November 4, 2004

RAIDING THE BASE:

Bush 2000/Bush 2004 (The Political Junkie Handbook)

African-Americans: 8%/11%
Whites: 54%/58%
Hispanic: 41%/44%
Married: 53%/56%
Not Married: 38%/40%
Union Members: 37%/40%
Gays: 25%/23%
Gun Owners: 61%/67%
Protestants: 63%/59%
Jewish: 19%/25%
Catholics: 45%/52%
Republicans: 91%/93%
Democrats: 10%/11%
Men: 51%/55%
Women: 43%/48%
18-29 year olds: 46%/45%
30-44 year olds: 49%/53%
45-59 year olds: 49%/51%
60+ 47%/54%

So, the President made his greatest inroads with Latinos, Jews, Catholics and Seniors, or, the Democratic base.

Posted by Orrin Judd at November 4, 2004 2:13 PM
Comments

He needs to work on the gay Episcopalian vote for the 2006 midterms.

Posted by: John at November 4, 2004 2:39 PM

Looks like his biggest gains were Whites. Not %, but actual votes.

Must have been the holy rollers.

Posted by: h-man at November 4, 2004 2:50 PM

He went from 63% down to 59% among Protestants? Can that possibly be right?

Posted by: Random Lawyer at November 4, 2004 2:55 PM

RL: My thots exactly. Who'd THEY vote for?

Posted by: John Resnick at November 4, 2004 3:30 PM

Yeah, the numbers are impressive. But the Democrats are still way ahead in the critical "talking hair-do" and "faculty lounge" demographic.

Posted by: luciferous at November 4, 2004 4:06 PM

Bush improved but once again the African-American vote remained solidly Democratic even with a lackluster candidate like Kerry. Some polls showing Bush nearing 20% of the Black vote turned out to be wishful thinking.

Posted by: AWW at November 4, 2004 4:11 PM

W pulled in more blacks in Ohio, where it was needed.

Those 60++++ are Nixon's silent majority.

Posted by: Sandy P at November 4, 2004 5:16 PM

How could he have gone up 4% men and 5% women but only 2 percent total from last election?

Posted by: Perry at November 4, 2004 7:53 PM

I will not rest until I understand that Protestant figure.

Meanwhile, CNN has their summary of the 2004 Exit Polls, with a handy column showing Bush's comparable figure for 2000.

They show Protestant as 59% in 2004, *up* 3% from 2000.

They also show Bush up 2 with men, up 5 with women; that would average to about up 3.5.

Posted by: Tom Maguire at November 4, 2004 10:44 PM

I'd like to see some numbers on non-southern blacks, because that's where Republicans actually need them. Here in WA, I've heard Bush pulled in about a third of the black vote. Dino Rossi got over 40%.

Posted by: Timothy at November 5, 2004 3:09 PM
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