July 15, 2008

EVEN MIKE DUKAKIS GOT A BUMP:

Has Barack Obama Peaked Too Soon? (Bonnie Erbe, 7/14/08, US News)

Has Obama peaked too soon? If upcoming polls find his lead to have evaporated long term and this weekend's findings turn out to have been more than just "statistical noise," then the answer will be "yes." If so, it might just be a bit of poetic justice. A little less than a year ago, Sen. Hillary Clinton was the media-anointed front-runner for the Democratic nomination. Then last winter, she was deemed to have peaked too soon.

Along came a rock star, a messiah, the Democrats' great hope, in the form of one Sen. Barack Obama. Clinton was tossed aside as so much detritus.

Lots can happen between now and November. Obama can regain the support of media figures who seem to have turned on him since he secured the nomination. Clinton supporters are hoping he will choose her as his running mate, but it remains to be seen if even that will be enough to woo her dispirited supporters into the Obama fold.

She peaked too soon, and that may just be what is happening to him right now.


Actually, she peaked too late and started winning primaries rather easily once she started running as Bill, but had lost her air of inevitability by then, which had been the sole rationale for her candidacy. Senator Obama peaked in Iowa and could only win caucus states and those Democratic primaries where the black vote is decisive or where no Democrat could carry the state in the general. The minimal bounce he got out of securing the nomination showed him to be a spent force.

Posted by Orrin Judd at July 15, 2008 6:32 AM

That's funny. This writer actually believes that the cheerleading of 'media figures' (Who? Keith Olberman? Chris Matthews? Anderson Cooper?) is actually an aid to a candidate. Please. And simply reporting the candidate's about-faces amounts to turning on him.

Posted by: Melissa at July 15, 2008 8:02 AM

He never peaked. When you've clinched the nomination (as he did quite some time before it was "official") and still find yourself losing counties in Democrat primaries by 10:1 margins, you can be described as many things, but "peaking" is not one of them.

Posted by: b at July 15, 2008 10:37 AM
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