December 27, 2007


Freshmen Padding Their Independence: Procedural Votes Become Safe Nays (Paul Kane, 12/27/07, Washington Post)

[T]he bloc of freshmen has begun casting votes against such minor procedural motions in an effort, Democratic sources and Republican critics say, to demonstrate their independence from their leadership. The number of votes that the potentially vulnerable newcomers to Capitol Hill cast against House leaders is tallied and watched closely by interest groups and political foes.

Such is the political life of many of the 42 freshman House Democrats, a sizable number of them moderates and conservatives who must straddle the fence between supporting their party's interests and distancing themselves from a mostly liberal leadership as they gear up for their first reelection battle next fall.

Such opposition to your own party establishes the sort of psychic dissonance that costs you the seat when there's a strong top of the ticket for the other party. McCain/Jeb will carry these seats in with them rather easily.

Posted by Orrin Judd at December 27, 2007 8:47 AM

J. Bush is out of it, for this round at least, and should be. The whole dynasty thing is just too disconcerting, and I think he and his family even agree.

It might be McCain, but it won't be Bush, talented though he may be.

Posted by: Andrew X at December 27, 2007 11:37 AM

If the dems are sufficiently discredited, Jeb may be seen as the best choice for VP, but with Thompson, not McCain at the top.

Posted by: erp at December 27, 2007 12:21 PM

Jeb would have won in a walk, but needed the break for family reasons. A three month run is perfect for him and then he has four years off to gear up to succeed Maverick.

Posted by: oj at December 27, 2007 1:18 PM

Some Democrats are starting to worry about keeping the House - in USA Today, Bob Beckel made blustery snorting noises about Cal Thomas's claim that the GOP will win back the House because of the Democratic leadership. If Beckel really thought Cal was nuts, he would have laughed it away.

Posted by: jim hamlen at December 27, 2007 10:13 PM

If its Clinton for the Dems, why not Jeb?

Carrying Florida is still important and Jeb guarantees that. McCain's GOP weakness(besides internet libertarians) is evangelicals, who love Jeb.

Posted by: Bob at December 27, 2007 11:05 PM

It's a 60-40 country--the GOP can easily carry the House.

Posted by: oj at December 28, 2007 8:15 AM