November 2, 2004

GOTTA BE IN IT TO WIN IT:

Hopefully everyone has their entry in for our BROTHERS JUDD 2004 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION PROGNOSTATHON?

I've a bookshelf groaning under the weight of valuable prizes, so, while we're at it, anyone feel like predicting the Senate races? You could just post which seats you expect to change parties. I'm going with:

IL
NC
SC
GA
FL
LA
WI
SD

That's a pick-up of 6 for the GOP, which could trigger a Ben Nelson party switch for a net 7. They could also let Jumpin' Jim come in from the Cold, which would turn up the pressure on a number of Democrats in increasingly Red states to switch and be the Republicans' 60th, or the President can recruit a sitting Democrat or two to fill out his Administration, coincidentally taking them from states where their replacements would be Republican (Joe Lieberman for Attorney General? Maybe Bill Nelson would rather run NASA than lose to Jeb?).


MORE:
Solidifying the Senate (David Hogberg, 11/1/2004, American Spectator)

Let's start off this Monday with a positive note. It is all but certain that the GOP will gain Senate seats tomorrow. The only question is how many?

Barring the electoral upsets for all eternity, Barack Obama will win Illinois, changing that seat to the Democrats, and Johnny Isakson will gain Georgia for the Republicans. That leaves the Senate where it is today, with the GOP having a 51-49 advantage.

Here is a run down of the contested seats:

Posted by Orrin Judd at November 2, 2004 11:01 PM
Comments

IL, NC, SC, GA, FL, LA, SD, KY

Posted by: Bart at October 31, 2004 10:23 AM

IL NC SC GA FL LA SD (+5 GOP)

Posted by: capt mike at October 31, 2004 10:38 AM

NO!!

Jumpin Jim does NOT come in from the cold. There are consequences for one's actions.

Jeffords is a Democrat. End of story.

Posted by: Andrew X at October 31, 2004 10:51 AM

IL, NC, SC, GA, LA, SD, AK

Posted by: curt at October 31, 2004 10:51 AM

NC, SC, SD, GA, LA, IL, FL

Posted by: Joe at October 31, 2004 11:20 AM

IL, NC, SC, GA, FL, LA, SD, AK (+4 GOP)

Posted by: pj at October 31, 2004 11:25 AM

Dems get IL. Republicans pick up SC, SD, GA, FL, NC. Dems hold LA (in the runoff), WI, WA. Reps hold AK, KY, OK, CO.

Posted by: AC at October 31, 2004 12:17 PM

IL, NC, SC, GA, LA, SD, AK

Posted by: M Ali Choudhury at October 31, 2004 12:45 PM

IL, NC, SC, GA, FL, LA, SD +5 GOP

Posted by: Timothy at October 31, 2004 12:48 PM

SC SD GA FL NC WI AK KY OK, if I win I would like a new truck.

Posted by: AllenS at October 31, 2004 12:56 PM

Allen:

How about a used "There Goes a Truck" videotape?

Posted by: oj at October 31, 2004 1:03 PM

Orrin, does it have an "R" rating? I guess beggers can't be choosers. Sure.

Posted by: AllenS at October 31, 2004 1:09 PM

For the good guys:

SC
NC
FL
LA
SD
GA

For the forces of not-so-good:

ILL

Posted by: pchuck at October 31, 2004 1:57 PM

Funny how people with male children know all about truck and construction videos. I'll donate a very used copy of "Road Construction Ahead." I think the odds of Jimmy J switching back to the GOP are pretty slim, but I'd love to see the reaction of all those "Thanks, Jim!" nitwits if he did.

Posted by: Governor Breck at October 31, 2004 2:18 PM

AK CO FL GA IL LA NC SC SD (GOP +3)

Posted by: Tom L at October 31, 2004 2:20 PM

Off topic, but could I just say that's it's a beautiful day outside, and I just can't tear myself away from the *$%&%#*! computer on account of the &^%$*#@ election.

I'll be glad when this is done.

Posted by: Twn at October 31, 2004 3:36 PM

IL, CO, AK, FL, SC, NC, GA, SD, WI, and LA

R +4

Posted by: "Edward Boyd" at October 31, 2004 3:50 PM

By the way, I still miss the three-letter state abbreviations.

Posted by: "Edward Boyd" at October 31, 2004 3:52 PM

Two letter postal codes designed for machines with vacuum tubes are not abbreviations. It's just that these days people are too lazy to type real abbreviations, if they are taught them at all.

Ill.
N.C.
S.C.
Ga.
Fla.
La. (only if there's no runoff)
S.Dak.
One of Colo. or Alaska, but not both.

For a net GOP + 4 (+3 if runoff)

I want to add Wash., but don't expect it.

and what ever happened to Calif . and Nev. races?

Posted by: Raoul Ortega at October 31, 2004 5:14 PM

IL, NC, SC, GA, LA, SD, AK, FL, CO.

Tiebreaker: LA only after a runoff.

Posted by: Chris at October 31, 2004 6:31 PM

IL
NC
SC
GA
FL
LA
SD

Posted by: Bob at November 1, 2004 10:48 AM

GA, SC, NC, FL, LA (RO), SD, IL, AK

Republican +4

Posted by: Earl Sutherland at November 1, 2004 2:19 PM

IL, SC, FL, GA, AK, LA, NC, NV, CO

Posted by: Matt C at November 1, 2004 4:04 PM

Daschle just filed suit to prevent Republican poll watchers from watching Indian reservation voting. Do the lawyers believe this is going to sit well with the voters of South Dakota?

Posted by: Melissa at November 1, 2004 10:25 PM

Andrew X:

There's also cutting off one's nose, to spite one's face.

Jeffords should be allowed to return, if he will, at least until the Supreme Court seats are filled, and SS privatization is done.

Posted by: Michael Herdegen at November 2, 2004 1:18 PM

Best Poll for undecided Voters;


Since 1956, Weekly Reader students in grades 1-12 have correctly picked the president


http://www.weeklyreader.com/election_vote.asp

Weekly Reader kids select Bush in Presidential Poll

The students who read Weekly Readerís magazines have made their preference for President known: they want to send President Bush back to the White House.

The results of this yearís Weekly Reader poll have just been announced, and the winner is President Bush. Hundreds of thousands of students participated, giving the Republican President more than 60% of the votes cast and making him a decisive choice over Democratic Senator John Kerry.

Since 1956, Weekly Reader students in grades 1-12 have correctly picked the president, making the Weekly Reader poll one of the most accurate predictors of presidential outcomes in history.

Posted by: poll troll at November 2, 2004 2:05 PM

Bunning is in trouble in KY at this point in time.

Posted by: Sandy P. at November 2, 2004 7:36 PM

I got the net number right. I was too pessimistic about Alaska and too optimistic about Wisconsin.

Posted by: "Edward" at November 3, 2004 5:30 PM
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