February 21, 2007


Some Americans Reluctant to Vote for Mormon, 72-Year-Old Presidential Candidates: Strong support for black, women, Catholic candidates (Jeffrey M. Jones, 2/20/07, GALLUP NEWS SERVICE)

With arguably the most diverse field of candidates in U.S. history to choose from, Americans will have to decide how comfortable they are electing a person who is not a white Protestant male as president. Whereas in past elections non-traditional candidates were often long-shots to win their party's nominations, let alone the presidency, many of the leading candidates in the early stages of the 2008 election process are not cut from the typical presidential cloth, making this issue more salient than ever.

A recent USA Today/Gallup poll updated a question first asked in 1937 about the public's willingness to vote for presidential candidates from a variety of different genders, religions, and other backgrounds. While Americans overwhelmingly say they would vote for a black, woman, Catholic, or Hispanic president, they are less likely to say they would support a Mormon candidate, one who is 72 years old, or one who has been married three times.

The best part of the poll is the one thing that's truly disqualifying.

Giuliani Tops Clinton In 2008 Presidential Race, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Republican Runs Strong In Red, Blue And Purple States (Quinnipiac University, February 21, 2007)

Former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani leads Sen. Hillary Clinton 48 - 43 percent among American voters in a 2008 national presidential poll released by Quinnipiac University today. Arizona Sen. John McCain edges Sen. Clinton 46 - 44 percent.

Giuliani tops Clinton 55 - 38 percent in Red states, which voted Republican in the 2004 presidential election, and ties her 46 - 46 percent in Blue states, which went Democratic in 2004. He gets 44 percent to Clinton's 45 percent in Purple states, where the margin in 2004 was less than 7 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. In other possible presidential matchups:

* Clinton tops former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 49 - 37 percent;
* Giuliani beats Illinois Sen. Barack Obama 47 - 40 percent;
* Giuliani tops 2004 vice presidential candidate John Edwards 48 - 40 percent;
* McCain ties Obama 43 - 43 percent;
* McCain gets 43 percent to Edward's 42 percent, a tie;
* Obama tops Romney 49 - 29 percent;
* Edwards beats Romney 48 - 32 percent.

The problem is that they aren't a woman, a black, and a Catholic, but three liberals.

Posted by Orrin Judd at February 21, 2007 5:28 PM

I'm guessing an Atheist?

Or is it a Red Sawx fan?

Posted by: Jim in Chicago at February 21, 2007 5:43 PM

Polls this far out have as much credibility as the global warming models.

Let's check back in Feb '08 and see which candidates are still standing after undergoing media scrutiny for a year and then we'll do some analyzing.

Posted by: AWW at February 21, 2007 9:02 PM

Even Stephen Jay Gould ditched atheism. Sox fans need God.

Posted by: oj [TypeKey Profile Page] at February 21, 2007 9:19 PM

Who is this Edwards person??

Posted by: curt at February 22, 2007 9:53 AM