March 9, 2007

YOU'VE GOTTA KNOW WHO YOUR ALLIES ARE:

Shiite Clerics Say Sunni Arab States Interfering in Iraq (Tina Sussman, 3-9-2007, LA Times)

Shiite Muslim clerics displayed growing impatience today with the government's failure to stop attacks by Sunni Arab insurgents and lashed out at Sunni Arab states, who blame Iraq's Shiite-led government for sectarian divisions.

On the eve of a regional meeting to discuss Iraq's security problems, clerics said the Arab League, a bloc of mainly Sunni Arab states which will attend the meeting, were infringing on Iraq's sovereignty by suggesting that constitutional reforms were needed to give non-Shiites a greater share of power. [...]

Arab League states such as Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Egypt say Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri Maliki is to blame for much of his country's strife and have vowed to use the meeting to press for changes in the government and constitution.

"They should know that they must stay out of the Iraqi business," said Sayyed Ahmed Safi, addressing millions of Shiite pilgrims gathered for a religious festival in the city of Karbala. Safi, the representative of Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani, also condemned the slaughter of nearly 200 pilgrims slain by suspected Sunni insurgents as they marched toward Karbala earlier in the week and said it showed the weaknesses of the latest U.S.-Iraqi security plan.

"The security plan needs solidarity and, if possible, all the grass roots should be recruited to make it succeed, as it is the only way to bring stability back," he said, in an apparent reference to Shiite militiamen led by anti-U.S. cleric Muqtada Sadr.

Sadr ordered his Mahdi Army militia to cooperate with the security plan when it was launched Feb. 13 as a show of support for Maliki, a political ally. Since then, scores of Iraqis have died in suicide bombings and other attacks blamed on Sunni insurgents.


U.S. says it can't protect every Iraqi (Alexandra Zavis, March 9, 2007, LA Times)
In the months leading up to the crackdown, U.S. officials thought Shiite Muslim militants would cause the biggest headache. A Pentagon assessment in December said Shiite militias such as the powerful Al Mahdi army, loyal to radical anti-American cleric Muqtada Sadr, were killing more civilians than were Sunni Arab terrorist groups.

Sadr's followers have staged two major uprisings against U.S. troops since the American-led invasion in March 2003. Hoping to avoid a repetition, U.S. and Iraqi commanders spent weeks negotiating, through community leaders, for access to the Al Mahdi militia's Baghdad stronghold of Sadr City, a vast, teeming slum named after the cleric's revered late father.

Under intense government pressure, Sadr ordered his followers off the streets and has so far refused to be goaded back into the fight, despite his insistence that the security plan should be implemented by Iraqis only.

When U.S. and Iraqi forces finally politely knocked on residents' doors in Sadr City this week, they were allowed in without incident.

The number of execution-style killings blamed largely on Sadr's followers has dropped. Police recovered five unidentified bodies in Baghdad on Thursday, compared with more than 30 on many days before the crackdown.

Two other bodies, showing signs of torture, were found south of the northern city of Kirkuk, police said.

"In many ways, the United States has lost the argument that the Shiites are the main problem in Iraq, because they are not fighting," said Vali Nasr, an expert on Iraq's Sunni-Shiite conflict at the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, Calif. "They disappeared."

By waiting out the conflict, some analysts believe, Sadr could come out the winner, securing the gratitude of Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri Maliki, a fellow Shiite, while allowing the United States to take care of the insurgency.


There's no one less coherent than those who claim to be pro-Iraqi but anti-Shi'a.

Posted by Orrin Judd at March 9, 2007 4:14 PM
Comments

The major unsolved problem in Iraq is that the Soonis still don't understand that they lost and are no longer in power, nor is there any prospect they will regain it.

Posted by: jd watson at March 9, 2007 6:57 PM

As I read yesterday, two of the suicide bombers who killed about 200 Shi'a during the pilgrimage last week were Saudis.

If Maliki really wants to get nasty, he should set off a car bomb or truck bomb in Saudi Arabia everytime it happens in Iraq. The Saudis would fold in a week (and abandon support for the Sunni radicals), especially if they know it won't stop.

Posted by: ratbert at March 10, 2007 1:17 AM

It is amazing to me that non-shia, meaning Iraqi sunni, sunni insurgents or run of the mill jihadists can operate in a big flat country like Iraq by blowing things up with big bombs.

If the shia really are large and in charge how is this possible. Don't you think with an 80-20 advantage, every last square inch of sunni-ville woulf have been searched and siezed by now with the no search warrant needed method of breaking down the door? Something still doesn't make sense.

Posted by: Perry at March 10, 2007 12:33 PM

One can be anti-Mookie (and anti-Hezbollah) without being anti-Shi'a.

Posted by: PapayaSF at March 10, 2007 1:50 PM

I'm pretty sure this pro-Shiite song and dance will end around the time we start go to war in Iran.
The US has been supporting the Sunni in Iraq for decades while maintaining the pretense of promoting democracy. Do you really believe the words that come out of your mouth?

Posted by: gupta at March 10, 2007 4:07 PM

Gupta:

No, I never believe anyone's words, only their actions.

We helped install a Shi'ite democracy and are killing Mookie's enemies. The math is easy.

Posted by: oj at March 10, 2007 6:00 PM

Perry
I believe the split is 65-20, Kurds (who are also sunni) making up the rest. Your point is valid however. The reason for this dragging out so long is because the Bush administration has wasted alot of time attempting to create a unified Iraqi Army made up of both Sunni and Shia. The final result is still going to be a partition, either "soft" or "hard".

Secondarily, the Shi'a are incredibly incompentent and fractious, while the Sunnis are much less so.

Posted by: h-man at March 10, 2007 8:47 PM
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