January 4, 2012

TAKING NOTHING AWAY FROM HIS STUNNING WIN...:

Morning Jay: What Iowa Tells Us About the State of the Race (Jay Cost, 1/04/12, Weekly Standard)
   
Mitt Romney received eight more votes in the Iowa caucuses than Rick Santorum. The media is spinning this as if it matters who actually receives more votes. It really doesn't. This is a battle for delegates -- a long one. It's not a winner take all election to serve as Iowa governor, senator, or whatever. Thus, it's fair to conclude that both Romney and Santorum won; Bachmann, Gingrich, and Perry lost; and Paul remains a libertarian insurgent who cannot win the GOP nomination because he is too far out of step with the modern GOP.

...Mr. Romney was extremely fortunate in his opponents this year.  The field conspicuously lacks the two things he couldn't overcome last year, a clear next-in-line candidate, like John McCain, and a charismatic Evangelical governor, like Mike Huckabee.  Once Tim Pawlenty and Rick Perry imploded their own campaigns Iowa and the rest of the race opened up for him.  He took a huge risk putting time and resources into Iowa, a state he shouldn't have been able to win, and emerges not only victorious, but with only the former dumbest member of Congress to defeat. Even if you look beyond Mr. Santorum's featherweight and his lack of an organization, he faces the problem that he has not faced any media scrutiny yet.  He was the acceptable conservative alternative to Mitt Romney precisely because no one knew who he was yet.  They'll know in a week. Flavors of the month melt quickly in the campaign sun.

Posted by at January 4, 2012 6:26 AM
  

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