October 2025

THE ONLY WAY IS THIRD:

Is a Liberal Realignment Emerging from the Rubble of MAGA Authoritarianism?: Democrats have an opportunity to champion a confident, forward-looking market liberalism given that the GOP has fully returned to its reactionary roots (Michael Wood, Oct 08, 2025, The UnPopulist)

Part of the angst and uncertainty of the current moment lies in the fact that American politics has entered a new era—but only one party seems to have received the memo. The Democratic Party is still struggling to articulate a vision that meaningfully contrasts with a newly reactionary and anti-market GOP. For those who have spent years railing against “free-market fundamentalism” and other convenient straw men, it takes genuine effort to pivot toward arguing for a pro-growth regulatory regime, or even to defend the basic liberal principle that markets depend on the neutral and predictable application of the law. I am not suggesting that most Democrats oppose such ideas; rather, they have simply not been in the habit of speaking in those terms, or of exercising those rhetorical muscles.

There are, encouragingly, signs of such evolution for those willing to look closely—even in a party that often appears paralyzed by timidity and managerial incompetence. Negative polarization has turned many ordinary Democrats into Cato Institute-style free-trade enthusiasts. But not all of the rethinking is merely a partisan reaction. Writers such as Derek Thompson and Ezra Klein have helped to spark what has been dubbed the “Abundance Movement”—a genuinely reformist impulse that, despite its progressive framing, adopts many of the classic free-market critiques of overregulation and scarcity politics.

There is indeed a political party in America today that celebrates the state’s direct ownership of private enterprise—but it is not the Democratic Party. Recall that Bernie Sanders did not get the party’s presidential nomination and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s star has dimmed quite a bit in the last decade.

If a liberal pro-growth consensus is to take shape in the aftermath of Trumpism, it will require the Democratic Party to rediscover something that once defined the American tradition at its best: a belief that freedom and progress, both material and moral, are mutually reinforcing. The market, for all its failures, remains the most effective mechanism for harnessing creativity, rewarding effort, and translating innovation into tangible improvements in human life. The left’s task, then, is not to restrain or moralize against this process, but to channel it—to ensure that the benefits of dynamism extend broadly enough to sustain the political legitimacy of the system itself.

This requires a shift in sensibility as much as in policy. It means treating economic growth not as a background condition to be redistributed after the fact, but as a moral good in its own right—one that expands the realm of human possibility. It means understanding that progress is not simply the reduction of inequality, but the enlargement of opportunity. If Democrats wish to lead the next political era, they must speak again in the language of confidence—of construction, of experimentation, of abundance—rather than that of scarcity and suspicion.

This requires not just a return to the Third Way–of Clinton, Blair, W, etc.–which enbraced capitalist means as the best way to achieve secure funding for social programs. But it would require getting rid of the Identitarianism on the Left, an even harder lift.

THE A-FRAME:

The populism horseshoe: A venerable political theory helps make sense of modern political attitudes (John Sides – October 8, 2025, Good Authority)

Why would we expect populist attitudes to be more prevalent at the ideological extremes? First, let’s define populism. Tamaki and Jung, building on other work, define it as “a thin-centered ideology that divides society into two homogeneous and antagonistic groups – ‘the pure people’ and ‘the corrupt elite’ – and argues for politics to be an expression of the general will of the people.”

The ideological extremes are thus expected to be more populist because of certain cognitive tendencies. The far left and far right often share an “us vs. them” view of the world – even if they define “us” and “them” differently. Both groups also tend to oversimplify the world, and hold on to their simplified views with confidence. They are cognitively “rigid.” And they are particularly hostile toward those they view as opponents.

On top of that, the far left and far right are both “people-centered” in their way. They distrust authorities and “elites.” Thus, they valorize “ordinary people” as the only reliable and worthy decision-makers.

FDR WHO?:

What Ended the Great Depression?: A new history clears the air on what worsened, and what eased, the macroeconomic crisis. : a review of False Dawn: The New Deal and the Promise of Recovery, 1933-1947, by George Selgin (David R. Henderson, 10/02/25, defining ideas)

Selgin doesn’t score cheap points. He carefully sifts through the evidence. His bottom line is that early parts of the New Deal, such as going off the gold standard, helped the economy recover but that later parts, such as the National Industrial Recovery Act, which cartelized hundreds of American industries, set the recovery back. Later actions by the Federal Reserve in 1936 and 1937 created a “double dip.” World War II helped end the Great Depression by causing FDR to quit castigating businessmen. The biggest surprise to many, which I wrote about here, and which Selgin quotes, is that neither expansionary monetary nor expansionary fiscal policy was responsible for the postwar boom. […]

One of the main contributions to economists’ understanding of why the Great Depression lasted so long is economic historian Robert Higgs’s idea of “regime uncertainty.” With the early New Deal, FDR had cartelized industries. After the Supreme Court found this cartelization unconstitutional, FDR switched to aggressive enforcement of antitrust laws and attacked successful businesspeople as “economic royalists.” This, argues Higgs, can account for the drying up of investment in the late 1930s. Selgin lays out Higgs’s argument. Selgin also points to FDR’s proposed tax on wealth, which, he argues, “was less concerned with raising revenue than with soaking the rich.”

But in 1940, Roosevelt, wanting to get into World War II, knew that he needed businesses on board. He did so by getting rid of his most anti-business aides and, after the United States entered the war, often replacing them with the so-called “dollar a year” men, businesspeople who worked for an annual federal salary of one dollar and were paid at the same time by the businesses they had left. This ended “regime uncertainty” and helped cause a boom. The boom actually started in 1940 and went through 1941.

What about the claim we often hear that wartime spending created a boom? Selgin quotes Higgs’s point that FDR’s turning the US economy into a command economy during World War II means that we can’t take prices and output data at face value. Because so much of production was for the war effort, this was not the usual economic boom. Selgin quotes one economist’s statement that “the war was, particularly for the United States, a deepening of the Depression.”

Selgin points out, as I detailed in my 2010 study “The US Postwar Miracle,” that many prominent Keynesians thought that the United States needed substantial federal government spending to avoid a post–World War II depression. In fact, federal spending was cut by over half. Yet we avoided a depression.

AWKWARD:

The Anatomy of Constitutional Despair: a review of We the People by Jill Lepore (Paul Moreno, 9/29/25, Law & Liberty)

FDR’s New Deal seized up in 1937, after his attack on the Supreme Court, his own recession, and his attempt to “purge” his own party. But for a while—from the 1940s through the 1960s—liberals espied a solution: get control of the Supreme Court, which had become a “continual constitutional convention.” But the route of judicial advancement of liberal goals stalled and even reversed sometimes (though it occasionally advanced) after 1969, and the Trump-packing of the Court has caused them to add “judicial supremacy” to their litany of complaints about the dysfunction of the Constitution.

Live by the gavel…

BECAUSE DARWINISM IS ANTI-SCIENTIFIC?:

A blue jay and a green jay mated, researchers say. Their offspring is a scientific marvel (CNN, September 29, 2025)

The bigger question scientists are puzzling over, though, is why does the mystery bird exist?

“We think it’s the first observed vertebrate that’s hybridized as a result of two species both expanding their ranges due, at least in part, to climate change,” said Brian Stokes, a doctoral student of biology at the University of Texas at Austin and first author of the study published September 10 in the journal Ecology and Evolution.

THERE’S NO SUCH THING AS SPECIES:

Interbreeding Hybrid Giant Salamanders Are Creating A Very Sticky Situation For Conservationists: Escapees of the restaurant trade are making things tricky for the conservation of giant salamanders. (Tom Hale, 10/02/25, IFL Science)


Scientists have noted how these two species managed to “hit it off” and started hybridizing in Japan’s streams. In a 2024 study, researchers collected 68 samples from giant salamanders in the Kamogawa River of Kyoto, as well as several samples from private collections, aquariums, and zoos throughout Japan.

They found that some of these individuals were hybrids of Japanese giant salamander and Chinese giant salamander, created by the two species interbreeding. In some cases, it appears that hybrid offspring also mated with each other or others from the “genetically pure” populations, creating an even deeper mix of hybridity and gene mixing.

REPUBLICAN LIBERTY AT THE PLATE:

The Disenchantment of Baseball: Rule changes pull the veil from the sport’s high mysteries (Nick Burns, 10/01/25, Hedgehog Review)

But this easy inference rests on unexamined assumptions about the ontology of the strike zone—no, seriously—which, at as it currently exists, is a far more political concept than it appears at first blush. […]

Announcers know the way that the game really works—they will often note, sometimes with an eyebrow slightly raised, that tonight, such-and-such umpire’s strike zone has “a lot of room on the outside,” meaning he is calling pitches on the outside of the plate as strikes. If you take a strictly rationalistic, objective approach to the strike zone, you would say that such an umpire is simply biased. But that would be wrong. The truth is that the strike zone has always been a subjectively constructed thing: it is where the umpire says it is.

Still, there are ground rules. If the umpire gives one team extra “room” on the outside of the zone, he must do the same for the other. If he does, then there’s no problem. It’s only if he gives one team the outside call, and denies the other the same, that players really get mad. The strike zone, therefore, is a political thing that ties the umpire to both teams, a zone measured more by a sense of fairness than by the distance from the top of the shoulders to the hollow beneath the kneecaps.

It’s also something to which pitchers respond. They take note of where the umpire is and isn’t giving them calls. If he’s giving them the call on the outside corner, that’s where he’ll try to throw. If they’re not getting the call, they’ll stop trying. And if a pitcher gets one call on the outside, he might try to push his luck by trying to coax the umpire to give him calls further and further off the plate.

The catcher plays a role, too, “framing” balls just outside the zone by moving his glove into the zone as he catches the ball, in an effort to deceive the umpire. And the catcher is more closely tied to the umpire, more able to influence him, than the pitcher: catcher and umpire, after all, share a common situation, squatting side by side for hours, staring down 100-mile-an-hour fastballs that sometimes ricochet into one or the other of them with painful consequences.

It’s a delicate relational game: the umpire responds to the pitcher and catcher, the batter responds to the umpire—and it can all go wrong, batters and managers howling and swearing and throwing their gear around at a bad call that, in the last instance, may be nothing more than the result of an umpire carried along by the little maneuvers of a pitcher or a catcher who knows how to manipulate.

There’s more politics here: veteran pitchers are believed to sometimes “get” borderline calls from umpires that rookies don’t.

It’s even more political than that, A New Study Shows Umpire Discrimination Against Non-White Players
(Robert Arthur, August 13, 2021, Baseball Prospectus)

ESCAPING THE TRUE BELIEVERS:

How I Got Pulled into Charlie Kirk’s Movement—and Why I Left: Turning Point USA gave me purpose. But it took years to unlearn the politics I once accepted without question (Caroline Stout, Wendy Kaur, Oct. 1, 2025, The Walrus)

You were in high school when you joined Turning Point USA. What made you want to get involved?

I was involved with my local Republican Party. At this point, Charlie was going around fundraising. He held a kind of recruitment meeting for young people interested in politics in Houston. That was the first time I met him, when he made his pitch for Turning Point. His refrain was: “We only focus on limited government and fiscal responsibility. That’s it. We don’t focus on social issues, because that divides us.” That was really digestible for me at the time, because I really wasn’t sure where I stood on some social issues. And it’s easy to get behind fiscal responsibility and limited government. So it seemed pretty innocuous to me. […]

How much responsibility do you think Kirk bears for the climate of fear and outrage that has reshaped American politics?

When MAGA started to take over, Kirk really leaned into its rise. He was very ambitious, and so there was a major shift in his rhetoric during the first Trump administration. Early on, he even gave an interview emphasizing the importance of viewing policy through a secular lens. But in recent years, his message became much more aligned with Christian nationalism. That evolution tracks closely with the broader rise of Christian nationalism in politics and with MAGA. I wouldn’t place all the blame on him, but the embrace of nationalist and fascist rhetoric—anti-immigration, xenophobia, and Christian nationalism—is something for which he does bear responsibility.

THE eND OF hISTORY ACHIEVES PASSIVITY (protestantism):

A Very Short Introduction to Secularist Violence in Modern History (Thomas Albert Howard, September 30, 2025, Church Life Journal)

To be sure, not all forms of secularism tend toward violence. Distinctions are necessary. But at least two kinds have, and it is worth pondering why. To do so, one must return to the ideological ferment of the nineteenth century. In the wake of the French Revolution and Napoleonic Wars (1789–1815), debates about the appropriate relationship between religion and government in a modern polity became pointed and acrimonious across Europe and in the Americas. Confronted by a partially restored Ancien Régime after 1815 eager to return to the throne and altar model in medieval fashion, proponents of modernity theorized three principal ways to resolve the religio-political dilemma of their age—what we might think of as passive secularism, combative secularism, and eliminationist secularism. In the twentieth century, borne by the influence of Western ideas and institutions, these solutions went global.

While citizens of the United States might not recognize a term like passive secularism, they know from experience the political-religious arrangements it describes, for, broadly speaking, this is the solution offered by the U.S. Constitution’s First Amendment (1791): the national government should neither establish a religion nor meddle with citizens’ free exercise of their faith. Briefly, before the French Revolution’s radical turn, something comparable held sway in France, and the Belgian Constitution of 1831 exemplifies it in spades. In the nineteenth century, liberal thinkers such as Benjamin Constant, Alexis de Tocqueville, and Lord Acton endorsed versions of passive secularism and its more familiar cognates: freedom of conscience or freedom of religion. The roots of passive secularism would return one to figures such as John Locke, especially his Letter Concerning Toleration (1689), written as a pragmatic solution to the religio-political turpitude that convulsed Britain in the seventeenth century. But it arguably possesses much deeper roots in early Christian thought, as the church historian Robert Wilken perceptively argues in his book, Liberty in the Things of God: The Christian Origins of Religious Freedom (2019). In the twentieth century, the UN’s Universal Declaration on Human Rights (1948) and Vatican II’s Dignitatis humanae or Declaration on Religious Freedom (1965) are instances of passive secularism. While realities do not always live up to ideals, this form of secularism, when adopted in actual states, has been decidedly less a concern for violence than the other two. Too often, though, Westerners assume this is the only form of modern secularism when in fact this is patently not the case, particularly when one adopts a broader historical and global outlook.

Combative secularism, more problematically, descends from the radical stages of the French Revolution after 1792. At this time, the anticlerical sentiment of the French Enlightenment typified in the philosophe Voltaire’s pet phrase écrasez l’infâme—crush the loathsome thing, i.e., the Catholic Church—gained an outlet for political expression. This resulted in extensive measures of de-Christianization: the shuttering and destruction of churches and monasteries, erasure of the Christian calendar, rampant iconoclasm, guillotining of many clergy, and a genocidal response to Catholic opposition to revolutionary excesses in the Vendée region of Western France. Often if not always tempering its early capacity for violence, this form of secularism—tagged later as laïcité (secularism, laicism)—grew apace throughout the nineteenth century, coming to expression in the European-wide revolutions of 1830 and 1848, and it found a congenial political home in the anticlerical polices of the French Third Republic (1871-1940).

In the late nineteenth century, this version of secularism derived major intellectual support from the positivist August Comte’s theory of stadial civilizational development, which posited theological and then philosophical stages of human history inexorably giving way to a purely “positivist” one—an age of science and strictly immanent conceptions of well-being. The Third-Republic politician Léon Gambetta exemplified combative secularism, sloganeering le cléricalisme, voilà l’ennemi! (clericalism, that’s the enemy!) throughout much of his career. For Gambetta and other committed anticlericals (within and beyond France), the church assumed the role of a “mythic enemy,” the antithesis of Revolution, reason, and progress, according to the scholar Joseph Moody: “the function of the myth . . . simplified beliefs [and] gave a single satisfactory object to passions that otherwise would be tempered by contradictory data.” Such assertive laïcité informed the French Law of the Separation of Church and State (1905), which fractured French society and effectively crushed the Catholic Church’s role in public life. The outcome in France invited imitation from other republican-anticlerical polities. In the twentieth century, revolutionary Mexico, republican Spain, and post-Ottoman Turkey embraced and adapted versions of combative secularism, ratcheting up its anticlerical hostility and capacity for violence.

Finally, eliminationist secularism was a solution shaped by Europe’s Far Left—by Ludwig Feuerbach, Karl Marx, Friedrich Engels, Pierre Proudhon, and Mikhail Bakunin, among others. “The first duty of a free and intelligent mind,” Proudhon wrote, “is to chase the idea of God out of his mind incessantly.” Despite the well-known phrase of religion serving as “the opiate of the masses,” Marx wrote little on religion per se, concentrating on political and economic matters. But its place in his thought is crucial and influential. In brief, Marx felt that religious belief was a species of false consciousness, a compensatory delusion resting on unjust social conditions and a major source of human alienation. Once the proletarian revolution overcame these conditions, religion would simply be eliminated, becoming a curious relic of humanity’s pre-socialist past. Implied in this view, however, are potentially major problems for a Marxist regime. What if religion fails to follow its Marxist script and wither away? This reality confronted many socialist regimes in the twentieth century: the persistence of religion became therefore a major embarrassment, a worrisome sign of the failure of theory, not to mention a rival source of moral judgment and a breeding ground for political dissent. To save appearances, socialist regimes resorted to extensive measures in the Soviet era to repress, persecute, and/or control religious elements in society. What Lenin and Stalin began in the 1920s and 1930s, figures such as China’s Mao Zedong and Albania’s Enver Hoxha, among others, continued during the Cold War.

Despite their differences, both combative secularism and eliminationist secularism descend from the Enlightenment’s progressive wing—what the intellectual historian Jonathan Israel has influentially called the Radical Enlightenment. They stem from the belief that secular reason should everywhere supplant tradition and “superstition” and that an individual or group’s religious convictions ought to take a back seat to collective immanent social progress. Surveying the Communist onslaught against religious communities in the twentieth century inclines one to understand not only Voltaire’s écrasez l’infâme but also the philosophe Diderot’s well-known quip that “men will never be free until the last king is strangled with the entrails of the last priest” not as instances of rhetorical excess, but as prescriptive desiderata. As the philosopher and dissident from Communist Poland Leszek Kolakowski once wrote: “The rationalism, contempt for tradition, and hatred of the mythological layer of culture to which the Enlightenment gave birth developed, under Communism, into the brutal persecution of religion, but also into the principle that human beings are expendable: that individual lives count only as instruments of the ‘greater whole’ or the ‘higher cause,’ i.e., the state, for no rational grounds exist for attributing to them any special, non-instrumental status.” The historical record lends credence to Kolakowski’s judgment.

Finally, both combative secularism and eliminationist secularism have abetted violence not only by what secularist regimes have afflicted on their own populations, but by the forms of zealous backlash that they have often inspired by their intrusive overreach. While rank-and-file believers have often sympathized with the political objectives promoted by modernizing secularist regimes (equality, literacy, redistribution of wealth), they have often found themselves driven into the arms of the regimes’ adversaries by their disagreement over the harsh treatment of the religious sector of society or by the fact that a state-imposed secularism did not accompany genuine democratization and freedom, as was often promised. Zealous (political) secularism, in other words, has ironically sometimes begotten a zealous (religious or religiopolitical) counter-reaction, and thus the former deserves at least an honorable mention in the causal chain leading to the latter.