BARRY WOULD NEED A LEAD THREE TIMES THIS SIZE...:

July Leader Lost in 6 of Last 9 Competitive U.S. Elections (Lydia Saad, 7/08/08, Gallup)

With Barack Obama leading John McCain by no more than six percentage points in Gallup's early July polling, the 2008 race currently fits best into the "competitive" category. Given that assumption, Gallup's election trends from a comparable point in previous presidential election years offer no strong indication of whether Obama or McCain is headed for victory in November.

...just to keep it competitive.

Posted by Orrin Judd at July 8, 2008 7:36 PM