March 14, 2008

DEBACULAR DEGENERATION:

Explaining the Democrats' two-state delegate debacle: Now that the race between Clinton and Obama has tightened, questions abound on what to do with the key states and their disqualified delegates. (Michael Muskal, 3/14/08, Los Angeles Times)

If everyone knew the results wouldn't count, why is there a dispute?

There are two reasons, both political. The first involves arithmetic.

Obama is more than 100 delegate votes ahead of Clinton, according to the Associated Press, though there are other counts with different numbers. With fewer than a dozen contests remaining, it is unclear if Clinton can catch Obama since they have been running neck-and-neck and delegates are awarded on a proportional basis. Strong showings in Florida and Michigan would help Clinton close the gap.

The second reason is that the Democratic nominee will need to win in Michigan and especially in Florida in November. Preventing the states from having a role in picking the nominee could hurt in the general election.


Howard Dean--the gift that keeps on giving.

Posted by Orrin Judd at March 14, 2008 8:58 AM
Comments

"The second reason is that the Democratic nominee will need to win in Michigan and especially in Florida in November."

Are the Dems really considered to have any chance of winning FL in November?

Posted by: b at March 14, 2008 10:29 AM

"Are the Dems really considered to have any chance of winning FL in November?"

Sure some think that. Mostly it's the libertarians and far right that swore McCain was going to get destroyed by either Dem. Most have stopped saying so but there are still some solid haters out there.

Posted by: Patrick H at March 14, 2008 12:29 PM

I suspect there will be a reprise of the Dean scream at the convention in July: "can't we all just get along - YYYEEEAAAARGGHHHHH!!!"

Posted by: jim hamlen at March 14, 2008 6:30 PM
« EVERYTHING WILL BE DIFFERENT...: | Main | WHY SHOULDN'T HE BE WATERBOARDED?: »