September 24, 2006

THAR, SHE BLOWS! (via Qiao Yang):

The Airbus Fiasco (Thomas Lifson, 9/23/06, Real Clear Politics)

As a supreme symbol of Europe's prowess in aerospace, indeed in modern technology itself, the A 380 superjumbo jet, is melting down. No longer the embodiment of European cooperation and unity, its third announced delivery delay reveals internal chaos, bickering, finger-pointing and recrimination within Airbus and its parent EADS.

The whalejet, as it is known to some, has morphed from queen of the air into drama queen of the air. [...]

Airbus and its parent EADS are the product of mergers done in the name of European unity, intended to produce a giant that could compete with the likes of Boeing and Lockheed-Martin in both civil aviation and defense. State shareholders and "launch aid" funding make it beholden to political interests, not markets alone, in its decision-making. It is often cited as a "social enterprise" of the European model, not merely interested in profits, but in public service and the welfare of its employees.

Such muddled thinking has produced results that are currently serving nobody. Except maybe sales executives of rival Boeing, chalking up more and more orders for the 787 Dreamliner, a smaller, more efficient, longer range competitor, offering passengers the option of avoiding crowded hub airports and time consuming changes of plane, and flying nonstop to their destination.

The confusing, even contradictory reactions of A 380 customers to the third announcement of a delay, as reported in the world press, are a sign of the hardball negotiations underway. Billions of dollars are at stake, but in aviation, nobody wants to undermine passenger confidence, so direct expressions of dismay and votes of no confidence are as rare as French military triumphs in the last two centuries.


On the bright side, it's not like anyone will care if they quietly kill the project.

Posted by Orrin Judd at September 24, 2006 10:14 AM
Comments

We still haven't seen the European governments forcing all their state-owned airlines to buy gobs of these things to help Airbus' balance sheet, even though the airlines won't have the routes to fly those things on to make them profitable. But it will kick the financial can down the road a few years, and shift the day of final reckoning to another place on the ledger sheet.

Posted by: John at September 24, 2006 11:17 AM

"No longer the embodiment of European cooperation and unity"

Actually, it is. That's kinda the problem, isn't it?

Posted by: Bob Hawkins at September 24, 2006 11:33 AM

They can't. The locals would never let them land the things.

Posted by: oj at September 24, 2006 11:40 AM
offering passengers the option of avoiding crowded hub airports and time consuming changes of plane, and flying nonstop to their destination.

Actually, there will be more point-to-point connctions and more passengers flying via the hubs. Once the A 380 has the last glitches ironed out, the people running the hubs will be happy to fit the runways to the needs of the plane.

Posted by: Ralf Goergens at September 24, 2006 5:36 PM

It's not up to them.

Posted by: oj at September 24, 2006 6:02 PM

Even in Europe, there are only a handful of airports where the A380 will be landing (Charles De Gaulle, Heathrow, Frankfurt, Schipol [maybe], possibly Madrid, and maybe one or two others). That's it.

In the end, the airlines may just decide to buy 777s (primarily because it has only two engines), due to lower fuel and maintenance costs.

The A380 may be a great airplane, but we may never find out.

Posted by: jim hamlen at September 24, 2006 6:16 PM

Whatever be done and not done here, headlines such as the above made this the greatest Blog in the world.

Posted by: Lou Gots at September 24, 2006 6:40 PM

Is OJ Ahab?

Posted by: ratbert at September 24, 2006 9:51 PM
It's not up to them.

Oh yes, it is.

The hubs can't expand for NIMBY restrictions, but they can make their runways more sturdy.

Posted by: Ralf Goergens at September 25, 2006 5:39 AM
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