May 22, 2007


Giuliani sends mixed signals about Iowa (MIKE GLOVER, Associated Press)

Some Iowa Republicans are questioning whether presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani intends to largely skip the state's leadoff caucuses.

A sluggish start to campaign organizing and indecision about whether to compete in a high-profile straw poll in August has prompted speculation that Giuliani will pay only cursory attention to Iowa and instead focus on other early election states where his high name recognition would pay off.

After bailing in IA he moves on to NH, where Senator McCain remains popular and Mitt Romney has the MA advantage and then to SC where the odds against a pro-death/pro-gay candidate are prohibitive? He's not going to run. Period.

Posted by Orrin Judd at May 22, 2007 10:49 AM

Florida has just moved its primary to January 29.

California and may others are on February 5. It is possible that one can skip all the small state early primaries/caucuses. Untraditional but it is an untraditional year.

While I support Rudy, I recognize that McCain remains the likely nominee. I don't see where he does so well in South Carolina himself.

Posted by: Bob at May 22, 2007 11:27 AM

"SC where the odds against a pro-death/pro-gay candidate"

You forgot "anti-gun" as well.

Posted by: John Thacker at May 22, 2007 11:34 AM

Sounds like Giuliani has the right idea. Iowa caucuses are expensive and irrelevant.

Posted by: erp at May 22, 2007 1:26 PM

After the immigration yelping, the Arizona coot is less likely to get the GOP nomination than I am. Rudy may not run very hard, but he won't have to. The nomination is in the bag.

Posted by: Casey Abell at May 22, 2007 2:23 PM

McCain will fade, Thompson will get the nomination. Guiliani as vice presidential candidate. They easily win as Al(doph) Gore revs the engine up to take down Hillary. Otherwise he will explode.

Posted by: h-man at May 22, 2007 6:56 PM

h-man, I am reluctantly coming to the same conclusion. A ticket of Thompson, slow and steady, up front smoothing feathers while Giuliani gads about ruffling them, might work well enough that the billionaire club will be reluctant to fund a third party from the right.

I live in fear of a latter-day Perot.

Posted by: erp at May 23, 2007 1:17 PM
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