January 14, 2008

50-0 FILES:

Election 2008: McCain vs. Clinton and Obama (Rasmussen Reports, January 13, 2008)

A Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds John McCain leading Hillary Clinton nationally by double digits. The survey, conducted on the two nights following New Hampshire’s Primary, shows McCain attracting 49% of the vote nationwide while Clinton earns 38%.

Among Republican voters, McCain leads 86% to 6%. However, among Democrats, Clinton’s lead is a slightly less dominant 74% to 18%. McCain leads by twenty-one points among unaffiliated voters.

This is the third straight poll showing McCain ahead of Clinton. In December, the Arizona Senator led by six points. In November, he held a narrow two-point edge.

A separate national telephone survey, conducted just before New Hampshire voted, shows McCain leading Obama 46% to 43%. That’s little changed since a December poll showing McCain with a two point advantage.

Those surveys find Mike Huckabee leading Clinton 45% to 42% while Obama leads Huckabee 45% to 43%.

The question isn't even whether Maverick would return the House to the GOP but whether he could also keep the Senate at 50-50 (the election rotation there works against the GOP in '08).

Posted by Orrin Judd at January 14, 2008 10:43 AM

In the meantime, we get to enjoy Obama vs. Clinton and Clinton, Clinton vs. Clinton, Clinton vs. MLK, and NPR vs. NPR.

The first 15 minutes of Limbaugh's show today (in delicious contrast to NPR this morning) was one of the best segments I've ever heard in radio, which is saying something.

Posted by: Qiao at January 14, 2008 12:25 PM

McCain will obliterate Clinton in every category except for single women and men with PhDs. And he'll be a terrible, terrible president.

Posted by: b at January 14, 2008 12:56 PM

But he'll still be better than Hillary.

Posted by: Kat at January 14, 2008 2:12 PM

As a moderately-right-of-center Independent, I am fascinated no end by the current sorting-out process in both parties. Watching the Far Right eat its own entrails over Johnny Mac is truly amusing. Ditto, of course, the Boomer Feminists and party hacks vs. rest of the Dems. It's a great system. Really. Thank you, Mr. Monroe.

Posted by: ghostcat at January 14, 2008 2:45 PM

B, why do you think McCain will be a terrible, terrible president? He's not my first pick either, but Clinton bad? Carter bad? FDR bad?

Posted by: Robert Mitchell Jr. at January 14, 2008 3:11 PM

Robert: He's a fighter-jock son of an admiral with no executive experience. He'll win with such a huge mandate that he may even have the opportunity to do things no one else could (i.e., Social Security reform), but does he have the judgment to pick the right battles (as opposed to climate-change lunacy)? Nothing in his past suggests it.

He'll be far, far better than any of the Democrat losers, of course.

Posted by: b at January 14, 2008 3:50 PM

McCain has a bad temperament for a president.

Posted by: oj at January 14, 2008 4:20 PM

A worrisome temperament, yes. But Lincoln, by many accounts, was clinically depressive. Teddy Roosevelt was probably manic, if not bipolar. Atypical personalities are drawn to politics, and other performing arts, it seems.

Johnny Mac will need a strong chief of staff. That'll be at least as important as a strong VP.

And I did mean to thank Little Jimmy Madison, not James Monroe, for all this fun. Hard to keep them dang Virginians straight.

Posted by: ghostcat at January 14, 2008 4:50 PM

Depressives are good. Manics bad.

Posted by: oj at January 14, 2008 7:18 PM

I will certainly vote for him if he is the nominee -- there is no question whatsoever that he is far preferable to the alternative -- but I have a hard time getting over two considerations:

1.) His horrible, self-righteous temper
2.) Campaign-finance reform

Posted by: Matt Murphy at January 14, 2008 7:54 PM

Re: Depressive vs. Manic

Your comment seems inconsistent with your views on sedating boys, oj.

Me, I'll take a steady temperament plus or minus 25% for demonstrative mood swings. Timing is everything. The question is not whether McCain has a temper, but whether he can use it to advantage. He's been a pretty successful politician. Better at that than at flying A-4D's, actually.

Posted by: ghostcat at January 14, 2008 9:28 PM

So who will be Maverick's first Supreme Court pick? I'm guessing Arlen Specter but wouldn't rule out Teddy K. He'd never be able to resist such a great opportunity to stick it to the conservatives.

Posted by: sog at January 14, 2008 11:06 PM

That's why teachers and parents want boys sedated.

Posted by: oj at January 14, 2008 11:30 PM

Well, given that McCain is a Reaganaut and an Arizonan, it would probably be someone like O'Connor or Rehnquist.

Posted by: oj at January 14, 2008 11:33 PM