December 19, 2007

AND EVEN WORSE LATER THAN THAT:

For Hillary, Electability Now Equals Vulnerability Later (Dick Morris, 12/19/07, Real Clear Politics)

In the New York Times/CBS poll of Dec. 11, Hillary was overwhelmingly rated as the most likely of the Democratic candidates to defeat the Republicans in the 2008 general election.

Asked, regardless of how they were voting, which candidate was most likely to defeat the GOP, 63 percent of Democratic primary voters said Hillary Clinton was the most likely to win in November, while only 14 percent chose Obama and 10 percent selected Edwards.

Good news for Hillary? Yes, for now. But it could indicate a potential for disaster should she stumble in the early primaries and caucuses.


The even greater problem for Ms Clinton is that she's going to have to jag Left to win the primaries, just as George W. Bush had to jag Right to win his, thereby costing himself the '00 election.

Her husband had the huge advantage of facing Paul Tsongas, who was running to his Right, which enabled Mr. Clinton to stay in the center as he dispatched the Senator and kept him viable for the general. Though, even with that, he still required the presence of Ross Perot to win the election.

Posted by Orrin Judd at December 19, 2007 10:56 AM
Comments

FYI-- Bush won the 2000 election.

Posted by: vette97 at December 19, 2007 2:07 PM

"FYI-- Bush won the 2000 election"

Due to a mere legal technicality.

Posted by: h-man at December 19, 2007 3:33 PM

Due to a mere legal technicality.

Are there any other kind? Knowing the rulebook, and when to invoke it, is part of the game.

Posted by: Raoul Ortega at December 19, 2007 6:00 PM
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