August 11, 2005


McCain leads at the start (John DiStaso, 8/11/05, Union Leader)

The American Research Group's numbers focus on the Republican side, showing the Arizona senator far ahead of the pack with the support of 39 percent of the likely voters in that primary.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich drew 14 percent, followed by Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney with 8 percent and Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist at 5 percent, with Virginia Sen. George Allen and Colorado Rep. Tom Tancredo each at 1 percent. According to the poll, 32 percent of likely voters are undecided.

Kansas Sen. Sam Brownback, Nebraska Sen. Chuck Hagel and Arkansas Gov. Mark Huckabee registered no support.

ARG polled 600 likely primary votes — 433 registered Republicans and 167 registered independents — Aug. 5-7. The poll had a margin of error of 4 percent.

Among Republicans, McCain drew 37 percent, while 26 percent were undecided, 19 percent favored Gingrich, 9 percent favored Romney, 7 percent favored Frist, and Allen and Tancredo drew 1 percent each.

Among independents, 47 percent were undecided, while McCain drew 45 percent, Romney 6 percent and Gingrich 2 percent.

It's over.

Posted by Orrin Judd at August 11, 2005 6:56 AM

Except he's not going to run.

Posted by: David Cohen at August 11, 2005 12:00 PM

I'll take the field.

Posted by: Robert Schwartz at August 11, 2005 12:03 PM

Anyone share my belief that McCain is less stable than Tom Eagleton? He's above his competency level now, although he has a great many peers in the Senate.

Posted by: ed at August 11, 2005 12:57 PM


And as presidents.

Posted by: oj at August 11, 2005 1:06 PM

David is exactly right.

Posted by: BJW at August 11, 2005 1:51 PM

David: Remind me why you're so certain about that?

Posted by: b at August 11, 2005 1:58 PM


Because he bet me so now he has to brave it out.

Posted by: oj at August 11, 2005 2:03 PM

McCain?? run?? President??

Depends on the definition of "run".

Posted by: h-man at August 11, 2005 3:02 PM

The American Research Group's numbers focus on the Republican side, showing the Arizona senator far ahead of the pack...
With 39 percent of voters recognizing his name.

This is good news for McCain fund-raising, but that's all that this signifies.

Posted by: Michael Herdegen at August 11, 2005 3:15 PM

I remember in 2000, you fell over yourself with blind hatred of McCain. Now you practically have his Tiger Beat spread up in your room, you're so in love with him. Why the big change?

Posted by: Governor Breck at August 11, 2005 5:39 PM


I like McCain, I just don't think he'll be a very good president--too thin-skinned and too few ideas. However, the next presidency will be so occuppied with finishing up the transformational agenda of George W. Bush that it's an ideal time for a McCain/Dole type. It's also a good idea to let the country catch its breath a little.

Picking W over McCain was a huge risk for the party in 2000--McCain would have won by close to double-digits--but a necessary one for the good of the country, which needed the compassionate conservative/Ownership Society, etc. that W has effected.

Posted by: oj at August 11, 2005 5:48 PM

I agree with ed - he's right on in his assessment. While I do like McCain for acting as an irritant in certain cases, I do not believe he has the stature to be president. oj's first paragraph in his comment to Gov is prett astute, though.

Posted by: dlmeadows at August 11, 2005 6:12 PM

b: He's too old, his health is lousy and he's said that he's not going to run.

Posted by: David Cohen at August 11, 2005 7:13 PM

Hmmmm. Last time we did as OJ suggests, we had Bush 41 followed by 8 years of Clinton. Not the sort of result that sheds a favorable light on the strategy.

Posted by: Annoying Old Guy at August 11, 2005 7:20 PM

That's why McCain should only serve one term.

Posted by: Timothy at August 11, 2005 7:43 PM

The Clinton years were some of the best in our history.

Posted by: oj at August 11, 2005 10:42 PM


He's raising money, hiring staff, making NH appearances and hasn't said he's not running.

Posted by: oj at August 11, 2005 10:43 PM

oj, you're kidding of course.

Posted by: erp at August 12, 2005 7:40 PM