September 14, 2005
LIBERTY IS THE PROPER BALANCE OF FREEDOM AND SECURITY (via Gene Brown):
Cheap Gas Is a Bad Habit (Robert J. Samuelson, September 14, 2005, Washington Post)
What this country needs is $4-a-gallon gasoline or, maybe, $5. We don't need it today, but we do need it over the next seven to 10 years via a steadily rising oil tax. Coupled with stricter fuel economy standards, higher pump prices would push reluctant auto companies and American drivers away from today's gas guzzlers. That should be our policy. The deafening silence you hear on this crucial subject from the White House, Congress and the media is a sorry indicator of national shortsightedness. [...]Until oil's geography changes, a prudent society would respond to this unavoidable insecurity. After the first oil "crisis" in 1973, Americans did. Congress created a Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and mandated fuel economy standards. Drivers were sobered by high prices. From 1970 to 1990, average fuel economy for cars rose from 13.5 miles per gallon to 20 mpg. For "light trucks" (a category covering pickups, sport-utility vehicles and minivans), the gains were from 10 mpg to 16 mpg. But in the 1990s, there was massive backsliding. Fuel economy stagnated as millions of Americans shifted to SUVs and pickups. The SPR languished. In 1992 it had oil equal to 83 days of imports; by 2000 that was only 52 days. [...]
To keep total gasoline consumption constant, average fuel efficiency must improve by roughly 50 percent. [...]
Hence the need for a stiff oil tax. Government needs to foster a market for fuel efficiency. The tax should be introduced gradually -- paralleling tougher fuel standards -- and, perhaps, tempered if global oil prices rise sharply. One way or another, Americans should know that the era of cheap gasoline is history. Some drivers will want hybrid versions of their present vehicles; others will downsize. It's not a national tragedy for someone to trade an Expedition for a Taurus.
At times, individual freedom must be compromised to improve collective security.
America's best economics columnist explains it best. Posted by Orrin Judd at September 14, 2005 10:43 AM
No need for the fuel standards to be raised. Just jack up the taxes and the automakers will follow. Need to offset the 'regressive' nature of such a tax somehow, probably by cutting income tax proportionately and providing a means of reporting gas tax paid so that it's deductable from federal returns somehow.
Now that we're talking collective security, we also need to worry about the resilience of the electrical grid and the entire oil supply chain from well to gas station. Yergin had a good piece 2 weeks ago on how just focusing on crude is 1970s thinking and that we need to go back to a WWII mentality wherein we look at the entire system.
Posted by: JAB at September 14, 2005 11:21 AMInsofar as any consumption tax is regressive, expect to hear that a higher gas tax will disproportionately affect African-Americans, other minorities and women.
To my mind a gradual reduction in fuel use should begin with a stiff increase in CAFE Standards and a tax on the sale of light trucks for non-commercial use. Then phase in gas tax increases. Personal transport is a facet of ordered liberty. However, using a Ford F-350 with a V-10 engine merely to get around town is license.
Then again, we can all move to cities and use nationalized mass transport.
Ed
Posted by: Ed Bush at September 14, 2005 11:42 AMSometimes higher fuel prices are just another way to redistribute income and do a little more meddling and social engineering. Get nuclear power plants up and running, locate and start pumping oil from our own wells and, did I already say it, stop meddling. Remember the homily about trying to make all the legs on the table even by cutting away a little from each leg until the legs were completely cut out from under the table and the top sat on the floor.
Without guvmint getting to the act, freight trains might be moving goods on the long haul. How much oil would that have saved over the last 50 years.
And before you ask, I think the Eisenhower highway plan would probably have been better off as state projects. Right now there are fabulously expensive highways in areas with light traffic (can you say West Virginia) because politicians knew how to send the pork to their own states.
I must say that you guys love playing with numbers. I like numbers too, but I don't believe in them half as much you do. The number that concerns me right now is interest rate that Andrea's husband is raising to "fight inflation." He's doing his part to make sure the economy dips before the 2006 elections.
Bush is certainly getting it from all sides including some of the most prominent so-called libertarian bloggers who're taking him to task for not solving domestic issues that have been plaguing us for decades. Nice timing guys.
Sometimes higher fuel prices are just another way to redistribute income and do a little more meddling and social engineering. Get nuclear power plants up and running, locate and start pumping oil from our own wells and, did I already say it, stop meddling. Remember the homily about trying to make all the legs on the table even by cutting away a little from each leg until the legs were completely cut out from under the table and the top sat on the floor.
Without guvmint getting to the act, freight trains might be moving goods on the long haul. How much oil would that have saved over the last 50 years.
And before you ask, I think the Eisenhower highway plan would probably have been better off as state projects. Right now there are fabulously expensive highways in areas with light traffic (can you say West Virginia) because politicians knew how to send the pork to their own states.
I must say that you guys love playing with numbers. I like numbers too, but I don't believe in them half as much you do. The number that concerns me right now is interest rate that Andrea's husband is raising to "fight inflation." He's doing his part to make sure the economy dips before the 2006 elections.
Bush is certainly getting it from all sides including some of the most prominent so-called libertarian bloggers who're taking him to task for not solving domestic issues that have been plaguing us for decades. Nice timing guys.
erp:
Yes, they redistribute money from those who insist on driving anyway to those who currently pay income taxes but opt for more fuel efficient transport--that's the point.
Posted by: oj at September 14, 2005 12:46 PMSamuelson wrote:
"At times, individual freedom must be compromised to improve collective security."
This has been the mantra of every tyrant since Herod. (& before)
The fact that I happen to agree with OJ on policy grounds here, I think it is important that we reject the absurdly broad rhetoric by Samuelson.
Any "collective" is only as secure as the rights of individuals that make it up.
Any gas tax MUST coincide with either Social Security reform or making permanent Bush's cuts, or they should be tossed.
Also, those who argue that the taxes are enough, and CAFE standard are not necessary are correct.
Geez, the moment we start accepting the left's collectivist premises, is the moment we start accepting their solutions.
Posted by: Bruno at September 14, 2005 1:09 PMAren't Samuelson's ideas counter-productive?
The cost per gallon increases, as does miles per gallon. Aside from the price of a more expensive car, you'll end up paying the same price per mile. Where's the incentive to conserve in that?
Posted by: Nobrainer at September 14, 2005 1:09 PMGas taxes would become like cigarette taxes. The govt raises the tax to discourage consumption but then becomes reliant on that tax inflow. So as consumption drops the tax needs to keep going up to generate the same revenues. Eventually you get into the perverse situation where the govt doesn't want consumption to go down because it needs the revenue.
Raising the gax tax to discourage consumption and raise revenues is fine in theory. The problem, as Bruno notes, is that govt will use the extra revenue to build more useless roads, expand the welfare state, and others ways to waste the money.
Posted by: AWW at September 14, 2005 2:23 PMMr. Judd;
Your fundamental delusion here is that any other taxes would be lowered in response to higher taxes on gas. Is there a single person besides you who believes that would happen?
Posted by: Annoying Old Guy at September 14, 2005 3:46 PMAOG:
anyone who's ever seen the GOP write tax bills knows it excels at offsetting hikes in one area with even greater cuts in others.
Posted by: oj at September 14, 2005 3:52 PM" Remember the homily about trying to make all the legs on the table even"
That's why we use old magazines.
Posted by: Robert Schwartz
at September 14, 2005 5:56 PM
Lucky this isn't Euroland. Politicians here like their jobs and know that they will be unemployed if they try raising gas taxes.
Posted by: Pete at September 14, 2005 6:51 PMRobert, what's a magazine?
Posted by: erp at September 14, 2005 7:16 PMUntil oil's geography changes, a prudent society would respond to this unavoidable insecurity.
Absolutely correct.
What this country needs is $4-a-gallon gasoline or, maybe, $5.
Piffle.
Gov't subsidized thermal depolymerization plants and biodiesel should do the trick, and could be paid for by a dedicated (and sunsetted) 25¢/gallon tax on gasoline.
Posted by: Michael Herdegen
at September 14, 2005 11:25 PM
I say again, biodiesel.
Posted by: Michael Herdegen
at September 14, 2005 11:28 PM
Michael, I really would love to see you sit in on a Club of Rome session. You would drive them absolutely crazy. :-)
Posted by: Peter B at September 15, 2005 8:57 AMToo late, they're already crazy.
Posted by: Michael Herdegen
at September 16, 2005 3:55 AM
