March 15, 2004
LET'S CALL A SPADE A SPANIARD:
Spain: More al Qaeda links found (CNN, March 15, 2004)
CNN also has obtained a document posted on an Internet message board analysts believe is used by al Qaeda and its sympathizers that spells out the terrorist group's plan to separate Spain from the U.S.-led coalition on Iraq.The strategy spelled out in the document, posted last December on the Internet, calls for the use of terrorism to drive Prime Minister Jose Maria Aznar's Popular Party from power and replace it with the Socialists.
That was expected to drive a wedge between Washington and Madrid and result in the withdrawal of Spanish military forces from Iraq.
"We think the Spanish government will not stand more than two blows, or three at the most, before it will be forced to withdraw because of the public pressure on it," the document says.
"If its forces remain after these blows, the victory of the Socialist Party will be almost guaranteed -- and the withdrawal of Spanish forces will be on its campaign manifesto."
That prediction came to fruition in elections Sunday, with the Socialists unseating the Popular Party three days after near-simultaneous bombings of four trains killed 200 and shocked the nation.
Ninety percent of Spaniards had opposed Aznar's staunch support for the U.S.-led war against Iraq, and some have blamed Aznar's policies for the train bombings.
Prime Minister-elect Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero said Monday he wants the 1,300 Spanish troops in Iraq to return home by June 30 if the United Nations "doesn't take control of Iraq."
"I think Spain's participation in the war has been a total error," he said.
Being Anti-War Won't Save You (Richard Littlejohn, March 15, 2004, The Sun)
THERE’s no getting round it, the outcome of the Spanish election is a serious setback for the war on terror.It would be impertinent to criticise the deeply-traumatised Spaniards for casting their votes they way they did.
Impertinent my left foot--it was a craven act; one they should be deeply ashamed of as a nation. Far worse than Le Pen finishing second in France or Pim Fortuyn winning in the Netherlands.
MORE:
Rotten Europe (David Warren, 3/16//04, Ottawa Citizen)
Analysis and homily must converge in what I have to say today. There is no ambiguity in what has happened in Spain. The rotten heart of Europe has been exposed. The best comparison one can make is to Europe in 1940, when the entire continent had capitulated to Nazism and fascism, leaving Britain alone to fight. It thus came to be known as "Churchill's war", rather than "Hitler's war", only to revert when the Allies had won it, and a generation of Europeans, who had not lifted a finger, decided retrospectively that they had been in the Resistance.Posted by Orrin Judd at March 15, 2004 11:52 PMThe position of Tony Blair's government in Britain today is further undermined by the Spanish vote, so that it is quite possible that the British, too, may soon abandon what the Europeans now choose to call "Bush's war", rather than "Osama's war".
A good question might be asked of the Bush administration, in light of the Spanish election. It was articulated by an American friend yesterday: "Before we waste another drop of blood trying to create democracies in the Middle East, shouldn't we reflect a bit on how easily democracy in Spain was subverted by terrorists?"
One must not, under the present circumstances, sound an uncertain trumpet. All men of goodwill, regardless of nation, are fighting the Jihadists in Afghanistan and Iraq, as we fought the Nazis in Italy and France; and if the Americans must fight them alone, so be it. Then as now we made a lot of blather about "democracy". But screw democracy, we are fighting an enemy of civilization, an embodiment of real evil. There is no compromise with such an enemy, no capitulation to him, no way to avoid casualties, no easy way out. We defeat him, or he defeats us.
We do not retreat because our allies are cowards. We continue to fight, for ourselves, for our children, and for their children.
If 90% of all Spaniards are opposed to the war, then it is probable that the Aznar government would have gotten fewer votes if there had been no bombings just before the election.
In the past, the US has been very dilatory in facing up to terrorists. Remember that the major American news media give the impression that Kerry will triumph. Many of the Spanish are probably considering the possibility that they might still be in Iraq when we suddenly decide to throw in the towel.
Posted by: Peter Miles at March 16, 2004 2:00 AMIn addition to Islamicist Terror, Inc., the general media, in Spain and around the world, can give themselves a big pat on the back and pour themselves a drink or two.
"And the city of Shushan was perplexed."
(Esther 3:15)
Still, "Be not dismayed"....
Posted by: Barry Meislin at March 16, 2004 2:11 AMDead terrorists don't kill people.
It's that simple, but Europe will never understand it. They prefer "dead people won't be killed by terrorists".
Posted by: Peter at March 16, 2004 3:16 AMPeter Miles is right. If antiwar opinion in Spain was _that_ widespread, the PSOE might have pulled off an upset anyway even if there had never been any attacks; the PP's 3-to-5 point lead before the election was within what U.S. pollers would call the "margin of error" so anything could have happened. Actually, in that case, the Socialist voters wouldn't even have had the excuse of terrorism.
One other thing; this was _not_ the majority of Spanish voters who voted for the Socialists. This was a plurality, like Clinton in 1992. The majority voted for the PP or for smaller parties, though in most cases those smaller parties are so opposed to the PP that a coalition wouldn't have been possible, worse luck (though I actually entertained the hope for a little while that the PP would try to form a coalition anyway).
Posted by: Joe at March 16, 2004 5:15 AMThere's far less chance that "Britain may soon abandon 'Bush's war'", as this writer fears.
There have been protests and celebrity sulks, but only in approximate proportion to those on the US.
Even if a terrorist strike occured in the run-up to the general election, you couldn't get a mirror image of the Spanish debacle. Both the British Government and Opposition support 'Bush's war.'
Posted by: Brit at March 16, 2004 5:17 AMMaybe so but there's a pretty broad feeling among the general public that British troops were irresponsibly used when there was no real danger to the UK from Saddam Hussein and there's not much point contributing fighting men if the Yanks are calling all the shots anyway.
Posted by: M Ali Choudhury at March 16, 2004 5:55 AMThe new Spanish government plans to abandon the Iraqi people if there is no UN mandate. But if there is a UN mandate, as is currently expected, they may stay. One possible future scenario: The traditional Middle Eastern countries like Iraq, Iran and even Syria democratize and become capitalist, as their people hope. Meanwhile, France, Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands and perhaps Spain become majority Muslim but repressive and anti-capitalist, since neither the Islamic radicals nor the Continental Socialists think much of freedom and free markets. So the US ends up allied with the English speaking countries, Eastern Europe, the free Middle Eastern countries, and the free Asian countries.
Posted by: Pacific Man at March 16, 2004 6:46 AMPeter Miles,
Tragically for the Spaniards, during the months leading up to the election they appeared to have decided that all-in-all the PPD was the party of choice. Had Aznar's party been down on the poll for months, one could say this was a thoughtful democracy working, etc, etc. But it was not like that. It was a sudden, knee-jerk reaction which should have been met by defiance not submission; followed by a serious investigation of why civil liberties should allow a suspect to act freely just because he has not (yet) committed a specific crime.
Any Anglo-American who looks at the lessons of Madrid can draw nothing but greater resolve in fight, greater conviction that you will have to go it alone, and greater willingness to set aside the civil liberties of terrorists until that day when they finally surrender.
Posted by: MG at March 16, 2004 8:01 AMThis is a good editorial. 'The Spanish dishonoured their dead.'.
Posted by: Brit at March 16, 2004 8:48 AM