March 19, 2008

AH, THE BLESSED REPUBLIC...:

In U.S. Politics, Party Rule Flips Like Clockwork (Devin Powell, 3/13/08, Discovery News)

A team of three researchers looked at every election since 1854 and tallied the percentage of seats in the House and Senate won by each party.

To find patterns in this data, Samuel Merrill III, a mathematician at Wilkes University in Wilkes-Barre, Penn., borrowed a tool from astronomers: spectral analysis, a statistical method usually used to find repeating cycles in sunspots.

The tool uncovered a rhythm hidden within the Congressional election data, published in the February issue of the American Political Science Review. Every 12 to 15 years, party dominance seemed to swing from the Democrats the Republicans (or vice versa).

To explain this wobble in voter allegiance, Bernard Grofman, a professor of political science at University of California in Irvine, searched for spring-like forces that might cause such a steady oscillation.

Previous research has shown that voters like familiar faces; incumbent candidates typically pull constituents toward their party of choice. But voters also drift away over time, put off by the failed policies of those in power, wanting change.


...first we hamstring them, then we get mad at them for not doing much.

Posted by Orrin Judd at March 19, 2008 6:18 AM
Comments

And after we get mad at them, we elect a replacement from the other party who does even less of what we want, and gets easily reelected. At least that's how the Stupid Party does it.

Posted by: Raoul Ortega at March 19, 2008 1:14 PM
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