September 15, 2005

AND YOU CAN"T MAKE US WORK (via Robert Schwartz):

Europe’s Not Working (Olaf Gersemann, October-December 2005, American Enterprise)

Adjusted for differences in price levels, per capita income in the United States now exceeds France by close to 40 percent. Germany and Italy lag even further behind. [...]

Nearly every top politician in Germany is on record giving a grave, smug warning about the danger of letting “American conditions” seep into the German economy. In Germany’s economic debate, “American conditions” is code for stiff economic competition, low taxes, minimal state intrusion, and limitedduration welfare payments. Ireland and Britain have adopted many of these policies themselves, rocketing past Germany and France in living standards in the process. But for political opportunists in continental Europe, the quickest way to dismiss any talk of market freedom or reduction in the size of government is to ooze concern about American economic brutalism.

Even Kajo Neukirchen, widely considered to be Germany’s toughest business executive, has said that he does “not want American conditions, with hiring and firing being the order of the day.” And during British attempts to talk France and Germany into some economic reforms this summer, even Blair cabinet member Jack Straw made it a point to insist that his country does not have “a far-right economy” like the U.S.

While condemning American-style capitalism, Europe’s politicians continue to present their own continent as an economic beacon. [...]

When a majority of French voters rejected the proposed European constitution this summer, they could have been acting for any number of good reasons. Start with the fact that at over 60,000 words—touching everything from the “right to good administration” to the “right to be heard” to the promise of “a free placement service” for every worker—this is a bureaucratic monster rather than a constitution. Yet when the French said “non,” polls showed it was not out of any qualms over the megalomaniacal document itself. It was because the average Frenchman wanted to punish the European Union for its role in opening up Europe’s economies somewhat. The typical French voter was not upset because her economy is too centralized and manipulated; she said she wanted France’s economy to be more statist than even Brussels allowed.

Likewise, the backlash against Gerhard Schroeder solidified not when his socialist nostrums ran the German economy further into the ground over six years, but when he finally put forth some timid reforms—such as cautiously cutting unemployment benefits—to try to slip out of his economic mess. A majority of Germans pronounced these reform steps as going in the “wrong direction”—as if Germany could possibly survive going any further in the social democratic direction.

The attitude still most widely held in Europe is that it is the job of politicians to distribute and redistribute society’s goods—be it jobs, income, or wealth. There is a deep zero-sum mentality in Europe which starts from the idea that politics, not competition, should govern economics. Asked in April 2005 whether competition is good for economic growth and employment, only 45 percent of Germans strongly agreed. In both France and Italy, the share was only 29 percent.

Do not be surprised, then, if Angela Merkel, the leader of Germany’s Christian Democrats, and likely successor of Gerhard Schroeder as German chancellor, behaves little better in the economic realm. Consider government finances. Germany’s federal government currently taxes away about 44 percent of the nation’s output, and the Schroeder government has long insisted this is not enough. When introducing its draft for next year’s budget during this summer, the Schroeder administration complained that “with the current financial endowment, an adequate public infrastructure, a good public education systemÉ can’t be guaranteed any more.”

You might expect that Ms. Merkel, as the head of Germany’s supposed conservative party, would want to change course. Yet her fiscal platform is remarkable mainly for two things: She has proposed a reduction of payroll taxes—but only in exchange for an increase of the Value Added Tax from 16 to 18 percent on purchases. Furthermore, this year Merkel abandoned a whole host of tax-cutting proposals that her party had demanded previously in its status as the opposition. With the announcement of the special national elections on September 18, and the chance to regain power, the Christian Democrats abandoned many of the economic principles that had served to separate them from the Social Democrats. Prominent, allegedly pro-capitalist German pundits applauded, with one of them explaining that “there is simply no room for a lasting tax relief.”


Events have caught up to Mr. Gersemann's essay and Mr. Schroeder has tightened the noose of Reformer that Ms Merkel foolishly draped around her own neck.


MORE:
In German voters, the voice of anger (Katrin Bennhold, 9/14/05, International Herald Tribune)

Many feel betrayed by an economy that has allowed big companies to reach record profits at a time when unemployment remains at 11.4 percent. They are angry at a government that, despite imposing painful reforms, has not kept its promises to cut that joblessness.

At the same time, 69 percent of voters, according to a survey by the Allensbach polling institute, say they think Angela Merkel's Christian Democrats - whom other surveys say will take the biggest chunk of votes this weekend - will also have trouble solving Germany's economic problems. Sixty percent, the Allensbach survey indicated, have lost faith in politicians altogether. [...]

In East and West alike, nostalgia abounds - along with acute worry for the next generation in a country where the notion that children will be better off than their parents was the defining motivation of the postwar years.

Back in Leipzig, in the working-class housing project of Grünau, Peter Wilhelm said he would happily trade his right to vote for the resurrection of the wall that once separated the East from the West. "At least then everyone had work and we could afford what is in the supermarket," said Wilhelm, 48, a furniture mover who earns 6.50 an hour. He and his wife pay 500 a month for their apartment.

"If I had known what would become of this country, I would not have had children," he said, stroking the hair of his 3-year-old daughter, Jessica. "They grow up to be unemployed, and if they find a job they are still poor. It's no life."


Painful reforms?

Posted by Orrin Judd at September 15, 2005 12:00 AM
Comments

"If I had known what would become of this country, I would not have had children," he said, stroking the hair of his 3-year-old daughter, Jessica.

Charming, just charming. What a man!

Posted by: Peter B at September 15, 2005 8:34 AM

They should read Atlas Shrugged, because that's where they're headed.

The real question is how low do they go before they make a decision to change? It will be ugly.

Little Jessica needs to emigrate to the Anglosphere.

Posted by: JackSheet at September 15, 2005 9:36 AM

Having just come back from Germany, (My sister & her family live there) my guess is that they will go low indeed.

Fortunately, my niece & nephews are American Citizens.

That said, I believe it is worth while to put some efforts into saving Europe.

They are smarter about a few things. This isn't to say that the we need to move in each other's direction. That would be a mistake on our part.

What we need to do is strip both our cultures of as much collectivism as we can afford. Their schools put out smarter students. Though they are more collectivist, they build stronger individuals (I can speak mostly for Germany) than our decrepit, over funded, and corrupt schools.

We, on the other hand, are far more adaptable and dynamic, and surprisingly, a good many people over there know this.

Unfortunately, Culture trumps economics, and they are all a bunch of post-Christian secular drones. Most of their meager young will convert to Islam in the next 50 years.

You can't fight something (Islam) with nothing (Secularism).

What can I say? I like the place. I don't want to see it turn into Turkey. But OJ will probably say "too late."

He's probably right.

Posted by: Bruno at September 15, 2005 2:05 PM

No, I'd say Turkey is preferable.

Posted by: oj at September 15, 2005 2:18 PM

The real reason Merkel is in trouble. From the linked article above:

Do not be surprised, then, if Angela Merkel, the leader of Germanys Christian Democrats, and likely successor of Gerhard Schroeder as German chancellor, behaves little better in the economic realm. Consider government finances. Germanys federal government currently taxes away about 44 percent of the nations output, and the Schroeder government has long insisted this is not enough. When introducing its draft for next years budget during this summer, the Schroeder administration complained that with the current financial endowment, an adequate public infrastructure, a good public education system cant be guaranteed any more.

You might expect that Ms. Merkel, as the head of Germanys supposed conservative party, would want to change course. Yet her fiscal platform is remarkable mainly for two things: She has proposed a reduction of payroll taxesbut only in exchange for an increase of the Value Added Tax from 16 to 18 percent on purchases. Furthermore, this year Merkel abandoned a whole host of tax-cutting proposals that her party had demanded previously in its status as the opposition. With the announcement of the special national elections on September 18, and the chance to regain power, the Christian Democrats abandoned many of the economic principles that had served to separate them from the Social Democrats. Prominent, allegedly pro-capitalist German pundits applauded, with one of them explaining that there is simply no room for a lasting tax relief.

Posted by: Robert Schwartz [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 15, 2005 3:18 PM

In Germany, if (when) the young start killing the old, not only will there be precedent, but there will be excuse. The new Uber-man will probably be a Turk who speaks Deutsch, perfekt.

What would Nietzsche say about the Germany of today?

Posted by: jim hamlen at September 15, 2005 3:50 PM

jim hamlen,

How could he argue against it?

Posted by: Luciferous at September 15, 2005 5:50 PM

Jim: He would rant about the Jews and the Priests.

Posted by: Robert Schwartz [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 15, 2005 6:41 PM

"If I had known what would become of this country, I would not have had children," [Peter Wilhelm] said.

One of the differences between religious and non-religious people is that those who believe in the Big Spook are far more prone to unreasonable hope, which allows them to believe in, and therefore achieve, the improbable.

Herr Wilhelm sees that times are tough for him right now, but he has no idea what things will be like in twenty years, when Jessica enters the workforce.

Things may indeed be as bad, or worse, for her, but they might also be much better.

Why not have a few kids, and let them decide whether to thank or curse you ?

Posted by: Michael Herdegen [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 16, 2005 3:29 AM
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