November 12, 2003
IS ANY TENT THAT BIG?:
INTERVIEW: AAI'S AbiNader: Mideast Conflict Remains Top Issue For Arab-Americans (Jennifer Koons, Nov. 12, 2003, National Journal)
Q. Roughly 45 percent of Arab-Americans voted for George Bush in 2000, compared to 38 percent for Al Gore. Yet Bush's support has noticeably dropped, to one-third among Arab-Americans, according to a poll conducted by Zogby in July. What can the president do to reconnect with this community?A. I think the bottom line -- the equation has got to be, "it's the policy, stupid." And that is that the United States is not showing leadership with regard to the peace process with Israel and Palestine. It makes statements and then doesn't back them up with any kind of actions. That's number one.
Number two is the failure to effectively internationalize the re-building of Iraq, which makes it seem like an American occupation in the negative term.
And the third thing is the administration's general attitude, particularly exhibited by the attorney general in his relationshiops with civil rights -- civil liberties -- communities. And his hand-in-glove support for evangelical and right-wing Christians who denigrate Islam and who denigrate the issues of concern to Arab-Americans in this country. [..]
Q. Many nations in the Arab world have criticized the United States for being too "pro-Israel." How will the Israel issue affect the presidential voting decisions of Arab-Americans? Moreover, what would you like to see the candidates do or say in regards to this issue?
A. The Israel-Palestine conflict is always going to be the number one foreign policy issue for Arab-Americans. It's only rivaled this year by civil liberties because of what's happened since Sept. 11. And also the situation in Palestine has degraded so much that I think people are much more concerned about it.
What essentially Arab-Americans want the candidates to say is, "We're going to have a balanced approach -- that Israel has as much responsibility for making this peace happen as the Palestinians do." Unfortunately, up until now it's been a very one-sided discussion, essentially saying the Palestinians are the key to peace. They are not the key to peace. They're the ones who are under occupation -- Israel's the occupier.
Getting both Jews and Arabs to vote Democrat would be the most impressive feat since FDR united blacks and Southern whites. It seems more likely that they'll have to choose and Howard Dean, at least, seems to be choosing the Arab-American vote. Posted by Orrin Judd at November 12, 2003 8:10 PM
Beyond my concept of logic.
Posted by: Genecis at November 12, 2003 9:18 PMWith the exception of Lieberman and Gephardt and perhaps Dianne Feinstein, no major Democrat would make this choice. I wonder if Tom Lantos will endorse Bush if Dean bags the nomination? That would make for an interesting news item.
But it is really an indication of how focused the Democratic party is on multi-everything and on all things European (but old Europe only). Anti-Semitism is going to be a big problem for the Democrats going forward, especially if they have to appease Europe and Al Sharpton in the same platform. And look how well the Pakistani support is helping Kathleen Blanco in LA. While it may be news for the blogosphere only, it is a profoundly negative statement on her.
Posted by: jim hamlen at November 12, 2003 11:07 PMI agree with Mr. Hamlen's take, but would emphasize even more the influence of campaign money. No discussion of this issue can omit Cynthia McKinney, who was well-funded by Arab interests. As well that other black congressman (whose name escapes me) from Alabama, who was defeated in the Democratic primary notwithstanding similar financial support. The Saudis have poured money for decades into the Beltway, but that largesse has largely gone to think tanks. It will be interesting to see what happens as, inevitably I believe, this money starts flowing to individual Democratic candidates around the country (e.g. Blanco).
Fred Jacobsen
San Francisco
James Zogby was a major Gore/Lieberman supporter in the 2000 election, and arguably the most promanent Arab-American involved in the world of policitcal advocates/spinners.
He's ratcheted up his criticism of Bush since 9/11, but given the general mood of the American public today, I would expect the Dean campaign, or whoever gets the nomination, to attempt to lock him in a closet from about February through the November election, and especially during the August DNC convention in Boston.
Given the likely virulent anti-Americanism that TV viewers will see at the Athens Olympics in the two weeks before the Democrats' convention, letting someone like Zogby, or any other group espousing similar hostility towards U.S. foreign policy, would be political suicide that would all but end the fall campaign before it even starts.
Posted by: John at November 13, 2003 12:50 AMRegarding Saudi financing of US politicians, the Saudis have also poured lots of money into Al Qaida, etc. (even if most of this money has likely gone to Al Qaida's well-regarded social programs and hospitals).
If it can be shown that Saudi campaign money is pouring into the election coffers of a particular candidate, that might make for some interesting campaign ads.
Though one would think that Saudi largesse would be prudently hidden by anyone receiving it these days.....
Posted by: Barry Meislin at November 13, 2003 1:39 AMI wonder whar dean's wife would make of that?
Posted by: Robert Schwartz at November 13, 2003 7:48 PMDoes the Arab-American vote even exist in any substantial sense? Bush went hard for it in 2000, calling for ending two important anti-terrorism policies that affected Arabs, and he still lost in Michigan, as did Sen. Abraham. My impression is Arab-Americans who are citizens and vote regularly tend to be highly assimilated, like former OMB director Mitch Daniels.
The Jewish vote is extremely small (around 3.5%) but the self-consciously Arab vote must be much smaller.
If you want to win elections, get white Protestants to vote for you. They outnumber everybody else by tens of millions.
Posted by: Steve Sailer at November 13, 2003 11:49 PM