November 1, 2002
THE DEVIL YOU KNOW?:Poll holds a warning for Davis (Margaret Talev, 11/01/02, Sacramento Bee)
An unusually high share of still-undecided voters in a Field Poll released Thursday suggests Davis' seven-point margin (41 percent to 34 percent), unchanged since July despite his $67 million war chest, could be undercut. [...]
Simon's campaign announced that Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., popular with independent voters, will campaign on his behalf this weekend to try to win over some undecided voters.
"If (the poll) was at 41 percent to 20 percent, I'd still be encouraged at this time," said Simon strategist Ed Rollins. "At the end of the day, people don't want Gray Davis. They have several choices, but their only serious choice is Bill Simon, and I think that's why we're going to win this thing."
Here's the reason that incumbents at 40% are normally doomed: What are well over one-third of those Undecideds going to find out about Gray Davis this weekend that will make them commit to him when they haven't been able to for the past four years? If it were a real state and local tv would cover the campaign this would be a race that McCain could win for Simon just by giving him a stamp of approval. Posted by Orrin Judd at November 1, 2002 7:25 PM