February 6, 2008


(1) The neocon estrangement from Republican reality is on full display as the Northeastern liberal is on his way to finishing third tonight, with the Southern evangelical having himself a big night.

(2) Ted Kennedy was as much help to Barack Obama in MA as he was to Mary Jo Kopechne in the Chappaquiddick.

(3) On Fox News they were talking about latte liberals and Fred Barnes said, "I just want it known that I drink black coffee." Amen, brother.

(4) Thus far, Democrats seem to have peered into the abyss and opted for Hillary instead.

10:08pm: Awfully smart of the Huck to get out there and claim 2nd place in time to make tomorrow's papers and before folks go to bed. Although, it's pretty incoherent to talk about the value of every human life right after your little song and dance about keeping immigrants out of America.

10:20pm: Haley Barbour just threw a shovelful of dirt on the Romney campaign, basically calling it McCain/Huckabee contest from here on out.

11:06pm: Not only is Mitt headed for yet another 3rd in MO, but McCain looks on his way to winning it, which ought to be decisive.

[having trouble getting through our server so further comments will actually be in the comments section]

Posted by Orrin Judd at February 6, 2008 12:00 AM

I've taken to wondering how many on the Virgin Right have had their addictions exposed by the Hispanic help.

Posted by: ghostcat at February 5, 2008 10:18 PM

As Mitt Romney gets trotted out to claim that winning UT, MA and MI is important, you half expect him to start blinking morse code like Jeremiah Denton: Get...me...out...of...this...hellhole

Posted by: oj at February 5, 2008 10:38 PM

GA to the Huck

AZ to Maverick despite half of GOP voters saying illegal immigrants should be deported.

Mitt running 3rd in MO

Posted by: oj at February 5, 2008 10:44 PM

This is all just the grand puppet show. We will hold our respective noses and pull the lever to the R even if it IS McCain -- which it appears it will be.

Posted by: JR at February 5, 2008 10:45 PM

Funny stuff. We never doubted you Fred. And I guess Mitt is as deluded as the Cornerites/Malkins/etcs of the world.

I'm waiting for McCain to come out, flip the bird to the right, and say amnesty is coming and if W doesn't order it, then he'll make it issue number one next January.

Posted by: Jim in Chicago at February 5, 2008 10:49 PM

After watching the Huck steal a march on Mitt, how did the Obama folks let Hillary get out there first?

Posted by: oj at February 5, 2008 10:53 PM


That would not necessarily be true were it Mitt.

Posted by: oj at February 5, 2008 11:01 PM

Just got back from a visit to my local precinct caucus here in Denver. Rather quiet affair, with a fair amount of Mitt supporters. I entered my McCain vote, elected my precinct captain/state convention delegates, and called it a night.

So far, it looks as though Romney is ahead in the balloting. Not that it matters, though: McCain will carry Colorado in the general.

Posted by: Brad S at February 5, 2008 11:02 PM

Mitt can win caucuses because he has money. He just can't win contested primaries.

Posted by: oj at February 5, 2008 11:10 PM

At 11:15 pm EST, Mitt Romney walked into his living room and declared to his wife and children:

"You know, if I spend the rest of the family fortune on this darned election, I'm SURE I can still win the nomination!"

They immediately locked him in the closet. I understand commitment proceedings are pending.

Posted by: HT at February 5, 2008 11:28 PM

I am watching Brit Hume shed some of his considerable dignity by sitting in front of a "Next Polls Close" sign. Fox News has to lay off the gimmicks.

It's only 2% in, but McCain has a 21 percentage point lead in California.

Posted by: Brad S at February 5, 2008 11:28 PM

In a bid to do as much damage to the GOP as Pete Wilson, Mitt apparently spent a bundle on anti-immigration ads in LA County against McCain.

Posted by: oj at February 5, 2008 11:49 PM

Did Obama really just say that he doesn't give W the benefit of the doubt on Iran? The pro-Iran vote has to be pretty minute in American elections, no?

Posted by: oj at February 5, 2008 11:55 PM

Maverick wins MO, which is huge.

Posted by: oj at February 6, 2008 12:05 AM

Maverick and Hillary just won CA and their parties respective nominations.

Posted by: oj at February 6, 2008 12:14 AM

So will we hear the Romney campaign bragging about all those valuable Bronzes?

When McCain delivers his acceptance speech in Minneapolis, Hugh Hewitt will be on the radio insisting that he's not really a frontrunner.

Hewitt, Coulter, Rush, and NRO are bitter-enders as much as those leftists still whining about Florida and Ohio.

Huckabee gets to spend the next couple days shoving tonight's results in Romney's face. Can't say he doesn't deserve it.

Posted by: AC at February 6, 2008 12:29 AM

What do you make of the 64/36 Dem/GOP voter turnout ratio? Is it just a function of the closeness of the Democratic race? Or is the GOP doomed come November?

Posted by: djs at February 6, 2008 12:42 AM

Sounds like Mitt's done. They're meeting tomorrow to decide whether to even contest KS.

Posted by: oj at February 6, 2008 12:56 AM

Contest KS after dissing Bob, bless him, Dole? Up a rope, anyone?

Posted by: ghostcat at February 6, 2008 1:07 AM


I'd have to see some historical context -- which no one seems to be providing when they bring up those numbers.

Off the top of my head though I'd say Republicans tend not to be as excitable as the Dems, who are always in search of excitement, the next JFK!1!!!, and therefore flock to primary elections.

A lot of Republicans and a lot of independents especially, just don't vote in primaries. I never have.

At the end of the day, how many independents are going to punch their ballot for Hillary over McCain? And if its Mr. Changiness? Well, we saw in California tonight that Hispanics won't be voting Obama. And once everyone else finds out who he really is?

Posted by: Jim in Chicago at February 6, 2008 1:20 AM

The respective turnouts don't mean much. Almost every cycle, some media types breathlessly announce that the high Democratic turnout portends big things in the fall.

Lots of Dems are excited about Obama - were he not in the race, Hillary would already be queen, but with probably 40% fewer total votes (let's face it, Pretty Boy just didn't excite anybody).

And the GOP has been pretty dispirited since early 2005. Nobody seized the 'mantle' and made this race his own (other than Huckabee). McCain is winning states with 35% of the vote, which is pretty poor for the next-in-line. Bush Sr. and Dole were already on top at this point in their races.

Things will be different in November. They always are.

However, I do look forward to the 'analysis' of Huckabee voters from the pundits. I can understand voting against McCain and/or Romney, but I just don't get a vote for Huck. It's almost like voting for Dobson, who is fast becoming a political martyr.

Posted by: jim hamlen at February 6, 2008 1:21 AM

I thought McCain was the neocon candidate.

It took 32 years but we can finally vote for the Scoop Jackson Democrat we wanted.

There is the minor problem that I'm no longer a Scoop Jackson Democrat. For one thing, I'd prefer a candidate who actually knows something about economics.

Posted by: Joseph Hertzlinger at February 6, 2008 2:10 AM

Huckabee's a likeable guy with genuine social conservative credentials. Now that Fred's out of the race, it's a given he'd be polling stronger.

Posted by: Ali Choudhury at February 6, 2008 6:19 AM

The neocons supported McCain in '00 against the Evangelical W. This time they supported Rudy and then Mitt, as the most socially liberal candidates available. William Safire and several others (maybe even Bill Kristol?) announced they were voting for Bill Clinton in '92. Non-observant Jews really dislike Christians/social conservatism.

Posted by: oj at February 6, 2008 7:15 AM

Huckabee is the most Christian candidate.

Posted by: oj at February 6, 2008 7:21 AM

Hillary can gin up female turnout, enthusiastic about the first woman president. Obama can turn out blacks and students.

How does the losing side turn out in November?

Posted by: oj at February 6, 2008 7:27 AM