January 21, 2008

A MODERATE, A LATINO AND AN EVANGELICAL CATHOLIC WALK INTO A CAMPAIGN HQ...:

Florida Endorsements (The Prowler, 1/21/2008, American Spectator)

Look for Sen. Mel Martinez to endorse Sen. John McCain in the coming week. Martinez notified McCain of the endorsement almost ten days ago, according to McCain insiders, and the support, which some considered a foregone conclusion, was kept quiet for the lead-up to the Florida primary at the end of the month.

"This allows Martinez to travel with John for the next week or so and seal the deal for us in Florida," says a current McCain adviser.

McCain advisers also say they expect an endorsement from Florida Gov. Charlie Crist in the coming days. "We've got it locked up," says the adviser. "It's just a matter of timing." [...]

There was a time when people expected that Jeb Bush might not endorse a candidate in this race. Now those folks are coming around to the notion that Bush might, in fact, endorse. "It's something he's thinking about," says a Jeb adviser. "But he has the luxury of not being in the thick of things. He hasn't seen this race from a distance. He's watched it with interest, and he knows just about everything that is going on. He knows the state of the campaigns, the state of the race and the thinking of the candidates. If he does endorse, it won't be on a wasted effort. It will have meaning and import."


The Jeb endorsement would decide the nomination.

Posted by Orrin Judd at January 21, 2008 11:32 AM
Comments

So, assuming Maverick snags FL, things look pretty settled to me. Who then would make a good VP? Thompson, to help allay the fears of the conservatives? Romney, as the complimentary young businessman to McCain's old statesman? Lieberman, for the reach across the aisle? Jeb, to drive hard for the Latino vote? Huck, for the... um... I've got nothing.

Personally, I don't think McCain needs any more help appearing moderate, so I discount Joe. Romney seems like an "image" match, who's baggage may outweigh the benefits. I'm a FredHead, so I'd love to see Thompson's policies continue effecting the course of the race; however, Thompson has only a handful of delegates and other than personal friendship, this may not make a good political match (unless McCain thinks he needs Right to Life/evangelical voters and doesn't want Huck). Huckabee I discount completely, given his position changes on issues like immigration (from soft to far right) and smaller government (from federal smoking ban to state's choice). He and his campaign have been talking nice about McCain, but I'd like to think that shouldn't matter. I don't think Jeb would be a good pick this time just because of the timing of it all.

Any thoughts?

P.S. Yes, this is my first major primary to be watching. I was able to vote in the last general, but there wasn't much of a primary lead-up. I'm assuming my political naivete is showing.

Posted by: Jay at January 21, 2008 12:30 PM

I like the thought of Fred, but . . . Michael Steele for VP? It would shake things up, especially if Hillary smacks down Obama and picks some boring white guy for her Veep.

Posted by: Mike Morley at January 21, 2008 1:12 PM

With no executive experience, it's especially wise for McCain to add one. He needs a relative youngster--preferably someone who becomes the automatic next in line. He could use someone who appeals to Hispanics--a winnable cohort for the GOP, which would guarantee a landslide. He could use someone who the religious trust, especially on abortion.

Jeb is the most logical candidate, but may not want to run yet.

Posted by: oj at January 21, 2008 4:28 PM

Tim Pawlenty?

Posted by: Hunter at January 21, 2008 6:55 PM

All indications have been that Jeb was in the Romney camp and that Rommey is utilizing Jeb's GOTV effort. So for Jeb to endorse anyone but Romney would be a huge blow to Romney. Jeb may decide to stay out to help his chances later.

McCain's temperment suggest that he will pick whoever he wants regardless of the merits. Thompson seems like a logical choice given their friendship but Thompson hasn't given any signs he wants to be VP. Huckabee has been running for McCain's VP spot since Iowa but may not get it. McCain won't pick Romney or even Jeb over spite. Steele didn't pick up african americans in his senate fight in MD so it is not clear he would pick up any more national.

My guess - Lieberman to make it the RINO-DINO ticket.

Posted by: AWW at January 21, 2008 7:13 PM
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