April 2, 2007

CUTTING TOO FINE:

B-52, Where Are You?: Why the Pentagon doesn't want you to know its bombers finally work (Gregg Easterbrook, April 2, 2007, Slate)

Two decades ago in the Washington Monthly, I quipped that U.S. bombers were becoming so few that eventually they would be named after states, like battleships. So, guess what: The Air Force now names its B-2 stealth bombers after states. There's a B-2 christened the Spirit of Georgia, another the Spirit of Alaska, and so on--with no danger of running out of names, because B-2 production stopped at 21. Today, the United States has just 183 bombers in its entire arsenal, versus more than 75,000 at the peak of World War II. Currently, the Pentagon plans to spend a gasp-inducing $320 billion on thousands of new fighter jets, but has nothing budgeted for new bombers for at least another decade; the Air Force actually says the Kennedy-era B-52 bomber will remain in service until 2037--when any still capable of getting airborne will be 80 years old.

The withering away of the bomber corps reflects planning assumptions a quarter-century old. Then, the thinking was that precision-guided munitions delivered from low altitude by jet fighters would take over nearly all conventional bombing roles. As recently as a few months before 9/11, former Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld ordered the mothballing of 30 B-1 bombers on the theory that they'd never be used in a modern, fighter-dominated air war anyway. Pentagon planners assumed that bombers would play a secondary role while low-flying fighters put the smart explosives on the target.

Instead, unexpected technical breakthroughs resulted in extremely accurate munitions that can be dropped from high altitude by bombers, at less cost and risk than using low-flying fighters. The result has been that during the Afghanistan and second Iraq campaigns, most of the air punch has been delivered by a handful of the remaining bombers. Some 80 percent of the bombs dropped during the U.S. seizure of Afghanistan fell from bombers; the share dropped on Iraq since March 2003 is nearly as high. Though bombers have in this decade turned out to be far more important to U.S. military action than Pentagon strategists expected, the government still plans to invest fantastic amounts of money in fighter planes that would be used mainly to drop bombs.


The one useful thing the Democrats could do were they serious about their ideas rather than just a coalition of interest groups is cease funding both.

Posted by Orrin Judd at April 2, 2007 8:14 AM
Comments

Once the fast movers have achieved total air supremacy, a small number of bombers is sufficient for the subsequent demolitions.
Besides, what else would we spend the money on, choo-choo trains?

Posted by: Lou Gots at April 2, 2007 10:09 AM

Two words, cruise missle.

Posted by: pchuck at April 2, 2007 10:10 AM

Are we really going to let the flyboys built new toys at $250 mil a copy?

Posted by: curt at April 2, 2007 11:01 AM

Two words, cruise missle...
directed by UAVs

Posted by: ic at April 2, 2007 11:58 AM

Easterbrook is being disingenuous here.

The B1 was mothballed because it is too slow for updated air defenses and provides no additional capability to offset that risk. That's why the B2 was built. Rumsfeld was right to mothball them and right to focus on fast fighters, smart munitions and the use of precision bombing when and where practical by the B2s.

At some point UCAVs will dominate. But there are a lot of technical issues between now and then, not to mention legal ones, plus the rising chinese military force to balance.

Posted by: molon labe at April 2, 2007 12:08 PM

The rising Chinese are like the mighty Soviet Union and Saddam's WMD, the product of feverish imaginations.

Posted by: oj at April 2, 2007 12:29 PM

Contra OJ, we need both new fighters and new bombers. These might well be our last generation of piloted combat planes, but we need them until the UCAVs are ready.

Posted by: PapayaSF at April 2, 2007 12:33 PM

No, not feverish imaginations, rational folks with a vested interest in a big, bad conventional enemy -- the CIA, Admirals, Generals, Lockheed, Boeing etc.

Posted by: curt at April 2, 2007 1:33 PM

If the generals have themn they use them and thereby botch the war.

Posted by: oj at April 2, 2007 3:29 PM

I stopped reading when I saw "Easterbrook."

This the guy who wrote that the F-117A is faceted, but the B-2 smooth, because they were designed based on different theories of stealth. (No, the B-2 was designed on the same theory, but with more powerful computers.)

During the first Gulf war, he concluded that stealth and precision guided munitions were overrated because unstealthy aircraft and dumb bombs were having lots of success too. (The idea that the aircraft and weapons were matched to the target must have made his eyes glaze over.)

Life is too short for me to waste any more time reading Gregg Easterbrooks's opinions on modern air warfare.

Posted by: Bob Hawkins at April 2, 2007 3:46 PM
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