November 2, 2004

MSNBC had some interesting exit poll numbers that showed most of the many newly registered voters who voted today in Ohio were 18-20-something and voted 58%-41% for John Kerry, which would suggest that the draft scare tactic worked well for them.

However, 2004 Not a Breakout for Youth After All (SIOBHAN McDONOUGH, 11/02/04, Associated Press)

This was not the breakout year for young voters that some had anticipated. Fewer than one in 10 voters Tuesday were 18 to 24, about the same proportion of the electorate as in 2000, exit polls indicated. Still, with voter turnout expected to be higher overall, more young people appeared to have come out.

A vigorous push on college campuses by both parties and national mobilization drives had raised expectations that 2004 would be the year of the youth vote.

Exit polls indicated that young people who did vote were strongly supporting Democrat John Kerry over President Bush, while they were evenly split between Bush and Democrat Al Gore four years ago.

Posted by Orrin Judd at November 2, 2004 8:37 PM
Comments

Yikes!

Posted by: Vince at November 2, 2004 8:39 PM

Is 58-41 really THAT far off from the typical youth (read: naive, herd-like, temporarily liberal) voting pattern?

Posted by: Semolina Pilchard at November 2, 2004 9:18 PM

Yahoo News is reporting that fewer younger people than expected voted today. At least, those are the results so far...

Posted by: Vince at November 2, 2004 9:21 PM

The press should stop and think once in a while - if the youth vote were up, Howard Dean would have won the Democratic nomination. Or at least finished second.

Posted by: jim hamlen at November 3, 2004 8:49 AM

The youth vote is never up and never decisive.

Posted by: Chris Durnell at November 3, 2004 10:26 AM
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