November 22, 2003

LAST KID PICKED:

It's Time to Tear Down the 'Arab Wall' (Shafeeq N. Ghabra, November 23, 2003, Washington Post)

[T]he Arab status quo has been challenged -- by President Bush's Nov. 6 speech urging the Arab world to adopt liberal democracy, by the war in Iraq and, above all, by internal forces such as the growing population of young and discontented subjects. Arab regimes that before Sept. 11, 2001, seemed stable and enduring now seem vulnerable to a militant brand of Islam such as al Qaeda's.

As a result, there is now a faint possibility of a third way that navigates between the two dismal poles in an Arab world. This new form of politics could begin by opening up debate in the press, schools, streets, civic organizations and even in the mosques and husayniyyas (the annexes to Shiite mosques where political discussion often takes place). It could adopt laws that protect expression and political rights. And it could nurture forces that mediate differences between state and society, between religious and secular authorities, and between government and the radical opposition. These new forces in Arab society should then defend certain elements of the status quo as if the extremists were on the verge of taking power while seeking reform and democracy as if the radicals were not there threatening to fill the vacuum.

The evolution of this third way in Arab politics will require years of expanding freedoms and reforms. And it will, inevitably, be something of an experiment. Yet the Middle East has experimented -- unsuccessfully -- with most of the last century's political faiths: socialism (in Algeria, Egypt, Iraq, Libya, Syria and Yemen since the 1950s), communism (South Yemen in the 1960s), and state capitalism fused with monarchy (the Gulf states, Jordan and Morocco). The Middle East has even experimented with homegrown ideologies, including Nasserism, Baathism and Khomeiniism. Just about the only ideology the region hasn't tried is liberal capitalist democracy of one form or another.


If that admission weren't so poignant it would be funny--the only system they haven't tried is the only one that works.

Posted by Orrin Judd at November 22, 2003 4:34 PM
Comments

The Arabs tried liberal capitalist democracy in Lebanon for several decades. It worked pretty well, but ethnic differences destroyed it and led to one of the more horrific civil wars in recent memory.

The problem was that the more advanced groups -- the Christians and the Sunnis -- were being outbred by the more backward Shi'ites, who demanded a new census leading to a reapportionment of power based on their increased numbers. Add in the Druze group, the unwanted attentions of neighbors Syria and Israel, and, fatally, the arrival of the Palestinians after being kicked out of Jordan and it all fell apart in 1975.

Posted by: Steve Sailer at November 24, 2003 3:00 AM
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