October 3, 2007


Surprising Ease of Israel's Attack on Syria (Jack Kelly, 10/03/07, Real Clear Politics)

Syria and Iran are sweating bullets just now. The air raid is the reason.

Syria has invested an enormous sum in state of the art Russian air defense missiles and radars. A story which appeared in the Israeli media Aug. 13 described it as the "most advanced in the world."

"Some of these missiles were snatched from the production lines even before being introduced into Russian operation service," wrote Alex Fishman of YNET News.

The Israelis attacked a target near Dayr az Zawr on the Euphrates in eastern Syria, and may have attacked another near Tal al Abyad on Syria's border with Turkey (though all we know for sure about the latter is that Israeli fighters dropped empty fuel tanks there). Both are a long way from Israel.

"And guess what happened with the Russian super-hyper-sophisticated cutting edge antiaircraft missile batteries when that penetration took place on September 6?" Jack asked.

"Nothing. The systems didn't even light up...The Israelis (with a little techie assistance from us) blinded the Russkie antiaircraft systems so completely the Syrians didn't even know they were blinded...They thought they were protected -- at enormous expense -- only to discover they are defenseless."

"During the Syrian bombing operation, reports suggested the entire Syrian communications grid was shut down," wrote James Lewis in the American Thinker. "Even cell phone connections in neighboring Lebanon were disrupted."

The panic is at least as great in Tehran. The Iranians rely on Russian air defense equipment too to protect their nuclear sites and their military bases. But the air defense systems the Iranians possess are older, less capable, and less dense than the Syrian defenses the Israelis so easily penetrated.

"No matter who I talked to, all (Iranian officials) could do was ask me, over and over again, 'When will the Americans attack us?'" an Indian general who'd recently visited Tehran told Jack.

They had a 72-0 kill-ratio over Lebanon when there was still a USSR to "help" the Syrians, effectively winning the Cold War by proxy.

Posted by Orrin Judd at October 3, 2007 11:42 AM

This story is almost word for word off of either Statfor or Strategy Page.

The question is whether it is to be believed.

Posted by: Bruno at October 3, 2007 12:16 PM

Attain air supremacy, and all the world is Omdurman, expecially the real Omdurman.

Posted by: Lou Gots at October 3, 2007 12:35 PM

Of course the story is nonsense. The mullahs cannot possibly be stupid enough to believe that the stuff they buy from Russia is anything but garbage.

Posted by: b at October 3, 2007 1:16 PM

This is surprising to whom?

Posted by: erp at October 3, 2007 2:08 PM

If it's the Israeli Air Force versus just about anybody else's air defense system (except ours) and someone's taking bets, my money's on the IDF.

Posted by: Mike Morley at October 3, 2007 3:27 PM

Those leaders that are against us (Ahmad and Chavez et al) have got to be going what the heck have I done right about now.

Assuming their opposition is sincere and not merely strategic game-playing on the (correct) assumption that we really are the good guys...

Posted by: Benny at October 3, 2007 5:48 PM