September 13, 2004

THE MAINE CHANCE:

Bush pulls into tie with Kerry (KEVIN WACK and BART JANSEN, 9/12/04, Portland Press Herald)

President Bush and Sen. John Kerry are in a dead heat in Maine, one of several battleground states in the Nov. 2 presidential election, according to a newspaper poll that also shows most of the state's voters believe it's time for a change in the White House.

Both Kerry and Bush had the support of 43 percent of likely voters statewide in the poll conducted for the Portland Press Herald/Maine Sunday Telegram by Zogby International, a Utica, N.Y., polling firm. Earlier polls gave Kerry a slight lead in Maine.

Ralph Nader, who last week was ruled eligible for the Maine ballot, had 3 percent of voters, and another 10 percent were undecided.

On referendum questions, Maine voters were about evenly divided on a proposal to cap property taxes, with 37 percent in favor, 36 percent opposed and 27 percent still undecided. A proposed ban on bear baiting trailed, with 52 percent of voters opposed and 35 percent favoring the ban, the poll shows.


That last bit is especially revealing--Democrats think gun control is a good issue for them yet their candidate is in trouble in his own backyard not least because folks will turn out to preserve bear baiting. Can a party that so little understands the country really remain viable?

Posted by Orrin Judd at September 13, 2004 9:07 PM
Comments

Well, I can't understand Bear Baiting either. I mean I know what it is, I just don't see why...

Posted by: AML at September 13, 2004 11:39 PM

You probably don't hunt deer with salt licks either...

Posted by: oj at September 13, 2004 11:47 PM

Can the Democrats remain viable ?

Of course.
Are urban areas going to be eliminated anytime soon ?
Kerry turned out to be a lousy candidate, and yet he'll still be within 10 points of Bush, the best President since FDR.

Democrats may be in "insane mode" this year, due to '00, '01, and '03, but future Republican Presidential candidates won't all be as strong as Bush, nor Democratic candidates as weak and/or nutty as Kerry, Dean, Graham, Kucinich or Sharpton.
This will probably be a good election cycle for GOP Congressional candidates, but as the terror threat abates, and the methods of dealing with terrorists become more practiced, habitual and unremarkable, American voters will re-focus on domestic issues.
It doesn't necessarily mean that the Republicans will lose control of Congress anytime soon, but it does mean that Bush had better make the most of his '05 Congress, 'cause future GOP Presidents, and he himself in '07, may not have as strong a hand.

Posted by: Michael Herdegen at September 14, 2004 12:08 AM

Michael:

Yes they are. Vouchers will move the poor out and they'll become little more than amusement and office parks.

Posted by: oj at September 14, 2004 7:06 AM

President himself needs to get up to the 2nd District. 2 Electoral votes out of ME would make for some nice insurance.

Posted by: cornetofhorse at September 14, 2004 9:52 AM

OK. I'll bite. What is Bear Baiting? I thought it was an obscene cheer used by the Auburn fans athe the annual game against Bama?

Posted by: Robert Schwartz at September 14, 2004 1:07 PM

Robert:

Setting up baited stations to lure them in so you can shoot them.

Posted by: oj at September 14, 2004 2:47 PM

>Can the Democrats remain viable ?

As long as there are super-rich C*E*L*E*B*R*I*T*I*E*S and welfare bums.

Or is that aristos and their serfs?

Posted by: Ken at September 14, 2004 6:07 PM
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