February 7, 2020

DONALD WHO?:

Trump's Jobs Record Is Weaker Than Everyone Thought (JORDAN WEISSMANN, FEB 07, 2020, Slate)

On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its latest batch of employment numbers, along with its annual benchmark revisions adjusting its estimates from prior months. Before, the government believed that the U.S. had added 223,000 jobs per month in 2018, the year that the GOP's tax cuts and new, higher spending levels took effect. It has now lowered that estimate to 193,000 per month, a significant drop.

Here's how this changes the story of the past few years. Based on the old numbers, it looked like Trump had inherited a steady economy but gave hiring a boost in 2018 through some deficit-fueled stimulus. Based on the new numbers, it looks like he inherited a steadily growing economy and didn't do much at all. Trump's deficits likely juiced employment growth a bit, while his trade war likely undercut it. (The Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes probably muted growth in 2018 a bit too.) In the end, the economy has added fewer jobs in every year of his presidency than it did during Obama's final one. There never was much of a Trump bump.

the Obamaconomy is so strong ev en Donald couldn't screw it up.

Posted by at February 7, 2020 1:53 PM

  

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