August 9, 2007

NOT IF TOM TANKREDO CAN HELP IT:

GOP Hopes to Make Inroads With Hispanics (MICHAEL R. BLOOD, 8/09/07, Associated Press)

Democrats hold an edge with Hispanics in national elections, but Latinos' growing tendency to register as independents and split their vote between parties is buoying Republican prospects for 2008.

Younger and college-educated Hispanics in particular offer fertile ground for the GOP, new data show. And while no one suggests Republicans have become the party of choice for the nation's fastest- growing minority, Democrats have been gradually losing ground.

"The Democrats began in the 1980s to slowly lose Latino registration," said Antonio Gonzalez, president of the William C. Velasquez Institute, a San Antonio-based research group that studies Hispanic issues. "It's drip, drip, drip." [...]

Pineda said Hispanic immigrants who become citizens and register to vote become Democrats in nearly 70 percent of the cases, with Republican registration at 18 percent. In the next generation, Democratic registration drops to 56 percent and GOP registration increases to 25 percent. By the third U.S.-born generation, Democratic and Republican registration among Hispanics is nearly equal.

While newer arrivals to the United States feel more strongly about immigration issues, subsequent generations share the concerns of Main Street America—the war, taxes, education, crime, he said.


And a pro-immigration GOP would win among the first generation.


MORE:
Whites Now Minority in 1 in 10 Counties (STEPHEN OHLEMACHER, 8/09/07, Associated Press)

Posted by Orrin Judd at August 9, 2007 7:48 AM
Comments

Yes, a very timely subject, considering what the Census Bureau came out with today.

BTW, OJ, on Ed Driscoll's site (to whom you link), he once stated that the 44% of Hispanics that voted for Bush was too high; it should be 39%. What does it say that some conservatives would insist that a lower percentage of votes would be the correct percentage?

Posted by: Brad S at August 9, 2007 9:51 AM

Heck, Steve Sailer and that crew insist it was negative 40%. The thought that it's good politics to have open borders terrifies them.

Posted by: oj at August 9, 2007 12:54 PM
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