May 6, 2004

RED TIDE:

A suddenly segregated red and blue US?: The nation is close to 50/50 Republican/Democrat split, and communities are nearly homogenous. (Dante Chinni, 5/06/04, CS Monitor)

Polls and election results suggest two things: On the whole, the nation is as close to a 50/50 political split as possible - witness the 2000 presidential race and the makeup of the House and Senate. But zero in on specific communities, and the map turns monochromatic - all red or all blue.

In a lengthy series of articles, the Austin American-Statesman examined how the number of communities that are entirely red (Republican) or entirely blue (Democratic) have grown dramatically. In the closely fought 1976 presidential race, about 26 percent of the nation's counties went by landslide margins for one candidate or the other. By the 2000 election, the number of landslide counties had climbed to 45 percent.

And the split is more than just political; it is cultural. The people who live in these areas all eat and drink at certain kinds of restaurants and shop at certain kinds of stores.

You're thinking, so what? How many times do people really want to buy a copy of Guns and Ammo when they order their California roll? And how important is it that the BBQ Pit on the corner offer Chardonnay? Birds of a feather have always flocked together, and it's as good an organizing principle for a community as anything else.

Yes and no. It's true that the like-minded have always tended to live near one another, but never have the divisions been so clear or so organized around politics. The result in the nation at large is less dialogue among people with different points of view. And Washington becomes more ideologically charged, full of people from blue or red communities with little interest in debate or compromise. Congress becomes a graveyard for ideas.

The better question is, how did we get here? How did a nation that respects the power of the individual, above all, become a nation of two great herds?


Luckily the problem is self-correcting because the Blue region, like Europe, is terminal, while the Red is growing. That's why the recent redistrictings keep tilting the House in favor of the GOP. The exquisite irony is thaty the cultural changes required to get the Blue growing again would make them Red. Neat, huh?

Posted by Orrin Judd at May 6, 2004 8:40 AM
Comments

The exquisite irony is that the cultural changes required to get the Blue growing again would make them Red. Neat, huh?

Diabolically clever!

Posted by: Mike Morley at May 6, 2004 9:03 AM

Extend this to the black vote: when black families where two-parented and large, they voted predominately Republican; when black families began to fly apart under assault from welfare and aborting at thrice the rate of the rest of America, black became 90% Democratic voting block. Lesson: have big families and the values centered on concern for your children turn you Republican.

Posted by: Jim Gooding at May 6, 2004 10:00 AM

Ironically, the same people who breathlessly tell you "everything is read or blue" start foaming at the mouth whenever anyone suggests everything is "black and white" or "good or evil" or "your're with us or against us."

Posted by: M.Murcek at May 6, 2004 11:14 AM

bill:

They don't call conservatives the Stupid Party for nothin'.

Posted by: oj at May 6, 2004 12:47 PM

We have several neighbors here in Lincoln Park in Chicago who don't say hello anymore. They started a conversation with "Can you believe that stupid Bush..." We cut them off by telling them that they aren't talking to whom they think they are. They just assumed our politics by where we lived.

Posted by: Rick T. at May 6, 2004 12:53 PM

Having lived as the political minority for most of my adult life, I'm not surprised at those reactions -- I get them practically everyday. Mostly for washed up hippies that transmogrified into worn out boomers.

In all honesty, I think this is less common at least in my generation (X), which is significantly more conservative than our predecessors and that the next generation is even further down that path.

Makes me wonder if Taranto is right.

Posted by: AML at May 6, 2004 1:10 PM

For the record: I have read Guns and Ammo while eating California rolls (with large helpings of wasabi).

Posted by: Chris at May 6, 2004 1:17 PM

Personally my blood boils ever time I see one
of those 50+, ponytail wearing scummies get out
of their Volvo (with compulsory inane bumper-sticker).

I just want to say "get a job" but they are probably a stockbroker or something.

These people can't let go of their youth.

And yes I too enjoy downing Sushi while reading
through various right-wing tomes.

Posted by: J.H. at May 6, 2004 2:14 PM

Yep, sushi and armaments make for a quality lunch hour, no doubt about it. But Chardonnay and barbecue? Blech.

Posted by: Random Lawyer at May 6, 2004 2:43 PM

I guess I live in a purple area -- all the family-oriented churchgoing any Republican could want, but they vote Democratic by huge margins.

Posted by: Harry Eagar at May 6, 2004 3:00 PM

Ain't it great how the Left suddenly finds that they love IQ tests when it supports their pet prejudices, but when someone like Murray (in The Bell Curve) tries to use the same sort of data to make a point, he's an evil racist bigot?

People confuse intellegence and stupidity as being opposites. They aren't. It's quite possible to be several sigmas above the mean in intellegence and still be as thick as wet cement-- a phenomena best described as being "educated beyond one's intellegence."

Posted by: Raoul Ortega at May 6, 2004 3:01 PM

When I played a lot of D&D, we used to call it "Intelligence 18, Wisdom 3".

Posted by: Ken at May 6, 2004 8:00 PM

IQ is about as meaningful as a minor-league batting average - it tells you if you have the tools but not what you'll do with them. Michael Moore has more formal education than did Alfred Hitchcock, but I know whose films I'd rather watch. Bill Clinton is one of the most educated heads of state in the 20th Century; Winston Churchill finished last in his class at Harrow. Needless to say, I know who I'd rather have as a leader.

Posted by: John Barrett Jr. at May 6, 2004 9:06 PM

"Luckily the problem is self-correcting because the Blue region, like Europe, is terminal, while the Red is growing."

No, children from the red areas will move to the big city and become blues.

Posted by: Robert Duquette at May 6, 2004 10:35 PM

The Republicans have been systematically defunding education since the Reagan administration. Now it's clear that the goal was to produce more stupid people. Stupid people vote Republican. Brilliant!

Posted by: Six Foot Pole at May 6, 2004 10:40 PM

SFP:

So you think government can make you smart?

Posted by: oj at May 6, 2004 10:47 PM

This of course assumes that money spent on education = education. Anyone who sees how the U.S. fares in international academic competitions, or who has seen an unemployable college graduate, will know otherwise.

Posted by: John Barrett Jr. at May 6, 2004 11:46 PM
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