah, the OPEC president and Kuwaiti oil minister, said in Vienna, where OPEC meets today. [...]

The oil ministers for the United Arab Emirates, Mohamed bin Dhaen Hamli, and Venezuela, Rafael Ramirez, said such a decision may not lead to lower gasoline prices because of bottlenecks in the refining system.

OPEC today will start its two-day meeting to deliberate an increase in the official output ceiling, now at 28 million barrels a day for the members outside of Iraq. Those members produced 28.55 million barrels a day last month.

"The market is very well supplied," the United Arab Emirates' Hamli said.


...but it might have some good psychological effect.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

ADAPTABLE CREATURES:

Many gas guzzlers are gathering dust (Don Aucoin, September 19, 2005, Boston Globe)

In May, Holly Kennedy bought an SUV. It seemed like a good idea at the time.

That very month, gasoline prices started to climb. And climb. And climb some more. By July, it was costing Kennedy $70 a week to fill her tank. Something had to give. So Kennedy parked her SUV and clambered aboard her mountain bike each day for her 10-mile commute from her Arlington home to the Burlington software company where she works. Even though her commute time lengthened from 15 minutes one way to 40, she found herself wishing she had tried the two-wheeled approach a lot sooner.

''It gives you time to unwind on the way home, and it gives you time to wake up on the way to work," she said. [...]

Of course, if you live in a suburb and work in a suburb, as many do in high-tech Massachusetts, mass transit can be an elusive option. That's where 24-year-old Matt Severance finds himself. Each day, he drives 45 miles from his home in Northborough to his job at Putnam Investments in Andover.

''I'm dropping 60 bucks a week just driving to work, not to mention going other places, which brings it to 85 bucks a week," said Severance. ''It's definitely hurting my bank account. You're spending an hour or two in a car, which is depressing enough. And then to pay through the nose for gas."

He is considering carpooling with a co-worker who lives in Uxbridge.


Darwinism may be false as regards evolution, but it remains true in the science that he borrowed it from, economics.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THE LESSON OF MANZANAR...:

By Hook or by Crook, Surviving Storm: Miss. Officials Used Ingenuity -- and the Occasional Misdeed -- to Get Job Done (Sally Jenkins, 9/19/05, Washington Post)

Hurricane Katrina has transformed Mississippi's mayors into car thieves, and senators into blockade runners. Isolated by the initial hit of the storm and failed by the slow federal response, citizens have fended for themselves in some original and not entirely legal ways. Brent Warr, the Republican mayor of Gulfport, even ordered his police chief to hot-wire a truck.

"When you send your law enforcement out to steal things, that's when you know you're in a different situation," Warr says.

In Gulfport, Warr did everything by the book, right up until he started stealing. His force of 225 police officers and 190 firefighters stayed on the job in 24-hour shifts. Fire Chief Pat Sullivan went into the storm to cut away felled trees from the roads leading to the hospitals. In the city's sea-blue antebellum City Hall, Warr worked without power.

But Gulfport was still without help three days after the storm, and Warr's control over the situation was slipping. Looting broke out downtown. When Warr drove a utility vehicle down U.S. 90, he watched as his longtime family business, Warr's Men's Clothing, was ransacked.

Worst of all, the city was running out of fuel. Generators were about to fail, rescue vehicles were running out of gas. One local hospital radioed that it was on backup power and had no water, and that looters were circling.

Warr turned to his chief of police, Stephen T. Barnes. There was a private fuel transport vehicle -- Warr doesn't remember whose -- parked in a lot behind a chain-link fence. Warr had the lock cut. "Can we hot-wire it?" he asked.

Barnes said, "I wasn't cut out to be a crook; that's why I went into law enforcement."

"Well, can we get someone from the jail to do it?" Warr asked.

Thirty minutes later, the truck was sitting in the City Hall parking lot. That was just one episode in Warr's life of petty crime over the past three weeks.


...so long as you're successful, everything is justified in retrospect.


September 18, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:59 PM

IT'LL NEVER FLY, OMAR:

WAITING FOR THE MAHDI, Part 1: Sistani.Qom: In the wired heart of Shi'ism (Pepe Escobar, 8/31/05, Asia Times)

Secular voices in Tehran are adamant: Ninety percent of the political power in Iran is in Qom. One may be tempted to add that at least 70% of the political power in Iraq is also situated in Qom.

It's only a small room, one of its walls plastered with blue cabinet files containing e-mail printouts from all over the world. Behind a glass wall, five youngsters scan documents non-stop. Appearances are deceptive.

This is the room housing www.sistani.org, arguably the nerve center of Shi'ite Islam today, run by a soft-spoken, scholarly looking man, Ali Shabestari. Some grand ayatollahs may be grander than others. Since the war, invasion and occupation of Iraq, Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani - based in Najaf, 160 kilometers south of Baghdad, but born in Sistan-Balochistan province in Iran - has become the paramount voice of Shi'ism. The victory of the Shi'ite-led coalition in the January elections in Iraq was basically a Sistani victory. Most of his closest aides are based in Qom, in Central Iran about 200 kilometers south of Tehran. Sistani's unquestioned moral authority has put the limelight on nothing less than a silent battle for the core of the Shi'ite soul. [...]

The figure of the marja'a - a source of imitation by the faithful - is at the center of Shi'ism. The marja'a represents Imam al-Mahdi, the hidden Imam who will reappear one day to save mankind. Marja'as are also at the center of the barely disguised rivalry between the holy cities of Najaf in Iraq and Qom in Iran. Zadeh says that previously Najaf was the center "because there were more marja'as. Under repression by Saddam Hussein, most of them migrated to Qom, and now they are mostly here. Imams predicted in books that the center [of the Shi'ite faith] would move to Qom."

According to Zadeh, there are now eight marja'as, all of them grand ayatollahs. Only Sistani is based in Iraq, in Najaf. The others are Khamenei, Makaram Shirazi, Fazel Lankarani, Tabrizi; Bahjat, Safi Golpaygani, and Shirazi. All the Iranians are close followers of the late Grand Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, father of the Islamic revolution in Iran in 1979. Zadeh adds that "in each time there is a supreme marja'a. Now it is Ayatollah Khamenei." But who were they before Khomeini? Zadeh points to a list of all marja'as since the 7th century.

Zadeh says, "All marja'as have a duty to establish an Islamic government. And this government should be established according to the will of the people. Imam Khomeini was ready; people wanted it." This implies that Sistani in Iraq was just delivering what the Shi'ite majority of the population wanted. Iraq may not become an Islamic republic, but at least none of its laws shall contradict Sharia, or Islamic law.

Zadeh explains that velayat-e-faqih (the ruling of the jurisprudent) is "the duty and belief of all marja'as. The fiqh [Islamic jurisprudence] should be running political and social life." The devil, of course, is in the details. "Shi'ites in practice believe that state and religion go together." Does that mean the absolute preeminence of Sharia law? "Islam says we have solutions for all aspects of life. And all Iranians accept this." But it's important to remember that when the concept of velayat-e-faqih was erected as the basis of Iran after the revolution, it was opposed by Ayatollah Khoei in Najaf (a traditionalist), Ayatollah Shariatmadari in Qom (a liberal) and Ayatollah Taleqani in Tehran (a "leftist", meaning progressive). Even with different positions, they all agreed that the marja'a should not mess around with politics.


In the long run, the fact that the practice won't work and that it violates the orthodoxy will make it rather easy for them to ditch Islamicism.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:53 PM

THAT'LL SOUND GOOD AT THE DEBATES:

New health secretary is first Haitian-American agency head (DAVID ROYSE, Sep 15, 2005, AP)

Dr. M. Rony Francois will become the state's new secretary of health, the first Haitian-American to head a Florida state agency, Gov. Jeb Bush announced Thursday.

Bush named Francois to replace Dr. John Agwunobi, who was nominated by President Bush to be assistant secretary of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.

Francois, an assistant professor at the University of South Florida's College of Public Health in Tampa, was born in Haiti and came to the United States in 1979 to pursue an education.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:43 PM

BOBBY, WE HARDLY KNEW YE:

Political clout could steer relief (Andrea Stone, 9/19/05, USA TODAY)

New Orleans' broken levees and mass evacuation have focused most attention on Louisiana. But Mississippi may be in a better position to collect federal dollars from the Republican-controlled White House and Congress once the media spotlight dims. Consider:

•Mississippi's senior senator, Republican Thad Cochran, chairs the Senate Appropriations Committee, which gives out federal funding. Louisiana's senior senator, Democrat Mary Landrieu, attacked the administration's response.

•Mississippi's junior senator is former majority leader Trent Lott, a Republican who chairs the rules committee that decides which bills get voted on. Louisiana Republican David Vitter, a freshman elected last year, gave the federal government a grade of "F" for its handling of the disaster. When federal officials wanted to send the Navy hospital ship USNS Comfort to Louisiana, Lott intervened to reroute the ship to his hometown of Pascagoula.

•Haley Barbour was a former chairman of the Republican National Committee and one of the most well-connected lobbyists in Washington when he was elected governor of Mississippi in 2004. He has defended the federal response. Louisiana Gov. Kathleen Blanco, a Democrat, initially criticized Washington's handling of relief efforts and refused to hand over control of the Louisiana National Guard to the federal government.

Barbour's comments were meant "to gain a little more credibility and gratitude of the Republicans running Congress when they start putting the money together," American Enterprise Institute congressional expert Norm Ornstein said.

Some Republicans have blamed Blanco and other local officials for initial missteps. "It's not Louisiana vs. Mississippi," said Kevin Madden, spokesman for House Majority Leader Tom DeLay of Texas. "It's what went right in Mississippi in planning and recovery vs. what went wrong in Louisiana."


The biggest thing that went right in Mississippi was the gubernatorial election, as was the biggest thing that went wrong in LA.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:08 PM

OUR GUY:

Musharraf: Israel must leave W. Bank (David Horovitz, Sep. 18, 2005, THE JERUSALEM POST)

In a landmark, unprecedented address to American Jewish leaders late on Saturday night, just days after he had shaken hands with Prime Minister Ariel Sharon at the UN General Assembly, Pakistan's President Pervez Musharraf urged Israel to show its "courage," and the Jewish community to use its influence, to solve the "Palestinian dispute once and for all."

He said this required Israel to pull out of the West Bank and agree a solution in Jerusalem that respected the city's "international character."

Resolution of the conflict, which Gen. Musharraf asserted lay "at the heart of terrorism in the Middle East and beyond," would "usher in a period of peace and tranquility in the Middle East and perhaps the whole world."

Among other things, it would certainly enable Pakistan to formalize full diplomatic relations with the Jewish state, he indicated.

Speaking briefly to The Jerusalem Post shortly before making his address, Musharraf said he had no timetable for such ties. "We need to sit down and talk more [with the Israelis]," he told The Post, "and see how to move forward. We ought to be taking more steps."


An address which offers the delightful prospect of the neocons going after him and the Left suddenly perceiving the wisdom of our working with the General instead of against.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:05 PM

WE BELIEVE HIM, NOT YOU:

Iran's President Does What U.S. Diplomacy Could Not (Dafna Linzer, September 19, 2005, Washington Post)

Five weeks ago, Iran's new president bought his country some time. Facing mounting criticism after walking away from negotiations with Europe and restarting part of Iran's nuclear program, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad asked the world to withhold diplomatic pressure while he put together new proposals.

On Saturday, dozens of international diplomats, including the foreign ministers of Britain, France and Germany, gathered at the United Nations to hear how Ahmadinejad planned to stave off a crisis.

Instead his speech, followed by a confused hour-long news conference, was able to do what weeks of high-level U.S. diplomacy had not: convince skeptical allies that Iran may, in fact, use its nuclear energy program to build atomic bombs.


Why would they believe him--none of them believe any of Saddam's WMD claims anymore...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:59 PM

TOO OLD TO CHANGE:

In Germany's Election, Germans Lose: With Angela Merkel failing to get a clear-cut victory for the CDU, the result will be a coalition that won't be able to tackle the real issues (Jack Ewing, 9/19/05, Business Week)

Germans have a reputation for being averse to change. Based on the results of Sept. 18 national elections, it appears there's something to that stereotype. German citizens gave far fewer votes than predicted to Angela Merkel and the center-right Christian Democratic Union, after Merkel ran a campaign based on the premise that painful change is needed to preserve Germany's standard of living.

It's not a function of being German.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:58 PM

SAY, HI, TO MR. HODGES:

Donn Clendenon, 70, M.V.P For the 1969 'Miracle Mets,' Dies (RICHARD GOLDSTEIN, 9/18/05, NY Times)

Donn Clendenon, the most valuable player in the 1969 World Series, when he hit three home runs to help propel the team known as the Miracle Mets to a five-game triumph over the Baltimore Orioles, died yesterday in Sioux Falls, S.D. He was 70.

His death was announced by the George Boom Funeral Home in Sioux Falls. He had had leukemia for many years.

When the Mets stunned the baseball world in 1969, winning the National League pennant by overtaking the Cubs after a ninth-place finish in a 10-team league in 1968, the bizarre seemed almost commonplace.

One of the strangest moments came at Shea Stadium in the sixth inning of Game 5 in the World Series, with the Orioles ahead by 3-0.

Cleon Jones, leading off, was allowed to take first base when Mets Manager Gil Hodges proved to the home-plate umpire, Lou DiMuro, that Jones had been hit by a low curveball. Hodges did it by showing how the pitch delivered by Dave McNally was smudged with polish from Jones's shoe.

Clendenon, the Mets' first baseman and the next hitter, hit a home run off the auxiliary scoreboard of the left-field loge seats to make it 3-2. The Mets tied it in the seventh inning on a homer by Al Weis, a little-noticed infielder, and scored two in the ninth for a 5-3 victory and the World Series championship.

Clendenon had hit home runs in Games 2 and 4, and he finished the Series with 5 hits in 14 at-bats for a .357 batting average, 4 runs batted in and 4 runs scored. His three home runs and 15 total bases set records for a five-game World Series.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:54 PM

THE DEAN HAS SPOKEN:

Roberts's Sterling Showing (David S. Broder, September 18, 2005, Washington Post)

The question of whether Judge John Roberts is qualified to be chief justice of the United States has been rendered moot by his performance in the Senate Judiciary Committee hearings. He is so obviously -- ridiculously -- well-equipped to lead government's third branch that it is hard to imagine how any Democrats can justify a vote against his confirmation.

Start with his intellect. This is a man whose knowledge of constitutional law goes well beyond his intimate familiarity with seemingly every Supreme Court decision. It is rooted in a thorough understanding of American history. He quotes Hamilton in the Federalist Papers not to show off his erudition but to buttress a point completely pertinent to current debates.

Next, his temperament. He has a quick wit, one that repeatedly disarmed even the prickliest of his questioners. You don't have to be an expert on reading "body language," as Sen. Tom Coburn of Oklahoma claimed to be, to see that he is perfectly comfortable in his own skin, immune to pressure.

What was most impressive to me was the depth of his appreciation of what it means to be a judge.


Goodness, he's almost drooling...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:06 PM

WHO DOES HE THINK HE IS, GEORGE BUSH?:

Gerhard Schroeder insists he wants to remain chancellor (Expatica, 18 September 2005)

Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder made clear Sunday that he intended to remain chancellor, even though his Social Democratic Party (SPD) emerged in second place in the German elections.

"I regard myself as confirmed in office by our country and intend that there will be stable government under my leadership," Schroeder told SPD supporters.

"We have achieved what many in this country regarded as completely impossible," he said, referring to opinion polls published by the media suggesting he would lose. [...]

Schroeder ruled out a coalition with the Left Party. The position he staked out appeared to indicate he would aim at a coalition of the SPD, their Greens partners in the current government and with the liberal FDP.

The Greens and the FDP have both, however, ruled out such a 'traffic light coalition', and repeated their position after the election results started coming in.

Challenger Angela Merkel earlier declared victory despite failing to win enough votes in Germany's general election to set up a conservative-led government.


One would hope the Christian Democrats have sense enough to simply refuse to help form a government with the Left.


MORE:
Hung parliament looms in Germany (BBC, 9/18/05)

Germany's ARD television puts with Christian Democrats in the lead with 36% of the vote - much worse than expected.

Their preferred coalition partner, the pro-business Free Democrats, did well with 10%, according to unofficial exit polls - but apparently not enough to secure a joint majority.

Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder's Social Democrats are estimated to have won about 34% of votes.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:44 PM

ANTI OR ANTE, EITHER WORKS:

The Supreme Court's Private Life (ROBERT P. GEORGE, 9/18/05, NY Times)

WHEN John Roberts, President Bush's nominee for chief justice of the Supreme Court, told the Senate Judiciary Committee last week that "the right to privacy is protected under the Constitution in various ways," some saw this as contradicting a memo he wrote while serving in the Reagan administration in which he referred to the "so-called 'right to privacy.' " The confusion may stem less from Judge Roberts's lack of candor than from the political and legal morass brought on by a string of dubious decisions by the Supreme Court over the last 40 years.

While the word "privacy" does not appear in the Constitution, this does not mean privacy rights are not protected. Certain provisions plainly protect people against governmental intrusion, like the Fourth Amendment's ban on "unreasonable searches and seizures." And these provisions have implications that extend beyond what the framers could possibly have envisioned; by logical extension, the Fourth Amendment protects people's electronic files just as it protected the parchment letters of the late 18th century.

Nearly everyone recognizes these privacy protections. Where dispute breaks out is on the question of whether the Constitution contains a generalized right to privacy of the type used by judges to invalidate laws prohibiting contraception, sodomy and abortion.

The idea of a general constitutional right to privacy has wide public support, especially in liberal circles where people approve of the uses to which it has been put. But even supporters have to admit that judges who have invoked this putative right have been unable to identify a constitutional basis for it. Tellingly, none has asserted that the framers and ratifiers intended to create a generalized privacy right in whose name abortion, for example, could be immunized from legal regulation. Before the Supreme Court's decision to inject itself into the abortion fight, it was widely considered the right of legislatures to determine such matters.


Well, the Senators were so concerned about stare decisis in privacy cases it seems safest to return to the status quo ante Griswold.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:40 PM

SMACK DAB IN THE MIDDLE OF THE THIRD WAY:

A Bushian Laboratory (DAVID BROOKS, 9/18/05)

On Oct. 5, 1999, George Bush went to the Manhattan Institute and delivered the most important domestic policy speech of his life. In what was mostly a talk about education, he made it quite clear he was no liberal. But he also broke with mainstream conservatism as it then existed.

He distanced himself from the cultural pessimists, the dour conservatives who were arguing that America was sliding toward decadence. Then he bluntly repudiated the small government conservatism that marked the Gingrich/Armey era.

It's not enough to cut the size of government, Bush said, or simply get government out of the way. Instead, Republicans have to come up with a positive vision of "focused and effective and energetic government."

With that, Bush set off on a journey to define what he called "compassionate conservatism" and what others call big government conservatism. [...]

On Thursday, President Bush went to New Orleans and gave the second most important domestic policy speech of his life. Politically it was a masterpiece, proof that if the president levels with the American people and admits mistakes, it pays off.

But in policy terms, the speech pushed the journey toward Bushian conservatism into high gear. The Gulf Coast will be a laboratory for the Bushian vision of energetic but not domineering government.

Bush proposed an Urban Homestead Act, which will draw enterprising people to the area, giving them an opportunity to own property so long as they're willing to work with private agencies to put up their own homes. He proposed individual job training accounts, so much of the rebuilding work can be done by former residents. Children who have left flooded areas will find themselves in a proto-school-choice program, with education dollars strapped to each individual child.

This is an effort to transform the gulf region, which had become a disaster zone of urban liberalism. All around the South, cities are booming, but New Orleans never did. All around the country, crime was dropping, but in New Orleans it was rising. Immigrants were flowing across the land in search of opportunity, but as Joel Kotkin has observed, few were interested in New Orleans.

Now the Bush administration is trying to change all that. That means trying to get around the corruption that made the city such a rotten place to do business. The White House is trying to do this by devising programs in which checks and benefits flow directly to recipients, not through local agencies.

That means challenging the reigning assumptions.


With the Left insisting there's no role for anyone but government in the recovery and the Right insisting there's no role for government, the President could hardly be positioned better.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:36 PM

AS CONFUCIUS SAID, IF BOLTON IS INEVITABLE....:

Bolton and U.N. Are Still Standing After His First Test (WARREN HOGE, 9/18/05, NY Times)

When President Bush greeted Secretary General Kofi Annan on Wednesday, he gestured toward John R. Bolton, the United States ambassador, and asked, "Has the place blown up since he's been here?"

The internal United Nations television sound boom that picked up the jest did not record any response from the Secretary General, who simply smiled.

But the same question, in less explosive form, has been posed repeatedly around the United Nations since the Aug. 1 arrival of Mr. Bolton, who famously once said that the headquarters building was filled with such sloth and incompetence that it would not matter if 10 of its 38 floors were lopped off.

In response, his fellow ambassadors say they are impressed with Mr. Bolton's work ethic, his knowledge of his brief, his clarity in declaring it and his toughness as a negotiator.


Sad day when the UN striped pants set is more mature about such matters than the Democrats.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:22 PM

BYPASS:

New plans shift health costs to workers (AP, 9/17/05)

Mark Galvin, founder of Whaleback Systems Corp., bypassed the traditional low-deductible health insurance plans he used for his three previous companies and bought a health savings account plan from Patriot Healthcare.

Gavin found he could save money for his high-tech Portsmouth company - half the $1,300 to $1,400 monthly premium for each employee. The trade off was a $10,000 deductible for the workers.

Galvin used some of his savings to fund $5,250 tax-free savings accounts for his 18 employees and agreed to pick up the slack if anyone had medical expenses that fell between that amount and the $10,000 deductible.

"The math just works out so much better," Galvan said. "The savings allowed us to fund everyone's health savings account to the maximum by law and still have some money left over." [...]

Health savings accounts are plans in which employees pay pared-down premiums in exchange for deductibles of $1,000 or more. The accounts work by letting employees set aside pretax income into an investment account that can be used for medical expenses.

To take advantage of the account, the worker must be signed up for a health insurance plan that has a minimum deductible of $1,000, or $2,000 for a family, and they cannot set aside more than $2,650 per individual, $5,250 per family.

Either workers or employers - or a combination - can contribute to the accounts. Some accounts roll over year after year and workers can transfer them to another job. Older employees also are allowed to make catch up contributions.

The accounts first became available in 2004 as part of the federal Medical Reform Act and some New Hampshire insurers began selling them late last year.

Patriot Healthcare, founded by former Health and Human Services Commissioner Nick Vailas, bases nearly all coverage on health savings accounts.

Offerings in New Hampshire should grow next year when Harvard Pilgrim introduces its health savings account plan and other insurers revamp prices to make them competitive, say brokers.

Don Mullen, a marketing manager for Anthem in the Northeast said so far the accounts represent a fraction of the overall market - perhaps 2 percent of Anthem's business in the state.

The theory behind health savings accounts is that high deductibles encourage consumers to be more price-savvy and comparison shop.


George Bush will be long gone by the time conservatives figure out that this was the key to the prescription drug bill.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:15 PM

SNAPPING UP ALL THE GREAT JOBS:

Mexican Workers Step Right Up: Country Fairs in the Northeast Depend on Their Manpower (Jodie Tillman, 9/18/05, Valley News)

The little boy froze, shrieked and demanded to be let out of the jungle-themed obstacle course.

The man who had silently taken his pink tickets moments earlier could not understand what the boy was saying. But he understood what he meant.

Francisco Leyva Martinez gestured to the boy's mother that she could go and fetch him. He smiled and pointed the way as she hurried past.

And then Martinez seemed to fade back into painted trees and birds of the jungle, tapping his foot lightly to Hakuna Matata blaring over the speakers, watching the parade of parents holding their children's hands and their children holding their tickets pass him by at the Tunbridge World's Fair yesterday.

Martinez and the other 40 Mexicans who ran rides and games at the fair this weekend cut a low profile among a Tunbridge Fair work force filled with entrepreneurs and community organizers and 4-H kids, relying instead on their quiet watchfulness to bridge the language and cultural divides.

They have also helped supply the manpower for popular rides like the Cobra and the Sea Dragon at Northeastern fairs like the one in Tunbridge for the last six months, staying on short-term visas that allow them to travel with an entertainment company and make about $300 each week that they can wire to their families in Mexico or take with them when they return home next month.

“Here the money is not much, but in Mexico that's maybe (worth) double,” said 21-year-old Lucio Hernandes Monfil, one of a handful of the workers who speaks fluent English.

The Mexicans, as well as about 30 Americans, work for the Pittsfield, Mass.-based Gillette Shows from May to October, said Jerry Gillette. The company runs all the rides and many of the games at the Tunbridge fair.

Gillette started hiring Mexicans on temporary work visas about five years ago, he said, when he could not find enough Americans willing to work the six-month circuit.

“They work until their job is done,” said Gillette. “They're excellent workers.”


What about all the mothers who dreamt of their kids growing up to be carnies?


Posted by Peter Burnet at 10:17 AM

AND THE AWARD FOR BLINKERED ROMANTIC NOSTALGIA GOES TO...

Men find solace in backyard shed (Greg Roberts, The Australian, September 17, 2005)

The backyard shed, it seems, means a lot more to men than somewhere to get away from the missus and practise the creative arts of the home handyman.

The separation of men from sheds has been identified as a factor in the depression many experience when they move into aged accommodation.

"They do a lot of thinking in their shed; it's their retreat from the world as well as a learning centre," gerontologist Leon Earle said.

"It gives them a sense of purpose. Most men have a personal quest to be creative and resourceful in their shed for as long as possible."

When it's time to move into aged accommodation, the loss of the shed is a blow to many men.

Especially the ones who never had one.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 9:39 AM

LYING FOR THE GOOD OF MANKIND

'Ditch the US alliance' (Paul Kelly, The Australian, September 17, 2005)

Former Labor leader Mark Latham believed the US alliance should be ditched and called it "the last manifestation of the White Australia mentality".

The Latham Diaries reveal his in-principle support for the alliance during last year's election was completely insincere and driven by electoral politics.

Mr Latham mocks public support for the alliance and dismisses with contempt anybody who thinks it serves a purpose. The Diaries verify the judgment President George W. Bush made of Mr Latham - that his election would have put the alliance in serious jeopardy. "It's just another form of neo-colonialism," Mr Latham says of the alliance.

Writing after the election, Mr Latham says that he should go public and question the long-term need for the alliance, but laments that this "would turn the party upside down" and that "the Big Mac faction would go ballistic".

The Diaries reveal an extreme view of foreign policy and of Australia's role in the world. Mr Latham opposes every war Australia has fought, except World War II. He blames the US alliance for dragging Australia into unnecessary conflicts. His preferred foreign policy model is based on New Zealand's.

He writes that if Australia prefers being "an American colony under (John) Howard, that's a nation not worth leading".

He accuses the Prime Minister and Mr Bush of being cowards, saying "they wouldn't fight themselves, of course, but they readily send other people's children to fight in their name".

The steady stream of accusations from the left that conservative leaders are lying is undoubtedly sincere and heartfelt because so many of them assume that such is natural and justified when they do it. This was a close call.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:57 AM

IRRECONCILABLE DIFFERENCES:

The Case For a 'No' Vote on Roberts (E. J. Dionne Jr., September 17, 2005, Washington Post)

[T]he doubts about Roberts have nothing to do with his good heart. The issue is the power about to be put in his hands and into the hands of President Bush's next appointee -- power both will enjoy for life. The Senate and the public have a right to far more assurance about how Roberts would use that power than they have been given in these hearings. The Senate is under no obligation to give the president or Roberts the benefit of the doubt.

If senators simply vote "yes" on Roberts, they will be conceding to the executive branch huge power to control what information the public gets and doesn't get about nominees to life positions. The administration has stubbornly refused to release a share of Roberts's writings as deputy solicitor general. This is a dare to the Senate, and the administration is assuming it will wimp out. A "yes" on Roberts would be a craven abdication of power to the executive branch.

In keeping with Roberts's painstaking evasions, he wouldn't even express a view Thursday as to whether his deputy solicitor general writings should be released. That was the administration's decision to make, he said. "This was not your decision," Schumer replied. "But you carry its burden." Or at least he should.


The only reason to oppose the confirmation of Judge Roberts is that you aren't reconciled to the results of recent American elections and believe the appointment of any conservative to the Court to be illegitimate. There's nothing wrong with the Left feeling that way, but it just serves to marginalize them even further.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:51 AM

HEART THROB (via AWW):

I Will Rebuild With You, Mr. President (Donna Brazile, September 17, 2005, Washington Post)

On Thursday night President Bush spoke to the nation from my city. I am not a Republican. I did not vote for George W. Bush -- in fact, I worked pretty hard against him in 2000 and 2004. But on Thursday night, after watching him speak from the heart, I could not have been prouder of the president and the plan he outlined to empower those who lost everything and to rebuild the Gulf Coast.

Bush called on every American to stand up and support the rebuilding of the region. He told us that New Orleans and the entire Gulf Coast would rise from the ruins stronger than before. He enunciated something that we all need to remember: This is America. We are not immune to tragedy here, but we are strong because of our industriousness, our ingenuity and, most important, because of our compassion for one another. We are a nation of rebuilders and a nation of givers. We do not give up in the face of tragedy, we stand up, and we reach out to help those who cannot stand up on their own.

The president called on every American to reach out to my neighbors in New Orleans and throughout the Gulf Coast. The great people of this country have already opened their hearts in the immediate aftermath of the storm, and their tremendous generosity has done more than just provide extra comfort -- it has saved lives. Now the crisis of survival is over. But the task of rebuilding remains, and the president made it clear that every single one of us has a role to play.

Each of us belongs to some group -- a church, a union or a fraternal organization, or even a book club -- that can make a difference. It is those groups that can pool resources and then reach out to their counterparts in the stricken states and ask, "What can we do?" Schools, Girl Scout troops, Rotary clubs -- this is the time for every community group to step forward to lend a helping hand. We need it.

The president also laid out the federal government's goal for rebuilding. It is unprecedented in its scope and ambition, matching destruction that is unprecedented as well. He made the challenge clear: This will be one of the biggest reconstruction projects in history. But he also made it clear that we can and will do this. New Orleans, Biloxi, all of the Gulf Coast will rise again. And the residents are ready to pitch in and do their part.

I know, maybe better than anyone, that there are times when it seems that our nation is too divided ever to heal. There are times when we feel so different from each other that we can hardly believe that we are all part of the same family. But we are one nation. We are a family. And this is what we do. When the president asked us to pitch in Thursday night, he wasn't really asking us to do anything spectacular. He was asking us to be Americans, and to do what Americans always do.


Not yet a Republican....


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:33 AM

JUST ANOTHER ISLAMIC DEMOCRACY:

Afghans go to polls in historic vote (Farah Stockman, September 18, 2005, Boston Globe)

As polls opened today, an unprecedented election season drew to an end in Afghanistan. Millions were expected to vote for the lower house of the National Assembly, a 249-seat body roughly equivalent to the US House of Representatives, and a host of provincial councils.

The election brings much to celebrate less than four years after US forces and their allies launched a war that drove the fundamentalist Taliban regime from power and routed Al Qaeda from its terror training camps in the Afghan countryside. Sixty-eight seats are reserved for women and 10 for the nomadic Kuchi tribe, groups long denied a say here; and the assembly will provide a democratic check on the authority of President Hamid Karzai.

The vote is a logistical triumph, with specialized pictorial ballots for the largely illiterate population delivered by helicopter and donkey to the most remote areas.


The stunning reality of our success in the WoT lies in the ordinariness of elections in even Afghanistan.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:27 AM

DON'T LOOK A GIFT TRANSFORMATION IN THE MOUTH:

Working class exodus feared in New Orleans (Raja Mishra and Sasha Talcott, September 18, 2005, Boston Globe)

Even as the nation unites to rebuild this stricken region, New Orleans's longstanding race and class divides appear to persist. The haves are beginning to pick up the pieces of their former lives, while many have-nots may be forced to simply pick up and leave.

Recovery is well underway in the French Quarter and in the tony Garden District and Uptown, which largely were spared when the levees broke because they sit on

But their lower-lying and often poorer counterparts may remain unsafe and may be uninhabitable for a year or longer, with entire neighborhoods slated for the wrecking ball, said state and federal officials.

And with each passing week, former residents of these communities, evacuated around the country, are more likely to start life anew elsewhere, said federal officials and urban affairs specialists.

Their absence could forever change this iconic city, once a potent cultural stew that gave rise to jazz and jambalaya, indelibly shaping American culture. A massive swath of the city's longshoremen, musicians, cooks, nurses, and myriad other workers are in scattered exile, their economic and cultural energies gone with them.

Some business analysts predict a smaller, less diverse New Orleans may emerge in the coming years, with key industries like tourism and shipping permanently shrunken. Others said many evacuees, poor and unskilled, may be replaced by a better trained workforce imported to Louisiana to do the work of reconstruction, dramatically changing the character of the city in the process.


Actually, all that should be restored is the shipping and tourism.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:59 AM

IT MAY BE A SEWER, BUT WE CALL IT HOME

U.S. pornography looks to go mobile (Matt Richtel and Michel Marriott, The New York Times, September 17th, 2005)

With the advent of advanced cellular networks that deliver full-motion video from the Internet - and the latest wave of phones featuring large, bright color screens - the U.S. pornography industry is eyeing the cellphone, like the videocassette recorder before it, as a lucrative new vehicle for distribution.

In recent months, that prospect has produced a cadre of entrepreneurs hoping to follow the lead of counterparts in Europe and Asia, where consumers already spend tens of millions of dollars a year on phone-based pornography.

The major American cellular carriers have so far been adamant in their refusal to sell pornography from the same content menus on which they sell ring tones and video games. But there are signs that they may soften their stance. The cellular industry's major trade group is drafting ratings for mobile content - akin to those for movies or video games - signaling that phones, too, will be a subject of viewer discretion.

Roger Entner, a wireless-industry analyst for Ovum, a market research firm, said the emergence of content ratings, coupled with easier use of the Internet on phones, made it inevitable that phone-based pornography would become a fixture.

"It has every component that has proven conducive to the consumption of adult entertainment - privacy, easy access, and, on top of it, mobility," Entner said.

Just about every prediction made by social conservatives during the great obscenity debates of the 50's and 60's has come to pass, but no one foresaw how the majority’s fear of being labeled prudish would become so strong that it would simply sit by and watch it all happen. Whether through empirical study or simply acknowledging what every man instinctively knows, we understand very well how destructive it is socially and personally. Unlike in the heyday of liberalism, hardly anyone even pretends anymore that there are any benefits to it. Yet even many people who wouldn’t touch the stuff will recite rote libertarian cant about choice or express silly fears of a censored Shakespeare as they watch it ravage the lives of many in the growing underclass, fuel crime, corrupt children and degrade women. The advent of the Internet has added a kind of “you can’t stop progress” fatigue that has left many convinced nothing can be done about it before they even try. This collective ennui says a lot about modern morality, but it also makes a mockery of our cherished belief that we are in control of our destiny and can choose what kind of society we wish to live in.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:04 AM

OUR FRIEND THE MALARIA VIRUS

How the penguin's life story inspired the US religious right (David Smith, The Observer, September 18th, 2005)

It is an odyssey to rival Scott's in the Antarctic, albeit with a happier ending. Fierce snowstorms rage, icy blasts flick across the screen. March of the Penguins, an epic nature documentary with a cast of thousands, was the surprise usurper of summer blockbusters at the American box office and is tipped to be the hit family film in Britain this Christmas.

To many, it will be no more nor less than a life-affirming portrayal of Mother Nature, reminiscent of Sunday-evening television with Sir David Attenborough whispering from the undergrowth. To some, however, the mesmerising images of birds waddling, mating and nurturing their young have become cinema's most politically charged parable since Michael Moore's Fahrenheit 9/1.

Conservatives in America claim to have seen God in the emperor penguin. They have rejoiced in the way the film shows penguins as monogamous upholders of traditional family values. They presumably welcomed the screenwriters' decision not to pursue arguments about climate change. They have even pointed to the heroically resourceful penguins - blinded by blizzards, buffeted by gales, yet winning against the odds - as proof of 'intelligent design', the religious belief system that aims to challenge Darwin's theory of evolution.

Audiences and critics of the £4.4 million French-made film have found themselves uplifted by the sight of emperor penguins trudging 70 miles, in single file, to their breeding ground during the harsh Antarctic winter in temperatures of -40C. The creatures' comical gait and tuxedo-like plumage have amused children, while their fortitude and tenderness in raising their offspring have had parents sighing in recognition. One reviewer gushed: 'It's impossible to watch the thousands of penguins huddled together against the icy Antarctic blasts ... without feeling a tug of anthropomorphic kinship.' [...]

Scientists in Britain, where the film will premiere at next month's London Film Festival, with general release in December, dismissed the intelligent design lobby's expropriation of the film. Steve Jones, professor of genetics at University College London and an atheist, said: 'I find it sad that people with intrinsically foolish viewpoints don't recognise this as a naturally beautiful film, but have to attach their absurd social agendas to it.

'The problem with intelligent design is that there is no conceivable observation in nature that can disprove the idea. It's not part of science, which is why scientists are not interested in it. A group of penguins standing upright looks like co-operation, but in fact the ones on the outside are struggling to get in and those on the inside are trying to stand their ground: it's a classic Darwinian struggle. The idea that the life of a penguin is any more beautiful than that of a malaria virus is absurd.

'Supporters of intelligent design think that if they see something they don't understand, it must be God; they fail to recognise that they themselves are part of evolution. It appeals to ignorance, which is why there is a lot of it in American politics at the moment.'

The value of Intelligent Design does not lie in its scientific capacity to prove anything. It value is in its artistic capacity to unmask the pomposity of so many darwinists and reduce them to a state of blustering incoherence.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:01 AM

STICKING TO THE KNITTING:

Moderates Raise Voices to Influence the Young: They hope a close-knit Muslim community can provide an anchor for youths in a pluralistic society. (John Daniszewski, September 18, 2005, LA Times)

Long before the deadly attacks, the continent's once-homogenous societies struggled with assimilating their large, and rapidly growing, Muslim populations. In turn, many new immigrants struggled with fitting in while quietly preserving their traditions.

Today, however, some young Muslims reject a pluralistic, secular continent, opting to retreat into the confines of what they feel is a purer, truer form of strict Islam as taught by radical clerics and websites.

The attack of July 7 and attempted reprise on the 21st, and similar bombings in Madrid last year, suggest that a small portion of Europe's new generation of Muslims may already be lost to extremist clerics and hate-filled Internet dogma.

But arrayed against fanaticism, there is a strong current of moderation within Europe's Muslim population that has become increasingly vocal in the wake of the London bombings.

Munaf Zeena, who runs the North London center, believes that if there is a solution to defeating extremism, it is a sense of community.

Like three of the July 7 bombers, Zeena is the Yorkshire-born son of immigrants. But far from attacking the country that bore him, the 45-year-old has embraced it. He is not only British, he says, but English — because England is the only home he has ever known, even if he is a Muslim and has an Indian name.

He is aware of the eerie parallels between his life and those of some of the bombers. As a young man, he faced racism from British nationalists. Like them, he sometimes felt a yawning gulf between his own, British-born generation and his parents' generation.

"What turned them into terrorists and what turned me into a man of peace?" he asked rhetorically. "That needs to be looked at so we can protect young people…. We need to look at it, we need to analyze it."

His center, Zeena believes, is an anchor in a confused and conflicted world. He is convinced that what sets his boys apart from the young bombers from Leeds is that they have a strong community around them, shaping them, grooming them, with supervisors and mentors who have taught them the correct meaning of Islam and citizenship.

He also believes the role of the mosque must be limited. "Mosques are places of worship," he said, insisting that they should not take the place of schools, community centers or other institutions. "Those that want to see mosques being used for the purposes that Prophet Muhammad used the Medina mosque should be aware that we live in a different age."

The center, in a pair of tawny brown Victorian row houses just off Stoke Newington High Street, looks out to an ethnic checkerboard of a neighborhood, the "new Britain" in microcosm.

Across the street is a Jewish primary school. One nearby restaurant, the Motherland, is African; another sells Middle Eastern kebabs. At the mosque next to the center, Muslim men in long robes, bushy beards and skullcaps chat on the sidewalk, while nearby walk Hasidic Jews with side locks and black broad-brimmed hats, coats, breeches and stockings.

Every day after school or work, the Muslim boys of the neighborhood congregate at the center, a few dozen of them at any one time, ranging in age from about 10 to 25. Inside, the place has an institutional feel, its bulletin board plastered with numbers to call for energy assistance, warnings about bowel disease and a note on the Islamic method for brushing teeth.

The youths rush past, upstairs to play pool and snooker in a game room, or down to the basement to surf the Internet or study Arabic or math. But for most, cricket and soccer are the mainstay of their lives, after religion. About 7 p.m., they dutifully go say their late-afternoon prayers at the mosque next door, then return to their sports in the park a few blocks away.

In a sense, their lives mirror those of Shahzad Tanweer, Mohamed Sidique Khan and Hasib Hussain, the young men who blew themselves up this summer, killing dozens of commuters. But unlike them, the boys of the North London Muslim Community Center say they have not fallen under the spell of militant anti-Western preachers.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

JUST ONE MORE CULTI AMONGST THE MULTI:

Police struggle to cope as hidden sex offender list tops 30,000 (RICHARD GRAY AND MURDO MACLEOD, Sun 18 Sep 2005, Scotland on Sunday)

IT IS barely eight months since teenager Karen Dewar was brutally murdered in the peaceful Fife coastal town of Tayport.

The case shocked the nation - and led to demands for reform of a failed system when it emerged her killer, Colyn Evans, a repeat sex offender, had been living alone and unsupervised in the community. He had been placed there in temporary accommodation by Fife Council.

Now Scotland on Sunday can reveal that the same system has led to scores more dangerous sex offenders being dumped in Fife, where they move freely and without daily monitoring.

Figures obtained under the Freedom of Information Act show Fife Council is currently housing 65 convicted sex offenders in single-tenancy accommodation.

Even more disturbing, it is understood a review of the controversial policy promised after the Dewar murder has been suspended - and also that many of the offenders have been housed since the killing.

Scotland on Sunday also reveals today that Scotland's police chiefs are seeking more cash to allow them to monitor non-registered and suspected sex offenders. Police keep a 'shadow' register of such people, which now contains 30,000 names.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

WELCOME BACK:

A passage to Israel for lost tribe of India (SHAIKH AZIZUR RAHMAN, 9/18/05, Scotland on Sunday)

AFTER almost three millennia in exile the Bnei Menashe Jews of India believe they are about to be returned to the Promised Land.

More than 7,000 mainly impoverished Indian Jews will convert to orthodox Judaism in the coming weeks, thereby gaining the right to live in Israel.

In April Shlomo Amar, the Sephardic chief rabbi, announced in Jerusalem that he accepted the Bnei Menashe, which means "Children of the Messiah", as one of the 10 lost tribes of Israel.

A Beit Din, or rabbinical court, arrived in India last week on a mission to convert the Bnei Menashes of India's Mizoram and Manipur states to orthodox Judaism, giving hope to thousands of a new life in Israel. [...]

Shavei Israel, a Jerusalem-based organisation that has been trying to locate descendants of lost Jewish tribes around the world and bring them to Israel, believes that all Chins in Burma, Mizos in Mizoram and Kukis in Manipur - three prominent tribes of the region - are descendants of Menashe.

According to the organisation there are up to two million Bnei Menashes living in the hilly regions of Burma and north-east India.

After an Assyrian invasion in around 722BC, Jewish tradition says 10 tribes from Israel were enslaved in Assyria. Later the tribes fled and wandered through Afghanistan, Tibet and China.

In around 100AD, one group moved south from China and settled around north-east India and Burma. These Chin-Mizo-Kuki people, who speak Tibeto Burmese dialects and resemble Mongols in appearance, are believed to be the Bnei Menashes.

According to Shavei Israel, there are more than one million ethnic Bnei Menashes in India. Because they lived for centuries in north-east India, mingling with local people, many of their Jewish traditions became diluted. And after Welsh missionaries arrived in the area in 1894, nearly all Bnei Menashes, Kukis and Mizos were converted from their animistic beliefs to Christianity.

DNA studies at the Central Forensic Institute in Calcutta conclude that while the tribe's males show no links to Israel, the females share a family relationship to the genetic profile of Middle-Eastern people.

Rabbi Eliyahu Birnbaum, a dayan or rabbinical court judge who is leading the Beit Din conversion mission in India, said the decision to accept Indian Bnei Menashes as a lost Jewish tribe followed a careful study of the issue.

"After the conversion the Bnei Menashes can apply for immigration to Israel under the Law of Return, which grants the right of citizenship to all Jews," said Birnbaum.


Interesting gender-based genetics, those.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

AMERICA'S PASTIME:

In Baseball Now, More Teams Pray Before They Play (Laura Blumenfeld, 9/18/05, Washington Post)

In 300 ballparks across the country, volunteer chapel leaders hold English and Spanish services for major and minor league teams. Baseball Chapel, the Christian ministry that organizes the prayers, estimates that nearly 3,000 people worship each week in services held in bullpens, under the stands, while sitting on towels in the showers, or huddled in the laundry room reciting the gospel to the thump of dryers.

Once derided as a sign of weakness by managers and trainers, Christian prayers are now accepted and even encouraged before baseball games. In lockers, you'll find Bibles next to the Ambien and Skoal. Participants say the stress to perform, the uncertainty of injuries, and the lack of control over being traded or cut are lightened by their bond with God.

"It's about guys needing Christ," Moeller said. "It could be the security guard, or it could be [first baseman] Nick Johnson. RFK becomes a church on Sundays."

Even the team doctor, Bruce Thomas, supports weekend prayers and Wednesday Bible study. "If a player has total wellness -- their mind, body and their spiritual side -- they perform better," he said.


September 17, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:59 PM

"STATE OFFICIALS CONFIDENT..."

Two bridges, two lifelines (CONOR BERRY, 9/17/05, Cape Cod Times)

State officials say they're confident a regional evacuation plan for hurricanes and other serious disasters will function properly despite storm-related road closures that crippled both Cape bridges Thursday afternoon.

As remnants of Hurricane Ophelia sweep through the region today, bringing heavy rainfall, high winds and the possibility of coastal flooding, the bridge closures and related traffic jams have raised concerns about emergency planners' ability to evacuate the Cape. ''We have full confidence that the plan will work,'' said James Mannion, a spokesman for the Massachusetts Emergency Management Agency.

Thursday's overlapping bridge closures on the Upper Cape delayed drivers, frazzled nerves, and tested people's patience. The Bourne Bridge was shut for more than two hours due to a weather-related construction accident, while the Sagamore Bridge was partially closed for more than an hour because of flooding on the Cape side of the span. [...]

[MassHighway spokesman Eric] Abel said the concrete approach slab on the north side of the bridge has not been rehabilitated since the bridge was built in the early 1930s. Excavation work on the bridge's north side will create a roughly 18-inch gap between the surface of the highway and the bridge itself, making it impossible to open and close bridge lanes on a daily basis, MassHighway officials said.

Meanwhile, Thursday's situation on the Upper Cape could prompt MEMA officials to take a fresh look at their evacuation plan.

''It's a living plan that's constantly changing, constantly updated,'' said Mannion, a MEMA spokesman.

Mannion said the weather-related bridge closures did not trigger a review of that plan, ''but we very well could look at it again.''

''This isn't the first time this question has come up, and it is of great concern.''

If a powerful hurricane were to require a full-scale evacuation all four lanes of each bridge would be opened to traffic streaming off Cape, according to Mannion.

''If this was a situation where we had to get people off, we'd go above and beyond,'' he said.


Oh, okay then....


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:50 PM

CERTAINLY THE BEST ANALYSIS WE'VE SEEN:

Japan to go boldly backward for a while (BRAD GLOSSERMAN, 9/18/05, Japan Times)

Oddly, the new picture looks a lot like the old Japan: domination by a single party -- the familiar Liberal Democratic Party (LPD) -- without a credible opposition. The election itself was strangely familiar, too, in that it was driven by personalities -- at least the prime minister's -- rather than by any serious discussion of policies. The result is not likely to be great change.

However, with Koizumi remaining as prime minister, the ship of state will maintain its present course. Things will get interesting in a year, when the time comes to pick a successor -- if the prime minister keeps his oft-repeated promise to step down when his term is up. [...]

Koizumi took office promising to reform the LDP or smash it. He ended up smashing the opposition Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ): It lost about a third of its seats in the ballot, plunging from 175 to 113. DPJ President Katsuya Okada dutifully resigned when the results were known. The front-runners to replace him are two former party presidents, Naoto Kan and Yukio Hatoyama, neither of whom was able to turn the party's fortunes around in the past. This time is unlikely to be any different. The question now is whether the damage to the DPJ is fatal. [...]

With nearly 300 members in the Lower House, policy coordination will be more difficult than ever and, as noted previously, Koizumi has destroyed the factions that performed that internal function.

Optimists counter that Japanese policymaking will become more transparent. Again, I'm skeptical. The only certainty is that it will take time for a new mechanism to emerge, whether it be some new "backroom" where deals are made or a more transparent means of policy formulation.

That delay means the U.S. must be patient as it tries to restructure its alliance with Japan. Tough decisions will not be made as politicians throughout the country try to figure out how to assert their interests in the new political environment. Ironically, then, the "mandate" for the prime minister -- which should facilitate bilateral relations -- means that Washington is going to have to cool its heels for a while.

Japan's neighbors, especially China, must also reconcile themselves to this new political reality.


It's a great personal victory for one man, but hard to see how it will make much real difference in the long run.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:30 PM

AT LEAST THE SQUIRRELS ENJOYED THE SHOW:

Dog shoots man (Daily Telegraph, September 16, 2005)

A TUSSLE over prey between a Bulgarian hunter and his hound ended when the dog shot the man.

The man lost his temper and began beating his Deutsch-Drahthaar hunting dog with a rifle when the animal refused to release a killed bird it had brought back.

But the dog's paw caught the trigger and the hunter was blasted with buckshot.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:46 PM

NOW HE'S GONE TOO FAR:

British MP Galloway: Canada complicit in Iraq war (CP, 9/17/05)

Despite its refusal to fight in Iraq, Canada is complicit in the United States' war against terrorism and should withdraw from Afghanistan, an outspoken left-wing British MP said Saturday.

George Galloway was given a standing ovation before and after he spoke at the 6th annual conference of the Islamic Circle of North America and the Muslim Association of Canada. .


Posted by David Cohen at 3:05 PM

LET'S PLAY, "SPOT THE SUBTEXT"

Johnny Wiseman (Telegraph.com, 9/17/05)

Johnny Wiseman, who has died aged 89, was awarded an MC in 1943 for leading an SAS assault on a coastal battery during the invasion of Sicily. . . .

After landing on Cape Moro di Porco, Wiseman led his men up the cliffs while mortars provided covering fire. He reached the perimeter of the enemy position without being detected and cut through the wire. As soon as the mortar fire was lifted, he and his section attacked.

Wiseman achieved complete surprise and his small force captured, killed or wounded 40 of the enemy without sustaining a single casualty. Wiseman's CO, Paddy Mayne, then got him on the wireless to order him to remove his men from the battery because sappers were coming to destroy the guns. Wiseman mumbled, and Mayne had to tell him to speak up.

"I managed to tell him that I had lost my false teeth," said Wiseman. "It was amusing afterwards, but it didn't seem so at the time." He had been hit in the mouth playing cricket at Cambridge and had worn false teeth ever since. He had been shouting orders when they flew out of his mouth into the long grass. . . .

John Martin Wiseman was born on January 27 1916 at Kingston-on-Thames, Surrey, and educated at St Paul's before going up to Pembroke, Cambridge, to read History and Modern Languages. He went into the family optical instrument business in 1937.

The company had been founded by his father, Max, who arrived from Germany in the 1920s and started selling spectacle frames. . . .

Wiseman and Mayne did not always see eye to eye. Wiseman said afterwards that Mayne, one of the most highly decorated soldiers in the war, was a great warrior but a difficult man to serve under. A man of considerable physical strength, on one occasion Mayne wrestled Wiseman to the ground, pinned him there with his knees and called for a cut-throat razor. He then shaved half of Wiseman's beard without using soap or water.


Posted by David Cohen at 2:44 PM

AS THE CROUPIER APPROACHES

Blair ‘shocked’ over BBC Katrina coverage (Joshua Chaffin and Aline van Duyn, ft.com, 9/17/05)

Tony Blair was shocked by the BBC's coverage of Hurricane Katrina's devastation of New Orleans, describing it as “full of hatred of America”, Rupert Murdoch, chairman and chief executive of News Corporation, revealed on Friday night.
If the coverage had been anti-German, would he have shut the BBC down?


Posted by David Cohen at 2:36 PM

WE HAVE WEIRD TASTES IN DYNASTIES

Son of Florida Gov. Bush Arrested (AP, 9/17/05)

The youngest son of Florida Gov. Jeb Bush was arrested early Friday and charged with public intoxication and resisting arrest, law enforcement officials said.

John Ellis Bush, 21, was arrested by agents of the Texas Alcoholic Beverage Commission at 2:30 a.m. on a corner of Austin's Sixth Street bar district, said commission spokesman Roger Wade.

When did we become so judgmental about the cultural heritage of other peoples?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:00 AM

HAPPY CONSTITUTION DAY:

The most important words in the text, while the best known, are too often disassociated from the whole:

We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:54 AM

I READ IT IN '72, MUST BE TRUE... (via Gene Brown):

Fuel For Thought: Cars that run on vegetable oil? Do-it-yourselfers and entrepreneurs alike fill 'er up with the nation's fastest-growing propellant (Frances Cerra Whittelsey, September 2005, Smithsonian)

Skeptics have questioned whether it takes more fossil fuel to produce biodiesel—to fertilize crops, transport them and press them for their oil—than the resulting biodiesel replaces. But Jim Duffield, an agricultural economist with the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), says the "few lone voices" who still make that point have not kept up with improvements in agriculture and biodiesel technology. Indeed, a study by the U.S. Departments of Agriculture and Energy in 1998 and another in 2002 for the French government show that soybeans and canola oil yield three to four times more energy than is needed to make the fuel. (Similar skepticism has also dogged ethanol, a corn-based fuel mixed with gasoline to create gasohol. But USDA and other studies show that today's ethanol provides up to 30 percent more energy than it takes to make it.)

Another benefit of burning biodiesel is cleaner air. Compared with fossil fuels, it emits less carbon monoxide and hydrocarbons, as well as sulfur compounds related to acid rain. Pure biodiesel also substantially reduces overall emission of carbon dioxide, a major contributor to climate change, because the plants from which the oil was extracted absorbed atmospheric carbon dioxide while they were growing. A bus running on pure biodiesel would emit 32 percent less particulate matter, which has been implicated in the dramatic increase in asthma cases in cities. The only air pollution downside of pure biodiesel, according to the 1998 U.S. study, is a slight increase of smog-inducing nitrogen oxides.


Those lone voices may be deep in their bunkers, surrounded by their stacks of Krugerands, waiting for the world to cross over Humbert's Peak, but they still find time to comment here....


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:49 AM

FINE TO DO NOTHING, BUT KEEP QUIET ABOUT IT, EH?:

Martin tells it like it is at U.N. (TIM HARPER, 9/17/05, Toronto Star)

Prime Minister Paul Martin took to the world podium yesterday, telling a gathering of global leaders that the United Nations is at a crossroads, bogged down in a tired status quo and empty rhetoric. [...]

Martin was particularly blunt on the need for management changes, and the need for a human rights body that really recognizes human rights, not one that has become politicized and ineffective.

But he saved his harshest indictment for the Security Council — which he said spends too much time talking and too little time acting.

"Too often, we have debated the finer points of language while innocent people continue to die," Martin said.

"Darfur is only the latest example."


How many peacekeepers did Canada send to Darfur and which Canadian helped negotiate the end of the civil war in Sudan's south?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:24 AM

MAKING CITIZENS:


Constitution goes to the front of the class
(Justin Pope, September 17, 2005, Associated Press)

At first, some grumbled and noted the irony. A new federal law requiring schools to teach about the Constitution didn't seem to fit the spirit, at least, of the document they were supposed to celebrate.

But when the day came, schools and colleges showed there are as many ways to honor the nation's founding charter as there are to interpret it.

A law passed last year requires the federal government and any school receiving federal funding to organize Constitution-related activities on or near Sept. 17, the day the document was adopted in 1787. With that day falling on a Saturday this year, many events took place yesterday.


What irony? The public school system was created for the express and sole purpose of preparing an increasingly diverse American population to be good republicans. The time spent in class on other pursuits is wasted.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:07 AM

IMPRESSIVE COMEBACK, BUT...:

NZ Labour heading for likely third term (Sydney Morning Herald, September 17, 2005)

New Zealand Prime Minister Helen Clark will almost certainly be able to form a third term government after the general election gave her Labour Party one more seat than National.

Labour has 50 seats and National 49 in the 122-member Parliament, which has increased by two because the Maori Party won four electorate seats, more than its proportion of the party vote entitled it to.

Miss Clark still has to crunch the numbers and come up with a majority, but New Zealand First with seven seats is committed to first negotiating with the party that has the most seats.

So is United Future, which ended up with three seats.

The Greens, with six seats, are a committed Labour ally.

She also has Jim Anderton, leader of the Progressive Party and its only MP in the next Parliament.

National has only one potential partner, the ACT Party.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:03 AM

FRENCH FAMILY VALUES:

Frenchman lived with dead mother to keep pension (Reuters, 9/17/05)

A Frenchman in his sixties lived for five years with the body of his dead mother to keep receiving her 700 euros (473 pounds) monthly pension, judicial sources said on Saturday.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:58 AM

MEDIUM COOL:

RIGHT-WING AFTER DEATH (JULIA GORIN, September 17, 2005, NY Post)

RED Americans feeling under served by the entertainment industry have less to whine about these days. If they were to stay up Monday nights just an hour past the president's bedtime, they'd find that NBC's hit show "Medium" is giving them a ringing endorsement from the Other Side.

The show — which starts its second season tonight — is based on the cases of real-life medium Allison Dubois, who serves as a consultant to the series.

In a twist from the usual snickering at conservative characters and notions, the first episode had a defense attorney balking over the Texas Rangers questioning his molester-murderer client.

After the Rangers and their consultant (Dubois, played by Patricia Arquette) bulldoze past him, the lawyer calls after them futilely, "Don't make me call The New York Times!" This was a laugh line — and not only was the joke on a defense lawyer, it reduced the Paper of Record to a punch line.


Why not make the NBC Nightly News an openly conservative alternative to the other networks and position the whole network to the Right? Roughly 60% of the viewers are there.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:28 AM

HOW ABOUT ANOTHER SURPRISE PARTY?:

Bush to Meet With Senators Over Second Vacancy on Court (DAVID D. KIRKPATRICK, 9/17/05, NY Times)

[C]onservative allies of the White House say they do not expect him to select someone until the full Senate votes on the confirmation of Judge John G. Roberts Jr. as chief justice later this month. The Senate Judiciary Committee is expected to vote on the Roberts nomination on Thursday. Justice O'Connor has said she will continue to sit with the court until her replacement is confirmed.

Senate aides said Mr. Bush has invited Senator Arlen Specter, the Pennsylvania Republican who is chairman of the Judiciary Committee, and Senator Patrick J. Leahy of Vermont, the committee's ranking Democratic member, as well as Senator Bill Frist of Tennessee, the majority leader, and Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, the Democratic leader. [...]

Mr. Bush previously met with Democratic and Republican senators before he nominated Judge Roberts. Democratic aides say Mr. Bush listened to their suggestions but did not seek their views on specific names under consideration.

His choice of Judge Roberts, who was initially picked to succeed Justice O'Connor and then re-nominated to be chief justice after the death of Chief Justice William H. Rehnquist, came as a surprise to senators on both sides of the aisle.


Gotta love how he can score points just for meeting with them then not listen to a word they said. That's the chief value of diplomacy.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:19 AM

THEY ALWAYS SEEMED TOO PLEASANT TO BE FRENCH:

A curious tale of George's creators (Mark Feeney, September 17, 2005, Boston Globe)

Mayor Thomas Menino has proclaimed today Curious George Day in Boston. This is one thing Maura Hennigan would likely agree with him on. What's there not to like? Curious George is the Johnny Damon of children's literature: fun-loving, hairy, always on the go.

The reason for the proclamation is that today is the 64th birthday of everyone's favorite mischievous monkey. The event will be celebrated from 1 to 4 p.m. at the Boston Public Library in Copley Square. More specifically, it will be celebrated in the Rey Children's Room, which is named in honor of Margret and H.A. Rey, Curious George's creators. George and his friend The Man in the Yellow Hat will be on hand, as will chef Ming Tsai (who'll be offering up birthday cake at 2:30 p.m.) and children's book author Louise Borden. Borden's latest book is ''The Journey That Saved Curious George: The True Wartime Escape of Margret and H.A. Rey." It chronicles how the Reys fled the Nazi invasion of France in 1940, and how they came to the United States.

The Reys wrote and illustrated seven Curious George books, and another 20 have been done by other hands. Few characters can match George for popularity. His books have sold 30 million copies and been translated into 16 languages. In February, a feature-length cartoon will be released, with Will Ferrell as the voice of The Man in the Yellow Hat. And PBS plans to start broadcasting a Curious George cartoon series in fall 2006.

''Everyone knows who Curious George is and loves the character," Borden said Thursday over tea at the Lenox. ''Now I hope they'll fall in love with Margret and H.A. Rey and find out who they were, too."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:09 AM

YEARNING:

Far From Home, They Feel They've Arrived: In shelters across the nation, grateful New Orleans evacuees aren't looking back. Instead they're relishing the chance for a fresh start in a new city. (Stephanie Simon, September 17, 2005, LA Times)

Struggling residents from one of the poorest cities in America say New Orleans no longer looks like a good place to rebuild their lives. They see an opportunity for a second chance elsewhere.

"You know that old saying, 'If I knew then what I know now?' Well, now's my chance to apply it," said Byron Hughes Sr., 39.

"God did this for a reason," said his wife, Ruth Sanders, 44.

Similar conversations are taking place in shelters across the nation — in Houston and Des Moines and San Diego; in Bluffdale, Utah, and Opelika, Ala.; by the beaches of Cape Cod in Massachusetts and in the foothills of the Sandia Mountains in New Mexico.

"I can start all over and make something of myself here," said Trenise Nafziger-Lewis, 23, who liked the job prospects in Aurora.

She worked two part-time jobs back home, as an office assistant and a gas-station cashier, and could barely pay her rent. At a job fair here last week, recruiters were offering $10- and $11-an-hour jobs, "with benefits from day one," they promised. Suddenly Nafziger-Lewis was dreaming of homeownership.

"Any chance I can, I'll save," she vowed.

Hughes said he never realized how rundown the New Orleans public schools were until he enrolled his son in second grade here. "I was amazed how clean it was," he said. He was astonished, too, when his son whipped through math problems he was struggling to comprehend back home.


Thomas Sowell has pointed out that black immigrants--from Africa, Haiti, Jamaica, etc.--follow the same successful pattern as their peers in other ethnic groups, suggesting that the persistence of the black under class in America is a peculiar function of the effects of historic racism, rather than of current racial barriers. In effect, we denied black America its first immigrant generation and thereby permanently warped its development to some degree. It would not be surprising then if the experience of being forced to begin anew outside of New Orleans turns out to be a tremendous positive for these families and particularly for the next generation.

MORE:
President's Remarks at National Day of Prayer and Remembrance Service (George W. Bush, Washington National Cathedral, Washington, D.C., 9/16/05)

On this Day of Prayer and Remembrance, our nation remains in the shadow of a storm that departed two weeks ago. We're humbled by the vast and indifferent might of nature, and feel small beside its power. We commend the departed to God. We mourn with those who mourn, and we ask for strength in the work ahead.

The destruction is immense, covering a city, a coastline, a region. Yet the hurt always comes down to one life, one family. We've seen the panic of loved ones separated from each other, the lonely pain of people whose earthly possessions were swept away, and the uncertainty of men and women and children driven away from the lives they knew. Many did not survive the fury of the storm. Many who did ask, why -- and wonder, what comes next.

In this hour of suffering, we're prayerful. In a wounded region, so many placed their faith in a God who hears and helps. And so many are bringing their grief to a Savior acquainted with grief. Our nation joins with them to pray for comfort and sorrow, for the reunion of separated families, and a holy rest for the ones who died.

Through prayer we look for ways to understand the arbitrary harm left by this storm, and the mystery of undeserved suffering. And in our search we're reminded that God's purposes are sometimes impossible to know here on Earth. Yet even as we're humbled by forces we cannot explain, we take comfort in the knowledge that no one is ever stranded beyond God's care. The Creator of wind and water is also the source of even a greater power -- a love that can redeem the worst tragedy, a love that is stronger than death.

In this hour of suffering, our nation is thankful. We have been inspired by acts of courage and goodness: Coast Guardsmen and military personnel reaching out of helicopters and lifting victims from rooftops; firefighters wading through mud and debris to search for victims and survivors; doctors and nurses defying danger so their patients might live. Many of those who saved others lost their own homes and were separated from their own families. And many stories of heroism and rescue will never be told because they are known to God alone.

We're thankful for a spirit seen across the Gulf Coast that faces the worst and chooses to hope. We're thankful, as well, for the many ordinary citizens who heard the cries of neighbors and answered them. Across the country, Americans saw the hungry and gave them something to eat; saw the thirsty and gave them something to drink; saw strangers and invited them in. One man who was rescued and given shelter after the storm said, "I didn't think there was so much love in the world."

In this hour of suffering, our nation is also mindful of the work ahead. Through this tragedy great duties have come to our nation. The destruction of this hurricane was beyond any human power to control, but the restoration of broken communities and disrupted lives now rests in our hands. And we accept this responsibility not as a burden or a chore, but as an opportunity to serve our fellow Americans, as they would do for us.

This task will measure our unity as a people. Americans of every race and religion were touched by this storm; yet some of the greatest hardship fell upon citizens already facing lives of struggle -- the elderly, the vulnerable, and the poor. And this poverty has roots in generations of segregation and discrimination that closed many doors of opportunity. As we clear away the debris of a hurricane, let us also clear away the legacy of inequality. Let us deliver new hope to communities that were suffering before the storm. As we rebuild homes and businesses, we will renew our promise as a land of equality and decency. And one day, Americans will look back at the response to Hurricane Katrina and say that our country grew not only in prosperity, but in character and justice.

On this National Day of Prayer and Remembrance, we pledge ourselves to the demanding work of revival, and renew the faith and hope that will carry that work to completion. In the worst of storms, and in the rush of flood waters, even the strongest faith can be tested. Yet the Scriptures assure us, "many waters cannot quench love; neither can the floods drown it."

So now we go forward, confident in the good heart of America, and trusting that even among the ruins, the love of God remains at work.

May God bless and keep the souls of the lost. May His love touch all those in need, and may He always watch over the United States of America. God bless.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:05 AM

LET IT RING:

Southland Not Ready for Disaster: A major quake or act of terrorism could displace hundreds of thousands, officials say. Relief agencies concede they would be stretched thin. (Sharon Bernstein, September 17, 2005, LA Times)

Despite millions of dollars spent in crisis management drills and dozens of plans to deal with earthquakes and other calamities, Southern California emergency preparedness agencies have done little to plan for mass displacement and destruction across a broad swath of the region on the scale of Hurricane Katrina, according to interviews with state and local authorities.

Because the region is so huge and most damage from earthquakes and fires typically is relatively localized, most of the region's planning is based on the assumption that damage will be confined to one or two areas, several officials said.

Detailed plans to deal with a massive emergency — one that displaces more than 300,000 people — have not been developed since the end of the Cold War, said Stephen Sellers, head of Southern California operations for the state Office of Emergency Services.


Now that Katrina has given us all our wake-up call we should expect radical changes in Southern California so that it will be prepared to face such a disaster, right?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:59 AM

WE WERE PROMISED BODIES, DANGIT!:

Who Are The 75,000 Body Bags For? (Lynn Landes, 16 September, 2005, Opednews.com)

Questions mount over Hurricane Katrina's death count. Estimates are now well below 10,000 with the death toll currently standing at 648 for Louisiana, Mississippi, and Florida. So, why did the Bush Administration order 75,000 body bags?

Crazy as the Left is become, it's most deranged aspect must be how it revels in dead Americans.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:57 AM

A PARIAH NO MORE:

Treaty record for Liberian leader (BBC, 9/17/05)

Liberian President Gyude Bryant has endorsed 103 international treaties at the UN summit in New York, a record for a single state at any one time.

Eighty-three of the treaties have become law, while the remaining 20 require ratification.

The treaties were part of a decades-old backlog which includes agreements on trade, human rights, corruption and nuclear proliferation.

UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan said the signings were a landmark.

Meanwhile World Bank Liberia director Mats Karlsson described them as "absolutely extraordinary".


September 16, 2005

Posted by Matt Murphy at 6:24 PM

IS THIS THE BEST THEY CAN DO?

John Roberts: The Nominee (William L. Taylor, 10/06/05, NY Review of Books)

The most intriguing question about John Roberts is what led him as a young person whose success in life was virtually assured by family wealth and academic achievement to enlist in a political campaign designed to deny opportunities for success to those who lacked his advantages. It is a question of great relevance to Roberts's candidacy for the Supreme Court. [...]

Roberts was first employed in 1981 and 1982 as a special assistant to the attorney general, William French Smith. He went from there to the Reagan White House in November 1982, where he served as associate counsel to the President for three and a half years. During this period, Roberts played an important part in the administration's efforts to curtail the rights of African-Americans, to deny assistance to children with disabilities, and to prevent redress for women and girls who had suffered sex discrimination. He also justified attempts by the state of Texas to cut off opportunities for the children of poor Latino aliens to obtain an education. Roberts was in favor of limiting the progress of African-Americans in participating in the political process and of making far-reaching changes in the constitutional role of the courts in protecting rights. [...]

The issue that has had the most far-reaching implications for civil rights was given the unilluminating name "court stripping." It was part of the continuing legal struggle over enforcing the Supreme Court's landmark decision in Brown v. Board of Education to end mandated racial segregation in public schools. Efforts to implement Brown had stalled until 1964, when Congress passed the Civil Rights Act, which declared school desegregation to be national policy and provided the means for enforcing it. There followed Supreme Court decisions adding legal content to the act, which then led to widespread desegregation of public schools throughout the South.

In 1980, segregationists in Congress led by Senator Jesse Helms responded with bills to prohibit the Justice Department from bringing action in the courts to desegregate schools, and to bar the courts from issuing remedies that would require the busing of students for that purpose. Similar bills were proposed in cases involving school prayer and abortion rights.

A fierce debate followed at the Justice Department and in the Reagan White House. Some lawyers recognized that a great deal was at stake in these bills—that they were an assault on the Supreme Court's role as the final arbiter of what the Constitution means as well as an assault on the separation of powers. [...]

But it was in the second major civil rights battle of the early Reagan administration that Roberts, winner of an undergraduate history award at Harvard College, revealed a surprising ignorance of America's racial past. The issue in 1981 was whether Congress should renew key provisions of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 and overturn a 1980 Supreme Court decision that threatened to undermine the gains that African-Americans were making in securing their right to vote.


If I'm reading this right, Mr. Taylor thinks having Congress limit the judiciary is a violation of the separation of powers in one case, and completely necessary in the other. The opening lines clearly demonstrate that the author simply wants the judiciary to advance his political beliefs but, sheesh, you'd think he could do a better job of pretending to give a damn about the law.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:30 PM

WHICH WOULD EXPLAIN WHY THE SECOND JUSTICE HASN'T BEEN NAMED:

Cheney to Have Surgery (Mary Ann Akers, Sep. 16; 2005, Roll Call)

Vice President Cheney is scheduled to undergo surgery next weekend to treat an aneurysm, his spokesman confirmed to Roll Call today.

You'd want to leave the schedule clear for the hearings on John McCain's appointment as vice president.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:58 PM

HE JUST KEEPS WINNING:

Bush sends base-closing plan to Congress (ROBERT BURNS, September 15, 2005, AP)

President Bush has endorsed and sent to Congress a plan to close 22 major military bases and reconfigure 33 others - the first consolidation of the Pentagon's far-flung network of bases since 1995.

Bush could have sent the controversial plan back to the independent base-closing commission that developed it, but as expected he chose instead to forward it to Congress. The plan will become final in 45 days unless Congress acts to reject it in full. In all past base-closing rounds Congress has allowed it to proceed.

"This list is going to become law," said Loren Thompson, defense analyst with the Lexington Institute. "This process had created winners in addition to losers in many communities. The legislative majority required to reject the recommendation certainly isn't there." [...]

The commission said its recommendations would mean annual savings of $4.2 billion, compared with $5.4 billion under the plan it received in May from Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld. Rumsfeld had recommended closing 33 major bases and realigning 29 others, but the commission decided after a series of hearing to modify his plan. [...]

Congress reluctantly authorized this round of closures only after the White House threatened to veto an entire defense bill if it did not give the Pentagon the go-ahead.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:53 PM

BUCKING FOR SANDY'S SEAT:

Judicial Tourism: What's wrong with the U.S. Supreme Court citing foreign law. (MARY ANN GLENDON, September 16, 2005, Opinion Journal)

What has been overlooked in these debates is the crucial difference between the legitimate use of foreign material as mere empirical evidence that legislation has a rational basis, and its use to buttress the court's own decision to override legislation. Take Lawrence v. Texas, the decision striking down criminal penalties for homosexual sodomy, where Justice Kennedy, joined by Justice Breyer, wrote, "The right petitioners seek . . . has been accepted as an integral part of human freedom in many other countries. There has been no showing that in this country the governmental interest in circumscribing personal choice is somehow more legitimate or urgent." The remarkable implication is that it is up to our legislatures to justify a different view of human rights from that accepted elsewhere. This gives short shrift to the fundamental right of Americans to have a say in setting the conditions under which they live--the right that is at the very heart of our unique democratic experiment. Contrast the responsible use made of foreign law by Chief Justice William Rehnquist in Washington v. Glucksberg, to support Washington state's legislative prohibition of assisted suicide in an opinion noting that in "almost every state--indeed, in almost every western democracy--it is a crime to assist a suicide."

The importance of the distinction between these two modes of use cannot be exaggerated. It is not only a question of respecting the separation of powers. Those who believe the Washington legislature got it wrong can work to change the law through the ordinary democratic processes of persuasion and voting. But in the U.S., unlike in countries whose constitutions are easier to amend, the court's constitutional mistakes are exceedingly hard to correct. The unhealthy ripple effects of judicial adventurism are many: Legislatures are encouraged to punt controversial issues into the courts; political energy, lacking more constructive outlets, flows into litigation and the judicial selection process.

Few judges have understood the distinction between legitimate and problematic uses of secondary authorities so well as the late Henry Friendly, one of the most respected judges never to sit on the Supreme Court. In the 1970s, when judicial citation of social science materials was being hotly debated, Judge Friendly defended their use, but cautioned that when judges use social science or foreign material to substitute their own judgment for that of the legislature, their legitimacy is at its lowest ebb. For all who hope the next Supreme Court justice will possess interpretive skill and respect toward authoritative sources of law, it is an encouraging sign that John Roberts received his first lessons in judging as law clerk to Henry Friendly.


Rescrambling the betting pool...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:03 PM

THE PERIL OF PERSONALITY:

Keep Your Eyes on Japan:
The World Has a Huge Stake in Koizumi's Financial Reforms (R. Glenn Hubbard, September 16, 2005, Business Week)

The financial reforms championed by Koizumi can raise the growth rates for both Japanese productivity and the economy. That faster pace would, in turn, reduce Japan's looming fiscal stresses. And successful financial reforms in Japan can offer a road map for economic restructuring in China, whose creaky financial system requires modernization if the mainland is to keep growing at a rapid rate.

The economy Koizumi inherited in 2001 had been languishing since the crash of Japanese equity and property markets in 1990. Banks struggled with nonperforming loans, racking up taxpayer bailout costs and channeling loans to large but insolvent businesses while strangling the abilities of new entrepreneurial businesses to obtain credit. And the '90s saw a big increase in public-works spending, benefiting the politically connected construction industry more than Japan's long-term growth.

Koizumi has made substantial progress in banking reform. Japan's bank regulator is no longer a captive of its regulated clients. Nonperforming loans have been reduced. And wasteful public-works spending has been trimmed. Those developments have helped taxpayers and borrowers alike.

But Koizumi faces a far bigger challenge in his bid to break up and introduce competition for the postal system, Japan Post, whose $3.3 trillion worth of deposits and life insurance policies lie at the heart of Japan's financial restructuring and growth ills.


It's extraordinarily unlikely that Mr. Koizumi's reforming momentum can survive his retirement next year just as the Democrats couldn't stick to the Third Way once Bill Clinton was gone.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:18 AM

WHERE W LEADS, BILL AND TONY FOLLOW:

Tony Blair Pulls the Plug on Kyoto at Clinton Summit (James Pinkerton, 09/16/2005, Tech Central Station)

Kyoto Treaty RIP. That's not the headline in any newspaper this morning emerging from the first day of the Clinton Global Initiative, but it could have been -- and should have been.

Onstage with former president Bill Clinton at a midtown Manhattan hotel ballroom, British Prime Minister Tony Blair said he was going to speak with "brutal honesty" about Kyoto and global warming, and he did. And Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice had some blunt talk, too.

Blair, a longtime supporter of the Kyoto treaty, further prefaced his remarks by noting, "My thinking has changed in the past three or four years." So what does he think now? "No country, he declared, "is going to cut its growth." That is, no country is going to allow the Kyoto treaty, or any other such global-warming treaty, to crimp -- some say cripple -- its economy.

Looking ahead to future climate-change negotiations, Blair said of such fast-growing countries as India and China, "They're not going to start negotiating another treaty like Kyoto." India and China, of course, weren't covered by Kyoto in the first place, which was one of the fatal flaws in the treaty. But now Blair is acknowledging the obvious: that after the current Kyoto treaty -- which the US never acceded to -- expires in 2012, there's not going to be another worldwide deal like it.

So what will happen instead? Blair answered: "What countries will do is work together to develop the science and technology….There is no way that we are going to tackle this problem unless we develop the science and technology to do it." Bingo! That's what eco-realists have been saying all along, of course -- that the only feasible way to deal with the issue of greenhouse gases and global warming is through technological breakthroughs, not draconian cutbacks.


Sometimes these guys just need to be shown the Third Way, but then they take it.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:42 AM

...AND CHEAPER...:

US inflation less than expected (BBC, 9/15/05)

[W]hen volatile fuel and food costs were excluded price growth fell to just 0.1%.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:18 AM

RE-DEJA VU:

Mr. Bush in New Orleans (NY Times, 9/16/05)

President Bush said three things last night that desperately needed to be said. He forthrightly acknowledged his responsibility for the egregious mishandling of the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina. He spoke clearly and candidly about race and poverty. And finally, he was clear about what would be needed to bring back the Gulf Coast and said the federal government would have to lead and pay for that effort.

Once again, as he did after 9/11, Mr. Bush has responded to disaster with disconcerting uncertainty, then risen to the occasion later. Once again, he has delivered a speech that will reassure many Americans that he understands the enormity of the event and the demands of leadership to come.


Epiphany for a president (Henry C K Liu, 9/16/05, Asia Times)
On Thursday night, the president of the United States, the strongest nation in the world, spoke with the forceful leadership worthy of the awesome power of his office. For the first time in his presidency, George W Bush told the American people and the world that the American spirit of courage, community, equity and unbound optimism is alive and well, and he intends to galvanize that spirit towards a noble national purpose of reconstruction. "I as president am responsible for the problem, and for the solution," he said.

President Seeks to Revive a Region -- and His Image (Doyle McManus, 9/16/05, LA Times)
[A]mong many Republicans, the fiscal cost of rebuilding the Gulf Coast appeared modest compared with the potential political cost of appearing tight-fisted in the face of suffering.

"He can come down firmly on the side of bold dramatic change, in which case he will be in the Teddy Roosevelt tradition, or he can tolerate bureaucratic inadequacies and defend the indefensible, in which case the Democrats will win in 2006 and 2008," said Newt Gingrich, a former speaker of the House.

"He has to be a problem-solver, and if it requires money, you have to do it," said Kenneth M. Duberstein, who served as chief of staff to President Reagan. Appearing unresponsive, he added, is "the last thing they can risk."

"If some of your base gets unhinged — well, you can always make the argument that it's better for a Republican to do it than a Democrat," Duberstein said.

But there was little sign of dissent from most of Bush's Republican base in Congress, where members have been increasingly nervous about their party's fortunes in next year's midterm election.

Rep. Tom DeLay of Texas, the House Republican leader, even suggested that deficit spending on public works would be good for the economy — a sentiment that once was thought to define the Democratic Party, not the GOP.

"It is right to borrow to pay for it," DeLay said. "But it is not right to attack the very economy that will pay for it." [...]

[T]he president and his aides offered considerable detail on the menu of new programs they planned to propose to help the people of the Gulf Coast rebuild their homes and businesses — an enterprise zone stretching across three states.

Those proposals include a Gulf Opportunity Zone, offering tax incentives and loans for small businesses; Worker Recovery Accounts, providing as much as $5,000 a person for education, job training and child care; and an urban homesteading initiative, giving federally owned property to aspiring homeowners through a lottery.

Those ideas are, in effect, disaster-relief versions of proposals Bush made during his first term and in his 2004 campaign — proposals for urban enterprise zones, home-ownership subsidies for low-income families and job-training accounts.

Those programs, known collectively as the "ownership society," have not fared especially well in Congress so far. The first phase, Bush's proposal for sweeping changes in Social Security, appears to be dying a quiet legislative death.

Hurricane Katrina may have offered the ideas a new lease on life.


You'd think the cock would eventually figure out that the sun comes up every day and stop acting so surprised.

MORE:
President Discusses Hurricane Relief in Address to the Nation (George W. Bush, Jackson Square, New Orleans, Louisiana)

Good evening. I'm speaking to you from the city of New Orleans -- nearly empty, still partly under water, and waiting for life and hope to return. Eastward from Lake Pontchartrain, across the Mississippi coast, to Alabama into Florida, millions of lives were changed in a day by a cruel and wasteful storm.

In the aftermath, we have seen fellow citizens left stunned and uprooted, searching for loved ones, and grieving for the dead, and looking for meaning in a tragedy that seems so blind and random. We've also witnessed the kind of desperation no citizen of this great and generous nation should ever have to know -- fellow Americans calling out for food and water, vulnerable people left at the mercy of criminals who had no mercy, and the bodies of the dead lying uncovered and untended in the street.

These days of sorrow and outrage have also been marked by acts of courage and kindness that make all Americans proud. Coast Guard and other personnel rescued tens of thousands of people from flooded neighborhoods. Religious congregations and families have welcomed strangers as brothers and sisters and neighbors. In the community of Chalmette, when two men tried to break into a home, the owner invited them to stay -- and took in 15 other people who had no place to go. At Tulane Hospital for Children, doctors and nurses did not eat for days so patients could have food, and eventually carried the patients on their backs up eight flights of stairs to helicopters.

Many first responders were victims themselves, wounded healers, with a sense of duty greater than their own suffering. When I met Steve Scott of the Biloxi Fire Department, he and his colleagues were conducting a house-to-house search for survivors. Steve told me this: "I lost my house and I lost my cars, but I still got my family ... and I still got my spirit."

Across the Gulf Coast, among people who have lost much, and suffered much, and given to the limit of their power, we are seeing that same spirit -- a core of strength that survives all hurt, a faith in God no storm can take away, and a powerful American determination to clear the ruins and build better than before.

Tonight so many victims of the hurricane and the flood are far from home and friends and familiar things. You need to know that our whole nation cares about you, and in the journey ahead you're not alone. To all who carry a burden of loss, I extend the deepest sympathy of our country. To every person who has served and sacrificed in this emergency, I offer the gratitude of our country. And tonight I also offer this pledge of the American people: Throughout the area hit by the hurricane, we will do what it takes, we will stay as long as it takes, to help citizens rebuild their communities and their lives. And all who question the future of the Crescent City need to know there is no way to imagine America without New Orleans, and this great city will rise again.

The work of rescue is largely finished; the work of recovery is moving forward. In nearly all of Mississippi, electric power has been restored. Trade is starting to return to the Port of New Orleans, and agricultural shipments are moving down the Mississippi River. All major gasoline pipelines are now in operation, preventing the supply disruptions that many feared. The breaks in the levees have been closed, the pumps are running, and the water here in New Orleans is receding by the hour. Environmental officials are on the ground, taking water samples, identifying and dealing with hazardous debris, and working to get drinking water and waste water treatment systems operating again. And some very sad duties are being carried out by professionals who gather the dead, treat them with respect, and prepare them for their rest.

In the task of recovery and rebuilding, some of the hardest work is still ahead, and it will require the creative skill and generosity of a united country.

Our first commitment is to meet the immediate needs of those who had to flee their homes and leave all their possessions behind. For these Americans, every night brings uncertainty, every day requires new courage, and in the months to come will bring more than their fair share of struggles.

The Department of Homeland Security is registering evacuees who are now in shelters and churches, or private homes, whether in the Gulf region or far away. I have signed an order providing immediate assistance to people from the disaster area. As of today, more than 500,000 evacuee families have gotten emergency help to pay for food, clothing, and other essentials. Evacuees who have not yet registered should contact FEMA or the Red Cross. We need to know who you are, because many of you will be eligible for broader assistance in the future. Many families were separated during the evacuation, and we are working to help you reunite. Please call this number: 1-877-568-3317 -- that's 1-877-568-3317 -- and we will work to bring your family back together, and pay for your travel to reach them.

In addition, we're taking steps to ensure that evacuees do not have to travel great distances or navigate bureaucracies to get the benefits that are there for them. The Department of Health and Human Services has sent more than 1,500 health professionals, along with over 50 tons of medical supplies -- including vaccines and antibiotics and medicines for people with chronic conditions such as diabetes. The Social Security Administration is delivering checks. The Department of Labor is helping displaced persons apply for temporary jobs and unemployment benefits. And the Postal Service is registering new addresses so that people can get their mail.

To carry out the first stages of the relief effort and begin rebuilding at once, I have asked for, and the Congress has provided, more than $60 billion. This is an unprecedented response to an unprecedented crisis, which demonstrates the compassion and resolve of our nation.

Our second commitment is to help the citizens of the Gulf Coast to overcome this disaster, put their lives back together, and rebuild their communities. Along this coast, for mile after mile, the wind and water swept the land clean. In Mississippi, many thousands of houses were damaged or destroyed. In New Orleans and surrounding parishes, more than a quarter-million houses are no longer safe to live in. Hundreds of thousands of people from across this region will need to find longer-term housing.

Our goal is to get people out of the shelters by the middle of October. So we're providing direct assistance to evacuees that allows them to rent apartments, and many already are moving into places of their own. A number of states have taken in evacuees and shown them great compassion -- admitting children to school, and providing health care. So I will work with the Congress to ensure that states are reimbursed for these extra expenses.

In the disaster area, and in cities that have received huge numbers of displaced people, we're beginning to bring in mobile homes and trailers for temporary use. To relieve the burden on local health care facilities in the region, we're sending extra doctors and nurses to these areas. We're also providing money that can be used to cover overtime pay for police and fire departments while the cities and towns rebuild.

Near New Orleans, and Biloxi, and other cities, housing is urgently needed for police and firefighters, other service providers, and the many workers who are going to rebuild these cities. Right now, many are sleeping on ships we have brought to the Port of New Orleans -- and more ships are on their way to the region. And we'll provide mobile homes, and supply them with basic services, as close to construction areas as possible, so the rebuilding process can go forward as quickly as possible.

And the federal government will undertake a close partnership with the states of Louisiana and Mississippi, the city of New Orleans, and other Gulf Coast cities, so they can rebuild in a sensible, well-planned way. Federal funds will cover the great majority of the costs of repairing public infrastructure in the disaster zone, from roads and bridges to schools and water systems. Our goal is to get the work done quickly. And taxpayers expect this work to be done honestly and wisely -- so we'll have a team of inspectors general reviewing all expenditures.

In the rebuilding process, there will be many important decisions and many details to resolve, yet we're moving forward according to some clear principles. The federal government will be fully engaged in the mission, but Governor Barbour, Governor Blanco, Mayor Nagin, and other state and local leaders will have the primary role in planning for their own future. Clearly, communities will need to move decisively to change zoning laws and building codes, in order to avoid a repeat of what we've seen. And in the work of rebuilding, as many jobs as possible should go to the men and women who live in Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama.

Our third commitment is this: When communities are rebuilt, they must be even better and stronger than before the storm. Within the Gulf region are some of the most beautiful and historic places in America. As all of us saw on television, there's also some deep, persistent poverty in this region, as well. That poverty has roots in a history of racial discrimination, which cut off generations from the opportunity of America. We have a duty to confront this poverty with bold action. So let us restore all that we have cherished from yesterday, and let us rise above the legacy of inequality. When the streets are rebuilt, there should be many new businesses, including minority-owned businesses, along those streets. When the houses are rebuilt, more families should own, not rent, those houses. When the regional economy revives, local people should be prepared for the jobs being created.

Americans want the Gulf Coast not just to survive, but to thrive; not just to cope, but to overcome. We want evacuees to come home, for the best of reasons -- because they have a real chance at a better life in a place they love.

When one resident of this city who lost his home was asked by a reporter if he would relocate, he said, "Naw, I will rebuild -- but I will build higher." That is our vision for the future, in this city and beyond: We'll not just rebuild, we'll build higher and better. To meet this goal, I will listen to good ideas from Congress, and state and local officials, and the private sector. I believe we should start with three initiatives that the Congress should pass.

Tonight I propose the creation of a Gulf Opportunity Zone, encompassing the region of the disaster in Louisiana and Mississippi and Alabama. Within this zone, we should provide immediate incentives for job-creating investment, tax relief for small businesses, incentives to companies that create jobs, and loans and loan guarantees for small businesses, including minority-owned enterprises, to get them up and running again. It is entrepreneurship that creates jobs and opportunity; it is entrepreneurship that helps break the cycle of poverty; and we will take the side of entrepreneurs as they lead the economic revival of the Gulf region.

I propose the creation of Worker Recovery Accounts to help those evacuees who need extra help finding work. Under this plan, the federal government would provide accounts of up to $5,000, which these evacuees could draw upon for job training and education to help them get a good job, and for child care expenses during their job search.

And to help lower-income citizens in the hurricane region build new and better lives, I also propose that Congress pass an Urban Homesteading Act. Under this approach, we will identify property in the region owned by the federal government, and provide building sites to low-income citizens free of charge, through a lottery. In return, they would pledge to build on the lot, with either a mortgage or help from a charitable organization like Habitat for Humanity. Home ownership is one of the great strengths of any community, and it must be a central part of our vision for the revival of this region.

In the long run, the New Orleans area has a particular challenge, because much of the city lies below sea level. The people who call it home need to have reassurance that their lives will be safer in the years to come. Protecting a city that sits lower than the water around it is not easy, but it can, and has been done. City and parish officials in New Orleans, and state officials in Louisiana will have a large part in the engineering decisions to come. And the Army Corps of Engineers will work at their side to make the flood protection system stronger than it has ever been.

The work that has begun in the Gulf Coast region will be one of the largest reconstruction efforts the world has ever seen. When that job is done, all Americans will have something to be very proud of -- and all Americans are needed in this common effort. It is the armies of compassion -- charities and houses of worship, and idealistic men and women -- that give our reconstruction effort its humanity. They offer to those who hurt a friendly face, an arm around the shoulder, and the reassurance that in hard times, they can count on someone who cares. By land, by sea, and by air, good people wanting to make a difference deployed to the Gulf Coast, and they've been working around the clock ever since.

The cash needed to support the armies of compassion is great, and Americans have given generously. For example, the private fundraising effort led by former Presidents Bush and Clinton has already received pledges of more than $100 million. Some of that money is going to the Governors to be used for immediate needs within their states. A portion will also be sent to local houses of worship to help reimburse them for the expense of helping others. This evening the need is still urgent, and I ask the American people to continue donating to the Salvation Army, the Red Cross, other good charities, and religious congregations in the region.

It's also essential for the many organizations of our country to reach out to your fellow citizens in the Gulf area. So I've asked USA Freedom Corps to create an information clearinghouse, available at usafreedomcorps.gov, so that families anywhere in the country can find opportunities to help families in the region, or a school can support a school. And I challenge existing organizations -- churches, and Scout troops, or labor union locals to get in touch with their counterparts in Mississippi, Louisiana, or Alabama, and learn what they can do to help. In this great national enterprise, important work can be done by everyone, and everyone should find their role and do their part.

The government of this nation will do its part, as well. Our cities must have clear and up-to-date plans for responding to natural disasters, and disease outbreaks, or a terrorist attack, for evacuating large numbers of people in an emergency, and for providing the food and water and security they would need. In a time of terror threats and weapons of mass destruction, the danger to our citizens reaches much wider than a fault line or a flood plain. I consider detailed emergency planning to be a national security priority, and therefore, I've ordered the Department of Homeland Security to undertake an immediate review, in cooperation with local counterparts, of emergency plans in every major city in America.

I also want to know all the facts about the government response to Hurricane Katrina. The storm involved a massive flood, a major supply and security operation, and an evacuation order affecting more than a million people. It was not a normal hurricane -- and the normal disaster relief system was not equal to it. Many of the men and women of the Coast Guard, the Federal Emergency Management Agency, the United States military, the National Guard, Homeland Security, and state and local governments performed skillfully under the worst conditions. Yet the system, at every level of government, was not well-coordinated, and was overwhelmed in the first few days. It is now clear that a challenge on this scale requires greater federal authority and a broader role for the armed forces -- the institution of our government most capable of massive logistical operations on a moment's notice.

Four years after the frightening experience of September the 11th, Americans have every right to expect a more effective response in a time of emergency. When the federal government fails to meet such an obligation, I, as President, am responsible for the problem, and for the solution. So I've ordered every Cabinet Secretary to participate in a comprehensive review of the government response to the hurricane. This government will learn the lessons of Hurricane Katrina. We're going to review every action and make necessary changes, so that we are better prepared for any challenge of nature, or act of evil men, that could threaten our people.

The United States Congress also has an important oversight function to perform. Congress is preparing an investigation, and I will work with members of both parties to make sure this effort is thorough.

In the life of this nation, we have often been reminded that nature is an awesome force, and that all life is fragile. We're the heirs of men and women who lived through those first terrible winters at Jamestown and Plymouth, who rebuilt Chicago after a great fire, and San Francisco after a great earthquake, who reclaimed the prairie from the Dust Bowl of the 1930s. Every time, the people of this land have come back from fire, flood, and storm to build anew -- and to build better than what we had before. Americans have never left our destiny to the whims of nature -- and we will not start now.

These trials have also reminded us that we are often stronger than we know -- with the help of grace and one another. They remind us of a hope beyond all pain and death, a God who welcomes the lost to a house not made with hands. And they remind us that we're tied together in this life, in this nation -- and that the despair of any touches us all.

I know that when you sit on the steps of a porch where a home once stood, or sleep on a cot in a crowded shelter, it is hard to imagine a bright future. But that future will come. The streets of Biloxi and Gulfport will again be filled with lovely homes and the sound of children playing. The churches of Alabama will have their broken steeples mended and their congregations whole. And here in New Orleans, the street cars will once again rumble down St. Charles, and the passionate soul of a great city will return.

In this place, there's a custom for the funerals of jazz musicians. The funeral procession parades slowly through the streets, followed by a band playing a mournful dirge as it moves to the cemetery. Once the casket has been laid in place, the band breaks into a joyful "second line" -- symbolizing the triumph of the spirit over death. Tonight the Gulf Coast is still coming through the dirge -- yet we will live to see the second line.

Thank you, and may God bless America.

MORE:
-Bush Pledges Historic Effort To Help Gulf Coast Recover (Jim VandeHei and Peter Baker, 9/16/05, Washington Post)

Even as he embraced a spending program the scale of which few Democratic presidents ever advanced, Bush signaled that he would shape its contours with policy ideas long sought by conservative thinkers. He proposed creation of a "Gulf Opportunity Zone" that would grant new and existing businesses tax breaks, loans and loan guarantees through 2007. And in documents released before the speech, Bush called for displaced families that send children to private schools, including religious ones, to be eligible for federal money.

Eighteen days after Katrina smashed through the levees here, flooding the city, killing hundreds and displacing more than 1 million, Bush endorsed most of the criticism of the government's stutter-start response to the storm and vowed to investigate and retool its emergency plans, calling in particular for "a broader role for the armed forces" in future domestic crises. He ordered his Cabinet to reexamine disaster plans for every major American city. But he seemed to embrace a Republican plan for a GOP-majority congressional inquiry rather than the independent commission sought by Democrats.

During his 26-minute speech, the president evoked the horror that Katrina wrought on the region, recalling scenes of the abandoned seeking food and water, survivors victimized a second time by looters, and "bodies of the dead lying uncovered and untended in the street." Bush likened Katrina to the worst disasters of American history, including the Chicago fire of 1871 and the 1906 San Francisco earthquake. "Every time the people of this land have come back from fire, flood and storm to build anew -- and to build better than what we had before," he said. "Americans have never left our destiny to the whims of nature, and we will not start now."

Harking back to the "compassionate conservative" rhetoric of his early presidency, Bush infused his address with religious overtones. The trials of the last few weeks, he said, "remind us of a hope beyond all pain and death, a God who welcomes the lost to a house not made with his hands." The language reflected not only Bush's own faith but also his decision to bring back Michael J. Gerson, his first-term speechwriter and now a policy adviser, to help draft perhaps his most important address since launching the Iraq war in 2003.

Biblical citations and imagery are common touchstones for the president when he tries to connect with African Americans, who polls show have been especially aggrieved by the slow federal response because the victims left behind were disproportionately poor and black. "As all of us saw on television," Bush said, "there is also some deep, persistent poverty in this region as well. That poverty has roots in a history of racial discrimination, which cut off generations from the opportunity of America. We have a duty to confront this poverty with bold action."


-Evacuees Find Comfort and Encouragement in Speech (SUSAN SAULNY, 9/16/05, NY Times)
< blockquote>Evacuees at a shelter here said they took comfort Thursday night from both the substance and the symbolism of the speech President Bush gave in the city many of them had fled.

When Mr. Bush talked about breaking the cycle of poverty and increasing the rate of home ownership on the Gulf Coast, one evacuee shouted, "Thank you! Thank you!" Others at the shelter, at the civic center in Houma, a small city southwest of New Orleans, nodded in approval at several points during the speech.

"I feel very encouraged because he's accepted responsibility, and in doing that, I feel that he has stepped up to the plate," said Evelyn Green, 58, a retired health care worker from the New Orleans area. "He touched me. I know now he's going to be there to help us rebuild our cities and towns. I take him at his word. I want to see everything he said tonight fulfilled."

Another evacuee, Muhammad Abdullah Ali, a 52-year-old security officer from New Orleans, said: "I feel that now he's going to take control and do the best he can. I felt good about the speech. It was a good speech. Now I want to see some action." [...]

Senator Mary L. Landrieu, Democrat of Louisiana, described Mr. Bush's proposals as "innovative and bold" and said: "The president picked a very inspiring spot to make this speech. The image is worth many words in terms of what Jackson Square and the cathedral mean to New Orleans and what New Orleans means to the nation."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:11 AM

RECOGNIZING HOW LITTLE YOU MATTER:

Frustrated by Roberts, and Unsure How to Vote (SHERYL GAY STOLBERG, 9/16/05, NY Times)

Judge Roberts's unflappable performance during three days of questioning has clearly put Democrats in a quandary. Some say a strong vote against his nomination could prod the White House into naming a centrist to fill the vacancy created by the retirement of Justice Sandra Day O'Connor, a crucial swing vote. Others say that supporting the Roberts nomination could make Democrats appear reasonable, giving them more credibility to oppose the next nominee.

Despite Mr. Durbin's remark, the Democratic leader, Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, said the vote on Judge Roberts "shouldn't be message time."

Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, the New York Democrat whose vote will be among the most closely watched in the Senate because of her possible White House bid in 2008, agreed.

"I have found it is very difficult for Democrats to influence this White House on anything, and so I don't count on them paying attention to our legitimate concerns," Mrs. Clinton said, adding, "They will do what they think is in their interest, however they define it."


Folks may not like Ms Clinton, but as comments like that one make clear, she's just about the only congressional Democrat with a clue.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:05 AM

OUGHTTA PAY THE READERS:

Matt Drudge May Boot NY Times Columnists (NewsMax, 9/14/05)

Cyber-newsman Matt Drudge is threatening to boot the New York Times’ columnists from his popular Drudge Report Web site after the Times announced it will begin charging for access to their columns.

Color us dubious that they can successfully charge for content--the money to be made on-line seems more likely to come from ads.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:03 AM

LESS FREEDOM, MORE SECURITY:

The Anti-Fascist (Clifford D. May, September 15, 2005, Townhall)

Jalal Talabani doesn't look much like Che Guevara. With his ample girth, white moustache and bemused smile, he more resembles a favorite uncle who can be counted on to buy ice cream and dispense sound advice.

But don't be misled: Talabani is a revolutionary. As a teenager in 1946, he founded an illegal student's organization; he joined his first revolt against an Iraqi regime in 1961.

Today, at 72, he serves as president of what he calls “the world's youngest democracy.” No less remarkable: Talabani is Kurdish, a member of a severely persecuted Iraqi minority. To grasp how ground-breaking it is for a Kurd to be Iraq's president, try imagining a woman governing Saudi Arabia or a Coptic Christian as Egypt's head of state.

Iraqis are, right now, the freest people in the Muslim Middle East.


Which amply demonstrates that freedom is not a fit end in itself.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:51 AM

THE ANGLOSPHERIC DIFFERENCE:

Campaigning wraps up for NZ poll (BBC, 9/16/05)

Labour Prime Minister Helen Clark wants to wrap up a third election victory, but is being pushed to the wire by the National Party's Don Brash. [...]

New Zealanders vote on Saturday, with the latest opinion polls showing the two leading parties neck-and-neck.

Mr Brash, a former central bank governor, has only been in parliament for three years, but has shaken up the establishment by vowing to soften New Zealand's ban on nuclear-powered vessels in its ports, and to discard some privileges for the country's native Maori.

He says the long-standing nuclear ban is stifling relations with the United States, and its renegotiation could help with a free trade deal.

Ms Clark said: "What [that] tells me is that they really don't share the deep-held values of New Zealanders to be nuclear-free and proud and independent. They see it as just a bargaining chip for something else. I think that's wrong."

Mr Brash has also pledged to do away with the seven seats reserved for Maori MPs and welfare policies aimed at the indigenous group.

The challenger, who also promises tax cuts, said he was planning to visit New Zealand's three major cities of Wellington, Auckland and Christchurch on Friday.

Neither party is expected to win an outright majority, but will probably have to rely on smaller parties to make up a coalition.


In the Anglosphere you can actually run on reform.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:48 AM

THE PLACENTAL CEILING:

Delaying babies 'defies nature' (BBC, 9/15/05)

Women who wait until their late 30s to have children are defying nature and risking heartbreak, leading obstetricians have warned.

Over the last 20 years pregnancies in women over 35 have risen markedly and the average age of mothers has gone up.

Writing in the British Medical Journal, the London-based fertility specialists say they are "saddened" by the number of women they see who have problems.

They say the best age for pregnancy remains 20 to 35.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:29 AM

HOMELESS HIT HARDEST:

The Other Side of Charity's Coin: Crisis Prompts Aid for Evacuees, but Area's Homeless Feel Left Behind (Sue Anne Pressley, 9/16/05, Washington Post)

[E]ager generosity toward Katrina victims also offers a contrast to American society's general inattention to other homeless people, say these scholars and advocates for the poor.

"What crises do is bring out this human instinct for compassion and the desire to help -- what can you do? . . . Why don't we care about ongoing poverty? It seems to me it is much more abstract. 'The poor are always with us, it's such a big problem.' You feel like you can do something when there is a crisis," said Elizabeth Boris, director of the Center on Nonprofits and Philanthropy at the Urban Institute.

The element of worthiness -- or lack of it -- is also at work.

"Certainly a piece of this is the attribution of blame, that Katrina victims are unlucky, they were living in the wrong place at the wrong time," said Sam Marullo, chairman of the Department of Sociology and Anthropology at Georgetown University. "The institutional poor we have here in D.C. and every other city around the country, there is a sense that they are at fault . . . they didn't do something right, they didn't get an education, they didn't follow the rules."

Advocates say the homeless have noticed -- and many resent -- the difference in perception and treatment. "Local homeless people are saying, 'Nobody cares about us -- we were here all the time,' " said Imagene Stewart, who has 17 homeless families from the area at her House of Imagene in Northwest Washington.


It's the difference between being a victim of disaster or of self-victimization.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:25 AM

DEVIANTS HARDEST HIT:

Vatican bid to find gays in seminary stirs concern (Michael Paulson, September 16, 2005, Boston Globe)

An effort by the Vatican to look for evidence of homosexuality in Catholic seminaries is alarming gay rights advocates but is pleasing conservatives, who are hoping that Pope Benedict XVI will soon issue a ban on gay men as future priests.

The planned search for homosexuality is part of a Vatican review prompted by the clergy sexual abuse crisis of 229 American seminaries, theology schools, and other institutions that train priests. It is set to begin this month.

The chairman of the Boston College theology department, the Rev. Kenneth Himes, sharply criticized the review yesterday, saying that if the bishops really want to understand what caused the sexual abuse crisis, they should investigate their own offices.

''What really created the sexual abuse crisis was not poor formation [of priests] in the seminaries, but poor personnel management in the chanceries," Himes said. ''Now we are having an investigation of the seminaries, but I wonder when the Vatican and the American bishops will investigate their own chanceries."


Of course there was a management problem when they were admitted, even recruited, in the first place.

MORE:
Married Americans remaining faithful (Cheryl Wetzstein, September 16, 2005, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

More than 90 percent of married Americans said they were faithful to their spouses in 2002, according to a new federal report on sexual behavior that includes data on men for the first time.

The data -- and many more facts about Americans' sexual behaviors, attractions and orientations -- is designed to help researchers and policy-makers respond to public health matters, said William D. Mosher, lead author of the report released yesterday by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS). [...]

The previous five NSFGs were of women only and focused on fertility, childbearing and reproduction.

The 2002 NSFG included answers from 5,000 men and asked new questions about sexual attraction, sexual orientation and sexual practices, such as oral and anal sex.

The NSFG found, for instance, that when people ages 18 to 44 were asked for their sexual identification, 4 percent of men and 4 percent of women said they were either homosexual or bisexual. Those percentages would translate to a total of 4.5 million self-identified homosexuals and bisexuals ages 18 to 44 in the U.S.

However, when everyone in the NSFG survey group, ages 15 through 44, was asked about their sexual partners in the past year, smaller proportions -- 1.6 percent of men and 1.3 percent of women -- said all of their sexual partners were of the same sex as them.

Noting that "a mutually monogamous relationship" is one way to reduce STD risks, the NSFG asked married people how many opposite-sex sexual partners they had had in the past year. About 93 percent of wives and 92 percent of husbands said they had had only one partner.

About 5 percent of husbands and 4 percent of wives said they had had more than one sexual partner in the previous year, and smaller portions declined to answer the question, but these statistics "are not certain evidence of infidelity," according to the report.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:05 AM

SEPTEMBER COMES IN LIKE KATRINA AND GOES OUT LIKE EDITH?:

Senators save breath for next court debate (Kathy Kiely, 9/15/05, USA TODAY)

Sen. Mary Landrieu, D-La., said Bush aides asked her about Edith Clement, a judge on the U.S. appeals court that covers Louisiana, Texas and Mississippi. Clements' lack of controversial writings on abortion could make her an appealing candidate.

"She would be very high in my book," Landrieu said.


That'll scramble the betting pools.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:41 AM

THE NETWORK FOLLOWS THE ELECTION RETURNS:

Seinfeld Who? NBC Pursuing the Heartland (JACQUES STEINBERG, 9/16/05, NY Times)

For a network that dominated the prime-time ratings for a decade with sophisticated urban comedies like "Cheers," "Seinfeld," "Frasier" and "Friends," only to tumble to fourth place last season without them, Ms. Grant's show is a radical departure. "Three Wishes" is aimed, in no small part, at a churchgoing rural and suburban audience. And its marketing plan, evocative of a red-state presidential campaign, bears scant resemblance to any NBC has crafted before.

In advance of the new prime-time television season, NBC sent more than 7,000 DVD's of the show's first episode to ministers and other clergy members, along with a recorded message to their congregants from Ms. Grant. ("At its core, 'Three Wishes' is faith in action," she tells them.) The network has also booked Ms. Grant - a pop singer who vaulted to fame singing Christian songs, crossed over to mainstream radio and recently released an album of hymns titled "Rock of Ages" - for interviews on Christian radio and taken out advertising in small-town newspapers.

And, perhaps most seductively, NBC has been stuffing cash registers at stores here like Goody's and others in or around Nashville, Salt Lake City, Des Moines and Milwaukee with tens of thousands of $1 bills used for groceries and other basics. The dollars are affixed with yellow stickers (removable, consistent with Treasury Department guidelines) that ask, "What's your wish?," and implore people to watch the show. All told, the network expects to give away 150,000 of those dollar bills in 15 cities and towns.

Though NBC hopes the show will have broad appeal - it also took its dollar bill campaign to New York and Los Angeles - Barbara Blangiardi, the network's vice president of marketing and special projects, said that "absolutely the Christian community was a target audience."


They've come a long way from making fun of Hillbillies.


MORE:
TV review: Three Wishes: This reality shows allows TV producers to choose three deserving souls and grant their wishes (Gene Edward Veith, World)

Reality TV falls into three basic categories: voyeur shows (Big Brother, The Anna Nicole Show), game shows (Survivor, The Amazing Race), and feel-good shows (The Nanny, Extreme Makeover: Home Edition).

Three Wishes (NBC, 9:00 ET) may be the ultimate feel-good reality show. Representatives of TV-land descend upon a small town, set up a tent, and listen to the people who line up with their supplications. The producers choose three deserving souls and grant their wishes.

A mother wishes for facial reconstructive surgery for her little girl injured in a horrible accident. The high-school cheerleading squad wishes for a new football field, the dream of a coach stricken with leukemia. A boy wants his stepfather to adopt him. The Hollywood visitors "work their magic," as they say, and grant the wishes. Everyone feels good. Everybody cries.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:33 AM

NEVER BOTHERED HER MUCH EITHER:

Why is Bush facing this flood of vitriol? (BRIAN MONTEITH, 9/16/05, The Scotsman)

THERE was a time in the 1980s when anything that went wrong was immediately blamed on Margaret Thatcher. One only had to look out the bedroom window in the morning and, if it was raining, you would expect Michael Fish to blame the precipitation on the PM.

Her critics found it hard to deal with her and so every possible opportunity to blame her was seized upon with relish. Such behaviour revealed, to Thatcherites like me, just how once seemingly balanced broadcasters were in fact communists that slept under their beds instead of in them.

I've just come back from Fiji (via Los Angeles) where my only source of information about the appalling Hurricane Katrina has been CNN and BBC News 24 and, if you were to rely on their reports, President Bush should be impeached for dereliction of duty - if not simply thrown to the mercy of the mob in New Orleans (not that they would accept any mobs existed).

It did seem surreal that while Santa Monicans were going about their everyday business in the same country, a natural disaster on a huge scale - a flood the size of Britain - was unravelling. It is easy to forget just how vast the United States is and how difficult it actually was to comprehend the scale of the problem.

Still, the sheer bile coming out from politicians like the Reverend Jesse Jackson (that it was a plot against black people) and the tone of news reports displayed an ignorance or mendaciousness that I thought unwarranted.


You can't radically transform a political culture and be well-liked.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:26 AM

BUDDY, CAN YOU SPARE AN ANTI-DISCRIMINATION AWARD?

Disability allowances (Leo McKinstry, the Spectator, September 17th, 2005)

An insidious paradox lies at the heart of the modern thrust for disability rights. This agenda is supposed to promote equality and fair treatment, goals to which no one could object. Yet the official definition of disability is now so wide, so all-embracing, that it includes the feckless, the antisocial, even the criminal. In the madhouse of today’s Britain, even the crack addict and the violent thug can be classified as disabled under anti-discrimination regulations.

Such absurdities have arisen because of the influence of the psychiatric profession, which has decided that almost any selfish or dangerous conduct can now be categorised as mental illness. In this twisted world all concepts of morality and personal responsibility have been lost, replaced by a determination to medicalise every behavioural problem. So an ill-tempered, wilful child is said to be suffering from something called ‘Oppositional Defiant Disorder’, while the aggressive bully is treated as a victim of a ‘Bipolar Disorder’. And because all types of mental illness are regarded as a form of disability, so those with difficult personalities are treated as disabled. Those who were once regarded as immoral or destructive are now seen as worthy of our support. Any attempt to tell them to behave in a civilised manner is a form of discrimination in itself.

This is not how the general public, of course, would view the battle for the rights of the disabled. Most people would imagine that the term disability is meant to cover those suffering a permanent physical or mental impairment, such as those with multiple sclerosis, blindness, cerebral palsy or Down’s syndrome. But in reality, such conditions apply to only a small proportion of the disabled. Despite all the signs dotted around our public spaces, for instance, just 5 per cent of the disabled are actually wheelchair-bound. The term has become so loose that, according to one government survey, some 11 million people — one quarter of the adult population — could be described as disabled. This grand army of 11 million includes those with stress problems, asthma, bad livers, poor nerves, and pains in the back or neck.

The ever-expanding definition of disability is no frivolous matter. For it has allowed those with personal problems, like alcoholism or drug addiction, to wallow in a permanent sense of grievance, regarding themselves as victims of a medical condition. And, in the name of challenging discrimination, this has created limitless opportunities for the pursuit of vexatious claims against employers. Under two recent Disability Discrimination Acts, in 1995 and 2005, companies and public bodies have a duty to ‘make reasonable adjustments’ to remove any barriers to the employment of disabled people.

It is easy to rail against the greediness of the caring professions and the fecklessness of the weak, but why wouldn’t a rational person in a relativist, secular world do anything lawful to pin the responsibility for taking care of him or her on someone else?


Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:07 AM

CLINGING CLOSE TO NURSE

Against Eternal Youth (Frederica Mathewes-Green , First Things, August/September, 2005)

The well-meaning parents of the 1950s confused vulnerability with moral innocence. They failed to understand that children who were always encouraged to be childish would jump at the chance and turn childishness into a lifelong project. These parents were unprepared to respond when their children acquired the bodies of young adults and behaved with selfishness, defiance, and hedonism.

The World War II generation envisioned a sharp contrast between childhood and adulthood: Childhood was all gaiety, while adulthood was burdened with misery and toil. The resulting impulse was to place children in a hermetically sealed playroom. Childhood, once understood as a transitional stage, was now almost a physical place—a toy-filled nursery where children could linger all the golden afternoon. Parents looked on wistfully, wishing their dear children could stay young forever.

As they say: Be careful what you wish for. When conservatives get nostalgic for the Ozzie-and-Harriett parenting of the 1950s, they should remember how the experiment turned out. The children got older, but they never grew up. They continued to show the same self-centered and demanding behavior that had fit so well with their parents’ desire to pamper and protect. They continued to expect that life would be arranged to please them, as it had been in the playroom. They ridiculed their parents’ values, slept around, and trashed all forms of authority.

Of course, when all the authorities have been trashed, the world doesn’t feel very secure. Anxiety hangs over a culture when adults act like children. The Baby Boomers rejected not just grownup life but grownups. They rejected the parents who had worried so much over them. If something looked like what grownups would do, Boomers wanted no part of it.[...]

Future historians will have to sort out our plight—how a whole generation could forget to grow up, while still attempting to raise a younger generation and lead the most powerful nation in the world through times of war and terror. The skills of adulthood are not ones we know how to use. Being kittenish, or obscene, or adorably perplexed—we can do that. But gathering the gravity and confidence that signals full maturity is beyond our capabilities. It’s not youth that passed us by, but adulthood.

In Chaim Potok’s wonderful novel, The Chosen, a brilliant Hasidic teenager grows up with a pious father who will not speak to him and acts like he isn’t there. The story tracks his unsurprisingly painful difficulty in understanding and coping with this. At the end, the mystery is resolved in an extremely poignant reconciliation when the father tells him that, when he was very young, he (the father) could see he was brilliant but that he was also selfish and hard-hearted. After much prayer, the father made the heartbreaking decision to deprive him of his father’s love so he would know and come to understand the pain of others around him. The book ends with the boy beginning his studies to be a psychologist–one with an obviously fierce sense of vocation.

The fact that it is almost impossible for the modern mind to see this as other than outrageously cruel and abusive is an indication of how the self-indulgent, inward-looking life is so prized by our culture and has come to define our notions of maturity, courage and strength.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

IT TOOK THEM THIS LONG TO FIGURE IT OUT?:

Reform the Country, But Don't Tell the Voters (Der Spiegel, 9/16/05)


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THE WEST BROUGHT THEM THE FRENCH REVOLUTION WE CAN TAKE IT BACK:

Good news from Iraq (Brian P. Golden, September 16, 2005, Boston Globe)

Can constitutional democracy work here? Bernard Lewis, a premier historian of the Middle East, identifies the West as originator of harsh authoritarianism here, from Napoleon's dictatorship in Egypt in the 19th century, to the arrival of European-style fascism in the 20th century. Lewis insists that prior to European approaches the region produced far less menacing leaders. Lewis sees hope in history because these earlier leaders -- while not democrats -- governed through consultation and consensus among the major stakeholders in society. Looking at the political posters throughout Baghdad left over from the January election, I realize there may be a historical and cultural foundation that accepts democracy.

And look at what's happened in practice. January's election turnout was astounding; it will certainly be surpassed this fall. A recent poll in the Arabic newspaper Al Hayat reports that 88 percent of Iraqis plan to vote in the October referendum. The Kurds and Shi'ites, comprising 80 percent of the population, embrace the draft constitution. Even disgruntled Sunni Arab leaders are redoubling their efforts to register voters. Many Sunnis will vote in opposition, but opposition in a democracy isn't a bad thing; it's a victory.

And what does this mean for the insurgency? It's a disaster. The insurgency is despised because Iraqi civilians suffer most at their hands. Recently, even the spiritual leader of Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, the terrorist leader, demanded that attacks on civilians cease. And in the spring, Leslie Gelb of the nonpartisan Council on Foreign Relations took a tour of Iraq and met with local leaders. He observed that while Iraqis are often frustrated with the Americans, they absolutely hate the insurgency and its murderous destruction. Despite threats, Iraqis will continue to defy the insurgency by voting.

Capable people comprise the constructive forces in Iraq. While Saddam Hussein's policies devastated education in the 1990s, older Iraqis grew up in one of the most literate countries in the Middle East. They can produce goods and services and run businesses.

Since the prewar period, there has been a 250 percent growth in the use of telephones. Electric power generation has grown above prewar levels, even in the midst of insurgent attacks, and after 40 years of complete neglect by Saddam. Every day schools are renovated (3,100 in the past year), and greater numbers of Iraqis receive medical treatment (healthcare spending is 30 times higher than in the prewar period).

The minister of defense is a former general who was once sentenced to death by Saddam. With a PhD in psychology, he now oversees an Iraqi Army of 88,000 soldiers. It is a brand new entity with flaws. But some units are assuming significant responsibilities, with the special forces regarded as exceedingly well-trained and capable. In the next six months, the Iraqi Army should be conducting a majority of the operations in Iraq. As the Iraqi Army matures, greater numbers of US soldiers will come home.

The future is uncertain, but there is concrete evidence of progress.



September 15, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:48 PM

DID THEY CHECK GALLOWAY FOR AN ICEPICK?:

Galloway and Hitchens slug it out (James Bone, 9/15/05, Times of London)

GEORGE GALLOWAY, the anti-Iraq war Respect Party MP for Bethnal Green, is guilty of “sinister piffle”. On the other hand, Christopher Hitchens, the pro-intervention polemicist who writes a column for Vanity Fair, practises “Goebbellian tricks”.

The two rivals in the raging row over Iraq engaged in an intellectual prize fight in New York on Wednesday night. Before a jeering crowd of more than 1,000 people in a college auditorium, the two master rhetoricians — once allies on the Left — hurled invective at each other for almost two hours.

A scruffy, sweating Mr Hitchens accused Mr Galloway of being an apologist for dictators, fresh from Damascus, where he had praised the 145 attacks a day by Iraqi insurgents on coalition troops. “The man’s hunt for a tyrannical fatherland never ends,” he said. “The Soviet Union let him down; Albania’s gone; the Red Army’s out of Afghanistan; Saddam’s been overthrown . . . But on to the next, in Damascus.”

Mr Galloway, tanned and looking worthy of his “Gorgeous George” nickname in a well-pressed beige suit, denounced Mr Hitchens as an ex-Trotskyist stooge for a reactionary government in Washington bent on dominating the Iraqi people. “People like Mr Hitchens are willing to fight to the last drop of other people’s blood,” he said to wild applause.


While folk like Mr. Galloway are willing not to fight to the last drop of Iraqi blood. There's a perfectly rational argument to be made that no number of dead Iraqis is worth a single Brit or American life, but it's nothing more than rational and, consequently, quite despicable.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:00 PM

BEATING JETLINERS INTO CRESCENTS:

Flight 93 hijacked - again (MARK STEYN, 9/14/05, THE JERUSALEM POST)

FOUR YEARS on, plans for the Flight 93 National Memorial have now been revealed. The winning design, chosen from 1,011 entries, will be built in that pasture in Pennsylvania where those heroes died. The memorial is called "The Crescent of Embrace."

That sounds like a fabulous winning entry – in a competition to create a note-perfect parody of effete multicultural responses to terrorism. Indeed, if anything, it'stoo perfect a parody: the "embrace" is just the usual huggy-weepy reconciliatory boilerplate, but the "crescent" transforms its generic cultural abasement into something truly spectacular. In the design plans, "The Crescent of Embrace" looks more like the embrace of the Crescent – ie, Islam. After all, what better way to demonstrate your willingness to "embrace" your enemies than by erecting a giant Islamic crescent at the site of the day's most unambiguous episode of American heroism?

Okay, let's get all the "of courses" out of the way – of course, the overwhelming majority of Muslims aren't terrorists; of course, we all know "Islam" means "peace" and "jihad" means "healthy-lifestyle lo-carb granola bar"; etc, etc. Nevertheless, the men who hijacked Flight 93 did it in the name of Islam and their last words as they hit the Pennsylvania sod were no doubt "Allahu Akhbar."

ONE WOULD like to think that even today one would be unlikely to come across an Allied D-Day memorial called the Swastika of Embrace. Yet Paul Murdoch, the architect, has somehow managed to conceive a design that makes a splendid memorial to the hijackers rather than their victims.


This would seem to be a more fitting memorial, Bruderhof Peace Barn - A Flight 93 memorial. Civil society once again outdoing the government.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:19 PM

THEY PUT THE GAS IN GASTARBEITER:

Germany's new Left Party has momentum going into Sunday's vote (Andreas Tzortzis, 9/16/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

Part populist, part socialist, the Left Party currently commands between 7 and 9 percent of the vote, ahead of the conservatives' possible coalition partner, the pro-business Free Democratic Party (FDP) and Schröder's junior coalition partner, the Green Party. Should they retain their lead, they could force the CDU and the SPD into a "grand coalition," with Merkel as chancellor and Schröder's party as her junior partner - a prospect experts predict would halt the CDU's planned pro-market reforms because of political infighting.

Nothing would please the Left more.

Fundamentally, the Left Party is offering a radically different answer to the question of how Germany should reform its lethargic economy to remain competitive and grow jobs. Until now, the major parties have been telling Germans that cuts to the country's bloated social welfare system, tax reform, and a more flexible labor market are crucial to reviving the "sick man of Europe."

The Left Party, on the other hand, invokes terms like "social economic justice" to comfort voters like Geppe by suggesting alternatives to liberal reform.

"There need to be fundamental changes in the system," says Bernd Ihme, a Left Party official. "We don't want big business to think that it's not responsible for the well-being of the people."

The Left is strongest in the economically depressed East, where current polls show them commanding around 30 percent of the vote, several points ahead of both the CDU and SPD. The party's push for further tax hikes on the rich in order to finance employment programs, the education system, and the continuation of Germany's welfare system resonates with a region that lived under a socialist economy for more than 40 years.


Of course, the Left Party is also running on anti-immigrant nationalism.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:13 PM

WILL NO ONE INVOKE THE SLAUGHTER RULE:

Bout 1: over. Bout 2: huge.:
With Roberts unscathed by grillings, Democrats turn gaze to court's 'swing' seat. (Gail Russell Chaddock, 9/16/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

After four days in front of the Senate Judiciary Committee, John Roberts appears headed for confirmation as the 17th chief justice of the United States, even as Democrats and outside groups gear up for the next, even more critical, fight.

Steady and nuanced - with flashes of dry wit - Judge Roberts held a consistent line through more than 20 hours of questioning: He supports the rule of law. He will decide issues in light of the court's precedents and facts of the case, with an open mind. He refused to comment on issues likely to come before the court - and even on some that won't, such as the 2000 case Bush v. Gore.

Democrats now must decide whether or not to oppose the nomination, knowing they face a second confirmation battle, possibly as soon as Roberts's nomination is settled, legal analysts say. [...]

"If this were a fight, they'd have called it," says Sen. Lindsey Graham (R) of South Carolina, challenging Democrats to explain why they'd vote against Roberts in light of the fact that Republicans voted overwhelmingly for Clinton nominee Ruth Bader Ginsburg, one of the most liberal justices on the high court.

The Senate Judiciary Committee is expected to vote on Roberts's nomination Sept. 22, and a floor vote would follow Sept. 26.


If Ted Kennedy had always show this kind of determination even after all hope was lost he'd be a former president.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:09 PM

IT WON'T BE HARD TO TARGET (via Thomas A. Corcoran):

Kim Jong Il: We Want Clinton Nuke Deal (NewsMax, 9/15/05)

Negotiators for North Korean dictator Kim Jong Il insisted on Wednesday that the U.S. honor ex-President Clinton's promise to give them a nuclear reactor in exchange for giving up their nuclear weapons program. [...]

But [U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Christopher] Hill noted that North Korea has pursued a nuclear program for 25 years and used it solely to make weapons-grade plutonium for atomic bombs - not for generating electricity.

The North was slated to get two such reactors under the Clinton plan. Other assistance promised by the U.S. at the time would have turned Pyongyang into the largest recipient of U.S. foreign aid in the Pacific rim.

The Agreed Framework collapsed, however, in late 2002, when Kim Jong Il's government admitted it was making nuclear bombs. "As it turns out, they were cheating," Clinton Secretary of State Madeleine Albright later explained.


Why not start the reactor, make sure the rest of their program is terminated, and then Osirak the whole shebang?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:00 PM

EITHER/OR (via Tom Corcoran):

The JFK Question: Sens. Specter and Feinstein impose an unconstitutional religious test. (MANUEL MIRANDA, September 15, 2005, Opinion Journal)

Article VI of the Constitution prohibits a religious test from being imposed on nominees to public office. The clause was motivated by the experience of Catholics in the Maryland colony and Baptists in Virginia who had been the targets of Great Britain's two Test Acts. These infamous laws of intolerance sought to prevent anyone who did not belong to the Church of England from holding public office. The Test Acts did not say that Catholics could not hold office; the bigotry was more subtle. Officials questioned would-be public servants to determine whether they believed in particular tenets of the Catholic faith.

While questioning John Roberts on Tuesday, Judiciary Committee chairman Arlen Specter asked: "Would you say that your views are the same as those expressed by John Kennedy when he was a candidate, and he spoke to the Greater Houston Ministerial Association in September of 1960: 'I do not speak for my church on public matters, and the church does not speak for me.' "

Hours later, Sen. Dianne Feinstein of California made it worse: "In 1960, there was much debate about President John F. Kennedy's faith and what role Catholicism would play in his administration. At that time, he pledged to address the issues of conscience out of a focus on the national interests, not out of adherence to the dictates of one's religion. . . . My question is: Do you?"

How insulting. How offensive. How invidiously ignorant to question someone like Judge Roberts with such apparent presumption and disdain for the religion he practices.


To the contrary, this isn't offensive but a necessary question for the Left to ask. What it demonstrates is that you can't be faithful to the tenets of the Catholic religion and at the same time conform to the social policies of their party. Folks have to choose between being faithful to their religion or being members in good standing of the Democratic Party.


MORE:
Reading the Mind of John Roberts (Patrick O'Hannigan, 9/14/2005, American Spectator)

Catholicism makes room for "prudential judgment," as Vischer notes, and good thing, too. That kind of discernment applies to areas where the church has said nothing. You can't settle arguments over the designated hitter rule or the likelihood of Darwinian "descent with modification" by pulling out a copy of the catechism.

Prudential judgment may also be invoked at those times when theologically informed partisans argue about whether it's a sin to build a nuclear weapon, or when economists of the Sowellian bent can drive figurative trucks through the ignorance of pastoral letters on subjects like the "living wage."

But Alice herself can't skip blithely down that rabbit hole when bishops are on their home turf, championing what John Paul II famously called "the culture of life," not least because prudential judgment requires a "well-formed conscience" which in turn must be cognizant of unbroken teaching rooted in 2,000-year-old mission statements like "I came that you may have life, and have it more abundantly" as recorded in John 10:10.

Per the Congregation for the Doctrine of the Faith and its "Doctrinal Note on Some Questions Regarding the Participation of Catholics in Political Life": "...those who are directly involved in lawmaking bodies have a 'grave and clear obligation to oppose' any law that attacks human life."

This obligation weighs more heavily on legislators than on judges, but it is not something that any practicing Catholic in public life can shirk.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:01 AM

THE SQUEAKY WHEEL GETS THE GREASE SPOT:

In Syria, regime change by other means (Ehsan Ahrari, 9/16/05)

The United States has not abandoned the option of regime change. This time, the objective is to oust the Bashar Assad regime of Syria, but by using "other" means.

This use of other means includes a combination of old tactics used to topple Saddam Hussein, and also uses a number of new tactics aimed at ensuring that the European Union - or its major members, the ones that were derided in the past by Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld as part of "old Europe" - does not oppose it, and that even the United Nations Security Council goes along with it. At least in principle, that is a deft approach.

Why has Syria become the target of America's fury?


To get a sense of how drastically we've transformed the Middle East in just four years it's helpful to look at a map, which reveals precisely why Syria is now in our sights:

Where once it was just another illiberal regime in the midst of many it is now surrounded by democracies and emerging democracies--having forced regime change in Palestine, Lebanon, and Iraq, it's the one nail sticking up and we've got a hammer.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:19 AM

NOTHING TO OFFER BUT FEAR ITSELF:

Say it Slowly: 'Zukunftsangst': Germany is haunted. My countrymen see ghosts everywhere as they go to the polls this Sunday. (Gabor Steingart, 9/15/05, Wall Street Journal)

When neo-Nazis are elected to a regional parliament, many fear a resurgence of Hitler. When a left-wing splinter party gains strength, scores believe they see the ghost of communism. Because Angela Merkel, leader of the opposition Christian Democratic Union, has proposed a larger dose of reform policy than Gerhard Schröder, the current chancellor, millions see her as the reincarnation of Maggie Thatcher. No wonder pollsters have found a level of fear in this election campaign that is greater than anything we've ever experienced since the war. A balance of terror has emerged: Fear of unemployment competes with fear of an overly radical fight against it. Empty state coffers cause the same horror as the budget cuts designed to overcome them. Some call for a serious increase in genetic research, which leads others reflexively to cringe.

Everyone is terrified of everyone. As if of its own accord, the word "fear" attaches itself to the word "future" -- Zukunftsangst permeates the German mind. Fear of reform, fear of stagnation, fear of a failure of democracy and now -- as the frantic climax of this collective neurosis -- the fear of a further growth of fear.

The result is political exhaustion on all sides. On Sunday, Europe's largest industrialized country will most likely elect the weakest of all postwar governments -- assuming the result even allows a government to be formed.


While I'm inclined to think the Atlanticists were actually serious about saving Europe, there's a school of thought that holds this was the aim of America's WWII/Cold War policy, to enervate Europe so completely that it could never threaten our peace again. At any rate, they certainly have been put out of our misery.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 5:42 AM

CAREER CHICKEN LITTLES

The march of the machines (Camilla Cavendish, Timesonline, September 25th, 2005)

The insidious drip, drip of global governance fatally dissipates the energies of elected national leaders. The European Parliament has spent the past week arguing about a “sunshine directive” that would have made EU employers responsible for the health effects of sunlight on their staff. Beetroot-red builder’s bottom has now been preserved for the nation, apparently, after a battle that should never have been fought — with our money — in the first place. There is a similar air of unreality in New York. One newcomer to summitry says he is amazed by the industry of pre-meetings and pre-pre-meetings. On Sunday a diplomat commented that the atmosphere in the room was as if there were ten days to the end of the negotiation, not two working days before world leaders were due to arrive. But technocrats have all the time in the world: when the summit ends, the machine will lumber on.

When the UN and the EU were set up, the challenge was to create big institutions that could underpin peace and prosperity. Today the challenge is to tame institutions that have acquired an internal momentum far beyond democratic control. Sure, jaw-jaw is better than war-war. But the UN has prevented war on precious few occasions in its 60-year history. The EU relied on America to intervene in Yugoslavia, and its attempts to dissuade Iran from going nuclear have been a miserable failure. Jaw-jaw can drown out reality.

The UN is inevitably a hostage to compromise — which is why it has stood still while 200,000 have been killed in Sudan’s genocide, and why Kosovo was saved by Nato, in violation of the UN Charter. The UN’s failure to agree a definition of terrorism, four years after 9/11, makes it hard to believe that it can do much about collective security, despite the fashionable belief that the new terrorist threat requires global co-operation. And its credibility has been damaged by the Oil-for-Food scandal, perhaps the largest ever fraud. It is strange that expectations of the UN are so wildly overblown when it is so unaccountable and when its scope for action on big issues is deliberately limited by the vetoes that are the price for security council members turning up. [...]

Judicial creep is the inevitable result of federalism. Like the US Supreme Court, the ECJ’s duty is to interpret the spirit of the treaties — which are generally integrationist. The court’s rulings on cross-border tax disputes are slowly eroding national vetoes on tax. It has ruled that public health is covered by single market legislation because health is a service, and services can be traded. The can is open, and lawyers will worm their way into more areas of national life.

Monarchs grandstanding in New York seems so last century. Maybe we should turn down the volume and listen more carefully to the whirring of the machines. If we don’t get wise to where the real power is, we will sacrifice any hope of changing the world.

One of the reasons the left is so addicted to a never-ending global crisis mentality is that, in order to destroy democracy and replace it with an unaccountable bureaucratic oligarchy, the general population must be made to feel so insecure they cease believing they are capable of deciding what is best for them on their own.



Posted by Peter Burnet at 5:37 AM

THE END OF CIVILIZATION AS WE KNOW IT

Britons accept gas prices of nearly $7 (Thomas Wagner, Seattle Post-Intelligencer, September 14th, 2005)

Peter Welsh, one of many Britons who ignored a call for nationwide fuel price protests Wednesday, figured out long ago how to cope with gasoline that has soared to nearly $7 a gallon - more than twice as much as Americans pay.

He drives a motorbike to work. His wife drives their two children to school in their Alfa Romeo, then returns home and takes public transportation to her government job. Beyond that, their car only gets out of the garage during local drives on weekends.

"OK, rising oil prices are a worldwide problem now. We know that. But in England, about half of what we pay for petrol is a British tax. If the government dropped the price and raised our sales tax or our income tax, we working people would still be hurt, wouldn't we?" said Welsh, 41, who delivers parcels to companies and businesses for the Royal Mail.

Poor enslaved Brits. We North Americans would never compromise our fundamental rights and freedoms by making “working people” budget the use of their Alfa Romeos.


Posted by Matt Murphy at 2:50 AM

BIPARTISANSHIP MEANS YOU AGREEING WITH ME

End of the Bush Era (E.J. Dionne, 9/13/05, Washington Post)

The Bush Era is over. The sooner politicians in both parties realize that, the better for them -- and the country.

Recent months, and especially the past two weeks, have brought home to a steadily growing majority of Americans the truth that President Bush's government doesn't work. His policies are failing, his approach to leadership is detached and self-indulgent, his way of politics has produced a divided, angry and dysfunctional public square. We dare not go on like this.

The Bush Era did not begin when he took office, or even with the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001. It began on Sept. 14, 2001, when Bush declared at the World Trade Center site: "I can hear you. The rest of the world hears you. And the people who knocked these buildings down will hear all of us soon." Bush was, indeed, skilled in identifying enemies and rallying a nation already disposed to action. [...]

If Bush had understood that his central task was to forge national unity, as he seemed to shortly after Sept. 11, the country would never have become so polarized. Instead, Bush put patriotism to the service of narrowly ideological policies and an extreme partisanship.


So Dionne is back to favoring the concept of national unity as a solution to the usual partisan ferment? I'm having real trouble keeping up with this guy -- it's like trying to break a particularly perplexing line of code.

Luckily, he provides us with a handy decoder ring a little later in his column:

The breaking of the Bush spell opens the way for leaders of both parties to declare their independence from the recent past.


He rejoices in the sort of bipartisanship that allows Democrats and Republicans to oppose Bush.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

EVERY MOMENT A TEACHABLE MOMENT:

Bush Plans Speech; Death Toll Rises: Aides say his address tonight will announce rebuilding efforts with a strong role for the private sector. Katrina fatalities reach 710. (Lianne Hart and Janet Hook, September 15, 2005, LA Times)

As the death toll from Hurricane Katrina climbed to 710 on Wednesday, White House aides said President Bush's address to the nation tonight would call for reconstructing the Gulf Coast using conservative blueprints and private-sector initiatives.

In preparing for his speech to be delivered from New Orleans, the president consulted widely with Republican leaders and conservative thinkers. [...]

A federal emergency bill passed Wednesday night in the Senate would provide emergency housing vouchers averaging $600 a month for as many as six months for more than 350,000 displaced Gulf Coast families.

The measure offered by Sen. Paul S. Sarbanes (D-Md.) was attached on a voice vote to an unrelated spending bill. The Senate is slated to pass the overall bill today, but a final version needs to be worked out with the House, which passed its own version in June. [...]

At the White House, officials readied for Bush' national address from New Orleans. Aides billed the speech as Bush's chance to recover from lost political momentum and wed conservative ideals to the pressing need to redesign the broken city. The televised speech, to be delivered at 6 p.m. PDT, is expected to last about 30 minutes.

"The president wants people to think big," White House spokesman Scott McClellan said. "Most importantly, he believes that it should be driven locally, in terms of the vision and the planning, with the full support of the federal government."

Advisors also want the speech to hew to conservative notions of small government and ample business opportunities. Aides have broached ideas with Republican leaders in Congress and analysts at conservative think tanks.

Ideas they discussed include a strong role for the private sector and charitable organizations along with a package of housing and education vouchers and tax breaks to encourage business activity in the region.

"Bush has a very well defined vision of what government should do and how it should do it," said Michael Franc, a vice president of the Heritage Foundation, a conservative research organization consulted by the White House. "This is a moment to teach or explain to the American people how his values apply to this catastrophic situation."


When you can get Paul Sarbanes to propose housing vouchers the Third Way has won.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

YOUR TURN, MR. MAYOR:

Blanco takes blame for state response (Melinda DeSlatte, September 15, 2005, ASSOCIATED PRESS)

Louisiana Gov. Kathleen Babineaux Blanco yesterday took responsibility for failures and missteps in the immediate response to Hurricane Katrina and pledged a united effort to rebuild areas ravaged by the storm.

"We all know that there were failures at every level of government: state, federal and local. At the state level, we must take a careful look at what went wrong and make sure it never happens again. The buck stops here, and as your governor, I take full responsibility," Mrs. Blanco told lawmakers in a special meeting of the Louisiana Legislature.

Mrs. Blanco's statement came a day after President Bush said he would "take responsibility" for federal failures in dealing with Katrina. The Democratic governor, who has criticized the response of federal officials to the storm and subsequent flood that deluged New Orleans, yesterday told legislators that Mr. Bush is "a friend and partner" in Louisiana's recovery effort.
When the wagons start circling you better get inside the ring.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

AND YOU CAN"T MAKE US WORK (via Robert Schwartz):

Europe’s Not Working (Olaf Gersemann, October-December 2005, American Enterprise)

Adjusted for differences in price levels, per capita income in the United States now exceeds France by close to 40 percent. Germany and Italy lag even further behind. [...]

Nearly every top politician in Germany is on record giving a grave, smug warning about the danger of letting “American conditions” seep into the German economy. In Germany’s economic debate, “American conditions” is code for stiff economic competition, low taxes, minimal state intrusion, and limitedduration welfare payments. Ireland and Britain have adopted many of these policies themselves, rocketing past Germany and France in living standards in the process. But for political opportunists in continental Europe, the quickest way to dismiss any talk of market freedom or reduction in the size of government is to ooze concern about American economic brutalism.

Even Kajo Neukirchen, widely considered to be Germany’s toughest business executive, has said that he does “not want American conditions, with hiring and firing being the order of the day.” And during British attempts to talk France and Germany into some economic reforms this summer, even Blair cabinet member Jack Straw made it a point to insist that his country does not have “a far-right economy” like the U.S.

While condemning American-style capitalism, Europe’s politicians continue to present their own continent as an economic beacon. [...]

When a majority of French voters rejected the proposed European constitution this summer, they could have been acting for any number of good reasons. Start with the fact that at over 60,000 words—touching everything from the “right to good administration” to the “right to be heard” to the promise of “a free placement service” for every worker—this is a bureaucratic monster rather than a constitution. Yet when the French said “non,” polls showed it was not out of any qualms over the megalomaniacal document itself. It was because the average Frenchman wanted to punish the European Union for its role in opening up Europe’s economies somewhat. The typical French voter was not upset because her economy is too centralized and manipulated; she said she wanted France’s economy to be more statist than even Brussels allowed.

Likewise, the backlash against Gerhard Schroeder solidified not when his socialist nostrums ran the German economy further into the ground over six years, but when he finally put forth some timid reforms—such as cautiously cutting unemployment benefits—to try to slip out of his economic mess. A majority of Germans pronounced these reform steps as going in the “wrong direction”—as if Germany could possibly survive going any further in the social democratic direction.

The attitude still most widely held in Europe is that it is the job of politicians to distribute and redistribute society’s goods—be it jobs, income, or wealth. There is a deep zero-sum mentality in Europe which starts from the idea that politics, not competition, should govern economics. Asked in April 2005 whether competition is good for economic growth and employment, only 45 percent of Germans strongly agreed. In both France and Italy, the share was only 29 percent.

Do not be surprised, then, if Angela Merkel, the leader of Germany’s Christian Democrats, and likely successor of Gerhard Schroeder as German chancellor, behaves little better in the economic realm. Consider government finances. Germany’s federal government currently taxes away about 44 percent of the nation’s output, and the Schroeder government has long insisted this is not enough. When introducing its draft for next year’s budget during this summer, the Schroeder administration complained that “with the current financial endowment, an adequate public infrastructure, a good public education systemÉ can’t be guaranteed any more.”

You might expect that Ms. Merkel, as the head of Germany’s supposed conservative party, would want to change course. Yet her fiscal platform is remarkable mainly for two things: She has proposed a reduction of payroll taxes—but only in exchange for an increase of the Value Added Tax from 16 to 18 percent on purchases. Furthermore, this year Merkel abandoned a whole host of tax-cutting proposals that her party had demanded previously in its status as the opposition. With the announcement of the special national elections on September 18, and the chance to regain power, the Christian Democrats abandoned many of the economic principles that had served to separate them from the Social Democrats. Prominent, allegedly pro-capitalist German pundits applauded, with one of them explaining that “there is simply no room for a lasting tax relief.”


Events have caught up to Mr. Gersemann's essay and Mr. Schroeder has tightened the noose of Reformer that Ms Merkel foolishly draped around her own neck.


MORE:
In German voters, the voice of anger (Katrin Bennhold, 9/14/05, International Herald Tribune)

Many feel betrayed by an economy that has allowed big companies to reach record profits at a time when unemployment remains at 11.4 percent. They are angry at a government that, despite imposing painful reforms, has not kept its promises to cut that joblessness.

At the same time, 69 percent of voters, according to a survey by the Allensbach polling institute, say they think Angela Merkel's Christian Democrats - whom other surveys say will take the biggest chunk of votes this weekend - will also have trouble solving Germany's economic problems. Sixty percent, the Allensbach survey indicated, have lost faith in politicians altogether. [...]

In East and West alike, nostalgia abounds - along with acute worry for the next generation in a country where the notion that children will be better off than their parents was the defining motivation of the postwar years.

Back in Leipzig, in the working-class housing project of Grünau, Peter Wilhelm said he would happily trade his right to vote for the resurrection of the wall that once separated the East from the West. "At least then everyone had work and we could afford what is in the supermarket," said Wilhelm, 48, a furniture mover who earns 6.50 an hour. He and his wife pay 500 a month for their apartment.

"If I had known what would become of this country, I would not have had children," he said, stroking the hair of his 3-year-old daughter, Jessica. "They grow up to be unemployed, and if they find a job they are still poor. It's no life."


Painful reforms?


September 14, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:59 PM

WHAT DO DAVID DUKE AND LOUIS FARRAKHAN SAY?:

Roberts's testimony alarms conservatives (Charlie Savage, September 15, 2005, Boston Globe)

One writer on the conservative FreeRepublic.org site wrote that yesterday's questioning by Senator Joseph R. Biden Jr., Democrat of Delaware, had ''exposed Roberts" as a moderate.

The notion that folks posting comments at FreeRepublic or Kos or wherever reflect anything broader than their own lunatic views is complete nonsense. To cite these ravings as if they were part of the mainstream conversation does a disservice to our politics. Everyone doesn't actually think everyone who disagrees with them is a Nazi.


Posted by Matt Murphy at 10:23 PM

UNNEWSWORTHY, YES, BUT IT MAKES BUSH LOOK BAD:

Reuters thinks this photograph deserves public attention.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:04 PM

MERKEL'S TRIFECTA:

Turkish vote may throw Schröder lifeline (Roger Boyes, 9/15/05, Times of London)

AYFER DURUR is one of the most fashionable hairdressers in Berlin and a natural Christian Democratic voter — an entrepreneur worried about taxes, high labour costs and the sluggish economy.

However, the 38-year-old is going to vote for the Social Democrats — one of 600,000 Turkish Germans who could throw a lifeline to Gerhard Schröder, the Chancellor, if the general election on Sunday turns out to be a dead heat, as the latest opinion polls suggest.

“Will the Turks decide the election?” the mass-circulation Bild asked yesterday, a question regarded as provocative, even racist, by immigrants in the Kreuzberg district of Berlin. They do, after all, have German citizenship and are not, as one greengrocer put it, “some kind of alien invaders”.


The German Right is poised to pull off an unbelievable electoral feat, losing the socialist, nationalist, and Turkish votes to the Left.


Posted by John Resnick at 6:25 PM

FORGET DRILLING ANWR! HERE KITTY, KITTY...:

Inventor fuels car with dead cats (Wednesday, September 14, 2005, Reuters via CNN)

A German inventor has angered animal rights activists with his answer to fighting the soaring cost of fuel -- dead cats.

Christian Koch, 55, from the eastern county of Saxony, told Bild newspaper that his organic diesel fuel -- a homemade blend of garbage, run-over cats and other ingredients -- is a proven alternative to normal consumer diesel.

"I drive my normal diesel-powered car with this mixture," Koch said. "I have gone 170,000 km (106,000 miles) without a problem."

The best two-fer yet: Eliminate any need for higher gas taxes AND the annoyance of cats in one fell swoop? Pinch me.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:58 PM

SWEET! SOYLENT GREEN FIGHTS WRINKLES!:

The beauty products from the skin of executed Chinese prisoners (Ian Cobain and Adam Luck, September 13, 2005, The Guardian)

A Chinese cosmetics company is using skin harvested from the corpses of executed convicts to develop beauty products for sale in Europe, an investigation by the Guardian has discovered.

Agents for the firm have told would-be customers it is developing collagen for lip and wrinkle treatments from skin taken from prisoners after they have been shot. The agents say some of the company's products have been exported to the UK, and that the use of skin from condemned convicts is "traditional" and nothing to "make such a big fuss about". [...]

[T]he Guardian has learned that the company has exported collagen products to the UK in the past. An agent told customers it had also exported to the US and European countries, and that it was trying to develop fillers using tissue from aborted foetuses.

When formally approached by the Guardian, the agent denied the company was using skin harvested from executed prisoners. However, he had already admitted it was doing precisely this during a number of conversations with a researcher posing as a Hong Kong businessman. The Press Complaints Commission's code of practice permits subterfuge if there is no other means of investigating a matter of public interest.

The agent told the researcher: "A lot of the research is still carried out in the traditional manner using skin from the executed prisoner and aborted foetus."


Makes dandy lamp shades too.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:28 PM

70% A PURITAN NATION IS BETTER THAN NONE (via Rick Turley):

Adam Smith, political pundit (Michael Barone, US News)

Last night I was reading (actually, rereading) Gertrude Himmelfarb's luminous The Roads to Modernity: The British, French, and American Enlightenments, and came across this quotation from Adam Smith's The Wealth of Nations, published in 1776.

"In every civilized society, in every society where the distinction of ranks has once been completely established, there have always been two different schemes or systems of morality current at the same time, of which the one may be called the strict or austere; the other the liberal, or if you will, the loose system. The former is generally admired and revered by the common people; the latter is commonly more esteemed and adopted by what are called people of fashion."

In crystal clear prose and with her characteristic deftness, Himmelfarb shows us Smith's argument.

"The 'liberal' or 'loose' system, favored by 'people of fashion,' was prone to 'vices of levity'—'luxury, wanton and even disorderly mirth, the pursuit of pleasure to some degree of intemperance, the breach of chastity . . . ' The 'strict or austere' system, generally adhered to by 'the common people,' regarded such vices, for themselves at any rate, with 'the utmost abhorrence and detestation,' because they knew—or at least 'the wiser and better sort' of them knew—that these vices were almost always ruinous to them; a single week's dissipation could undo a poor workman forever. This is why, Smith explained, religious sects arose and flourished among the common people, for they preached the system of morality conducive to the welfare of the poor."

Ruinous to the poor: Smith anticipated the New York City of the Lindsay administration, which I wrote about in its first month in office. As Myron Magnet has explained in The Dream and the Nightmare: The Sixties' Legacy to the Underclass, published in 1993, 117 years after Smith's book, the "loose" morality promoted by affluent liberal New Yorkers may not have hurt them very much, but it hurt the poor of New York and all our major cities very much indeed. The "common people" were onto Lindsay. In two general elections for mayor he lost the four outer boroughs of New York City. He was elected, with pluralities rather than majorities, because he carried Manhattan, especially its affluent neighborhoods, by wide margins. It was a contest between the beautiful people and the dutiful people, and the beautiful people won—with horrifying results for the city.


It's pretty remarkable that we've learned nothing of importance since 1776.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:40 PM

IS FRENCHNESS LEAKING IN THROUGH THE CHUNNEL?:

Unions threaten 'biggest strike since 1926' (Matthew Tempest, September 14, 2005, The Guardian)

Union leaders today warned the government that pushing through a rise in the public sector retirement age to 65 could provoke the biggest industrial action since the General Strike of 1926.

Industrial action by eight unions protesting to the plan was only narrowly averted before the general election by the promise of talks. Alan Johnson today apologised to unions at the TUC conference in Brighton for the failure to consult them on that occasion.

Dave Prentis, the leader of Britain's biggest union, Unison, and Mark Serwotka, the leader of the public and commercial services union, said they now had a further five unions, 13 in all, prepared to ballot for strike action if the government forced through a mandatory higher retirement age.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:10 PM

SHOULD GET US THROUGH THE '06 CYCLE AT LEAST:

Judge: Pledge of Allegiance unconstitutional in public schools (DAVID KRAVETS, September 14, 2005, AP)

Reciting the Pledge of Allegiance in public schools was ruled unconstitutional Wednesday by a federal judge who granted legal standing to two families represented by an atheist who lost his previous battle before the U.S. Supreme Court.

U.S. District Judge Lawrence Karlton ruled that the pledge's reference to one nation "under God" violates school children's right to be "free from a coercive requirement to affirm God."

Karlton said he was bound by precedent of the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, which in 2002 ruled in favor of Sacramento atheist Michael Newdow that the pledge is unconstitutional when recited in public schools.

The Supreme Court dismissed the case last year, saying Newdow lacked standing because he did not have custody of his elementary school daughter he sued on behalf of.

Newdow, an attorney and a medical doctor, filed an identical case on behalf of three unnamed parents and their children. Karlton said those families have the right to sue.


Gotta love how the Court tried to dodge the legal issue but just kept it alive as a political one.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:04 PM

MAPPING THE SWAMP:

Google launches blog search (Juan Carlos Perez, 9/14/05, IDG News Service)

Google Inc. has added to its menu of search alternatives the option to search through the ever-popular online journals called Web logs, or blogs.

The new search service, which went live on Wednesday, is in test, or beta, form, and can be accessed through a variety of Web addresses, including http://www.google.com/blogsearch and http://search.blogger.com/.

“Google is a strong believer in the self-publishing phenomenon represented by blogging, and we hope Blog Search will help our users to explore the blogging universe more effectively, and perhaps inspire many to join the revolution themselves,” a frequently-asked-questions (FAQ) page on the new service reads.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 3:39 PM

DIVING INTO THE RING:

Swann lacks experience, but celebrity status a plus (Greg Garber, 9/14/05, ESPN.com)

If anyone can navigate his way through the sometimes Byzantine, 67-county Pennsylvania political system, it's probably Swann. He has a 500-watt smile, a formidable work ethic, a firm handshake and a degree in public relations from USC's School of Journalism.

The Keystone State is composed of approximately 46,000 square miles and 12 million people. The charismatic Swann seems intent on covering and connecting with all of them.

There are approximately eight million registered voters in Pennsylvania, including 3.8 million registered Democrats and 3.3 million registered Republicans. Swann's appearances on the rubber chicken circuit of modest GOP country gatherings the last six months have produced record attendance figures.

Swann is a rare creature, indeed. The son of Democrats is an African-American Republican, something once thought to be an oxymoron. His potential ability to excite both suburban conservatives and urban African-Americans intrigues national GOP operatives. A year from November, Swann arguably could be the nation's highest ranking elected Republican African-American -- Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice was, of course, selected by President George Bush. From that platform, it would not be inconceivable to imagine a run at the presidency in 2012.

But that's getting ahead of the game.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 2:24 PM

BRING ON THE ENGINEERS

Global warming: Adapting to a new reality
(Elisabeth Rosenthal, International Herald Tribune, September 12th, 2005)

When Dr. Giancarlo Icardi, health director for the Italian city of Genoa, got a call this summer that his young nephew was ill with a fever, headache and watery eyes after a day at the beach, global warming was not the first diagnosis on his mind. He suspected an out-of-season flu.

But 128 other beachgoers turned up at Genoa hospitals with similar symptoms that July weekend, forcing the closure of area beaches in the midst of a heat wave. Even though the health problems cleared up within a day, scientists quickly announced disturbing news about the culprit: a toxic warm-water alga that now grows in an increasingly warm Mediterranean Sea and had not previously bloomed in an Italian resort so far north.

"This is the first time that we've had this problem in Liguria," Icardi said, referring to the northern Italian region that includes Genoa. But scientists "discovered what it was quickly," he said, because in recent years disease-causing algae had cropped up at beaches in the Italian regions of Tuscany and Puglia, and in Spain.

As countries across Europe reduce production of greenhouse gases in order to fight climate change, scientists and citizens are discovering that effects of warming are already upon us. Irreversible warming is already happening, they say, and will continue for a century even if polluting emissions are controlled by the Kyoto Protocol, the international treaty aimed at limiting greenhouse gases.

To this end, they say, government and citizens must prepare for a steamier future, adapting to a climate that is hotter and stormier. [...]

Sometimes adapting to climate change is simple: The Swedish government is encouraging foresters to plant new species of trees that grow better in a slightly warmer climate, for example. In Hamburg and Rotterdam, new docks are being built to accommodate the likelihood of rising sea levels.

In other cases, adaptation would be so expensive that the authorities may opt to let nature take its course. Along the British coast in Norfolk and Essex, local governments are contemplating letting marginal coastal farmland, already beset by frequent flooding, simply sink into the sea as the water level rises.

"The most sensible thing may be for man to withdraw and change the coastline," Klein said.

"You won't have to pay subsidies. And these fields could probably become a healthy salt marsh, rather than poor farmland."

The general awareness that the climate may be warming is unlikely ever to be matched by a genuine scientific consensus as to what is causing it or, still less, what if anything could be done to reverse it. As even thoughtful leftists are coming to realize, the modern fixation with preventing any intrusion by nature into our lives has more in common with the rigid fatalism of traditional peasants who believed it was impossible to change anything for the better than with modern thinking of any stripe. Is modern Western man becoming so neurotically fragile that the very idea of losing a favourite beach resort or having to grow new crops is an unbearable trigger of mass panic and despair?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:13 PM

YOU DON'T SPAY YOUR BITCH AND THEN DEMAND A LITTER (via Robert Schwartz):

Europe Learns the Wrong Lessons (Karl Zinsmeister, American Enterprise)

For evidence that obstruction of the U.S. is more important to many European elites than making progress in the world’s most dangerous flashpoints, look no farther than Afghanistan. The Afghan war was not controversial in Old Europe. It was universally agreed that the Taliban was a blight on central Asia, and that the al-Qaeda cells incubating in Afghanistan were a menace to the entire globe. Europeans accepted the urgent necessity of rooting out both entities militarily, and then rebuilding the Afghan government and civil society.

But once U.S. forces had done the dirty work of eliminating Afghanistan’s fanatical ruling cliques, did our European allies live up to their promises to help update that nation’s infrastructure, train its police, build up its courts, revive its social sector and economy? Scandalously, no.

As we’ve been pointing out for two years (see TAE’s January/February 2004 issue, SCAN), the Europeans immediately fell way behind on their financial pledges. Their troop commitments were not met. The German promise to train the Afghan police became a joke. European offers to reconstruct the justice system went nowhere. In all of these areas, America had to step into the breach to help suffering Afghans, and stave off disorder and a re-emergence of terror cells.

Truth be told, continental Europeans have been making themselves scarce during times of crisis for more than two generations. Their current claim is that lack of a U.N. mandate is what has prevented Europe from standing shoulder to shoulder with the U.S. since the 9/11 attacks. But the Old World’s failure to make any proportionate contribution to the war on terror is actually part of a long historical pattern. Consider their response the last time a large U.N.-commanded force went to war—in Korea.

After North Korea invaded South Korea in 1950, the U.N. responded militarily. Of the 340,000 troops sent under U.N. control, how many of these do you suppose were European? About 5 percent. In the crunch, only Britain provided meaningful help, sending 14,198 soldiers at the Korean War’s peak. The next biggest European contribution? Greece, with 1,263. Francefollowed, providing all of 1,119 troops.

The U.S., meanwhile, provided more than 300,000 fighters. Do the math and you’ll see something interesting: The Korean War alliance included 16 nations, and America supplied 88 percent of the military manpower. The Iraq War coalition included 32 nations, and 85 percent of the G.I.s were Americans. (Poland, Holland, and the Ukraine each contributed more soldiers to the Iraq War coalition than the French did to the Korean War.) See a pattern?

Having for years refused to fund their militaries, and lacking sufficient numbers of young men with patriotic martial spirit, the continental European nations could not project much righteous military power today even if they did have the will. You will often hear gassy rhetoric at European conclaves about how, as Spanish prime minister Zapatero recently put it, “Europe must believe that it can be in 20 years the most important world power.” But the stark reality is that only 3 to 5 percent of the 2.5 million personnel under arms in Europe today can be deployed, even for a short time. Due to its military weakness and diplomatic vacillation, “Europe is nearly irrelevant to the great issues of the future” in today’s conflict zones, notes my colleague Tom Donnelly in a new book.

Even without effective military forces, Europeans could exert much more productive influence on world events if they applied their other substantial resources. Writer Thomas Friedman suggested earlier this year that, “If the European Union said to the Iranians: ‘You will shut down your nuclear-weapons program and put all your reactors and related facilities under international inspection, or you will face a total economic boycott from Europe’ É. that is the kind of explicit threat that would get Tehran’s attention. But, alas, Europeans would rather live with a nuclear Iran—that Europe can make all kinds of money off of— than risk losing Iran’s business to prevent it from going nuclear.”

German businessman Mathias Doepfner (see page 45) says that at least since the time of Hitler, European elites have lacked the courage to stand up to dictators. Apart from the British, Euros have consistently left this job to the U.S. Today perhaps more than ever, they assume that the U.S. will always be there to deter crazy Iranians, and dangerous al-Qaedans, and unstable North Koreans. So why shoulder the expense and danger of acts of solidarity with the Americans?


It hardly seems fair to blame them for becoming the national security equivalent of welfare queens, after all, we have won all their wars for them over the past century. How would they not become dependent on us?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:57 PM

REPACKAGING DERANGEMENT (via David Hill, The Bronx):

The Democrats' dilemma: An independence versus capitulation wrestling match (Howard Fineman, 9/13/05, MSNBC)

If I am hearing Simon Rosenberg right (and he is worth listening to), a nasty civil war is brewing within the Democratic Party, and Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton – the party’s presumptive 2008 nominee – needs to avoid getting caught in the middle of it.

“It’s not a fight between liberals and conservatives,” Rosenberg told me the other day. “It’s between our ‘governing class’ here and activists everywhere else.” [...]

Rosenberg rejects that notion that the bloggers represent a new “Internet Left.” It’s not an ideological rift, he says, but a “narrative” of independence versus capitulation: too many Democrats here are too yielding to George W. Bush on the war in Iraq, on tax policy, you name it. “What the blogs have developed is a narrative,” he told me the other day,” and the narrative is that the official Washington party has become like Vichy France.”

In the 1980s, he said, a generation of Democratic strategists reacted to the rise of Ronald Reagan by looking for ways to co-exist with his brand of conservatism. The result was the Democratic Leadership Council, founded in 1985, which mixed cultural traditionalism with pro-market economics and hawkish foreign policy. It worked: Bill Clinton became chairman of the DLC in 1990, and used it as a launching pad to the presidency.

But, in the view of the Blogosphere, the DLC model is outmoded and dangerously accomodationist, in the manner of the allegedly independent, but in reality pro-Nazi, regime of wartime of France.


Yeah, that narrative about how Bill Clinton and Joe Lieberman are crypto-Nazis is a sure winner, huh?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:36 PM

SOCIETY TRUMPS GOVERNMENT (via Kevin Whited):

Whose Victory, Exactly? (Anne Applebaum, September 14, 2005, Washington Post)

Last week my son's elementary school raised several thousand dollars for hurricane victims by washing cars. My other son's preschool announced without fuss that a boy from New Orleans would be joining the class. My employer is organizing help for the company's Gulf Coast employees, my local bookstore is collecting money for the Red Cross and my favorite radio station raised $54,000 last weekend. Every church or synagogue attended by anyone I know is, of course, raising money, housing evacuees or delivering clothes to victims.

To put it differently, nearly every institution with which I come into daily contact -- my library, my grocery store, my search engine -- has already donated time or money to the victims of Hurricane Katrina, and I don't think this makes me or my community unique. [...]

[C]onsider the effectiveness of the relief strategies so far. With great fanfare, the federal government announced it would distribute debit cards to Katrina victims. The result was chaos, anger and expectations of fraud. Quietly, the Red Cross has been paying evacuees' hotel bills. The result is that 57,000 people have time to plan what to do next. Massive government efforts to get people into massive shelters have led to dissatisfaction, delays, long lines and frustration. But private initiatives -- ranging across the political spectrum from MoveOn.org's Hurricanehousing.org, which is advertising space in thousands of private homes, to First Baptist Church in Athens, Tex., which has just installed six new showers -- are helping people find better housing faster. Over the longer term, it's also pretty safe to bet that people who relocate thanks to a church, find a job thanks to a charitable Web site, and get by thanks to their extended families are going to do a lot better, economically and psychologically, than the people who hang around waiting to be helped by a government jobs program and a government trauma counselor.

I'm not saying anything radical here: I'm not calling for the abolition of FEMA, and I certainly think there's a role for government in disaster and evacuation planning. But it is true that the worst failures of the past two weeks have been big government failures. The biggest successes, by contrast, have come out of this country's incredibly vibrant, amazingly diverse and fantastically generous civil society. Sooner or later, it will be impossible not to draw political lessons from that paradox.


Paradox?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:41 PM

AS A PURELY TACTICAL MATTER....:

...mightn't the GOP want to consider just not asking any more questions of Judge Roberts? He's handling the Democrats so deftly that there's really no need to rehabilitate him, which is what the majority usually uses its time for. Just let the Democrats bury themselves and keep one Republican on hand if needed.

MORE:
John Roberts Is So Humble (Dahlia Lithwick, Sept. 13, 2005, Slate)

John Roberts is putting on a clinic.

He completely understands that he needs only to sit very quietly, head cocked to signal listening-ness, while senator after senator offers long discursive rambling speeches. Only when he's perfectly certain that a question has been asked does he offer a reply; usually cogent and spare. Here's a man long accustomed to answering really hard questions from extremely smart people, suddenly faced with the almost-harder task of answering obvious questions from less-smart people. He finds himself standing in a batting cage with the pitching machine set way too slow.

It's increasingly clear that Senate Democrats are giving up. They are taking a cue from the petulant Joe Biden, who telegraphs exactly who these hearings are really for when he refuses to let the nominee answer any of his questions. When Sen. Arlen Specter growls at Biden to let Roberts finish just one answer, Biden growls back: "I don't have much time." Later when Biden complains of Roberts, "But he's filibustering!" it's without any sense of irony. How dare this man use our own childish games against us?

Whereas Biden and Patrick Leahy made at least some effort to develop lines of questioning, Herb Kohl and Dianne Feinstein give up entirely. Knowing there will be no Perry Mason moment—there won't even be a Lionel Hutz moment—they dully read their questions from a script and avoid the follow-up altogether. "Oh, so you aren't opposed to environmental protection? OK. Let's move on." The hunters have become the hunted. The lion is draped across a chaise longue, picking his teeth with their arguments.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 12:23 PM

NO OFFENCE, FRITZ, BUT WE DID ASK FOR STRUDEL

Washington Has Beef with Europe's Katrina Aid (Spiegel, September 12th, 2005)

Last week, a German military cargo jet carrying 15 tons of food labored into the air bound for the United States. The goal, of course, was to feed needy victims of Hurricane Katrina. But the food supplies never made it. Refused permission to land, the plane was forced to turn around and head back to Cologne, still fully loaded. Food from other countries has likewise been banned.

Why was the aid not accepted? As it turns out, the US Department of Agriculture had rejected the rations -- originally prepared for NATO troops -- out of fear they may be tainted with bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE), the agent thought to cause mad cow disease. Despite intensive efforts on the part of Germany's foreign ministry, the US government refused to give the plane flyover rights.

But officers at a US base in Pensacola -- where previous German aid planes had landed -- believe there was another reason. In reality, the critics said, the Bush government was trying to avoid embarrassing images of Europeans making food relief deliveries to the States. After all, the meals had already been certified by NATO as BSE-free. Additionally, the same types of meals have been used in common deployments in Afghanistan, and they've also been consumed by American troops. Startled by a query from SPIEGEL on Friday evening, the US Embassy here in Berlin said the ban on the pre-prepared meals delivered from Germany would be lifted. Indeed, the shiny, new US Ambassador to Germany, William Timken, had only recently thanked the German government for the first 20,000 donated meals -- all of which have already been eaten by Katrina victims.

Mmm...NATO rations. What an unexpected surprise that Germany had an excess supply of NATO rations.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:52 AM

IT WAS FOR THEIR OWN GOOD...:

The McCloy Memo: A New Look at Japanese American Internment (Greg Robinson, 9/13/05, History News Network)

The removal and confinement of some 120,000 American citizens and permanent residents of Japanese ancestry from the Pacific Coast during 1942, popularly (if inaccurately) known as the Japanese American internment, remains a powerful event in the nation’s consciousness. In the decades since the war, historians have exhaustively documented the primary role of anti-Japanese prejudice and war hysteria by West Coast Army officers and civilians in bringing about the issuing of Executive Order 9066, which authorized removal.

Yet in recent times a small group of internment revisionists led by journalist Michelle Malkin, ignoring this evidence, have loudly argued that mass removal was a justified and positive example of ethnic profiling. The keystone of their argument is that a few White House and War Department authorities, notably Assistant Secretary of War John McCloy, made the decision to confine West Coast Japanese Americans based on their reading of the MAGIC Intercepts, top-secret Japanese diplomatic messages decoded by American cryptographers. The MAGIC cables, these revisionists claim, provided clear evidence of mass espionage by aliens and American citizens during the prewar period. Although the revisionists’ evidence is predominantly old and discredited, in the current mood of insecurity and wartime nationalism they have attracted significant attention.

A few years ago, I was at the Library of Congress researching my book By Order of the President, about Franklin Roosevelt’s role in the wartime removal. I discovered some documents in the papers of Robert Patterson, the then-Undersecretary of War. Among them was a file copy of a memorandum, dated July 23, 1942, that John McCloy sent Patterson in response to inquiries about the feeding of Japanese American “internees.” McCloy noted that since 70 percet of those in the camps were citizens, and most were women and children, the government should provide them sufficient food. This was neither novel nor relevant to my project, so I filed the document without thinking. Recently, I was surprised to discover that the memo also included a handwritten postscript. There, McCloy admitted that military security was not a primary factor in triggering the removal of West Coast Japanese Americans:

These people are not 'internees': They are under no suspicion for the most part and were moved largely because we felt we could not control our own white citizens in California.

Since the revisionists credit McCloy as the chief decision-maker on removal, his admission fatally discredits their argument about national security.


The only hysteria andf racism that ultimately mattered was FDR's.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:43 AM

LIBERTY IS THE PROPER BALANCE OF FREEDOM AND SECURITY (via Gene Brown):

Cheap Gas Is a Bad Habit (Robert J. Samuelson, September 14, 2005, Washington Post)

What this country needs is $4-a-gallon gasoline or, maybe, $5. We don't need it today, but we do need it over the next seven to 10 years via a steadily rising oil tax. Coupled with stricter fuel economy standards, higher pump prices would push reluctant auto companies and American drivers away from today's gas guzzlers. That should be our policy. The deafening silence you hear on this crucial subject from the White House, Congress and the media is a sorry indicator of national shortsightedness. [...]

Until oil's geography changes, a prudent society would respond to this unavoidable insecurity. After the first oil "crisis" in 1973, Americans did. Congress created a Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and mandated fuel economy standards. Drivers were sobered by high prices. From 1970 to 1990, average fuel economy for cars rose from 13.5 miles per gallon to 20 mpg. For "light trucks" (a category covering pickups, sport-utility vehicles and minivans), the gains were from 10 mpg to 16 mpg. But in the 1990s, there was massive backsliding. Fuel economy stagnated as millions of Americans shifted to SUVs and pickups. The SPR languished. In 1992 it had oil equal to 83 days of imports; by 2000 that was only 52 days. [...]

To keep total gasoline consumption constant, average fuel efficiency must improve by roughly 50 percent. [...]

Hence the need for a stiff oil tax. Government needs to foster a market for fuel efficiency. The tax should be introduced gradually -- paralleling tougher fuel standards -- and, perhaps, tempered if global oil prices rise sharply. One way or another, Americans should know that the era of cheap gasoline is history. Some drivers will want hybrid versions of their present vehicles; others will downsize. It's not a national tragedy for someone to trade an Expedition for a Taurus.

At times, individual freedom must be compromised to improve collective security.


America's best economics columnist explains it best.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:13 AM

VISION OF HOPE:

President Addresses United Nations High-Level Plenary Meeting (George W. Bush, United Nations Headquarters, New York, New York, 9/14/05)

Mr. Secretary General, Mr. President, distinguished guests, ladies and gentlemen: Thank you for the privilege of being here for the 60th anniversary of the United Nations. Thank you for your dedication to the vital work and great ideals of this institution.

We meet at a time of great challenge for America and the world. At this moment, men and women along my country's Gulf Coast are recovering from one of the worst natural disasters in American history. Many have lost homes, and loved ones, and all their earthly possessions. In Alabama and Mississippi and Louisiana, whole neighborhoods have been lifted from their foundations and sent crashing into the streets. A great American city is working to turn the flood waters and reclaim its future.

We have witnessed the awesome power of nature -- and the greater power of human compassion. Americans have responded to their neighbors in need, and so have many of the nations represented in this chamber. All together, more than 115 countries and nearly a dozen international organizations have stepped forward with offers of assistance. To every nation, every province, and every community across the world that is standing with the American people in this hour of need, I offer the thanks of my nation.

Your response, like the response to last year's tsunami, has shown once again that the world is more compassionate and hopeful when we act together. This truth was the inspiration for the United Nations. The U.N.'s founding members laid out great and honorable goals in the charter they drafted six decades ago. That document commits this organization to work to "save succeeding generations from the scourge of war," "reaffirm faith in fundamental human rights," and "promote social progress and better standards of life in larger freedom." We remain committed to those noble ideals. As we respond to great humanitarian needs, we must actively respond to the other great challenges of our time. We must continue to work to ease suffering, and to spread freedom, and to lay the foundations of lasting peace for our children and grandchildren.

In this young century, the far corners of the world are linked more closely than ever before -- and no nation can remain isolated and indifferent to the struggles of others. When a country, or a region is filled with despair, and resentment and vulnerable to violent and aggressive ideologies, the threat passes easily across oceans and borders, and could threaten the security of any peaceful country.

Terrorism fed by anger and despair has come to Tunisia, to Indonesia, to Kenya, to Tanzania, to Morocco, to Israel, to Saudi Arabia, to the United States, to Turkey, to Spain, to Russia, to Egypt, to Iraq, and the United Kingdom. And those who have not seen attacks on their own soil have still shared in the sorrow -- from Australians killed in Bali, to Italians killed in Egypt, to the citizens of dozens of nations who were killed on September the 11th, 2001, here in the city where we meet. The lesson is clear: There can be no safety in looking away, or seeking the quiet life by ignoring the hardship and oppression of others. Either hope will spread, or violence will spread -- and we must take the side of hope.

Sometimes our security will require confronting threats directly, and so a great coalition of nations has come together to fight the terrorists across the world. We've worked together to help break up terrorist networks that cross borders, and rout out radical cells within our own borders. We've eliminated terrorist sanctuaries. We're using our diplomatic and financial tools to cut off their financing and drain them of support. And as we fight, the terrorists must know that the world stands united against them. We must complete the Comprehensive Convention on International Terrorism that will put every nation on record: The targeting and deliberate killing by terrorists of civilians and non-combatants cannot be justified or legitimized by any cause or grievance.

And the world's free nations are determined to stop the terrorists and their allies from acquiring the terrible weapons that would allow them to kill on a scale equal to their hatred. For that reason, more than 60 countries are supporting the Proliferation Security Initiative to intercept shipments of weapons of mass destruction on land, on sea, and in air. The terrorists must know that wherever they go, they cannot escape justice.

Later today, the Security Council has an opportunity to put the terrorists on notice when it votes on a resolution that condemns the incitement of terrorist acts -- the resolution that calls upon all states to take appropriate steps to end such incitement. We also need to sign and implement the International Convention for the Suppression of Acts of Nuclear Terrorism, so that all those who seek radioactive materials or nuclear devices are prosecuted and extradited, wherever they are. We must send a clear message to the rulers of outlaw regimes that sponsor terror and pursue weapons of mass murder: You will not be allowed to threaten the peace and stability of the world.

Confronting our enemies is essential, and so civilized nations will continue to take the fight to the terrorists. Yet we know that this war will not be won by force of arms alone. We must defeat the terrorists on the battlefield, and we must also defeat them in the battle of ideas. We must change the conditions that allow terrorists to flourish and recruit, by spreading the hope of freedom to millions who've never known it. We must help raise up the failing states and stagnant societies that provide fertile ground for the terrorists. We must defend and extend a vision of human dignity, and opportunity, and prosperity -- a vision far stronger than the dark appeal of resentment and murder.

To spread a vision of hope, the United States is determined to help nations that are struggling with poverty. We are committed to the Millennium Development goals. This is an ambitious agenda that includes cutting poverty and hunger in half, ensuring that every boy and girl in the world has access to primary education, and halting the spread of AIDS -- all by 2015.

We have a moral obligation to help others -- and a moral duty to make sure our actions are effective. At Monterrey in 2002, we agreed to a new vision for the way we fight poverty, and curb corruption, and provide aid in this new millennium. Developing countries agreed to take responsibility for their own economic progress through good governance and sound policies and the rule of law. Developed countries agreed to support those efforts, including increased aid to nations that undertake necessary reforms. My own country has sought to implement the Monterrey Consensus by establishing the new Millennium Challenge Account. This account is increasing U.S. aid for countries that govern justly, invest in their people, and promote economic freedom.

More needs to be done. I call on all the world's nations to implement the Monterrey Consensus. Implementing the Monterrey Consensus means continuing on the long, hard road to reform. Implementing the Monterrey Consensus means creating a genuine partnership between developed and developing countries to replace the donor-client relationship of the past. And implementing the Monterrey Consensus means welcoming all developing countries as full participants to the global economy, with all the requisite benefits and responsibilities.

Tying aid to reform is essential to eliminating poverty, but our work doesn't end there. For many countries, AIDS, malaria, and other diseases are both humanitarian tragedies and significant obstacles to development. We must give poor countries access to the emergency lifesaving drugs they need to fight these infectious epidemics. Through our bilateral programs and the Global Fund, the United States will continue to lead the world in providing the resources to defeat the plague of HIV-AIDS.

Today America is working with local authorities and organizations in the largest initiative in history to combat a specific disease. Across Africa, we're helping local health officials expand AIDS testing facilities, train and support doctors and nurses and counselors, and upgrade clinics and hospitals. Working with our African partners, we have now delivered lifesaving treatment to more than 230,000 people in sub-Sahara Africa. We are ahead of schedule to meet an important objective: providing HIV-AIDS treatment for nearly two million adults and children in Africa. At the G-8 Summit at Gleneagles, Scotland, we set a clear goal: an AIDS-free generation in Africa. And I challenge every member of the United Nations to take concrete steps to achieve that goal.

We're also working to fight malaria. This preventable disease kills more than a million people around the world every year -- and leaves poverty and grief in every land it touches. The United States has set a goal of cutting the malaria death rate in half in at least 15 highly endemic African countries. To achieve that goal, we've pledged to increase our funding for malaria treatment and prevention by more than $1.2 billion over the next five years. We invite other nations to join us in this effort by committing specific aid to the dozens of other African nations in need of it. Together we can fight malaria and save hundreds of thousands of lives, and bring new hope to countries that have been devastated by this terrible disease.

As we strengthen our commitments to fighting malaria and AIDS, we must also remain on the offensive against new threats to public health such as the Avian Influenza. If left unchallenged, this virus could become the first pandemic of the 21st century. We must not allow that to happen. Today I am announcing a new International Partnership on Avian and Pandemic Influenza. The Partnership requires countries that face an outbreak to immediately share information and provide samples to the World Health Organization. By requiring transparency, we can respond more rapidly to dangerous outbreaks and stop them on time. Many nations have already joined this partnership; we invite all nations to participate. It's essential we work together, and as we do so, we will fulfill a moral duty to protect our citizens, and heal the sick, and comfort the afflicted.

Even with increased aid to fight disease and reform economies, many nations are held back by another heavy challenge: the burden of debt. So America and many nations have also acted to lift this burden that limits the growth of developing economies, and holds millions of people in poverty. Today poor countries with the heaviest debt burdens are receiving more than $30 billion in debt relief. And to prevent the build-up of future debt, my country and other nations have agreed that international financial institutions should increasingly provide new aid in the form of grants, rather than loans. The G-8 agreed at Gleneagles to go further. To break the lend-and-forgive cycle permanently, we agreed to cancel 100 percent of the debt for the world's most heavily indebted nations. I call upon the World Bank and the IMF to finalize this historic agreement as soon as possible.

We will fight to lift the burden of poverty from places of suffering -- not just for the moment, but permanently. And the surest path to greater wealth is greater trade. In a letter he wrote to me in August, the Secretary General commended the G-8's work, but told me that aid and debt relief are not enough. The Secretary General said that we also need to reduce trade barriers and subsidies that are holding developing countries back. I agree with the Secretary General: The Doha Round is "the most promising way" to achieve this goal.

A successful Doha Round will reduce and eliminate tariffs and other barriers on farm and industrial goods. It will end unfair agricultural subsidies. It will open up global markets for services. Under Doha, every nation will gain, and the developing world stands to gain the most. Historically, developing nations that open themselves up to trade grow at several times the rate of other countries. The elimination of trade barriers could lift hundreds of millions of people out of poverty over the next 15 years. The stakes are high. The lives and futures of millions of the world's poorest citizens hang in the balance -- and so we must bring the Doha trade talks to a successful conclusion.

Doha is an important step toward a larger goal: We must tear down the walls that separate the developed and developing worlds. We need to give the citizens of the poorest nations the same ability to access the world economy that the people of wealthy nations have, so they can offer their goods and talents on the world market alongside everyone else. We need to ensure that they have the same opportunities to pursue their dreams, provide for their families, and live lives of dignity and self-reliance.

And the greatest obstacles to achieving these goals are the tariffs and subsidies and barriers that isolate people of developing nations from the great opportunities of the 21st century. Today, I reiterate the challenge I have made before: We must work together in the Doha negotiations to eliminate agricultural subsidies that distort trade and stunt development, and to eliminate tariffs and other barriers to open markets for farmers around the world. Today I broaden the challenge by making this pledge: The United States is ready to eliminate all tariffs, subsidies and other barriers to free flow of goods and services as other nations do the same. This is key to overcoming poverty in the world's poorest nations. It's essential we promote prosperity and opportunity for all nations.

By expanding trade, we spread hope and opportunity to the corners of the world, and we strike a blow against the terrorists who feed on anger and resentment. Our agenda for freer trade is part of our agenda for a freer world, where people can live and worship and raise their children as they choose. In the long run, the best way to protect the religious freedom, and the rights of women and minorities, is through institutions of self-rule, which allow people to assert and defend their own rights. All who stand for human rights must also stand for human freedom.

This is a moment of great opportunity in the cause of freedom. Across the world, hearts and minds are opening to the message of human liberty as never before. In the last two years alone, tens of millions have voted in free elections in Afghanistan and Iraq, in Lebanon and the Palestinian territories, in Kyrgyzstan, in Ukraine, and Georgia. And as they claim their freedom, they are inspiring millions more across the broader Middle East. We must encourage their aspirations. We must nurture freedom's progress. And the United Nations has a vital role to play.

Through the new U.N. Democracy Fund, the democratic members of the U.N. will work to help others who want to join the democratic world. It is fitting that the world's largest democracy, India, has taken a leadership role in this effort, pledging $10 million to get the fund started. Every free nation has an interest in the success of this fund -- and every free nation has a responsibility in advancing the cause of liberty.

The work of democracy is larger than holding a fair election; it requires building the institutions that sustain freedom. Democracy takes different forms in different cultures, yet all free societies have certain things in common. Democratic nations uphold the rule of law, impose limits on the power of the state, treat women and minorities as full citizens. Democratic nations protect private property, free speech and religious expression. Democratic nations grow in strength because they reward and respect the creative gifts of their people. And democratic nations contribute to peace and stability because they seek national greatness in the achievements of their citizens, not the conquest of their neighbors.

For these reasons, the whole world has a vital interest in the success of a free Iraq -- and no civilized nation has an interest in seeing a new terror state emerge in that country. So the free world is working together to help the Iraqi people to establish a new nation that can govern itself, sustain itself, and defend itself. It's an exciting opportunity for all of us in this chamber. And the United Nations has played a vital role in the success of the January elections, where eight and a half million Iraqis defied the terrorists and cast their ballots. And since then, the United Nations has supported Iraq's elected leaders as they drafted a new constitution.

The United Nations and its member states must continue to stand by the Iraqi people as they complete the journey to a fully constitutional government. And when Iraqis complete their journey, their success will inspire others to claim their freedom, the Middle East will grow in peace and hope and liberty, and all of us will live in a safer world.

The advance of freedom and security is the calling of our time. It is the mission of the United Nations. The United Nations was created to spread the hope of liberty, and to fight poverty and disease, and to help secure human rights and human dignity for all the world's people. To help make these promises real, the United Nations must be strong and efficient, free of corruption, and accountable to the people it serves. The United Nations must stand for integrity, and live by the high standards it sets for others. And meaningful institutional reforms must include measures to improve internal oversight, identify cost savings, and ensure that precious resources are used for their intended purpose.

The United Nations has taken the first steps toward reform. The process will continue in the General Assembly this fall, and the United States will join with others to lead the effort. And the process of reform begins with members taking our responsibilities seriously. When this great institution's member states choose notorious abusers of human rights to sit on the U.N. Human Rights Commission, they discredit a noble effort, and undermine the credibility of the whole organization. If member countries want the United Nations to be respected -- respected and effective, they should begin by making sure it is worthy of respect.

At the start of a new century, the world needs the United Nations to live up to its ideals and fulfill its mission. The founding members of this organization knew that the security of the world would increasingly depend on advancing the rights of mankind, and this would require the work of many hands. After committing America to the idea of the U.N. in 1945, President Franklin Roosevelt declared: "The structure of world peace cannot be the work of one man, or one party, or one nation." Peace is the responsibility of every nation and every generation.

In each era of history, the human spirit has been challenged by the forces of darkness and chaos. Some challenges are the acts of nature; others are the works of men. This organization was convened to meet these challenges by harnessing the best instincts of humankind, the strength of the world united in common purpose. With courage and conscience, we will meet our responsibilities to protect the lives and rights of others. And when we do, we will help fulfill the promise of the United Nations, and ensure that every human being enjoys the peace and the freedom and the dignity our Creator intended for all.

Thank you.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:11 AM

EVEN DEMOCRATS CAN'T BE FOOLISH ENOUGH TO RUN ON KATRINA:

Minority Retort: This is your moment, Democrats. Don't blow it. (John Dickerson, Sept. 13, 2005, Slate)

Democrats were furious that President Bush didn't take responsibility for the Katrina relief catastrophe. Now they're furious that he did. President Bush's careful admission that he is responsible for the botched federal response to Hurricane Katrina "to the extent that the federal government didn't do its job right" is a familiar Washington gambit: "turning the page." Bush's acceptance of responsibility answers cable news' echo-room charge that someone needs to be held accountable. Now the president—having embraced his inner Truman—can move on and change the message.

Liberal pundits had already declared the end of his presidency, but with this rhetorical feint Bush muddies the discussion. He's giving away lots of federal goodies. He's making a prime time speech from Louisiana on Thursday night. Pretty soon, the media and the country might start letting Bush off the hook. Now any Democrat who carps on those federal failures can be brushed off as a hack merely playing politics. Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas), not immune to playing politics, warned Monday during John Roberts' nomination hearings that "Katrina victims should not be used to score political points."

Still, Democrats have been given their best chance in five years to win back the country. Are they going to blow it? [...]

How do Democrats keep Katrina and the tragically late federal response front and center? By making Katrina part of a larger argument about leadership and national security.


What leadership? Mayor Nagin's? Governor Blanco's? Both of them have a vested interest in defending the response and portraying events from here forward in glowing terms.

Harry Reid's? All the congressional leadership has done is whine.

The argument is a still-born loser.

MORE:
Hurricane Katrina, Act II - starring George Bush (Dick Morris, 9/13/05, The Hill)

Our national political/journalistic complex is obsessed with blaming President Bush for failing to respond quickly to the devastation wrought by Hurricane Katrina. After weeks of media pounding and casualty figures that were, apparently, wildly and widely exaggerated, polls suggest that the public has no choice but to agree with the critique.

The CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll of Sept. 8-11 shows that only 44 percent of Americans approve of the job Bush did immediately after the storm. But so what? The same survey shows that 58 percent approve of the work he has done since then in helping New Orleans and the Gulf Coast to recover from the effects of the disaster.

The low job approval of Bush’s efforts in the week after the storm will fade into history and take its place alongside similar criticism of his slowness to act after the planes hit on Sept. 11 or after the tsunami struck late last year. What counts for the future is that the ratings on his recent performance are 20 points higher than his overall job approval.

This positive affirmation of the president’s role in the past few weeks is the leading indicator Washington should be following.


Bush Accepts Blame for Slow Hurricane Response: President acknowledges flaws at all levels of government. Louisiana death toll reaches 423. (Nicholas Riccardi, Ashley Powers and Josh Meyer. September 14, 2005, LA Times)
With water now covering less than 40% of New Orleans, there were more heartening signs of revival. The Army Corps of Engineers said it was pumping out about 9 billion gallons per day, and that the city should be drained of floodwaters in about a month.

The first passenger flights returned to Louis Armstrong New Orleans International Airport. Port officials said they expected the first cargo ship to arrive next week. And Mayor C. Ray Nagin said he hoped to reopen the historic French Quarter and the city's central business district next week, along with the Algiers and Uptown neighborhoods, which mostly escaped storm damage.

"We are bringing New Orleans back. We are bringing its culture back, we are bringing its music back," Nagin said. Glancing up at military helicopters thudding overhead, he added: "I'm tired of hearing these helicopters. I want to hear some jazz."

Nagin also acknowledged that Katrina's knockout blow had exhausted the city's cash reserves. "I don't think we will have to" declare bankruptcy, Nagin said. "There are so many people who want to help us." He added that he was "working furiously" to obtain lines of credit from banks and the federal government. [...]

By accepting personal responsibility, Bush appeared to try to shift the debate away from finger-pointing to the reconstruction of New Orleans, a formidable task that could repair his frayed image as a leader if it succeeded. Widespread public dismay with federal efforts has translated to Bush's lowest polling numbers in his five years as president.

Bush's admission drew immediate praise from one of his harshest critics.

"The president's comments today will do more to move the country forward from this tragedy than anything that has been said by any leader in the past two weeks," said Sen. Mary L. Landrieu (D-La.). "Accountability at every level is critical, and leadership begins at the top."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:07 AM

THEY NEVER TAKE THEIR EYES OFF THE BALL:

Bush Takes Responsibility For Failures Of Response (Jim VandeHei and Jonathan Weisman, 9/13/05, Washington Post)

Bush already has dispatched his top strategist, Deputy Chief of Staff Karl Rove, and other aides to assemble ideas from agencies, conservative think tanks, GOP lawmakers and state officials to guide the rebuilding of New Orleans and relocation of flood victims. The idea, aides said, is twofold: provide a quick federal response that comports with Bush's governing philosophy, and prevent Katrina from swamping his second-term ambitions on Social Security, taxes and Middle East democracy-building.

Sen. Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.), a Bush ally, said the recovery effort provides conservatives with an unusual opportunity to test ideas that have been hard to sell on a national scope, including vouchers to cover education for dislocated students and tax incentives for business investment. "There are a whole host of ideas being looked at," Kyl said.

In what may become the next major post-Katrina policy, the White House was working yesterday to suspend wage supports for service workers in the hurricane zone as it did for construction workers on federal contracts last week, administration and congressional officials said. This possible move, described by administration officials as being under debate, already provoked preemptive Democratic protests. [...]

Behind the scenes, the president's inner circle is working with more than a dozen new task forces, run through the domestic policy counsel, to solicit ideas from federal agencies and outside groups such as the Heritage Foundation and American Enterprise Institute. Several aides said agency officials are under pressure to provide estimates of what money their agencies need, as well as ideas for solving the myriad problems the relief effort presents. Advisers have studied housing issues, for instance, trying to determine the best way to build temporary accommodations for relief workers and construction workers and avoid unintentionally encouraging people to never return.

Office of Management and Budget Director Joshua B. Bolten is overseeing the largest-ever federal expenditure on a natural disaster, but officials said he is relying on a beefed-up inspector general's office at the Department of Homeland Security to monitor how the money is spent. At a private House Republican leadership meeting yesterday, several lawmakers expressed concern about a repeat of the waste and fraud that many believe took place with the budget for rebuilding Iraq, according to a participant.

Republicans are lining up behind plans to use vouchers to help displaced students find new schools, including private ones, and a mix of vouchers and tax breaks to help flood victims pay for health care expenses, from insurance to immunization. A draft Senate GOP plan for post-Katrina policy includes both ideas, according to Republicans who have read the document.


So might an ill wind blow much good...


MORE:
Chertoff delayed federal response, memo shows (Jonathan S. Landay, Alison Young and Shannon McCaffrey, 9/14/05, Knight Ridder Newspapers)

The federal official with the power to mobilize a massive federal response to Hurricane Katrina was Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff, not the former FEMA chief who was relieved of his duties and resigned earlier this week, federal documents reviewed by Knight Ridder show.

Even before the storm struck the Gulf Coast, Chertoff could have ordered federal agencies into action without any request from state or local officials. Federal Emergency Management Agency chief Michael Brown had only limited authority to do so until about 36 hours after the storm hit, when Chertoff designated him as the "principal federal official" in charge of the storm.

As thousands of hurricane victims went without food, water and shelter in the days after Katrina's early morning Aug. 29 landfall, critics assailed Brown for being responsible for delays that might have cost hundreds of lives.

But Chertoff - not Brown - was in charge of managing the national response to a catastrophic disaster, according to the National Response Plan, the federal government's blueprint for how agencies will handle major natural disasters or terrorist incidents. An order issued by President Bush in 2003 also assigned that responsibility to the homeland security director.

But according to a memo obtained by Knight Ridder, Chertoff didn't shift that power to Brown until late afternoon or evening on Aug. 30, about 36 hours after Katrina hit Louisiana and Mississippi.


The Hurricane gives the President a golden opportunity to keep the Civil Service reforms he won when this bureaucratic monstrosity was created but get rid of the Department of Homeland Security


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:03 AM

HOW TO BIFF A EUROPEAN ELECTION:

The professor under fire (Carter Dougherty, SEPTEMBER 14, 2005, International Herald Tribune )

With his lengthy digressions about the peculiarities of German tax law, Paul Kirchhof can sound a little professorial on the campaign trail, a quality now under heavy fire in a closely fought campaign for the federal elections Sunday. [...]

The saga of Kirchhof's entry into the campaign and the controversial position he now occupies reinforces the adage about just how much can change in a few weeks of intense politics.

To much applause from the media and experts last month, Angela Merkel, the conservative Christian Democrats' candidate to lead Germany, drafted Kirchhof to spearhead a reformist message and build a can-do image.

With 12 years as a judge on Germany's highest court behind him and now a professor in Heidelberg, Kirchhof burnished Merkel's campaign.

Now, with the election on Sunday appearing an ever-tighter race against the Social Democrats of Chancellor Gerhard Schröder, Kirchhof's appointment dogs Merkel at every step.

Questions about what Kirchhof represents - his own radical ideas or the conservative party's mellower stance in its program - have obscured the conservatives' message. Schröder's camp has found a powerful tool to attract the attention of voters - with a fifth of them still undecided. And Merkel is forced to defend Kirchhof because to drop him now would send a message of weakness.

She fell completely into the trap of proposing reform to a people who want none.


MORE:
Angela Merkel's Achilles Heel Charles Hawley, 9/13/05, Der Spiegel)

It was a perfect training program. Angela Merkel's seven years in the opposition -- time spent fighting off challengers within her own party to finally emerge as the Christian Democrat (CDU) candidate for chancellor in Sunday's general elections -- gave her plenty of time to put together her campaign recipe. A pinch -- but only a pinch -- of reform talk. A handful of job market fixes. A dash of tax-code modification. Bake until Sept. 18. Serves 82 million.

But apparently, the directions weren't clear enough. Instead of a campaign about the economic future of Germany, Merkel is now furiously back-pedaling on a man she handpicked for her campaign team in an attempt to add some tax expertise and economic gravitas. Merkel's dash of tax-code has turned into an uncontrolled dollop and the batter is now ruined. The dollop's name is Paul Kirchhof.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:14 AM

KUDOS TO THE LA TIMES:

Roe Ruling: More Than Its Author Intended (David G. Savage, 9/14/05, LA Times)

On the day the ruling was announced, Burger said, "Plainly, the court today rejects any claim that the Constitution requires abortion on demand."

Blackmun proposed to issue a news release to accompany the decision, issued Jan. 22, 1973. "I fear what the headlines may be," he wrote in a memo. His statement, never issued, emphasized that the court was not giving women "an absolute right to abortion," nor was it saying that the "Constitution compels abortion on demand."

In reality, the court did just that.

Blackmun had said that abortion "must be left to the medical judgment of the pregnant woman's attending physician." So long as doctors were willing to perform abortions — and clinics soon opened solely to do so — the court's ruling said they could not be restricted from doing so, at least through the first six months of pregnancy.

But the most important sentence appears not in the Texas case of Roe vs. Wade, but in the Georgia case of Doe vs. Bolton, decided the same day. In deciding whether an abortion is necessary, Blackmun wrote, doctors may consider "all factors — physical, emotional, psychological, familial and the woman's age — relevant to the well-being of the patient."

It soon became clear that if a patient's "emotional well-being" was reason enough to justify an abortion, then any abortion could be justified.

Legal scholars have long pointed to the shaky constitutional basis for a right to abortion. Blackmun referred to the 14th Amendment, which says that a state may not "deprive any person of life, liberty or property, without due process of law."

In earlier opinions, the court had said that liberty included the concept of personal privacy. "This right to privacy … is broad enough to encompass a woman's decision whether or not to terminate her pregnancy," Blackmun declared.

Earlier this year, 11 legal scholars, led by Yale's Jack Balkin, tried to write a better opinion. Their book of essays, "What Roe v. Wade Should Have Said," proposed several alternatives, such as saying sexual equality for women required a right to abortion.

Far less attention has focused on the all-or-nothing nature of the Roe vs. Wade ruling.

Today, as in the early 1970s, the American public appears to have decidedly mixed views on abortion. In a Gallup poll in May, for instance, only 23% of those surveyed said abortion should be "legal under any circumstances," the rule set by Roe vs. Wade.

Only 22% said abortion should be "illegal in all circumstances," the rule that could take effect in many states if the Supreme Court were to overturn Roe vs. Wade.

The largest group — 53% — said abortion should be "legal only under certain circumstances."

But Roe vs. Wade foreclosed this middle course — for the states as well as for the court.


You don't often see analyses this brutally frank about Roe -- stating that the majority didn't understand its own opinions and the public disagrees with the holding by such a huge margin -- in the news sections of the MSM.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:09 AM

KEEP THE PORT, MOVE THE PEOPLE:

Port Comes Back Early, Surprisingly: Shipping Resumes On a Small Scale (Keith L. Alexander and Neil Irwin, September 14, 2005, Washington Post

The Port of New Orleans began unloading its first cargo ship since Hurricane Katrina on Tuesday night, months sooner than was predicted, a sign that disruption to the nation's shipping capacity may be less severe than originally forecast.

After the storm, port officials figured it would take six months to resume service in New Orleans and at facilities throughout the Gulf Coast. Importers scurried to reroute coffee, steel and other commodities, and Midwest farmers worried that they wouldn't be able to ship their grain to the rest of the world during the harvest. The disruption threatened the supply of goods across the United States, and some forecasters said it would cause a drag on the economy.

But Tuesday, the port was coming back to life, with electrical power restored to parts of the facility by late afternoon. About 8:30 p.m., the Lykes Flyer container ship pulled into the port, and towering cranes began lifting boxcar-size containers of plywood and coffee beans from the ship, as if they were children's building blocks. The goods were to be placed on trucks that would carry them out along newly cleared roads, for distribution across the nation.

Gary P. LaGrange, chief executive of the port, said he expects it to be at 80 percent of capacity within three months. The Port of South Louisiana and Port Fourchon, on the Gulf Coast, have also partially restored service, and the Port of Pascagoula, Miss., expects to resume service by early October, according to the American Association of Port Authorities.

That has made economists more optimistic about the hurricane's impact on the nation.


Couldn't they have waited until after the Fed meets next?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:01 AM

LET YOUR FINGERS DO THE DRIVING:

Telecommuting Interest Soars: Pump Prices Spur Workers To Abandon Long Drives (Amit R. Paley, 9/14/05, Washington Post)

With gas prices in the Washington region among the highest in the nation, increasing numbers of beleaguered commuters are looking to trade two-hour treks on congested freeways for speedy telecommutes via the information superhighway, teleworking advocates say.

"Unfortunately, it takes a kind of unbelievable event like this to get people's attention and force them to change the way they do things," said Bob Smith, director of the Silver Spring-based ITAC, formerly known as the International Telework Association & Council.

Teleworking advocates -- including the federal government -- say they hope widespread consternation about rising fuel prices will prove to be the tipping point needed to bring about a telecommuting revolution. And they have been scrambling to convert the public to their cause.

Just days after the levees in New Orleans burst, the U.S. Office of Personnel Management sent out a government-wide memo urging telecommuting as a way to alleviate a post-Katrina gas shortage. Telework centers around the Washington region quickly offered free use of their space. And telecommuting experts say their phones have been ringing off the hook.

For years, transportation experts in Washington have dreamed of a boom in telecommuting as a way to ease traffic congestion and reduce the environmental impacts of car emissions. Every worker who begins telecommuting could reduce government transportation spending by $3,000, according to a study by George Washington University's Center for Economic Research.


Sufficiently high gas taxes will provide the same unbelievable event on a daily basis.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:59 AM

SOUR KRAUT:

No-Frills Candidate Aims For Germany's Top Spot (Craig Whitlock, 9/13/05, Washington Post)

Unsmiling, unstylish and uncharismatic, Merkel, 51, is bidding to become Germany's first female chancellor, as well as the first to have grown up behind the Iron Curtain, in the former East Germany. Polls show that her party, the Christian Democratic Union, holds a lead, albeit a narrowing one, in a national election scheduled for Sunday and that she stands a very good chance of sitting at the chancellor's desk in Berlin.

The vote comes at a pivotal moment for Germany, the biggest country in Europe and the world's third-largest economy. Despite spending more than $1.5 trillion over the past 15 years to reunify the nation, Germany has failed to heal many divisions between east and west. It is also grappling with the competitive challenges of globalization, as German companies move jobs to lower-wage countries.

Although Merkel's party leads in the polls, for many Germans she remains a remote figure. The former physicist rarely talks about her personal life, her upbringing under communism or how she became involved in politics. She often appears dour and uncomfortable. On her latest campaign poster, she looks like she's clenching her teeth as she forces a grin.

"Typical German," said Kai Sausmikat, 41, a voter who came to hear Merkel at the Osnabrueck rally, pulling down the corners of his mouth into a clown-like frown.


What do they have to smile about?


MORE:
Schroeder's Rival, and Opposite, Leads in Polls: Even though many Germans regard Angela Merkel as aloof, the conservative appears poised to become their first female chancellor. (Jeffrey Fleishman, 9/14/05, LA Times)
The daughter of a Lutheran minister, raised in communist East Germany, Merkel is the antithesis of the spin and glamour of modern politics that her opponent Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder navigates so well.

The reticent leader of the Christian Democrats, Merkel, a physicist, carries an air of determination and integrity that has dogged the gregarious Schroeder in his campaign rallies.

Yet many Germans regard Merkel as aloof and inscrutable, a politician who has managed to remain in the shadows while standing in the spotlight.

"The German public is finding out it doesn't know the lady very well," said Matthias Machnig, a consultant who ran Schroeder's first campaign for chancellor in 1998. "Who is she? What is her foreign policy? What is her economic plan? She's powerful and willing to win, but is she the leader of a nation? That's the question."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:38 AM

THINK ANY OF THEM WILL DO ANYTHING ABOUT IT?:

Surge Protection: New Orleans isn't the only city vulnerable to catastrophic flooding. How can we prevent the next tragedy? (DANIEL ENGBER, November 2005, Popular Mechanics)

Civil engineers called New Orleans a disaster waiting to happen: a bowl-shaped sprawl whose protective levees also prevented the natural replenishment of its clay, sand and silt foundations. Like Venice, New Orleans was sinking--by one-third of an inch per year--and the clearing of wetlands for real estate development left the city increasingly vulnerable to storm surges. No one predicted the breaching of multiple levees, but as PM reported in 2001, even a Category 2 hurricane could have destroyed New Orleans. Now municipal authorities everywhere are facing the same question: Could another metropolis sink under a wall of water? Here are four of the most susceptible cities, and how they plan to weather the storm.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:15 AM

LABOUR VS. LABOR:

Blair and Brown disappoint unions (ePolitix, 9/14/05)

Tony Blair and Gordon Brown have dismayed union leaders by declaring there will be no relaxation of laws on industrial action.

Addressing the Trades Union Congress annual dinner last night, the prime minister said the government would not bow to demands to legalise secondary industrial action and insisted that unions must modernise to meet the challenge of competition from the Far East.

He was speaking hours after the chancellor delivered a similar message on the TUC conference platform.

The prime minister said: "I understand the strong feelings caused by the Gate Gourmet dispute. But it would be dishonest to tell you that any Labour government is going to legislate a return to secondary action. It won't happen."

Brown, whose speech yesterday won only lukewarm applause from delegates, said: "There can be no retreat from demanding efficiency and value for money as well as equity as we renew and reform public services."

Most union leaders said they were disappointed by his speech.


How long can it take them to figure out that Blair/Brown's Labour is Britain's conservative party?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:59 AM

OSWALD COBBLEPOT FOR PRESIDENT:

March of the Conservatives: Penguin Film as Political Fodder (JONATHAN MILLER, 9/14/05, NY Times)

On the conservative Web site WorldNetDaily.com, an opponent of abortion wrote that the movie "verified the beauty of life and the rightness of protecting it."

At a conference for young Republicans, the editor of National Review urged participants to see the movie because it promoted monogamy. A widely circulated Christian magazine said it made "a strong case for intelligent design."

The movie is "March of the Penguins," and of all the reactions it has evoked, perhaps the most surprising is its appeal to conservatives. They are hardly its only audience; the film is the second highest grossing documentary of all time, behind "Fahrenheit 9/11."

But conservative groups have turned its stirring depiction of the mating ordeals of emperor penguins into an unexpected battle anthem in the culture wars.

"March of the Penguins," the conservative film critic and radio host Michael Medved said in an interview, is "the motion picture this summer that most passionately affirms traditional norms like monogamy, sacrifice and child rearing."

Speaking of audiences who feel that movies ignore or belittle such themes, he added: "This is the first movie they've enjoyed since 'The Passion of the Christ.' This is 'The 'Passion of the Penguins.' "

In part, the movie's appeal to conservatives may lie in its soft-pedaling of topics like evolution and global warming. The filmmakers say they did not consciously avoid those topics - indeed, they say they are strong believers in evolutionary theory - but they add that they wanted to create a film that would reach as many people as possible.


Hollywood is killing itself by not engaging in such basic pandering to its audience.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:56 AM

ENVIROINMENTALISM IS PRO-NUKE (via Gene Brown):

Aging Nuclear Power Plants May Affect Emissions Pact (MATTHEW L. WALD, 9/14/05, NY Times)

A proposed agreement among nine Northeast states to cap greenhouse gas emissions from power plants casts a new light on arguments in New Jersey and Vermont about whether the licenses of two aging nuclear plants should be extended.

Community groups in both states are opposing the extensions of the licenses beyond their 40-year terms, but environmentalists are generally supportive of the proposed agreement among the governors to reduce these greenhouse gases, which contribute to global climate change. Shutting down the two reactors would mean immediate, substantial increases in the emissions, because it would increase reliance on fossil fuel plants, probably tripling emissions in Vermont and doubling them in New Jersey.

"I think the environmental community is confused right now in terms of where they want to go," said Richard A. Valentinetti, director of Vermont's air quality program, who has been deeply involved in drafting the nine-state agreement. "Obviously there's some real polarization."


No surprise that the Left has made a fetish of nuclear arms and power for so long it can't think straight.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:47 AM

UNBUFF:

Kinsley Leaves The Times: The editorial page editor's brief tenure at the paper was marked by experimentation that was lauded by some and lambasted by others. (James Rainey, September 14, 2005, LA Times)

Los Angeles Times editorial page editor Michael Kinsley is leaving the newspaper after a little more than a year, saying his attempts to alter the nature of opinion journalism and buff up its profile on the Internet mostly failed.

Times Publisher Jeffrey M. Johnson announced Kinsley's departure Tuesday and said the onetime host of television's "Crossfire" has been replaced by Andrés Martinez, his top assistant. Martinez, a former finalist for the Pulitzer Prize, is the first Latino to head the paper's editorial and opinion pages.

The press release announcing the change said Kinsley was "resigning," but the outgoing editor painted a less-than-amicable parting in an e-mail to his staff Tuesday morning.

"For whatever reason," Kinsley wrote, "Jeff isn't merely uninterested in any future contribution I might make, but actively wants me gone."


You knew his days were numbered when he wrote an honest column the other day.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:35 AM

FINALLY, ALL THAT UNHEALTHILY REPRESSED DESIRE RELEASED

Ban on marrying mother-in-law to end (Sarah Womack, The Telegraph, September 14th, 2005)

A ban in England and Wales on marriages between parents-in-law and their children-in-law is in breach of human rights, the European Court said yesterday.

The judgment will force an overhaul of legislation governing family law which will see men being able to marry their mothers-in-law for the first time - as long as they do not have a blood link.

Human rights has certainly traveled a long road since Nuremberg


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THANKS, HOSNI:

Egypt destroys tunnel to Gaza after finding arms (Tom Perry, 9/14/05, Reuters)

Egyptian border guards destroyed a tunnel to the Palestinian-ruled Gaza Strip after finding guns and grenades in it, a reassuring action for Israel two days after it left Gaza.

"The opening of a tunnel was found ... and it went to the other (Gaza) side of the border," an Egyptian security official, who asked not to be identified, told Reuters on Wednesday. He said it was discovered near the Rafah border crossing.

Israel says Palestinians have long smuggled arms from Egypt.

Egypt has begun deploying 750 border guards along the 12-km (seven-mile) border with Gaza under an agreement to help Israel end 38 years of control of the strip, home to 1.4 million Palestinians.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

INTELLIGENT DESIGN ISN'T NECESSARILY SMART:

Reinventing the cob: Corn is sweeter than ever, but how to recapture its true flavor? A few cooking tricks make all the difference (Russ Parsons, September 14, 2005, LA Times)

THE taste of corn isn't what it used to be, people complain. And you know what? They're right. There's one very good reason for that — corn isn't the same plant it used to be.

Modern corn, for all its faults, is the result of thousands of years of painstaking genetic selection. And therein lies a very important lesson: In agriculture, as in life, you have to be careful what you wish for.

New varieties of corn, bred to have higher levels of sugar and to preserve that sweetness longer, have flooded the market in the last 15 years. Today they're about the only types of corn you'll find.

These brave new cobs are definitely sweeter than the old varieties, but they also tend to be a little tougher and somewhat lacking in that ephemeral "corny" flavor.

Early in the season, we are willing to overlook these shortcomings, so overjoyed are we by the sheer presence of corn at all. But by this time of year, when that sweet honeymoon feeling has worn off, we start to get a little restive. Still, it is way too early to give up on corn. Southern California farmers will be harvesting it for at least two more months and possibly even until Thanksgiving.

Instead, you need to use a few tricks. Granted, the appeal of plain old corn on the cob, simply buttered and generously salted, may not be what it was two months ago. Now you have to get a little creative in your cooking, picking good partners for corn and looking at those kernels in a whole new way. You might even have to throw out some old notions about how to cook corn. But that's getting a little ahead of the story. What happened to corn in the first place? [...]

What we think of as corn flavor — as opposed to sweetness and texture — appears only after cooking; it's based primarily on aroma. It is mainly a function of a chemical compound called dimethyl sulfide (which is also found in a wide range of foodstuffs, ranging from cabbage to lobster meat). The new varieties of corn are lower than traditional varieties in the chemicals that create dimethyl sulfide.

There is hope for people who miss real corn flavor. In the last couple of years, varieties have been introduced with complicated genetics that offer the best characteristics of the old and new types. The goal is an ear of corn with the sweetness and slow sugar-to-starch conversion of the new corn, but with the creaminess and strong corn flavor of the old.

The seeds for these varieties are more expensive, so the farmer has to charge more. For this reason, they have been slow to catch on so far. Craig Underwood, who runs his family's popular farm stand in Somis, says he has tried these varieties. "I did like the flavor. It was really sweet corn," he says. "But people weren't willing to pay the extra money for it."

In any case, when you're at the farm stand or produce market shopping for corn, odds are you won't have a clue about the particular genetic strain you're buying. At best, you'll be offered a choice of yellow or white — or bicolor, a cross-pollinated combination of the two.

The differences are meaningless in terms of flavor. Despite what you may have been told, one color of corn is not necessarily sweeter or "cornier" than the other. The small amount of beta-carotene pigment that gives yellow corn its color is flavorless, and the new varieties all come in both white and yellow.

Really, the choice of color is just packaging; the one you prefer will to a great extent be based on where you live. Different areas of the country prefer different colors of corn. Generally speaking, white corn is preferred from the mid-Atlantic region through the South, bicolor is popular in the Northeast, and yellow rules most everywhere else.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THE BEST AND THE BRIGHTEST:

Hiring outlook is bright across New Hampshire (Manchester Union Leader, 9/13/05)

Manchester-area employers expect to hire at a brisk pace during the last three months of this year, according to Manpower Employment Outlook Survey.

From October to December, 37 percent of companies interviewed plan to hire more employees, while none expect to reduce payrolls, according to Manpower spokesperson David Picha. Another 63 percent expect to maintain their current staff levels. [...]

For the coming quarter, job prospects appear best in construction, durable and non-durable goods manufacturing, wholesale/retail trade, education and services.


That's with an unemployment rate that's already down to about 3.5%.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

HOW ABOUT A BOOK TO THE BEST PEEVE? (via Rick Turley):

Middle age? It's a state of constant irritation (Tom Utley, 09/09/2005, Daily Telegraph)

Just lately, I have found myself in a state of more or less constant irritation with the world and its inhabitants, which is surely the defining mark of middle age. The smallest things set me off. For example, why has somebody in the pronunciation unit of the BBC decided that New Orleans should be pronounced "New Orleens", without so much as a hint of that antepenultimate "a"?

As a general principle, I am all in favour of anglicising foreign names - Reams for Rheims, Florence for Firenze etc. I well remember my late father rebuking me when I pronounced Marseilles the French way: "Marsay, boy? The word is Marsails. You don't say 'Paree', do you?" But, for reasons that I don't understand, New Orleens annoys me like mad, and I deliver a pompous speech to the television whenever I hear it. I snarl, too, every time Huw Edwards utters that patronising, folksy little "bye for now" after he has said that it is time to join our "news teams nationwide".

Come to think of it, almost everything on the television these days irritates me. [...]

With every week that passes, my list of pet hates grows longer. "Your call is important to us"; silicone implants; "thank you for not smoking"; Charles Clarke; cold callers; Ann Widdecombe; "celebrity" anything; health and safety; Yasmin Alibhai-Brown; "am I alone in thinking?"; work; the Australian interrogative inflection at the end of a statement; human rights; "for my sins"; James Blunt; "web page not found"; the Arts Council; "you're welcome"; David Blunkett; "perfectly good old-fashioned English word"; the Commission for Racial Equality; Dale Winton; media studies; "prestigious"; Patricia Hewitt; peanut butter; "so I was, like, 'whaddayamean?' "; oversized jeans that expose their wearers' underpants; the Animal Liberation Front; "in a very real sense"; teenagers who never hang up their towels after a bath; Hillary Clinton; very fat people who walk, very slowly, three abreast, along the narrowest pavements; happy-clappies; opening credits that keep flashing up on the screen, 20 minutes after the start of the film; silly surveys, claiming that the average Briton believes that middle age begins at 49 and ends at 65…


My most ferocious pet hate has been the same since childhood, the near universal misapprehension of the David and Goliath story


September 13, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:53 PM

IF IT WASN'T SMOKING A CIGARETTE IT HADN'T BEEN ABUSED (via Robert Schwartz):

>Abused sheep found in dorm in 2d similar case at Stonehill Michael Busack, September 11, 2005, Boston Globe)

For the second straight year, a sheep has been stolen from the Natural Resources Trust of Easton, abused, and left inside of a dormitory at Stonehill College.

According to Robert Babineau, executive director of the trust, the sheep was taken Sept. 3, spray-painted in black, dressed in a bra, and placed inside a Stonehill dorm.

''This type of behavior is not consistent with the college's values nor does it represent the overwhelming number of compassionate students who make up our community," David DiNapoli, chief of campus police at Stonehill, said in a press release.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:28 PM

IS THERE A BRIT LEFT WITH A PULSE...

Europe wins the power to jail British citizens (Anthony Browne, 9/14/05, Times of London)

BRUSSELS has been given the power to compel British courts to fine or imprison people for breaking EU laws, even if the Government and Parliament are opposed.

An unprecedented ruling yesterday by the supreme court in Europe gives Brussels the power to introduce harmonised criminal law across the EU, creating for the first time a body of European criminal law that all member states must adopt. The judgment by the European Court of Justice in Luxembourg was bitterly fought by 11 EU governments, including Britain, and marks a dramatic transfer of power from national capitals to Brussels.

Diplomats said that it was political dynamite in many countries, but the European Commission welcomed the ruling, on a test case about environmental law, as a landmark that sets an important precedent.


...or are they going to take this lying down too?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:02 PM

OUR THUG:

Rubio Elected Fla. House Speaker-Designate (AP, September 13, 2005)

Republicans elected Rep. Marco Rubio as the Florida House's first Cuban-American speaker-designate on Tuesday in a ceremony broadcast live to Cuba over U.S.-government-backed Radio Marti.

The 34-year-old Miami lawyer described Cuban President Fidel Castro as a "thug" who forced his parents to flee their homeland before he was born.

"It's hard to be apolitical when you grow up in a community of political exiles," Rubio said in his acceptance speech.

Rubio was elected by a unanimous vote in the House GOP caucus.


Cuba's best men are leaders in America.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:59 PM

OVER OVER THERE:

U.S. May Start Pulling Out of Afghanistan Next Spring (ERIC SCHMITT and DAVID S. CLOUD, 9/14/05, NY Times)

Senior Pentagon and military officials are discussing a proposal to cut American troop levels in Afghanistan by as much as 20 percent next spring, the largest withdrawal since the Taliban were ousted in late 2001.

The troops would be replaced by NATO soldiers, who now oversee security and reconstruction missions in northern and western Afghanistan and are to take over an American command in the south next spring. American troops have been taxed by lengthy deployments in Iraq and Afghanistan, and Pentagon officials have sought to replace them with indigenous or allied troops.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:41 PM

THAT WOULD BE THE LEADER OF DEMOCRATIC IRAQ, FOR YOU NATION READERS:

President Welcomes President Talabani of Iraq to the White House (George W. Bush, The East Room, 9/13/05)

President Talabani has dedicated his life to the cause of liberty in Iraq. As a lawyer, a journalist, and a political leader in Northern Iraq, he stood up to a brutal dictator, because he believes that every Iraqi deserves the be free. The dictator destroyed Kurdish villages, ordered poison gas attacks on a Kurdish city, and violently repressed other religious and ethnic groups. For President Talibani and his fellow citizens, the day Saddam was removed from power was a day of deliverance. And America will always be proud that we led the armies of liberation.

In the past two years, the Iraqi people have made their vision of their future clear. This past January, more than 8 million Iraqis defied the car bombers and the assassins and voted in free elections. It is an inspiring act of unity when 80 percent of the elected National Assembly chose the President, a member of Iraq's Kurdish minority, to lead the free nation.

In our meeting today, I congratulated the President on his election, and I thanked him for his leadership on Iraq's draft constitution. The draft constitution is an historic milestone. It protects fundamental freedoms, including religion, assembly, conscience and expression. It calls for a federal system of government, which is essential to preserving the unity of a diverse nation like Iraq. It declares that all Iraqis are equal before the law, without regard to gender, ethnicity, and religion.

The Iraqi people can be proud of the draft constitution, and when an election to ratify that constitution is held next month, they will have a chance to vote their conscience at the polls.

As the Iraqi people continue on the path to democracy, the enemies of freedom remain brutal and determined.


Which can't help but remind you of this essay.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:44 PM

HAVE A COKE AND A PEACE:

Africa's peace seekers: Petronille Vaweka (Abraham McLaughlin, 9/14/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

[O]n the steamy morning of July 17, [Petronille Vaweka, a top official in eastern Congo] and her group drove off into the bush. Twenty miles outside Bunia, Ituri's capital, they were met by a half-dozen armed militia members. Vaweka made sure to shake hands with each, looking into their faces with her dark, penetrating eyes.

They were led to a ramshackle tin-roofed church. Everyone left their guns at the door. But more soldiers were outside, weapons ready. The FRPI, it seems, had called a kind of town meeting, with about 600 local villagers present. Vaweka and the militia leaders sat on a raised wooden platform. Villagers sat in pews.

Given the delicacy of the situation, others might have started gently. But Vaweka was soon scolding the audience for tolerating the soldiers. "You've been taken hostage by this militia," she told them. "But you should be free, because the militias are children, and there is no bigger force than you, the people."

To the militia she said frankly, "The administrators are your servants. If you take them hostage, who will serve you? And who will serve the people?"

Those who know Vaweka say one source of her strength is her insistent truth-telling - to diplomats, militia leaders, anyone. "She's always respectful - but always frank," says Anneke Van Woudenberg of Human Rights Watch in London, who has worked in Ituri for years.

On the platform, militia leaders at first defended themselves, complaining they'd been left out of the recent integration of ex-militia into Congo's national Army, the FARDC. As Congo's 1998-2003 war wound down, Vaweka and others encouraged Ituri's militias to enter a UN-run disarmament program. Some 15,000 have done so since Sept. 2004, the UN says. Many have joined FARDC ranks. But there are still roughly 1,000 hard-core combatants in Ituri, including the FRPI.

To the militia, Vaweka lectured: "If you're not in communication with administrators" - and instead take them hostage - "how can they help you" join the Army?

Soon, the FRPI leaders sat with heads bowed in shame, Vaweka says. Finally, they offered her a hen and some Coke. It was a sign of peace. She reciprocated with some juice she'd brought as a kind of host gift. The mood lightened. A few days later, the hostages were released unharmed.

Slowly by slowly, as some Africans say, peace is coming to this part of Congo. Negotiation by negotiation, Vaweka chips away at the assumption that force is the path to power. Starting five years ago as a lowly civil-society worker - and now as the province's top official - her determination to stand up for order, and for villagers, in a region where militias have run roughshod for years, is helping to roll back the rule of the gun.

"If anyone in Congo deserves a Nobel Prize, it's Petronille," says a diplomat in Kinshasa.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:41 PM

TOUGH TO BLAME W FOR THAT ONE:

Nursing home owners charged in deaths of 34 (Associated Press, 9/13/05)

The husband-and-wife owners of a New Orleans-area nursing home where 34 people died in Hurricane Katrina's floodwaters were charged today with negligent homicide.

The case represents the first major prosecution to come out of the disaster in New Orleans.

The owners of St. Rita's Nursing Home in the town of Chalmette "were asked if they wanted to move (the patients). They did not. They were warned repeatedly that this storm was coming. In effect, their inaction resulted in the deaths of these patients," Louisiana Attorney General Charles Foti said.

Salvador A. Mangano and his wife, Mable, surrendered and were jailed on 34 counts of negligent homicide. Each count carries up to five years in prison.

The attorney general said he is also investigating the discovery of more than 40 corpses at flooded-out Memorial Medical Center, in New Orleans' Uptown section.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:35 PM

LESSON ONE--THE NEXT DISASTER WILL BE MUCH THE SAME:

San Franciscans should prepare to survive three days without help (KIM CURTIS, 9/13/05, Associated Press)

City residents should prepare to survive at least three days without help if disaster - from an earthquake to a terror attack - strikes, according to the city's Office of Emergency Services.

A city-sponsored Web site, http://www.72hours.org, includes lists of everything well-stocked San Franciscans should keep in their home and cars to be ready for the next big emergency when power, running water and telephones may be unavailable for days.

"If Hurricane Katrina didn't prove it to you, I don't know what will," Mayor Gavin Newsom said recently at a news conference unveiling a citywide public awareness campaign aimed at getting people ready for a major disaster. "I'm not waiting, in the event of an emergency, for Air Force One."

But some residents question how realistic it is to tuck away several gallons of water, plastic sheeting and extra food, clothes and rain gear in the city's tiny apartments.


Both the three day lead time and the resistance to preparing jibe with Katrina, the all-around response to which looks better every day.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:54 PM

A THEOLOGICAL DISPUTE:

The Bookshelf talks with Michael Ruse (Greg Ross, American Scientist)

Florida State University philosopher Michael Ruse has spent a career observing the ongoing cultural struggle between evolutionists and creationists. A prolific author and founder of the journal Biology and Philosophy, Ruse himself favors evolution but is quick to flag instances of hypocrisy and overzealousness in both positions.

In his latest book, The Evolution-Creation Struggle, Ruse calls for both sides to understand the assumptions underlying their arguments and to appreciate the intellectual history of their positions, to foster "a more informed and self-aware approach to the issues" in an increasingly fractious and impatient debate.

American Scientist Online managing editor Greg Ross interviewed Ruse by e-mail in August 2005.

You trace the worldviews connected with evolution and creationism to two different conceptions of the millennium in Christian eschatology. Can you sketch those briefly?

In my book, I trace the present conflict between evolutionists and creationists back to the Enlightenment. I argue that at the beginning of the 18th century there was something of a crisis of faith—could it be that God does not exist? (This is not my discovery, but a pretty standard position in history of Christianity studies.) There were two basic responses—back to God and faith, Providence, and forward with reason and human knowledge, Progress. Again, not my discovery. This explains on the one hand the rise of Methodism and Pietism, the First Great Awakening in America and so forth, and on the other hand the French philosophes like Voltaire and Diderot, as well as the British (often Scottish) thinkers like Adam Smith and David Hume. Evolution became part and parcel of the Progressivist movement, especially in people like Lamarck and Erasmus Darwin.

Both sides were obsessed about the future—the faith types about what God expects of us and what he promises (heaven or hell), the reason types with how much better we humans can make society and knowledge and so forth. Future obsessions like these are known as eschatological, especially when you put them in a theological/religious context. The point is—and, again, not my discovery—although the 18th-century debate was peculiar unto itself, the eschatology fit into already-existing categories. These revolve around the last book of the Bible, Revelation, where the talk is of a thousand-year period (the millennium)—a good period here on earth—followed by the Last Judgment.

Premillennialists think that Jesus is going to return before the millennium to lead his troops. At that point, the good are in luck and the bad are not. Hence, what we people now should do is prepare for this coming—get morally pure and so forth, and try to convert others. There is no human-driven future beyond this point, and, frankly, trying to put the world to rights now is impossible (due to original sin) and pointless. Postmillennialists think that Jesus will come only after the millennium, and hence we have the obligation now to try to prepare for the millennium—to make the ideal world a reality. Sitting around and waiting is not the way to go—rather, roll up your sleeves and use your God-given talents to make things better. When you have done this, then Jesus will come.

So evolution was in the thick of things from the beginning. Not so much because it went against the literal reading of the Bible, but because it was allied with one rather than another reading of the Bible. But then, as the years went by, and into the 19th century, ideas evolved and positions hardened. The premillennialists (especially in America) became more literalist. The postmillennialists (again, especially in America) became more metaphorical. Both sides continued as ardent eschatologists—that was not the issue. The question was about what the future was going to be like and what our obligations now are.

After the U.S. Civil War and the arrival of Darwin's On the Origin of Species, things really started to get set in stone, with evolution at some level at the center of things. But I argue that, in a way, evolution was more effect than cause—or, if you like, it is a litmus test.


Mr. Ruse's scheme shows why America, so hostile to Reason and to intellectuals, has been both anti-Darwinist and anti-Utopian, while Europe, on the other hand, has been Darwinist/Communist/National Socialist/etc..

As well, he correctly notes that Darwin is a mere effect of progressivism--"science" following the intellectual paradigm shift.


MORE (via John Resnick):
Unquenchable appetite: The false god of government cannot satisfy in times of plenty or want (Joel Belz, World)

Why did we ever think it would work? Whatever possessed us to look for the ultimate in disaster relief from a governmental system that had dreamed up public education, the agricultural subsidy program, Medicare, and Social Security? Why did we think they would get this one right?

Truth be told, all the whining about the supposedly insensitive and slow response to Hurricane Katrina is off the mark. When anything comes along that is bigger and badder than anything that has come before—and maybe bigger and badder by a factor of two or three—it's pretty hard to look around and say that somebody should have been ready for this. Sometimes, even in the midst of tragedy and horror, we have to suck it in and collectively plead for mercy. There might be a time for prudent second-guessing down the road, but not quite yet. Finger pointing while corpses are still bobbing in the murky waters is unseemly. There will almost certainly be enough guilt to go around when the time comes.

But let's grant, for the moment, that President George Bush, FEMA, Homeland Security, and all the rest of the federal apparatus should have taken a few hours off three weeks ago to rehearse several times over just what they might do in the specific event that any one of dozens of possible permutations began to unfold as Katrina approached from the Gulf of Mexico. Then let's assume as well that all these plans had been carried out perfectly. What on earth prompts us to suppose Americans would have been happier with the results?

Happiness with the results of any big government effort, of course, is almost an oxymoron. The reason is simply that when people start putting their trust in big government, they've attached themselves to a false god. And false gods can't produce the goods.

What we saw in New Orleans last week was the pathetic picture of people whose expectations in a false god had been so enhanced that when the false god stumbled for a day or two, some of his worshippers flew into a rage.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:28 PM

VYING FOR THE HOWELL HEFLIN AWARD:

Roberts dodges specifics on abortion (JESSE J. HOLLAND, September 13, 2005, Associated Press)

Supreme Court nominee John Roberts jousted with Democratic senators Tuesday at his confirmation hearing to be chief justice, dodging their attempts to pin down his opinions on abortion, voting rights and other legal issues. [...]

[W]hen senators pressed for details on his opinions - even to the point of interrupting his answers - Roberts said repeatedly that he shouldn't address some issues that could come before the Supreme Court with him as chief justice.

At one point, Sen. Joe Biden, D-Del., who has indicated he may run for president in 2008, accused Roberts of "filibustering."

"Go ahead and continue not to answer," said Biden. Later, he interrupted Roberts and when criticized, insisted, "His answers are misleading, with all due respect."

"Wait a minute! Wait a minute! They may be misleading but they are his answers," said Sen. Arlen Specter, R-Pa., the Judiciary Committee chairman.

Roberts - who had noted that Biden earlier would have heard an entire answer if he hadn't interrupted - kept his cool.

"With respect, they are my answers and with respect, they are not misleading," he said.


If Joe Biden wants to get the nomination he has to carry water for the Death Lobby, but the most embarrassing questions were those of Senator Kohl, asking what Mr. Roberts would do as Chief Justice to alleviate poverty. Fine grasp of the separation of powers there.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:14 PM

HIDE THE IRON UNDER VELVET:

BERLIN'S IRON LADY: Is Germany Desperate Enough? (Frederick Taylor, 9/13/05, Der Spiegel)

The question facing Germans in the autumn of 2005 is whether they're ready for a repeat of the English '80s. There is also the question, of course, as to whether Merkel is the one to deliver. Last year, she was a tough-talking reformer warning Germans that the worst was yet to come. Recently, she has been trying to soften up her image. Nevertheless, polls indicate that Merkel, backed by the reform-minded CDU, may soon be walking the halls of Berlin's Chancellery. An historical glance across the channel to the 10 Downing Street of 1979 may help indicate what's in store for Germany over a quarter century later.

While Thatcher, even in 1979, had the reputation of being a tough talker, there was little at first to indicate the subsequent emergence of the "Iron Lady." In fact, after she was elected leader of the Conservatives in 1975, she built a broad coalition within the party, proving her ability to unite it. She eked out the election with a majority of 43 percent over the popular, avuncular Labour leader James Callaghan following a disastrous winter of strikes and poor economic news.

Thatcher entered 10 Downing Street with a disarmingly gentle message from Saint Francis of Assisi: Where there is discord, may we bring harmony. Where there is error, may we bring truth. Where there is doubt, may we bring faith. And where there is despair, may we bring hope." Whatever her long-term aims, it took Thatcher some years of relatively cautious rule -- and a successful war in the Falkland Islands -- before the true "Iron Lady" began to emerge. And once she did, there was precious little harmony and an awful lot of discord. As for error versus truth, the jury is still out.

Thatcher arrived in the prime minister's office surrounded by powerful men, most of them not her natural supporters. Indeed, only a handful of ministers in her 1979 cabinet could be classified as hard right-wingers -- or "Thatcherites" as they later came to be called. The rest were center-right former supporters of Europhile Tory leader Edward Heath, the man who took Britain into the European Community in 1974, with a few traditionally aristocratic landowners thrown in for the sake of historical authenticity. There was a feeling in the early years of Thatcher's premiership that not just the opposition but a substantial number of her colleagues were waiting for her to self-destruct. Hence her relative caution.

Nevertheless, there's little doubt that Thatcher had always planned radical changes. A top priority was the reduction of deficits through draconian monetary measures. Then, the liberalization of the capital markets and reduced regulation. Finally came the drastic lowering of income and business taxes (compensated for partly by sales tax hikes).

Germany is facing widespread unemployment, but has little appetite for radical economic reform.
All these changes came quite early on. Inflation fell rapidly, but with interest rates high, unemployment jumped. British manufacturing industry had been struggling since the 1950s to compete -- with an eye on Germany and Japan in particular. Now it suffered further from the high pound and expensive borrowing. At the same time, the Conservative government attacked British protectionism and industrial subsidies which had compensated for low productivity and the restrictive power of the country's trade unions. Whole areas of Britain -- especially the industrial north -- were devastated as factories closed and workers were shed. By 1982, more than 3 million were unemployed making up 11 percent of the workforce.


Ms Merkel should have run against the reforms Mr. Schroeder has pushed and only once she won pushed through more radical ones. Continental Europeans won't elect reformers.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 2:04 PM

THERE ARE NO LOVELY EXIT RAMPS:

Penn Station: Back To the Future (Edward B. Driscoll, Jr., 09/13/2005 , Tech Central Station)

Since 1968, Penn Station, one of New York City's two main railroad stations, has been widely hated by commuters for its dank atmosphere and minimalist accommodations.

It's also hated because of what it replaced: from 1910 until 1963, the station that originally stood there was one of the great passenger stations of the world. That is, until it was leveled by the Pennsylvania Railroad to sell its air rights to develop its stillborn modern, largely underground successor, and the current Madison Square Garden.

But in a case of synchronicity that would have made Carl Jung blush, there's a remarkably elegant solution in sight. Sometime early in the next decade, Moynihan Station (named after the deceased longtime New York senator who championed the idea) will open, directly across the street from Penn Station. The new station will use as its exterior the James A. Farley Post Office Building built in 1910, the same time as the original Penn Station, by the same architects, as a mirror building in the same neoclassical style, but with all new facilities inside, also inspired by the original station.

Needless to say, when complete, Moynihan Station will be a welcome change for commuters, used to beginning and ending their workdays in the city at the current Penn Station. But what caused its elegant original version to be leveled in 1963?

By the early 1960s, the virtually simultaneous building of the interstate highway system and the development of jet passenger aircraft seemed like doom for the railroad industry. Both greatly reduced the number of passengers transported by rail, but also, much of the freight that had once moved in boxcars, which was now being shipped via tractor-trailers on interstate highways. "There was very much a sense back then", "that the railroad was obsolete as the horse-drawn carriage was in the 1930s or 1940s", Matt Van Hattem, an associate editor of Trains magazine recently told me. "I think that there were some people who thought that the railroads would simply go away; there didn't seem to be much use for them back then".


Especially after the State, via the Eisenhower Interstate boondoggle, had done everything it could to warp the market in favor of the worst possible transportation medium: cars.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:47 PM

CITIES LONG AGO OUTLIVED THEIR USEFULNESS:

The Rationale for a Scaled-Back City: Economists Ponder 'Colonial Williamsburg,' Other Controversial Models for New Orleans (JON E. HILSENRATH, 9/13/05 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL)

[S]ome economists are starting to wonder if Mr. Hastert might have had a point about caution when it comes to rebuilding New Orleans, as poorly articulated as it might have been. It's not just the city's natural disadvantages (much of it is located below sea level) that worry economists. It's also its economic position -- rampant poverty and an exodus of people and businesses even before the hurricane touched down -- and the need to avoid creating incentives that could lead to development that is no less vulnerable.

"We have an obligation to people, not to places," says Edward Glaeser, a Harvard professor who specializes in urban economics. "Given just how much, on a per capita basis, it would take to rebuild New Orleans to its former glory, lots of residents would be much [better off] with $10,000 and a bus ticket to Houston." [...]

"The best policy is not to permit rebuilding in New Orleans in the areas that are subject to flooding," says Edward Prescott, a researcher at the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, who famously used flood-plain relief as an example of how seemingly sound short-run policies can skew incentives in the long-run. Richard Posner, the conservative jurist who shares an economics Web log with Mr. Becker, proposes that the city come back something like Colonial Williamsburg -- a quaint tourist site that isn't really attached to a city.

Of course, the city is highly likely to be rebuilt anyway. Besides the political momentum, the naysayers shouldn't under estimate the pressure on businesses to return, says Loren Scott, a Baton Rouge economist. Chemical firms, ship builders and energy firms have huge capital investments in the area that are of no value if they're not operating. "They're going to come back very quickly," he says.

But people might not. According to Census Bureau estimates, New Orleans's population declined by 4%, or 21,000, between 2000 and 2004, to 462,000. Among the cities with the largest populations in the nation, the only one with a larger decline during that stretch was Detroit. Some 24% of New Orleans families lived below the poverty line, according to the Census Bureau, compared to 9% nationally.


The great danger here for the Left and far Right is that five years from now we may be asking why not do the same thing to places like Detroit.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:27 PM

THE BUCK STOPPER:

Bush Takes Responsibility for Blunders (LARA JAKES JORDAN, 9/13/05, Associated Press)

President Bush said Tuesday that "I take responsibility" for failures in dealing with Hurricane Katrina and said the disaster raised broader questions about the government's ability to respond to natural disasters as well as terror attacks.

"Katrina exposed serious problems in our response capability at all levels of government," Bush said at joint White House news conference with the president of
Iraq.

"To the extent the federal government didn't fully do its job right, I take responsibility," Bush said.

The president was asked whether people should be worried about the government's ability to handle another terrorist attack given failures in responding to Katrina.

"Are we capable of dealing with a severe attack? That's a very important question and it's in the national interest that we find out what went on so we can better respond," Bush replied.


Governor Blanco and Mayor Nagin must want to have his baby right around now.

MORE:
Shaken by Katrina, public trust in government begins to rebound: Despite intense criticism, President Bush's approval rating is higher than it was in August, some polls suggest. (Linda Feldmann, 9/14/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

Government at all levels - not just President Bush and the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) - has taken a beating in the public arena following hurricane Katrina. Dark predictions of a deepening loss of faith toward public institutions have followed.

Now, there are inklings that negative reviews of the government response to Katrina have bottomed out and may be on the upswing.

The latest Gallup survey, comparing people's initial responses to the government handling of the crisis with how they feel now, shows that a majority of Americans are feeling better about the role of government in dealing with the hurricane than they did initially. And despite the sense that the president has suffered grave damage to his public image over Katrina, Gallup and other polls show the effect has been minimal.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:49 AM

IT'S NOT EASY MAKING YOURSELVES A PERMANENT MINORITY PARTY:

Poll shows racial divide on storm response (Susan Page and Maria Puente, 9/12/05, USA TODAY)

Six in 10 African-Americans say the fact that most hurricane victims were poor and black was one reason the federal government failed to come to the rescue more quickly. Whites reject that idea; nearly 9 in 10 say those weren't factors.

When Democrats decided to side with the 6 in 10 of the 11% the Hurricane ceased to be a useful political issue for them.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:07 AM

THE EURO FORMULA:

Centre-left bloc wins Norway poll (BBC, 9/13/05)

The Norwegian prime minister has accepted the defeat of his centre-right government in parliamentary elections.

Kjell Magne Bondevik lost to a Labour Party leader who had campaigned to spend more of Norway's huge oil wealth on the welfare state.

With nearly all votes counted, Jens Stoltenberg's centre-left bloc was set to get 88 seats, ahead of Mr Bondevik's coalition with 81 seats.

Norway is poised to have its first majority government for 20 years.

Mr Stoltenberg won on promises to increase welfare spending while criticising the government for promising tax cuts for the rich.


It's probably not possible to lose an election in the developed world -- outside the Anglosphere -- if you just run on this platform. Toss in some xenophobic nationalism and it's certainly impossible.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:13 AM

THAT WHICH BINDS THE ATOMS (via Matt Murphy):

Faith does breed charity: We atheists have to accept that most believers are better human beings (Roy Hattersley, September 12, 2005, The Guardian)

The Salvation Army has been given a special status as provider-in-chief of American disaster relief. But its work is being augmented by all sorts of other groups. Almost all of them have a religious origin and character.

Notable by their absence are teams from rationalist societies, free thinkers' clubs and atheists' associations - the sort of people who not only scoff at religion's intellectual absurdity but also regard it as a positive force for evil.

The arguments against religion are well known and persuasive. Faith schools, as they are now called, have left sectarian scars on Northern Ireland. Stem-cell research is forbidden because an imaginary God - who is not enough of a philosopher to realise that the ingenuity of a scientist is just as natural as the instinct of Rousseau's noble savage - condemns what he does not understand and the churches that follow his teaching forbid their members to pursue cures for lethal diseases.

Yet men and women who believe that the Pope is the devil incarnate, or (conversely) regard his ex cathedra pronouncements as holy writ, are the people most likely to take the risks and make the sacrifices involved in helping others. Last week a middle-ranking officer of the Salvation Army, who gave up a well-paid job to devote his life to the poor, attempted to convince me that homosexuality is a mortal sin.

Late at night, on the streets of one of our great cities, that man offers friendship as well as help to the most degraded and (to those of a censorious turn of mind) degenerate human beings who exist just outside the boundaries of our society. And he does what he believes to be his Christian duty without the slightest suggestion of disapproval. Yet, for much of his time, he is meeting needs that result from conduct he regards as intrinsically wicked.

Civilised people do not believe that drug addiction and male prostitution offend against divine ordinance. But those who do are the men and women most willing to change the fetid bandages, replace the sodden sleeping bags and - probably most difficult of all - argue, without a trace of impatience, that the time has come for some serious medical treatment. Good works, John Wesley insisted, are no guarantee of a place in heaven. But they are most likely to be performed by people who believe that heaven exists.

The correlation is so clear that it is impossible to doubt that faith and charity go hand in hand.


It's vital to recognize that this is precisely why the Left hates Judeo-Christianity so much, because it maintains the social connections that render statism unnecessary.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:43 AM

WHERE THE WAR ENDS:

Karzai urges terror fight rethink (Andrew North, 9/13/05, BBC News)

Afghan President Hamid Karzai says the US and other international forces need to reconsider their approach to bringing peace to Afghanistan.

Violence largely blamed on the Taleban has claimed at least 1,000 lives this year - the worst toll since 2001.

He said there had to be a focus on "the sources of terrorism" where extremists get their training and inspiration.

Many Afghans will interpret that as meaning neighbouring Pakistan, from where militants often launch attacks.


We've heard over and over from Europeans and our own Left that they'd support military action against al Qaeda itself, if not against Saddam, so it should be easy enough to put together a significant multinational operation in western Pakistan that will have near universal support, right?.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:38 AM

UNILATERALISM WORKS AGAIN:

After Shattering Civil War, Liberians See Hope at Polls (Sudarsan Raghavan, 9/13/05, Washington Post)

[As Liberia] prepares for a historic post-civil war election next month, a new hope is prevailing. After years of building wealth and sharing it with impoverished relatives back home, Barnard and other Liberians across the United States want to influence the outcome of the campaign.

Many of the Washington region's estimated 10,000 native Liberians view it as nothing less than their homeland's last chance for peace and stability.

"They feel very passionate, because they realize the future of their country depends on this election," said Bishop Darlingston G. Johnson of Bethel World Outreach Church in Silver Spring, where a third of the 3,000 congregants are from Liberia.

Liberia was founded in 1847 by freed American slaves who named its capital after President James Monroe, and it was a reliable U.S. ally during the Cold War. But starting in the 1980s, a succession of despotic and corrupt leaders brought two decades of disorder. By the time international pressure forced warlord Charles Taylor into exile in Nigeria in 2003, Liberia's government and civil society were in shambles.

Taylor's exit spawned a peace deal and caretaker government, bolstered by 15,000 U.N. peacekeepers. The Oct. 11 election is the next step.

No provisions exist for absentee voting. A Liberian living abroad must go back to register and then return to cast a ballot. So most immigrants in the Washington area will not vote.

And yet, Liberia's main presidential candidates have held fundraisers and town hall-style events across the region. They've canvassed other parts of the United States as well and created slick campaign Web sites.

The reason is such statistics as this: $600 million wired into Liberia, much of it from the United States, between 2000 and 2003, according to the Aite Group, a Boston financial services research firm.

And this: 80 percent illiteracy in Liberia and poverty rates just as high, the United Nations estimates.

So candidates are appealing to Liberian immigrants to contribute to their campaigns and persuade relatives back home to vote for them. It's the latest example of how elections in developing countries have become transnational affairs, as technology connects immigrant to homeland as never before.

"If you supported Liberians during the war, you will have influence, you can make an impact," said Gayah Fahnbulleh, an adviser to candidate Ellen Johnson Sirleaf, a former World Bank official.

The 22-candidate field includes Liberian soccer legend George Weah and Charles W. Brumskine, a lawyer who lives in Northern Virginia.

"This is the time to start a revolution," said Barnard, a mother of three.

The accountant and gospel singer paused, then added softly, "A peaceful revolution."


President Bush's threat
Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:34 AM

NO FLOOR:

Oil prices steady as energy demand cools (AFX, 9/13/05)

Oil prices steadied amid an easing in demand for global energy, though it did not prevent political leaders in Europe from voicing deep concerns over the current cost of crude. [...]

Prices have fallen by about 10 pct since striking record high points of 70.85 usd in New York and 68.89 usd in London on August 30 -- a day after Hurricane Katrina battered US oil facilities in the Gulf of Mexico.

Oil prices were 'extending losses from late last week as concern mounted that the high prices are starting to... sap demand', Sucden analyst Sam Tilley said.

'Many feel that we may see a deeper correction down to the mid-50 dollars on high crude and distillate stocks, reduced demand and the end of the US driving season,' he added.


Downward pressures are an inevitable function of prices are being driven by demand and speculation rather than supply.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:10 AM

LET IRAQ BE IRAQ:

Talabani Says Iraqis Could Replace Many U.S. Troops ( Jim VandeHei, September 13, 2005, Washington Post)

Iraqi President Jalal Talabani said in an interview yesterday that the United States could withdraw as many as 50,000 troops by the end of the year, declaring there are enough Iraqi forces trained and ready to begin assuming control in cities throughout the country. [...]

In the interview, Talabani said he planned to discuss reductions in U.S. forces during a private meeting with President Bush today, and said he believed the United States could begin pulling out some troops immediately.

"We think that America has the full right to move some forces from Iraq to their country because I think we can replace them [with] our forces," Talabani said. "In my opinion, at least from 40,000 to 50,000 American troops can be [withdrawn] by the end of this year."

That assessment differs dramatically from those offered by Bush and by U.S. military commanders in Iraq. [...]

Talabani's statement has the potential to put Bush in a difficult position if the troops are not pulled out by year's end, since critics are certain to ask why U.S. soldiers cannot come home when Iraq's own president says they can. The two leaders will hold a joint news conference today after their meeting.

In the interview, Talabani said Iraqi troops are prepared to assume control of security in several cities throughout southern, central and northern Iraq, despite continued violence, suicide bombings and killings. Many military experts predict a spike in insurgent attacks ahead of next month's vote.

Talabani said the number of "well-trained" Iraqi security forces stood at 60,000 and would reach 100,000 by the end of the year. All told, there about 190,000 Iraqis enlisted in the military or local security forces. "Some are well-trained, some are not so well-trained," he said. Iraqi troops have light arms, but he said they need 50 tanks and automatic weapons.


The Occupation has been ill-considered since it began. Bring them home.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:08 AM

DREAMY:

An Opening Performance Worthy of an Experienced Lawyer (LINDA GREENHOUSE, 9/13/05, NY Times)

This time, John Roberts's client was himself.

After arguing 39 cases before the Supreme Court, spending the last eight weeks in the public spotlight and listening for more than three hours on Monday as 18 senators expressed their admiration and doubts, the Supreme Court nominee took just seven minutes to paint a verbal self-portrait in the opening statement of his confirmation hearing.

Judge Roberts said he was a humble servant of the rule of law. He had "no agenda," "no platform;" he was nothing but an umpire, calling balls and strikes.

The White House team handling his nomination as chief justice had not seen the statement in advance, and Judge Roberts had not rehearsed it before the "murder board" that helped prepare him for the confirmation process. He spoke without notes.

It was a performance that lawyers arguing before the Supreme Court can only dream of.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:03 AM

GET OUT OF THE BOWL:

Save Yourself: New Orleans had a plan to warn the poor, but it sat on a shelf in L.A. (Nicholas Riccardi and James Rainey, September 13, 2005, LA Times)

After years of warnings, community leaders this summer prepared a video guide to hurricane evacuations with a stark message: Many of this city's poor, including 134,000 without cars, could be left behind in a killer storm.

But the 30-minute DVD still has not arrived. Some 70,000 of the newly minted videos that were to be released this month remain on warehouse shelves in Los Angeles.

Their warning: Save yourself, and help your neighbors if you can.


Only after seventy years of the New Deal/Great Society would it be necessary to tell people this.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:56 AM

CINCINNATUSSAN:

Victorious Koizumi firm on fall '06 exit (Japan Times, 9/13/05)

Despite the Liberal Democratic Party's landslide victory Sunday, Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi reiterated his resolve to step down when his term as LDP president expires next September.

With all ballots counted, the LDP won 296 seats in the 480-seat House of Representatives, 84 more than it had going into the race. New Komeito, its coalition partner, lost three seats to finish with 31.

The LDP's gains came mostly at the expense of the Democratic Party of Japan, which saw its seats in the chamber plummet to 113 from 177. The crushing defeat has prompted the party to seek new leadership. [...]

But despite the glowing figures and calls from both within the LDP and New Komeito to stay on, Koizumi said, "People made their judgment (in the election) on the premise that my term as LDP president ends next September."

"There are many aspirants to be (LDP) president and prime minister," Koizumi said. "I want to give those people the opportunity to play as active a role as possible."


Men who walk happily away from power are rare and special.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:51 AM

THEY DON'T EVEN GET THEIR OWN JOKE:

George Galloway Is Gruesome, Not Gorgeous: Now, watch me debate him. (Christopher Hitchens, Sept. 12, 2005, Slate)

My old friend and frequent critic Geoffrey Wheatcroft once tried to define a moment of perfect contentment and came up with the idea of opening a vintage wine while settling down to read an undiscovered work by P.G. Wodehouse. Another comrade identified bliss with writing or reading very hard in the afternoon, knowing that someone really, really nice was coming to dinner. I, too, have a taste for the simpler pleasures. Can I convey the deep sense of delight that stole over me when I learned that George Galloway and Jane Fonda were to go on an "anti-war" tour together and that the idea of this perfect partnership had come from Eve Ensler, author of The Vagina Monologues?

The pure silliness and risibility of the thing would have been quite beyond one's power of invention.


With every passing day it becomes clearer that the modern Left exists only for amusement purposes.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:40 AM

HEALTH CARE?:

45 Bodies Are Found in a New Orleans Hospital (KIRK JOHNSON, 9/13/05, NY Times)

The bodies of 45 people have been found in a flooded uptown hospital here, officials said Monday, sharply increasing the death toll from Hurricane Katrina and raising new questions about the breakdown of the evacuation system as the disaster unfolded.

One would hope at least one of the bodies will turn out to belong to an attendant, rather than they all be patients.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:36 AM

WHAT A CROCK:

Improper Advances: Talking dream jobs with the judge out of court. (Stephen Gillers, David J. Luban, and Steven Lubet, Aug. 17, 2005, Slate)

Four days before President Bush nominated John G. Roberts to the Supreme Court on July 19, an appeals court panel of three judges, including Judge Roberts, handed the Bush administration a big victory in a hotly contested challenge to the president's military commissions. The challenge was brought by Salim Ahmed Hamdan, a Guantanamo detainee. President Bush was a defendant in the case because he had personally, in writing, found "reason to believe" that Hamdan was a terrorist subject to military tribunals. The appeals court upheld the rules the president had authorized for these military commissions, and it rejected Hamdan's human rights claims—including claims for protection under the Geneva Conventions. [....]

The nominee's Aug. 2 answers to a Senate questionnaire reveal that Roberts had several interviews with administration officials contemporaneous with the progress of the Hamdan appeal. [...]

Did administration officials or Roberts ask whether it was proper to conduct interviews for a possible Supreme Court nomination while the judge was adjudicating the government's much-disputed claims of expansive presidential powers? Did they ask whether it was appropriate to do so without informing opposing counsel?

If they had asked, they would have discovered that the interviews violated federal law on the disqualification of judges. Federal law deems public trust in the courts so critical that it requires judges to step aside if their "impartiality might reasonably be questioned," even if the judge is completely impartial as a matter of fact. As Justice John Paul Stevens wrote in a 1988 Supreme Court opinion, "the very purpose of [this law] is to promote confidence in the judiciary by avoiding even the appearance of impropriety whenever possible." The requirement of an appearance of impartiality has been cited in situations like the one here, leading to the disqualification of a judge or the reversal of a verdict.

In 1985, a federal appeals court in Chicago cited the requirement of the appearance of impartiality when it ordered the recusal of a federal judge who, planning to leave the bench, had hired a "headhunter" to approach law firms in the city. By mistake—and, in fact, contrary to the judge's instructions—the headhunter contacted two opposing firms in a case then pending before the judge. One firm rejected the overture outright. The other was negative but not quite as definitive. Writing for the Court of Appeals, Judge Richard A. Posner emphasized that the trial judge "is a judge of unblemished honor and sterling character," and that he "is accused of, and has committed, no impropriety." Nevertheless, the court ordered the judge to recuse himself because of the appearance of partiality. "The dignity and independence of the judiciary are diminished when the judge comes before lawyers in the case in the role of a suppliant for employment. The public cannot be confident that a case tried under such conditions will be decided in accordance with the highest traditions of the judiciary." Although both law firms had refused to offer him employment, the court held that "an objective observer might wonder whether [the judge] might not at some unconscious level favor the firm … that had not as definitively rejected him."


Judge Roberts was, of course, not a suppliant for employment -- a loaded term which as careful a draftsman as Judge Posner presumably chose for that reason -- but a Federal judge responding to a request for an interview from the executive. The idea that either the president can't look to the lower federal benches when he wants to fill higher court openings or that the judges so approached are required to recuse themselves from cases involving the federal government seems lunatic. The D.C. Circuit in particular hears loads of such cases, which is why it's considered the on-deck circle for the Court. The reasoning -- if such it can be called -- of this essay would lead to the conclusion that no Associate Justice should rule in any case when there's a Chief's opening because they could be seen as bucking for his job. Of course, that's reason enough for the Right to embrace this idea--President Bush could simply announce tomorrow that he's closely watching justices Breyer, Ginsburg, Souter and Stevens and plans to name whichever one rules in the government's favor most often to be the next Chief, effectively forcing them to recuse themselves from every federal case the Court hears.


MORE:
A Shaky Ethics Charge (Ronald D. Rotunda, September 6, 2005, Washington Post)

The problem with Gillers's reliance on the Scott case is that he leaves out what the case really said: "By December 23, 1984, when he had decided to accept the position in the Executive Office for United States Attorneys, the judge had a duty to recuse himself from Scott's case."

The Scott case does not support Gillers's argument; it undermines it. What Scott says, at most, is that Roberts had no obligation to withdraw from a case in which the government is a party before he was offered and decided to accept the position. That date could not be before the vacancy existed; in fact, it could not be before July 15, when he met Bush for the first time. By that time, the Hamdan case had already been decided.

Judges are offered other jobs all the time. A Supreme Court justice may become chief justice, or, like Justice Arthur Goldberg, U.S. ambassador to the United Nations. Appeals court judges may become Cabinet officers. Trial judges may become appellate judges. Gillers's stance would require judges to recuse themselves in any case in which the federal government is a party.

Gillers's response is that the Hamdan case was "hotly contested." I have never found any case to be "coldly contested," or even "warmly contested."

Do we really want to give the president or attorney general the power to force recusal of one or more judges on a panel simply by asking the judge if he might be interested in a different position that is not yet open but that eventually will be? Should Judge (later Justice) Ruth Bader Ginsburg have recused herself from any case involving the federal government from the time that Justice Byron White announced his resignation until the time President Bill Clinton announced her appointment? What of Judge (later Justice) Stephen Breyer, who was not nominated until a year after his initial interview with Clinton?

The president is not the only person responsible for court appointments. In many states, judicial selection committees present choices to the president. The case law (which Gillers does not cite) has uniformly rejected motions for disqualifying judges from cases in which members of the selection committees are directly involved.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:13 AM

SHOULD HAVE VOTED REPUBLICAN WHEN THEY HAD THE CHANCE:

Lack of Clout in Congress May Hurt Louisiana's Recovery (DAVID E. ROSENBAUM, 9/13/05, NY Times)

Not long ago, Louisiana had one of the most influential Congressional delegations in the Capitol.

In the last decade, Louisiana has provided the chairman of the House Appropriations Committee; the chairman of the House energy committee; the senior Democrat on the Senate energy committee and the water development subcommittee of the Senate Appropriations Committee; and the Democratic chief deputy whip in the Senate.

But these powerful senators and representatives, who could be counted on to pull strings and twist arms, have recently retired from Congress, and the Louisiana delegation today, in the face of perhaps the state's worst calamity, has no one in a position of authority.


Never a good idea to trail the parade.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:04 AM

RIGHT ENOUGH?:

Nominee's Rulings Lean Right (Charles Lane, September 13, 2005, Washington Post)

During his two years as a federal appeals court judge, John G. Roberts Jr. has compiled a voting record that places him to the right of the average member of the U.S. circuit courts, according to the first independent statistical study of his voting record.

Roberts was most conservative on issues involving civil rights and civil liberties, the study found. At the same time, President Bush's nominee for chief justice of the United States showed a liberal streak on economic regulation and labor issues; in those matters, he was significantly to the left of the average, according to the study.

"An overall comparison of Judge Roberts' decision-making indicates that he is somewhat more conservative than the average appellate court judge, though not dramatically so," writes the study's author, Kenneth L. Manning, a professor of political science at the University of Massachusetts's Dartmouth campus.

Manning presented his paper Sept. 1 at the 2005 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association in the District. He has since posted it on the Web at http://www.umassd.edu/cas/polisci/roberts.pdf .



Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

AND THERE WAS LIGHT:

Exploding Star Is Said to Be Oldest Ever Observed: A massive energy burst recorded by NASA's Swift satellite signals the first stellar evidence from the very early years of the universe. (John Johnson Jr., September 13, 2005, LA Times)

In the equivalent of spotting a bonfire at the dawn of time, NASA's orbiting Swift satellite has detected the most-distant exploding star — a cosmic suicide that took place just 500 million years or so after the creation of the universe, scientists say.

Located 12.6 billion light years from Earth, the explosion shows that giant stars formed earlier than previously thought.

"This is the first direct evidence of very early stars," said Neil Gehrels of the Goddard Space Flight Center in Maryland. "It tells us when the dark ages of the early universe were coming to an end."

In cosmic terms, the "dark ages" were a time when the universe went black a few hundred million years after the Big Bang flooded the universe with light and matter. The dark ages lasted a few hundred million more years until stars began to form, relighting the universe.


September 12, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:56 PM

IF YOU BUILD IT WE WILL BOMB:

The Pentagon's nuclear wish (Jim Lobe, 9/14/05, Asia Times)

Amid increasing tension between the United States and Iran over Tehran's nuclear program, and growing concern about overstretched US ground forces, the George W Bush administration is moving steadily toward adopting the preemptive use of nuclear weapons against non-nuclear states as an integral part of its global military strategy.

According to a March document by the Joint Chiefs of Staff that was recently posted to the Pentagon's website, Washington will not necessarily wait for potential adversaries to use what it calls "weapons of mass destruction" before resorting to a nuclear strike against them. [...]

"The new doctrine reaffirms an aggressive nuclear posture of modernized nuclear weapons maintained on high alert," Hans Kristensen, of the Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC), wrote last week in Arms Control Today magazine. "The new doctrine's approach grants regional nuclear-strike planning an increasingly expeditionary aura that threatens to make nuclear weapons just another tool in the toolbox.

"The result is nuclear preemption, which the new doctrine enshrines into official US joint nuclear doctrine for the first time, where the objective no longer is deterrence through threatened retaliation but battlefield destruction of targets."

The doctrine is the latest in a series of documents adopted by the administration that has moved the US away from the traditional view that nuclear weapons should be used solely for the purposes of defense and deterrence.

Along with the NPR, which called for the development of new delivery systems for nuclear weapons and noted that China, North Korea, Iraq, Iran, Syria and Libya could all be targets, the new view was expounded by Bush himself in his September 2002 National Security Strategy document. "We cannot let our enemies strike first," he warned at the time.


There could hardly be a better nuclear deterrent than to use nuclear weapons to terminate the nuclear capabilities and programs of North Korea, Iran, China, Pakistan and France.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:54 PM

WHY SAD? (via Robert Schwartz):

A Sad Truth: Cities Aren't Forever (Joel Garreau, September 11, 2005, Washington Post)

The city of New Orleans is not going to be rebuilt.

The tourist neighborhoods? The ancient parts from the French Quarter to the Garden District on that slim crescent of relatively high ground near the river? Yes, they will be restored. The airport and the convention center? Yes, those, too.

But the far larger swath -- the real New Orleans where the tourists don't go, the part that Katrina turned into a toxic soup bowl, its population of 400,000 scattered to the waves? Not so much.

When Republican House Speaker Dennis Hastert said that it makes no sense to spend billions of federal dollars to rebuild a city that's below sea level, he added, "It looks like a lot of that place could be bulldozed." In the face of criticism, he hurried to "clarify" his remarks. But according to Washington lore, such a flap occurs when someone inadvertently tells the truth.


Can't you hear them now: if the ghetto isn't rebuilt W is a racist.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:52 PM

MAN WAS NOT MEANT TO FLY:

Airlines' estimated losses for year rise to $7.4 billion (Don Phillips, SEPTEMBER 12, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

Rising oil prices have pushed the estimated loss for the world's airlines this year to $7.4 billion, with most of the money lost in the United States, the International Air Transport Association said Monday.

Europe is just breaking even, while airlines in Asia are estimated to be making a profit of about $1 billion this year, the association's director general, Giovanni Bisignani, said in a speech delivered at the National Press Club in Washington.

"Oil is once again robbing the industry of a return to profitability," Bisignani said in the speech. [...]

The total losses for the airline industry in the United States were estimated to be more than $8 billion, he said.

If you're going far enough from home to need to fly to get there you shouldn't be.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:31 PM

INSOURCING PEACE:

Africa's peace seekers: Betty Bigombe: Betty Bigombe spends her days talking to rebels and Army officers in Uganda's bush country. She is one of Africa's peace seekers - individuals willing to leave loved ones behind, shrug off personal threats, and even spend significant amounts of their own money to end some of the continent's most intractable conflicts. (Abraham McLaughlin, 9/13/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

It was a CNN "breaking news" flash that first caught her eye.

On the chilly morning of Feb. 22, 2004, Betty Bigombe was racing around her cozy condo in Chevy Chase, Md. She was focused on paying bills, packing for a business trip, and hoping to squeeze in a workout.

Walking past her bedroom TV, she suddenly froze. In her native Uganda, the anchor said, the Lord's Resistance Army had just massacred more than 200 villagers. They had forced entire families to stay inside huts - then set the houses alight, shooting anyone who ran out. Ms. Bigombe remembers whispering, "Oh, my God, I can't believe it's still happening."

Her own picture appeared on the screen. The reporter explained that Bigombe, a former government minister in Uganda, was the one person who'd ever gotten the rebels and the government close to peace. But that was back in 1994.

Now the ongoing barbarity in her homeland filled her with shame. Standing there in her nightgown, she was deeply torn. Should she go back to Uganda to help? Could she afford to lose her well-paying job at the World Bank? Could she stand to leave her college-age daughter alone in the US? After hours of pondering, she concluded, "Maybe ... maybe I can give it another try."

That February day marked Bigombe's reluctant reentry into an elite group at the center of efforts to end this continent's most-intractable conflicts. They are Africa's peace seekers. And these days they're increasingly successful: Last year, the number of major conflicts in Africa (six) hit its lowest level since 1997, according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), which tracks global conflicts. It spiked in 1998 and 1999 to 11, but has since trended downward.

The geopolitical reasons for the shift include the end of the cold war and the proxy conflicts it spawned in Africa, the rise of democracy on the continent, and the new peacemaking strength of African regional organizations. But the change also springs from individuals such as Bigombe - peace seekers who are willing to leave loved ones behind and strike out on quests others have failed to finish. They often work 20-hour days, endure sleepless nights, and even spend significant amounts of their own money. Some have succeeded. Others, like Bigombe, are pushing hard.

There's been a recent "surge in willingness" of individuals and regional groups in Africa to "be responsible for getting out of the mess" that has long pervaded their continent, says Sharon Wiharta of SIPRI. These people and organizations, she says, "have been more and more successful in negotiating the end of conflicts." [...]

Several recent changes, experts say, have improved the prospects for peace.

• Donor nations are pressuring Museveni to end the war. After largely ignoring the conflict for years, outside powers now worry about the scale of the humanitarian crisis and its destabilizing effects on the region. The US is providing "nonmilitary" support to Uganda's Army. But that's not enough, argues John Prendergast of International Crisis Group in Washington: "The lack of a direct American role - when both sides of the equation care more about the Americans than any other government - tells you the peace process is going to have tremendous limitations" despite Bigombe's efforts. He urges President Bush to appoint a high-level envoy, as he did in Sudan, to support Bigombe.

• The tactics of Uganda's long-ineffective Army have improved, in part because of US help. Fresh battlefield victories make Army commanders, now in a stronger position, more supportive of talks. Yet there's an economic incentive to prolong the war. The Acholi Inn where Bigombe stays, for instance, is owned by a top army commander. The war helps keep the motel full of diplomats, aid workers, and others. Commanders "deliberately misinform the president" to extend the war, says one source who requested anonymity.

• The LRA has lost most support from its long-time patron, the government of neighboring Sudan, whose leaders had long accused Uganda of backing Sudanese rebels in their 21-year civil war. So tit for tat, Sudan supported the LRA. But when Sudan signed a peace deal with its rebels in January, it no longer needed the LRA.


Sudan worked--why not give Uganda a shot?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:19 PM

OUTSOURCE RELIEF:

Wal-Mart outdid feds in gulf (David Harsanyi, 9/12/05, Denver Post)

The conventional wisdom in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina is that government failed its citizens.

It did. Miserably.

So why is the near-universal solution from pundits and officials to propose more government?

Will we ever learn? When a plodding, inflexible bureaucracy breaks down on 9/11, what do we do? We react by creating an even less flexible super bureaucracy called the Department of Homeland Security.

Judging from the results of Hurricane Katrina, we'd do ourselves a favor by hiring nongovernmental entities such as Wal-Mart and the Red Cross to run homeland security.


Why even hire them? Everyone seems to have done a rather good job spontaneously.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:25 PM

PASSINGS:

Chris Schenkel, 82, Versatile and Ubiquitous Sportscaster, Dies (RICHARD SANDOMIR, 9/12/05, NY Times)

Chris Schenkel, whose versatility and genial style made him one of the most important sports broadcasters from the 1950's to the 1970's, died yesterday at Lutheran Hospital in Fort Wayne, Ind. He was 82.

Mr. Schenkel had emphysema for many years and recently had complications from ulcer surgery, his wife, Fran, said by telephone.

Like many of his well-known contemporaries, Mr. Schenkel glided easily through many sports, including football, basketball, boxing, golf, horse racing, the Olympics and bowling, which he called for 36 years.

Mr. Schenkel came to prominence in 1952 as the television voice of the football Giants; his baritone became the vocal accompaniment to the team's loss to the Baltimore Colts in the 1958 National Football League championship game, a seminal broadcast in the league's history.

His time was one in which play-by-play announcers were usually less talkative than they are now and rarely critical, and they traveled with the players. [...]

Mr. Schenkel, popular locally and nationally through calling the Giants, the Triple Crown horse races and the Masters golf tournament on CBS, had his profile enlarged after he was hired by ABC Sports in 1965.

"It was Chris Schenkel who put ABC Sports on the map," said Dennis Lewin, a former ABC executive. "It was Chris who gave us credibility."

Along with Curt Gowdy on NBC, Mr. Schenkel embodied the role of the big-game announcer, as ABC's primary Olympic anchorman and its top college football, National Basketball Association and bowling announcer. [...]

Despite his varied career, Mr. Schenkel knew that he might be best remembered for calling the Professional Bowlers Association Tour, which he remained with until ABC stopped carrying it in 1997.


Guitarist Clarence Gatemouth Brown Dies at 81 (BEN RATLIFF, 9/12/05, NY Times)
Clarence Gatemouth Brown, an eminent guitarist and singer who spent his career fighting purism by synthesizing old blues, country, jazz, Cajun and R & B styles, died on Saturday. He was 81.

His death was confirmed by Rick Cady, his booking agent, who said Mr. Brown had suffered from lung cancer and heart disease.

Mr. Brown died at his grand-niece's apartment in Orange, Tex., his hometown. He had left his own home in Slidell, La., on the edge of Lake Pontchartrain near New Orleans, to escape Hurricane Katrina. Mr. Cady said that his house was destroyed by the storm, and Colin Walters, his biographer, said there had been a plan to resettle him in Austin, Tex.

"American music, Texas-style" was how Mr. Brown characterized his music, even making that phrase the name of one of his albums; he refused to call it blues and was scornful of musicians who let themselves be too easily understood by settling into a single sound. He disdained deep delta blues, calling it "negative." He wore a western shirt and a cowboy hat onstage, covered jazz numbers like Duke Ellington's "Take the A Train" and Lou Donaldson's "Alligator Boogaloo," and sometimes played the fiddle, mandolin and harmonica in performance as well as the guitar.


Bush kept his head and the danger's passed (Mark Steyn, 13/09/2005, Daily Telegraph)
I'll leave it to future generations of historians to settle the precise moment at which Hurricane Katrina finally completed its transformation into a Kansas-type twister, and swept up the massed ranks of the world's press to deposit them on the wilder shores of the Land of Oz. But for a couple of weeks now they've been there frolicking and gambolling as happy Media Munchkins, singing and dancing "Ding Dong, The Bush Is Dead".

Meanwhile, back in the real world, the storm is exhausted, meteorologically and politically. Power has been restored to the whole of Mississippi (much quicker than in Euro-style big-government Quebec during the 1998 ice storm, incidentally), the Big Easy is being pumped free of water far ahead of anybody's expectations, and, as the New York Times put it: "Death Toll In New Orleans May Be Lower Than First Feared".

No truth in the rumour that early editions read "Than First Hoped".


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:13 PM

ALL WE ARE SAYING, GIVE THE NEXT POL POT A CHANCE:

The Fear of the Liberals (COREY ROBIN, September 26, 2005, The Nation)

It's the fourth anniversary of September 11, and Americans are getting restless about the war in Iraq. Republicans are challenging the President, activists and bloggers are pressing the Democrats and liberal hawks are reconsidering their support for the war. Everyone, it seems, is asking questions.

Two questions, however, have not been asked, perhaps because they might actually help us move beyond where we are and where we've been. First, how is it that few liberals and no leftists in 1968 believed that Lyndon Johnson, arguably the most progressive President in American history, would or could airlift democracy to Vietnam, while many liberals and not a few leftists in 2003 believed that the most reactionary President since William McKinley could and would export democracy to Iraq?

Second, why did certain liberals who opposed the war in Iraq refuse to march against it? The reason they gave was that left-wing groups like ANSWER, which helped organize the antiwar rallies, failed to denounce Saddam's regime. Yet many of those who could not abide an alliance with ANSWER endorsed the war in Afghanistan--even though it was waged by a government that recently invaded three Caribbean countries, funded dirty wars in Latin America and backed the government of Guatemala, the only regime in the Western Hemisphere condemned by a UN-sponsored truth commission for committing acts of genocide. Politics, of course, often entails an unhappy choice of associations. But if the deeds of the US government need not stop liberals from supporting the war in Afghanistan, why should the words--words, mind you, not deeds--of leftists deprive the antiwar movement of these very same liberals' support?

Both questions register a fundamental shift among liberals, and on the left, since the 1960s: from skepticism of to faith in US power, and from faith in to skepticism of popular movements. During the Vietnam era, liberals and leftists believed not only in social justice but also in mass protest. Whether the cause was democracy at home or liberation abroad, men and women afflicted by oppression had to organize themselves for freedom. Yes, some of yesterday's activists were blind to coercion within these movements, and others joined elite cadres bombing their way to liberation. Still, the animating faith of the 1960s was in the democratic capacities of ordinary men and women, making it difficult for liberals and leftists to believe in conquering armies from abroad or shock troops from on high.

Many liberals, and some leftists, no longer hold these views. Their faith is guided not by the light of justice but by the darkness of evil: by the tyranny of dictators, the genocide of ethnic cleansers and the terrorism of Islamist radicals.


Do you suppose it's salient to this discussion that Iraq and Afghanistan are now democracies -- just as are those Latin American countries we defended against Communism in the 80s--while the Left's "success" in Vietnam unleashed nothing but genocide and tyranny in Southeast Asia?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:59 PM

WHAT THEY'D BE SAYING IF THE FEDS HAD RESPONDED MILTARILY:

New Orleans: A Bush Police State Incubator? (Kurt Nimmo, September 7, 2005, Another Day in the Empire)

​​​​It's no secret the Free Republic site is a forum set up for right-wing nuts and racists who think Bush is not tough enough on the enemies of the fascist state they feverishly envision. "They should change the name from New Orleans to New Mogadishu," opines one racist crackpot. "Time to take out the trash," blathers another after a rumor about "Delta Force operators" (i.e., professional killers and sadists) "dropped into New Orleans" circulated on the site. "Family member just received a phone call from a brother on the team," another comments, adding credence to the assertion. "Hope we get some pix of this," he posts later. "Hey... maybe if the Delta force wipes out this scum.. there will be less people living off the taxpayers dollars."

Overt racist classism aside -- and disregarding the puerile absurdity of comparing the dehydrated and starving and largely unarmed citizens of New Orleans to East African Muslims who killed 19 American soldiers on October 3, 1993 -- the rumor Delta Force killers were dropped into New Orleans makes perfect sense, especially if New Orleans is to serve as an incubator for police state tactics to come. The Total Information web site comments:

On Thursday, there was a report on the net Delta Force had just dropped into New Orleans. This was at about the same time this website noticed a couple helicopters full of unidentified troops being dropped off the helipad at the Superdome. If the "Delta Force" story is true (and even Army Times says forces are engaging in combat in New Orleans), or another small special ops force were dropped into New Orleans, they would be well placed, for provocateuring more than anything else. Such as laying down sniper fire on boats evacuating patients from a hospital or setting fires, or sniping at firefighters.

Wikipedia describes Delta Force as follows: "The 1st Special Forces Operational Detachment-Delta (Airborne) (1st SFOD-D (A)), commonly known as Delta or Delta Force, is a Special Operations Force (SOF) of the United States Army Special Operations Command (USASOC). The force's main remit is counter-terrorism, although it is extremely versatile. Delta Force is believed to conduct missions similar to those regularly attributed to the British Special Air Service (SAS), after which Delta Force was modeled, the Israeli Sayeret Matkal, the U.S. Navy's DEVGRU, Germany's GSG-9, France's GIGN, and other elite counter-terrorism forces worldwide."

In other words, the government believes there are terrorists in New Orleans -- and those terrorists are the citizens who refuse to leave and may be resisting heavy-handed military tactics to depopulate the city in advance of draining the toxic swamp and bulldozing entire neighborhoods (obviously, the homes in New Orleans will have to be demolished due to flood damage, but you can rest assured the government does not plan to rebuild homes for poor people).

It should be noted and of concern that Delta Force played a role in the massacre of civilians at Waco. "Delta Force... had been enlisted as part of the assault team on the Branch Davidian Compound. It appears that President Clinton had signed a waiver of the Posse Comitatus Act, with the precedent being Ronald Reagan's revocation of the Act in 1987, allowing the Delta Force to be involved in suppressing the Atlanta prison riot," writes Counterpunch. "Because rumors of a Branch Davidian drug lab were floated at Waco (they later turned out to be false), use of Delta Force troops as advisers in the raid may be legally justifiable," notes Matt Alsdorf. "In fact, it is already public record that other parts of the military assisted in planning the raid and providing equipment. But the level of Delta Force participation remains unknown. If Delta commandos are found to have played an active role in the raid, their participation may have crossed the line."

But then Bush -- or his neocon handlers -- are all about crossing the line. In fact, the situation in New Orleans is a custom-made excuse to further degrade the Posse Comitatus Act.


Ah, the Left, a nutty storyline for any occassion....


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:32 PM

BOY, PAKISTAN REALLY IS ISRAEL:

Pakistan offers to build security fence (BARRY SCHWEID, September 11, 2005, AP)

Chafing under criticism Pakistan is not doing enough to counter terrorism, President Pervez Musharraf offered Monday to construct a security fence to deter incursion of militants and drug merchants from Afghanistan.

Musharraf made the offer at a meeting with Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice that was expanded to 75 minutes from the 30 minutes originally planned. It sets the stage for President Bush's meeting with the Pakistani leader on Tuesday.

"We don't ever want anybody to say Pakistan is not doing enough," Foreign Minister Khurshid M. Kasuri said. [...]

On Friday, Musharraf told The Associated Press that his government has proposed building a barbed-wire fence along the border to help keep Islamic insurgents from crossing the area freely.

Kasuri did not specify the form a fence would take, such as barbed wire or solid material. The route the barrier would take has not been decided, he said. Kasuri said the aim would be to screen out warlords and narcotics trade as well as terrorists.

"We have a very strong interest in peace and stability in Asia," he said.


A genuine security fence like the one Ariel Sharon is building would even help Pakistan bring some much needed development and political control to its tribal areas.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:29 PM

SO THE FEDS HELD THEMSELVES ACCOUNTABLE...:

Embattled FEMA Director Mike Brown resigns (RON FOURNIER, September 12, 2005, AP)

Federal Emergency Management Agency director Mike Brown said Monday he has resigned "in the best interest of the agency and best interest of the president," three days after losing his onsite command of the Hurricane Katrina relief effort.

Brown, under fire for FEMA's performance in the Gulf Coast, said he feared he had become a distraction.

"The focus has got to be on FEMA, what the people are trying to do down there," Brown told The Associated Press.

His decision was not a surprise. Brown was abruptly recalled to Washington on Friday, a clear vote of no confidence from his superiors at the White House and the Homeland Security Department. Brown had been roundly criticized for FEMA's sluggish response to the hurricane, which has caused political problems for Bush and fellow Republicans. He also was accused of padding his resume, which Brown denied Friday.


...now will the locals follow suit?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:13 PM

A BASEBALL ANALOGY IS ALWAYS A GOOD START:

Roberts says judges play a limited role (JESSE J. HOLLAND, September 12, 2005, AP)

Supreme Court nominee John Roberts said Monday that justices are servants of the law, playing a limited government role, as the Senate opened confirmation hearings on President Bush's choice to be the nation's 17th chief justice.

"A certain humility should characterize the judicial role," the 50-year-old Roberts told the Judiciary Committee in a brief statement. "Judges and justices are servants of the law, not the other way around."

The appellate judge likened judges to baseball umpires, saying that "they make sure everybody plays by the rules, but it is a limited role. Nobody ever went to a ballgame to see the umpire."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:55 PM

QUICK, WHILE $3 SEEMS LIKE A BARGAIN...:

Using Taxes to Keep Gasoline Prices High Makes Sense to Some (BOB DAVIS, 9/12/05, THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

With gasoline prices topping $3 a gallon and consumers searching for relief, what's the smartest thing the government could do? Make sure the prices stay at least that high, say some economists.

That answer may seem crazy. Higher pump prices reduce what consumers can buy elsewhere, undercut economic growth and force people to think twice before driving.

But the last is precisely the point. High prices could boost conservation and diminish the country's oil thirst. The last time that happened was from 1978 to 1981, when average gasoline prices rose about 90 cents to $2.86 a gallon in today's dollars, and gasoline consumption fell 11%, while imports slumped 28%. Tighter fuel-efficiency standards also played a role.

But those gains were ephemeral; when gasoline prices declined, consumption and imports soared. The same pattern is bound to occur today unless the government intervenes, through higher taxes, to assure that pump prices will continue to pinch. Taxes can change long-term behavior, as long as taxpayers believe the levies are here to stay. Pregnant women, for instance, sharply cut back on smoking after cigarette taxes rose steadily in the 1990s, according to a study by three New York City economists.

Higher prices have an immediate effect on consumption by prompting multicar families to use the most fuel-efficient car in their garage and encouraging city dwellers to commute by bus or train rather than car. The larger effect, though, comes from changing car-buying habits and encouraging the development of new-technology vehicles.


Given the European experience and our greater wealth, it seems probable that you'd have to raise the taxes much higher before it had an appreciable effect.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:52 PM

INTELLIGENCE FAILURE:

Why Levee Breaches In New Orleans Were Late-Breaking News (JOE HAGAN and JOSEPH T. HALLINAN, 9/12/05, THE WALL STREET JOURNAL)

On Sunday, Sept. 4, Tim Russert of NBC's "Meet the Press" asked Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff to explain President Bush's statement that the government couldn't have anticipated breaches in levees in New Orleans.

Mr. Chertoff talked about news coverage. "Well, I think if you look at what actually happened, I remember on Tuesday morning picking up newspapers, and I saw headlines, 'New Orleans Dodged The Bullet,' " he said. "Because if you recall, the storm moved to the east and then continued on and appeared to pass with considerable damage but nothing worse. It was on Tuesday that the levee -- may have been overnight Monday to Tuesday -- that the levee started to break."

But now it is known that major levee breaks occurred much earlier than that, starting in the morning of Monday, Aug. 29, the day Hurricane Katrina made landfall. Even as the storm veered off and many observers felt a sense of relief, the Industrial Canal levee in eastern New Orleans was giving way, and a rush of water swiftly submerged much of the Lower Ninth Ward and areas nearby, trapping thousands of people on rooftops and in attics. The 17th Street Canal levee also was breached early Monday, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers now believes, resulting in a slower-rising flood over a larger area.

Yet it wasn't until Tuesday that most people across the country, apparently including Mr. Chertoff, realized that any levees at all had been breached. Did media outlets get it wrong, as Mr. Chertoff claimed? Some did, some didn't.

A look at news reports of the events of Aug. 29 paints a picture of confusion, miscommunication and conflicting information among some government officials and news media.


But...it's the State...how can it not have perfect knowledge?


Posted by Glenn Dryfoos at 1:07 PM

MADE IT THERE:

Messier retires after 25 years in NHL (IRA PODELL, 9/12/05, Associated Press)

Mark Messier retired Monday, ending a 25-year career in which he won six Stanley Cup championships and ranked second only to Wayne Gretzky on the NHL all-time scoring list.

Messier became a star in Edmonton in the 1980s and a headliner on Broadway in the '90s, captaining the New York Rangers to the '94 championship that ended the team's 54-year title drought.

"There was nothing else really for me to achieve," the 44-year-old said on a conference call.


Although the Ranger's Cup drought wasn't as long as the Red Sox World Series slump, it was pretty painful...and made more so by the Islanders' success. Mark Messier won us the Cup, and for that Ranger fans will always be grateful.


Posted by pjaminet at 9:47 AM

REFUTE THIS DEFENSE:

Sen. Landrieu spins (Fox News Sunday, interview with Mary Landrieu and David Vitter; via The Political Teen)

Mary Landrieu before the Senate (at 2:10): "And I intend to find out why the federal response ... was so incompetent and insulting to the people of this state."

FoxNews (question at 2:30): "I want to ask you about the local response. Was it incompetent and insulting for Mayor Ray Nagin ... to leave hundreds of buses idle so that they could be flooded instead of using them to get people out?"

Mary Landrieu (answer at 3:10 to 3:30): "I am not going to level criticism at local and state officials. Mayor Nagin, and most mayors in this country, have a hard time getting their people to work on a sunny day, let alone ... in front of a hurricane."



Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:14 AM

LET THE GAMES BEGIN:

Senate To Start Roberts Hearings: Nominee's Views Could Shape Court for Years (Charles Babington and Jo Becker, September 12, 2005, Washington Post)

The Senate convenes the first confirmation hearing for a chief justice nominee in nearly two decades today, starting a week of admonitions and questions for John G. Roberts Jr. certain to probe deeply into the conservative views of a man who could shape the court's direction for decades to come.

The Judiciary Committee's 10 Republicans and eight Democrats will focus on Roberts, 50, an appellate court judge and President Bush's choice to succeed the late William H. Rehnquist, starting at noon with opening statements in the historic Caucus Room of the Russell Senate Office Building.

MORE:
Roberts Hearings Set to Start (C-SPAN.org)

On Monday, the multi-day Supreme Court confirmation hearings for John Roberts begin. They're expected to last all week. First up will be a series of opening statements by the 18 members of the Senate Judiciary Cmte.

Fidelis Podcast Network
Welcome to the launch of FPN, the Fidelis Podcast Network.

FPN is your source for news and commentary on important issues facing our culture.

FPN will be based in Washington, D.C. for the week of Judge Roberts' confirmation hearings and will provide breaking news and exclusive interviews with top opinion makers.

Following the confirmation hearings, the FPN will regularly Podcast news and commentary programs through its website on a range of important public policy issues facing our culture, confirmation hearing matters and political news.

Podcast News Feed: http://www.fidelis.org/podcasts/fpn_feed.xml


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:19 AM

WAR=PEACE:

Putting the warlords out of business (Jean-Marie Guéhenno, SEPTEMBER 11, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

Around the world, about 25 places - depending how you count them - are now at war, down from a peak of more than 50 in the early 1990s. In terms of the number of people killed in battle, the world is at a hundred-year low. New conflicts sometimes start up, like Nepal's, but for every new conflict, two old ones are going out of business.

There is less war than there used to be.

This month's news from Burundi is the latest example of the trend. Some 200,000 people died in a 10-year civil war that created hundreds of thousands of refugees and destroyed the country's infrastructure. In the past year, however, with help from the United Nations and the international community, a Constitution has been approved, an election has been held, a democratically elected president has been sworn in and power is being transferred.

The UN secretary general has asked the Security Council to keep peacekeeping troops in Burundi to help consolidate peace during disarmament and demobilization. Burundians finally have reason to be optimistic, but the rest of the world must continue to help so that Burundi has a chance for lasting peace.

Half a world away, the Irish Republican Army has declared an end to its armed struggle. Liberia is also at peace now, and more than 100,000 fighters have been demobilized in the past year. In East Timor and Sierra Leone, peacekeepers are packing up and going home, their work finished. Some are heading to Sudan, to help with a peace agreement to end a two-decade war that left two million people dead. The agreement there was generally seen as shaky, but seems to have held despite the death of John Garang, the leader of southern Sudan's long struggle.

Any of these conflicts could again fall back into war, as peace usually takes a decade to take root. And there are still plenty of other places - from Afghanistan to Congo to Haiti - teetering between war and peace. But the numbers are going down, and even in those places, there is real hope.

In Afghanistan, UN workers are helping to prepare for the first parliamentary elections since the overthrow of the Taliban. Congo is preparing for national elections and militia groups in the east are on the run after robust military action by UN peacekeepers. Haiti is moving toward re-establishing a democratic government while UN peacekeepers help the authorities stabilize a dangerous and fragile situation.

What has led to this wider trend away from war?

One of the most important elements, unmentioned here, of course, is unilateral intervention by the U.S. and Britain and the threat of said, Africa's peace seekers (Abraham McLaughlin, 9/12/05, The Christian Science Monitor)
[E]ver since Sept. 11, 2001, Sudan's government was desperate to please the US. Back in the 1990s it had hosted Osama bin Laden and other terrorists. It now feared its "terrorist haven" label and economic pariah status would continue. Or worse, that the US might invade.

Ending the notion that sovereignty is inviolable has required nations to reckon with democratic and humanitarian standards even where conflicts seem purely internal.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:05 AM

LESSER OF TWO EVILS, GREATER OF TWO GOODS

Ontario rejects sharia law (Natalie Alcoba, National Post, September 12th, 2005)

All forms of religious arbitration -- including Islam's sharia law, which was the subject of worldwide protest last week -- will be outlawed in Ontario, the Premier said yesterday.

''I've come to the conclusion that the debate has gone on long enough,'' Dalton McGuinty told The Canadian Press yesterday.

''There will be no sharia law in Ontario. There will be no religious arbitration in Ontario. There will be one law for all Ontarians.''

The government will introduce legislation this fall that prohibits existing religious tribunals, used by Christians and Jews to settle family law matters on a voluntary basis since 1991.[...]

In Montreal, Rabbi Reuben Poupko of the Beth Israel Orthodox Congregation in Cote St. Luc, defended Mr. McGuinty's decision, though he said it saddened him.

''I think the Ontario government felt compelled to throw the baby with the bath water,'' Mr. Poupko said yesterday.

The resolution of this much-misunderstood controversy does not mean separated couples will be prohibited from submitting to religious arbitration, nor to have the results of that arbitration incorporated into a court order on consent. What it will mean is that they cannot be forced to undergo such arbitration by the terms of a marriage contract nor denied access to the courts on the basis that issues have already been adjudicated. This means ultimately that the future of faith-based arbitration or mediation in the Muslim community will hinge on the degree to which it enjoys the general support and respect of separated Muslim women, who are no doubt breathing quiet but huge sighs of relief.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

BRING IN THE LEFTHANDER:

Corzine's lead over Forrester has grown: 20-point edge may be tied to anger on hurricane aid (JOE DONOHUE, September 12, 2005, Newark Star-Ledger)

As the New Jersey governor's race heads into its final eight weeks, Democrat Jon Corzine holds a commanding lead of 20 percentage points over Republican Doug Forrester, according to a new Star-Ledger/Eagleton-Rutgers Poll.

Corzine was favored by 48 percent to 28 percent for Forrester among registered voters surveyed last week. Among those voters who said they were likely to go to the polls Nov. 8, Corzine leads by 18 points, 49 percent to 31 percent.


Clears the Senate seat for an Al Leiter run.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

WHY WOULD ANY MIDDLE CLASS STRAIGHT WHITE MALE VOTE DEMOCRATIC?

Poll Shows Kilgore Ahead of Kaine in Va. (Michael D. Shear and Claudia Deane, September 11, 2005, Washington Post)

Republican Jerry W. Kilgore is leading in the Virginia governor's race despite efforts by Democrat Timothy M. Kaine to tap widespread satisfaction with Gov. Mark R. Warner's performance, according to a new Washington Post poll.

Among all registered voters, Kilgore is ahead by 4 percentage points as the campaign enters its final two months. His lead widens to 7 percentage points among those most likely to vote.

Kilgore, a former attorney general, has cast himself as the perfect fit for a traditionally conservative state. The poll of registered voters shows he would receive 45 percent of the vote if the election were today.

Kaine, the state's lieutenant governor and a former mayor of Richmond, claims to be the natural heir to Warner's legacy as a centrist Democrat. But even though an impressive 76 percent of voters approve of the job Warner is doing, just 41 percent said they would vote for Kaine if the election were today.

Independent candidate H. Russell Potts Jr., a Republican state senator from Winchester, gets 5 percent, the poll shows. [...]

Kilgore's strength is evident across Southwest, Southside and the Shenandoah Valley, and he has battled Kaine to a tie in Northern Virginia and the rest of the state. Kilgore also has a significant lead among men, among whites and among middle-class voters who make between $50,000 and $75,000 a year.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

REFORM OR COLLAPSE:

Demographics and Iran's imperial design (Spengler, 9/13/05, Asia Times)

Aging populations will cause severe discomfort in the United States and extreme pain in Japan and Europe by mid-century. But the same trends will devastate the frail economies of the Islamic world, and likely plunge many countries into social chaos.

By 2050, elderly dependents will comprise nearly a third of the population of some Muslim nations, notably Iran - converging on America's dependency ratio at mid-century. But it is one thing to face such a problem with America's per capita gross domestic product (GDP) of $40,000, and quite another to face it with Iran's per capita GDP of $7,000 - especially given that Iran will stop exporting oil before the population crisis hits.

The industrial nations face the prospective failure of their pension systems. But what will happen to countries that have no pension system, where traditional society assumes the care of the aged and infirm? In these cases it is traditional society that will break down, horribly and irretrievably so. [...]

The rising elderly dependent ratio, that is, the proportion of pensioners in the general population, has given rise to a genre of apocalyptic literature in the West: governments will raise taxes, debase the currency, cut pensions and flail about hopelessly as the cost rises of supporting the rising number of aged. In the US, pensioners now are 18% of the population, but will become 33% by 2050, according to the United Nations' medium forecast. In other words, a full additional 15% of the population will require support from the remaining population.

Shifting a full 15% of the population from the ranks of the working to the ranks of the retired will place an uncomfortable burden on American taxpayers, to be sure. But the shift in the case of Muslim countries is much worse. Between 2005 and 2050, the shift from workers to pensioners will comprise 21% of Iranians, 19% of Turks and Indonesians, and 20% of Algerians. That is almost as bad as the German predicament, where the proportion of dependent elderly will rise from 28% in 2005 to 50% in 2050.

Each employed German worker will have to support a pensioner in 2050.


Spengler here, having convincingly demonstrated why Islamicism can not succeed, is needlessly alarmist. Places like Iran and China have to reform and become more like us to have any hope of thriving or else will collapse inwards on themselves. Their populations, if not their leaderships, seem eager for the former even if not fully cognizant of the latter. Thus the greatest threat is to the regimes, not to us.


MORE:
China's Rising Tide of Protest Sweeping Up Party Officials: Village Chiefs Share Anger Over Pollution (Edward Cody, September 12, 2005, Washington Post)

XIACHAOSHUI, China -- The first thing villagers noticed was the mud. Silt gradually thickened the waters of the Chaoshui River, they recalled, and before long fouled the rice paddies that provide them a meager but dependable living here in the rugged hills of central China.

By the beginning of this year, the fish had disappeared and the once-pristine water turned black. Women could no longer do the family laundry along the banks. Then, as the weather warmed this spring, the villagers said, children started coming down with skin rashes after taking a dip.

The reason their river was going bad, the villagers were told, was that scores of mines containing an industrial metal known as molybdenum had started operating in the hills upstream, sending waste down the river. Repeatedly, the villagers complained to county authorities, demanding that the mines be shut down or brought under control. But with mineral prices shooting up, the lure of profits was too much to resist. Thousands of small-scale miners -- some with permits, others sneaking in to work at night -- kept raking the mountainsides for ore and flushing what they did not need into the Chaoshui.

In May, the enraged villagers gave up on the government and decided to organize a raid on the mines. Over several frenzied hours, the wiry villagers used farm tools and their bare hands to destroy more than 200 mining sites, defying a local policeman who tried to rein in their fury.

What was remarkable about the raid was that the village Communist Party secretary and elected village chief declined to intervene, revealing a crack in the iron discipline traditionally enforced by government security organs and the party apparatus.

In the nearby village of Guideng, just three weeks earlier, another mob tore down mining facilities, in this case a pollution-spewing refinery for another metal, vanadium. They also reported passive complicity on the part of the Communist Party secretary and elected leader. And now a group of irate village leaders in this remote region have gone a step further, moving from passive complicity to active support of the peasant cause.

In a rare act of open defiance, the village leaders have joined forces against the central government in an unauthorized organization. They have threatened to resign en masse if authorities fail to take swift action. Unless something is done soon, the leaders said in a protest letter to Premier Wen Jiabao, more peasant violence will follow.

"If the central government cannot solve the problem, we will wait for a little while, and if they still have not solved the problem, we will destroy more of the factories," declared Hua Ruiqi, 55, elected leader of Aimen village.

The two eruptions of peasant violence in the hills near here offer a glimpse of a much larger wave of popular unrest. Thousands of protests break out every year in China's cities and villages, even though such demonstrations are prohibited. The protests have become a major concern for President Hu Jintao's government, which is anxious to prevent them from spreading and undermining stability and, ultimately, the Communist Party's hold on power.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THE RA'AFAT STANDARD:

Palestinians assume control of Gaza Strip (Anne Barnard, Globe Staff | September 12, 2005, Boston Globe)

Palestinian troops and cheering crowds rushed early today into abandoned Jewish settlements -- areas that had been closed to them for decades -- as Israel sent its last remaining troops out of the Gaza Strip in convoys.

At dawn, cars waved on by smiling Palestinian policemen sped down a road that the Israeli Army had blocked for five years, to the former settlement of Netzarim. There, a woman loaded scrap metal from a demolished Israeli guard tower onto a donkey cart while Palestinian police in blue camouflage lounged under trees. Nearby, black-masked Islamic Jihad militants and teenagers on bicycles surveyed the smoking rubble as a bulldozer tore into the pillars of a domed synagogue which had been burned overnight.

''I'm happy," said Fares Wahaidi, 56, whose house stands yards from the gap in the barbed-wire fence leading to the settlement. ''I didn't sleep all night."

''Today is the day of liberation," said Ehab al-Baz, 21, a supporter of the Islamic militant group Hamas who lives in the neighboring refugee camp of Nusseirat. [...]

Israel's Cabinet voted unanimously earlier yesterday to end its military rule over the Gaza Strip, which began when Israel captured the territory from Egypt in the 1967 Mideast war.

Dahlan and other Palestinian officials said Israel was wrong to say that its occupation of the strip was ending, because it still controls land, sea, and air access to the strip.

But Dahlan, one of the most powerful figures in the Palestinian Authority, the governing body for Palestinians, conceded that Israel's departure from the occupied territory was a historic moment.

Whether Palestinian security can keep order after the handover is a matter of concern; rival security forces and militant groups have clashed frequently, and militant factions have vowed to grab assets in the settlelments if the Authority does not share the benefits.

''I don't deny that there is a state of chaos," Dahlan said, noting that Israeli attacks on security forces during the recent intifada further weakened them. ''But after the withdrawal we are going to see substantial changes that will guarantee human rights, the rights of the Authority and the opposition, and the safety of the Palestinian citizen."

Farhana al-Louh, who gave her age as "60 or 70," said she already feels safer, sitting under a grape arbor at her house on the edge of what was once the Israeli settlement of Kfar Darom.

Until the Israeli pullout, they were under curfew from 9 p.m. to 6 a.m. every day. Frequently, Israeli soldiers would take over their house on security sweeps, making the women sit on the ground outside and taking the men away for security checks.

Once she watched a Palestinian with a bulldozer approach the settlement, contemplating an attack.

''I told him, 'God will not accept this. There are 30 children in the house. If you do it [the attack], they will kill us.' "

The man took the bulldozer away.

Israeli troops demolished the wall around the family's house and several extra rooms, fearing attackers could hide there. Ra'afat, Farhana's son, blames powerful Palestinians.

''The resistance shoots at the Israelis and they punish us," he said. ''But neither the Authority nor the resistance have given us a sack of flour."


Getting Gaza back was the easy part--now the leaders have to provide the flour.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

MAN ON A WHITE HORSE:

The Category 5 General: There's a Big Job to Be Done in New Orleans. Russel Honore Measures Up. (Lynne Duke, September 12, 2005, Washington Post)

There's the swagger, and that ever-present stogie. There's the height and heft of his physique. And that barking voice with its font of perhaps impolitic obscenities ("That's b.s," he famously asserted on national TV), not to mention his penchant for not suffering fools, as is the prerogative of a three-star general.

U.S. Army Lt. Gen. Russel L. Honore, 57, is the kind of commander you don't mess with, you don't cross, who punctuates pronouncements with barked questions like "Everybody got that?" And he's so steeped in military culture that he ends his televised sound bites as if ending an army radio transmission: "Over."

But it's for something far less idiosyncratic, far more visceral, that the troops on the battered streets of New Orleans hold him in high regard: He's a soldier's soldier, the man you want in the trenches with you, the kind of man who'll cover your back.

As he strides through a command center set up outside the shuttered and storm-battered Harrah's casino here on Saturday, that is why the troops want to shake his hand, look him in the eye and thank him even as he thanks them for their work.

He's wrapped his big mitts around the hand of Spec. Amy Firestone, a member of the quick reaction force from the 1345th Transportation Company of the Oklahoma National Guard. She served in the dreaded Superdome, packed with evacuees and mayhem.

"Did you see any murders?" the general asks her sympathetically.

"I seen some stabbings, sir," she confides, her voice dripping with regret over what she witnessed.

He pats her on the shoulder, saying, "Thank you for being a good soldier," and palms a 1st Army medallion into her hand as a keepsake as he moves on to the crowd of troops and cops who have gravitated to him.

Mayor Ray Nagin called Honore (pronounced ah-NOR-ay) "one John Wayne dude" when the general arrived here after the storm and started taking charge. It seemed the city had spiraled out of anyone's control when the 6-foot-2 general with the pencil mustache and caramel skin appeared from obscurity and threw his weight against the mayhem. [...]

He has spoken to the media so often that he has honed his message, his preferred lines (which his aides say he devised himself). He repeatedly says, as he did in an appearance with Allen, that "the storm turned back technology 80 years" in the region by knocking out all communication systems and that the region's first responders were themselves victims.

And, fending off early criticism of the federal government's response to the crisis, he says, "It's like the first quarter of a football game. You're losing 25 to nothing. What in the hell is the coach gonna do?

"You can beat [the players] up and tell them how stupid and dumb they are and degrade them," he continues, or you can take a new tact, find new approaches and remember "there's still three quarters of the game left."


September 11, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:52 PM

WE'RE NOT GOOD AT STILL OR SILENCE:

Katrina: Not God's Wrath--or His Will: The Hebrew Bible doesn't say God is omnipotent. When disaster strikes, he cries with the rest of us. (Dr. Tony Campolo, BeliefNet)

Perhaps we would do well to listen to the likes of Rabbi Harold Kushner, who contends that God is not really as powerful as we have claimed. Nowhere in the Hebrew Scriptures does it say that God is omnipotent. Kushner points out that omnipotence is a Greek philosophical concept, but it is not in his Bible. Instead, the Hebrew Bible contends that God is mighty. That means that God is a greater force in the universe than all the other forces combined.

In scripture we get the picture of a cosmic struggle going on between the forces of darkness and the forces of light. The good news is that, in the end, God will be victorious. That is why we can sing in the Hallelujah Chorus, "the kingdoms of this world [will] become the Kingdom of our Lord."

Personally, I contend that the best thing for us to do in the aftermath of Katrina is to remain silent, and not try to explain this tragedy. Instead of asking "Why?" we should be asking, "What does God want us to do now?" The loving God calls all believers in the face of Katrina’s devastation to seek ways to express love in concrete ways towards those who have lost friends and family members; and to those who have lost homes along with most of their earthly belongings.

In the Bible, we read this passage: "And he said, Go forth, and stand upon the mount before the LORD. And, behold, the LORD passed by, and a great and strong wind rent the mountains, and brake in pieces the rocks before the LORD; but the LORD was not in the wind: and after the wind an earthquake; but the LORD was not in the earthquake: And after the earthquake a fire; but the LORD was not in the fire: and after the fire a still small voice." (I Kings 19:11-12)

Instead of looking for God in the earthquake or the tsunami, in the roaring forest fires blazing in the western states, or in the mighty winds of Katrina, it would be best to seek out a quiet place and heed the promptings of God’s still small voice. That voice will inspire us to bring some of God’s goodness to bear in the lives of those who suffer.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:46 PM

PROMISE THAT NOTHING WILL EVER CHANGE:

Schröder in surprise comeback to close poll gap with Merkel (Luke Harding, September 12, 2005, Guardian)

Chancellor Gerhard Schröder is closing the gap on his conservative rival, Angela Merkel, according to the latest opinion polls, making it increasingly possible that the challenger could be forced into a "grand coalition" with the ruling Social Democrats (SPD). [...]

Together, Germany's left parties now have 49.5% of the vote, compared with 47.7% for Mrs Merkel's coalition, according to the Emnid institute poll. The gap is enough to stop Mrs Merkel forming a centre-right government with the CDU's Bavarian sister party, the CSU, and junior coalition partner the FDP.

She is still likely to become Germany's chancellor next week. But her initial lead in the polls started to ebb away following a row over her appointment of Paul Kirchhof as shadow finance minister. The SPD launched a brutally effective campaign against Mr Kirchhof, a former constitutional judge, portraying his plans for a 25% flat tax as unjust and a gift to the rich.

The FDP last night joined the critics of Mr Kirchhof's plans. FDP chairman Guido Westerwelle told a party rally that tax cuts would do not help reduce Germany's high unemployment rate.


These opposition parties outside the Anglosphere need to learn that the path to power lies in opposing reform, not proposing more of it.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:36 PM

I'M AFRAID FOR THE LEVEES, CAN'T SLEEP AT NIGHT:

The fetid aroma of hindsight: Recriminations are all the rage today. But really, does anyone ever pay attention to the prophets of doom until it's too late? (Michael Kinsley, September 11, 2005, LA Times)

AS A GOOD AMERICAN, you no doubt have been worried sick for years about the levees around New Orleans. Or you've been worried at least since you read that official report in August 2001 — the one that ranked a biblical flood of the Big Easy as one of our top three potential national emergencies. No? You didn't read that report in 2001? You just read about it in the newspapers this last week?

Well, how about that prescient New Orleans Times-Picayune series in 2002 that laid out the whole likely catastrophe? Everybody read that one. Or at least it sure seems that way now. I was not aware that the Times-Picayune had such a large readership in places like Washington, D.C., and California. And surely you have been badgering public officials at every level of government to spend whatever it takes to reinforce those levees — and to raise your taxes if necessary to pay for it.

No? You never gave five seconds of thought to the risk of flooding in New Orleans until it became impossible to think about anything else? Me neither. Nor have I given much thought to the risk of a big earthquake along the West Coast — the only one of the top three catastrophes that hasn't happened yet — even though I live and work in the earthquake zone.

Of course, my job isn't to predict and prepare for disasters. My job is to recriminate when they occur. It's not easy. These days the recriminations business is overrun with amateurs, who are squatting on all the high ground. The fetid aroma of hindsight is everywhere.


It nearly masks the stench from folks who "knew" the WMD were gone.


MORE:
No shame: The federal response to Katrina was not as portrayed (Jack Kelly, September 11, 2005, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette)

It is settled wisdom among journalists that the federal response to the devastation wrought by Hurricane Katrina was unconscionably slow.

"Mr. Bush's performance last week will rank as one of the worst ever during a dire national emergency," wrote New York Times columnist Bob Herbert in a somewhat more strident expression of the conventional wisdom.

But the conventional wisdom is the opposite of the truth.

Jason van Steenwyk is a Florida Army National Guardsman who has been mobilized six times for hurricane relief. He notes that:

"The federal government pretty much met its standard time lines, but the volume of support provided during the 72-96 hour was unprecedented. The federal response here was faster than Hugo, faster than Andrew, faster than Iniki, faster than Francine and Jeanne."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:35 PM

FOURTH TIME FOR THE THIRD WAY:

Koizumi's LDP wins big: Party on track for 300 seats; DPJ gets drubbing (Japan Times, 9/12/05)

Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi and his Liberal Democratic Party cruised to victory Sunday, handily winning a majority in the 480-seat House of Representatives and giving him a mandate to push ahead with postal privatization.

In contrast, the Democratic Party of Japan, the main opposition force, was battered in the election. It was expected to fall short of the 177 seats it held going into the race, and its leader, Katsuya Okada, indicated later in the evening that he would step down.

"The general public determined that postal privatization was a just argument," Koizumi, who is also LDP president, said Sunday night in declaring victory.

"The results were just as I had expected."

Okada meanwhile bluntly said, "It is only natural that the leader bear responsibility" for an election loss. "I apologize for not being able to bring about a change of government."

As of 1:15 a.m. Monday, the LDP had won 290 seats, while the DPJ had secured 107.

Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi places a paper rose above the name of a successful Liberal Democratic Party candidate at LDP headquarters in Tokyo on Sunday.

Together with its coalition partner, New Komeito, which had won 30 seats, the ruling coalition easily cleared the 241 seats needed to hold a majority in the Lower House.

By 1:15 a.m., 13 postal rebels had won back their seats.

By single-handedly securing more than 269 seats -- the number needed to ensure smooth Diet sailing -- the LDP will have a majority in all Lower House committees even after it takes all chairman posts.

The last time the LDP won a single-handed majority in the Lower House was in the February 1990 election. It had never won a majority of the seats since the current electoral system centering on single-seat districts was introduced in 1996.


Mr. Koizumi joins Tony Blair, George W. Bush, and John Howard in sending a once meaningful opposition off into political oblivion by proposing free market reforms to the traditional welfare state.


MORE:
Japan’s voters back Koizumi (The Economist, Sep 12th 2005)

EVERYBODY knows what is going to happen next. Junichiro Koizumi told the public repeatedly and emphatically that he wanted the election on Sunday September 11th to be about one issue: Japan Post. This giant receives subsidised postal-savings deposits and life-insurance premiums from tens of millions of Japanese citizens through its 24,700 branches, and thus controls a staggering ¥330 trillion ($3 trillion) in household financial assets. Mr Koizumi, the prime minister, wants to privatise it, and billed this election as a referendum on his idea. Japan’s voters have now given him overwhelming support, electing members of his two-party coalition to 327 of parliament’s 480 seats. Some time this autumn, the new parliament is expected to approve Mr Koizumi’s most cherished reform.

Japan’s stockmarket leapt on the news. The Nikkei rose by 1.6% on Monday, adding to the 7% that it had gained in the month leading up to the vote as the economic outlook grew brighter and as Mr Koizumi’s lead in opinion polls widened. Investors also applauded revised economic figures that were released on the same day, showing that GDP grew at an annual rate of 3.3%, more than previously announced, in the second quarter.

The election victory was a stunning vindication for Mr Koizumi, who clearly knew what he was doing when he decided to dissolve parliament’s lower house in early August.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:26 PM

IT'S NOTHING YOU WON'T READ IN THE NATION OR THE GUARDIAN (via obc):

Jews and Freemasons controlled war on Iraq, says No 10 adviser (Toby Helm, 12/09/2005, Daily Telegraph)

Tony Blair decided to wage war on Iraq after coming under the influence of a "sinister" group of Jews and Freemasons, a Muslim barrister who advises the Prime Minister has claimed.

Ahmad Thomson, from the Association of Muslim Lawyers, said Mr Blair was the latest in a long line of politicians to have been influenced by the group which saw the attack on Saddam Hussein as a way to control the Middle East. [...]

Mr Thomson wrote a book in 1994 in which he said Freemasons and Jews controlled the governments of Europe and America and described the claim that six million Jews died in the Holocaust as a "big lie". In The Next World Order, Mr Thomson, a Muslim convert who was born Martin Thomson in Rhodesia, wrote: "When the majority of people in a predominantly Christian society cease to worship God, the result is fascism.

"When the people in a predominantly Jewish society cease to worship God, the result is either communism or capitalism. A predominantly Christian society is concerned primarily with establishing a political ideology, whilst a predominantly Jewish society is concerned primarily with establishing an economic system."

This, he suggested, led to the rise of Adolf Hitler. Mr Thomson, who was called to the bar in 1979, wrote: "The fascism of Hitler was the Christian element in the increasingly "Jewish" environment in which he and his followers found themselves."


You can always tell the real nutters -- Jewish/Masonic conspiracy theorists being quite run of the mill -- because they think Nazism was Christian.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:58 PM

DISRUPTIVE CREATION:

'Disruptive technology' key to creating growth, scholar tells Japan (TAKASHI KITAZUME, 9/12/05, Japan Times)

If you want to beat the industry leaders, you shouldn't try to outperform them in an established market, but "disrupt" them by creating a situation where they want to flee from you.

And if you want to create a new growth business, you should start by competing against nonconsumption, by offering products and services so simple and affordable that people who lacked access to them will be delighted to use them, even they may be low-quality at first.

This is the growth-creation advice to Japan offered by Harvard Business School professor Clayton Christensen, who discussed "disruptive technology" at Keidanren Kaikan on Sept. 2 in a seminar organized by the Keizai Koho Center.

According to the professor, the incumbent leaders of an industry will "almost always" survive the fight over sustaining innovations in the established market. "The leaders figure out a way" to make better products they can sell for higher profits to their best customers, he said.

"But every once in a while we see a different kind of technology come into an industry, and we call this a 'disruptive technology,' " Christensen said.

Such a technology is disruptive not because it brings about a breakthrough in performance, but because it redefines the market by introducing a product that is not as good as what the leaders make but is simple and affordable and can improve later to meet the needs of mainstream customers, he explained.

"And what we learn is that, almost always, entrant companies win the battles of disruptive innovation," he said. [...]

In the auto industry, for example, he said that Toyota, Nissan and Honda sold low-price, low-quality cars in the 1960s that drove their American competitors into higher segments of the vehicle market. Nippon Steel, Sony, Seiko and Canon did the same thing.

"Now each one of those Japanese companies is now at the high end of the market, making finest-quality products in the world," he said.

The question is: What they would do if there was no room for growth at the high end?

When the American companies got stuck in the high end of the market after being disrupted by Japanese competitors, their employees left and collected venture capital to start new waves of disruptive growth, the professor said.

"So even though the individual companies stalled and began to fail, the (American) economy kept going because we could start new waves of growth business," he said.

However, the Japanese economy as it is today is not structured to start new waves of growth business, Christensen warned. "Venture capital does not work well here, employees tend not to be willing to leave their employers, and so if Japan played the game once, the game is essentially finished."


Which is why developed nations don't manufacture stuff--there's always someone coming along behind who'll make essentially the same stuff but cheaper.


MORE:
-INTERVIEW: Disruption is Good (Apr. 1, 2001, CIO Magazine )

So what can managers do once they know about the concept of disruptive innovations? Your recent research mentions a few litmus tests that CIOs might apply to recognize them.

The first question CIOs should ask is, Does this technology innovation constitute a threat to me or is it in fact a great growth opportunity? If you look back in history, the disruptees always viewed new technology as a threat. In reality, they were all poised on the brink of a big growth opportunity. But because the way they reacted was first to discount this innovation as meaningful and second to frame it as a threat, they ended up getting killed. So the first thing is to look at disruptive technology as a growth opportunity and not as a threat.

Now, there is a problem with this. There's a lot of work in cognitive psychology that suggests that if you take a phenomenon to somebody and pose it to him as a threat, it elicits a far deeper response than if you take the very same phenomenon and pose it as an opportunity. So there are deep reasons why people frame change as a threat. In fact, if a manager hopes to elicit an aggressive response, framing it as a threat is almost critical.

It's in the pursuit of the growth opportunities that these litmus tests can really become relevant. One of the litmus tests is that, in almost every case, a disruptive technology enables a larger population of less skilled people to do things that historically only an expert could do. And to do it in a more convenient setting. In hundreds of industries, this is a very common characteristic. So whenever CIOs are looking at an investment, they just need to remember that sometime in the future, somebody is going to figure out a way for an even less skilled population of people to do the job that now more skilled people have to do.


Capturing the Upside (Clayton Christensen, IT Conversations)
-Q&A: Clayton Christensen on "Innovator's Dilemmas" and "Innovator's No-Brainers": The Harvard B-school prof and author talks about how the Net changes the rules of business (Business Week, March 15, 1999)
- The Industrialized Revolution: Clay Christensen's idea of "disruptive innovation" made him the unintended mascot of the dotcom boom. So what's he thinking now? (Polly LaBarre, November 2003, Fast Company)


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:54 PM

POWER PACK:

Power walking: Scientists in the US have invented a back-pack that converts the up and down motion of walking into electricity. The device can generate 7.4 watts and could be used by field scientists, aid workers and soldiers to power mobile phones, GPS instruments and other devices without having to carry heavy replacement batteries (Belle Dumé, 9/09/05, PhysicsWeb)

"We have for the first time generated significant levels of electricity from normal human movement," says Lawrence Rome of the University of Pennsylvania and the Marine Biological Laboratory in Massachusetts. Previous attempts to generate electricity from walking relied on devices built into shoes but this only produced about 20 milliwatts of power. Although high forces are exerted when the shoe touches the ground, little or no mechanical work - which is given by the product of force and distance - is done because of the short distances involved.

To overcome this problem, Rome and colleagues exploit the up and down movement of the hips that occurs during walking, which can be as high as 5--7 centimetres. "If you are carrying a load in the back-pack, it has to go up and down the same vertical distance on each step as your hip," explains Rome. The team calculated that it takes considerable mechanical work - about 18 Joules per step - to lift a backpack weighing 36 kilograms through a distance of 5 centimetres. This mechanical work can then be converted into electricity.

The new back-pack is based on a rigid-frame pack similar to those used by hikers.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:50 PM

BOO, HISS (via Robert Schwartz):

Ang Lee Film Tops Venice Festival Awards (DOMENICO STINELLIS, 9/10/05, Associated Press)

Ang Lee's tale of the homosexual love between two cowboys set in the conservative West of the 1960s won the Venice Film Festival's top award Saturday.

"Brokeback Mountain," starring Heath Ledger and Jake Gyllenhaal, topped 19 other competitors, including favorite "Good Night, and Good Luck," George Clooney's black-and-white movie set in the McCarthy era of the early 1950s.

Receiving the Golden Lion award, Lee described his movie as a "great American love story" that is "unique and so universal."

"I'm so glad it's prevailed here and was received so warmly here," he said.


Lionizing gays and Commies may be just the ticket in Europe, but it seems unlikely to end Hollywood's slump with Americans.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:45 PM

BETTER SORRY THAN "SAFE":

THE POSSE COMITATUS ACT: A PRINCIPLE IN NEED OF RENEWAL: 75 Wash. U. L.Q. 953 (Matthew Carlton Hammond, Summer 1997, Washington University Law Quarterly)

In response to the military presence in the Southern States during the Reconstruction Era, Congress passed the Posse Comitatus Act ("PCA" or the "Act") to prohibit the use of the Army in civilian law enforcement. The Act embodies the traditional American principle of separating civilian and military authority and currently forbids the use of the Army and Air Force to enforce civilian laws. In the last fifteen years, Congress has deliberately eroded this principle by involving the military in drug interdiction at our borders. This erosion will continue unless Congress renews the PCA's principle to preserve the necessary and traditional separation of civilian and military authority.

The need for reaffirmation of the PCA's principle is increasing because in recent years, Congress and the public have seen the military as a panacea for domestic problems. Within one week of the bombing of the federal building in Oklahoma City, President Clinton proposed an exception to the PCA to allow the military to aid civilian authorities in investigations involving "weapons of mass destruction." In addition to this proposal Congress also considered legislation to directly involve federal troops in enforcing customs and immigration laws at the border. In the 1996 presidential campaign, candidate Bob Dole pledged to increase the role of the military in the drug war, and candidate Lamar Alexander even proposed replacing the Immigration and Naturalization Service and the Border Patrol with a new branch of the armed forces.

The growing haste and ease with which the military is considered a panacea for domestic problems will quickly undermine the PCA if it remains unchecked. Minor exceptions to the PCA can quickly expand to become major exceptions. For example in 1981, Congress created an exception to the PCA to allow military involvement in drug interdiction at our borders. Then in 1989, Congress designated the Department of Defense as the "single lead agency" in drug interdiction efforts.

The PCA criminalizes, effectively prohibiting, the use of the Army or the Air Force as a posse comitatus to execute the laws of the United States. It reads:

Whoever, except in cases and under circumstances expressly authorized by the Constitution or Act of Congress, willfully uses any part of the Army or Air Force as a posse comitatus or otherwise to execute the laws shall be fined under this title or imprisoned not more than two years, or both.

Though a criminal law, the PCA has a more important role as a statement of policy that embodies "the traditional Anglo-American principle of separation of military and civilian spheres of authority, one of the fundamental precepts of our form of government."

Major and minor exceptions to the PCA, which allow the use of the military in law enforcement roles, blur the line between military and civilian roles, undermine civilian control of the military, damage military readiness, and inefficiently solve the problems that they supposedly address. Additionally, increasing the role of the military would strengthen the federal law enforcement apparatus that is currently under close scrutiny for overreaching its authority. Although it seems benign, such an increase in military authority revives fears of past overreaching during the late 1960s.

This Note argues that the principle embodied by the PCA should be renewed by rejecting exceptions to the Act and reaffirming the policy behind its inception. This renewal is necessary to preserve the historic division between civilian and military roles, to maintain civilian superiority over the military, to enhance military readiness, and to efficiently attack domestic problems. Part II reviews the historical traditional American fear of a standing army and the circumstances leading to the PCA's passage. Part III discusses the current scope of the PCA and the permissible roles of the military. Part IV explains how exceptions to the PCA endanger its underlying principle. The explanation covers the spectrum of possible exceptions to the PCA: drug interdiction, border duty, and biological and chemical weapons investigations. Part V proposes legislative action to reaffirm the policy of the PCA and to limit to any further exceptions to it.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:55 PM

BY THE WAY:

Cindy Sheehan.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:49 PM

NOTHING BEATS THE THUNK THEY MAKE RINGING OFF YOUR BROTHER'S MELON:

I rediscover the joys of chestnuts (Andrea Marcusa, 9/12/05, CS Monitor)

I hadn't noticed chestnuts for years. But there they were: high up, pale green, swinging from the tree branches, and dropping with a thunk onto the sidewalk. Most of them landed intact, their thorny exteriors protecting the treasure that lay within. "They're chestnuts," I said to my sons, Mike and Daniel.

Mike hopped off the back of the stroller while Daniel twisted around to see his brother stoop over and examine the spiked sphere.

"Go ahead, stomp on it," I said. Mike touched it with the toe of his sneaker.

"No, harder," I urged.

He pressed his heel down and the green ball exposed only the white flesh inside. He looked up puzzled.

"Like this," I said, and showed him how.

My swift step produced a shiny reddish-brown prize. "That's a chestnut."

Mike bent over and seized it. "Chestnut! It's so shiny."

Daniel strained under his stroller harness. I unbuckled him, and the two ran up and down the walkway finding chestnuts to stomp on.

"Big one," said Daniel, as he held a chestnut in his small fingers.

"This one has two," Mike said, as he stuffed them into his bulging pockets.

I suddenly felt a thrill that I had stopped experiencing a long time ago. An old joy had returned.


The real thrill comes when you realize they're nature's perfect weapon.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:38 PM

SPEAKING JOSEPH'S LANGUAGE:

Africa's peace seekers: Lazaro Sumbeiywo: Kenya's top general brought the wisdom of a tribal chief and the ingenuity of a modern mediator to negotiations that ended Sudan's 21-year civil war. (Abraham McLaughlin, 9/12/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

Until a single phone call from the president of Kenya changed the trajectory of his life, Lazaro Sumbeiywo had spent the whole of his illustrious career focused on making war.

When the phone rang in his office in October 2001, this towering son of a village chief was Kenya's top general.

"I have an offer for you," he recalls the president saying, "and I order you not to refuse."

General Sumbeiywo was fiercely loyal to then-President Daniel arap Moi. During a 1982 coup attempt, he'd raced to Mr. Moi's home to protect him. Off and on since 1987, he had sometimes been involved with the Sudan negotiations. But the president's order caught him off guard.

"I want you to find peace in Sudan," Moi said.

The general was dumbstruck. This was Africa's longest civil war - a seemingly intractable 18-year conflict between Muslim Arab northerners and mostly Christian black southerners. Some 2 million people had died. Four million had been forced to flee their homes. And at least five major peacemaking efforts over 13 years had failed. Yet if peace could be found in oil-rich and populous Sudan, it could usher in a new era of trade and prosperity in neighboring Kenya and across northeast Africa.

After stammering something, Sumbeiywo hung up. Then, he phoned back to try to reject the assignment. But Moi wouldn't take the call. So, Sumbeiywo did the only thing he could think of: He started a three-day fast "to get very close to God."

It was not the last time he would seek divine help. Over the next 3-1/2 grueling years of peace talks, he would muster the persistence of the biblical Joseph, the wisdom of an African chief, and the ingenuity of a modern mediator. And eventually the process he led would become what many now see as a gold standard for making peace in Africa.

"General Sumbeiywo should win the Nobel Peace Prize," says former Sen. John Danforth, who was President Bush's special envoy to Sudan from 2001 to 2004. "His ability to stay there in the talks and be an honest broker - and to listen to all the back and forth over such a long period of time - was essential, and was very largely responsible for the result," says Senator Danforth by phone from St. Louis. [...]

The two sides were achingly close to a breakthrough late in 2004. But Sudanese Vice President Ali Osman Taha was threatening to walk out of the talks. There was nothing left to discuss, he insisted. The wily rebel leader John Garang - who had led the fight against the Sudanese government for nearly two decades - was being completely unreasonable, he said.

Sumbeiywo had seen this kind of brinkmanship before. One side or the other would pack their bags and send them to the hotel lobby - only to return to the table. But this time Mr. Taha seemed to mean it. His personal plane was en route and had been cleared to land at the airport near the Kenyan resort town of Naivasha. Sumbeiywo and his staff were desperate. They started using every "back channel and front channel" they could think of, Page recalls.

And Sumbeiywo played his strongest ace: Colin Powell.

He phoned Washington, asking the US secretary of State to help.

Mr. Powell was soon working the phones, calling Messrs Taha and Garang, as he often did, within an hour of each other. "We can't miss this opportunity," Powell recalls telling them, in a recent phone interview.

Powell had leverage because ever since Sept. 11, 2001, Sudan's government was desperate to please the US. Back in the 1990s it had hosted Osama bin Laden and other terrorists. It now feared its "terrorist haven" label and economic pariah status would continue. Or worse, that the US might invade.

Powell's pressure worked. After "a few really tense moments," Page says, Taha agreed to stay.

That moment in the process was emblematic of how the US and other outside players acted as force-multipliers to Sumbeiywo's efforts. Although they sometimes pushed too hard, Sumbeiywo says, having Powell, Danforth, and President Bush backing him was crucial. [...]

The moment-by-moment midwifing of a peace process by a single mediator - like Sumbeiywo and Betty Bigombe in Uganda - represents a shift away from the old pattern of peacemaking in Africa, experts say. It used to be that high-profile heads of state would swoop in to a troubled country and try to knock heads to get a deal. That's what Nelson Mandela, then president of South Africa, did in Burundi in the 1990s. The trouble is that "you've got eight minutes to make peace" before the big man gets back on the plane, says Peter Kagwanja of the International Crisis Group in Pretoria, South Africa. By contrast, he says, "the Sumbeiywos have nothing else to do but negotiate."

But these peace seekers need lots of support.

And Sumbeiywo had it from global players like the US. But he was actually employed by a regional group of seven nations called the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD). Increasingly, observers say, it's groups like IGAD, the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), and the African Union that are stepping up to solve Africa's conflicts. The African Union, for instance, is sponsoring peace talks to end the Darfur crisis. And it's the only outside organization with troops on the ground in Darfur.

"Having a strong African leader, with the confidence of regional governments, who's backed by high-level envoys from countries that matter" - like the US - is "the model for conflict resolution in Africa," says John Prendergast in the International Crisis Group's Washington office. "You've got to get the process right." And, he says, Sumbeiywo did.


Just one of the many ways that 9-11 blew up in the al Qaedists' faces. The NY Times Magazine is just one of the Left/MSM publications that ran stories today claiming that al Qaeda was winning the WoT, which just demonstrates how little attention they've paid to ought but their own navels. Meanwhile, al Qaeda itself knows it's losing, New Al Qaeda tape hints at frustration: In the tape, 'Azam the American' threatens attacks against Melbourne, Los Angeles. (Gretchen Peters and Howard LaFranchi, 9/12/05, CS Monitor)
Al Qaeda has marked the fourth anniversary of the Sept. 11 attacks on New York and Washington with a warning of future strikes in Los Angeles and Melbourne, and this rebuke to the American people: You don't get what we're fighting for. [...]

For some US analysts, the frustration expressed in the most recent tape is more a reflection of the failings of Al Qaeda since the success of their Sept. 11 attacks than of the world's inability to understand their cause.

"Once again this expresses Al Qaeda's complete naivete about the real impact of their actions," says Michael O'Hanlon, a military affairs analyst at the Brookings Institution in Washington. [...]

For O'Hanlon, the expectation that a group can go around the world "targeting innocent people, and then expect those same people to see the rightness of its cause is just absurd thinking." What that suggests to him, is that "Osama bin Laden is not the mastermind of hearts-and-minds warfare that he is often portrayed to be."

Others say the frustration expressed in the tape probably reflects more than anything the reality of an Al Qaeda that is unable, four years after Sept. 11, to mount a terrorist action in the US at will.

"Had the terrorists had any residual ability to strike in the US they would have done it in the wake of Katrina and with the 9/11 anniversary, but all they could do was make a tape," says Ralph Peters, a retired Army intelligence office and terrorism expert.

The real source of frustration for the Al Qaeda leadership, Mr. Peters says, is that "9/11 has backfired horribly on them. What's infuriating them is that they have failed to gain traction in the Muslim regions where they thought they would."

Just back from a swing through east Africa, Peters says he saw repeated signs of Al Qaeda's failure to raise anything beyond occasional individual interest.

"Since 9/11, Al Qaeda has not been able to excite a mass international movement," Peters says. "Their frustration, despite their occasional success at mounting a dramatic operation or inspiring other groups to do one, is that no matter what they do, on the broader scale they are unable to make progress."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:16 PM

THE DEVILS OF OUR WORST NATURES:

How Bush Blew It:
Bureaucratic timidity. Bad phone lines. And a failure of imagination. Why the government was so slow to respond to catastrophe. (Evan Thomas, 9/19/05, Newsweek)

It's a standing joke among the president's top aides: who gets to deliver the bad news? Warm and hearty in public, Bush can be cold and snappish in private, and aides sometimes cringe before the displeasure of the president of the United States, or, as he is known in West Wing jargon, POTUS. The bad news on this early morning, Tuesday, Aug. 30, some 24 hours after Hurricane Katrina had ripped through New Orleans, was that the president would have to cut short his five-week vacation by a couple of days and return to Washington. The president's chief of staff, Andrew Card; his deputy chief of staff, Joe Hagin; his counselor, Dan Bartlett, and his spokesman, Scott McClellan, held a conference call to discuss the question of the president's early return and the delicate task of telling him. Hagin, it was decided, as senior aide on the ground, would do the deed.

The president did not growl this time. He had already decided to return to Washington and hold a meeting of his top advisers on the following day, Wednesday. This would give them a day to get back from their vacations and their staffs to work up some ideas about what to do in the aftermath of the storm. President Bush knew the storm and its consequences had been bad; but he didn't quite realize how bad. [...]

Most presidents keep a devil's advocate around. Lyndon Johnson had George Ball on Vietnam; President Ronald Reagan and Bush's father, George H.W. Bush, grudgingly listened to the arguments of Budget Director Richard Darman, who told them what they didn't wish to hear: that they would have to raise taxes. When Hurricane Katrina struck, it appears there was no one to tell President Bush the plain truth: that the state and local governments had been overwhelmed, that the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) was not up to the job and that the military, the only institution with the resources to cope, couldn't act without a declaration from the president overriding all other authority.

The war in Iraq was a failure of intelligence. The government's response to Katrina—like the failure to anticipate that terrorists would fly into buildings on 9/11—was a failure of imagination. On Tuesday, within 24 hours of the storm's arrival, Bush needed to be able to imagine the scenes of disorder and misery that would, two days later, shock him when he watched the evening news. He needed to be able to see that New Orleans would spin into violence and chaos very quickly if the U.S. government did not take charge—and, in effect, send in the cavalry, which in this case probably meant sending in a brigade from a combat outfit, like the 82nd Airborne, based in Fort Bragg, N.C., and prepared to deploy anywhere in the world in 18 hours.


Even as hindsight this is ridiculous. Any president who was prepared to send combat troops to an American city every time there was a disaster would be more dangerous than nature itself. And the idea that Dick Darman did the men he served or the nation a favor by getting them to raise taxes is just reflexive liberal tripe. If you're going to have a Devil's advocate you'd better realize his counsel is evil.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:50 AM

UP IN SMOKE:

Ditch Holocaust day, advisers urge Blair (Abul Taher, 9/11/05, Times of London)

ADVISERS appointed by Tony Blair after the London bombings are proposing to scrap the Jewish Holocaust Memorial Day because it is regarded as offensive to Muslims.

They want to replace it with a Genocide Day that would recognise the mass murder of Muslims in Palestine, Chechnya and Bosnia as well as people of other faiths.


Why not cut to the chase and have a pro-Holocaust Day?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:31 AM

JUST ONE MORE THING NOT TO BLAME SOMEONE FOR:

Up for grabs: Sociologists question how much looting and mayhem really took place in New Orleans (Christopher Shea, September 11, 2005, Boston Globe)

BY NOW THE IMAGES and stories of looting and mayhem in New Orleans--the residents ''shopping" for nonessentials in an abandoned Wal-Mart, alleged rapes in the Superdome, a shot fired at a rescue helicopter--have been burned into the brain of every television watcher and newspaper reader in America. But do they give us an accurate picture of the aftermath of the flood?

In fact, if criminal violence were indeed rampant in New Orleans after Katrina hit (setting aside the taking of food, water, bandages, and other necessities of survival), that would contradict much of what sociologists have learned in a half century of research about such situations. ''The evidence is overwhelming," says Enrico Quarantelli, an emeritus professor of sociology and the founding director of the Disaster Research Center at the University of Delaware, ''that in the standard natural disaster or technological disaster"--like a chemical spill--''you're not going to get looting."

Many observers have found the footage of looting and reports of crime to be, in the words of New York Times columnist Nicholas D. Kristof, ''one of the most dispiriting" aspect of the tragedy. Slate's William Saletan went so far as to call it ''a second-wave destructive force" that must be anticipated in future disaster planning. Yet Quarantelli and a half-dozen other experts on disaster aftermaths and crowd behavior contacted last week insisted that follow-up investigations will reveal that the impression of Hobbesian violence in New Orleans over the past two weeks was created in large part by rumor and amplified by sometimes credulous reporters. The scholars' suspicions are fueled by what they say is a well-documented history of misinformation during disasters--and a general human tendency to misread crowds, even violent ones, as more malevolent than they really are.


Don't bother folks while they're constructing a storyline that lets them blame the government for not responding as they'd have liked.


MORE:
Governor Defends Louisiana's 'Exit Plan' (JIM VERTUNO, September 11, 2005, The Associated Press)

Louisiana had a "well thought-out exit plan" in the days before Hurricane Katrina, and many more lives would have been lost without it, Louisiana Gov. Kathleen Blanco said Sunday. [...]

"We did a massive evacuation, and if we hadn't we would have had thousands of deaths. Right now, the numbers are minimal when you consider the amount of damage."

As she has before, Blanco, a Democrat, refused to blame President Bush, a Republican.

"Help in those critical moments was slow in coming, not through any fault of the president," she said.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:40 AM

OVER THE RAINBOW:

Lack of plan hurt Katrina-hit states' response (Dara Kam, Alan Gomez, September 10, 2005, Palm Beach Post)

One thing Florida knows is hurricanes.

Florida emergency planners criticized and even rebuked their counterparts -- or what passes for emergency planners -- in those states for their handling of Hurricane Katrina. Gov. Jeb Bush, the head of Florida AHCA and the head of Florida wildlife (which is responsible for all search and rescue) all said they made offers of aid to Mississippi and Louisiana the day before Katrina hit but were rebuffed. After the storm, they said they've had to not only help provide people to those states but also have had to develop search and rescue plans for them. "They were completely unprepared -- as bad off as we were before Andrew," one Florida official said.

And how Louisiana and Mississippi officials have handled Hurricane Katrina is a far cry from what emergency managers here would have done. Mississippi was in the middle of rewriting its disaster plan when Katrina struck. Officials there were still analyzing what went wrong during Hurricane Dennis earlier this year when Katrina overtook them. Search teams from Florida were rescuing Mississippi victims before law enforcement officers there were even aware of the magnitude of the disaster.

Louisiana also lacked an adequate plan to evacuate New Orleans, despite years of research that predicted a disaster equal to or worse than Katrina. Even after a disaster test run last year exposed weaknesses in evacuation and recovery, officials failed to come up with solutions.

"They're where we were in 1992, exactly," said Col. Julie Jones, director of law enforcement for the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission, in a reference to Florida's state of emergency preparedness before Hurricane Andrew devastated southern Miami-Dade County. Since then, Florida has created what many consider a model emergency management system, initially developed by the late Gov. Lawton Chiles in response to Andrew and beefed up considerably by Gov. Jeb Bush in response to more than a dozen storms that have hit the state since he took office in 1998, including a record four hurricanes last year.

The state, under Bush, has learned even from storms that did not hit here. Bush was mortified by the long, stalled lines of cars fleeing from Hurricane Floyd in 1999 and ordered a study of evacuation alternatives that led to the state's current plan to convert certain highways to northern-only routes.

Meanwhile, Florida's western neighbors haven't faced as many storms, and their emergency preparedness apparently has not evolved as Florida's has.


No sense being ready until it's happened at least once...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:38 AM

CROSS HER OFF THE LIST:

The Next Madame Justice (Robert D. Novak, September 11, 2005, Conservative Voice)

The belief in legal and political circles is that President Bush will name a conservative woman, and the front-runner is Federal Appellate Judge Priscilla Owen (5th Circuit, Austin, Texas).

According to White House sources, Bush met secretly with Owen last week. [...]

Appellate Judge Edith Clement (5th Circuit, New Orleans) was the runner-up to Roberts in the first selection process, but the word in legal circles is that she did not do well in her interview with the president and now is out of the picture. Appellate Judge Edith Jones (5th Circuit, Houston) has been mentioned for the Supreme Court for a decade and at 56 is near the outer age limit. New names are Appellate Judge Karen Williams (4th Circuit, Orangeburg, S.C.), one of the most conservative federal judges, and Michigan Supreme Court Justice Maura Corrigan.

Priscilla Owen is viewed as the strongest choice and, at age 50, able to guarantee a conservative court for 20 years. She was a petroleum industry lawyer in 1994 when Republicans tapped her to run for the Texas Supreme Court. She and George W. Bush, candidate for governor of Texas, sometimes campaigned together, with Karl Rove their mutual consultant. Owen was considered non-controversial when Bush selected her for the Appeals Court in 2001, but a wide-ranging Democratic filibuster delayed her confirmation for four years.


Given Mr. Novak's track record on predictions in general and President Bush in particular this would seem to doom Ms Owen.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:25 AM

CRANK UP THE VCR:

'Foyle's War' returns to probe mysteries of wartime morality (David Wiegand, September 10, 2005, SF Chronicle)

"Foyle's War," so often among the most intelligent and well-written mysteries on television, slips a bit in its third series, which begins Sunday night on KQED with a story called "The French Drop." That said, it's also true that even a flawed "Foyle's War" beats most other TV mysteries in a slow crawl.

The first two series are available at Netflix and are terrific.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:00 AM

WHAT OPPOSITION?:

Exit polls point to Koizumi win,/a> (BBC Asia, 9/11/05)

Early TV exit polls suggest Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi is headed for an overwhelming victory in Japan's general election.

Mr Koizumi called the snap ballot after parliament blocked plans to privatise Japan's post office - the centrepiece of his economic reform proposals.

Exit polls suggest his party may be set to rule without a coalition partner for the first time in 15 years.

Turnout is expected to surpass the 60% of the last general elections in 2003.


A great showing for Mr. Koizunmi, but an abysmal one for both Japan's Democratic Party and al Qaeda, which once again proved itself unable to impact the historic re-election of a leader of the Axis of Good.

MORE:
Japanese Voters Hand Prime Minister's Party Large Victory (Anthony Faiola, September 11, 2005, Washington Post)

Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi's ruling party won a landslide victory in Sunday's general elections as voters handed Japan's maverick leader a remarkablemandate to enact a new stage of broad reforms in the world's second largest economy.

The larger-than-expected triumph capped a bold gambit by the 63-year-old Koizumi, who had put his job on the line in search of fresh public backing for his agenda of economic reform, particularly the privatization of the $3 trillion postal service, as well as his vision for a stronger Japan more closely aligned with the United States.

His reshaped Liberal Democratic Party -- minus anti-reform hard-liners kicked out of the party in a landmark purge by Koizumi last month -- won at least 276 seats, its largest majority in the 480-seat lower house of parliament since 1990. It was a gain of 32 seats for the party, and its final seat total could perhaps exceed 300. The LDP's smaller coalition partner, the Buddhist-led New Komeito, was set to bring at least another 28 seats to Koizumi's side.

The big loser was the opposition Democratic Party, which had hoped to seize power from Koizumi and had called for a pull out of Japan's non-combat troops from Iraq along with a withdrawal of U.S. Marines from Okinawa. Instead, it appeared set to lose dozens of its 177 seats.

While seen as a boon for Japan's halting reform effort, Koizumi's new mandate is likely to continue a time of high tension in East Asia -- particularly with neighboring China.


The moment at which the Chinese are rattling their sabre seems an odd one to propose ending your alliance with America.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 7:06 AM

THE LAST HURRAH

America's dark underbelly (Tim Harper, Toronto Star, September 10th 2005)

America's underclass dies prematurely every day.

They perish from diseases that take them before those who can afford better health care. They succumb to the violence that takes the young in too many neighbourhoods. They are casualties of rampant drug use born of despair.

But, until last week, they did not die in such numbers, 24 hours per day on cable TV news. Their bodies didn't lie unattended on city streets or wash up in floodwaters. They weren't herded into areas of unimaginable squalor because they didn't have the means to do better.

Hurricane Katrina has exposed America's cursed underbelly, its multitudes of poverty-stricken and hopeless, forgotten by a government bent on offering tax breaks to the wealthy.

Already, there are suggestions Katrina could help swing a social pendulum back in the United States, a pendulum that has swung in favour of less tax, smaller government and cutbacks on entitlement programs since the late '60s, a philosophy that flourished with the 1980 inauguration of Ronald Reagan.

"This has the potential to be a watershed moment," says Rosa Brooks, a professor and social commentator at Georgetown Law School in Washington.

"Just as the Pentagon quite smartly embedded reporters with soldiers in Iraq to ensure they get the soldiers' point of view, Katrina embedded hundreds of reporters in poverty, watching poor people suffer in the dark. They are powerful images. The reading and viewing public is responding to something it has not seen in the mainstream media."

Ronald Walters of the University of Maryland, an author and expert on class and racial politics, is also optimistic that the images of the poor suffering in New Orleans could spark a national debate on an issue that has been ignored for too long.

"This hurricane dredged it all up and shoved it in people's faces like nothing before in our history," he said. "I am reasonably confident that some type of sea change could be afoot. What you're seeing here is the blowback of the failure to deal with social policy over the years."

Even as they are still finding corpses, one can sense the drooling of intellectuals on the left at the prospect of a return to Great Society days. It’s hard to believe the brighter and more historically attuned among them really think larger welfare checks and a myriad of new government initiatives will do much, but perhaps that is not what is really exciting them. Having been marginalized for years by the religious right and the wicked neo-cons, America’s mainstream academic community, manned in large part by Boomers-in-twilight, now senses a last shot at relevancy, respectability and star-billing from a new national focus on something called “social policy”. Visions of books, conferences, workshops, demonstrations, lawsuits, community outreach initiatives, lucrative consulting fees and the adoration of the young must be dancing in a lot of academic heads these days. One shouldn’t throw charges of hypocrisy around without cogent evidence, but surely more than a few of them must be well aware from experience that America’s “soft underbelly” is decidedly hard ass.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:01 AM

WE DON'T DO PREVENTION, WE DO RECOVERY:

The Steady Buildup to a City's Chaos: Confusion Reigned At Every Level Of Government (Susan B. Glasser and Michael Grunwald, 9/11/05, Washington Post)

Walter Maestri had dreaded this call for a decade, ever since he took over emergency management for Jefferson Parish, a marshy collection of suburbs around New Orleans. It was Friday night, Aug. 26, and his friend Max Mayfield was on the line. Mayfield is the head of the National Hurricane Center, and he wasn't calling to chat.

"Walter," Mayfield said, "get ready."

"What do you mean?" Maestri asked, though he already knew the answer.

Hurricane Katrina had barreled into the Gulf of Mexico, and Mayfield's latest forecast had it smashing into New Orleans as a Category 4 or 5 storm Monday morning. Maestri already had 10,000 body bags in his parish, in case he ever got a call like this.

"This could be the one," Mayfield told him.

Maestri heard himself gasp: "Oh, my God."

In July 2004, Maestri had participated in an exercise called Hurricane Pam, a simulation of a Category 3 storm drowning New Orleans. Emergency planners had concluded that a real Pam would create a flood of unimaginable proportions, killing tens of thousands of people, wiping out hundreds of thousands of homes, shutting down southeast Louisiana for months.

The practice run for a New Orleans apocalypse had been commissioned by the Federal Emergency Management Agency, the federal government's designated disaster shop. But the funding ran out and the doomsday scenario became just another prescient -- but buried -- government report. Now, practice was over.

And Pam's lessons had not been learned.

As the floodwaters recede and the dead are counted, what went wrong during a terrible week that would render a modern American metropolis of nearly half a million people uninhabitable and set off the largest exodus of people since the Civil War, is starting to become clear. Federal, state and local officials failed to heed forecasts of disaster from hurricane experts. Evacuation plans, never practical, were scrapped entirely for New Orleans's poorest and least able. And once floodwaters rose, as had been long predicted, the rescue teams, medical personnel and emergency power necessary to fight back were nowhere to be found.

Compounding the natural catastrophe was a man-made one: the inability of the federal, state and local governments to work together in the face of a disaster long foretold.

In many cases, resources that were available were not used, whether Amtrak trains that could have taken evacuees to safety before the storm or the U.S. military's 82nd Airborne division, which spent days on standby waiting for orders that never came. Communications were so impossible the Army Corps of Engineers was unable to inform the rest of the government for crucial hours that levees in New Orleans had been breached.

The massive rescue effort that resulted was a fugue of improvisation, by fleets of small boats that set sail off highway underpasses and angry airport directors and daredevil helicopter pilots. Tens of thousands were saved as the city swamped; they were plucked from rooftops and bused, eventually, out of the disaster zone.


Chronology of errors: how a disaster spread (Keith O'Brien and Bryan Bender, September 11, 2005, Boston Globe)
Late on Aug. 27, less than 36 hours before Hurricane Katrina crashed into the Gulf Coast, New Orleans Mayor C. Ray Nagin's home phone rang. It was Max Mayfield, director of the National Hurricane Center in Florida.

Katrina was a ''worst-case" pattern, Mayfield warned. A mandatory evacuation of New Orleans was necessary.

Mayfield's advisory was in an official timeline of events compiled by the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration, which oversees the National Hurricane Center.

Thousands of residents were streaming north by then, alarmed by the increasingly dire predictions on the Weather Channel and on the local news. But it was not until 11 a.m. on Sunday, Aug. 28, almost 12 hours after Mayfield's call, that Nagin ordered the evacuation.

The order would send buses to pick up people at designated locations and would take them to shelters, including the Superdome.

Meanwhile, in Washington, D.C., that Sunday morning, Michael Chertoff, the US secretary of homeland security, and Michael D. Brown, director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, were receiving electronic briefings from the National Weather Service on the possibility of a levee break in the city. Despite the catastrophic implications, it would take more than a day for Brown to move to bring FEMA personnel into the region.

Every forecast from the National Hurricane Center, beginning 56 hours before the storm struck, had predicted that the hurricane would come ashore at Category 4 intensity or greater and that it would then pass over or near New Orleans and the Louisiana-Mississippi border.

Air Force ''hurricane hunter" planes, flying from Florida and into the eye of the storm, were clocking wind speeds of 145 miles per hour, then 150, then 160.

But from the critical hours before the hurricane made landfall to the desperate days after Katrina sent floodwaters surging into the streets of New Orleans, government officials at every level -- local, state, and federal -- had misjudged, miscommunicated, and underestimated both the power of the storm and the seriousness of its aftermath. [...]

Arriving at her office on Sunday morning, two days after she declared a state of emergency and a day before the hurricane's landfall, Louisiana's governor, Kathleen Blanco, had her staff write a letter to President Bush.

''Based on predictions we have received from the National Weather Service and other sources, I have determined that [Hurricane Katrina] will be of such severity and magnitude that effective response will be beyond the capabilities of the state and the affected local governments and that supplementary federal assistance will be necessary," she told the president in a three-page memo on the letterhead of the State of Louisiana Military Department.

But the request did not include what the residents of the Gulf Coast would need most in the coming days: food, water, transportation to higher ground, and thousands of National Guard troops to ferry life-saving supplies and medical personnel and to restore order.

Instead, she sought access to several federal assistance programs focusing almost solely on the economic recovery that would be required in the aftermath of the storm. She asked for disaster unemployment assistance, crisis counseling, and Small Business Administration loans for the survivors -- all critical assistance, but far from the cavalry that would be needed in the immediate aftermath of the storm.

There were obstacles to amassing that sort of force. Almost 40 percent of Louisiana's National Guard is on active duty in Iraq; this left the governor with only 4,000 members to muster over the weekend, and a total of 5,700 by Monday.

Aware of this problem, other governors, including New Mexico's Bill Richardson, offered to help. On Sunday afternoon, Richardson called Blanco offering his own state militia, and Blanco readily accepted.

That did not solve the problem.

Because of legal guidelines, Richardson could not send a single soldier until approval came from Washington, specifically the National Guard Bureau. Washington, meanwhile, could not give such approval without a formal request from Blanco.

That request was made Tuesday, after New Orleans was almost completely under water. It would be two more days, until late Thursday, before that authority would come from Washington. And by then, almost four days had passed since Katrina hit the coast. Hundreds, perhaps thousands, were dead.

Bureaucratic glitches slowed progress from the beginning. On Sunday, the day before the storm, the Louisiana National Guard asked FEMA for 700 buses to evacuate people. It received only 100.

Even after the federal government stepped in, there were still more snags. The mutual aid agreements among states did not allow out-of-state National Guard units to perform law enforcement duties. Blanco had to grant additional authority for that.

Other units would not deploy until their superiors received assurances that Washington would pay for their deployment with federal disaster funds.


The Politics of Katrina: Partisanship begins at the water's edge. (Fred Barnes, 09/26/2005, Weekly Standard)
NANCY PELOSI, THE HOUSE Democratic leader, tells a great story about questioning a benighted President Bush on Katrina relief. At a White House meeting last week with congressional leaders, she told Bush he should immediately fire Michael Brown, the head of the Federal Emergency Management Agency. The president's response, Pelosi says, was to ask: Why? What went wrong? Her conclusion was that Bush was "oblivious, in denial, dangerous."

Others at the meeting tell a slightly different version of the testy encounter, a version that sounds more believable. Yes, Pelosi declared that Brown should go, and Bush asked why. But it's her answer, not Bush's question, that is telling. "Well," she said, then paused. "For everything. . . . It was so slow." Pelosi offered no list of specific things Brown did wrong or failed to do. Bush was appalled. He knew how Brown had performed, wasn't happy with it, and removed him from Katrina duties two days later. Pelosi had merely uncorked the now-familiar blanket accusation at Brown. Bush responded sarcastically. "Thank you for your advice," he said.

A lot was packed into that brief exchange. It displayed the deep polarization in American politics that has shaped nearly everyone's take on Katrina. It showed the eagerness of Democrats to exploit the hurricane and its aftermath for maximum political gain. And it reflected Bush's failure to seize the opportunity of Katrina for strong presidential leadership.


-Pace of Recovery Efforts Picks Up: New Orleans could be drained of water sooner than expected, and in Mississippi, power is almost fully restored. In Houston, evacuees are told they'll get more permanent shelter soon. (Ellen Barry, David Zucchino and Josh Getlin, September 11, 2005, LA Times)
After almost two weeks of relentless tragedy, federal officials offered the city a glimmer of hope Saturday, saying that flooded parts of the city and nearby areas would be pumped dry within 37 days, not the 80 days originally estimated.

Local officials said that some residents of nearby Plaquemines Parish could return home this morning and that New Orleans' international airport would reopen Tuesday.

In Mississippi, whose coast Hurricane Katrina also raked, power was restored to nearly 98% of residents. And in Houston, officials announced that the 7,327 people remaining in the Astrodome and other temporary facilities would be moved to more permanent housing by the end of this week.

The search for bodies continued. Rescue teams searched for survivors. And political debate intensified over the pace of the federal government's response to the hurricane.


Too few dead and too speedy a recovery for the Left and MSM to follow this story more than another week or so.

MORE:
Here's how the NY Times describes their Hurricane response story today in their e-mail newsletter. Breakdowns Marked Path From Hurricane to Anarchy (ERIC LIPTON, CHRISTOPHER DREW, SCOTT SHANE and DAVID ROHDE, 9/11/05, NY Times)

An initial examination of Katrina's aftermath demonstrates the extent to which the federal government failed to face domestic threats as a unified, seamless force.

Have you ever heard of a more ridiculous notion than that a modern bureaucracy would ever be capable of acting as "a unified, seamless force," nevermind that we would want it to? As the Founders well understood, freedom is guaranteed by the disunity and seams of the federal government.

-The Best-Laid Plan: Too Bad It Flopped (DAVID BROOKS, 9/11/05, NY Times)

Among the many achievements of the human race - Chartres Cathedral, the Mona Lisa - surely the New Orleans emergency preparedness plan must rank among the greatest, and the fact that this plan turned out to be irrelevant to reality should not detract from its stature as a masterpiece of bureaucratic thinking.

The plan (which is viewable online at www.cityofno.com/portal.aspx?portal=46&tabid=26) begins with the insight: Be prepared. Or as the plan puts it, "Individuals with assigned tasks must receive preparatory training to maximize operations."

The plan lays out a course of action so that all personnel will know exactly what to do in case of a hurricane. The Office of Emergency Preparedness will coordinate with the Louisiana Office of Emergency Preparedness in conjunction with the Comprehensive Emergency Management Plan by taking full advantage of the courses offered by the Louisiana Emergency Preparedness Association and other agencies "as well as conferences, seminars and workshops that may from time to time be available, most notably state hurricane conferences and workshops and the National Hurricane Conference."

In addition, the plan continues, the administrative and training officer of the Office of Emergency Preparedness will maintain close communication with the state training officer of the L.O.E.P., making sure workshops are conducted at the Emergency Support Function level, reviewing Emergency Operating Center/E.S.F. standard operating procedures and undertaking more "intensive work sessions with elements of the emergency response organizations in order to enhance unified disaster planning."

One can imagine the PowerPoint presentations! The millions of cascading bullet points! The infinity of hours spent planning a hurricane response that would make a Prussian officer gasp with reverence!


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

PUBLIC EDUCATION PROBLEMS/PRIVATE SOLUTIONS:

Where teens matter (David Elfin, September 11, 2005, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

It's a steamy summer afternoon at the Public Idea Charter School in Northeast, just down 45th Street from the storefront New Beginnings church.

Nineteen teenagers, most of them wearing T-shirts and jeans, are gathered around the guest speaker. He is a young man who grew up in a similarly tough neighborhood and already has written a book, even though he still is a student in college.

Trying to spur a discussion, he boldly says, "If you want to hide something from black people, put it in a book."

No one objects -- until, that is, Aloris Wilkins speaks up in a tone that verges on anger. The 17-year-old reels off a list of her favorite books and authors to show that she isn't buying it.

"Some people see African-American kids from Southeast and think we don't matter," Aloris said. "They're wrong. Then there are people who want to work with younger kids because they think they can change them, and they forget about us older kids."

That moment was one of the payoffs of more than a decade of work by Charles Mann and Art Monk, former Washington Redskins stars who with teammates Earnest Byner and Tim Johnson co-founded the Good Samaritan Foundation in 1993.

The foundation is an after-school program that works with students from high schools in impoverished neighborhoods in the District. It ensures that students do their homework each day, gets them summer internships, makes sure they get paid work experience and helps place them in colleges. [...]

The foundation requires a four-year commitment from its ninth-grade enrollees and expects them to study at Idea Charter for 2½ hours each Monday, Tuesday and Thursday and 4½ hours each Wednesday. They also get together each Friday at Good Samaritan's downtown office to talk.

Despite those requirements, 65 percent to 70 percent stay in the program until graduation. And unlike most of their peers at Idea or Anacostia High -- the program's base schools -- the vast majority of Good Samaritan students go to four-year colleges.

"GSF gives young people a sense of hope and purpose," said Julienne Johnson, president and founder of Front of the Bus, a youth leadership development program that employs an intern from Good Samaritan every summer, as do Canon, Choice Hotels, the Salvation Army and the law firm of Latham & Watkins. "They provide life skills and the practical application through employment that other groups don't.

"I've seen huge changes in the GSF students from freshman to senior year. The maturity and poise these young people have is unusual for their age," Ms. Johnson said.


To understand the modern Left and Right all you really need to know is that conservatives support such programs but public teacher unions and civil rights groups oppose them.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

BROKEN WINDOWS ARE JUST OPPORTUNITIES:

A City on the Brink: Plagued by problems before Katrina wreaked havoc, New Orleans may have the opportunity to come back even better, political and business leaders say. (Bill Sing and Thomas S. Mulligan, September 11, 2005, LA Times)

Long before Hurricane Katrina, New Orleans faced a fierce economic storm.

Once considered the jewel of the South, the storied city was losing tourism and energy activity to other locales. Much of its office space was vacant, and it was falling back as a regional financial center. Its population was declining, and it suffered one of the nation's highest poverty rates. It was hobbled by neglect and dogged by a history of corruption.

Remaking the Big Easy won't be easy — some have even questioned the wisdom of rebuilding a city that lies below sea level near a hurricane-prone coastline. But New Orleans' political and business leaders and outside experts hope that a massive rebuilding effort will provide the city with an opportunity to come back even better than before.

The city could be revived by making its three core industries — tourism, transportation and energy — the most efficient and modern in the country, said Steve Cochrane, regional economist with Economy.com, a research firm in West Chester, Pa.

New Orleans could retain its unique cultural flavor, embodied by its French Quarter and renowned cuisine, and possibly attract more visitors by enhancing its gaming industry and convention facilities, leaders and experts say. It could rebuild its port rapidly and take advantage of anticipated demand for shipments of building materials for reconstruction.


They key to such a sensible plan is to pull the population back out of the bowl for the most part.

MORE:
What Will It Take to Safeguard New Orleans? (BILL MARSH, 9/11/05, NY Times)

NEW ORLEANS has long lived with the hurricane protection that it, and the nation, were willing to pay for. Measured against the costs of Katrina's fury, however, better armor may suddenly seem more affordable.

With officials vowing to rebuild New Orleans, the question of how fully to defend the city against another catastrophe will be examined as never before.

Unlike San Francisco or Los Angeles, where there is no way to prevent widespread destruction from the most powerful earthquakes, New Orleans is uniquely dependent on one feature: its aging network of levees. If levees hold back the water, the city is spared. If they fail, much of the city is ruined.

"For people to feel confident about coming back again, they're going to have to rebuild the levee system," said Ivor van Heerden, deputy director of the Louisiana State University Hurricane Center. They must be taller and stronger, he said, built for the worst-case Category 5 storm. Existing levees were designed decades ago to withstand only a quickly receding Category 3.

The success of levees in a restored New Orleans will depend partly on the resilience of other civil engineering, and on wetlands between the city and the Gulf of Mexico. Today, the condition of these outer defenses is poor: Barrier islands and wetlands are disappearing, and gates to protect against storm surges and waves are years away.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

LAST KNOWN ADDRESS:

Lost at Tora Bora (MARY ANNE WEAVER, 9/11/05, NY Times Magazine)

Well past midnight one morning in early December 2001, according to American intelligence officials, Osama bin Laden sat with a group of top aides - including members of his elite international 055 Brigade - in the mountainous redoubt of Tora Bora in eastern Afghanistan. Outside, it was blustery and bitterly cold; many of the passes of the White Mountains, of which Tora Bora forms a part, were already blocked by snow. But inside the cave complex, where bin Laden had sought his final refuge from the American war in Afghanistan - a war in which Washington, that October, had struck back for the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks - bin Laden munched on olives and sipped sugary mint tea. He was dressed in his signature camouflage jacket, and a Kalashnikov rested by his side. Captured Qaeda fighters, interviewed separately, told American interrogators that they recalled an address that bin Laden had made to his followers shortly before dawn. It concerned martyrdom. American bombs, including a 15,000-pound "daisy cutter," were raining from the sky and pulverizing a number of the Tora Bora caves. [...]

The American bombardment of Tora Bora, which had been going on for a month, yielded to saturation airstrikes on Nov. 30 in anticipation of the ground war. Hundreds of civilians died that weekend, along with a number of Afghan fighters, according to Hajji Zaman, who had already dispatched tribal elders from the region to plead with bin Laden's commanders to abandon Tora Bora. Three days later, on Dec. 3, in one of the war's more shambolic moments, Hazarat Ali announced that the ground offensive would begin. Word quickly spread through the villages and towns, and hundreds of ill-prepared men rushed to the mountain's base. The timing of the call to war was so unexpected that Hajji Zahir, one of its three lead commanders, told journalists at the time that he nearly slept through it.

On a map, it was little more than a mile from the bottom of the White Mountains to the first tier of the Qaeda caves, but the snow was thick and the slopes were steep and, for the Afghan fighters, it was a three-hour climb. They were ambushed nearly as soon as they arrived. The battle lasted for only 10 minutes before bin Laden's fighters disappeared up the slope and the Afghans limped away. Over the coming days, a pattern would emerge: the Afghans would strike, then retreat. On some occasions, a cave would change hands twice in one day. It was only on the third day of the battle that the three dozen Special Forces troops arrived. But their mission was strictly limited to assisting and advising and calling in air strikes, according to the orders of Gen. Tommy Franks, the head of U.S. Central Command, who was running the war from his headquarters in Tampa, Fla.

Even after the arrival of the Special Forces, the Afghan militias were making little headway in their efforts to assault the Qaeda caves - largely as a result of heavier resistance than they had expected - despite having launched simultaneous attacks from the east, west and north. They had sent none of their forces to the south, where the highest peaks of the White Mountains are bisected by the border with Pakistan. The commanders, according to news reports, argued vehemently among themselves on what the conditions on the southern side of the mountain were: some insisted it was uncrossable, closed in by snow; other commanders were far less sure.

By now, the Taliban's stronghold in Kandahar had fallen or, more correctly, had been abandoned by the soldiers of the regime. The Taliban retreat from Kandahar was emblematic of the war. None of Afghanistan's cities had been won by force alone. Taliban fighters, after intense bombing, had simply made strategic withdrawals. A number of American officers were now convinced that this was about to happen at Tora Bora, too.

One of them was Brig. Gen. James N. Mattis, the commander of some 4,000 marines who had arrived in the Afghan theater by now. Mattis, along with another officer with whom I spoke, was convinced that with these numbers he could have surrounded and sealed off bin Laden's lair, as well as deployed troops to the most sensitive portions of the largely unpatrolled border with Pakistan. He argued strongly that he should be permitted to proceed to the Tora Bora caves. The general was turned down. An American intelligence official told me that the Bush administration later concluded that the refusal of Centcom to dispatch the marines - along with their failure to commit U.S. ground forces to Afghanistan generally - was the gravest error of the war.

A week or so after General Mattis's request was denied, the turning point in the battle of Tora Bora came. It was Dec. 12. Hajji Zaman had by now realized that the Qaeda fighters were better armed than his men and that they were also prepared to die rather than surrender to him. He was also becoming increasingly irritated with Hazarat Ali and with the snow. And in a few days the feast of Eid al-Fitr, which ends Ramadan, would begin. The stalemate, the Americans' surrogate commander decided, simply had to end. So, through a series of intermediaries and then directly, Hajji Zaman made radio contact with some of bin Laden's commanders and offered a cease-fire. The Americans were furious. The negotiations - to which Hazarat Ali acquiesced since he, too, was now holding secret talks with Al Qaeda - continued for hours. By the time they came to an end, Hajji Zaman's interlocutor, hidden somewhere in the caves above, was probably bin Laden's son Salah Uddin. If the Qaeda forces surrendered, Hajji Zaman's contact said, it would be only to the United Nations. Then he requested additional time to meet with other commanders. He would be back in touch by 8 the following morning, the younger bin Laden said.

American intelligence officials now believe that some 800 Qaeda fighters escaped Tora Bora that night. Others had already left; still others stayed behind, including bin Laden. "You've got to give him credit," Gary Schroen, a former C.I.A. officer who led the first American paramilitary team into Afghanistan in 2001, told me. "He stayed in Tora Bora until the bitter end." By the time the Afghan militias advanced to the last of the Tora Bora caves, no one of any significance remained: about 20 bedraggled young men were taken prisoner that day, Dec. 17.

On or about Dec. 16, 2001, according to American intelligence estimates, bin Laden left Tora Bora for the last time, accompanied by bodyguards and aides. Other Qaeda leaders dispersed by different routes, but bin Laden and his men are believed to have journeyed on horseback directly south toward Pakistan, crossing through the same mountain passes and over the same little-known smugglers' trails through which the C.I.A.'s convoys passed during the jihad years. And all along the route, in the dozens of villages and towns on both sides of the frontier, the Pashtun tribes would have lighted campfires along the way to guide the horsemen as they slowly continued through the snow and on toward the old Pakistani military outpost of Parachinar.

TTora Bora was the one time after the 9/11 attacks when United States operatives were confident they knew precisely where Osama bin Laden was and could have captured or killed him. Some have argued that it was Washington's last chance; others say that although it will be considerably more difficult now, bin Laden is not beyond our reach. But the stakes are considerably higher than they were nearly four years ago, and terrain and political sensibilities are far more our natural enemies now.

There is no indication that bin Laden ever left Pakistan after he crossed the border that snowy December night; nor is there any indication that he ever left the country's Pashtun tribal lands, moving from Parachinar to Waziristan, then north into Mohmand and Bajaur, one American intelligence official told me.


There's a perfectly logical conclusion to be drawn from the fact that the last time anyone could confidently state where Osama was he was at Tora Bora: he died there.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THE TRIUMPH OF GREED OVER EXPERIENCE:

Chinese Banks Test Investors' Patience: Foreign firms buy stakes to get into the huge market, but bad debt and corruption remain. (Don Lee, September 11, 2005, LA Times)

Foreign companies have been practically stepping over one another to invest in Chinese banks, but it will probably be a long time before anybody walks away with happy returns.

Just ask Frank Newman, a turnaround artist who took the helm at Shenzhen Development Bank a few months ago. When the former No. 2 man at the U.S. Treasury Department arrived at the bank, an institution with $25 billion in assets, he was amazed that there were no financial reports on the company's divisions. The bank's thick book of bad debts was fraught with surprises: One real estate loan had been neglected for 12 years. Many others, he learned, were actually collectible because borrowers had hidden assets.

"In all my years of banking, I've never seen anything like it," said the 63-year-old Newman, who helped revive Bank of America in the 1980s and Bankers Trust a decade later.

Analysts consider China's financial sector to be the weakest link in the nation's booming economy.


Folks who look at China and can't see that it's regime is the weak link deserve to lose their shirts.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

IT'S NOT ENOUGH OF AN EMERGENCY TO ABANDON SOCIALISM (via Robert Schwartz):

A Shameful Proclamation (New York Times, September 10, 2005)

On Thursday, President Bush issued a proclamation suspending the law that requires employers to pay the locally prevailing wage to construction workers on federally financed projects. The suspension applies to parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Florida.

By any standard of human decency, condemning many already poor and now bereft people to subpar wages - thus perpetuating their poverty - is unacceptable. It is also bad for the economy. Without the law, called the Davis-Bacon Act, contractors will be able to pay less, but they'll also get less, as lower wages invariably mean lower productivity.

The ostensible rationale for suspending the law is to reduce taxpayers' costs. Does Mr. Bush really believe it is the will of the American people to deny the prevailing wage to construction workers in New Orleans, Biloxi and other hard-hit areas?


If you want to ask them you could go to Wal-Mart where the American people are busy shopping this weekend, denying service workers and garment workers the wages the Times thinks they should get.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

JUST ANOTHER SOVEREIGN STATE:

Jordan PM in historic Iraq visit (BBC, 9/11/05)

Jordan's PM Adnan Badran met Iraqi Vice-President Adel Abdul Mehdi and Prime Minister Ibrahim Jaafari in Baghdad to bolster relations. [...]

Mr Badran's visit was the first by an Arab leader since the fall of Saddam Hussein's regime in 2003.

In a press conference after the meeting, Mr Jaafari said: "This visit means a great deal to us and marks a great political turning point.

"I call on all the Arab states to follow the Jordanian initiative. Today's visit has broken a barrier and sent a political message," he said.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

DEMOCRATIC DERANGEMENT SYNDROME SPREADS:

Candidates make final pitch ahead of election (Japan Times, 9/11/05)

Candidates and party leaders made their final pitches to voters Saturday on the eve of the crucial House of Representatives election, with media polls widely predicting a victory to Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi and his plan to privatize the postal services.
Both Koizumi and his top rival, Katsuya Okada, head of the opposition Democratic Party of Japan, made last-minute efforts to woo vital urban voters on the final day of the 12-day campaign period.

"Are public employees the only ones who can take care of important jobs?" Koizumi thundered to a crowd in Tokyo. "Privatization of the postal service is the best way to cut down on the number of civil servants in Japan."

In another part of the capital, Okada drove home his message that the country has more pressing concerns than the postal service.

"Japan faces problems of a decreasing population, aging society and increasing of national debts," Okada said. "Mr. Koizumi sounds as if life will be all rosy if the postal service is privatized, but no one takes what he says seriously."


It's just astonishing that the Japanese opposition would try to position itself as more reformist than Mr. Koizumi. As Gerhard Schroeder has demonstrated in Germany, the best way to contest elections in the dying nations of the West is to defend the welfare state against the reformers.

MORE:
Four LDP rebels say they will back postal bills after election (Japan Times, 9/11/05)

Four ruling party lawmakers who did not back Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi's postal privatization bills have decided to support the legislation if the ruling coalition wins a majority in the general election, LDP lawmakers said Saturday.
The four Upper House members of the Liberal Democratic Party communicated their decisions to Mikio Aoki, the head of the LDP caucus in the Upper House.

On Friday, Yoshitada Konoike, considered a leading LDP rebel in the upper chamber opposed to the postal bills, said he would also endorse them if the coalition wins a majority.


Mr. Koizumi has won his gamble.


September 10, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:52 PM

KURDISTAN'S MANIFEST DESTINY (via Gene Brown):

Iraqi and U.S. Troops Clear Rebel Stronghold (THE ASSOCIATED PRESS, 9/11/05)

Insurgents melted into the countryside around Tal Afar, the militant stronghold near the Syrian border, and guns fell silent Sunday -- the second day of an offensive by 5,000 Iraqi soldiers backed by 3,500 American troops and armor. [...]

Iraqi Prime Minister Ibrahim al-Jaafari ordered the Rabiyah border crossing closed in an attempt to stanch the flow of insurgents from Syria.

With the Tal Afar offensive under way after days of skirmishing on the outskirts of the city, Iraqi Defense Minister Sadoun al-Dulaimi signaled his U.S.-trained forces would not stop after this operation and vowed to move against insurgent bastions throughout the country.

''We say to our people ... we are coming,'' he said.

The offensive in Tal Afar is especially delicate because of the tangle of ethnic sensitivities in the region.

About 90 percent of the city's population -- most of which fled to the countryside before the fighting began -- is Sunni Turkmen who have complained about their treatment from the Shiite-dominated government and police force put in place after the U.S. invasion in 2003.

Addressing that complaint, Jabr announced Saturday that 1,000 additional police officers would be hired in Tal Afar after the offensive and that they would be chosen from the Turkmen population.

The Turkmen have a vocal ally in their Turkish brethren to the north, where Turkey's government is a vital U.S. ally and has fought against its own Kurdish insurgency for decades. Tal Afar is next to land controlled by Iraqi Kurds.

Turkey voiced disapproval of U.S. tactics when American forces ran insurgents out of Tal Afar a year ago. The Turkmen residents complained that Iraqi Kurds were fighting alongside the Americans.

U.S. and Kurdish officials denied the allegation, but the Turkish government threatened to stop cooperating with the Americans. The siege was lifted the next day and insurgents began returning when the Americans quickly pulled out, leaving behind only a skeleton force of 500 soldiers.

For those reasons, U.S. forces stood back during the new sweep through Tal Afar, allowing Iraqi forces to break down doors in the search for insurgents. The Americans followed behind, securing positions while the Iraqis advanced.


It will shortly be time for the Kurds to simply take over such portions of Syria as harbort insurgents and, if necessary, drive out any Turkmen Sunni who can't accept majority rule.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:19 PM

GOD'S SIDE VS. BACKSIDES:

Whose Side is God On? (Raymond J. Keating, 9/08/05)

The debate in the state legislature apparently was quite passionate. But one report caught my attention. The Associated Press noted that Sen. Dennis Hollingsworth, a Republican, suggested a "higher power" opposed the measure. Sen. Debra Brown, a Democrat, responded that various churches supported the legislation, adding: "I don't think anyone should claim God as being on their side in this debate."

Hmm, really? In this case, it's pretty clear where God stands. Christians turn to the final place they can for assurance and guidance. Holy Scripture makes clear what's moral and immoral regarding sexual relations, and therefore marriage.

For example, Moses wrote: "You shall not lie with a male as with a woman; it is an abomination." (Leviticus 18:22) But some argue that there is much in the Old Testament to which Christians are free to reject. That is true, but those are dietary and ceremonial matters, not the moral law. In addition, Christianity does not use the latest cultural trends to make such assessments (despite some in the church choosing to do so), but views matters through the New Testament.

Jesus clearly upholds the moral law regarding "sexual immorality." (Mark 7:21) St. Paul specifically affirms the prohibitions against homosexual acts at several points. He wrote: "Do not be deceived: neither the sexually immoral, nor idolaters, nor adulterers, nor men who practice homosexuality, nor thieves, nor the greedy, nor drunkards, nor revilers, nor swindlers will inherit the kingdom of God." (1 Corinthians 6:9-10)

Of course, this does not mean that God loves the supporters of gay marriage any less. God loves all mankind, and at the same time, we are all sinners. But we have an obligation to confess our sins, seek forgiveness, and work to sin no more.

So, here is a clear instance where the church can and should weigh in on a political issue. Protecting traditional marriage finds its legitimacy in Scripture, morality, societal stability, procreation purposes, and the positive, complementary influences that a father and a mother have on children.


But if you oppose all those things then it makes sense to support gay marriage.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:07 PM

EXACTLY AS PREPARED AS WE CHOOSE TO BE:

Planning the Impossible: New York's Evacuation (SAM ROBERTS, 9/11/05, NY Times)

ON New Year's Eve 1999, Fred Siegel writes in "The Prince of the City," his new book about Rudolph W. Giuliani's New York, authorities feared that terrorists would seize on Y2K computer glitches to strike in Times Square. In response, the National Guard was secretly mobilized in Brooklyn "as part of an emergency plan for evacuating Manhattan." As midnight came and went, the computers hummed on, the celebration proceeded flawlessly and officials concluded, Mr. Siegel notes with a tinge of sarcasm, "Gotham was ready for a future emergency."

In fact, no plan existed that night for evacuating all of Manhattan. The guard unit at the Brooklyn Navy Yard consisted of about 100 troops and 50 trucks, and their mission, in the event of an attack, was limited to ferrying the injured out of Times Square.

Today, four years after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks and in the wake of Hurricane Katrina, there is still no single plan to evacuate all of New York, which virtually no one believes is possible.


It's not impossible, of course, it's just undesirable to us to be as prepared as it would require.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:02 PM

THE SCOTSMAN'S FLIER:

The Specter of Superprecedents: The Judiciary Committee chairman's super bad idea. (Terry Eastland, 09/05/2005, Weekly Standard)

SOMETHING TO LISTEN FOR DURING the Roberts confirmation hearings is an uncommon word, "superprecedent." Sen. Arlen Specter, chairman of the Judiciary Committee, used "superprecedent" in a July 24 op-ed in the New York Times previewing the hearings, which are scheduled to begin September 6. Specter began by noting that Sandra Day O'Connor, whom Roberts would succeed, was the decisive vote in many 5-to-4 decisions "on the cutting edge of issues confronting our society," none more important than Roe v. Wade, "the central issue."

Specter wrote that while some senators have announced their intention to ask Roberts whether he would overrule the landmark abortion case, the nominee could "answer [that question] or not as he sees fit." Specter invoked "confirmation precedents" to support the proposition that a nominee need not "spell out how he or she would rule on a specific case," but he emphasized that nothing forecloses "probing inquiries on the nominee's general views on jurisprudence," not least on "how to weigh the importance of precedent in deciding whether to overrule a Supreme Court decision." Then came the unusual word: "Some legal scholars attach special significance to what they call superprecedents, which are decisions like Roe v. Wade that have been reaffirmed in later cases."


Can we overturn the superprecedents that themselves overturned superprecedents of far longer standing in Judeo-Christian tradition and Anglo-American jurisprudence?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:25 PM

A KEY COLD WARRIOR, IN HER OWN WAY:

Eugenia Charles, 86, Is Dead; Ex-Premier of Dominica, Called 'Iron Lady' (THE ASSOCIATED PRESS, 9/09/05)

Eugenia Charles, the former prime minister of Dominica, who gained widespread attention when she stood beside President Ronald Reagan as he announced the invasion of Grenada, died Tuesday on the island of Martinique. She was 86.

She died at a hospital where she had been taken for treatment of a broken hip, said Dr. Bernard Yankey, a longtime associate.

Dame Eugenia, the first woman to become a prime minister in the Caribbean, was known as the region's "Iron Lady." She survived two coup attempts during her tenure, which stretched from 1980 to 1995. She was made a dame of the British Empire in 1992.

She stood with President Reagan at the White House on Oct. 25, 1983, when he announced the invasion of Grenada. She then dismissed critics who scorned her for supporting the United States military action.

"The Grenadians wanted it, and that's all that counts," she told The Associated Press in a 1995 interview. "I don't care what the rest of the world thinks." [...]

She became prime minister in 1980, two years after Dominica declared independence from Britain.

A firm anti-Communist, she refused to accept scholarships offered by Fidel Castro to Dominican students.

"I am not going to allow my students to study in Cuba where they will learn revolution," she said.


The seeds of Iraq were sown in Grenada.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:15 PM

THE BEIGNETS OF WRATH:

Uprooted and Scattered Far From the Familiar (TIMOTHY EGAN, 9/11/05, NY Times)

Hurricane Katrina has produced a diaspora of historic proportions. Not since the Dust Bowl of the 1930's, or the end of the Civil War in the 1860's have so many Americans been on the move from a single event. Federal officials who are guiding the evacuation say 400,000 to upwards of one million people have been displaced from ruined homes, mainly in the New Orleans metropolitan area.

Texas has taken in more than 230,000 people, according to Gov. Rick Perry. But others are scattered across the United States, airlifted from a city that is nine feet below sea level to mile-high shelters in Colorado, to desert mesas in New Mexico, piney woods of Arkansas, flatlands of Oklahoma, the breezy shore of Cape Cod and beige-colored Wasatch Mountain front in Utah.

Many say they will never go back, vowing to build new lives in strange lands, marked forever by the storm that forced their exodus. They seem dazed and disconnected, though happy to be alive, to be breathing clean air, to be dry. Others say they still feel utterly lost, uprooted from all that is familiar, desperate to find a missing brother or aunt.

"The people are so nice, but this place is really strange to me," said Desiree Thompson, who arrived in Albuquerque, last Sunday with six of her children and two grandchildren, along with about 100 other evacuees. "The air is different. My nose feels all dry. The only thing I've seen that looks familiar is the McDonalds."

It came as a shock to Ms. Thompson and others when they were told of their destination - mid-flight. They had boarded a military plane out of New Orleans last weekend, expecting to go to Texas, many of them said.

"In the middle of the flight they told us they were taking us to New Mexico," Ms. Thompson said. "New Mexico! Everyone said, 'My God, they're taking us to another country.' "


The schools have to be better wherever you're taken.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:07 PM

IT WASN'T MY BACKYARD:

Levee monitoring sinks in Legislature (Matt Weiser, September 10, 2005, Sacramento Bee)

A bill that some called a "baby steps" effort to deal with California's colossal flood risks did not pass out of the Legislature this week, prompting concern that there is little appetite to deal with the messy, expensive problem of neglected levees.

Images of a submerged New Orleans in the wake of Hurricane Katrina helped revive the bill from a months-long slumber. But those pictures of death and despair did not prompt enough votes in the state Senate to bring the bill forward as an urgency measure before the session closed Thursday night. [...]

The bill was sponsored by the state Department of Water Resources. It would have enacted the simplest recommendations in a January report by the department on the Central Valley's flood risks. That report called the Valley's flood control system a "ticking time bomb" because of neglected levee maintenance and inadequate funding.

"Even with any urgency that may have happened with Katrina and the levees in New Orleans, trying to do anything ambitious is really hard," said Jim Metropulos, a legislative analyst for the Sierra Club, which supported the bill. "Flood issues get to be very contentious."


Events like 9-11 and Katrina produce a ton of silly storylines, but none is ever more foolish than "this changes everything." No city, state, or nation that faces a likely natural disaster will do much of anything different just because the Gulf coast flooded.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:02 PM

STAND UP GUY:

Former Louisiana Senator Shoulders Katrina Blame (NBC4, September 10, 2005)

Although he said it's not time to point fingers, former Louisiana Sen. John Breaux said he deserves some criticism for the problems in the wake of Hurricane Katrina.

Breaux, a Democrat, said he and other current and former members of Louisiana's congressional delegation failed to get more money for evacuation efforts and the strengthening of levees.

But for now, he said, attention should be focused on relief efforts.


Good for Mr. Breaux.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:31 AM

COULDA, WOULDA, SHOULDA:


A Barrier That Could Have Been
: Congress OKd a project to protect New Orleans 40 years ago, but an environmentalist suit halted it. Some say it could have worked. (Ralph Vartabedian and Peter Pae, September 9, 2005, LA Times)

In the wake of Hurricane Betsy 40 years ago, Congress approved a massive hurricane barrier to protect New Orleans from storm surges that could inundate the city.

But the project, signed into law by President Johnson, was derailed in 1977 by an environmental lawsuit. Now the question is: Could that barrier have protected New Orleans from the damage wrought by Hurricane Katrina?

"If we had built the barriers, New Orleans would not be flooded," said Joseph Towers, the retired chief counsel for the Army Corps of Engineers New Orleans district.

Tower's view is endorsed by a former key senator, along with academic experts, who say a hurricane barrier is the only way to control the powerful storm surges that enter Lake Pontchartrain and threaten the city. Other experts are less sure, saying the barrier would have been no match for Katrina.

The project was stopped in its tracks when an environmental lawsuit won a federal injunction on the grounds that the Army's environmental impact statement was flawed. By the mid-1980s, the Corps of Engineers abandoned the project.

The project faced formidable opposition not only from environmentalists but from regional government officials outside of New Orleans who argued that the barriers would choke commerce and harm marine life in ecologically sensitive Lake Pontchartrain.

The barrier would have protected New Orleans from storm surges barreling into the lake through two narrow passages — the Rigolets and the Chef Menteur Pass.


While there's plenty of blame to go around at the federal, state and local level for how we responded once the catastrophe took place, the reality is that New Orleans was exactly as secure as we all chose to make it. In a democracy we're all to blame...or to credit.


MORE:
The Case for a Cover-Up (JOHN TIERNEY, 9/10/05, NY Times)

Suppose, for instance, investigators try to find out who had the brilliant idea of putting the Federal Emergency Management Agency inside a new department with an organizational chart modeled on the Soviet Ministry of Agriculture and Food Economy. One Democrat, Hillary Clinton, did question whether FEMA would suffer, but the idea was originally championed by her colleagues, particularly Joe Lieberman.

Mr. Lieberman joined Mrs. Clinton this week in calling for a "re-examination" of FEMA's status, but he was against independence before he was for it. After the Sept. 11 attacks, he helped lead the charge to create the Department of Homeland Security.

Republicans first resisted, as the Democratic National Committee pointed out during the presidential campaign last year. Its radio advertisement declared: "John Kerry fought to establish the Department of Homeland Security. George Bush opposed it for almost a year after 9/11."

Or suppose the investigators try to find out why the Army Corps of Engineers didn't protect New Orleans from the flood. Democrats have blamed the Iraq war for diverting money and attention from domestic needs. But that hasn't meant less money for the Corps during the past five years. Overall spending hasn't declined since the Clinton years, and there has been a fairly sharp increase in money for flood-control construction projects in New Orleans.

The problem is that the bulk of the Corps's budget goes for projects far less important than preventing floods in New Orleans. And if the investigators want to find who's responsible, they don't have to leave Capitol Hill.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:29 AM

THEN VIET DINH FOR AG?:

Gonzales Is Defended As Suitable for Court: Allies Call Attorney General a True Conservative (Jo Becker and Dan Eggen, September 10, 2005, Washington Post)

Supporters of Attorney General Alberto R. Gonzales have launched a campaign to rebut criticism that he is not reliably conservative enough to serve on the Supreme Court, a move likely to intensify a rift within Republican circles over one of President Bush's closest confidants.

The group of former Gonzales aides and other Republicans still in the Bush administration -- most of whom are close to top White House officials -- are coordinating with one another, sharpening common lines of argument, then circulating these points on Capitol Hill, in conservative circles and with reporters, according to several people involved.

With President Bush confronting a second high court vacancy, the maneuvering suggests a determination to preserve Gonzales's viability as a potential nominee. The heart of their case is that conservative groups -- many of whom have drawn bright public lines warning Bush not to promote Gonzales to the court -- have fundamentally misread a man whose record shows he is committed to their aim of moving the judiciary to the right.

"A lot of us who worked with him in the White House counsel's office feel strongly that the opposition is misguided and rather ill-informed," said David Leitch, a former Gonzales deputy who is now general counsel for Ford Motor Co. "We're not out lobbying for the attorney general to be nominated to the Supreme Court; that's up to the president. . . . But we don't want to see a good man who has been a very solid conservative besmirched by fear and rumor."


D.C. will have to borrow the body bags that N.O. turns out not to need, because so many people's heads will explode.

MORE:
Gonzales Again Emerges As Court Contender (MARK SHERMAN, 9/10/05, Associated Press)

Attorney General Alberto Gonzales has critics on the left and right but he's as popular as ever with the one-man constituency that matters most: President Bush. Their closeness and Gonzales' Hispanic heritage have again placed him among leading contenders for a job on the Supreme Court.

Bush has given Gonzales five different jobs in the past 10 years, starting in Texas as the top lawyer to the governor. Gonzales became the nation's first Hispanic attorney general in February.

The prospect of a lifetime appointment to the high court has renewed concerns among both liberals and conservatives. If anything, conservatives have been far more pointed, questioning Gonzales' views on abortion and affirmative action.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:26 AM

PATRIOT GAMES:

India briefed on Patriot missile (Sanjoy Majumder, 9/10/05, BBC News)

A high-level US defence team has held detailed classified briefings of Indian officials on the Patriot missile defence system and combat aircraft.

Patriot missiles are used for defence against ballistic or cruise missiles.

The briefing was requested by India, which has been exploring buying the system. Rival Pakistan says that will harm the regional balance of power.


Tilting it further towards us.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:23 AM

HEY, THE ONE-EYED MAN!:

Koizumi hopes gamble pays off (Chris Hogg, 9/10/05, BBC News)

Japan's Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi is about the only Japanese politician anyone anywhere else in the world can identify.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:21 AM

AMERICA'S MAYOR; BUT THE GOP'S? (via Gene Brown):

If he runs for president in '08, Rudy can't fail (THOMAS ROESER, 9/10/05, Chicago Sun-Times)

Hurricane Katrina may have changed the dimension of the nation's politics for 2008. With George W., we voted for him because he would take the fight against terrorism to its origination point: the Middle East. I salute that strategy and believe that Iraq will be democratized with great dividends for our international security.

But next it'll be important to have a president who can slash through red tape and make us secure at home. The Katrina thing wasn't Bush's fault, but what was needed was a president who could pull the trigger domestically, knock heads together with the state and local governments and deliver resources quickly. That spells only one name for future president. In an ideal world he may not have been my first choice, but it's Rudy Giuliani.

Giuliani played no role in taming Katrina, but as I saw New Orleans turn into an open sewer, all I could think of was what Giuliani would do. Threats to our country demand a Prince of the City: a prince fearless enough to write his own rules to establish order. And a prince emblematic of Machiavelli's book of the same name, one who can bluff winningly, who can engender fear and respect. As one conservative Republican woman in Temecula, Calif., told radio talk show host Hugh Hewitt: ''All that [meaning pro-life, pro-abortion] doesn't matter if we're not safe." By which she meant Giuliani, the indomitable ex-mayor of New York, the hero of 9/11. With Giuliani, the signal would be transmitted to all: He's determined that we will be safe at home.

The Twin Towers disaster and Katrina were different, but what Giuliani did in New York was to direct the city while instructing the entire country as to what was happening and how he was going to fix it. Giuliani seized the day. He is running first in the 2008 Republican sweepstakes.


Bill Weld showed how easy it is to throw gays overboard, when he expressed his interest in the NY gubernatorial race--if Mayor Giuliani just has a Come to Jesus moment on abortion as well he can perhaps even beat John McCain.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:09 AM

THE ANTI-JUDAISM OF THE JEWS:

The Russians Are Coming: The newest Jewish immigrants vote Republican. (TONY CARNES, September 9, 2005, Opinion Journal)

Pity Larry Lowenthal. His job as executive director of the Boston branch of the American Jewish Committee (AJC) includes finding and training leaders from among the 700,000 Russian Jews who have immigrated to the U.S. in the last 30 years. Mr. Lowenthal has fared well: Today there are Russians helping to guide a number of major Jewish organizations, like the one called Boston for Israel. But now these immigrants turn out to be . . . oh no! Republicans!

To judge by his public statements and writings, Mr. Lowenthal's idea of a faithful Jew is someone who opposes the nomination of Judge John Roberts to the U.S. Supreme Court, supports gay rights, abortion and euthanasia, and demands a strong separation of church and state. After all, as Mr. Lowenthal concluded approvingly in a July op-ed for the Jewish Advocate, Jews are "the most liberal" and "the least religious people in America."


Odd to celebrate that which spells your people's doom more surely than its foes ever dreamt.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:04 AM

IF HE WERE THE MAYOR OF N.O. IT WOULD BE BONE DRY:

Rerouted: Sen. Lott of Miss. steps in to divert hospital ship (Henry J. Holcomb, 9/10/05, Philadelphia Inquirer)

Most of this hospital ship's crew bunked down Thursday night thinking they were headed for New Orleans.

They didn't know that Trent Lott had other thoughts.

As the ship approached the mouth of the Mississippi River, it was turned around. Yesterday afternoon, the crew docked at Pascagoula, in the Republican senator's home state of Mississippi, waiting to receive victims of Hurricane Katrina.

The former Senate majority leader had pressed leaders of the relief effort late Thursday night to have the ship go to his state, saying three naval vessels were already in New Orleans and able to meet its medical needs now that so many people had been evacuated.


Some pols get things done.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:54 AM

START BY BANNING PREMIUM (via Gene Brown):

The New Prize: Alternative Fuels (DANNY HAKIM, 9/10/05, NY Times)

In a nation that has shrugged at conservation for two decades, the impact of Hurricane Katrina on gasoline prices has been a bracing reality check. All year long, as prices have ticked up, a movement has been afoot away from jumbo sport utility vehicles and toward more fuel-efficient vehicles.

That said, it would take a radical change to wean the country off foreign oil. Still, more than ever before, the nation's roads are a moving laboratory with all manner of alternatives to gasoline combustion engines, often being driven by average Americans, if in small numbers.

There are cars powered by natural gas, by hydrogen fuel cells and by French fry grease. There are electric cars and hybrid electric cars that can be plugged into the power grid.

What separates E85 is that more than four million American cars and trucks have the ability to run on it right now, even though the majority of people who own these so-called flex-fuel vehicles are not even aware of the ability. Already, Brazil has turned to ethanol en masse, though the fuel there is derived from the more prevalent local crop, sugarcane.

Gregory J. Cobb recently replaced premium gasoline pumps at two of his five Indiana stations with E85. At one station near South Bend, he said, he was selling 24,000 gallons of E85 a month compared with the 1,700 gallons of premium gas he had been selling.

"One of the customers drove about 30 miles to the station; she said: 'I'm putting my dad's corn in the car. I'd rather do that than pay OPEC,' " Mr. Cobb said. "That's why we did it, too. If we're going to get diverse, away from dependency on foreign oil, we have to do this. And to be honest, our premium sales weren't doing much."

In Madison, Wis., Rebecca Bell and her husband, Kevin, started using E85 in the last couple of weeks to fuel their Ford Explorer and their Chevy minivan. They have also started carpooling with neighbors.

"I feel better that it's coming from the United States," said Ms. Bell, 34, a vice president of a veterinary drug company and a mother of three.


Pumps devoted to Premium are a waste.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:28 AM

TURN ABOUT'S FAIR PLAY (via bboys):

Gay advocates plan to post names of anti-gay marriage petition signers (AP, September 8, 2005)

Two gay activists are promising to post on the Internet the names and addresses of anyone who signs a petition that could lead to a statewide ban on gay marriage. [...]

[Thomas] Lang, 42, said the name, street address, hometown and ZIP code of everyone who signs the petition will be posted on the Web site KnowThyNeighbor.org.

"Everyone's scrambling to know who in their town would sign this," Lang told the Boston Herald. "And this Web site will give gay people the tools to know, to defend themselves and their families, to let them go neighbor-to-neighbor and say, 'I don't appreciate your signing this.'"

"I'm going to be aggressive personally," he said. "I want to know that the people I do business with are not against (gay marriage). This is going to be won by economics."


It seems only fair to have a website listing those who register to marry or who sign pro-gay petitions as well. The economics wouldn't work out the way Mr. Lang thinks. Of course, it won't happen because the opponents of gay marriage are not haters, like Mr. Lang and his cohorts.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:21 AM

NOT AFAR ENOUGH:

Iraqi, U.S. Troops Sweep Into Tal Afar (JACOB SILBERBERG, 9/10/05, Associated Press)

In the Tal Afar offensive, which had been expected for weeks, coalition forces faced several hundred lightly armed insurgents in the largely deserted city, 260 miles northwest of Baghdad and about 60 miles east of the Syrian border.

There was heavy gunfire in the Sarai district, the oldest part of the city and the major insurgent stronghold.

"I can see why the terrorists chose this place for a fight, it's like a big funnel of death," Sgt. William Haslett of Rocklin, Calif., said of the twisting streets and alleys in the old city.

Prime Minister Ibrahim al-Jaafari announced the 2 a.m. start of the offensive in a statement issued early Saturday. At a news conference later, he said the insurgents had been trying "to isolate Tal Afar from the political process as we are preparing for the referendum on the draft constitution."

Tal Afar residents were largely Turkomen, with ethnic and cultural ties to Turkey to the north. They are mostly Sunni Muslims but had been governed since the ouster of
Saddam Hussein by a U.S.-backed Shiite Muslim city government and police force.

Interior Minister Bayan Jabr said 48 insurgents had been captured so far, along with mortars and communications gear. He said Iraqi troops had suffered two wounded and no deaths.

Defense Minister Saadoun al-Dulaimi said that in the past two days, 141 "terrorists" had been killed and 197 wounded. Five government soldiers died and three were injured, he said.

Al-Dulaimi said 11 Iraqi army battalions and three battalions of paramilitary police were engaged in the offensive, along with three battalions of U.S. troops, and promised Iraqi forces would broaden the offensive against insurgents north and west of Baghdad, right up to the Syrian border.


The Ba'athist/alQaedists can never win precisely because to take so much as a town is to become an easy target.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:08 AM

WERE THEY HONEST THEY'D SAY "HOPED":

Death Toll in New Orleans May Be Lower Than First Feared (SEWELL CHAN and MICHAEL LUO, 9/10/05, NY Times)

The first organized effort to scour the city for its dead has turned up far fewer bodies than expected, officials said Friday. That raised hopes that the death toll from Hurricane Katrina might be much lower than the 10,000 that the mayor and others had predicted.

As the floodwater continued to recede, police officers, National Guard members and members of the 82nd Airborne Division of the Army began to canvass street to street and house to house in the first phase of a hunt to find, remove and identify the dead.

"There's some encouragement in what we found in the initial sweeps," Col. Terry J. Ebbert, the city's director of homeland security, said. "The numbers so far are relatively minor as compared with the dire predictions of 10,000."


The degree to which the Left is estranged from America is amply demonstrated by the fact they'll find these numbers disappointing. Indeed, there are likely already stories of how the "real numbers" are being covered up.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THE DAY THE SYMPATHY DIED:

On Cape Cod, evacuees share tales of horror: But 7 sex offenders ID'd among Katrina refugees (Joe Burns, September 10, 2005, Upper Cape Codder)

As they settled into their new home at Camp Edwards less than 24 hours after many were rescued from New Orleans, 209 evacuees wept tears of joy and despair.

But seven of those evacuees, whose criminal pasts in Louisiana would qualify them as registered sex offenders in Massachusetts, received a ruder welcome.

The Hurricane stopped being helpful to Democrats when they made it a racial issue. The more folks find out about New Orleans, its politics, and its people the less they care about what happened there--except for wanting it rebuilt enough that they stay there.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

IS HE EVEN AWARE THAT HE'S THE MAYOR?:

New Orleans ignored its own plans (Audrey Hudson and James G. Lakely, 9/09/05, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

The city of New Orleans followed virtually no aspect of its own emergency management plan in the disaster caused by Hurricane Katrina.

New Orleans officials also failed to implement most federal guidelines, which stated that the Superdome was not a safe shelter for thousands of residents.

The official "City of New Orleans Comprehensive Emergency Management Plan" states that the mayor can call for a mandatory citywide evacuation, but the Louisiana governor alone is given the power to carry out the evacuation, which Gov. Kathleen Babineaux Blanco has yet to do. She "begged" people to leave before the storm and is still asking the few thousand holdouts to evacuate the flooded city.

Small-scale evacuations, according to the plan, are to be handled under the standard operation plans of city firefighters and police officers.

"However, due to the sheer size and number of persons to be evacuated, should a major tropical weather system or other catastrophic event threaten or impact the area, specifically directed long-range planning and coordination of resources and responsibilities must be undertaken," the New Orleans plan says.

The plan does not say how such an evacuation should be executed, but states that a full evacuation of the city would take 72 hours, and that the city knows that there are "approximately 100,000 citizens of New Orleans [who] do not have means of personal transportation."

The guidelines of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, which has little jurisdiction to act on its own but is designed to work with local authorities, suggests that local evacuation plans "coordinate the use of school buses and drivers to support evacuation efforts."

New Orleans Mayor Faces Tough Questions: Some Say Feisty Leader Lost Control (Robert E. Pierre, 9/10/05, Washington Post)
[W]ith federal forces providing security in a largely vacant city and attention turning toward what it will take to rebuild, it is Nagin who is getting the tough questions.

Should there have been a better plan to evacuate those without cars? Was his police force up to the task? Why weren't there supplies for the legions of people directed to the Superdome? Why were all those city buses left in low-lying areas? Why did so many of his officers leave their posts as the city descended into a chaos that left many residents afraid that either thugs or the elements would kill them?

On conservative talk radio, especially, Nagin has been characterized as an irrational and incompetent local official who lost control of his city, his police force and, ultimately, his senses when he publicly dressed down the president. Even some of his underlings think the critics may be right.

"He should have evacuated the place earlier," said one city firefighter, echoing a mostly whispered sentiment here as the collection of dead bodies begins in earnest. The firefighter asked not to be identified for fear of retribution.

Determining what could have been done better, and what mistakes were made, will take months and perhaps years. Bush is among those vowing to do some accounting. In one recent interview, the mayor said that everyone, including him, shares the blame for the untold numbers of dead lying under the fetid waters that now cover 60 percent of the city. Pressed on the criticisms, Nagin shot back at a news conference this week: "To those who would criticize, where the hell were you?" he said. "Where the hell were you?"


Not in a city that needed to be evacuated?


MORE (via Gene Brown):
Mary, Mary, Quite (To The) Contrary (9/9/2005, Investors Business Daily)

[M]ary Landrieu said of President Bush, "I might likely have to punch him — literally" if he or members of his administration made any more disparaging remarks about local authorities and their pre- and post-Katrina efforts. Some are and were family.

Brother Mitch Landrieu is lieutenant governor of Louisiana. Father "Moon" Landrieu was not only mayor of New Orleans, but also later became secretary of housing and urban development under President Carter.

If anyone had clout in Washington, it would be this family and this swing-state senator. She could easily have traded her vote on a key issue or nomination for needed funding, a common practice in Washington. If funding for levee repairs was less than adequate, she was in a position to get more.
Likewise, ex-Sen. John Breaux was arguably the most influential senator in Washington during the Clinton years, and could easily have gotten more funding, if nothing else, in an effort to break the growing GOP hold on the South.

But if all money ever asked for was appropriated, as Breaux himself has said, everyone knew that the levee system was designed for a Category 3 hurricane, and not for a "once every hundred years" storm that could put New Orleans under 20 feet of water. And the track record of how money that was appropriated was actually spent is not good.

Despite Landrieu's complaints of budget cuts and paltry funding, the fact is that over the five years of the Bush administration, Louisiana has received more money — $1.9 billion — for Army Corps of Engineers civil works projects than any other state, and more than under any other administration over a similar period. California is a distant second with less than $1.4 billion despite a population more than seven times as large.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

EXORCISING VATICAN II:

A HARD FAITH: How the New Pope and His Predecessor Redefined Vatican II (Peter J. Boyer, May 16, 2005, The New Yorker Magazine)

Because Karol Wojtyla’s outsized presence so neatly suited secular description he was the media age Vatican who helped to bring down the Soviet Union it had been possible to overlook the radical core of his papacy. His predecessor John XXIII, who began his pontificate by convoking the transformational Second Vatican Council, is credited with opening the Church to the modem world. John Paul II commenced his tenure on a starkly different note. His first encyclical, Redemptor Hominis (“Redeemer of Man”), in 1979, opened with the words that foreshadowed his central theme: “The redeemer of man, Jesus Christ, is the center of the universe and of history.” Beginning with this letter to the Church, and developed through a vast body of writing and preaching, Wojtyla’s bold proposal for the world was that there is one abiding Truth, and in it resides the most promising hope for humankind. Liberals admired the Pope’s ecumenical gestures his historic visit to the synagogue of Rome, his pilgrimage to Jerusalem’s Western Wall, his day of prayer with leaders of the world’s other religions at Assisi in 1986 but they were dismayed by the publication, in 2000, of Dominus Jesus, the Church’s declaration that Jesus Christ is the only true way to salvation.

Vatican II had acknowledged the validity of what is “true and holy” in other religions, which had led the Church toward what John Paul II saw as a dangerous acceptance of religious indifferentism. His 1990 encyclical, Redemptoris Missio, warned against the “incorrect theological perspectives” that led to the idea that “‘one religion is as good as another.’“ The eternal mission of the Church, he wrote, was Christian evangelism to the world.

In his manifest, and deeply spiritual, Christocentrism, John Paul 11 had been the sort of Roman Catholic that even an evangelical Protestant could admire. (The Catholic writer Michael Novak quotes a Southern Baptist friend as having once remarked about John Paul II, “I’m as anti-papist as you can get. But you’ve got a Pope who knows how to Pope!”) in an age he constantly decried for its relativism, Wojtyla proclaimed an absolute Truth, based on a fundamentally orthodox theology. Ratzinger’s job was to hammer out the administrative details punishing dissident theologians, framing the Pope’s exclusion of women from the priesthood as infallible teaching, discouraging liturgical novelty, and so on.

It was this fundamentalism of John Paul that Cardinal Ratzinger was defending in his instantly famous homily at the Mass for the election of a new Pope, on April 18th. “We are moving toward a dictatorship of relativism,” he said, “which does not recognize anything as for certain and which has as its highest goal one’s own ego and one’s own desires.”

Ratzinger’s quick election by the College of Cardinals a Vatican version of a landslide victory was an unwelcome signal to “issue” Catholics that Wojtyla’s protracted era of orthodoxy had been granted an extension. Progressives had lived in a suspended mood of fin de régime for a very long time, which was occasionally expressed as an impatience with the old man’s stubborn postponement of the inevitable. Now he was dead, and still his regime lived.

The new Pope clearly shares the view of his friend and predecessor that the Church must stand against modernity, to resist what he called “the waves of today’s fashions or the latest novelties.” The West, ever more faithless, is now considered mission territory, but Ratzinger has suggested that the Church itself must first undertake a process of purification. “Lord, your Church often seems like a boat about to sink, a boat taking in water on every side,” he said in a Good Friday prayer at the Colosseum. “In your field we see more weeds than wheat. The soiled garments and face of your Church throw us into confusion. Yet it is we ourselves who have soiled them!” George Weigel, a biographer of John Paul II, noting Ratzinger’s choice of papal name, has observed that one of the Benedictines’ mottoes is Succisa viresci “Pruned, it grows again.” The Church is shrinking in Europe and, to a lesser degree, in the United States, and Ratzinger seems to face with an air of determined acceptance the prospect that it will grow even smaller. “The essential things in history begin always with the small, more convinced communities,” Ratzinger said in an interview with the Catholic television and radio network Eternal Word two years ago. “So, the Church begins with the twelve Apostles. Smaller numbers, I think but from these small numbers we will have a radiation of joy in the world. And so, it’s an attraction, as it was in the old Church.”

There is much to suggest that the pruning was already well underway during the pontificate of John Paul II. In the American Church, the remnant taking shape can already be clearly seen in the growing, fervently evangelical new movements encouraged by John Paul II, and in a resurgent orthodoxy in the seminary’ This renewal, as it calls itself; is led by a rising group of churchmen who are unashamedly orthodox and who were fiercely loyal to the person, and agenda, of John Paul II.

In the secular press, the shorthand way of distinguishing progressive Catholic ideas or individuals from conservative ones is by their orientation to Vatican II. Progressives pressing the case for a particular reform will often cite “the spirit of Vatican II.” Conservatives, at the mention of that ecumenical council, tend to smile tightly and change the subject (unless the moment is seized for a full refutation). The Second Vatican Council ran in four sessions, from 1962 to 1965. Pope John XXIII, who called the Council in the hope of renewing the Church for its mission of presenting Christ to the world, died after the first session, in 1963. His successor, Pope Paul II, presided over the final three sessions, and eventually came to the conclusion that the Council may have loosed within the Church an impulse of self-immolation. “Satan’s smoke,” he said in 1972, “has made its way into the temple of God through some crack.”

Unfortunately, Vatican II isn't the only area where the Church has problems with Satan slipping through the cracks.


MORE:
Vatican plan to block gay priests (Jamie Doward, August 28, 2005, The Observer)

The new Pope faces his first controversy over the direction of the Catholic church after it was revealed that the Vatican has drawn up a religious instruction preventing gay men from being priests.

The controversial document, produced by the Congregation for Catholic Education and Seminaries, the body overseeing the church's training of the priesthood, is being scrutinised by Benedict XVI.

It been suggested Rome would publish the instruction earlier this month, but it dropped the plan out of concern that such a move might tarnish his visit to his home city of Cologne last week.

The document expresses the church's belief that gay men should no longer be allowed to enter seminaries to study for the priesthood. Currently, as all priests take a vow of celibacy, their sexual orientation has not been considered a pressing concern.

Vatican-watchers believe the Pope harbours doubts about whether the church should publish the document, which has already been the subject of three drafts.

'Inevitably, such a directive will be met with opposition,' said John Haldane, professor of moral philosophy at the University of St Andrews.

The instruction tries to dampen down the controversy by eschewing a moral line, arguing instead that the presence of homosexuals in seminaries is 'unfair' to both gay and heterosexual priests by subjecting the former to temptation.


September 9, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:43 PM

WHAT VENEER?:

Girls, it's a jungle out there (Miranda Devine, September 11, 2005, The Sun-Herald)

A bitchy email exchange between secretaries from law firm Allens Arthur Robinson captivated the city last week. Katrina Nugent's complaint that someone had stolen her lunch from an office fridge degenerated into a cyber catfight with Melinda Bird that spread around the internet faster than a Chernobyl joke. Widespread mirth turned to outrage when the women were sacked for their notoriety.

But the reason for the email's irresistible popular appeal was that it peeled back the veneer of civility on female relationships.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:56 PM

WHO WEARS THE DUNCE CAP?:

Ambassador Seeks Change in U.N. Management (MICHAEL MELIA, September 9, 2005, Associated Press)

U.S. Ambassador John Bolton called Friday for a "cultural revolution" in the way the United Nations does business, citing the oil-for-food scandal as an example of the need for sweeping reform at the world body.

A report this week blamed bad management for allowing Saddam Hussein's government to reap $10.2 billion from the humanitarian program designed to help the Iraqi people cope with U.N. sanctions.

"This is the kind of development that I think shocks our conscience in America, to see the humanitarian impulse so cynically manipulated," Bolton said in a speech to the World Jewish Congress. [...]

"Management reform is not a one-night stand. Management reform is forever. What we really need is a cultural revolution in terms of reform at the United Nations," Bolton said.


There's a leaden phrase.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:48 PM

APING SAN FRANCISCO (via obc):

Chimps find no safety in sex (Mike Pflanz, September 10, 2005, Daily Telegraph)

Pygmy chimpanzees known as jungle hippies because they resolve conflict through sex rather than fighting are hurtling towards extinction faster than any other primate, experts say.

Bonobos, gentle creatures found only in the war-torn forests of the Democratic Republic of Congo, live in strictly matriarchal families and neither kill nor fight over territory. They pair off for sex at the slightest hint of danger, stress or friction, and this policy of "making love not war" has resulted in their nickname.

They are among man's closest relatives and face the prospect of being the first great ape to be wiped out.

A conservationist, Claudine Andre, said: "All the great apes left in the wild face extinction, but it is the bonobos who look likely to be the first ones to go."


Nature, red in lipstick and nail polish.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:09 PM

THE OTHER DARK MEAT:

Itoham admits role in pork import scam (Japan Times, 9/10/05)

Major meat processor Itoham Foods Inc. admitted Friday to being involved in a meat importer's evasion of some 940 million yen in customs duties on pork imported from Europe in 2002 and 2003 as the firm's fraud trial opened before the Tokyo District Court.

Prosecutors said in a statement that Itoham President Masami Ito claimed while being interrogated that about 80 percent of pork imported to Japan evades customs duties.

A 54-year-old former employee at Itoham, whose name has been withheld, also claimed the company would have lost out to rival companies unless it handled the "dark pork," meaning pork imported without paying tariffs, the prosecutors said.


That's not kosher.


Posted by Glenn Dryfoos at 7:45 PM

SO LONG, MR. SLAP SHOT:

Al MacInnis retires after 23 seasons (Reuters, 9/09/05)

St Louis Blues defenseman Al MacInnis has retired after 23 seasons in the NHL.

"His accomplishments will serve as a significant part of this organization's permanent history and lore," said Blues president Mark Sauer in a statement.

"We look forward to honoring him this season during a special night and allowing all of our fans to applaud him on the ice once again."

An eye injury suffered in October 2003 led to the 42-year-old MacInnis's retirement, according to the NHL's official Web site.

"There's not always a storybook ending to everyone's career and no one wants to end their career on an injury or lockout," MacInnis told the Belleville (Illinois) News-Democrat in May.

"But I've played a long time, played probably 21 more years than I thought I ever would. In that sense I'm very fortunate and very lucky."


Another all-time great defensemen hangs up his skates. A few days ago, we praised Scott Stevens' checking; with MacInnis, it was his iconic slapshot. I had season tickets right behind the net for the LA Kings for many years. The sound of a MacInnis slapper hitting the boards or glass was astounding. With Vinny Damphousse also calling it quits this week, and Yzerman, Shanahan, Chelios, Leetch and Hull reaching the end of the road, I'm not sure I'm going to recognize anyone out there in a year or 2 (other than Thornton, Forsberg, Kariya and Iginla)...


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:02 PM

CONVENIENT PRETEXT:

Embattled Brown Taken Off Katrina Duty (LARA JAKES JORDAN, September 9, 2005, AP)

Federal Emergency Management Agency Director Michael Brown, the principal target of harsh criticism of the Bush administration's response to Hurricane Katrina, was relieved of his onsite command Friday.

He will be replaced by Coast Guard Vice Adm. Thad W. Allen, who was overseeing New Orleans relief, recovery and rescue efforts, Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff announced. [...]

Brown has been under fire and facing calls for his resignation because of the administration's slow response to the magnitude of the hurricane. On Thursday, questions were raised about whether he padded his resume to exaggerate his previous emergency management background.


The resume padding lets the President can him without admitting the Katrina response is the proximate cause.


Posted by Bruce Cleaver at 1:08 PM

WORDS AS BLUNT INSTRUMENTS:

Ill wind may not blow to the Whitehouse (Newton Emerson, September 8, 2005, Irish Times, via sluggerotoole.com)

As the full horror of this sinks in, thousands of desperate columnists are asking if the Republican Party itself will now suffer a setback at the congressional mid-term elections next November.

The answer is almost certainly yes, provided that people outside the disaster zone punish their local representatives for events elsewhere a year previously, both beyond their control and outside their remit, while people inside the disaster zone reward their local representatives for an ongoing calamity they were supposed to prevent. Otherwise, the Democratic Party will suffer a setback at the next congressional election.

Sometimes, you encounter an essay so well conceived, containing such lapidary prose, that it makes writing seem very easy indeed. It's akin to watching pro ball players execute a crisp double play, and leads to absurd fantasies such as "Hey...that looks easy. I can do that as well as he can." Of course, you cannot. Watch as Newton Emerson calmly destroys hysterical rhetoric emanating from certain quarters regarding the Katrina aftermath.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 12:45 PM

MISSIONARIES FROM THE CHURCH OF DARWIN

Aborigines must change to survive (Patricia Karvelas, The Australian, September 10th, 2005)

Aboriginal people must adapt to the modern capitalist environment or find themselves like a "species" unable to compete in a harsh world.

Warren Mundine, the incoming national president of the Labor Party, drew on the words of Charles Darwin in the provocative speech last night, which warned Aboriginal people about the need to change to survive.

"It is neither the strongest nor the most intelligent species that survive; it is the species that is most responsive to change," he said in the address to the conservative Bennelong Society.

"How very true those words are to the situation of indigenous Australians."

Too bad there were no Amish, conservative Catholics, orthodox Jews or fundamentalist mullahs in the audience to comment on Mr. Mundine’s certainty that “responsiveness to change” is the key to survival. “Adapt or die” is a contemporary article of faith of progressive Western man, much more anthropologically interesting than anything coming out of the modern aboriginal world. So is the notion that the world is becoming increasingly harsh, a belief that tends to sit awkwardly in the same minds that trumpet the glories of inevitable progress.

In fact, for centuries now, aboriginal people have been very successful in surviving by ignoring whatever exasperated non-aboriginals tell them they must do in order to survive. There was a time when conversion to Christianity was seen as the only road to hope and light. This was followed by a period of attempted assimilation by oppressing their traditions and cultures and trying to bestow the wonders of modern education on them. For several generations thereafter, they were showered with money and subsidized services so they could develop unique systems of self-government grounded in flourishing indigenous cultures only they could understand or define. None of these enjoyed any general success, but we ourselves are now so confused about who we are and what we stand for that we can only urge something as gooey and banal as “responsiveness to change” on them. Nonetheless, it has been quite some time since anyone threatened that they are all going to die if they don’t do it our way.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:34 PM

I'M READY FOR MY CLOSE-UP, PRESIDENT BUSH:

Power to Detain 'Enemy Combatant' Is Upheld (THE ASSOCIATED PRESS, 9/09/05)

A federal appeals court Friday sided with the Bush administration and reversed a judge's order that the government either charge or free ''dirty bomb'' suspect Jose Padilla.

The three-judge panel of the 4th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled unanimously that the president has the authority to detain a U.S. citizen closely associated with al-Qaida.

''The exceedingly important question before us is whether the President of the United States possesses the authority to detain militarily a citizen of this country who is closely associated with al Qaeda, an entity with which the United States is at war,'' Judge Michael Luttig wrote. ''We conclude that the President does possess such authority.''


Judge Luttig rockets to the top of the O'Connor replacement betting line.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:05 AM

KEEPING HIS EYE ON THE BALL:

Bush Suspends Pay Act In Areas Hit by Storm (Thomas B. Edsall, September 9, 2005, Washington Post)

President Bush yesterday suspended application of the federal law governing workers' pay on federal contracts in the Hurricane Katrina-damaged areas of Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, and Mississippi. The action infuriated labor leaders and their Democratic supporters in Congress, who said it will lower wages and make it harder for union contractors to win bids.

The Davis-Bacon Act, passed in 1931 during the Great Depression, sets a minimum pay scale for workers on federal contracts by requiring contractors to pay the prevailing or average pay in the region. Suspension of the act will allow contractors to pay lower wages. Many Republicans have opposed Davis-Bacon, charging that it amounts to a taxpayer subsidy to unions.

In a letter to Congress, Bush said he has the power to suspend the law because of the national emergency caused by the hurricane: "I have found that the conditions caused by Hurricane Katrina constitute a 'national emergency.' "

Bush wrote that his decision is justified because Davis-Bacon increases construction costs, and suspension "will result in greater assistance to these devastated communities and will permit the employment of thousands of additional individuals."

AFL-CIO President John J. Sweeney denounced the Bush announcement as "outrageous."


Here's why George Bush, even if you concede the Democrats' argument that he butchered the response to the Hurricane, is the greatest conservative president in our history. Recall that he only accepted the Department of Homeland Security because of political necessity and the clandestine opportunity it afforded to get rid of cumbersome civil service rules. Now he turns the "resulting" disaster into yet another sub rosa attack on organized labor. These guys are scary good.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:00 AM

WHICH WOULD MAKE TEDDY A YETI?:

Hill Veterans Light the Way for Nominee: 'Sherpas' Akin to Personal Coaches (Christopher Lee, 9/09/05, Washington Post)

The role of the sherpa, named for the Tibetan guides who assist climbers in the Himalayas, is largely off camera and unpaid. It is a critical and routine part of the Washington odyssey that high-profile nominees go through on their way to the high court or top Cabinet posts.

When John G. Roberts Jr. was nominated by President Bush in July to be an associate justice, he was promptly provided with two guides: former senator Fred D. Thompson (R-Tenn.) and former Republican National Committee chairman Ed Gillespie. Both are considered savvy Washington insiders who are now comfortably on the outside. After the death of Chief Justice William H. Rehnquist last week, Bush nominated Roberts to lead the court.

Roberts has not faced anything like the opposition Bork did. Democrats say they will press him harder at his confirmation hearings beginning Monday now that he is in line to be chief.

"There are several roles you play," said Duberstein, who also served as a guide for Supreme Court Justice David H. Souter, CIA Director Robert M. Gates and Secretary of State George P. Shultz. "You are the chief strategist for the ultimate goal of getting that person confirmed. You are also the traffic cop, because everybody wants to see the prospective nominee. You are a coach and you're also a confidant of the nominee. You are the chief liaison with the Hill, but also the chief liaison within the administration. You are an enforcer, but you are also a negotiator."

Duberstein said the job of guiding Roberts should not change because he has been nominated for chief justice. "I don't recall that there would be any distinction," he said.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 8:30 AM

PAGING DR. MENGELE

Is your mind changing? Scientists think so (Carolyn Abraham, Globe and Mail, September 9th, 2005)

Humans may be the brightest species on Earth, but provocative new research has concluded our brain has not yet reached its final form. Scientists at the University of Chicago have found that two human genes involved in brain size and development are still evolving -- and, they suspect, mutating to make people smarter.

The team is so sure of its hunch that it has patented the genes with plans to develop tests to identify those who carry these potentially brain-boosting traits -- which appear to be more prevalent in some populations than others.

"We're envisioning what societies will want," said human geneticist Bruce Lahn, predicting that prospective parents, for example, might find such information invaluable.

In two papers published today in the journal Science, Dr. Lahn and his colleagues report that the specific gene mutations they have found appear to have swept across certain areas of the globe so quickly that they are practically the norm. With prevalence rates higher than 70 per cent in Europe, for example, the researchers argue that chance alone cannot explain the changes, which first sprung up at the same time that modern humans developed culture and language.

"The rise is so rapid, I was literally flabbergasted," Dr. Lahn said. Natural selection appears to favour the new form of these genes, he believes, because they must offer some advantage.

The discovery sounds like hopeful news for the human species, but it has prickly social implications: Researchers found the mutations are more prevalent among some ethnic groups than others.

Testing 1,184 DNA samples from around the world, the researchers found, for example, that the frequency in West and sub-Saharan Africa is less than 10 per cent."My concern is that this is going to become justification for prejudices against certain groups," Dr. Lahn said, even as he stressed that the work is in its early stages and that the full role these genes play in brain development is little understood. [...]

All mutations begin as random events during conception. But they become more prevalent in a population if they offer a survival advantage, and if the people who carry them have more children than others.

It certainly is a measure of modern neuroticism that a scientist who is trying to make a name for himself out of the “discovery” that Africans are stupider than Europeans and getting even stupider by the minute professes to be concerned about the social implications of his work. But this is hardly surprising. Among all the fables of darwinism, the notion that evolution was over, at least in humans, was among the most nonsensical when measured against the logic of the theory, despite being believed by giants like Mayr. In spite of the utterly vile implications of this nonsense, the idea that those clever Europeans with their collapsing demographics have a survival edge over an exploding African population borders on the riotous, unless the unstated implication is that they will be smart enough to subjugate (or worse) them forever.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:18 AM

IF YOU DON'T STOP BEING ONE YOU'LL GO BLIND:

Chirac leaves hospital after week (BBC, 9/09/05)

French President Jacques Chirac has left a Paris military hospital following treatment for eye trouble related to a "vascular" incident.

Accompanied by his wife Bernadette, the 72-year-old walked unaided and told reporters he was "in good form."


In other words, the swelling has gone down.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:24 AM

SAVINGS WON'T SAVE THEM:

Japan post office's rural redoubt (Chris Hogg, 9/08/05, BBC News)

Part of the post office's importance stems from the fact that money handed over by savers at its branches is added to a huge pile of yen which for years has been used by LDP politicians to bankroll public spending projects.

When times were good, they saw this as a way of sharing the benefits of Japanese growth with poorer areas. So in Onomichi they have built three huge bridges in the last 10 years. So far they are running at a loss of 1 trillion yen because the tolls are so expensive, few locals use them.

But this is why some local politicians are so attached to the present system.

It offers a pot of gold they don't want to lose.

Mr Okada's post office is not the only one in Onomichi. There's another one five minutes' walk down the road; there's a larger one slightly further down next to the railway station; and then another small one just beyond that.

Those who believe Japan Post should remain a state owned company argue that this kind of coverage provides customers with the level of service they have become accustomed to and need.

After all, the post office is more than just a mail delivery service. In rural areas especially, it is often the only place that offers banking and sells insurance. By some measures it's the world's biggest bank.

But Japan's Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi asks why the state needs to employ 260,000 post office workers.

He says he wants to bring the disciplines of the market to this bloated institution. So much money is deposited at small offices like the one in Onomichi that the Post Office is just too big and powerful, preventing proper competition.


For twenty something years now business writers and politicians have chided us about how much more the Japanese save than us, without ever once recognizing that they turn their savings over to the political machine rather than investing it in homes and businesses the way we do.


MORE:
Japan's LDP in lead ahead of poll (BBC, 9/09/05)

Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) has opened up a comfortable lead ahead of Sunday's lower house election, opinion polls suggest.

According to polls in three Japanese papers, the LDP has a lead of around 20 percentage points over its main rival, the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ).

The Asahi Shimbun said the LDP would win at least 241 seats, giving it and its coalition partner a clear majority.

Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi said he felt a "good response" from voters.

Mr Koizumi sees the election as a referendum on his reform programme, which was blocked by rebels within his own party.


Helps to be the only charismatic leader in the country.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:48 AM

WHAT ABOUT THE STEEL TARIFFS?:

White House Looks to Wrap New Trade Deals (MARTIN CRUTSINGER, 9/08/05, The Associated Press)

[U.S. Trade Representative Rob] said the administration hoped to complete free trade talks this year with Panama and Oman and complete negotiations with Thailand and the Andean nations of South America next year as well as complete a free trade deal with the United Arab Emirates.

In addition, Portman said the administration hoped to make decisions by the end of this year on whether to launch new free trade talks with South Korea, Egypt, Malaysia and Switzerland, all countries which have requested negotiations with the United States.

Before the Bush administration took office, the United States only had free trade agreements in effect with three nations _ Canada, Mexico and Israel. Bush, however, has pushed to get congressional approval of deals with Jordan, Chile, Singapore, Morocco and Australia.

And in a two-vote House victory this summer, Bush won approval of the Central American Free Trade Agreement eliminating barriers with Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua and the Dominican Republic.


Maybe now the libertarians will come down off of the ledge?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:33 AM

PUTSCH UP OR SHUT UP:

Political Issues Snarled Plans for Troop Aid (ERIC LIPTON, ERIC SCHMITT and THOM SHANKER, 9/09/05, NY Times)

As New Orleans descended into chaos last week and Louisiana's governor asked for 40,000 soldiers, President Bush's senior advisers debated whether the president should speed the arrival of active-duty troops by seizing control of the hurricane relief mission from the governor.

For reasons of practicality and politics, officials at the Justice Department and the Pentagon, and then at the White House, decided not to urge Mr. Bush to take command of the effort. Instead, the Washington officials decided to rely on the growing number of National Guard personnel flowing into Louisiana, who were under Gov. Kathleen Babineaux Blanco's control.

The debate began after officials realized that Hurricane Katrina had exposed a critical flaw in the national disaster response plans created after the Sept. 11 attacks. According to the administration's senior domestic security officials, the plan failed to recognize that local police, fire and medical personnel might be incapacitated.

As criticism of the response to Hurricane Katrina has mounted, one of the most pointed questions has been why more troops were not available more quickly to restore order and offer aid.


Can't wait to see Democrats in Congress hand the White House power to keep the military poised to sieze and control majority black and Democrat-controlled cities any time it rains hard enough....


MORE (via Gene Brown):
Who Calls the Cavalry?: The Pentagon was prepared for Hurricane Katrina. (DANIEL HENNINGER , September 9, 2005, Opinion Journal)

Once disaster arrives, several federal laws designed to protect state sovereignty from being swept aside by a Latin-American-style national police force dictate that a state's officials, specifically the governor, is supposed to phone the federal government and describe what they need. If asked by Homeland Security, DoD will send in the cavalry. But this is one audible at the line even Don Rumsfeld doesn't get to call.

Post-mortem investigations will surely re-create, minute by minute, how Louisiana Gov. Blanco and Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff idled away their time last week. But it appears now that Gov. Blanco did not make that crucial, early, legally mandated call to the President. Absent that, Fox and CNN became the call to the White House. The media message was "do something!" In fact, the president does have "do something" authority. It's called the Insurrection Act, which is what John Kennedy used in 1963 against Gov. George Wallace, ordering the governor's own National Guard to turn against him and forcibly integrate the University of Alabama. As to the looters, who were breaking no evident federal law, the Posse Comitatus Act of 1878 explicitly forbids using the military (unless a governor uses her National Guard under "state status") in a domestic police function.

The question raised by the Katrina fiasco--and by the Pentagon's new Homeland Defense Strategy to protect against WMD attack--is whether the threat from madmen and nature is now sufficiently huge in its potential horror and unacceptable loss that we should modify existing jurisdictional authority to give the Pentagon functional first-responder status. Should we repeal or modify the Posse Comitatus Act so homicidal thugs have more to fear than the Keystone Kops? Should a governor be able to phone the Defense Secretary direct, creating a kind of "yellow-light authority" and cutting out the Homeland Security or FEMA middleman? Should presidential initiative extend beyond the Insurrection Act?

Instinct says the answer is forever no. Survival suggests we had better talk about it.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:31 AM

NO FAIR, YOU'RE MORE POPULAR:

Poor response to Pakistan strike (BBC, 9/09/05)

Reports from Pakistan say that a nationwide strike called by opposition parties has attracted limited support.

The strike is effective in the city of Quetta, where hardline Islamic parties who are spearheading the protest have strong support.

But in the country's other cities, life is carrying on as normal although some shops and businesses are shut.

The opposition have called the strike to press for the resignation of the country's president, Pervez Musharraf.

They say the move is a protest against local elections held last month.


They can't win at the polls.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:00 AM

KNEE-JERK DEEP IN THE BIG MUDDY:

Here's an essay that Oswald Booth Czolgosz (obc) wrote for a Western Standard contest:

Many Canadians have expressed their reluctance and even an aversion to extending any assistance to the United States in the immediate aftermath of Hurricane Katrina and the breaching of the 17th Street dike in New Orleans. Their reasoning (aside from the knee-jerk anti-Americanism that is spouted automatically by the CBC-listening Left of this country) is that the war against terrorism in Iraq has siphoned off the necessary funds that could have been employed to save the refugees of Louisiana and to rebuild the city more famous for its Mardi Gras revelry than for its civility. Why then should Canada come to the aid of the US? That would be tantamount to supporting the war in Iraq! That would be siding with the country that is eradicating the threat of Islamofascist terrorists that hangs over the civilized western world! We cannot be seen taking sides here. That would compromise Canadian neutrality – or some such nonsense. Moral equivalence must never be replaced with recognizing evil and eradicating it from the face of the earth! Otherwise, we would not be Canadian!

Now let us sneak a peek into the not so distant future when a similar calamity strikes Canada the Good.
Perhaps that long awaited earthquake devastates British Columbia, leaving that province incommunicado
from the rest of the nation and its ports damaged beyond repair. The railroads are no longer operational, the airports have all been rendered unusable, the malcontents rule what is left of Vancouver and Victoria while brandishing weapons that all other citizens are not permitted to possess. Now what?

The United States offers her sympathies and prayers, wishing her northern neighbour the best of luck in her attempts to recover from this tragic Act of Nature. (Not an Act of God, of course – Canadians as of late have been discouraged from invoking the Deity in public discourse.)

That statement by the Americans is subsequently followed by a deep regret - that they would have loved to come to our assistance but for the fact that it would be entirely unnecessary had Canada not squandered billions of its dollars on a gun registry that prevented not a single murder, an advertising scandal that funneled monies into the pockets of cronies of the Prime Minister and other Cabinet members in an ostensibly patriotic attempt to keep Quebec in Confederation, decades of unaccountable funds for the First Nations that never seemed to have reached the average Natives, a $750 million program to teach Albertans the French language (but no such program to teach Quebecers English), a costly Kyoto Treaty that most of the world has ignored or is not subject to, a useless fleet of used and flammable submarines that even the Edmonton Mall would not care to accept for free, the cancellation at great expense of a helicopter contract in the early 1990’s that was signed again a decade later at much greater expense to the public, and a whole host of other well-known boondoggles that cost the Canadian Treasury billions more.

Add to that fact that our own military is completely incapable of taking action due to a lack of manpower and funding that renders it so impotent that even a CN Tower full of Viagra would be powerless in the face of this national catastrophe.

Think about that while B.C. earthquake victims are struggling for a breath as they try to dig themselves
out of the rubble and the Canadian Dollar falls to 25 cents versus the American. Then pray to God that the US never adopts such a despicable stance in our time of need, eh?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:00 AM

OOPS, DISASTER ASSISTANCE JUST LOST THE LIBERTARIANS...:

Police Begin Seizing Guns of Civilians (ALEX BERENSON and JOHN M. BRODER, 9/09/05, NY Times)

Local police officers began confiscating weapons from civilians in preparation for a forced evacuation of the last holdouts still living here, as President Bush steeled the nation for the grisly scenes of recovering the dead that will unfold in coming days.

Police officers and federal law enforcement agents scoured the city carrying assault rifles seeking residents who have holed up to avoid forcible eviction, as well as those who are still considering evacuating voluntarily to escape the city's putrid waters.

"Individuals are at risk of dying," said P. Edwin Compass III, the superintendent of the New Orleans police. "There's nothing more important than the preservation of human life."


You can always just pry them from their cold dead hands after they drown....


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

TERMINAL PATIENTS DON'T REFORM THEIR WAYS:

Merkel camp jittery as polls shift (Judy Dempsey, 9/09/05, International Herald Tribune)

The shift of mood inside the Merkel camp reflects opinion polls that for the first time since the campaign started in July have shifted toward Chancellor Gerhard Schröder.

A poll issued Thursday by Infratest dimap for ARD public television in which 1,000 people were selected at random showed support for the Christian Democrats and their sister party, the Christian Social Union, dipping from 43 percent to 41 percent. The Free Democrats would get 6.5 percent of the vote. Together these parties would not have enough seats in Parliament to form a government.

In contrast, Schröder's Social Democrats have jumped from 30 percent to 34 percent and his Green Party coalition partners have 7 percent.

Yet those figures, too, would make it impossible for the Social Democrats and Greens to govern, largely because of the influence of the new radical Left Party of former communists and former Social Democrats. It could win 8.5 percent of the votes, which in the past probably would have been destined for Schröder's party.

Even though the margin of error is between 1.4 and 3.1 percentage points, the leading pollsters are again beginning to speculate that Merkel might in fact have no choice but to share government with the Social Democrats as her junior partner in what is called "a grand coalition."

The idea horrifies Elmar Brok, a leading Christian Democrat and member of the European Parliament.

"It would be a disaster for the reforms and for the stability of the country," said Brok, who was campaigning in his constituency in Gütersloh, western Germany. "The left wing of the Social Democrats would block reforms. Stagnation would set in and then we would have to have fresh elections in two years or so."

If ever there was a political situation that cried out for a Front Porch Campaign this is it. To so much as speak of change is to alienate German voters who just want to be left to die away quietly.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THAT ONE'S GONNA LEAVE A MARK... (via Timothy Goddard):

Why Do We Invoke Darwin?: Evolutionary theory contributes little to experimental biology (Philip S. Skell, 8/29/05, The Scientist)

Darwin's theory of evolution offers a sweeping explanation of the history of life, from the earliest microscopic organisms billions of years ago to all the plants and animals around us today. Much of the evidence that might have established the theory on an unshakable empirical foundation, however, remains lost in the distant past. For instance, Darwin hoped we would discover transitional precursors to the animal forms that appear abruptly in the Cambrian strata. Since then we have found many ancient fossils - even exquisitely preserved soft-bodied creatures - but none are credible ancestors to the Cambrian animals.

Despite this and other difficulties, the modern form of Darwin's theory has been raised to its present high status because it's said to be the cornerstone of modern experimental biology. But is that correct? "While the great majority of biologists would probably agree with Theodosius Dobzhansky's dictum that 'nothing in biology makes sense except in the light of evolution,' most can conduct their work quite happily without particular reference to evolutionary ideas," A.S. Wilkins, editor of the journal BioEssays, wrote in 2000. "Evolution would appear to be the indispensable unifying idea and, at the same time, a highly superfluous one." [...]

Darwinian evolution - whatever its other virtues - does not provide a fruitful heuristic in experimental biology. This becomes especially clear when we compare it with a heuristic framework such as the atomic model, which opens up structural chemistry and leads to advances in the synthesis of a multitude of new molecules of practical benefit. None of this demonstrates that Darwinism is false. It does, however, mean that the claim that it is the cornerstone of modern experimental biology will be met with quiet skepticism from a growing number of scientists in fields where theories actually do serve as cornerstones for tangible breakthroughs.


They don't comprehend the difference between evolution and Darwinism and then they wonder why even real scientists don't take them seriously? And the paradigm keeps slipping away....

MORE:
-The Evolution of Ernst: Interview with Ernst Mayr: The preeminent biologist, who just turned 100, reflects on his prolific career and the history, philosophy and future of his field On July 5, renowned evolutionary biologist Ernst Mayr celebrated his 100th birthday. He also recently finished writing his 25th book, What Makes Biology Unique?: Considerations on the Autonomy of a Scientific Discipline [Cambridge University Press, in press]. A symposium in Mayr's honor was held at Harvard University on May 10. Scientific American editor and columnist Steve Mirsky attended the symposium and wrote about it for the upcoming August issue. On May 15, Mirsky, Brazilian journalist Claudio Angelo and Angelo's colleague Marcelo Leite visited Mayr at his apartment in Bedford, Mass. (Scientific American, 7/06/04)

Claudio Angelo: What is the book about?

Ernst Mayr: What the book is about. (Laughs.) Primarily to show, and you will think that this doesn't need showing, but lots of people would disagree with you. To show that biology is an autonomous science and should not be mixed up with physics. That's my message. And I show it in about 12 chapters. And, as another fact, when people ask me what is really your field, and 50 years or 60 years ago, without hesitation I would have said I'm an ornithologist. Forty years ago I would have said, I'm an evolutionist. And a little later I would still say I'm an evolutionist, but I would also say I'm an historian of biology. And the last 20 years, I love to answer, I'm a philosopher of biology. And, as a matter of fact, and that is perhaps something I can brag about, I have gotten honorary degrees for my work in ornithology from two universities, in evolution, in systematics, in history of biology and in philosophy of biology. Two honorary degrees from philosophy departments.

Steve Mirsky: And the philosophical basis for physics versus biology is what you examine in the book?

EM: I show first in the first chapter and in some chapters that follow later on, I show that biology is as serious, honest, legitimate a science as the physical sciences. All the occult stuff that used to be mixed in with philosophy of biology, like vitalism and teleology-Kant after all, when he wanted to describe biology, he put it all on teleology, just to give an example-all this sort of funny business I show is out. Biology has exactly the same hard-nosed basis as the physical sciences, consisting of the natural laws. The natural laws apply to biology just as much as they do to the physical sciences. But the people who compare the two, or who, like some philosophers, put in biology with physical sciences, they leave out a lot of things. And the minute you include those, you can see clearly that biology is not the same sort of thing as the physical sciences. And I cannot give a long lecture now on that subject, that's what the book is for.

I'll give you an example. In principle, biology differs from the physical sciences in that in the physical sciences, all theories, I don't know exceptions so I think it's probably a safe statement, all theories are based somehow or other on natural laws. In biology, as several other people have shown, and I totally agree with them, there are no natural laws in biology corresponding to the natural laws of the physical sciences.

Now then you can say, how can you have theories in biology if you don't have laws on which to base them? Well, in biology your theories are based on something else. They're based on concepts. Like the concept of natural selection forms the basis of, practically the most important basis of, evolutionary biology. You go to ecology and you get concepts like competition or resources, ecology is just full of concepts. And those concepts are the basis of all the theories in ecology. Not the physical laws, they're not the basis. They are of course ultimately the basis, but not directly, of ecology. And so on and so forth. And so that's what I do in this book. I show that the theoretical basis, you might call it, or I prefer to call it the philosophy of biology, has a totally different basis than the theories of physics.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

WHY REWAREHOUSE THE POOR?:

Katrina's silver lining (David Brooks, 9/09/05, The New York Times)

As a colleague of mine says, every crisis is an opportunity. And sure enough, Hurricane Katrina has given the United States an amazing chance to do something serious about urban poverty.

That's because Katrina was a natural disaster that interrupted a social disaster. It separated tens of thousands of poor people from the run-down, isolated neighborhoods in which they were trapped. It disrupted the patterns that have led one generation to follow another into poverty.

It has created as close to a blank slate as we get in human affairs, and given us a chance to rebuild a city that wasn't working

Talk about not getting it. The problem isn't the poverty, which is just an effect, but the urban, which is the cause. What the Hurricane did is give us a chance to get rid of one of our worst cities and disperse its poor black population across the country. Do the same thing every few years to Detroit, D.C., Chicago, etc. and you could really make some headway on the black underclass. Of course, the white overclass wouldn't tolerate such a strategy. It requires disasters to get it done.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

HERE'S THE ONLY YARDSTICK YOU NEED...:

Broken Yardstick (NICHOLAS EBERSTADT, 9/09/05, NY Times)

The soundings from the poverty rate are further belied by information on actual living standards for low-income Americans. In 1972-73, for example, just 42 percent of the bottom fifth of American households owned a car; in 2003, almost three-quarters of "poverty households" had one. By 2001, only 6 percent of "poverty households" lived in "crowded" homes (more than one person per room) - down from 26 percent in 1970. By 2003, the fraction of poverty households with central air-conditioning (45 percent) was much higher than the 1980 level for the non-poor (29 percent).

Besides these living trends, there are what we might call the "dying trends": that is to say, America's health and mortality patterns. All strata of America - including the disadvantaged - are markedly healthier today than three decades ago. Though the officially calculated poverty rate for children was higher in 2004 than 1974 (17.8 percent versus 15.4 percent), the infant mortality rate - that most telling measure of wellbeing - fell by almost three-fifths over those same years, to 6.7 per 1,000 births from 16.7 per 1,000.

The poverty rate is out of step with all these other readings about deprivation in modern America because it was designed to measure the wrong thing. The poverty rate has always been derived from reported household income. (Exigency played a role here: at the start of the war on poverty 40 years ago, those income numbers were already available from the Census Bureau.) But a better gauge of a household's material deprivation is not what it earns, but what it spends. When we look at spending patterns, we immediately see a huge discrepancy between reported incomes and reported expenditures for low-income Americans.

In the Labor Department's latest Consumer Expenditure Survey (2003), the average reported income for the bottom fifth of households was $8,201, while reported outlays came to $18,492 - well over twice that amount. Over the past generation, that discrepancy widened significantly: back in the early 1970's, the poorest fifth's reported spending exceeded income by 40 percent.

Unfortunately, economists and statisticians have yet to come up with a clear explanation for this gap (which is not explained by in-kind payments like food stamps or other assistance). The divergence may be in part a measurement problem: partly a matter of income under-reporting, partly a consequence of increasing income variability in our more "globalized" economy. But whatever its cause, it does drive home the unreliability of using reported household income as a benchmark for poverty.


...ask your Dad if he'd take the economy of 1974 over this one.


September 8, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:42 PM

HOEVEN CAN'T WAIT:

With Rove heading to N.D., GOP hopes Hoeven can be coaxed into Senate race (Peter Savodnik, 9/08/05, The Hill)

White House Deputy Chief of Staff Karl Rove is planning to travel to North Dakota later this month to rally GOP activists and, Republicans hope, persuade Gov. John Hoeven (R) to challenge Sen. Kent Conrad (D-N.D.) next year. [...]

The White House has been lobbying Hoeven for months to get into the race. This year alone, President Bush has lobbied for Social Security reform in North Dakota and Agriculture Secretary Mike Johanns, Treasury Secretary John Snow and Attorney General Alberto Gonzales have visited the state.

Sen. Elizabeth Dole, chairwoman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, gave Hoeven a ticket to attend the president’s State of the Union address. Hoeven met with Rove in early June while the governor was in Washington.

The extra attention — state officials say they can’t remember the last time North Dakota played host to so many Washington power brokers — is meant to accentuate Hoeven’s ties to the White House, North Dakota Republicans have said.

The strategy is similar to that employed by the White House in neighboring South Dakota in 2004, when leading Republicans recruited John Thune (R) to challenge successfully Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle (D).



Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:32 PM

DOUBLE DUTCH:

Claims from Kanto quake would outdo Katrina: S&P (HIROKO NAKATA, 9/09/05, Japan Times)

If a huge temblor like the one in 1923 hits the Kanto region, insurance claims will rocket to nearly 7 trillion, yen topping the cost of any past natural disaster to date, U.S. credit rating agency Standard & Poor's said Thursday.

The immediate impact on insurers' balance sheets would probably be limited by their high level of reserves, S&P said, but their earnings might suffer over the long term as stock prices tumble and extra costs rise.

According to a report, S&P has estimated the claims on Japan's nine major casualty insurers will reach 6.62 trillion yen. The figure is almost twice as high as those stemming from Hurricane Katrina last month, and 20 times higher than the ones caused by the Great Hanshin Earthquake in January 1995 that devastated Kobe and surrounding areas.

The Great Hanshin Earthquake resulted in the loss of more than 6,000 lives and left more than 40,000 people injured.

The temblor destroyed more than 240,000 homes.


Nice to know.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:28 PM

CAN WE BORROW THAT ROAD MAP?:

Tentative steps down the road to democracy (The Economist, Sep 8th 2005)

[T]here is little doubt that American influence has helped to tip the balance of regional forces in favour of reform. A coincidence, perhaps, but it was shortly after Condoleezza Rice, America’s secretary of state, abruptly cancelled a scheduled visit to Egypt that Mr Mubarak announced his initiative to hold contested presidential elections. Later, speaking in Cairo, Ms Rice won over even a few Egyptian sceptics by appealing to their pride, suggesting that their country should lead the region in political progress as it has led before in pursuing peace. Lebanon’s dramatic overthrow of veiled Syrian rule this spring was only made possible by American-led moves to de-claw and isolate Syria’s regime. And these moves were made possible, in turn, by the toppling of Saddam Hussein.

And if the changes in many countries remain shallow, the whole floor of public debate has clearly shifted to questions of when and how to reform, rather than why. This is true even of regional laggards such as Libya, Saudi Arabia and Syria, which have all taken wobbly first steps towards wider public participation in government. Where bigger steps have been taken, such as in Egypt, the public appetite has been whetted rather than appeased. “This election was just a drill, which the government would never have accepted without foreign badgering,” admits an Egyptian official. “But it sets the stage for parliamentary elections that may get really interesting.” These are due in November. If debate stays lively until then, a lot more Egyptians may actually bother to vote.


All steps lead to the same destination.


Posted by Matt Murphy at 5:59 PM

A LITTLE HELP FROM THE BROJUDD COMMUNITY?

A one-time college professor of mine, who is now a friend, is requesting some help in finding a markets/business news website that isn't constantly talking down the economy and frightening people. He's gotten sick of CNN/Money and the USA Today business section. He's interested in a site that offers daily news of the market and leaves out the relentless anti-Bush spin.

Anybody here have some suggestions?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:51 PM

THEN MR. DARWIN CRAWLS DOWN THE CHIMNEY....:

One side can be wrong: Accepting 'intelligent design' in science classrooms would have disastrous consequences (Richard Dawkins and Jerry Coyne, September 1, 2005, Guardian)

It sounds so reasonable, doesn't it? Such a modest proposal. Why not teach "both sides" and let the children decide for themselves? As President Bush said, "You're asking me whether or not people ought to be exposed to different ideas, the answer is yes." At first hearing, everything about the phrase "both sides" warms the hearts of educators like ourselves.

One of us spent years as an Oxford tutor and it was his habit to choose controversial topics for the students' weekly essays. They were required to go to the library, read about both sides of an argument, give a fair account of both, and then come to a balanced judgment in their essay. The call for balance, by the way, was always tempered by the maxim, "When two opposite points of view are expressed with equal intensity, the truth does not necessarily lie exactly half way between. It is possible for one side simply to be wrong."

As teachers, both of us have found that asking our students to analyse controversies is of enormous value to their education. What is wrong, then, with teaching both sides of the alleged controversy between evolution and creationism or "intelligent design" (ID)? And, by the way, don't be fooled by the disingenuous euphemism. There is nothing new about ID. It is simply creationism camouflaged with a new name to slip (with some success, thanks to loads of tax-free money and slick public-relations professionals) under the radar of the US Constitution's mandate for separation between church and state.

Why, then, would two lifelong educators and passionate advocates of the "both sides" style of teaching join with essentially all biologists in making an exception of the alleged controversy between creation and evolution? What is wrong with the apparently sweet reasonableness of "it is only fair to teach both sides"? The answer is simple. This is not a scientific controversy at all.


Indeed, it's just a clash of faiths, as Mr. Coyne hilariously acknowledged, even if unknowingly, in the past, Of moths and men (STEVE CONNOR, September 2003, Independent)
This is the story of the moth that turned black when Britain had its Industrial Revolution. It is a story told in any school biology book as the canonical example of evolution in action. The light and dark varieties of this moth were key players on the Darwinian stage. That was until someone decided that it was time to rewrite scientific history and declare the story of the peppered moth a myth. A myth, furthermore, based on fraudulent research.

Doubts about the veracity of the peppered moth story first surfaced about five years ago. Leading evolutionists began publicly to question the landmark experiments that were supposed to demonstrate how the dark and light forms of the moth were each better camouflaged against being eaten by birds. When unpolluted trees were covered in lichen - which is very sensitive to pollution - it was the light or "peppered" form of the moth that more easily escaped the notice of predatory birds. When trees were covered in soot or devoid of lichen, the black "melanic" form was better disguised. [...]

Ironically, the roots of the dispute can be traced to a man who arguably knows more about the peppered moth than anyone. Michael Majerus, reader in genetics at Cambridge University, has made industrial melanism one of his specialisms and has spent hours poring over scientific papers - and many more hours scrambling around trees at all times of day and night, watching and wondering about Biston betularia.

"For 45 years I have bred, collected, photographed and recorded moths, butterflies and ladybirds in Britain," he says. "I have run one or more moth traps almost nightly for 40 years. I bred my first broods of the peppered moth in 1964. I found my first peppered moth at rest in the wild in the same year. As far as I am aware, I have found more peppered moths at rest in their natural resting position than any other person alive. I admit to being, in part, a moth man."

Oxford University Press asked Majerus to write a book on industrial melanism for publication in 1998 to mark the 25th anniversary of another book, The Evolution of Melanism by Bernard Kettlewell. It was Kettlewell who carried out the seminal experiments in the 1950s that were supposed to have demonstrated the role of predatory birds and pollution in the evolution of the two forms of peppered moth.

Dressed in khaki shorts and fortified with a supply of gin and cigars, Kettlewell would camp out for weeks doing what he enjoyed most - studying moths and butterflies. Although he carried out the earliest and most important field experiments on the peppered moth, and was widely viewed as a brilliant naturalist, this former medical doctor with a lacklustre degree in zoology was not considered a particularly good scientist.

"Bernard Kettlewell was a highly gifted amateur lepidopterist," says Professor Bryan Clarke, a geneticist at the University of Nottingham who knew him personally. "He was not a trained scientist. He never got to understand the refinements of theory, as can be seen in his book, which is embarrassingly bad. None the less, he had an extraordinary capacity for organising and executing studies in the field. More or less single- handedly, he accomplished what was then the largest and most demanding set of experiments ever carried out under natural conditions." [...]

In perhaps his most famous field experiment, Kettlewell released large numbers of light and dark peppered moths - marked with dots of paint - into two woods, a polluted one with no lichens near Birmingham, and a lichen-festooned wood in Dorset. After recapturing the marked moths using a light trap, Kettlewell found that the dark melanics had survived better in the Birmingham wood and the light form had survived better in Dorset. When he released moths on to the trunks of polluted and unpolluted trees, he witnessed how easy it was for birds to eat the melanics against the lichen-covered bark, and the light form against the sooty, lichenless bark. His colleague Niko Tinbergen even managed to record the predation on 16mm film.

"It was the reciprocal nature of the results from the two woods, together with the visual record on film, that had such an impact on the scientific community and finally convinced the sceptics," Majerus says. There was no doubt that the two forms were better suited to the different environments, with the melanics having a greater chance of survival in a polluted environment. Furthermore, Majerus says: "The mechanism of selection - differential bird predation - had been identified and demonstrated."

For Kettlewell and Ford, the experiments were a triumph. They showed that the rise of the black moth since the 19th century was due to the spread of environmental pollutants, which had progressively blackened British trees, so giving the melanic moth a cryptic advantage over its light cousin, which was mostly confined to unpolluted woodland in the West Country until its recent re- emergence after the Clean Air Act. It became the standard story of evolution by natural selection, illustrated with photographs of the two moths on the trunks of polluted and unpolluted trees.

But nearly 50 years later, Majerus began to spot flaws in the design of Kettlewell's experiments and the way they had been simplified for schools. Peppered moths do not usually rest during the day on the trunks of trees - where Kettlewell released them in the bird predation experiment - preferring higher branches tucked out of sight. Photos in schoolbooks showing peppered moths resting on tree trunks are staged, sometimes using dead moths. They bear little resemblance to what occurs in nature.

Then there was the problem of how Kettlewell did his experiment. He released far too many moths in a small area for natural population densities to be represented, making any feeding trial highly unnatural. The moths were also a mixture of laboratory-bred and wild- caught individuals, which he failed to distinguish: an important omission, as each might behave differently. He released his moths in daylight rather than during the night, when moths are normally active. Worse, he began to release more moths halfway through his experiment when he failed to recapture enough individuals to make his results valid. It is a cardinal error in science to change an experiment's design midway through.

When Majerus listed these deficiencies in his 1998 book, Melanism: Evolution in Action, one reviewer for the journal Nature, Professor Jerry Coyne, an evolutionist at Chicago University, concluded that for the time being evolutionists must discard the peppered moth as a well-understood example of natural selection. "My own reaction resembles the dismay attending my discovery, at the age of six, that it was my father and not Santa who brought the presents on Christmas Eve," Coyne wrote.


They don't want to teach both faiths because theirs can't prevail.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:19 PM

ONCE AGAIN JOHN ASHCROFT IS PROVED RIGHT:

Passenger duct-tapped on jet (Karen Abbott, September 8, 2005, Rocky Mountain News)

Jason Glen Tervort flew much of the way from Houston to Denver Tuesday night on the floor of the plane, tied up with duct tape.

Fellow passengers on Frontier Flight 147 subdued him, according to court documents, after he walked up the aisle toward the cockpit, loudly stated, "Ladies and gentlemen, I have an announcement to make. My name is Jason," and then roughed up a female flight attendant while proclaiming repeatedly, "I'm a man!" [...]

"Several male passengers exited their seats and physically restrained Tervort," court documents said. "Tervort continued yelling profanities while spitting at and biting passengers."

The male passengers tied Tervort's arms and legs with duct tape, then put him face-down on the center aisle and tied his feet to seat rails.


But you should see the looks the flight attendants give you when you do that to your kids.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:16 PM

YOU'RE SOAKING IN IT:

Oil slips after inventory report (CNN/Money, 9/08/05)

Oil futures fell as low as $63.10 a barrel Thursday before rebounding, after a report showed a smaller-than-expected drop in petroleum stockpiles following major disruptions in the wake of Hurricane Katrina.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:09 PM

NEW HOUSTORLEANS (via Robert Schwartz):

Shelters Grow Empty as Apartments Open Up (SIMON ROMERO, 9/08/05, NY Times)

In a stunning turnaround for some of the most besieged victims of Hurricane Katrina, the Astrodome population dwindled to about 3,000 on Wednesday from an estimated 15,000 over the weekend, with many people seizing on local job opportunities and inexpensive housing.

Because of a building boom over the last few years, there is a glut of affordable housing in Houston and its metropolitan area, which includes about 4.5 million people. Hotels are also offering a 14-day stay at no charge to storm victims, with reimbursements to come from the Federal Emergency Management Agency. Add the outpouring of offers of shelter across the country and an acknowledgment by the government that the original estimates may have been high, and it appears that the Astrodome might be empty soon.

Frank E. Gutierrez, the emergency management coordinator for Harris County, which covers Houston, said that Joe Leonard, the area commander for the Department of Homeland Security, had made it a goal to clear the shelter complex by Sept. 18. "Everyone was asking him, 'What if we don't make it?' " Mr. Gutierrez said, "And he said, 'Then I'll need to work harder.' "

Even though many of those in the Astrodome seem to be bracing for a long stay - and the dome is gaining the trappings of normal life, with its own post office, Internet cafe and medical center - it looks increasingly like a temporary society.

And many of the evacuees are opting to stay in Houston or nearby towns. Evacuees in the dome rejected an offer this week from FEMA to transfer 4,000 people to cruise ships in the harbor of Galveston.


How can these people be finding jobs and housing without a bloated bureaucratic program to do it for them?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:24 PM

TORA BORE:

Bin Laden & Co. lose market share (Jonathan Gurwitz, 9/08/05, JewishWorldReview.com)

In a videotape that bin Laden released in late 2001, he told his followers, "When people see a strong horse and a weak horse, by nature they will like the strong horse."

It's a troglodytic variation of a simple maxim: Everyone loves a winner. It's why Wheaties puts Tim Duncan, Kirk Gibson and Carly Patterson on its boxes rather than Mike Tyson, John Rocker and Tonya Harding.

Islamic extremists have their own version of the breakfast of champions. Images of 9-11, of beheadings and from bombings in Bali, Madrid, London and everywhere else are their trademark. These acts of inhuman violence all accomplished tactical goals. Yet they were also all in service to the larger strategic goal of showing Islamism to be an uncompromising and inevitable victor.

At the end of the day, bin Laden and his associates are in the public relations game. So the recently released results of a long-term metasurvey conducted by the Pew Global Attitudes Project will come as a major disappointment to the mullah marketers.

The survey's most significant finding: Support for acts of terrorism in defense of Islam has dramatically declined in most Muslim countries.

Between 2002 and 2005, the number of respondents who endorsed the use of violence against civilians dropped from 73 percent to 39 percent in Lebanon; 33 percent to 25 percent in Pakistan; and 27 percent to 15 percent in Indonesia. Only Jordanians notched an appreciable increase in support of terrorism.

On the specific issue of supporting suicide bombings against U.S. forces and their allies in Iraq, there is another huge decline. Over the past year, the number of respondents who said such suicide attacks are justifiable dropped from 66 percent to 56 percent in Morocco; 70 percent to 49 percent in Jordan; 46 percent to 29 percent in Pakistan; and 31 percent to 24 percent in Turkey.

Bin Laden's stature has also taken a big hit since 2003. The percentage of respondents with great or some confidence in bin Laden as a world leader has dropped by 23 points in Indonesia, 23 points in Morocco, 8 points in Turkey and 12 points in Lebanon.

As support for the Islamist agenda has waned, another survey finds perceptions of the United States improving. Since 2003, there has been an impressive rise in favorable opinion about the United States in Indonesia, Turkey, Pakistan, Lebanon and Jordan. Not coincidentally, large and growing numbers of Muslims see democracy as a suitable form of governance.

More news that bodes ill for Islamists: People under 35 are more likely to hold favorable views of the United States than older people.


Your standing would take a hit too if a cave was collapsed on you by the US Air Force.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:55 AM

MONO OR BUST:

Don't Ignore Western Europe, Terrorism Expert Warns U.S.: Many Muslims Are Alienated by Multicultural Continent's Inability to Assimilate Them, Dean at Johns Hopkins Says (Walter Pincus, 9/08/05, Washington Post)

Western Europe is a core recruiting ground for Muslim terrorists that is being overlooked given the U.S. focus on Iraq and the Middle East, according to Francis Fukuyama, academic dean of Johns Hopkins University's Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies.

The failure of European countries to assimilate their large and growing Muslim populations in the era of globalization has caused an alienation among the young that has created a "hard core for terrorism," Fukuyama said in Washington at a bipartisan policy forum on terrorism and security, sponsored by the New America Foundation.

"Fixing the Middle East is only part of the problem. It is a West European problem, too," Fukuyama said. He pointed out that the leaders of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks came out of a cell in Hamburg and that most of the extremists participating in the more recent bombings in Spain and England were born in those countries.

Fukuyama's analysis squares with recent CIA conclusions about the importance of Western Europe, where, as one former senior intelligence official put it yesterday, "there are 10 million Muslims . . . that are not integrated into their societies."

Fukuyama called this one area of the war against terrorism in which U.S. and European interests merge and joint cooperation has begun to be productive. The Europeans "need to understand American assimilation" because their approach of "multiculturalism has been a failure," Fukuyama said.


The problem isn't that the immigrants reject Europe's historic culture, but that Europeans do.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:58 AM

DON'T LOOK A GIFT DE-URBANIZATION IN THE MOUTH (via Gene Brown):

Don't Refloat: The case against rebuilding the sunken city of New Orleans. (Jack Shafer, Sept. 7, 2005, Slate)

It's a poor place, with about 27 percent of the population of 484,000 living under the poverty line, and it's a black place, where 67 percent are African-American. In 65 percent of families living in poverty, no husband is present. When you overlap this New York Times map, which illustrates how the hurricane's floodwaters inundated 80 percent of the city, with this demographic map from the Greater New Orleans Community Data Center, which shows where the black population lives, and this one that shows where the poverty cases live, it's transparent whom Katrina hit the hardest.

New Orleans' public schools, which are 93 percent black, have failed their citizens. The state of Louisiana rates 47 percent of New Orleans schools as "Academically Unacceptable" and another 26 percent are under "Academic Warning." About 25 percent of adults have no high-school diploma.

The police inspire so little trust that witnesses often refuse to testify in court. University researchers enlisted the police in an experiment last year, having them fire 700 blank gun rounds in a New Orleans neighborhood one afternoon. Nobody picked up the phone to report the shootings. Little wonder the city's homicide rate stands at 10 times the national average.

This city counts 188,000 occupied dwellings, with about half occupied by renters and half by owners. The housing stock is much older than the national average, with 43 percent built in 1949 or earlier (compared with 22 percent for the United States) and only 11 percent of them built since 1980 (compared with 35 for the United States). As we've observed, many of the flooded homes are modest to Spartan to ramshackle and will have to be demolished if toxic mold or fire don't take them first.

New Orleans puts the "D" into dysfunctional. Only a sadist would insist on resurrecting this concentration of poverty, crime, and deplorable schools.


In Introduction to Geography we were taught the name of the feature where a large bowl is below sea-level: Lake.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:51 AM

IF ONLY IT WERE BIGGER IT WOULD BE LESS SLUGGISH? (via Kevin Whited):

After Katrina, fewer calls for starving government and having less revenue to fund relief (Houston Chronicle, 9/08/05)

Silent for the moment are the cries to reduce revenue to the federal government and starve its ability to provide security and social services. Gone is the urge to make big government smaller. The sluggish federal response to the destruction of New Orleans and stretches of the Gulf Coast elicits angry criticism of the federal government for not acting big enough.

How can even the Left look at the local, state, and federal response to the Hurricane and say to itself the answer is to add more bureaucracy and boondogglery?


MORE:
Money Flowed to Questionable Projects: State Leads in Army Corps Spending, but Millions Had Nothing to Do With Floods (Michael Grunwald, September 8, 2005, Washington Post)

Before Hurricane Katrina breached a levee on the New Orleans Industrial Canal, the Army Corps of Engineers had already launched a $748 million construction project at that very location. But the project had nothing to do with flood control. The Corps was building a huge new lock for the canal, an effort to accommodate steadily increasing barge traffic.

Except that barge traffic on the canal has been steadily decreasing.

In Katrina's wake, Louisiana politicians and other critics have complained about paltry funding for the Army Corps in general and Louisiana projects in particular. But over the five years of President Bush's administration, Louisiana has received far more money for Corps civil works projects than any other state, about $1.9 billion; California was a distant second with less than $1.4 billion, even though its population is more than seven times as large.

Much of that Louisiana money was spent to try to keep low-lying New Orleans dry. But hundreds of millions of dollars have gone to unrelated water projects demanded by the state's congressional delegation and approved by the Corps, often after economic analyses that turned out to be inaccurate. Despite a series of independent investigations criticizing Army Corps construction projects as wasteful pork-barrel spending, Louisiana's representatives have kept bringing home the bacon.


Explosive revelation by Fox News' Major Garrett (Hugh Hewitt Show, 9/07/05, Radio Blogger)
On the Fox News Channel just a little while ago, Major Garrett, one of Fox's star reporters, and author of The Enduring Revolution, broke a very disturbing story for those on the left that want to play the blame game regarding the reaction to the Katrina. Here's his interview with Hugh Hewitt moments ago:

HH: Joined now by Major Garrett, correspondent for the Fox News Channel, as well as author of The Enduring Revolution, a best seller earlier this year. We talked about that. Major Garrett, welcome back to the Hugh Hewitt Show.

MG: Hugh, always a pleasure. Thanks for having me.

HH: You just broke a pretty big story. I was watching up on the corner television in my studio, and it's headlined that the Red Cross was blocked from delivering supplies to the Superdome, Major Garrett. Tell us what you found out.

MG: Well, the Red Cross, Hugh, had pre-positioned a literal vanguard of trucks with water, food, blankets and hygiene items. They're not really big into medical response items, but those are the three biggies that we saw people at the New Orleans Superdome, and the convention center, needing most accutely. And all of us in America, I think, reasonably asked ourselves, geez. You know, I watch hurricanes all the time. And I see correspondents standing among rubble and refugees and evacuaees. But I always either see that Red Cross or Salvation Army truck nearby. Why don't I see that?

HH: And the answer is?

MG: The answer is the Louisiana Department of Homeland Security, that is the state agency responsible for that state's homeland security, told the Red Cross explicitly, you cannot come.

HH: Now Major Garrett, on what day did they block the delivery? Do you know specifically?

MG: I am told by the Red Cross, immediately after the storm passed.

HH: Okay, so that would be on Monday afternoon.

MG: That would have been Monday or Tuesday. The exact time, the hour, I don't have. But clearly, they had an evacuee situation at the Superdome, and of course, people gravitated to the convention center on an ad hoc basis. They sort of invented that as another place to go, because they couldn't stand the conditions at the Superdome.

HH: Any doubt in the Red Cross' mind that they were ready to go, but they were blocked?

MG: No. Absolutely none. They are absolutely unequivocal on that point.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:47 AM

THANKS, KATRINA:

Hurricane to Cost U.S. 400,000 Jobs, Study Says: The GDP will take a hit this year, but rebuilding may lift the economy in 2006, the report finds. (Jesus Sanchez, September 8, 2005, LA Times)

An estimated 400,000 Americans will lose their jobs and the nation's economy will grow more slowly during the second half of this year as a result of the economic fallout from Hurricane Katrina, according to a federal report released Wednesday.

But the long-term economic effect of the deadly storm that devastated New Orleans and the coast of Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama will be relatively muted, and rebuilding activity should give the economy a boost, the Congressional Budget Office said.

"While Katrina has devastated ordinary business, it will also likely lead to a boom in clearing and reconstruction activity," the report said. [...]

Despite the dire projections, the report said the U.S. economy was strong and large enough to absorb Katrina's hit without much pain in the long run. The rebuilding of destroyed and damaged homes, businesses, and commercial and government facilities will pump billions into the economy and create jobs, the study said.

"Economic growth and employment are likely to rebound during the first half of 2006 as rebuilding accelerates," the report said.


Just in time for the midterm elections....


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:54 AM

UNIVERSAL GROWTH:

In economic growth, lots of company (Jonathan Power, 9/08/05, International Herald Tribune)

[T]urkey, while an exception in the Middle Eastern Muslim world in that it both lacks oil and distributes its wealth reasonably fairly, is not atypical of much of the third world. Over the last three decades, developing countries have recorded more rapid average real income growth than the developed, already industrialized, countries. In the last five years or so, average real income growth has been more than double that in the developed world.

One need only reread the great classics of the 1960s, John Gunther's "Inside Asia" and Gunnar Myrdal's "Asian Drama," to be reminded that it wasn't so long ago that the prevailing wisdom was that this part of the world was a basket case, weighted down by millenniums of tradition - "the Hindu growth rate" and "Confucian somnolence" were common catchwords. Even today, despite the example of Turkey, Malaysia, Pakistan and Indonesia, we often hear argued the bizarre notion that Islamic culture is simply not conducive to capitalist development.

Admittedly, most of this remarkable surge has been concentrated in China, India and South East Asia. But they account for two-fifths of the world's population, which is why I say don't count countries, or one falls into the trap of much UN reporting that sees its statistics always skewed by its need to respect its scores of small member countries.

Even with that caveat, the fact is the good news is spreading. After suffering what was called "the lost decade" in the 1980s, followed by an indifferent decade in the 90s, most of Latin America is now doing rather well. Africa, whose images of starvation can still overwhelm us, is doing better than ever over all, and many countries there, not so long ago languishing in the trough of despond, have growth rates approaching or even exceeding 6 percent.

A graph of developing countries' exports of "technology-intensive manufactures" to developed countries, just published by the UN's Conference on Trade and Development, shows what can fairly be described as a line rising steadily since 1985 and becoming almost, if not quite, vertical from 1997 onward. This is one of the core reasons for the remarkable growth of the developing countries. Not textiles and not agriculture. It is humdrum manufactured products, followed by electronics.

The End of History lifts all boats.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:26 AM

YET CHAIRMAN GREENSPAN STILL FIGHTS INFLATION:

Higher Commodity Prices Already Fading (Jerry Hirsch, September 8, 2005, LA Times)

Hurricane Katrina probably won't raise the prices of chocolate bars, copper piping, coffee, wood products and anything made from petroleum after all, economists say.

Expected shortages and supply chain disruptions sent a range of commodity prices soaring immediately after Katrina struck the Gulf Coast last week.

Apart from gasoline and natural gas, those price increases have generally failed to take hold because of a number of factors. There are ample global supplies of the affected commodities.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:08 AM

EFFECTIVELY ANNOUNCING HIS RE-ELECTION CAMPAIGN:

Citing Prop. 22, Gov. Rejects Gay Marriage Bill (Michael Finnegan and Maura Dolan, September 8, 2005, LA Times)

A day after California's Legislature became the first in the nation to pass a bill to legalize same-sex marriage, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger announced through an aide Wednesday that he would veto the measure "out of respect for the will of the people."

In a careful statement, Schwarzenegger press secretary Margita Thompson invoked the voter approval in March 2000 of Proposition 22, which said: "Only marriage between a man and a woman is valid or recognized in California."

"The governor believes the matter should be determined not by legislative action — which would be unconstitutional — but by court decision or another vote of the people of our state," the statement said. "We cannot have a system where the people vote and the Legislature derails that vote."


Always nice for a politician when doing the right thing is politically expedient.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:05 AM

NO ONE CAN ANTICIPATE IT...:

California Earthquake Could Be the Next Katrina (Jia-Rui Chong and Hector Becerra, 9/08/05, LA Times)

[O]fficials believe that a major temblor could cause the level of destruction and disruption seen over the last week on the Gulf Coast.

More than 900 hospital buildings that state officials have identified as needing either retrofitting or total replacement have yet to receive them, and the state recently agreed to five-year extensions to hospitals that can't meet the 2008 deadline to make the fixes. More than 7,000 school buildings across the state would also be vulnerable during a huge temblor, a state study found, though there is no firm timetable for upgrading the structures.

And four Los Angeles Police Department facilities — including the Parker Center headquarters in downtown — worry officials, because they were built to primitive earthquake standards and might not survive a major temblor. Only two of the LAPD's 19 stations meet the most rigorous quake-safe rules.

"We could be dealing with infrastructure issues a lot like New Orleans," Jones said. "Our natural gas passes through the Cajon Pass…. Water — three pipelines — cross the San Andreas fault in an area that is expected to go in an earthquake." Railway lines are also vulnerable, she said.

A catastrophic temblor at the right spot along the San Andreas could significantly reduce energy and water supplies — at least temporarily, she and others said. Researchers at the Southern California Earthquake Center said there is an 80% to 90% chance that a temblor of 7.0 or greater magnitude will strike Southern California before 2024.

"We aren't anywhere close to where I wish we were" in terms of seismic safety, Jones said.

Seismologists are particularly concerned about a type of vulnerable building that has received far less attention than unreinforced masonry.

There are about 40,000 structures in California made from "non-ductile reinforced concrete," a rigid substance susceptible to cracking. This was a common construction ingredient for office buildings in the 1950s and '60s, before the state instituted stricter standards. Few such structures have been seismically retrofitted, officials said.

Seismic safety advocates have also recently lost some major battles in Sacramento. The state rejected a proposal from the Seismic Safety Commission in the wake of the 2003 San Simeon earthquake to force owners of unreinforced masonry buildings to post warning signs. In that quake, two women died when the roof slid off of a two-story Paso Robles brick building where they worked.

Last week, the Legislature sent to the governor's desk a bill that encourages local governments to develop retrofitting programs for "soft story" wood-frame apartment buildings.

There are an estimated 70,000 such structures in the state, and experts worry that they could sustain major quake damage, because they often have tuck-under parking and lack solid walls at their bases.

The danger of this kind of construction was illustrated in the 1994 collapse of the Northridge Meadows apartment complex, in which 16 residents were killed.

There are other potential safety gaps as well.


Let's agree now to all act shocked when it happens.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:47 AM

IF EVERYONE THINKS WE'RE WRONG THEY MUST BE:

Evolution & Intelligent Design: Understanding Public Opinion (Matthew C. Nisbet and Erik C. Nisbet, September 2005, GeoTimes)

Across several surveys, Gallup has measured the public’s beliefs specific to the view that humans developed over millions of years with no role played by God, the “theistic evolutionist” view that humans developed over millions of years with God guiding the process, or the creationist view that God created humans pretty much in their present form at some time in the last 10,000 years.

When Gallup first asked the public in 1982 about their views on the matter, 38 percent indicated they believed in the creationist explanation, 33 percent believed in the theistic evolutionist explanation, and 9 percent chose the “no God” account. Beliefs changed slightly over the next 10 years, trending toward the creationist explanation. In a 1991 Gallup poll, 47 percent chose the creationist explanation, compared to 40 percent for the theistic view, and 9 percent for the “no God” account. Gallup administered the question again in November 2004, showing beliefs changed little, as 45 percent chose the creationist explanation, 38 percent the theistic evolutionist account, and 13 percent the “no God” explanation. A December 2004 Newsweek poll replicates the most recent Gallup result within the margin of error.

A public divided on the role of God in evolution would not be surprising, given that a 1997 survey of U.S. scientists finds that only 55 percent subscribe to the idea that humans developed with no role played by God, compared to 40 percent who agree with the theistic evolutionist account. What is surprising, however, is the increase over the past two decades in public support for the creationist viewpoint, with Young Earth creationist beliefs reaching near-majority levels.

Although it might be difficult for some scientists to imagine even posing the question, polls indicate that when queried generally about the possibility of teaching creationism instead of evolutionary theory, only a slight majority of the public opposes such a move. If asked generally about teaching both creationism and evolutionary theory in public schools, the public is also remarkably consistent in favoring both.


It's always fun when these folks claim that if their opponents only understood the science better they'd agree with Darwinism, when, in fact, most of us were taught hoaxes as fact when we were in school--Haeckel's embryos, Peppered Moths, speciated finches, and the like--and we rejected it even when supported by such manufactured evidence.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:22 AM

WHY COULDN'T WE BE AS READY AS THE DUTCH...:

Rethinking Defenses Against Sea's Power (Molly Moore, 9/08/05, Washington Post)

On Feb. 1, 1953, a high-tide storm breached the famed Dutch dikes in more than 450 places. Nearly 1,900 people died, many as they slept. More than 47,000 homes and other buildings were swept away or splintered in the icy inundation.

"We said, 'Never again,' " said Maarten van der Vlist, a senior adviser for the Dutch Directorate of Transport, Public Works and Water Management, which is responsible for the safety of a nation that is the size of Maryland, but half of which lies at or below sea level.

Dutch politicians followed up with a $3 billion, 30-year program to strengthen the protections. The country built an elaborate network of dikes, man-made islands and a

1 1/2 -mile stretch of 62 gates to control the entry and exit of North Sea waters into the country's low-lying southwestern provinces.

But now environmental, engineering and flood experts say those defenses might be insufficient. In the 21st century, population growth and climate change caused by global warming have left the country's interior, through which flow the Rhine, Maas and Schelde rivers, more vulnerable to flooding than ever, they say. High river dikes -- similar to those built in the United States to regulate the Mississippi River -- are now seen more as a contributor to major flooding than a protection against it.

A five-year study due to be published in January is likely to include disturbing new calculations of flood threats to the Netherlands and gaps in the country's readiness, according to experts and government officials familiar with the findings. Major deficiencies in evacuation plans for the most populous Dutch cities are likely to be outlined in the study.


Think the elderly Dutch are going to sacrifice welfare checks to keep the coming Muslim Holland from washing away?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:20 AM

FRANCIS?:

Chinese eatery sold donkey in tiger urine (THE ASSOCIATED PRESS, 9/08/05)

A restaurant in northeastern China that advertised illegal tiger meat dishes was found instead to be selling donkey flesh - marinated in tiger urine, a newspaper reported Thursday.

If you aren't willing to eat it you shouldn't order food in a Chinese restaurant.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:04 AM

KHOMEINISM IS DEVIANT:

Shi'ite supremacists emerge from Iran's shadows (Special Correspondent, 9/09/.05, Asia Times)

When mild-mannered former Iranian president Mohammad Khatami lashed out in a post-election sermon at the "powerful organization" behind the "shallow-thinking traditionalists with their Stone-Age backwardness" currently running the country, it became clear that Iran's political establishment is worried by the ideology propelling the government of new hardline President Mahmud Ahmadinejad.

Khatami's attack coincides with mounting evidence that a radically anti-Bahai [1] and anti-Sunni semi-clandestine society, called the Hojjatieh, is reemerging in the corridors of power in Tehran. The group flourished during the 1979 revolution that ousted the Shah and installed an Islamic government in his place, and was banned in 1983 by Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the father of the revolution.

Khomeini objected to the Hojjatieh's rejection of his doctrine of velayat-e faqih (Guardianship of the Jurist) and its conviction that chaos must be created to hasten the coming of the Mahdi, the 12th Shi'ite imam. Only then, they argue, can a genuine Islamic republic be established.

"Those who regarded the revolution, during Imam Khomeini's time, as a deviation, are now [wielding] the tools of terror and oppression," Khatami was reported as saying at a speech in the conservative northeastern town of Mashhad, the same location chosen by Ahmadinejad to convene the first meeting of his cabinet.

"The shallow-thinking traditionalists with their Stone-Age backwardness now have a powerful organization behind them," he said, in what was interpreted as an indirect reference to the Hojjatieh society.


Such shallow Stone Age thinking is the key to our system and the separation of Church and State--the future of Shi'a republicanism depends on these ideas but also on a recognition that rather than chaos what precedes the 12th Imam is a period of necessarily imperfect rule by the people.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

TOUGH WORDS FOR THE KYOTO CROWD:

Amid the desolation, a day of thanks (Thomas Farragher, September 5, 2005, Boston Globe)

Lieutenant Julie Wilson, who joined the department 25 years ago, said that for three days after the storm, she was unsure where her 11-year-old son was. She and her husband, also a police officer, remained at their posts.

''My son told me he thought we both died," she said. ''Once I knew my son was safe, I could go on."

Wilson said she attended church services in Baton Rouge on Saturday night, returning with a bottle of holy water. She said she was not surprised when many hardened police veterans blessed themselves with it.

While some shook their fists in anger and others sought the solace of their spirituality, many said Katrina's fury was a reminder that life below sea level on the edge of a mighty river and a huge lake can be treacherous.

''It was an awesome force of nature," said Paul Caporusso, 56, who lives in nearby Kenner and rode out the storm with a friend in the French Quarter. ''And it shows that if anyone had any delusions that we're in control in this life, they should just be slapped silly."



Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

SUFFICVE IT TO SAY HE DIDN'T DIE AS HE SHOULD HAVE:

What killed Arafat? Infection a mystery (Steven Erlanger and Lawrence K. Altman, SEPTEMBER 8, 2005, The New York Times)

Yasser Arafat's medical records from the French military hospital where he died in November, which have been held in secrecy, reveal that he died of a stroke that resulted from a bleeding disorder caused by an unknown infection.

A first independent review of the records, obtained by The New York Times, shows that despite extensive testing, his doctors could not determine the underlying disease that killed him. But the records dispel one significant and widespread rumor - that Arafat died of AIDS. The course of his illness and pattern of his symptoms make AIDS highly unlikely, according to independent experts who have reviewed the records at the request of The Times.

They also suggest that poisoning was highly unlikely, although senior Palestinian officials continue to allege that Arafat, who died Nov. 11 at age 75 after an illness lasting a month, was indeed poisoned. [...]

No autopsy was performed because Arafat's wife objected to one,

The records make no mention of an AIDS test, a deficiency the experts found curious and even bizarre. An Israeli infectious disease specialist said he would have performed the test, which is now standard, if only to be thorough and to refute the rumors that surrounded the case.

News accounts during the Palestinian leader's illness made that specialist strongly suspect that Arafat had AIDS, he said.

But after studying the records, the specialist said that AIDS was improbable, given the swift onset of Arafat's intestinal troubles four hours after eating on the evening of Oct. 12.

A senior Palestinian official provided Arafat's medical records to Avi Isacharoff and Amos Harel, Israeli journalists who are working on a new edition of their book, "The Seventh War: How We Won and Why We Lost the War With the Palestinians." They agreed to share the records in collaboration with The Times, which did its own investigation.


The final days of Yasser Arafat (Avi Isacharoff and Amos Harel, Ha'aretz Magazine)
Israeli experts who analyzed the report drawn up by the medical team that treated Yasser Arafat in Paris say that the most likely possibility is that he was poisoned in a dinner meal on October 12, 2004. Arafat's personal physician insists that a test that was done on him in the French hospital whose results were removed from the post-mortem report found AIDS in his blood. In the revised edition of their book 'The Seventh War,' Avi Isacharoff and Amos Harel make public Arafat's post-mortem report, the Palestinian Authority's most closely guarded document, and reconstruct the last days of the Rais the rapid deterioration, the loss of memory, the fits of rage, Suha's takeover, the humiliation of senior Palestinian figures, the shouting at Jacques Chirac and the suspicious red blotches on the chairman's face.

"I know that the physicians in Paris found the AIDS virus in Arafat's blood," Dr. Ashraf al-Kurdi, the personal physician of the late Palestinian Authority chairman, says in a telephone interview from Amman. Dr. al-Kurdi, who was kept from joining the Palestinian delegation that accompanied Arafat on his final trip to Paris, does not say where he got this sensational information. To heighten the mystery, he also maintains that Arafat was poisoned and that the AIDS virus that was found in his blood "was injected into his body in order to camouflage the poisoning."

Strange as it may seem, al-Kurdi is not the only one who says that Arafat was infected with AIDS. Similar allegations are made by an Israeli physician, who was told about it by a French colleague who treated Arafat, and by sources in the Israeli defense establishment. Even though some of the symptoms of the mysterious disease that caused Arafat's death 10 months ago resemble those of AIDS, the detailed report prepared by the French medical team makes no mention of any test that would confirm or rule out the existence of the virus in his blood. Prof. Gil Lugassi, president of the Israeli Society of Hematology, who read the French medical report, says that the fact that this possibility was ignored is "simply inconceivable and very bizarre." "I can only assume," he says, "that if there had been an AIDS test with negative results, there would have been no problem saying so in the report."

On the other hand, senior figures in the Palestinian Authority (PA) are convinced that Israel is behind the mysterious death. They, too, cite weighty grounds. They all remember vividly the militant declarations of the Israeli leadership about the need to remove Arafat from power. Nor have they forgotten Israel's attempted assassination of a senior Hamas official, Khaled Meshal, in Amman, with the use of a mysterious poison that was unknown to Jordan's top physicians. An official commission of inquiry appointed by the PA to investigate Arafat's death has held up the publication of its conclusions for months.

In the new edition of their book "The Seventh War," which deals with the five-year confrontation between Israel and the Palestinians that began in September 2000, the journalists Avi Isacharoff (Israel Radio) and Amos Harel (Haaretz) devote a chapter to a detailed probe of the last weeks of Arafat's life. They make public for the first time the main points of the report drawn up by the medical team of Percy military hospital, in the Paris suburb of Clamart, where Arafat was treated in the last two weeks of his life. The French physicians do not think that Arafat was poisoned, but also refrain from adducing an alternative cause of death. "It is not possible to determine a cause that will explain the combination of symptoms that caused the patient's death," the summarizing report of the hospital's intensive care ward states.

An abridged version of the chapter on Arafat's death which includes, together with details of the medical report and the claims that the AIDS virus was found in his blood, a description of the struggles for control and succession that took place behind the scenes in the PA as Arafat lay dying is published here for the first time.


September 7, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:46 PM

THE YEAR SADDAM LOST THE PENNANT:

Oil-for-food deal condemned as a compact with the devil (James Bone, 9/08/05, Times of London)

THE United Nations inquiry into the oil-for-food scandal revealed yesterday that Kofi Annan’s son had, despite earlier denials, intervened repeatedly to win a UN contract in Iraq.

The disclosure was made in a blistering report that contains devastating criticism of the UN Secretary-General, his deputy and the UN Security Council for allowing Saddam Hussein to obtain more than $10 billion (£5.45 billion) illegally.

The $64 billion oil-for-food programme, which allowed Saddam to sell oil to buy food and medicine, “was a compact with the devil and a devil had means for manipulating the programme to his ends”, Paul Volcker, the former US Federal Reserve Chairman who led the inquiry, found.


Those who opposed the war apparently had found bedding down with Satan quite to their liking.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:44 PM

ISMAEL DOUBLEDAY (via Robert Schwartz):

Baseball in Iraq: As Pastimes Go, It's Anything But< (KIRK SEMPLE, 9/07/05, NY Times)

The opening pitch of the Northern Regional Junior Baseball Tournament last March was a slow ball that struck the dirt an inch behind home plate, bounced into the catcher's face mask and knocked him to the ground.

For anyone focusing on details, like skill, it may have seemed an inauspicious start. But to the players and the two dozen spectators, most of whom did not know the difference between a ball and a strike, the moment underscored something far more important: Baseball had come to Iraq.

Founded in the fall of 2003 by Ismael Khalil Ismael, a shop owner in Baghdad, the national league has grown to 26 full-fledged baseball teams in 18 provinces stretching from Nineveh in the north to Basra in the south. Using hand-me-down gloves and other cast-off equipment, much of it donated from the United States, the teams play on sandy lots, rutted pastures and soccer pitches.

"I'm doing it for the history of Iraq," he declared.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:28 PM

TELLING PHAROAH:

Egyptians vote in limited brush with democracy: A Mubarak win is undisputed, but the election created a rare space for dissent. (Dan Murphy, 9/08/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

[I]t remains to be seen if the regime will be changed by this brush with presidential politics. Though the outcome was guaranteed, Mubarak and his team ran a Western-style campaign for the first time, even granting an interview to an independent newspaper.

"The concerns of the masses and the ordinary man in the street should be the main concern of any person in a position of leadership,'' President Mubarak told Al-Mesri Al-Yom newspaper, while reiterating a campaign promise to increase the minimum wage by 100 percent and to create 4.5 million new jobs. "I know exactly what the concerns of the people are, their problems, suffering, and expectations."

"On the one hand, the election itself is a bit of a joke,'' says an activist from the Kifaya, or Enough, movement, which organized a rowdy demonstration urging voters to boycott the election and criticizing Mubarak. "But it's also at least forcing him to stand up and be responsible for the government's policies. It shows he's not above criticism, and that could eventually change the system in ways they don't expect." [...]

Mubarak's record is shaky in many respects. Since he took power, Egypt's national debt has more than tripled; the Egyptian pound has lost 88 percent of its value against the dollar; and unemployment is now estimated at 25 percent.

Government corruption is also widespread. In August, the Al-Osboa newspaper published documents alleging to show that Ibrahim Nafie, who until July ran the government press group Al-Ahram and is also a close confidant of Mubarak, had stolen more than $100 million during his tenure.

But there is also real support for the president. Many Egyptians remember the ruinous wars with Israel in 1967 and 1973, and are grateful that Mubarak has kept the country largely out of foreign entanglements. It's a theme he's played up in his campaign, obliquely pointing at the chaos in neighbors like Iraq as a potential outcome if he doesn't keep a steady hand on the helm. "Mubarak has talked about peace, he's given us bread, and he's promised to create jobs,'' says Adbel Nabi, a 63-year-old electrician who shares a room with his wife and six of his children. "We'll see if he meets his promises, but at least we know him. These other candidates, we don't know them at all."


Promises made have consequences.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:15 PM

THE ANGLOSPHERE'S WORST BLEMISH:

A new history reveals the unsung role of Polish intelligence in the second world war (Financial Times, 9-3-05)

In 1939 Polish intelligence offered to the British the German encoding machine, Enigma, plus the keys to keep decoding Wehrmacht secret messages, 80 per cent of which the Poles could read. The British, obsessed with the Empire not Europe, had focused on trying to read Japanese naval codes and showed little interest in the fact the Poles were cracking German codes before the war started. [...]

The endless literature on Enigma and Ultra barely mentions the contribution the Poles made in giving Churchill the priceless secret that helped win the war. One reason was the disappearance in 1945 of all the files that recorded the contribution Polish intelligence made to the Allied war efforts. As the Soviet Union rose to world power status, official London placated Sovietism by writing the Poles out of second world war history. Polish airmen and soldiers were not even allowed to march in any of the victory parades at the war's end.


Those whom one has stabbed in the back one can hardly ackowledge having depended on for survival.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:09 PM

HEY, KARL, WATCH THEM RISE TO THE BAIT AGAIN:

Gonzales Is Mentioned in Supreme Court Remarks (RICHARD W. STEVENSON and SHERYL GAY STOLBERG, 9/07/05, NY Times)

President Bush said Tuesday that his list of candidates to replace Justice Sandra Day O'Connor was "wide open," and he jokingly but pointedly singled out Attorney General Alberto R. Gonzales.

Mr. Bush's mention of Mr. Gonzales as a possibility, in comments to reporters at the end of a cabinet meeting, fueled concern among conservatives, who were already mobilizing against the attorney general. Conservatives say that Mr. Gonzales has not shown himself to be sufficiently opposed to abortion rights and that nominating him would miss an opportunity to move the court fundamentally to the right.

Mr. Bush said that he had yet to make up his mind and that he would "take a good, long look at who should replace Justice O'Connor." But he mentioned only one name, that of Mr. Gonzales, a longtime friend and aide who, if nominated and confirmed, would be the first Hispanic on the court.

"The list is wide open, which should create some good speculation here in Washington," Mr. Bush said to laughter in the Cabinet Room, with the attorney general sitting directly across from him. "And make sure you notice when I said that, I looked right at Al Gonzales, who can really create speculation."


The President recognizes that he can whip the Right into such a froth that they'll once again trip over themselves to embrace no matter who he picks other than Mr. Gonzales.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:52 PM

SPINNING IN THEIR GRAVES (via Robert Schwartz):

Stem cell hopes distorted by 'arrogance and spin' (Tim Radford, September 5, 2005, The Guardian)

A leading scientist who pushed for the controversial research into embryo stem cells will warn today that the challenges are so huge that any cures for disease lie a long way in the future.

Lord Winston, who pioneered fertility research in the UK, is to tell the British Association for the Advancement of Science, meeting in Dublin, that during the political campaign to push through legislation in 2001, some parliamentarians were led to believe that clinical treatments were "just around the corner". Some of the lobbying came from patients' groups, but it was stimulated by scientific observations.

"When disappointment sets in, as may be possible, we can expect a massive backlash by the 'right to life' groups, who are always ready to pounce when they perceive a chink in our arguments," he will say. He singles out embryo stem cells as a case study in scientific arrogance and the dangers of "spinning" a good story.


Will he be wearing his "I embraced the Culture of Death and all I got was this t-shirt"?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:36 PM

SPECIAL DELIVERY:

How comets may have 'seeded' life on Earth: A new look at a comet's core could reveal its role in our planet's early history (Peter N. Spotts, 9/08/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

Some scientists have long held the notion that comets delivered many of the chemical building blocks of organic life. NASA's Deep Impact mission to comet Tempel 1 has substantially strengthened their case.

This week, at a meeting in London and in results published in Thursday's edition of Science Express, Deep Impact scientists say they have found high levels of organic chemicals beneath the surface of Tempel 1's core. [...]

One surprise: The team has detected an unexpectedly high concentration of methyl cyanide. Biologists say methyl cyanide is a key player in reactions that form DNA.

"If methyl cyanide is a particularly abundant component, it would suggest that comets could have delivered an abundance of these highly reactive compounds to the early Earth," notes Tom McCollom, a researcher at the University of Colorado at Boulder's Laboratory of Atmospheric and Space Physics.


Seeded.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:57 AM

NOW WHO'LL TELL US WHAT'S REALLY GOING ON?:

Sadly, the excellent Rob Gifford is leaving his China post for NPR to take over the London desk. They did a great tribute to his work of the past few years on Here and Now yesterday. The excerpts from past stories will surely make you want to listen to them and they've got a convenient archive. His On the Road in China series is also on-line. In this broadcast they play a hilarious clip from report where he's reporting from a church service but ends up being pressed to deliver the sermon when the preacher doesn't show up. As they discuss the moment he reveals why his reports have had so much more savor and depth than the junk on business pages, which can never get past the mere idea of a billion customers/cheap laborers....


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:38 AM

TWO BIRDS WITH ONE BROWN:

The right wants a woman (Alexander Bolton, 9/07/05, The Hill)

Key Republicans and conservatives are pressing President Bush to nominate a woman to replace retiring Supreme Court Justice Sandra Day O’Connor. [...]

It may suggest that, with the president faltering in opinion polls, the right believes it needs the sop of liberal identity politics to get a second conservative justice confirmed.

Priscilla Owen, Edith Jones and Edith Brown Clement, all three from the 5th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, and Janice Rogers Brown, of the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals, are considered by conservatives to lead the list of potential female nominees.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:25 AM

CAFE TERRIER REPUBLICAN:

Senators urge boost in standards of fuel economy (Patrice Hill, September 7, 2005, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

Congress should consider raising fuel-economy standards for all vehicles for the first time in 30 years in light of the gasoline shortages and huge spike in pump prices caused by Hurricane Katrina, key senators said yesterday.

"I believe we must take another look at the CAFE standards," said Sen. Pete V. Domenici, New Mexico Republican and chairman of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, referring to the Corporate Average Fuel Economy rules enacted in the mid-1970s but not updated since.

"We looked at that before, and it was not politically possible. I'm not sure that will be the case after Katrina," he said.

When it comes to energy policy, that which Senator Domenici wants America gets.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:19 AM

LIKE TERRORISTS DEAD? THANK AN SUV DRIVER:

Surge in Saudi oil income seen aiding fight on terror (Rasheed Abou-Alsamh, September 7, 2005, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

A midyear financial report by the Samba Financial Group, one of the largest and most profitable private banks in the kingdom, said oil revenue this year is expected to reach $157 billion, a 48 percent increase over 2004's oil revenue of $106 billion.

The Saudi stock market, meanwhile, has seen its capitalization grow from $82.1 billion at the end of June 2002 to $517.6 billion at the end of June 2005, or an increase of $435 billion in just three years.

"The increased wealth is beginning to trickle down to ordinary Saudis," said Ihsan Buhuleiga, a leading economist and member of the Shura Council, in an interview with The Washington Times. [...]

Job creation is something the Saudi government desperately wants to achieve in order to stop young, unemployed Saudi men from being lured into joining terrorist groups.

While some foreign critics of the Saudi government worry that some of the increased oil revenues will find their way into the pockets of the terrorists, Anthony Cordesman, a specialist in Saudi affairs at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, thinks the new revenues will allow the Saudi government to both battle the insurgents and develop the country.

The spurt in oil revenue may also help the ruling al-Saud royal family to secure its popularity.

On Aug. 22, the government announced a 15 percent increase in the wages of all government employees, a move ordered by newly enthroned Saudi King Abdullah to garner popular support and to inject money into the local economy.

Even before the salary raise, Saudis had seen their per-capita gross domestic product grow from $7,437 in 1998 to $11,052 in 2004. Samba estimates per capita GDP in 2005 to reach $13,603.


Yet again we see how al Qaeda's tactics defeat its strategic goals.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:50 AM

SADR, BUT WISER:

Sadr City Success Story: Life is far from rosy in the Baghdad slum, but residents have seen enough progress from rebuilding efforts to give U.S. troops a chance. (T. Christian Miller, September 7, 2005, LA Times)
Crammed into armored Humvees heaving with weapons, Lt. Col. S. Jamie Gayton and his soldiers were greeted by a surprising sight as they rolled into one of Baghdad's poorest neighborhoods.

Men stood and waved. Women smiled. Children flashed thumbs-up signs as the convoy rumbled across the potholed streets of Sadr City.

It was a far more welcoming scene than the urban war zone of a year ago, when U.S. troops and black-clad guerrilla fighters battled in the narrow alleys of the squalid slum.

"We're making a huge impact," Gayton said as his men pulled up to a sewer station newly repaired with U.S. funds. "It has been incredibly safe, incredibly quiet and incredibly secure."

Sadr City has become one of the rare success stories of the U.S. reconstruction effort, say local residents, Iraqi and U.S. officials. Although vast swaths remain blighted, the neighborhood of 2 million mostly impoverished Shiites is one of the calmest in Baghdad. One U.S. soldier has been killed and one car bomb detonated in the last year, the military says.

The improvements are the result of an intense effort in the wake of the street battles last August with fighters loyal to anti-American cleric Muqtada Sadr. Within a month, U.S. officials decided to make Sadr City a showcase for rebuilding, and increased spending to $805 million in a neighborhood long neglected under Saddam Hussein.

Having covered the U.S. reconstruction effort in Iraq for the last 22 months, I decided to take a measure of progress by going back to the same people I interviewed last August, in addition to talking with U.S. and Iraqi officials involved in the program.

Their stories provide insight into why the rebuilding of Sadr City is an impressive, if imperfect, accomplishment in Iraq, where many projects remain incomplete and U.S. promises unfulfilled.
The more Shi'a the better the situation--pretty easy to figure out by now.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:43 AM

NEW NEW ORLEANS:

Putting Down New Roots on More Solid Ground (SUSAN SAULNY, 9/07/05, NY Times)

In her 19 years, all spent living in downtown New Orleans, Chavon Allen had never ventured farther than her bus fare would allow, and that was one trip last year to Baton Rouge. But now that she has seen Houston, she is planning to stay.

"This is a whole new beginning, a whole new start. I mean, why pass up a good opportunity, to go back to something that you know has problems?" asked Ms. Allen, who had been earning $5.15 an hour serving chicken in a Popeyes restaurant.

For Daphne Barconey, Hurricane Katrina disrupted plans for a grand house to be built on a $150,000 lot that she bought in eastern New Orleans just months ago.

Now, just eight days after the storm, she has a job in a hospital here, a year's lease on a four-bedroom apartment near the Galleria mall and no plan to return to New Orleans.

Jason Magee is a golf pro who says now is the time to move away from his native New Orleans. "I had been looking for an excuse to leave, and this is it," he said.

From across the economic spectrum, whether with heavy hearts or with optimism, the hundreds of thousands of people who fled the wrath of Hurricane Katrina in New Orleans are already putting down roots in new cities. [...]

Since its population peaked at almost 630,000 in 1960, New Orleans has been steadily losing its people. According to the last census, 445,000 people lived there. But a trickle of people over the decades is quite a different matter from what the city now faces, a sudden population bust that could subtract up to 250,000 people.

"I look at the situation, and it brings fear," said Rodney Braxton, the city's chief legislative lobbyist.


At the point where politicians and the media are fretting about luring folks back to the flood basin can we stop pretending that anyone was serious about avoiding the catastrophe in the first place? Just restore the port facilities and the Disney Downtown version of the city and you'll have an easily evacuable and economically feasible town..


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:38 AM

BLOOD ENGORGED MEMBER OF THE EU:

Chirac's condition shrouded in secrecy (Elisabeth Rosenthal and Katrin Bennhold, SEPTEMBER 7, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

After a series of minimalist medical bulletins describing President Jacques Chirac's four-day day stay in a Paris hospital, it is still a public mystery what kind of neurological malady has befallen the president, although French military doctors at this point certainly know the diagnosis, independent experts said.

Because of the French tradition of near-total secrecy regarding the health of its leaders, it is still unclear if Chirac is suffering from a minor condition that requires observation or a potentially life-threatening illness. He has not been seen on television since his admission to the hospital.

The few terse phrases officially released have sought to play down the illness, but they have often sounded like a contradiction in terms, talking of a "little vascular accident," and a "slight vision problem," which nonetheless merited a week's hospital stay.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:21 AM

NOTHING COSTS MORE THAN IT USED TO:

TiVo cuts price of DVR to $50 (Sue McAllister, 9/07/05, San Jose Mercury News)

Under the new promotion, customers who purchase a 40-hour digital video recorder from TiVo before Nov. 27 and sign up for a subscription before Jan. 15, 2006 will qualify for a rebate of $150. The rebate drops the cost of the device from a suggested retail price of $199.99 to $49.99.

They'll be free by Christmas.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:00 AM

HIS CAREER IN HIS HANDS:

Calif. legislature 1st to OK gay marriage (Joe Dignan and John Pomfret, September 7, 2005, Washington Post)

The California Assembly voted yesterday to allow gay and lesbian couples to marry, making the state's legislature the first in the nation to deliberately approve same-sex marriages and handing a political hot potato to an already beleaguered Republican governor, Arnold Schwarzenegger. [...]

Yesterday's 41-to-35 vote amounted to more difficult news for Schwarzenegger, who roared into Sacramento on the back of a recall election in 2003 promising change. Schwarzenegger, who has taken on teachers, nurses, and other state workers, has seen his popularity lag in recent months. A Field Poll of registered voters this month put the governor's approval rating at 36 percent, an all-time low.

If he vetoes the bill, Schwarzenegger will retain the support of his GOP base, which he will need in a special election he has called for November. But he could also alienate many Democrats who voted for him and whose backing he still covets. In the special election, Schwarzenegger is asking voters to grant him more budget-cutting power, to block gerrymandering by placing legislative redistricting in the hands of retired judges, and to make public school teachers work five years instead of two before they get tenure.

''This puts Schwarzenegger on the hot seat," said Bruce Cain, professor of political science at University of California at Berkeley. ''I think it's a slam-dunk that he's going to have to veto the bill and hope that the anger in the gay community doesn't spill over into other groups."


If he signs it he can't be re-elected--simple as that. Even if he could win the nomination he'd have a challenger from the Right who would also take many of the Latino votes he got last time.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:02 AM

POD PEOPLE:

Politicos embrace podcasting (Cynthia H. Cho, September 7, 2005, LA Times)

It makes perfect sense that politicians and pundits are embracing the new medium, in which audio files are downloaded from the Internet to an iPod, MP3 player or similar device. Podcasting, many politicians say, gives them direct access to their constituents and allows them to talk to voters without a "media filter." It also allows them to reach an audience that otherwise would not have the time or inclination to sit at a computer for the reports — particularly technology-savvy young voters, a key demographic in nearly all elections."So many people are accustomed to written information that you really have to have a few more bells and whistles in this day and age," says former Rep. Chris Bell, who is running for governor of Texas as a Democrat. Since April, he has recorded three podcasts.

On Aug. 12, Sen. Larry Craig (R-Idaho) became the first U.S. senator to offer a podcast downloadable from his Senate website (www.craig.senate.gov/pod.xml). In it, he read aloud his Washington Report, a biweekly wrap-up of Senate issues, and talked about Supreme Court nominee John G. Roberts Jr. A day later, the White House posted all of President Bush's radio addresses since January as podcasts (at www.whitehouse.gov/radio).


Do y'all listen to podcasts yet? The Other Brother is contemplating making at least one post a day from here available as a podcast.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

AND RISIN':

Donations at $500 Million, and Climbing: Americans' giving for hurricane relief dwarfs first week's tallies for 9/11 and the tsunami. (Sharon Bernstein and Amanda Covarrubias, September 7, 2005, LA Times)

Americans are opening their pocketbooks so fast and so wide in the wake of Hurricane Katrina that donations have already dwarfed the first week's efforts to help victims of last year's Asian tsunami and the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks.

By Tuesday evening, U.S. charities had raised more than $500 million in cash and pledges — more than twice the $239 million donated in the 10 days after Sept. 11, and more than three times the $163 million raised in the nine days after the tsunami that hit countries along the Indian Ocean last Dec. 26.

The American Red Cross had raised $409 million by Tuesday afternoon — five times the $79 million that came in during the first week after the tsunami, the agency said.

The Salvation Army had raised $51 million — six times the amount the charity took in for tsunami relief and more than it collected over the last five years combined.

The outpouring of gifts eased the concerns of some charity groups that donations might not be so robust because so many Americans had given money earlier this year for tsunami relief.


NPR was playing a bit yesterday with Europeans whining about the rich United States receiving aid from them and a British general explaining that no country would ever keep the number of MREs and things like pumping equipment on hand to deal with something like this.


MORE (via Brit):
What's in emergency ration packs? ( Jonathan Duffy, 9/07/05, BBC News Magazine)

The UK is flying half a million military ration packs to the disaster zone in the southern states of the United States.

The high-calorie packs are standard issue for the British Armed Forces on operations and, it's claimed, contain enough food to last one person 24 hours.

They include some typically British dishes, such as corned beef hash, Lancashire hotpot and fruit dumplings in custard, as well as some more adventurous options like vegetable tikka masala and spicy vegetable rigatoni.

Each pack contains up to 4,000 calories - the recommended daily consumption is 2,000 for women and 2,500 for men - and is "designed to feed a young man aged 18 to 30 who has been involved in active operational duty," says Brian Sheehan of the Defence Logistics Organisation.

"You're looking at them getting a massive energy burst."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

WHAT YOU CAN'T SEE THROUGH YOUR ANCIENT DIRT-ENCRUSTED WINDOW:

Economic lunacy (Walter E. Williams, September 7, 2005, Townhall)

Frederic Bastiat (1801-1850), a great French economist, said in his pamphlet "What is Seen and What is Not Seen": "There is only one difference between a bad economist and a good one: the bad economist confines himself to the visible effect; the good economist takes into account both the effect that can be seen and those effects that must be foreseen." What economists Chan and Woodward can see are the jobs and construction boom created by repairing hurricane destruction. What they can't see, and thus ignore, is what those resources would have been used for had there not been hurricane destruction.

Bastiat wrote a parable about this which has become known as the "Broken Window Fallacy." A shopkeeper's window is broken by a vandal. A crowd formed sympathizing with the man. After a while, someone in the crowd suggested that the boy wasn't guilty of vandalism; instead, he was a public benefactor, creating economic benefits for everyone in town. After all, fixing the broken window creates employment for the glazier, who will then buy bread and benefit the baker, who will then buy shoes and benefit the cobbler, and so forth.

Those are the seen effects of repairing the broken window. What's unseen is what the shopkeeper would have done with the money had the vandal not broken his window. He might have employed the tailor by purchasing a suit. The vandal's breaking his window produced at least two unseen effects. First, it shifted unemployment from the glazier who now has a job to the tailor who doesn't. Second, it reduced the shopkeeper's wealth. Had it not been for the vandalism, the shopkeeper would have had a window and a suit; now he has just a window.


Mr. Williams stumbles near to the truth here, but falls prey to the mistaken belief in economic man as a rational actor. The problem is that the shopkeeper will generally just consume with his money rather than upgrade his own plant and reap the benefits of modernization and efficiency gains. What is actually unseen is that when he puts in his triple pane Andersen windows he'll cut this Winter's heating bill and next Summer's cooling bill by more than the cost of the window and then bank the savings in subsequent years. Of course, with the money he's saved himself the shopkeeper can afford to indulge himself even more. But which of us wouldn't rather have a shiny new toy for ourselves today than prospective savings from an investment in a building down the road?


MORE:
Rebuilding Begins Where Terror Struck: N.Y. Transportation Hub Costs $2.2 Billion (Michelle Garcia, September 7, 2005, Washington Post)

"Today, we begin to take back a site and restore something that was taken away from us on September 11," said Anthony Coscia, chairman of the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, which owns the site.

The transportation hub, designed by Spanish architect Santiago Calatrava, will link commuter trains from New Jersey, ferries and the city subway system. Officials estimate 250,000 people a day will stream through the transportation hub after its scheduled completion in 2009.

"New York is taking off again and set to soar to greater heights than ever before," said U.S. Transportation Secretary Norman Y. Mineta, speaking in the 70-foot pit where the city's tallest buildings once stood.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

OKAY, NOW REFORM:

The humanist reformer (Pepe Escobar, 9/08/05, Asia Times)

There's an undeniable atmosphere of goodwill around Tehran regarding [former Baghdad mayor Mahmud] Ahmadinejad. Average people in the bazaar, the mosque or the teahouse say he has sent all the right signals at the start of his presidency. He may be coining an Iranian version of compassionate conservatism.

The most important check on the clerics is that at the next election he needs to be able to run as "a reformer with results."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

HIRED JANITORS WHO HATE POLISH PLUMBERS:

Rules, rules, rules: Germans fed up (Judy Dempsey, 9/07/05, International Herald Tribune)

What Germans of all political stripes seem to want is action to reduce the battery of 90,000 laws and regulations and curb the powers of the 4 million bureaucrats that economists say stifle initiative and motivation.

But tell that to the managers of small businesses who have heard such promises before.

Indeed, just mention the word "bureaucracy" to Patricia Ferer and her eyes roll, the hands go up and the frowns set in. Ferer, 53, an enterprising American who has lived in Germany for many years, thought she had seen it all with German bureaucracy until she applied to open a small restaurant in Berlin a few months ago.

"Bureaucracy? It is just terrible here," she said Tuesday. "I go into those administration buildings in fear as if I am going to be arrested. You are passed from department to department, from bureaucrat to bureaucrat."

As Pound put it:
What, gentle reader, are bureaucrats? Hired janitors who think they own the whole building. The French, being more given to speculation than we, have recently produced several students of bureaucracy, several authors who have studied the fonctionnaire as one studies other poisonous insects, and even tried to explain and account for his actions, his inhibitions. The result is not encouraging. One can sympathize with a tyrant, led on by some megalomania or some dream of ultimate benefit to the race or some decoration of his own personal glory; one can sympathize with the crook who does it for excitement, or the poor devil who steals to feed himself or his family; but for the rond-de-cuir who sits in an office devising, in perfect safety, some inane means of annoying others, one can have no tolerance.
-Ezra Pound, The Passport Nuisance (The Nation, 11/30/1927)


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

NOT FIT TO BE TRIED:

Legal Experts Call Current Law A Poor Fit for Leak Prosecutions (Christopher Lee, September 7, 2005, Washington Post)

[L]egal experts say prosecutors will have a hard time putting away anyone in the administration for violating the Intelligence Identities Protection Act in the revelation of CIA operative Valerie Plame's identity in 2003.

The bar for breaking the 1982 law is high. Whoever makes the disclosure must know that the person was a "covert agent" and must intentionally reveal the agent's identity to someone not authorized to know it.

There is, however, another statute that federal officials have used to go after government leakers. Some legal experts say it is not out of the question that prosecutors in the Plame case could bring it out again -- although it, too, seems a long shot.

The provision, Section 641 in Title 18 of the U.S. Code, nominally deals with prohibitions on the embezzlement of public money, property or records for private use. It typically would be used to go after a federal employee who, say, absconds with government laptops.

Prosecutors used the statute -- somewhat creatively, legal experts say -- to help build successful cases against Samuel L. Morison, a former Navy intelligence analyst who was sentenced to two years in prison in 1985 after being convicted of espionage and theft in leaking secret U.S. spy satellite photographs to a British magazine, and Jonathan Randel, a former Drug Enforcement Agency intelligence research specialist who in 2003 was sentenced to a year in prison for selling restricted information.

The statute "is used by the government from time to time in lieu of not having a criminal prohibition on leaking classified information, generally," said William Banks, a national security law expert at Syracuse University. "It isn't a good fit, but it's the best available."


Since we can be reasonably certain that no one in the Administration was actually a paid informant for the media, we can see why no charges have been forthcoming. Someone may have run afoul of a perjury trap, but that's going to be the worst of it.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

TOO SELF-ABSORBED TO COUPLE:

Crisis? What crisis?: Flings are out. 'Creative aging' is in. Call it the midlife quest: an earnest search for a better self. (Don Aucoin, September 7, 2005, Boston Globe)

As the very idea of the midlife crisis turns 40 this year -- it was coined in 1965 by Canadian psychologist Elliot Jacques -- it is undergoing something of a midlife crisis of its own. New research is challenging the notion that midlife often triggers a dramatic ''crisis" at all; instead, the idea of ''creative aging" is gaining altitude among experts and middle-age folks alike. Call it the midlife non-crisis. ''There is no 'midlife,' as far as I'm concerned," said Robin Shean, a 45-year-old personal trainer and fitness instructor from Millis. ''It's all a journey. If I say I'm half done, how stagnant! If you take yourself out of that whole, quote, 'crisis,' it's all a journey, with no beginning and no end."

Leaving aside the question of beginnings and endings, the issue of the middle is definitely up for grabs nowadays. At a time when 42-year-old David Wells has emerged as the de facto ace of the Red Sox pitching staff, and with 62-year-old Mick Jagger and the rest of the Rolling Stones electrifying fans in a tour that began at Fenway Park, there is increasing agreement that it no longer makes much sense to rigidly define the starting point of midlife as age 40. ''Today the concept of midlife or middle age is much broader because of what's happened with life expectancy and increasing health," said Dr. Gene Cohen, director of the Center on Aging, Health & Humanities at George Washington University. ''Today most people are going to see middle age as between 40 and 65."

Wishful thinking on their part, perhaps. Who lives to 130? Still, at whatever stage of middle age they occur, life changes increasingly are not prompted by any of the stereotypical factors -- the sudden realization of one's mortality, an unhappy marriage, a stagnant career -- but rather by a quiet determination to craft a second chapter that is deeper and truer to one's self. ''People are aware that they have more years in front of them, and they feel really creative about it, and so for them it's more what the Chinese call a crisis of opportunity," says Judith Sherven, a clinical psychologist based in Windham, N.Y. ''They want to do something different."

That can mean everything from adopting a healthier lifestyle to adopting a child while in your 50s, from exploring spirituality and philosophy in depth to finally buckling down to write that novel you've been thinking about for years. But such steps are more likely to be seen today as an enhancement of your old life rather than a rejection of it, a movement toward rather than from something. ''The caricature of the middle-age man dumping his wife, getting a red Ferrari, and driving to Alaska with a 19-year-old -- that's from another period," said Cohen. ''What you typically find, more than a midlife crisis, is a midlife quest. Midlife crisis is the exception rather than the rule."


At some point the Boomers are ghoping to collapse in on themselves like black holes.


September 6, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:38 PM

SMALL IS GOOD:

Senate May Approve Race-Based Government for Native Hawaiians (David Freddoso, Sep 2, 2005, Human Events)

With most of the nation distracted by the destruction of Hurricane Katrina and the first Supreme Court confirmation hearings in nearly a decade, the Senate may quietly approve a bill to recognize native Hawaiians as a new Indian tribe and establish a separate governing authority for people of their race within Hawaii.

“This is the worst bill you’ve never heard of,” said John Fund, political analyst for the Wall Street Journal, speaking at the Heritage Foundation August 30.

The bill would create an open-ended negotiation process between a proposed native-Hawaiian governing entity and the federal and state governments. The process could ultimately give this entity the powers of taxation and law enforcement, hundreds of thousands of acres of Hawaiian land and the right to discriminate based on race. Members of the tribe would be enrolled based on race, and the tribe’s governing entity could become immune from civil rights laws, much like American Indian tribal authorities, which are permitted to establish state religions and discriminate based on race and sex.

Among other things, the bill would allow the Kamehameha Schools—public schools that discriminate in their admissions in favor of racial Native Hawaiians—to continue discriminating, despite an August 2 ruling against the practice by the U.S. 9th Circuit Court of Appeals.

The bill’s chief sponsor, Sen. Daniel Akaka (D.-Hawaii) even said in an NPR interview that his bill may lead to Hawaiian independence, although he later clarified he does not personally support independence.


Hawaii should be independent. It faces no imperial threats from other nations any longer and is perfectly capable of thriving on its own.


MORE:
Gambling boom awakens sleepy Macau (Gary LaMoshi, 9/08/05, Asia Times)

Contrary to what you may have heard and read, Macau is not Las Vegas, at least not yet. But it is enjoying an unprecedented boom thanks to a US$12 billion wave of hotel and casino construction spurred by Las Vegas high rollers.

The former Portuguese colony, a peninsula and two islands about 60 kilometers (and at least 60 decibels) away from Hong Kong, first legalized gambling in 1847.


Posted by Glenn Dryfoos at 8:32 PM

HIS DUE:

Devils' Stevens retires after 22 years (Associated Press. 9/06/05)

New Jersey Devils defenseman Scott Stevens announced his retirement after more than two decades in the NHL on Tuesday, saying a year off showed him that he could live without hockey.

"I think the game is more mental than physical. You have to be in tremendous shape, but you have to want to do it in your head," the 41-year-old player said. "At this point in my career I didn't think I could put the mental parts there every day, and that's a big part of playing this game."

General manager Lou Lamoriello said Stevens, a 13-time All-Star who won three Stanley Cups with the Devils and played more NHL games than any other defenseman during his 22 seasons, has "been an integral part of all the success we've had."


I've been watching hockey for almost 40 years, and he's the fiercest open ice hitter I've ever seen. Ray Borque's hip checks were more stylish, but Stevens' hits were devastating.

He was a "plus" in plus/minus ratings every year of his career. Interestingly, he came to the Devils as compensation when St. Louis signed Brendan Shanahan away from NJ. League rules required the Blues to make a good faith offer of compensation, but they offered some scrubeenie. To make an example of them (remember, the League wanted to discourage teams from signing free agents and driving up salaries), the Commissioner awarded Stevens as compensations. As great as Shanahan was (and still is), it's unlikely that St. Louis would have traded him straight up for Stevens.

Bill James once described Don Mattingly as "100% baseball; 0% bulls[qua]t." Replace "baseball" with "hockey" and that's Stevens.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:13 PM

THE LAW MAY BE A FUNDAMENT, BUT CONSTITUTIONALISM IS FUNDAMENTAL:

Judging the Judges: Liberals need a new constitutional vision to guide their decisions. Cass Sunstein may have it: a review of Radicals in Robes by Cass Sunstein (Stephen Pomper, September 2005, Washington Monthly)

Part of Sunstein's vision is to divide the constitutional world into four interpretive camps. On the right side of the spectrum are proponents of “originalism” like Justices Thomas and Scalia, who believe that the Constitution should be interpreted today as it was originally understood by its ratifiers (and whom Sunstein calls “fundamentalists” because of their emphasis on the Constitution's historical foundations). Over on the left side of the Sunstein spectrum are the “perfectionists,” who see the open-ended language of the Constitution as an invitation to “perfect” the law by fashioning new types of rights that they think are consistent with appropriate constitutional values. Liberal jurist Earl Warren was a perfectionist, and Roe v. Wade was a perfectionist decision. And in the middle of the spectrum are two groups that include both liberals and conservatives—the “majoritarians” and the “minimalists.”

Majoritarians believe that the elected branches of the government (Congress and the White House) should interpret portions of the Constitutions that are ambiguous, and the courts should stand aside; Oliver Wendell Holmes was a majoritarian, but there are none on the Court today. Minimalists also try to cabin the role of the courts in constitutional matters, but they do so differently—by emphasizing the importance of following precedent and of reaching narrow, fact-specific rulings that give future courts room to reach their own conclusions based on changing circumstances. Justice O'Connor and Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg are each minimalists; so is Cass Sunstein.

Sunstein's first order of business is to take originalism down a peg, by reminding us that although it is the theory of the moment with the ascendant legal right, it is not Holy Writ and has never actually been the dominant school of constitutional interpretation at the Supreme Court. To be sure, originalism has considerable theoretical strengths: It is straightforward; it reduces judicial discretion by focusing on constitutional text and history (which leaves more room for decision making by the democratically elected branches of government); and its insistence that the ratifiers' understanding should govern judicial decision making helps to put judicial decision making on a more democratic footing since ratification was more or less a democratic act. There are problems, however, with many of originalism's claims to the theoretical high ground. It is not clear, for example, that ratification can be fairly characterized as a democratic act since the ratifiers hardly included a representative sampling of women and minorities. It is also unclear whether the ratifiers themselves intended future courts to follow their understanding of the Constitution. And in any case, it is problematic to suggest that a 21st-century judge can meaningfully think her way into the 200-year-old mindset of a ratifier in order to figure out how he would have approached a modern constitutional problem. (How would a Colonial-era ratifier answer questions about the constitutionality of wiretapping under the Fourth Amendment? Is that even a meaningful question?)

Sunstein's main objections to originalism don't have to do with its theoretical vulnerabilities, however. His principal objections are about the results that it would produce.


The Left never betrays its muddleheadedness more clearly than when it imagines the Constitution's intents to be democratic, though thinking it difficult today to apply the simple republican scheme it lays out is a good demonstration also, and one need look no further than their favorite Founder to refute the third point:
On every question of construction [of the Constitution] let us carry ourselves back to the time when the Constitution was adopted, recollect the spirit manifested in the debates, and instead of trying what meaning may be squeezed out of the text, or intended against it, conform to the probable
one in which it was passed.
-- Thomas Jefferson to Justice William Johnson, 1823


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:03 PM

THE MOST IMPORTANT LESSON OF KATRINA:

Miss. politicians may flex muscle for aid (LAURIE KELLMAN, September 6, 2005, Associated Press)

A triumvirate of Republican power brokers may give Mississippi first dibs in the post-Hurricane Katrina grab for federal disaster funds, even though the federal government focused its initial response to the storm on New Orleans.

The state's senior senator, Thad Cochran, is the new chairman of the Senate Appropriations Committee, the panel charged with determining how much and where the recovery money will be spent.

Its junior senator's home - a place where GOP leaders from across the county once bantered about politics from rocking chairs on a porch overlooking the Gulf of Mexico - was flattened by Katrina.

"There's nothing there now," Sen. Trent Lott said of his historic Pascagoula house, which had been 12 feet above sea level. "I found my refrigerator, from my kitchen. It went down the street two blocks, turned left and went into a neighbor's yard."

Add Gov. Haley Barbour, a former Republican National Committee chairman, and Mississippi packs more political muscle than the other storm-ravaged states of Louisiana and Alabama.


Mayor slams Blanco for stalling (James G. Lakely, September 7, 2005, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)
Louisiana Gov. Kathleen Babineaux Blanco has been critical of the Bush administration's response to the disastrous aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, but, according to the mayor of New Orleans, her indecision when President Bush offered help delayed rescue efforts and cost lives.

New Orleans Mayor C. Ray Nagin told CNN's "American Morning" Monday that he met with Mr. Bush and Mrs. Blanco on Air Force One on Friday and implored the two to "get in sync."

"If you don't get in sync, more people are going to die," Mr. Nagin said.

Mr. Bush met privately first with Mrs. Blanco, then called Mr. Nagin in for a meeting.

"He called me in that office," Mr. Nagin said. "And he said, 'Mr. Mayor, I offered two options to the governor.' I was ready to move. The governor said she needed 24 hours to make a decision."

That decision was a request by Mr. Bush to allow the federal government to take over the evacuation of New Orleans, which had been marked by chaos for days. The Democratic governor, who has clashed behind the scenes with the Bush administration since the storm hit, refused.

The insistence of LA on staying in the Blue column and of blacks on remaining virtual captives of the Democratic Party at a time when the country has shifted well to the Right has paid terrible dividends in New Orleans (a 67% black city), both in terms of governance and of political clout. Just consider the difference it might have made if Mayor Nagin had remained a Republican for his mayoral run and won. A Republican mayor of N.O. would likely have been enough to defeat Mary Landrieu in her '02 run-off and carry Bobby Jindahl into the governor's office in '03. Then -- whether the more powerful congressional delegation had been able to secure more public works money or not -- when the Hurricane was coming, instead of falling prey to bush Derangement Syndrome and treating the feds as adversaries, the city and state officials may have worked with them better. It likely wouldn't have made a decisive difference but even improvement at the margins would have helped.

MORE:
Mandatory evacuation ordered for New Orleans (The Associated Press, 8/28/05)

In the face of a catastrophic Hurricane Katrina, a mandatory evacuation was ordered Sunday for New Orleans by Mayor Ray Nagin.

Acknowledging that large numbers of people, many of them stranded tourists, would be unable to leave, the city set up 10 places of last resort for people to go, including the Superdome.

The mayor called the order unprecedented and said anyone who could leave the city should. He exempted hotels from the evacuation order because airlines had already cancelled all flights.

Gov. Kathleen Blanco, standing beside the mayor at a news conference, said President Bush called and personally appealed for a mandatory evacuation for the low-lying city, which is prone to flooding.


Was President Bush Forced to Use the Insurrection Act? (Barbara J. Stock, September 06, 2005, Chron Watch)
While the governors of both Mississippi and Alabama put in a formal request for federal assistance before Katrina even made landfall, the governor of Louisiana refused to relinquish any of her power for the good of the people. Now she and her party point the finger of blame at the White House.

Liberal blogs and websites are pointing to the Department of Homeland Security’s website which states that it can take control in any disaster, natural or otherwise, but this is not true. The Department of Homeland Security can only work with the state and local officials in organizing relief efforts such as food, water, and shelter. There is no military arm of the Department of Homeland Security or the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), and the military is what was needed and everyone knew that. [...]

Because there was no one in charge, the initial rescue operations were feeble at best and there was chaos. The scope and magnitude of the disaster, which covers an area the size of Great Britain, still had not been realized by Governor Blanco who steadfastly refused to declare martial law and officially request that the federal government “send in the troops.”

It has come to light that all during the night on Friday, September 2, the president of the United States was forced to “negotiate” with Governor Blanco for the lives of the suffering and dying people of New Orleans. She feared that allowing the federal government to take control would make her administration appear as though it had failed. How she would be judged was more important to her than the lives of those people who were dying in the squalor. How many died as Blanco maneuvered to protect her reputation?

The Posse Comitatus Act prevents, by federal law, the president of the United States from sending federal troops into any state without the direct request of the elected governor of that state. A frustrated President Bush could only stand by and watch as the horror unfolded until he received the request for help. Despite the finger-pointing at President Bush, there was little that he could do until he was formally asked for assistance. No matter how loudly the liberals scream, they know full well that the president was helpless to do much of anything. [...]

There is reason to believe that President Bush, running out of patience with Blanco by Saturday morning, used the only option that remained to him. It is being reported that Bush went around Blanco and utilized the Insurrection Act to federalize the National Guard and send in active military troops to take over the rescue and put down the lawlessness that had taken over New Orleans. The forces that Bush had poised to move into the city, swung into action. It was no accident that the major, organized rescues began when the sun came up on Saturday morning. At 6:30 AM, when the sky over New Orleans was suddenly filled with military helicopters and military convoys poured into the streets, they were there because of President Bush, not Governor Blanco.


Blame Amid the Tragedy: Gov. Blanco and Mayor Nagin failed their constituents. (BOB WILLIAMS, September 7, 2005, Opinion Journal)
The actions and inactions of Gov. Blanco and Mayor Nagin are a national disgrace due to their failure to implement the previously established evacuation plans of the state and city. Gov. Blanco and Mayor Nagin cannot claim that they were surprised by the extent of the damage and the need to evacuate so many people. Detailed written plans were already in place to evacuate more than a million people. The plans projected that 300,000 people would need transportation in the event of a hurricane like Katrina. If the plans had been implemented, thousands of lives would likely have been saved.

In addition to the plans, local, state and federal officials held a simulated hurricane drill 13 months ago, in which widespread flooding supposedly trapped 300,000 people inside New Orleans. The exercise simulated the evacuation of more than a million residents. The problems identified in the simulation apparently were not solved.

A year ago, as Hurricane Ivan approached, New Orleans ordered an evacuation but did not use city or school buses to help people evacuate. As a result many of the poorest citizens were unable to evacuate. Fortunately, the hurricane changed course and did not hit New Orleans, but both Gov. Blanco and Mayor Nagin acknowledged the need for a better evacuation plan. Again, they did not take corrective actions. In 1998, during a threat by Hurricane George, 14,000 people were sent to the Superdome and theft and vandalism were rampant due to inadequate security. Again, these problems were not corrected.

The New Orleans contingency plan is still, as of this writing, on the city's Web site, and states: "The safe evacuation of threatened populations is one of the principle [sic] reasons for developing a Comprehensive Emergency Management Plan." But the plan was apparently ignored.

Mayor Nagin was responsible for giving the order for mandatory evacuation and supervising the actual evacuation: His Office of Emergency Preparedness (not the federal government) must coordinate with the state on elements of evacuation and assist in directing the transportation of evacuees to staging areas. Mayor Nagin had to be encouraged by the governor to contact the National Hurricane Center before he finally, belatedly, issued the order for mandatory evacuation. And sadly, it apparently took a personal call from the president to urge the governor to order the mandatory evacuation.

The city's evacuation plan states: "The city of New Orleans will utilize all available resources to quickly and safely evacuate threatened areas." But even though the city has enough school and transit buses to evacuate 12,000 citizens per fleet run, the mayor did not use them. To compound the problem, the buses were not moved to high ground and were flooded. The plan also states that "special arrangements will be made to evacuate persons unable to transport themselves or who require specific lifesaving assistance. Additional personnel will be recruited to assist in evacuation procedures as needed." This was not done.

The evacuation plan warned that "if an evacuation order is issued without the mechanisms needed to disseminate the information to the affected persons, then we face the possibility of having large numbers of people either stranded and left to the mercy of a storm, or left in an area impacted by toxic materials." That is precisely what happened because of the mayor's failure.

Instead of evacuating the people, the mayor ordered the refugees to the Superdome and Convention Center without adequate security and no provisions for food, water and sanitary conditions. As a result people died, and there was even rape committed, in these facilities. Mayor Nagin failed in his responsibility to provide public safety and to manage the orderly evacuation of the citizens of New Orleans. Now he wants to blame Gov. Blanco and the Federal Emergency Management Agency. In an emergency the first requirement is for the city's emergency center to be linked to the state emergency operations center. This was not done.

The federal government does not have the authority to intervene in a state emergency without the request of a governor. President Bush declared an emergency prior to Katrina hitting New Orleans, so the only action needed for federal assistance was for Gov. Blanco to request the specific type of assistance she needed. She failed to send a timely request for specific aid.

In addition, unlike the governors of New York, Oklahoma and California in past disasters, Gov. Blanco failed to take charge of the situation and ensure that the state emergency operation facility was in constant contact with Mayor Nagin and FEMA. It is likely that thousands of people died because of the failure of Gov. Blanco to implement the state plan, which mentions the possible need to evacuate up to one million people. The plan clearly gives the governor the authority for declaring an emergency, sending in state resources to the disaster area and requesting necessary federal assistance.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 2:45 PM

JUST DROPPED BY ON MY WAY TO SAVE IRAQ

Penn bungles real action-hero role (The Australian, September 6th, 2005)


An emotional Celine Dion rounded on US authorities over their slow rescue effort in hurricane-crippled New Orleans, while actor Sean Penn's personal crusade to save victims took on water.

Movie star and political activist Penn, 45, was in the collapsing city to aid stranded victims, but his boat sprang a leak after he apparently forgot to put the bung in the drainage hole in the vessel's bottom.

The outspoken actor had planned to rescue children but his dinghy began taking on water within seconds of its launch. When the boat's motor failed to start, those aboard were forced to use paddles to propel themselves down the flooded New Orleans street.

Asked what he had hoped to achieve, Penn replied: "Whatever I can do to help."

Didn't anyone tell the the idiot that disaster relief is entirely a federal responsibility?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:30 AM

THE THIRD WAYERS STICK TOGETHER:

Clinton Is an Unexpected Partner in Storm Effort (ADAM NAGOURNEY and JOHN M. BRODER, 9/06/05, NY Times)

As President Bush and administration officials fanned out across the Gulf Coast in the White House's campaign to deal with criticism that they had failed in managing the tragedy of Hurricane Katrina, there was one unexpected face in their crowd on Monday: former President Bill Clinton. [...]

Mr. Clinton's visit to the Houston shelter on Monday is the latest time the former president has come to the current president's aid in his second term, from early in the year when Mr. Bush was criticized for his slow response to the tsunami, to initially defending the administration's response to Hurricane Katrina at the White House last week, to praising the credentials of Judge John G. Roberts Jr., Mr. Bush's choice for the Supreme Court. And it offered what many Democrats described as a vivid, if slightly disconcerting, insight into the complicated and increasingly transactional relationship between the Bush and Clinton families.

While officials in both parties said they had no doubt that both men were first and foremost intent on helping Americans, they also took note of the web of political benefits spun by this burgeoning alliance. It helps Mr. Bush during the roughest time of his presidency, Mr. Clinton as he tries to establish himself as a respected and admired former president and Mrs. Clinton as she potentially prepares to run for president in 2008.


Fifty years from now the presidency that'll be harder to square with the Republican epoch will be George H.W. Bush's liberal one, not Bill Clinton's essentially conservative one.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:26 AM

ADAM SMITH, MEET THE GRAY LADY:

Houston Finds Business Boon After Katrina (SIMON ROMERO, 9/06/05, NY Times)

Perhaps no city in the United States is in a better spot than Houston to turn Katrina's tragedy into opportunity. And businesses here are already scrambling to profit in the hurricane's aftermath.

Oil services companies based here are racing to carry out repairs to damaged offshore platforms in the Gulf of Mexico; the promise of plenty of work to do sent shares in two large companies, Halliburton and Baker Hughes, soaring to 52-week highs last week. The Port of Houston is preparing for an increase in traffic as shippers divert cargoes away from the damaged ports of Pascagoula, Miss., and New Orleans.

Owners of office space here are witnessing a surge in leasing as New Orleans companies, including that city's oldest bank, scramble to set up new headquarters in Houston, helping to shore up its sagging property market. With brio that might make an ambulance-chaser proud, one company, National Realty Investments, is offering special financing deals "for hurricane survivors only," with no down payments and discounted closing costs.

All this, of course, is capitalism at work, moving quickly to get resources to where they are needed most.


No better way to make destruction creative than through the system that relies on creative destruction.

MORE:
Some of the Dispossessed Say They Won't Return (Solomon Moore, September 6, 2005, LA Times)

Before the storm, most Americans knew New Orleans as a blend of old Southern elegance and Bourbon Street decadence. The aftermath, however, has highlighted a primarily black city in which one-third of the African American population — more than 100,000 people — lives below the poverty line. Many of those hardest hit by the storm are not sure whether they want to go back.

"I didn't have no money for gas," said Thomas Lallande, a 60-year-old black man, as he rubbed his raw feet after finally evacuating.

Lallande said he wanted to leave before the storm but couldn't afford to. As the flood rose chest high last week, he waded from his submerged apartment in the 9th Ward to the Superdome, where he and thousands of people — nearly all of them black — waited for days without food, water or security.

Lallande escaped New Orleans — he was recuperating at a Baton Rouge shelter Monday — and, for now, he has no plans of going back: "What for? I don't have nothing back there."

And where some saw grim images and shattered futures, the city's most destitute saw rare opportunity.

"Actually, some people were a little better off after the storm," said a 26-year-old man who spoke on condition of anonymity as he took groceries out of a store last week. "I had gotten to the end of my rope. Now, I got a little something."

But even middle-class African Americans are reconsidering their futures in New Orleans. Herman and Christy Taitt, devotees of the city's music and culture, said they already had calls out to several different cities.

Herman, 44, is the head maintenance manager at Dillard University, and Christy, 37, is an accounting supervisor at a pharmaceutical firm. They had a house and three cars — including a Corvette — but they always thought they might have done better outside New Orleans.

Last week, at a Kinko's computer in Baton Rouge, they found aerial photos of their New Orleans home on the Internet. Water had inundated their neighborhood.

"Family kept us here," Herman Taitt said. "And I love the history of this place. The culture. It's the birthplace of jazz. The food. The parties. You can have a good time here. So we stayed. We allowed ourselves to have a second-class status to Southern white folks."

But now, Herman Taitt said, his elderly father is missing — and a crucial bond to the city has been broken.

"We're looking at Houston," he said. "We're looking at L.A."

New Orleans teacher Karen Francois, 53, said her apartment in the 9th Ward was destroyed. Though she would like to return to her job in January, she's thinking about Arizona after that.

"I'll be sad because I don't think there are people like us anywhere else outside of New Orleans," she said. "But you can't get any money there. There's no real opportunities in New Orleans — not for us."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:55 AM

ENOUGH MARTYRDUMB:

Some shunning the Palestinian hard stance (Thanassis Cambanis, September 6, 2005, Boston Globe)

After his 12-year-old son died in a hail of bullets in 2000, Jamal al-Dura became the public face of Palestinian suffering as the second intifadah began. He traveled across the Arab world, standing as a symbol of perceived Israeli brutality and growing wealthy from the largesse showered upon him.

Nearly five years later, however, Dura says he has tired of mouthing the counterproductive mottos of Palestinian hard-liners. Instead, with Israel's withdrawal from the Gaza Strip last month, he has turned to building a grand new home for his eight surviving children and he has forbidden his eldest son from joining any militant movement, at least until he finishes university.

''One martyr from this family is enough," Dura, 43, said at his home in Bureij.

He's only the most famous of a minority of Gaza Palestinians who are rejecting the all-encompassing culture of intifadah, jihad, and martyrdom that has turned camps like Bureij and Jabaliya into locomotives of the Palestinian militant factions.

These Palestinians believe Gaza has reaped few results from decades of war and militia leadership; now, these disenchanted Palestinians say, it's time to replace calls to arms and total victory over Israel with real improvements for Palestinians, like better education, housing, and jobs.


Palestinian leaders face the moment they've been trying to avoid since Oslo, actually having to improve the lives of their own people and run a functional state.


MORE:
Egypt vows to build a Palestinian Gaza (John Phillips, September 6, 2005, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

Egyptian Prime Minister Ahmed Nazif has pledged to help make the Gaza Strip the foundation of a Palestinian state "in every sense" and urged other countries to join Cairo in the push for Middle East peace.

"If we want Gaza to be the basis for a new Palestinian state long term, we have to provide [the residents] with homes and jobs, with security," Mr. Nazif told The Washington Times.

"A lot of effort has to go into rebuilding the infrastructure, not just in the political but in the economic sense."

Mr. Nazif said Cairo will make sure that Gaza has access to the outside world through Egyptian seaports and airports "to prevent the strip of territory being a prison" for its residents.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

OF COURSE I SUPPORT SOCIAL SECURITY, BLACKS MIGHT DIE IN FLOODS:

Katrina returns the poor of inner city to forefront (Peter S. Canellos, September 6, 2005, Boston Globe)

The notion that a disaster offers a mirror to the country, forcing a bitter reconsideration of its own condition, should not be a surprise. It happened in the United States with the 1927 Louisiana flood, a catastrophe that shook American politics in its time. [...]

The death toll was 246, but 700,000 people -- half of them black -- were displaced. Then, as now, haunting pictures and descriptions of the devastation shocked the country. Many blacks were herded into unsanitary evacuation camps.

Amid rising public anger, Herbert Hoover -- then the secretary of commerce -- swept in to oversee relief efforts. Hoover won high marks for his take-charge attitude, though many scholars believe that black resentment over the way the Republican administration handled relief efforts caused the historic shift in black allegience from the Republican to Democratic Party.

The need for federal action challenged President Calvin Coolidge's belief in small government [...]

Last week, President Bush, while overseeing relief efforts, urged victims to look to faith-based groups for help, a reflection of his preference for nongovernmental solutions. But the 1927 flood is remembered not only for creating the imperative for federal disaster relief, but for ushering in an era of big government.

Perhaps that is why Bush and the Republican-led Congress are rushing to dispel any notion that they were slow off the mark in addressing the crisis. Hurricane Katrina could saturate American politics for a long time.


It'll be tough to beat this one for today's unintentionally hilarious award.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

FOR EVERY ACTION....:

Missouri Condemnation No Longer So Imminent: Supreme Court Ruling Ignites Political Backlash (T.R. Reid, September 6, 2005, Washington Post)

When David Wright retired from his factory job in 1997, he poured just about all his savings into a handsome brick house in the Sunset Manor subdivision here. "This was our dream," said David's wife, Lorraine. "We were set here for the rest of our lives."

But the dream turned sour when the city council of this St. Louis suburb decided last year to bulldoze all 254 homes in Sunset Manor and turn the land over to a shopping-mall developer. "We cried and we prayed," Lorraine Wright recalled. "And we put a lot of hope into the Supreme Court, because they were supposed to decide whether this kind of thing is legal."

So the Wrights were crushed -- at first -- when the U.S. Supreme Court ruled on June 23 that the Constitution does not stop cities from seizing homes to make way for commercial development projects. "What we didn't realize right away," David Wright said, "was that the decision would be a positive development for those of us who don't want to see people's houses taken away."

Here in Missouri and all over the country, the court's decision in Kelo v. City of New London has sparked a furious reaction, with politicians of both parties proposing new legislation that would sharply limit the kind of seizure the court's decision validated.

As a result, a decision first seen as a key legal victory for cities that want to use eminent domain for private projects has turned into a major setback on the political front for pro-development interests.


Hard to imagine why anyone is surprised by the reaction.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

NUKES, FROM GREEN GLOW TO GREEN LIGHT (via Richard Compton):

Study Depicts a Less Dire Chernobyl: U.N. researchers find lower radiation levels than earlier reports had and project far fewer deaths will result from the '86 nuclear accident. (Charles Piller and Alissa J. Rubin, September 6, 2005, LA Times)

Nearly two decades after the Chernobyl nuclear disaster spread radioactive fallout across much of Europe, a United Nations study has concluded that the health effects have been far smaller than feared.

The researchers confirmed 56 deaths — nine children from thyroid cancer and 47 emergency workers from acute radiation poisoning or radiation-induced cancer. They projected that 3,940 more people would eventually die of cancer, according to the report released Monday.

Virtually all the deaths are expected to come from among the 200,000 emergency and recovery workers or the nearly 400,000 people who lived in the immediate area. The death estimate is about half of what several recent studies found and a small fraction of the up to 150,000 deaths estimated shortly after the 1986 accident in Ukraine.


If even the Soviets couldn't kill more than that there's no reason not to switch to nuclear power.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

NEW ORLEANS NATION:

Drunken violence hitting frontline policing (GETHIN CHAMBERLAIN, 9/06/05, The Scotsman)

LEVELS of drunken violence on Scotland's streets are now so bad that police no longer have enough time or resources to deal with many routine duties, a senior officer has admitted.

Malcolm Dickson, the Deputy Chief Constable of the Lothian and Borders force, says that more and more police officers are needed to deal with drunk young people using the streets as "playgrounds of violence", leaving fewer police available to serve the majority of peaceful residents who need their assistance.

And he criticised government plans to introduce new legislation to liberalise pub licensing laws, claiming that it would only be feasible if there was a huge investment in additional policing.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

FORTUNATELY MEN DON'T HAVE BRAINS:

Sex pill to turn on women is years away: The latest academic research suggests that the quickest route to a woman's libido is through her brain. (PAUL ELIAS, 9/06/05, Associated Press)

Drug companies make $2.5 billion a year selling Viagra, Cialis and Levitra to help men enjoy sex. Since more women suffer from sexual dysfunction than men, developing a drug that could double those sales would seem to be a no-brainer.

Yet the pharmaceutical industry has failed women miserably -- there isn't a single sexual dysfunction drug on the market that can help them. Pfizer Inc. last year abandoned an eight-year Viagra study involving 3,000 women, conceding that its famous blue pill only works for men.

''I hate to say it, but women are much more complex than men,'' said Beverly Whipple, the sex researcher who co-wrote The G-Spot.


Amen, Sister.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

WHEN DO YOU THINK YOU'LL SEE THAT EFFECTIVE AT THE PUMP?:

Other nations to tap oil stockpiles: News drives prices down, nearly to pre-storm levels (Associated Press, September 6, 2005)

Oil prices fell yesterday after industrialized nations agreed to release 60 million barrels of crude from their strategic stockpiles to help avert a severe fuel shortage in the United States.

The US refinery system is struggling to recover from Hurricane Katrina. Almost 70 percent of normal oil production and half of the natural gas output in the Gulf remains shut down, the US Minerals Management Service said.

Two storm-shuttered facilities restarted, and flows of crude oil improved enough to allow refineries in the Gulf Coast and Midwest to ramp up production. But four damaged Gulf Coast refiners look likely to remain shut for weeks or even months, taking with them more than 5 percent of US capacity.

Industrialized nations arranged to send about 30 shipments of gasoline to the United States, Vienna's PV oil associates said.

On London's International Petroleum Exchange, October Brent was down $1.41 to $64.65 a barrel by midday in Europe -- close to what it had been before Katrina hit.


September 5, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:59 PM

HOW'S IT GOIN', OSAMISTS?:

Voters reverse Islamists' rise in Pakistani politics (Ashraf Khan, 9/06/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

Voters in Pakistan have dealt a surprising blow to religious extremists, bucking the rise in recent years of radical Islam in politics here.

Countrywide elections for local governments, which were held on August 18 and 25 in over 100 districts, reversed the gains made by radical Islamists who came to power in two out of the country's four provinces in 2002. They had played a strong opposition role in the federal parliament and posed a formidable challenge to President Pervez Musharraf's vow to bring "enlightened moderation" to Pakistani society.

The absence of full elections at the federal level has enhanced the importance of Pakistan's local and city government as a political bellwether. Observers here point to a number of reasons for the poor showing for the religious parties, including internal divisions; changes to the ballot; as well as a cooling off of tensions caused by the government's reorientation following Sept. 11, 2001.

"It apparently seems that the establishment has laid their hands off the Islamists and radicals' influence has faded all over the country," says Jaffer Ahmed, chairman of the Pakistan Study Centre at the University of Karachi.


If someone had told you that four years, nearly to the day, after 9-11 the big story from Pakistan would be moderate victories in elections, you think you'd have bought it?


MORE:
Pakistan deploys 9,500 troops at Afghan border (MUNIR AHMAD, 9/06/05, Associated Press)

Pakistan has sent 9,500 more troops to the border with Afghanistan to prevent infiltration by militants intent on disrupting Afghan elections later this month, the army said Tuesday.

Taliban-led insurgents hoping to disrupt the Sept. 18 vote are believed to have sought sanctuary in some parts of Pakistan's deeply conservative tribal regions, drawing criticism from Afghan and U.S. officials.

Pakistan, a key U.S. ally in the war on terror, now has about 80,000 forces at the border.

Army spokesman Maj. Gen. Shaukat Sultan said 5,000 additional forces have been deployed in the northwest and 4,500 in southwestern Baluchistan province.

The deployment was completed after an Aug. 28 meeting in Islamabad of senior military commanders from Pakistan, Afghanistan and the United States to review security for the Afghan vote, the country's next key step toward democracy after two decades of war, he said. [...]

A similar clampdown by Pakistani forces on the border area ahead of Afghan presidential elections in October was credited with decreasing militant activity inside Afghanistan. That vote went relatively peacefully.


Mubarak prises open the military's grip on power (Ed O'Loughlin, September 6, 2005, The Age)
FOR 50 years Egypt's colonels and generals decided which of them — Gamal Abdel Nasser, Anwar Sadat, Hosni Mubarak — would be president and then staged referendums so the people could agree.

But tomorrow, for the first time in Egypt's history, a head of state will be elected from a list with more than one name.

Analysts believe that the 77-year-old President Mubarak, seeking a fifth six-year term, has several reasons for abandoning his old winning formula.

Closest to home is the suspicion that he would like to see his younger son, Gamal, succeed him.

But while he is head of the National Democratic Party's policy committee, Gamal Mubarak, 41, is by trade a banker, not a soldier, and therefore not eligible for the old route to power.

Simply installing him in power via the party would anger not only the generals but also the regime's opponents on both the progressive left and Islamic or nationalist right. It would also be an affront to the US, which is campaigning for democracy across the Arab world.


Saudis storm 'militant hide-out' (BBC, 9/06/05)
Saudi security forces have stormed a building where suspected Islamic militants have been holed-up in the eastern Saudi Arabian city of Dammam.

It comes after a three-day gun battle that has led the deaths of five alleged militants and three police officers.

Witnesses said the shooting died down after security forces moved in on the block in a busy street where the suspects had barricaded themselves in. [...]

Earlier, security forces said three suspected militants and two policemen had been killed in clashes around the building on Monday evening.

The deaths brought to five the number of suspected militants killed in the fighting that began on Sunday. A police officer also died in earlier clashes.

The clashes began when security forces targeted two militants they said were wanted by the authorities.

One of the alleged militants was killed in the fighting on Sunday and another died later in hospital, sources said.

Zaid al-Samari, a 31-year-old Saudi, was named in local media reports as one of the two killed.

He is thought be on a list of 36 most wanted people sought in relation to several attacks in the kingdom since May 2003.


U.S. and Afghan Forces Kill 25 Suspected Taliban in Two Raids: Nearly 50 alleged insurgents are detained. The assaults in two provinces on successive days follow an abducted politician's slaying. (Paul Watson, September 6, 2005, LA Times)
U.S. and Afghan forces killed 25 suspected Taliban fighters and captured dozens more in operations in two southern provinces over two days, Afghan and U.S. officials said.

On Monday, U.S. and Afghan forces killed 12 suspected militants and detained nine others in a raid in Zabol province, the U.S. military said. Soldiers were brought by helicopter into a remote area where militants were believed to be gathering before launching attacks. No casualties were reported among the Afghan and U.S. forces.

The operation in Zabol followed a raid in neighboring Kandahar province in which U.S. and Afghan forces killed 13 suspected Taliban fighters, and captured dozens more, in a remote area where a political candidate was kidnapped and executed last week, a provincial official said.

U.S. and Afghan troops dropped by parachute from American aircraft in the operation, which began Sunday, Kandahar Gov. Asadullah Khalid said by telephone from Kandahar city, the provincial capital. None of the coalition troops was injured.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:21 PM

MISTER, WE COULD USE A MAN LIKE EUGENE SCHMITZ AGAIN...:

The ugly truth: Why we couldn’t save the people of New Orleans (Errol Louis, September 4, 2005, NY Daily News)

In far too many cities, including New Orleans, the marching orders on the front lines of American race relations are to control and contain the very poor in ghettos as cheaply as possible; ignore them completely if possible; and call in the troops if the brutes get out of line.

By almost every statistical measure, New Orleans is a bad place to be poor. Half the city's households make less than $28,000 a year, and 28% of the population lives in poverty.

In the late 1990s, the state's school systems ranked dead last in the nation in the number of computers per student (1 per 88), and Louisiana has the nation's second-highest percentage of adults who never finished high school. By the state's own measure, 47% of the public schools in New Orleans rank as "academically unacceptable."

And Louisiana is the only one of the 50 states where the state legislature doesn't allocate money to pay for the legal defense of indigent defendants. The Associated Press reported this year that it's not unusual for poor people charged with crimes to stay in jail for nine months before getting a lawyer appointed.

These government failures are not merely a matter of incompetence. Louisiana and New Orleans have a long, well-known reputation for corruption: as former congressman Billy Tauzin once put it, "half of Louisiana is under water and the other half is under indictment."

That's putting it mildly. Adjusted for population size, the state ranks third in the number of elected officials convicted of crimes (Mississippi is No. 1). Recent scandals include the conviction of 14 state judges and an FBI raid on the business and personal files of a Louisiana congressman.

In 1991, a notoriously corrupt Democrat named Edwin Edwards ran for governor against Republican David Duke, a former head of the Ku Klux Klan. Edwards, whose winning campaign included bumper stickers saying "Elect the Crook," is currently serving a 10-year prison sentence for taking bribes from casino owners. Duke recently completed his own prison term for tax fraud.

The rot included the New Orleans Police Department, which in the 1990s had the dubious distinction of being the nation's most corrupt police force and the least effective: the city had the highest murder rate in America. More than 50 officers were eventually convicted of crimes including murder, rape and robbery; two are currently on Death Row.

The decision to subject an entire population to poverty, ignorance, injustice and government corruption as a way of life has its ugly moments, as the world is now seeing. New Orleans officials issued an almost cynical evacuation order in a city where they know full well that thousands have no car, no money for airfare or an interstate bus, no credit cards for hotels, and therefore no way to leave town before the deadly storm and flood arrived.

The authorities provided no transportation out of the danger zone, apparently figuring the neglected thousands would somehow weather the storm in their uninsured, low-lying shacks and public housing projects.


It's especially revealing that when the Left realized that making it a racial issue was blowing up in their faces they switched to outrage that the President hadn't basically declared martial law and had troops gun down looters. When San Francisco 1906 is your model government response, you need to stop calling the Republicans fascist.

MORE:
The Mayor Who Failed His City (Ben Johnson, September 6, 2005, FrontPageMagazine.com)

Despite these transparent attempts to claw political advantage from the suffering of the downtrodden – after the National Guard forgeries, Plamegate, and conspiratorial ravings about the Federalist Society won them no traction – a Washington Post poll revealed 55 percent of Americans do not blame President Bush for the debacle in the Big Easy.

Perhaps that is because the American people intuit it is not the federal response that should be monitored but that of New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin, a Democrat and, coincidentally, a black man.

In accordance with the “City of New Orleans Comprehensive Emergency Management Plan” – a blueprint drawn up to deal with emergencies like this one – all “Authority to issue evacuations of elements of the population is vested in the Mayor.” The document specifically states, “The person responsible for recognition of hurricane related preparation needs and for the issuance of an evacuation order is the Mayor of the City of New Orleans.” This outline does not mention any specific federal government’s role in disaster relief, instead carving out roles for state and municipal governments. In fact, as Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld noted this holiday weekend, posse commitatus statutes bar federal officers from working as law enforcement officials.

Charged with so heavy a responsibility, Mayor Nagin punted, then passed the buck. The National Hurricane Center called Nagin Saturday night asking him to evacuate New Orleans, and President Bush also begged him to get his people to safety. As mayor, the final decision was Nagin's. He was expected to issue such an order 48 hours before the storm made landfall; however, the storm touched down and the levees gave way less than 48 hours after his proclamation.

Moreover, he is to see that “Special arrangements will be made to evacuate persons unable to transport themselves or who require specific life saving assistance.” Yet some 205 buses, and perhaps a greater number of large transit vehicles, were left stranded in a flooded parking lot. University of New Orleans professor Shirley Laksa had calculated some 125,000 residents do not have private transportation. As a result of Nagin’s inaction, Katrina’s victims are twice as likely to be poor than the average American. These are the people who had no recourse but to wait for the local government to rescue them; these are the people municipal malfeasance and nonfeasance abandoned to an ill-equipped Superdome.

Magic Marker Strategy (JOHN TIERNEY, 9/06/05, NY Times)
Mr. Bush made a lot of mistakes last week, but most of his critics are making an even bigger one now by obsessing about what he said and did. We can learn more by listening to men like Jim Judkins, particularly when he explains the Magic Marker method of disaster preparedness.

Mr. Judkins is one of the officials in charge of evacuating the Hampton Roads region around Newport News, Va. These coastal communities, unlike New Orleans, are not below sea level, but they're much better prepared for a hurricane. Officials have plans to run school buses and borrow other buses to evacuate those without cars, and they keep registries of the people who need special help.

Instead of relying on a "Good Samaritan" policy - the fantasy in New Orleans that everyone would take care of the neighbors - the Virginia rescue workers go door to door. If people resist the plea to leave, Mr. Judkins told The Daily Press in Newport News, rescue workers give them Magic Markers and ask them to write their Social Security numbers on their body parts so they can be identified.

"It's cold, but it's effective," Mr. Judkins explained.

That simple strategy could have persuaded hundreds of people to save their own lives in New Orleans. What the city needed most was coldly effective local leaders, not a president in Washington who could feel their pain.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:03 PM

GOOD-BYE, HONECKER:

The young Merkel: Idealist's daughter (Judy Dempsey, SEPTEMBER 6, 2005, International Herald Tribune )

Half a century ago, Pastor Horst Kasner made an extraordinary decision: He packed up his young family and his belongings and took them from the democratically governed, West German city of Hamburg to this small town in the Brandenburg countryside, the heart of communist East Germany.

"We were young and idealistic back then," said Kasner, perched high above the pews in the choir of a Protestant church he rebuilt from ruins when the Berlin Wall collapsed in 1989.

It was an almost laconic explanation of how Angela Merkel, Kasner's daughter and the woman who could make history Sept. 18 by becoming Germany's first chancellor from the East, grew up and lived under communism until the Wall fell, when she entered the gritty world of politics.

A slim, tall man looking younger than his 79 years, Kasner sat down for more than two hours last week with a reporter from the International Herald Tribune and offered a fascinating insight into the workings of the communist system in which he struggled to tell the truth - even discussing the dissident writings of the Soviet physicist Andrei Sakharov - and fended off the secret police.

Merkel, who was just three months old when the family moved east, has said little about the effect of living under communism, where, after excelling at school, she became a scientist, eventually working at the prestigious Academy of Science in East Berlin.

Only in recent interviews has she revealed that her parents instilled in her the need to shine at everything if she was to survive a hostile environment suspicious of her father's Christian teachings and, as Kasner revealed, of his gatherings of local intellectuals discussing dissident statements. [...]

People in the Christian Democratic Party who know Merkel well say her experiences as a youth was the reason she has so strongly embraced the market economy and the United States.

While Kasner does not talk about his daughter, it is clear he does not support her beliefs. "I believed as long as I lived that the Wall would last. We had established ourselves here over the years. Over time, it was about adapting and resistance."

When the Wall did fall in 1989, Kasner preferred to have two separate Germanys. "I wanted a democratic East Germany. But the people wanted the deutsche mark. The revolution is now over."

Merkel, now 51, could hardly wait to seize the moment to embrace reunification.

"As far as I have been shaped by politics, I have been shaped by German reunification," she said Sunday night during her television duel with Chancellor Gerhard Schröder. "I am proud to be a politician for all of Germany with East German roots.


Just a tweak here and there and the East would have worked....


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:52 PM

25 TO LIFE:

25 Dems could vote for Roberts (Elana Schor, 9/06/05, The Hill)

Members of the Senate Democrats’ K Street inner circle are predicting that as many as 25 Democrats will vote to confirm John Roberts as chief justice of the United States.

Several attendees of the Monday Group, as Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid’s (D-Nev.) biweekly lobbyist meetings are known, said the Democrats could suffer politically if their Roberts strategy misfires. Left-wing ideological groups are pressuring Democratic lawmakers to expose Roberts’s conservative record without workable grounds for a fight, Monday Group lobbyists said.

“It’s not a good thing for Democrats to be dragged into a visible, high-profile battle on him for weeks when Congress ought to be dealing with issues the public really cares about,” one key Democratic lobbyist said. “That’s the biggest danger for Democrats, if they get sucked into something like that because of the ideological left.”


An easy confirmation process and overwhelming vote for Judge Roberts will make it all the more conspicuous when they use a different standard against the Hispanic or black female nominee to the open spot.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:45 PM

CASTRO'S CUBA HAVING WORKED OUT SO WELL...:

Venezuela: Cowing the private sector (The Economist)

Capitalism, says Mr Chávez, is the root of all evil. Poverty, corruption, the decline in moral values—all are the fault of “savage neo-liberalism” and globalisation. The only hope for the world is a society based on socialist solidarity. Many wonder whether private enterprise—theoretically guaranteed by the 1999 constitution that Mr Chávez himself fathered before he openly embraced socialism—has any place in this Utopian vision. There is even speculation that the president's “Bolivarian revolution”, ever more closely tied to Fidel Castro's Cuba, might take the road towards collectivisation. [...]

Mr Chávez's version of co-management has been greeted coolly by private-business leaders, who say it would prevent them from applying normal market criteria. But many fear that they may have no choice. Firms seeking government assistance of any kind—even those bidding for public contracts—are increasingly being told that only co-operatives or co-managed businesses will be considered. Legislation already in draft envisages a wide range of circumstances under which firms could be obliged to adopt co-management—if they are considered to be “of public utility or social interest”, have ever received government aid, or go bankrupt, for example.

According to Conindustria, Venezuela's industrialists' organisation, around 40% of the country's 11,000 industrial concerns have gone bust since Mr Chávez came to power. He recently threatened to expropriate some 700 idle firms, along with more than 1,000 working below capacity, unless their owners resumed full production. One large company, the paper firm Venepal (now Invepal), was confiscated earlier this year and put back into operation with government money under a co-management scheme. Many state-owned enterprises are now attempting to implement different forms of workers' control, with mixed results. Nowhere, though, has the state relinquished its majority stake.

The government now has a virtual stranglehold on the economy, thanks to state ownership of the oil industry, representing more than a quarter of GDP, and to a variety of recent government measures including exchange controls, price limits and credit regulations. It recently launched four agro-industrial businesses supplying staple products such as milk and maize flour, and its retail-food chain, Mercal, aims to cover 60% of the market.

Private farmers feel pressured from all sides—threatened with expropriation, heavily dependent on credit and subject to regulations that, they complain, force them to sell below cost. “I need a loan for a tractor,” one farmer explains: “But even if I go to a private bank, they demand a ‘productive farm' certificate, which I can only get if the [government] land-reform agency puts me on the agrarian register.” The agency twice “lost” the title documents he submitted to support his application—a common experience, he claims, among those who signed a referendum petition against Mr Chávez.

Venezuela's once pugnacious private sector, which has backed several failed attempts to remove the president, now looks cowed.


And no one but Pat Robertson is serious about helping them.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:42 PM

WHAT DO THE LEAST RESPONSIBLE WANT?:

Voters reject late-night drink laws Peter Riddell and Richard Ford, 9/06/05, Times of London)

THE public is overwhelmingly against government plans to let pubs and clubs open until the early morning, a Populus poll for The Times has found.

Voters oppose the licensing law changes by nearly two to one, with women more strongly opposed than men. But young people — the group most likely to take advantage of later opening hours — favour the proposals and do not believe that they will cause more disorder and binge drinking.


When I was their age I thought the city should replace our hot water tap with a beer line. That's why healthy societies are run by grownups.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:46 PM

PRESUMABLY THEY'RE READY WITH THE NEXT JUSTICE TOO:

Bush Had Considered Roberts As US Chief Justice (Mark H. Anderson, 9/05/05, DOW JONES NEWSWIRES)

U.S. President George W. Bush's decision Monday to quickly resubmit the nomination of Judge John Roberts Jr. to be Chief Justice of the United States was a plan the White House had already considered should the cancer-stricken Chief Justice William Rehnquist retire or die.

"This had been something in the back of the President's mind in case such a scenario came into being, if the Chief Justice had retired," White House spokesman Scott McClellan said. "The president when he met with (Roberts) knew he was a natural-born leader....The president viewed him as someone who had the leadership qualities needed to be able to lead the court." [...]

Roberts was already on track to be confirmed by the Senate, with some experts predicting he would get 75 or more votes despite opposition from numerous liberal interest groups.

Legal analysts also said Bush's decision to resubmit Roberts for the top high court job will likely result in a seamless transition of leadership at the Supreme Court. However, it's possible the Supreme Court will operate with only eight members while O'Connor's replacement is confirmed, should she decide to go ahead and retire.

"The speed with which the president acted this morning suggests that Roberts was at the top of the White House's list all along for the mistakenly anticipated resignation of the Chief Justice this summer," said Tom Goldstein of the Washington law firm Goldstein & Howe. "Recent developments - in which there has been some inevitable opposition but no serious threat to the confirmation has emerged - likely only solidified the president's views of the matter."

Mark Levy, a Washington attorney with Kilpatrick Stockton LLP, said Roberts " would have less trouble and arouse less controversy than others that could be named."

Rehnquist died three days before the scheduled start of the Senate Judiciary Committee's confirmation hearings for Roberts. Those hearings are certainly to be at least temporarily delayed. But the White House and Senate Republican leaders still want Roberts confirmed by the Senate before the Supreme Court convenes Oct. 3 for its next term.

"I still expect Judge Roberts to be confirmed before the Supreme Court starts its new term on Oct. 3," Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist, R-Tenn., said, adding "the president has made an excellent choice; Mr. Roberts is one of the most well qualified candidates to come before the Senate."


Posted by Peter Burnet at 1:01 PM

MAN–THE NATURALLY COOPERATIVE ANIMAL

When the Moral Levee Breaks (Lee Harris, Tech Central Station, September 1st, 2005)

He was perhaps twenty or twenty-one at the most, but you could tell by looking at him that the footage of the looters had genuinely outraged and perplexed him. When he saw people carting out an endless stream of stereos and TV's and assorted groceries from the businesses that they had broken into, he kept saying, with obvious disdain: "Will you look at that? It's unbelievable!" Then he would glance around at his co-worker and at me, as if asking us to vocalize our support for his moral indignation. His co-worker co-operated, but I did not. I just kept eating my submarine sandwich, and kept my thoughts to myself.

I kept quiet because, for the last couple of days, I had been reading a book about the Sandwich Islands, now known as Hawaii, and what Captain Cook, the great English explorer, had observed about its people, and, indeed, about all the various peoples that he had discovered tucked away on their paradise islands in the middle of the nowhere called the South Pacific.

They were all thieves.

Cook was enough of a multiculturalist not to take great moral umbrage at the thieving ways of the savages of paradise. His attitude, after landing on several thieving islands, became: "Oh well, what can you expect?"

Of course, he could not tolerate the theft of certain objects, like the ship's sextant, but he was quite willing to turn a blind eye on lesser offenses committed by the native islanders. After all, what was to keep the natives from taking other people's things? Hadn't other people already been prompt enough to take theirs?

Adam Smith, who wrote The Wealth of Nations before Cook's voyages, made an immense to-do about the natural human "tendency to truck, barter, and exchange one good for another." But Smith unfortunately did not address the question of humankind's even more natural tendency to pilfer, rip off, and steal other people's stuff. After all, in the Scotland of his time, people behaved themselves: the Calvinist clergy made sure of that.

Yet Smith's failure to take humankind's primordial instinct for theft was not unique; on the contrary, all political theorists of the modern era, from Rand to Rawls to Nozick have implicitly assumed that we are living in a world in which acts of theft are simply unthinkable -- an unspeakable No No that protects our civilization in the same way that the levees around New Orleans were once considered to have protected its population from inundation.
Alas, none of these modern political theorists ever thought to ask themselves the question, "How did it come about that the societies of the West were provided with a moral levee against the flood of self-interested and non-altruistic individualists?"

The young man at the sandwich shop had been so well brought up that he was no longer able to sympathize with the motives of human beings who were behaving in precisely the same way that all human beings always behave when they are struggling for survival in the state of nature. He was indignant at the thief who inhabits the id inside of every one of us. He was livid at evidence of other people's humanity.

What cries out for an explanation is not the looting, but the outrage of those who can't understand how human beings can sink so low. The looters are the children of nature -- but whose children are those who have been taught to despise them?

Many are comparing the behaviour of New Yorkers after 9/11 to the situation in New Orleans and asking why the difference. The answer starts from realizing that New Yorkers behaved unnaturally.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:40 AM

CLEARING THE DECKS FOR '08:

McCain and taxes (Robert Novak, September 5, 2005, Townhall)

Sen. John McCain will take a small step this week toward making peace with the Republican Party on the tax issue. He plans to vote for cloture to block a filibuster on the House-passed bill repealing the estate tax. McCain is certainly no convert to this staple of Republican orthodoxy, but at least he is not standing athwart his party's progress on an issue that its members consider vital.

McCain is not merely voting for cloture to enable an up-or-down vote on the estate tax. He is ready to support a significant scaling down of what Republican regulars call the "death tax" that is being crafted by his conservative colleague from Arizona, Sen. Jon Kyl. While McCain's rhetoric against the very rich passing on their wealth still sounds Democratic, his vote this week will be Republican. [...]

He is the most broadly popular possible Republican candidate, whom Democrats despair of opposing and admit would demolish Hillary Clinton in a general election.


The most effective use of his time right now would be working on the first draft of his Inaugural Address.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:33 AM

THANKS, ARIEL:

Israeli Pullout Creates Political Opportunity: Shift of Gaza Land and Assets to Palestinians Sharpens Hamas-Fatah Rivalry (Scott Wilson, September 5, 2005, Washington Post)

Israel's withdrawal from Gaza has changed the terms of political debate leading up to important Palestinian parliamentary elections scheduled for Jan. 25 and sharpened the rivalry between Hamas and Fatah, a secular nationalist movement. In the process, the land, water wells and other assets left behind are presenting the two parties with opportunities for political gain, as the campaign quickens for the right to govern what has become the proving ground for a future Palestinian state.

In withdrawing from the settlements, Israel is leaving 20 percent of Gaza's land. According to Palestinian Planning Ministry documents, much of it includes important water resources and environmentally sensitive areas, such as the marshlands of the Gaza Valley. Palestinian officials have sketched out plans for the area, but said details will have to wait until they get their first look at the land this month.

The settlement areas in the far north and south sit above aquifers, which planning documents say could be used to turn the regions into agricultural zones. An agricultural research center with links to a Palestinian university is envisioned for the southern settlement of Morag.

The central settlement of Netzarim will become part of the urban area of Gaza City and serve as part of the project to rehabilitate the city's seaport. The Erez industrial park in the north will be developed. But the smaller industrial area outside Neve Dekalim in the south will be dismantled, according to planning documents.

During the Israeli evacuation, Palestinian officials made a quixotic attempt to impose order on the celebrations unfolding in the streets, permitting only the Palestinian national flag to be displayed at public rallies. But the flags along median strips are increasingly outnumbered by party banners, militant slogans and triumphant graffiti.

Most of the displays are the trademark green of Hamas, including a pair of banners dangling outside the home of Abu Akram Bahar, located along a street of sand in Gaza City, about seven miles north of here.

"We do consider the Israeli withdrawal as an achievement of the steadfastness of all Palestinians," said Bahar, 56, a senior Hamas official with a tidy gray beard and a voice so soft the whirr of a ceiling fan washes it out. "In any event, there are elections coming up. The ballots will decide."


Consider that last sentiment and ponder what the Bush/Sharon team has achieved.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:27 AM

GREAT NEW ATMOSPHERICS, SAME BAD POLICIES:

Putting the Big Sky In a Populist Frame: Montana's Rookie Democratic Governor Shows Party What It Takes in Red State (Blaine Harden, September 5, 2005, Washington Post)

The Democratic governor of this red state was discussing his "God-given" political gifts while seated in his gubernatorial aircraft.

"You know, if John Kerry could do what I do, he'd be president," said Gov. Brian Schweitzer, who was a mint farmer until last November and is now being talked about as the kind of brassy populist the Democrats need to win back the White House. [...]

"Be likable, be self-deprecating, don't be a know-it-all using a lot of big words," said Schweitzer, 50, who mixes plain speaking with ranch dressing: blue jeans, a bolo tie, cowboy boots and, always somewhere nearby, a border collie named Jag.

"In politics, it doesn't matter what the facts are," he said. "It matters what the perceptions are. It is the way you frame it."

In Montana, he continued, the best way to frame an issue is to get horses and guns into the picture. Schweitzer arrived at this epiphany, he said, after getting beaten in 2000 in a race against Sen. Conrad Burns (R-Mont.).

That was Schweitzer's first go at elective politics and, in the wound-licking that followed, he found that men in Montana were 11 percent less likely to vote for him than were women. For his gubernatorial campaign, Schweitzer hired focus groups to find out why.

He learned that a significant percentage of Montana men are mule-headed, unwilling to change their minds on issues, even when presented with information showing that their views are not supported by facts.

"So, I started doing my ads while I was sitting on a horse or holding a gun," Schweitzer said. "I spoke to men visually and showed them I am like them. Hell, I can be on a horse and talk about health care.

"Ninety percent of them don't ride horses and many of them don't shoot a gun, but my ads said visually that I understand Montana. My gender gap disappeared. I think I have just summed up why Democrats lose elections."

Schweitzer had something else to add about Kerry, who had visited him here in Montana just the week before.

"When he goes out to meet people, he doesn't come off real," Schweitzer said. "It is like you can see the price tag on the barrel," he said of television appearances Kerry made last year with a shotgun in his hand. [...]

Schweitzer playfully plays down ambitions outside Montana: "I am just a Montana farmer. I don't know if what I say or do is exportable. It is a long way from Little League to playing for the Yankees."

What he has on his plate in this red state is hard enough for a Democrat, he said. When his plane landed in Dillon, he had a chance to demonstrate -- at a meeting with Beaverhead County commissioners about roads on federal land.

Bush, in overturning a Clinton-era order that made almost 60 million acres of national forest off-limits to road-building, has asked governors to identify areas where roads should not be built. The commissioners in Beaverhead County, where beef rules and resentment of Washington runs high, are eager to open up vast stretches of roadless federal land.

Gingerly, Schweitzer explained why that might not work. First, he said, the Bush administration has no money to maintain the roads it has already built, let alone build new ones. Second -- and this was the tricky part in a room full of Republican ranchers -- Schweitzer said that Montana was no longer a state dominated by ranchers, miners and timber companies.

He never once uttered the word "environmentalism" -- the closest he came to that was mentioning the need to protect land for "huntin' and fishin.' " Nor did he unleash statistics about how retirement and investment income from newcomers has come to dominate the state economy.

"I'm an aggie," said Schweitzer, who has a master's degree in soil science from Montana State University and who worked in Saudi Arabia for seven years helping the royal family build a dairy farm. "Agriculture will continue to be a large part of who we are in Montana. But growth depends on access to public land and quality of life."

Back on the gubernatorial airplane, Schweitzer noted that he had explained the new facts of life in Montana "without scaring anybody."

"Look, if I stand in front of voters and tell them, 'Everything you thought you knew about Montana's economy is wrong,' then who in the hell is going to vote for someone like that?" he said.

"Didn't we learn anything from Al Gore?"


Pretend you're masculine but concede to the GOP on the issues is hardly a formula for success generally.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:15 AM

HAIL, TO THE CHIEF!:

Bush Nominates Roberts as Chief Justice (Fred Barbash, September 5, 2005, Washington Post)

President Bush announced this morning that he will nominate John G. Roberts as Chief Justice of the United States.

The move, which was surprising primarily in its speed, avoids a prolonged public vetting of an entirely new nominee for the Chief Justice's job. While liberal organizations have stated their opposition to Roberts' appointment as an associate justice, there was little doubt that he was going to be confirmed for that position, barring any startling revelations.

It was not immediately clear whether the Senate Judiciary Committee would go ahead with confirmation hearings scheduled for this week, simply changing the job title, or whether Senators would now want some more time under the new circumstances.

"For the past two months members of the United States Senate and the American people have learned about the career and character of Judge Roberts," Bush said. "They like what they see. . . .

"The Senate is well along in the process of finding Judge Roberts qualified," Bush said. 'They know his record and his fidelity to the law. . . . I am confident that the Senate can complete hearings and confirm him as chief justice within a month. "

Bush made the announcement in an 8 a.m. EDT Labor Day television appearance from the Oval Office.


That's how Mr. Rehnquist would have wanted it.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:40 AM

NO WONDER THE SCOTS USED TO BE SO SMART:

Breakfast choice affects learning for rest of the day: Kids who have the whole grains in the morning do better on tests than those who eat sugary cereals, a new study finds. (Sally Squires, September 5, 2005, LA Times)

Want to give your children a head start in school this year? If you normally serve them cold cereal for breakfast, instead consider serving them oatmeal. [...]

So what gives oatmeal its punch? The researchers suggest that the mixture of protein, fiber and complex carbohydrates may account for the differences in test performance. "Oatmeal may provide a slower and more sustained energy source and consequently result in cognitive enhancement compared to low-fiber, high-glycemic, ready-to-eat cereal," the team concluded, noting that the results suggest "the importance of what children consume for breakfast before school."

The findings "reinforce the recent move toward whole grains," said Holly A. Taylor, professor of psychology at Tufts University and a coauthor of the study. "Since the brain uses glucose, and the source of glucose is diet, having a sustained-release food for breakfast is going to have beneficial effects on memory and attention."

Here are other benefits and tips for eating a healthy breakfast:

• Not just for the young. A University of Toronto study of 22 healthy men and women, ages 61 to 79, published in the American Journal of Clinical Nutrition in 2001 found that breakfast improved memory. And researchers at the University of Wales, Swansea, have reported that adults who ate a breakfast of low-glycemic foods such as whole-grain unsweetened cereal, bread or eggs performed better on memory tests in the morning than they did after eating sugary, high-glycemic fare such as sweetened cereals or doughnuts.

• Think outside the cereal box. Cheese, whole-grain crackers and fruit provide a good breakfast. So do smoothies made with nonfat yogurt and fruit. Or slather peanut butter on a slice of whole-grain bread, top with banana slices and drink a glass of skim milk or low-fat soy milk for a nutritionally complete breakfast.

• Eat breakfast to keep your waistline whittled. Breakfast doesn't necessarily help with weight loss, but it appears to be important for long-term weight maintenance. Successful losers — members of the National Weight Control Registry — report that breakfast is a meal they rarely miss. (The registry has several thousand registrants, who, on the average, have lost about 60 pounds and kept it off for roughly five years.) Researchers say eating breakfast may help control appetite for the day.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:15 AM

WHO GETS TO OVERSEE THE DECLINE?

German leaders in crunch TV duel (BBC, 9/05/05)

During the only televised head-to-head debate in the run-up to the election, the chancellor said his foreign policy had "positioned Germany abroad as a middle-sized power for peace".

He also called on German voters to trust his economic policies, which he said were "aimed at readjusting the social security systems neglected in the 90s".

But Mrs Merkel, who appeared more combative than expected, argued that Mr Schroeder's controversial reforms had been hampered by his own party, the Social Democrats (SPD).

"Germany can only be a strong, reliable party in the world if we are also economically strong, and that is where we are lacking," she said.

"And, unlike the chancellor, I can be sure with my party colleagues that we will support this course of modernisation together."

Mrs Merkel said the country needed bold steps to revive the country's struggling economy, after seven years of failed leadership.

"You can't be satisfied with the situation in our country," she said. "We have five million unemployed people. It's not like the sun rises and more and more jobs appear.

"No, no, Mr Schroeder. And if you don't have an answer to this question - then nothing will happen. But nothing will happen with this government anyway because you won't get another chance."


As Brother Cohen is fond of pointing out, reducing Germany to a "middle-sized power for peace". represents a triumph of American strategy, after we foolishly intervened in three intra-European wars.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:09 AM

FEDERALISM WORKS AS WELL AS A GIVEN STATE DOES:

Top federal officials left out of loop (Audrey Hudson, September 5, 2005, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

State and local officials did not inform top federal officials early on of the deaths and lack of food among hurricane victims in the Superdome or convention center, Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff said yesterday.

Mr. Chertoff said neither he nor Federal Emergency Management Agency chief Michael Brown was told of the deteriorating situation in New Orleans until Thursday night.

"This is clearly something that was disturbing. It was disturbing to me when I learned about it, which came as a surprise. You know, the very day that this emerged in the press, I was on a video conference with all the officials, including state and local officials. And nobody, none of the state and local officials or anybody else was talking about a convention center," Mr. Chertoff told CNN.

"The original plan, as I understand it, was to have the Superdome be the place of refuge, of last resort. Apparently, sometime on Wednesday, people started to go to the convention center spontaneously," he said.

Mr. Chertoff also said he was not informed until hours after the levee burst Monday night that a second wave of water had drowned the city.

"It was midday Tuesday that I became aware of the fact that there was no possibility of plugging the gap and that essentially the lake was going to drain into the city," Mr. Chertoff told NBC's "Meet the Press."

New Orleans had no Rudy Giuliani.


September 4, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:58 PM

PIPE MAN:

A Passion for the Pipes (Brendan Cooney, 9/04/05, Valley News)

South Royalton -- People use their basements for all kinds of things, but few use them as productively as Michael Mac Harg of South Royalton.

Mac Harg says he has made about 30,000 bagpipe bags over the past 30 years, laboring away in two cramped rooms neatly lined with tools, slabs of cow leather and pieces of African blackwood. The floor is slick with shavings and dust from the wood he lathes and bores into pipes.

The first 15,000 bags he sewed by hand, before he started machine-sewing them and riveting the cowhide pieces together.

Mac Harg once made seven bags in a day, he said. He worked so hard that it took a toll on his body. “It wrecked my hands and shoulders,” he said. “I had shoulder surgery.”

Mac Harg also crafts the pipes that attach to the bags, although the complete instrument takes a bit longer to make. Eighty hours, that is, “if nothing goes wrong. And something always goes wrong, because you're working with natural materials, and there's always defects (in the wood) -- knots, cracks, splits.”

Through his company, The Wee Piper, Mac Harg has sold bags and bagpipes to people all over the world, from a 6-year-old girl in New Hampshire to bagpipe players in Japan and South Africa.

Of the world's 110 kinds of bagpipes known to Mac Harg, he makes 30. Prices range from $450 to $6,000. He said he makes about 24 a year, although he declined to talk about his revenues.

While there are a couple dozen other bagpipe-makers in the United States, no one makes such a wide range of bagpipes, he said. “There isn't another company in the world that does what I do,” he said.


Of course, South Royalton's main claim to fame is that it's the "only town in America with a Law School but without a traffic light" and it also happens to be where I met The Wife.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:33 PM

CAN THE GAMBLE WORK?:

LDP leading in polls with a week to go: Single-party majority possible, but 36% of voters are still undecided (Japan Times, 9/05/05)

The ruling Liberal Democratic Party is likely to win a majority Sept. 11, while the Democratic Party of Japan may not end up with the 175 seats it held when the House of Representatives was dissolved, a Kyodo News survey shows.

The findings, which indicate the LDP could secure 241 seats, apparently reflect a general feeling among voters that Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi was correct in calling the election over the single issue of postal privatization.

Such an outcome, however, is still anything but certain, as the DPJ appears strong in certain districts outside the large cities, unlike in previous elections, while about 36 percent of voters have yet to decide which party or candidates to vote for.


If Mr. Koizumi actually manages to set Japan on a Third Way path it would be a historic achievement, though just setting out is no guarantee you'll get there and we remain dubious enough of his countrymen will even be willing to begin the trek.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 8:12 PM

98 & 44/100% PRIMATE

Humanity redefined (Deborah Smith, Sydney Morning Herald, September 1st, 2005)

Since Darwin claimed more than a century ago that humans were descended from apes, we have been searching for what makes our species unique. And, until now, chimpanzees have been confounding us all the way.

At first it was assumed humans were the only animals to use tools. But then it was discovered that some chimps poke twigs into termite mounds to get food while others use rocks to crack hard nuts. The more inventive ones put bark on their feet like shoes to protect themselves from sharp needles on trees.

Language became our defining feature, until some apes mastered American Sign Language.

Even eating meat was considered for a time to be a uniquely human habit among primates, until researchers went out and watched our chimp cousins closely in the wild, says Dr Frans de Waal, of the Yerkes National Primate Research Centre in Atlanta. "Chimpanzees were observed to catch colobus monkeys, tear them apart and eat them alive."

It was another theory down the drain, and yet another challenge to the way we view ourselves, says de Waal, one of several international experts on chimpanzees whose research reviews are published today by the journals Nature and Science to coincide with the completed draft of the chimpanzee genetic code.

"Humanity's special place in the cosmos is one of abandoned claims and moving goalposts," says de Waal.

These hairy relatives also have an eerie sense of self-awareness, says Professor Marc Hauser, of the mind, brain and behaviour program at Harvard University. "When a chimp looks back at you, your soul has been penetrated. You feel as though your inquisitiveness has been volleyed back, no words or actions exchanged."

It is not just the civilised aspects of life we share with our closest living relatives, he adds. Like us, chimps also fight and kill their own kind. "Watching such kills is chilling. It is too close for comfort."

This chimp taste for blood has not only provoked soul-searching about the origins of human aggression, but it has also revealed that these primates have a basic mathematical ability, Hauser says. Like young children, they have an innate appreciation of the relative size of numbers. When a party of three or four male chimps travelling through the forest comes across a lone individual from a neighbouring community they kill it. Conversely, if the call of a foreign male is played over a loudspeaker, groups of fewer than three males remain silent while groups of three or more call back and prepare to attack.

"The ratio is meaningful, representing the minimum number of males necessary to hold and kill an intruder," says Hauser.

Rhesus monkeys - and presumably chimps - also know that one plus one equals two. A chimp named Ai was even able to learn how to match the first nine digits to the right number of objects. Unlike children, however, he never spontaneously realised that a new digit referred to a new amount.

Chimps, like humans, also engage in "Machiavellian power politics" within their own group, and after an internal conflict they often "reunite with a kiss and embrace", according to de Waal.

They appear to trade commodities and services including sex, food and grooming, repaying a good act by sharing food, or punishing those who have not supported them.

Given this wealth of behavioural similarities, it came as no great surprise, when the age of genetic research dawned, that chimp DNA seemed very similar to our own.

The American scientist Jared Diamond was the first, in 1991, to call for humans and chimpanzees to be regarded as one group, dubbing us the third chimpanzee, on the basis of this genetic closeness.

No doubt we should be thankful that Professor Diamond and his colleagues aren’t using our 90% genetic identity with mice to lobby for our reclassification as the ninth rodent. One marvels at the skill with which Ms Smith weaves the rudest, most instinctive and mundane characteristics of everyday chimp life into a tapestry of putative sophistication that hints they are on the verge of giving the Renaissance a run for its money. Contrary to what is implied throughout here, pre-Age of Reason man recognized not only a biological connection to animals, but also an emotional and even spiritual one, as is attested to in countless myths, fables, legends and histories. The difference is that, while their purpose was clearly to ennoble the animals, the goal of most modern zoologists and anthropologists is to debase man.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 7:00 PM

ALL THE BILE THAT’S FIT TO SPEW

The United States of shame (Maureen Dowd, New York Times, September 5th, 2005)

America is once more plunged into a snake pit of anarchy, death, looting, raping, marauding thugs, suffering innocents, a shattered infrastructure, a gutted police force, insufficient troop levels and criminally negligent government planning. But this time it's happening in America.

President George W. Bush drove his budget-cutting Chevy to the levee, and it wasn't dry. Bye, bye, American lives. "I don't think anyone anticipated the breach of the levees," he told Diane Sawyer.

Shirt-sleeves rolled up, W. finally landed in Hell on Friday and chuckled about his wild boozing days in "the great city" of N'Awlins. He was clearly moved. "You know, I'm going to fly out of here in a minute," he said on the runway at the New Orleans International Airport, "but I want you to know that I'm not going to forget what I've seen." Out of the cameras' range, and avoided by W., was a convoy of thousands of sick and dying people. [...]

It would be one thing if Bush and his inner circle - Dick Cheney was vacationing in Wyoming; Condi Rice was shoe shopping at Ferragamo's on Fifth Avenue and attended the Broadway musical "Spamalot" before bloggers chased her back to Washington; and Andy Card was off in Maine - lacked empathy but could get the job done. But it is a chilling lack of empathy combined with a stunning lack of efficiency that could make this administration implode.

When the president and vice president rashly shook off America's allies and America's respect for international law to pursue a war built on lies, when they sanctioned torture, they shook the faith of the world in American ideals.

When they were deaf for so long to the horrific misery and cries for help of the victims in New Orleans - most of them poor and black, like those stuck at the back of the evacuation line Friday while 700 guests and employees of the Hyatt Hotel were bused out first - they shook the faith of all Americans in American ideals. And made us ashamed.

Think it couldn’t get any trashier than that? Sure it could:

More: Falluja floods the Superdome (Frank Rich, New York Times, September 5th, 2005)

As the levees cracked open and ushered hell into New Orleans on Tuesday, President George W. Bush once again chose to fly away from Washington, not toward it, while disaster struck. We can all enumerate the many differences between a natural catastrophe and a terrorist attack. But character doesn't change: It is immutable, and it is destiny.

As always, the president's first priority, the one that sped him from Crawford toward California, was saving himself: He had to combat the flood of record-low poll numbers that was as uncontrollable as the surging of Lake Pontchartrain. It was time, therefore, for another disingenuous pep talk, in which he would exploit the cataclysm that defined his first term, 9/11, even at the price of failing to recognize the emerging fiasco likely to engulf Term2.

After dispatching Katrina with a few sentences of sanctimonious boilerplate ("our hearts and prayers are with our fellow citizens"), he turned to his more important task. The war in Iraq is World War II. George W. Bush is FDR. And anyone who refuses to stay his course is soft on terrorism and guilty of a pre-9/11 "mind-set of isolation and retreat." [...]

But a president who flew from Crawford to Washington in a heartbeat to intervene in the medical case of a single patient, Terri Schiavo, has no business lecturing anyone about playing politics with tragedy. Eventually we're going to have to examine the administration's behavior before, during and after this storm as closely as its history before, during and after 9/11. We're going to have to ask if troops and materiel of all kinds could have arrived faster without the drain of national resources into a quagmire. We're going to have to ask why it took almost two days of people being without food, shelter and water for Bush to get back to Washington.

Most of all, we're going to have to face the reality that with this disaster, the administration has again increased America's vulnerability to the terrorists it was supposed to be fighting after 9/11. As Richard Clarke, the former counterterrorism czar, pointed out to The Washington Post last week in talking about the fallout from the war in Iraq, there have been twice as many terrorist attacks outside Iraq in the three years after 9/11 than in the three years before. Now, thanks to Bush's variously incompetent, diffident and hubristic mismanagement of the attack by Katrina, he has sent the entire world a simple and unambiguous message: Whatever the explanation, the United States is unable to fight its current war and protect homeland security at the same time.

And more: Sanity submerged (The Australian, September 5th, 2005)

Almost as distressing as the scenes from New Orleans have been the attempts by some on the Left to exploit them in the culture wars. Those who parade themselves as compassionate souls exhibit a curious heartlessness in their rush to use a natural and humanitarian disaster as a pretext for bashing the US and President George W. Bush. According to an editorial in The Sunday Age, the frightening reality revealed by Hurricane Katrina "is that America has been humiliated by its inability to prevent, or then deal effectively with, a natural disaster in its own backyard; and, worse and more important in the long term, that the world's richest nation has been exposed, in a most brutal way, as a society still divided by race and possessing an underclass". How can any country be "humiliated" by its failure to prevent a hurricane? If the spurious answer is climate change, does anybody seriously believe that if Mr Bush had signed the Kyoto treaty upon assuming office in 2001, Katrina would not have happened?

As for the suggestion the disaster has revealed faultlines of race and class in the US we didn't know were there: first, we did know they were there; and second, they are not so deep or intractable as to prevent the US being a magnet for immigrants of all races and classes. The fact most of the refugees we see on television are black has a lot to do with the fact that most of New Orleans's inhabitants are black. Those who are cynically suggesting race might be a factor in the delayed relief effort would instantly cry foul if their opponents replied that race might also be a factor in the looting and violence. And the notion that the shortage of immediate help on the ground was "all about Iraq" is beneath serious consideration. We know the same claims would not have been forthcoming if Katrina had happened on the watch of former president Bill Clinton, who also committed US troops to conflicts overseas. Such ridiculous claims only deepen the discredit of those who make them and deflect attention from the genuine mistakes of the past week, and the practical lessons they hold.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:32 PM

NOW THAT IRAQ IS DONE...:

Rice Will Try to Rally Allies Vs. Syria (BARRY SCHWEID, September 2, 2005, The Associated Press)

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice will try to rally support when she hosts a meeting of European and Middle Eastern leaders at the special session of the U.N. General Assembly in New York in two weeks, two senior U.S. officials said Friday. [...]

It is a worldwide strategy being promoted in other capitals as well as by American diplomats, one of the officials said. And, he said, it ranges beyond defending Lebanon's rights.

Building on support for U.S. policy on Lebanon, the United States wants to move further and pressure Syria to clamp down on groups the State Department brands as terrorists and also to end Syrian help for insurgents in Iraq.


And if the Ba'athist regime ends up being collateral damage, there's no downside to that.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:19 PM

WHO WILL SPEAK FOR THE 20%?

Red-State Democrats Tilt to Yes on Roberts (Jim VandeHei, September 4, 2005, Washington Post)

Sen. Kent Conrad, a Democrat from North Dakota, sounds like a swooning Republican when he talks about Supreme Court nominee John G. Roberts Jr.

"I am impressed with his demeanor, his intelligence, his sense of humor, his modesty," said Conrad. "Absent some bombshell, which I don't expect, I think he will be confirmed and quite handily."

Praise like this is bad news for the nearly 30 liberal special interest groups calling on Democrats to block Roberts's rise to the Supreme Court. But it is good politics for Democrats such as Conrad who are running for reelection in states that President Bush won, according to several senators and strategists.

With the confirmation hearings expected to focus extensively on Roberts's views on abortion, affirmative action and other social issues, a number of Democrats say it would be unwise politically for Conrad and the five other red-state senators to side with liberal groups such as People for the American Way and NARAL Pro-Choice America. [...][

Nearly six in 10 Americans -- 57 percent -- say the Senate should confirm Roberts to the high court while 22 percent say it should not, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll. That's virtually identical to the results of a Post-ABC poll taken immediately after Bush nominated him five weeks ago, suggesting the drumbeat of criticism from liberal groups has had little effect.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:26 PM

PUNCHY:

Mary Landrieu: I'll Punch Bush, 'Literally' (NewsMax.com, Sept. 4, 2005)

Sen. Mary Landrieu threatened the president of the United States with physical violence on Sunday, saying that if he or any other government official criticizes New Orleans police for failing to keep civil order in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina - "I might likely have to punch him - literally."

"If one person criticizes [our sheriffs], or says one more thing, including the president of the United States, he will hear from me - one more word about it after this show airs and I - I might likely have to punch him - literally," Landrieu railed on "ABC's "This Week."


Of course, she and her family helped make LA and N.O. the places they are.

Of course, the current mayor completely eschews responsibility for anything that's occurred, General roars into action in New Orleans (Associated Press, 9/04/05)

When the cavalry finally arrived in New Orleans to help the survivors of Hurricane Katrina, a cigar-chomping three-star general led the way.

That was Lt. Gen. Russel Honore, commander of the 1st Army, based at Fort Gillem in Atlanta. Normally he oversees training for all deploying troops on the East Coast.

For the time being, the Louisiana native is the man in charge on the front line in New Orleans. He is also coordinating military relief efforts for all storm-ravaged areas along the Gulf Coast.

Honore is winning over even some of the government's harshest critics, including New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin, who blasted the Bush administration's initial response to his city's disaster.

"He came off the doggone chopper, and he started cussing, and people started moving," Nagin told a radio station. "I give the president some credit on this. He sent one John Wayne dude down here that can get some stuff done."


It'd be nice if Mr. Nagin deserved any credit for getting some stuff done.


MORE:
Many Evacuated, but Thousands Still Waiting (Manuel Roig-Franzia and Spencer Hsu, 9/04/05, Washington Post)

Behind the scenes, a power struggle emerged, as federal officials tried to wrest authority from Louisiana Gov. Kathleen Babineaux Blanco (D). Shortly before midnight Friday, the Bush administration sent her a proposed legal memorandum asking her to request a federal takeover of the evacuation of New Orleans, a source within the state's emergency operations center said Saturday.

The administration sought unified control over all local police and state National Guard units reporting to the governor. Louisiana officials rejected the request after talks throughout the night, concerned that such a move would be comparable to a federal declaration of martial law. Some officials in the state suspected a political motive behind the request. "Quite frankly, if they'd been able to pull off taking it away from the locals, they then could have blamed everything on the locals," said the source, who does not have the authority to speak publicly.

A senior administration official said that Bush has clear legal authority to federalize National Guard units to quell civil disturbances under the Insurrection Act and will continue to try to unify the chains of command that are split among the president, the Louisiana governor and the New Orleans mayor.

Louisiana did not reach out to a multi-state mutual aid compact for assistance until Wednesday, three state and federal officials said. As of Saturday, Blanco still had not declared a state of emergency, the senior Bush official said.

"The federal government stands ready to work with state and local officials to secure New Orleans and the state of Louisiana," White House spokesman Dan Bartlett said. "The president will not let any form of bureaucracy get in the way of protecting the citizens of Louisiana."

Blanco made two moves Saturday that protected her independence from the federal government: She created a philanthropic fund for the state's victims and hired James Lee Witt, Federal Emergency Management Agency director in the Clinton administration, to advise her on the relief effort.

Bush, who has been criticized, even by supporters, for the delayed response to the disaster, used his weekly radio address to put responsibility for the failure on lower levels of government. The magnitude of the crisis "has created tremendous problems that have strained state and local capabilities," he said. "The result is that many of our citizens simply are not getting the help they need, especially in New Orleans. And that is unacceptable."

In a Washington briefing, Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff said one reason federal assets were not used more quickly was "because our constitutional system really places the primary authority in each state with the governor."


She wants to keep responsibility so she won't be blamed? How's that work?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:54 AM

IF ONLY THEY WERE THAT COMPETENT:

Film 'a CIA plot' (Agence France-Presse, September 05, 2005

ZIMBABWE said a recent Hollywood film starring Nicole Kidman was a "CIA-sponsored" campaign targeting President Robert Mugabe and vowed to fight the "cultural and psychological" onslaught on Harare.
Acting Information Minister Chen Chimutengwende told AFP that the film The Interpreter about an octogenarian African leader who plans to address the United Nations General Assembly to ward off indictment by the International Criminal Court, was a thinly-disguised swipe at Mugabe.

Directed by Hollywood veteran Sydney Pollack, the film stars Sean Penn and Kidman - a UN translator from the fictional African nation of Matobo - whose life turns topsy-turvy after she unwittingly learns of a plot to assassinate the country's hated leader before he addresses the UN.


She doesn't actually try to stop the assassination does she?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:12 AM

UNITARY AND UNIVERSALIST:

Evangelical History: a review of David Hempton’s Methodism: Empire of the Spirit (Jennifer Snead, n + 1)

The turn of the millennium may not have brought on the Apocalypse, or a Y2K global computer crash. But the first five years of the 21st century have witnessed what, to many of us, seems equivalent: an apparently sudden preponderance of evangelical Christianity in startling places. Evangelicals are everywhere: on the fifteenth floor of the Empire State Building (as the New Yorker reported just a few weeks ago of the evangelical King’s College); joining forces with the likes of Rabbi Eckstein (according to the New York Times Magazine); trying to run ads for a controversial new Bible translation in venues like Rolling Stone (which refused) and the Onion (which did not); meriting the cover shot and an entire photo essay in a February issue of Time. And so many of them seem to be in influential positions: the Time essay, titled “The 25 Most Influential Evangelicals in America,” features glossy shots of a host of believers whose footsteps echo through the halls of Capitol Hill and the White House: the Grahams, father and son; the LaHayes; Michael Gerson; Rick Warren; Rick Santorum.

Stories of Democrats courting allies like Jim Wallis (founder and editor of the Christian magazine Sojourners) circulated widely in the months leading up to the second inauguration of George W. Bush; the aforementioned Time also ran a picture of Hillary Clinton gazing skyward like a raptured Saint Catherine alongside a story about the Democratic party’s quest for a more soulful identity. Evangelical ideology appears to be making its influence known in areas as diverse as environmental policy (as Bill Moyers wrote in the New York Review of Books recently), American approaches toward combating HIV/AIDS in Africa, the current administration’s self-described “crusade” against Islamic extremists, and, most visibly, in the halls of the White House, where our President is an avowed born-again Methodist, saved from his earlier godless tendencies, who surrounds himself with religious advisors who support his conviction of his own rectitude.

Poor Thomas Jefferson. It hasn’t been the best decade for his spotless liberal sainthood in terms of slavery, or presidential conduct, or behavior toward his political opponents. He was also, or so the recent political climate seems to prove, wrong about Americans and religion. A supporter of Unitarianism as the purest, simplest guarantor of religious freedom and protection against religious partisanship, he wrote in a letter in the 1820s, “I rejoice that in this blessed country of free inquiry and belief, which has surrendered its creed and conscience to neither Kings nor priests, the genuine doctrine of one only God is reviving, and I trust that there is not a young man now living in the United States who will not die a Unitarian.” As David Hempton’s new book, Methodism: Empire of the Spirit, demonstrates, that trust was misplaced even back in 1822, when the fastest-growing religious sects in the young United States were not the reasonable Unitarians so beloved by Jefferson and other members of the new Republic’s intellectual elite, but rather evangelical Methodists and Baptists. According to the 1850 US census, more than three-fifths of the American churchgoing population attended services associated with some form of popular evangelical enthusiasm.


As Jefferson's own quote demonstrates, he'd hardly be surprised at the health of evangelism in America. Indeed, as often as the Left cites him for the proposition that Church and State should be separate you'd think they might learn something by referring to how he propsed to deal with the matter at the state school he founded:
In conformity with the principles of our Constitution, which places all sects of religion on an equal footing, with the jealousies of the different sects in guarding that equality from encroachment and surprise, and with the sentiments of the Legislature in favor of freedom of religion, manifested on former occasions, we have proposed no professor of divinity; and the rather as the proofs of the being of a God, the creator, preserver, and supreme ruler of the universe, the author of all the relations of morality, and of the laws and obligations these infer, will be within the province of the professor of ethics; to which adding the developments of these moral obligations, of those in which all sects agree, with a knowledge of the languages, Hebrew, Greek, and Latin, a basis will be formed common to all sects. Proceeding thus far without offense to the Constitution, we have thought it proper at this point to leave every sect to provide, as they think fittest, the means of further instruction in their own peculiar tenets.
-Thomas Jefferson, href=http://etext.lib.virginia.edu/toc/modeng/public/JefRock.html>Report
of the Commissioners for the University of Virginia


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:07 AM

YOU THOUGHT THEY WERE APOPLECTIC ABOUT KATRINA?:

WILLIAM H. REHNQUIST|1924-2005: Chief Justice, 80, Led Court on a Conservative Path (David G. Savage, September 4, 2005, LA Times)

Chief Justice William H. Rehnquist, who steered the Supreme Court on a more conservative course during more than 33 years on the bench and who presided over the impeachment trial of one president and helped elect another, died Saturday at his home in Arlington, Va. He was 80.

Rehnquist had been in failing health since he was diagnosed in October with thyroid cancer. An announcement from the court late Saturday said the chief justice had experienced "a precipitous decline in his health in the last couple of days" and died in the evening, surrounded by his three children.

Rehnquist's death came on the eve of confirmation hearings for President Bush's first Supreme Court nominee, Judge John G. Roberts, whose first job in Washington was as a clerk for then-Justice Rehnquist.

The president will now have a second seat to fill on the high court, and the timing of Rehnquist's death may complicate the choice.

Earlier this year, many conservatives in Washington had cited Roberts as a likely choice for chief justice had Rehnquist retired, as expected at the end of this year's term in late June. Instead, Justice Sandra Day O'Connor surprised the White House by announcing her retirement.

About three weeks later, Bush then surprised many observers by nominating Roberts, rather than choosing a woman to fill the seat of the first woman to serve on the high court.

Nothing would prevent the president from changing course slightly and nominating Roberts to be chief justice.


Chief Justice Rehnquist dies: Passing of conservative voice creates 2d Supreme Court vacancy (Charlie Savage, September 4, 2005, Boston Globe)
Chief Justice William H. Rehnquist, who turned the nation's highest court in a conservative direction, curbing what he considered excessive judicial activism under his two predecessors, died yesterday at his home in Arlington, Va., after a nearly yearlong battle with cancer.

The death of Rehnquist, 80, creates a second vacancy on the Supreme Court just two days before the scheduled start of hearings into President Bush's nomination of John G. Roberts Jr. to replace retiring Justice Sandra Day O'Connor.

The new opening raises the stakes in the Roberts nomination by giving Bush an additional opportunity to leave his own conservative stamp on the court, according to activists preparing for next week's hearings


Nevermind hurricanes, now the Left can work themselves into a real tizzy.


MORE:
Chief Justice Rehnquist Dies at 80 (LINDA GREENHOUSE, 9/04/05, NY Times)

Chief Justice William H. Rehnquist died Saturday night of the thyroid cancer he had battled for nearly a year, opening a second Supreme Court vacancy just days before Senate confirmation hearings were to begin to fill the seat being vacated by Justice Sandra Day O'Connor.

Kathleen Arburg, the court's public information officer, said Chief Justice Rehnquist, 80, had died at his home in Arlington, Va., surrounded by his three children. She said he had been working at the court during the summer recess until his health declined a "precipitous decline" in the last few days. (Obituary)

Although the chief justice was known to be seriously ill with the thyroid cancer, which was diagnosed last October, his death at this moment came as a surprise. Six weeks ago, with rumors swirling that he would soon retire, he issued an unusual statement declaring that he would continue to serve as chief justice "as long as my health permits."

His death on the eve of the confirmation hearings for Judge John G. Roberts Jr., set to begin Tuesday, raised the prospect that President Bush might transfer Judge Roberts's nomination, making him a candidate for chief justice instead. Judge Roberts was a law clerk to Chief Justice Rehnquist, who was then an associate justice, during the court's 1980 term.

The White House press secretary, Scott McClellan, said President Bush had been informed of the chief justice's death shortly before 11 p.m.

"The President and Mrs. Bush are deeply saddened at the passing of Chief Justice Rehnquist. His family is in their thoughts and prayers," the White House said in a statement.


Chief Justice William H. Rehnquist Dies (Charles Lane, September 4, 2005, Washington Post)
A conservative stalwart appointed as associate Justice by President Richard M. Nixon in 1972, Rehnquist was elevated to chief justice in 1986 by President Ronald Reagan. His 33-year tenure on the court was one of the longest and most influential in the institution's history, as he spearheaded a rightward move at the court -- first as a lone dissenter, then later as the leader of a five-justice conservative majority.

Already preoccupied with the recovery effort for Hurricane Katrina and the Roberts nomination battle, President Bush must now focus on a successor for Rehnquist. But Rehnquist's illness has prepared the White House for the possibility that he would be leaving the court, so the element of surprise should be less than it was in the case of O'Connor's retirement.

Among those who have been mentioned as possible choices include Alberto R. Gonzales, the attorney general, and federal appeals court judges J. Michael Luttig and J. Harvie Wilkinson, both of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 4th Circuit, based in Richmond.

"The president and Mrs. Bush are deeply saddened at the passing of Chief Justice Rehnquist," the White House said in a statement. "His family is in their thoughts and prayers." An aide said Bush was informed of Rehnquist's death shortly before 11 p.m. and added that the president will make a statement to reporters about the chief justice Sunday morning after attending church services.

Rehnquist leaves a towering legacy.


-Rehnquist dies at 80 (Guy Taylor, September 4, 2005, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)
Rumors that Justice Rehnquist was on the verge of retirement have been circulating for more than a year in Washington.

But he refused to retire, even after being diagnosed with an aggressive form of cancer and continued to perform his duties until his final days.

Justice Rehnquist was part of five-justice majority that ended the 2000 election crisis and placed George W. Bush in the White House.

But historians will undoubtedly look back on his broader role in leading the court's conservative shift over the past three decades.

Justice Rehnquist served 33 years on the high court. For the past 19, he has been chief justice, the longest tenure of any chief justice since John Marshall served in the position during the early 1800s.

He served in the Air Force as a sergeant in North Africa during World War II. His legal career began when he was fresh from Stanford Law School, as a clerk for Supreme Court Justice Robert H. Jackson.

The young clerk had graduated at the top of the historic Stanford class of 1952, the same year as Justice O'Connor, who was third in the class.

After later practicing private law in Arizona, Justice Rehnquist served as an assistant attorney general under President Nixon, who chose him for the Supreme Court in 1971.

He was sworn in in January 1972, about a year before the landmark Roe v. Wade case that legalized abortion.

Raised a Lutheran in a middle-class Milwaukee family, Justice Rehnquist quickly asserted himself as one not to stray from his conservative roots.

He and then-Justice Byron White were the only dissenters in Roe v. Wade.

Justice Rehnquist was known for his commitment to promoting federalism -- the process of protecting the power of the individual states from the federal government.

He also presided over a massive institutional change, in which the court exercised a philosophy known as "judicial restraint," as opposed to the activism of earlier years -- for which the court is now criticized for making laws instead of interpreting them.

When he became chief justice, the Supreme Court was disposing of an average of about 170 to 180 cases during a routine term.

During recent years that number has dropped significantly to about 80 cases a term.

Those who worked under Rehnquist describe a reputation of never disrespecting litigants in an oral arguments or his peers despite his own often superior command of legal and American history.

"He's definitely a genius in terms of his intellectual capacities. It's awesome, it's really mind-boggling," said Charles J. Cooper, a Washington lawyer who served as a clerk for Justice Rehnquist during the late-1970s.

Mr. Cooper recalled that in his first days working for Justice Rehnquist, he spent days researching a case before calling to update his boss, who at the time was on summer vacation in Vermont.

Justice Rehnquist received the call and listened patiently, telling Mr. Cooper that while his findings were all very interesting, the young clerk may have overlooked something.

From his own memory, Justice Rehnquist then directed Mr. Cooper to a specific page in a specific volume of the Supreme Court's archives.

"He told me the volume and the name and said, 'I think you'll find that to bear on the subject,' " Mr. Cooper said, adding that after overlooking the case during their own vigorous research, he and his fellow clerks were amazed find an "obscure" opinion buried in the records exactly where their boss had said it would be.

"I just remember being stunned," Mr. Cooper said. "We all looked at each other and thought, 'What good are we to this man?' "

-Rehnquist death gives Bush chance to shape court (Jackie Frank, 9/04/05, Reuters)
The death of Chief Justice William Rehnquist creates a rare double opening on the U.S. Supreme Court, giving President George W. Bush the chance to make a significant mark on the federal judiciary.

Rehnquist, a conservative force who pushed the closely divided nine-member court to the right in his more than 30 years on the bench, died on Saturday at age 80 after a battle with thyroid cancer.

His death came just a month before the court was to open its new session, and just days before the U.S. Senate was to open hearings on appeals court Judge John Roberts, chosen in July by Bush to replace Justice Sandra Day O'Connor who has announced her resignation.

Not since 1971 has the court had two openings, but O'Connor has pledged to remain on the bench until her successor is confirmed by the Senate, assuring the court will open with at least eight members in October.


-Who will be the next chief justice? (AP, 9/04/05)
Bush plucked Roberts from an ever-changing slate of about a dozen candidates, including five Bush interviewed in person. Court watchers have been combing this slate for hints about whom Bush might pick next. Besides Roberts, Bush interviewed federal appellate judges Edith Clement and J. Harvie Wilkinson. The identity of the other two interviewees remains unclear.

The list of those who sat down for face-to-face talks with Bush, however, was not necessarily the president's short list. He said he needed to interview only candidates he did not already know. There has also been speculation that Bush already knew he wanted Roberts and was interviewing other candidates in case he was faced with filling another seat.

Before Bush nominated Roberts, almost six in 10 Americans polled said it was important for him to nominate a woman. Laura Bush urged her husband to appoint a woman to fill O'Connor's seat. And the retiring O'Connor, the first female justice, said Roberts was "first-rate," but not a woman.

Politics will play a role, too. If Bush wants to put an ultraconservative on the high court, his nominee will have to weather a confirmation brawl in the Senate. With approval ratings the lowest of his presidency, Bush may not be ready for that.

Others mentioned as serious contenders for O'Connor's spot included Larry Thompson, a former deputy attorney general who is a top lawyer for PepsiCo; Edith Jones, a judge on the 5th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in New Orleans; Samuel Alito, a federal appellate judge in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Michael Luttig, a federal appellate judge in Richmond, Virginia; and Mary Ann Glendon, a Harvard University professor.


Mary Ann Glendon would be a great call.


-President's Statement on the Death of Chief Justice William Rehnquist (George W. Bush, The Roosevelt Room, 9/04/05)

THE PRESIDENT: Our nation is saddened today by the news that Chief Justice William Rehnquist passed away last night. Laura and I send our respect and deepest sympathy to this good man's children, Jim, Janet, and Nancy. We send our respect to all the members of the Rehnquist family.

William H. Rehnquist was born and raised in Wisconsin. He was the grandson of Swedish immigrants. Like so many of his generation, he served in the Army during World War II. He went on to college with the help of the G.I. Bill. He studied law at Stanford University. He graduated first in his class, that included his future colleague, Sandra Day O'Connor. Judge Rehnquist, and his late wife, Nan, raised their family in Phoenix, where he built a career as one of Arizona's leading attorneys. He went on to even greater distinction in pubic service as an assistant U.S. attorney general, associate justice of the Supreme Court, and for the past 19 years, Chief Justice of the United States.

He was extremely well respected for his powerful intellect. He was respected for his deep commitment to the rule of law and his profound devotion to duty. He provided superb leadership for the federal court system, improving the delivery of justice for the American people, and earning the admiration of his colleagues throughout the judiciary.

Even during a period of illness, Chief Justice Rehnquist stayed on the job to complete the work of his final Supreme Court term. I was honored and I was deeply touched when he came to the Capitol for the swearing-in last January. He was a man of character and dedication. His departure represents a great loss for the Court and for our country.

There are now two vacancies on the Supreme Court, and it will serve the best interests of the nation to fill those vacancies promptly. I will choose in a timely manner a highly qualified nominee to succeed Chief Justice Rehnquist. As we look to the future of the Supreme Court, citizens of this nation can also look with pride and appreciation on the career of our late Chief Justice.

More than half a century has passed since William H. Rehnquist first came to the Supreme Court as a young law clerk. All of his years William Rehnquist revered the Constitution and laws of the United States. He led the judicial branch of government with tremendous wisdom and skill. He honored America with a lifetime of service, and America will honor his memory.

May God bless the Rehnquist family. Thank you all very much.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:03 AM

TALK IS CHIC:

Solutions for Grandeur: Nicolas Sarkozy has become the most popular French politician by diving headfirst into the country’s most explosive political issues. If he has his way, this hyperactive, pro-American, Gaullist, free marketer will transform French politics for good. (Marc Perelman, July 2005, Foreign Policy)

Over the past three years, Sarkozy has become one of France’s most popular politicians by pushing reform, fighting crime, talking straight, and injecting progressive ideas into the ruling center-right party, the Union for a Popular Movement (UMP). A politician who often runs against the grain, Sarkozy has challenged his fellow citizens’ views on immigration, social welfare, and tax relief, and told them that, in some cases, France should look abroad for its inspiration to Prime Minister Tony Blair’s Britain and, yes, even President George W. Bush’s America. His emergence has breathed new life into France’s ossified political landscape where the same leaders have been holding sway for decades. And his ultimate ambition couldn’t be more clear: The 50-year-old politician, whose boyish energy and penchant for fidgeting has earned him the nickname “Speedy,” is hoping that French voters will show a California-like openness and make him France’s next president. Indeed, in 2003, he broke with French tradition by openly declaring his presidential ambitions and igniting a feud with his mentor, President Jacques Chirac. When I asked him about his political coming-out in a country where discretion is often preferred to ambition, he threw his arms up in the air: “What can I say? I’m ambitious. It’s true. Should I pretend otherwise?” [...]

Traditionalists who decry Sarkozy’s style see deeper danger in his substance: a pro-American free marketer who threatens to undermine not only France’s economic model but also the secular fabric of French society. “I don’t have a reference book in which I will find the solution to all problems,” Sarkozy says. “I try to be pragmatic and efficient. Maybe in that sense I am Anglo-Saxon.”

Although he is careful to stress that he does not see eye-to-eye with President Bush on many issues, he is unabashedly pro-American. “I like America and the Americans a lot and I say it. Do I need help, doctor?” he quips, raising his eyebrows. “Some of my friends tell me not to talk about it so [loudly]. Why? I don’t get it.”

He expressed similar warm feelings in April 2004 when, in an obvious stab at the reviled Chirac, the Bush administration rolled out the red carpet for Sarkozy, who met with Condoleezza Rice and Colin Powell during his visit. Of course, he knows the dangers of appearing too close to a U.S. administration that has confirmed many of the worst French fears of what an American superpower could be. Several close associates say that although he supported France’s opposition to the war in Iraq, Sarkozy has privately said that Paris’s use of its veto threat at the U.N. Security Council in the lead-up to the invasion of Iraq was a mistake. He has not crossed that line in public, however, out of respect for the president’s primacy in foreign policy and probably because he realizes the decision is one of the most popular Chirac has taken in years.

But, in many other ways, Sarkozy is taking a page out of the American playbook. To remedy France’s tepid growth, he has proposed lower taxes and a relaxation of the 35-hour workweek. His policy prescriptions, as well as long-standing personal ties to the country’s top CEOs, have earned him the trust of the business community. “He is one of the few French politicians for whom a business success story is not suspect,” says construction magnate Martin Bouygues, who is an old acquaintance.

Still, Sarkozy knows that advocating the streamlining of the comprehensive social welfare system that the French cherish is politically risky, if not suicidal. Part of the “no” vote was indeed driven by fears that a free-market-oriented EU would subsume the French welfare state. This is why Sarkozy used his short stint as finance minister last year to shed his “pro-market” image by supporting state intervention to help French companies. He is also careful to couch his pro-market discourse in moral terms, lamenting the lack of respect for “the France that wakes up early,” and the “sclerosis” that has kept the unemployment rate at around 10 percent for more than two decades.

Political opponents, of course, say such actions are cynical ploys.


That a reputedly iconoclastic firebrand is terrified to be seen as actually proposing to change the current welfare state tells you all you need to know about France's future: it has none.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 6:48 AM

SAY IT LOUD, SAY IT PROUD

A War to Be Proud Of (Christopher Hitchens, Weekly Standard, September 5-12th, 2005)

I have a ready answer to those who accuse me of being an agent and tool of the Bush-Cheney administration (which is the nicest thing that my enemies can find to say). Attempting a little levity, I respond that I could stay at home if the authorities could bother to make their own case, but that I meanwhile am a prisoner of what I actually do know about the permanent hell, and the permanent threat, of the Saddam regime. However, having debated almost all of the spokespeople for the antiwar faction, both the sane and the deranged, I was recently asked a question that I was temporarily unable to answer. "If what you claim is true," the honest citizen at this meeting politely asked me, "how come the White House hasn't told us?"

I do in fact know the answer to this question. So deep and bitter is the split within official Washington, most especially between the Defense Department and the CIA, that any claim made by the former has been undermined by leaks from the latter. (The latter being those who maintained, with a combination of dogmatism and cowardice not seen since Lincoln had to fire General McClellan, that Saddam Hussein was both a "secular" actor and--this is the really rich bit--a rational and calculating one.)

There's no cure for that illusion, but the resulting bureaucratic chaos and unease has cornered the president into his current fallback upon platitude and hollowness. It has also induced him to give hostages to fortune. The claim that if we fight fundamentalism "over there" we won't have to confront it "over here" is not just a standing invitation for disproof by the next suicide-maniac in London or Chicago, but a coded appeal to provincial and isolationist opinion in the United States. Surely the elementary lesson of the grim anniversary that will shortly be upon us is that American civilians are as near to the front line as American soldiers.

It is exactly this point that makes nonsense of the sob-sister tripe pumped out by the Cindy Sheehan circus and its surrogates. But in reply, why bother to call a struggle "global" if you then try to localize it? Just say plainly that we shall fight them everywhere they show themselves, and fight them on principle as well as in practice, and get ready to warn people that Nigeria is very probably the next target of the jihadists. The peaceniks love to ask: When and where will it all end? The answer is easy: It will end with the surrender or defeat of one of the contending parties. Should I add that I am certain which party that ought to be? Defeat is just about imaginable, though the mathematics and the algebra tell heavily against the holy warriors. Surrender to such a foe, after only four years of combat, is not even worthy of consideration.[...]

Does the president deserve the benefit of the reserve of fortitude that I just mentioned? Only just, if at all. We need not argue about the failures and the mistakes and even the crimes, because these in some ways argue themselves. But a positive accounting could be offered without braggartry, and would include:

(1) The overthrow of Talibanism and Baathism, and the exposure of many highly suggestive links between the two elements of this Hitler-Stalin pact. Abu Musab al Zarqawi, who moved from Afghanistan to Iraq before the coalition intervention, has even gone to the trouble of naming his organization al Qaeda in Mesopotamia.

(2) The subsequent capitulation of Qaddafi's Libya in point of weapons of mass destruction--a capitulation that was offered not to Kofi Annan or the E.U. but to Blair and Bush.

(3) The consequent unmasking of the A.Q. Khan network for the illicit transfer of nuclear technology to Libya, Iran, and North Korea.

(4) The agreement by the United Nations that its own reform is necessary and overdue, and the unmasking of a quasi-criminal network within its elite.

(5) The craven admission by President Chirac and Chancellor Schröder, when confronted with irrefutable evidence of cheating and concealment, respecting solemn treaties, on the part of Iran, that not even this will alter their commitment to neutralism. (One had already suspected as much in the Iraqi case.)

(6) The ability to certify Iraq as actually disarmed, rather than accept the word of a psychopathic autocrat.

(7) The immense gains made by the largest stateless minority in the region--the Kurds--and the spread of this example to other states.

(8) The related encouragement of democratic and civil society movements in Egypt, Syria, and most notably Lebanon, which has regained a version of its autonomy.

(9) The violent and ignominious death of thousands of bin Ladenist infiltrators into Iraq and Afghanistan, and the real prospect of greatly enlarging this number.

(10) The training and hardening of many thousands of American servicemen and women in a battle against the forces of nihilism and absolutism, which training and hardening will surely be of great use in future combat.

It would be admirable if the president could manage to make such a presentation. It would also be welcome if he and his deputies adopted a clear attitude toward the war within the war: in other words, stated plainly, that the secular and pluralist forces within Afghan and Iraqi society, while they are not our clients, can in no circumstance be allowed to wonder which outcome we favor.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:44 AM

MANIFEST DEFICIENCY:

The battle has long raged between science and religion to explain the origin of mankind. Now there’s a growing move to put God back in the driving seat. Guess which side George Bush is on? (Torcuil Crichton, 9/04/05, Sunday Herald)

There is no research to back ID theory, no peer-reviewed scientific journals, no positive evidence; just holes picked in the deficiences of evolution, which all admit are manifold. [...]

The “let them discuss it” argument deployed by President Bush is seen as another Trojan horse, a way of getting creationism into schools under the cover of science.

“I think part of education is to expose people to different schools of thought,” Bush said recently. “You’re asking me whether or not people ought to be exposed to different ideas. The answer is yes.” In Richard Dawkins’s view, the “teach both sides” argument sounds reasonable until you realise there are no “two sides”. Evolution is science and riven with academic controversy, he says, while intelligent design is bunkum.

The debate over intelligent design is not about two views of science; it’s about two ideologies of where we came from. In education, as in life, this has profound implications . These are big questions which all too often we avoid grappling with.

Opponents of intelligent design brand its supporters as back-door creationists, and creationists themselves ask the same question of the movement. The obvious question raised by the argument for intelligent design is: who is the designer?

For the moment, the movement artfully dodges the question of the maker’s identity. But eventually, the designer will have to be subjected to scientific scrutiny. Otherwise, the whole intelligent-design-as-science movement will continue to be dismissed as a wedge whose purpose is to crack open US public schools to fund amentalist Christian religious teaching.


Mr. Crichton nearly has an insight here--Darwinism isn't dying because I.D. is better science but because Darwinism itself can't clear the scientific bar.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

VOTE, LIKE AN EGYPTIAN:

Egyptian campaign reaches climax (Magdi Abdelhadi, 9/04/05, BBC News)

Although most Egyptians believe this is an election with a foregone conclusion, 18 days of campaigning have created a lively debate about the country's many social and economic ills.

As a result, for the first time in many years, public attention was focused on domestic problems instead of the usual geo-political conflicts, such as the Arab-Israeli disputes or the violence in Iraq.

Unemployment, corruption, and poor public services were among the many issues that Mr Mubarak had to defend his record on.

Mr Mubarak's well-choreographed campaign emphasised his experience and the stability he brought to Egypt in a turbulent region.

His rivals promise a more radical constitutional reform than the one under which Egypt is having its first contested presidential election.

In the past, parliament selected a single candidate who was later endorsed in a referendum.

But despite criticism of the new electoral law, the reform initiated by Mr Mubarak has undoubtedly contributed to changing the political culture of Egypt.

In a country where the head of state has often been treated like a god - infallible and perfect - Mr Mubarak is now frequently criticised in the media.


The task for Mr. Mubarak is to reform well enough that his son can win a truly competitive election next time.


MORE:
How Kadafi Went From Foe to Ally: Common cause against Islamic radicals has woven U.S. intelligence ties with Libya, whose secular regime is still listed as a state sponsor of terrorism. (Ken Silverstein, September 4, 2005, LA Times)

As it struggles to combat Islamic terrorist networks, the Bush administration has quietly built an intelligence alliance with Libyan leader Moammar Kadafi, a onetime bitter enemy the U.S. had tried for years to isolate, topple or kill.

Kadafi has helped the U.S. pursue Al Qaeda's network in North Africa by turning radicals over to neighboring pro-Western governments. He also has provided information to the CIA on Libyan nationals with alleged ties to international terrorists.

In turn, the U.S. has handed over to Tripoli some anti-Kadafi Libyans captured in its campaign against terrorism. And Kadafi's agents have been allowed into the Guantanamo Bay detention camp in Cuba to interrogate Libyans being held there.

The rapprochement is partially the result of a decade of efforts by Kadafi to improve relations with the United States and end international sanctions imposed on Libya for bombing Pan Am Flight 103 over Lockerbie, Scotland, in 1988. But it also reflects the fact that Libya and the United States regard Islamic extremism as a common enemy. Even though he long supported radical causes, Kadafi views religious militants as a menace to his secular regime.

"Their assistance has been genuine, if motivated in large measure by self-preservation," Bruce Hoffman, director of counter-terrorism and counterinsurgency studies at Rand Corp., said of the Libyans. "You have to give Kadafi credit for recognizing the existential threat posed to his rule and revolution by [Osama] bin Laden and Al Qaeda."


Similarly, the Colonel needs to make enough progress to enable his son, Seif el-Islam Kadafi, to succeed him democratically.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

CATASTROPHE DIVIDEND:

Roadblocks to Rebuilding: Because of the housing boom, reconstruction in the areas hit by Hurricane Katrina is likely to be hampered by a lack of materials and skilled labor (Annette Haddad, September 4, 2005, LA Times)

The massive Hurricane Katrina rebuilding effort — expected to be among the biggest and costliest ever — will be even more expensive thanks to the nation's housing boom.

The rebuilding will create new demands for building materials and construction workers, already in short supply because of strong home-building activity around the country.

That could result in even higher costs for those goods and workers, which in turn could further boost prices for new homes in California and elsewhere.

The recovery effort "will make it more difficult for anybody operating in construction elsewhere," said Greg Gieber, a financial analyst with A.G. Edwards & Sons in St. Louis. He foresees shortages that will reduce the pace at which new homes are completed across the country.

Expectations of building material shortages caused by post-Katrina reconstruction already are rippling around the nation.

Concerns about the dearth of cement could prompt the Bush administration to yield in a long-running trade dispute. On Wednesday, the Commerce Department preliminarily agreed to ease tariffs on cement imported by Mexico's top producer, Cemex. A final decision is expected in December.

Katrina also sparked a jump in prices of lumber on futures markets; those prices had been declining before the storm. Since Aug. 25, prices have climbed 12%.

Of course, things could change in the several months before construction can begin in storm-battered areas. Time will be needed to drain flooded areas, clean up wreckage and sort out insurance claims. Also, repairing the public infrastructure — things such as levees, highways and port facilities — is likely to take precedence.

It could take at least six months before significant new construction begins, said Ed Sullivan, chief economist for the Portland Cement Assn., a trade group for U.S. cement producers.

"It doesn't happen overnight," Sullivan said.

Total reconstruction costs could run as high as $100 billion, based on the latest estimates, making the Katrina rebuilding effort the costliest in U.S. history.


Contrary to the broken window fallacy, rebuilding from hurricanes is one of the drivers of Florida's long economic boom and the complete destruction of New Orleans affords an opportunity for it to leap from the 19th Century into the 21st, but one wonders if such a corrupt city and state are capable of pulling off their own versions of the German and Japanese "miracles."


MORE:
A NEW New Orleans: Forget crawfish étouffée -- look to ugly Houston for a vibrant economic model. (Joel Kotkin, September 4, 2005, LA Times)

BECAUSE THE OLD New Orleans is no more, it could resurrect itself as the great new American city of the 21st century. Or as an impoverished tourist trap.

Founded by the French in 1718, site of the first U.S. mint in the Western United States, this one-time pride of the South, this one-time queen of the Gulf Coast, had been declining for decades, slowly becoming an antiquated museum.

Now New Orleans must decide how to be reborn. Its choices could foretell the future of urbanism.

The sheer human tragedy — and the fact that the Gulf Coast is critical to the nation' s economy as well as the Republican Party's base — guarantee that there will be money to start the project. Private corporations, churches and nonprofits will pitch in with the government.

But what kind of city will the builders create on the sodden ruins?

The wrong approach would be to preserve a chimera of the past, producing a touristic faux New Orleans, a Cajun Disneyland.


New Orleans's Future: What determines if a city recovers from disaster? (JOEL KOTKIN, September 4, 2005, Opinion Journal)
Although the 1994 [Los Angeles] earthquake caused $16 billion in damage, the city, under the leadership of Mayor Richard Riordan, managed the temblor with remarkable efficiency. Perhaps most remarkable, the very city that suffered the worst urban rioting in American history two years earlier managed the postearthquake chaos with little lawlessness and political discord. As a result, the great natural calamity--many in the east proclaimed this to be the last nail in the long-anticipated L.A. coffin--became, instead, a cause for civic revitalization. The funds poured into the city for rebuilding also helped jumpstart the city's economy, then reeling from the decline of the aerospace industry.

This constitutes one part of the opportunity for New Orleans. Rebuilding will bring in billions of dollars, a surge in relatively high-paying construction jobs and perhaps funding to improve the city's devastated infrastructure, including its levee system.

Will New Orleans meet this challenge? The key may lie not so much in calculating the amount of money sent from Washington, but whether the events of this week will transform attitudes toward growth, economic diversification and commitment to the overall public good. On the surface, there is reason to be skeptical. Once the premier city of the south and commercial center of the Gulf, New Orleans has been losing ground for the better part of a century. It has surrendered its primacy to other, newer cities--Miami and Houston--which have fed off the "animal spirits" of entrepreneurs and had the foresight to invest in basic infrastructure.

Demographics tell much of the story. In 1920, New Orleans's population was nearly three times that of Houston and nine times Miami's. It was the primary Southern destination for European and Caribbean immigrants. Now, both the Houston and Miami areas--despite their own ample experience with disasters of the natural as well as the man-made variety--have long since surpassed New Orleans, with populations more than three times as large. During the '90s, the Miami and Houston areas grew almost six times as fast as greater New Orleans, and flourished as major destinations for immigrants, particularly from Latin America.

These newcomers have helped transform Miami and Houston into primary centers for trade, investment and services, from finance and accounting to medical care, for the entire Caribbean basin. They have started businesses, staffed factories, and become players in civic life. Houston has taken over completely as the dominant center for the energy industry, once a key high-wage employer in the New Orleans region.

Instead of serving as a major commercial and entrepreneurial center, New Orleans's dominant industry lies not in creating its future but selling its past, much of which now sits underwater. Tourism defines contemporary New Orleans' economy more than its still-large port, or its remaining industry, or its energy production. Although there is nothing wrong, per se, in being a tourist town, it is not an industry that attracts high-wage jobs; and tends to create a highly bifurcated social structure. This can be seen in New Orleans's perennially high rates of underemployment, crime and poverty. The murder rate is 10 times the national average.

Perhaps worse, there seems to be some basic hostility in New Orleans to the very idea of an economic renaissance and growth. When I published rankings of the best cities for business for Inc. Magazine last year, New Orleans's middling performance created consternation at one local daily newspaper--for not being bad enough. Such negative attitudes may pose the biggest problem as the city begins to rebuild. Rather than imagine anything better, the temptation among some may well be to take the path of least resistance, restoring or reconstructing past icons in order to salvage the tourism-based economy.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

CAN'T SHOOT ENOUGH OF THEM:

A Perfect Storm of Lawlessness : New Orleans’ vicious looters aren’t the real face of the city’s poor—their victims are. (Nicole Gelinas, 1 September 2005, City Journal)

New Orleans hasn’t even been disarmed yet, but the story of those who looted, trashed, and terrorized the city this week is already being re-written. Al Sharpton went on MSNBC Thursday night to say that “looters are people who pay their taxes whose infrastructure caved in on them.” The final PC version of the story is likely to go like this: The desperate people left behind in New Orleans, nearly all black, had justification in brutally attacking their city because the help they frantically sought didn’t come.

In truth, the looters, rapists, and murderers who have terrorized New Orleans since Monday began their post-Katrina reign of terror a full day before the situation grew truly desperate—and it was their increasingly lawless behavior that kept willing but unarmed professional and volunteer rescue workers away from the city and from the poor people who needed saving.

Let’s go back to last Sunday morning—such a long time ago, it now seems. Most New Orleanians with means—the most resourceful poor, the middle class, and the affluent—left the city of nearly half-a-million residents that day, 24 hours before Katrina hit. They took planes, they drove, they hitchhiked, and some walked. Save for the home and business owners who valued their property more than their lives, most of the 100,000 or so who stayed behind were those not only poor in financial resources but in human capital as well.

Some who stayed behind are the New Orleanians who depend on the government on a good day—impoverished women, children, and elderly folks who went to the Superdome and to the Convention Center Sunday, expecting their government to take care of them. And those were the smart ones—those who moved rationally and proactively, despite a lack of transportation out of the city and a lack of government co-ordination, to secure their own physical safety. Thousands of others who stayed in their low-lying homes in the 9th Ward (which predictably flooded, as it flooded 40 years ago during Hurricane Betsy) drowned or now find themselves trapped—starved and dying of dehydration.

And the others who stayed behind, unfortunately, are those who terrorize New Orleans on a low-grade level on a good day—and have now taken over the stricken city. What’s happened is the predictable civil deterioration of a city whose fragile civil infrastructure can’t control or contain its core criminal class in peacetime.

Katrina didn’t turn innocent citizens into desperate criminals. This week’s looters (not those who took small supplies of food and water for sustenance, but those who have trashed, burned, and shot their way through the city since Monday) are the same depraved individuals who have pushed New Orleans’ murder rate to several multiples above the national average in normal times. (New Orleans, without Katrina, would have likely ended 2005 with 330 or so murders—compared to about 65 in Boston, a city roughly the same in size.) Today may not be the best day to get into New Orleans’ intractable crime problem, but it’s necessary, since it explains how this week’s communications and policing vacuum so quickly created a perfect storm for the vicious lawlessness that has broken out.


Somehow in the Left's memory the urban riots of the late 60s became an event that shamed white America into realizing how badly even Northern blacks were being treated. In fact, what they did was end the civil rights movement, because they filled whites with both fear and contempt for the very people they felt they'd gone pretty far to help at great cost to the cohesiveness of society.

The Left has made a rather tone-deaf decision to try and cast the aftermath of Katrina as a racial issue even though such a theme can only backfire. White America doesn't look at looting in New Orleans and say, "My goodness, what have we driven them to?" We look at it and say, "What kind of people are they?"


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

BOOMGARANG:

In Sudan, the Pull of Peace and Oil: Expats From South Stream Homeward As Region Rebuilds (Emily Wax, September 4, 2005, Washington Post)

Wearing a bright orange jersey and baggy jeans, Riang Thian, 27, sauntered into a thatch-roofed bar and made a request in his acquired Tennessee twang.

"Ya'll have high-speed Internet?" the recently returned refugee asked, getting only blank looks in response. "Oh man," he said, "my country needs a lot of work."

With peace in place after a 21-year civil war and the discovery of oil in the region, southern Sudan, one of the poorest places in Africa, suddenly has the potential to become one of the richest. It is luring home people such as Thian and galvanizing veterans of its long guerrilla war. As a new society emerges, roads and schools are being built, and the Internet is not far behind. [...]

More than 2,000 Sudanese professionals have returned from East Africa and the West since the north-south peace accord was signed in January. They include businessmen, college professors and basketball players, as well as recent graduates hoping to land a job. Some have reunited with family members; others, like Thian, have moved into tent-hotels set up by an American firm.

"We're not talking about reconstruction. We are talking about total construction. The U.N. has never undertaken anything like this," said David Gressly, the head of U.N. operations in southern Sudan. "The opportunities here are tremendous. But so are some of the risks."

On July 31, just weeks after Thian returned, John Garang, the leader of the southern rebel movement and key architect of the peace deal, died in a helicopter crash, causing concern that the shaky agreement would collapse.

Thian said he prayed when he heard the news and then unwound in his tent, spinning hip-hop songs on his CD player. But rioting soon broke out in the capital, Khartoum, and in the southern city of Juba, pitting Muslim northerners against Christian and animist southerners.

Violence has since subsided, and Salva Kiir Mayardit, Garang's longtime deputy in the rebel Sudan People's Liberation Army, has taken his place as the nation's vice president.


Just another Administration success story.


September 3, 2005

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:59 PM

SAME AS IT EVER WAS:

Deadly Similarities a Century Apart: Historians note eerie parallels between disastrous aftermaths of Hurricane Katrina and the 1906 San Francisco earthquake. (John M. Glionna, September 4, 2005, LA Times)

As Americans followed in horror the anarchy, looting and mounting death toll in the wake of the New Orleans flooding, California historians compared that city's devastation with another disaster of nearly a century ago: the San Francisco earthquake and fire of 1906.

In both cases, they say, cities crucial to the U.S. economy of the era — San Francisco's financial might and New Orleans' offshore oil reserves — were hit by a natural disaster: one by an 8.3 magnitude temblor and the other by a Category 4 hurricane.

But after withstanding the first blow, both cities suffered extensive damage from the unexpected second punch that followed within hours.

Fires raged in San Francisco for three days, leveling 90% of the city's structures, including 37 national banks. In New Orleans, several levees were breached, causing massive flooding and forcing evacuation of the city.

Historians point out that the Bay Area debacle was in part caused by a lack of water; New Orleans suffered from too much of it.

Stephen Becker, executive director of the San Francisco-based California Historical Society, said that even though they occurred 99 years apart, the similarities between the two catastrophes are uncanny.


And the next one will bear an uncanny resemblance to this one....


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:36 PM

UH-OH, THEY JUST FIGURED OUT WHO MAKES MONEY OFF OF BIG PUBLIC WORKS...:

Halliburton gets Katrina contract, hires former FEMA director (HalliburtonWatch.org, 9/01/05)

The US Navy asked Halliburton to repair naval facilities damaged by Hurricane Katrina, the Houston Chronicle reported today. The work was assigned to Halliburton's KBR subsidiary under the Navy's $500 million CONCAP contract awarded to KBR in 2001 and renewed in 2004. The repairs will take place in Louisiana and Mississippi.

KBR has not been asked to repair the levees destroyed in New Orleans which became the primary cause of most of the damage.


There should be a "yet" in that sentence.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:58 PM

MAKING IT:

Evacuations Increasing With Guard on Patrol and Offering Aid (ROBERT D. McFADDEN, 9/03/05, NY Times)

Amid signs of progress in the struggle against the ravages of Hurricane Katrina, President Bush said today that he had ordered 7,000 additional troops to New Orleans and the Gulf Coast states to crack down on lawlessness and evacuate thousands of refugees.

Hours after signing a $10.5 billion package of assistance for the stricken region, calling it a down payment on aid to come, the president acknowledged again today that his administration had failed to help many of the hurricane's most desperate victims promptly and promised to resurrect New Orleans and devastated coastal areas of several states.

"I know that those of you who have been hit hard by Katrina are suffering," the president declared. "Many are angry and desperate for help. The tasks before us are enormous, but so is the heart of America. In America, we do not abandon our fellow citizens in our hour of need. And the federal government will do its part." [...]

The deployment of the troops, the arrival of major convoys of desperately needed supplies, the speeded evacuation of tens of thousands of people from refugee centers and hospitals and progress in closing some of the breached levees brought glimmers of hope for the flooded and ravaged city.

The Corps of Engineers said crews had closed a 300-foot gap in the 17th Street Canal levee, where the heaviest floodwaters had entered the city and said they expected to close a second gap in another canal over the weekend. But Brig. Gen. Robert Crear said it might take months to remove all the floodwaters from the swamped city. "We're looking at anywhere from 36 to 80 days to being done," he said. Thousands of refugees remained in crowded conditions at the city's convention center, chaos continued at the airport, thousands of people were still trapped in homes and hotels, fires raged virtually unchecked in parts of the city, the power was out, and vast sections were still under water. Officials cautioned that New Orleans faced a long, difficult climb out of the crisis.

It was unclear how many guardsmen were in the city. But on streets where gun battles, fistfights, holdups, carjackings and marauding mobs of looters had held sway through the week, the mere sight of troops in camouflage battle gear and with assault rifles gave a sense of relief to many of the thousands of stranded survivors who had endured days of appalling terror and suffering.

"They brought a sense of order and peace, and it was a beautiful sight to see that we're ramping up," Gov. Kathleen Babineaux Blanco of Louisiana said. "We are seeing a show of force. It's putting confidence back in our hearts and in the minds of our people. We're going to make it through."


Somehow, people always do.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:20 PM

CONTINUALLY SURPRISED BY THE OBVIOUS:

Abstinence lessons reap some benefits, study says (Regina McEnery, September 03, 2005, Cleveland Plain Dealer)

In a field fraught with controversy and short of hard data, a study of abstinence-until-marriage programs uncovered some encouraging results among middle school students in Greater Cleveland.

The survey of 2,069 seventh- and eighth-graders found that sexually active students who participated in the school-based program, called For Keeps, reported fewer sexual partners and sexual encounters five months later. The study is one of the few scientifically valid studies done on abstinence education in the country, experts say. [...]

Dr. Elaine Borawski, a public health researcher at Case Western Reserve University and lead author of the study, said she was surprised how much the program, funded with federal tax dollars, influenced sexually active adolescents.

"Everyone says that kids who have had sex won't find programs like this relevant," said Borawski, who has reviewed Operation Keepsake's programs in the past. "It did seem that it resonated with them more than we thought."


duh?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:32 PM

AT LEAST WE CAN UNITE IN BLAMING THE FRENCH:

Category 5 Katrina barrels toward New Orleans (MARC CAPUTO, DAVID OVALLE AND ERIKA BOLSTAD, 8/28/05, Knight Ridder Newspapers)

Katrina's threat was so acute that President Bush joined the chorus of officials who urged New Orleans Mayor C. Ray Nagin and Louisiana Gov. Kathleen Babineaux Blanco to order a mandatory evacuation, issued Sunday morning after lower-lying areas outside the city were cleared Saturday.

In New Orleans, old timers like 58-year-old Joseph Bentley remember Hurricane Betsy in 1965 as if it were yesterday. That was a mere Category 3 storm - compared to Katrina's Category 5 status - and busted the levee on the Industrial Canal, making evacuation possible only by boat in his Ninth Ward neighborhood just down the street from the home of jazz great Fats Domino.

"This is no Betsy. This is a nightmare," Bentley said.

Bentley headed to the Superdome Sunday morning, just like most of the city's low-income residents who had nowhere else to go. New Orleans is one of the poorest cities in the nation.

By afternoon, the Superdome descended into sweaty chaos. About 10,000 refugees arrived under the vigilance of the Louisiana National Guard.

The frustrated line to get into the stadium stretched the length of several football fields. People sucked at empty water bottles, lugged their belongings in plastic grocery bags, fanned themselves in the humid air, brought their beer and cigarettes and braced for what could be a two-day stay as torrents of rain started soaking them about 4 p.m.

Officials had already confiscated weapons, including guns, raising fears of the unrest that took place at the dome in 1998. Then, 14,000 people waiting out Hurricane Georges, caused $10,000 in damage and looted another $8,500 in property. In anticipation of the massive flooding, people in the shelter would likely not be allowed to leave until Tuesday, when they would then be relocated by federal authorities, said Terry Ebbert, New Orlean's director of Homeland Security.

Portable bathrooms had not been set up inside, and the dome's water system could be affected by the storm. "That's why these people are going to be very uncomfortable," Ebbert said.

Looking beaten, Tim Duchene, 48, grimaced as he stood near the front of the line. He had waited three hours and tried in vain to take his medication to ease a ruptured disk in his back.

"Nobody brought us water. I tried to get one from them but they told me to get back in line," Duchene said. "They weren't prepared for this. I'd like to know how they're going to feed all these people."

Leon Moore, 55, the left side of his body paralyzed for the past 12 years because of a stroke, pulled his weathered red truck up to the Superdome and angrily decried Mayor Nagin. "The mayor of the city didn't make preparations for the handicapped," he said.

The criticisms of Nagin came from above as well. Numerous officials urged him to evacuate the city, but he worried about the legality of ordering people out when New Orleans has few safe hurricane shelters for them to evacuate to. Also, National Hurricane Center Director Max Mayfield in Miami called Nagin at home Saturday night and told him: Get people out of New Orleans.

"I could never sleep if I felt like I didn't do everything that I could to impress upon people the gravity of the situation," Mayfield said. "New Orleans is never going to be the same."

When a grim Nagin issued the mandatory evacuation order Sunday, he said: "We are facing a storm that most of us have feared. ... God bless us."

In Jefferson Parish, south of Orleans Parish, officials also issued an evacuation order - which also enables them to seize boats and buildings - and prepared for widespread suffering.

"Let's watch. Let's pray. Let's leave," Jefferson Parish President Aaron F. Broussard said at a news conference.

Katrina is on one of the worst possible tracks for New Orleans as it aims for Lake Pontchartrain, a 40-mile-wide shallow reservoir whose waters are already above the city. The lake will likely top the levees if not smash them, spilling water into the wide shallow bowl that is the city, which was established by the French in 1718.

If the levees hold but the water spills over, the water will be almost impossible to remove, considering the pumps will be swamped and shutdown. Some of the city's pumps sit in houses made in the 1890s, said Stevan Spencer, the Orleans Levee District's chief engineer.

"It all really makes you wonder what the French were doing when they built this place," Spencer said.


It's a shame that Bush Derangement Syndrome has led the Left to try and turn a disaster into a political issue, but the President and the Federal response certainly come out of the whole story better than the historically Democratic and corrupt city and state governments.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:29 AM

THE NEXT SEAT BELT:

Sweden wants DUI devices on all cars (AAP, September 3, 2005)

The Swedish government wants all of the country's new cars to be equipped with devices that check sobriety by 2012 to prevent drunken driving.

Buses and other heavy vehicles should be required to install the devices even earlier, Communication Minister Ulrica Messing wrote in an opinion article in newspaper Goteborgs-Posten.

The devices, called ignition interlocks, measure alcohol on the breath and won't allow a car to start if the driver has been drinking.

Messing said around 15,000 Swedes drive under the influence of alcohol every day.


Some of us are old enough to remember the fury with which libertians opposed things like seat belts and air bags, which became routine equipment in automobiles with minimal inconvenience to our lives and have saved many lives at little cost.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:13 AM

LA HAS NO JEB:

Here's what New Orleans's future might look like if it had, or had ever had, decent political leadership.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:49 AM

NEW LEFT, OLD TORY, ISLAMICIST--WHO CAN KEEP TRACK?:

Ken Clarke and the suicide bomber: Should critics of Blair's foreign policy take their lead from an old Tory and an Islamist fantasist? (Brendan O'Neill, 9/02/05, Spiked)

What do Mohammed Siddique Khan, the suicide bomber who killed himself and six others at Edgware Road on 7/7, and Ken Clarke, John Major's roly-poly chancellor of the exchequer who has put in a bid to become Tory leader, have in common? Well, they both issued public statements yesterday criticising Tony Blair's foreign policy - Clarke in a statement to members of the Foreign Press Association at Westminster, Khan in a grainy video recorded some time before he blew himself to smithereens two months ago (which, like Clarke's statement, was also aimed at the media).

Khan's video has been held up as evidence that the Iraq war inflamed terrorism, was thus wrong, and should now be called off. [...]

This video - which only shows a Yorkshireman in a headscarf saying that British foreign policy made him feel upset - is no more an argument against the Iraq war than the murder of Sharon Tate in 1969 was an argument for letting Charles Manson join the Beach Boys (one of Manson's grievances, apparently, was that he never made it into the group). Yet anti-war commentators have effectively made Khan their unofficial spokesman, citing his wacky views as an argument for getting out of Iraq. They have even put words into his mouth. In his video Khan says that 'your democratically elected governments' (presumably meaning the British and American governments) must 'stop the bombing, gassing, imprisonment and torture of my people'. This, according to a news report in the Guardian, is 'a reference to Iraq and Palestine'. How do they know that? Khan didn't mention the words 'Iraq' or 'Palestine'. And even if he had, so what? Should governments (especially democratically elected ones, in Khan's sneering reference) base their foreign policies on what some loon from Leeds thinks?

Khan also said that his 'driving motivation' was Islam, 'obedience to the one true God, Allah, and [to] follow in the footsteps of the final prophet and messenger Mohammad. This is how our ethical stances are dictated.' But commentators conveniently brushed over such religious nuttiness and upfronted his concern for 'my people' (whomever they might be). In so doing, they are using moral blackmail and feeding off defeatism to try to win the argument about the war in Iraq. What they're effectively saying is: 'Look, if we stay in Iraq then more people like Khan will become angry, strap bombs to themselves, and blow us up! Let's get out now - better safe than sorry.' They are using the politics of fear to make their case, just as cynically and opportunistically as Bush and Blair did when they launched this war to save us from Saddam's 'weapons of mass murder' in the first place.

Ken Clarke plays precisely the same game. Indeed, he may be a posh, cigar-chomping, one-time Thatcherite turned wannabe leader of the clapped-out Conservative Party, but in many ways Clarke is the ideal figurehead for today's anti-war movement. This movement is less about taking a clear and radical stand against the right of the West to intervene in other state's affairs, than it is concerned with preaching the virtues of safety, caution, self-preservation and salvaging British values of 'fair play' in love and war from the jaws of the beastly Bush administration. And who better to speak on behalf of such a small-minded and perversely patriotic movement than an old Tory?


A Clarke victory would completely cede the Right to Tony Blair.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:31 AM

SHEEP ARE ONE THING... (via Thomas Corcoran):

Horse Sense: The debate in Washington state about bestiality is actually a fight over human exceptionalism. (Wesley J. Smith, 08/31/2005, Weekly Standard)

A WASHINGTON MAN died recently from internal injuries he sustained while having sex with a horse. After his body was dropped off at a hospital, police discovered that out-of-towners had rented a rural farm and then made local animals available for use in bestiality. Yes, video taping was involved.

This disgusting story should have had a quick ending with the arrests of the operators of the human/animal sex farm and their swift punishment. However, police discovered that there is no law against bestiality in Washington. So, even though a man is dead from a very intimate injury, even though police confiscated hundreds of graphic videotapes of people having sex with animals, apparently nothing is to be done about it.

Enter Republican state Senator Pam Roach, who announced plans to introduce legislation in the next legislative session to make it a felony in Washington to commit bestiality. "I found out that Washington is one of the few states in the country that doesn't outlaw this activity," she told me. "This has made Washington a Mecca for bestiality. People know it isn't against the law and so they come from other states to have sex with animals."

Roach told me she is receiving cooperation from the Democratic leaders of the legislature, but to her surprise, the proposed bill has stirred some controversy. The most prominent voice so far against outlawing bestiality is the Seattle Post Intelligencer's liberal columnist, Robert L. Jamieson Jr. In a July 23 column, Jamieson ridiculed Roach's proposal, writing that practices such as masturbation, oral sex, and gay sex were once considered wrong, too, and so why worry now about human/animal copulation if the animal isn't injured? "Human sex with animals remains a towering taboo, booty and the beast. But as Princeton University philosopher Peter Singer, the father of the animal rights movement, has put it, 'Sex with animals does not always involve cruelty.'" [...]

BOTH JAMIESON AND ROACH (and a very mild Post Intelligencer editorial supporting Roach) miss the true nub of what makes this repugnant issue so important. Bestiality is so very wrong not only because using animals sexually is abusive, but because such behavior is profoundly degrading and utterly subversive to the crucial understanding that human beings are unique, special, and of the highest moral worth in the known universe--a concept known as "human exceptionalism."

And this brings us back to Peter Singer, the world's most famous bioethicist and philosopher, who clearly does understand that the crucial moral issue of our time is whether human life has intrinsic value simply--merely--because it is human. Indeed, Singer is an avowed enemy of human exceptionalism.


It's easty enough to respect a political opponent with whom you have mere differences on policies or budgetary priorities, but the line that divides those who believe in human exceptionalism from those who don't separates genuine enemies.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:04 AM

MAKE SURE, SOMEONE SHOOT THE MALE:

Fatal Fight Puts Pumas on Brink (Jia-Rui Chong, September 3, 2005, LA Times)

Only one adult mountain lion may be left in the Santa Monica Mountains after a male fatally attacked his mate a few weeks ago, park rangers said.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:50 AM

WELFARE QUEEN CITY:

Ben Franklin Had the Right Idea for New Orleans (JOHN TIERNEY, 9/03/05, NY Times)

[T]he risk of a fire leveling a city like New York is lower than ever. Although the number of fires has dropped so much that experts routinely advise cities to close firehouses, voters' fondness for the stations makes local politicians loath to close any.

But as we've learned this week, few people seem to care passionately about maintaining levees or preparing for a predictable flood. They've left that to Washington, which promised to hold back the waters and absolved coastal dwellers from worrying about hurricanes.

Starting in the 1960's, the federal government took over the business of insuring against floods. It offered subsidized insurance to people in flood-prone areas, encouraging seaside homes that never would have been built otherwise. Even at bargain rates, most people went without flood insurance - only about a third of the homes in New Orleans carried it.

People don't bother to protect themselves because they figure - correctly - that if disaster strikes they'll be reimbursed anyway by FEMA. It gives out money so freely that it has grown into one of the great vote-buying tools of the modern presidency. Bill Clinton set a record for declaring disasters, and then President Bush set the single-state spending record in Florida before last year's election.

Now it's New Orleans's turn. Since Washington didn't keep its promise to protect the city, the federal government should repair the damage and pay for a new flood-control system. But New Orleans and other coastal cities will never be safe if they go on relying on Washington for protection. Members of Congress will always have higher priorities than paying for levees in someone else's state.


The deal is, you don't have to take any responsibility for your own life and when you screw it up bad enough we'll give you a check--just like welfare used to be before we reformed it.

MORE:
Bureaucratic Failure: To understand Katrina's problems, read the 9/11 report. (DANIEL HENNINGER , September 2, 2005, Opinion Journal)

We fail to use well what we know because we rely too much on large public bureaucracies. This was the primary lesson of the 9/11 Commission Report. Large public bureaucracies, whether the FBI and the CIA or FEMA and the Corps of Engineers, don't talk to each other much. They are poorly incentivized, if at all. Budgets, the oxygen of the acronymic planets, make bureaucracy's managers first responders to constant political whim. Real-world problems, as the 9/11 report noted, inevitably seem distant and minor: "Once the danger has fully materialized, evident to all, mobilizing action is easier--but it then may be too late."

Homeland Security, a new big bureaucracy, has struggled since 2001 to assemble a feasible plan to respond to another major terror event inside the U.S. The possibility, or likelihood, of a bird-borne flu pandemic is beginning to reach public awareness, but the government is at pains to create a sufficient supply of vaccine or a distribution system for anti-viral medicines. Any bets on which will come first--the flu or the distribution system?

Big public bureaucracies are going to get us killed. They already have. One may argue that this is an inevitable result of living in an advanced and complex democracy. Yes, up to a point. An open political system indeed breeds inefficiencies (though possibly the Jeb Bush administration that dealt with the 2004 hurricanes is more competent than Gov. Blanco's team in Louisiana). And perhaps low-lying, self-indulgent New Orleans understood its losing bargain with a devil's fate.

But we ought to at least recognize that our increasingly tough First World problems--terrorism, viruses, the rising incidence of powerful natural disasters--are being addressed by a public sector that too often is coming to resemble a Third World that can't execute.

I'll go further. We should consider outsourcing some of these functions, for profit, to the private sector. In recent days, offers of help have come from such companies as Anheuser-Busch and Culligan (water), Lilly, Merck and Wyeth (pharmaceuticals), Nissan and GM (cars and trucks), Sprint, Nextel and Qwest (communications gear and phone cards), Johnson & Johnson (toiletries and first aid), Home Depot and Lowe's (manpower). Give contract authority to organize these resources to a project-management firm like Bechtel. Use the bureaucracies as infantry.


IS CALIFORNIA READY?: Make a plan, now (LA Times, September 3, 2005)
THE SCENES OF DEVASTATION in New Orleans evoke sadness and compassion everywhere, but in California they also evoke a sense of uncomfortable foreboding. The Santa Monica Freeway — or I-10, which is buried under water 1,900 miles east of Santa Monica — isn't the only connective tissue between Los Angeles and the Crescent City. Like the people of New Orleans, Californians clustered around L.A. and San Francisco tempt fate on a daily basis, having decided to live in a vulnerable place that Mother Nature could instantly extinguish. [...]

[W]hat if a monster quake — something in the magnitude 9.0 range — hits greater Los Angeles? Certainly freeways would collapse, hindering attempts to flee the region. Some streets and roads not blocked by collapsed overpasses might be passable. But priority access would be granted to rescue and relief teams. Many are suffering in New Orleans because they did not, or could not, heed the order to evacuate. Of course, there's no warning of an earthquake. But officials often order the evacuation of areas threatened by flood, fire or landslide.

In New Orleans, thousands of residents unable to evacuate — most of them poor, trapped in more ways than one — wandered the streets with nothing more than the clothes they wore. Such scenes demonstrate the need to improve evacuation plans for people who lack their own means of escape, and also the need for families to prepare to survive on their own, if necessary, for days following a disaster.

As often as this has been emphasized in California, the Office of Emergency Services estimates that only 25% to 30% of Californians have a plan of what to do in a disaster. Development of such a plan is not difficult. How to do so is outlined on the Emergency Services website, http://www.oes.ca.gov .

Katrina should serve as a reminder to all Californians that there is no excuse for being ill-prepared.


That 25-30% is a wild overestimation and it won't go up even slightly because of this.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:33 AM

FIND ME A FIND, CATCH ME A CATCH:

A handshake stirs Muslim world (Salman Masood, 9/03/05, International Herald Tribune)

ISLAMABAD The extraordinary encounter in Istanbul between Khurshid Kasuri, the Pakistani foreign minister, and his Israeli counterpart, Silvan Shalom, produced a handshake across two worlds that is likely to have a profound impact here and in other Muslim societies.

While covert contacts between Israel and Pakistan date to the late 1940s, the meeting Thursday in Istanbul was a stark illustration both of Israel's desire to open contacts with more Muslim countries and of Pakistan's strategy, under President Pervez Musharraf, of raising its global profile, above all with the United States.

Since abandoning the Taliban in the wake of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks on the United States, Musharraf has made several decisions unpopular with extremists but welcomed by more moderate, liberal voices in Pakistan that might otherwise be more critical of this military leader's grip on civilian power. [...]

[M]usharraf surely recognizes that it is impossible to become a strong ally of the United States without opening a channel to Israel. He had already sparked controversy - and in a sense set the stage for the Istanbul meeting - by agreeing to address the American Jewish Congress during his visit to America in September.

For its part, Israel hailed the meeting of the two foreign ministers as "historic and a huge breakthrough." Masood, the retired general, noted that Israel "recognizes Pakistan as an important Muslim country because of its close ties with Muslim countries, both conservative and moderate. Friendly relations with Pakistan can open channels as it can act as a bridge" - perhaps even to Saudi Arabia and Iran.

In many ways, Islamic Pakistan and Jewish Israel resemble each other - despite Pakistan's political and economic instability. Both countries are based on ideology, with religion as the foundation of their nationhood. Although Israel does not state this openly, both have nuclear weapons. Both are security-driven. Both grapple with threats from neighbors who are reluctant or unwilling to accept them.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:30 AM

ONE FOR THE GOOD GUYS:

Kurds get their way in Baghdad (Dexter Filkins, 9/03/05, The New York Times)

The old Kurdish guerrilla leader is savoring his most recent victory, won not on the field of battle but in the arid drawing rooms of Baghdad's constitutional convention.

In three weeks of talks here, Massoud Barzani, the former guerrilla leader, quietly secured in the new Iraqi constitution virtually everything the Kurds were asking for, enshrining powers of autonomy that approach those of a sovereign state. [...]

The Kurds even secured a deadline of Dec. 31, 2007, for bringing back tens of thousands of Kurds expelled by the armed forces of Saddam Hussein in the 1980s.

The constitution limits the exclusive powers of the central government in Baghdad to a few important areas like control over currency, foreign policy and defense.

Policy making in areas like health care and the environment would be "shared" between the Kurds and Baghdad, but the Kurds would have the right to change most federal laws if they conflicted with local legislation. That includes federal taxes.

The new constitution would ratify all laws passed by the Kurdish regional government since 1992.

In effect, the new Iraqi constitution formally ratifies the quasi-independent status the Kurdish region has held since 1991, when the murderous postwar rampages of Saddam prompted the United States to set up an aerial security umbrella that allowed the Kurds to flourish outside the control of the central government in Baghdad.

We should have recognized Kurdistan as an independent state before the 2003 war ever started.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:53 AM

THE PROSPECT OF LOSING ONE'S BITCH:

France profonde: Without the Franco-German "motor," the European machine would grind to a halt. This suits Chirac just fine, but Germany's next chancellor sees it as a major problem (Tim King, September 2005, Prospect)

[W]hen Köhl decided to reunify Germany, Mitterrand was horrified. Afraid that France would be marginalised, he seized on a single European currency as the way to retain influence over German policy. Mitterand made it clear that he would not accept German unification unless Germany gave up the deutschmark and allowed a European bank (under a Frenchman, Paris assumed) to control German monetary policy. Once Köhl agreed, the single currency became inevitable – with Britain left outside the door.

But within two years of the euro’s birth, France and Germany were demanding changes to the fiscal rules they had created but were unable to keep. To the fury of some smaller countries in Europe, the motor had become a steamroller. This is precisely why Angela Merkel wants to broaden the consultative platform, implicitly ending 40 years of Franco-German hegemony. But for Chirac this would spell disaster: French influence, already weakened by the referendum, would fall further. The motor with Germany is his last card. Does Merkel have the strength to resist Chirac’s forceful, sometimes seductive, sometimes bully-boy advances? After all, when Schröder was elected in 1998, many Europeans saw him as an ally of Blair: reforming the Cap, forging a Bonn-London axis. Close to panic, Chirac turned on the charm, and the result is history: regular Franco-German summits, as often as every six weeks, have given Chirac a huge influence over Schröder, enabling him to change the chancellor’s mind literally overnight. In a Brussels hotel in October 2002, Chirac persuaded Schröder to drop German interests in favour of backing him in a “ruthless coup” against Blair, refusing all reform to the Cap. “Without the Franco-German accord,” Chirac quipped merrily the next day, “Europe grinds to a halt.”

Merkel knows Chirac is right, but she, rather than crowing about it, sees it as Europe’s major problem.


There's something wrong with a world where the Frenchman has the German on a leash.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

INTERVENE NOW OR WE'LL HAVE TO PICK UP THE PIECES LATER:

Venezuela 'targets private banks' (BBC, 9/03/05)

The Venezuelan government is reported to be planning to insist that all private banks appoint two state representatives to their board.

Such a move is likely to be part of the country's forthcoming new banking law, according to the UK's Financial Times.

A continuation of left-wing President Hugo Chavez's aim to create "socialism of the 21st Century", a number of foreign banks would be affected. [...]

The reported move to put government representatives on the boards of private banks comes as businesses across Venezuela are being asked to ensure 20% worker representation in their board rooms.

Analysts say that the government's chosen bank appointees would be there to ensure loans and other money flows are more determined by left-leaning political considerations rather than pure financial gain factors.

"The government has a revolutionary project and by necessity that has to go through controlling the flow of credit," Venezuelan banking expert Francisco Faraco told the FT.


It's disgraceful for us to stand by and let him ruin what was already a pretty rotten country.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

THE BOMBS WERE AN IMPROVEMENT (via Robert Schwartz):

London Nixes Ads for Jerry Hall TV Show (AP, 9/01/05)

Jerry Hall is in trouble below ground. Ads for her new reality show, "Kept," have been banned from London's subway system because the poster - which shows Hall surrounded by several half-naked men with her holding a leash wrapped around their necks - violates a rule banning the use of people as sex objects.

The London Underground, which operates the vast public transportation network, said the poster had been put up in four stations without permission.

"This advert breaches our advertising code relating to the depiction of men, women and children as sexual objects," a London Underground spokesman said Wednesday.
"Kept," which has already been shown in the United States, begins airing in Britain this week. In it, the 49-year-old former model and ex-wife of Rolling Stone Mick Jagger tries to find a younger man to be her boy toy. Twelve men will compete, with the winner receiving a six-figure cash prize.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

"NOT ACCEPTABLE":

Bush consoles Katrina victims (Bill Sammon, September 3, 2005, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

President Bush yesterday acknowledged that the federal government's response to the devastation wrought by Hurricane Katrina was "not enough," as he personally delivered a help-is-on-the-way message to Gulf Coast residents stranded for nearly a week without food or water.

"This is a storm that requires immediate action, now," said the president, who spent the day touring hard-hit communities in Alabama, Mississippi and Louisiana. "I understand the devastation requires more than one day's attention. It's going to require the attention of this country for a long period of time."

As he did after the terrorist attacks of September 11, Mr. Bush took on the role of comforter in chief. He walked along streets where houses had been reduced to piles of rubble, consoling residents who lost everything with hugs and words of support. [...]

Before departing on his tour, the president said on the White House front lawn that early results from his administration's emergency response to the hurricane were "not acceptable."

"I want to assure the people of the affected areas and this country that we'll deploy the assets necessary to get the situation under control, to get the help to the people who have been affected," Mr. Bush said.

Europe's response: An odd mixture (Richard Bernstein, 9/03/05, The New York Times)
It is hard to measure this, but judging from the commentary and the blogs, the collective European sorrow for the victims of the tsunami, and certainly for Sept. 11, seems to have been more immediate and deeply felt than for the victims of Katrina, and this is not only because the tsunami was far vaster in its destructiveness. It is also because the tsunami victims were, by and large, poor. But there are other factors at work here, notably that the spectacle of the hurricane causing a disaster of third world proportions in the United States seems to have provoked a sort of dismay among Europeans mingling with the sorrow.

As a reporter on BBC Television said on Friday, not able to keep the anger from his voice, the looting, the armed gangs, the gunplay, and, especially, the arrogance, in his view, that mostly white police displayed toward mostly black residents, represented "the dark underbelly of life in this country."

There is something shameful about the way a natural disaster has produced behavior that, for example, the tsunami did not produce in the third world countries it hit, and it is painful to be a witness to somebody else's shame.

"Why should hundreds die, mostly African-Americans, in a predicted disaster in the richest nation on earth," was one expression of a widespread feeling in Europe, this one appearing Friday in a letter in the Guardian, the British paper.

Troops and relief aid arrive in New Orleans (Joseph B. Treaster and Maria Newman, SEPTEMBER 3, 2005, The New York Times)
Four days after Hurricane Katrina tore through the Gulf Coast and left most of this city under water, a convoy of dozens of National Guard trucks bearing food, water and weapons arrived here Friday to begin helping thousands of homeless people ever more desperate about dwindling supplies and growing violence in this chaotic city.

As the vehicles wended their way through the city's watery streets, and rows of soldiers entered the Superdome, where thousands of desperate refugees have congregated, President George W. Bush, who was facing sharp criticism over the government's response to the disaster, arrived in Biloxi, Mississippi, to spend a day touring storm-ravaged areas. The backdrop to the president's visit included widely televised images of fires and explosions that jolted an area near the French Quarter in New Orleans on Friday morning, and the angry voice of Mayor C. Ray Nagin.

Nagin railed in a radio interview about the slow pace of federal assistance to handle what is clearly one of the most overwhelming national disasters in a long time.

Vowing that the government would restore order in New Orleans, Bush said that $10.5 billion approved by Congress was just a small down payment for disaster relief.

"It's worse than imaginable," the president said after walking through a battered Biloxi neighborhood. He also warned of gasoline supply problems this weekend because of damaged refineries and pipelines.

New Orleans orders evacuation: Hurricane Katrina's winds nearly 175 mph (CNN, August 28, 2005)
New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin declared a state of emergency on Sunday and ordered a mandatory evacuation of the city as Hurricane Katrina churned toward the city with maximum sustained winds of nearly 175 mph.

All of Orleans Parish falls under the order except for necessary personnel in government, emergency and some other public service categories.

People who are unable to evacuate were told to immediately report to a designated shelter.

"I wish I had better news for you, but we are facing a storm that most of us have feared," Nagin said. "I do not want to create panic, but I do want the citizens to understand that this is very serious and it's of the highest nature."

Louisiana Gov. Kathleen Blanco said that President Bush had called and urged the state to order the evacuation.


Does Mayor Nagin own a mirror?


September 2, 2005

Posted by Peter Burnet at 7:14 PM

NEIGHBOURS HELP ONE ANOTHER

Too sick to shoot up? Call a volunteer (Canadian Press, September 1st, 2005)

Addicts, crippled and blinded by their drug use and too sick to shoot themselves up, will be helped by a volunteer team of users to get high safely.

Forty members of the Vancouver Area Network of Drug Users will be patrolling the Downtown Eastside, a slum and open drug market that teems with disease, offering injection education and assistance.

“Most of the stats show people who are incapable of injecting themselves or have a hard time have the highest rate of HIV,” said Diane Tobin, the new and first female president of the users' harm reduction group.

VANDU, which is wholly run by volunteers, has 12 members trained and walking the alleys now. Ms. Tobin said they hope to get a room where people can also come to them.

“There's a huge need out there,” said Ms. Tobin, who is back on heroin to deal with withdrawal from methadone.[...]

Health Canada is calling for a change to the law that prevents peers and nurses in the city's sanctioned safe injection site from helping people inject.

But lighting their cigarettes for them will be a felony..


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:52 PM

OVERRIDE:

After Centuries of 'Controlling' Land, Gulf Learns Who's the Boss (CORNELIA DEAN and ANDREW C. REVKIN

The Gulf Coast has always been vulnerable to coastal storms, but over the years people have made things worse, particularly in Louisiana, where Hurricane Katrina struck yesterday. Since the 18th century, when French colonial administrators required land claimants to establish ownership by building levees along bayous, streams and rivers, people have been trying to dominate the region's landscape and the forces of its nature.

As long as people could control floods, they could do business. But, as people learned too late, the landscape of South Louisiana depends on floods: it is made of loose Mississippi River silt, and the ground subsides as this silt consolidates. Only regular floods of muddy water can replenish the sediment and keep the landscape above water. But flood control projects channel the river's nourishing sediment to the end of the birdfoot delta and out into the deep water of the Gulf of Mexico.

Although early travelers realized the irrationality of building a port on shifting mud in an area regularly ravaged by storms and disease, the opportunities to make money overrode all objections.


One thing you have to say for George W. Bush, here's a guy the Left hates so much that they're apoplectic that land speculators got their comeuppance and that gasoline costs have risen.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:19 PM

WELL, ONE OF THE THREE WAS THINKING:

New Orleans orders evacuation: Hurricane Katrina's winds nearly 175 mph (CNN, August 28, 2005)

New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin declared a state of emergency on Sunday and ordered a mandatory evacuation of the city as Hurricane Katrina churned toward the city with maximum sustained winds of nearly 175 mph.

All of Orleans Parish falls under the order except for necessary personnel in government, emergency and some other public service categories.

People who are unable to evacuate were told to immediately report to a designated shelter.

"I wish I had better news for you, but we are facing a storm that most of us have feared," Nagin said. "I do not want to create panic, but I do want the citizens to understand that this is very serious and it's of the highest nature."

Louisiana Gov. Kathleen Blanco said that President Bush had called and urged the state to order the evacuation.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:40 PM

MUST SEE TV:

In Depth: Harvey Mansfield (C-SPAN, September 4 at 12:00 pm , Book-TV)

Every home library should have his translations of Machiavelli's Prince and de Tocqueville's Democracy in America.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 4:16 PM

DESIGNING WORMS (via bboys):

Suicide Grasshoppers Brainwashed by Parasite Worms (James Owen, September 1, 2005, National Geographic News)

[S]ci-fi screenwriters may have a new role model—parasitic worms that brainwash their victims.

Scientists say hairworms, which live inside grasshoppers, pump the insects with a cocktail of chemicals that makes them commit suicide by leaping into water. The parasites then swim away from their drowning hosts to continue their life cycle.

A team of French biologists made the discovery after monitoring grasshoppers that became trapped in a swimming pool in southern France.

Postmortems of the grasshoppers suggest that worms triggered the insects' death leaps by sabotaging their central nervous systems.

Writing this week in the journal Proceedings of the Royal Society B, the team says their findings help explain how parasites are able to manipulate their hosts' behavior to the parasites' own ends.

Scientists have long argued whether strange behavior in parasite-infested animals is deliberately engineered or simply an accidental side effect of infection.

The new study suggests the former, says David G. Biron of the Laboratory of Genetics and Evolution of Infectious Diseases at France's National Scientific Research Center in Montpellier.


Geez, in public they always pretend there is no intelligent design in Nature.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 1:13 PM

CYCLE OF VIRTUE:

Israel halts West Bank expansion plans (KARIN LAUB, 9/02/05, Associated Press)

Israel has frozen plans to expand its largest West Bank settlement and will only revive the project with U.S. consent, Israel's vice premier said in remarks published Friday, addressing an explosive issue that could determine the future of disputed Jerusalem and Mideast peacemaking.

Expanding Maaleh Adumim settlement would cut off east Jerusalem from its West Bank hinterland, making it virtually impossible for the Palestinians to establish a capital in that part of the city.

Previous rounds of Israeli-Palestinian bloodshed have erupted over Jerusalem, home to shrines sacred in both Judaism and Islam.

Palestinian officials on Friday welcomed the comments by Israeli Vice Premier Ehud Olmert, but said they have not been formally notified of a decision to suspend the expansion. The chief Palestinian negotiator, Saeb Erekat, urged Israel to call off the construction altogether.

The United States has asked Israel not to expand West Bank settlements, in line with its commitment under the internationally backed "road map" peace plan.


The edge of the map nears...


Posted by Peter Burnet at 1:11 PM

THE CURSE OF THE LITTLE GREY CELLS

British intellectual life today(Daniel Johnson, The New Criterion, September, 2005)

Lately, a refinement, the “public intellectual,” has been imported from the United States. The phrase is now common enough, though some English satirists still think it very droll to make scatological mockery of the pretensions of this species as a “public convenience” (a euphemism for lavatory). A year ago, Prospect magazine ran a poll to find “Britain’’s top 100 public intellectuals.” While the exercise was questionable, not only for its inclusions and exclusions, but also for its inherent vulgarity, the results mercilessly illuminate the advancing mediocrity of British intellectual life.

Top of the list was Richard Dawkins, the Professor of the Public Understanding of Science at Oxford. Not even his admirers would claim that Professor Dawkins is an eminent scientist; he was only elected to the Royal Society in 2001, presumably for ornamental reasons. As his title suggests, Dawkins is a popularizer, with a talent for anthropomorphism (“the selfish gene”) rather than an original thinker. Nothing wrong with that, even if such a figure belongs in a television studio rather than an Oxford chair. The best popularizers of science have mostly been great scientists themselves: Einstein, Schroedinger, Feynman, Hawking are all examples. Though true scientists sometimes speculate about the metaphysical consequences of their theories, they rarely claim authority outside their own domain and are usually content to let science and theology coexist, side by side.

Professor Dawkins represents something quite different: the institutionalization of atheism. He is a professor of propaganda, who uses his prestige to promote a militantly secularist and scientistic agenda. His case for atheism boils down to the argument that God is simply bad logic: “The creationist, whether a naive Bible-thumper or an educated bishop, simply postulates an already existing being of prodigious intelligence and complexity.” Dawkins imagines that God should be no less explicable than any other natural phenomenon. But it is he, not the Christian, who is guilty of a category mistake. God, by definition, cannot be explained according to the laws of nature, since He is the source of those laws. One cannot just reduce metaphysics to physics. In many ways, Dawkins is cruder than his Victorian equivalents, Thomas Huxley and Herbert Spencer. That Dawkins is enjoying some success in his endeavor to reverse fifteen centuries of Anglo-Saxon Christianity is demonstrated by the fact that St. Augustine’’s most recent successor as Archbishop of Canterbury, Rowan Williams, came sixteenth in the Prospect poll. Dr. Williams used to be Professor of Divinity at Oxford; his chief contribution to scholarship was an apologia for Arius, the greatest heretic of antiquity. The success of Dawkins has been won by default. “For the children of this world are in their generation wiser than the children of light.”

Just below Professor Dawkins came two intellectual survivors: the feminist Germaine Greer and the historian Eric Hobsbawm. Just as Dr. Greer remains the angry author of The Female Eunuch long after feminism’s raison d’être disappeared, so Professor Hobsbawm remained a card-carrying Communist until the party dissolved itself. He now rejoices in his status as a Companion of Honour to a monarch whose family would, if the professor’s comrades had ever come to power, almost certainly have shared the grisly fate of their Russian cousins at the hands of Lenin.

The otherwise inexplicable esteem in which the likes of Hobsbawm are still held becomes comprehensible in the light of a recent web poll, conducted by BBC Radio 4, to find Britain’s favorite philosopher. The winner was Karl Marx, with more than twice as many votes as David Hume. Wittgenstein, Nietzsche, Plato, and Kant were left far behind. In no country that has recently emerged from the long shadow of Marxism would such a vote be conceivable. But British intellectuals treat Marx as if he were harmless; his advocate, Francis Wheen, wrote a revisionist biography which depicts Marx as a jolly Dickensian character, rather than as the ruthless disseminator of the most destructive doctrine in history. Hume is the antithesis of Marx in every respect—metaphysics, morals, politics, economics—with one exception: religion. It is another sign of how far the secularization of British culture has progressed that of the nation’’s two favorite thinkers, one was an atheist, the other a deist, and both were notorious critics of Christianity.

How do we explain the choice of Marx over Hume, admittedly by a self-selecting sample of the British intelligentsia? After all, Hume was a rigorous thinker, who has influenced almost every philosopher since Kant, whereas Marx was scarcely a philosopher at all. Where Marx’s works are the accumulated outpourings of a revolutionary ideologue, Hume’s thought is empirical, sceptical, conservative: all qualities calculated to appeal to the British. As a historian or essayist, too, Hume is more readable and less dated than Marx, and his personality is incomparably more attractive. The one advantage Marx enjoys over Hume—and it was evidently decisive in the BBC poll—is that Marx’s desire not merely to understand but to reorder the world according to a pseudo-scientific system makes him an archetypal modern intellectual, whereas Hume’s more contemplative cast of mind belongs to an earlier age.

Intellectuals of Marx’s type, who are the products of illiberal societies, are often illiberal themselves. In Continental societies lacking the freedom of the press, figures like Balzac and Zola, Heine and Ibsen, Herzen and Tolstoy performed a necessary function. But just as the Enlightenment savants from Voltaire and Rousseau onwards infused the French Revolution with its unprecedented extremism, culminating in the Terror, so the “revolution of the intellectuals” in 1848 spawned the ideology of socialism which, in its Marxist form, gave the entire twentieth century a totalitarian hue. The intellectual as secular missionary sees his own vocation in levelling the finger of accusation at his own society, economy, and culture. Despite the evidence of a century of grand revolutionary projects, every one of which has ended in catastrophe, this presumption of guilt is still ubiquitous among the self-appointed arbiters of European intellectual life. For them, the purpose of politics is to demolish the past, to rebuild the present from scratch and to mortgage the future, all for the sake of an unexamined and morally dubious premise: that the intellectuals know what is good for the rest and, moreover, how to bring it about.

No one understands the fevered madness of modern intellectual life better than Mr. Johnson’s namesake, Paul Johnson, whose brilliant Intellectuals tracks the stories of all the post-Enlightenment Western savants who combined the preaching of abstract nirvanas and utopian new ways to live with an uncanny ability to inflict pain and havoc on those around them.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 10:28 AM

THE RACE TO REWARD ISRAEL:

King Abdullah of Jordan to visit Israel (Associated Press, Sep. 1, 2005)

A senior Israeli official said Thursday that Jordan's King Abdullah II has agreed to visit Israel.

Israeli and Jordanian officials have been trying to arrange a visit, and the monarch has agreed in principle to come to Israel, but a date has not yet been finalized, the official said on condition of anonymity due to the sensitive nature of the subject.

Abdullah could visit as early as next week, Maariv reported Thursday.


You'll recall that the Bush/Sharon unilateralism as regards Palestine was supposed to be a diplomatic disaster?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:38 AM

THE MULLAHS PICKED THE WRONG AXIS:

Pakistan and Israel deal Iran a blow (Safa Haeri , 9/03/05, Asia Times)

The meeting between Silvan Shalom of Israel and Khurseed Mahmoud Kasuri of Pakistan, described by many observers as historic, was the fruit of secret efforts by the pro-Islamic Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan to help diffuse Middle East tensions.

The three countries involved in the meeting are Washington's close strategic allies, while Turkey has deep military and security cooperation with Israel.

"It is no coincidence that this meeting took place here in Turkey, this great Muslim democracy, and Israel's long-standing friend," Shalom observed, adding, "Israel's relations with Turkey are proof that Israel can enjoy good and mutually beneficial relations with our Muslim neighbors."

"The meeting between Pakistan and Israel is a great blow to the policies of the Islamic republic based on an unabated antagonism with Israel and the 'Palestiniation' of its diplomacy which, in the past two decades, were the cause of many crises in Iran's foreign relations and increases in tensions with the United States, resulting in huge damage to our national interests," commented Iran Emrooz, a Persian-language Internet news website based in Germany.

So far, there has been no comment from Tehran, but a source close to the new government of President Mahmud Ahmadinejad said, "They are shocked to the point of being choked off," referring to the Iranian leaders. [...]

The sole Muslim regime to have openly made the destruction of the Jewish state a pillar principle of its foreign policy, Iran is now more isolated than ever before in the region, in the Muslim community and in the world, as Israel has diplomatic relations with most Muslim nations in Central Asia. It is also recognized at different levels by most of the Persian Gulf sheikdoms and has a presence in Afghanistan and also in Iraq, thanks to the traditional ties it enjoys with the Kurds.


The Sunni will always hate Iran, but the Shi'a have so much in common with Jews their enmity makes no long term sense. Good rallyoing point for a nascent revolutionary regime, bad geopolitics for a stable republic.


MORE:
Pakistan Reaches Out To Israel at Meeting: Envoys' First Talks Follow Gaza Pullout (Kamran Khan, September 2, 2005, The Washington Post)

A senior Foreign Ministry official said Pakistan had informed Saudi Arabia and the Palestinian Authority president, Mahmoud Abbas, of Musharraf's decision to open a dialogue with Israel and that Abbas, in particular, was "very supportive of this idea." [...]

Musharraf is a key ally in the U.S.-led war on terrorism, and his overture to Israel is in keeping with his pro-Western foreign policy. Moreover, many Pakistanis, including some in the upper ranks of the army, privately admire Israel both for its military prowess and for its success in forging a modern state based on religious identity, an example they would like to emulate.

"It is wrong to assume that General Musharraf has taken a huge risk," said Hasan Askari Rizvi, a political analyst. "This is a calculated move because a majority of Pakistanis do not support an extremist religious view of Pakistan's relations with Israel."

Musharraf's aide described Thursday's meeting as part of a broader initiative. The meeting could soon be followed by an official visit to Gaza by a Pakistani delegation, officials said.

"Pakistan believes that by engaging Israel diplomatically, it can help resolve the Middle East crisis," Kasuri said in a telephone interview from Istanbul.


Israel and Pakistan make 'a huge breakthrough' (Steven Erlanger and Salman Masood, SEPTEMBER 2, 2005, The New York Times)
The foreign ministers of Israel and Pakistan on Thursday met publicly for the first time, a diplomatic breakthrough brokered by Turkey that appeared to be a first payoff for the Israeli withdrawal from the occupied Gaza Strip.

A jubilant Silvan Shalom, the Israeli foreign minister, called the meeting at an Istanbul hotel historic and "a huge breakthrough."

"This is the time for all Muslim and Arab countries to reconsider their relations with Israel," he said. "We think it will be a very positive signal to Israeli and Palestinian public opinion that there are some fruits from this withdrawal from Gaza." [...]

The administration of George W. Bush, which is Israel's closest friend and has strongly supported the Gaza withdrawal as an important step in the peace process, may have encouraged Islamabad to step forward, Israeli officials suggested.


Posted by Peter Burnet at 7:27 AM

DIVINE WRATH FOR SECULARISTS

After the Katrina tragedy, the looters come with their lies and half-truths (Gerard Baker, Timesonline, September 2nd, 2005)

Catastrophe, as is the natural order of things, brings out the best in most humans, and the worst in some. When Katrina struck the US Gulf Coast this week, the first images reflected man’s instinctive compassion, heartening tableaux of daring rescues and selfless giving.

Then, of course, came the looting, the inevitable exploitation of misery that contributes the insult of human depravity to the injury of natural disaster, a piteous reminder that in the race to the bottom, even the most heinous of the elements are no match for the baser instincts of Man.

This duality has its counterpart in the response beyond those immediately affected: around the world expressions of sympathy and offers of help poured in. And then came the predictable exploitation of the tragedy for political purposes, the dishonest advancing of an ideological agenda. This represents a sort of intellectual looting, in which the perpetrators help themselves selectively to convenient facts for their own delectation, sidestepping the dead and dispossessed before making off with their meretricious spoils.

In Katrina’s case, the intellectual looters have busied themselves with plundering half-truths and false analyses to advance one of their most precious agendas: global warming.

The German Environment Minister, Jurgen Trittin, was first, with a claim that this was a real-life version of the shock-flick, The Day After Tomorrow. Sir David King, Tony Blair’s chief scientific adviser, weighed in, saying global warming was increasing the risk from hurricanes. Robert F. Kennedy Jr, self-designated leader of the American environmentalist cause, said the US was reaping the failure to sign up to the Kyoto Protocol. And, of course, Cindy Sheehan, the bereaved mother of a US soldier who leads the antiwar campaign and any other left-wing cause that wants her, noted President Bush was “heading to Louisiana to see the devastation that his environmental policies and his killing policies have caused”.

Best of all, though, was the contribution of Jon Snow, enthroned as the objective voice of British media at Channel 4 News, who chortled: “How ironic that the world’s No 1 polluter is now reaping the ‘rewards’ that so many have warned would flow.”

More: Katrina comes home to roost (Sidney Blumenthal, The Guardian, September 2nd, 2005)

In February 2004, 60 scientists warned in a statement, Restoring Scientific Integrity in Policymaking: "Successful application of science has played a large part in the policies that have made the US the world's most powerful nation and its citizens increasingly prosperous and healthy ... Indeed, this principle has long been adhered to by presidents and administrations of both parties in forming and implementing policies. The administration of George W Bush has, however, disregarded this principle ... The distortion of scientific knowledge for partisan political ends must cease..." Bush ignored the statement.

In the two weeks preceding the storm, the trumping of science by ideology and expertise by special interests accelerated. The Federal Drug Administration announced it was postponing sale of the morning-after pill, despite overwhelming scientific evidence of its safety and approval by the FDA's scientific advisory board.

The UN special envoy for HIV/Aids in Africa accused the Bush administration of responsibility for a condom shortage in Uganda as a result of pushing its evangelical Christian agenda of "abstinence". The chief of the board of justice statistics in the justice department was ordered by the White House to delete its study that African-Americans and minorities are subject to racial profiling in police traffic stops. He refused to concede and was forced to quit. When the army's chief contracting oversight analyst objected to a $7bn no-bid contract awarded for work in Iraq to Halliburton, she was demoted despite her superior professional ratings.

On the day the levee burst in New Orleans, Bush delivered a speech comparing the Iraq war to the second world war and himself to Franklin D Roosevelt: "And he knew that the best way to bring peace and stability to the region was by bringing freedom to Japan." Bush had boarded his very own Streetcar Named Desire.

Just what exactly is the difference between these and this?



Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:19 AM

UNINTELLIGENT DESIGN:

New Orleans Levees Not Built for Worst Case Events (Brian Handwerk, September 2, 2005, National Geographic News)

New Orleans is surrounded by water—Lake Pontchartrain, the Mississippi River, and the nearby Gulf of Mexico. Resting an average of six feet (two meters) below sea level, the city's safety has long depended on one of the world's most extensive levee systems.

On Thursday afternoon, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers officials briefed reporters on the status of that levee system, even as much of the city remained flooded and crews worked to repair breeches along city canals.

The bowl-like shape of New Orleans prevents water from draining away, as broken levees continue to allow water to flow into city streets. No one is sure how long it will take to pump out floodwaters once the levees are repaired.

Lt. Gen. Carl Strock, chief of engineers for the Corps, dismissed suggestions that recent federal funding decreases or delayed contracts had any impact on levee performance in the face of Katrina's overwhelming force.

Instead he pointed to a danger that many public officials had warned about for years: The system was never designed to withstand a storm of Katrina's strength.

"It was fully recognized by officials that we had Category Three [hurricane] level of protection," Strock said. "As projections of Category Four and Five were made, [officials] began plans to evacuate the city.

"We were just caught by a storm whose intensity exceeded the protection that we had in place."


But, just think, we could have had a brand new multi-billion dollar project fail instead of an old one....


MORE:
Gone With The Water: The Louisiana bayou, hardest working marsh in America, is in big trouble—with dire consequences for residents, the nearby city of New Orleans, and seafood lovers everywhere. ( Joel K. Bourne, Jr., 10/04, National Geographic)

It was a broiling August afternoon in New Orleans, Louisiana, the Big Easy, the City That Care Forgot. Those who ventured outside moved as if they were swimming in tupelo honey. Those inside paid silent homage to the man who invented air-conditioning as they watched TV "storm teams" warn of a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. Nothing surprising there: Hurricanes in August are as much a part of life in this town as hangovers on Ash Wednesday.

But the next day the storm gathered steam and drew a bead on the city. As the whirling maelstrom approached the coast, more than a million people evacuated to higher ground. Some 200,000 remained, however—the car-less, the homeless, the aged and infirm, and those die-hard New Orleanians who look for any excuse to throw a party.

The storm hit Breton Sound with the fury of a nuclear warhead, pushing a deadly storm surge into Lake Pontchartrain. The water crept to the top of the massive berm that holds back the lake and then spilled over. Nearly 80 percent of New Orleans lies below sea level—more than eight feet below in places—so the water poured in. A liquid brown wall washed over the brick ranch homes of Gentilly, over the clapboard houses of the Ninth Ward, over the white-columned porches of the Garden District, until it raced through the bars and strip joints on Bourbon Street like the pale rider of the Apocalypse. As it reached 25 feet (eight meters) over parts of the city, people climbed onto roofs to escape it.

Thousands drowned in the murky brew that was soon contaminated by sewage and industrial waste. Thousands more who survived the flood later perished from dehydration and disease as they waited to be rescued. It took two months to pump the city dry, and by then the Big Easy was buried under a blanket of putrid sediment, a million people were homeless, and 50,000 were dead. It was the worst natural disaster in the history of the United States.

When did this calamity happen? It hasn't—yet. But the doomsday scenario is not far-fetched. The Federal Emergency Management Agency lists a hurricane strike on New Orleans as one of the most dire threats to the nation, up there with a large earthquake in California or a terrorist attack on New York City. Even the Red Cross no longer opens hurricane shelters in the city, claiming the risk to its workers is too great.

"The killer for Louisiana is a Category Three storm at 72 hours before landfall that becomes a Category Four at 48 hours and a Category Five at 24 hours—coming from the worst direction," says Joe Suhayda, a retired coastal engineer at Louisiana State University who has spent 30 years studying the coast. Suhayda is sitting in a lakefront restaurant on an actual August afternoon sipping lemonade and talking about the chinks in the city's hurricane armor. "I don't think people realize how precarious we are,"
Suhayda says, watching sailboats glide by. "Our technology is great when it works. But when it fails, it's going to make things much worse."

The chances of such a storm hitting New Orleans in any given year are slight, but the danger is growing. Climatologists predict that powerful storms may occur more frequently this century, while rising sea level from global warming is putting low-lying coasts at greater risk. "It's not if it will happen," says University of New Orleans geologist Shea Penland. "It's when."

Yet just as the risks of a killer storm are rising, the city's natural defenses are quietly melting away. From the Mississippi border to the Texas state line, Louisiana is losing its protective fringe of marshes and barrier islands faster than any place in the U.S. Since the 1930s some 1,900 square miles (4,900 square kilometers) of coastal wetlands—a swath nearly the size of Delaware or almost twice that of Luxembourg—have vanished beneath the Gulf of Mexico. Despite nearly half a billion dollars spent over the past decade to stem the tide, the state continues to lose about 25 square miles (65 square kilometers) of land each year, roughly one acre every 33 minutes.

A cocktail of natural and human factors is putting the coast under. Delta soils naturally compact and sink over time, eventually giving way to open water unless fresh layers of sediment offset the subsidence. The Mississippi's spring floods once maintained that balance, but the annual deluges were often disastrous. After a devastating flood in 1927, levees were raised along the river and lined with concrete, effectively funneling the marsh-building sediments to the deep waters of the Gulf. Since the 1950s engineers have also cut more than 8,000 miles (13,000 kilometers) of canals through the marsh for petroleum exploration and ship traffic. These new ditches sliced the wetlands into a giant jigsaw puzzle, increasing erosion and allowing lethal doses of salt water to infiltrate brackish and freshwater marshes.

While such loss hits every bayou-loving Louisianan right in the heart, it also hits nearly every U.S. citizen right in the wallet. Louisiana has the hardest working wetlands in America, a watery world of bayous, marshes, and barrier islands that either produces or transports more than a third of the nation's oil and a quarter of its natural gas, and ranks second only to Alaska in commercial fish landings. As wildlife habitat, it makes Florida's Everglades look like a petting zoo by comparison.

Such high stakes compelled a host of unlikely bedfellows—scientists, environmental groups, business leaders, and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers—to forge a radical plan to protect what's left. Drafted by the Corps a year ago, the Louisiana Coastal Area (LCA) project was initially estimated to cost up to 14 billion dollars over 30 years, almost twice as much as current efforts to save the Everglades. But the Bush Administration balked at the price tag, supporting instead a plan to spend up to two billion dollars over the next ten years to fund the most promising projects. Either way, Congress must authorize the money before work can begin.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:02 AM

HOW BIBI COULD KILL OFF ZION:

If Sharon leaves Likud behind (Uri Dromi, SEPTEMBER 2, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

The quick and relatively smooth execution of Ariel Sharon's plan to evacuate Jewish settlements from the Gaza Strip and the northern West Bank has won him praise from all around the world. Yet back home he is fighting for his political survival as the leader of his Likud Party and consequently as prime minister of Israel.

Sharon is being challenged by former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who quit the government and now heads the opposition to Sharon in the Likud Party. But opinion polls show that among the public at large he enjoys across-the-board support: Two out of three Israelis, regardless of their political affiliation, feel that he is leading the country in the right direction. If Sharon is defeated in the primaries by Netanyahu, I wouldn't be surprised if he leaves Likud and forms a new centrist party together with other factions and groups.

The political arena in Israel, which has long ceased to reflect the true aspirations and interests of the Israelis, is ready for such a reshuffle. Let Netanyahu stay with the old Likud and cling to the past. A new centrist party should look with hope to a future where Israel - smaller in size but stronger in spirit - will dwell peacefully next to a viable Palestinian state.

The problem is that it's Netanyahu who understands the Israeli need to emulate Anglo-American economics and Third Way government programs, but Sharon who understands the geopolitics. Only a party that combines both can save Israel, at least temporarily, and there aren't enough on the Left who would permit Sharon to follow Netanyahu's domestic lead.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

WHICH IS WHY SHE'LL LOSE:

New French plan: No labor overhaul> (James Kanter, SEPTEMBER 2, 2005, International Herald Tribune)

Prime Minister Dominique de Villepin on Thursday unveiled what he called a modern model for France that maintains the country's tradition of social protection and offered middle-class tax breaks to revive the sluggish economy.

Villepin's plan, which he announced a week before his first 100 days in office draw to a close, contrasts markedly with proposals from a fellow conservative, Angela Merkel, the German opposition leader. He offered little new in terms of overhauling the inflexible labor laws that the International Monetary Fund and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development say are a major drag on the French economy.

Merkel has promised to make labor overhaul a priority if she is elected, holding it up as a central plank of her economic revival plan for Germany.

Why should a dying people work harder?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

IT'S NOT THE HIGH HEAT, IT'S THE HUMIDOR:

High Jinxed: Pitching at Coors Field can be scary, but it's not as awful as it used to be (Tim Brown, September 2, 2005, LA Times)

It was Bryn Smith who threw the first major league pitch in Denver, 12 1/2 years ago on a mild afternoon at Mile High Stadium. It didn't leave the park. In fact, it didn't do anything particularly screwy at all.

So, he threw another one.

The Rockies were off, through two years in a football stadium, the rest at Coors Field, and the phenomenon that is the pitcher at an altitude of one mile plus a pile of dirt ascended from there.

Baseballs soared, and pitchers sighed, and hitters benefited. As the lines between bad pitching and good hitting and reduced friction grew vague, so too did the theories of what to do about it. Regardless, there came a time, usually right after the national anthem, somebody was going to have to pitch again.

"I think it's more mental than anything else there," Smith said. "Some of these pitchers that go into that park, they've got to be terrified." [...]

In late April 2002, stressed by a smoke-'em-if-you-got-'em decade of baseball, the Rockies dressed up a room at Coors Field, made it a humidor and stored their baseballs there.

Team management and the commissioner's office thought it was time to play the game being played in the 29 other major league parks.

As there appeared to be no way to thicken the atmosphere amid the Rocky Mountains, and having run out of other ideas — too many good pitchers failed, all the bad pitchers combusted, ERAs became confused with cap sizes — moister baseballs became the answer. In theory, the balls maintain their size, weight and texture better, so they don't carry like the balls left out to dry and harden.


Robert Adair's Physics of Baseball is a terrific little book on such subjects.

MORE:
-The science behind bats and balls: Aerodynamics and optical tricks add to baseball’s intrigue (Alan Boyle, 4/01/99, MSNBC)


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

How to pick a good watermelon (Seattle Post-Intelligencer, September 2, 2005)

[L]ook for the "ground spot" -- the underside of the melon that lay in contact with the soil, out of the sun. A deep cream or yellow color -- as opposed to white -- is what you're looking for.

Stripes showing through the ground spot may be a sign of immaturity. Then lift the melon if you can; its heft should surprise you. Get a look at its shape. Full and rounded at the ends are propitious signs. Bypass the pointy-ended specimens. Finally, if any stem is left attached, it should be dry and brown.


September 1, 2005

Posted by David Cohen at 10:02 PM

IN OTHER NEWS . . .

Gender gap divides U.S. gays, lesbians (David Crary, AP, 8/29/05)

Although they campaign arm-in-arm for gay rights, lesbians and gay men don't always march in step. With bemusement and at times frustration, they acknowledge a lingering gender gap in how they live, socialize and perceive each other.

The two groups each grapple with real differences, and with stereotypes of themselves and the other sex: that gay men are the party-goers, flashy and promiscuous; that lesbians are the relatively dull homebodies -- "soccer moms," in the words of one activist.


Posted by David Cohen at 9:26 PM

IF JIMMY CARTER WAS ON FIRE . . .

Bush Taps Father, Clinton for Relief Help (Nedra Pickler, AP, 9/1/05)

President Bush will tour the hurricane-devastated Gulf Coast region on Friday and has asked his father, former President George H.W. Bush, and former President Clinton to lead a private fund-raising campaign for victims.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:22 PM

IF ONLY HE'D GRASPED THAT INFLATION WAS WHIPPED:

The One-Eyed King (WILLIAM GREIDER, September 19, 2005, The Nation)

The ideological shift executed by the Greenspan Fed is more extreme than generally recognized. There has been nothing like it since the New Deal years, when Marriner Eccles was Fed chairman and collaborated closely with FDR to reform the central bank and convert it to the economic understandings grounded in Keynesian liberalism. Eccles and Greenspan are like historic bookends on the long, gradual transition in economic thinking from left to right, from active government intervention to the current faith in laissez-faire markets.

Eccles was a Republican Mormon banker from Utah who became a leading architect of New Deal reforms (including issues beyond monetary policy). In the crisis of the Great Depression such odd political convergences occurred. The self-taught Eccles (he never went to college) personally intuited what John Maynard Keynes developed as a formal theory: The national government, including the Fed, must become the intervening balance wheel in a modern industrial economy--the stabilizing force that, when necessary, stimulates the economy to encourage faster growth and full employment, while at other times it puts the brakes on economic activity to avoid inflation. Eccles essentially invented the modern Federal Reserve, liberating the central bank from the 1920s hard-money orthodoxy of banking and finance, an inflexible doctrine that gravely worsened the Depression.

Greenspan, one might say, devoted his tenure to eliminating vestiges of Eccles and FDR. He resurrected the financier's lost religion, now dignified by conservative economists as the new theory of "efficient markets." Keynesian demand-side stimulus, they contended, produces no lasting effects for the economy, so nothing will be gained by worrying about wage incomes and the consuming power of workers. Wages should be determined by the marketplace and are none of the government's business, except when it wants to squelch price inflation.

The best government can do for the economy, conservatives argued, is to boost the "supply side"--that is, favor wealth holders so they will have more capital to invest in new factories and production. This logic led to huge tax cuts for high-end citizens and for business. It meant liberating and protecting financial markets to do their thing: distributing capital for productive uses in the most efficient (and often ruthless) manner. It convinced Greenspan's Federal Reserve, though a principal regulator of banking and finance, to no longer believe in regulation.

In that sense, Greenspan was the perfect chairman for this era.


Post-War presidents faced only two significant tasks -- one domestic and one foreign -- undoing the New Deal and getting rid of the Soviet Union. Ronald Reagan took care of the latter very nearly signle-handed, but he had help on the former from Paul Volcker and Alan Greenspan who played key roles in at least laying the groundwork for the legislative reforms to come.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:17 PM

STRAIGHT CASH TRANSACTION (via Robert Schwartz):

Wedding cashers: Straight pals want to marry - for tax breaks (LESLEY WRIGHT, 8/06/05, TORONTO SUN)

WHAT'S LOVE got to do with it?

Bill Dalrymple, 56, and best friend Bryan Pinn, 65, have decided to take the plunge and try out the new same-sex marriage legislation with a twist -- they're straight men.

"I think it's a hoot," Pinn said.

The proposal came last Monday on the patio of a Toronto bar amid shock and laughter from their friends. But the two -- both of whom were previously married and both of whom are still looking for a good woman to love -- insist that after the humour subsided, a real issue lies at the heart of it all.

"There are significant tax implications that we don't think the government has thought through," Pinn said.


Wouldn't it be discriminatory to not let straight men marry each other?


Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:47 PM

SAM'S CLUB:

Gen. Richard Myers for Kansas Governor? (John Gizzi, Sep 1, 2005, Human Events)

If a number of heavyweight Republicans have their way, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff will be running for governor of Kansas next year. Gen. Richard B. Myers, whose four-year term as JCS chairman ends next month, is reportedly planning to settle in Kansas to teach at the university level. However, the Kansas State University graduate has begun to be boomed as the Republican opponent to Democratic Gov. Kathleen Sebelius in '06.

Although the general's political views (and even his party registration, if any) are unknown, sources in Kansas told HUMAN EVENTS that Republican Sen. Sam Brownback "thinks very highly" of Myers.


Good enough for Senator Brownback, good enough for us.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:03 PM

A NOTABLE SILENCE FROM TORA BORA:

Tube bomber declares war from the grave: EDWARD BLACK, 9/01/05, The Scotsman)

THE suspected ringleader of the 7 July London suicide bombers was last night apparently shown calmly explaining his reasons behind the attacks in a chilling video that included praise for the bombings from al-Qaeda's second-in-command Ayman al-Zawahri.

Mohammad Sidique Khan, who detonated explosives on a Circle Line train, claimed that the bombings in London and in Madrid in 2004 had been the fault of Western citizens, and that he was a soldier at war.

Delivering his message in a slow, calm tone and with a distinct Yorkshire accent, Khan warned: "Now you too will taste the reality of this situation."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 5:50 PM

DEMOCRACIES DON'T PLAN AHEAD, THEY REACT:

Drowning New Orleans: A major hurricane could swamp New Orleans under 20 feet of water, killing thousands. Human activities along the Mississippi River have dramatically increased the risk, and now only massive reengineering of southeastern Louisiana can save the city (Mark Fischetti, Scientific American)

Humankind can't stop the delta's subsidence, and it can't knock down the levees to allow natural river flooding and meandering, because the region is developed. The only realistic solutions, most scientists and engineers agree, are to rebuild the vast marshes so they can absorb high waters and reconnect the barrier islands to cut down surges and protect the renewed marshes from the sea.

Since the late 1980s Louisiana's senators have made various pleas to Congress to fund massive remedial work. But they were not backed by a unified voice. L.S.U. had its surge models, and the Corps had others. Despite agreement on general solutions, competition abounded as to whose specific projects would be most effective. The Corps sometimes painted academics' cries about disaster as veiled pitches for research money. Academia occasionally retorted that the Corps's solution to everything was to bulldoze more dirt and pour more concrete, without scientific rationale. Meanwhile oystermen and shrimpers complained that the proposals from both the scientists and the engineers would ruin their fishing grounds.

Len Bahr, head of the governor's Coastal Activities Office in Baton Rouge, tried to bring everyone together. Passionate about southern Louisiana, Bahr has survived three governors, each with different sympathies. "This is the realm in which science has to operate," Bahr says. "There are five federal agencies and six state agencies with jurisdiction over what happens in the wetlands." Throughout the 1990s, Bahr says with frustration, "we only received $40 million a year" from Congress, a drop compared with the bucket of need. Even with the small projects made possible by these dollars, Louisiana scientists predicted that by 2050 coastal Louisiana would lose another 1,000 square miles of marsh and swamp, an area the size of Rhode Island.

Then Hurricane Georges arrived in September 1998. Its fiercely circulating winds built a wall of water 17 feet high topped with driven waves, which threatened to surge into Lake Pontchartrain and wash into New Orleans. This was the very beast that L.S.U.'s early models had warned about, and it was headed right for the city. Luckily, just before Georges made landfall, it slowed and turned a scant two degrees to the east. The surge collapsed under suddenly chaotic winds.

The scientists, engineers and politicians who had been squabbling realized how close the entire delta had come to disaster, and Bahr says that it scared them into reaching a consensus. Late in 1998 the governor's office, the state's Department of Natural Resources, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, the Environmental Protection Agency, the Fish and Wildlife Service and all 20 of the state's coastal parishes published Coast 2050--a blueprint for restoring coastal Louisiana.

No group is bound by the plan, however, and if all the projects were pursued, the price tag would be $14 billion. "So," I ask in the ninth-floor conference room adjacent to the governor's office in Baton Rouge, "give me the short list" of Coast 2050 projects that would make the most difference. Before me are Joe Suhayda, director of L.S.U.'s Louisiana Water Resources Research Institute, who has modeled numerous storm tracks and knows the key scientists, Corps engineers, and city emergency planners; Vibhas Aravamuthan, who programs L.S.U.'s computer models; Len Bahr; and Bahr's second-in-command, Paul Kemp. All were involved in designing Coast 2050.

First and foremost, they decide, build a river diversion at several critical spots along the Mississippi, to restore disappearing marshland. At each location the Corps would cut a channel through the river levee on its south side and build control gates that would allow freshwater and suspended sediment to wash down through select marshes toward the gulf. The water could disrupt oyster beds, but if the sites were carefully selected, deals could be made with landowners.

Every 24 minutes Louisiana loses one acre of land.

The second step: rebuild the southern barrier islands using more than 500 million cubic yards of sand from nearby Ship Shoal. Next, the Corps would cut a channel in the narrow neck of the river delta at about halfway down. Ships could enter the river there, shortening their trip to interior ports and saving them money. The Corps could then stop dredging the southern end of the river. The mouth would fill with sediment and begin overflowing to the west, sending sand and silt back into those longshore currents that could sustain the barrier islands.

The channel plan might be integrated into a larger state proposal to build an entire new Millennium Port. It would provide deeper draft for modern container ships than the Port of New Orleans and its main channel, the Mississippi River Gulf Outlet (MRGO, pronounced Mr. Go), which the Corps dredged in the early 1960s. The outlet has eroded terribly--from 500 feet across, originally, to 2,000 feet in places--and let in a relentless stream of saltwater that has killed much of the marsh that once protected eastern New Orleans against gulf storms. If the channel or the Millennium Port were built, the Corps could close MrGo.

A remaining chink in the delta's armor is the pair of narrow straits on Lake Pontchartrain's eastern edge where it connects to the gulf. The obvious solution would be to gate them, just as the Netherlands does to regulate the North Sea's flow inland. But it would be a tough sell. "We've proposed that in the past, and it's been shot down," Bahr says. The project's costs would be extremely high.

This list of the most promising Coast 2050 projects is only one small group's vision, of course, yet other established experts concur with its fundamentals. Ivor van Heerden, a geologist who is deputy director of L.S.U.'s Hurricane Center, concurs that "if we're going to succeed, we've got to mimic nature. Building diversions and reestablishing barrier-island sediment flows are the closest we can come." Shea Penland pretty much agrees, although he warns that the Mississippi River may not carry enough sediment to feed multiple diversions. U.S. Geological Survey studies by Robert Meade show that the supply of suspended sediment is less than half of what it was prior to 1953, diverted mostly by dams along the river's course through middle America.

As far as the Corps is concerned, all of the Coast 2050 projects should be implemented. The first to become a reality is the Davis Pond diversion, due to begin operating by the end of this year. Project manager Al Naomi, a 30-year Corps civil engineer, and Bruce Baird, a biological oceanographer, brought me to the construction site on the Mississippi's southern levee, 20 miles west of New Orleans. The structure looks like a modest dam, in line with the levee. Steel gates in its midsection, each large enough to drive a bus through, will open and close to control water flowing through it. The water will exit into a wide swath of cleared swamp that extends south for a mile, forming a shallow riverbed that will gradually disperse into boundary-less marsh. The structure will divert up to 10,650 cubic feet per second (cfs) of water from the Mississippi, whose total flow past New Orleans ranges from less than 200,000 cfs during droughts to more than one million cfs during floods. The outflow should help preserve 33,000 acres of wetlands, oysterbeds and fishing grounds.

The Corps is bullish on Davis Pond because of its success at Caernarvon, a smaller, experimental diversion it opened in 1991 near MrGo. By 1995 Caernarvon had restored 406 acres by increasing the marsh's sediment and reducing its salinity with freshwater.

The corps of engineers is hiring more scientists for projects such as Davis Pond, a signal that the fragmented parties are beginning to work better together. Bahr would like to integrate science and engineering further by requiring independent scientific review of proposed Corps projects before the state signed on--which Louisiana would need to do because Congress would require the state to share the cost of such work.

If Congress and President George W. Bush hear a unified call for action, authorizing it would seem prudent.


If only New Orleans had its own Big Dig everything would be dry....

MORE:
Will New Orleans Recover?: Weak and struggling before Katrina, the good-time city now teeters on the brink. (Nicole Gelinas, 31 August 2005, City Journal)

New Orleans has no real competent government or civil infrastructure—and no aggressive media or organized citizens’ groups to prod public officials in the right direction during what will be, in the best-case scenario, a painstaking path to normalcy.

The truth is that even on a normal day, New Orleans is a sad city. Sure, tourists think New Orleans is fun: you can drink and hop from strip club to strip club all night on Bourbon Street, and gamble all your money away at Harrah’s. But the city’s decline over the past three decades has left it impoverished and lacking the resources to build its economy from within. New Orleans can’t take care of itself even when it is not 80 percent underwater; what is it going to do now, as waters continue to cripple it, and thousands of looters systematically destroy what Katrina left unscathed?

A city blessed with robust, professional police and fire forces, with capable government leaders, an informed citizenry, and a relatively resilient economy can overcome catastrophe, but it doesn’t emerge stronger: look at New York after 9/11. The richest big city in the country in more ways than one mustered every ounce of energy to clean up after 9/11 and to rebuild its economy and its downtown—but even so, competing special interests overcame citizens’ and officials’ best intentions. Ground Zero remains a hole, and New York, for all its resources, finds itself diminished, physically and economically, four years on.

In New Orleans, the recovery will be much, much harder.


-Hastert Questions Rebuilding New Orleans (The Associated Press, September 1, 2005)
It makes no sense to spend billions of dollars to rebuild a city that's seven feet under sea level, House Speaker Dennis Hastert said of federal assistance for hurricane-devastated New Orleans.

"It looks like a lot of that place could be bulldozed," the Illinois Republican said in an interview Wednesday with the Daily Herald of Arlington Heights, Ill.

Hastert, in a transcript supplied by the newspaper, said there was no question that the people of New Orleans would rebuild their city, but noted that federal insurance and other federal aid was involved. "We ought to take a second look at it. But you know we build Los Angeles and San Francisco on top of earthquake fissures and they rebuild too. Stubbornness."



Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:56 PM

BREED THEM INTO SUBMISSION (via Robert Schwartz):

Pope tells Catholics to multiply (Yahoo, 8/31/05)

Pope Benedict XVI told Catholics to have more babies "for the good of society," saying that some countries were being sapped of energy because of low birth rates.

"Having children is a gift that brings life and well-being to society," he told about 15,000 people at his weekly audience in the Vatican, to which he arrived by helicopter from his summer residence southeast of Rome.

He said the decline in the number of births "deprives some nations of freshness and energy and of hopes for the future incarnate in children."

The pope also spoke of "the security, the stability and the force of a numerous family."


Were they wiser the Europeans would be trying to outbid us for Catholic Latinos immigrants.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:17 PM

NO, I'M SPEAKING FOR "US"... (via Bryan Hoffman):

Julia Roberts asks brother to let her do the talking (Monsters and Critics, Sep 1, 2005)

Julia Roberts has banned her brother from speaking about her baby twins.

Eric Roberts claims his Oscar-winning sister, who gave birth to Phinneaus and Hazel last year, has warned him not to talk about the nine-month-old twins to the media.

Instead, Julia has reportedly insisted she is the only person who can speak publicly about her babies.

Eric revealed to America\'s New York Daily News newspaper: \"Mom has told me Mom wants to talk about the kids. Mom doesn\'t want Uncle talking about the kids.\" [...]

Julia conceived the twins through fertility treatment after having trouble getting pregnant.


As Mr. Hoffman points out, by the time you got done putting quotation marks around every term there that needs them you'd have carpel tunnel syndrome. Suffice it to say, you're deeper in schizophrenia there than New Orleans is in water.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:43 AM

CAN WE TREAT YOU TO A MOVIE?:

The folks at Disney contacted us about promoting the film version of a book we loved: The Greatest Game Ever Played: Harry Vardon, Francis Ouimet, and the Birth of Modern Golf (Mark Frost). As part of the deal it looks like we might be able to get a bunch of you free tickets to the premieres with no strings attached. Check here and print out an invite and let us know if there are any problems.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 9:59 AM

AREN'T THEY EVIL?:

Wal-Mart Donates $1 Million to The Salvation Army for Katrina Disaster Relief< (Salvation Army, August 29, 2005)

As Hurricane Katrina bears down on the Gulf Coast states, Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. has announced a donation of $1 million to The Salvation Army to provide early support for upcoming disaster relief assistance.

Currently, The Salvation Army is preparing to serve 400,000 meals per day to victims and first responders. Meals are being loaded onto 72 mobile canteens and two 54-foot mobile kitchens. The mobile feeding units will be dispatched into the most affected areas by FEMA, and will be followed, based on response needs, by other units The Salvation Army has at its disposal – trucks called comfort stations where residents can attend to personal hygiene; portable shower units; emergency response command stations for officers to direct the response efforts; and other equipment as needed.

Wal-Mart also is encouraging the general public to donate to emergency relief efforts through its 3,800 stores and CLUBS and through its Web sites. Beginning today on five of the company’s Web sites – www.walmart.com, www.walmartstores.com, www.samsclubs.com, www.walmartfacts.com, and www.walmartfoundation.org – will be an area for the general public to find information and a link to make credit card donations to help victims of Katrina.

Also this week, Wal-Mart Stores, Neighborhood Markets and SAM’S CLUBS will be accepting customer donations nationwide at its facilities from any customer who would like to make a contribution for emergency relief assistance for Katrina victims and communities.


Bringing this story full circle

MORE:
Need is vast, but so is outpouring: Private donations for hurricane victims may reach a billion dollars. (Kris Axtman, 9/02/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

The Chatmans popped the trunk on their aging Oldsmobile and pulled out garbage bags bursting with baby formula, clothes, shoes, sheets, and food.

The Baton Rouge family didn't know anyone affected by hurricane Katrina. But when they heard a local television station was a designated donation drop-off location, they gathered up all they could and headed into town.

"We have very little, but they have nothing," says Dre Chatman, unloading another bag. "It's people helping people."

The historic storm has left tens of thousands of people in Louisiana and Mississippi without possessions or a place to live.

The entire region - indeed, the nation - has responded in a huge outpouring of support for those affected by Katrina.

The American Red Cross, at press time, has collected $21 million, with nearly $15 million coming from individual donations through its website. Corporate donors have contributed more than 1 million pounds of groceries through food banks. Other corporations are donating everything from trucks to phone cards to bottled water. The US Chamber of Commerce said initial corporate donations to the relief efforts could total more than $100 million. Giving USA in Glenview, Ill., said individual and corporate donations combined could reach $1 billion. Pop stars are already promising to participate in hurricane Katrina telethons.

And every day Americans are showing up at shelters to volunteer and offering their homes to total strangers through Internet postings.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:48 AM

20-20 VISION:

Pentagon finds more who recall Atta intel (ROBERT BURNS, September 1, 2005, AP)

Pentagon officials said Thursday they have found three more people who recall an intelligence chart that identified Sept. 11 mastermind Mohamed Atta as a terrorist one year before the attacks on New York and Washington. But they have been unable to find the chart or other evidence that it existed.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:29 AM

THE WAGES OF UNILATERALISM:

Pakistan-Israel in landmark talks (BBC, 9/01/05)

The foreign ministers of Pakistan and Israel have for the first time held publicly acknowledged talks.

After the talks Pakistan's foreign minister said that his country had decided to "engage" with Israel after Israel's withdrawal from Gaza.

Israel's foreign minister described the talks, held in the Turkish city of Istanbul, as a "historic meeting".

Pakistan has emphasised that the meeting does not mean the recognition of the state of Israel.

"Pakistan attaches great importance to Israel ending its occupation of Gaza," Pakistani Foreign Minister Khurshid Kasuri said at a news conference after the talks.

"We see this development as the beginning of the process of [ending] Israeli occupation and establishing a Palestinian state living side by side with Israel in peace and security," he said.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:17 AM

YOUTH WILL BE SERVED...A BIT LATER:

Yankees 2, Mariners 0: A victory for the aged ( JON PAUL MOROSI, September 1, 2005, SEATTLE POST-INTELLIGENCER)

He spent a dozen hours in transit on Tuesday, Caracas to Dallas to Seattle. He had never been to the United States before. He did not plan to come for another week. But he could not miss this.

Felix Hernandez Sr. was among the sellout crowd of 46,240 at Safeco Field. Many here were like him, their plans changed by a 6-foot-10 left-hander named Randy Johnson, who along with Hernandez's son brought about the most anticipated night of Seattle baseball this summer.

Young Felix pitched superbly, allowing only two solo home runs in eight innings. He was "outstanding," in the words of his manager, Mike Hargrove. In the end, though, it was Johnson -- a man closer in age to Felix Sr. than Felix Jr. -- who turned in a performance for the ages in the Yankees' 2-0 victory over the Mariners.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 6:45 AM

FOLLOWING THE FLOCK:

Spiritual guidance... in the workplace?: Companies that hire workplace chaplains find that besides helping employees, they may help their bottom line, too. (Jane Lampman, 9/01/05, The Christian Science Monitor)

It's not that businesses are trying to take on a religious role. Corporate chaplains serve people of any or no faith, and the use of their services is voluntary. But business leaders increasingly recognize that employees who face crises often can't help bringing their personal difficulties to work, and job performance can suffer. Making provision to care for their workforce becomes a part of good business practice.

Bringing chaplains into the company "takes issues away from managers that they don't know how to handle and gives them to those that do," says Tim Embry, CEO of American LubeFast Inc., based in Duluth, Ga.

As a result, many employees are getting support that can make a significant difference in their lives, while companies say they're seeing a more satisfied, even more productive workforce.

When Coca-Cola Bottling Consolidated of Charlotte, N.C., tested a pilot program for chaplains at its Nashville, Tenn., plant, it measured changes in productivity, safety, quality, profitability, and employee perspective. "All objective criteria got better," says vice chairman Ron Pettus Jr. Along the way, "two people were talked out of suicide and are leading productive lives; several rocky marriages were reconciled; and many were helped out of financial problems and to resolve issues with their children."

The great surprise came, though, when the employees told management that, if necessary, "they'd take less benefits in order to keep the chaplain program going," Mr. Pettus says. Coca-Cola Bottling now has 25 chaplains serving employees at 58 sites.

Human resource departments used to be places to seek help, some observers say, but they've tended to become policy offices that are less in touch with day-to-day employee needs.

"If an employee has a substance abuse problem, or their husband is abusing them at home, or they're going through some trauma, most are not likely to go to the HR department and say, 'Would you just listen to me for a while?' That's where a chaplain fulfills a need," says David Miller, executive director of Yale University's Center for Faith and Culture. Last month, the center held a national conference in New Haven, Conn., on workplace chaplaincy as a developing service and career.

Speaking at the conference, Mr. Embry explained that he engaged chaplains at his oil-change business because he thought it might help the young kids who worked for him get on the right track.

Many were in their first or second job, and "they often didn't make good decisions for their lives, and would end up in the ditch," he said. Despite being "on the edge" financially, he made the investment.

Not only did lives turn around, but so did his company.



Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:01 AM

ALL PART OF THE JOB:

Vacation Ends, and Crisis Management Begins (Peter Baker, September 1, 2005, Washington Post)

As his blue-and-white jet swooped low over New Orleans and the Gulf Coast, President Bush pressed his face against the window and stared out at oblivion.

He saw an expansive lake where a storied city used to be. He saw mile after mile of flattened houses turned into so many matchsticks. He saw highways that disappeared into water, a train plucked off its track, a causeway collapsed into rubble. And he saw the next daunting challenge to confront his presidency.

After a month-long retreat at his Texas ranch, Bush returned to Washington on Wednesday in crisis-management mode, where his administration is likely to remain indefinitely. With his poll numbers at an all-time low, Bush faces one of the stiffest leadership tests since Sept. 11, 2001, with continued violence in Iraq, gasoline prices topping $3 a gallon in many places and now what he called "one of the worst natural disasters in our nation's history."

In response, Bush mobilized one of the biggest relief efforts in history as his administration tapped the nation's oil reserves and dispatched Navy ships, medical teams, search and rescue squads, electrical generators, a mobile hospital, and millions of gallons of water to the region. Bush warned that it would take years to repair the damage, and aides said he expects to seek a special appropriation from Congress.


Hard New Test for President (DAVID E. SANGER, 9/01/05, NY Times)
Not since he sat in a Florida classroom as the World Trade Center burned a thousand miles away has President Bush faced a test quite like the one he returned to Washington to confront this afternoon.

After initially stumbling through that disorienting day almost exactly four years ago, Mr. Bush entered what many of his aides believe were the finest hours of his presidency. But unlike 2001, when Mr. Bush was freshly elected and there was little question that the response would include a military strike, Mr. Bush confronts this disaster with his political capital depleted by the war in Iraq.

Even before Hurricane Katrina, governors were beginning to question whether National Guard units stretched to the breaking point by service in Iraq would be available for domestic emergencies. Those concerns have now been amplified by scenes of looting and disorder. There is also the added question of whether the Department of Homeland Security, designed primarily to fight terrorism, can cope with what Mr. Bush called Wednesday "one of the worst natural disasters in our country's history."

All this has inextricably linked Mr. Bush's foreign agenda, especially Iraq, to the issue of how well he manages the federal response to the monumental problems in Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama. Mr. Bush knows the risks. He saw up close the political damage done to his father 13 years ago this week, when the senior Mr. Bush was dispatching fighter jets to maintain a no-fly zone over parts of Iraq and promoting his trade agenda while 250,000 Floridians were reeling from the impact of Hurricane Andrew.

But the current president, in contrast, prides himself as a crisis manager. He observed in a debate with Vice President Al Gore in 2000 that natural catastrophes were "a time to test your mettle."


Posted by Orrin Judd at 12:00 AM

EXCEEDING DESIGN:

New Orleans Death Toll May Soar; Survivors Desperate; Looters Brazen: Mayor says thousands of bodies could be found in the city, where 90% of homes are submerged. Troops and ships are ordered into the region. (Scott Gold, Lianne Hart and Stephen Braun, September 1, 2005, LA Times)

The city's police and emergency officials worked desperately Wednesday to prevent complete social disintegration as widespread looting continued for a second day and cresting floodwaters hid untold numbers of dead.

Though the flooding appeared to stabilize, 90% of New Orleans' homes were underwater, officials said. Repair crews readied 20,000-pound sandbags to plug gaping breaches in the city's levees, but officials bickered over the slow progress.

Bus caravans started to move 23,000 exhausted Superdome refugees to shelter in Texas. A few hundred people left Wednesday, and the full-scale evacuation was to begin at midnight. On a stretch of interstate near the stadium, a mob of flood victims began an anarchic march of their own, abandoning the ruined city. [...]

New Orleans Mayor C. Ray Nagin predicted that "at minimum, hundreds" and "most likely thousands" of city residents lay in underwater graves. "We know there is a significant number of dead bodies in the water," he said.

Despite the urgency of the situation for victims in need of rescue, Nagin ordered the city's police force Wednesday night to discontinue such missions and return to the streets to counter waves of looting that had turned violent.

"They are starting to get closer to heavily populated areas — hotels, hospitals — and we're going to stop it right now," Nagin said. The mayor said 1,500 police officers, nearly the entire department, were being redeployed on the city's remaining stretches of dry land.


Water May Linger for Months: City pumps themselves are submerged, so officials must await nature's help. Delays already have local officials on edge. (Ralph Vartabedian, September 1, 2005, LA Times)
Draining the billions of gallons of water that have inundated New Orleans could take three to six months, substantially longer than some experts have expected, the Army Corps of Engineers said late Wednesday.

Col. Richard Wagenaar, the corps' senior official in New Orleans, said that the estimate was based on planning done as Hurricane Katrina approached and that it remained the corps' best estimate. He is directing the agency's recovery efforts.

The estimate depends on favorable weather. Additional rain or other problems could cause more delays, Wagenaar warned.

"There is a lot of water here," he said. "The news cameras do not do it justice. And I'm worried the worst is yet to come." [...]

The water is 30 feet deep or more in some parts of the city, covering homes. In the city's 9th Ward, homes have shifted and floated away, leaving nothing that resembled the city grid before the storm, Wagenaar said after a helicopter tour.

New Orleans' lakes and rivers are bordered by a system of earthen levees, concrete seawalls and steel doors that are supposed to protect homes and businesses during heavy rains or hurricanes.

The city's 22 pumping stations are not operating, and most are underwater. Not until the city naturally drains a little can the corps begin restoring pumping capacity, Wagenaar said.

He said the corps planned to punch holes in levees around the city to hasten the drainage now occurring through the main breach that swamped the city after the hurricane. Levees on the Mississippi River, Lake Pontchartrain and an inner coastal waterway are to be broken open in coming days, though "we haven't decided yet how."

The pumps, which the corps will repair when it can, are a key part of the sophisticated drainage system that is supposed to keep the city dry. But they run on electricity, which is out in the city, and the pump stations' emergency power supplies may also need repair.

The first task, though, is fixing the main breach, on the 17th Street Canal, which leads from the city center to Lake Pontchartrain. The corps started to drop massive sandbags from military helicopters Wednesday.

The corps is also trying to build a road above the water to the breach, which is estimated to be 200 to 300 feet wide, and it is shutting off the 17th Street Canal to prevent any further water from flowing into the city, Wagenaar added. A contractor will use sheet piling to shut off the canal.

Corps officials think water rose over the top of the canal wall and cascaded down to its base, scouring a hole that undermined the foundation, said Al Naomi, the corps' senior project engineer in New Orleans.

"It exceeded the design surge," he said.


Rebuilding to require historic effort (Charlie Savage and Bryan Bender, September 1, 2005, Boston Globe)
President Bush yesterday vowed to rebuild New Orleans, a herculean task beyond anything that civil engineers have faced in US history.

''New communities will flourish and the great city of New Orleans will be back on its feet, and America will be a stronger place for it," the president said in a nationally televised address, adding that he has ordered his cabinet to come up with a comprehensive rebuilding plan for New Orleans and smaller Gulf Coast cities devastated by Hurricane Katrina.

But even as Bush was speaking, city planners and engineers predicted that any attempt to restore the city of 469,000 -- now mostly under water -- will take years of work and tens of billions of dollars to complete, and will likely unleash political battles over which areas should get priority.

Some engineers said that replicating the exact cityscape of New Orleans, which is six feet below sea level, makes little sense.

MORE:
-Superdome: Haven Quickly Becomes an Ordeal (JOSEPH B. TREASTER, 9/01/05, NY Times)

The sick and the disabled were the first to be led out. But late Wednesday afternoon, as the slow evacuation of the Superdome began, it was not always easy to distinguish them from the rest of the 20,000 or more storm refugees who had steeped for days in the arena's sickening heat and stench, unbathed, exhausted and hungry.

They had been crammed into the Superdome's shadowy ramps and corridors, spread across its vast artificial turf field and plopped into small family encampments in the plush orange, teal and purple seats that rise toward the top of the dome.

They had flocked to the arena seeking sanctuary from the winds and waters of Hurricane Katrina. But understaffed, undersupplied and without air-conditioning or even much lighting, the domed stadium quickly became a sweltering and surreal vault, a place of overflowing toilets and no showers. Food and water, blankets and sheets, were in short supply. And the dome's reluctant residents exchanged horror stories, including reports, which could not be confirmed by the authorities, of a suicide and of rapes.

By Wednesday the stink was staggering. Heaps of rotting garbage in bulging white plastic bags baked under a blazing Louisiana sun on the main entry plaza, choking new arrivals as they made their way into the stadium after being plucked off rooftops and balconies.

The odor billowing from toilets was even fouler. Trash spilled across corridors and aisles, slippery with smelly mud and scraps of food.


Extraordinary Problems, Difficult Solutions: Massive Floods, Pollution Make for 'Worst Case' (Guy Gugliotta and Peter Whoriskey, September 1, 2005, Washington Post)
First they have to pump the flooded city dry, and that will take a minimum of 30 days. Then they will have to flush the drinking water system, making sure they don't recycle the contaminants. Figure another month for that.

The electricians will have to watch out for snakes in the water, wild animals and feral dogs. It will be a good idea to wear hip boots and take care of cuts and scrapes before the toxic slush turns them into festering sores. The power grid might be up in a few weeks, but many months will elapse before everybody's lights come back on.

By that time, a lot of people won't care because they will have taken the insurance money and moved away -- forever. Home rebuilding, as opposed to repairs, won't start for a year and will last for years after that.

Even then, there may be nothing normal about New Orleans, because the floodwater, spiked with tons of contaminants ranging from heavy metals and hydrocarbons to industrial waste, human feces and the decayed remains of humans and animals, will linger nearby in the Gulf of Mexico for a decade.