February 5, 2008

A HANDY GUIDE TO WHAT THE RESULTS MEAN:

A Delegate Question (John Tabin, 2/5/2008, American Spectator)

9:00 PM

Arizona, New York -- More winner-take-all victories for McCain, with 50 and 87 delegates determined by the election. New York will also send 14 officially unpledged delegates, and Arizona will also send 3 unpledged. McCain can probably count those toward his total, too.

10:00 PM

Utah -- Romney easily wins 36 delegates in the only winner-take-all state that he can count on.

11:00 PM

California -- You can think of California as 54 winner-take-all contests. The statewide winner gets 11 delegates, and the winner of each of 53 congressional districts gets 3 delegates. The polls show Romney surging in the Golden State. But it matters quite a bit where he's surging. [...]

To win the nomination, a candidate needs 1,191 delegates locked up. McCain currently has 102, Romney has 69, and Huckabee has 27. (All of these numbers will be a bit higher if sanctions the RNC imposed on states for holding early contests are not enforced.)

There's no doubt that John McCain will have a plurality of delegates after today. The only question is whether his lead will be so great that he can't be caught.

Posted by Orrin Judd at February 5, 2008 1:08 PM
Comments

Howsomever, isn't it fascinating that a moderate Republican governor (from MA !) has managed to win over the Virgin Right?

Posted by: ghostcat at February 5, 2008 2:10 PM

Governor Romney spent this morning in West Virginia--then saw all 18 WV delegates awarded to Governor Huckabee. What a joke--Romney can't even win Republican conventioneers, but the Beltway Right thinks he can win moderates and independents in November?

Posted by: AC at February 5, 2008 2:59 PM

In W. VA it was good strategy on the part of McCain's folks. They pretty much all sided with Huckabee to push him over the top.

Posted by: mc at February 5, 2008 3:58 PM

And Ron Paul's delegates sided with Huckabee in return for a promise to direct 3 of the 18 to vote for Paul.

Posted by: John Thacker at February 5, 2008 4:13 PM
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