September 13, 2011
NOW CUT WALES AND SCOTLAND LOOSE:
Boundary changes: Labour and Lib Dems set for big losses, first analysis shows (Simon Rogers and James Ball, 9/13/11, guardian.co.uk)
The Conservatives could have been within striking distance of an overall majority had the 2010 general election been held under England's new boundaries, early Guardian analysis suggests.
The Labour party could have netted 14 fewer seats, the Liberal Democrats 10 fewer, while the Conservatives, who dominate England, might have lost just six seats. The UK's only Green MP, Caroline Lucas, would not have been able to win her seat, according to the preliminary figures. [...]
The new boundaries reduce the total number of constituencies in England by 31, to 502. Assuming, until Scotland and Wales' boundary commissions report in the next few months, that MPs in those countries remain unchanged, the Conservatives would have been just 10 seats short of an overall majority, versus 19 at present.
Posted by oj at September 13, 2011 7:07 AM