October 29, 2011

IT'S A CAUCUS IN THE FARM BELT, NOT A POLL IN THE BELTWAY:

The Temptation of Mitt: If he goes all out for Iowa, the nomination could quickly be his. But is it like Lucy and the football? (John Heilemann, Oct 28, 2011, New York)

The ambivalence toward Iowa on Team Romney is rooted in a history at once recent and terrifically traumatic. In 2008, the former Massachusetts governor spent more than $10 million on the caucuses, blanketing the airwaves with more than 8,000 ads and deploying an army of organizers--on the theory that if he could pull off a victory and then repeat the feat a few days later in New Hampshire, where he had led in the polls for much of 2007, he could effectively pocket the nomination before his rivals even knew what hit them.

But, of course, it was not to be. Instead, Romney was beaten--beaten bloody, beaten senseless--in Iowa by Mike Huckabee, who spent virtually nothing and yet still came away with a stunning nine-point triumph. The loss was humiliating for Romney; moreover, it was crippling. Limping into New Hampshire, he was soundly thumped there by John McCain, and that was pretty much all she wrote.

Posted by at October 29, 2011 3:06 PM
  

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