April 5, 2004

IT'S NOT THE MOG:

The Lesson of Mogadishu: America must answer last week's barbarity in Fallujah. (MARK BOWDEN, April 5, 2004, Wall Street Journal)

The worst answer the U.S. can make to such a message--which is precisely what we did in Mogadishu--is back down. By most indications, Aidid's supporters were decimated and demoralized the day after the Battle of Mogadishu. Some, appalled by the indecency of their countrymen, were certain the U.S. would violently respond to such an insult and challenge. They contacted U.N. authorities offering to negotiate, or simply packed their things and fled. These are the ones who miscalculated. Instead the U.S. did nothing, effectively abandoning the field to Aidid and his henchmen. Somalia today remains a nation struggling in anarchy, and the America-haters around the world learned what they thought was a essential truth about the United States: Kill a few Americans and the most powerful nation on Earth will run away. This, in a nutshell, is the strategy of Osama bin Laden.

Many Americans despise the effort under way in Iraq. They opposed overthrowing Saddam Hussein by force, and disbelieved the rationale offered by President Bush and Prime Minister Tony Blair. There may well be a heavy political price to pay for the mistakes and exaggerations; President Bush faces a referendum in just seven months. But however that election turns out, and however imperfectly we have arrived at this point, the facts on the ground in Iraq remain. Saddam is gone and Iraq, thanks to U.S. intervention, is struggling toward a new kind of future. Its successful transformation into a peaceful, democratic state is in everyone's interest except Saddam's extended family and the Islamo-fascists. It's time for opponents of the war to get real. Pictures like those we saw from Fallujah last week should horrify us, but they should also anger us and strengthen our resolve. The response should not be to back away from the task, but to redouble our efforts.

Which means recognizing that the gory carnival on the streets of Fallujah is not evidence of the mission's futility, nor is it something to chalk up to foreign barbarity. It was deliberate and it must be answered deliberately. The lynching of African-Americans would have ended decades earlier if authorities had rounded up and punished those participating in crimes like the one in Marion. Somalia would be a vastly different place today if the U.S. and U.N. had not backed away in horror from the shocking display in Mogadishu.


There's an even worse answer--extending our stay just to try and prove we're tough when we really should have left months ago.

Posted by Orrin Judd at April 5, 2004 3:32 PM
Comments

"Should have left months ago"? Oh, right, we'd be a lot better off if there were a fullblown civil war in Iraq, with Iranian-backed Shiite extremists triumphing over and slaughtering everyone else....

Orrin, I don't think you are thinking strategically or long-range. It's in our best interest (and that of Iraq and the region) for us to stick around long enough to get a fledging democracy on its feet, and to continue the pressuring of Syria, Iran, and Saudi Arabia.

Posted by: PapayaSF at April 5, 2004 5:15 PM

Papaya:

They don't need us for that, anymore than Iran does.

Syria could use our help just to get rid of their Ba'ath regime, and then leave.

The Sa'uds are reforming on their own.

Posted by: oj at April 5, 2004 5:26 PM

It's not like we are really leaving. The US is going to have troops there for a long, long, long time. It's being spun to sound like that we are pulling everybody out.

I always laugh when OJ says the Saudis are reforming. So is Charles Manson.

Posted by: BJW at April 5, 2004 5:32 PM

The idea that the clerics are going to be removed from power in Iran anytime soon has become a farce in the last few years, and I can't understand why anyone believes it anymore. They're not going to blink at this stage (they'll hold out plenty long enough to get nukes), and that's the only way that such regimes lose power. Personally, I am coming around to the idea that there's just too much entrenched opposition around the region for Iraq to democratize anytime soon, and too large a fraction domestically that doesn't care to make the effort. So maybe we should just destroy the military capabilities of every country in the Middle East, and keep doing so whenever they try to rebuild. A sort of nuclear-proliferation era containment policy, if you will. Otherwise, the unthinkable will happen, and before too long. New Hampshire probably won't be high on the target list, but life for oj won't be so fun if NYC and/or Boston are glowing craters.

Posted by: brian at April 5, 2004 6:09 PM

brian:

What military capabilities? The war showed they have none.

Posted by: oj at April 5, 2004 6:36 PM

I'm talking about Iran, Syria, et al. You don't think if we deprive Baby Assad and the mullahs of their tanks, helicopters, etc., it'll be more likely that the people will rise up?

Posted by: brian at April 5, 2004 7:15 PM

"Should have been out months ago"?

Not!
We needed to stay there long enough for the cockroaches to take the bait and scurry out. Whereupon we can squash them.

And guess what?

Posted by: ray at April 5, 2004 9:20 PM

Orrin thinks the Shias have some idea of democracy. Events of the last few hours prove him wrong.

Posted by: Harry Eagar at April 5, 2004 11:47 PM

Harry:

What, when they demanded to be allowed to run their own country?

Posted by: oj at April 6, 2004 8:58 AM

That's not what they're asking.

Posted by: Harry Eagar at April 8, 2004 11:16 PM

Harry:

Is

Posted by: oj at April 8, 2004 11:38 PM
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