February 13, 2008

AS A PURELY DEMOGRAPHIC MATTER...:

A Rainbow of Blame: If Obama falls short, do blacks blame Latinos? (Jim Geraghty, 2/13/08, National Review)

The Republican party did not earn this kind of good luck.

Somehow, just as they’ve managed to come through a primary with a nominee who happens to be the candidate with the best appeal to independents and matches up best against the Democrats, the opposing party is still fighting tooth and nail, and looks set to do it for a long while, perhaps all the way to the convention.

Even more strikingly, the Democratic clash of the titans is showcasing an obvious and deepening fault line between one of the party’s most important and loyal demographics — blacks — and the key emerging demographic for both parties, Latinos. And with each racially tinged exchange or mini-controversy — an accusation of “insensitivity” here, a poor word choice there — a lingering resentment that impacts general-election turnout becomes a bit more likely.


...it's preferable for the GOP that Senator Obama get the nomination and make Democrats the black party and Republicans the brown. Of course, if the various tribes voted ideology rather than identity the GOP would get the majority of both.


MORE:
Obama, Clinton fight for Latino vote (Gebe Martinez, Feb 13, 2008, Politico)

Set back by low support among Latino voters on Super Tuesday, Sen. Barack Obama’s presidential campaign is moving quickly to try to cut into Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton's Latino support in Texas by stacking the state with money, top staffers from earlier caucus states and high-profile endorsements.

The Obama campaign Tuesday began running a Spanish-language radio ad in eight Texas media markets to coincide with Clinton campaign events in the state. The radio spot highlights Obama’s decision to pass up a high-paying job and work as a community organizer in South Chicago.

Key staffers who organized the Obama campaign in early caucus states have arrived in Texas to set up 10 field offices, and a high-level staff meeting will occur there this weekend.


Debate intensifies over role of super delegates in Clinton-Obama race (Peter Wallsten and Peter Nicholas, 2/13/08, Los Angeles Times)
With victories Tuesday in three more elections, Barack Obama has now won 23 of the 35 sanctioned Democratic primaries and caucuses so far. But he has not yet solved his problem with Mannie Rodriguez.

Rodriguez supports Hillary Rodham Clinton -- and his vote matters more than most. He is a "super delegate," one of the 796 Democratic Party insiders who will break the tie if neither Obama nor Clinton emerges from the primary balloting with a clear victory, a strong possibility even after Obama's wins Tuesday. [...]

Rodriguez, a party official from Colorado, reserves the right to back Clinton, no matter that Colorado and a majority of other states have so far chosen Obama.

"I do not go with the candidate who is always winning. I go with the candidate I believe in," he wrote recently to a voter who asked how he could side against the Democratic voters in his own state.

Posted by Orrin Judd at February 13, 2008 7:54 AM
Comments

At this point Hillary needs to draw an inside straight or game over.

Posted by: curt at February 13, 2008 9:16 AM

Why bring the Latinos into this? Can't they just blame the Israel Lobby?

Posted by: Barry Meislin at February 13, 2008 9:24 AM

Good Luck? It almost looks like Rovian wasp larvae again. QUOS deus vastat,etc.

Posted by: Lou Gots at February 13, 2008 9:35 AM

I wonder which would work best for McCain?

(1) A Bush executive order amnesty that takes the issue off the table, allowing McCain to play up his pro-immigration views w/o having to play to the nativist "base" with talk of walls and "securing the border" and such.

(2) No amnesty (yet) and the livid attacks on McCain by the nativist Right over immigration throughout the campaign serve as constant reminders to Hispanics that McCain stands with them.

Posted by: Jim in Chicago at February 13, 2008 10:13 AM
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