October 11, 2004


Congressional runoff could be all-GOP affair: Demos may end up being worst enemies (Matthew Brown, October 11, 2004, New Orleans Times-Picayune)

When the campaign to represent Louisiana's 3rd Congressional District kicked off in earnest over the summer, the Democratic Party had three candidates scrambling to break from the pack, earn a spot in the runoff and recapture a seat that's been in Republican hands since incumbent Billy Tauzin of Chackbay switched parties eight years ago.

Yet with Tauzin retiring and the primary election just three weeks away, no Democrat has emerged as the party's clear-cut standard bearer. And two recent candidate-commissioned polls, coupled with the geographic dynamics of the 13,000-square-mile district, now point to the possibility of Democrats divvying up the Nov. 2 vote to the point where both candidates in the Dec. 4 runoff could be Republicans.

That would be a sharp blow to Democrats in a year the party hopes at least to trim the GOP majority in Congress. The 3rd District lacks an incumbent for the first time in 24 years, and the contest has been viewed by national Democratic party officials as a good chance to pick up a seat.

They're going to finish 3rd in one of their best shots at a pick-up?

Posted by Orrin Judd at October 11, 2004 11:05 PM

They're going to finish 3rd in one of their best shots at a pick-up?

LOL!!! November 2nd can't get here fast enough.

Posted by: Matt Murphy at October 11, 2004 11:15 PM

Today in the SF Chronicle: Nancy Pelosi claims they'll pick up 20. No word on whether anyone there burst out laughing when she said it.

Posted by: PapayaSF at October 12, 2004 12:49 AM


Read the same article. It would have been rude to spew lobbyists' food particles.

Posted by: Fred Jacobsen (San Fran) at October 12, 2004 2:02 AM

Nancy Pelosi's only off by 30 seats.

The GOP will pick up 11 seats in the House, 2, for a total of around 238.

LA Gov. Blanco's a Dem; the Dem candidates should draw straws, with the winner going to Congress and the losers getting positions in the State gov't.

Posted by: Michael Herdegen at October 12, 2004 5:42 AM


In Louisiana, you want the position in state government because that's where the money is.

Redistricting in Texas alone will add 6 seats to the GOP.

Posted by: Bart at October 12, 2004 11:06 AM