December 21, 2007

COMEBACK?:

McCain Rises from the Dead (Peter Brown, 12/21/07, Real Clear Politics)

For those who believe in miracles, there is the legitimate possibility that John McCain could win the Republican presidential nomination. If so, he'll make Bill Clinton's comeback kid of 1992 look like a piker.

It makes for some nice dramatics, but the reality is that he's going to win the first time Republicans actually get to vote for their candidate, just as he was going to all along. All that's changed is the mood of the pundits.

Posted by Orrin Judd at December 21, 2007 9:26 AM
Comments

This prediction, like your 60 GOP senators in '06, ain't gonna happen.

Posted by: AWW at December 21, 2007 10:09 AM

Or 50 states in '04.

Posted by: Broadhead at December 21, 2007 10:40 AM

Gentlemen,

Past performance is not a predictor of future results.

OJ is likely correct here, and you just don't want to admit it.

This isn't to say I'd like to see it happen. I prefer Thompson (as Mitt and Rudy are unelectable).

I like policy more than horse races, but if you look at a racing sheet prior to a race, there is handicapping on which horse is strongest.

You bet on the horse likely to win, and in Jan 2006, the racing program said "McCain."

Now we've had a years of trades in the lead, jockeying, polls counting lengths and noses, and lookey here!!! The prohibitive favorite is racing up the outside.

IF Thompson finishes below 3rd in Iowa, and drops out before New Hampshire, McCain will likely run the table.

Posted by: Bruno at December 21, 2007 11:30 AM

he's going to win the first time Republicans actually get to vote for their candidate [emphasis added]

No way the guy wins in South Carolina.

Posted by: Raoul Ortega at December 21, 2007 11:38 AM

Something must be happening, the media is bringing out the heavy artillery early in the game. Is it possible that McCain would plead with the NYT in the person of its editor, the odious Bill Keller, to spike a story of his improper dealings with lobbyists.

That's nothing. When they're done with him, he'll be denying trysts with little green women from Mars.

Don't ya hate it when all the lefty stereotypes are true to type.

Posted by: erp at December 21, 2007 11:41 AM

Ahem Bruno -- Gentlemen???

Posted by: erp at December 21, 2007 1:01 PM

IF Thompson finishes below 3rd in Iowa, and drops out before New Hampshire, McCain will likely run the table.

Neither of them are going to finish above third. and I'll be surprised if either of them finish *third*.

McCain's a no-show and Thompson started too late. Their respective strategies might have worked if the IA caucus/NH primary were in February when there would have been more time for the front runners to shot themselves in the foot, bleed themselves dry of money, and for a word-of-mouth campaign to build support but it aint gonna work this time.

Posted by: Chris B at December 21, 2007 3:44 PM

erp:

He's only being respectful (forgetful, but respectful).

People who blithely dismiss McCain (from Hewitt to Mark Levin to even Rush) don't realize that he was always going to be there because he's the only candidate (other than Romney) who actually campaigns at the retail level. Rudy and Fred haven't done much of that, but McCain thrives on it. I don't know about Huckabee, but I doubt if he enjoys going into potentially 'hostile' territory and jousting with the audience. Rudy probably does, but not with McCain's cheerfulness. Fred might like it, but who knows? That seems to be the story of his campaign.

Let's hope that it is below zero in IA, with blowing snow and the hard cold ground. They wanted the first 'vote' - let them enjoy it.

Posted by: jim hamlen at December 21, 2007 4:29 PM

Thompson has a secret weapon in his wife. Did everyone see this video.

Posted by: erp at December 21, 2007 6:09 PM

erp,

I used "gentlemen" because only men had commented up to that time - assuming AWW and Broadhead are gentlemen.

Chris B,

Are you up on the latest news? Thompson is already 3rd in Iowa, climbing, and will benefit greatly if Huckabee drops.

Thompson's only real shot was wait until the last minute and then sprint. He's doing that now. McCain could care less about Iowa, as he is the only candidate with the character to call "ethanol" the gibbering nonsense that it is.

__

In other news, few people have made the connection between Huck's rise and the "fair tax." The media won't report it. Chuck Norris was a fair tax guy before he was a Huckabee guy.

Fair tax needs tweaking and some honesty, but it is what really drove Huckabee's rise.

Posted by: Bruno at December 21, 2007 7:10 PM

Just teasing Bruno.

Posted by: erp at December 21, 2007 9:09 PM
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