March 1, 2008


Obama support soft among Catholics (David Mark, Mar 1, 2008, Politico)

[O]ne potentially critical set of voters remains stubbornly resistant to his appeal—Catholics.

In state after state, with only a few exceptions, exit polling shows Hillary Rodham Clinton is the choice of Catholic voters. Clinton even defeated Obama among Catholics in his home state of Illinois. It seems the more Catholic the state, the more likely she is to have won it.

While Obama has closed the once-gaping gap during his post-Super Tuesday string of wins, even in victory he has underperformed among Catholics. In Virginia, where he won the state 64 percent to 35 percent, he won only 52 percent among Catholics. In Maryland, where he won 60 percent to 37 percent, he nevertheless lost the Catholic vote, 48 percent to 45 percent.

In Wisconsin, where Obama posted his most recent victory of consequence, the Illinois senator carried the state with 58 percent but tied Clinton with 50 percent of the Catholic vote.

Clinton’s strength with Catholics is in part driven by her popularity with Hispanics, many of whom are Catholic. In California, where Latinos made up roughly one-third of the primary vote, she won 70 percent among churchgoing Catholics, compared to Obama’s 26 percent.

The hay made of W's Bob Jones appearance estranged him for this natural Republican constituency sufficiently that he was never able to put the Rust Belt in serious play. Maverick, on the other hand, is not unlikely to carry much of it. This means that the Obama campaign will have to spend the entire Fall trying to hold onto what should be its core, lest a tidal wave wipe out the Democratic Congress too.

Posted by Orrin Judd at March 1, 2008 6:54 PM

That's what the Hagee thing is all about - the Democrats trying to keep Catholics from McCain.

Posted by: Mikey [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 2, 2008 9:35 AM

Obama has no chance in PA no matter how much time he might spend there.

Posted by: curt at March 2, 2008 1:45 PM

Obama may not have a chance of winning in PA, but he surely is doing just fine elsewhere. No candidate expects to win every state but Obama has the "ground troops" to get the job done. Obama and McCain both have excellent relationships with the press corps and know how to reach out to people. Except for JFK, I have never seen such an outswelling of support from the American people themselves as I have in this election, especially for Obama. I cannot wait until the presidential nominees are finally chosen. It is going to be an exciting campaign on both sides. Maybe, then, we can see the nominees getting to the real issues and not rangling among themselves.

Posted by: Sandy in New Mexico at March 2, 2008 2:44 PM

I am Catholic and I support Hillary Clinton so does my entire family. His portrayal of himself as "saintly" is a REAL RED FLAG SO I wish my fellow democrats would WAKE UP.

Posted by: mark at March 2, 2008 3:18 PM

MaryLou, It's feelings that count, not facts. Hillary Clinton is still saying that she was named after Sir Edmund Hillary even though he was relatively obscure before he scaled Mt. Everest in 1953 when she was already six years old.

Posted by: erp at March 2, 2008 4:41 PM