September 3, 2004

IT'S THE WAR, STUPID:

THE GOP HIJACKS 9/11: The Republicans have exploited 9/11 with the hope that voters will abandon rational thought and rally around a "war president." (The Editors, The Nation)


Actually, no hijacking was required. As the President's speech last night made crystal clear, the choice in this election is between those who would radically transform the Middle East--in the manner that we did first our own South, then the Axis powers and then the Iron Curtain nations--and those who are not willing--perhaps with ample reason--to impose the End of History and its Western values on the Middle East. The President's call to mission is based expressly in Judeo-Christian faith, the principles of the Founding, and American history. It logically then appeals most to those who believe that these are all good things. But the Left, which is and always has been quite alienated from them, if not outright hostile, must have little reason to follow a policy that derives from them.

Past conflicts suggest that there will be a fairly substantial pool of people for Mr. Kerry to draw upon if he takes his candidacy into open opposition to the project to liberate and liberalize the Middle East. He succeeded in the Vietnam War, just as Republicans succeeded in Korea, ending wars with foes still in the field and millions oppressed. The gauze of memory makes us forget that the Civil War, WWI, and WWII ended the same way, though with more general consent from the broad electorate and political class.

Were Senator Kerry to enunciate a clear policy of isolation from the pathologies of the Middle East but dress it up in the language of multicultural humility and focussing on domestic problems he could certainly rally the Democratic Party faithful and whatever remains of the paleocon/libertarian Right, guaranteeing that the election would at least not be a complete blowout. It would make for a classic showdown between the Left, which is driven by emotion and feelings, and the Right, which is driven by faith and ideas. But there are two risks for the Senator in this strategy--the first is that for all the talk of his intelligence and George Bush's stupidity, in an election that would be fought on such fundamental ideological plains Mr. Bush has a huge advantage in his capacity for oratorical inspiration, an ability Mr. Kerry has never demonstrated, the second is that if he loses the election and the liberalization project succeeds to any degree he will be despised in historical memory, the ultimate fate of those who opposed the Civil War, WWII and the Cold War. The test for the Senator then is whether he has the courage of his lifelong convictions and is willing to risk his reputation and the cohesion of our society in a fight to prevent our further intervention against Islamicism. He's never seemed a man of much moral courage but the increasing desperation of his candidacy might force him to such an extreme.

MORE:
Sometimes a strategist just has to sit back and gasp (Dick Morris, 9/03/04, Jewish World Review)

UNTIL President Bush began his speech on the final night of the Republican National Convention, the goal of the United States' anti-terror policy was perceived by a largely supportive public as a bid to assure safety. With a rhetorical flourish worthy of the great speeches of all time, George W. Bush has transformed the war into a battle for liberty.

In a speech that was at once eloquent and substantive, sensitive and dynamic, profound and familiar, Bush has risen to a level few presidents have ever reached.

Sometimes a strategist just has to sit back and gasp. Occasionally, a seasoned political observer needs to realize that he has seen something extraordinary. Tonight, Bush made me feel like that.


-It's still a stark choice for US voters (Ehsan Ahrari, 9/04/04, Asia Times)
The choices for the US electoral are confusing in the sense that both Bush and his main rival for the presidency, John Kerry, hold similar positions regarding America's handling of situations in Iraq and Afghanistan. However, at the same time, both candidates also present a clear choice. Bush is about unilateralism, and about highly divisive resolve to create an American emporium without calling it so. Kerry, on the contrary, wants to reinstate the multilateral frame of mind and modus operandi, which, during the Cold War years, enabled the US to create a world order that was definitely superior to that which the Soviet Union had to offer. The continued resilience of that politico-economic order continues to serve as the ultimate accolade to the US ingenuity of the post-World War II era. Even under Kerry, the US does not have to foreswear unilateralism. No US president ever did that - it was always an option under extreme circumstances. At the same time, no US president flaunted it in the face of the international community. Only under Bush has unilateralism become America's way of dealing with the world on a regular basis.

There are also stylistic differences between Bush and Kerry that were reflected during their respective political conventions. The Democratic convention, with a few exceptions, followed positive themes, and addressed major issues and Kerry's solutions for them. On the contrary, the third night of the Republican convention will go down in the history of such events as hitting a new low in terms of vituperative and malicious attacks on Kerry, his leadership, and his competence to be the commander-in-chief, and in terms of accentuating the politics of fear. Come to think of it, "politics of fear" has been a recurring theme of the Bush administration. Even in his acceptance speech of the last night of the convention, the reminder of the fear of that dark day of September 2001 was evident.

The moment is getting closer when the American people have to decide which style of dealing with global problems they prefer for the next four years: a US that would lead through multilateralism and persuasion, or one that would act as a bully and be perceived as such worldwide; a leader who will emphasize politics of inclusion of hope, or one who would not hesitate using fear to make a point.


That's quite right: the choice is between multilateralism and multiculturalism, which accepts the world as we find it; or unilateralism and uniculturalism, which requires that states be legitimate democracies before we accept them.

Posted by Orrin Judd at September 3, 2004 10:18 AM
Comments

The test for the Senator then is whether he has the courage of his lifelong convictions and is willing to risk his reputation and the cohesion of our society in a fight to prevent our further intervention against Islamicism.

I doubt he even cares that much. All he wants is political power, a cadre of obsequeous (did I spell that right?) lackeys to surround and worship him, and another rich girl to take up with when Theresa's used up.

Posted by: Mike Morley at September 3, 2004 10:10 AM

Or, as Mickey Kaus says:

8) Between the "we saw a threat" rationale for invading Iraq and the messianic democracy-spreading rationale, this wasn't a good day for the traditional concept of sovereignty.

Posted by: David Cohen at September 3, 2004 10:46 AM

traditional sovereignty? It's dead.

Posted by: oj at September 3, 2004 10:53 AM

I don't know about you, but if I worked as an editor for a 'left' magazine and wrote this:

'..It would make for a classic showdown between the Left, which is driven by emotion and feelings, and the Right, which is driven by faith and ideas.'

I would quit at lunchtime..

Posted by: JonofAtlanta at September 3, 2004 11:20 AM

I had heard that the business of America is business, but making the world an American emporium -- what a nifty idea.

Posted by: jd watson at September 3, 2004 12:16 PM

Just want to remind anyone that quotes Mickey Kaus, approvingly or otherwise: He averred after the September 11th attacks that it would be forgotten by Thanksgiving 2001. A nonissue. I've dismissed absolutely everything he has said since then. I know he's a blogosphere sacred cow but not to me.

Posted by: Melissa at September 3, 2004 12:27 PM

Melissa: If Gore had been President, Kaus would have been right.

Posted by: David Cohen at September 3, 2004 12:31 PM

Kaus was wrong on 9/11 because he was still in his 9/10 state of mind. His stock dropped (in my never-to-be-humble estimation) after that gaffe, and he's certainly no threat to the standing of Victor Davis Hanson, Mark Steyn, The Mighty James Lileks, or the proprietors of this august establishment. Still, you have to give Kaus credit--most of the time, on most things, he's a reasonably astute observer, and internal Democrat politics is one area he's good on.

Posted by: Mike Morley at September 3, 2004 12:50 PM

Kaus also claimed he's going to vote for John Kerry because he needs a break from the war. Not connected to reality, IMO.

Posted by: NKR at September 3, 2004 1:06 PM

Melissa:

Enron will be a bigger story in the long run....

Posted by: oj at September 3, 2004 1:27 PM

Hmmm. On that reading, Orrin, some unilateralism in Sudan would be appropriate right now.

Don't look at me, but Bush's own government says attack helicopters are still gunning down farmers. And us with a carrier and Hellfire missiles next door.

There isn't going to be any reformation in the Middle East, or any other part of Islam, as long as both the French and Bush and everybody else are more concerned to appease Islam than to confront it.

As you, say, leaving intact foes in the field . . .

Posted by: Harry Eagar at September 3, 2004 1:39 PM

Harry:

Yes, we've intervened unilaterally there several times now--the Clinton missile strike and the Bush peace agreement in the South. If the African nations can't deal with the situation in West by themselves it will be up to us to do so unilaterally. We will.

Posted by: oj at September 3, 2004 1:54 PM

Come now, Harry, I think Bush is confronting Islam and knows it. It's just that he's being discrete and patient, for reasons I'm sure you already know.

I suspect Bush will go on the offensive again after the election.

Posted by: PapayaSF at September 3, 2004 1:57 PM

Bush is constrained in any confrontation of Islam by his family's intimate connection with the Saudi royal family, and by our nation's need for oil from the region. If he were really interested in fighting Muslim terror, he would create policies which would encourage the development of alternate sources of energy. Ideally, this should be done in concert with most of the industrialized world, and could be a basis for peaceful cooperation among us, the EU, Russia, China, Japan, Israel, India and others.

Take away the money from the Muslims and the terrorism goes away. You can't buy too many flying lessons with sand and camel dung.

Posted by: Bart at September 3, 2004 2:03 PM

Bart:

Osama would sell us the oil and Saddam did.

Posted by: oj at September 3, 2004 2:11 PM

Papaya:

No we aren't.

Posted by: oj at September 3, 2004 2:12 PM

OK, Bart, now that you've removed the main source of their income, do you think they'll be a teeny-tiny bit upset?

Buy their oil or write a check, at least they're working.

Posted by: Sandy P at September 3, 2004 3:55 PM

I don't think it's oil.

I've said before, and am more certain of it as time goes by, that Bush's religious faith betrays him here. He just cannot believe that a whole religion can be evil.

Therefore, he appeases Greater Islam.

But Greater Islam is the enemy. He just doesn't get it.

Orrin, your constant claim that Bush 'saved' the blacks in the South is bunk. They fought 30 years for liberty and he handed them over to the Arabs.

That's called appeasement and betrayal.

They'd have been better off to continue fighting.

Posted by: Harry Eagar at September 3, 2004 7:04 PM

They don't think so.

Posted by: oj at September 3, 2004 7:39 PM

Sandy,

Who gives a rat's derriere whether they're upset? If they can't engage in force projection to act out their displeasure, it ain't our problem. And if somehow they can engage in low-cost terrorism in civilized countries, then we can just nuke the place. It is not as if anything of any intrinsic value is being destroyed.

To quote Sherman, war is the remedy our enemies have chosen. Let us give them full measure.

Posted by: Bart at September 3, 2004 10:16 PM

Harry: I don't get your point. The deal is seperate administrations and then, in a few years, north and south both vote on secession. That is, in fact, one of the best explanations I've heard for Darfur. The government wants a pure Arab population after secession, so they're either killing the African population and driving them south.

Posted by: David Cohen at September 4, 2004 1:16 AM

David:

I bet you get the point. It's about Harry and Christians, not about Darfur and black Muslims.

Posted by: oj at September 4, 2004 8:11 AM

Only I'm on the side of the Christians this time.

It happens.

David, name me another instance in which the plebiscite occurred within 'a few years'

Posted by: Harry Eagar at September 5, 2004 6:21 PM
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