March 22, 2003

Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:52 PM

THE GLORY THAT IS FRANCE:

Peace demonstrators in France stab 2 Jewish boys (THE JERUSALEM POST, Mar. 23, 2003)
According to the Jewish Agency, Anti-American demonstrators attacked and wounded two young boys Saturday. The boys were participating in an educational activity of the Hashomer Hatsa'ir youth movement, taking place nearby.

The Jewish Agency called on the French government "to assume its responsibility for the security of its Jewish citizens, and to prevent violence against Jews or anti-Semitic acts under the guise of pacifist protest".


Perhaps peace means something different to them.
Posted by Orrin Judd at 11:46 PM

GOOD OVERVIEW:

Special forces in Baghdad as Saddam's armies reel: Iraqi troops pull back for final showdown á Thousands surrender in battle for Basra á US forces advance to within 100 miles of capital (Ed Vulliamy, Kamal Ahmed, Paul Harris, James Meek, and Rory McCarthy, March 23, 2003, The Observer)
American special forces were reported to be in Baghdad as thousands of elite troops still loyal to Saddam Hussein prepared for a final bloody showdown in the Iraqi capital.

The prospect of coalition forces fighting street by street for control of the city emerged after thousands of Saddam's troops withdrew to the city following a day of sweeping advances by US and British soldiers pushing north from Kuwait. [...]

Earlier American Brigadier-General Vincent Brooks said the US military had entered the capital, and Pentagon sources told The Observer that intelligence paramilitary forces were also inside the city.

The sources said the role of the special forces was to 'help locate targets and monitor defence preparations'. However, they refused to comment on whether the infiltrators planned assassinations or direct engagement with the Iraqi forces.

The infiltration dovetails with US concerns that Saddam is preparing what they call the 'Stalingrad Factor' to defend the capital, seeking to establish an iron ring of defences, possibly involving the deployment of chemical and biological weapons.

The sources said the paramilitary forces were from the CIA, and 'may be' involved in talks between the US, represented by Iraqi dissidents and Kurdish leaders, and Saddam's Republican Guard.

US State Department sources said contacts had 'intensified' in the past 24 hours 'with regard to mass surrenders and surrenders higher up the chain of command'. [...]

In an attempt to put a quick end to the war, the US has been negotiating with Iraqi military commanders using third-country intelligence connections, Iraqi defectors and even straightforward telephone appeals from American officers, according to US and Iraqi opposition officials.

The aim is to persuade the Iraqi military to stage a coup against Saddam or surrender en masse. 'We're trying to get the message across that it's time to give up,' said a State Department official. Across the southern portion of the country, Iraqi army regulars were surrendering to anyone they could find in a military uniform; some even tried to surrender to reporters.

US intelligence officials said there was now a high volume of back-channel communications with officials inside Iraq. American military officers were trying, often by telephone, to coax their Iraqi counterparts into surrendering.


We don't want to kill them and they, presumably, don't want to die; let's hope they have sense enough to surrender.

MORE:
Aerial Pounding Intended to Push Iraq's Government TowardBrink: The airstrikes the U.S. military carried out were intended to destroy Saddam Hussein's ability to control his forces. (MICHAEL R. GORDON, 3/22/03, NY Times)


Posted by Paul Jaminet at 10:29 PM

TERROR IN KUWAIT:

'US SOLDIER ATTACKS TROOPS' (SkyNews, 3/22/2003)
An American Muslim soldier is understood to have carried out a grenade attack on a US military camp, injuring16 soldiers.

A second man, who is not a soldier, is thought to be held....

[Sky correspondent Stuart] Ramsay watched as the suspects were held....

"Two men are being held, one of which is a Muslim soldier who is an engineer," Ramsay said.

"It appears he was hiding in a barrack where the attacks happened. A second man, who we believe is not an American soldier, is being held by the military."...

He said fears about the Muslim soldier's behaviour had been raised in recent days by colleagues.

"In recent days they were concerned about his behaviour and were not going to send him up to the front when the soldiers were going to be deployed."


Debka is reporting that two hired Kuwaiti interpreters also participated in the attack and escaped. I wonder why none of the U.S. media are yet reporting that the perpetrator is Muslim?

FOR EXAMPLE:
U.S. Soldier Held for Another's Death in Grenade AttackRick Atkinson, , March 23, 2003, Washington Post)

One soldier from the 101st Airborne Division was killed and 13 were wounded this morning when two hand grenades were thrown into the 1st Brigade technical operations center at Camp Pennsylvania in central Kuwait, U.S. Army officials said.

A U.S. soldier assigned to the brigade was in custody, the officials said. The soldier who was killed was not idenfitied.

Army sources said that soldiers from the 1st Brigade had loaded their vehicles and were preparing to move from Camp Pennsylvania when the grenades exploded at about 1:21 a.m. local time in the operations center, which is in a closely confined tent and usually manned by a couple dozen staff officers.

A soldier guarding a convoy of engineer vehicles was found to be missing, as were four grenades from the convoy's ammunition supply.

Roughly an hour after the grenade attack, a missile alert sounded and the missing soldier was discovered in a protective bunker. The soldier was arrested and was in the custody of the military police at Camp Pennsylvania.


Posted by David Cohen at 6:09 PM

VADE SATANAS

Mathew 4:8. Again, the devil taketh him up into an exceeding high mountain, and sheweth him all the kingdoms of the world, and the glory of them; 9. And saith unto him, All these things will I give thee, if thou wilt fall down and worship me. 10. Then saith Jesus unto him, Get thee hence, Satan: for it is written, Thou shalt worship the Lord thy God, and him only shalt thou serve.

In this post, OJ asks:
if it is the case that we can rid peoples of such [evil] regimes and manifestly improve their lives, even save their lives, with such minimal impact, has the moral obligation now clearly shifted . . . to one where we must embrace war because of the suffering and death it so clearly relieves? . . . Isn't the hard question that confronts us all today, but the peace party in particular, whether we behaved decently and responsibly towards fellow human beings when we left the Iraqis to Saddam's mercies in 1991? . . . May we not be in the midst of an unusual and as yet unrecognized epoch in our affairs where war is not the worst but the best option available to us and to captive peoples? Which do we place a higher value on, as a society, our peace or human freedom? And can we love our society if we choose the former?
OJ is making three implicit claims:

1. All governments should be judged against the American values: liberty, consent of the governed, the rule of law and security of property. To the extent a government is subject to these values, it is good. To the extent it traduces them, it is evil.

2. We, as Americans, and our government, each have a moral obligation to promote these virtues.

3. This moral obligation includes an obligation to use our military supremacy to overthrow governments which most widely diverge from these values, if they cannot otherwise be reformed and if it can be done without more than a few thousand civilian or US military deaths.

This is an extraordinarily tempting prospect for me. Everyone should be able, as their birthright, to live an American life. Not only would they be better off, but we would be better off as well. Through enhanced trade, we would be richer. As one nation in a liberated world, we would be safer. And, without jinxing our luck, it is possible that the cost of these little wars of liberation would be low. The net cost of the Iraq war will likely be less than one percent of our GDP. One hundred military casualties (which G-d forbid) would raise the risk of dying on active duty by 7 in 100,000, or about .007 percent. This is about the risk the average American runs of dying in a fall each year, and significantly less than the number of people, per 100,000, killed by medical malpractice. (See this web page for statistics on military deaths.) So what's the problem? Why do I think that this devilish vision has been sent to tempt us and must be abjured?

OJ's first precept, which would be controversial even among Americans, and dismissed as simplisme outside the US, is one in which I believe strongly. We are right and they are wrong, and I feel no relativistic pull to recognize their different values, which doubtless come from their sophisticated culture and long history.

OJ's second precept is attractive, but ultimately unconvincing. From the British, we Americans have inherited the implicit belief that foreigners will always be with us. One feels sorry for them, of course, but there you have it. Our role is to be the shining city on the hill. Here is how it is done, if you have the strength to do it. We may be morally obliged not to prevent others from attaining these American rights -- something we have not been altogether successful at -- but it has never been part of our American ethos that we must go forth and assist others.

OJ says that this is a moral obligation; but OJ and I both believe that morality is fixed, not a malleable tool of human logic. So what is the source of this moral duty? There are any number of authorities to whom each side of this debate can appeal. But this comes down, in the end, to the question Cain asked of G-d, "Am I my brother's keeper?" Cain asks this question of G-d in order to avoid confessing to his brother's murder. He asks it, presumably, because he thinks that G-d will agree and, indeed, G-d does not disagree. We are not our brothers' keepers. We are not to envy them, or covet their possessions; we may not murder them; but equally we cannot control them or subvert their own responsibility for their lives. I welcome the opportunity that we are giving to the Iraqi people to start over in freedom. I am agnostic about their ability to keep it. I am certain that we are not the guarantors of that freedom.

(Might Christians come to a different conclusion? They might, as there are almost as many Christianities as Christians, but that is not my understanding of orthodox Christian doctrine. These matters, as far as I can see, come under those things of Caesar's that may be rendered as Caesar commands. The meek are blessed through meekness, they do not need the I Marine Expeditionary Force to bless them. Christians are rewarded in the next world, not in this world and can come to their reward as easily (maybe even more easily) under Saddam Hussein as under the Constitution.)

Even if we have no obligation to act to rescue other people from their government, shouldn't we do so if the cost is small? This is a red herring. The cost is small in Iraq due to the first Gulf War, 10 years of sanctions, Iraq's limited ability to strike at its neighbors (that is, it's not North Korea), thirty years of Ba'athist party socialism and, I'm sorry to say, Arab culture. This is a fairly rare combination.

But, even so, the answer is no. Great cost or many deaths, both among our soldiers and the civilian population, might deter us from a war that is otherwise in our interest, but the obverse will never be true. This is, in part, a slippery slope argument. I can't distinguish between OJ's argument and the argument that we should annex Nigeria. The Nigerians would be better off -- who can deny it -- and we would profit be controlling their oil. Or perhaps we should change the Mexican regime. Walking from San Diego to Tijuana convinced me of the importance of the legal regime in creating wealth. Wouldn't we be better off with an Americanized, wealthy Mexico?

But in the end, these arguments, puissant though they are, might not stop me from agreeing with OJ. Apart from the slippery slope argument, apart from the sanctity of even a small number of lives, apart from our historical understanding of our place in the world, apart from our security from terror, apart from the Bible, I am left with my conservative belief in the imperfectability of man and the limits of human logic.

We cannot see the consequences of our actions. The most meticulous logic can be undone by the happenstance of events. We call ourselves democrats and speak of establishing an universal democracy, but if we truly trusted democracy, Al Gore would be president. We must act in the world, but we should only act when forced to do so. That requires that we only act when our own interest compels us to do so; that it will then usually be, as far as we can see, also in the interest of those we act upon is just gravy.
Posted by Paul Jaminet at 12:23 PM

LITTLE BIGHORN AGAIN?:


Gulf War Slide Show (Durham Herald-Sun, 3/22/2003)



Why is this pro-war demonstrator dressed up like General Custer? I suppose it could be said that Americans won that battle, but General Custer surely lost. Next thing you know, people will dress as Benedict Arnold.


Posted by Paul Jaminet at 10:52 AM

CULTURE CLASH:


The other America (Edward Said, Al Ahram Weekly, 3/20/2003)
I recall many times during the 20 years that I knew Yasser Arafat well, trying to explain to him that [America] was a complex society with all sorts of currents, interests, pressures, and histories in conflict within it and that far from being ruled the way Syria was, for instance, a different model of power and authority ought to be studied. I enlisted my late friend, the scholar and political activist, Eqbal Ahmed ... but all to no avail.

Arafat can't imagine any kind of government except absolute dictatorship. Can't say I'm surprised.
Most people throw up their hands in despair like disappointed lovers: America is hopeless, and I don't ever want to go back there, they often say, though one also notices that green, permanent residence cards are much in demand, as are university admissions for the children.

America truly is culture shock for Arabs. The barriers of language and culture are always difficult for immigrants to overcome; and it is not surprising that, with return flights to the home country so inexpensive, many return, and then blame their failure on the host country. But secretly, they know: America is the future, and I should try again, or my children should.
The difference between America and the classic empires of the past is that ... this one [operates] with an astonishing affirmation of its nearly sancrosanct altruism and well-meaning innocence....

America is the world's most avowedly religious country. References to God permeate the national life, from coins to buildings to common forms of speech: in God we trust, God's country, God bless America, and on and on. George Bush's power base is made up of the 60-70 million fundamentalist Christians who, like him, believe they have seen Jesus and are here to do God's work in God's country....

All of those things converge around an idea of American rightness, goodness, freedom, economic promise, social advancement that is so ideologically woven into the fabric of daily life that it doesn't even appear to be ideological, but rather a fact of nature. America=good=total loyalty and love. Similarly there is an unconditional reverence for the Founding Fathers, and for the Constitution, an amazing document, it is true, but a human one nevertheless. Early America is the anchor of American authenticity. In no country that I know does a waving flag play so central an iconographical role.


This much is well said.
[T]he consensus operates in a sort of timeless present. History is anathema to it, and in accepted public discourse even the word 'history' is a synonym for nothingness or non-entity, as in the scornful, typically dismissive American phrase, 'you're history.' Otherwise history is what as Americans we are supposed to believe about America (not about the rest of the world, which is 'old' and generally left behind, hence irrelevant) uncritically, loyally, unhistorically.

Said hits upon a truly important cultural difference, but he doesn't get the point. Arab culture has a long memory; it is full of grudges; offenses are neither forgiven nor forgotten. It is typically Arab for Osama bin Laden to explain his terror in terms of vengeance for the loss of Andalusia to the Spaniards.

America, by contrast, has an essentially Christian spirit which emphasizes forgiveness. "Forgive us our trespasses, Lord, as we forgive those who trespass against us" -- this is our daily prayer. In the Christian vision, relationships are continually renewed in the present, constantly rededicated to love and affection. "Vengeance is mine, saith the Lord" -- we are to renounce all grudges. We let old offenses slip into history, and we are rightfully scornful of those who do not. It is, to us, weakness in the Arabs that they clutch their history tightly, and never let it go.

America [is] embroiled in a serious clash of identities whose counterparts are visible as similar contests throughout the rest of the world. America may have won the Cold War, as the popular phrase has it, but the actual results of that victory within America are very far from clear, the struggle not yet over.

This is quite true. The Soviet Union fell but the contest between philo-tyrannic ideologies and freedom was barely interrupted.
Cultures, specially America's, which is in effect an immigrant culture, overlap with others, and one of the perhaps unintended consequences of globalisation is the appearance of transnational communities of global interests, as in the human rights movement, the women's movement, the anti-war movement and so on. America is not at all insulated from any of this.... There is hope and encouragement to be gained from that view.

Globalization strengthens my hope that American values will triumph in the rest of the world, as it gives Said hope that leftist values will triumph in America. We shall see.


Posted by David Cohen at 10:51 AM

SERENDIPITY

While coming up with a detailed response to the Judd Doctrine (my short response is vade satanas) I came across this web page listing and classifying all active duty military deaths by year from 1980 through 1999. I find the numbers fascinating.

Over those 20 years, active duty deaths from all causes plummeted, from 2391 (116.6 per 100,000) in 1980 to 761 (54.9 per 100,000) in 1999. Accidents (411, down from 1577) and illness (126 v. 401) fell particularly sharply. At this point, there are almost as many self-inflicted deaths (110 in 1999) as deaths from illness. I was also surprised to see that, during those 20 years, there were only four years without any deaths from hostile action. The Marine Corp is the most dangerous service (70.1 deaths per 100,000 in 1999), the Air Force the least dangerous (32.4 per 100,000). There is a lot of fascinating information here (the Air Force is also the least suicidal service) and if you're at all interested in this sort of thing, I highly recommend it.


Posted by Paul Jaminet at 8:46 AM

WSJ TAKES HARRY'S SIDE (via Arts and Letters Daily):


Past Mideast Invasions Faced Unexpected Perils (Wall Street Journal, 3/19/2003)
From Napoleon's drive into Egypt through Britain's rule of Iraq in the 1920s to Israel's march into Lebanon in 1982, Middle East nations have tempted conquerors only to send them reeling.

Little wonder that even many Arabs who revile Saddam Hussein view the prospect of a U.S.-led invasion of Iraq with trepidation. "Unless the Americans are far more subtle than they've ever had the capacity to be, and more subtle than the [colonial] British, it's going to end in tears," predicts Faisal Istrabadi, an Iraqi-born lawyer in Michigan who has worked with the State Department on plans to rebuild Iraq's judiciary. "The honeymoon will be very brief."

Again and again, Westerners have moved into the Mideast with confidence that they can impose freedom and modernity through military force. Along the way they have miscalculated support for their invasions, both internationally and in the lands they occupy. They have anointed cooperative minorities to help rule resentful majorities. They have been mired in occupations that last long after local support has vanished. They have met with bloody uprisings and put them down with brute force.

"We tend to overlook a basic rule: that people prefer bad rule by their own kind to good rule by somebody else," says Boston University historian David Fromkin, author of a 1989 classic on colonialism's failures in the Mideast called "A Peace to End All Peace."...

With the passion of a convert to nation-building, he spoke movingly of confronting totalitarianism, of spreading "God's gift" of liberty "to each and every person," and of how "Iraqi lives and freedom matter greatly to us."

Napoleon proclaimed a similar new era of equality and respect for "true Muslims" as he marched into Cairo in 1798, killing a thousand members of Egypt's ruling caste. He was accompanied by 100 French scientists, researching an encyclopedia and spreading European "enlightenment" to bemused Egyptian intellectuals.

"Peoples of Egypt, you will be told that I have come to destroy your religion," said Napoleon as he entered Cairo. "Do not believe it! Reply that I have come to restore your rights!"...

Resentment grew as hundreds of unveiled women paraded around town with the French interlopers, flouting Islamic ideals of modesty. "One saw low-class women mixing with the French because of their liberality and their liking for the female sex," wrote Egyptian historian Abd al-Rahman al-Jabarti.

Months after the French arrival, Islamic clerics stirred a mob to rebellion, killing 300 Frenchmen. In revenge, the French bombarded Cairo. French troops stormed the city, killing 3,000 Cairenes and ransacking the chief mosque of al-Azhar on horseback. "The people of Cairo were overwhelmed with disdain, abasement at the despoiling and looting of wealth by the French," Mr. al-Jabarti observed.

The French left within three years.


Fairly typical that the French promised "liberté" but brought sex, looting, and violence, and then left. The relevance of French experience to American action would be hard for me to see, even if the two experiences were contemporaneous.

Much has changed since the early 1800s: notably, the rewards to freedom. Even the most advanced nations in 1800 grew at 0.5% per year, meaning that for the average adult, living in a static society would cost the average 40-year-old 5% of his lifetime earnings -- hardly a factor that would weigh against cultural preferences. Now, advanced nations grow at 3% per year, and developing nations like Iraq can easily grow at 10% per year. This means that being in a dictatorship like Iraq or Iran, rather than a free society, will cost the average 40-year-old 65% of his future earnings, and the average 20-year-old 90% of his future earnings. Today, the cost of living in a socially and politically backward country is immense, especially for the young.

Non-economic factors have changed too: the value of freedom is much more clear after two centuries of experience; and modern business, more than commerce of a hundred years ago, provides a cultural training that supports freedom.

I believe that, if we are tenacious, Arab freedom will flourish. I hope President Bush works hard to prove the skeptics wrong.


Posted by Orrin Judd at 8:09 AM

ANNOY YOURSELF:

-AUDIO INTERVIEW: with Youssef M. Ibrahim, Expert on Energy and the Middle East (Fresh Air, March 21, 2003, NPR)
He is group editor at Energy Intelligence, a company that publishes news and provides data and analysis about international energy issues. Ibrahim is also a senior fellow on the Council on Foreign Relations. Previously, Ibrahim was a foreign correspondent for The New York Times, and Tehran Bureau Chief. He also covered energy for The Wall Street Journal.

This is a joyously cynical look at the politics of oil, America, and the Arab world. Much that he says will be disagreeable to you, but all will be thought provoking.
Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:39 AM

PEACE OR FREEDOM?:

When did Despotism become Peace? (Sean Peck)
The liberation of the Iraqi people has begun, after the slaughter of 2 Million Iraqis, countless wars and aggression against his neighbors, decades of abject oppression of the most fundamental human rights, untold violations of the Geneva Convention and UN Resolutions, the end of Saddam and his regime of terror is at hand.  US and British forces once again bring liberty to the oppressed. 

One would think after the untold death and oppression of the late 19th and early 20th century the lessons of appeasement would be learned.  One would also think the complete and total failure of communism would also be widely universally accepted.  Fortunately in America largely these lessons have been learned, our troops have had to mop up the messes, including the HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS OF CORPSES, created by these failed ideologies.  Europe doesn’t care about the clean up their failed policies, because its been a long time since they have had to clean them up, that’s a job they leave for us Yanks.
 
Sadly much of the world has not learned this lesson and it appears that the nations that have learned the least about dealing with despots are the same nations that created the 3 antichrists of Europe.  The nations that unleashed Napoleon, Hitler and Stalin upon the world have been the most vociferous advocates of leaving Saddam and his regime in power. 
 
I guess in a way I can see their side, I mean, why worry about Saddam slaughtering 2 million, after all, their past leaders butchered nearly 200 Million, É. I guess in the face of that, what is a paltry 2 million souls?  What is cutting out the tongue of those who speak against the dictator in the face of the Gulags and Concentration camps?  What is raping a 4 year old girl, or gouging out her eyes, in front of her parents in comparison to this?  What is rounding up those who oppose you and making them disappear in the face of French collaboration with Hitler’s Holocaust?  At least the Iraqis rounding up those souls who will die, are doing so at the orders of another Iraqi, not a German.  What’s to care about Saddam’s desire to control a few desert countries in the middle east?  When your actions have destroyed CONTINENTS.  I guess to the nations who unleashed these horrors upon the world, Saddam is just a want to be.


Had a nice e-mail conversation this week with someone who is going to be talking to a group of third through fifth graders about the war and wondered how to approach it. We decided the best way is to place it in a continuum of American struggles for freedom. Ask the kids about wars they presumably have already heard of--Revolution, Civil War, WWII--and get them to tell you what each was about--liberty, ending slavery, stopping fascism... And then tie this war, for the freedom of the Iraqi people, into those prior fights. Help them see that war for liberty is sometimes preferable to a despotism-ridden peace. Here in NH, you could even remind them that our state's motto is based on John Stark's, and our, preference for one over the other: "Live free or die. Death is not the worst of evils."
Posted by Orrin Judd at 7:27 AM

IRAQIS VS. THEIR LEADERS:

Sun man sees surrender (The Sun, 3/22/03)
PHOTOGRAPHER Terry Richards, 52, has been with The Sun since 1980 and has previously covered the Afghan war.

This time Terry, of Essendon, Herts, joined 40 Commando Royal Marines on HMS Ocean and followed their attack on Al Faw in Southern Iraq. Here is his amazing report and pictures.

IRAQI troops shot their own commanders with Kalashnikov rifles — so they could surrender.

I overheard a Marine reporting to an officer what the captives had admitted to him. And I don’t blame them for it.

Not when you have just witnessed the awesome sight of 40 Commando Royal Marines capturing a key oil refinery — and seen doomed Iraqi fighters crumble at their gunposts.

Faced with the astonishing firepower and determination of these elite Marines, even hardened soldiers would crack.

As for this poorly-equipped Iraqi force, it takes just two hours for Our Boys to blast a devastating hole through their shattered morale.

Scores of demoralised men with fear in their eyes and white flags waving above their heads capitulate under a barrage of bullets at the Al Faw refinery.


Hopefully the beginning of a trend--it would be very healthy for Iraqis themselves to start dispatching their oppressors.

MORE (PAJ): Conscripts shoot their own officers rather than fight (Times of London, 3/22/2003)

IRAQI conscripts shot their own officers in the chest yesterday to avoid a fruitless fight over the oil terminals at al-Faw. British soldiers from 40 Commando’s Charlie Company found a bunker full of the dead officers, with spent shells from an AK47 rifle around them.

Stuck between the US Seals and the Royal Marines, whom they did not want to fight, and a regime that would kill them if they refused, it was the conscripts’ only way out....

Two [prisoners] were a general in the regular Iraqi Army and a brigadier. They came out from the command bunker where they had been hiding after 40 Commando’s Bravo Company fired two anti-tank missiles into it. With them was a large sports holdall stuffed with money. They insisted that they had been about to pay their troops, to the disbelief of their captors.

These were the men who had left their soldiers hungry, poorly armed and almost destitute for weeks, judging by the state we had seen them in, while appearing to keep the money for themselves....

Every time you turned around, a new trickle of silhouettes emerged from the horizon walking slowly towards us. One Marine joked: “Oh no. They’re surrendering at us from all sides.”


The Iraqi soldiers know their friends from their enemies.