February 6, 2008

WHEN ONE PART OF A COALITION WINS THE OTHERS LOSE:

Democrats' Votes Display a Racial Divide (Amy Goldstein, 2/06/08, Washington Post)

Yesterday's primary voting laid bare a profound racial and ethnic divide among Democratic voters, with African Americans overwhelmingly preferring Sen. Barack Obama and Latinos largely favoring Sen. Hillary Clinton.

The results of preliminary exit polls in nine key states indicate that Obama attracted the support of two-thirds to nine-tenths of black voters, except in Clinton's home state of New York. That pattern suggests that the first-term Illinois senator's strong appeal among African Americans -- first on display in the South Carolina primary last month -- is more widespread. It also means that Clinton is not the automatic heir to the wide popularity her husband enjoyed among black voters as president.

Yesterday's contests, however, featured several states, including California, with large Hispanic populations, and they selected Clinton by smaller but consistent margins.

The divergent choices by minority voters reflect broad issues of loyalty and identity, observers said, rather than specific differences in the candidates' stances on issues.


John McCain--particularly if he picked Jeb as a running mate--would be ideally positioned to carry Hispanics against Barack Obama.

Posted by Orrin Judd at February 6, 2008 6:48 AM
Comments

Yes, but dingbat soccer moms and their emasculated husbands vote in far greater numbers, as do blacks.

Obama wins the over $100K metrosexual vote. I think Obama is clearly the larger worry.

Better to have Hillary go scorched earth, and defeat Obama by ticking off the black vote.

That could put even IL in play.

Posted by: Bruno at February 6, 2008 9:46 AM

All the people I know supporting Obama (that aren't black), it's a vanity vote. Proves their progressive / sensitive / liberal credentials. It's gross.

I do worry that Hillary might pick Big O as Veep.

Posted by: Twn at February 6, 2008 10:19 AM

Twn: Know what you mean. Obama is the Volvo candidate. As for the VP pick, Clinton may not have a choice. It looks as if the Super Delegates will call the winner, which sets up the "selected not elected" hoo ha. Obama would have the option of extorting a very sweet deal from Clinton to just go quietly, or announce at the convention that he is "willing" to be VP and let gravity take it from there. A Clinton/Obama ticket would crater.

Posted by: Luciferous at February 6, 2008 11:04 AM

You were pretty much right about Giuliani, strategically at least. Good call.

Give it up on Jeb. Ain't gonna happen, unless he changes his last name. Period.

And I LIKE Dubya. I'm rather a fan who knows history will be largely kind to him, AND I think Jeb in and of himself alone would make a good candidate.

And there's no way in heaven, hell, or earth that a Bush can run in 2008, and will not be chosen, nor should be, especially against a Clinton. Forget it, ain't gonna happen, we're all done here.

No way, move along.

Posted by: Andrew X at February 6, 2008 11:34 AM

When one action solves so many problems the possibility of it occurring can't be ruled out. No one thought Reagan could pick Bush and no one had even an inkling who either Bush was taking.

Posted by: oj at February 6, 2008 3:27 PM
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