October 11, 2004


Post Debates, Carson and Coburn are tied (Sooner Poll, 10/8/2004)

Following two debates of the candidates, one on NBC’s Meet the Press and another in Oklahoma City, both Brad Carson (D) and Tom Coburn (R) are tied with just under a month left to campaign.

SoonerPoll.com, a public opinion research firm in Oklahoma City, conducted the telephone poll of 330 statewide likely voters Thursday for Fox25 in Oklahoma City showing Carson with 39.2%, 39.8% for Coburn and 21% undecided. The survey had a margin of error of 5.4%.

It would appear that Carson has begun to lose grip of his party base losing 21.4% of Democrats, up from 18% just a week ago. Meanwhile, Coburn has gained 2 points among Republican voters, bringing his cross-party advantage to 10%.

Three weeks out and neither has 40%?

Posted by Orrin Judd at October 11, 2004 10:56 PM

Carson's feckless and Coburn's a loose cannon.

Posted by: Chris at October 11, 2004 11:18 PM

Cmon OJ - this is one of your Bush coattail states as Bush will win by over 30pts which should drag Coburn over the line unless he really screws up.

Posted by: AWW at October 11, 2004 11:51 PM

A different (recent) poll showed Coburn 46, Carson 44.

The big news is that Coburn had been trailing recently, and has reversed that trend and seems in good shape.

He was only trailing because of a ridiculous charge from a former patient that didn't have much in the way of legs, and because the Tulsa World has made it their mission to defeat him. That's probably the worst individual shot he's going to take, unless he says something really stupid in the closing days (even by his standards). AWW is right -- he should squeak out a victory.

Posted by: kevin whited at October 12, 2004 12:13 AM

Coburn is a good guy, but gaffe-prone. Carson seems like a poor man's John Edwards(yikes!).

Being a proud born-again Christian in Oklahoma is not a hindrance, and I would imagine that Coburn will benefit enormously from the apparent increase in Relgious Right fervor against Kerry because of the 'culture war.'

Posted by: Bart at October 12, 2004 11:08 AM