July 3, 2007

INEVITABLITIS:

Is John McCain the Next Ronald Reagan? (David Brody, July 3, 2007, Brody File: CBN)

Read below from an article written by The Associated Press in 1979. This was the story about Reagan back then:

"Ronald Reagan, regarded as a leading candidate for the 1980 Republican presidential nomination, is trailing other GOP candidates in financial contributions this year, according to federal reports. The Federal Election Commission said Wednesday that Reagan's campaign committee has reported $1.4 million in contributions so far this year. That compares with these other GOP presidential contenders and the funds they have reported raising: Rep. Philip M. Crane of Illinois, $2.5 million. Former Texas Gov. John Connally, $2.2 million. Former CIA Director George Bush, $1.5 million.. And although Reagan wasn't the leading fund-raiser, he was the biggest spender, using nearly $1.3 million of the $1.4 million he raised."

Here's another one from The Washington Post in June of 1980 after Reagan won the Republican Primary:

"It is true that Reagan entered the campaign with enormous assets. But Reagan had to overcome doubts about his age and ability, an ill-advised Iowa strategy, a major staff shake-up in the middle of the campaign and serious money problems."

Then there's this one from The Washington Post in 1980:

"Ronald Reagan's presidential campaign yesterday accepted a federal check for $100,000, ending weeks of internal debate over whether Reagan should accept federal matching funds and the spending limits that go with them. It was the Reagan campaign's first such check. Its second will be far larger.. The decision reflects the Reagan campaign's realization that its fundraisers could not gather enough contributions to run the campaign without federal money, campaign treasurer Bay Buchanan said. 'Our feeling was, don't take matching funds until you have to, she said."

It all sounds very familiar doesn't it?


In the GOP, the next in line has a quadrennial problem and it's tightly interknit with his overwhelming advantage. Everyone knows him, most have given to him already, and his front-runner status leads to a bloated campaign staff and a too cautious strategy. Of course, they all recover once the voting starts and they get their heads handed to them a couple times. The familiarity that bred contempt prevents their ever actually losing the nomination.

Posted by Orrin Judd at July 3, 2007 5:14 PM
Comments

OJ, this is earth:

McCain is a terrible candidate who has never had a job. He was a great POW. He's not running for POW. He chose the same career path as John Kerry because neither wanted to make executive decisions. Romney and Guiliani made executive decisions, bushels of them, they're on the hook for them, just like they'll be if they get to the WH.

Now tell the story again about Bush's 2004 electoral landslide...

Posted by: Palmcroft at July 3, 2007 6:10 PM

Wow, you're still riding the McCain Train? I had thought everybody had jumped off that one in favor of the Thompson Shuttle.
Personally, I'm planning on voting for whoever has an R after their name. I know I'm not supposed to do that - I'm supposed to weigh all the issues and cast my vote accordingly - but I'd rather vote for Zombie Stalin than anybody on the Democrat bench.

Posted by: Bryan at July 3, 2007 6:34 PM

Ford, Reagan, Bush, & Dole were all terrible candidates. We nominate the next in line in this party. Every time in the open primary era.

Posted by: oj at July 3, 2007 7:48 PM

OJ, the purpose of the U.S. Senate is to gum-up the works, to slow down government, to keep the whole ungodly process from ever being efficient.

The senators who are continually re-elected to the Senate are actually perfect for this task: dim-witted ego-maniacs who adore their own image and can hardly stay awake through senatorial hearings/sessions/conferences. There is an endless conga-line of these showdogs: Ted Kennedy, Biden, Gore, Wellston, Packwood, Lott, and, of course, Robert Byrd. Senator McCain remains a perfect fit.

Mafioso parliamentarians like LBJ would have been better suited to the House where legislation actually gets done; spring-board types like JFK and Obamasama are never long for the place. Look how actual humans like Barry Goldwater and Joe Lieberman were utterly frozen in it's amber, searching for roles entirely inappropriate to the place; eventually aging into ineffectual Washington wisemen.

Posted by: Palmcroft at July 3, 2007 8:14 PM

Did the dead at Coral Sea and Midway and Pearl Harbor have jobs?

Posted by: Bob at July 3, 2007 8:28 PM

Johnny Mc will get the nomination only if he's the last candidate left standing. Absent certain relatives in Joisey, that won't happen.

Posted by: ghostcat at July 3, 2007 8:39 PM

No. Job is demeaning to the task of being a noble warrior. Saving western civilization is not a "job."

My point with McCain is that his chosen post-military career was a sinecure rather than an executive decision-making position. He essentially retired to the Senate in 1982 at the age of 46. Entirely appropriate, given his amazing history of bravery, suffering and grit; appropriate, that is, for everything but the presidency.

Posted by: Palmcroft at July 3, 2007 8:47 PM

Palm:

Quite. They can slow the amnesty, but can't stop it.

Posted by: oj at July 3, 2007 8:49 PM

Fred's a neophyte. They lose.

Posted by: oj at July 3, 2007 8:52 PM

We nominate the next in line in this party

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Let the horse rest in peace already, oj.

Posted by: ras at July 3, 2007 8:56 PM

One day the sun won't rise. But you'd be a fool to bet against it tomorrow. It's a pretty classic GOP campaign thus far.

Posted by: oj at July 3, 2007 9:05 PM

Kerry rose from the grave because the Dems didn't have the tinfoil to nominate Dean, and because Gephardt and Lieberman didn't have defensible positions within the party. Had Edwards won in Iowa, he probably would have won the nomination.

McCain has one foot in the grave today. He could still win, but he doesn't have the money Kerry did (to loan to himself). He can't win based on his 'maverickness', the way Kerry did based on his time in the service. McCain's best hope is that Stevens or Ginsburg hangs it up, and then he can act as the point man in the Senate to get Bush's nominee through this fall.

But withdrawal by Sept. 1 is more likely than victory next February. Of course, Al Gore could endorse Rudy or Fred next week......

Posted by: ratbert at July 4, 2007 12:21 AM
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