August 30, 2004


Kerry lead fades in two battleground states: Bush numbers are promising among likely voters in Pa., Wis. (Susan Page, 8/30/04, USA TODAY)

President Bush has eroded John Kerry's lead in two big battleground states that voted Democratic four years ago, complicating the Massachusetts senator's electoral landscape.

USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup polls show Bush narrowly ahead in Wisconsin and the candidates even in Pennsylvania, a state that is crucial to Democratic hopes of winning in November.

As the Republican convention opens today, the president's prospects seem to be brightening in some states that could determine the outcome Nov. 2.

“This is historically a challenger's strongest time,” before the incumbent's convention, says Ken Mehlman, Bush's campaign manager. “For John Kerry to have not gained ground and perhaps even be losing ground has to be very troubling to their campaign.”

Just because his candidacy is imploding doesn't mean this isn't John Kerry at his strongest.

Posted by Orrin Judd at August 30, 2004 4:28 PM

I don't think we should be complacent. If this was the week of the election, then yes, but there are still two months left. Remember what happened the week before the 2000 election?

Posted by: Jana at August 30, 2004 4:43 PM

if I wanted him to win, the spectacle of Kerry self-destructing might be sad...

but I don't, so it's just amusing.

FWIW, since there isn't a seperate thread for it, in ABC's The Note today there is an interesting piece of news giving further support to Kristol's McCain rumor; on that site, the schedules for the POTUS and VPOTUS are given. The one for VP Cheney is detailed up until Wednesdays speech and then is followed by nothing further. The President's continues as follows:

On Thursday, President George W. Bush will address the Republican convention, highlighting his vision for creating "a safer world and a more hopeful America." He will be introduced by New York Gov. George Pataki. President Bush RONs in Wilkes-Barre, PA.

On Friday, President Bush raises money in Scranton, PA, holds rallies in Milwaukee, WI and Cedar Rapids, IA, and RONs in Cleveland, OH. Unemployment figures for July are released.

On Saturday, President Bush holds an "Ask President Bush" event in Cleveland, OH, raises money in Lake County, OH, and Erie, PA.

On Sunday, President Bush holds a rally in Parkersburg, WV.

Posted by: at August 30, 2004 4:50 PM

Even more than that--Senator McCain is flying to NM to meet the President after his speech tonight and then they're appearing before the American Legion or someone like that together later in the week.

Posted by: oj at August 30, 2004 4:57 PM

At the "Ask President Bush" event will everyone have to sign pledges of support beforehand (again)?

Posted by: at August 30, 2004 4:58 PM

They've likely been screened already.

Posted by: oj at August 30, 2004 5:12 PM

Are you sure anyone will even see the convention?

When it has been officially declared doubleplusunnews by Our Betters the Media?

As far as I know, only Fox, C-SPAN, and some other cable channels will be covering it.

Posted by: Ken at August 30, 2004 5:28 PM

McCain is not the way to go, unless Sec of Defense.

Posted by: Sandy P. at August 30, 2004 7:53 PM

Too bad the governor of Arizona isn't a Republican, because the best thing would be to name McCain FEC chairman-- put him in charge of the mess he loves and created.

Posted by: Raoul Ortega at August 30, 2004 8:48 PM

Today, both the President's and Vice-President's names were submitted to the convention for renomination.

Posted by: David Cohen at August 30, 2004 9:33 PM

The President means what he says.

Posted by: jsmith at August 30, 2004 11:25 PM