September 14, 2005

HOW TO BIFF A EUROPEAN ELECTION:

The professor under fire (Carter Dougherty, SEPTEMBER 14, 2005, International Herald Tribune )

With his lengthy digressions about the peculiarities of German tax law, Paul Kirchhof can sound a little professorial on the campaign trail, a quality now under heavy fire in a closely fought campaign for the federal elections Sunday. [...]

The saga of Kirchhof's entry into the campaign and the controversial position he now occupies reinforces the adage about just how much can change in a few weeks of intense politics.

To much applause from the media and experts last month, Angela Merkel, the conservative Christian Democrats' candidate to lead Germany, drafted Kirchhof to spearhead a reformist message and build a can-do image.

With 12 years as a judge on Germany's highest court behind him and now a professor in Heidelberg, Kirchhof burnished Merkel's campaign.

Now, with the election on Sunday appearing an ever-tighter race against the Social Democrats of Chancellor Gerhard Schröder, Kirchhof's appointment dogs Merkel at every step.

Questions about what Kirchhof represents - his own radical ideas or the conservative party's mellower stance in its program - have obscured the conservatives' message. Schröder's camp has found a powerful tool to attract the attention of voters - with a fifth of them still undecided. And Merkel is forced to defend Kirchhof because to drop him now would send a message of weakness.

She fell completely into the trap of proposing reform to a people who want none.


MORE:
Angela Merkel's Achilles Heel Charles Hawley, 9/13/05, Der Spiegel)

It was a perfect training program. Angela Merkel's seven years in the opposition -- time spent fighting off challengers within her own party to finally emerge as the Christian Democrat (CDU) candidate for chancellor in Sunday's general elections -- gave her plenty of time to put together her campaign recipe. A pinch -- but only a pinch -- of reform talk. A handful of job market fixes. A dash of tax-code modification. Bake until Sept. 18. Serves 82 million.

But apparently, the directions weren't clear enough. Instead of a campaign about the economic future of Germany, Merkel is now furiously back-pedaling on a man she handpicked for her campaign team in an attempt to add some tax expertise and economic gravitas. Merkel's dash of tax-code has turned into an uncontrolled dollop and the batter is now ruined. The dollop's name is Paul Kirchhof.

Posted by Orrin Judd at September 14, 2005 9:03 AM
Comments

The German people are smart enough to know that they must have reform of their government if they are to survive - and prosper - in a competetive world.

Germans understandably don't take humiliation easily; witness the creation of World War II. The German people may not want reform, but they know they can't survive without it.

Posted by: John J. Coupal at September 14, 2005 10:21 AM

They don't want to survive and prosper. They want to die off comfortably.

Posted by: oj at September 14, 2005 10:25 AM

The Germans are somnolent. They are apparently waiting for a Turkish Fuhrer.

Posted by: jim hamlen at September 14, 2005 10:36 AM

Using Der Spiegel to judge prospects of the CDU is like basing your analysis of American elections on the New Republic.

OJ is simply showing his bias which has little to do with reality. Germans have been talking about what reforms are needed for a long time now, and Merkel hasn't botched the campaign yet. If she shows decisiveness and does not waffle now, she'll probably still win.

Incumbent elections are about the performance of the incumbent, and Schroeder has done nothing in the past few years to keep his office.

Posted by: Chris Durnell at September 14, 2005 12:22 PM

OJ:

If she wins that would seem to indicate that the Germans are okay with at least some small amount of reform, no?

Or maybe they're just thoroughly disgusted with Schroder?

Posted by: Matt Murphy at September 14, 2005 12:56 PM

She's not going to have anywhere near a majority and may even have to share power with the Left.

Posted by: oj at September 14, 2005 1:09 PM
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