February 8, 2008

POLITICS ABHORS A TABULA RASA:

TIME Poll: Clinton More Beatable than Obama (Michael Duffy, 2/07/08, TIME)

Obama captured 48% of the vote in the theoretical match-up against McCain's 41%, the TIME poll reported, while Clinton and McCain would deadlock at 46% of the vote each. Put another way, McCain looks at the moment to have a narrowly better chance of beating the New York Senator than he does the relative newcomer from Illinois. [...]

For much of the year, Democrats have enjoyed a wide margin over any Republican rival in theoretical match-ups. Those margins have begun to shrink in recent weeks.

According to the new poll, Democratic voters favor Clinton over Obama for the Democratic nomination by a margin of 48% to 42%.


Nothing new remains to be discovered about Ms Cinton, who most folks dislike, or Senator McCain, who most like. Nothing is known about Senator Obama, which is why he polls well.

Posted by Orrin Judd at February 8, 2008 6:34 AM
Comments

But Obama isn't going to get he nomination because the Clinton machine is going to pull it out. This is all good for McCain because he is more likable and has convincingly positioned himself as "Un-Bush" in many ways*. Don't get me wrong, I like Bush and agree with almost everything he has done; however, there are many who have Bush fatigue. This is understandable and natural after two terms.

*I don't by the crap that McCain isn't a conservative. Especially coming from former Romney supporters. I've seen that McCain ad with Romney personally distancing himself from Reagan-Bush and the GOP when he ran for office in Massachusetts.

Posted by: pchuck at February 8, 2008 12:18 PM

Nothing is known about Senator Obama, which is why he polls well.

Four words, which in this era of the blogosphere will be very difficult for the MSM to just ignore:

"Trinity United Church of Christ"
There "african value system" is a lot more troubling than Mitt's underwear ever was.

The more I learn about the real Obama, the more he starts to look like Al Sharpton with a nicer suit.

Posted by: Ralph Phelan at February 8, 2008 6:05 PM

OJ:

The problem here is that lots of voters go with their gut instinct as to who they like, and Obama is a likeable guy.

Jay Nordlinger from NRO puts it something like this: The Democrats have run two rather left-wing candidates in the last two elections who were also two of the most dislikable people in America. What happens when they nominate a left-winger with some charisma?

Posted by: Matt Murphy at February 8, 2008 7:48 PM

Indeed. Except in Barry's case, it's Tabula Raza.

Posted by: QY at February 9, 2008 12:23 AM

The point being, likable leftwingers can't even win Democratic primaries.

Posted by: oj at February 9, 2008 7:42 AM

Hispanics supporting a Black? We'll see.

Posted by: erp at February 9, 2008 8:38 AM
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