June 25, 2008

BEFORE THE BRADLEY EFFECT....:

Gallup Daily: Obama, McCain Tied at 45%: Obama had held at least a slim advantage for most of June (Jeff Jones, 6/25/08, Gallup Daily)

The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update on the presidential election finds John McCain and Barack Obama exactly tied at 45% among registered voters nationwide. [...]

Since the changes from Tuesday's results are well within the margin of sampling error, it is unclear at this point if today's results represent a further tightening of the race. The last two individual nights of polling have, however, been more favorable to McCain that what Gallup has shown for most of June.


...and using "registered" rather than likely, those are especially dangerous numbers for the Democrats.

Posted by Orrin Judd at June 25, 2008 6:45 PM

Wait a minute. Didn't Newsweek, the LATimes, and a few others just come out with polls showing the Obamessiah 10-20 pts ahead? Somebody's way off

Posted by: AWW at June 25, 2008 7:57 PM

The media will pump (and probably fabricate) polls showing the largest possible Obama lead.

That is why election night on MSNBC will be so interesting.

And I wouldn't be a bit surprised to see TIME and Newsweek put Obama on the cover the week before, basically ordering America to vote for him.

Posted by: jim hamlen at June 26, 2008 7:27 AM

Jim: I rank Time and Newsweek down there with People and Us. You think others do too?

Posted by: Bartman at June 26, 2008 7:55 AM

Bartman - I rank them down with the Enquirer. I should have put sarcasm notes in my post.

Jim's right - the MSM will be in full Vote for Obama or you a racist mode for the next 4 months.

Posted by: AWW at June 26, 2008 8:18 AM
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